The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) WESTERN AND CENTRAL AFRICA | Nigeria | Social Protection & Jobs Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2022 | Seq No: 1 | ARCHIVED on 21-Jun-2022 | ISR52031 | Implementing Agencies: Federal Ministry of Humanitarian Affairs, Disaster Management and Social Development, Federal Republic of Nigeria Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 16-Dec-2021 Effectiveness Date: -- Planned Mid Term Review Date: 24-Apr-2023 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 30-Jun-2024 Revised Closing Date: 30-Jun-2024 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) Expand coverage of shock responsive safety net support among the poor and vulnerable and strengthen the national safety net delivery system. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Economic Shock Responsive Cash Transfer (ESR-CT):(Cost $600.00 M) Extended Regular Cash Transfer (ER-CT) for the poor and the vulnerable:(Cost $147.00 M) Delivery System Strengthening and Project Management:(Cost $53.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO -- Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) -- Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating -- Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions With the objective to mitigate the short-term impact of the recent economic shocks on the poor and vulnerable population in both urban and rural areas, the government of Nigeria and the World Bank agreed to design a follow up NASSP Scale Up Project, through IDA financing of US$ 800 million. The Project Development Objective is to “Expand coverage of shock responsive safety net support among the poor and vulnerable and strengthen the national safety net delivery system”. NASSP-SU targets 10.2 million HHs (close to 50 million individuals) and will be implemented nationwide. The project was approved by the World Bank board of directors on December 16, 2021, and by the Federal Executive Council (FEC) in March 2022. However, the project is yet to become effective, although the necessary technical preparatory activities are in progress. 6/21/2022 Page 1 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial -- Substantial Macroeconomic Substantial -- Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate -- Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial -- Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate -- Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial -- Substantial Environment and Social Substantial -- Substantial Stakeholders Moderate -- Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Substantial -- Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Expand coverage of shock responsive safety net support IN01158261 ►Beneficiaries of social safety net programs (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 15,000,000.00 -- 0.00 56,000,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 IN01158264 Beneficiaries of social safety net programs - Female (Number, Corporate Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 7,500,000.00 -- 0.00 27,500,000.00 IN01158265 Beneficiaries of Safety Nets programs - Unconditional cash transfers (number) (Number, Corporate Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 15,000,000.00 -- 0.00 56,000,000.00 6/21/2022 Page 2 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) Date 30-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 30-Dec-2023 IN01158267 ►Beneficiary households received shock responsive cash transfers (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1,000,000.00 -- 0.00 9,200,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 This indicator counts the number of beneficiary households that received a shock responsive cash Comments: transfer through NASSP and/or NASSP-SU. The baseline number counts the number of beneficiary households that are expected to receive COVID-CT through the government by June 2022. IN01158268 Of which female primary beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 35.00 -- 0.00 45.00 IN01158269 ►Beneficiary households received extended regular-cash transfer support (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 2,000,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 This indicator counts the number of beneficiary households that received the extended regular-CT under Comments: component 1.2. IN01158270 Of which female primary beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 94.00 Strengthen national safety net delivery system IN01158262 ►Urban wards covered through an efficient and scalable targeting and registration system (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1,163.00 -- 0.00 1,800.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 The efficient and scalable targeting and registration system refers to the Rapid Response Registry (RRR) platform. The RRR uses geographic targeting (based on granular poverty maps produced by applying Comments: machine learning algorithm to granular satellite imageries) followed by self-targeted cellphone based enrollment process. IN01158263 ►Beneficiary households received cash transfers through safe, secure, and scalable digital mechanism (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 6/21/2022 Page 3 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) Value 16.00 -- 0.00 70.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 This indicator counts the number of beneficiary households (across both components) that received the Comments: cash transfers delivered directly to their transactional accounts, expressed as a percentage of total beneficiary households. IN01158266 Of which female primary beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 30.00 -- 0.00 40.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 Overall Comments PDO The project is not yet effective and as a result implementation not yet commenced. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Economic Shock Responsive Cash Transfer (ESR-CT) IN01158271 ►Urban beneficiary households targeted through satellite imagery and cell phone data based targeting approach and registered in the Rapid Response Register (RRR) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1,700,000.00 -- 0.00 5,000,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 Comments: This indicator counts the number of successful registrants to the RRR. IN01158275 Of which female registrants (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 32.00 -- 0.00 50.00 IN01158277 ►Rural households identified from National Social Register to receive the ESR-CTs (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 3,200,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 This indicator counts the number of households identified from the NSR for support through the ESR-CTs. Comments: To be included, the beneficiary households must be enrolled with the payment system. IN01158281 Of which female primary beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) 6/21/2022 Page 4 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 60.00 IN01158284 ►Amount of ESR-CT delivered per beneficiaries household (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 73.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 30-Dec-2023 This indicator measures the average amount (in USD) delivered to the beneficiaries of the ESR-CT. This Comments: indicator will only include beneficiaries that have received at least one transfer. The target is equivalent to N30,000 using the exchange rate at the time of approval. IN01158285 ►Beneficiary households received the ESR-CT in a newly setup transactional account (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 2,900,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 This indicator counts the beneficiary households that receive ESR-CT payments in their new transactional account set up for and supported by the project. Transactional accounts are multi-purpose accounts and Comments: allow savings, deposit, transfer, and withdrawal facilities and can be opened with a streamlined KYC requirements as per the government regulations. IN01158288 of which females primary beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 60.00 IN01158290 ►Beneficiaries satisfied with the delivery of shock responsive cash transfer program (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 IN01158292 of which female (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 IN01158293 of which Rural (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 6/21/2022 Page 5 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) Value 0.00 -- 0.00 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 IN01158294 of which Urban (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 IN01158295 ►Beneficiary households received cash transfers within 10 days of the payment schedule (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 29-Dec-2023 This indicator measures the percentage of beneficiaries of the ESR-CT that received their payment Comments: tranches in their transaction account according to the payment schedule specified in the project implementation manual. Timeliness is measures after the first tranche of payment is transferred. IN01158296 ►Report on beneficiary profile produced and disseminated publicly (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 18.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 29-Dec-2023 This indicator counts the number of months in which a report on statistical profile of beneficiaries is produced and released publicly. The statistical profile includes characteristics collected during registration Comments: and enrollment including those on age, gender, education, and assets. Public release must include online publication in official website as well as released in social media. IN01158297 ►Beneficiary households are in the bottom 6 deciles (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 29-Dec-2023 This indicator measures the percentage of beneficiaries that are in the bottom six deciles based on a Comments: proxy indicator of welfare calculated based on the data collected from the RRR and NSR. The formula for the proxy indicator will be generated from the latest Nigeria Living Standards Survey data. Extended Regular Cash Transfer (ER-CT) for the poor and the vulnerable IN01158273 ►Beneficiary households received a minimum of two years of support since being enrolled in the program (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 6/21/2022 Page 6 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) Value 1,000,000.00 -- 0.00 2,000,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 This indicator counts the number of beneficiaries of the regular-CT that have received at least two years of Comments: cash transfer support through NASSP and NASSP-SU. Baseline numbers are based on projections based on current pace of cash transfers. IN01158276 ►Female primary beneficiaries received a minimum of two years of support since being enrolled in the program (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 94.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 29-Dec-2023 This indicator measures the percentage of female beneficiaries among those who received the regular-CT Comments: for at least two years of cash transfer support through NASSP and NASSP-SU. IN01158279 ►Beneficiaries satisfied with the regular CT program delivery (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 70.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 IN01158280 of which female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 70.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 Strengthening delivery System and Program management IN01158272 ►Federal and State level staff trained in shock responsive safety net systems (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 1,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 IN01158274 Of which female staff (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 30.00 IN01158278 ►States where the Third Party Monitoring (TPM) implemented through CSO is functional (Number, Custom) 6/21/2022 Page 7 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 19.00 -- 0.00 37.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 IN01158282 ►Annual Results Scorecard produced by the third-party monitors and released publicly (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 2.00 -- 0.00 4.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 IN01158283 ►Local implementers and stakeholders agreed that project investments reflected the needs (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 IN01158286 Of which female (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 80.00 IN01158287 ►Project specific gender guidelines developed under NASSP operationalized in project activities (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No -- No Yes Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2023 This indicator checks whether the gender guidelines developed during the implementation of NASSP has Comments: been operationalized in NASSP-SU project activities. IN01158289 ►Grievances addressed within the time specified in the project implementation manual (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 29-Dec-2023 IN01158291 ►ESR-CT beneficiary households covered through random post-distribution monitoring (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 200,000.00 6/21/2022 Page 8 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) Date 31-Dec-2021 -- 14-Jun-2022 30-Dec-2022 This indicator counts the number of beneficiaries reached during the (random) cash-transfer audits which Comments: verify whether the intended beneficiaries received the cash transfers. Overall Comments IR The project is not yet effective and as a result implementation not yet commenced. Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed Not P176935 IDA-70190 USD 800.00 800.00 0.00 0.00 789.04 0% Effective Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date Not P176935 IDA-70190 16-Dec-2021 -- -- 30-Jun-2024 30-Jun-2024 Effective Cumulative Disbursements 6/21/2022 Page 9 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 6/21/2022 Page 10 of 10