The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan: National Social Protection Program (P158643) Pakistan: National Social Protection Program (P158643) SOUTH ASIA | Pakistan | Social Protection & Jobs Global Practice | Requesting Unit: SACPK | Responsible Unit: HSASP IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results Financing | FY 2017 | Team Leader(s): Amjad Zafar Khan, Nina Rosas Raffo Seq No: 11 | ARCHIVED on 29-Jun-2022 | ISR52208 | Created by: Amjad Zafar Khan on 23-Jun-2022 | Modified by: Amjad Zafar Khan on 28-Jun- 2022 Program Development Objectives PDO Table Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) The Program Development Objective (PDO) is to strengthen the national social safety net systems for the poor to enhance their humancapital and access to complementary services. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions The National Social Protection Program (NSPP) was approved by the World Bank Board on March 15, 2017 and it became effective on April 28, 2017. The program will be closing by June 30, 2022. The NSPP has a total commitment of US$100 million which includes US$90 million for a Disbursement Linked Indicators (DLIs) based Program-for-Results (PForR) operation and US$10 million Investment Project Financing (IPF) for a Technical Assistance component. BISP is the implementation agency for the Program. The NSPP has achieved all its committed results under the operation and all DLI's have been disbursed against except for DLR for year 4 of DLI 5. This DLR has also been achieved and is currently being currently verified by the Independent Verification Agency and is expected to be submitted to the Bank by mid of July, 2022. All Actions under the Program Action Plan also stand completed and the operation is closing with an overall "Satisfactory" rating. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P158643 IDA-59730 Effective USD 100.00 100.00 0.00 104.07 0.03 100% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P158643 IDA-59730 Effective 15-Mar-2017 30-Mar-2017 28-Apr-2017 30-Jun-2021 30-Jun-2022 Program Action Plan 6/29/2022 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan: National Social Protection Program (P158643) BISP strengthens capacity of the NSER Unit to operate the NSER as a Social Registry Information System for social Action Description sector programs in the country Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Due Date 31-Mar-2018 Completed Completion Measurement Official confirmation from BISP on completion of the hiring The organogram and the draft manual for the NSER unit has been prepared in accordance with the current structure. Comments The hiring has been completed. The WeT expansion plan is approved, in accordance with microcapacity assessments in the rollout districts, Action Description completed in collaboration with respective provincial governments. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Due Date 30-Jun-2018 Completed Completion Measurement The BISP Board has approved the expansion plan. Comments Action Description Recertification Strategy developed and approved by the Board. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Due Date 31-Mar-2018 Completed Completion Measurement Board minutes or confirmation letter from the senior management Comments The Recertification strategy has been approved by the Board Complementary Services Operations Manual prepared and approved by the board as a regulation, defining the Action Description governance, operations, and monitoring of beneficiaries’ access to complementary services. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Due Date 30-Apr-2019 Completed Completion Measurement Senior Managements letter approving the Manual. Comments The Operations Manual has been reviewed by the senior management and will be sent to the Board for approval Action Description Regular quarterly internal audits of the GRM cases pertaining to eligibility. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Recurrent Quarterly Completed Completion Measurement Quarterly certificate of the GRM cases submitted by BISP 6/29/2022 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan: National Social Protection Program (P158643) Comments Action Description BISP revises and adopts Procurement Manual agreed by the World Bank. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Due Date 28-May-2017 Completed Completion Measurement Senior Management approval of the manual Comments Action Description Independent fiduciary performance reviews are conducted. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Recurrent Yearly Completed Completion Measurement Fiduciary Risk Assessment and Procurement Audit Reports Comments Action Description An EFC framework identifying key processes is finalized and adopted. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Due Date 30-Jun-2018 Completed Completion Measurement EFC framework and Action Plan adopted Comments BISP appoints a dedicated social engagement team, comprising at least two staff, to ensure incorporation of social Action Description concerns in all operational, and M&E processes. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social Client Due Date 15-May-2018 Completed Systems Completion Measurement Hiring of Staff confirmation Comments Risks 6/29/2022 Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan: National Social Protection Program (P158643) Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Substantial Substantial Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies Low Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Low Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate Low Low Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other Moderate Moderate Moderate Overall Moderate Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes strengthen SSN for the poor to enhance their human capital and access to complementary services IN01163397 ►Percentage of BISP beneficiary households from the bottom two expenditure quintiles (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 75.00 76.00 85.00 80.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 With the update of the NSER and recertification, the next HIES or PSLM survey will provide the updated numbers for this indicator. At the moment the assessment is based on the model estimates of the latest Comments PMT to be used for recertification. IN01163398 ►Number of WeT districts with tehsil offices using integrated MIS to handle case management of basic income support and WeT programs (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 50.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 01-Dec-2021 30-Jun-2022 Comments IN01163399 ►Number of children of WeT beneficiary families paid for at least two consecutive quarters based on compliance with attendance co- responsibilities (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 500,000.00 1,200,000.00 1,518,099.00 1,500,000.00 6/29/2022 Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan: National Social Protection Program (P158643) Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 The number recorded during the last ISR update in June 2021 was erroneously mentioned as the end target. The correct number of children paid for two consecutive quarters were 1,071,230 as also mentioned Comments against the linked DLI 5 of this operation. IN01163400 ►Number of BISP beneficiary households with at least one member enrolled in at least one complementary service (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 34,736.00 594,755.00 594,755.00 400,000.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 01-Dec-2021 30-Jun-2022 Comments Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Institutional and Systems Development IN01163421 ►Percentage of BISP beneficiary households from Phase 2 (national rollout) districts with updated Poverty Score Card information in the NSER (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 80.00 80.00 80.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 Comments IN01163423 ►Percentage of BISP beneficiary households recertified in accordance with the new eligibility cutoff score (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 60.00 60.00 50.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 Comments IN01163425 ►Percentage of tehsil offices with adequate skills and performing redefined responsibilities in accordance with Operational Guidelines (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 60.00 60.00 40.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 Comments IN01163427 ►MIS enhancement action plan implemented (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 6/29/2022 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan: National Social Protection Program (P158643) Action Plan Action Plan implemented Action plan Value No implemented implemented Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 MIS Action Plan implemented Comments Income Support for Human Development and Access to Complementary Services IN01163422 ►Number of beneficiary families enrolled in WeT program (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 530,000.00 1,200,000.00 1,200,000.00 1,100,000.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 Comments IN01163424 ►Number of WeT districts where WeT-related functions are carried out by provincial and tehsil offices in accordance with revised Operational Guidelines (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 160.00 50.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 Comments IN01163426 ►Number of Union Councils in WeT districts that have at least one BISP Beneficiary Committee formed and respective mother leader trained on core WeT functions (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1,600.00 2,500.00 2,500.00 2,500.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 Comments IN01163428 ►Percentage of Union Councils with information on aggregated characteristics of BISP beneficiaries available at all administrative levels for provision of complementary services (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 Comments Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE ►DLI 1 Percentage of BISP beneficiary households from Phase 2 (national rollout) districts with updated Poverty Score Card (PSC) information in the NSER (Intermediate Outcome, 35.00, 71%) 6/29/2022 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan: National Social Protection Program (P158643) Fiscal Year of Government of Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Pakistan FY2021 Value 0.00 80.00 80.00 80.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 -- Comments ►DLI 2 Percentage of tehsil offices with adequate skills and performing redefined responsibilities in accordance with Operational Guidelines (Intermediate Outcome, 5,000,000.00, 100%) Fiscal Year of Government of Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Pakistan FY2021 Value 0.00 60.00 60.00 40.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 -- Comments ►DLI 3 MIS enhancement action plan implemented. (Intermediate Outcome, 5,000,000.00, 100%) Fiscal Year of Government of Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Pakistan FY2021 Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 01-Dec-2021 -- No DLR in Period 1,2 & 4. Comments ►DLI 4 Number of Waseela-e-Taleem (WeT) districts where WeT related functions are carried out by provincial and tehsil offices in accordance with revised Operational Guidelines (Intermediate Outcome, 10,000,000.00, 100%) Fiscal Year of Government of Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Pakistan FY2021 Value 0.00 100.00 160.00 50.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 -- Comments ►DLI 5 Number of children of WeT beneficiary families paid for at least two consecutive quarters based on compliance with attendance co- responsibilities (Outcome, 20,000,000.00, 50%) Fiscal Year of Government of Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Pakistan FY2021 6/29/2022 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan: National Social Protection Program (P158643) Value 500,000.00 1,200,000.00 1,518,099.00 1,500,000.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 -- The end target for the result is expected to be achieved in April 2022 when the compliance cycle is recorded. The enrollment numbers being received by BISP confirm that evidence for this DLI would be shared with the Comments Bank by May, 2022. ►DLI 6 Number of Union Councils in WeT districts that have at least one BISP Beneficiary Committee (BBC) formed and respective mother leader trained on core WeT functions (Intermediate Outcome, 5,000,000.00, 100%) Fiscal Year of Government of Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Pakistan FY2021 Value 1,600.00 2,500.00 2,500.00 2,500.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 -- Comments ►DLI 7 Percentage of Union Council with information on aggregated characteristics of BISP beneficiaries available at all administrative levels for provision of complementary services (Intermediate Outcome, 5,000,000.00, 100%) Fiscal Year of Government of Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Pakistan FY2021 Value 0.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 -- Comments ►DLI 8 Number of BISP beneficiary households with at least one member enrolled in at least one complementary service. (Outcome, 5,000,000.00, 100%) Fiscal Year of Government of Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Pakistan FY2021 Value 34,736.00 594,755.00 594,755.00 400,000.00 Date 21-Dec-2016 01-Dec-2021 28-Jun-2022 -- Comments 6/29/2022 Page 8 of 8