The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Phase of the Central Asia Road Links Program (P145634) Second Phase of the Central Asia Road Links Program (P145634) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Central Asia | Transport Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 12 | ARCHIVED on 27-Dec-2020 | ISR45019 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Transport Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 25-Feb-2015 Effectiveness Date: 12-Oct-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 29-Jun-2018 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 28-Jun-2018 Original Closing Date: 31-Aug-2020 Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2020 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Central Asia Road Links (CARs) program has the overall development objective to increase transport connectivity between neighboring countries in Central Asia along priority cross-border road links and to support improvements in road operations and asset management practices. The program is the result of a collaborative effort initiated by respective governments in the Central Asia region which has been developed as a regional, multi-phase program considered as a regional project under IDA16 and IDA 17 with substantialtransformational impact. The project development objective (PDO) of the Second Phase of the Central Asia Road Links Program (CARs-2) is to increase transport connectivity between the Republic of Tajikistan and neighboring countries along priority cross-border road links in Sugd Oblast and to support improvements in road operations and asset management practices. The road sections to be financed under CARs-2 prioritize connectivity between Sugd Oblast in Tajikistan with Batken and Osh Oblasts in the Kyrgyz Republic and Ferghana Oblast in Uzbekistan. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Rehabilitation of priority road sections in the Sugd Oblast:(Cost $51.00 M) Improvement of Road Operations and Asset Management Practices:(Cost $2.00 M) Project Management and Implementation:(Cost $1.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Government, through the Ministry of Finance, sent a request to the World Bank to extend the Closing Date, in a letter dated May 27, 2020, to make up for the time lost by COVID-19 to complete implementation. Closing Date was extended to December 31, 2020. Despite these disruptions, however, at over 90% of the project funds disbursed. 12/27/2020 Page 1 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Phase of the Central Asia Road Links Program (P145634) Progress toward achieving the PDOs remains satisfactory. Component 1 (civil works) was completed well ahead of the initial schedule, including the additional section financed by cost savings. Implementation of the remaining activities under Component 2, one consulting service and two goods packages, is being finalized for completion by the closing date. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Low Low Macroeconomic -- Low Low Sector Strategies and Policies -- Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program -- Low Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and -- Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary -- Moderate Moderate Environment and Social -- Moderate Moderate Stakeholders -- Low Low Other -- Moderate Moderate Overall -- Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Support improvements in road operations and asset management practices IN00937872 ►Approval by MoT and presentation at regional level (CAREC) of a Strategic Plan on weight and axle load control (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 01-Oct-2015 29-Jun-2020 21-Dec-2020 31-Aug-2020 IN00937874 ►RAMS system is in operation for analysis and planning of road works (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes 12/27/2020 Page 2 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Phase of the Central Asia Road Links Program (P145634) Date 01-Oct-2015 29-Jun-2020 21-Dec-2020 31-Aug-2020 With the hardware supplied and installed under the project, MOT has started carrying out some RAMS activities. While additional support is needed to scale the data collection to the larger network and bring Comments: about institutional and organizational changes to ensure continued use of RAMS, some functionalities are in place for analysis and planning. IN00937875 ►Satisfaction of road users (beneficiaries) with the improvements along completed road sections (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 76.00 94.00 90.00 Date 01-Oct-2015 16-Dec-2019 27-Aug-2020 31-Aug-2020 Increase transport connectivity between the Republic of Tajikistan and neighboring countries IN00937871 ►Volume of freight through Guliston/Kyzyl-Bel and Madaniyat/Kairagach, Patar border crossing points (Tones/year, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 359,838.00 620,961.00 620,961.00 550,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 29-Jun-2020 29-Jun-2020 31-Aug-2020 At the time of submitting the ISR, only the first half year of 2020 data have been aggregated. The second half traffic data will be aggregated after end of the year and added together for the full year number. Due Comments: to COVID-19 and related travel and trade restrictions, there has been a significant reduction in the traffic volume, which is considered temporary and expected to rebound once the pandemic is under control. IN00937873 ►Market accessibility index of Sugd Oblast (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 4.50 4.50 5.00 5.00 Date 01-Oct-2015 15-May-2019 16-Dec-2020 31-Aug-2020 Passengers component –This indicator measures the average market accessibility of Sugd Oblast, described as the sum of population of the selected major cities weighted by travel time to reach major markets. Major cities include Isfara, Kanibadam, and Khujand. Freight component – a freight component such as average travel times for a typical freight truck between Kanibadam to/from the Guliston/Kyzyl-Bel, Comments: from Dehmoy to/from Madniyat/Kairagach and from Kanibadam to/from Patar border control points. The number will be updated during preparation of ICR, with support from the Bank team to repeat the analysis during preparation. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Project Management and Implementation IN00937878 12/27/2020 Page 3 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Phase of the Central Asia Road Links Program (P145634) ►Strengthen implementation capacity of the Project (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 01-Oct-2015 29-Jun-2020 21-Dec-2020 31-Aug-2020 Within two (2) months of the Effective Date of the Project, the Recipient shall ensure that PIG will have Comments: staffed the PIG with the relevant civil servants and signed contracts with the specialized consultants. Improvement of Road Operations and Asset Management Practices IN00937877 ►Road user costs by truck along the project road sections and in project area (US$/veh-km) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.57 0.57 0.47 0.47 Date 30-Sep-2014 16-Dec-2019 16-Dec-2020 15-Jun-2020 IN00937879 ►Equipment for traffic count and road roughness measurement is used for populating data in RAMS (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 30-Sep-2014 29-Jun-2020 21-Dec-2020 15-Jun-2020 IN00937882 ►Long-term Transport Sector Development Strategy is developed and endorsed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 30-Sep-2014 29-Jun-2020 21-Dec-2020 15-Jun-2020 Rehabilitation of priority road sections in the Sugd Oblast IN00937876 ►Roads in good and fair condition as a share of total classified roads (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 41.30 41.33 40.00 Date 30-Sep-2014 29-Jun-2020 21-Dec-2020 15-Jun-2020 IN00937880 Size of the total classified network (Kilometers, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 12/27/2020 Page 4 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Phase of the Central Asia Road Links Program (P145634) Value 180.00 180.00 180.00 180.00 IN00937881 ►Roads rehabilitated, Non-rural (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 74.40 74.40 70.00 Date 30-Sep-2014 29-Jun-2020 21-Dec-2020 15-Jun-2020 IN00937883 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 2,400,600.00 2,580,000.00 2,658,400.00 2,650,000.00 Date 30-Sep-2014 29-Jun-2020 16-Dec-2020 15-Jun-2020 IN00937884 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1,197,899.00 1,280,000.00 1,329,400.00 1,320,000.00 Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P145634 IDA-55930 Effective USD 38.25 38.25 0.00 33.41 3.76 90% P145634 IDA-D0300 Effective USD 6.75 6.75 0.00 6.48 0.00 100% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P145634 IDA-55930 Effective 25-Feb-2015 16-Apr-2015 12-Oct-2015 31-Aug-2020 31-Dec-2020 P145634 IDA-D0300 Effective 25-Feb-2015 16-Apr-2015 12-Oct-2015 31-Aug-2020 31-Dec-2020 Cumulative Disbursements 12/27/2020 Page 5 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Phase of the Central Asia Road Links Program (P145634) PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 12-Oct-2018 ,Level 2 Approved on 11-Jul-2019 ,Level 2 Approved on 24-Jul-2020 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 12/27/2020 Page 6 of 6