Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC | Tonga | Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience Global Practice Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 7 | ARCHIVED on 06-Dec-2018 | ISR35037 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance and National Planning, Kingdom of Tonga, Ministry of Environment, Energy, Climate Change, Disaster Mgmt, Meteorology, Information and Comms Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 19-Jun-2015 Effectiveness Date: 18-Sep-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 29-Mar-2019 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: -- Original Closing Date: 30-Nov-2020 Revised Closing Date: 31-Oct-2023 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The objective of the Project is to strengthen early warning, resilient investments and financial protection of Tonga. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Strengthening Early Warning and Preparedness:(Cost $11.49 M) Component 2: Risk Reduction and Resilient Investments:(Cost $15.50 M) Component 3: Disaster Risk Financing:(Cost $5.40 M) Component 4: Project and Program Management:(Cost $1.50 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions TC Gita struck Tonga in February 2018. This has had some impacts on implementation as project resources have been refocused towards response and recovery activities. Additional Financing totaling USD17.31 million (including USD14.95 million from the International Development Association, AUD3 million from Australia and USD 0.4 million contribution from the Government of Tonga) was approved by the Board on July 17, 2018. Progress has been made towards strengthening early warning, with the AM transmitter tower now completed and commissioned, and the System Integrator Consulting firm now engaged and in the early stage of supporting key technical agencies with the implementation of early 12/6/2018 Page 1 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) warning strengthening activities. Delays with regards to resilient investments have continued, however progress towards this element of the Project Development Objective is expected to increase rapidly with the imminent signing of the contract for the firm who will undertake design and supervision for school repair, retrofitting and reconstruction. There has been good progress towards financial resilience, with the ongoing implementation of the Contingency Emergency Response Component (CERC) and all CERC activities expected to be completed by January 2019.The Mid Term Review for the Project is envisaged for March 2019. 12/6/2018 Page 2 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) Risks 12/6/2018 Page 3 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability Substantial Substantial Substantial Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- Substantial Substantial Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Strengthen early warning IN00611995 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 24,000.00 24,000.00 24,000.00 60,000.00 Date 19-Jun-2015 17-May-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 With the AM Transmitter now complete, this is a significant milestone towards putting the infrastructure in place to ensure that timely hazard forecast and warning messages can be disseminated to the public. With the additional strengthening of Early Warning Systems under Component 1 - the next step Comments: will be developing clearer/improved warning messages, and training the public on how to understand and act on them. IN00612005 Female beneficiaries (as a subset of the total number of beneficiaries) (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 9,600.00 9,600.00 9,600.00 24,000.00 Date 19-Jun-2015 17-May-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 IN00611999 ►Increased coverage of hazard forecast and warning messages to population at risk (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 12/6/2018 Page 4 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) Value 30.00 30.00 30.00 70.00 Date 19-Jun-2015 17-May-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 Strengthen resilient investments IN00612131 ►School children to benefit from increased resilience to their school (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 9,000.00 Date 12-Feb-2018 01-May-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 Strengthen financial protection of Tonga IN00612003 ►Participating PICs have recieved payment within a month of the occurrence of a covered (insurance) event. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Date 19-Jun-2015 17-May-2018 17-May-2018 31-Oct-2023 IN00612004 ►Time taken to trigger the contingency emergency response component (CERC) for an eligible emergency (Weeks, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6.00 6.00 4.00 Date 19-Jun-2015 17-May-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 The CERC was triggered in March 2018. It was the first CERC to be triggered in the Pacific Region, and the fourth to be triggered globally. Indication of the government's intention to trigger the CERC came to the Bank within one month of the event. Internal government dialogue regarding how CERC resources Comments: would be allocated across activities took some additional time, and the formal request to trigger the CERC, including the full CERC trigger package was received and approve within six weeks. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Strengthening Early Warning and Preparedness IN00611996 ►Improved status of hazards observational network (Hydro, Meteorological and Seismic) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 20.00 20.00 20.00 50.00 Date 06-Aug-2015 01-May-2017 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 IN00611998 12/6/2018 Page 5 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) ►Multi Hazard Early warning systems are established and operating (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 06-Aug-2015 17-May-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 Component 2: Risk Reduction and Resilient Investments IN00612127 ►Number of school buildings rebuilt to improved resilence standards (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Date 12-Feb-2018 01-May-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 IN00612128 ►Number of school buildings repaired or retrofitted to improved resilience standards (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Date 12-Feb-2018 01-May-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 IN00612130 ►Schools with gender appropriate resilient WASH facilities (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Date 12-Feb-2018 01-May-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 IN00612129 ►Beneficiaries of school repairs, retrofitting, and rebuilding that feel project investments reflect their needs (of which 50% are female) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 Date 12-Feb-2018 01-May-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 Component 3: Disaster Risk Financing IN00612002 ►The premiums are lower than the simulated price for a comparable coverage purchased individually in the market (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 06-Aug-2015 17-May-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2023 12/6/2018 Page 6 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P154840 IDA-56890 Effective USD 8.25 8.25 0.00 2.47 5.95 29% P154840 IDA-D0780 Effective USD 2.25 2.25 0.00 0.66 1.72 28% P154840 IDA-D3590 Effective USD 14.95 14.95 0.00 0.50 14.15 3.4% P156334 TF-A0900 Effective USD 4.58 4.58 0.00 0.52 4.06 11% P154840 TF-A1232 Effective USD 1.50 1.50 0.00 0.32 1.18 21% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P154840 IDA-56890 Effective 19-Jun-2015 30-Jun-2015 18-Sep-2015 30-Nov-2020 31-Oct-2023 P154840 IDA-D0780 Effective 19-Jun-2015 30-Jun-2015 18-Sep-2015 30-Nov-2020 31-Oct-2023 P154840 IDA-D3590 Effective 18-Jul-2018 16-Aug-2018 17-Oct-2018 31-Oct-2023 31-Oct-2023 P156334 TF-A0900 Effective 19-Jun-2015 18-Nov-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Nov-2020 30-Nov-2020 P154840 TF-A1232 Effective 19-Jun-2015 18-Nov-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 Cumulative Disbursements 12/6/2018 Page 7 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 05-Oct-2017 Related Project(s) P156334-Pacific Resilience Program ,P167166-Additional Financing for the Pacific Resilience Project under the Pacific Resilience Program 12/6/2018 Page 8 of 8