Report No. PIN91 Jamaica CAS: Public Information Notice World Bank Board Discusses Jamaica Country Assistance Strategy Progress Report On October 24, 2002, the World Bank's Board of Executive Directors discussed the Bank Group's Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) Progress Report for Jamaica covering the next twelve months. Country Context: Since the last CAS for Jamaica was discussed at the Board in November 2000, Jamaica has made considerable progress in the reform of the financial and social sectors. The financial sector clean-up, in particular, has been one of the fastest and most comprehensive, with the privatization of the major financial institutions completed, the legal framework for regulation of the financial sector overhauled, and supervision capacity strengthened, with Jamaica largely in compliance with the Basle Core principles. As a result, the financial sector is now in better shape than at any time in the past, even as strengthening of insurance, pensions and non-deposit taking institutions continues. In the social sectors, the social safety net program has been completely restructured, with the rationalization of three existing schemes, and the conditioning of social benefits on the children's school attendance and health clinic visits. The Government is also putting in place a program for HIV/AIDS prevention and control and this is now being readied for implementation at a national level. At the same time, the Bank-supported ongoing Public Sector Modernization Program and the Country Procurement Assessment have supported substantive improvement in the transparency and efficiency of public management, with the ongoing implementation of new procurement policy and procedures, and the transfer of many responsibilities from ministries to executive agencies with demonstrable improvement in service delivery and customer responsiveness. Since July 2001, Jamaica has also experienced several major domestic and external shocks: July 2001 violence in Kingston, the September 11 events, a strike in a leading alumina producer over October-December 2001, and November floods associated with Hurricane Michele, leading to significant loss of infrastructure, production as well as tourism revenues. In spite of these shocks, the Jamaican economy has shown considerable resilience, with positive growth in 2000/01 and 2001/02 after four years of negative growth. This resilience is displayed in the continued commitment to strong fiscal management, a significant accumulation of external reserves, maintenance of a relatively low poverty headcount ratio, and continued structural reforms. However, despite the impressive policy effort, the Jamaican economy continues to be vulnerable, with a large debt overhang , which has decreased only marginally since the last CAS. Bank Strategy: Over the last two years, the Bank and Jamaica have developed a productive relationship based on trust and commitment. The Bank's assistance strategy has been closely aligned with the Government's own development priorities and reform agenda, evidenced by the authorities' impressive track- record in implementing the reforms agreed to, despite the intervening economic shocks. The Bank has also tried to respond with flexibility and speed to the multiple shocks of 2001, with an Emergency Rehabilitation Loan in December 2001, addressing the fiscal impact of the shocks, and the preparation of a new National Community Development Project, addressing issues of social dislocation. At the same time, the Bank has continued to complement its focused lending program with major analytical work relating to constraints to growth, improved procurement and financial management, social issues such as youth at risk and gender equality, and managing the impact of natural disasters. The International Finance Corporation (IFC) and the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) have also had active programs in Jamaica, with IFC supporting investments in telecommunications and the airports and MIGA supporting 13 active contracts in the power and financial sectors. Bank Assistance: The Bank's assistance strategy for the next 12 months is largely unchanged. The total package amounts to US$129.8 million. New lending is limited to the two projects already identified in the previous CAS-the Bank Restructuring and Debt Management Program Loan II (US$75 million) and Reform of Secondary Education II (US$39.8 million)-as well as the National Community Development Project (US$15 million) identified in the aftermath of September 11. The Bank's ongoing and planned analytical work program-study on Growth and Competitiveness, a Public Expenditure and Institutional Review and a Rural Development Strategy-is designed to identify key interventions to support the resumption of broad-based growth in Jamaica, and to provide an analytical basis for its interventions in the next CAS. The Bank will begin preparation of a new CAS in early 2003 and expects to present it to the Board before end-2003. - 2-