The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Social Safety Net Project (P149323) Social Safety Net Project (P149323) EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA | Madagascar | Social Protection & Jobs Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2016 | Seq No: 17 | ARCHIVED on 27-Jun-2022 | ISR51593 | Implementing Agencies: FID, Ministry of Population, Social Protection and Promotion of Women, ONN/PNNC-SEECALINE, The Republic of Madagascar Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 16-Sep-2015 Effectiveness Date: 10-Feb-2016 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 31-Jul-2018 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 12-Jun-2018 Original Closing Date: 30-Sep-2020 Revised Closing Date: 31-Oct-2024 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objective (PDO) is to support the government in increasing the access of extremely poor households tosafety net services and in laying the foundations for a social protection system. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? Yes Board Approved Revised Project Development Objective (If project is formally restructured) To support the Government in increasing the access of extremely poor households to safety net services and in laying the foundations for a social protection system, and accelerating the COVID-19 social protection response. Components Table Name Component 1: Building a safety net for the poor in selected areas:(Cost $254.40 M) Component 2: Strengthening safety net administration, monitoring and social accountability:(Cost $47.80 M) Component 3: Building the institutional capacity for coordination, monitoring and evaluation of the social protection system:(Cost $12.80 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project became effective on February 10, 2016, and an Additional Financing (AF) to respond to the drought in the South was approved by the Bank in October 2016. The second Additional Financing (AF2) for the project for US$90 million, approved by the Board on 1 March 2019, became effective 24 June 2019. A third additional financing of US$150 million was approved 19 February 2021 and became effective 23 March 2021. The 6/27/2022 Page 1 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Social Safety Net Project (P149323) additional financing amended the project development objective to include the acceleration of the COVID-19 social protection response. The project continues to make good progress. The implementation of third additional financing (AF3) of US$150M, effective in March 2021, is satisfactory, with $68 million (48%) disbursed to date with another disbursement of $17 million expected in June 2022. The initial financing and the first two additional financings are almost fully disbursed. The project supports three major safety net programs: the Human Development Cash Transfer (HDCT) for families with young children, the Productive Safety Net Program (PSNP) cash for work program, and the Fiavota emergency drought response program (designed as an adaptive flexible social safety net in response to recurrent droughts). To date, approximately 2.5 million individuals have been supported across the three programs (PSNP, HDCT and Fiavota). Of these, over 1.5 million individuals (150,000 beneficiary households) have received regular cash transfers and other support, with women making up 79 percent of cash transfer direct recipients, across nine regions. The programs have a strong emphasis on human capital, women’s empowerment, and productive inclusion. All three safety net programs are firmly established and have implemented many innovations such as: livelihood grants, behavioral nudges, early childhood development activities, linkages to existing rural development programs and social services such as nutrition, vaccination, and family planning. All three programs’ midline impact evaluation results show tangible positive impacts on beneficiaries. The third additional financing (AF) is continuing support to strengthen the national social protection system. It aims to digitalize registration, develop an electronic payment system, strengthen grievance redress and community engagement, and systematize community monitoring and evaluation. It will also support the Government in the establishment of a social registry. The AF will extend coverage to 9 additional districts in 5 additional regions, bringing the total number of beneficiaries to around 4 million people, with an emphasis on those that remain vulnerable to current and future crises, in particular those caused by climate change. The AF also includes an Urban Pilot for poor and vulnerable households living in urban areas who have been affected by the COVID-19 crisis. Following the series of cyclones that hit Madagascar in January and February 2022, the project has made available $42.6 million in cyclone response through unconditional cash transfers (200,000 HH), cash for work (222 sub-projects), and infrastructure rehabilitation (25 schools and health posts), through a combination of resources available in the project’s Crisis Response Component and resources reallocated from other project components. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance High Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Substantial Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Substantial Substantial Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- Moderate Moderate Overall Substantial Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes 6/27/2022 Page 2 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Social Safety Net Project (P149323) Building a safety net for the poor in selected areas IN01146075 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2,563,903.00 3,950,453.00 3,900,000.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 Breakdown : Human development cash transfer 560 685 beneficiaries ; Productive safety nets 224 165; cash for work / crises response 614 280 ; Tosika FAMENO (COVID-19) 1 075 465 beneficiaries, Comments: and beneficiaries from nutrition component. IN01146092 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 80.00 80.00 70.00 IN01146093 ►Percentage of beneficiaries of the safety net programs (HDCT, PSN) belonging to the 30% poorest population. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 81.00 81.00 75.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 From further refinement and analysis of the data, the actuals have been adjusted based a recent Study on Comments: inclusion across the three different SSN models - HDCT, PSNP and FIAVOTA. IN01146094 ►Percentage of primary school aged children of HDCT beneficiary families who attend school at least 80% of the time (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 95.00 90.00 80.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Mar-2022 IN01146095 ►Pregnant/lactating women, adolescent girls and/or children under age five-reached by basic nutrition services (number) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 410,700.00 425,765.00 60,900.00 Date 30-Sep-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Mar-2022 Relates to FIAVOTA (Additional Financing #1). Comments: IN01146096 Children under age five treated for moderate or severe acute malnutrition (number) (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 6/27/2022 Page 3 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Social Safety Net Project (P149323) Value 0.00 265,450.00 269,820.00 38,400.00 Date 30-Sep-2016 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Mar-2022 IN01146097 Children under the age of 24 months benefiting from improved infant and young child feeding (IYCF) practices (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 145,250.00 155,945.00 22,500.00 Date 30-Sep-2016 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Mar-2022 IN01146098 ►Beneficiaries of cash transfers in urban areas (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 27,941.00 27,000.00 Date 13-Jan-2021 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 Activities for the urban safety net are about to start. Comments: Building institutional capacity for coordination, M&E of the social protection system IN01146091 ►Integrated beneficiary registry established at MPSPWP (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Building a safety net for the poor in selected areas IN01146099 ►Percentage of safety net beneficiaries in the South using the livelihood grant for productive activities (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 90.00 90.00 80.00 Date 30-Sep-2016 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Mar-2022 Relates to Recovery grants of FIAVOTA (Additional Financing #1); will not change from now till end Comments: project. IN01146102 6/27/2022 Page 4 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Social Safety Net Project (P149323) ►Children 0 to 59 months monitored at the community nutrition sites (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 305,223.00 316,850.00 50,700.00 Date 30-Sep-2016 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Mar-2022 Relates to FIAVOTA (Additional Financing #1) Comments: IN01146105 ►Beneficiaries of Safety Nets programs (number) (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 5,000.00 500,172.00 777,482.00 780,000.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 This indicator measures the number of households covered by social safety nets programs Productive Safety Nets, Human Development Cash Transfer, FIAVOTA and post-crisis. Average number of individuals per household is five. The sub-indicator on female beneficiaries measures the number of direct Comments: recipients of cash transfers who are female. The value does not yet include Households supported by Tosika Fameno (for Covid-19). IN01146108 Beneficiaries of Safety Nets programs - Conditional cash transfers (number) (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 5,000.00 112,238.00 178,145.00 170,000.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 IN01146111 Beneficiaries of Safety Nets programs - Female (number) (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 4,000.00 401,695.00 615,092.00 500,000.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 IN01146113 Beneficiaries of Safety Nets programs - Cash-for-work, food-for-work and public works including for crisis response for natural disasters (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 114,413.00 122,946.00 200,000.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 IN01146114 ►Number of landscape development plans developed in a participatory way (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 98.00 98.00 250.00 6/27/2022 Page 5 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Social Safety Net Project (P149323) Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 IN01146115 ►Areas treated with soil and water conservation (SWC) measures (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 3,403.00 3,403.00 2,500.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 IN01146116 ►Area re/afforested through productive safety net activities (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2,355.00 2,355.00 1,800.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 Target exceeded. Awareness-raising on the benefits of reforestation carried out has had impacts at the Comments: household level; the beneficiaries took the initiative to plant many more trees than planned. IN01146117 ►Number of employment days created under the PSN and disaster response Cash for Work activities (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10,729,181.00 12,360,255.00 19,000,000.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 The project has earlier extended support to the Emergency Food Security And Social Protection Project (Pursaps) Project as agreed between the Government and the Bank before the closure of Pursaps, which has negatively affected the likelihood of the SSN project to achieve some targets. Funds envisaged Comments: for disaster response Cash for Work activities have been reallocated to Covid cash transfer response, also given that public works are more difficult with physical distancing. This will also likely affect the target achievement. IN01146118 ►Percentage of community assets maintained one year after their completion (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 89.00 89.00 80.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 IN01146119 ►Beneficiaries of crisis response unconditional cash transfers (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 273,621.00 448,450.00 410,000.00 Date 30-Nov-2020 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 Comments: System error; duplicate of indicator. 6/27/2022 Page 6 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Social Safety Net Project (P149323) IN01146120 ►Beneficiary households who are members of Village Savings and Loan Associations (VSLAs) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 18,441.00 28,210.00 42,000.00 Date 13-Jan-2021 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 Breakdown: productive safety nets: 7 411; HDCT: 6 820 Comments: IN01146121 Female beneficiary households (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 69.00 70.00 65.00 Component 2: Strengthening safety net administration, monitoring and social accountability IN01146100 ►Percentage of registered complaints that have been addressed by FID (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 90.00 99.95 98.20 95.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 This relates to the complaint system established for the Project's regular safety nets models; the complaints related to the newly established Tosika Fameno Covid-19 cash transfers are not commingled Comments: in this figure and will be analyzed separately. IN01146103 ►Operational costs of FID as a percentage of program implementation expenditures (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 20.00 12.50 13.20 16.20 Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 Comments: IN01146106 ►Sites with participatory monitoring and evaluation process established (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 15.00 16.00 16.00 30.00 Date 13-Jan-2021 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 IN01146109 6/27/2022 Page 7 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Social Safety Net Project (P149323) ►Beneficiary households receiving cash transfer via new technology (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6.00 48.00 50.00 Date 13-Jan-2021 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 The earlier entry of 62% covered only the CERC crisis response new beneficiaries; this has now been corrected and the 6% (from baseline of zero) relates to the whole program and all beneficiaries. Under FA 3, payments will be made in full by QRCode via PGP equivalent, i.e. 100% of the FA3 Comments: beneficiary will be paid by QRCode via PGP, so that the overall target of 50% will be reached at the end of the program (i.e. in October 2024) IN01146112 Female beneficiary households (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 75.00 83.00 50.00 Component 3: Building the institutional capacity for coordination, monitoring and evaluation of the social protection system IN01146101 ►Establishment of a social protection program monitoring system at the MPSPPW (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Mar-2022 Progress is on track. The Registry is operational with more than 600,000 beneficiary Households. - The monitoring framework is available, the follow-up plan remains to be finalized. -IT: strategic monitoring platform and directory of interventions being finalized with the registry (ref: GSI component) Comments: -Operational monitoring platform for emergency response is already operational; and results presented in the Cash working group -Operational monitoring platform for standard interventions are undergoing final test -Ongoing monitoring capacity-building for the central and regional levels IN01146104 ►Impact Evaluation carried out and results available publicly (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No Yes Yes Date 01-Jul-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 All of the three SSN models are subject to impact evaluations. Midline results have been made available (http://www.fid.mg/rapports-etudes/ ) and broadly discussed in several participatory events. All preparations for the endline of the impact evaluations are made, but field work has had to be postponed Comments: due to Covid-19. Endline Evaluations are now under implementation. IN01146107 ►Number of Agreements with government, non-government and development partners signed by the MPSPPW to harmonize the social sector related programs and activities in the South of Madagascar (Number, Custom) 6/27/2022 Page 8 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Social Safety Net Project (P149323) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1.00 5.00 5.00 6.00 Date 30-Sep-2016 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Mar-2022 Agreements with Agriculture, ONN, CERED, PRSC, and on security. Comments: IN01146110 ►Regional Social Protection committees established and functioning through regular meetings (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2.00 0.00 7.00 Date 31-Jul-2016 30-Sep-2021 30-Apr-2022 31-Oct-2024 Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P149323 IDA-57080 Closed USD 40.00 40.00 0.00 39.81 0.13 100% P149323 IDA-D1450 Closed USD 35.00 35.00 0.00 34.87 0.00 100% P149323 IDA-D4340 Effective USD 90.00 90.00 0.00 88.97 1.66 98% P149323 IDA-D7740 Effective USD 150.00 150.00 0.00 85.19 55.76 60% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P149323 IDA-57080 Closed 16-Sep-2015 13-Nov-2015 10-Feb-2016 30-Sep-2020 30-Mar-2022 P149323 IDA-D1450 Closed 10-Nov-2016 01-Dec-2016 15-Jan-2017 30-Sep-2020 30-Mar-2022 P149323 IDA-D4340 Effective 01-Mar-2019 26-Mar-2019 24-Jun-2019 31-Mar-2022 31-Oct-2024 P149323 IDA-D7740 Effective 19-Feb-2021 10-Mar-2021 23-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2024 31-Oct-2024 Cumulative Disbursements 6/27/2022 Page 9 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Social Safety Net Project (P149323) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 01-Dec-2016 ,Level 2 Approved on 20-Aug-2018 ,Level 2 Approved on 20-Apr-2020 ,Level 2 Approved on 21-Oct-2021 ,Level 2 Approved on 13-May-2022 Related Project(s) P160554-AF Social Safety Net Drought Response ,P167881-Madagascar Social Safety Net Project Additional Financing ,P174886-Additional Financing for COVID-19 response under the Madagascar Social Safety Net Project (AF3) 6/27/2022 Page 10 of 10