91469 September/2014 EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA TRENDS POVERTY & POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATIO, 2001-2012 SHARED PROSPERITY Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV. SURVEY DATA AT A GLANCE 100 US$ 5.00 ARMENIA 80 60 US$ 2.50 GDP per capita, PPP (current international $)1 8,417 (2012) GNI per capita, Atlas method (current US$)1 3,720 (2012) 40 Rural population (% of total population)1 36 (2012) National strategy for statistical development 2013-2015 20 P OVER TY 0 Population living below national line (%)1 32.40 (2012) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Population living below US$ 1.25 (%)2 1.72 (2012) Population living below US$ 2.5 (%)2 30.08 (2012) INEQUALITY INDICES, 2001-2012 Population living below US$ 5.00 (%)2 79.64 (2012) Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV. GINI THEIL Population living above US$ 10.00 (%)2 2.54 (2012) 0.40 Population living in multidimensional poverty (%)3 0.30 (2010) 0.35 I NEQUAL I TY 0.30 Gini index2 0.30 (2012) 0.25 Theil index2 0.17 (2012) 0.20 SH AR ED P R OSP ER I TY 0.15 Welfare definition Consumption 0.10 Period of analysis 2007-2012 0.05 Income/consumption growth of bottom 40 2 1.44% Income/consumption growth total population 2 1.61% 0.00 Income/consumption growth of top 60 2 1.65% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 GDP growth1 6.39% INCOME/CONSUMPTION GROWTH PER CAPITA BY QUINTILE, 2007-2012 Growth of private consumption 1 3.29% Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV. GROWTH SHARE (FINAL) 1 2 3 Sources: WDI. ECATSD using ECAPOV. UNDP. 2.5% 50% 2.0% 40% PERFORMANCE 1.5% 30% Growth Share Global ECA Value Global Conditional ECA Conditional Years 1.0% 20% Poverty change 2007- -0.86% 58 11 64 18 0.5% 10% (US$ 2.50)*1 2012 Income/ 2007- 0.0% 0% consumption growth 1.44% 27 65 39 85 2012 1 (poorest) 2 3 4 5 (richest) of the bottom 40%**1 UNDP Human CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, 2000-2013 0.729 87/186 - 23/29 - 2012 Source: ARM Stat. Note: 2000 =100. FOOD Development Index 2 GENERAL UTILITIES *Annualized. Benchmarking numbers present percent ile perf ormance among indicat ed dist ribut ion group. 250 “Condit ional” ref ers t o perf ormance when cont rolling f or povert y in t he init ial period, GDP per capit a, f ragilit y index, landlocked count ry, count ry growt h rat e, global growt h rat e, and f requency of povert y dat a. **Annualized. Benchmarking numbers present percent ile perf ormance among indicat ed dist ribut ion group. 200 “Condit ional” ref ers t o percent ile perf ormance when cont rolling f or t ype of welf are measure, GNI per capit a 2012,Gini in f irst period, povert y head count in f irst period, and count ry growt h rat e. 150 Sources: 1 ECATSD using ECAPOV. Azevedo and Nguyen (2014). 2 UNDP (2013). 100 LIVING BELOW US$ 2.50 50 DEMOGRAPHICS LIVING BETWEEN US$ 2.50- 5.00 0 LIVING ABOVE US$ 5.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 POPULATION BY AGE AND POVERTY STATUS, 2012 (MILLIONS) Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV. 65-older CONTRIBUTORS 55-64 GROWTH DISTRIBUTION 45-54 % CONTRIBUTION TO POVERTY REDUCTION, (US$ 2.50), 2007-2012 35-44 Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV. 25-34 15-24 0-14 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 Women Men -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 NATIONAL DATA Poverty and inequality statistics in Armenia are produced by the national statistics office based on the annual Integrated Living Conditions Survey. Official poverty estimates are based on the "Cost of Basic Needs" approach which determines three different poverty lines: (1) the food poverty line which uses the minimum required level of calories; (2) the lower poverty line which refers to the "Consumption Basket Method;" and (3) the upper poverty line which makes use of the "Food Expenditure Method." In 2012, the most recent year of published figures, the three different poverty headcount rates were 2.8, 13.5 and 32.4%, respectively (exploring a consumption aggregate which is corrected using an adult equivalence scale).* The 2013-2015 "Three Year State Statistical Programme" is currently implemented as the most recent national strategy for statistical development in Armenia. The most recent Integrated Living Conditions Survey available for Armenia in the World Bank's regional internal microdata catalog, the ECA Data Portal, is for the year 2012. *Source: "Social Snapshot and Poverty in Armenia 2013" published annually by the NSO in Armenia. KEY INDICATORS To t al US$ 2 . 5 0 Poor No n -P o o r US$ 5 . 0 0 Poor No n -P o o r R elat iv e Gr o u p Bo t t o m 4 0 % To p 6 0 % Year D em o gr ap h ic s Share of total population (%) 100% 30% 70% 80% 20% 40% 60% 2012 % of group living in rural areas 37% 37% 36% 39% 26% 39% 35% 2012 % of group living in urban areas 63% 63% 64% 61% 74% 61% 65% 2012 % of households with 4+ members 58% 76% 52% 65% 39% 72% 51% 2012 Dependency Ratio: Children (0-14)/all HH members 0.26 0.33 0.23 0.28 0.16 0.31 0.22 2012 Dependency Ratio: Elderly 65+/all HH members 0.18 0.17 0.19 0.19 0.16 0.18 0.18 2012 Share of households with Female Head (%) 32% 31% 32% 32% 34% 31% 33% 2012 Average HH size 3.92 4.75 3.65 4.22 3.08 4.57 3.59 2012 Ed u c at io n Proportion of group with None/