The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Project II under the Pacific Resilience Program (P160096) Pacific Resilience Project II under the Pacific Resilience Program (P160096) EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC | Marshall Islands | Environment, Natural Resources & the Blue Economy Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2017 | Seq No: 9 | ARCHIVED on 22-Dec-2021 | ISR49525 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance, Banking and Postal Services, Ministry of Finance Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 09-May-2017 Effectiveness Date: 01-Sep-2017 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 13-Nov-2021 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 08-Dec-2021 Original Closing Date: 30-Nov-2022 Revised Closing Date: 12-Feb-2024 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Objective of the Project in the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI) is to strengthen early warning systems, climate resilient investments in shoreline protection, and to provide immediate and effective response to an Eligible Crisis or Emergency. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Institutional Strengthening, Early Warning and Preparedness:(Cost $6.55 M) Component 2: Strengthening Coastal Resilience:(Cost $48.44 M) Component 3: Contingency Emergency Response:(Cost $1.17 M) Component 4: Project and Program Management:(Cost $3.85 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions Despite the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, project implementation is progressing, albeit at a slow pace. However, it is envisaged that implementation delays will continue if key international consultants are unable to travel to RMI in the coming months. Some, though not all, of the actions agreed during the last Implementation Support Mission have been completed. Progress made to date includes recruitment of key firms and individuals in support of various project components. 12/22/2021 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Project II under the Pacific Resilience Program (P160096) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Moderate Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Substantial High High Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other Substantial Moderate Substantial Overall Substantial Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes To strengthen early warning systems IN01078161 ►Number of people who can receive timely and actionable hazard forecast and warning messages (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 7,000.00 7,000.00 7,000.00 46,800.00 Date 13-Sep-2016 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 Baseline was 7,000. This is an annually reported indicator which was expected to see progress in 2021/22. However – delivery against this indicator is delayed. It is envisaged that it may be achievable Comments: by the close of the project, however, the PIU will need to closely monitor to ensure there are no further delays. To strengthen climate investments in shoreline protection IN01078162 ►Number of people with reduced risks to coastal hazards and the effects of climate change (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 12/22/2021 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Project II under the Pacific Resilience Program (P160096) Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 10,000.00 Date 20-Oct-2017 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 This indicator is linked to coastal protection works that will provide protection to people in the Ebeye Island. Construction will not commence until 2022/23. Progress will be seen against this indicator from 2022/2023. It is currently considered unlikely that this indicator will be met by the current closing date of Comments: the Project due to delays with the recruitment of the Design and Supervision firm, and ongoing delays linked to the COVID-19 border closures, which is prohibiting the Design Firm from travelling to RMI. IN01078164 ►Reduced expected annual damage due to coastal protection interventions (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 700,000.00 Date 04-Jan-2017 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 This indicator will be informed by modelled benefits from coastal protection works that will provide protection to people in the Ebeye Island. The firm undertaking the modelling as part of the CVA is contracted. However, works will not commence until 2022/23. It is currently considered unlikely that this Comments: indicator will be met by the current closing date of the Project due to delays with the recruitment of the Design and Supervision firm, and ongoing delays linked to the COVID-19 border closures, which is prohibiting the Design Firm from travelling to RMI. IN01078165 ►Communities involved in planning/implementation/evaluation of early warning and shoreline protection activities (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 20-Feb-2017 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 Several rounds of stakeholder workshops have been undertaken. Design concepts and technical options of the Ebeye coastal protection works were discussed during these workshops. Consultations Comments: are ongoing. The PIU is therefore reporting to have reached the target (Yes) for this indicator. To provide immediate and effective response to an Eligible Crisis and Emergency IN01078163 ►Note: No PDO level indicator mapped to this outcome (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Date 01-Sep-2017 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 30-Jun-2022 An intermediate indicator is mapped to this outcome Comments: Intermediate Results Indicators by Components 12/22/2021 Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Project II under the Pacific Resilience Program (P160096) Component 1: Institutional Strengthening, Early Warning and Preparedness IN01078167 ►The Government has developed and adopted procedures to clarify the governance mechanism of the JNAP (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 04-Jan-2017 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 The indicator is linked to Subcomponent 1.1.1 Institutional strengthening, and central agency capacity building in risk governance. A Disaster and Climate Risk Governance Advisor and Disaster Risk Management and Climate Change Adaptation Advisor have worked closely with the CSO, NDMO and other agencies. The following 4 activities have been considered complete for this indicator to be considered achieved: i) the policy paper governance framework ‘Management of RMI response to climate Comments: change and disaster risk – ToR for the Tile TilEo Committee’ is finalized; ii) the policy paper Republic of Marshall Islands National Planning Framework is finalized; iii) the Structure for Integration & Coordination of Climate Activity is approved by Cabinet; and iv) the working groups at national and local government levels are operationalized (the working groups include the Mitigation Working Group and the Adaptation Working Group, the RMI NDC Partnership Working Group). IN01078169 ►% of communication stations operating in line with Standard operating procedures (SOPs) in outer island network (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 Date 13-Sep-2016 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 This indicator is linked to Subcomponent 1.1.2 Early warning communication systems improvement. Building on the survey results by IOM, NDMO and Outland Focal Points, critical requirements and gaps in outer islands are identified. Procurement of emergency communications specialist is completed. Once the SOPs are finalized, the NDMO focal points of the outer islands (identified as the communication stations), Comments: will conduct an annual test, developed by the PIU, during the ‘Outer Islands Focal Point Workshop’ organized by IOM. It is envisaged this indicator will be met by the close of the project, though the PIU will need to closely monitor to ensure there are no further delays. IN01078171 ►National Adaptation Plan integrates the results of the coastal vulnerability assessment (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 13-Sep-2016 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2022 This activity is linked to Subcomponent 1.1.1 Institutional strengthening, and central agency capacity building in risk governance. The results of the Coastal Vulnerability Assessment (Deltares 2016 and 2021) will be integrated and streamlined into the National Adaptation Plan (NAP). It is expected that parts of the Comments: results of the CVA will be integrated to the interim NAP by YR5. The target (Yes) for this indicator is expected to be fully met at YR6 of the project. IN01078173 ►NDMO facilities modernized and operating in accordance with key priorities identified in agreed roadmap (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 12/22/2021 Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Project II under the Pacific Resilience Program (P160096) Value No No No Yes Date 13-Sep-2016 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 This indicator is linked to subcomponent 1.1.3 NDMO facilities. The NDMO Roadmap, which will inform investments has now been finalized. The PIU is currently working on the RFQ for NDMO equipment which Comments: will include desktop units, tablets, laptops, cell phones, drones, walkie talkies etc. The target (Yes) for this indicator is expected to be met at YR6 of the project. IN01078174 ►Development of National Adaptation Plan and adoption by Cabinet (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 07-Feb-2020 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2022 Recruitment of an Advisor to support preparation of the NAP has been completed, and the consultant has been mobilized remotely due to COVID-19 travel restrictions. The target for this indicator is expected to be Comments: met in Year 6 of the project (ie. 2023). IN01078175 ►Majority of beneficiaries are satisfied with the community consultation of early warning activities (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Dec-2017 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 The PIU developed a survey for the stakeholders to conduct during the ‘Finalization of the Emergency Communication Roadmap’ workshop, to measure the satisfaction among the beneficiaries of the consultation during the time the roadmap was developed. The overall result of the survey demonstrates that stakeholders are satisfied with the level of involvement and consultation they have received during Comments: this period. The CDRM-ECT is now finalized and IOM commenced their work under this activity in June 2021. Once implementation and finalization of the above-mentioned activities commence, the PIU will prepare additional surveys to assess and measure if the targets are met under this indicator. Component 2: Strengthening Coastal Resilience IN01078168 ►Length of coast with reduced vulnerabilty to flooding and storm surges (Meter(m), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 2,100.00 Date 13-Sep-2016 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 This indicator is linked to Subcomponent 2.1.2 Priority coastal protection investments. Recruitment of the firm to undertake the design work is completed and preliminary design work has commenced. Once the design is complete, the contractors will be engaged to construct the coastal protection, which will directly Comments: contribute to this indicator. The target is unlikely to be achieved by the current closing date of the project, due to delays with the recruitment of the firm, and due to continued delays linked among other things, to COVID-19 travel restrictions. IN01078170 12/22/2021 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Project II under the Pacific Resilience Program (P160096) ►Value of public energy assets protected (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 10,000,000.00 Date 07-Feb-2020 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 This indicator is linked to Subcomponent 2.1.2 Priority coastal protection investments. Recruitment of the firm to undertake the design work is completed and the design work has commenced. Once the design is complete, the contractors will be engaged to construct the coastal protection, which will directly contribute Comments: to this indicator. The target (USD10,000,000) is unlikely to be achieved by the current closing date of the project, due to delays with the recruitment of the firm, and due to continued delays linked among other things, to COVID-19 travel restrictions. IN01078172 ►Majority of beneficiaries are satisfied with the community consultation on shoreline protection activities (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 31-Dec-2017 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 A survey has been conducted on Ebeye that shows great satisfaction among beneficiaries and the target for YR2 and YR3 under this indicator is therefore met. Going forward in measuring this indicator and to assess the level of satisfaction with the community consultation, the PIU has developed a survey that has Comments: been merged into the community consultation survey that RHDHV DSS firm conducted in Ebeye during Q2 of 2021. Component 3: Contingency Emergency Response IN01078166 ►Time taken to recieve funds from contingency emergency component for an eligible emergency. (Weeks, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6.00 0.00 6.00 Date 16-Feb-2017 13-May-2021 06-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2023 This indicator is linked to Component 3 - Contingency Emergency Response. A CERC training was held in Majuro in October, 2018. The CERC Operations Manual has been updated most recently in 2021. The CERC has not been triggered, therefore results cannot be measured, though due to the readiness Comments: activities undertaken, it is envisaged the target would be met in the event the CERC is triggered. (Note: The previous target being marked as 6.00 last ISR was in error – as the CERC has not been triggered, therefore the actual should be 0). Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) 12/22/2021 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Project II under the Pacific Resilience Program (P160096) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P160096 IDA-D1830 Effective USD 19.63 19.63 0.00 3.86 16.88 19% P160096 IDA-D5690 Effective USD 15.37 15.37 0.00 0.00 15.72 0% P160096 TF-B2404 Effective USD 25.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 0% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P160096 IDA-D1830 Effective 09-May-2017 30-Jun-2017 01-Sep-2017 30-Nov-2022 12-Feb-2024 P160096 IDA-D5690 Effective 24-Apr-2020 13-May-2020 03-Jun-2020 12-Feb-2024 12-Feb-2024 P160096 TF-B2404 Effective 10-Mar-2020 13-May-2020 03-Jun-2020 12-Feb-2024 12-Feb-2024 Cumulative Disbursements PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC 12/22/2021 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Project II under the Pacific Resilience Program (P160096) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) P172014-Pacific Resilience Project II under the Pacific Resilience Program 12/22/2021 Page 8 of 8