Document of The World Bank Report No: ICR00002031 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (IDA-41630 IDA-41640 IDA-H2140 IDA-H2150) ON A CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 4.5 MILLION (US$ 6.46 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE BURKINA FASO ON A GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 10.2 MILLION (US$ 14.50 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE REPUBLIC OF CAMEROON ON A GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 4.9 MILLION (US$ 7.10 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE REPUBLIC OF GUINEA ON A CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 3.8 MILLION (US$ 5.51 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE REPUBLIC OF MALI FOR A WEST AND CENTRAL AFRICA AIR TRANSPORT SAFETY & SECURITY PROJECT IN SUPPORT OF THE FIRST PHASE OF THE PROJECT’S HORIZONTAL ADAPTABLE PROGRAM LENDING December 12, 2014 Transport And ICT Global Practice Africa Regional Integration Africa Region CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective September 21, 2014) Currency Unit = Guinea Franc (GNF) GNF 1.00 = US$ 0.00014 US$ 1.00 = GNF 6910.00 Currency Unit = Central African Franc (XAF) XAF 1.00 = US$ 0.00196 US$ 1.00 = XAF 510.03 Currency Unit = West African CFA Franc (XOF) XOF 1.00 = US$ 0.00196 US$ 1.00 = XOF 510.03 FISCAL YEAR January 1 – December 31 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ADC Airport Authority of Cameroon (Aéroports du Cameroun) ADF African Development Fund ADM Airport Authority of Mali (Aéroports du Mali) AFD French Development Agency (Agence Française de Développement) AfDB African Development Bank AGETIPE Agence d’Exécution des Travaux d’Intérêt Public pour l’Emploi ANA Air Navigation Agency (Agence de la Navigation Aérienne) ANAC Civil Aviation National Authority (Agence Nationale de l’Aviation Civile) APL Adaptable Program Loan ASECNA Air Navigation Safety in Africa and Madagascar Agency (Agence pour la Sécurité de la Navigation Aérienne en Afrique et à Madagascar) ASOA Air Safety Oversight Agency CAAs Civil Aviation Authorities CCTV Closed-Circuit Television CEMAC Economic Community of Central African States (Communauté Economique et Monétaire d’Afrique Centrale) COSCAP Cooperative Development of Operational Safety and Continued Airworthiness Project DGACM Department of Civil Aviation and Meteorology (Direction Générale de l’Aviation Civile et de la Météorologie) DNAC National Directorate of Civil Aviation (Direction Nationale de l’Aviation Civile) ECOWAS Economic Community of Western African States EU European Union FAA Federal Aviation Administration (United States) GNF Guinea Franc ICAO International Civil Aviation Organization ICR Implementation Completion and Results Report IDF Institutional Development Fund IP Implementation Program MTR Mid-Term Review NEPAD New Partnership for Africa’s Development OP/BP Operational Policy/Bank Procedures PAD Project Appraisal Document PDOs Project Development Objectives PIT Project Implementation Team PPR Procurement Post Review RAPs Resettlement Action Plans RIAS Regional Integration Assistance Strategy SARP Standards and Recommended Practices SDR Special Drawing Rates SOGEAC Society for Management and Operation of the Conakry Airport (Société de Gestion et d’Exploitation de l’Aéroport de Conakry) SSA Sub-Saharan Africa TSA Transport Security Agency (United States) US United States US$ United States Dollar USOAP Universal Safety Oversight Audit Programme WAEMU West African Economic and Monetary Union (Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest-Africaine – UEMOA) WCA West and Central Africa (Region) WCAATSSP West and Central Africa Air Transport Safety and Security Program WTTC World Travel & Tourism Council XAF Central African Franc XOF West African CFA Franc YD Yamoussoukro Decision Vice President: Makhtar Diop Country Director: Colin Bruce Senior Practice Director: Pierre Guislain Practice Manager: Supee Teravaninthorn Task Team Leader Noroarisoa Rabefaniraka ICR Team Leader: Marc Navelet AFRICA West and Central Africa Air Transport Safety & Security Project CONTENTS A. Basic Information...................................................................................................... i B. Key Dates ................................................................................................................... i C. Ratings Summary...................................................................................................... i D. Sector and Theme Codes ......................................................................................... ii E. Bank Staff ................................................................................................................. ii F. Results Framework Analysis .................................................................................. iii G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs ............................................................... ix H. Restructuring (if any) .............................................................................................. x I. Disbursement Profile............................................................................................... xi 1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design ............................................... 1 2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes ............................................ 13 3. Assessment of Outcomes .......................................................................................... 20 4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome......................................................... 27 5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance ..................................................... 28 6. Lessons Learned ....................................................................................................... 35 7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners .......... 38 Annex 1. Project Costs.................................................................................................. 39 Annex 2. Outputs by Component ................................................................................. 41 Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis ................................................................. 44 Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes ............ 59 Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results ........................................................................... 61 Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results................................................... 62 Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR ..................... 63 Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders ....................... 99 Annex 9. List of Supporting Documents .................................................................... 100 MAP 1: BURKINA FASO MAP 2: CAMEROON MAP 3: GUINEA MAP 4: MALI MAP 5: PROJECT COUNTRY PROPOSED PHASING AND PRIMARY AIRPORTS MAP 6: MAP AS PER EXECUTION DATASHEET A. Basic Information West and Central Africa Country: Africa Project Name: Air Transport Safety & Security Project IDA-41630,IDA- Project ID: P083751 L/C/TF Number(s): 41640,IDA-H2140,IDA- H2150 ICR Date: 12/12/2014 ICR Type: Core ICR BURKINA FASO Lending Instrument: APL Borrower: CAMEROON GUINEA MALI Original Total XDR 23.40M Disbursed Amount: XDR 23.09M Commitment: Revised Amount: XDR 23.09M Environmental Category: B Implementing Agencies: Cameroon: Cameroon Civil Aviation Authority (CCAA) Mali: Civil Aviation Authority (ANAC - formerly DNAC) Burkina Faso: Civil Aviation Authority (ANAC - Formerly DGACM) Guinea: National Directorate of Civil Aviation (DNAC) Cofinanciers and Other External Partners: B. Key Dates Revised / Actual Process Date Process Original Date Date(s) Concept Review: 12/18/2003 Effectiveness: 08/24/2006 08/24/2006 06/16/2010 Appraisal: 11/01/2005 Restructuring(s): 12/30/2011 06/14/2013 Approval: 04/27/2006 Mid-term Review: 06/15/2008 Closing: 12/31/2009 06/30/2014 C. Ratings Summary C.1 Performance Rating by ICR Outcomes: Moderately Satisfactory Risk to Development Outcome: Substantial Bank Performance: Moderately Unsatisfactory Borrower Performance: Moderately Satisfactory i C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance (by ICR) Bank Ratings Borrower Ratings Quality at Entry: Unsatisfactory Government: Moderately Satisfactory Implementing Quality of Supervision: Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Agency/Agencies: Overall Bank Moderately Overall Borrower Moderately Satisfactory Performance: Unsatisfactory Performance: C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators Implementation QAG Assessments (if Indicators Rating Performance any) Potential Problem Project Quality at Entry Yes None at any time (Yes/No): (QEA): Problem Project at any Quality of Supervision Yes None time (Yes/No): (QSA): DO rating before Satisfactory Closing/Inactive status: D. Sector and Theme Codes Original Actual Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing) Aviation 94 90 Central government administration 6 10 Theme Code (as % of total Bank financing) Infrastructure services for private sector development 17 60 Regional integration 33 5 Regulation and competition policy 17 25 Trade facilitation and market access 33 10 E. Bank Staff Positions At ICR At Approval Vice President: Sri Mulyani Indrawati Gobind T. Nankani Country Director: Colin Bruce Mark D. Tomlinson Practice Supee Teravaninthorn C. Sanjivi Rajasingham Manager/Manager: Project Team Leader: Noroarisoa Rabefaniraka Pierre A. Pozzo di Borgo Marc Marie Francois Navelet ICR Team Leader: Noualhier Marc Marie Francois Navelet ICR Primary Author: Noualhier ii Monica Sawyer Celi Marie Dean F. Results Framework Analysis Project Development Objectives (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project development objectives are set as follows: (a) Improve Civil Aviation Authority's (CAA) compliance with ICAO's safety standards; (b) Improve CAA's compliance with ICAO's security standard; and (c) enhance main international airports' compliance with ICAO's security standards. Revised Project Development Objectives (as approved by original approving authority) The PDOs were not revised. (a) PDO Indicator(s) Original Target Actual Value Formally Values (from Achieved at Indicator Baseline Value Revised approval Completion or Target Values documents) Target Years Indicator 1 : Burkina Faso: Improve CAA's compliance rates with ICAO's safety standards Value quantitative or 67.00 75.00 70.00 70.00 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/21/2010 06/30/2013 The indicator measures compliance with 2008 ICAO safety standards was changed Comments using a new ICAO methodology called systemic audit. This means that the baseline (incl. % was lowered due to the change in methodology. The revised target was achieved at achievement) 100%. Indicator 2 : Cameroon: Improve CAA's compliance rates with ICAO's safety standards Value quantitative or 70.00 90.00 70.00 68.00 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/21/2010 06/30/2013 Comments The revised target (subsequent to change of methodology at ICAO level) was nearly (incl. % achieved. achievement) Indicator 3 : Guinea: Improve CAA's compliance rates with ICAO's safety standards Value quantitative or 53.00 75.00 70.00 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2014 Comments Target not fully achieved, but good improvement from the baseline level taking into (incl. % account the period of political instability from 2009-2012. Note: Guinea was the achievement) only country in which ICAO could not perform systemic audit. Indicator 4 : Mali: Improve CAA's compliance rates with ICAO's safety standards iii Value quantitative or 51.00 80.00 75.00 74.00 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/21/2010 06/30/2013 Comments Target nearly achieved and progress made from the base line is considerable. The (incl. % revised baseline took into account change in the ICAO audit methodology which achievement) dropped the baseline to 28% compliance. Indicator 5 : Burkina Faso: Improve CAA's compliance rates with IACO's security standards. Value quantitative or 54.00 75.00 75.00 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments The achievement of compliance rates with ICAO's security standards is significant (incl. % with the difference in percentage points equal to 21 from baseline level. achievement) Indicator 6 : Cameroon: Improve CAA's compliance rates with IACO's security standards. Value quantitative or 30.00 75.00 75.00 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments (incl. % Target achieved. achievement) Indicator 7 : Guinea: Improve CAA's compliance rates with IACO's security standards. Value quantitative or 1.00 35.00 25.00 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2014 Comments Despite the target not being achieved, noticeable progress has been made. More (incl. % specifically, an extensive number of personnel were trained; enacted legislation and achievement) procedures were improved. Indicator 8 : Mali: Improve CAA's compliance rates with IACO's security standards. Value quantitative or 8.00 75.00 86.00 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2014 Comments Progress made is impressive with a tenfold increase and surpassing both the baseline (incl. % and target values. achievement) Indicator 9 : Burkina Faso: Rate of illegal object seizures by International airports. Value quantitative or >5.00 <2.00 0.50 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments Strong improvement from the baseline value with a decrease rate of illegal object (incl. % seizures. achievement) Indicator 10 : Cameroon: Rate of illegal object seizures by International airports. iv Value quantitative or n.a. <3.00 5.00 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2014 Comments The baseline of 10 was included under the ISR #14 archived on November 2011. (incl. % Incremental improvement made but the target not achieved. In this case a change achievement) from 10 to 4 was a progress. Indicator 11 : Guinea: Rate of illegal object seizures by International airports. Value quantitative or n.a. <3.00 5.00 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2014 Comments This indicator was not monitored due to the fact that there was no baseline data (incl. % available at beginning of Project. In November 2011 the target of 5 was provided achievement) and although the target was not achieved, progress was made. Indicator 12 : Mali: Rate of illegal object seizures by International airports. Value quantitative or <2.00 <0.50 0.52 Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments Not a significant change. However there was no increase in illegal seizures which is (incl. % a good indicator of progress. achievement) (b) Intermediate Outcome Indicator(s) Original Target Actual Value Formally Values (from Achieved at Indicator Baseline Value Revised approval Completion or Target Values documents) Target Years Indicator 1 : Burkina Faso: Technical personnel in compliance with ICAO safety standards. Value (quantitative 40.00 >60.00 38.27 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments (incl. % Target not achieved and performance declined from the baseline. achievement) Indicator 2 : Cameroon: Technical personnel in compliance with ICAO safety standards. Value (quantitative 45.00 100.00 100.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments Target achieved. Progress made is remarkable with 26 out of 26 personnel having (incl. % all required specialization skills and inspectors designated in accordance of ICAO achievement) standards. Indicator 3 : Guinea: Technical personnel in compliance with ICAO safety standards. Value 38.00 >60.00 75.00 v (quantitative or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2014 Comments Target was surpassed with 9 out of 11 inspectors trained. This demonstrates an (incl. % increased awareness of the importance of personnel compliance with ICAO achievement) standards. Indicator 4 : Mali: Technical personnel in compliance with ICAO safety standards. Value (quantitative 40.00 >90.00 100.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments (incl. % Achievement with 10 out of 10 safety inspectors fully certified. achievement) Indicator 5 : Burkina Faso: CAA's total budget (in US$ millions). Value (quantitative n.a. 2.00 3.60 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments (incl. % Achieved. Target was surpassed by US$1.6 million. achievement) Indicator 6 : Cameroon: CAA's total budget (in US$ millions). Value (quantitative 9.20 6.00 22.7 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments There seems to be an error between the baseline and target as provided in PAD. (incl. % Nonetheless the country's CCAA budget is substantially higher than baseline figure. achievement) Indicator 7 : Guinea: CAA's total budget (in US$ millions). Value (quantitative n.a. >0.70 0.70 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2014 Comments Target was not achieved since the CAA was not created. However the budget of (incl. % US$700,000 was allocated to DNAC which continues to provide civil aviation achievement) safety oversight for the Government. Indicator 8 : Mali: CAA's total budget (in US$ millions). Value (quantitative n.a. 2.60 6.50 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments (incl. % Target was surpassed by a factor of 2.5 times. achievement) Burkina Faso: CAA's ICAO certified security inspectors trained during the last three Indicator 9 : years. vi Value (quantitative 25.00 >75.00 90.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments Target significantly surpassed due to intensive training which led to an enhanced (incl. % CAA capacity and safer airport operations. achievement) Cameroon: CAA's ICAO certified security inspectors trained during the last three Indicator 10 : years. Value (quantitative 25.00 >75.00 90.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments Target surpassed. Strong progress made with substantive number of inspectors (incl. % trained and certified by ICAO since 2009. achievement) Guinea: CAA's ICAO certified security inspectors trained during the last three Indicator 11 : years. Value (quantitative 30.00 >70.00 80.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2014 Comments (incl. % Target surpassed which has led to an overall improvement in security. achievement) Indicator 12 : Mali: CAA's ICAO certified security inspectors trained during the last three years. Value (quantitative 25.00 >75.00 90.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments Target surpassed. Strong progress made with substantive number of inspectors (incl. % trained and certified by ICAO since 2009. achievement) Indicator 13 : Burkina Faso: CAA's total budget dedicated to security (in US$ millions). Value (quantitative n.a. 1.00 1.40 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments (incl. % Achieved and target significantly surpassed. achievement) Indicator 14 : Cameroon: CAA's total budget dedicated to security (in US$ millions). Value (quantitative 0.60 0.90 3.60 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments Achieved and target value surpassed by a factor of 3. (incl. % vii achievement) Indicator 15 : Guinea: CAA's total budget dedicated to security (in US$ millions). Value (quantitative n.a. 0.25 0.20 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2014 Comments Not achieved. As of the date of the ICR the CAA is not in place and operational. All (incl. % activities related to air transport safety and securities are executed by DNAC under achievement) the Ministry of Transport. Indicator 16 : Mali: CAA's total budget dedicated to security (in US$ millions). Value (quantitative n.a. 1.00 1.02 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments (incl. % Target Achieved. achievement) Indicator 17 : Burkina Faso: Airport security personnel with three or more years of experience. Value (quantitative <20.00 >50.00 50.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments (incl. % Achieved. achievement) Indicator 18 : Cameroon: Airport security personnel with three or more years of experience. Value (quantitative <20.00 >60.00 70.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments (incl. % Achieved and target surpassed. achievement) Indicator 19 : Guinea: Airport security personnel with three or more years of experience. Value (quantitative <58.00 >65.00 85.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2014 Comments (incl. % Achieved and target surpassed. achievement) Indicator 20 : Mali: Airport security personnel with three or more years of experience. Value (quantitative <25.00 >75.00 90.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments Achieved and target surpassed. (incl. % viii achievement) Indicator 21 : Burkina Faso: Serious problem recorded during annual airport crisis exercises. Value (quantitative n.a. <3.00 3.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments (incl. % Achieved. achievement) Indicator 22 : Cameroon: Serious problem recorded during annual airport crisis exercises. Value (quantitative n.a. <3.00 3.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments (incl. % Achieved. achievement) Indicator 23 : Guinea: Serious problem recorded during annual airport crisis exercises. Value (quantitative n.a. <5.00 0.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2014 Comments Unable to access if target value was achieved as crisis exercise was not carried out (incl. % due to periodic bouts of political instability from 2009-2012. achievement) Indicator 24 : Mali: Serious problem recorded during annual airport crisis exercises. Value (quantitative n.a. <3.00 2.00 or Qualitative) Date achieved 04/27/2006 04/28/2006 06/30/2013 Comments Achieved. Data from the airport crisis exercise realized on November 22, 2012. (incl. % Objective achieved or even surpassed as there are fewer problems than initially achievement) estimated. G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs Actual Date ISR No. DO IP Disbursements Archived (USD millions) 1 06/01/2006 Satisfactory Satisfactory 0.00 2 12/02/2006 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 0.70 3 06/14/2007 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 3.15 4 12/20/2007 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 4.60 5 05/29/2008 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 4.96 6 09/12/2008 Unsatisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory 6.81 7 02/21/2009 Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory 9.16 8 08/27/2009 Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory 10.48 ix 9 01/30/2010 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory 10.93 10 03/26/2010 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 12.26 11 11/02/2010 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory 14.38 12 03/07/2011 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 20.31 13 09/24/2011 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 24.01 14 12/05/2011 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 26.46 15 03/03/2012 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 29.14 16 11/24/2012 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 32.40 17 06/17/2013 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 34.33 18 12/27/2013 Satisfactory Satisfactory 35.79 19 06/18/2014 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 35.63 H. Restructuring (if any) ISR Ratings at Amount Board Restructuring Disbursed at Restructuring Reason for Restructuring & Approved Restructuring Date(s) Key Changes Made PDO Change DO IP in USD millions Extension of closing date to December 31, 2011 and reallocation of Credit proceeds for all the Project components 06/16/2010 N MS MS 12.88 and countries involved. Revision of end of Project targets for Burkina Faso, Cameroon and Mali. Extension of closing date for all the Project components and 12/30/2011 N S MS 27.41 countries involved to June 30, 2013 and reallocation of Credit proceeds for the whole Project. Selective extension of closing date to June 30, 2014 and 06/14/2013 N S MS 34.33 reallocation of Credit proceeds for the Guinea component of Project. x I. Disbursement Profile xi 1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design 1.1 Context at Appraisal 1. Regional air transport sector background. At the time of appraisal, air transport accounted for up to 40 percent of world trade by value. In Africa, where poor road, port and railway infrastructure often constrains the rapid and efficient movements of high value goods earmarked for export, air transport holds both a potential for growth and a role for the economic development of the continent. However, in 20061, air services in Africa, and especially in West and Central Africa (WCA), continued to be inefficient, expensive and unreliable. 2. In order to develop the air transport industry on the continent, the African Ministers responsible for civil aviation adopted, on November 14, 1999, the Yamoussoukro Decision (YD) on the liberalization of access to air transport markets in Africa. It is enforceable continent-wide as it was endorsed by the African Union Heads of State under the African Union treaty framework in 2000. However, since the YD is still not implemented at the continent level, some sub-regional organizations, are trying to promote liberalization among their country members. This is the case for the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)2 and the Central Africa Economic and Monetary Community (Communauté Economique et Monétaire d’Afrique Centrale - CEMAC)3, with the signature of implementation memorandum of understanding creating Secretariat Units within those organizations. 3. Additionally, in 2003, the Region’s Ministers of Transport agreed to support the following initiatives: (a) the revision and harmonization of air transport legal and institutional frameworks at each country level; (b) the development of a new mechanism for effective regional technical and safety regulation; (c) the creation of a regional economic regulatory framework to address competition, market access, and consumer protection; and (d) the upgrading of security standards and main airports for each country. Funding for these initiatives required the scale up of government and donor support. 4. Regarding aviation safety and security issues, the Convention on International Civil Aviation (also known as Chicago Convention), signed on December 7, 1944, and aiming for the development of the international civil aviation in a safe and orderly manner, contains the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)’s Standards and Recommended Practices (SARPs) to guide Member States in their oversight duties. Therefore, the enforcement of the corresponding legislation and regulations remains a 1 The Project Appraisal Document (PAD) is dated March 28, 2006. 2 The ECOWAS countries are Senegal, Niger, Nigeria, Togo, Benin, Burkina Faso, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Ghana, Mali, Cote d’Ivoire, Liberia, Sierra Leone, The Gambia, Cape Verde 3 The CEMAC countries are Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, and The Republic of Congo. 1 national endeavor, through their respective national Civil Aviation Authorities (CAAs). Accordingly, it remains critical that shortcomings affecting national CAAs are addressed. 5. In order to achieve this industry’s development goal without compromising safety and security standards, the CAAs in the region were expected to be capable of individually and collectively reaching ICAO’s SARPs which are embedded in the Annexes of the Chicago Convention. 6. The main safety4 issues WCA’s air transport sector was facing in 2006 included the lack of a compliant and enabling legal framework as well as a critical shortage in qualified inspection manpower. In WCA, fewer than six (6) countries out of twenty-three (23) were considered to have the required level of Civil Aviation Administration capacities. The situation at that time resulted in the presence of lower rated companies whose operations distorted the air transport market, prevented access to the world market for local African airlines and contributed largely to WCA high accident rates. According to ICAO’s statistics, the WCA region air transport accident rate was thirty (30) times higher than that of United States (US) before 20065. 7. In terms of security6, in 2006, fewer than five of WCA’s numerous international airports were compliant with world standards. Indeed, most WCA international airports were lacking basic access control to runways and terminals as well as adequate security procedures. This situation endangered WCA’s air transport network security, resulting in sky-high insurance costs and high internal security costs for airlines. Moreover, in a post 9/11 environment, WCA was isolated even further from main air trade flows. 8. Domestic air transport background. The domestic air transport market is nonexistent or marginal in some of the smallest countries of the sub-region, with the exception of the island states such as Cape Verde. Other countries have a limited domestic air transport market; only one country, Nigeria 7, has an extremely important domestic air transport industry. 9. In addition, the Agency for Aerial Navigation Safety in Africa and Madagascar (Agence pour la Sécurité de la Navigation Aérienne en Afrique et à Madagascar – ASECNA), created in 1959, and now governed through the Dakar convention of 1974, manages, on behalf of its 18 African member States 8 , the airspace covering their respective territories (more than 16 million km² of airspace). It provides assistance through aerodrome control, guidance of the aircraft on the ground, radio and visual assistance with approaches and the landings, weather forecasting and fire protection 4 ICAO Definition of Air Transport Safety: A condition in which the risk of harm or damage is limited to an acceptable level. 5 In 2005 alone, out of 35 fatal accidents and the 1,269 related deaths worldwide, Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) accounted for 13 of these accidents and 374 of these deaths or 37% and 29% of the World’s total, respectively. These figures compare to SSA’s share of the world’s total departure of only 4.5%. 6 ICAO Definition Air Transport Security: A combination of measures and human and material resources intended to safeguard civil aviation against acts of unlawful interference. 7 Sole recipient of the IDA-41640 credit as APL2a of the WCAATSSP (P100785) 8 Benin, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Chad, Central Africa Republic (CAR), Comoros, Ivory Coast, France, Gabon, Guinea Bissau, Equatorial Guinea, Madagascar, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Senegal, Togo 2 services. ASECNA carries out its principal objectives and community activities in compliance with the Annex 2 of the Dakar convention and, on a purely subsidiary basis, manages the national activities for the benefit of its individual Member States as well as third party States and organizations. As such, the ASECNA is more a technical partner of the countries’ CAAs and main international airports than a beneficiary agency of the Project. Burkina Faso 10. The Direction Générale de l’Aviation Civile et de la Météorologie (DGACM) was responsible for sector oversight, and was the beneficiary agency of the Project. A host of issues affected day-to-day operations of the aviation sector in Burkina Faso. Among the most pressing ones were: (a) the capability of the DGACM to fulfill its missions at the most basic level; (b) the ability of the DGACM to certify pilots and crews of Air Burkina as well as deliver airworthiness certificates; and (c) the current location of Ouagadougou international airport viewed as less than adequate for growth, safety and security reasons as the airport is situated in the heart of downtown. Cameroon 11. The Cameroon Civil Aviation Authority (CCAA) was set up as an operationally and financially autonomous authority when the new Civil Aviation Code was approved in 1998. It relied on two levies (Security and Civil Aviation taxes) paid by outgoing international passengers. The purpose of this levy was to allow financial stability to the CCAA, but this situation did not happen as Camair, the main carrier, never paid its airport dues. The financial situation of the Airport Authority of Cameroon (i.e. Aéroports du Cameroun – ADC) did not allow for any investment on the platforms or proper maintenance. 12. Daily operations of the aviation sector in Cameroon had many challenges, including: (a) the capability of CCAA to fulfill its missions; (b) the airport infrastructure condition in Douala were extremely weak; (c) the implementation of security procedures was not consistent with international standards; and (d) Douala and Yaoundé international airports were facing security investment shortfalls these airports lacked a secure access control system or CCTV surveillance system. Guinea 13. The industry was supervised and regulated by the Direction Nationale de l’Aviation Civile (DNAC), which is now incorporated within the Ministry of Transport. As a consequence, there was no financial or operational autonomous Civil Aviation Authority established. Therefore, the DNAC: (a) lacked the financial resources to fulfill its national and international duties; (b) was unable to recruit for an extended period of time; (c) did not have sufficient capacity to supervise the safety and security issues; (d) had no means to plan and carry out trainings for its technical personnel; and (e) was not equipped with the basic materials to carryout daily tasks. 3 14. The international airport of Conakry, was concessioned to the Société de Gestion et d’Exploitation de l’Aéroport de Conakry (SOGEAC). With regard to airport equipment, SOGEAC is well equipped but its concerns are more related to: (a) the personnel’s capacity to operate and maintain the sophisticated equipment at the airport; and (b) the political will of the Government to enforce the law in protecting the airport from illegal entries, especially by the population living around the airport perimeters. Mali 15. The Civil Aviation Directorate (i.e. Direction Nationale de l’Aviation Civile - DNAC), whose mission was to oversee the aviation sector, was in charge of certifying and delivering operational licenses to airline operators and pilots. It also ensured that existing aviation rules, regulations, as well as airport operations, are in compliance with the ICAO’s guidelines on safety and security. The Malian Government transformed the DNAC into an administratively and financially autonomous ANAC (Agence Nationale de l’Aviation Civile) by the law No. 05-066, dated December 26, 2005 in compliance with WAEMU and IACO’s directives so as to strengthen its capacity. 16. Attempts to concession the international airport of Bamako to a private concessionaire failed repeatedly, thus leaving to the State the responsibility of financing any future investment at the airport. As such, the Airport Authority of Mali (i.e. Aéroports du Mali – ADM) retained its managing responsibility over the airport system. 17. A host of issues affected day-to-day operations of the aviation sector in Mali. Among the most pressing ones were: (a) the capability of the DNAC(future ANAC) to fulfill its missions; (b) a weak national aviation code which was not in line with ICAO’s standards; (c) limited personnel and financial resources; (d) weakness of the airport site (infrastructure, direct access to the premises); (e) sharing of the airport premises between military and civilian personnel; (f) lack of proper training and skills to make full use of safety and security equipment; (g) absence of electronic monitoring of personnel access to the airport; and (h) the inefficient coordination of law enforcement agencies which operates at the airport, therefore weakening the overall impact on airport security. 18. Rationale for Bank assistance. In 2000, the Bank was instrumental in the adoption of the YD and supported through successive regional International Development Fund (IDF) Grants the adoption of common policies in safety and air transport regulations in WCA. The Bank, regional institutions and International Financing Institutions (IFIs) acknowledge that most WCA States did not have the financial and human resources to comply with either US or ICAO’s safety and security requirements unless external assistance was provided to them. Even when a State proves its ability to comply with ICAO’s requirements, maintaining compliance and retaining qualified personnel remained questionable. This was illustrated, by the Ghanaian CAA’s loss of its US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) category I certification in April of 2005. Accordingly, the Bank in coordination with regional institutions and IFIs adopted a comprehensive approach to globally support WCA States by: (a) establishing regional 4 mechanisms to oversee safety and security standards in member countries; and (b) financing national safety and security programs to enhance local CAA’s ability to comply with ICAO’s standards. This approach was in line with the Regional Integration Assistance Strategy (RIAS) for West Africa, adopted in August 2, 2001, and for Central Africa, adopted in February 6, 2003. In 2006, the Bank adopted the Africa Action Plan promoting regional integration, regional exchanges and economic growth. Therefore, the WCAATSSP was executed under the regional integration umbrella. 19. These COSCAP projects whose implementation (2005-2012) was initially delayed due to financing issues were in the process of being executed following the award of grants from the African Development Bank (AfDB) and the French Government. ECOWAS and CEMAC member countries would benefit, at no cost to them, from technical assistance in the area of aviation safety. This assistance, however, was restricted to specific training and technical advisory services as COSCAP projects’ resources are limited (i.e. each project’s budget was less than United States Dollar (US$) 4 million) and their scope excluded aviation and airport security. Nevertheless, the COSCAP projects represented an important first step towards the creation, within WAEMU, ECOWAS and CEMAC, of regional aviation security and safety agencies to ensure that each country CAAs achieved and maintained minimal compliance with ICAO’s standards. 20. The achievements of the COSCAP projects were recognized by all three economic communities (CEMAC, ECOWAS, WAEMU) in their founding texts, including the respective entities’ orgranizational charts. The COSCAP Programme results were also marked by the effective financial participation of all the States, as well as the substantial contribution of the three economic communities and their involvement gave the program credibility. 21. Finally, CEMAC and ECOWAS accorded permanent status to their respective Air Safety Oversight Agencies (ASOA). The WAEMU ASOA could not be created within the timeframe of the Programme, but the WAEMU Commmission texts providing such a status already exist, and the additional instrument creating the agency was validated by the Union Council of Ministers. Table 1: Passenger traffic in 2004 at selected APL1 Airports Share of total passenger traffic Total Country Airport International National Passengers and Regional Burkina Faso Ouagadougou 2% 98% 256,000 Douala 7% 93% 525,000 Cameroon Yaounde 21% 79% 190,000 Guinea Conakry 9% 91% 284,000 Mali Bamako 8% 92% 450,000 World Bank, 2006 5 22. Contribution to higher level objectives. This Project, was the first financing under the WCAATSSP umbrella, focused on creating a safe and secure environment for air transport in WCA that will allow African airlines to competitively access regional and worldwide markets with the expected result to support sustainable economic growth region-wide. This higher objective was consistent with the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD), Infrastructure Short Term Action Plan, the YD, the Bank’s Africa Action Plan, the Global Aviation Safety Roadmap, and – in fewer words – an overarching air transport safety and security context in a post 9/11 environment. 23. Lending instrument. At appraisal, since the readiness and needs of the 23 WCA countries that were to receive support from the WCAATSSP varied significantly, it was decided to select a horizontal Adaptable Program Loan (APL) instrument to allow for a phased long-term development program. Countries were to join the program under three successive phases using similar eligibility criteria. These criteria were: (a) the creation of an administratively and financially autonomous national civil aviation agency; (b) the use of aviation security and/or safety taxes for the purpose of financing its civil aviation agency; and (c) the attainment of definite percentage of compliance level with ICAO’s standards in the areas of aviation security and safety, as well as improved airport security. 24. Phase I of the Project, which is the focus of this Implementation Completion and Results Report (ICR), was approved by the Board in April 2006, four countries, namely: Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Guinea and Mali, received a total of US$33.57 million in grant and credit financing. At Board’s approval, Cameroon and Mali were the only two countries to have established an operationally and financially autonomous authority, while the air transport oversight was still ensured by the DGACM in Burkina Faso, and the DNAC in Guinea. 1.2 Original Project Development Objectives (PDO) and Key Indicators (as approved) As per the Project Appraisal Document (PAD), the overarching Project Development Objectives (PDOs) are, within each participating country, to: 1) Improve CAAs’ compliance with ICAO’s safety standards, 2) Increase CAA’s compliance with ICAO’s security standards, and 3) Enhance main international airports’ compliance with ICAO’s security standards. 25. In order to measure attainment of these PDOs, the following key outcome indicators were used for each country participating in the Project: PDO 1 – Improve CAA’s compliance with ICAO’s safety standards:  Compliance rate with ICAO aggregate safety standards based on ICAO’s audits;  Percentage of technical personnel in compliance with ICAO’s safety standards; and  Total CAA’s budget amount. 6 PDO 2 – Improve CAA’s compliance with ICAO’s security standards:  Compliance rate with ICAO’s aggregate security standards based on ICAO’s audit;  Percentage of CAA’s ICAO’s certified security inspectors trained during the last three years;  Level of CAA’s budget dedicated to security; and  National Security Plan compliance with ICAO’s standards9. PDO 3 – Enhance main international airports’ compliance with ICAO’s security standards:  Percentage of airport security personnel with three or more years of experience;  Number of serious problems recorded during annual airport crisis exercises; and  Percentage of embarking passengers stopped in possession of illegal objects, as defined by the ICAO, by airlines security personnel. 26. The PAD proposed additional indicators, when applicable, that could be used to evaluate the long term outcome of the Project’s impact. However these were not included in the Results Framework and were not consistently monitored. These additional indicators were: a) CAA is certified category 1 by the US FAA; b) Main international airports are certified for direct flights to the United States by the US Transport Security Administration (TSA); c) No airlines registered in participating countries is listed on the European Union’s airline black list; and d) Overall WCA airline accident rate has decreased. The outcome indicators at appraisal can be summarized as follows: Table 2: Original PDOs and Key Indicators PDO Outcome Indicators Use of Outcome Information 1) Improve CAAs’  Compliance rate with ICAO’s compliance rates with safety standards ICAO’s safety  Percentage of technical personnel standards in compliance with ICAO’s Measure improvements in: 1) CAAs’ safety standards compliance rates with ICAO’s security and  Total CAA’s budget level safety standards, 2) targeted airports security levels, and 3) sustainability of these improvements. 2) Improve CAAs’  Compliance rate with ICAO’s compliance rates with security standards ICAO’s security  Percentage of CAA’s ICAO’s 9 There is no indicator attached to that outcome, and it then does not formally appear in the results monitoring framework. However, the national security plan is included in the ICAO Annex 17 and, as such, is part of the calculation of the compliance rate with ICAO’s aggregate security standards based on ICAO’s audit. Monitoring that specific outcome can be considered as redundant with the monitoring of the security compliance rate. 7 standards certified security inspectors trained during the last three years  Level of CAA’s budget dedicated to security 3) International  Percentage of airport security airports’ compliance personnel with three or more with ICAO’s security years of experience standards  Number of serious problems recorded during annual airport crisis exercises  Percentage of embarking passengers stopped in possession of illegal objects as defined by the ICAO by private airlines security personnel. 1.3 Revised PDO (as approved by original approving authority) and Key Indicators, and reasons/justification 27. The PDOs have not been revised and outcome indicators remained unchanged. 28. The target values for the nine outcome indicators were revised downward to reflect the new evaluation method for safety compliance instituted by the ICAO in late 2007. More specifically, during the Project preparation phase, ICAO’s methodology was based on three annexes of the Chicago Convention (Annexes 1, 6 and 8), while starting from 2008, the assessment covered 18 annexes. Consequently, the baseline values associated with safety rating would have been lower had they been evaluated in line with this new approach. Annex 1, the results indicator, elaborates on the revised targets for the outcome indicators. 29. The primary target group was the CAAs for each participating countries to increase their safety and security oversight. To this end, CAAs’ staff would benefit from extensive capacity building program, technical assistance to help them update their legal and regulatory framework, and accompanying measures to make them financially and administratively autonomous. In parallel, staff working at the selected international airports airport (including customs and police agents; airport operators and air carriers ’ staff) would benefit from training in the basics of airport security, as well as in the operations of newly acquired equipment. Therefore, the ultimate beneficiaries of the project would be the users of the airport services (i.e. the air carriers, passengers, and freight forwarders) through enhanced service quality provided by the new infrastructure and equipment, as well as more professionally trained staff. This was expected to lead to increase in air traffic (passengers, freight, aircraft movement, flight frequencies and new air services) which would have a positive direct and indirect economic impact on the countries involved in the Project. 8 Table 3: WCAATSSP/APL1 “Primary target groups” and other potential beneficiaries Burkina Faso Cameroon Guinea Mali Primary Target group DNAC CAAs DGACM CCAA DNAC (future ANAC) Ouagadougou Douala and Conakry- Bamako-Senou international Yaoundé- Gbessia international airport Nsimalen international airport Users of international airport Airport airports Services Passengers and Passengers and Passengers and Passengers and freight freight forwarders freight freight forwarders forwarders forwarders Any other individuals or organizations expected to benefit from the Project Air transport ADC SOGEAC ADM sector Others Police, Customs, Air carriers, Transit support services providers 1.5 Original Components (as approved) 30. As per the PAD, the original components of the Project were the following: Component 1: Strengthening of CAAs safety and security oversight capacities (US$ 7.20 million) 31. The Project intended to finance each country’s CAA technical assistance necessary mainly for: a) The adoption and utilization of harmonized aviation code and regulations and the creation of autonomous civil aviation agencies 10 through the provision of consulting services; b) The training of civil aviation staff in the areas of civil aviation security and safety oversights; c) The acquisition of basic communications and inspections equipment (e.g. two- way radios, inspection vehicle, computers, etc.); and d) The procurement of library equipment (e.g. relevant ICAO’s manuals, directives, online library, training materials, etc.). 10 These new agencies were to be created by no later than January 1 st 2007 in Burkina Faso, and Guinea. Cameroon Civil Aviation Agency is already autonomous both financially and administratively. Mali Civil Aviation Agency was created by Decree in December 2005 but is not yet functional. Creation of these agencies are at the same time a COSCAP project legal covenant at the regional level, and a legal covenant of the World Bank IDA Credits. 9 Component 2: Improvements in airport security and safety standards (US$ 23.25 million) 32. This activity involved establishing appropriate aviation security legislation, development of security programs (national, airports and airlines programs), provision of security equipment at the main international airports, replacement of navigational aids at the primary airports and capacity building. The main areas of focus of this component were to be: a) Implementation of measures to reinforce security at the various airport access (identification equipment, security cameras, patrol vehicles, communications systems and reorganization of passenger flows); b) Rehabilitation of existing airport fences and security patrol routes; c) Rehabilitation and/or construction within existing airport building premises of crisis centers, including acquisition of necessary communication and surveillance tools to equip these centers; d) Training of airport security personnel; e) Development of airport security through the acquisition of passengers and cargo X-ray machines; f) Acquisition and rehabilitation of navigational aids and communications systems; and g) Development of financial means to finance airport security improvements (i.e., airport security fees). Component 3: Others (US$4.62 million) 33. Potentially adverse social impacts to be induced by the implementation of more stringent airport premises access rules were identified in social assessments. The impacts were contained within the fenced security perimeter of the airport property and limited to three types: (a) impacts on illicit income generating activities (growing of vegetables within the airport perimeter); (b) impacts on prohibited access to tarmac (crossing by unauthorized civilians of runways); and (c) impacts on a couple of housing structures within the airport perimeters. These impacts were identified at Conakry, Douala and Yaoundé international airports in Guinea and Cameroon, respectively. 34. This activity would then cover mostly: a) Implementation of Resettlement Action Plans (RAPs) in conjunction with the rehabilitation of security fences at these facilities; b) Financing of Project operating costs covering inter alia annual financing audits and day-to-day management; and c) Money set-aside as non-allocated to cover any uncertainties regarding planned Project activities. 10 35. Table 4 below summarizes the overall anticipated – and per component - cost of the Project: Table 4: Indicative Project Costs (in US$ millions) Project activities components Financing sources CAA oversight Airport security & Total World capacities safety Others National Bank strengthening improvements Burkina 2.05 2.90 1.51 6.46 6.46 0.00 Faso Cameroon 1.90 12.25 1.85 16.00 14.50 1.50 Guinea 1.05 5.25 0.80 7.10 7.10 0.00 Mali 2.20 2.85 0.46 5.51 5.51 0.00 Total 7.20 23.25 4.62 35.07 33.57 1.50 World Bank, 2006 36. As per the Financing Agreements (FA), the objective of the Project was to support the Borrowers in improving compliance of their civil aviation authorities and international airports with ICAO safety and security standards. Even though the wordings may be more or less slightly different, each FA signed with individual countries had the same PDOs, i.e.: Strengthening of safety and security oversight capacity of Project Implementing Entities through: (a) Implementation of corrective action plans relating to ICAO safety and security audit reports through provision of training to staff; (b) Improvement of technical library; and (c) Provision of support for purposes of workload management and supervisory capacity through acquisition of communications and information technology equipment. Strengthening of international airports security standards through: (a) Acquisition and installation of security equipment; (b) Carrying out of training programs for safety and security personnel; (c) Establishment of airport crisis center; (d) Carrying out of annual airport-crisis simulation exercises; and (e) Provision of support to rehabilitation of airport infrastructure - specifically, fencing, security-zone access control and patrol roads - through acquisition of equipment. 37. Notwithstanding the above, the Cameroon and Guinea FAs also specifically focused on Environmental and Social Protection: 11 Cameroon: (a) Implementation of the Resettlement Action Plans relating to the carrying out of some infrastructure activities11 of the Project; (b) Support to carrying out of an environmental and social impact study relating to the same infrastructure activities through provision of technical advisory services. Guinea: (a) Carrying out of Resettlement Action Plans for Affected Persons. 1.6 Revised Components 38. None of the project component was revised during the Project implementation. 1.7 Other significant changes 39. The Project was restructured three times, and what follows are the details of the restructurings: 40. The first restructuring was processed at the request of Burkina Faso, Cameroon and Mali to allow for: (a) a twenty-four months extension of closing date from December 31, 2009 to December 31, 2011; (b) reallocation of Credit/Grant proceeds; and (c) a revision of end of Project targets to reflect the new evaluation method for safety compliance instituted by the ICAO in late 2007, to replace the previous Universal Safety Oversight Audit Program (USOAP) approach which referred to only 3 annexes (1, 6, and 8), to the systemic method based on 18 Annexes. As a result, the baseline indicators for the three CAAs’ compliance with ICAO safety standards needed to be lowered, and the corresponding target values were downgraded. The level two restructuring for the three countries was approved on June 8, 2010. 41. The second restructuring consisted of: (a) an eighteen months extension of the Project’s closing date from December 31, 2011 to June 30, 2013 for the Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Mali and Guinea components of the project, to allow for the completion of on-going activities; and (b) a reallocation of Credit/Grant proceeds for Burkina Faso, the Republic of Cameroon, and Guinea. This level two restructuring was approved on December 29, 2011. 42. The third restructuring was triggered by the request by the GoG and allowed for: (a) a 12 months extension of the Project’s closing date from June 30, 2013 to June 30, 2014; and (b) a reallocation of Grant proceeds. This was to allow the completion of on- going activities disrupted by two years of cumulative suspensions from 2009 to 2011 of World Bank activities in Guinea due to the political crisis. This level two restructuring to selectively extend the closing date for the Guinea component of the project for 12 month was approved on June 20, 2013 and brought the cumulative Project extension to 54 11 Rehabilitation of airport infrastructure, including: (i) the construction of an airport fence in Douala and Yaoundé; (ii) a patrol road in Douala; and (iii) an alternative access road for use by neighboring population of Yaoundé international airport. 12 months, making the Project eight years old at the time of this final closing date. Activities for Burkina Faso, Cameroon and Mali closed on June 30, 2013 after a cumulative Project extension of 42 months for those three countries. 2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes 2.1 Project Preparation, Design and Quality at Entry 43. Project preparation: At the time of preparation, two World Bank Institutional Development Funds (IDF) Grants (P079736 & P077772) were financing the technical committee for the oversight and the implementation of the Yamoussoukro Decision (YD), through technical departments in ECOWAS and CEMAC. These two departments were expected to serve as PIUs for the program at the regional leve, supported by three regional Cooperative Development of Operational Safety and Continued Airworthiness Projects (COSCAP). The WCAATSSP program was designed to improve safety and security in the WCA region by building on the IDF Grants, and was expected to include 23 countries (at least 31 airports12) members of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU13), the Banjul Accord14, and the CEMAC15. 44. Given the complexity of the Program16, which included a regional and national dimension, the combination of regional and national components was considered as key for a successful outcome. More specifically, the regional dimension of the Program was considered key to fully achive the outcomes of the Program. It was expected that the regional components/activities would be financed by other development partners (AfDB, AFD, EU), while the national components would be financed by the World Bank17. The primary reason for this design is that at the time the World Bank could not finance with regional IDA allocations activities being implemented by Regional Economic Communities (RECs). 45. As a consequence the regional dimension of the WCAATSSP program could not be covered by the World Bank financing, and no explicit linkage/bridge between the regional and the national components was defined in the Project. 46. Ultimately, only 7 countries were included in the Project, due to a combination of factors ranging from a shortage of IDA regional funding, changed IDA priorities and changed Government priorities of the countries involved. The countries involved in the program were added in a phased manner covering three APLs in order to take into account the different levels of readiness of the countries. 12 PAD – Annex 16 – Table 1 13 9 countries: Benin, Burkina Faso, Côte d’Ivoire, Guinea Bissau, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Senegal, Togo. 14 7 countries: Cape Verde, Ghana, Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, The Gambia. 15 7 countries: Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Equatorial Guinea, Congo, Gabon, Sao Tome & Principe 16 Air transport safety and security embraces both regional and national aspects. 17 PAD – Page 10 – Figure 1: Project institutional and financial relationships 13 47. Project Design and Quality at Entry: APL 1 (Phase 1 of the WCAATSSP program) was supposed to include the countries considered to be the most ready, and included Burkina Faso, Mali, Guinea, and Cameroon18. One of the readiness eligibility criteria was the existence of an administratively and financially autonomous national CAA. However, at the time of appraisal, Guinea did not have a CAA, and the country’s capacity to implement the Project was also considered as Low against Medium for the other three countries19. Despite this, Guinea was included under APL 1 (Project) due to the following reasons: a) the Government was more proactive in demonstrating their interest in participating into the program by being fully committed during the project’s preparation; b) it was also the only country of the Banjul Accord group willing to be part of the Project at that time. 48. The inclusion of Guinea in the Project had the consequence that the project activities in the four countries involved could not be completed within the stipulated time frame. This is because the Guinea component had to be selectively extended beyond the closing date of the Malian, Burkinabe and Cameroonian components of the Project. 49. The WCAATSSP design envisioned the regional coordination of the first four countries covered by the Project and, later, the rest of the 19 countries through one or several regional/”sovereign” overarching entity/ies, supported by the COSCAP Projects. 50. However, the RECs involved (WAEMU and CEMAC), had no authority to execute the Project as aviation regulation remains a sovereign activity. Furthermore, they had very limited capability in the sector. This meant that the actual implementation (and related responsibility) of the WCAATSSP was done at the country level. 51. This means that at the end, the Project design was more like a multiple-country rather than a true regional integration project. As a consequence of this, causal-effect linkages between the national activities and the regional integration benefits of the Project were not clearly stated and have been difficult to assess in the ICR. 52. The overly optimistic implementation time frame, lack of technical and engineering studies and different readiness and capacity levels amongst the countries involved in the project, meant that the Quality at Entry for Phase I of the APL was very low. 18 PAD – Annex 16 – Table 1 19 PAD – Annex 16 – Table 1 14 2.2 Implementation 53. The initial implementation period of the Project of three years20, was optimistic considering that the standard project period in the region was 5 years 21 . Unforeseen externalities, such as suspension of World Bank-Guinea engagement as a result of political turmoil in that country 22 , and four countries with different level of implementation readiness contributed to implementation delays. 54. As a result of the above cited key factors, the project was implemented within seven years for the Burkina Faso, Cameroon, and Mali components, and eight years for Guinea due to the two year suspension in World Bank activities in the country. However, the major delays in the planned implementation timeframe did not substantially jeopardize the achievement of the PDOs, even if it is clear that they would not have been fully achieved without the exensions. 55. Implementation was disrupted by the introduction in 2008 of the ICAO systemic approach 23 regarding safety compliance. This led to a revision of the PDOs’ safety indicators baseline and target values for Burkina Faso, Cameroon, and Mali. As a result of this revision, the PAD target values for some of the safety indicators dropped. 56. The implementation of the Project was not satisfactory during the first two years. The Mid-Term Review (MTR) carried out in June 2008, rated all four countries’ PDOs as Unsatisfactory, and the Implementation Progress (IP) as Moderately Unsatisfactory24. The MTR reports highlight the following: (a) low disbursement rates; (b) lack of procurement capacity; (c) absence of key technical studies before effectiveness for most of the civil works (crisis management centers, works within the airport premises such as fences, security patrol routes, etc.) funded under the project; and (d) implementation arrangements which needed modification to ensure greater coordination between the PITs and other implementing/beneficiary agencies. 57. Finally, inadequate resources provided by the World Bank during the implementation phase to adequately finance supervision for what was in essence four projects, and cumbersome World Bank-country specific procurement procedures, further compounded the delayed of several components/sub-components of the Project. 20 Expected effectiveness date: September 30, 2006; closing date: December 31, 2009 21 Five years used as a standard - but not always sufficient – benchmark for transport projects. 22 January-February 2007: the country is on strike, and it is violently repressed: 137 people die; December 23, 2008: military coup after President Lansana Conté passed away; September 28, 2009: more than 150 people died as the result of the repression of a demonstration at the Conakry stadium. 23 Based on all ICAO’s annexes (and except Annex 9 - Facilitation, and Annex 17 - Security) and opposed to ICAO Universal Safety Oversight Audit Programme (USOAP) based on ICAO’s Annexes 1, 6 and 8 only. 24 Except Mali rated Moderately Satisfactory 15 2.3 Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Design, Implementation and Utilization 58. M&E design: Designing the M&E framework was based on internationally accepted ICAO indicators, which provided a common ground of comparison between the countries. The indicators were measurable and meaningful. The national authorities were clear on what was being measured and how they should carry out such measurements. As the project was implemented at national level, the results framework did not refer to regional outcomes that could be attributable to the Project. Furthermore, the project included too many indicators which were the accepted norm when the project was prepared. 59. M&E implementation: Only the CAA’s compliance rates with ICAO safety standards needed to be revised during project implementation for the Burkina Faso, Cameroon, and Mali components to comply with ICAO new systemic methodology introduced in 2008. This change in audit approach implied the revision of the baseline and target values for this specific indicator. Guinea remained the only country to be evaluated under ICAO/USOAP methodology until the project’s closure. 60. It is worth noting that the ICAO safety audits based on the systemic approach only started in 2008, and security audits in 2010, whereas the baseline indicators were respectively based on ICAO’s safety audits of 2004 (Universal Safety Oversight Audit Programme - USOAP approach), and security audits of 2006. The lack of interim data (and actual values of the indicators) within that timeframe did not allow the appropriate monitoring of the PDOs during the first years of the implementation of the Project. 61. M&E framework utilization: Throughout the implementation, subsequent ICAO audits were carried out to follow up on the progress of the indicators. These follow-up allowed the audited CAA to acknowledge the progress made and most importantly, to fine-tune the next steps, i.e. the corrective action plans to make sure that most of the weaknesses and/or remaining problems are adequately addressed within agreed time frame with ICAO. 2.4 Safeguard and Fiduciary Compliance 62. Table 5 below summarizes the ratings of the Project regarding Safeguard and Fiduciary Compliance: 16 Table 5: Safeguards and Fiduciary Compliance Ratings Summary Environmental Financial Procurement & Social Issues Management Burkina Faso Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Moderately Cameroon Satisfactory Satisfactory Unsatisfactory Guinea Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Mali Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Moderately Overall Project Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory (a) Environmental and Social Issues 63. The Project was classified as Category B. It triggered Environmental Assessment OP/BP 4.01, Cultural Property (OP 4.11), and Involuntary Resettlement (OP/BP 4.12) due to the following activities funded under the project such as: (a) construction of fencing around security perimeter to reduce trespassing; (b) removal of vegetable gardens within the airport security perimeter; and (c) removal a few structures that had been built within the airport security perimeter. These impacts were identified at Conakry, Douala and Yaoundé international airports in Guinea and Cameroon, respectively. Resettlement Action Plans (RAP) for these three airports were prepared and disclosed originally in November 2005 and re-disclosed on February 22, 2006. 64. The implementation of the RAPs was initially slow due to a lack of proper understanding of the World Bank Environmental & Safeguards policies by the Project Implementation Teams (PIT). However, thanks to sensitization, all three RAPs and other environmental mitigation measures were fully and successfully implemented. 65. Finally, no sensitive environmental and social issues have been raised during the project implementation as construction activities were subjected to mitigation plans to reduce the adverse impacts: a) Burkina Faso: Plant sellers along “Patte d’Oie” roundabout in the airport security perimeter were satisfactorily relocated, and supported by a compensation process executed in compliance with The World Bank safeguards. b) Cameroon: (i) During the construction of the Douala airport fence and patrol road, appropriate mitigation measures for wildlife preservation were employed as works were partially executed in a swamp area; and (ii) The relocation of a religious 17 shrine25 1 km from Yaoundé airport fencing flagged in the RAP study did not occur. It was by-passed thanks to the construction of a new access road financed by the Governement. c) Guinea: All farming activities have been satisfactorily relocated. This was supported by a compensation process executed in a transparent manner, and in compliance with the RAP designed by the Government and approved by the World Bank team. d) Mali: There were no environmental and social issues. (b) Financial Management (FM) 66. Each PIT carried out all financial management functions including reconciliation of accounts, external audits of project accounts, and the necessary actions were taken to address FM weaknesses pointed out by the World Bank. Quarterly reports by each PIT provided details on the financial aspects of each activity funded by the Project. Throughout the implementation, external audits were provided in a timely fashion and all were unqualified. What follows is a table with the final disbursements broken down by country and Credit/Grant agreement: Table 6: Final Disbursements Rates (in US$ millions) Disbursement IDA Credit/Grant Amounts Financing sources Rate (as per the PAD) (as per the PAD) (%) US$ SDR equivalent (end of project) IDA National (million) (million) Burkina Faso 4.5 6.46 99.99 6.46 0.00 Credit 4163-BUR Cameroon 10.2 14.50 98.15 14.50 1.50 Grant H214-CM Guinea 4.9 7.10 99.68 7.10 0.00 Grant H215-GUI Mali 3.8 5.51 97.13 5.51 0.00 Credit 4164-MLI Total 23.4 33.57 98.66 33.57 1.50 25 The shrine was initially located in the security perimeter of the airport. 18 (c) Procurement 67. At Project appraisal/negotiations, all procurement arrangements including procurement plan and procurement methods were discussed and agreed consistent with the World Bank’s guidelines. However, during implementation, procurement was a major source of delays in all four countries involved in the project. More specifically, all four countries involved in the project were plagued by the following procurement related issues: (a) lack of capacity within the implementing agencies; (b) weak knowledge of the World Bank procurement guidelines by the PITs; (c) difficulties in preparing terms of references and technical specifications of key Project activities; and (d) significant delays beyond the control of the implementation units. However, there were no cases of mis- procurement under this project. 68. Cameroon had the most difficulty with procurement. The major works contracts were signed more than two years after the date of effectiveness. Execution of contracts was slow, and required several modifications/changes. This is bestillustrated by the implementation of the airport fence and patrol road contract which took thirty-one (31) months instead of eleven (11) and needed five (5) contract modifications. This single contract consumed more than 40 percent of the IDA grant. 2.5 Post-completion Operation/Next Phase 69. The positive aspects of the Project are noticeable in the civil aviation sector in each country. As a result of extensive training and capacity building program of the staff in each benefitting civil aviation agency and beneficiary airports have improved the industries performance from albeit low levels. Technical knowledge of sector personnel has been significantly improved, which has enhanced the ability of each civil aviation agency to perform their functions thereby improving the industry’s safety and security. Moreover, some of these personnel are now ICAO certified security inspectors, and can train other people to ensure knowledge sharing. Some of them are even being used by sub-regional organizations as regional experts. This has resulted in each country covered by the project to improve their compliance rate with ICAO, which has contributed to the improvement of the regions compliance’s rate. 70. The momentum generated by building staff capacity together with increased financial resources dedicated to safety and security within the CAAs, will help with sustaining the Project’s achievements. 71. Despite those achievements and despite eager interests shown by the beneficiary countries to benefit from a second-phase project (especially for domestic airports safety and security improvement) there is – at the time of this ICR - no next phase envisaged by the World Bank. 72. However, in order to ensure that the progress made is sustained in the countries included in the Project (especially Guinea), further Technical Assistance (TA) to these countries should be considered to consolidate the momentum created upon the Project’s 19 achievements and the general awareness on air transport safety and security. The TAcould also support specific air transport policy dialogue at both national and regional levels by: (a) strengthening dialogue, knowledge sharing and collaboration between countries at a regional level; (b) support CAAs in their planning, regulatory, and safety and security monitoring efforts; (c) support countries and their respectives CAAs in their USTSA and USFAA certification processes; and (d) support Guinea to make the CAA fully operational. 3. Assessment of Outcomes 3.1 Relevance of Objectives, Design and Implementation 73. Relevance of the PDO remains High. The overall objective to improve air transport safety and security in West and Central Africa remains relevant as air transport safety and security were and remain major concerns for the countries involved and international community. That’s because WCA still ranks poorly by international air transport safety and security standards. 74. Furthermore, the Project raised awareness about air transport safety and security concerns/needs in the beneficiary countries, and all of them were very satisfied with the design and, moreover, the outputs of the Project26. This is because it improved the level of air transpot safety and security in the countries involved. 75. Finally, air transport safety and security remains an important tool for economic development. As such, the Project indirectely supported the ultimate objective of poverty reduction through both national and regional economic development. 76. Relevance of Design is Substantial. The Project design was relevant to the country’s development priorities and their air transport safety and security needs. The Project objectives were appropriate to improve regulatory oversight, strengthen institutional management and financial autonomy of CAAs. The Project components were directly linked to the Project objectives. Project design included an effective and measurable (directly comparable between the countries involved) results framework. Although there were far too many indicators, they were well designed and relevant. The results framework remained relevant when considering national outputs and industry standards for monitoring civil aviation safety and security, even if the regional outcomes are difficult to measure. This is why the Project design is more multi country rather than regional (see also Section 2.1 - Project Preparation, Design and Quality at Entry). 77. Finally, seven countries (including Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Guinea, and Mali) out of the anticipated twenty-three benefited from the WCAATSSP Program and could improve their air transport and security environement based on a similar strategies and regulatory frameworks, as well as common and internationally recognized results indicators. Even if the air transport safety and security regional environement did not 26 This can also be assessed in each countries ICRs presented in Annex 7. 20 improve in a coordinated manner, it did partially improve through each national component inprovements. In the meantime, countries like Mauritania27, and Cabo-Verde28 which did not benefited from that World Bank’s Project, improved their air transport safety and security environment based on a similar approach proposed by the Project. 78. Relevance of Project Implementation is considered Substantial. The overall implementation pace was significantly slower than expected due to capacity weakness during the initial phases of the Project. However, even with the slow pace of implementation of the civil works activities, the following occured: (a) CAAs’ agents acquired knowledge regarding the execution of World Bank projects; (b) beneficiaries agencies’ technical personnel followed ICAO certification trainings in safety and security; and (c) the Project supported the Borrowers in improving their legal and regulatory air transport frameworks. Therefore, improved beneficiary agencies capacity and increased familiarity with World Bank modus operandi, steady institutional strengthening, as well as an enhanced project supervision effort, enabled better project implementation during the later phases. Furthermore, the involved Governments’ commitment to the Project, were evident throughout project implementation as some used their own resources to implement a portion of the previously agreed investments. 3.2 Achievement of Project Development Objectives Rating: Moderately Satisfactory 79. The Project substantially achieved its PDOs for the following reasons: (a) use of project extensions to allow the completion of project activities and achievement of objectives; (b) improved implementation capacity; and (c) enhanced supervision during the later phases of project implementation. The substantial completion of the Project activities resulted in the creation or the strengthening of financially and administrative autonomous CAAs (except for Guinea). Thanks to better trained staff, fencing of airport perimeters, procurement of new luggage scanning equipment, installation of CCTV, and electronic badges, the safety and security of the targeted airports has substantially improved. 80. Compliance with the ICAO safety and security standards improved for all participating countries. Appropriate and updated legal and procedural instruments are now in place and support enhancement of safety and security at the targeted airports. Apart from Guinea which was not able to set up an autonomous CAA by the end of the project despite the adoption of the pertinent law and decrees, all the other Project targets have been substantially reached. 81. The international airports of the countries involved in the project now possess appropriate equipment to enhance operations safety and security (acquisition of x-rays machines, CCTV devices, magnetic badges, fingerprints scanners, etc.) within the airport perimeter, all along the human and luggage/freight checking loop to the whole airports’ 27 2005 coup 28 More advance level of readiness 21 extended area (fencing, patrolling and access roads, taxiway and aprons, air navigation aids equipment, etc.). Human resources were specifically trained for the use of the newly acquired equipment, and some inspectors are now ICAO certified inspectors. 82. The percentage of: (a) technical personnel in compliance with ICAO’s safety standards; (b) CAA’s ICAO’s certified security inspectors trained during the last three years; and (c) airport security personnel with three or more years of experience are equal or above expectations. 83. The objective of decrease of the rate of illegal object seizure was partially met. Burkina Faso surpassed its target while Mali substantially reached its target. Cameroon made noticeable achievement thanks to the implementation of an appropriate communication plan it decreased from 10 percent29 to 4 percent but did not reach the 2 percent target. Guinea ended up with a rate of 5 percent, a bit short of the 3 percent target even though there was no available baseline at the time of appraisal. 84. In the meantime, the project had further positive impacts beyond its specific results framework30: (a) new air companies started to serve the different airports of the Project, and be able to extend the span of direct reachable destinations from/to those airports; (b) air flights frequency (for a same company) as well as passengers, freight, mail air traffic increased. These outputs advocate for air transport safety and security improvement in Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Guinea, and Mali based on enhancement of the countries’ main international airports’ compliance with ICAO’s safety and security standards. 85. In Mali, improvements are noteworthy despite political crisis and conflict situation in 2012-2013, the achievement of the PDOs in that country were not impacted. For Guinea, periodic bouts of instability (2007-2012) coupled with weak institutional capacity did not allow the country to fully meet the PDOs targets even though considerable progress was made, especially in updating the legal and regulatory framework, and in enhancing flights safety with the acquisition of new console for the control tower, air navigation equipment, and meteorological equipment. Without those enhancements, the airport was at risk of being rated as unsafe. The main problem in Guinea remains the delay in setting-up an autonomous CAA despite the project’s contribution in making the required law and regulations adopted. In Burkina Faso, the project successfully accompanied the creation of an autonomous CAA, and in Mali, the project helped in strengthening the existing autonomous CAA through a revision of its organization and, as in all CAAs, the training of their technical staff. 29 Updated baseline value as of May 31, 2011 (cf. Supervision Aide-Memoire – June, 2011 & ISR #14) whereas the status baseline for that indicator was “n.a.” at the time of appraisal. The update of that baseline was anticipated in the ISR #13. 30 As an example, in Burkina Faso, from 2006 to 2012: (i) increase of passengers transportation of 62.07%; (ii) increase of freight transportation of 65%; (iii) 12 new air carriers operating on the Ouagadougou international airport platform. 22 3.3 Efficiency Rating: Moderately Unsatisfactory 86. The PAD recognized that measuring the economic benefits of the Project (and the regional program as a whole) would require forecast data about the quantitative impact of putting in place measures that would strengthen safety and security of air transport in the country (and the region as a whole). However, no such information was available and no cost-related data could be obtained to make relevant computations in the PAD. 87. Furthermore, the nature of the investments financed (i.e. airport security infrastructure and equipment, safety and security training) make any quantification of these benefits difficult. The PAD therefore highlighted the impact, at the time of appraisal, of the Project on the aviation sector globally in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) based on available studies and surveys. More specifically, the PAD highlighted the major impacts the Project would have on tourism, travel fares, trade and investment in Africa through lower air fare, greater air service frequency, creation of investment-attractive conditions for international companies, growth in the volume of manufactured goods transported by air, etc. 88. The ICR confirms the assessment of the Project’s direct economic impacts is complex. In furtherance of the PAD, the assumption is that the Project’s focus on safety and security would support the development of transport and travel sectors in Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Guinea, and Mali, thus contribute to their related economic developement. 89. Based on the above, the ICR’s assessment of efficiency is therefore primarily based on a review of how air transport has performed in recent years in Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Guinea, and Mali and how the Project contributed to this31. More specifically, the Project: a) Supported the development of the air transport sector through the increase (and related economic benefits) of the number of passengers, flight frequencies, volumes of freight and mail32. b) Contributed to achieve significant institutional strengthening through improvement of the legal and regulatory civil aviation frameworks in Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Guinea, and Mali. c) Improved efficiency of airport safety and security monitoring operations in Bamako, Conakry, Douala, Ouagadougou, and Yaoundé using equipment financed by the Project, as per the following table: 31 Cf. Annexe 3 – Economic & Financial Analysis 32 Cf. Annexe 3 – Economic & Financial Analysis 23 Table 7: Percentage of Embarking Passengers Stopped in Possession of Illegal Objects End of project End of project target value Burkina Faso < 2% 0.5% Cameroon < 2% 4%33 Guinea < 3% < 1.5%34 Mali < 0.5% 0.52% d) Allowed financial strengthening and autonomy of the CAAs (with the exception of Guinea) as per the following tables: Table 8: Total CAA’s Budget Amount (US$ millions) End of project End of project target value Burkina Faso 2.0 3.6 Cameroon 6.0 > 22.7 Guinea > 0.7 n. a. Mali 2.6 6.54 Table 9: CAA’s Total Budget Dedicated to Security (US$ millions) End of project End of project target value Burkina Faso 1.0 1.4 Cameroon 0.9 1.8 Guinea 0.25 n. a. Mali 1.0 1.025 e) Improved awareness of stakeholders, beneficiaries, airport agents, etc. on air transport safety and security. The substantial training program implemented by the Project was a key factor for that. 90. An attempt at doing a quantitative analysis economic analysis is presented in Annexe 3 – Economic & Financial Analysis regarding Trade & Tourism Economic Impact related to Direct Contributions to GDP, to employment as well as to Capital Investment. The Economic Internal Rates of Return (EIRR) are also presented based on an impact of air transport safety and security on the growth of tourism numbers of 10% (conservative case) in 2015. This gives some EIRR of 26 percent, 32 percent, 22 percent, and 39 percent for Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Guinea and Mali respectively. The 33 There is slight disconnect here between the value of 4% specified in the last three ISRs (#17 – June, 2013; #18 – December, 2013; #19 (and final) – June, 2014) including the final one), and the value of “<4%” specified in the last supervision mission aide-memoire (March, 2013). 34 There is a disconnect here between the last ISR #19 (< 3%) and the last Supervision Mission Aide-mémoire - December. 2013 & March, 2014 (< 1.5%). Nonetheless, the end of project value is reached, and the PDO achieved 24 consolidated NPV (Net Present Value) for the project is US$144.71 million (global), and US$14.81 million, US$67.08 million, US$10.42 million, and US$41.10 million for Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Guinea and Mali respectively. 91. Implementation of the project was substantially delayed, and several project extensions were needed to substantially achieve the PDOs. Therefore, the overall efficiency of implementing the Project can be questioned due to the much higher than expected supervision costs for the project, major delays in implementing major components and major delays in achieving the Project objectives. 3.4 Justification of Overall Outcome Rating Rating: Moderately Satisfactory 92. Based on the combination of the above assessment of the Project outcomes, the Overall Outcome Rating is considered as Moderately Satisfactory for the following reasons. 93. First, all the beneficiary countries covered by the Project have committed significant efforts and resources to improve their safety and security oversight capacity as Member States of ICAO and signatories of international conventions. The corresponding achievements have been partly undermined by Guinea’s failure to set up an autonomous CAA to better ensure the sustainability of the project’s outputs and outcomes. 94. Secondly, the capacity building efforts and the step-by-step appropriation of the Project by the beneficiary countries, as well as the strengthening of CAAs’ oversight and financial capacity in the borrowing countries had a positive influence on the overall outcome of the Project. 95. Thirdly, partly as result of the project, air transport security and safety standards have objectively improved during implementation of the Project. 3.5 Overarching Themes, Other Outcomes and Impacts (a) Poverty Impacts, Gender Aspects, and Social Development 96. The Project had no specific poverty, gender or social development related objectives. (b) Institutional strengthening 97. Institutional strengthening can be observed in each beneficiary country. More specifically, each country now has its own set of updated and appropriate legal and regulatory framework (codes, regulations, laws, procedures) as well as more qualified staff to enhance air transport safety and security within its air space and major airports. Excluding Guinea, the three other countries have now in place fully autonomous CAA, with significantly strengthens their oversight of the air transport industry. 25 98. By definition, international air transport is a cross-border activity, and countries needed to be in line with regional standards set up by ICAO and sub-regional organizations as overarching entities. Therefore, regional dimension gains were knowledge sharing, coordination, and subsequent standardization of some safety regulations. The Project encouraged beneficiary countries to collaborate among them, as well as with (other) neighboring countries that are also member of sub-regional organization35. 99. In order to ensure that the respective actions of the involved Governments were leading to the same objective of strengthening air transport safety oversight at the regional level, the Project worked with the COSCAP – WAEMU. The latter has been involved in the harmonization of some procedures, and has helped Guinea in designing an autonomous (but still not yet effective) CAA. This was made possible thanks to the integrative and advocacy effect of the Project. (c) Other Unintended Outcomes and Impacts (positive or negative) 100. Beyond sensitizing countries to air transport safety and security, the Project offered the opportunity for participating countries to be used as a platform to share knowledge, experience, outputs, etc. Two workshops with all the national coordinators were held in March 2010 and November 2013 in which they pledged to continue working to improve air transport and security beyond the project’s life. 101. Furthermore, in light of the increased awareness by the respective Governments involved in the project of the importance and relevance of air transport safety and security: (a) Guinea, Mali, and Cameroon want to develop and strengthen their secondary airports; (b) Burkina Faso intends to replicate a crisis exercise in the Bobo-Dioulasso airport based on the success of the two exercises executed in Ouagadougou during the Project; and (c) Burkina Faso and Cameroon want their international airports to be certified for direct flights to the United States by the US Transport Security Administration (TSA)36. 3.6 Summary of Findings of Beneficiary Survey and/or Stakeholder Workshops 102. No beneficiary surveys or stakeholder workshops were conducted. 103. However, national ICR review workshops were held in Burkina Faso (June 2013) and Cameroon (March 2014)37, as well as two national Project coordinators meetings (March 2010 and November 2013). In all those events, all the beneficiary countries 35 Such as the COSCAP-WAEMU and the Banjul Accord Group (in the case of Guinea) 36 None of the CAAs supported by the Project are certified as Category 1 by the United States Federal Aviation Administration (USFAA). Likewise, none of the airports supported by the Project are certified by the United States Transport Security Administration (TSA) for operating direct flight from/to the United States. 37 Guinea and Mali did not hold National ICR review workshops. 26 recognized the positive impacts of the Project and acknowledged that without the Project the improvements in air transport safety and security may have not have been achieved. 4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome Rating: Significant 104. Based on the ICAO Implementation Plan for Aviation Safety in Africa (AFI plan), the Effective Implementation (EI) of ICAO recommendations under its USOAP (Universal Safety Oversight Audit Programme) is presented in Table 10 below. The results are based on the State’s Safety Oversight System eight critical elements 38 identified by ICAO. Table 10: EI39 of ICAO Recommendations (Source: ICAO) State Initial CSA Audit ICVM or Off-site validation Date EI (%) Date EI (%) Guinea May 2013 7.57 September 2014 17.97 Cameroon September 2006 44.12 December 2013 52.13 Burkina Faso November 2007 53.98 May 2014 61.62 Mali January 2008 25.13 October 2011 46.3 CSA: Comprehensive System Approach ICVM: ICAO Coordinated Validation Mission EI: Effective Implementation 105. These results are clearly representative of the Project’s safety achievements even if the Project’s value was limited to CCAA and contributed to six critical elements out of eight40. However, it also means that despite the Civil Aviation Systems of the Project countries have improved, they are still not fully compliant with ICAO standards, thus raising the risk to development outcome – especially if the progresses achieved so far partially thanks to the Project are not sustained. 106. Capacity building risk. Extensive training programs for civil aviation staff in safety and security yielded positive results and helped to improve the overall compliance rate with respect to ICAO standards. Beneficiary agencies staffs have also been duly trained to operate sophisticated equipment acquired during the Project. Therefore, capacity has been built at the beneficiary level, leading to higher levels of expertise, especially in safety and security supervision. However, there is a Significant risk this achievement may not be sustained after project closing without strong follow-up within 38 Primary aviation regulation; Specific operating regulations; State civil aviation system and safety oversight functions; Technical personnel qualification and training; Technical guidance, tools and the provision of safety-critical information; Licensing, certification, authorization and approval obligations; Surveillance obligations; Resolution of safety concerns 39 The Effective Implementation (EI) of each critical element is rated from 0% to 100%, with 0% being "Not Implemented" and 100% being "Fully Implemented". The EI score represents the percentage of satisfactory USOAP protocol questions applicable for a given State. A significant safety concern (SSC) does not necessarily indicate a particular safety deficiency in the air navigation service providers, airlines (air operators), aircraft or aerodrome; but, rather, indicates that the State is not providing sufficient safety oversight to ensure the effective implementation of applicable ICAO Standards. 40 The eight critical elements minus: Technical guidance, tools and the provision of safety-critical information; Licensing, certification, authorization and approval obligations. 27 weaker financial and institutional environment such as the one for Guinea41. This also means that adequate human and financial resources must be respectively identified and secured. 107. Institutional risk (Governments’ ownership/commitment) remains Significant. Governments would need continuous and deliberate efforts to sustain and build upon the achievements of the project. Frequent government changes as in Guinea did not help to reach and maintain some momentum in the required reform process. Regulations (Civil Aviation) have been updated with resources allocated to safety and security significantly increased during the project. Guinea aside, this means the CAAs need to be enshrined 42 in their financial autonomy and capacity. As a consequence, attention has to be paid to the utilization of CAAs’ funds to ensure they are directed to air transport safety and security needs. 108. The risk to development outcome is considered as Very High for Guinea. To date, any autonomous CAA has not been set up yet, and the National Civil Aviation Directorate (Direction Nationale de l’Aviation Civile – DNAC), that implemented the Guinean component of the Project, remains under the umbrella of the Ministry of Transport with a lack of financial resources and qualified experts, especially in the safety area. Without any strong financial and institutional support to set up that CAA, benefits from the Project are likely to be compromised, and so the related development outcome. Furthermore, the current Ebola epdimic in the country may lead to even further resources in supporting DNAC and in eventually creating a CAA. 5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance 5.1 Bank Performance43 (a) Bank Performance in Ensuring Quality at Entry Rating: Unsatisfactory 109. World Bank performance is rated Unsatisfactory for the following reasons: 110. First, the PAD describes a comprehensive program to support up to 23 SSA countries to enhance air travel safety and security in the region through a series of three horizontal APLs. APL1 was supposed to include the countries considered as to be the most implementation rated, namely Burkina Faso, Cameroon and Mali. Guinea was 41 As an example: Sophisticated equipment equired maintenance costs coupled with lack of adequate technical and human resources for updates may alter the sustainability of these investments. 42 Burkina Faso, Cameroon, and Mali have committed budgets to CAAs beyond the expectations of the Project, which had specific line items allocated to Security. 43 “Bank Performance is rated by assessing two dimensions: (i) Bank performance in ensuring quality at entry; and (ii) quality of Bank supervision. Bank performance in ensuring Quality at Entry refers to the extent to which the Bank identified, facilitated preparation of, and appraised the operation such that it was most likely to achieve planned development outcomes and was consistent with the Bank’s fiduciary role. The quality of Bank supervision refers to the extent to which the Bank proactively identified and resolved threats to the achievement of relevant development outcomes and the Bank’s fiduciary role.” - Implementation Completion and Results Report – Guidelines – OPCS – August 2006 (updated July 22, 2014) – i. e. the assessment of the Bank performance is not the assessment of a task team per se but of the Bank as a whole.. 28 included as part of the financing for APL1, despite not fully complying with the defined criteria as its Government displayed strong interest in participating in the program and quickly prepared their national component to be included in phase I of the APL series44. However, a more thorough and systematic evaluation of the real capacity of Guinea to implement the project activities should have led to their exclusion in phase I of the APL series. That’s because of all the issues that Guinea faced during the implementation of the Project. 111. Secondly, considering the low level of implementation readiness for the civil works part of the Projet, the implementation timeframe was not at all realistic. The customary time implementation framework for a single country investment lending projects is 5 to 6 years. Therefore, the decision to adopt a 3-year implementation timeframe for a complex regional operation (4 countries under APL1; 23 in a long run), provided to very optimistic. 112. Thirdly, the Project had 12 effectiveness conditions (above standard ones as specified in the General Conditions)45 and 35 critical legal covenants46 spread over four borrowing countries with different readiness status. This was a clear indication that the Project was not ready for implementation. 113. Fourthly, The PAD provided estimates of the costs necessary to implement the Project activities components based on the number of airports to be covered under the Project. However, the technical studies (Detailed Project Reports and Bidding Documents) related to major investments were not available for the civil works (airport fences, airport perimeter patrol roads, crisis management centers, etc.) at the time of appraisal. This meant the initial implementation of the project was extremely slow due to the need to finalize technical studies and launch the procurement process. 114. Fifthly, the overall program scope was overly ambitious. More specifically, it was supposed to cover 23 countries, and more than 30 airports. Although at the end only 7 countries signed up to the program, if all 23 had signed up, the implementation of the program would have been extremely difficult with the business model and resources that the World Bank could have mobilized. This means that the program scope exceeded the capacity of the World Bank and countries involved to actually implement it within a reasonable (5-7 years) time frame. 115. Sixthly, the use of a three series horizontal APL to address the issue of different levels of readiness by participating countries, may have not been the most appropriate instrument due to the cumbersome requirements of preparing and implementing concurrently three different APLs. Considering the number of countries that ultimately joined the program, a SIL type of operation47 may have been more appropriate. 44 See also Section 2.1 - Project Preparation, Design and Quality at Entry. 45 Cf. PAD – Section 6.3 – Table 4 46 Cf. ISR #1 47 Either global, or for each country with common objectives. 29 (b) Quality of Supervision Rating: Moderately Satisfactory 116. The Quality of Supervision rating is rated Moderately Satisfactory for the following reasons. 117. First, despite chronic supervision funding constraints, the World Bank project team was: (a) proactive in supporting all the countries, especially Guinea; and (b) able to mobilize adequate expertise regarding the scheduled activities and components of the Project. Supervision missions in the field were carried out on a regular basis at least two times each year. When necessary, the on the ground supervision effort was complemented by the use of video/audio conference working sessions. The fact of having Environment and Social Safeguards, Financial and Procurement Specialists based in the Country Offices (CO) facilitated the implementation of the Project. Under that context, the level of effort of the Supervision team has counterbalanced the unsatisfactory quality at entry of the Project, thus allowed the substantial achievement of the Project. 118. Secondly, the World Bank project team responded in a timely fashion to procurement requests, including no-objections. Nonetheless, there were substantial procurement delay (more than 5 months) with some procurement activities (construction of the fence and the patrol road of the Douala airport, Cameroon)48. Furthermore, the lack of completed studies and bidding documents slowed down the overall implementation of project activities. 119. Thirdly, the World Bank project team was able to face significant implementation challenges issues through: (a) restructuring of closing dates to take into account delays; and (b) change of indicators’ baseline and targets. 120. Fourthly, the World Bank project team was able to strike a fair balance between providing more resources to support Guinea who was lagging in terms of implementation while at the same time providing support to the three other countries (Burkina Faso, Cameroon, and Mali) who were involved in the Project. One option that should have been seriously considered was to drop the Guinea component, and restructure the Project such a way Guinea could be either fully dropped or re-included in a later APL. As a result, despite strong support in the supervision and an improved situation on the ground in Guinea, a key objective of creating an autonomous CAA was not achieved. 121. Finally, even if the PDOs were substantially achived, the efficiency of implementing the Project is questionable, due to the appropriateness of specific decision made during supervision and/or the level of human and financial resources made available for supervision purposes. 48 The no objection for the contract award was requested in April, 2010 and issued in September, 2010. 30 (c) Justification of Rating for Overall Bank Performance Rating: Moderately Unsatisfactory 122. Based on the combination of the above assessment of the World Bank performance, the Overall Bank Performance Rating is Moderately Unsatisfactory. 5.2 Borrower Performance (a) Government Performance Rating: Moderately Satisfactory 123. Apart from Guinea49 all three other countries were not able to make the project effective within the stipulated 120 days50. Two project extensions (42-month equivalent)51 for Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Mali and three project extensions (54-month equivalent)52 for Guinea were needed to substantially complete the scheduled activities and substantially achieve the PDOs of the Project. By the extended Project closing date, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Mali had financially autonomous and effective CAAs while Guinea’s CAAs is still note effective. Burkina Faso Rating: Satisfactory 124. Throughout Project implementation, Burkina Faso made significant progress in improving oversight, safety and security in air transport. More specifically, GoBF created an autonomous CAA out of the former Civil Aviation and Meteorology General Directorate (Direction Générale de l’Aviation Civile et de la Météorologie – DGACM). By the end of the project, the GoBF had also applied for the US Transport Security Agency (TSA)’s certification of the Ouagadougou international airport. So far, the process is ongoing. Cameroon Rating: Moderately Satisfactory 125. GoC’s support in implementing the project was consistent over the project’s life. However, it took time to adopt the Civil Aviation bill which was submitted in 2007 but was only adopted by GoC in 2013. Therefore, the adoption of the Civil Aviation bill could not be considered in the 2012 ICAO safety audit, which undermined country’s overall performance in one of the critical elements considered in the audit. 49 August 24, 2006. 50 Cf. respective countries Financial Agreements 51 To be considered and added to an anticipated Project Implementation Period of 39 months (based on an expected effectiveness date as of September 30, 2006 – as per the PAD data sheet). 52 Same as above. 31 126. The GoC was able to finance complementary activities to the Project, such as the construction of an access road for the people living in the vicinity of the Yaounde airport after it was fenced in by the Project. 127. As a result of its commitment to the project, the GoC finally provided a total of US$12.3 million of counterpart funds, which is well above its funding obligation (through the CCAA) of US$1.5 million considered during appraisal. The additional counterpart funding of US$10.8 million helped cover CCAA’s increased operating costs due to the Project extension 53 , project costs overruns due to the underestimations of project activities and the omission of taxes and customs excise54 at the time of appraisal. Guinea Rating: Unsatisfactory 128. The PAD identified Guinea as high risk for Project implementation due to periodic bouts of political instability and weak institutional capacity in the country. The frequent changes in the Government negatively impacted the project’s performance as the successive Ministers in charge of air transport had different perception regarding the project’s priorities. There was clearly a lack of leadership at the ministerial level, and a lack of continuous commitment to complete the process to make their CAA autonomous. As a result, Guinea remains among the very few countries in the WCA region without an effective autonomous CAA. At the project’s closure, the law setting up the CAA was ratified, but the decrees were yet to be signed to make the new CAA effective. 129. Despite these challenges, Guinea was able to make noticeable improvements in the achievement of the key indicators targets 55 . In parallel, the GoG significantly improved its service quality through the provision of new safety equipment acquired with the Project’s support (air navigation, landing and take-off assistance equipment, meteorological equipment, revamped infrastructure within the airport), and during its April 2014 mission in Guinea – two months prior to Project’s closing – ICAO flagged the global improvement of the situation on the ground, the current updates in the regulations and procedures, and the number of trained staff, inspectors and instructors within the DNAC and at the airport. 130. However, ICAO once again reiterated the country’s continued needs in aviation safety improvement, and highlighted that the CAA-to-be would need strong and continuous support in order to catch up with their neighbors. 53 The operating costs of the PIT increased from US$1.5 million to US$3.2 million because of the two project closing date extensions. 54 Waived tax and duties of the Project activities represent a total amount of US$3.5 million 55 Safety and security compliance with ICAO standards and subsequent indicators (number of staff with ICAO certification, etc.) 32 Mali Rating: Satisfactory 131. Mali’s performance is commendable, especially if we consider the political turmoil which affected the country starting from March 2012 until early 2013. Prior to effectiveness, the Government of Mali (GoM) had already set up an autonomous CAA called National Civil Aviation Authority (Agence Nationale de l’Aviation Civile – ANAC). Its operating budget was not available at appraisal56 but was expected to reach US$2.6 million at the end of the Project. As of March 2013, ANAC’s operation budget was confirmed at US$6.54 million providing adequate resources to fulfill its duties. (b) Implementing Agency or Agencies Performance Rating: Moderately Unsatisfactory 132. The overall performance of Implementing Agencies is rated Moderately Unsatisfactory based on the following ratings: Burkina Faso Rating: Moderately Satisfactory 133. The activities of the Project were initially implemented by the DGACM, then by the autonomous CAA (Agence Nationale de l’Aviation Civile – ANAC). The CAA’s compliance rate with ICAO safety standards rose from 49 percent to 70 percent57 - target achieved, and security standards increased from 54 percent to 67 percent58 - behind target. Some procurement processes suffered delays because of the absence of sufficient procurement capacity within the CAA. 134. At Project closing, the CAA is capable to: (a) cover the operating costs that were previously funded by the Project; (b) keep trained police officers working at the Ouagadougou airport thanks to specific agreement signed with the Police; and (c) develop an internal quality insurance process to reach ISO 9001/2008 standards (since 2013). 135. The PIT was in charge of the financial management, the supervision of the procurement process, the monitoring and evaluation, and the overall coordination of the Project. The PIT properly executed its due diligence role by setting up or following up: (a) the monitoring and evaluation tools; (b) technical, and steering committee meetings on a regular basis; and (c) the Project management tools (accounting software, manual of procedures, internal audit, etc.). 56 Cf. PAD baseline, and ISR #1 57 Cf. Supervision Aide-mémoire – March. 2013. There is a disconnect here as the last ISR (#19) mentions a value of 70%. 58 Cf. Supervision Aide-mémoire – March. 2013. There is a disconnect here as the last ISR (#19) mentions a value of 75% - as an anticipation of an ICAO audit supposed to confirm that value (Annex 4 of the earlier mentioned Aide-mémoire). 33 Cameroon Rating: Moderately Satisfactory 136. The Project was implemented by the CCAA through a PIT that included part of its own staff and newly recruited staff. Due to initial staffing and coordination challenges that the PIT faced, the implementation of project activities in Cameroon was delayed by almost two years. Nonetheless, Cameroon demonstrated that with a well-established and autonomous CAA endowed with good technical and financial standing, the CCAA was capable of sustaining the results achieved by the Project. 137. During the project, the CCAA’s compliance rate with ICAO standards increased from 46 percent59 to 68 percent - slightly below target - for safety, and most significantly, from 30 percent to (above) 75 percent - target achieved - for security. Guinea Rating: Moderately Unsatisfactory 138. The implementing agency, DNAC, was able to improve based on the Project’s indicators: The safety compliance rate increased from 53 percent to 77 percent60, based on the USOAP approach, while the security compliance rate improved from 1 percent to 55 percent61. 139. However, further to the ICAO CSA (Comprehensive System Approah) audit of April-May 2013, the Guinea EI rate was of 7.57 percent (cf Table 10) against a world average EI of 61 percent, and that very poor performance raised the crucial need of reinforcement/strengthening of the DNAC/CAA-to-be regarding air transport safety supervision. 140. Regrettably, during the last ICVM (ICAO Coordinated Validation Mission)/Off- site validation mission of September 2014, the Guinea EI rate (of 17.97 percent) was still significantly below 61 percent confirming once again the above mentioned ICAO evaluation’s findings. Mali Rating: Satisfactory 141. The ANAC's compliance rate with ICAO safety standards, initially rated 51 percent based on USOAP approach, was expected to reach 80 percent at the Project’s closing date. With the change in ICAO's methodology shifting to the systemic audit approach, this compliance rate dropped to 24 percent 62 while the target results at the Project's closing date was revised at 75 percent. Notwithstanding that adjustment, the 59 Cf. Restructuring Paper #1. There is a disconnect here as the last ISR (#19) mentions a value of 35%. 60 Cf. Supervision Mission Aide-Memoire - December. 2013 & March, 2014. 61 Cf. Supervision Mission Aide-Memoire - December. 2013 & March, 2014. It is worth to notice that the 55% output is not properly reflected in the PDO Indicators Table of the last ISR of the Project (ISR #19 – Archived – June, 2014). 62 Cf. Restructuring Paper #1. There is a disconnect here as the last ISR (#19) mentions a value of 28%. 34 value reached at the end of the Project was of percent which is an impressive progress, even if slightly behind the target. 142. In terms of security, Mali also showed substantial progress jumping from 8 percent to 86 percent compliance rate with ICAO security standards. 143. The ANAC committed an additional amount of US$400,000 to complete the works of the crisis management center and of some secured gates and fences on the airport platform. (c) Justification of Rating for Overall Borrower Performance Rating: Moderately Satisfactory 144. Based on the combination of each Borrower’s overall performance, the Overall Borrower Performance is rated as Moderately Satisfactory. The breakdown of the combined score by country is as follows: Table 11: Overall Borrower Performance Ratings Summary Implementing Government Overall Agency/ies Moderately Moderately Burkina Faso Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Moderately Moderately Moderately Cameroon Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Moderately Guinea Unsatisfactory Unsatisfactory Unsatisfactory Mali Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Borrower Moderately Moderately Moderately Performance Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory 6. Lessons Learned 145. The preparation and implementation of the this Project has provided several lessons for future operations: 146. Need to simplify project design in a complex and challenging implementation environment. The scope and objective of the project were extremely ambitious. More specifically, the WCAATSSP Program was supposed to largely address the air transport oversight safety and security issues in 23 countries and more than 30 airports in SSA. If all 23 countries had signed to the program, irrespective of the lending instrument, it would have meant that the World Bank would have had to mobilize substantial additional human and financial resources, not readily available, to adequately supervise and coordinate the implementation of the project. The mobilization of such resources would have been extremely difficult in a human resource and budget constrained environment in 35 which the World Bank has been operating since the late 1990’s. Thus, considering the constraints of implementing a program with potentially up to 23 participating countries, it is clear that implementing such a regional project would have required a more realistic design/scope (including a number of beneficiaries cap), customized supervision provisions, as well as a strong commitment of the World Bank in terms of (human and financial) resources allocation. 147. Participating countries should be grouped by capacity. The performance of one country (Guinea) during implementation negatively impacted the overall performance of the Project in terms of timeline and achievement of objectives. This means that a much more rigorous assessment process should have been done to ensure that all countries in the Project were roughly at the same level of readiness, when the project started. The lack of readiness homogeneity in the APL1 countries prevented a synchronized pace of implementation and, diverted scarce supervision resources during implementation. This means that Guinea should have possible be included in a later APL63. 148. Appropriate common grounds (geographic proximity, same regional entities) should also be considered. In order to strengthen the regionality of the Project and, in furtherance, better support regional integration purposes, the readiness eligibility criteria could be complemented by criteria related to: a) geographical area (common borders): Cameroon does not have common borders with Burkina Faso, and Guinea, and Mali; and/or b) institutional/economical pattern: Cameroon is part of CEMAC, whereas Burkina Faso, Guinea, and Mali are part of ECOWAS; and/or c) technical aspects: Guinea is not part of ASECNA, whereas Burkina Faso, Mali, and Cameroon are part of it. 149. Project readiness is essential to ensure timely implementation. When the project was presented to the World Bank Board it had a very low level of implementation readiness. More specifically, the project was presented to the World Bank Board with almost none of the technical studies and bidding documents ready for the civil works components to the funded under the project. This translated in a very slow implementation and low disbursement rate during the first 2 to 3 years of implementation. Furthermore, the project was presented to the World Bank board with 12 effectiveness conditions (above standard ones as specified in the General Conditions)64 and 35 critical legal covenants. This was another clear sign that the project was not ready for implementation and the sheer number of conditions/covenants was overwhelming for the weak capacity in the PIT causing implementation delay. Therefore, before the project was presented to the World Bank board, key studies and bidding documents for at least 33% by value of the civil works components should have been ready, and the number of covenants should have been substantially reduced. 63 Either with other countries or as a stand-alone like for Nigeria 64 Cf. PAD – Section 6.3 – Table 4 36 150. Realistic implementation time frame should be used for multi country complex regional project. The Project was expected to be completed in 3 years but it took about 8 years to complete the implementation of all project components. Therefore, the implementation time frame for such a type of project needs to be more commensurate to the norm for regional projects which is 6 to 8 years. 151. Performance indicators should be limited to what is key to monitor outcomes and outputs. At the time of appraisal, the indicators were designed based on ICAO’s safety and security audits results. Safety indicators targets were revised in late 2007 and this revision applied to Burkina Faso, Cameroon, and Mali, but not for Guinea whose safety indicators remained calculated based on the ante-revision definition. However, as it remained complex to establish a causal linkage between these data/indicators and the Project, future projects will have to define a set of indicators that can measure direct and/or indirect economic impacts/contributions65. 152. M&E framework should include regional dimension. As the indicators were focused on ICAO’s safety and security compliance rates at the country level, it was difficult to assess causal linkage 66 between the national components outputs and the regional outcomes of the Project. The lack of causal linkage between outputs and results is reinforced by the absence of a regional results framework in the design of the Project. Such a framework should have been included at the overarching/coordinating regional entity67 level in order to attempt to aggregate national component outputs for analytical data analysis at the regional level. 153. Project design should be more regionally integrated. Because the project was designed more like a multiple-country project, linkages between countries and regional integration was not adequately captured and addressed, and no regional results monitoring and evaluation framework was designed. 154. Complementarity and coordinated actions are key to promote broader air transport regional activities. All along the Project, the World Bank team and the beneficiary countries/CAAs worked with ICAO and sub-regional organizations to ensure synergies and complementarities of their respective activities. As a result, and thanks to the Project: a) Countries respectively dealt with international and sub-regional organizations allowing for some direct collaboration as required during the project’s implementation (COSCAP-WAEMU support to some countries; joint missions between the World Bank and ICAO teams); b) The follow-up of corrective actions suggested by ICAO was facilitated. Each beneficiary country coordinated their respective actions with ICAO, as the key indicators values were derived from ICAO audits results. ICAO informed each 65 i.e.: Monitoring and evaluation of such potential future operations should include indicators to be based on industry/economic-standard indicators with a clear and agreed methodology for data collection and reporting 66 As well as to carry out a proper economic and financial analysis to assess the outcomes of the project 67 Provided it exists, and is functional 37 other about updates of the status of their respective actions, in order to make sure that the Projects common goals were achieved68. 155. Therefore, national components underpinned by common outputs within a regional integration framework should be strengthened at the regional level by existing overarching entities. Regional strengthening would be focused on institutional support, coordination, and follow-up/analytic work on indicators. Depending on the nature of the operations/programs, this may extensively benefit from strong partnerships the World Bank has with appropriate stakeholders (ICAO) and/or lessons learned of other World Bank projects (Central America, Pacific). 7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners (a) Borrower/implementing agencies The Executive Summaries of the countries’ ICRs are presented as annexes to this ICR. (b) Cofinanciers Not applicable (c) Other partners and stakeholders Not applicable 68 As an example, in December 2013, the Bank team and ICAO safety and security teams carried out a joint mission in Guinea, in order to reinforce their cooperation and support specifically Guinea to make further progress and see how to further enhance their support, as well as present a joint action plan to its Government. At that time, as the project was close to ending, it was necessary to make sure that a close follow up of the common interests would be ensured beyond the project's closing date, especially regarding the finalization of the institutional reforms. 38 Annex 1. Project Costs (a) Project Cost by Component (in XDR equivalent) Appraisal Actual/Latest Percentage Components Estimate Estimate of (XDR ) (XDR) Appraisal BURKINA Goods 1,450,000 1,497,273 103% Works 1,250,000 1,127,522 90% Consulting Services 550,000 772,601 140% Training 300,000 715,058 238% Operation Costs 100,000 387,274 387% Unallocated 850,000 0 0% Sub-Total 4,500,000 4,499,728 99.99% CAMEROON Goods 2,200,000 2,151,532 98% Works 3,850,000 5,380,577 140% Consulting Services 2,950,000 2,150,746 73% Training 500,000 329,427 66% Operation Costs 0 0 Unallocated 700,000 0 0% Sub-Total 10,200,000 10,012,282 98.15% GUINEA Goods 1,650,000 2,366,283 143% Works 1,900,000 1,188,736 63% Consulting Services 700,000 580,814 83% Training 350,000 252,673 72% Operation Costs 150,000 495,777 331% Unallocated 150,000 0 0% Sub-Total 4,900,000 4,884,283 99.68% MALI Goods 1,350,000 860,401 64% Works 1,400,000 1,696,291 121% Consulting Services 700,000 819,749 117% Training 75,000 107,425 143% Operation Costs 125,000 207,107 166% Unallocated 150,000 0 0% Sub-Total 3,800,000 3,690,974 97.13% 39 Total IDA Cost in XDR Goods 6,650,000 6,875,489 103% Works 8,400,000 9,393,126 112% Consulting Services 4,900,000 4,323,910 88% Training 1,225,000 1,404,583 115% Operation Costs 375,000 1,090,158 291% Unallocated 1,700,000 0 0% Total 23,250,000 23,087,266 99% (b) Total Project Cost Counterpart IDA Actual Actual* Source of Funds (USD (USD Total millions) millions) Burkina Faso 0.0 6.7 6.7 Cameroon 12.3 14.9 27.2 Guinea 0.0 7.3 7.3 Mali 0.4 5.5 5.9 Total Project Cost 12.7 34.4 47.1 *including CAAs 40 Annex 2. Outputs by Component Table 2.1: Project Development Objective (PDO) Indicators PDO 1 –Improve CAA’s compliance with ICAO’s safety standards Compliance rate with ICAO aggregate Percentage of technical personnel in Total CAA’s budget amount (US$ million) safety standards based on ICAO’s audits compliance with ICAO’s safety standards Financial strengthening and autonomy of the CAA End of Project value: US$3.6 million Burkina Faso against End of Project target: US$2.0 million Financial strengthening and autonomy of the CAA Country airports now possess appropriate End of Project value: > US$22.7 million Cameroon equipment to enhance their own safety Staff benefitted from intensive training and against within the airport platform, all along the can now share and transfer that knowledge End of Project target: US$6.0 million human and luggage/freight checking loop, either to national or sub-regional as well as during aircrafts landing and counterparts. CAA not yet effective take-off. End of Project value: n. a. Guinea against End of Project target: US$0.7 million Financial strengthening and autonomy of the CAA End of Project value: US$6.54 million Mali against End of Project target: US$2.6 million 41 PDO 2 –Improve CAA’s compliance with ICAO’s security standards Compliance rate with ICAO Percentage of CAA’s ICAO’s Level of CAA’s budget National Security Plan aggregate security standards certified security inspectors dedicated to security compliance with ICAO’s based on ICAO’s audit trained during the last three (US$ million) standards years Appropriate instruments are now in place and support enhancement of security. Increase in security standards, Burkina Faso positive impact on airports image and 12 new airlines attracted since project’s There is no indicator implementation. attached to that outcome, and it then does not formally Appropriate instruments are now appear in the results Cameroon in place and support Due to increase of budget monitoring framework. The enhancement of security. national security plan is Staff benefitted from intensive going toward security, an Appropriate instruments are now included in the ICAO Annex training and can now share and increase in overall airport in place and support 17 and, as such, is part of transfer that knowledge either to security was achieved and enhancement of security. the calculation of the national or sub-regional new air companies started to compliance rate with counterparts. serve the different airports of Guinea Updated instruments are now in ICAO’s aggregate security this Project. place and support enhancement standards based on ICAO’s of security with an improvement audit. Monitoring that in compliance rate from 1% to specific outcome can be 55%. considered as redundant Appropriate instruments are now with the monitoring of the in place and support security compliance rate. enhancement of security. Mali Appropriate instruments are now in place and support enhancement of security with an improvement in compliance rate from 1% to 86%. 42 PDO 3 –Enhance main international airports’ compliance with ICAO’s security standards Percentage of airport security personnel Number of serious problems recorded Percentage of embarking passengers with three or more years of experience during annual airport crisis exercises stopped in possession of illegal objects, as defined by the ICAO, by airlines security personnel Two airport crisis exercises were The objective of decrease of the rate of satisfactorily carried out. Based on this illegal object seizures was partially met and Burkina Faso achievement, the GoB intends to carry targets substantially met. out such an exercise in Bobo-Dioulasso (Burkina Faso’s 2nd international airport) Airport crisis exercises satisfactorily An appropriate communication plan was Staff benefitted from intensive training and carried out in Yaoundé and Nsimalen: implemented leading to a decrease in the Cameroon can now share and transfer that knowledge safety and crisis management plans are rate of illegal object seizures made. either to national or sub-regional effective counterparts. Airport crisis exercise not yet carried out The objective of decrease of the rate of illegal object seizures was partially met Guinea despite no initial baseline value at the time of appraisal. Airport crisis exercise carried out: The objective of decrease of the rate of a) National regulation to be illegal object seizures was partially met and Mali updated targets substantially met. b) Sectoral plans to be set up 43 Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis (including assumptions in the analysis) 1. The need for expanding and improving air services and markets in Africa, to which this project has contributed, has been acknowledged by the NEPAD. It is recognized that improvements and expansion of aviation infrastructure can make a significant contribution to facilitating inward investment in tourism and developing non-traditional exports with relatively high value added content in Africa. These cannot take place, however, without adequate security and safety of aviation operations. Accordingly, this project had an indirect impact on the long term macro-economic growth prospects of African economies by: a) promoting the sustainability of the sector (e.g., investment in airport facilities expansion, regulation), b) supporting tourism activities and exports trade. Situation before the Project 2. It is necessary to underscore that among all of the world’s regions, Africa was the most dependent on aviation services when it comes to tourism activities with, according to the World Travel Tourism Council (WTTC), almost three (3) million direct and indirect tourism jobs supported by air services at the time of appraisal. At the time of appraisal, and in the initial four countries covered by the project, 192,000 jobs and US$ 1.2 billion in annual tourism revenues were linked to the safe and secure operations of air carriers (see Figures 1 and 2 below). Additionally, anywhere from 5.1 to 8.0% of these four countries’ total capital investment depended on tourism activities (see Figure 3 below). Likewise inward investment levels as well as international market access to WCA countries high value perishable agricultural goods could be highly affected by the level of security and safety of airlines operations to/from and within WCA. As such, the project could be considered as an important building stone in the overall economic development strategy of the WCA countries. Figure 1: Tourism industry direct employment in 2004 800 779 18% 750 Tourism industry jobs (% of active population) 16% 700 650 14% 600 539 550 12% 500 Thousands 450 10% 400 350 8% 314 309 300 269 6% 250 226 200 167 4% 150 100 2% 64 55 53 43 50 30 27 0 0% n ia a ia ea co ic ca ya s a i so al ub iu oo bi er l s ub oc M Fa en n ri r it ni am er C ig ui Af ep Tu au or K N G am na G th M R M ki ou C an ur S B ic in om D Source: WTTC, 2004 44 Figure 2: Annual tourism revenues (2004) 3,000 2,600 2,500 2,000 1,684 US$ million 1,500 1,000 811 636 500 228 171 156 124 0 Morocco Tunisia Kenya Cameroon Mali Guinea Burkina Nigeria Faso (1998) Source: WTTC, 2004 Figure 3: Tourism capital investment as a percentage of total investment (2004) Mauritius 25.7% Dominican Republic 24.9% Kenya 24.8% Tunisia 16.9% Gambia 16.2% Cuba 14.9% South Africa 13.3% Morocco 12.5% Mali 8.0% Burkina Faso 7.6% Cameroon 7.6% Guinea 5.1% Nigeria 1.5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Source: WTTC 2004 45 Current African air transport background & prospects 3. Nowadays, including the tourism impacts, Africa accounts for 12% of the jobs and 3% of the GDP supported by the air transport industry69. In 2012, African airports witnessed a 7% growth in passengers handled, compared with 2011. Of the passengers carried on airlines in Africa, 42% are intercontinental, 31% domestic and the remaining 27% are flying within the region70. The expansion in air travel, at an expected rate of around 5.1% per annum is likely to continue generating significant economic impacts. Oxford Economics forecasts that the number of jobs supported by aviation and tourism impacts will grow to 10.5 million by 2032, a 51% increase from 2012. Meanwhile, the contribution to GDP is forecast to grow to $168.7 billion by 2032, a 109% increase on 2012 figures. 4. Africa accounts for a small share (2%) of the global air traffic flow71. While there are a number of renowned world-class carriers in the region (such as South African Airways, Ethiopian Airlines 72 , Kenya Airways 73 , and Egyptair), the majority of African countries also significantly depend foreign airlines for air service. In 2010, 65% of the air traffic to and from Africa was carried by foreign airlines. Even if, the dominance of foreign airlines is also a reflection of African airlines’sever capacity constraint, it is more than likely that renowned European air carriers would not fly to countries without acceptable safety and security conditions. In 2013, Lufthansa was flying to 35 African destinations, Air France to 35, Brussels Airlines to 28, etc. Intercontinental passenger flow (42%) constitutes far more than intra-African flow (27%)74. This traffic shows that the continent trades much more with the rest of the world than with itself75, which would not be possible if, at some point, air transport safety and security had not been enhanced. 5. Even if the performance of the African aviation industry is still lagging behind those of the rest of the world, the prospects of the African air transport industry are relatively promising 76 . Demand for air transport has increased steadily over the past years with passenger numbers and freight traffic growing by 45% and 80%, respectively. Over the period 2010-2015, Africa will be the third fastest growing region in the world in terms of international traffic with an average growth rate of 6.1% compared to the global average of 5.8%, and 7.9% and 6.9% for the Middle East and Asia Pacific, respectively, while Europe, Latin America and North America are projected to record lower international passenger growth of 5.0%, 5.8% and 4.9%, respectively77. 6. This trend is expected to continue in the coming years due to a number of factors, notably robust economic growth, demographic boom, increasing urbanization, and emergence of the middle class. Air transportation plays a vital role in the country's growth process by accelerating convergence of goods and persons. The contribution of air transport far exceeds that of road transportation sevenfold. Growth in air transportation has directly maps into economic growth due to spillover effects through creation of direct and indirect jobs in the industry and other auxiliary sectors such as tourism and other service sectors. Expansion in air transportation creates market opportunities for local entrepreneurs by creating regional and global economic centers. In 2010, the aviation industry in Africa supported about 7 million jobs (including 257,000 direct jobs) through the 69 Aviation: benefits beyond borders report - Air Transport Action Group (ATAG) – 2014 70 AFRAA Secretary General’s presentation to the 2013 AFRAA Assembly: http://tinyurl. com/q6z88ec 71 Economic Effects of Air Transport Liberalization in Africa, Megersa A. Abate (Ph.D), Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, October, 2013 72 Flies to Burkina Faso, Cameroon (Douala), and Mali 73 Flies to Burkina Faso, Cameroon (both Yaoundé and Douala), and Mali 74 African Airlines Association (AFRAA) – Annual General Assembly, report of the Secretary General – November, 2013 75 Only 11.3% of Africa’s trade is within the continent (UNCTAD, 2013) 76 Africa’s Aviation Industry: Challenges and Opportunities – African Development Bank – November, 2012 77 According to Boeing’s estimates, a robust international passenger annual growth rate of 6.6% is expected in the 2011 to 2031 period in Africa, well above the previous long-term industry average rate of 5 % (Boeing, 2012). 46 impact on travel and tourism which translated into USD67.8 billion of the continent's GDP 78 . Forecasts indicate that the aviation industry's impact on African economies is set to grow. Over the next 20 years, implied job creation by the industry is projected at 879,000. Current African air transport outcomes/trends79 Passengers carried 7. Passenger numbers has grown consistently year on year since 2004 except in 2011 where the numbers dropped as a result of the Arab Spring and political instability in parts of North Africa. From less than 40 million passengers carried in 2004 by African airlines, passenger numbers have increased to 62.9 million in 2012; a cumulative growth of 61.5% (average annual growth 7.8%), up from the 2011 figure of 56.4 million. The high GDP growth experienced in 2012 coupled with the attractiveness of Africa as a source for mineral resources and an increasingly attractive investment destination continue to attract foreign investments. African airlines therefore continued their aggressive network expansion, new markets development and further penetration of their domestic and intra-Africa markets. As a result, passenger numbers increased on domestic, intra-Africa and intercontinental routes. The total number of intercontinental passengers carried increased to 26.7 million from 23.6 million in 2011. Domestic and Intra-Africa Passengers 8. Domestic passenger numbers increased by over 8% to 19.4 million due an increase in access to air travel, lower fares and new routes launched in 2012. The growing competition in many domestic markets and the resultant improvement in service quality and lower fares continue to stimulate demand. Low Costs Airlines, particularly in South Africa, Kenya, Egypt, Kingdom of Morocco and lately Tanzania continue to aggressively promote and attract more passengers, some of whom had never flown by air before. 9. Intra-Africa passenger numbers went up 12.75% to 16.8 million, up from 14.9 million in 2011. This growth was driven largely by the rapidly growing business and trade between African countries and the growing middle class, some of whom now prefer air travel. With a population of over 1.07 billion, spread across the vast the continent of 54 countries, there is huge potential for growth in intra-Africa air travel. Intercontinental Passengers 10. Intercontinental passenger numbers in 2012 increased by 12.9% over 2011. African airlines share of this was 5.1% in the year under review, bringing total passengers carried on intercontinental routes to 26.7 million. Non-African airlines carried 7.8% more passengers. The continued economic slowdown in the Eurozone reduced the traffic flow from that market, especially leisure traffic. The political crisis in somem countries in North Africa also shied away tourists to the region in the year under review. This was however compensated for by an increase in the number of passengers from Asia, the Middle East and the Americas to sub-Sahara Africa. Non-African airlines still carry the bulk of traffic to/from Africa, accounting for 78.4% of all passengers carried on intercontinental routes in 2012. Passenger Distribution 11. Intercontinental passenger market segment remains the biggest with 42% of all passengers travelling between Africa and other regions of the world. The domestic market segment represents 31% while the intra-Africa market is 27%. 78 Africa’s Aviation Industry: Challenges and Opportunities – African Development Bank – November, 2012 79 African Airlines Association (AFRAA) – Annual General Assembly, report of the Secretary General – November, 2013 47 Figure 4 Figure 5 Figure 6 48 Freight Carried and Traffic 12. Air freight shipment in Africa is still very low. In 2012 the continent airlines carried about 788,500 tonnes of total global freight carried, representing 1.8% of total air freight shipment. AFRAA member airlines in 2012 carried a total of over 710,800 tonnes. In Freight Tonne Kilometres (FTK), this represents a growth of 11.7% compared to 2.7% in 2011. The Middle East and Africa recorded the highest year-on-year air freight growth of12.8% and 11.0% respectively. Freight Traffic Forecast 13. IATA survey showed that airlines on average expect air freight tonnes to grow by 3% annually over the next 2 years to 2016 on international markets. The manufacturers in their long term forecast expect air freight demand (FTKs) growth to average 4.9 – 5.2% over the next 18 years. IATA maintains its long term forecast of 5% average growth. Figure 7 Figure 8 Travel & Tourism Specific Economic Impacts 14. More specifically, according to the World Travel & Tourism Council Impact Reports 2014, the economic contributions of Travel & Tourism are as follows for the countries of the APL 1 of the Project: Direct Contribution to GDP (in constant 2013 local currency billions): this primarily reflects the economic activity generated by industries such as hotels, travel agents, airlines and other passenger transportation services, etc. 2006 2014 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (PAD) (forecast) Burkina Faso ~ 60 ~ 70 69.7 70.5 68.2 74.6 79.8 83.8 87.7 (+ 1.15%) (- 3.26%) (+ 9.38%) (+ 6.97%) (+ 5.01%) (+ 4.65%) (XOF) Cameroon 330.9 322.6 347.4 348.5 357.0 378.6 ~ 310 ~ 310 282.9 (+ (XAF) 16.97%) (- 2.51%) (+ 7.69%) (+ 0.32%) (+ 2.44%) (+ 6.05%) Guinea 913.0 952.6 899.8 924.4 952.7 998.8 ~ 760 ~ 920 960.3 (- (GNF) 4.92%) (+ 4.34%) (- 5.541%) (+ 2.74%) (+ 3.06%) (+ 4.84%) Mali ~ 195 ~ 180 223.1 (-192.9 221.2 250.1 246.0 202.1 208.3 (XOF) 13.54%) (+ 14.67%) (+ 13.02%) (- 1.64%) (- 17.84%) (+ 3.07%) 49 Direct Contribution to Employement (in `000 jobs): this includes employement by hotels, travel agents, airlines and other passenger transportation services, etc. 2006 2014 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (PAD) (forecast) Burkina 63.6 52.7 62.5 60.4 60.7 61.1 ~ 56 ~ 63 62.3 Faso (+ 2.09%) (- 17.14%) (+ 18.60%) (- 3.36%) (+ 0.50%) (+ 0.66%) Cameroon ~ 92 ~ 91 82.4 104.2 102.5 101.0 100.3 100.5 103.9 (+ 26.46%) (- 1.63%) (- 1.46%) (- 0.69%) (+ 0.20%) (+ 3.38%) Guinea ~ 32 ~ 40 39.7 40.3 43.0 36.4 36.8 38.5 40.1 (+ 1.51%) (+ 6.70%) (- 15.35%) (+ 1.10%) (+ 4.62%) (+ 4.16%) Mali ~ 75 ~ 68 83.8 71.7 71.5 78.9 80.0 58.2 57.2 (- 14.44%) (- 0.28%) (+ 10.35%) (+ 1.39%) (- 27.25%) (- 1.72%) Capital Investment (in constant 2013 local currency billions) 2006 2014 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (PAD) (forecast) Burkina Faso ~ 13 ~ 18 18.6 (- 16.2 12.90%) 17.3 (+ 6.79%) 15.8 (- 8.67%) 16.4 (+ 3.80%) 17.2 (+ 4.88%) 19.0 (+ 10.47%) (XOF) Cameroon ~ 75 ~ 74 74.4 (- 62.5 57.3 60.5 64.5 66.5 71.5 (XAF) 15.99%) (- 8.32%) (+ 5.58%) (+ 6.61%) (+ 3.10%) (+ 7.52%) Guinea 113.6 105.6 106.7 121.2 121.6 137.4 ~ 95 ~ 80 107.3 (+ (GNF) 5.87%) (- 7.04%) (+ 1.04%) (+ 13.59%) (+ 0.33%) (+ 12.99%) Mali ~ 32 ~ 43 42.9 (+49.8 59.2 61.7 56.9 43.1 43.4 (XOF) 16.08%) (+ 18.88%) (+ 4.22%) (- 7.78%) (- 24.25%) (+ 0.70%) 15. From 2006 to 2014, Travel & Tourism have participated in the economic development of APL 1 beneficiary countries. As these growth-lever sectors are Safety-and-Security sensitive, one can reasonably assess that they benefited from a safer and more secure air transport sector environement, thus confirming this Project would have had an indirect impact on the long term macro-economic growth prospects of African economies. 16. In the next pages are some data regarding number of passengers and planes, volumes of freight and mail, going through the international airports of Burkina Faso (Ouagadougou), Cameroon (Douala and Yaoundé-Nsimalen), and Mali (Bamako-Sénou). The global increase of these numbers and volumes also supports the travel and tourism sectors improvements during the execution timeframe of the Project, thus the reasonable assumption that these sectors (and the countries) would – and did - economically benefit from the Project. 50 APL 1 Beneficiary Countries’ Air Transport Data Burkina Faso (Source: ANAC – Burkina Faso) Passengers traffic Freight traffic 2006 to 2013 : + 48 ,63% 2006 to 2013 : + 44 ,09% Mail traffic 2006 to 2013 : - 5 ,57% Planes Traffic 51 Cameroon (Source: CCAA) Planes Traffic Evol° Airport Route 2011 2012 2013 2012/13 CEMAC 5571 5439 5448 0,2% INTERNATIONAL 5334 5524 6894 24,8% Douala NATIONAL 4989 3275 4384 33,9% 10905 11978 13358 Total Douala 15894 15253 17742 16,3% CEMAC 673 175 327 86,9% INTERNATIONAL 2706 2335 3172 35,8% Yaoundé NATIONAL 2835 2443 3035 24,2% Total Yaoundé 6214 4953 6534 31,9% Passengers Traffic Year 2011 2012 2013 Evolution 2012/13 (%) TOTAL Airport Route ARR DEP Total Transit ARR DEP Total Transit ARR DEP Total Transit DEP (arr+ dép) Transit CEMAC 77491 79701 157192 31541 80775 77958 158733 24330 69074 76502 145576 35134 -2% -8% 44% INT 175462 207472 382934 71214 203215 223423 426638 88629 223871 241853 465724 81069 8% 9% -9% Douala NAT 38329 39407 77736 25475 45104 58685 103789 25140 61973 72013 133986 46839 23% 29% 86% Total Douala 291282 326580 617862 128230 329094 360066 689160 138099 354918 390368 745286 163042 8% 8% 18% CEMAC 3173 2395 5568 298 3893 2137 6030 2844 4719 1449 6168 4196 -32% 2% 48% INT 88907 95186 184093 35429 88492 92848 181340 9562 109097 111736 220833 34085 20% 22% 256% Yaoundé NAT 34761 33852 68613 30166 58176 60094 118270 20091 56778 60917 117695 32244 1% 0% 60% Total Yaoundé 126841 131433 258274 65893 150561 155079 305640 32497 170594 174102 344696 70525 12% 13% 117% 52 Freight and Mail Traffic 2011 2012 2013 Airport Route ARR DEP Total ARR DEP Total ARR DEP Total CEM 120,55 202,2 322,76 290,59 1634,5 1925,1 257,67 498,45 756,12 INT 6688,7 5660,6 12349 3745,4 4086,2 7831,6 4449,3 6141,2 10590 Douala NAT 251,68 79,524 331,2 144,85 296,2 441,04 0 9,47 9,47 Total Douala 7060,9 5942,4 13003 4180,8 6016,9 10198 4706,97 6649,1 11356 CEM 300,67 0,331 301 8,265 5,669 13,934 1,537 19,003 20,54 INT 2622,1 2071,7 4693,8 1950,3 2271,2 4221,5 1480,35 2196,1 3676,4 Yaoundé NAT 43,873 129,08 172,95 50,521 27,623 78,144 17,326 49,311 66,637 Total Yaoundé 2966,6 2201,1 5167,7 2009,1 2304,5 4313,5 1499,22 2264,4 3763,6 53 Mali Bamako Airport Traffic (Source: ANAC – Mali) 2008 Passengers (to/from) Airport Arrival Departure Total (T) Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso) 7,381 9,445 16,826 Conakry (Guinea) 2,557 4,230 6,787 2009 Passengers % vs. T (to/from) Airport Arrival Departure Total (T) previous year Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso) 8,336 9,132 17,468 +3.82% Conakry (Guinea) 3,128 4,055 7,183 +5.83% 2010 Passengers % vs. T (to/from) Airport Arrival Departure Total (T) previous year Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso) 9,881 11,189 21,070 +20.62% Conakry (Guinée) 2,907 5,371 8,278 +15.24% 2011 Passengers % vs. T (to/from) Airport Arrival Departure Total (T) previous year Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso) 7,659 11,695 19,354 -8.14% Conakry (Guinea) 2,585 8,117 10,702 +29.28% 2012 Passengers % vs. T (to/from) Airport Arrival Departure Total (T) previous year Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso) 7,726 20,426 28,152 +45.46% Conakry (Guinea) 4,721 5,167 9,888 -7.61% 2013 Passengers % vs. T (to/from) Airport Arrival Departure Total (T) previous year Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso) 8,773 9,096 17,869 -36.53% Conakry (Guinea) 4,877 4,737 9,614 -2.77% 2006-2013 Passengers (to/from) Airport Arrival Departure Total (T) Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso) 49,756 70,983 120,739 Conakry (Guinea) 20,775 31,677 52,452 54 Economic & Financial Analysis – Burkina Faso Source: The Worldbank (C. Manopiniwes – GTIDR – November, 2014) % of Tourism reduced due to safety issue 10.0% % of Tourism retained without AF 90.0% in 2015 Base Total contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP With AF Without AF Diff Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Year 2006 -6.46 285.00 0.00 285.00 -6.46 IRR 26% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2007 0.00 348.00 0.00 348.00 0.00 30% 86% 72% 62% 54% 48% % of Tourism retained 2008 0.00 346.00 0.00 346.00 0.00 40% 82% 68% 59% 51% 46% 2009 0.00 350.00 0.00 350.00 0.00 50% 76% 64% 55% 48% 43% without AF 2010 0.00 328.00 0.00 328.00 0.00 60% 70% 59% 51% 45% 40% 2011 0.00 356.00 0.00 356.00 0.00 70% 63% 53% 46% 40% 36% 2012 0.00 375.00 0.00 375.00 0.00 80% 53% 45% 39% 35% 31% 2013 0.00 398.00 0.00 398.00 0.00 90% 38% 32% 29% 26% 23% 2014 0.00 419.00 0.00 419.00 0.00 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2015 0.00 437.00 -6.46 393.30 50.16 2016 0.00 455.00 0.00 455.00 0.00 80% 2017 0.00 479.00 0.00 479.00 0.00 The year of 2018 0.00 501.00 0.00 501.00 0.00 70% safety incicdent 2019 0.00 521.00 0.00 521.00 0.00 impact 60% 2020 0.00 543.00 0.00 543.00 0.00 2013 50% 2014 NPV 14.81 40% 2015 IRR 26% 30% 2016 20% 10% 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 55 Economic & Financial Analysis – Cameroon Source: The Worldbank (C. Manopiniwes – GTIDR – November, 2014) % of Tourism reduced due to safety issue 10.0% % of Tourism retained without AF 90.0% in 2015 Base Total contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP With AF Without AF Diff Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Year 2006 -16.00 1,429.00 0.00 1,429.00 -16.00 IRR 32% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2007 0.00 1,409.00 0.00 1,409.00 0.00 30% 103% 84% 72% 63% 56% % of Tourism retained 2008 0.00 1,289.00 0.00 1,289.00 0.00 40% 98% 80% 68% 60% 53% 2009 0.00 1,505.00 0.00 1,505.00 0.00 50% 92% 75% 65% 57% 51% without AF 2010 0.00 1,457.00 0.00 1,457.00 0.00 60% 85% 70% 60% 53% 47% 2011 0.00 1,560.00 0.00 1,560.00 0.00 70% 76% 63% 55% 48% 43% 2012 0.00 1,556.00 0.00 1,556.00 0.00 80% 65% 54% 47% 42% 38% 2013 0.00 1,600.00 0.00 1,600.00 0.00 90% 49% 41% 36% 32% 29% 2014 0.00 1,695.00 0.00 1,695.00 0.00 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2015 0.00 1,799.00 -16.00 1,619.10 195.90 2016 0.00 1,899.00 0.00 1,899.00 0.00 90% 2017 0.00 2,012.00 0.00 2,012.00 0.00 The year of 80% 2018 0.00 2,147.00 0.00 2,147.00 0.00 safety incicdent 2019 0.00 2,283.00 0.00 2,283.00 0.00 70% impact 2020 0.00 2,424.00 0.00 2,424.00 0.00 2013 60% 2014 NPV 67.08 50% 2015 IRR 32% 40% 2016 30% 20% 10% 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 56 Economic & Financial Analysis – Guinea Source: The Worldbank (C. Manopiniwes – GTIDR – November, 2014) % of Tourism reduced due to safety issue 10.0% % of Tourism retained without AF 90.0% in 2015 Base Total contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP With AF Without AF Diff Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Year 2006 -7.10 236.00 0.00 236.00 -7.10 IRR 22% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2007 0.00 281.00 0.00 281.00 0.00 30% 76% 63% 54% 48% 43% % of Tourism retained 2008 0.00 299.00 0.00 299.00 0.00 40% 72% 60% 52% 46% 41% 2009 0.00 297.00 0.00 297.00 0.00 50% 67% 56% 48% 43% 39% without AF 2010 0.00 310.00 0.00 310.00 0.00 60% 61% 51% 44% 40% 36% 2011 0.00 282.00 0.00 282.00 0.00 70% 54% 45% 40% 36% 32% 2012 0.00 292.00 0.00 292.00 0.00 80% 45% 38% 33% 30% 27% 2013 0.00 301.00 0.00 301.00 0.00 90% 31% 27% 24% 22% 20% 2014 0.00 318.00 0.00 318.00 0.00 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2015 0.00 342.00 -7.10 307.80 41.30 2016 0.00 364.00 0.00 364.00 0.00 2017 0.00 387.00 0.00 387.00 0.00 70% The year of 2018 0.00 410.00 0.00 410.00 0.00 60% safety incicdent 2019 0.00 433.00 0.00 433.00 0.00 impact 2020 0.00 458.00 0.00 458.00 0.00 50% 2013 NPV 10.42 40% 2014 IRR 22% 2015 30% 2016 20% 10% 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 57 Economic & Financial Analysis – Mali Source: The Worldbank (C. Manopiniwes – GTIDR – November, 2014) % of Tourism reduced due to safety issue 10.0% % of Tourism retained without project 90.0% in 2015 Base Total contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP With AF Without AF Diff Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Year 2006 -5.51 882.00 0.00 882.00 -5.51 IRR 39% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2007 0.00 834.00 0.00 834.00 0.00 30% 130% 98% 83% 72% 64% % of Tourism retained 2008 0.00 1,002.00 0.00 1,002.00 0.00 40% 124% 94% 79% 69% 62% without project 2009 0.00 908.00 0.00 908.00 0.00 50% 117% 89% 75% 66% 59% 2010 0.00 1,039.00 0.00 1,039.00 0.00 60% 109% 83% 70% 62% 55% 2011 0.00 1,170.00 0.00 1,170.00 0.00 70% 100% 76% 64% 57% 51% 2012 0.00 1,146.00 0.00 1,146.00 0.00 80% 87% 66% 56% 50% 45% 2013 0.00 940.00 0.00 940.00 0.00 90% 67% 51% 44% 39% 36% 2014 0.00 963.00 0.00 963.00 0.00 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2015 0.00 1,044.00 -5.51 939.60 109.91 2016 0.00 1,110.00 0.00 1,110.00 0.00 110% 2017 0.00 1,175.00 0.00 1,175.00 0.00 100% The year of 2018 0.00 1,240.00 0.00 1,240.00 0.00 safety incicdent 90% 2019 0.00 1,304.00 0.00 1,304.00 0.00 impact 80% 2020 0.00 1,370.00 0.00 1,370.00 0.00 2013 70% 2014 NPV 41.10 60% 2015 IRR 39% 50% 2016 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 58 Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes (a) Task Team members Responsibility/ Names Title Unit Specialty Lending Christopher Cozzone Temporary AFTTR Linda Carole Glassiognon Senior Program Assistant AFCCD Tiemoko Sariette Jene M. C. Jippe Temporary AFTTR Jean-Francois Marteau Country Sector Coordinator ECSSD Pierre A. Pozzo di Borgo Program Coordinator AFTTR Noroarisoa Rabefaniraka Sr Transport. Spec. AFTTR Supervision/ICR Marouane Ameziane Temporary AFTTR Kingson Khan Apara Sr Transport. Specialist AFTTR Bhanoumatee Ayoung Lead Procurement Specialist OPCPR Elisabeth Marie Bambara Program Assistant AFMBF Racky Dia Camara Program Assistant AFMGN Nestor Coffi Country Manager AFMNE Christopher Cozzone Temporary AFTTR William Dakpo Procurement Specialist AFTPC Bella Lelouma Diallo Sr Financial Management Specialist AFTFM Mahine Diop Senior Municipal Engineer AFTUW Roukaya El Houda Temporary AFTTR Papa Mamadou Fall Transport Specialist AFTTR Maimouna Mbow Fam Sr Financial Management Specialist AFTFM Emile Louis Rene Finateu Consultant AFTFM Karine Guillot Measson Consultant LCSTR Sariette Jene M. C. Jippe Temporary AFTTR Jean-Francois Marteau Country Sector Coordinator ECSSD Kolie Ousmane Maurice Financial Management Specialist AFTFM Megnan Gnoleba Mathieu Meguhe Consultant AFTFM Kouami Hounsinou Messan Senior Procurement Specialist AFTPC Fridolin Ondobo Financial Management Specialist AFTFM Noroarisoa Rabefaniraka Sr Transport. Specialist AFTTR Rokhayatou Sarr Samb Procurement Specialist AFTPC Aguiratou Savadogo-Tinto Sr Transport. Specialist AFTTR Aoua Toure Sow Program Assistant AFCW3 Cheick Traore Senior Procurement Specialist AFTPC Rafael Treibich Temporary AFTTR AFMCM Lydie Yangouot Language Program Assistant - HIS Mamadou Yaro Sr Financial Management Specialist AFTFM 59 (b) Staff Time and Cost Staff Time and Cost (Bank Budget Only) USD Thousands Stage of Project Cycle No. of staff weeks (including travel and consultant costs) Lending FY04 19.29 124.79 FY05 24.99 145.31 FY06 54.70 242.54 FY07 4.60 14.16 FY08 0.00 0.00 FY09 0.00 0.00 FY10 0.00 0.00 FY11 0.00 0.00 FY12 0.00 0.00 FY13 0.00 0.00 FY14 0.00 0.00 FY15 0.00 0.00 Total: 103.58 526.80 Supervision/ICR FY04 0.00 0.00 FY05 0.00 0.00 FY06 0.00 0.00 FY07 36.45 133.26 FY08 43.58 187.25 FY09 29.26 118.97 FY10 16.83 57.90 FY11 31.36 95.68 FY12 33.97 73.38 FY13 24.66 55.78 FY14 16.54 71.11 FY15 4.53 18.67 Total: 237.18 812.00 60 Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results (if any) Not available 61 Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results - Burkina Faso: (Burkina Faso) ICR restitution workshop held in June, 2013 - Cameroon: (Cameroon) ICR restitution workshop held in March, 2014 - Guinea: no ICR restitution workshop held - Mali: no ICR restitution workshop held - Regional workshops: two national project coordinators meetings held in March, 2010 and November, 2013 in order for each country to respectively share its Project’s results, outcomes, lessons learned, etc. 62 Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR Burkina Faso La composante nationale pour le Burkina Faso, contenue dans la première Phase du Projet Régional de Sécurité et de Sûreté du Transport Aérien en Afrique de l’Ouest et du Centre (PSSTAAOC) est un projet d’appui de la Banque Mondiale au Deuxième Programme Sectoriel des Transports (PST-2). Il s’inscrit dans un double contexte à savoir d’une part, la Stratégie d’Assistance Pays de la Banque Mondiale au Burkina Faso et d’autre part, le Cadre Stratégique de Lutte contre la Pauvreté (CSLP). Le projet devrait soutenir les efforts du Gouvernement et des acteurs opérationnels aéroportuaires pour l’amélioration de la conformité de son aviation civile et de l’aéroport international de Ouagadougou avec les normes de sécurité et sûreté de l’Organisation de l’Aviation Civile Internationale (OACI). Le PSSTAAOC comprend deux parties:  la 1ère Partie : Renforcement des capacités de surveillance de la DGACM en matière de sûreté et sécurité, vise le renforcement des capacités de surveillance de la DGACM en matière de sûreté et de sécurité,  la 2ème Partie : Normes de sécurité et de sûreté de l’Aéroport pour un montant de 2.020.000 DTS. vise l’amélioration des normes de sûreté. A ces deux parties, un non alloué a été prévu pour couvrir les imprévus. Le Crédit total alloué à la composante nationale du Burkina Faso couvre la période initiale de 2006 à 2009, puis prorogée à juin 2013. Les activités du projet ont effectivement démarré le 15 novembre 2006 et prendront fin en juin 2013. Au total pendant les 7 ans de vie du PSSTAAOC, toutes les activités prévues ont été exécutées grâce à deux prorogations. Ces reports intervenus au cours de la vie du projet, ont permis de réajuster la planification initiale afin de disposer de délais complémentaires pour l’achèvement des travaux. Au titre de la 1ère Partie, les activités programmées sont pour l’essentiel déjà achevées. En termes de réalisations physiques, on note la formation de plus de 365 acteurs du secteur du transport aérien (DGACM, Police, Gendarmerie, Douanes, DAAN, etc.) dans les domaines de la sûreté et de la sécurité aérienne et l’assistance apportée à l’ANAC en vue de la réalisation de certaines études institutionnelles. Au titre de la 2ème partie, deux volets sont à considérer : pour le volet fournitures, la majeure partie des fournitures initialement programmées a été acquise et est fonctionnelle. les activités du volet travaux du projet sont dans l’ensemble terminées. 63 Le montant total des dépenses décaissées sur compte spécial au 30 juin 2013, s’élève à trois milliards trois cent soixante sept millions huit cent quarante deux mille huit cent cinq (3 367 842 805) F CFA soit un taux de 99,64 % F CFA. A cette date, les dépenses en instance de remboursement s’élèvent à 88 378 776 F CFA alors que le cumul des engagements s’élève à 3 380 140 487 F CFA soit un taux d’engagement de 99,98%. Au 30 novembre 2013, les dépenses en instance de remboursement au s’élèvent à 11 959 645 F CFA alors que le cumul des engagements s’élève à 3 379 802 450 F CFA soit un taux d’engagement de 99,99%. De l’analyse des résultats au terme de l’évaluation à la clôture du projet, il ressort que le projet était très pertinent et doté d'une bonne conception de départ. Le projet a été exécuté de manière efficiente et les objectifs poursuivis ont été largement atteints. Le tableau ci- dessus présente les scores du projet tels qu’ils résultent des travaux d’évaluation. L’évaluation étant basée essentiellement sur une analyse des paramètres clés permettant de mesurer les performances d’un projet : Tableau 1 - Notation des performances du Projet. Critères de notation Paramètres Score Appréciation utilisés Pertinence du 100% (5) Très bonne projet 5 = Très bonne / Très Cohérence de la 90% (5) Très bonne satisfaisant / Élevé (75- démarche 100 pour cent d’atteinte Efficience du 60% (4) Satisfaisant des objectifs) projet Efficacité du projet 50% (3) Moyennement Satisfaisant (niveau de 4= Bonne / Satisfaisant / réalisation) Substantiel (50-74 pour cent) Mobilisation des 80% (5) Très bonne ressources financières 3 = Faible / Peu Viabilité 80% (5) Très bonne satisfaisant / Modeste / économique Fragile (25-49 pour Durabilité des 90% (5) Très bonne cent) résultats Effets possibles à 90% (5) Élevé 1 = Très faible / Non moyen terme / satisfaisant / Très fragile Impact (0-24 pour cent) 64 Sur la base de l’analyse des acquis majeurs du projet et de l’appréciation qui en est faite, y compris par les bénéficiaires, les leçons suivantes peuvent être tirées :  la lenteur dans la satisfaction des conditions de prêt par le Gouvernement a entraîné un décalage dans le calendrier de mise en œuvre du projet ;  l’approche de mise en œuvre, à travers le faire faire, le renforcement des capacités des structures opérationnelles et une légère coordination administrative et de gestion, s’est révélée efficace ;  le projet a permis d’éclairer l’ensemble des acteurs du secteur sur l’importance de la problématique en matière de sécurité et de sûreté aéroportuaires dans la croissance économique du pays ;  le projet a été d’un intérêt capital en ce sens qu’il a permis de renouveler le matériel vétuste, d’apporter une avancée technologique très significative à l’aéroport et de se conformer aux normes de sécurité et de sûreté de l’OACI grâce à l’appui de la Banque Mondiale. Cette avancée a été confirmée par l’audit réalisé en mai 2013 qui montre une nette amélioration en matière de sûreté et de sécurité en conformité avec les normes de l’OACI. Le projet a permis d’insuffler une nouvelle vision en matière de sécurité et de sûreté et a suscité un regain d’intérêt en matière de formation continue du personnel opérationnel et administratif à travers le renforcement des capacités des agents effectué par la banque. Avec l’opérationnalisation de l’ANAC, le Burkina Faso se conforme désormais à la Directive No 01/2004/CM de l’UEMOA portant statut des Administrations de l’Aviation Civile (AAC) des États-Membres de l’UEMOA, avec l’appui du projet actuel. Suite à la nomination du Directeur Général en octobre 2011, et à l’adoption de l’organigramme et les fiches de poste en avril 2012, ainsi qu’au recrutement et à la sélection du personnel finalisés à la fin de l’année 2012, à l’adoption du budget préliminaire de l’ANAC lors du dernier Conseil d’Administration le 04/01/2013 à Bobo Dioulasso , et au début de la perception direct des redevances qui lui reviennent, la mission note que l’ANAC est désormais opérationnelle. Elle a convenu avec le Ministre des Infrastructures, du Désenclavement et des Transports, ainsi qu’avec le Directeur Général, que la répartition des redevances actuellement perçues par la DAAN pour allouer ses parts à l’ANAC en permettant à celle-ci la capacité de percevoir directement ses redevances, doit être accélérée et être effective avant la fin du mois de mai 2013. La mission note, dans tous les cas, que la perception et la répartition des redevances aéronautiques ne se fait que par le biais du Comité de Gestion des Activités Aéronautiques Nationales. Au regard des leçons ci-dessus énumérées, les recommandations suivantes ont été formulées pour contribuer à renforcer la qualité de la conception et de la mise en œuvre des interventions futures en matière de sécurité et de sûreté du transport aérien au Burkina Faso : 1. la poursuite des efforts de mobilisation de ressources financières par l’ANAC, en vue de l’accroissement de sa contribution à la sûreté et lui permettre d’être plus opérationnelle ; 65 2. la poursuite du renforcement des capacités techniques des cadres techniques de l’ANAC, des agents de la Gendarmerie, de la police spéciale de l’aéroport et de la DAAN à travers l’élaboration d’un plan de formation à court et à moyen termes ; 3. envisager la formulation d’une deuxième phase d’un projet PSSTAAOC, afin de contribuer à la durabilité des acquis de la première phase du projet. Il faut envisager un autre projet car des actions menées ont connu du succès, mais il faut un accompagnement pendant une période afin de garantir la réussite totale. En plus, il faut prendre en compte l’aéroport de Bobo-Dioulasso qui est devenu international et à ce niveau les besoins d’amélioration de sécurité, de sûreté et de mise en conformité avec les normes de l’OACI existent ; 4. au regard du volume des marchés publics et de la spécificité du domaine de l’Aviation Civile, il est important d’étoffer le Bureau de Coordination en Spécialiste à la Passation des Marchés pour une plus grande efficacité. 66 Cameroon En 2006 la Banque Mondiale a approuvé un don de 14,5 millions de dollars en faveur du Cameroun dans le cadre d'une première phase d'un vaste programme de renforcement de la sécurité et de la sûreté du transport Aérien en Afrique de l'Ouest et du Centre. Le volet camerounais de cette phase pionnière qui regroupait également le Burkina Faso, la Guinée et le mali, s'est achevé le 30 juin 2013, ayant enregistré la quasi totalité des résultats qui lui étaient assignés. Le présent rapport d'achèvement entrepris sur financement de la CCAA par un consultant indépendant a révélé qu'en dépit desdits résultats l'aviation civile camerounaise reste largement non conforme aux normes internationales, notamment aux plans législatif, réglementaire, organisationnel et infrastructurel. Ceci s'explique essentiellement par l'approche minimaliste suivie lors de la conception du projet, une approche qui au fonds était dictée par trois facteurs essentiels, à savoir: (i) Le scepticisme du bailleur de fonds sur la capacité des pays à entreprendre les réformes institutionnelles appropriées; (ii) L'insuffisance des ressources de l'IDA notamment pour un programme aussi vaste qui visait 22 pays d'Afrique de l'Ouest et du Centre; et (iii) Le peu d'ambition exprimé par le Cameroun en matière de sécurité aérienne à travers son cadre stratégique, le Document de Stratégie de Réduction de la Pauvreté (DRSP) adopté en 2004. Aussi, l'évaluation de l'opération arrive-t-elle à la conclusion que cette première phase du programme aurait mieux profité au Cameroun si sa conception lui avait assigné des objectifs suffisamment ambitieux à la taille des atouts qui lui étaient reconnus au départ par le bailleur de fonds lui même, à savoir:  une autorité de l'aviation civile qui existait depuis 1998;  une loi sur l'aviation civile largement calée sur la Déclaration de Yamoussoukro,  un système de financement direct des opérations de supervision de la sécurité et de la sûreté aériennes basé sur les ressources garanties par la loi sus visée;  un personnel technique relativement qualifié et répondant à 45% aux normes de l'Organisation de l'Aviation Civile Internationale (OACI); et  l'expérience des audits de l'OACI (exemple celui de la sûreté réalisé en 2004). Une conséquence de cette approche limitative fut que les objectifs du projet ne visaient que partiellement la conformité de la CCAA et des aéroports internationaux de Douala et de Nsimalen aux normes de l'OACI, laissant de côté les autres aéroports internationaux, certains éléments cruciaux de supervision, les aérodromes nationaux, et les exigences des pays à grande influence commerciale tels que les Etats Unis d'Amérique et l'Union Européenne. 67 Cette approche contraignante et parcellaire est désormais en déphasage total avec la Vision du Chef de l'Etat pour un Cameroun Emergent, Démocratique, et Unis Dans sa Diversité, à l'horizon 2035. De ce fait, elle ne saurait permettre au transport aérien camerounais de contribuer de manière optimale aux objectifs et hypothèses qui lui sont prescrits dans le Document de Stratégie de la Croissance et de l'Emploi (DSCE), notamment la croissance minimum annuelle moyenne de 6% . En outre, force est de constater que ce projet a permis l'achat des équipements et la réhabilitation des infrastructures aéroportuaires, alors que leur conception n'a pas prévu la mise en place des mesures appropriées pour garantir leur pérennisation. Au-delà de ces considérations d'ordre conceptuel, le contexte camerounais actuel s'illustre particulièrement par trois événements nouveaux qui sont : (i) des incidents d'enlèvement et de destruction des biens et de pertes en vies humaines orchestrés par le mouvement extrémiste Boko Haram notamment dans la Région de l'Extrême Nord, (ii) la dégradation de la situation socio-sécuritaire en République Centrafricaine par l’émergence de mouvements insurrectionnels dont les actions débordent de temps en temps en sol camerounais et (iii) la décision ministérielle d’avril 2014 érigeant l'aéroport de Maroua- Salak à un statut international. L'érection de l’aéroport de Maroua-Salak au rang d’aéroport international porte donc le nombre d'aéroports internationaux camerounais à quatre, à savoir Douala, Yaoundé- Nsimalen, Garoua et Maroua-Salak. Seuls les deux premiers cités ont été couverts par le PRSSAC. C'est pourquoi les acteurs du secteur réunis à Douala le 26 mars 2014 dans le cadre de la restitution du présent rapport d'achèvement du projet ont réaffirmé la nécessité et l'urgence de mettre sur pied un programme de maitrise de la sécurité aérienne capable de répondre aux exigences et aux attentes du Cameroun Emergent. Ils estiment qu'une approche programme visant des objectifs de long terme, assise sur un cadre de suivi national institutionnalisé, à son tour assorti des repères et des déclencheurs, serait plus adaptée à la problématique du transport aérien de l'heure et aux ambitions du gouvernement pour le secteur. C'est pour cela qu'ils souhaitent qu'une deuxième phase du PRSSAC soit mise en place urgemment pour pallier à ces insuffisances. Pour ce faire, les participants ont souhaité qu'une plateforme nationale soit mise en place pour permettre que le deuxième projet connaisse une préparation inclusive de tous les acteurs du secteur de l'aviation civile. RESULTATS DE L'ANALYSE DE LA PERFORMANCE DU PROJET Le présent résumé exécutif présente les résultats de l'analyse effectuée sur le PRSSAC qui s'achève, dans le but de souligner le bien fondé du projet, ses résultats ainsi que les leçons qui découlent de sa conception et de sa mise en œuvre. Elle présente également les résultats de l'évaluation qui est faite concernant la performance du projet, celle du gouvernement, de son agence d'exécution qui est la CCAA, et de la Banque Mondiale. 68 NOTATION DE LA PERFORMANCE DU PROJET ET DE SES ACTEURS Les éléments et la méthodologie suivis pour la notation de la performance du projet et de ses acteurs sont clarifiés et définis dans la partie IV du présent rapport. Ils comprennent les facteurs et les critères qui permettent de porter un jugement sur le projet dans toute sa dimension. Les facteurs concernent les paramètres sur lesquels l'évaluation du projet doit être basée. ll s'agit notamment des objectifs du projet, de ses composantes, des facteurs qui ont influencé sa mise en œuvre, de l'efficacité avec laquelle les solutions et les dispositions institutionnelles du projet ont été développées et réalisées, ainsi que le déroulement du projet dans le temps (sa durée). Chacun des facteurs est analysé en termes de quatre critères qui sont l'adéquation, la pertinence, l'effectivité, et l'efficience. Sur la base de ces éléments l'évaluation de la performance du PRSSAC et de ses acteurs est présentée en détail dans la Partie VI du présent rapport. Cette évaluation est résumée ici comme suit: Sur le Plan de la pertinence Le PRSSAC fut utile pour le Cameroun au regard du contexte qui prévalait à sa conception qui était marqué notamment par la recrudescence de l'insécurité aérienne à travers le monde, illustrée par les terribles attentats terroristes du 11 septembre 2001 aux Etats-Unis et sur les bâtiments et lieux publics en Afrique de l'Est. En outre, il répondait à une préoccupation formulée par les pays d'Afrique de l'Ouest et du Centre, dont le Cameroun, à travers la Décision de Yamoussoukro en 1998 qui appelait à une augmentation de la part africaine dans le marché mondial de l'aviation civile notamment à travers la restructuration du secteur et le renforcement de la sécurité et de la sûreté aériennes. Le projet fût également cohérent avec les prescriptions sur la sécurité aérienne du Document de Stratégie de Réduction de la Pauvreté (DSRP) du gouvernement adopté en 2004 qui mettait l'accent sur le renforcement de la sécurité de l'aéroport international de Douala par la construction d'une clôture le long de son périmètre. Cette problématique de la clôture à l’aéroport international de Douala était d’ailleurs le seul point que le DSRP abordait en matière de sécurité aérienne. Au plan sectoriel, la Stratégie Sectorielle de Transport (SST) mise en place en 1994 dans un contexte d'ajustement structurel était devenue obsolète et méritait d'être revisitée pour mieux situer la problématique du transport aérien face aux défis d'insécurité supra évoqués. C'est pour cette raison qu'une des activités du présent projet fut la réalisation d'une étude sectorielle de transport aérien qui devait jeter les jalons d'une nouvelle politique sectorielle. 69 En conclusion, les objectifs du projet étaient globalement pertinents dans la mesure où la conception du projet a bien pris en compte les priorités de développement qui restent valables au moment de la présente évaluation. De ce point de vue le projet est jugé satisfaisant sur le plan de la pertinence de ses objectifs. Cependant le projet est modérément non satisfaisant sur le plan de l'adéquation de ses objectifs pour les raisons évoquées dans la Conclusion Générale ci-dessus. Quant aux composantes, celles-ci étaient globalement pertinentes par rapport à la problématique des bénéficiaires telle que définie dans le document du projet. Néanmoins la conception du projet n'a pas bien établi les liens de cause à effet entre les livrables du projet et les résultats attendus. De ce point de vue le projet est jugé modérément satisfaisant sur le plan de la pertinence de ses composantes. Sur le Plan de l'effectivité Le cadre logique du projet comportait les trois objectifs de développement suivants : (i) L'amélioration de la conformité de la Cameroon Civil Aviation Authority (CCAA) aux normes de sûreté de l'OACI; (ii) L'augmentation de la conformité de la CCAA aux normes de sécurité de l'OACI, et (iii) Le renforcement de la conformité des aéroports internationaux de Douala et de Yaoundé-Nsimalen aux normes de sécurité de l'OACI. A chacun de ces trois objectifs étaient associés trois indicateurs de suivi, soit neuf indicateurs au total. Les trois objectifs de développement assignés au PRSSAC sont quasiment atteints comme le témoignent les données du tableau ci-dessous. Résumé des résultats du Projet N OBJECTIFS DE DEVELOPPEMENT CIBLE VALEU VALEUR o EN R DE RELLE EN FIN REFERE FIN DU DU NCE PROJET PROJE (2006) (2013) T Objectif 1: L'amélioration de la conformité de la CCAA aux normes de sûreté de l'OACI 1 Taux global de conformité de la CCAA aux 70 80 70 normes de sûreté de l'OACI80 2 % personnel technique conformes aux normes 45 100 100 de sûreté de l'OACI 3 Budget Annuel de la CCAA (million de 9.2 22.7 22.7 dollars) 80 Valeurs de référence et Cible révisées à la baisse de70% à 46% et de 90 % à 70% respectivement en 2009 suite à l’introduction en 2008 de l’approche systémique de l’OACI dans l'évaluation de la conformité aux normes de sûreté. 70 Objectif 2: L'augmentation de la conformité de la CCAA aux normes de sécurité de l'OACI 4 Taux global de conformité de la CCAA aux 30 76 >75 normes de sécurité de l'OACI 5 % inspecteurs de la sécurité de la CCAA 25 90 >75 certifiés par l'OACI 6 Budget total de la CCAAA dédié à la sécurité 0.6 1.8 0.9 (million de dollars) Objectif 3: Le renforcement de la conformité des aéroports internationaux de Douala et de Yaoundé-Nsimalen aux normes de sécurité de l'OACI 7 Pourcentage des passagers à l'embarquement n.a 2 <2 refoulés en possession des objets illégaux 8 % du personnel de sécurité des aéroports avec 20 50 70 une expérience d'au moins trois ans 9 Nombre de problèmes sérieux enregistrés n.a 3 <3 pendant les exercices de crise annuels n.a. = Non Disponible Pour ce qui est des livrables, sur 16 sous-composantes du projet 13 ont été achevées conformément aux spécifications souhaitées. Les treize sous composantes achevées sont: (i) équipement de la bibliothèque; (ii) équipements généraux de formation en sécurité; (iii) réglementation et mesures de sécurité aéroportuaire; (iv) formation; (v) Construction et équipement du CDOU à l'aéroport de Douala; (vi) équipement de sécurité; (vii) véhicules, motos et bus de patrouilles; (viii) systèmes d'identification; (ix) système de surveillance; (x) système de contrôle d'accès; (xi) Formation en sûreté; (xii) Construction de la clôture et des routes d'enceinte aux aéroports de Douala et de Yaoundé-Nsimalen et (xiii) Réhabilitation des infrastructures aéroportuaires. La non réalisation des trois autres sous-composantes est attribuée à l'insuffisance du financement suite à un dépassement des couts du projet. Les trois-sous composantes non réalisées concernent l'étude sectorielle du transport aérien, la construction des approches GNSS et la construction et l'équipement d'un centre directeur des opérations d'urgence à l'aéroport international de Yaoundé-Nsimalen. Néanmoins, et compte tenu de la définition des trois opérations et du niveau des résultats atteints, leur non réalisation n'a pas influencé les objectifs assignés à ce projet. Il faut tout de même relever que la non réalisation de l'étude sectorielle du transport aérien et du système GNSS, bien que n'ayant pas d'impact sur les objectifs du projet, constitue un handicap majeur dans la mesure où le secteur ne dispose pas d'un cadre de planification lui permettant de répondre aux prescriptions du DSCE. Au vue de ce qui précède on peut conclure que le projet a été modérément satisfaisant sur le plan de ses résultats, ceci grâce aux différentes mesures prises lors de a mise en œuvre pour notamment proroger sa durée et combler le déficit de son financement due au dépassement des coûts. 71 Sur le plan financier Le coût du projet est passé de 16 millions de dollars dans le Document d'Evaluation du Projet (PAD) à 26,80 millions de dollars à la fin de sa mise en œuvre, soit une augmentation de 67%. Les raisons de ce dépassement sont essentiellement de quatre ordres, à savoir: (i) la non prise en compte dans le PAD de la Taxe sur la Valeur Ajoutée (TVA) et des droits de douanes dont la liquidation dans le cadre des projets de développement est une obligation au Cameroun; (ii) le doublement de la durée du projet dont la clôture a été reportée deux fois du 31 décembre 2009 au 31 décembre 2011 et au 30 juin 2013; (iii) l'estimation des coûts qui était sur des bases forfaitaires; et (iv) les prix issus des appels d'offres qui se sont avérés plus élevés que ceux estimés lors de la conception du projet. La TVA sur les contrats du projet a été financée en cours du projet à concurrence de 1,115 milliards de francs CFA et les taxes douanières pour un montant de 646,5 millions de francs CFA, soit 22% du coût initial du projet. L'estimation du coût du projet était également sur des bases purement forfaitaires et non fondées, du fait de l'absence des études préalables. En outre elle ne comportait pas la Taxe sur la Valeur Ajoutée (TVA) et les droits de douane alors que leur liquidation dans les projets de développement est obligatoire au Cameroun. Pour le PRSSAC ces charges représentent environs 22% pourcent des coûts directs (soit 19,25% de TVA et 3,75% de droits de Douanes). Ceci est une leçon de taille à considérer pour les projets futurs. Aussi, les aléas financiers et physiques furent estimés à 7,3% du coût direct du projet ce qui est à peine la moitié des 15% généralement pratiqués pour les projets d'investissement financés par la Banque Mondiale. Dès lors que les aléas financiers et physiques sont fonction de la durée de mise en œuvre d'un projet, Il fallait donc s'attendre à ce que l'optimisme affiché sur la durée du PRSSAC impacte de manière inversement proportionnelle sur son coût. Au vu de ces considérations et en prenant la durée minimum de 5 ans observée pour les projets similaires récents au Cameroun, on peut conclure que le cout du projet et par conséquent sont financement ont été sous estimés dès le départ d'au moins 40%. Le report de la date de clôture par deux fois a occasionné à son tour le doublement du coût de fonctionnement du projet qui est passé de 1,5 millions de dollars à 3,2 millions de dollars. En outre, les dispositions de mise en œuvre des mesures sociales n'ont pas été réglées avant le démarrage du projet bien que le Plan d'Action de Recasement (PAR) y relatif ait été préparé depuis 2005. 72 Les prix issus des appels d'offres ont été supérieurs aux estimations initiales. Les membres de l'UGP attribuent ce dépassement des coûts essentiellement à l'inflation, au manque d'études de base lors de la phase préparatoire du projet et au retard pris dans la réalisation des travaux. Sur le plan financier, il est donc claire que ce projet n'aurait pas atteint les résultats qu'il a enregistrés n'eut été le déblocage des fonds supplémentaires par la CCAA et l'Etat, les gains de changes sur le don IDA et les deux prorogations de sa date de clôture. Sur le plan de la mise en œuvre Initialement prévue sur une durée de trois ans la mise en œuvre du projet a finalement pris 7 ans depuis la signature des accords de financement le 2 juin 2006 à sa clôture le 30 juin 2013. La raison principale est que la durée fixée à la conception du projet était optimiste. En effet, pratiquement tous les projets d'infrastructures similaires réalisés au Cameroun dans le cadre des financements de la Banque Mondiale ont duré plus de trois ans. Une analyse des projets antérieurs (qui est bien recommandée dans la conception des projets en général) aurait permis d'être moins optimiste quant à cette durée de trois ans. L'analyse de la passation et de l'exécution des marchés permet de confirmer que les problèmes liés à la passation et à l'exécution des marchés étaient d'envergure et partagés entre la Banque Mondiale qui accusait parfois des retards importants dans la formulation des non objections, l'agence d'exécution qui manquait la maitrise des procédures et la rigueur dans ses analyses et aux entreprises dont certaines n'avaient pas la capacité souhaitée ou déclaraient de fausses informations. Sur le plan de la performance du projet La Banque Mondiale donne une classification globalement satisfaisante tant aux résultats du projet qu'en ce qui concerne la gestion et la maitrise des aspects de sauvegarde environnementale et sociale. Le présent rapport partage largement cette classification sauf sur les aspects indiqués dans le tableau 32 à la Page 86. Sur le plan de l'efficacité de la mise en œuvre, y compris la réalisation des conditions d'atteinte des objectifs de développement, le gouvernement et son agence d'exécution ont montré une performance modérément satisfaisante. La performance de la Banque Mondiale dans la conception et la qualité à l'entrée est modérément non satisfaisant sur le plan de sa conception et de la qualité à l'entrée. De même la performance de la Banque Mondiale est modérément non satisfaisante sur le plan de l'assurance de la qualité à l'entrée. Sa performance dans la supervision du projet a été satisfaisante. Une analyse détaillée qui aboutit à cette classification est présentée dans la Partie VI du présent rapport. 73 Sur le plan de la durabilité du PRSSAC Le projet a permis de financer les audits de conformité qui ont donné lieu à la préparation des Plans d'Actions Correctrices (PAC). Les PAC ont été préparés par le Gouvernement et ont été validés par l'OACI. La mise en place des PAC a été d’un apport important au PRSSAC dans la mesure où le Gouvernement et la CCAA peuvent dorénavant les utiliser de manière permanente et systématique pour suivre la performance du secteur en matière de sécurité et de sûreté aérienne sans forcément faire appel à l'aide extérieure. Aussi, la conformité recherchée à travers le projet repose dans une large mesure sur les PAC dont la réalisation doit être permanente. Ceci exige des moyens financiers et humains supplémentaires qu'il faudra prendre en compte dans la programmation budgétaire de l'Autorité Aéronautique. Afin d'assurer la permanence des PAC dans la phase opérationnelle du PRSSAC, il aurait fallu les insérer dans le cadrage budgétaire de la CCAA à partir de l'année fiscale 2014. Cette insertion et les rapports qui en suivraient auraient servi de baromètre pour apprécier l'opérationnalité du projet. La valorisation des équipements et des infrastructures du projet dépend dans une large mesure sur des solutions mises en place pour leur entretien et leur opération. Or, il ressort de l'analyse du projet et des préoccupations exprimées par les bénéficiaires que lesdites solutions ne sont pas encore en place. Aussi, Il y a lieu de noter que certains des livrables n'étaient pas de nature à contribuer immédiatement aux changements souhaités en matière de conformité aux normes de sécurité et de sûreté aériennes. C'est le cas par exemple des salles de formation rattachées au CDOU qui bien que construites et équipées par le projet, ne devraient porter des fruits escomptés que dans leur phase opérationnelle avec la mise sur pied d'un programme de formation répondant aux besoins exprimés au départ du projet. De ce qui précède, il est urgent de mettre en place des mesures visant à consolider les acquis du présent projet, sinon sa durabilité restera compromise tant que ces mesures n'auront pas été prises en compte de manière spécifique dans la programmation budgétaire de la CCAA. En conclusion, les risques du maintien des objectifs restent significatifs. Il est donc urgent de mettre en place des mesures visant à consolider les acquis du présent projet, par exemple à travers un deuxième projet. La durabilité (des réalisations) du PRSSAC restera compromise tant que ces mesures n'auront pas été prises en compte de manière spécifique dans la programmation budgétaire de la CCAA. Sur le plan de l'impact du PRSSAC Le PAD n'a pas établi un lien direct de cause à effet entre les résultats du PRSSAC et les agrégats sectoriels et macro-économiques. Le défi à relever est comment mesurer de manière réaliste et permanente la contribution des projets comme le PRSSAC à l'objectif global long terme du secteur de transport aérien national. Ce défi est encore plus grand s'il faut mener le même exercice au niveau du programme régional dont l'objectif long 74 terme est de contribuer à la création d'un environnement sur et sécurisé pour le transport aérien en Afrique de l'Ouest et du Centre permettant aux compagnies aériennes africaines d'accéder compétitivement aux marchés régionaux et mondiaux (cf. PAD). D'où la question de connaitre quelle priorité donner à cette dimension stratégique de l'aviation civile notamment dans les projets futurs. Dans le cadre du PRSSAC camerounais les résultats présentés ci-dessus et des mini sondages effectués au cours de la présente mission ont conduit aux conclusions ci-après concernant l'effet du projet sur ses bénéficiaires: Il y a lieu de signaler que ces résultats sont optimistes par rapport à la situation réelle du Cameroun puisque l'évaluation de la conformité dans le cadre de ce projet s'est limitée sur la CCAA et les deux aéroports de Douala et de Yaoundé. Elle n'a pas pris en compte l'aéroport international de Garoua et les autres aérodromes en service au Cameroun qui n'étaient pas inclus dans le projet. Pour l'Etat du Cameroun : Le système de l'aviation civile camerounais a connu une amélioration mais reste non conforme aux normes de l'OACI. En effet, les résultats de l'ICAO Coordinated Validation Mission (ICVM) qui a eu lieu à la fin de 2013 place le taux de conformité du système de supervision de la sécurité du Cameroun aux normes de sécurité de l'OACI à 52,13 %, ce qui peut prêter à une confusion avec le taux de 76% présenté dans le présent rapport. Il est important ici d'expliquer les raisons de cet écart entre les résultats de l'ICVM et du PRSSAC. En effet, il s'explique simplement par les définitions données dans chaque cas: Alors que le taux de l'ICVM mesure la conformité de tout le système de supervision de la sécurité représenté par les huit éléments cruciaux de l'OACI81, celui dégagé comme résultat du PRSACC se limite à la conformité de la CCAA seulement et porte sur les six éléments cruciaux auxquels le PRSSAC a effectivement contribué. Ainsi, le PRSSAC n'a pas contribué à deux éléments cruciaux qui sont (i) les Obligations concernant les Licences et les Agréments et (ii) Indications techniques Par ailleurs, il faut relever que la non réalisation de l'étude sectorielle du transport aérien et du système GNSS, bien que n'ayant pas d'impact sur les objectifs du projet, constitue un handicap majeur dans la mesure où le secteur ne dispose pas d'un cadre de planification lui permettant de répondre aux prescriptions du DSCE. C'est pourquoi il serait important de mettre en place le Deuxième Programme Sectoriel de Transport (PST 2) et un système de données fiables pour le sous secteur conformément aux prescriptions du DSCE. 81 Les éléments cruciaux sont: Législation Primaire de l'Aviation, Règlements Opérationnels Spécifiques, Structure de l'ACC et Fonctions de Supervision, Indications Techniques, Personnel Technique Qualifié, Obligations Concernant les Licences et Agréments, Obligations de Surveillance Continue et Solution des Problèmes de Sécurité. 75 Pour l'économie camerounaise: A titre d'exemple le trafic passagers à l'aéroport de Douala82 a augmenté globalement d'environ 50 000 passagers depuis la mise en place du projet alors que l'évolution du fret et du mouvement des avions a connu une chute constante entre 2007 et 2010. Dans la même période la contribution du tourisme aux indicateurs macro-économiques tels que l'emploi et l'investissement a connu une amélioration importante. Tableau 02 : Evolution du trafic à l'aéroport de Douala Trafic 2007 2008 2009 2010 Passagers de transit 496 580 519 691 505 747 549 410 Fret (tonnes) 14 584 462 15 462 203 14 496 587 11 013 752 Mouvements avions 17 452 17 113 15 686 15 039 Source: AZWORLDAIRPORTS.COM Tableau 03 Contribution du Tourisme à l'Emploi et à l'Investissement DESCRIPTION 2004 (PAD) 2012 Contribution directe à l'emploi (en milliers d'emploi) 55 94,4 Contribution totale à l'emploi (en milliers d'emploi)) 31,9 213,8 Investissements de Tourisme et de Voyages (en millions de dollars) 0,1 55 Source: World Tourism and Travel Council (WTTC) Ces données appellent cependant aux commentaires suivants concernant le PRSSAC: (i) Il est difficile d'établir un lien direct de cause à effet entre le PRSSAC et les indicateurs ci-dessus, le PAD étant muet sur le sujet; (ii) Les projets futurs devront s'efforcer de définir des indicateurs qui permettent de mesurer l'apport direct (cause à effet) d'un projet de cette nature dans les agrégats macroéconomiques du pays. Pour la CCAA elle a bénéficié d'une image améliorée devant les instances internationales de régulation telle que l'OACI du fait de l'augmentation de sa conformité. Plus particulièrement elle devrait être plus efficace du fait d'un personnel plus qualifié, d'un tableau de bord bien articulé sous formes de Plan d'Actions Correctrices (PAC), des équipements et des outils de travail modernes et fonctionnels (matériel roulant et bâtiments). Elle devrait également avoir des bénéfices financiers importants grâce à des réductions substantielles de ses coûts de formation et une augmentation importante de ses 82 Les sources internationales de statistiques citées ici n'ont pas de données sur les autres aéroports du Cameroun. 76 revenus qui sont passés de 9,2 millions de dollars au début du projet à 22,7 millions à la fin du projet. Pour l'ADC: Son action devra connaitre une efficacité certaine dès lors qu'elle dispose des équipements de contrôle d’accès en zone réservée et de surveillance (vidéo surveillance) modernes et plus performants. Aussi ses coûts opérationnels devraient baisser notamment en matière de maintenance et d'entretien. Pour les compagnies aériennes: elles déclarent connaitre une meilleure rotation des avions et surtout une nette amélioration des services de sûreté, ceci du fait des équipements de contrôle plus performants et fonctionnels en permanence. Pour les passagers: Les passagers nationaux et internationaux ont confirmé (à travers un mini sondage réalisé dans le cadre de la présente mission) qu'ils passent moins de temps dans les aéroports du fait des procédures de contrôle améliorées et des équipements de contrôle performants et qu'ils jouissent d'un confort psychologique animé par un sentiment de sécurité naissant. Pour les prestataires de services: Le même mini sondage a révélé qu'une bonne partie des prestataires de services dans les enceintes aéroportuaires se sentent plus en sécurité et jouissent d'un cadre de travail meilleur qu'avant le projet. LEÇONS TIREES DU PROJET ET RECOMMANDATIONS Les leçons tirées du PRSSAC notamment lors de l'atelier de restitution susmentionné peuvent être résumées comme ci-après et devraient être pris en compte dans la conception du projet des expériences et leçons tirées des projets futurs. Pour lesdits projets futurs, il faudrait : (i) s’assurer de la disponibilité des données financières et techniques du projet à travers la réalisation des études de base au plus tard lors de l'évaluation afin de disposer des données fiables sur la durée, les coûts et les indicateurs du projet ; (ii) veiller à ce que les processus de passation des marchés pour les activités critiques du projet soient achevés suffisamment tôt en lançant les appels d'offres y relatifs de préférence dès l'évaluation du projet; (iii) achever les évaluations d'impact social bien avant la mission d'évaluation et achever les mesures d'atténuation des impacts sociaux de préférence avant le lancement des appels d'offres; (iv) introduire dans la conception des projets autant que faire se peut des contrats pluriannuels conclus avant la mise en vigueur du projet notamment pour les dispositifs d'appui à la gestion et au suivi; (v) établir un calendrier clair et réaliste de mise en place du personnel clef du projet et veiller à ce que celui-ci soit en place de préférence avant l'évaluation du projet ou au plus tard avant la mise en vigueur des financements; 77 (vi) bien intégrer dans la conception du projet des mesures visant à assurer la transition entre la fin du projet et la prise en main de la phase opérationnelle du projet; (vi) prévoir le poste de spécialiste de suivi-évaluation dans l'équipe des projets complexes notamment pour renforcer la capacité de suivi de leurs opérations et résultats; (vii) compte tenu du caractère permanent des menaces d'insécurité aérienne vécues dans le monde entier aujourd'hui il faudrait que la maitrise de la sécurité et de la sûreté aériennes soit totale et permanente. A cet effet, les prochaines phases du PRSSAC devraient être formulées de manière à institutionnaliser leurs solutions dans les politiques et actions gouvernementales, y compris les cadres budgétaires; (viii) pour assurer la cohérence des objectifs, des stratégies et des hypothèses sectoriels avec le DSCE camerounais il faudrait également repenser les phases futures du PRSSAC dans l'optique de l'optimisation de la contribution et surtout de la synergie des différents opérateurs du secteur du transport aérien pris globalement. 78 Guinea I. Contexte Les pays de l’Afrique de l’Ouest et du centre ont bénéficié d’un appui de la Banque Mondiale pour financer le Projet régional pour le renforcement de la sécurité et de la sûreté de l’aviation en Afrique de l’Ouest et du Centre (PRSSTAAOC). L’Accord de financement du volet guinéen de ce Projet a été signé le 29 mai 2006, par le Ministre de l’économie et des finances et le Représentant résident de la Banque mondiale en Guinée, pour une enveloppe de 4900 DTS soit 7.100.000 USD, sous forme de Don (Don IDA H215-GUI). Sa mise en vigueur a été faite le 24 août 2006. La première phase de ce projet régional a été lancée pour une durée initiale de trois (3) ans dans les quatre pays suivants : Burkina, Cameroun, Guinée et Mali. En ce qui concerne la Guinée, cette durée initiale a été particulièrement modifiée et prorogée à deux reprises en raison de perturbations sociopolitiques que le pays a enregistrées tout au long de la vie du projet. Pour sa mise en œuvre, une Equipe de gestion composée de cadres choisis parmi les fonctionnaires de la Direction Nationale de l’Aviation Civile et du Bureau d’Etudes du Ministère des Transports a été mis en place par un Arrêté du Ministre. Un spécialiste de passation des marchés et un comptable qui étaient les seuls salariés du projet, ont été recrutés pour gérer les aspects fiduciaires du projet. Aussi, conformément aux critères de la Banque Mondiale, un auditeur externe a été sélectionné pour vérifier périodiquement les comptes du projet et en faire rapport à la Banque Mondiale. L’Equipe de gestion du Projet était composée comme suit : - un coordonnateur, responsable de la composante sûreté ; - un responsable de la composante sûreté ; - un responsable du suivi et évaluation ; - un responsable administratif et financier ; - un spécialiste de la passation des marchés - un comptable. L’objectif principal de ce Projet consiste à apporter aux Etats concernés, les moyens leur permettant d’améliorer le cadre institutionnel et règlementaire de leurs structures d’aviation civile afin de les mettre en conformité avec les normes de sûreté et de sécurité édictées par l’Organisation de l ‘Aviation Civile Internationale (OACI). L’appui de la Banque Mondiale pour la réalisation de cet objectif permet de rehausser le niveau de la sûreté et de la sécurité de l’aviation afin de créer un environnement sûr, propice au développement du transport aérien qui, du reste, est un important moyen 79 d’intégration et une activité porteuse de croissance par excellence. L’atteinte de cet objectif favorisera une participation plus accrue des compagnies aériennes de cette région aux activités du transport aérien international en leur permettra d’accéder aux marchés régionaux et internationaux. Il est à noter que la part desdites compagnies au transport aérien international est marginale. Cependant, le développement de cette activité est de nature à soutenir une croissance économique durable au niveau régional. Pour y parvenir, il était nécessaire d’appuyer les aviations civiles d’Afrique de l’Ouest et du Centre dans la mise en œuvre des plans d’actions issues des audits que l’OACI a réalisés dans les Etats concernés. Les carences identifiées lors des audits de l’Organisation de l’aviation civile internationale (OACI) sont une des raisons qui entrainent la faible participation des compagnies de cette région à l’exploitation du marché du transport aérien international. Ce projet a donc été une bonne opportunité pour la Guinée pour la correction des déficiences de son système d’aviation civile. Pour la Guinée, ces carences se caractérisent principalement par :  le manque de structure adaptée à l’exploitation aérienne ;  l’insuffisance des personnels techniques qualifiés au sein des structures chargées de veiller à la mise en œuvre des normes et pratiques recommandées de l’OACI en matière de sécurité et de sûreté ;  l’indisponibilité de ressources suffisantes pour accomplir les missions de sûreté et de sécurité dévolues à l’aviation civile. II. Composantes du Projet Pour le volet guinéen du projet, les trois composantes suivantes ont été retenues : - une composante sûreté de l’aviation, - une composante sécurité de l’aviation, - une composante appui institutionnel. La mise en œuvre effective de ces composantes doit permettre :  d’améliorer le niveau de conformité de l’aviation civile vis-à-vis des normes de sécurité définies par l’OACI,  d’améliorer le niveau de conformité de l’aviation civile vis-à-vis des normes de sûreté définies par l’OACI,  de renforcer le niveau de conformité des aéroports internationaux vis-à-vis des normes de sûreté et de sécurité. Pour cela, des indicateurs ont été identifiés dont les valeurs de référence doivent être améliorées à la fin du projet pour permettre d’atteindre les objectifs du projet. Les missions de sûreté et de sécurité qui permettent l’atteinte de ces objectifs sont dévolues à la Direction de l’aviation civile. A cet effet, elle doit disposer de moyens 80 financiers suffisants, d’un personnel qualifié et de l’autorité nécessaire pour mener à bien les missions qui lui incombent. C’est pourquoi, en vue de pérenniser les acquis du projet, la Banque Mondiale a identifié deux priorités pour lesquelles le Gouvernement guinéen s’est engagé à réaliser ; à savoir : - l’adoption et la publication d’un nouveau code de l’aviation civile ; - la transformation de la Direction Nationale de l’aviation civile guinéenne en une entité dotée de l’autonomie financière et de gestion. III. Réalisation des activités Les composantes du projet ont été mises en œuvre à travers des activités réparties dans cinq catégories. A la suite de la réallocation des ressources du projet faite en 2013, la répartition par catégorie présente la situation contenue dans le tableau ci-dessous. Répartition des resources par catégorie Catégories Montant de la catégorie (DTS) Services de consultants 628.482 Travaux 1.120.000 Fournitures 2.396.518 Formation 270.000 Fonctionnement 485.000 Total 4.900.000 SERVICES DE CONSULTANTS - Audit technique et financière de l’Agence de la Navigation Aérienne (ANA) Pour s’assurer de la pérennité de la fourniture des services de navigation aérienne, il était nécessaire de s’assurer que l’ANA, qui est la structure bénéficiaire des équipements d’aide à la navigation aérienne (NAVAIDS) dispose de la capacité technique et financière d’assurer leur maintenance et de procéder à temps opportun, à leur renouvellement. Un audit technique et audit financier de l’Agence de la Navigation Aérienne (ANA) ont été programmés à cet effet et réalisés respectivement par le Cabinet AEROTECH et FICADEX qui ont leur siège principal basé au Sénégal. - Etude préparatoire pour la création d’une autorité autonome de l’aviation civile Dans la perspective de la création d’une autorité autonome de l’aviation civile, il était nécessaire qu’une étude soit réalisée pour déterminer le scénario le plus approprié pour y parvenir et proposer la structure la plus adaptée. Cette étude a été réalisée par le Cabinet français EGIS AVIA. 81 L’étude réalisée a été présentée par le cabinet lors d’un séminaire de validation qui a lieu en 2011, à Conakry. L’UEMOA a été invitée à prendre part à ce séminaire afin de partager son expérience dans la mise en place de structures analogues dans la région qu’elle couvre. La mise en place de la structure autonome de l’aviation civile guinéenne est en cours. Le projet de Décret d’application y relative est en cours d’examen au niveau du Gouvernement. - Elaboration d’un nouveau Code de l’aviation civile Les principales carences relevées lors des audits réalisés en Guinée par l’OACI procèdent de l’inexistence, de l’inadaptation ou de l’obsolescence de la législation et de la règlementation pertinentes en matière d’aviation civile. Au regard des évolutions enregistrées dans le domaine de l’aviation civile internationale, il était impératif de doter l’aviation civile guinéenne d’une nouvelle loi aéronautique qui prend en compte les exigences de sécurité et de sûreté de l’aviation. L’élaboration d’un nouveau Code de l’aviation civile et de ses textes d’application a été confiée à un Consultant individuel. Ce Code a été adopté par la Loi L/2013/063/CNT du 05 novembre 2013 qui a été promulguée par le Décret du Président de la République D/2013/160/PRG/SGG du 28 novembre 2013. - Etude, supervision et contrôle des travaux de construction de trois routes à l’aéroport de Conakry La construction de ces routes repose sur les justifications suivantes : 1. L’aéroport de Conakry est situé dans une zone densément peuplée et enclavée. Pour rejoindre leur centre d’activités, il a été constaté que les populations riveraines qui sont coincées entre le bord de mer et la piste d’envol ont une forte tendance à traverser cette piste. Cependant, la traversée de la piste par les piétons a un impact négatif sur la sécurité des vols, en général, et la sûreté de l’aviation, en particulier. Pour y remédier, il s’est avéré nécessaire de programmer la construction d’une route de contournement de l’aéroport pour permettre aux véhicules de transport public de desservir cette zone en vue d’offrir aux populations concernées, une alternative de mobilité. 2. Pour assurer une surveillance accrue du domaine aéroportuaire, la gendarmerie du transport aérien (GTA) est appelée à effectuer des patrouilles permanentes le long de la clôture intérieure. D’où la nécessité de construire une route de patrouille. 3. Le portail principal de l’aéroport est situé dans une position qui donne un accès direct à l’aire de trafic et aux aéronefs en stationnement ; ce qui rend cet espace vulnérable à une attaque frontale. A cet effet, il s’est avéré nécessaire de déplacer cet accès vers une position excentrée et créer une nouvelle voie d’accès à l’aire de trafic. 82 L’étude, la supervision et le contrôle des travaux de ces trois routes ont été confiés à BETEC, Bureau d’Etudes basé à Conakry. - Etude, supervision et contrôle des travaux de construction d’un point d’isolement d’aéronefs L’aménagement d’un point de stationnement isolé d’aéronefs sur tout aérodrome est une exigence contenue dans les normes de l’Organisation de l’aviation civile (OACI). Une programmation a été faite dans le projet pour répondre à cette exigence qui a été relevée comme carence du système d’aviation civile de la Guinée lors de l’audit l’OACI. Une surface rigide de 9700 m2 (en béton armé) a été aménagée dans le prolongement de l’aire de trafic. Cet espace est dédié pour le stationnement de tout aéronef qui fait éventuellement l’objet d’un détournement ou dont la présence sur l’aéroport constitue une crise en sûreté de l’aviation. En période normale, cette surface qui vient en augmentation de l’aire de trafic, est utilisée dans le cadre de l’exploitation régulière l’aéroport. L’étude, la supervision et le contrôle de cette activité ont été confiés à WEST INGENIERIE, Bureau d’études basé à Conakry. - Elaboration du plan d’urgence de l’aéroport de Conakry Tout aéroport doit disposer d’un plan d’urgence pour faire face aux situations de crise qui peuvent survenir (actes d’intervention illicite, crash). Le plan conjoncturel de chaque intervenant à l’aéroport découle de ce plan d’urgence aéroportuaire. Son élaboration procède des normes des Annexes 17 et 14 de la Convention relative à l’aviation civile internationale. Cette activité a été réalisée par le Cabinet STUDI INTERNATIONAL dont le siège social est à Tunis, en Tunisie. TRAVAUX Les travaux exécutés dans le cadre du projet ont consisté essentiellement en la réalisation d’infrastructures dont la pertinence procède des normes de l’OACI relatives à la sûreté de l’aviation. Avant le lancement de ces travaux, il s’est avéré nécessaire de procéder à l’indemnisation et au déplacement des personnes qui effectuaient des activités agricoles dans les zones marécageuses de l’enceinte aéroportuaire. Pour procéder à cette indemnisation, un consultant a été recruté pour l’identification et la sensibilisation des personnes concernées en vue de leur délocalisation, car l’exécution de telles activités en ce lieu est contre- nature et incompatible avec les activités aéronautiques. 83 Les principaux travaux réalisés concernent : - la construction d’une chaussée en béton bitumineux, d’une longueur de 0,352 km et d’une largeur de 6 m. Cette dernière sert de nouvelle voie d’accès à l’aire de trafic de l’aéroport de Conakry. Sa réalisation a été confiée à une entreprise de construction et de travaux publics dénommée EGUICOR ; - la construction d’un point de stationnement isolé d’aéronefs, qui est une surface rigide de 9700 m2 (béton). La réalisation de cette infrastructure répond à une exigence de l’Organisation de l’aviation civile (OACI) ; Il était prévu également de construire une route de patrouille pour la Gendarmerie du transport aérien, mais cette variante a été abandonnée au profit de l’installation de six (6) guérites sur le pourtour de la clôture de l’aéroport. A cet effet, une réallocation des ressources a été faite pour privilégier l’acquisition de fournitures, notamment celles indispensables pour la sécurité de la navigation aériennes et qui étaient fortement sollicitées par les compagnies aériennes. FOURNITURES Pour le fonctionnement de la cellule de gestion du projet et le renforcement de la sûreté de l’aviation et la sécurité des vols à destination de la plateforme aéroportuaire de Conakry, les fournitures suivantes ont été acquises : - deux véhicules pour la cellule de gestion du projet, - deux véhicules et deux motos pour les patrouilles et la garde de l’aéroport, - des équipements informatiques et mobiliers de bureau pour l’installation de la cellule de gestion du projet, - des guérites acquises et installées pour la surveillance du périmètre aéroportuaire, - des équipements et matériels de communication et de transmission pour la Gendarmerie de transport aérien ; - des mobiliers et de la bureautique pour la Direction Nationale de l’Aviation Civile, - des équipements d’aides à la navigation aérienne (NAVAIDS : ILS, DVOR, DME). Ces équipements ont permis de mettre l’aéroport de Conakry aux normes de sécurité de la navigation aérienne ; - une nouvelle console pour la tour de contrôle de l’aéroport de Conakry remplacer l’ancienne qui était devenue obsolète et dont certains composants n’étaient plus compatibles avec les nouveaux équipements installés à bord des aéronefs et ne permettant pas ainsi la transmission automatique de certaines données ; - un système de collecte et de diffusion de données satellitaires pour la météorologie aéronautique (SADIS et SIOMA). Ces nouveaux équipements permettent la transmission automatique des informations aux aéronefs et sont compatibles avec les instruments et équipements de bord. 84 ACTIVITES DE FORMATION Des activités de formation ont été réalisées fondamentalement dans le domaine de la sûreté et de la sécurité de l’aviation. Dans ce cadre, des sessions de formation ont été organisées en faveur des personnels d’encadrement de la sûreté, soit : En matière de sûreté : 156. - 150 agents chargés de la mise en œuvre des mesures de sûreté (policiers, gendarme douaniers), - 6 auditeurs/inspecteurs, superviseurs, ainsi que des personnels des compagnies aériennes et autres prestataires, - 25 personnes (policiers, gendarmes) ont été formées pour la lutte contre la fraude documentaire. En matière de sécurité : Dans le domaine de la supervision de la sécurité, 11 inspecteurs ont été formés dans les domaines de la navigabilité des aéronefs, des opérations, des aérodromes et des licences des personnels aéronautiques. Par ailleurs, outre les formations qui avaient été réalisées dans le cadre du marché d’acquisition des nouveaux équipements (SADIS et SIOMA) de la météorologie aéronautique, 30 cadres et agents de ce service ont bénéficié de formations portant sur lesdits équipements. Les membres de l’équipe de gestion du projet ont également bénéficié de session de formation en matière de gestion des projets financés par la banque Mondiale. Toutes ces activités de formation ont été réalisées aussi bien localement que dans des institutions de formation, telles que l’ERNAM à Dakar, l’EAMAC à Niamey, l’ENAC à Toulouse, l’ISADE à Dakar, le CESAG à Dakar. FONCTIONNEMENT La mise en œuvre des activités du projet a été assurée par la Cellule de gestion instituée par le Ministre des Transports. Cette Cellule qui est intégrée à la structure de la Direction Nationale de l’Aviation Civile, était animée par des cadres qui en sont issus. Les charges liées à son fonctionnement étaient supportées par le projet, notamment : - la dotation en fournitures et équipements informatiques et la bureautique, - la frais de communication (téléphone et internet), - les publications des appels d’offres et avis à manifestation d’intérêt dans la presse, 85 - l’entretien des véhicules acquis dans le cadre du projet (4 véhicules automobiles dont 2 véhicules et 2 motos pour la patrouille aéroportuaire, - la dotation hebdomadaire de ces véhicules en carburation, - l’entretien et le gardiennage des locaux du projet IV- Résultats et impact du Projet Toutes les activités qui étaient inscrites au Projet régional de renforcement de la sécurité et de la sûreté de l’aviation civile (PRSSAC) ont été intégralement réalisées et achevées à 100%, avec un taux de décaissement de 100%. Au nombre des impacts du projet, on peut citer :  une nette amélioration de la sécurité (dont le taux de conformité est passé de 53% en début de projet, à 77% à la clôture) et la sûreté (dont le taux de conformité est passé de 1% en début de projet, à 55% à la clôture)  de meilleures conditions de sécurité et de confort pour les procédures d’atterrissage et de décollage avec l’installation de nouveaux équipements d’aide à la navigation aérienne (ILS/VOR/DME) ;  la disponibilité d’équipements et système (SADIS et SIOMA) permettant la collecte et la transmission automatique des données météorologiques par satellite à la tour de contrôle et aux compagnies aériennes,  une nette amélioration de la fiabilité du contrôle aérien avec l’installation d’une nouvelle console à la tour de contrôle de l’aéroport de Conakry;  une amélioration de la surveillance du domaine aéroportuaire par la Gendarmerie du transport aérien, avec l’acquisition de véhicules pour les patrouilles de sûreté (pick- up et motos) ;  une augmentation de la capacité de l’aire de trafic et de stationnement des aéronefs, avec l’aménagement de 9.700m2 surface sur le prolongement du tarmac, qui doit servir de point de stationnement isolé des aéronefs qui sont en situation de crise ;  une plus grande sécurité des aéronefs en stationnement sur l’aire de trafic grâce à la construction d’une nouvelle voie d’accès à l’aéroport. Ces différentes réalisations qui ont considérablement amélioré la sécurité et la sûreté sur la plateforme aéroportuaire ont, d’une part, amené certaines compagnies aériennes à augmenter leurs fréquences : - Air France est passée de 4 à 7 fréquences hebdomadaires, - Brussels Airlines est passée de 2 à 3 fréquences, - Royal Air Maroc est passée de 5 à 7 vols hebdomadaires, - et d’autre part, sept nouvelles compagnies, ont commencé la desserte de l’aéroport Conakry, à savoir : 86 - Air Côte d’Ivoire, à raison de 4 fréquences hebdomadaires, - ASKY, à raison de 11 touchées hebdomadaires, - Emirates Airlines, à raison de 4 fréquences hebdomadaires, - Gambia Bird, à raison de 3 vols hebdomadaires - Sénégal Airlines, à raison de 7 vols hebdomadaires, ramenés à 4, - Mauritania Airways, - DHL, à raison de 4 fréquences hebdomadaires. La compagnie Turkish Airlines envisageait également de lancer ses opérations sur la destination Guinée au début du second semestre de cette année. Malheureusement, la survenue de l’épidémie à virus Ebola à annihilé ces avancées ont été éprouvées par au courant du premier trimestre de 2014, ce qui a entrainé la suspension des vols de plusieurs d’entre elles. LES INDICATEURS DU PROJET Les valeurs de référence des indicateurs du projet ont été déterminées en fonction des résultats des audits de sûreté et de sécurité réalisés par l’OACI, respectivement en 2003 et 2004. Pour la sûreté, cet audit est basé fondamentalement sur l’annexe 17 (sûreté) à la Convention relative à l’aviation civile internationale et les parties pertinentes relatives à la sûreté et contenues dans les autres annexes. En ce qui concerne la sécurité, il sied d’indiquer que pour la détermination des indicateurs du projet, ce sont les résultats issus de l’audit fondé sur l’évaluation des annexes 1, 6 et 8 qui ont été pris en compte car le principe des audits basés sur une approche systémique n’étaient pas lancés par l’OACI au moment de la préparation et le lancement de ce projet. Toutefois, au cours de l’exécution du projet, l’OACI a réalisé en Guinée, en avril 2012, un audit fondé sur l’approche systémique (USOAP) qui intègre toutes les annexes à la Convention relative à l’aviation civile internationale, exceptées les annexes 17 (sûreté) et 9 (facilitation). Cependant, les indicateurs du projet n’ont pas été modifiés pour prendre en compte les résultats issus de ce dernier audit. Par conséquent, les valeurs de référence n’ont pas été modifiées dans les indicateurs du projet. C’est pourquoi, les résultats contenus dans le tableau ci-dessous sont basés sur l’ancienne formule des audits (annexes 1,6 et 8). 87 Tableau des indicateurs du Projet Cible Valeur Indicateurs de Niveau de de fin Observations octobre résultats référence de Observations 2013 projet Composante 1 SECURITE DE L’AVIATION Les valeurs de référence des indicateurs du projet sont fondés sur l’audit réalisé par l’OACI en 2004 portant sur trois annexes (Annexes 1,6, 8). L’audit de sécurité réalisé en avril 2013, fondé sur l’approche systémique (portant sur 16 annexes), a produit un niveau de conformité de 8% dû Taux de conformité principalement à l’inexistence d’un avec les normes 53% > 77% >75% cadre législatif et règlementaire sécurité de l’OACI adéquat ou à la caducité des textes existants. Cependant, le taux de conformité basé sur l’audit de 2004 a été amélioré avec l’accomplissement de certaines actions notamment l’adoption et la publication d’un nouveau code de l’aviation civile et de plusieurs autres textes règlementaires. Le niveau des activités de l’aviation civile guinéenne lors de l’audit en Pourcentage des 2004 nécessitait la disponibilité de inspecteurs de 11 inspecteurs. Ces derniers ont sécurité en conformité 38% 100% >60% tous été formés. avec les normes de l’OACI L’objectif de cet indicateur est atteint. Il n’y a pas eu d’évolution sur cette rubrique, car l’autonomie de Niveau du budget de n.a. n.a. >0,7 l’aviation civile n’est pas encore la DNAC effective pour lui permettre de disposer d’un budget autonome. Toutefois la loi relative à 88 l’autonomie de l’aviation civile a été votée et promulguée. Les Décrets d’application permettant de rendre cette entité opérationnelle sont en train d’être publiés progressivement. Un budget spécifique sera alors dédié à la Direction de l’Aviation Civile (entité autonome) Composante 2 SURETE DE L’AVIATION Les activités réalisées en matière de sûreté dans le cadre du projet, notamment l’adoption du code de l’aviation civile et de textes, ainsi que la formation des personnels intervenant dans la chaine de sûreté, l’acquisition de moyens de communication et de déplacement pour les services de sûreté, Taux de conformité l’aménagement de voies de avec les normes de 1% >55% >35% circulation ont permis de rehausser sûreté de l’OACI le niveau de conformité avec les normes de sûreté. Toutes ces activités étaient inscrites dans le plan d’actions élaboré à l’issue de l’audit de sûreté de l’OACI réalisé en 2003. Cet objectif est atteint. Au titre de cet indicateur, il était prévu d’atteindre le nombre de 6 inspecteurs formés. Les Pourcentage des inspecteurs de sûreté En plus des 3 qui existaient, 6 agréés formés 30% >100% >70% nouveaux inspecteurs ont été pendant les trois formés à la date du 30 octobre dernières années 20013. L’objectif de cet indicateur est atteint. Montant du budget alloué à la sûreté en n.a. n.a. 0,25 Il n’y a pas eu d’évolution sur cet US$ indicateur. La DNAC n’est toujours 89 pas autonome. Composante 3 SURETE AEROPORTUAIRE Sur les 82 agents de sûreté de la police de l’air et de la police aux Agents de sûreté frontières de l’aéroport de Conakry, aéroportuaire ayant 3 <58% >85% >65% 74 ont plus de trois de service ans d’expérience ou plus L’objectif de cet indicateur est atteint. Valeur inconnue car l’exercice de crise n’a pas encore eu lieu. Nombre de problèmes Toutefois, la réalisation de cet graves révélés par les n.a. n.a. <5 exercice est un des objectifs exercices de crise prioritaires de la nouvelle entité annuels autonome de l’aviation civile. Pourcentage de Les campagnes de sensibilisation passagers arrêtés en réalisées ont permis de réduire possession d’objets considérablement l’introduction illicites tels que définis dans les bagages de cabine, n.a. <1,5% <3% par l’OACI, saisis par d’articles dangereux et interdits à les services de sûreté bord des aéronefs. des compagnies aériennes Cet objectif est atteint. ACTIVITES FINANCEES PAR LE PRSSAC (DON IDA H2150) 1. Services de Consultants MONTANT N° ACTIVITES PRESTATAIRE USD Etude préparatoire pour la création d'une autorité EGIS AVIA 1 autonome de l'aviation civile (SOFREAVIA) 133 194,00 2 Honoraire consultants divers 57 617,00 LE CABINET 3 Audit Technique de l'ANA AEROTECH 59 111,00 GROUPE FICADEX GUINEE 4 Audit Financier de l'ANA &SENEGAL 58 785,00 Avenant à l'étude d'aménagement du point WEST 5 d'isolement d'aéronef INGENIERIE sarl 20 000,00 90 MONTANT N° ACTIVITES PRESTATAIRE USD Etude pour l’aménagement d’un point WEST 6 d'isolement d’aéronefs INGENIERIE sarl 37 785,27 Etude construction de trois (3) routes de 7 15km353,8 à l'Aéroport BETEC SARL 65 859,49 8 Honoraire du comptable PRSSAC 2006-2012 FACINET CISSE 60 000,00 TAFSIR AUDIT ET 9 AUDIT PRSSAC 2006-2009 CONSEIL 21 277,00 Consultant en passation des marchés 2007 – MAMADOU DIAN 10 2011 DIALLO 56 000,00 STUDI 11 Elaboration du plan d'urgence de l'aéroport INTERNATIONAL 95 434,87 Formation à l'exploitation du SADIS et du BENTEFOUET 12 SIOMA JANVIER 39 900,00 Supervision et contrôle des travaux 13 d'aménagement de la voie d'accès à l'aéroport BETEC 27 430,45 Supervision et contrôle des travaux de construction d'un point d'isolement d'aéronefs 14 (2) WEST INGENIERIE 31 479,16 PHILIPPE 15 Mise à jour code de l'aviation civile FOILLARD 63 442,00 MAMADOU DIAN 16 Consultant en passation des marchés 2011-2013 DIALLO 30 000,00 ABDOULAYE 17 Honoraire du comptable du PRSSAC 2012-2013 KEITA 27 000,00 PANAUDIT Audit des comptes du PRSSAC 2010-2013 GUINEE 10 109,58 SOUS TOTAL 1 894 424,82 2. Fournitures FOURNISSEUR/PRESTATAI MONTANT N° ACTIVITES RE USD Acquisition mat. Informatique & BUROTIC CONTACT 1 mobiliers de bureau SERVICE & ESPACE 21 74 779,30 2 Acquisition NAVAIDS THALES ATM GmbH 1 475 180,00 3 Acquisition Système SADIS/SIOMA DEGREANE HORIZON 642 777,00 4 Acquisition de 2 Véhicule CFAO GUINEE 55 898,00 5 Acquisition 2 véhicules et 2 Motos SETA GUINEE 65 859,47 6 Fourniture et Installation Guérites E.GUI COR 49 065,51 Acquisition Matériel Communication BOUBA ELECTRONIQUE 7 Gendarmerie Aéroport 74 620,51 91 FOURNISSEUR/PRESTATAI MONTANT N° ACTIVITES RE USD 8 Equipement Direction Aviation Civile GFELC SARL 108 000,00 Fourniture console d'exploitation de la INTELCAN TECHNO 9 tour de contrôle de l'aéroport SYSTEMS inc 1 126 795,00 SOUS TOTAL 2 3 672 974,79 3. Travaux MONTANT N° ACTIVITES FOURNISSEUR/PRESTATAIRE USD 1 Réhabilitation Salle Réunion E.GUI.COR 16 906,00 Indemnisation personnes déplacées à PRSSAC 2 l'aéroport de Conakry 145 895,72 Aménagement d'une voie d'accès à E.GUI.COR 3 l'aéroport 530 000,00 Aménagement d’un point d’isolement CDE 4 d’aéronefs 971 970,64 SOUS TOTAL 3 1 664 772,36 4. Formation MONTANT N° ACTIVITES PRESTATAIRE USD CESAG DAKAR, EAMAC NIGER , ISAD Formation cadre DNAC, ANA DAKAR, ENAC TOULOUSE, 1 SOGEAG, DNM ERNAM DAKAR, 397 475,47 FONCTIONNEMENT Total fonctionnement : USD 785 319,56 V- Conclusion Il importe de souligner que ce projet a contribué fortement à améliorer le système d’aviation civile dans notre pays et a permis de nous mettre aux normes de l’OACI dans maints domaines. Aussi, l’administration de l’aviation civile dispose désormais d’un personnel qui s’est familiarisé avec les directives et critères qui gouvernent la gestion des projets financés par la Banque Mondiale. Ils ont également acquis des compétences dans des domaines aussi multiples que variés, tels que : 92 - l’élaboration de plans de passation de marchés et la passation de marchés - le décaissement des ressources affectées aux projets - l’élaboration des rapports de suivi financier Ces acquis méritent d’être capitalisés en les utilisant dans d’autres projets similaires. En vue de maintenir et d’amplifier la dynamique d’amélioration des infrastructures de sûreté et de sécurité, amorcée en Guinée, il serait souhaitable d’envisager la mise à niveau des aérodromes domestiques dans ces domaines, car ces derniers sont incontestablement des pourvoyeurs de l’aéroport de Conakry en passagers. C’est pourquoi, nous souhaiterions bénéficier d’un autre projet qui s’inscrirait dans la continuité de celui qui vient d’être clôturé. 93 Mali 1. INTRODUCTION : Conformément à l’accord de crédit signé le 25 mai 2007 entre la République du Mali et l’Association Internationale pour le Développement (IDA) dont l’objectif principal est de soutenir le Mali dans ses efforts pour améliorer la conformité de son aviation civile et l’aéroport International de Bamako avec les normes de sécurité et de sûreté de l’Organisation de l’Aviation Civile Internationale (OACI), le Projet Régional de Sécurité et de Sûreté Aériennes en Afrique de l’Ouest (PRSSAOC) a clôturé physiquement ses activités ce 30 juin 2013. Il rentre dans sa période probatoire d’achèvement qui prend fin le 30 octobre 2013. Cette période permet de réaliser les audits des comptes financiers ainsi que de procéder au règlement financier des activités ayant pu être réalisées avant la date de clôture. 2. LES PRINCIPAUX REPERES DU PSSTAAOC Mars 2006 : négociations ; Mai 2006 : signature de l’accord de financement ; Montant du crédit : 3 800 000 DTS soit 5,450 millions de dollars US (taux du 25 mai 2006) ; Novembre 2006 : entrée en vigueur ; Novembre 2006 : démarrage effectif des activités ; Fin décembre 2009 : fin d’exécution initiale ; Fin décembre 2011 : date de clôture après première prorogation ; Fin juin 2013 : date de clôture après deuxième prorogation. 3. LA DECLINAISON DU PROJET La Composante Nationale du Mali vise l’amélioration de la conformité de l’Administration de l’Aviation Civile et de l’aéroport International de Bamako-Sénou avec les règles de sécurité et de sûreté de l’OACI. Le Projet comprend trois (3) composantes : 3.1. Renforcement des capacités : Les actions de renforcement des capacités ont permis : - La formation en sûreté de l’aviation civile de neuf (09) auditeurs-inspecteurs et de quatorze (14) instructeurs. Soixante (60) autres agents provenant des différents services du secteur du transport aérien (ANAC, Police, Gendarmerie, Douanes, ASECNA, Compagnies Aériennes, etc.) ont suivi différentes autres formations sur diverses mallettes pédagogiques normalisées en sûreté - La formation en sécurité : globalement plus de vingt un (21) agents de l’ANAC et de la compagnie Air Mali ont suivi les formations en navigabilité, exploitation aérienne, licence du personnel navigant, certification d’aérodromes ainsi que la technique d’audit, 94 - La formation en informatique de plus de 50 agents de l’ANAC - La formation de quatre négociateurs de situation de crises certifiés premier 1er et second niveaux renforcée par le cours de coordination à la négociation. - La formation en anglais d’une vingtaine d’agents de l’ANAC dans un institut de langue à ACCRA (Ghana) - La spécialisation du Point focal en passation de marchés publics. 3.2. Appui institutionnel : dans ce cadre, l’assistance a apportée à l’ANAC a porté sur: - l’élaboration du code, qui a été approuvé par le Conseil des et promulgué en loi le 05 mai 20011 par le Président de la République du Mali, et de douze (12) textes d’application dudit code dans le domaine de la sécurité ont été adoptés par le en Conseil des Ministres - la mise en œuvre des plans d’actions correctrices issus des derniers audits OACI de sécurité et de sûreté aériennes aboutissant à la rédaction de l’ensemble des manuels de l’inspecteur dans les différents domaines de la sécurité aérienne (la navigabilité des aéronefs, de l’exploitation du transport aérien technique des aéronefs, la certification des aérodromes la licence du personnel, les enquêtes sur les accidents et incidents d’aviation, le contrôle les services de la navigation aérienne et les aérodromes). - Dans le domaine de la sûreté : l’élaboration du le programme national de la sûreté, du le programme national de contrôle de la qualité de la sûreté, du le programme national du fret, du le programme national de la formation en sûreté, du le plan d’urgence et des procédures d’exploitation normalisées pour l’aéroport de Bamako-Sénou ont été élaborés et adoptés par Décret présidentiel N° 2011 – 469/P-RM du 29 juillet 2011. - La réalisation de l’Etude Organisationnelle de l’ANAC, - l’audit de suivi en sûreté a été réalisé pour la détermination de la valeur de l’indicateur de performance -Taux de conformité avec les normes de sûreté de l’OACI, - l’organisation et la tenue d’un exercice en vue de tester le plan d’urgence ; - l’élaboration des Plans sectoriels de Crise des services d'appui à l'Equipe de Gestion de Crise. 3.3. Investissement à l’Amélioration des Normes de sécurité et de sûreté de l’Aéroport Les investissements ont porté sur la réalisation des activités ci-après : - l’acquisition de cinq (5) véhicules (deux pour les inspections, deux pour la patrouille de sûreté et un pour le Point Focal) ; - la mise en place d’un réseau de communication VHF de sûreté ; - l’acquisition et l’installation d’équipements de contrôle de sûreté : six machines à rayons X pour les bagages de cabine, soute et du fret ; quatre Portiques de détection d’objets métalliques ; trente (30) Détecteurs portatifs d’objets métalliques ; quinze (15) miroirs ; 95 - la fourniture et l’installation du réseau informatique de l’ANAC (25 micro – ordinateurs avec imprimantes et onduleurs chacun, 1 serveur et un router) ; - l’acquisition et l’installation du système de portes et portails sécurités ; Construction CDOU et de deux postes de contrôle d’accès sur le périmètre aéroportuaire dans le cadre de laquelle, il est à souligner la participation financière de l’ANAC à hauteur de 200 millions de francs CFA et équipement du CDOU. - la construction de la route de patrouille dans l’enceinte aéroportuaire sur 13,6km de distance. 3.4. Autres services assurés par le projet : En dehors des dépenses et activités sus visées, le projet a assuré la maintenance et réparation des véhicules ainsi que l’achat des pièces de rechange comme les pneus, les batteries, etc.Le projet a également pris en charge la totalité du carburant nécessaire à la réalisation des inspections de sûreté et de sécurité de l’ANAC ainsi que des patrouille de sûreté aéroportuaire pendant toute sa durée (soit 5 années). 4. ACTIVITE NON REALISEES : - La partie complémentaire de l’audit en sécurité aérienne : après signature du contrat le consultant IATA a décliné la réalisation de cette prestation en avril 2013. - L’acquisition de kit de formation à la négociation : les dossiers de consultation a été transmis aux experts certifiés qui n’ont finalement pas transmis d’offres ; - La réalisation du cloisonnement de la salle des services de renseignement du CDOU due à l’occupation de ce centre par les forces « SERVAL » au moment de la crise au nord du Mali. 5. POINT SUR LES DECAISSEMENTS Le montant total des décaissements cumulés (intérêt compris) à la clôture du projet s’élève à 2 952 694 777 FCFA (6 025 908 USD, 3 979 373 DTS) soit un taux de décaissement de 99,87%. Le montant total remboursé s’élève à 3 701 240,00 FCFA (7 553,55 USD, 4 988,19 DTS). 6. POINT SUR LES INDICATEURS DU PROJET : Tous les indicateurs de performance ont été atteints dans leur intégralité. 7. GESTION DU PROJET DU PROJET : Conformément à l’accord de crédit, le projet a été géré techniquement par le l’ANAC à travers le Point Focal tandis que la gestion des comptes financiers du projet ont été confié à l’Unité de Coordination du PST2. 96 Des missions de supervision de la banque mondiale, effectuées chaque six mois ont permis des recadrages pour l’atteinte des objectifs du projet. Aussi, des rencontres de mise au point entre les coordinateurs et Point Focaux des différentes composantes des différents pays ayant en commun ce projet régional, ont été tenues dont la dernière en date remonte en novembre 2013. Les comptes rendus de ces rencontres ont tous été transmis au département pour information. 8. IMPACT DU PROJET En termes de premiers impacts observés dans le cadre de la mise en œuvre du projet, on peut retenir :  Une nette amélioration de la sécurité et la sûreté (taux de conformité variant respectivement de 28 à 74% - audit USOAP, et de 8 à 85% -audit systémique, confirmés par des audits indépendants. On peut noter que cette performance en matière de sûreté acquise avec l’apport du projet se maintient et a permis d’atteindre des résultats très satisfaisant taux de conformité de 82%) lors de l’audit de sûreté de l’aviation civile réalisé par l’Union Monétaire Ouest Africaine (UEMOA) en novembre 2013 et cela bien que la méthodologie utilisée soit relativement plus contraignante que celui de l’UASAP de l’OACI car basée sur les critères de performance utilisant un classification binaire couplé à une pondération en fonction du poids de l’exigence (normes) sur le système global de sureté.  Accroissement des capacités d’intervention des acteurs opérationnels dans les divers domaines techniques de sécurité et de sureté des aéroports du Mali ;  Augmentation amorcée du trafic aérien de (2006-2013 – Source Aéroports du Mali : - passagers 06 % - Fret : 60% - poste : 68% - Mouvement Aéronef : 10% ;  Amélioration de la desserte de l’aéroport de Bamako-Sénou par de nouvelles compagnies aériennes avec un taux de 42% ;  Mise à disposition des auditeurs-inspecteurs sûreté certifiés au niveau de tous les services aéroportuaires pour de la réalisation de leur contrôle interne de sûreté;  Mise à disposition d’une règlementation complète en matière de sécurité et de sûreté aériennes ;  Réalisation d’une étude organisationnelle de l’ANAC l’ayant permis de s’adapter plus efficacement à son rôle de régulation et de supervision de la sécurité et de la sûreté aériennes ;  Renforcement de capacité du personnel en gestion de projet et passation de marchés. 97 CONCLUSION : Bien que des problèmes d’ordre administratif tels que les retards sur les délais de signature de certains contrats au niveau national et dans le cadre de la réalisation du volet génie civil consentis par l’AGETIPE ont été enregistrés durant sa réalisation, le projet a terminé sur une bonne note du bailleur de fonds (IDA) par la mention « Très satisfaisant ». Aussi, le rapport d’achèvement du projet côté national, dont copie est en annexe, a été élaboré. Bamako, le 20 juin 2014 98 Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders Société Internationale de Contrôle Aéroportuaire et de Services de Sûreté (SICASS) [International Airport Monitoring and Security Services Company] – November, 2014 “One of the project objectives was to make the National Directorate for Civil Aviation [DNAC] an autonomous entity. Although the Guinean Civil Aviation Authority does have legal status, its structure has not yet been formalized. The implementing decree providing for the organization of its operations is being signed and will strengthen airport safety and security, as has happened in the case of the structural changes made in several countries in the subregion. In the case of airport safety in Conakry, the establishment of an isolation point and the drafting of a crisis management plan have been very positive, as these activities help support the current emergency operations center (CDOU), which is still in need of equipment. Mechanisms are in place to handle a crisis and an exercise is planned to test their effectiveness. As far as I know, the security services have been provided with mobile devices and small equipment (radios and other equipment). An access way to the reserved zone has been built and should soon be operational. Several sentry boxes have been built along the enclosure, thus strengthening security. A number of training sessions have been held, which have led to a clear improvement in standards among all staff assigned to safety operations. Mention should be made of the arrival of new airlines at the Conakry Airport such as Emirates Airline, Air Ivoire, Gambia Bird Airlines, Asky Airlines, and Mauritania Airlines. In addition, more frequent stops are being made by such airlines as Air France, Senegal Airlines, and SN Brussels. Turkish Airlines is also planning to start flights to Guinea. These results plead for the improvement/strengthening of air safety in Conakry during the recent years, to which the World Bank project and Guinean civil aviation authorities have contributed.” Regional Coordination COSCAP – UEMOA Project – August 2014 “We have noted, based on our participation in Steering Committee meetings and reviews done with the World Bank, that the program has allowed States to conduct safety and security activities involving capacity building, specific equipment, and infrastructure establishment. Traffic has also increased, except during crisis periods.” 99 Annex 9. List of Supporting Documents 1. Aide Mémoires: Implementation Supervision Mission, WCAATSSP, dated 2006- 2014 2. Legal Documents related to the Project, Financing Agreement, and Legal Opinion 3. Project’s restructuring papers 4. Complete copies of ISRs 1 to 19 5. ICAO Audit Report “Summary Report on the Audit Trail of the Safety Oversight of the National Leadership of the Civil Aeronautics of Mali”, dated June 2003 6. ICAO Security Audit, Burkina Faso, dated April 9, 2008 7. ICAO-USOAP Audit and Finding Report on Safety Concerns, Mali, dated January 2008 8. ICAO - Status of Implementation of the ICAO Plans of Action for States under the review of MARB including priority States - Montreal, Canada, 24 October 2014 9. Mission Report of the Audit Trail, Burkina Faso, dated March 2009 10. Challenges and Opportunities in West Africa Aviation Market - Potential for Enhanced Air Services and Connectivity – IFC – September, 2013 11. Countries’ ICRs (Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Mali) 12. Aviation: benefits beyond borders – Air Transport Action Group (ATAG) – 2014 13. Economic Effects of Air Transport Liberalization in Africa, Megersa A. Abate (Ph.D), Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, October, 2013 14. African Airlines Association (AFRAA) – Annual General Assembly, report of the Secretary General – November, 2013 15. Africa’s Aviation Industry: Challenges and Opportunities – African Development Bank – November, 2012 16. World Travel & Tourism Council – Travel & Tourism, Economic Impact, 2014 – Burkina Faso 17. World Travel & Tourism Council – Travel & Tourism, Economic Impact, 2014 – Cameroon 100 18. World Travel & Tourism Council – Travel & Tourism, Economic Impact, 2014 – Guinea 19. World Travel & Tourism Council – Travel & Tourism, Economic Impact, 2014 – Mali 20. World Travel & Tourism Council – Travel & Tourism, Economic Impact, 2014 – Africa 21. African Development Bank- West Africa Monitor Quaterly- Issue #2, April 2014 22. African Development Fund- Capacity Building Programme For The Supervision of Aviation Safety In West And Central Africa (COSCAP Programme) – Project Completion Report (PCR)- OITC Department- February 2014 101 MAP 1: BURKINA FASO MAP 2: CAMEROON MAP 3: GUINEA MAP 4: MALI MAP 5: PROJECT COUNTRY PROPOSED PHASING AND PRIMARY AIRPORTS MAP 6: MAP AS PER EXECUTION