70218 Mongolia Improving Feed and Fodder Supply for Dzud Management This work was commissioned and overseen by Andrew Goodland (World Bank East Asia Sustainable Development Department). It was financed by the Trust Fund for Environmentally and Socially Sustainable Development (TFESSD), a multi-donor trust fund supported by Finland and Norway that provides grant resources for World Bank activities aimed at mainstreaming the environmental, social and poverty reducing dimensions of sustainable development into bank work. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................................... IV 1. INTRODUCTION TO THE STUDY ........................................................................................................1 1.1 PURPOSE........................................................................................................................................................1 1.2 APPROACH.....................................................................................................................................................1 2. LIVESTOCK, POLICY, POVERTY AND DZUD ..................................................................................4 2.1 THE CHANGING NATURE OF EXTENSIVE LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION ...............................................................4 2.2 SEMI-INTENSIVE AND INTENSIVE LIVESTOCK................................................................................................9 2.3 CROP SECTOR AND FODDER PRODUCTION TRENDS ..................................................................................... 10 2.4 EMERGENCY FEED AND FODDER RESERVES ................................................................................................ 14 2.5 POLICY IMPLICATIONS ................................................................................................................................. 15 3. INTERNATIONAL BEST PRACTICE AND GAP ANALYSIS ......................................................... 17 3.1 GAP ANALYSIS USING LEGS ...................................................................................................................... 17 3.2 DISASTER EWS AND PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT ....................................................................................... 19 3.3 PARTICIPATORY RESPONSE IDENTIFICATION ............................................................................................... 23 3.4 MINIMUM STANDARDS FOR THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ALL INTERVENTIONS .............................................. 28 3.5 MINIMUM STANDARDS FOR FEED SUPPLIES ................................................................................................ 30 4. PUBLIC SECTOR INVOLVEMENT .................................................................................................... 33 4.1 PROVIDING AN ENABLING ENVIRONMENT ................................................................................................... 33 4.2 FEED RESOURCE MANAGEMENT AND LOCAL RESPONSE............................................................................. 39 4.3 NATIONAL EMERGENCY RESPONSE ............................................................................................................. 60 5. PRIVATE SECTOR ROLE AND PRACTICE ..................................................................................... 77 5.1 INDIVIDUAL HERDERS AND HERDER GROUPS ............................................................................................. 77 5.2 COOPERATIVES ............................................................................................................................................ 82 5.3 FODDER PRODUCERS, PROCESSORS AND DEALERS ..................................................................................... 83 5.4 INPUT SUPPLIERS ......................................................................................................................................... 86 6. DONORS, RESEARCHERS AND NGOS.............................................................................................. 87 6.1 INVOLVEMENT ............................................................................................................................................. 87 6.2 WORLD BANK SLP ...................................................................................................................................... 89 6.3 FAO FODDER PROJECTS .............................................................................................................................. 91 6.4 SDC GREEN GOLD ...................................................................................................................................... 91 6.5 UNDP COMBATING DESERTIFICATION PROJECT ......................................................................................... 93 6.6 UNDP ENVIRONMENTAL DISASTER MANAGEMENT PROJECT ..................................................................... 94 7. POLICY OPTIONS .................................................................................................................................. 95 7.1 POLICY ASSUMPTIONS AND GUIDING PRINCIPLES ....................................................................................... 95 7.2 POLICY OPTIONS ......................................................................................................................................... 97 7.3 IMPLEMENTATION ..................................................................................................................................... 102 8. PILOT PROJECTS ................................................................................................................................ 103 8.1 OVERVIEW................................................................................................................................................. 103 8.2 PILOT PROJECT 1: INFORMATION SYSTEM FOR DZUD FORECASTING AND MONITORING ........................... 103 8.3 PILOT PROJECT 2: INTEGRATED REGIONAL FEED SUPPLY MANAGEMENT ................................................. 105 APPENDICES Appendix A: Meetings Appendix B: Livestock Fodder Program Improving Feed and Fodder Supply for Dzud Management in Mongolia The World Bank (WB) undertook the “Improving Feed and Fodder Supply for Dzud Management in Mongoliaâ€? study to identify policy options that could improve the effectiveness and efficiency of dzud emergency management and response. The review included an assessment of the appropriate roles for the private and public sectors, identification of issues and capacity building requirements. The study will support a policy dialogue and could provide the foundation for a longer-term pilot project in feed and fodder production, storage and distribution as part a coherent and effective emergency strategy. Livestock, Policy, Poverty and Dzud Mongolia’s transition from a planned to market economy in 1990 led to the collapse product markets and the loss of employment as jobs were shed from unviable state enterprises. Livestock were among the first assets to be privatized and households turned to herding as other income opportunities disappeared. Government withdrawal from the sector transferred all risks to herders within an uncertain legal and unstable institutional and financial environment. Without a clear tenure system for pasture or quality- based market systems, growing animal numbers and a lack of investment led to overgrazing of pastures. When animal numbers chronically exceed carrying capacity, animals in poor body condition can not survive harsh winter conditions and animal losses restore the livestock-pasture equilibrium. Feed and fodder is the most important intervention to prevent animal losses during dzud. Animals need to enter winter in sufficient body condition and have access to adequate forage to survive through spring. This boom-bust livestock cycle has been repeated twice since transition, with increasing amplitude. The first major dzud occurred from 1999 to 2001 after livestock numbers rose to more than 33 million. 9.7 million animals died and more than 19,000 families lost their livelihoods. After this dzud, animal numbers were 23.9 million in 2002, but rebounded to 44 million by 2009. In 2009, a summer drought was followed by a severe winter of extended cold and high snowfall. 10 million animals died by the spring of 2010 and another 10,000 families lost their livelihoods. With few job openings and limited skills, many of these families have become the urban poor in Ulaanbaatar and other urban settlements. Dzud losses combined with declining terms of trade for livestock products have increased the rural poverty rate and now 70% of families have herds at or below the minimum economic size. The constraints of poverty such as the lack of assets and collateral, lack of mobility and high levels of risk aversion impedes the typical herding household’s ability to produce adequate fodder, maintain adequate winter shelters or to make otor. Poverty has become entrenched in rural Mongolia. The State Emergency Fodder Fund (SEFF) operated through the collective period to secure forage for winter preparation. Herders became reliant on these highly subsidized reserves and over time they became a major element in the State budget. Transportation costs frequently exceeded the feeding value of the fodder1. The SEFF was disbanded in 1996 but were re-established after the dzuds of 1999-2001 1 ELPS, V2 pVII-3 to VII4 and came under the responsibility of NEMA in 2004. After the 2009/2010 dzud, aimags and soums were directed to establish additional, local reserves. There are now three levels of reserves including national, aimag resources and soum reserves. Throughout this period, the Pasture Law which would provide the basis for secure pasture tenure and grazing fees was defeated by consecutive parliaments. Innovative pasture management systems were piloted but no standard model was institutionalized as a national approach. Marketing and grading systems remained under-developed. The capacity of herders to produce supplementary feed was constrained by a lack of equipment, inputs and technical skills. Meanwhile, the underlying expectation of herders that government would provide for winter feed was fulfilled repeatedly. The extensive livestock sector now sits in a precarious position, trying to provide livelihoods for too many poor families on a declining resource base. 70% of pasture is considered eroded to some extent and there is a growing perception that climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of drought and dzud. What was previously managed as a difficult, but normal, environmental phenomenon is increasingly becoming a humanitarian disaster requiring international response. Recognizing these issues and the need to shift from a focus on animal numbers to animal productivity, the Government has formulated the National Mongolian Livestock Program (NMLP) to improve the legal, production, marketing, management environments and to improve the ability to adapt to climate change. The Livestock Fodder Program (2008-2015) aims to prevent livestock from natural potential risks by increasing the quantity and type of hay and fodder with participation of herder, enterprises and organizations. Additionally, intensive livestock growth has generated demand for feed crops and manufactured fodder while the crop sector has been revitalized through new policy and investment. Growing feed demand coupled with increased supplies of feed grains and crop by-products has supported the emergence of new feed mills and fodder manufacturers. The existence of this production capacity and international best practice offers new options for providing feed and fodder to the livestock industry. Livestock Emergency Guidelines and Standards (LEGS) LEGS are a set of international guidelines and standards based on livelihood objectives for livestock interventions carried out during humanitarian crises. They aim to save lives and livelihoods by providing a) models of different types of livestock disasters; b) links to international best practice and organizations on disaster early warning systems (EWS) and preliminary assessment; c) decision trees to select the best possible interventions; and, d) guidelines for best practice to implement the interventions. The LEGS are built on a rights-based approach which underscores the right to food and right to a standard of living2. Mongolian disaster management was compared to LEGS on terms of: i) disaster EWS and preliminary assessments; ii) participatory response identification; iii) minimum standards for all livestock emergency interventions; and, iv) minimum standards for the provision of feed supplies during livestock emergencies. Several of the individual elements of best practice exist in Mongolia, but they are not used consistently in response to dzud emergencies. Where they are commonly used, it is with inherent implementation weaknesses. Monitoring of activities is weak, not being established early in the situation, adequately involving communities or being standardized to allow for multi-agency use. 2 LEGS, page 3 Roles of Private and Public Sectors Many public and private sector stakeholders are active in livestock feed and dzud management. Primary public sector agents include the Government, State Emergency Commission (SEC), National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), Ministry of Agriculture and Light Industry (MOFALI), National Agency for Meteorology, Hydrology and Environment Monitoring of Mongolia (NAMHEM) and aimag and soum governments. In the private sector, herders, herder groups, cooperatives, feed and fodder producers, feed manufacturers, input dealers and private veterinarians play important roles. Dzud response in 1999- 2001 and 2009 was slow, disjointed and inadequate stemming from an inappropriate focus in roles and inherent capacity weaknesses within and across these stakeholders. Progress has been made in individual skills, pilot programs and the development of environmental monitoring systems over the past 15 years, but there is a need to refocus the roles and integrate these disparate elements into a coordinated system. In a market system, the private sector’s role should be in investment, production and marketing while the public sector’s role should be to provide an enabling policy environment, support strong and relevant institutions, monitor and enforce the regulatory system and provide financing to support coherent medium and long term policy development and implementation. In Mongolia, livestock is privately owned while pasture is publicly owned, creating a public-private-partnership (PPP). This is reinforced by the Constitution which states that livestock is national wealth and is to be protected by the State. Within Mongolia’s mixed system with private livestock, the responsibility for feeds and feeding should rest with herders who should ensure livestock are good condition before winter and have adequate shelter and feed to survive through spring. However a number of individual, institutional, climatic/agronomic and policy constraints impede herders’ ability to do so. Herders, individually or through groups, need secure tenure of their productive resources, access to adequate financing and training to be able to fully take on feed production and many other functions that should be their responsibility. Herder groups, which can be a vehicle for herder action, have been piloted but need further policy support and promotion before they can support improved pasture management and feed production on any significant scale. Other private sector players are emerging that can play an important role in feed and fodder supply. Cooperatives could play an important role in promoting hay and fodder preparation by members and offering bulk pricing for seed, fencing and other inputs. They could also organize training activities for members as well as services for the procurement and transportation of feeds and fodder. Finally, they could organize destocking efforts by ensuring better access to processors. However, cooperatives are still weak organizationally and financially and tend to be small and focussed on single aspects of business. Private sector providers emerging in the livestock feed market face a variety of challenges. Hay producers are cutting natural grass for maximum volume and the resulting product is very low quality. The businesses are weather dependent and profits vary greatly from year to year. Fodder dealers are small enterprises owned by individuals operating on very narrow margins. Feed mills are beginning to emerge offering a variety of rations and pellets but they are still developing their products and businesses. The input supply sector is also recovering, following the strengthening of the crop sector but has limited access to forage seeds. These groups would all benefit from policy that: i) promotes the production of quality feeds by grade-based pricing; ii) improves financing options; iii) introduces improved technologies; and, iv) improves availability of forage seed. The Government needs to provide the enabling environment that will allow herders and other private sector players to fulfil their responsibilities, in normal years, by: i) passing the Pasture Law and related regulations; ii) creating the mechanisms for effective inter-agency coordination; iii) decentralizing budgets and authority to local governments; iv) providing the extension and technical support to build herder capacity; and, v) establishing a strong, transparent monitoring and evaluation system. In years of severe conditions that overwhelm normal preparations, the government has a role to support emergency response and recovery. Forage production and dzud preparation should be done by local communities. Soum governments should have a primary role in dzud preparation and response, working in collaboration with herders. There is a need to practise PPPs for management, use, rehabilitation and improvement of pasture and feed supplies. In reality, soums have overburdened local government that struggle with budget shortfalls and operational issues. There is a need for a decentralization of budgets and capacity building for soum governments. Optimally, aimag level agencies should a) have the responsibility and authority to manage programs within the aimag, b) initiate and coordinate regional activities with other aimags and c) initiate trigger points for national level intervention in emergency cases. Currently, they have insufficient budget and authority to carry out agricultural development plans, forage reserve establishment or inter-aimag otor. There is a need to decentralize budgets and decision making responsibility and to do a better job of coordinating, monitoring and evaluating the use of funds and programs in the aimags. MOFALI provides policy direction, program implementation and technical support to all sectors of food and agriculture as well as light industry. The priorities and responsibilities of MOFALI related to dzud preparation and management include: i) supporting competitiveness and management; ii) water, land, and pasture management; iii) protection of livestock from natural disasters; and, iv) livestock disease control. MOFALI is implementing the national fodder, livestock and crop programs and is responsible for the inter-aimag otor administration, dzud preparation and monitoring. Under the current alignment of dzud emergency roles and responsibilities, MOFALI is working within an emergency management structure to carry out activities that should be considered regular livestock management. There is considerable weight to the argument that authority and responsibility should be returned to MOFALI for dzud preparation. NAMHEM provides regular weather forecasting as well as environmental monitoring, expected natural and weather disasters and environmental pollution. In 2012, NAMHEM will become the institutional home of the Livestock Early Warning System (LEWS). This will significantly improve the national capacity to monitor and plan drought and dzud response. There are capacity issues around information collection and dissemination at the local level and with the extent to which weather and forage data is being integrated into emergency management decision making. SEC is the main body in dzud response while NEMA is responsible for the implementation of the state reserve integrated policy and coordination of disaster management. The central role of SEC and NEMA limits the authority of other agencies and has created unrealistic expectations of assistance at the local level. These national-level organizations and reserves should not be involved in dzud response until the situation exceeds local capacity to respond. Issues related to SEC and NEMA in dzud response include the timeliness of decision making, transparency of information, local funding for reserve preparation, pricing policies and the general effectiveness and efficiency of coordination and response. NEMA, a relatively new organization, has staff, disaster planning, information management and reserve management constraints which impair effectiveness. Donors, researchers and NGOs have been involved in the extensive livestock sector supporting poverty alleviation and introducing innovative methods of resource management, production, finance and marketing suitable to a market economy. Many of these models are becoming well established in communities and some are becoming institutionalized. Challenges include coordination to promote effective targeting of programs and budgets and the institutionalization of successful models. The successes and lessons from these projects should be synthesized into standardized, national level approaches. Policy Options The Government of Mongolia must balance economic, environment and social welfare needs within a limited budget. Sustainable development depends on maintaining the viability and productivity of each of these systems. They are intrinsically interdependent and should be considered that way in policy development. A complete policy approach to dzud management, phased-in over five years, should: 1. Complete the legal framework to provide secure pasture tenure and allowing for individual and group possession/use to remove the risk and uncertainty that constrains investment. 2. Develop the PPP mechanism for investment and shared risk management including the livestock insurance system and a cost-shared program for investments in pasture and feed improvements. 3. Decentralize responsibility, authority and resources by providing recurring annual budgets to soums and aimags for preparation and initial response. 4. Develop an integrated approach to regional livestock feed management and place overall responsibility in MOFALI while strengthening local capacity for planning and management. 5. Provide clear and reliable information for decision making by establishing a unified database and IT system to support drought cycle management using the LEWS. 6. Focus NEMA on major emergencies, strengthen planning and monitoring capacity and use state reserves only for disasters that legitimately overwhelm the local capacity to prepare and respond. 7. Strengthen planning and cluster coordination for emergency management clarifying inter-agency roles and responsibility. Develop and regularly update detailed dzud management plans. 8. Develop strong, transparent monitoring programs with a centralized mechanism for reports so that any deficiencies in preparation and/or monitoring are immediately apparent. 9. Improve efficiency and transparency in reserve management focussed on holding high quality, long-life feed stuffs stored in adequate facilities to ensure the maintenance of quality. 10. Remove market distortions and promote a viable private feed and fodder industry. Plan to phase out of holding hay in forage reserves within five years. 11. Provide herders the right financial incentives and disincentives to promote local, private preparation and smaller, more productive herds. Accelerate the formation of herder groups. 12. Build herder capacity through training and finance so that they can implement new approaches. Use Veterinary and Animal Breeding Divisions for training, information and technical support. 13. Provide for support for exit strategies through the social welfare system and other sources. Two pilot projects have been identified that could support improved dzud management through integrated approaches to resource management and improved early warning system (EWS) utilization for disaster management planning. The information system pilot project would support improved drought cycle management and decentralized decision making. It would require vertical implementation between grass- roots end-users and the emergency management and technical agencies in Ulaanbaatar. The regional integrated feed resources project would promote improved feed production and management on a regional basis be linking forage deficit aimags (gobi) with adjacent or nearby forage surplus areas (khangai, steppe, central) for the purpose of forage production, procurement and otor. It is envisioned that the two pilot projects would be integrated, as their programs are complementary. The pilot areas would include one cluster of aimags with one or two soums per aimag, depending on the budget availability. The EWS pilot would overlay the forage resource area and would be used by local managers for making production, procurement and otor decisions. AMHEMO Aimag Meteorological, Hydrological and Environment Monitoring Office ADB Asian Development Bank ELPS Extensive Livestock Production System EMR Emergency Management and Response EWS Early Warning Systems FASMED Food, Agriculture and SME Department FEWS_NET Famine Early Warning Systems Network FU Fodder Unit GOM Government of Mongolia ha Hectare HD Head of livestock HH Household IBLIP Index-Based Livestock Insurance Program LEC Local Emergency Committee LEGS Livestock Emergency Guidelines and Standards LEWS Livestock Early Warning System LFP Livestock Fodder Program M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MFSPA Mongolian Forage Seed Producers Association MNET Ministry of Nature, Environment and Tourism MNT Mongolian Tugrog MOF Ministry of Finance MOFALI Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Light Industry MORTCUD Ministry of Roads, Transportation, Construction and Urban Development MSWL Ministry of Social Welfare and Labour mt Metric Tonne NAEC National Agricultural Extension Centre NAMHEM National Agency of Meteorology, Hydrology and Environmental Monitoring NETD Nature, Environment and Tourism Department NAMAC National Association of Mongolian Agricultural Coopertives NASA National Aeronautics and Space Administration NDRP National Disaster Response Program NEMA National Emergency Management Agency NGO Non-Government Organization NMLP National Mongolian Livestock Program (Mongol Mal) NOAA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration OIE World Organization for Animal Health PPP Public-Private-Partnershipo PRIM Participatory Response Identification Matrix PUGS Pasture User Groups RIAH Research Institute for Animal Husbandry RIMHEWS Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System SDC Swiss Development Corporation SEC State Emergency Commission SEFF State Emergency Fodder Fund SLP Sustainable Livelihoods Project SME Small and Medium-sized Enterpises SRM Society for Rangeland Management SSIA State Specialized Inspection Agency SU Sheep Unit UNDP United Nations Development Program USDA United States Department of Agriculture VABD Veterinary and Animal Breeding Division WB World Bank aimag a primary administrative unit (‘province’) in contemporary Mongolia, consisting of several soums. bag formerly a customary social institution; now refers to the lowest level of Mongolian state administration. bod a traditional Mongolian livestock unit. The values of animals in terms of bod are: 1 horse - 1 bod; camel - 1.5 bod; 1 cow or yak - 1 bod; 1 sheep - 0.14 (1/7) bod; 1 goat - 0.l bod. brigade the former primary production unit within the negdel. dzud an extremely snowy winter in which livestock are unable to reach grass through the snow cover, and large numbers of animals die due to starvation and the cold. Variations of dzud include black, white, iron/ice and hoof zuds. Black zud is caused by sparse food in summer and a cold winter. White zud is caused by very heavy snow fall. Iron orice zud is caused by frozen rain which forms an ice crust over pasture. Hoof dzud is caused by too many livestock migrating into an area for the winter and overwhelming forage supplies. ger felt tent, household. horshoo voluntary cooperative formed by individuals, recently approved as a form of economic cooperation. khot ail the group of households camping together and sharing labor. It also plays a social role as the smallest local community. It has a loose internal structure and flexible composition from year to year. In the pre-collectivization period khot ails were headed by (and named after) one of the eldest male members - hotyn ahlach. negdel pastoral collective (‘agricultural cooperative’). otor rapid move of animals due to adverse local grazing conditions (over 15 - 20 km from the main camp) with only a few herders, without moving the main camp and leaving the family behind. soum secondary administrative unit (‘district’) in contemporary Mongolia, consisting of several bags. An effective and sustainable approach to dzud Emergency Management and Response (EMR) must address emergency preparation, early warning systems, emergency response and rehabilitation. The provision of cash support is only one element of a robust emergency management system. Other necessary elements include systems to provide access to feed, fodder and veterinary supplies to improve the chance of livestock survival. The World Bank (WB) undertook the “Improving Feed and Fodder Supply for Dzud Management in Mongoliaâ€? study to identify policy options that could improve the effectiveness and efficiency of dzud EMR, including defining the appropriate roles for the private and public sectors. These options will support a policy dialogue and could provide the foundation for a longer-term pilot project in feed and fodder production, storage and distribution as one leg of a coherent and effective EMR strategy. The assessment was conducted in May 2011 and involved three steps: 1) gap analysis based primarily on the Livestock Emergency Guidelines and Standards (LEGS) protocols; 2) review of the public and private sector in Mongolia’s EMR programs; and, 3) development of policy options and potential pilot projects. The outputs included: - Comparison of Mongolian EMR approaches to international best practice - Assessment of the issues and capacity development needs of public and private stakeholders - Definition of the appropriate roles of the public and private sectors in each phase of EMR including prevention/preparation, response and recovery. - Identification of policy options - Conceptualization of pilot projects based on the policy options and capacity development needs. Stakeholder Consultations: Information from stakeholder consultations was used in the gap analysis, capacity assessment, policy option identification and pilot project conceptualization. More than 50 stakeholders from the public and private sectors were interviewed as a part of the study. Interviews were conducted at the national, aimag and soum level including: - Ulaanbaatar city - Ovorkhangai aimag (Averhiil) - Sant soum, Ovorkhangai aimag - Rashaant soum of Bulgan aimag The study team participated in one WB workshop on “Dzud Disaster Financing and Response in Mongoliaâ€? held on May 4th. On May 20th, a workshop on the findings of this study was held at the WB office in Ulaanbaatar to present the finding and recommendations and to gather comments from stakeholders. Contact lists from interviews and workshops are provided in Appendix A. Gap Analysis: Mongolia’s EMR was compared to international best practice, gaps documented and possible policy and program innovations for Mongolia identified. International best practice in EMR for the livestock sector was established from the LEGS. Examples from other countries which have similar livestock production systems and/or internationally recognized programs for emergency response were provided, where possible. The ability to effectively respond to emergency situations in cold-climate, remote conditions was the key determinant in country selection. Stakeholder interviews provided the main source of information on Mongolia’s current practice, issues and examples of best practice within Mongolia. Additional information was gathered from a document review. The recent assessment of Mongolian dzud response in 2010, jointly conducted by the United Nations Development Program (UNDP) and the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), was the central document for review of the current Mongolian approach. This was supplemented by other recent analyses such as “Unravelling Mongolia’s Extreme Winter Disaster of 2010â€? by Troy Sternberg and other recent assessment reports. Capacity Assessment: The UNDP defines capacity development as, “… the process by which individuals, organizations, institutions, and societies develop abilities (individually and collectively) to perform functions, solve problems and set and achieve objectivesâ€?3. A three-level capacity model was used to assess issues of the enabling environment, institutions and individuals in both the public and private sectors. Individual capacity (micro level) refers to the attitudes, skills and knowledge required for an individual to effectively carry out their roles and responsibilities. Institutional capacity refers to the mandate, organization, programs and policies, human resources, information systems and budgets of specific formal organizations within the system and whether these are facilitating or inhibiting the effectiveness of operations. Finally, the enabling environment refers to the over-arching conditions that may enable or impede the collective ability to solve problems and achieve goals. The enabling environment includes the legal and policy environment, societal norms and other factors. The capacity concepts utilized in the study are summarized in Table 1.1. 3 Capacity Development: Technical Paper, UNDP, 1997 Table 1.1: Capacity Model Individual Institutional Enabling Environment Aspects - Attitudes - Mandate - Regulatory framework - Knowledge - Organizational structure - Interagency and multi-sector - Skills - Leadership and management (transparency and interactions including early - Empowerment and accountability accountability) warning systems and decision - Programs and policies trees based on trigger points - Monitoring and evaluation - Social mores and conventions - Human resources (qualifications, responsibilities, - Mongolian tradition empowerment and accountability) - Socialist legacy - Information systems - Social contract between - Budgets government and herders Public Sector - Leaders and policy makers - National Government - Constitution Application - Line managers - Emergency organizations - SEC, NEMA - Laws, regulations and - Technicians - Line agencies - MOFALI, MNET & NAMHEM, MOF generalized enforcement - Knowledge of international standards and MSW&L - Degree of decentralization - Technical knowledge and skills - Aimag level government and agencies - Balance of power - Soum level government and agencies - Socialist legacy - Levels of transparency Private Sector - Herders, fodder producers, traders - Individual livestock and fodder enterprises - Enabling legislation for herder Application - Attitudes and expectations of - Herder groups groups government support - Cooperatives - Attitudes regarding dzud - Legal and accepted role of - Fodder traders and markets private sector - Knowledge of climate and pasture - Livestock traders and markets - Social contract between conditions, number of animals, animal - Livestock processors government and herders and nutrition, health and productivity - Input suppliers interactions expectations of support - Banks, non-bank financial institutions and credit and - Skills in pasture management, fodder savings cooperatives, funds preparation, feeding NGOs/Donors - Knowledge of agricultural systems - International agencies, multi-lateral and bi-lateral - Formal relationships between Application within the Mongolian setting donors and projects and international NGOs GoM and agencies - Knowledge of international standards - Local NGOs and Associations - Interagency relationships, and approaches - Donor agency strategic plans, bureaucratic process and information sharing and - Language barrier level of transparency coordination; International and - Local NGO and association mandate and management bilateral agreement and implementation capacities Mongolia’s transition from a planned to market economy in 1990 led to the collapse product markets, the dismantling of production infrastructure and services and the massive loss of employment as jobs were shed from unviable state enterprises. Livestock was among the first state assets to be privatized as the state farms and collective farms (negdels) were dismantled. With the privatization of livestock and the dissolution of the negdels, the organized livestock and livestock product markets as well as the provision of inputs and services that supported the herding sector were drastically decreased, including, but not limited to: - Organized marketing - Feed and fodder production and transportation - Seasonal pasture management and supporting transportation - The organization and logistical support for otor - The provision of veterinary services - Construction and maintenance of winter shelters and wells. All risks (market, price, finance, production) were transferred to herders. Having few skills or opportunities in livestock marketing and finance and faced with severe macro-economic uncertainty that included collapsing markets, bank failures and hyper-inflation, herders adopted risk minimization strategies which led to a decrease in offtake, a rapid increase in herd size and a significant shift in herd composition.4 Both the public and private sector withdrew from supplementary feed and fodder production. Nonetheless, herders maintained an expectation that the government should and would provide assistance. Wells were in state ownership but not maintained or equipment was stolen or sold resulting in approximately 80% of the wells being out of operation by the mid 1990s5. This limited the potential use of some pasture areas and concentrated livestock around the remaining waterpoints. Logistical support to seasonal and otor pasture planning and movement was not longer available and herders, without sufficient equipment and cash, significantly decreased seasonal movement, giving pastures no time for rest and recovery. There was a shortage of winter shelters and many of those remaining were partially split apart for the building materials leaving animals more exposed and vulnerable to harsh winter conditions. All of these deficiencies, which continue to exist, have lessened the system capacity to optimize the use of available forage resources and survive difficult winter and spring conditions. At the same time that state investment and services to the sector were declining, households were turning to herding for their livelihoods as alternative income opportunities disappeared. Between 1990 and 2000, the number of herding households rose 256%, from 74,700 in 1990 to 191,500 in 2000 as the extensive 4 ADB Study of Extensive Livestock Systems (ELPS), TA Number 2602-MON, Volume 1, October 1997, page I-3 5 ADB ELPS, page II-6 livestock sector became the country’s de facto social insurance program. In 1996/97, participatory assessments under the Asian Development Bank (ADB) “Study of Extensive Livestock Production Systems (ELPS)â€? indicated that a stable herd size would be 100 to 200 head and that anything under 100 head would indicate poverty or vulnerability to poverty. At that time, 66% of all families with livestock had less than 100 head and many families held fewer than 50 head of livestock. Subsistence herding and poverty had become characteristic of the extensive livestock sector6. Living in poverty or on the edge of poverty creates enormous pressure for households to increase their herd sizes to secure a basic income in the least cost manner. While this is a rational response by an individual household, at the aggregate level, without a clear tenure system for pasture land or market systems that reward quality with premium prices, this has led to the continuous build-up of animal numbers, a lack of investment in productivity and land improvements and the overgrazing of pastures. In 1997 the ELPS stated: “The major criteria for determining the feasibility of having more livestock is the availability of forage resources sufficient to support higher numbers without inducing a decline in the productivity of pastures and livestock. In the traditional system, a bad winter or extended drought established that capacity. As forage supplies became insufficient to support the current number of livestock, higher mortality rates usually occurred over a short period of time and restored a balance between livestock numbers and forage supply. It is logical to assume that, in the near future, especially if livestock are unable to restore body condition during the summer grazing season and store body fat for periods of winter and spring nutritional stress, there will be above average mortality of livestock. While this would restore the balance in forage supply and demand, marginal herders would be severely hurt economically and the existing social welfare system may be unable to deal with the sudden increase in income assistance and food aid requirements7.â€? The preparation of adequate amounts of livestock feed before winter is critical to the survival of animals. During the collective period, forage and shelter was provided by the State and dzud did not result in the extreme losses now experienced. As Table 2.1 depicts, supplementary feed in terms of Fodder Units (FU)/head (HD) was 41.6 in 1989, before the transition. In 1990, the supplementary feed supply was 26.9 FU/HD and by 1999, the onset of the first major post-transition dzud, it was only 10.9 FU/HD. After the livestock die-off of 1999 to 2002, fodder supplies rose to 18.3 FU/HD in 2003 and then declined steadily from 2004 until reaching 11.3 FU/HD in 2009. Once again, a major dzud ensued. Figure 2.1 illustrated this relationship between animal number and fodder supplies. When fodder units fell below 12 per animal, devastating dzuds occurred in 1999, 2000 and 2009. 6 ADB ELPS, Volume II, pages VI-18 and IX-4. 7 ADB ELPS, Volume 1, page I-5 Table 2.1: Total Livestock and Supplementary Feed and Fodder (1989, 1990 and 1999 to 2010) Item Unit 1989 1990 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Fodder to Livestock Ratios Gross hay harvest (000 mt) ‘000 mt 1,166.3 866.4 715.2 689.4 831.5 767.0 840.7 850.5 845.1 983.3 933.1 1,030.9 912.3 1,137.3 Fodder crop production (000 mt) ‘000 mt 551.0 527.1 5.3 4.1 2.6 3.5 9.4 9.6 8.3 10.2 14.1 19.9 10.4 34.8 Fodder in fodder units (000) F.U. 1,027.3 696.4 367.7 357.4 438.4 411.4 465.0 464.2 468.5 535.6 513.4 560.5 499.2 618.6 Livestock (Million) Million 24.7 25.9 33.6 30.2 26.1 23.9 25.4 28.0 30.4 34.8 40.3 43.3 44.0 32.7 Hay (kg/head of livestock) kg/head 47.2 33.5 21.3 22.8 31.9 32.1 33.1 30.3 27.8 28.3 23.2 23.8 20.7 34.7 Fodder Crop (kg/head) kg/head 22.31 20.39 0.16 0.14 0.10 0.15 0.37 0.34 0.27 0.29 0.35 0.46 0.24 1.06 Fodder units/head F.U./head 41.6 26.9 10.9 11.8 16.8 17.2 18.3 16.6 15.4 15.4 12.8 12.9 11.3 18.9 Fodder Crop to Hay Ratio 0.472 0.608 0.007 0.006 0.003 0.005 0.011 0.011 0.010 0.010 0.015 0.019 0.011 0.031 Figure 2.1: Total Livestock to Available Fodder Figure 2.2: Hay, Fodder Crops and Total Fodder Units (1989, 1990 and 1999 to 2010) (1989, 1990 and 1999 to 2010) Source: National Statistics Office Source: National Statistics Office The quality of feed and fodder supplies has also declined since transition. In 1990, natural hay harvest was 866,400 metric tonne (mt) while the production of fodder crops was 527,100 mt and annual and perennial hay production was 201,200 mt and 25,600 mt respectively. By 2001, fodder crop production was only 2,600 mt and, along with the disappearance of other crop by-products, the production of good quality manufactured fodder also declined. Fodder crops have now increased to 34,800 mt, but this remains at only 6% of 1989 levels. As Table 2.1 shows, even while gross hay harvest has nearly regained pre-transition levels, the total available fodder in terms of FU is still only 628,600 or 60% of previous levels. This speaks to the significant quality gap that persists in the feed and fodder supply. Where as fodder crop production was 22 kg/HD in 1989, by 2001 it was only 0.10 kg/HD and by 2010 was still only 1.1 kg/HD. Figure 2.2 illustrates that, even though hay harvest has recovered, the gap in total FU remains because of the decline of fodder crop production. The predicted boom and bust cycle in Mongolian livestock numbers has now been repeated twice with increasing amplitude. What might have previously been managed as a difficult, but normal, environmental phenomenon is increasingly becoming a humanitarian disaster requiring response from the international community. By the winter of 1999, herd numbers had reached somewhere between the official estimates of 33.6 million and the unofficial estimates of 35 million or more. Without adequate forage preparation, the loss of livestock over the three winters between 1999 and 2002 was 9.7 million, with serious humanitarian consequences. Between 2000 and 2003, 19,100 families left herding. By 2005 an additional 4,100 had left the sector to seek alternative livelihoods elsewhere. With few job openings and limited skills, many of these families have become the urban poor in Ulaanbaatar and other urban settlements. The pressure to increase herd sizes was incessant and livestock numbers grew steadily from 23.0 million head in 2002 to 44.0 million in 2009. During this time, the proposed Pasture Law which would provide the basis for secure pasture tenure by herder groups and introduce the means to charge grazing fees was defeated by consecutive parliaments and remains unratified. While many innovative pasture management systems were piloted with the assistance of international donors, no standard model was institutionalized as a national approach. Marketing and grading systems remained under-developed with no premiums being offered for improved quality. For herders, the economic and policy signals continued to tell them to produce high volumes of low quality livestock in the least-cost manner. The dzud cycle repeated itself in the winter of 2009/2010 when severe conditions of heavy snow and extremely low temperatures persisted over an abnormally long period. In the course of one winter and spring, more than 10 million animals perished and 10,000 households lost their primary source of livelihoods. In 2010, total livestock numbers had fallen to 32.7 million and herding households to 160,000. Again, these families shifted towards Ulaanbaatar and the fringes of other urban settlements seeing work. Poverty remains entrenched in the extensive livestock sector. Data for 2010 indicates that, of the remaining 160,000 herding households, 70% have fewer than 200 head of livestock which is now considered to be the minimum number for an economic herd size. When all of the households owning livestock are considered, 76% have fewer than 200 head. The constraints of poverty such as the lack of assets and collateral, lack of mobility and high levels of risk aversion impedes the typical herding household’s ability to produce adequate fodder, maintain adequate winter shelters or to make otor. The pastoral livestock sector, and the families that earn their livelihoods from it, remains extremely vulnerable to natural disasters. In 2010, the livestock sector contributed 18.8% to the total GDP, provided 10% of export revenues, and employed 36% of the total work force in 2008. Until 1999, the sector provided between 30 and 40% of the GDP, however it decreased dramatically due to natural disasters and the rapid development of the mining and service sector. The 1999-2003 natural disasters left respectively 12,500 and 8,711 herder households without any livestock and increased the poverty rates in rural areas and urban areas which received in-migrating herder households8. The extended absence of management and investment into the livestock production from either the government or herders has led to the overall erosion of the essential pasture resource that supports the sector. Pastures represent 96.3% of Mongolia’s 115.8 million ha agricultural land. However, about 70% of the total pastures are degraded to some extent9. In 2009, the WB funded a survey that allowed Dr. Dennis Sheehy to update pastureland sampling originally conducted in 1996/97 under the ELPS. The results showed that, in the intervening 12 years, there had been a 34% loss in plant species in the Gobi region and about a 30% loss in the forest steppe. Dr. Sheehy attributed the decrease to two factors: “Two conditions have created the loss in species: the proportion of goats in the herd in the last 10 to 12 years, and the areas are becoming increasingly arid ….The plant species that had disappeared were most palatable to all livestock, but especially to goats. There are too many of them.10â€? Similarly, the Swiss Development Corporation’s (SDC) Livelihoods Study of Herders in Mongolia (2010) indicated that plant species have decreased by 23.6% in the desert steppe and desert and by 50% in the forest steppe. Accordingly, pasture productivity decreased by 28.6% in the desert areas and 52.2% in the steppe11. This constant and increasing grazing pressure has resulted in a decline of the natural carrying capacity of pastures. Based on national estimates, the carrying capacity of the pastures is now exceeded by 2 to 9 times in some areas12. Complicating this situation is the growing risk of climate change. Climate data and common perception at the national and local levels indicate that climate change is leading to increased frequency and severity of drought and dzud. During 1940-2007, average annual air temperature increased by 2.1C in Mongolia compared to 0.7C throughout the world. The SDC Livelihoods Study reports that in the 65 years preceding 2010, precipitation decreased by as much as 12.5 % in the central and desert regions and that 8 The methodology used by the NSO to determine poverty levels was changed between 2003 and 2009 which makes it difficult to quantify the impact of the dzud on poverty levels. For 2009, the NSO reports the rural poverty rate to as 49.6% versus 43.4% in 2002-2003, while it increased from 36.1% up to 38.7% at national level, during this period (National Statistical Office, 2009). 9 Dr. L. Natsagdorj, Article: Монгол орны БÑ?лчÑ?Ñ?рийн доройтол (цºлжилт)-ын уур амьÑ?галын х¿чин з¿йлийн ¿нÑ?лгÑ?Ñ?ний аÑ?уудалд (БÑ?лчÑ?Ñ?рийн менежментийг боловÑ?ронгуй болгох аÑ?уудлууд), 2006 он, хуудаÑ?125 10 “Pastoralism Unravelling in Mongoliaâ€? Sarah J. Wachter, New York Times, December 8, 2009 11 SDCâ€? Livelihoods Study of Herders in Mongoliaâ€? Ulaanbaatar 2010, page 11 12 Introduction of the draft National Mongolian Livestock Program, 8th December 2009 between 1990 and 1997, 20 % of rivers, 25 % of springs and 35 % of lakes disappeared13. A second complicating factor is the rise of the mining sector. While mining does provide new employment and income opportunities, the mining area has increased significantly without adequate environmental safeguards and rehabilitation requirements, resulting in the disruption of many creeks and rivers both by commercial scale mines and informal miners. The sector now sits in a very precarious position, trying to provide livelihoods for too many poor families on a declining resource base. Mongolia’s traditional source of wealth, the pastures, have been are becoming exhausted and a new policy direction is needed. 2.2 Semi-Intensive and Intensive Livestock The growth of the semi-intensive and intensive livestock sectors in the central region of Mongolia has been the first driver of increased private sector feed and fodder production. After collapsing in the early 1990s, the number of intensive and semi-intensive livestock farms and the total number of intensive livestock have increased several times since 2005 (Tables 2.2 and 2.3). While the sector is small, it is supported by consumer demand, cash markets, interest from producers and government policy. In order to increase productivity of animals, the Government has lent MNT200 million, 100 dairy cows and meat cattle, and 165 high-yielding breeding pigs to 80 herders, farmers, cooperatives, and intensified farms. In addition, 300 HD of imported dairy cows have been distributed to 12 large enterprises in Tuv and Selenge provinces, and peri-urban areas, along with MNT700 million of loans. Table 2.2: Intensive and Semi-Intensive Livestock Farms, 2005 to 2009 Number of Farms 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Dairy 186 395 494 412 523 649 Swine 21 72 79 172 135 190 Poultry (primarily layers) 38 81 111 225 106 148 Feedlots (beef or sheep) 127 130 133 137 141 229 Source: MOFALI statistics Table 2.3: Intensive and Semi-Intensive Livestock Numbers 2005-2009 Number of animals 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Dairy (improved) 4,343 8,012 10,070 12,648 19,298 21,412 Swine 2,670 32,761 36,000 29,300 19,959 15,064 Poultry (primarily layers) 88,068 390,173 395,200 307,164 396,551 397,468 Feedlots (beef or sheep) na na na na na na Source: MOFALI statistics The intensive livestock sector is significant because it has generated a demand for feed crops and manufactured fodder that the extensive livestock industry itself could not do. Intensive livestock products 13 SDC “Livelihood Study of Herders in Mongoliaâ€?, Ulaanbaatar 2010, pages 11 and 13 have cash-based markets with a higher rate of turnover and farmers have the willingness and ability to pay for livestock feeds. This has prompted the re-emergence of manufactured fodder producers. In particular, the dairy industry is developing around urban areas such as Ulaanbaatar and Darkhan. The steady cash flow into the dairy sector has been the main stimulus for the re-emergence of alfalfa crops and manufactured fodders. The existence of this production capacity now provides new options for providing feed and fodder to the extensive livestock industry, as it can piggy-back on the development of the intensive livestock feed markets. Secondly, the growing market for intensive livestock products offers herders an additional exit strategy from extensive livestock production. The extent of these opportunities will vary by climatic zone and the presence of consumer end-markets. These factors need to be considered before any intensive livestock programs are promoted in a particular area. 2.3.1 Crop Production The crop sector provides livestock feed primarily as a) native hay, b) planted hay from annual and perennial grasses and legumes, c) fodder crops such as barley, oats, corn, beans and sunflowers; and, d) crop by-products such as bran. These may be used in either unprocessed or processed forms. Crop and fodder production is based in the central region of Mongolia, primarily in Selenge, Tuv and Bulgan aimags although there are smaller pockets of arable crop land across the country. At the time of transition, there were 1.4 million ha of arable land (1% of total land area), including large areas of fragile land brought under cultivation by the Virgin Land project of the 1950s and 1960s. State farms were privatized in the early 1990s and, without the provision of inputs from the state, the sector rapidly retracted. More than 400,000 ha of uneconomic, marginal and eroded land were abandoned. Other areas of land were not seeded because of a lack of inputs and issues in finance, payment and profitability. In 1990, the total seeded area in Mongolia was 687,600 ha including 554,000 ha of cereal crops and 117,800 ha of fodder crops. By 2000, the total sown area sown in 2000 had decreased 74% to 209,000 ha and fodder crop production was almost non-existent, with only 800 ha sown. Fodder crop production began to increase after 2000 and reached 11,100 ha or 9% of its previous area by 2010. Overall sown area of all crops continued to decline to 162,000 ha in 2006, just 21 % of previous levels. Productivity also declined, and total cereal yield fell from 1.25 mt to a minimum of .5 mt/ha in the droughts of 2002 and 2005. By 2005, total production of cereals was only 75,500 mt. During the 1990s and the mid- 2000s, Mongolia was receiving food aid shipments on an annual basis to fill the gap in local flour production capacity and feedstuffs available for the livestock industry were minimal. New public policy and investment coupled with private investment into the sector and the introduction of improved varieties, technologies and management methods has reversed this trend. The Government of Mongolia (GOM) accepted the Crop 3 National Campaign launched in 2008 and the National Food Security Program in 2009. Additionally, 2009 was proclaimed as the year of “Food Supply and Securityâ€? and set an objective to supply its own consumption of major food staples, such as meat, dairy, wheat flour, potatoes and some of the main vegetables, by domestic production. Within the framework of these actions, the national program for development of crop production was developed and has been implemented. 12,600 mt of high quality wheat seed was provided to 450 farms and individuals on 30 % prepaid credit for the 2009 spring cultivation while 1,500 farmers and individuals were provided with 7,800 mt of diesel fuel on credit from the government reserves financed by the Mongolian Development Fund. The program contracts stipulated that repayment was to be deducted from their autumn harvest. The total sown areas have increased by 1.6 times between 2007 and 2010 while the cereal and fodder crop sown areas doubled. In 2010, Mongolia harvested 355,100 mt of cereal, 168,000 mt of potatoes, 82,300 mt of vegetables and 34,800 mt of fodder crops. Mongolia has become self-sufficient in wheat and potatoes and produces over 50 % of domestic vegetables needs14. Wheat yield have returned to pre-transition levels of 1.4 mt/ha after reaching a low of only .5 mt/ha in 2005. Though fodder crop production doubled since 2007, total area remains at only 9% of 1990 levels. Table 2.4: Changes in arable land and sown areas (‘000 ha) Type 1990 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Arable land 1,400.0 1,176.0 697.0 697.8 704.5 835.7 623.9 617.1 Sown area 687.6 207.8 174.7 142.8 202.7 192.5 282.2 315.3 Of which: cereals 554.0 194.6 159.1 126.2 121.8 154.0 252.4 259.2 potato 12.2 7.9 9.8 10.7 11.5 12.3 13.5 13.8 vegetables 3.5 4.6 5.9 5.9 6.1 6.4 6.5 7.0 fodder crops 117.9 0.7 2.9 4.9 5.5 3.3 11.1 Source: National Statistical Office, 2010 The recent growth in the cereal sector has been strongly promoted by government investment and subsidies since 2008. This has provided access to improved inputs and equipment for conservation tillage and irrigation infrastructure and equipment and has contributed wheat yields increasing to 1.4 mt/ha by 2010. The 2002 ABD Crop Production PPTA15 research showed that improved yields of 1.0 mt/ha and the introduction of chemical fallow or mixed fallow (herbicide with light tillage) generated net profits at prices of USD 125/mt in Mongolia. Since January 2007, the year when Mongolian cereal area reached its minimum, the price of No. 1 Hard Red Winter Wheat FOB the Gulf of Mexico has risen from USD196/mt to a peak of USD 440/mt in March 2008 and remains at USD 354/mt in May 201116. Similar price increases have been experienced in Mongolia. While government subsidies have catalyzed investment in the sector, at current prices and yields, the sector should be providing positive economic and financial returns. Maintaining yields and making wise decisions on equipment investments will be important to maintaining the viability of crop farms. The challenge of sustainable crop production in Mongolia is the need to develop crop rotations for soil conservation and disease control. The constraint is that no cash markets are sufficiently developed yet to 14 Statistical Office 2010 15 ADB Crop Production Project in Mongolia PPTA TA No. 3686-MON 2002 , economic models 16 Source IMF absorb the production of the crops in rotation. While the livestock sector in Mongolia is in need of increasing its use of animal feeds, the preponderance of poor households without cash for feed purchases restricts the development of the cash feed market. Some larger farmers are developing their own integrated farm to plate production and distribution systems for livestock products which is allowing them to introduce new feed crops in rotation with wheat. Some potential livestock feed crops that could be used in rotation include, but are not limited to: ï‚· barley – some barley is currently produced for silage and feed but the cash market for feed barley is limited. It is primarily used by farmers that have integrated with crop and livestock production. ï‚· oats – there is small market for race horses. More oats could be grown either to be cut as greenfeed or harvested as a feed grain. ï‚· canola – with irrigation, canola can have a good yield. Local canola is being used in manufactured feeds in Mongolia. ï‚· field peas – more extensive field trials are required. ï‚· corn –has been grown as a fodder crop and there is in using fodder corn in silage for dairy ï‚· sunflowers – have been grown in Mongolia on a very limited scale ï‚· alfalfa – could be grown in longer term rotations to produce high quality livestock forage and to fix nitrogen in the soil. 2.3.2 Manufactured Feeds Higher levels of wheat and other crop production will increase the availability of by-products for the livestock feed industry. Bran is produced at a rate of approximately 23% of the weight of wheat going into a mill. In 2005, the total potential bran production in Mongolia from the milling of domestic wheat would have been approximately 17,400 mt while in 2010 it could have reached 81,700 mt. This supply of raw product has been another factor in the emergence of new feed mills and fodder manufacturers across the country. There are now 38 feed mills across Mongolia with an average capacity of 9.9 mt/day. Most are located in the central region close to the majority of raw feed resources. However, there are also mills in the eastern region, the khangai and the west. Altan Taria owns the main commercial feed mill in Ulaanbaatar, where they produce chicken feed, swine feeds and beef/dairy supplements. A summary of the feed mills in each region is provided in Table 2.5. Table 2.5: Feed Mills in Mongolia, 2009 Region Total Average Capacity (mt/day) Mongolia 38 9.90 Central 22 8.30 Khangai 4 5.00 East 5 18.00 West 2 15.00 Ulaanbaatar 5 9.00 Source: MOFALI statistics 2.3.3 Livestock Fodder Program (LFP) Researchers have estimated Mongolia’s total fodder requirement as 37.0 million mt hay (1 kg of hay equals 0.45FU) annually to feed 57.8 million sheep unit (SU) equivalent livestock. They further estimate that approximately 70 % of this need should be met from natural pasture while the rest should be supplied through hay, green fodder and manufactured fodder17. Considering this, the GOM launched the LFP to prevent livestock from natural risks by increasing quantity and type of hay and fodder available for the extensive and intensive livestock industries. The first phase of the program runs from 2008 to 2011 and the second phase from 2012 to 2015. The second phase of the program is focused on strengthening the capacity of herders to establish fodder reserves and manage both pasture and fodder. The LFP is intended to achieve its aims by: ï‚· Building favourable economic and legal environments to increase fodder production and prevent livestock from risks; ï‚· Increasing the supply of livestock fodder through introducing advanced technologies of hay and fodder making and adapting best practices of various fodder making; ï‚· Improving the use and protection of natural pasture; and ï‚· Facilitating hay and fodder preparation by all herder households and enterprises and strengthen capacity to use fodder in proper fashion. The LFP supports enterprises and herder households with investment funding to provide herders and farmers with small tractors with hay and feed equipment at 50% subsidization. Small and medium sized hay and fodder producing enterprises and seed multiplier farms are also targeted for investment. In 2009 and 2010, 566 small tractors with hay making equipment were provided to households and 12 small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) were supported. In addition, funding for fencing hay-fields was provided. Hay making equipment valued at MNT 1.2 billion was delivered to Tuv, Selenge, Bulgan, Khentii, Khuvsgul, Arkhangai, Drakhan-Uul and Orkhon aimags on favorable conditions. In 2010, a total of 3,742 mechanized hay making units and 92,500 people participated in hay making campaign. Table 2.6 shows the trend in fodder production since 2007. From 2007 to 2010, total fodder production and hay harvest increased by over 20.5%. Due to the Crop III program, cereal by-products increased by 3.6 times during this period. Table 2.6 also shows the impact of the drought in 2009. Relative to 2008, the production in 2009 dropped by 12% for hay, 25% for hand made fodder and 11% in terms of total fodder units. This would have contributed to the lack of preparation for the winter of 2009 and illustrates the need for multi-year planning in the production and storage of livestock feeds in a production system that is highly variable due to the year-to-year variation in precipitation. 17 Livestock Fodder Program, 2007 Table 2.6: Dynamics of Fodder Production (‘000 mt) Type 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010/2007% Gross hay harvest 933.1 1 030.9 912.3 1 137.3 121.9 Used straw-total 8.5 11.1 8.5 8.3 97.4 Handmade fodder (fodder units) 35.4 34.4 25.8 32.7 92.5 Produced mineral fodder 50.5 53.8 47.0 48.0 95.0 Cereal by-products 3.1 2.4 8.9 11.1 358.7 Fodder-total, (fodder units) 513.4 560.5 499.2 618.6 120.5 The State Emergency Fodder Fund (SEFF) operated through the collective period to secure forage for winter preparation. The constitutional responsibility of the State to protect livestock provided the justification for the program. Herders became reliant on these highly subsidized reserves and over time they became a major element in the State budget. Transportation costs frequently exceeded the feeding value of the fodder18. The SEFF was disbanded in 1996 upon recommendations by the ADB. After the dzuds of 1999-2001, the system of national reserves was re-established. This was rolled into the NEMA in 2004. After the 2009/2010 dzud, aimags and soums were directed to establish additional, local reserves. There are now three levels of feed/fodder reserves held in Mongolia: 1. National Strategic Reserves under NEMA. Because these are categorized as strategic reserves, the locations and inventory volumes are considered state secrets. During the dzud of 2009/2010 all national reserves were used. The same issues of poor quality feed, transportation costs and storage exist as under SEFF. 2. Aimag reserves: Aimag reserves were established under the direction of MOFALI and supported by government resolution in 2010 in response to the dzud of 2009/2010. Procurement is supported by state and local budgets. Inventory may be local production or procured from other regions. 3. Soum reserves: Soum reserves were established in 2010 under the same resolution as aimag reserves. The national government requires all soums and bags to keep enough hay/fodder for 3 days. Soum reserves are locally produced and may physically be at the soum or bag. Total reported inventory may include private holdings by herders. In 2010/2011 soums were directed to hold 100 mt hay and 50 mt fodder. These can be sold to herders during emergencies. No budget is allocated for these reserves. Soums use their own budget and sometimes cost share with herders. When natural growth is not sufficient, reserves may be purchased from other areas. 18 ELPS, V2 pVII-3 to VII4 There is inadequate storage at all levels of these reserves. Most of the national reserve facilities are old SEFF facilities. Many have had no maintenance since the time they were built in the 1970s. Introducing improved medium term purchase and storage strategies will require at least basic investments into improving storage facilities. The Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Light Industry (MOFALI) examination of the 2009/2010 winter preparation showed that the index of pasture availability in the country was 78.9%, overall and as low as 24.6% in Dornogobi aimag. For this reason, 17,000 households were forced to conduct winter migration. 3,098 households with 1.1 million animals moved to the territory of other aimags, 7,215 households with 6.0 million animals moved to neighbouring soums within their aimags and 704 households with 430,600 animals used inter-aimag otor pastures. An additional 1,717 households moved to border stripes and 4,288 households with 862.4 thousand animals wintered in strictly protected areas. In 2010, the motivation to prepare forage reserves was high and in the aimags and soums large volumes of supplementary forage were put in store. Fodder production met 85.2% of the levels required by the 2010/2011 winter preparation program. The winter of 2010 was mild and most of this feed remains in storage as surplus. During the mission field trip, governors of Sant soum of Ovorkhangai aimag and Rashaant soum Bulgan aimag cited that there was no demand for the soum fodder reserves because of the soft weather conditions over winter and spring. Consistent with this, MOFALI reports that 25,769 tons of hay and 1,877 tons of green fodder remained in May 2011. Local communities have now submitted a request to the MOFALI to buy back 1 million bales (25,769 mt) at 1,500 MNT/bale as national reserve. The total cost would be 1.9 billion MNT. Implementing this program would reinforce the attitude of reliance that now hampers private sector preparation. Recognizing these fundamental issues and the need to shift from a focus on animal numbers to animal productivity, the GOM has formulated the new National Mongolian Livestock (Mongol Mal) Program (NMLP) for 2010 to 2021. The first phase, “Action Plan for 2010-2015â€? is to be financed with national and international funding. Currently, the NMLP is receiving 3% of the national budget. The performance targets for the first phase of the NMLP are to: ï‚· develop favourable legal conditions and organizational structures ï‚· establish an effective professional service ï‚· obtain certification from the World Organization for Animal Health (OIE) on Mongolia’s disease free status for important infectious diseases and the eradicate brucellosis in cattle, camels and small ruminants in the western region. ï‚· improve pasture management, increase production of hay and fodder, improve water supplies and increase the capacity to adapt to climate change by decreasing the exposure to risk. ï‚· improve herders’ living conditions through improved markets. To carry out the program, new Veterinary and Animal Breeding Division (VABD) units have been established at the soum level to provide professional and technical services. Each unit has three staff members to coordinate and monitor activities related to veterinary and animal production: one veterinarian, one animal breeding specialist and one person to deal with SME development, extension and pasture management and fodder production. The challenges facing the program will be designing effective implementation strategies, developing the capacity of programs and individuals to complete the work, establishing a sound and transparent monitoring system and securing adequate long-term funding to continue the program until results are realized. Policy development to support feed and fodder production for dzud emergency management needs to take a long-term view that: a) reflects resource and asset ownership in Mongolia; b) considers the current levels of capacity at all levels of the public and private sectors; and, c) is imbedded in strategic planning for the agriculture sector overall. It is critical to realize that without the correct regulatory tools and financial incentives and disincentives in place to control animal numbers, the boom-bust cycle in livestock will continue with its associated humanitarian crises. Primary responsibility for pasture management and feed production rests with the private herders but there seems to be a consensus that there is a role for the government in emergency management and the supply of emergency fodder. Conditions unique to Mongolia that should shape the policy response include: ï‚· the “public pastures-private livestockâ€? model is essentially a Public-Private-Partnership (PPP). Roles, responsibilities and operational arrangements can be developed within this model ï‚· the high incidence of poverty and the role of the livestock sector as a social safety net implies that the public component of the PPP requires a multi-agency approach that includes social welfare agencies as well as technical line agencies ï‚· There is a need to manage feed resources as a total resource that includes seasonal pasture, otor pastures and supplementary feeds. Government has a role to play in this integrated management. The conditions in rural Mongolia are not what they were even 10 year ago. While the extensive sector struggles, other sectors of agriculture moving from transition to development and offer far greater opportunities for private sector involvement in feed production and distribution at both the national level and regionally. These various sectors (extensive livestock, intensive livestock, and crops) are interdependent and high level strategies should support the overall growth of an integrated agriculture sector. Likewise, there are other national sources of income available to support investments in the sector that were not possible a few short years ago. Mongolia has both the need to change its approach in the extensive livestock sector and the opportunity to do so. The LEGS are a set of international guidelines and standards based on livelihood objectives for livestock interventions carried out to assist people affected by humanitarian crises. Their aim is to save lives and livelihoods by providing a) conceptual models of different types of livestock disasters; b) links to international best practice and organizations on disaster Early Warning Systems (EWS) and preliminary assessment; c) decision trees to select the best possible interventions; and, d) guidelines for best practice to implement the interventions. The LEGS are built on a rights-based approach which underscores the right to food and right to a standard of living19. The LEGS were developed in and for drought affected areas of east Africa. Many of the LEGS approaches and tools can apply to dzud, which often occurs after a drought-affected summer. The specifics of how they could be applied during dzud many need modification to suit the additional technical needs, such as shelter, and challenges of responding under winter conditions. EMR is undertaken in three stages known as preparedness (including prevention), response and recovery. Response is further broken down into alert, alarm and emergency. The LEGS guidelines provide multiple decision trees for guiding livestock emergency management in each of these stages. LEGS identify three types of disasters. Rapid onset emergencies are those that appear with little warning, as might be caused by earthquakes, fires or similar disasters. Slow-onset disasters are emergencies that develop over weeks are months and are often usually associated with drought conditions. The third type of disaster is a complex and chronic disaster, defines by the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, as a crisis where there is: “a total or considerable breakdown of authority resulting from internal or external conflict and which requires and international response that goes beyond the mandate or capacity of any single agency and/or the ongoing United Nations country program (UN OCHA, 1999)â€? The LEGS aptly describe the impact of a slow-onset emergency such as drought or dzud: “The slow onset of drought means that livestock initially deteriorate in condition and later die, primarily due to shortage of feed and water. The impact on livestock keepers is twofold. Initially there is a reduction in the productivity of livestock, both as a source of food and of income, as their poor condition leads to lower prices in the market and poor terms of trade for livestock owners. Livestock can also become more vulnerable to some diseases during drought, which also results in production 19 Livestock Emergency Guidelines and Standards (LEGS), Practical Action Printing, Schumacher Centre for Technology and Development, Warwickshire, UK, 2009, page 3 losses, increased costs of death. Second, as the drought worsens livestock then die, leading to the loss of key livelihood assets for the future as well as for the presentâ€?20 There may be justification for considering the current nature of recurring dzud in Mongolia to be a complex and chronic emergency brought on by the country’s cataclysmic transition from a planned to market economy, which led to continuous overgrazing, combined with the onset of climate change. Through this lens, conditions in Mongolia could align with a chronic emergency defined by the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, which defines a complex emergency as a crisis where there is: “a total or considerable breakdown of authority resulting from internal or external conflict and which requires and international response that goes beyond the mandate or capacity of any single agency and/or the ongoing United Nations country program (UN OCHA, 1999)â€? The specific elements identified by LEGS to constitute a complex emergency and how this might be interpreted in the Mongolia case are shown in Table 3.1 below: Table 3.1: Mongolian Dzud as a Complex Emergency LEGS Description of a Complex Situation in Mongolia 21 Emergency Complex emergencies are often the Transition from the planned to market economy in Mongolia was sudden result of poor governance or and drastic. Institutional capacity was lost in many areas affecting the prolonged conflict herding sector. Governance within a democratic, market economy is evolving in some aspects but remains ineffective in many aspects while the level of corruption is increasing. May be further complicated by natural Rising temperatures and increased incidence of drought are thought to be phenomena such as drought or related to climate change. flooding Displacement, with the possible loss New herding households, displaced into herding because of collapsing off- of livestock assets and/or access to farm employment, faced severe difficulties in obtaining winter camps and natural resources such as grazing gaining access to pasture leading to ongoing rural conflict over pasture and grounds and water rights water access. The situation remains unresolved. Violent theft of livestock assets by It is still a serious problem for herders, but not by armed groups. The armed groups GOM/General Police Department, Non-Government Organizations (NGOs) and herder community are straggling with theft of livestock assets Disruption of services such as Transition led to severe restrictions in the delivery of veterinary services veterinary services and the availability of veterinary drugs. While the number of private and public veterinarians is increasing, public budget restrictions and the high level of rural poverty continue to result in severe under-funding and a 20 LEGS, page 11 21 LEGS, page 13 LEGS Description of a Complex Situation in Mongolia Emergency21 shortage of cash to pay for services 20 years later. Restrictions on livestock management Management was transferred from the organization of the negdel which and marketing, such as reduced access managed pasture rotation, otor, feed/fodder production, transportation, to grazing, water and markets wells and shelters to the private sector herders, most of them at the subsistence level and without the personal or group capacity, or legal authority, to take on the responsibilities. The Pasture Law, which would provide the basis for effective management by the private sector, has not been passed after 17 years of discussion. Livestock markets collapsed with lost access to COMECOM markets. Veterinary services declined and zoonotic diseases reappeared limiting access to other international markets. International market access is further constrained by low quality of food processing and food safety standards. Water wells were damaged through lack of maintenance, wilful damage or theft of equipment. Reconstruction is ongoing but incomplete. Chronic overgrazing has led to 70% of Mongolia’s pastureland being degraded. The resource base is shrinking and increasing the risk of dzud. Communications and infrastructure The organized marketing channels and related communication systems breakdown, causing limited access to declined sharply after transition. Market-based supply chain systems for information or markets livestock and livestock products are still in the nascent stage. The LEGS approach is relevant to governments, bi- and multi-lateral agencies and NGOs involved in disaster and emergency relief involving livestock and their keepers. LEGS can act as a framework for developing national level guidelines for livestock emergency and disaster response in countries where this has not already been done. This may be an important task for Mongolia to complete in order to strengthen its overall approach to and coordination of dzud preparation and response. Most livestock emergencies involve drought or, in the case of Mongolia, drought followed by harsh winter conditions. Animal weakened by malnutrition over the drought period lack the body condition to survive the harsh conditions without sufficient supplementary feed and adequate winter shelter. These are considered “slow onsetâ€? emergencies and good disaster management systems integrate the information from drought and humanitarian EWS into early decision making. EWS for drought, weather (including severe weather watches) and humanitarian crises can be useful in determining the extent of an emergency and supporting sound decision making around the response to an emergency. Drought forecasting systems which integrate forage quantity and quality information can provide livestock producers with information necessary to adapt their grazing patterns and decisions around fodder production and purchases. These systems also benefit policy makers and agencies by allowing them time to anticipate the location and extent of emergencies, the population impacted and potential needs which supports the preparation of adequate, coordinated responses. In North America and other locations, EWS provide early indications of longer term drought conditions, cold weather, heavy snowfall (where applicable) and immediate severe weather storm warnings. These have been integrated with forage modelling systems to provide very early warnings of drought conditions which are used by individual producers and various levels and agencies of government for response and policy planning. Improved weather forecasting can allow livestock producers to take early action about movement of herds between pastures. Severe weather alerts, transmitted through a number of modern telecommunications system and media, can allow livestock producers to take quick action to protect their families, herds and assets from severe storms. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), in conjunction with the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), has been a leading agency in developing the use of satellite imagery for disaster management. They have supported the development of the Livestock Early Warning Systems (LEWS) and the Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS_NET) which is now used in Africa and is being introduced into Mongolia. Agriculture Canada uses satellite imagery for its Drought Watch program. Canada, Mexico and the USA, with technical input from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), have now developed a regional warning system, the North American Drought Monitor. In the following gap analysis (Table 3.2), some examples of international best practice have been provided. The current state of early warning systems in Mongolia is summarized and gaps are identified. Table 3.2: Early Warning Systems - International International Best Practice Mongolian Practice Gap/Need Humanitarian Crises Early Warning Systems Identified in LEGS Coping Strategies Index: Rapid assessment methodology of The review of the NEMA/UNDP report on It would be useful for the SEC with household food security. the 2009/2010 Dzud would infer that these NEMA, key line agencies and Famine Early Warning System Network (FEWS_NET): types of early warning systems and international donors, to conduct a Provides early warning on food security threats. standardized assessment methodologies are review of management approaches Global Information and Early Warning System (GIEWS): not used in Mongolian dzud disaster using LEGS as a framework. This Provides reports on the world food situation and potential food management in a regular or standardized could help to strengthen the national crises. Also do food-supply assessments. manner. Having these types of EWS level guidelines for livestock Household Economy Approach: Sustainable livelihoods integrated into the national emergency emergency and disaster response. framework as a baseline for impacts of an emergency. management decision trees may have Integrated Food Security and Humanitarian Phase Classification improved the communication and There is a need to connect the aimag (IPC): Consistent, comparable classification of food security across coordination with international donors as the meteorological stations to the optical locations and emergencies. international appeals were made. cable communication. Standardized Monitoring and Assessment of Relief and Transitions Protocol (SMART): Initiative for reliable, data on mortality, nutritional status and food security; survey manual, software and database on complex emergencies. Vulnerability Assessment Committees (VACs): Coordinate vulnerability and emergency needs assessments. Drought and Forage Forecasts – (various sources) Livestock Information Network and Knowledge System The WB with Mercy Corp and Texas A&M, Mercy Corp will provide the initial (LINKS)/Livestock Early Warning System (LEWS): Developed has supported the adaptation of the national training on the use of the by the Global Livestock Collaborative Research and Support Program (GL-CRSP) in East Africa. The system uses NASA Livestock Early Warning System (LEWS) program later in 2011. There will be satellite imagery to monitor shortfalls in livestock forage resources for Mongolia. LEWS integrates satellite some continuing support from Texas and waterhole levels for disaster management. monitoring and NEMHAMs physical A&M. Additional support may be samplings to provide forage and carrying required to support the Agriculture and Agrifood Canada’s Drought Watch Website: Real-time information on pasture conditions and on-farm surface capacity reports and forecasts. This system institutionalization and on-going International Best Practice Mongolian Practice Gap/Need water supplies. Monitors the risk and status of drought and promotes will provide nation-wide data in 2011 and be training process at NEMHAM. practices to reduce drought vulnerability. Environment Canada produces temperature and precipitation forecasts updated on a institutionalized at NEMHAM by mid-2012. monthly basis and posted on the Environment Canada Seasonal There is a need to strongly integrate Forecasts website. NEMHAM conducts regularly forage drought EWS into the decision making sampling which has been used by LEWS to process for dzud emergency The North American Drought Monitor, a cooperatives effort of Canada, Mexico and the USA, monitors drought on a weekly basis. verify its forecasting system to a high degree management in Mongolia at the North American maps use multiple sources to represents current of reliability. Agencies such as NEMA and national, aimag and soum level. The drought conditions. MOFALI appear to use the NEMHAM information will need to be widely sampling data alone for their decision available and technicians, managers, making without utilizing the LEWS data to soum leaders and herders trained in its any great degree. use. United States – National Oceanic and Atmospheric NEMHAM provides short and medium term Emergency weather information is Administration (NOAA): Daily weather forecasts, severe storm weather forecasting. They are working with often not widely available. There is an warnings and climate monitoring. The Storm Prediction Center the Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early opportunity to work with cell phone provides 1-3 outlooks and fire weather outlooks through RSS (a Warning System (RIMHEWS) to upgrade service providers to distribute website that can be easily read by any of a number of news readers) weather forecasting accuracy. Currently, emergency weather notices by text to allow users to quickly get latest news and updates in a headline or data is analyzed and forecasts developed messages. news digest format. NOAA is experimenting with email notices of outside of Mongolia. The computer capacity severe weather. will be established in Mongolia and Kyrgzsytan – Innovative weather forecasting supported by the forecasts generated locally in 2012. World Bank. Uses the NOAA, Norway and global data to forecast and then transmit to herders and farmer cell phones daily. Once an emergency has been assessed, appropriate response must be taken. LEGS uses a livelihoods approach based on three objectives: i) providing rapid assistance; ii) protecting assets; and iii) rebuilding assets. LEGS also identify a number of technical interventions which may be used alone or in combination over the emergency stages of prevention, response and recovery. These interventions are: i) destocking livestock through early market sales or emergency slaughter; ii) veterinary services in all stages emergency management; iii) provision of supplementary feed either by moving livestock to feed or delivering feed to animals; iv) water; v) shelter; and, vi) provision of livestock. LEGS promote a participatory approach to identifying the most appropriate intervention or combination of interventions to use in a community. The method they have developed is the LEGS “Participatory Response Identification Matrixâ€? (PRIM). This tool uses the results of preliminary assessments undertaken by national and/or international agencies (Table 3.2) to initiate discussions with local stakeholders. These discussions will add the local context and knowledge that will lead to the selection of the appropriate and feasible interventions given the LEGS objectives of protecting and rebuilding livelihoods. The LEGS handbook provides detailed guidelines for how a PRIM organized and completed. An example of a PRIM for a slow-onset drought emergency in Africa is provided in Table 3.3. Table 3.3: PRIM for a Slow-Onset Drought in Africa (taken from LEGS page 28) Technical Livelihoods objectives Emergency Phases Interventions Rapid Protect Rebuild Alert Alarm Emergency Recovery assistance assets assets Destocking ***** *** ** -- Vet services (*) ***** **** Feed (*) *** **** Water (*) *** **** Shelter n/a n/a n/a Provision of n/a n/a ***** livestock Key: Scoring against Livelihoods objectives: ***** significant benefits/highly appropriate **** benefits/appropriate *** some benefits ** a few benefits * very little benefit/not very appropriate n/a not appropriate Table 3.4 provides a gap analysis related to the use of livelihood objectives and interventions during dzud emergencies in Mongolia. Table 3.4: LEGS Livelihoods Objectives and Technical Options Livelihoods Technical Implications and Issues Mongolian Practice Gap and Policy Implications Objective Options 1. Provide Destocking - May be appropriate in early stages - This approach is used by some - There is a need to promote rapid assistance to (accelerated off- of slow-onset emergency larger herders and herder groups. more destocking with an crisis-affected take) - Allows longer-term protection of Its widespread application may be emphasis on using the cash communities remaining livestock assets constrained by the limited received to purchase feed, through livestock- - Provides cash support to livestock development of the meat packing improve shelters and/or based owners industry and size of market. finance otor. interventions - Requires infrastructure, interested - Practice may also be limited by - National government should traders and conducive policy the fact that many families have compare the direct and environment very small herd sizes and they indirect costs of emergency would be reluctant to sell animals and recovery interventions to if they thought it possible to have the alternatives of a) them survive winter. providing some subsidization to meat packers to encourage early purchases, or b) buying meat in preserved forms for institutional uses (schools, hospitals, and army). ), and c) increasing meat export to Russia, China and other countries. Destocking - May be appropriate when - Process may by hampered by - Investigate OIE compliant (slaughter emergency too far advanced for access to stricken sites. procedures for on-site destocking) accelerated off-take slaughter with minimal - Provides cash or food infrastructure. - Requires slaughter infrastructure, - Same cost comparisons as sills and distribution mechanisms about but including value of - May require greater input from salvages hides and skins and external agencies the use of low quality carcasses in pet foods. 2. Protect the Veterinary - Potential for positive impact on - The veterinary service feels they Need for increased investment key livestock Services (primary protecting and rebuilding assets at are able to respond adequately to into the veterinary service and assets of crisis- clinical veterinary all stages of an emergency the immediate demands of dzud the supply of medicines and affected services; support - Can include preparedness emergency. vaccines. communities to public-sector measures such as vaccination and - Declining veterinary service has veterinary preventative treatment resulted in an increased level of functions) - Can be carried out in conjunction parasitic and infectious disease Livelihoods Technical Implications and Issues Mongolian Practice Gap and Policy Implications Objective Options with other activities (e.g. feed, and makes animals more water, provision of livestock) to vulnerable to dzud conditions. increase asset protection - Private veterinary practice is - Requires operational or potential constrained by the low value of service sector (government, fees obtained. private and/or community-based) - Public veterinary service is and veterinary supplies constrained by budget and availability/quality of vaccines. Provision of Feed - Important for protecting - Reserve (otor) pastures are - Seasonal division, protection (relocation of remaining livestock assets during inadequate in terms of size and and use grazing areas livestock; and after an emergency capacity - Improve reserve (otor) emergency - Requires available feed, pasture, - In the dzuds of 1999-2001 and pasture system feeding) transport and/or storage facilities 2009/2010, supplementary feed - Promote local production and - In drought, can be complementary supplies have been inadequate reserves of feed to water provision - Ability to respond and move feed - Provide advance welfare - Emergency feeding can be very into location is difficult payments and/or low cost expensive and logistically - Replenishing feed supplies was loans to herders to purchase demanding not possible. supplementary feeds as EWS indicates high risk of dzud. Provision of Water - Important for protecting - Water points for summer and - Continue to provide (water point remaining livestock assets winter pasture use are still investment capital for rehabilitation; new - Requires available water sources inadequate to support the waterpoints on a cost-shared water point of sufficient quality and quantity, optimum use of pastures. basis with herder groups establishment; or potential to establish new ones - GoM needs to invest in water trucking) - Requires effective local water increasing water points in management systems otor reserve pastures. - May be very capital intensive (particularly new water point establishment) or expensive (water trucking) Livestock shelter - Responds to a range of livestock Number and quality of winter shelters - Continue to provide and settlement needs: protection against cold or remains inadequate for livestock investment capital for (settlement; hot climates; security; prevention during dzud conditions shelters on a cost-shared infrastructure; of wandering; provision of healthy basis with herder groups. shelter) environment for livestock and No scientific basis for building winter - Support research into humans; and convenience of and spring shelters improved, cost-effective management winter shelter designs. Livelihoods Technical Implications and Issues Mongolian Practice Gap and Policy Implications Objective Options - Reintroduce traditional shelters 3. Rebuild Provision of - Can include helping livestock - Restocking has been provided - Strong need to limit key livestock livestock (herd owners to rebuild herds after an without adequate assessments of restocking efforts and clearly assets among reconstitution; emergency, or the replacement of the actual potential of rebuilding target and support the ones crisis-affected other livestock smaller numbers of animals (e.g. livelihoods. Inadequate targeting that are kept communities distribution) draught or transport animals, of the approach. - More emphasis should be put poultry), which contribute to - Inadequate training and technical on providing technical and livelihoods support has been provided in financial support for - Appropriate in the recovery phase conjunction with restocking alternative incomes for those once immediate aftermath is over programs. families wishing to leave the and asset loss can be assessed - The overarching issues of sector - Potentially very expensive and environmental sustainability have - Need to strengthen the nuclei challenging to manage effectively not been considered in restocking farms by capacity building - Requires supply of appropriate decisions. and providing finance for livestock either locally or within - The 12 nuclei herds’ farms (state- purchase of high productive feasible transporting distance owned, established in 2006) to standard animals for serving - Requires sufficient natural supply private herder households households to increase resources to support distributed with best breeding animals, are productivity of their herds livestock financially weak and have - Success is highly dependent on: inadequate number of breeding appropriate targeting of animals having lost more than beneficiaries; selection of 30% of their breeding animals appropriate livestock; beneficiary during the 2010 dzud. capacity for livestock care and - After dzud, herder households management; and availability of need more male breeding (rams livestock support services and bucks) because they go to - Complementary animal health winter just after mating season interventions, including training, and most of them are killed by can increase survival rates dzud. - Herd reconstitution may require additional short-term food and non-food support for beneficiaries Veterinary - See above - There has been inadequate - Support the VABD with services, water, - Continued intervention in the technical support at the soum program budgets and feed, shelter recovery phase can help to rebuild level but this is being overcome technical materials through and strengthen livestock assets with the establishment of VABDs state budget and international Livelihoods Technical Implications and Issues Mongolian Practice Gap and Policy Implications Objective Options and reduce vulnerability to future in every soum. The units are donor funds. disasters staffed but do not have program - Support planting local plants budgets. and fodder crops at soum and household level The first three columns of the table are taken from LEGS, page 24-25 LEGS provide detailed guidelines for best practice in the implementation of all interventions. These provide a very clear framework for assessing practice within Mongolia and for designing improved emergency response programs. During the study Round Table Discussion with stakeholders on May 20, 2011, participants were provided with a simple survey questionnaire regarding the application of these standards in Mongolia. They were asked to rank Mongolia’s performance against the international guidelines on a scale of 1 -5 where: 1: Not used 2: Occasionally Used 3: Commonly used but with implementation weaknesses 4: Frequently used with good practice 5: Standard practice with consistent, quality implementation The results (Table 3.5) indicate most standards are only occasionally applied22. Response and coordination received the highest rating (2.5) while monitoring and evaluation as rated lowest (1.8). A more detailed review of current practice against these standards with a larger stakeholder group would be a very useful multi-agency exercise in Mongolia. Table 3.5: Minimum Standards for All Livestock Interventions International Best Practice (LEGS) Mongolia Participation 1.9 All groups are identified, informed and encouraged to participate 1.5 Indigenous systems are documented 2.2 Social and cultural norms are understood 1.8 Approaches are discussed with the community 2.2 Initial Assessment 2.0 Covers all essential topics using participatory inquiry by trained facilitators. Data is 2.2 triangulated as possible. Findings are disaggregated by vulnerable populations 2.0 Describes local service providers, how to work with them, and provides an exit strategy 2.0 Includes a rapid assessment of policy and regulations and looks at capacity of regulatory 1.6 bodies Response and Coordination 2.5 Livestock interventions do not interfere with lifesaving humanitarian efforts and, where 2.4 possible, are integrated into humanitarian responses Coordinated to ensure a harmonized approach between agencies using agreed upon 2.4 approaches Agencies acknowledge when they cannot respond so that others might 2.0 Coordination is prioritized, including donor and government, in all phases of response and 3.0 recovery 22 Only six completed surveys were complete International Best Practice (LEGS) Mongolia Targeting 2.2 Based on actual or potential use of livestock by vulnerable groups. Criteria is clearly defined 2.2 and circulated Targeting mechanisms and beneficiary selection is agreed with communities, including 2.2 representatives of vulnerable groups Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) and Livelihoods Impact 1.8 M&E system is established as soon as possible 1.6 M&E is based on participation by communities 1.8 Conducted frequently enough for rapid detection of changes and subsequent modifications in 1.8 implementation Combines progress indicators and impact indicators. Beneficiaries help measure impact. 2.0 An evaluation is conducted using both technical and community-defined indicators 1.8 Impact is measured based on change of livelihood 2.2 M&E systems are standardized for multi-agency use and results are shared with agencies and 1.8 communities M&E systems facilitate learning 1.6 Technical support and agency competencies 2.1 Livestock workers have the qualifications and skills to conduct rapid participatory 2.0 assessments and joint planning of interventions with relevant populations and vulnerable groups Familiar with human rights and humanitarian principles 2.2 Familiar with livelihood-based programming principles 2.2 Preparedness 2.4 Disaster risk reduction (DRR) informs emergency planning and implementation 2.2 Long-term development uses regular reviews of past disasters 2.5 Agencies develop contingency disaster plans with clearly-defined triggers for action and 2.8 subsequent release of funds and other resources Takes into account procurement and administrative procedures. Obstacles to response are 2.4 addressed Contingencies for drought are based on drought-cycle management and early response with 2.0 appropriate sequencing of intervention Communities are encouraged to prepare 2.8 Interventions have exit strategies that link with post-disaster recovery and long-term 1.8 livelihood support Advocacy and policy 2.1 Policy constraints are identified 2.2 Policy constraints are addressed through advocacy and other activities 1.8 Policy analysis and action considers the underlying causes of vulnerability 2.0 M&E systems provide evidence to support policy dialogue and advocacy 2.4 In drought, animals die of starvation before they die of disease. In dzud, malnourishment leaves animal prone to disease and in a weakened state unable to withstand sustained conditions of cold weather and deep snow. Feeding is an important intervention in all stages of emergency, specifically during: 1. Preparation: Feeding animals to reduce risk and ensuring there are adequate feed supplies to maintain animals during an emergency situation; 2. Response: Emergency feeding to prevent death (loss of assets supporting livelihoods), to secure household food supplies and to ensure a return to productivity in the recovery period. 3. Recovery: Feeding to re-establish assets and productivity. An important consideration of feeding during a humanitarian crises is that the transport of livestock feed should not compete with the transport of humanitarian aid. Preferably, feed would in be in location well in advance of the onset of a humanitarian crisis. The GOM should undertake a cost benefit analysis of different approaches to ensuring feed supplies in Mongolia’s conditions. This analysis should look at Mongolia’s livestock feed system as an integrated resource that includes seasonal pastures, otor and supplementary feeds. A cost-benefit analysis in this situation could include: 1. Cost of providing for feeds using a cost-share approach between government and the private sector compared to the direct government costs during an emergency to purchase, transport, and store and distribute feed and emergency supplies, taking into account the value of human and animal deaths avoided. 2. Cost of providing technical, logistical and financing support to integrated feed resource management compared to the cost of restocking and the overall GDP losses over the course of a dzud and dzud recovery, including the value of human and animal deaths avoided. Such an analysis was undertaken in Kenya and Ethiopia. The results showed that “it was between three and six times more expensive to restock a core herd of livestock following a drought than to keep the animals alive through feedingâ€?23 Feeding can occur either by moving animals to feed sources, or moving the feed resources to the animals. The first is equivalent to Mongolia’s traditional practice of otor. The second can be provided through private stores of feedstuffs and/or publicly provided feeds. Feedstuffs can include forage, concentrates and multi-nutritional blocks to maintain animal health. An alternative approach is to provide cash payments to households so they can make their own decisions about what quantity and quality of feedstuffs are required and how resources should be allocated between livestock or household needs. 23 LEGS, page 116 Issues to consider in feeding programs include: 1. Adequate feed supplies are needed to maintain animals throughout the crises and until pastures are able to be grazed, in a sustainable manner, the next spring 2. The cost of purchase and transportation at the time of emergency may be prohibitive 3. Storage facilities are required 4. Winter conditions may limit the ability to deliver feed 5. Feeds transported in to the area may introduce pests and disease 6. The process requires good supervision and monitoring 7. Vulnerable groups need to be identified and processes put in place to ensure that feeds supplies are not diverted to wealthier families or into other markets. Emergency provision of feeds can disrupt local markets and diminish the long-term capacity to provide feeds through local sources. Subsidized feeds should not be provided until all private, local reserves are exhausted. Supplies should be purchased from local markets whenever possible. If it is necessary to intervene in the market, then the purchase and sale should be staggered to minimize market disruptions. Feeding interventions carried out in conjunction with destocking programs can be very effective in that they provide cash to be used for feeding the remaining animals. The destocking also helps to maintain or regain the ecological balance in the affected area. These environmental considerations are very important in Mongolia where excess animals and overgrazing are serious issues contributing to the severity of dzud in recent years. LEGs aptly describe the environmental quandary when faced with the decision to support and restock livestock numbers: “Livestock, to a greater or lesser degree, place a burden on the ecosystem in which they live through the consumption of feed resources and, in the case of more intensive systems, through the generation of waste products. Where these ecosystems have been severely affected by an emergency, the impacts of this burden may well be exacerbated, both in the short term and during recovery. In such a situation, it may be questionable whether people’s livelihoods are best served by programmes such as those involving improvements in livestock feeding that encourage the rapid-re-establishment of livestock populations24.â€? These multiple issues and risks underscore the need to establish clear trigger points for the provision of feed as part of documented dzud emergency guidelines. The same survey issued at the May 20 roundtable discussion assessed Mongolia’s handling of emergency feed supplies in relation to the LEGS standards. The results are provided in Table 3.6. Performance was rated slightly higher than for general intervention standards, but was still considered to be only occasional. The standards that were rated as being regularly used, though with implementation 24 LEGS, page 122 weaknesses, included feeding levels, assessment of feeds for possible pests and disease, and procuring feed locally where possible. Table 3.6: Minimum Standards for Livestock Feed Interventions LEGS Standard Mongolia* Assessment 2.5 There is a significant chance that the beneficiaries will continue to be able to keep and 2.8 manage livestock after the emergency Plans done with full stakeholder participation and consider indigenous coping 2.3 mechanisms, local supplies and potential disruption of local markets Targeting is based on analysis of the status of animals, chances of surviving and 2.8 rebuilding livestock assets in the future Assessment and planning considers the policy context and potential policy constraints 2.3 affecting access to feed and pasture Relocation 2.3 Uses participation of local experts and end-users from beginning. 2.3 Beneficiary groups and classes of livestock are targeted by capability and potential 2.6 benefit. Other consequences are considered (conflict, family disruption) 2.2 Destination areas are assessed for suitability and capacity. 2.4 Exit strategies are integrated into the plan. 2.0 Emergency Feeding 2.4 Feeding levels are adequate for survival and return to productivity. 3.0 Feeding levels are attainable and sustainable. 2.2 Feed reserves are replenished as required during the emergency. 1.8 Vulnerability to imported pests and disease is assessed. 3.2 Feed materials are screened for contamination. 2.0 Vehicles used to ship feed are clean and sanitary. 1.8 Where possible, feed resources are procured locally. 3.0 Scoring: 1: Not used 2: Occasionally used 3: Commonly used but with implementation weaknesses 4: Frequently used with good practice 5: Standard practice with consistent, quality implementation 4.1.1 National Government The primary role of the national government should be to provide an enabling environment for forage production and dzud emergency management. This includes the development of appropriate regulatory frameworks and the provision of secure financing to support coherent medium and long term policy development and implementation. It also involves the provision of monitoring, evaluation and enforcement of the regulatory and policy environment. During and after transition of the country to a market economy, the Mongolian livestock sector has experienced a singular period of its development. Privatisation of state and collective farm property was carried out in the early 1990s and now 98.8% of livestock are privately owned. Therefore, the livestock economy in the country is considered as private sector. However, the privately owned animals graze on publicly owned land and get more than 95% of their forage requirements from natural pastures. The Constitution of Mongolia states that “The land, except that given to the citizens of Mongolia for private ownership, as well as the subsoil with its mineral resources, forests, water resources and wildfowl shall be the property of the Stateâ€?25. These factors support extensive livestock production as a mixed economy and provide the basis for a PPP in the pastoral livestock sector. Furthermore, Article 5 of the Constitution states that livestock is national wealth and is to be protected by the State. Coming out of a planned economy, this has led to the continuing prominent role of the GOM in winter preparation and emergency response. In the context of Mongolia’s market economy where pastoral livestock can be defined as a PPP, it can be argued that the role of protection should also be seen in terms of a PPP. Using this definition, private livestock owners should be responsible for day to day management of livestock and the pasture resource including winter preparation. The GOM should be responsible for ensuring the long-term viability of the fundamental pasture resource by: a) creating the legal framework for pasture use and management by herder groups; b) monitoring pasture conditions and enforcing terms of use; c) providing for the technical support, extension services and financial mechanisms to facilitate effective private sector management; d) establishment of risk-management and risk sharing mechanisms such as insurance; and, e) providing emergency response in situations that overwhelm regular winter preparations. To fulfil its proper role in this system, the most pressing task for the GOM is to pass the Pasture Law which provides the legal framework for co-management of pastures, the issuing of pasture use fees and mechanisms for settling pasture use disputes. This law has been under discussion since 1994 without being passed. It is urgently important that the current version under consideration of Parliament be passed in a timely fashion, giving consideration to some modifications that have been proposed by stakeholder groups and forthcoming input from a broad based consultative process undertaken by the 25 Article six of the Constitution of Mongolia MOFALI. Without completing this central piece of legislation, pasture management and dzud preparation and response will continue to operate in a muddle. In accordance with the Land Law, the GOM takes responsibility for rational use and protection of pasturelands, hayfields, croplands, subsoil and monitoring implementation of land ownership, and state certification on land characteristics and quality based on ecological indicators26. The GOM implements the above obligations by approving important policy programs such as the “State Policy on Food and Agriculture Developmentâ€?27, the “National Program on Waterâ€?28, the “Animal Fodder Production Programâ€?29, the “National Program on Support to Protection of Animals From Droughts and Dzudsâ€?30, the “Mongolian Livestock (Mongol Mal) National Programâ€?31 and others. Despite these government programs, rangeland management is still facing problems throughout the country. The recent studies show that about 70% of the total pastures are degraded to some extent32, of which over 22.4 million ha of pastures (19.5% of the total pasture areas) are eroded33. The mission field trip to Ovorkhangai and Bulgan aimags has revealed that 48% of the total pasture areas of Ovorkhangai aimag degraded up to a medium extent and 24% is heavily degraded34. During an interview, Mr. Tumurdorj, Governor of Rashaant soum, Bulgan aimag, pointed out that the number of animals in the soum exceeds carrying capacity of its pastures seven times. Similar overstocking occurs throughout Mongolia. Another issue to consider at the national level is abandoned crop land in the country. As the National Statistical Office data shows Mongolia excluded 422,600 ha crop area from the total arable land in 200135. This large area of abandoned crop land has not been properly transferred to either pastures or hayfields. The mission field trip revealed that Ovorkhangai aimag has 34,500 ha of abandoned land36 and Rashaant soum, Bulgan aimag; about 7,000 ha of abandoned crop land37. They are unable to effectively use this land for forage production as the rehabilitation of the abandoned cropland requires sums of money not affordable for the local government. In addition, the Mongolian land legislation limits rights of herder households to own land and possess pasture areas. The Land Law allows possessing pasture and hay fields only by herder groups, not by individual herder households. This prevents herder households from investing in natural pastures and hay fields and adds to decreasing productivity of natural resources. In accordance with the Law on Allocation 26 Articles 52 – 60 of Land Law of Mongolia 27 Mongolian Parliament Resolusion #: 29 from June 18, 2003 28 Mongolian Government Resolution # 43 from 10 March 1999 29 Mongolian Government Resolution # 283 from 7 November 2007 30 Mongolian Government Resolution # 47 from 13 March 2001 31 Mongolian Parliament Resolusion # 23 from 20 May 2010 32 Dr. L. Natsagdorj, Article: Монгол орны БÑ?лчÑ?Ñ?рийн доройтол (цºлжилт)-ын уур амьÑ?галын х¿чин з¿йлийн ¿нÑ?лгÑ?Ñ?ний аÑ?уудалд (БÑ?лчÑ?Ñ?рийн менежментийг боловÑ?ронгуй болгох аÑ?уудлууд), 2006 он, хуудаÑ?125 33 N. Munkhoo, Specialist, Adminitration of Land Affairs, Geodesy and Cartography, Article: БÑ?лчÑ?Ñ?рийн менежментийг боловÑ?ронгуй болгоход газар зохион байгуулалтын ¿¿рÑ?г (БÑ?лчÑ?Ñ?рийн менежментийг боловÑ?ронгуй болгох аÑ?уудлууд), 2006 он, хуудаÑ? 66. 34 Ovorkhangai Aimag Policy on Livestock Development approved by Decree No. 06/02 of Board of Aimag General Meeting from July 21, 2010 35 Mongolian Statistical Yearbook 2002 36 Interview with land officer of Ovorkhangai aimag 37 Interview with Governor of Rashaant Soum, Bulgan aimag of Land to Mongolian Citizens for Ownership, as other citizens, a member of herder households has a right to own 0.5 ha of land in a soum centre, or 0.350 ha an aimag centre. Because of this legal provision, herder households are not allowed to get a plot of land by at their winter and spring camps. This infringes on herders’ Constitutional “right to freedom of movement and residence within the countryâ€? 38 and directly forces herder households to move soum and aimag centres to some extent. In fact, a camp area is not pasture, but a herding household complex of ger sites, shelters, hay fences, storage for animal bedding, and manure, and in some cases a structural living house and small storehouses. Therefore, it is recommended that the GOM allow the allocation of land plots to herder households at their winter and spring camps for their ownership. In addition, there is a need to allow individual herder households to possess a certain amount of land (3-5 ha) by their winter or spring camps for planting fodder production and alternative income source. These measures will positively result in increasing livelihoods and sustainability of herder households. Researcher and government officials believe that land degradation is because of great increase in the numbers of animals by herder households. The pressure of animal numbers is exacerbated by a lack of professional agricultural land management. The Ministry of Roads, Transportation, Construction and Urban Development (MORTCUD) and its land divisions and specialists in aimags and soums are in charge of Administration of Land Affairs, Geodesy and Cartography, but they are not responsible for agricultural land management. The Division of Agricultural Land Affairs and Pasture Watering, established in 2008 at the Livestock Policy Implementation and Coordination Department of MOFALI, is responsible for the rational utilization of the total agricultural land, rehabilitation and increasing pastures productivity and improving water supply of cropping areas and pastures by improving utilization possession of water points. At the grassroots level, the VABD, established in 2010 in each soum, needs to do a lot in order to improve agricultural land management, particularly protection, rehabilitation and improving pastures. In addition, there is a need to coordinate this with Administration of Land Affairs, Geodesy and Cartography at the MORTCUD and land divisions and specialists in aimags and soums. Conceptually, it is intended that the GOM will conduct monitoring of pastures, hayfields, waterpoints and mineral resources in aimags and soums with highly degraded natural resources, including abandoned crop areas in the central economic region of the country and take or order remedial action as required. Consequently, a relevant local government should conclude PPP agreements with herders and herders groups that will allow this mandate to be implemented effectively. This must be an agreement between the relevant government agency – land owner and pasture land user or possessor (herder household or herder group). The agreement should clarify rights and obligations of both sides. For instance, the agreement should consider the amount and duration of the pasture area given to the herder household or herder group with user and/or possessing rights and how protect, rehabilitate and improve pastoral natural resources. Restoration and transfer of abandoned land to pastures and hayfields can be a subject of the agreement, if it is applicable. Such a PPP agreement needs also to consider issues related to improving preparedness of the herder household or herder group such as effective usage of pasture areas, hay 38 Article sixteen of the Constitution of Mongolia making, planting fodder crops, improving quality of animal fodder as well as marketing live animals, destocking and other issues. From financial point of view, a PPP is a partnership of a relevant government institution and private entity in relation sharing their responsibilities for investment, risk and output. From legal point of view, the relations linked with the PPP agreement can be based on the existing legal acts such as Civil Code, Law on Concession (2010) and State Policy on Public and Private Partnership approved by Parliament Resolution # 64 (2009). Implementing a PPP approach will require that local governments, already financially constrained in their ability to carry out local preparations, have access recurrent budgets for investment and technical programming. Soum governments need specific, purpose based funds for forage production investment and emergency reserve purchases instead of ad hoc contingency budgets. To build up local forage production capacity, budgets need to support pro-active multi-year planning and investment instead of the annual reactive decision making that is now carried out. The Integrated Budget Law which would decentralize budgets would make a major contribution to improving local planning. In addition, a dedicated budget line or fund for forage production and winter preparation which could not be reallocated into other activities would help soums and aimag to strategically develop local forage production capacity and/or alternative forage access strategies such as external purchases or otor arrangements. The role of the GOM has been reviewed and key issues identified. Related to this, capacity development needs have been identified at the level of individuals, institutions and the enabling environment. This assessment is summarized in Table 4.1. Table 4.1: National Government Role and Capacity Issues National Promotion of an enabling environment including the development of appropriate regulatory frameworks and the provision of secure Government Role financing to support coherent medium and long term policy development and implementation. Monitoring, evaluation and enforcement of the regulatory and policy environment. Specific Areas of Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Involvement Individual/Household Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) Article 5 of the Lack of clarity over roles leads to Support household Forming and Recognize that extensive livestock Constitution states interventions in what should be production, management strengthening herder production in Mongolia is a PPP. that livestock is private sector areas, undercutting and marketing with institutions such as Support institutional and individual national wealth and markets and encouraging an attitude extension services and groups, partnerships and capacity development. GOM’s role is to be protected by of dependency in herders. financing. cooperatives should be natural resource management the State. and improvement. Lack of technical knowledge by Awareness raising for parliamentarians, a lack of political parliamentarians on the and nostalgic views of nomadism issues and implications. cause an inability to address critical issues facing the extensive livestock sector. Law on Allocation Private land for herders is supposed Awareness raising for MOFALI and land Amend laws to allow for land of Land to to be allocated in the aimag or herders on their authorities should study ownership and for possession of Mongolian Citizens soum centre. Does not allow for constitutional rights and this and submit proposal pasture by individuals for the purpose for Ownership possession of camps or fodder legal issues of user and on these to the GoM and of a) living on private land at winter or fields possession rights. Parliament. spring camps and b) fodder and/or alternative incomes Pasture Law Pasture law has been debated for 17 Awareness raising on Develop the agency and Pasture law must be passed. Larger years but not passed pasture law content and inter-agency capacity to herder-managed grazing units should impacts implement the law. be considered, as per SDC. Allocation of budget Inadequate long-term budgetary Herders have to Allocate recurrent budgets Pass the integrated budget law to support programs support for preparation or contribute more to based on assessed needs implementation of programs prevention and funding. and cost sharing Develop PPP mechanisms principles. Need for specific, purpose based Public awareness Herder institutions, Streamline the number and objectives funds instead of ad hoc program on cash flow extension, consulting of funds to ensure they can adequately contingencies management among NGOs and firms need to address the investment needs and to herders be aware of various ensure they are focussed on priority funding sources. needs. Funding for institutional Personal savings Promoting CSCs and Coordinate donor aid for focused strengthening NBFIs capacity building programs within an overall multi-agency plan National Promotion of an enabling environment including the development of appropriate regulatory frameworks and the provision of secure Government Role financing to support coherent medium and long term policy development and implementation. Monitoring, evaluation and enforcement of the regulatory and policy environment. Specific Areas of Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Involvement Individual/Household Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) Inadequate contingency funds in the Community development Local management of Provide stable budgetary support for line ministries to deal with funds funds for investment and medium and long-term planning. immediate dzud response contingency Funding needs to be timely and Need access financing PPP mechanisms at the appropriate for fodder investment soum for investment and and supplementary emergency preparation. purchases Insurance based risk Not formalized in the regulatory A promotion campaign Need clarification and Draft law on livestock insurance management framework. Indemnification especially in the aimags strengthening of the should be passed. requires a change to legal new to the program institutional home of framework. livestock insurance. Herder uptake of programs is low. Public awareness Include premiums with Acceleration of developing the NDRP program at the soum. pasture use fees. Information, Inter-agency information sharing is Provide training to all Develop a central Establish the MOUs and contracts communication and inadequate for planning and well stakeholders on the database and information required to facilitate inter-agency technology authority coordinated response. Lack of information systems handling system information sharing. transparency. available. Information from different sources Training for data Strengthen grassroots data Provide the MOUs and other direction may not be consistent gatherers and handlers. quality. to empower agencies and line staff to work collaboratively Breakdown of phone links, road Invest in completing the weather connections etc in remote areas. communications system. 4.2.1 Soum government The role of soum governments should be to support and monitor pasture land management, facilitate hay production, coordinate winter preparation and to initiate local response in the case of emergency. The soum government, working in collaboration with herder households and groups, should be the front-line of resource management, local winter preparations and emergency management. Mongolia has 329 rural soums standardized in terms of structure and finance. A soum has a local autonomy in a form of People’s Representative Khural and a soum governor supported by a soum governor’s office. At the same time, the soum governor is chairman of the soum emergency committee and coordinates activities related to emergency management, rescue and response activities. Soum governments have a limited number of staff and resources to work with. While 30% of soums now have internet, most do not have good information services. They are overburdened with responsibilities from various agencies across government as well as international projects and under-resourced to do their jobs. The study team visited Sant soum, Ovorkhangai aimag (gobi zone) and Rashaant soum, Bulgan aimag (steppe zone). Sant soum has never had experienced cropping while Rashaant soum was one of the 20 state fodder farms with 19,000 ha arable land. While these two are different in terms of natural environment, they face the same issues of pastoral management, land degradation, overgrazing and lack of supplementary feed. In 2010, the government tasked all soums to prepare 100 mt hay and 50 mt concentrated fodder. Consequently, Sant and Rashaant soums purchased the majority of the required hay and fodder from private hay producers. However, the reserves were not marketed because of favourable winter and spring conditions. Both soums are storing their reserves in private storages on a rental basis and considering their options for repairing old facilities for public storage. This illustrates two issues. The process of issuing the preparation requirements to the soums places the financial burdens and risks on the local government without and appropriate sharing of responsibility with herders. The reserves may not reflect the actual needs and demands of the industry and any surplus become a drain on limited local budgets. Secondly, it illustrates the lack of capacity for physically managing reserves. Storage facilities are absent or inadequate which adds additional costs to the system and directly decreases the quality of the forage available. There is a need to improve coordination between the soum governor’s office and the local fodder reserve in terms of the planning and storage of forage reserves. In Sant soum, there is a NEMA fodder reserve with unused hay and fodder reserve. The reserve facility is large, but needs repairs and improvement to storages and mechanization of feed handling. If NEMA reserves were not considered strategic and therefore secret, much better coordinated local planning could occur and storage facilities could be shared. In addition, NEMA purchases of hay and fodder should encourage local producers, on contract basis. Rashaant and Sant have, to greater and lesser degrees, land which could be utilized for forage production. Rashaant soum, specifically, wants to have 10,000 ha arable land for cropping and to transfer 7,000 ha abandoned land to pasture or hay field. While both soums approve a land management plan every year, they have limited financial resources to rehabilitate pasture or abandoned land. After the approval of the MNLP, a VABD was established in each soum. Such a division is to have three specialists – a veterinarian, an animal breeding specialist and an expert responsible for pasture management, fodder production and SME development. The division engages in all the tasks related to animal health and breeding, pasture management, fodder production, preparation for winter and dzud management. The VABD also supervises activities of private veterinary enterprises. The VABDs have a large role to play in supporting pasture management and fodder production by providing technical support, training and extension services to herders and the soum government. The VABDs are newly created and need capacity building support to be able to successfully carry out their functions. Soum governments should be on the frontline of pasture improvement, forage planning and management, but this needs to be done in partnership with herders and in open collaboration with other agencies, such as the NEMA reserves. There is need to practise PPPs on a contract basis between the soum governors office/VABDs on one side and herder households/herders’ groups on the other side. All the issues related to management, use, land and pasture rehabilitation and improvement should be done on joint efforts of the local government and the contracted herder representatives. The local government can take responsibility for allocating pasture land to herders on either on user right or possession right. This should start with small spots and for short term. Herder households should be responsible for improving responsibility of livestock management such as taking care of animals, forage production and/or purchase, regular marketing of livestock products and live animals, including destocking in emergency cases. In this way, the soum government and the herder community can achieve improving grazing areas, effective livestock management and increasing herders’ livelihoods on win-win principle. Table 4.2: Soum Level Public Sector Organizations Role and Capacity Issues Role: The role of soum governments should be to support and monitor pasture land management, facilitate hay production, coordinate winter preparation and to initiate local response in the case of emergency. The soum government, working in collaboration with herder households and groups, should be the front-line of resource management, local winter preparations and emergency management. Specific Agency Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) Soum government Ineffective and Training for soum officials in Provide more information Decentralize budgets. overburdened local management and strategic services and other technical Institute a monitoring program. government planning. supports. Lack of coordination Provide localized budgets Decentralize budgets. among donors and between and the mechanisms to Review project successes to establish local government and leverage (cost-share) with national models for herder groups, donors donor funds and programs to funds etc have a coordinated, locally Over reliance on relief aid managed approach. Develop the mechanism for pooling and donor organizations by GOM and donor resources for a local government and some coordinated local approach. herders.â€?39 Institute a monitoring and reporting Complex economic More cost-sharing with herders on program. development plans for program implementation. 2011 – 2021 have no implementation funds. VABD New organization needing Herders need new knowledge and Develop extension programs Provide adequate budgets for skills in forage and fodder for fodder production. ongoing, long-term, skills-based budget and program production. extension programs. development. Need adequate supplies of Increase veterinary budgets. medications. Need to control parasites. Desertification Very urgently need pasture Promote linkages to national improvement and other research organizations that can 39 COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY & THE CENTER FOR NOMADIC PASTORALISM STUDIES, “Understanding Resilience in Mongolian Pastoral Social-ecological Systems - Adapting to Disaster Before, During and After the 2010 Dzud—Year 1 Reportâ€? Maria Fernandez-Gimenez, Batbuyan Batjav & Batkhishig Baival, with assistance from Ms. Khishigdorj and Mr. Tsogoo, Study for the World Bank SLP, 1/31/2011 (Executive Summary) Role: The role of soum governments should be to support and monitor pasture land management, facilitate hay production, coordinate winter preparation and to initiate local response in the case of emergency. The soum government, working in collaboration with herder households and groups, should be the front-line of resource management, local winter preparations and emergency management. Specific Agency Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) interventions to fight provide assistance (PSARTI, RIAH desertification. etc) EWS Limited effectiveness of Better equip herders with Identify a source of storm warnings because of individual tools for storm warning affordable, reliable information infrastructure. (barometers). barometers for use by herders. Link the mobile phone service providers into the system to allow storm warning to be issued by text message. Reserves Lack of storage and limited Encourage more production and Provide financing on a PPP Remove the strategic designation coordination between storage by herders to limit the basis to improve local from NEMA reserves to facilitate national and local reserves. burden on local governments. storage better local and regional planning and cost-sharing on facilities use and maintenance. 4.2.2 Aimag Government and Emergency Committee Mongolia has 21 aimags in total of which 18 are rural with 12-27 soums in larger territories while three are city-based including Darkhan-Uul, Erdenet and Choir (GobiSumber), each having three to four soums. The aimag organizational structure is the same in all. The aimag Governor acts as Chairman of the Aimag Emergency Committee and coordinates emergency management and response activities in the aimag on part-time basis. The other important organizations on the Committee are the aimag Emergency Management Division, the Food, Agriculture and SME Department (FASMED) and the Nature, Environment and Tourism Department (NETD) as well as the weather station, health services, police, finance and others. The private sector is not on the council but may provide input through NGOs, businesses or individuals with contributions and volunteerism. The GOM issued Resolution # 51 in 2004 and established an emergency management division in each aimag. . The division is aimed at preventing, protecting and rescuing citizens, properties and natural resources from possible natural disasters and emergencies. At the aimag, they provide the following services: ï‚· emergency management and coordinating activities related to reducing vulnerability to expected disasters in territory of the aimag; ï‚· fire prevention and control and rescuing citizens and properties from fire; ï‚· rescuing citizens, animals, properties and surrounding environment from dzud, extremely infectious diseases and other kinds of disasters; and, ï‚· disseminating disaster warning signals and conducting training on how rescue yourself and others from a disaster. Practically, the division engages in all kinds of prevention, rescue and recovery operations, except dzud. The Ovorkhangai emergency division has 2 fire drill units (Arvaikheer and Kharkhorin) and 2 national reserve branches (Kharkhorin and Sant) and a new one at Nariinteel soum. More than 90 personal work in the division. Their national reserve responsibility is to keep and protect hay and fodder purchased by national budget and distribute according to government resolutions. Preserving the emergency reserve fodder and hay is based on quantity to be stored and quality and prices for distribution decided by government. Since 2011, they have the task of facilitating soum and bag reserves in conjunction with the aimag MOFALI-SME reserve program. 4.2.3 FASMED The Food and Agricultural Department was expanded into the FASMED in all aimags in January 2009. It has three units including the veterinary office, the animal breeding office and the pasture and administration division. The mission of FASMED is to prevent animal disease, improve livestock genetic potential and intensify the livestock and crop sectors. In Ovorkhangai, the FASMED estimates the annual feed requirement to be 80,600 mt in FU. Current production is only 15,100 thousand FU or only 18.0% of the need. Livestock are in a nutritional deficit in winter and spring and are vulnerable to harsh weather. Accordingly, the drought/dzud of 2009/2010 resulted in 1.5 million livestock deaths and 1,700 herding households lost all their animals while nearly 7,000 households were left with minimum number of livestock. The direct loss was estimated at approximately at MNT 77.0 BLN with an associated increase in rural poverty. To prevent future disasters, the FASMED has developed the aimag Livestock Development Program which was approved by Decree No. 06/02 of the Board of Aimag People’s Representative Khural on July 21, 2010. The document identifies, amongst other things, the mission of developing pastoral and intensified animal husbandry based on traditional pastoral practices, increasing risk carrying capacity of livestock by improving availability and use of pasture and fodder and increasing herder income. The following policies will be pursued to increase fodder preparation and production: ï‚· In cooperation with herders, programmes and projects, increase yield of pasture by fencing and irrigating suitable areas based on detailed survey of potential areas for hay-making. ï‚· Implement a policy to increase fodder crop growing areas to not less than 550 ha by 2015 in combination with quality seed multiplication (in Kharkhorin soum) and supplying seed to businesses and herders interested in planting fodder crops. ï‚· Set up a small-scale fodder factory in each soum and increase quantity of factory-produced fodder. Increase capacity of fodder granulating factory of Kharkhorin Soum up to 200 mt/year. ï‚· Set up small-scale factories of complete mineral fodder based on available local raw materials, and protect the Aimag’s livestock from micro and macro elements’ deficits. ï‚· Request each herder household to prepare the following hay and fodder per SU: o In khangai region 20 kg hay, 0.1 kg hand-made fodder o In steppe region 10 kg hay, 0.1 kg hand-made fodder o In gobi region 7 kg hay, 0.2 kg hand-made fodder ï‚· Assign each soum to increase capital of its Livestock Protection Fund, keep fodder reserve in sufficient quantity to feed all animals not less than 3 days (3.0 kg hay and 0.3 kg concentrated mixed fodder per SU). ï‚· Increase the annual reserve of the Aimag’s Emergency Fodder Fund by two to three times up to 600 mt hay and 400 mt of concentrated fodder. ï‚· Set up and send, as minimum, two mechanized hay-making brigades with the support of private enterprises to cut hay at agreed upon hay fields in Bulgan, Tuv and Selenge Aimags. As a result of these activities, the Aimag expects to prepare not less than 50% of its annual hay and fodder needs. In addition, the aimag livestock development program considers measures on improvement of pasture management and pasture water supply issues. The main issue facing implementation is the lack of funding. There may also be technical capacity issues to carry out some of the necessary assessments related to land rehabilitation and identification of appropriate, cost-effective technologies and inputs. 4.2.4 Aimag Meteorological, Hydrological and Environment Monitoring Office (AMHEMO) The AMHEMO works as a unit of the aimag NETD, which is a state agency aimed at nature and environment protection, proper use and rehabilitation of natural resources and tourism development. NTED provides customers and rural soums with information on weather forecasts, environmental monitoring and prevention of expected natural and weather disasters. The Ovorkhangai AMHEMO faces some problems in implementing its responsibilities: ï‚· providing the rural soums with weather forecast information by telephone is slow; ï‚· the process of distributing printed weather forecasts to 15 people who each then have to inform another three to five people is slow and incomplete; ï‚· a bagh governor is supposed to receive a copy of the weather forecast, but he/she has a limited possibility to deliver it to herders; ï‚· the weather station is not connected to fibre optic cable and this limits a speed of delivery of weather forecast. The weather station needs MNT 6-7 million for linking it with the fibre optic cable over a distance of one kilometre. 4.2.5 Labour and Social Welfare Service Section The Labour and Social Welfare Service Section was established in 2006 and operates with money from the National budget. The office is concerned with promoting the business of herding households through cooperatives, intensification and training. They work with the Social Welfare Fund and the Herder Labour Promotion Fund which provide a total of about 20 million MNT per year. They do not receive any international funds and they have no linkage to the MOFALI SME funds. The Section is challenged in their mandate by the lack of alternatives income opportunities in the aimag. The households in the aimag do not have permanent income and rely on the products of their livestock, so the quality of livestock has a big impact on their incomes. Most households do not reach a subsistence level from their herds. The Section has tried to support households in crop production (potatoes and vegetables) and animal fodder. In the case of fodder, the Section did reach the intended results were not achieved. Four households had one hectare of land and a mini tractor, fodder crop seed and fertilizer provided by the Section. Because they have no irrigation, they selected areas close to hand operated wells. The herders reported that they did not have enough knowledge about soil preparation, water and care during the growing season. The chairperson of the herders group was sent to Hohhot, Inner Mongolia to see their practices and have training from the Agricultural Department, but this did not provide the practical skills necessary to successfully grow fodder. Despite these difficulties and late planting, the families plan to grow fodder and vegetables in 2011 even without the continued support of the office. The Section recognizes that they did not provide sufficient practical training and technical support and that a pilot project should concentrate more on training to build skills. In addition, the support period of one year is too short. Finally, monitoring was also insufficient to support the program. Despite understanding these issues, the Section tends to focus on short-term programs which might not provide sufficient support to herding families to successfully adopt new income approaches or production methods. For 2011, the Section has budget (20 million MNT) for similar activities but has not decided on a focus area. Even though they recognize the need to increase fodder production for pastoral livestock, they may switch their program to dairy or dairy-related crops. Table 4.3: Aimag Level Public Sector Organizations Role and Capacity Issues Role: Aimag agencies should a) have the responsibility and authority to manage programs within the aimag, b) initiate and coordinate regional activities with other aimags and c) initiate trigger points for national level emergency intervention. Specific Agency Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) Aimag government Insufficient budget and Train local managers in Develop or strengthen local Decentralize budgets and decision authority to carry out strategic planning and other planning and budgeting making responsibility agricultural development related skills to manage processes. Establish plans, forage reserve decentralized budgets. monitoring and evaluation establishment or otor program. Aimag Food, Need to undertake technical Improve local skills and Provide technical and Budget for rehabilitation. Seek Agriculture and and cost benefit analysis of knowledge on forage and fodder economic feasibility study innovative financing for this type of SME Dept forage production and production and land support through MOFALI long-term investment including rehabilitation in every soum rehabilitation techniques. Facilitate inter-aimag links to the mining sector which and develop a rehabilitation agreement for forage and will be obligated to rehabilitate and improvement plan. otor. land, carbon credit programs and GEF. Aimag NEMA Facilities are in poor repair. Provide budgets for Need rescue and maintenance, improvements communications equipment and new handling equipment. Aimag NAMHEM No high speed internet Budget for fibre optics Long range forecasts not Improve LT forecasting. reliable enough. Warning Test text-messaging for notices to herders too slow emergency alerts Ministry of Labour Rural unemployment, Provide more training for Provide longer training Establish linkages with other and Social Welfare subsistence herding and little business development and focussed on practical skills funds/programs to develop a investment capital training program design. broader, better funded program. 4.2.6 MOFALI The role of MOFALI should be to provide a supportive policy environment, provide technical guidance and support through its professional services, and to undertake monitoring and evaluation processes. Accordingly, Government Decree No. 2009/76 “The Operational Strategy and Structural Reform Programmeâ€? of the MOFALI has laid out the objective of the Ministry as “enabling a pleasant environment for food, agriculture, trade and service, and sustainable development, as well as supporting rural and regional development to enable economic growth.â€? The priorities of MOFALI that directly impact dzud management include: - Supporting individual farmers and improving competitiveness and management - Improving water management, ownership, and the use of agricultural land and increasing the recovery, pasture capacity, and activity of the water supply for crop production and pasture-lands - Improving the protection of livestock and the livestock gene bank from natural disasters - Protecting livestock from infectious and parasitic disease - Developing agriculture in order to decrease poverty and create employment - Supporting and developing small and medium sized enterprises - Improving the capacity to acquire loans in local areas - Introducing a modern agricultural extension service MOFALI used to have responsibility for dzud preparation and emergency response related to forage and fodder supplies. This responsibility was later moved to NEMA. MOFALI is now involved in pasture monitoring and preparation activities. Even though it receives aimag reports and requests for emergency assistance, it can no longer make response decisions. The information received from aimags must be forwarded to NEMA and the SEC for any response decisions. The current division of responsibilities is acknowledged to have slowed down the response period. It may also introduce a less noticeable encumbrance to effective planning and response. When good management and preparation is carried out by the industry, dzud is a difficult, but not disastrous occurrence. Placing what should be a regular management process under the auspices emergency response disempowers the industry stakeholders who should hold the main responsibility for preparation and initial response and continues to promote the belief in governments’ responsibility to protect livestock and the dependencies that follow. Currently, only one staff member has responsibility for dzud preparation work. This inhibits a focused approach to dzud management. Preparation work could be improved by assigning full time responsibility to the job of dzud management, including the inter-agency collaborations that the job requires. MOFALI implements its policies and objectives through national and government programs and projects such as LFP (2007), Crop 3 National Campaign (2008), National Food Security Program (2009) and MNLP (2010) and others. Key departments involved in livestock, fodder production and dzud management include the i) Livestock Husbandry Policy Implementation and Coordination Department, and ii) Crop Production Policy Implementation and Coordination Department. In addition, the MOFALI has several external structural units related to the pastoral risk management directly and indirectly, namely: - Veterinary and Animal Breeding Department (Government Implementing Agency); - Small and Medium sized Enterprises (SME) Department (Government Implementing Agency); - National Agricultural Extension Center (NAEC); - Crop Production Supporting Fund; - SME Supporting Fund; and - Bureau for Pasture Land Use of the Migration. The Livestock Husbandry Policy Implementation and Coordination Department is responsible for coordination of livestock sector policies and conducts activities focused on implementation of policy, planning, programs and projects in the sector. The Department is responsible for: - Intensification of livestock production - Policy coordination for the protection of livestock from unexpected disasters in timely manner; - Improving management of agricultural land, irrigation and water supply and implementing activities related to plant quarantine and control of hurtful rodents and insects. The Pasture Law is recognized as the most important issue to be resolved for sustainable pasture management. MOFALI has now moved the proposed legislation forward through an MP rather than through the Ministry and has subsequently assigned a working group to get reaction from 16,000 herder households, or 10% of the herding households so that Parliament can be provided with herders’ opinions. The survey process began in 2010 with the selection of four soums from each aimag and 200 herders from each soum. Herders will provide responses on eight questions and the results will be reported to Parliament. People who have been involved in the drafting the Law will attend the herder meetings to make presentations and answer questions before the responses are collected. To date, 800 responses have been collected and the process is expected to finish by June 15. After that, the Law will go to Ministerial Council and the summer session of Parliament. MOFALI puts great efforts into the implementation of the MNLP approved by the Parliament in May 2010. The purpose of the program is to develop a livestock sector that is adaptable to changing climatic and social conditions and create an environment where the sector is economically viable and competitive in the market economy, to provide a safe and healthy food supply to the population, to deliver quality raw materials to processing industries, and to increase exports. The priorities are to: 1. Assist in the formulation of a favourable legal, economic and institutional environment for sustainable development, and to develop of good governance in the livestock sector; 2. Improve animal breeding services based on social need/demand, increasing the productivity and production of high quality livestock products and raw materials and increasing market competitiveness; 3. Raise the veterinary service standard to international levels and protecting public health through securing Mongolian livestock health; 4. Develop livestock production that is adaptable to climatic and ecological changes with strengthened risk management capacity; and 5. Develop targeted markets for livestock and livestock products; establishing proper processing and marketing structures and increasing economic turnover40. Within the fourth priority, four key interrelated objectives are identified such as improving pasture management, increasing fodder and hay production, improving livestock water supply and creating livestock risk management capacity. The NMLP fodder and hay production programs are intended to: ï‚· Improve fodder supplies by establishing a full nutrient fodder industry and small sized enterprises which are based on domestic raw materials. ï‚· Encourage the cultivation of high nutrient animal feed and introduce processing technology that utilizes agricultural by-product materials generated from cropping activities. ï‚· Encourage the use of new bundling and storage technology for hay without decreasing quality and prepare dense, high quality feed to supply the state and aimag fodder reserves. ï‚· Create hay and fodder reserves in every soum and aimag for emergency situations. In an emergency, utilize local level reserves first and, if these are insufficient, State reserves. ï‚· Permit Gobi aimags to prepare fodder from the Khangai region and organize activities to provide required technical support with concessional conditions. The Veterinary and Animal Breeding Agency (VABA) was established as a Government Implementing Agency by Parliament Decree No. 49 on “Establishing Government Implementing and Coordinating Agenciesâ€? of 2008 and Government Decree No. 64 of 2008. VABA is comprised of the Veterinary Service, Animal Breeding Service and Administration Department and employs 20 staff. Its mission is to “protect the health and genetic pool of livestock and animals, combat various diseases, prevent, heal, improve quality of livestock, increase output, intensify and provide conditions to supply products that meet sanitary, hygiene and other standards.â€? The VABA does not have a strong role in dzud management except through disease issues. When an emergency of any type involves an infection disease outbreak, VABA believes that a better response than NEMA’s could be coordinated if VABA would be used, given its vertical structure straight to the soum level. The veterinary service was involved in carcass disposal in 2010. It generated good funding for the department but was not considered to be particularly necessary or effective. The role the veterinary service does play in dzud prevention is through the control of parasite disease, which affects the ability of animals’ ability to utilize available nutrients. This is primarily the responsibility of herders with service provided by private veterinarians. Herders’ attitudes constrain parasite control as they are reluctant to invest any cash into livestock medications. The Government could have a larger role in parasite control, but lack the budget to do so. The supply of vet medicines is an ongoing issue. The Biocombinent getting a USD 25 Million upgrade which will help secure the supply of many vaccines other than FMD. There is a nationally approved list 40 Unofficial translation of medications but never enough funds for all to be kept in the aimag. Quality is questionable, so the available supply can only cover a very small percentage of the need. The balance is covered by private sources where quality and quantity is also an issue. The aimag gets 2-3 million MNT for the veterinary medicine budget, but it was estimated that 30 Million or more would be needed to cover all animals at reasonable quality. There is an attempt underway to establish an “Animal Medicine Special Fundâ€? to support access for private veterinarians. Under the VABA, VABDs were established at the soum level in early 2011. The VABDs operate under the aimag level VABA as a technical department with finances coming from the soum budget. The potential for the VABDs to support sustainable livestock and fodder production is great, as it provides technical specialists in every soum to support all aspects of production and SME development. At the current time, budgets are limited, so the operations of these units are limited. The private veterinary services are not financially sustainable therefore the number of technicians at the soum level is not enough to manage the amount of livestock. Those that are present provide questionable service. They lack appropriate equipment and supplies to carry out their jobs and, because the fees are not high enough, they tend to only do the things supported by the national budget. For national government programs, 50% of the cost is covered, but the service fee is to be paid by herders even though, on paper, 50% of service fee covered by the national government. It was said that veterinarians often just give the medication to the herders and do not do the service. In reality, local people felt that when the Ministry of Finance does the budget they underestimate the aimag livestock. For this reason, the budget is never sufficient. The Animal Breeding Service works to improve livestock quality, increase livestock output and to preserve the animal genetic pool. It works through 22 VABDs in the aimags and Ulaanbaatar and provides professional management to local, soum-level VABDs. Activities are undertaken on advanced technology, the formation of nucleus and multiplier herds and the promotion of intensified farming. The Animal Breeding Service has a very important dzud recovery role in replacing breeding stock and, in the future, they will follow a policy of using high quality local breeds to re-establish herds after dzud. From 2011, the Animal Breeding Service is implementing a program to train herders, especially young herders who will be in the industry for many years. According to the National Policy on Herders, they will conduct training in three regions using a budget of 70 million MNT. Temporary training schools are being set up for this purpose. Additionally, a program to support poor families to improve livestock has been structured on the model of Heifer International. For dairy, poultry, pig production, the government provides inputs and high quality livestock. After 3-5 years, the initial number of animals is returned. If herders make a group or cooperative, the government tries to provide long term low interest loans. They are willing to provide hay making equipment at 50% of cost and will provide perennial seed to herders who fence forage production areas. These training and investment programs will contribute to increasing herder understanding of animal nutrition and building local capacity for feed production and management but need to be focused on practical skills and provided over a long enough period to generate lasting change. The SME Department is a Government Implementing Agency is established with Resolution # 64 of the Parliament on 24th December 2008 with the purpose of facilitating the development of SMEs and to create favourable business environment for them. An SME development fund has been established which provides investment funds at the soum level. These funds and the SME program can be utilized to help develop local fodder production enterprises. The NAEC was created in 1996 on the recommendation of the ADB. For several years it struggled to provide service to rural areas because it had only a few operational units which lacked the budget, equipment and programs to carry out any large scale extension programs. In its early form, NAEC centres in rural areas tried to operate on a fee-for-service basis, but they could not generate enough income to retain staff and successfully deliver their programs. With the creation of the VABDs in 2010, NAEC now has access to staff members with a job description for extension in every soum of Mongolia. This provides a vehicle for information, technical support and training programs needed to support feed and fodder production across rural Mongolia. The programs will need addition budget to be able to carryout training programs, but this could be linked to donor programs and other government and NGO training and labour programs. The Crop Production Policy Implementation and Coordination Department is responsible for coordination of crop sector policies and for implementation of the legislation, policy, plan, program, projects and actions related to the crop sector. The key tasks of the Department are policy implementation on crop sector intensification and seed multiplication and supply and crop techniques and technology. MOFALI policy is to build up fodder crop seed through the “Improving the Supply of Green Fodder in Intensified Enterprisesâ€? program. The program will promote the production of alfalfa, a native fodder shrub (tisic) and various indigenous fodder crops, legumes, grasses, perennials and annuals. Silage production will also be promoted. They have selected five to six commercial fodder seed growers including two in central region to multiply fodder seed. These enterprises will receive 250 million MNT at 2.4% interest for five years. In total, MOFALI plans to 670 million MNT to seven enterprises In the wake of the 2009/2010 dzud, the budget to support fodder production increased from 460 million MNT in 2009 to 2.5 billion MNT in 2010. With these funds, MOFALI bought seed for fodder crops. However, it was reported that without proper advice and technical support provided along with the seed, the results did not provide input for the second year. Training has now been added to the program for fodder production. On the 16th of May, the NAEC conducted at three day training program for more about 100 aimag specialists and fodder producers from across the country. Much more training will be required at the soum level with herders and fodder producers to support local forage and fodder. Otor migration is the tradition risk management method of moving animals to distant pastures where there are adequate forage supplies for winter. In the collective system, this was organized by the state. Otor is now organized primarily on subjective agreement between soum governments without adequate attention paid to carrying capacity. This leads to “hoof dzudâ€?, when a limited pasture is overrun by animals arriving on otor. The process of organizing otor needs to be transparent and based on carrying capacity. In 2007, the Inter-Aimag Otor Coordination Administration of MOFALI was established under GOM Decree No. 187 to coordinate inter-aimag otor. Its 16 staff has the responsibility to organize and implement the rational use and protection of inter-aimag otor pasture at the national level to decrease the loss of livestock through improved pasture and fodder reserves and allow herding households manage winter and spring conditions. The specific responsibilities of the Administration include: - “Rationally use and protect inter-aimag otor pastures; - Set up of apart-time Council in charge of regulating inter-aimag otor pasture; - Fence otor pastures and establish, construct, rehabilitate, and protect fences, shelters, fodder storage, wells and water points; - Determine number of households and livestock to winter and spring in inter-aimag otor pasture and organize implementation; - Pay attention to social welfare of herders to winter and spring in otor pasture and take relevant measures; - Dispatch technical specialists to inter-aimag otor pasture and provide technical and methodological recommendations; - Survey possibilities to set up new inter-aimag otor pasture and develop a proposal; - Cooperate with NGOs, international and national projects and programmes in order to improve pasture use, pasture ownership and material basis of otor pasture; - Build hay and fodder reserves in inter-aimag otor pasture; - Improve financial and investment planning of otor pasture, improve material conditions, differ inter-aimag otor pastures from normal pasture and mark with visible colours.41â€? The Administration is responsible for 649,300 ha of pasture throughout the seven inter-aimag otor pasture areas: - Kherlenbayan-Ulaan of Khentii Aimag (207 winter camp shelters, 18 out of 20 underground wells, 3 out of 8 low-fence wells and 5 hand-dug wells are usable). - Malah steppe of Gobi-Sumber Aimag (5 artesian wells, 7 concrete-ring wells, 23 hand-dug wells, 47 winter camps are usable). - Bagakhairkhan of Zavkhan Aimag (22 winter camps (1 shelter and 21 rock fences), 6 artesian wells, 1 concrete-ring well are useable). - Argalant of Gobi-Altai Aimag (46 rock fences, 3 artesian wells, 8 out of 12 wells with modified low-fence or hand-dug wells are usable; a reserve house with over 400 mt capacity needs be fully refurbished). - Choibalsan of Dornod Aimag is designated for horse otor (2 artesian wells newly constructed; there is a need to improve supply of shelters and water points). - Chilen of Bulgan and Tuv aimags (32 winter camp shelters, 14 spring camps, 8 artesian wells). - Khukh Del of Bulgan and Ovorkhangai aimags (Sufficient water supply such as rivers, springs, artesian and hand-dug wells). 41 Inter-Aimag Otor Coordination Administration website The Administration could provide better service if they could expand the system of otor pastures by adding abandoned crop land rehabilitated to pasture or forage production. Proposals have been prepared, but financing is not yet available. In addition, improved monitoring of carrying capacity and management of incoming livestock numbers is needed. Mechanisms for reciprocal arrangements between aimags also need to be strengthened and expanded. Table 4.4: MOFALI Role and Capacity Issues Role: Enabling a pleasant environment for food, agriculture, trade and service, and sustainable development, as well as supporting rural and regional development to enable economic growth. Develop policy, provide technical guidance and support through its professional services, and undertake monitoring and evaluation. Specific Areas of Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Involvement Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) Overgrazing and Wrong focus of on animal More awareness building and Management contracts between Stop awarding 1000 hd herders pasture degradation numbers instead of carrying training of herders to be able to herders and soums based on and refocus on productivity. capacity and productivity. manage resources and livestock carrying capacity productivity Monitoring and protection of Provide more training to Strengthen data collection and Complete the regulatory pasture capacity needs technicians on pasture monitoring analysis for monitoring pasture framework for pasture strengthening and systems. conditions. Strengthen inter- management, monitoring and agency linkages in monitoring enforcement by passing the and information sharing. pasture law. Empower agencies to collaborate. Dzud management Top-down directives for Convey unified messages to Focus on monitoring and Devolve responsibility for including production specific levels of preparation herders about their preparedness evaluation and the provision of preparation and initial response of forage and fodder. do not support an approach and accountability technical support enhance local to the soum and aimag level. based on local needs and feed resource production and decisions. planning. Within the current EMR Shift responsibility for feed system, MOFALI must refer resource management and to NEMA/SEC for response identification of dzud approval emergency conditions to MOFALI. Lack of dedicated staff Provide additional training as Rewrite job descriptions to allocations for dzud required to strengthen allow fulltime work on feed and management. managements. dzud management. Role: Enabling a pleasant environment for food, agriculture, trade and service, and sustainable development, as well as supporting rural and regional development to enable economic growth. Develop policy, provide technical guidance and support through its professional services, and undertake monitoring and evaluation. Specific Areas of Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Involvement Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) VABA Veterinary services at the Improve professional skills Support private vet service. soum level are inadequate Increase the budget for regarding staff, equipment medications. and vet medicines. Herders’ knowledge and Upgrade technical skills of Provide long-term support to attitudes inhibit good animal VABD staff as required. training and technical support health and nutrition programs to herders. VABAs resources not Utilize the VABA system from Revise emergency regulations as adequately utilized in EMR UB to soum-level (vs NEMAs necessary to allow for use of the channels) for disease outbreak VABA system. response Crop Sector Some abandoned land could Train local technicians to conduct Conduct technical and Clarify the classification of Development be put into forage assessments of rehabilitation feasibility studies. Budget for abandoned land so that it can be Foundation production. feasibility and carry out rehabilitation in PPPs. transferred to forage production. rehabilitation actions. Insufficient forage seed Train forage seed growers Support multiplication. Seek joint financing from the Consider a seed project similar mining sector, which also had a to the SDC potato project for need to practice land developing multiplier farms and rehabilitation. Co-share variety selection. research and seed multiplication costs. Mongolian National Currently active to the Conduct awareness and training Create decentralized recurrent Livestock Program aimag level but needs to programs for local participants so funds at the soum level for reach the soum and they understand and can manage pasture improvement, fodder Role: Enabling a pleasant environment for food, agriculture, trade and service, and sustainable development, as well as supporting rural and regional development to enable economic growth. Develop policy, provide technical guidance and support through its professional services, and undertake monitoring and evaluation. Specific Areas of Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Involvement Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) individual herder PPP approaches for financing, production and emergency feed contracting, implementation and purchases and formalize monitoring allocations in annual budgets. Establish a cost-share approach where national budget is supplemented with local funds from soums and herders Will require strong, Training for local public and Develop and institutionalize Provide enabling regulations or transparent monitoring private partners. monitoring system. decrees for monitoring and enforcement. NAEC New system at the soum Provide TOT training to soum- Provide adequate budgets for Investigate the possibility of level needs capacity level trainers on livestock training practical skills based cost-sharing programs with building nutrition and forage and fodder training in forage production donors. production. and livestock nutrition Inter-aimag otor Need to expand the otor Assess the feasibility of land Transfer suitable abandoned region pasture system. rehabilitation. land to Administration administration Need to improve monitoring Link into overall strengthening of carrying capacity and of the pasture and forage management of incoming monitoring and management livestock numbers. system. Need mechanisms for Support aimags and soums to reciprocal arrangements. develop reciprocal arrangements 4.2.7 National Agency of Meteorology, Hydrology and Environmental Monitoring (NAMHEM) The National Agency for Meteorology, Hydrology and Environment Monitoring of Mongolia (NAMHEM) provides regular weather forecasting as well as environmental monitoring, expected natural and weather disasters and environmental pollution. It works to facilitate the full use of weather and climate resources. Some of the core organizational objectives include: - Providing society with customers with regular and preventative information on meteorological and environmental natural and weather disasters and environmental pollution; - Expanding and strengthening the national network of meteorological and environmental monitoring, updating methods of measuring and analyzing monitoring activities; and, - Developing and implementing state policies on meteorology and environmental monitoring. Its Observation Network which is supported by, amongst other things, 130 meteorological stations, 3 agro-meteorological, 2 animal husbandry, 1 satellite information receiving, 1 BARMon; 186 agro meteorological posts, 128 hydrological posts, 35 environmental monitoring posts and 12 environmental monitoring laboratories. The National Meteorological Telecommunication Network has two GTS lines with WMO Regional Meteorological Telecommunications Centres (RMTC) in Novosibrisk, Russia, and Beijing, China and twenty local lines with aimags through VSAT. Local circuits with aimags' centres and other units are operating with speed 32 kbt/sec-512 kbt/sec VSAT channels, the full TCP/IP procedures (Source: NAMHEM website and interview with E. ERDENEBAT, Director, International Cooperation Division, NAMHEM). Table 4.10: Types and methods of weather forecasts for the customer Types of Weather Forecasts Delivery Methods of Weather Forecasts 1. Short-range weather forecasts: 1. For public: a. 6-hours forecast a. Radio b. 12-hour forecast b. TV c. Daily forecast c. Newspaper 2. Medium-range weather forecasts: d. Webpage a. 5-days forecast e. Siren systems b. Weekly forecast 2. For government organizations: 3. Long-range forecasts: a. Booklet a. Monthly weather forecast b. Fax b. Seasonal outlooks c. Telephone 4. Severe Weather information and warnings 3. For special users: a. Email b. Fax c. Telephone d. Booklets e. Advices f. Recommendations Herders will receive data from the National news service once per day by radio programs. They can sometimes receive a 5 day or 7 day forecasts. Forecasts are also posted on the internet where there is a webpage of national data. The National Information Centre for Natural Resource Management (supported by G of Netherlands) was established in 2006 and conducts rangeland monitoring. Soum officers are responsible for sampling which is done between April and October. All soums in all aimags have multiple observation sites. Under the SDC Green Gold program, all the data is put into digital and maps are produced and compared to satellite imaging. Data goes into the meteorological system and onto the webpage. The 10 day vegetation mapping is taken around the soum centre. In August, monitoring is conducted in all bags. Based on the August map, which also identified livestock numbers, pasture capacity and over wintering issues are determined. The analysis is usually made available before August 25. Cabinet meets on this issue. In 2011, NAMHEM will receive the LEWS pasture forage monitoring program. By 2012, it is supposed to be fully functional within their organization. MOUs and contracts have been signed with Mercy Corp but job descriptions for staff have not been issued to any Mercy Corp staff at this time. Texas A&M will be providing equipment and may be providing some ongoing technical support if budget is available. In 2012, SDC will also provide equipment and training for pasture monitoring at the soum level. See Chapter 6 for a full description. Aimag NAMHEM Stations and Service: The aimag stations are responsible for forecasting and tracking actual weather. All information is collected and distributed in digital format over network. Data is transmitted to the soum by phone and/or internet as about 30% of soums are connected to internet. Although 50% of soums are connected to fibre optic cable, out of the 18 aimags, no aimag meteorological office is connected. Budget has not been allocated and local offices are told if they can cost share, the national office might cover the balance using international funds. Having access to the fibre optic cable alone does not ensure internet service as an ISP has to be operating in the area. In addition to fibre optic, there is g-mobile can provide internet services. At the bag level, telecommunications is almost non- existent. Table 4.5: NAMHEM Role and Capacity Issues Role: Provision of timely, accurate weather forecasts and environmental monitoring to all stakeholders in the system including to herders at the bag level. Specific Areas of Issues and Capacity Building / Policy Options Involvement Opportunities Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) LEWS Will be taking on the Ensure training for Support institutionalization of the program in 2011/2012 personnel handling program. and may need LEWS additional capacity building Communications Limited internet and Expand connections to internet to Budget allocations. capacity fibre optic connections facilitate faster transmission of at aimags and soum and reports. virtually none at the bag level. Use alternatives, such as text Contractual arrangements with mobile messaging over mobile phone service providers. systems, for transmitting emergency weather warnings. 4.3.1 NEMA NEMA was created in January 2004 in accordance with the Law on Disaster Protection by integrating the State Board for Civil Defence, Fire Fighting Department and State Reserve Agency. NEMA’s responsible include the implementation of State disaster protection policy and legislation and the professional organization of nation wide activities. NEMA operates within the legal and program framework of the: - Law on the Prevention of Disaster - Law on National Reserves - Law on Procurement - Preparing for Over-wintering Program. NEMA is responsible for the implementation of the state reserve integrated policy and to provide intersectoral coordination, including national and international organizations, in the field of disaster management. Some of NEMA’s core responsibilities relating to dzud preparedness and response are to: o Develop the legal environment for disaster protection o Develop an integrated planning and policy system o Create an integrated information system including a disaster information database o Introduce advances of science and technology to disaster management o Rationalize state and local reserves (quantity, location) and develop warehouse economy Figure 4.1: NEMA Organization NEMA Director SEC Secretary Deputy Deputy Fire Reserves Civil Defence Reserves Reserves Reserves Aimag NEMAs Reserves Reserves NEMA is present in all 21 aimags and operates State Reserves in 70 locations in 18 aimags. The NEMA structure is the same as at the national level each having an Emergency Management Department, or smaller, reporting to NEMA national. The aimag NEMA is responsible of all prevention, rescue and recovery operations including dzud. The local NEMA chairperson and one other NEMA representative sit on the Aimag Emergency Committee. While NEMA reports that it has the same legal status of a Ministry, it is structured as an agency and there is a common perception that it sits below Ministries in government structure and lacks the authority to direct their actions. NEMA itself does not have the power to take decisions regarding dzud response. NEMA answers to the SEC and in turn, decisions are ultimately made Cabinet and the Deputy Prime Minister. Staffing and Equipment for National Reserves and Dzud Response NEMA at the national level has a limited number of staff and resources. Only two people deal directly with dzud issues. Additionally, one person dealing with meteorological information also contributes to dzud issues. At the aimag level, Ovorkhangai will be used as an example. In that aimag, there are three people in the provincial capital, Averill, including the Chairperson of the reserves, a book keeper and an accountant. Staff is monitored by the Chairperson of the NEMA emergency office. All four are NEMA staff. At the soum level, additional staff is required. The reserve at Sant has four staff including the Director plus an accountant, bookkeeper and watchman. The second location at Narantel has only two staff; a bookkeeper and a watchman. Using this staffing information, an indicative level of staffing for managing the reserves has been estimated in Table 4.6. Table 4.6: Indicative Staffing for Reserve Management Organizational Ulaanbaatar Ovorkhangai Total locations Estimated Level (Reserves and based on 70 National Staffing Meteorological reserve sites in 18 Data) aimags and UB National 3 1 3 Aimag 3 18 54 Soum 6 (average 3/site) 52 156 Total 71 213 Disaster Planning, Preparation, Response and Recovery Planning: NEMA has received capacity building support from the UNDP since it was formed. Three phases of a disaster preparedness project have been carried out and the fourth phase will begin in 2012. In keeping with international practice and UNDP support, 11 clusters have been established for emergency preparation and response, with one line-ministry or agency leading each cluster. International best practice also indicates that contingency plans and guidelines for preparation and response should be established. A Disaster Prevention Plan has been developed nationally and for each aimag and stakeholder. The plans address how to coordinate between stakeholders in case of different types of disaster including dzud. The UNDP reports that contingency plans for each of the 11 clusters have been drafted and will need to be updated on a regular basis. NEMA reported that since the dzud of 2009/2010 they have been working on harmonizing the cluster system and that this approach fits Mongolian needs well, especially with regard to dzud and humanitarian needs. Preparation: NEMA believes that dzud frequency is increasing and now occurs almost every year, to different extents across the country. The concept of drought cycle management has been incorporated into NEMA’s disaster planning in so much as the disaster management plan stipulates that droughts are early indicators of dzud. In additional to regular weather forecasting, NEMHAM provides a drought prognosis in March and a preliminary dzud assessment in August. This meteorological data is used in determining tender amounts, but to what extent to which they influence decision-making as compared to regular annual storage and contracting targets is not clear, as NEMA’s initial decisions on tendering hay and fodder appear to be made far in advance of the joint assessments of forage needs. Since 2011, the aimag NEMAs have had the task to facilitate soum and bag reserves in conjunction with the aimag MOFALI-SME reserve program. This arose from the 2009/2010 dzud lessons learned and subsequent introduction of national government requirements for all soums and bags to keep enough hay and/or fodder for three days. NEMA’s role is to participate in the official assessments of aimag, soum and bag reserves. In Ovorkhangai, this involves the physical inspection of 105 bags in 19 soums. It is reported that it is feasible to do this in one week through the use of local working groups. Others reported that this process takes a month from mid-September to mid-October. According to the State Emergency Commission (SEC), the reports being generated on aimag-level preparation reports have often been unreliable in the past. The general process of preparation is summarized in Table 4.7. Forage supplies and requirements are known at the local level by July yet the current top-down decision making process takes until the end of August to issue preparation instructions and until the middle of November for preparations to be reports to SEC. Meanwhile, soums are limited in their ability to undertaken timely preparations because they do not have the financial autonomy or resources to develop their own preparation programs. Decentralizing budgets and authority to the soums could support much earlier preparation based on actual local forage conditions. Table 4.7: Timetable of Hay and Fodder Preparation Month EWS Weather and Forage Reports Forage Assessment and Preparation NEMA Tendering System March ï‚· NEMHAM drought prognosis ï‚· ï‚· April ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· May ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· Fodder production decision made ï‚· Fodder tenders issued June ï‚· ï‚· By June 20 soums have the pre-forecast. It ï‚· National reserve local officers and private has been pretty good. They then have the local producers estimate local production, information in hand in the soum to do their needs and costs and report to NEMA preparation plans national. ï‚· Fodder tenders issued July ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· National reserve local estimates and reports continue. ï‚· By end of July, needs are known. ï‚· Fodder tenders issued ï‚· Hay tenders issued August ï‚· NEMHAM dzud prognosis ï‚· Multi-agency forage assessment in Aimags. ï‚· Hay tenders issued ï‚· MOFALI issues initial winter preparation targets for aimags and soums. September ï‚· ï‚· Mid Sept: Monitoring of preparation and ï‚· reserves begins with NEMA participation. October ï‚· ï‚· To mid-Oct: Monitoring of preparation and ï‚· reserves with NEMA participation. ï‚· By Oct 25th aimags submit a preparation report. ï‚· MOFALI compiles national report. November ï‚· ï‚· November 10th – national preparation report ï‚· Delivery to storage is submitted to SEC/Cabinet. December ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· Additional procurement based on onwards emergency requirements. Response: Theoretically, the dzud response system is based on a bottom-up approach. Smaller local issues are intended to be solved locally and NEMA should only be involved in the case of a true emergency that overwhelms the capacity of one or more aimags. The suggested flow is that if dzud occurs, herders request hay and fodder from the soum government. If the need exceeds the soum’s capacity, a request is made to the aimag. If the aimag is unable to meet the needs of the province, they place a request to MOFALI and NEMA. An assessment is conducted and dzud may be declared by the national government. If so, a response will be issued by the SEC. If the needs overwhelm the national capacity to response, international aid would be requested. Once dzud is declared, government resolutions are issued indicating the quality of reserves to be released. This is carried out by the aimag and soum level national reserves. During dzud, the aimag NEMA will also be involved in opening blocked roads and sending out rescue teams to find lost people. During the 2010 dzud, they organized the disposal of animal carcasses, ensuring they were buried and disinfected. This was carried out under the UN pay-for-work program which paid herder households a fee to bury their animals. In reality, the system remains very top-down, centrally planned and militarist in its implementation. Preparation requirements are identified by national organizations and issued to soums and aimags. Verification of response needs and the issuance of dzud announcements remain with national organizations even though the early identification of needs is initiated by soums. Funding remains in the control of national organizations. This system introduces unnecessary bureaucracy and risk of delays. At the soum and aimag level there are common complaints about the bureaucratic nature of this process. Previously, the responsibility rested with the MOFALI and the response time was faster. Since NEMA was given control of the reserves it is necessary for NEMA, the SEC and Cabinet to participate in decision-making. If information and requests are passed quickly between agencies and the decisions taken quickly, delays are minimal. However, the Cabinet is represented by many individuals who do not have a technical background or experience relevant to the decisions at hand and delays are common. It was reported at the soum and aimag level that getting national decisions on dzud response can take between four and six weeks. In addition to the decision making delays, there are logistical constraints that slow the movement of reserves. The Rashaant soum governor commented that in his soum, which is relatively small and well connected to infrastructure, the actual hay pick up and delivery from the reserves to the herders can take up to 10 days per round trip. Recovery: During the recovery phase, aimag level NEMA’s assist with the repair of damaged fences and winter camps. Early Warning Systems and Information Sharing A database was established at NEMA three years ago to manage information on drought, dzud, infectious diseases and other disasters. However, the system at large is using multiple databases. There is a need to consolidate these databases or create functional bridges between them in someway so that the complete body of information required for effective planning and response is readily available to all stakeholders involved. The lack of transparent data and information was a factor in the slow and uncoordinated international response during the 2010 dzud. This could be centralized in NEMA. Early warning information for drought and dzud based on weather and forage conditions is available in Mongolia but is not yet integrated into the planning process. The LEWS system offers high quality information but does not reported to be used to any great extent in the planning and decision making process. There also appears to be a gap in information sharing with herders and soum governments to support community based preparedness and response. Some of these gaps are related to infrastructure issues and weather reporting programs. These are already being strengthened but may need additional support. Types of Reserves Hay and Fodder: The national reserve system was abolished in the mid 1990s upon recommendations from the ADB. Reserves were re-established in 2001 after the devastating dzuds of 1999-2001. NEMA’s national reserve responsibility is to keep and protect hay and fodder purchased by national budget and to distribute it according to national resolutions. At the aimag, NEMA acts as an arm of the national NEMA making no direct decisions about the utilization of reserves, but acting strictly upon government resolutions within a top-down chain of command. The quantity to be stored and quantity and prices for distribution are decided by government resolution through the SEC. Government resolutions decree that both hay and fodder shall be kept in the national reserves. There are no requirements placed on the quality of these reserves. Hay is natural hay cut for maximum volume rather than nutritional quality. Hay is delivered as 20 kg bales which may be poorly packed leading to increased leaf loss and water damage. Improved baling and possibly wrapping could improve the storage life of the product. The quality of fodder in the reserves would appear to be higher and more stable because it is now being purchased through local manufactures. Cash Reserves: At the national level a State Reserve Fund is maintained from which cash can be distributed directly to aimags. In addition, each Aimag government also has a Relief Fund of about $30,000 US42. Aimags can make request to NEMA for cash, but only NEMA can take the request to the SEC/National Reserve Fund. It is reported that a decision on a cash request can be taken within 24 hours due to a regulation signed between NEMA, MOFALI and the Ministry of Finance (MOF) to ensure timeliness. Facilities and Inventories Because the national reserves are considered strategic, information about the exact capacity of stores and the location of inventory is confidential. State reserves are stored in 70 facilities in 18 aimags. 10 of these sites were established since the 2010 dzud in areas that had particularly difficult access. All have 42 The value quoted in interviews ranged from $30,000 USD to 80 Million MNT. Various local representatives commented on funds existing on paper and even having bank accounts, but never having actual funds. different storage capacity and most were originally built during the socialist period for the SEFF. Some sites have been re-purposed from other uses, such as a grain storage facility at Kharkhorin. Availability and quality of storage houses are an issue. There has been little or no maintenance done since the original construction in the 1970s and 1980s which contributes directly to quality management issues. In addition, the older designs are not suitable to modern trucks and equipment leading to unnecessary hand work and damage to product during loading and unloading. Aimag representatives reported that they are working with local authorities and the private sector to improve stores. There are three national reserves branches in Ovorkhangai including Kharkhorin, Sant and, recently, Narantel. All three facilities were built during the Socialist period (Sant 1972, Narantel 1971). Specific facilities and equipment needs in Sant which may be applicable in all locations include: - A baler for preparing hay that is delivered loose by trailer and/or to re-bale broken bales. - Roof maintenance to replace broken or missing tiles and shingles with corrugated metal. - Fire sensing and prevention system including water tanks and fire extinguishers. At Sant, the facilities were built with an underground reservoir which is in disrepair and has been replaced with a 5 mt water tank will do little to fight a fire. - Loading and unloading units modernized for current vehicles. Hay is being carried to trucks by hand and bales are broken as they are dropped into the truck. Conveyer belts would fix this problem. Capacity of the stores varies. Sources quoted larger facilities capable of storing 500-600 mt of hay and 200-300 mt of fodder. Smaller facilities may hold 50-60 mt of hay and 10-20 mt fodder. Sant reported selling 600-700 mt of hay and 400 mt of fodder. Assuming the larger capacity for at aimag facilities and the smaller for soum facilities, an indicative value has been calculated for total national reserve capacity (Table 4.8). Table 4.8: Indicative Estimate of State Reserve Capacity Organizational Level Capacity Range Unit Capacity Total Locations Estimated Total (MT) (MT) Capacity (MT) Hay 500-600 550 70 38,500 Fodder 300-400 350 70 24,500 Total Hay and Fodder 63,000 Inventory reporting from the aimag to national NEMA office is done regularly on a permanent basis. Reports are done monthly, quarterly, semi-annually and annually. As reserves are sold, the money is registered with national NEMA monthly. The local NEMA representative indicated that each facility maintains its own account and balance from which purchase costs are taken. Procurement The procurement of national strategic reserves is guided by the “Law on Procurement of Goods and Servicesâ€?. The decision to produce fodder is announced in May with tenders announced from May to July. Tenders for hay are released from July to August. Tenders are for delivery to the door of storage. Delivery is completed by mid-November. The process begins with a set budget which fluctuates from year to year. Initial estimates are usually set lower than the actual requirements for the year. Final requirements are known by the end of July. It was stated that there is not much delay or issue with the financing tenders. NEMA policy and practice appears to be to purchase centrally and transport to reserve locations. In the case of Ovorkhangai, there are no local firms participating in NEMA tenders and no portion of the reserves is produced locally. Ovorkhangai reserves are usually purchased out of a soum in Bulgan and are inspected by the local reserve manager and the State Specialized Inspection Agency (SSIA) before the tender is concluded. Aimag and soum reserves attempt to buy locally but since this is difficult in some areas, it is necessary to organize delivery Release of Reserves Regular Inventory Turnover: NEMA sells 20% of its reserves each quarter in winter and spring to maintain a fresh reserve each year. The stock is then replenished in the autumn. This means that NEMA is constantly in the market in direct competition to private sector producers and dealers. This inventory is sold under the same pricing restrictions as for emergency sales even under normal market conditions. NEMA at the national level also controls this regular release of reserves, indicating the quantity, price and window of time in which it is to be sold. The local reserve manager then has some control of the actual timing of sale based on the presence of buyers. However, if a buyer does appear, the manager still has to contact the national NEMA office to get permission for the sale. If the 20% is not sold in a given quarter, the allotment is rolled into the next quarter. These regular sales can not be issued in bulk. This prevents dealers from purchasing commercial quantifies of inventory. In 2011, these regular sales in Ovorkhangai began on February 1 but there have been few sales because of the large quantities of private, soum and aimag reserves. Emergency sales: Emergency sales begin once the national government has declared a dzud and issued a decree for the release of the reserves. If reserves become depleted, additional procurement may be initiated. Moving any additional supplies into position once dzud has occurred is difficult and expensive as roads are blocked and transportation costs rise with increased fuel usage. In 2010, this additional procurement of fodder was distributed using the regular distribution channels of the large specialized fodder producers and distributors (i.e. Altan Taria). Stakeholders report that there seems to be little pattern or logic in the release of stocks from the reserves. In 2010/2011, the release of stocks began “as soon as the snow started fallingâ€? even though the monitoring information through MOFALI indicated no problems at the soum-level reported into the MOFALI system. Pricing and Finance Reserve pricing for both procurement and sale are set by Cabinet decision and is removed from market influences. In 2011, the hay price was set at 2,000 Tug/20 kg bale delivered to the door of storage. Transportation costs of moving hay from the central producing areas to consuming areas is high and transportation budget is always an issue. NEMA has no addition budget for transportation. If it is necessary to move hay or fodder to a second location they have to make a special request from government for transportation budget. Reserves can not be sold for anything greater than the procurement price. Costs of storage are not added to price and additional transportation costs can not be added in the case that hay needs to be moved. At best, reserves are therefore selling below true costs and below market prices in any normal situation. In reality, they are often sold at a 50% discount or given away. Improving Inventory Management and Promoting Markets by Choosing Quality The government’s recommended storage life for the poor quality hay in the reserves is 14 months and they turn-over the inventory through a program of quarterly sales. By comparison, good quality hay that is properly baled and stored in similar climate conditions in North America can keep for 3 – 8 years with only loss of Vitamin D43. The current NEMA practice unnecessarily interferes with the private fodder market because NEMA is actively selling inventory below market price every quarter. This annual purchase and turnover of poor quality hay increases the overall long-term cost of the program. Finally, it discourages the growth of high quality feed because it is rewarding poor quality. Table 4.9 provides an example of how poor quality feed is more costly than good quality feed over time. NEMA currently pays 2,000 Tug/bale for poor quality hay that is replaced annually. Better quality forage costs more per bale, but this cost is offset by the opportunity for long-term storage. Using typical forage prices from the western USA, price ratios for poor quality, better quality, good quality and best quality forage were calculated. These ratios were then used against the current base price (2000 MNT/20 kg bale) paid for poor quality natural hay by NEMA to establish what market prices for better forages might be in Mongolia. By paying up to 2.4 time more for first crop alfalfa which would be stored for three years, the total annual procurement cost to maintain a set level of inventory (in this example, 100 bales) could be cut by 21%. If storage life were extended, annual procurement costs would drop further. 43 Personal conversation with Dennis Sheehy Table 4.9: Comparative Long Term Costs of Poor Quality and High Quality Forages Poor Quality Better Quality Good Quality Best Quality Criteria (natural hay - mature) (meadow hay) (1st crop alfalfa) (Dairy 2nd crop alfalfa) Western US Price ($/ton) 40 75 95 200 Price ratios to natural hay 1.0 1.9 2.4 5.0 Estimated Cost MNT/bale 2,000 3,750 4,750 10,000 Inventory (bales) 100 100 100 100 Storage life (years) 1 2.00 3.00 4.00 Annual turnover (%) 100% 50% 33% 25% Annual purchases 100 50 33 25 Total annual cost 200,000 187,500 158,333 250,000 Table 4.10: NEMA Role and Capacity Issues Mandate/Role: Coordination of all types of emergency response. In case of dzud, procurement, storage and release of national emergency hay and fodder reserves as well as the distribution of veterinary supplies and milk powder. Specific Areas of Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Involvement Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) Emergency response NEMA is a new organization Training and professional Increase the number of staff Focussed international aid to build with weak capacity. NEMA development for NEMA responsible for dzud capacity within NEMA and other needs enormous investment in staff members that would preparation and response. organizations. the MT to LT to reach include classroom training international standards as well as international Continued strengthening of the cluster placements or exchanges approach. that would provide experience and nurture professional networks. NEMA ad hoc responses and Development or strengthening of the gaps and overlaps in responses dzud response guidelines with clearly between agencies defined roles, responsibilities and operating terms. Drought cycle management Training of individuals on Capacity building for Development of a preparation and needs to be strengthened. the use of LEWS and other transfer of the LEWS system response program that works from early warning information. to NEMAM and related specific, science-based trigger points. inter-agency information sharing mechanisms. Top-down approach with too Reform the system to give full many bureaucratic levels responsibility and authority to soums creates frequent delays. and aimags for preparation and response based on the integrated EWS/drought cycle management and the decentralization of budgets. Insufficient staff to deal with Training Hiring of staff. Provision of Build inter-agency teams dzud issues more technology Still lack equipment for Need snow plows and rafts emergency response at the for rescue work. Better aimag level. communications tools at the aimag. Management of State reserve has too little Improve herder awareness Institute incentives to Over time, remove hay from the reserves fodder to be effective. of their responsibility for promote preparation and NEMA reserves. Make hay a local preparation by training and protection and disincentives responsibility beginning at the soum information programs to damaging practices and up to regional fodder markets. Mandate/Role: Coordination of all types of emergency response. In case of dzud, procurement, storage and release of national emergency hay and fodder reserves as well as the distribution of veterinary supplies and milk powder. Specific Areas of Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Involvement Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) Poor quality feeds delivery Establish quality For all reserves, develop a policy of little nutritional value to specifications for hay and holding high quality feeds packaged distressed livestock. fodder based on nutritive and stored properly for long storage characteristics. Establish life of three to five years. The need to turnover the specifications for packaging inventory of poor quality feed and storage. Pay premium prices for quality to and fodder annually limits the stimulate private sector production. ability for medium and long- range planning and increases Do not release stocks except in inventory costs overall emergency situations. Use medium- term inventory planning to maintain a NEMA regular inventory sales steady inventory level and decrease undercut the private market. annual purchases as required. Facilities maintenance and Budget and program for Establish better coordination between modernization of handling facilities repair and NEMA reserves and local soums so equipment and fire prevention. maintenance. Procurement that they might share storage facilities program for new equipment. and costs. Release of national reserves is Clarify and adhere to release criteria. inconsistent with assistance requests received by MOFALI. Monitoring and EWS is not getting adequate Incorporate text message early warning and timely information to the emergency warnings. grassroots Multiple databases which Capacity building support MOUs and/or contracts between should be consolidated or agencies to allow access and bridged collaboration. Remove secrecy restrictions for hay and fodder reserves Information to support Expand the number of community-based preparation communications providers and response is not involved in the network, or consistently reaching the how they are involved. grassroots and/or is not fully Complete the utilized in planning. communications strategy Mandate/Role: Coordination of all types of emergency response. In case of dzud, procurement, storage and release of national emergency hay and fodder reserves as well as the distribution of veterinary supplies and milk powder. Specific Areas of Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Involvement Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) Planning and Planning needs reinforcement Provide opportunities for Need to share experience Coordination professional exchange with with other countries. other countries as the Armed Forces has. Improve English skills to help coordination with international donors. As an agency has no authority Issuance of a decree or similar over ministries document to give NEMA authority 4.3.2 SEC The SEC is a permanent committee responsible to issue policy decisions and finance in the case of all types of emergency. The SEC operates under the Law of Disaster Prevention and has a code of operation approved by Government. It consists of the main ministries and agencies involved in emergency response headed by the Deputy Prime Minister. Aimag governments are second level members of the SEC. IT technology and mobile phone service providers are also members. The member organizations have been organized into emergency response clusters under UNDP Environmental Disaster Management program. The Local Emergency Committees (LECs) have a parallel structure to the national committee. The Aimag governor heads the LEC. The local NEMA Chairman acts as the Deputy Head of the LEC. Dzud management: The SEC is the main body in dzud response and approves State Resolutions which indicate the draw downs. In terms of dzud response, the organizational relationships are primarily between SEC, NEMA and MOFALI (Figure 4.2). Within this organizational structure, MOFALI, as a Ministry, has more power than NEMA. NEMA manages logistics but can not make decisions. These are made by SEC. Figure 4.2: SEC Organizational Structure Regarding Feed Supplies for Dzud Management Cabinet SEC SEC Secretary NEMA MOFALI State Local Emergency Committees Reserves In terms of dzud, SEC sees its proper role as responding to extreme dzud conditions where two or more aimags are involved. They do not feel that is their true role to be involved in local planning or to be responding to every case of localized dzud conditions. It is their opinion that the large role that SEC and NEMA have been assigned in dzud preparation and response has created unrealistic expectations at the local level. To this effect, a decree has been issued by the Deputy Prime Minister that local problems should be solved locally. The SEC targets the national, aimag and soum reserves holding enough feed for 40 to 50 million livestock for three days. The first evaluation of conditions is made in July and assignments are made to aimag governments for fodder preparation. The SEC feels that, while the inventory and reporting of national level reserves is accurate, this is not the case for aimag level reporting. Aimag leadership is believed, at time, to divert fodder preparation funds into other uses and that their reporting to SEC is not accurate. This has lead to improper overall preparedness and inability to respond properly in the case of emergency. After the dzud of 2009/2010, SEC and NEMA conducted a join national evaluation with regional committees. The conclusion of that evaluation was that reserves were not manageable at the local level with NEMA assistance. Decision making: It was acknowledged that decision making can be inappropriately slow. From SEC’s perspective, this is because of wrong understanding or flaunting of proper procedures at the soum level. The proper order of communication is for the soum to contact the aimag and the aimag to then contact SEC. In many cases, the soums are contacting SEC directly. This creates a diversion of information from the proper decision making process and information systems, creating delays. Funding for reserve preparation: Aimags are reported to have fodder reserve funds of up to 80 million MNT each depending on the assessed needs of the aimag. This is felt to be diverted into other uses from time to time. Furthermore, all money collected from the sale of fodder is collected by the MOF. It was felt that budgets must be decentralized so that aimags have better authority and control over their local programs. It was strongly recommended that budgets be decentralized to the soum level so local leaders could have the authority and adequate budget to fulfil their responsibilities. Soum Governors are now only responsible to pass on information. Because they lack enough official power, they turn to their personal network to respond which may be inadequate, ineffective and biased. Pricing of feed sales: SEC is not allowed to increase the price of feed over the original procurement cost. That rationale is that market prices at the time of emergency would be a burden on herders needing to purchase hay. It was also felt that market prices were unstable and open to distortion in emergency situations. Feed type, quality and storage: Feed storage facilities need to be improved to protect quality. No need to change the type or quality specifications was noted and it was felt that both hay and fodder needed to be provided in tandem. Access to information: The total volume is not considered secret but the location is. SEC does not consider the secrecy around reserves to be an issue for local planning. Information Systems: Regulation on information flow is laid out in the Law on Disaster Prevention and is coordinated by an Information Communication Technology Committee. The information service became a member of SEC in 2011 and this is reported to be improving communication and cooperation as compared to previous years. Climate change: SEC does not believe that climate change is affecting the frequency of dzud . They operate on the belief that dzud is a 10 year occurrence. They do believe that the severity of dzud is increasing and this is weakening both animals and people. To that end, animal shelters need to be improved. New designs should be piloted and a scientific assessment carried out on the impact of wind and cold. Best designs should be promoted. Table 4.11: SEC Role and Capacity Issues Role/Mandate: Coordination of planning and response for regional and national scale emergencies. Specific Areas of Issues and Opportunities Capacity Building / Policy Options Involvement Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) Policy and financial The ability to withstand dzud Train local authorities in Provide clear definition and roles Decentralize responsibility, decision making in conditions stems from the appropriate skills to and responsibilities between authority and finances to the the case of regular management decisions of undertake local management. institutions. soum and aimag levels. emergency. herders. Only in extreme conditions should become an Strengthen institutions so carry out Confine activities to its proper emergency. Putting an roles. role of regional and national emergency organization in emergency response. control of what should be industry’s management decisions Emphasize prevention by sends the wrong messages livestock owners and soum throughout the system. governments. Need for better coordination Sign MOUs to support between government and donors collaboration. and between donors Modify the Disaster Law Decision making Chain of approvals and Streamline the system so that command – decisions have to be most decision can be taken made by Cabinet locally by soum and aimag. Uncertainty about if and when Define clear and transparent actions will be taken and if/when trigger points which are acted assistance will be provided upon consistently There should be integration of Review local and international experiences from previous experience and conduct dzuds cost/benefit analysis to determine best policy for Mongolia. In a system of privately owned livestock, the responsibility for feeds and feeding ultimately rests with the herder. However a number of individual, institutional, climatic/agronomic and policy constraints impede their ability, at the current time, to do so. In a recent report for the WB, Maria Fernandez-Gimenez identified a number of constraints to adaptation that face herders and should be taken into consideration in any policy or capacity building program: ï‚· “Variation in the inherent productivity and diversity of resources within a soum territory, which limit options for adaptation ï‚· Herders’ lack of knowledge about and experience with dzud preparation and coping strategies (proper feeding and grazing strategies during dzud) ï‚· Inadequate communication and information exchange within and between all levels of social organization (individual, khot ail, herder group), government and other organizations ï‚· Limited mutual support and assistance among herders ï‚· Herders’ limited experience with cooperation and collective action beyond the khot ail scale (in non-project soum), and lack of support for scaling out community-based collective action in project soum ï‚· Insufficient access to technical and financial resources to identify and implement effective strategies ï‚· Institutional barriers to managing mobility and reserve and otor pastures (lack of clear laws or regulations, monitoring and enforcement mechanisms) ï‚· Ineffective and overburdened local government ï‚· Lack of coordination among donors and between local government and donors ï‚· Over reliance on relief aid and donor organizations by local government and some herders.â€?44 Many international projects have conducted large-scale, long-term pilot projects using herder groups in one form or another to overcome these constraints, especially related to pasture management and investment in productive assets. These groups have mainly been informal or structured as NGOs. A few have formed as cooperatives. Support to herder groups has become a part of government policy and is clearly supported in the NMLP. However, after several years of demonstration, herder groups have not been replicated to any significant amount without the support of international projects. In the case of Sant soum, less than 10% of the herders are participating in herders groups and all of these groups have been organized through international projects. 44 COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY & THE CENTER FOR NOMADIC PASTORALISM STUDIES, “Understanding Resilience in Mongolian Pastoral Social-ecological Systems - Adapting to Disaster Before, During and After the 2010 Dzud—Year 1 Reportâ€? Maria Fernandez-Gimenez, Batbuyan Batjav & Batkhishig Baival, with assistance from Ms. Khishigdorj and Mr. Tsogoo, Study for the World Bank SLP, 1/31/2011 (Executive Summary One interpretation of this issues is that the groups have not formed naturally, but rather have come together only to gain access to donor investments. Another factor is that it takes a significant number of years (five to seven) and awareness building, training and technical support for these groups to coalesce. Furthermore, the programs to broadcast the successes of these groups to the general community have not been widely in place at the grassroots. There is interest in group formation but people are not fully aware of the pros and cons of various legal formations or of the procedures to follow. The dzud of 2010 was so severe that even herder groups using improved pasture management approaches suffered devastating losses. The Bayansankh group in Sant soum had 3400 animals but only one hectare of fenced land with rehabilitated perennial crops before the dzud. The herder group in Sant has engaged in early offtake to reduce livestock numbers, especially before the dzud in 2009. That summer was very dry and their animals did not put on enough weight to over-winter. Likewise, their productivity decreased and products were minimal. They made the decision to sell in advance of winter. Despite their preparations and early sales, after the dzud, they had only 1100 animals remaining. They are now relying on their alternative income sources (sour cream, felt and felt boots) to provide basic incomes. They have tried growing potatoes to replace income and improve food security, but growing conditions in the gobi area are difficult. They realize they need additional income activities and now have the excess labour needed to pursue them. They have learned that joint activities like financing and pasture management are very effective, but they lack the technical know-how and financing to apply these group approaches to new income activities, such as green housing, which they would like to initiate. They learned from the dzud are that one hectare of land is not enough to provide adequate supplementary feed for the number of animals. They estimate that they would need 10 ha of fenced field, in one or more plots, from which they could produce 50-60 mt in total. Establishing set-aside areas for hay or winter pasture requires fencing, seed, access to a tractor and implements, either rented or owned, and, in many cases, irrigation. Transportation costs of materials can be significant, so the costs of establishing fenced set-aside can vary. Based on barbed wire, fencing costs can range from $800/ha45 to 4.8 million MNT46. Herders also need to own or have access to the tractors and equipment needed to make hay. In 2010, only 2,645 or 1.7% of the 160,000 herder households had a tractor. Policies and programs for fodder production need to allocate sufficient resources to support an area of land that will contribute in a meaningful way to feed supplies. At the current time, financing is difficult because of collateral requirements and interest rates. Until groups acquire their own assets, they have to use the members’ assets to secure loans. Commercial banks put very little value on typical rural assets, with a soum-centre khasha valued at only 1 million MNT47. Herders need access to hay and grazing areas. Policy needs to be coordinated so that it allows people to go to other soums to cut hay and/or for otor. Otor requires that there be sufficient forage available in the reserve area and an agreement between the soums. Negotiating an agreement between soums and 45 Estimate from UNDP project records 46 Estimate from local herder 47 Discussion with Rashaant soum Governor between herders is very difficult. In the end, the Sant group focussed on doing better management within the group’s grazing area. The early warning system provides useful information for herders for current weather forecasts. Other data, such as longer-term forecasts and the comparison to long-term trends is not as useful/good. It was felt that the regional information is useful for deciding otor locations. Many comments were made about the mentality of herders. It is felt that the paternalistic government approach of providing for herders means there has been no responsibility for herders to prepare and no punishment for those that damage grasslands. This has created an attitude of dependence which makes them less willing to prepare for themselves and increases dzud losses. The second aspect is the tendency to increase numbers not just for economic reasons, but for the status of owning a large herd. This is reinforced by the government program to reward herders who own a 1,000 head of livestock. In economic terms, herders respond to the policy and market signals around them. If there is no price differentiation for better quality products and no additional costs to holding large numbers of animals, then it is rational to produce volume instead of quality. Likewise, if government reserves are provided free or at below market prices while producing fodder would require the investment of time and money, then the rational choice is to allow the government to cover the costs. Herders need training and capacity building to be able to fully take on feed production and many other functions that should be their responsibility. In 2010, 43.5% of herders were between 16 and 35 years of age. Another 43.5% were between 36 and retirement age (55 for women and 60 for men). Only 13 % were over retirement age. These herders will be active in the sector for many years and warrant the investment in their skills and knowledge. Table 5.1: Herders and Herder Groups Roles and Capacity Issues Issues and Capacity Building / Policy Options Opportunities Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) Individual Herders Responsible for the management, preparation and/or procurement of feed resources (pasture, otor, supplementary feed) to meet the needs of privately owned livestock Herders’ awareness of Training and technical support through Continued strengthening of the extension Land ownership for herder family need climate change/dzud VABD units on livestock nutrition, feeds system with TOTs in fodder production and user or possession right to a spot of frequency. Herders’ lack and feeding and winter shelter and the development and distribution of land at the winter or spring camp of knowledge about and construction (both science-based and training and reference materials – digital experience with dzud traditional models). versions preparation and coping strategies Variation in the inherent Provide training to herders on the - Develop institutional capacity for - Support regional cooperation in otor productivity and diversity usefulness of local plants for feed and regional resource management and hay making of resources within a soum fodder. (establish joint working group in - Designate areas for otor and supply MOFALI between otor, pasture with water wells, shelter and some Increase training on resource management and forage; designate facilities for storage. Institutional barriers to managing mobility and management regional zones, develop working - Pilot project – link a gobi and a reserve and otor pastures groups, provide training and systems) khangai soum so that otor/hay Awareness and technical/financial - Designate and work with aimag exchange can be piloted in addition to capacity to move government to strengthen contracting other concepts. methods including both cash and barter payments (i.e. salt, minerals). - Improved contracting and monitoring to avoid hoof dzud - Rehabilitate suitable abandoned land based on technical and economic viability to increase otor reserves and fodder production areas. Inadequate Make information available at soum Facilitate and invest in new channels for communication and Issues and Capacity Building / Policy Options Opportunities Individual Institutional Enabling Environment (Policy) information exchange (re VABD. Upgrade equipment and provide distributing information. Negotiate EWS and planning) training as required. partnerships and agreements as necessary. Limited mutual support Increase the extension programs at the and assistance among soum level to provide support on group herders. Herders’ limited experience with formation and the management of cooperation and collective cooperatives. action and lack of support for scaling out community-based collective action in project soum Insufficient access to Provide financing for hay and fodder Provide information and support to the Pastureland fees charged per sheep unit technical and financial resources to identify and production (equipment, fencing, seed, aimag and soum agricultural departments and put into a local revolving fund for implement effective irrigation etc) to support decision making. pasture land improvement and risk strategies management Herder Groups Initiation and management of group initiatives related to resource management, feed production, otor, input procurement, investment and marketing related to livestock production and alternative incomes. Organizational structure Provide more information and training on New type of group established based on various organizational structures and their resource management. implications. Access to financing Expand and extend the financing for groups. Cooperatives have been promoted in Mongolia since shortly after transition. The Cooperative Law was approved by the Parliament in 1998 and amended in 2002, 2004 and 2005. The GOM foresees strengthening of cooperatives as a way for rural poverty reduction and is currently implementing the “Nationwide Cooperative Development Program IIâ€? for 2009-2017. The GOM supports cooperatives through its “SME Development Fundâ€?, if the cooperative is creditworthy. At present, many rural producers (herders and crop households, mainly poor and disadvantaged groups) have joined in agricultural cooperatives in order to develop their enterprises. A total of 100,000 households (with 300,000 family members) are joined in 360 primary cooperatives in 270 soums. Presently, these primary cooperatives established 7 secondary cooperatives and formed 19 regional agricultural cooperative associations and the National Association of Mongolian Agricultural Cooperatives (NAMAC). However, primary and secondary cooperatives, as well as aimag cooperative associations, are still weak organizationally, technically and financially. Cooperatives tend to be small and focussed on single aspects of business. Indeed, aimags and national cooperative associations can not provide enough support to cooperatives due to lack of good business relations and financial schemes. This turns into an insufficient level of skills for cooperatives’ managers at many levels including as summarized by the following identified problems: - Low managerial capacity of agricultural cooperatives and associations nationwide; - Poor partnership and marketing networks among cooperative institutions and their members; - Limited PPPs between agricultural cooperatives and the local authorities; and, - Weak marketing strategies and a lack of business links with processors and suppliers. A few have developed into larger cooperatives providing multiple services to their members. This scale of cooperative is being targeted by the MOFALI under the NMLP to act as model raw materials coops to accumulate bulk commodities to sell cashmere directly to processors after carrying out basic de-dirting and sorting. Auditing and selection of cooperatives is being carried out in 2011/2012. An example of a cooperative applying for this status is the cooperative in Sant soum. The cooperative was a negdel privatized in 1992 as a stockholder company with few assets more than the existing Russian jeeps and other equipment. The company was restructured in 1999 as a cooperative and now has more than 1,000 members from more than 600 households. Members represent 60-70% of the soum population. The core business of the cooperative is bulk purchase of goods for members and raw materials wholesaling. They also provide savings and loans services for members. They previously had livestock but lost it in the dzud. Using a Japanese grant, they are establishing a brick making enterprise with a capacity of 5,000 bricks a day (1 million per year). The cooperative employs 10 fulltime salaried staff and 20 part-time staff whose salary is paid on performance for brick making and raw materials trade. The cooperative has 150 million MNT in fixed and current assets, 70% in current assets and 50-60 million MNT in inventory. The annual net profit is 40 million MNT and dividends are distributed every two years. This type of cooperative could promote hay and fodder preparation by members especially at winter camps by supplying bulk pricing for seed, fencing and other inputs. They would also be able to organize training activities for members. Additional services could be in the procurement and transportation of feeds and fodder. Finally, they could possible be useful in organizing destocking efforts by ensuring better access to processors of both meat and livestock products. 5.3.1 Hay cutters: Livestock feed and fodder production is increasing in response to growing demand from the intensive livestock industry and from the post-dzud awareness of the need for supplementary feeds for the extensive livestock sector. After the dzud of 2009/2010, the number of hay cutting operations increased from 48 to 96 nationally48. Both individuals and commercial companies are in the business cutting natural hay. Hay production is very dependent on nature and weather. Hay (coarse fodder) produced in soum and aimag is of poor quality. It is cut for maximum volume after the prime nutrition level is past and the nutritional content varies from year to year. It is nearly impossible to check every case, so the quality into industry and into the reserve system is very hard to control. Transport costs are high and with its low nutritional level, it is not effective for the animals other than to keep them alive. It is perceived that the commercial enterprises have better equipment and hay. One business in Rashaant cuts 400 ha and produces and average of 1,000 mt hay from a soum in northern Bulgan. For that size of operation, he requires six or seven tractors with implements including one baler, two cutters, one rake and one tractor for loading. 12 workers are required. Land is rented for a 1,000MNT/ha usage fee. NEMA is the main buyer, taking 80% for this business. The remainder is sold locally to herders and the soum reserve. NEMA purchases at 2,000 MNT/bale using a tender. Usually a larger operator wins the tender and then subcontracts several smaller producers. In the soum in Bulgan where he cuts hay, there are 12 small hay businesses, often swapping their NEMA contracts based on the actual availability of harvest. Herders buy from August to December in preparation for winter. Some, mostly dairy farmers, make advanced bookings. During a dzud, hay sellers are active moving hay into affected soums. They will barter hay for sheep at a rate of 10 bales of hay for one sheep. Fodder dealers at aimag have links to Ulaanbaatar for purchasing wholesale feeds. 48 Interview with MOFALI In general, it was felt the business is profitable, providing a 30% margin. However, it is variable depending on the natural yield. This operator felt that only one of out three years is good. In cases when they could not sell the product they still had to make expenditures to get cut grass off the field. Altan Taria is growing alfalfa on more than 800 ha. They planted in 2010 to have high quality forage for the dairy industry and not the national reserves. From 2011 they will start to include alfalfa in hay content. There are many other locations in Mongolia with alfalfa but most are less than 50 ha. Some areas are being lost to competition from mining. Once a mine has been active, the land is destroyed for future hay production. Rehabilitation of land was thought to be expensive as the costs for fencing and seed and would be the same as for crops production that would produce higher earnings. The Mongolian Forage Seed Producers Association (MFSPA) was established in 2004 with support from SDC’s Green Gold project. The aim is to create reserves of perennial and annual seed to provide to herders and companies to increase forage production. It is also intended that the reserve be used to rehabilitate degraded pastures and abandoned cropland. Between 2005 and 2008, the MFSPA prepared 218.5 mt of forage seed. These were distributed to 348 groups that, in turn, produced 646.7 mt of green forage, 197.1 mt of hay and 1872 mt of silage49. The MFSPA has been involved in field trials and evaluations of annuals and perennials. They have also been involved in the rehabilitation of degraded pastures and abandoned cropland. They have 107 ha of land at Bornuur where seeds are being multiplied. This will be expanded at the request of MOFALI. Results of these initial pilots could provide value able lessons and models for expansion of high quality forage production and pasture/land rehabilitation activities. The MFSPA could also be a valuable source of information and training support. 5.3.2 Feed Mills and Manufactured Fodder Production There are 38 feed mills in Mongolia with an average capacity of 9.9 mt/day. In 2007, Altan Taria opened the country’s main commercial feed mill in Ulaanbaatar, where they produce chicken feed, swine feeds and beef/dairy supplements. They produce more than 10 types of products: dairy rations (3), pigs (3), poultry (2), and compressed pellets for multigastrics. They have 100 private clients. The plant is equipped with Bueller from Switzerland and has a capacity of 15/mt per hour or 300-330 MT/day on a 24 hour shift. During 2009 dzud, they provided almost 100% of the main fodder. They have supplied manufactured fodder to NEMA after winning a tender. Altan Taria considers their best product to be the pellet. Grain is passed through hot steam to sterilize it and cooled before adding other ingredients. The product is hygienic and ensures there are no causative elements in the fodder. The full content pellet has protein, fat and other standard ingredients. Pellets are granulated and compressed and require less space and transport costs. Just a few kilograms can save livestock. Herders have not got much space for storage but do have small containers and could store up to 1 mt of pellets. If they keep 1 mt of pellets, they would have the nutritional equivalent of 10 mt hay. The stated shelf life 1.5 years but actual shelf life may be up to three years. Pellets are available in 49 SDCâ€? Livelihoods Study of Herders in Mongoliaâ€? Ulaanbaatar 2010 40kg sacks and need to be stored in a cool dry place or in bulk in an elevator. It is advised not to store in a metal container. The main raw materials are wheat, barley and canola of which 70-80% is procured locally. This is increasing each year. Altan Taria can now get 100% of ingredients locally. To do so, they contract farms all year long for supply, which is encouraging crop rotations. They have contracts with 400 farms in total. Pellets cost 250-270/kg including VAT. Pig rations are 400/kg, dairy 270/kg and layers 680/kg. If similar fodder were brought from Russia, the cost is said to be up to 50% higher. The Research Institute for Animal Husbandry (RIAH), with support from WB Sustainable Livelihoods Project (SLP), has developed 20 types of fodders using small scale equipment suitable for soum-level production. Under-utilized local feedstuffs have been incorporated to develop nutritious feeds that can be produced at the soum. Informational flyers on these fodders and equipment have been produced and distributed throughout the country. The re-emergence of large and small-scale manufactured fodder provides new opportunities to include high quality, long-life feedstuffs in the livestock feed strategy. These products are dense and much more cost effective to transport and store. These can be sourced through commercial mills or through local soum-based fodder SMEs. They should be given a greater share of reserve strategy requirements to support quality, storage life and cost-effectiveness. 5.3.3 Feed and Fodder Dealers and Markets Fodder dealers tend to be small enterprises owned by individuals. Some have formed cooperatives. One fodder dealer was visited in Ulaanbaatar who operates a small cooperative with four members. They sell bran, oats, barley, wheat and crushed grains out of two 10-mt container on the west side of the city near the Altan Taria mill. They have contracts with up to 10 regular buyers. Half are dairy farmers and half are people with traditional herds. They buy wholesale from Altan Taria and sell retail to producers. Margins are very narrow. They are selling herders a 25 kg bag of bran for 4,200 MNT which they have purchased for 3,920 MNT. Getting the costs down for manufactures would allow savings across the industry to herders. The market is growing and aimag dealers come regularly with the biggest sales between December and February. There are regular shortages that limit what they could be selling. The cooperative has never taken loans but the operator felt it would be very helpful. Not much else is required for the business. These dealers should play a key role in the distribution of feeds from producers to end-markets. It is important that feed and fodder programs do not under cut this important market segment in the early stages of its growth. With the transition to democracy, the input supply and finance system of the centrally planned economy disappeared, leaving agricultural producers with virtually no sources of inputs, finance or technical services. This was a significant contributing factor to the decline in agriculture production in Mongolia in the 1990s and the beginning of the 2000s. For several years, the government attempted to supply or support inputs and finance but this was met with many implementation challenges and ultimately undercut the development of the private input supply sector. This sector is also recovering in response to demand from the improving crop sector. MOFALI reports there were 43 farm input supply companies in providing herbicides, pesticides and small inputs in 2009. Farm equipment suppliers (large equipment and irrigation) are growing and MOFALI reports 58 across the country of which 35 are in the central region and 5 are in Ulaanbaatar. Input suppliers will play an important role in the distribution of equipment, fencing, seed and other inputs needed for forage and fodder production. Table 5.2: Farm Equipment Suppliers Region Total Products Mongolia 58 wheat, potato, vegetable and fodder Central 35 wheat, potato, vegetable and fodder Khangai 2 wheat, potato, vegetable and fodder East 5 wheat, potato, vegetable and fodder West 11 wheat, potato, vegetable and fodder UB 5 wheat, potato, vegetable and fodder Source: MOFALI statistics Donors, researchers and NGOs have been involved in the extensive livestock sector for nearly 20 years supporting poverty alleviation and introducing innovative methods of resource management, production, finance and marketing suitable to a market economy. Many of these models are becoming well established in communities and some are becoming institutionalized in the policy framework and institutional programs. Donors and international NGOs have also played a major role in all phases of emergency management. Community preparation and local feed production capabilities have been supported through multiple projects. Major donor campaigns have been employed during ongoing disasters to provide humanitarian aid and preserve livestock. Restocking schemes have been implemented and alternative income generation promoted. Capacity building has been provided for emergency response and early warning systems. Coordination and information sharing has been an ongoing issue related to these projects and programs. Literally hundreds of projects have been completed since the early 1990s with many having overlapping objectives and activities. It may be difficult to find a single soum in Mongolia that has not been the recipient of a project. Coordinating the implementation of projects and synthesizing the results of successful projects to support national policy development has been difficult. This may result from the combination of a) limited ability within a single agency to manage the large number of projects ongoing at any given time and coordinate activities and results into a useable system of management information, b) the desire to maximize donor dollars in the face of limited operating budgets, c) weaknesses in inter- agency communication and collaboration to share project information and d) the tendency of donors to pursue their own thematic and political agendas without adequate motivation, authority or institutional mechanisms for collaboration. Much good work has been done by dedicated programs and individuals and there are now several well developed approaches and tools in place to support improved dzud preparation and emergency management. These are presented in Table 6.1. Table 6.1: Relevant Research Programs/Pilot projects # Program Description 1 SLP Supported herder group formation, pasture co-management, livestock insurance, LEWS, community initiative and risk management funds, small scale fodder production and other initiatives. Phase III will be designed in 2011 and implemented from 2012. 2 SLP/Mercy Corps With support of the SLP, introduced the LEWS program to Mongolia. In LEWS 2011, the program will go national wide and national training will be conducted. The project ends in 2011 and the LEWS program will be institutionalized at NAMHEM. # Program Description 3 UNDP Environmental Provided capacity building for NEMA since its creation. Works with Disaster Management local NEMAs and communities on disaster preparation and response which lead to lower losses than other locations in the last dzud. Supported the creation of emergency response clusters and contingency plans to improve the coordination of response. Phase IV will be designed in 2011 and should be operational by 2012. Focus will be on NEMA capacity building and community preparedness. 4 UNDP Fighting Models for group formation and pasture improvement and management. Desertification Project Pilot projects on fencing and forage establishment can provide technical and management models for forage development. 5 Swiss Development Numerous projects on sustainable resource management and livelihoods. Corporation (SDC) Green Gold program has supported pasture users groups (PUGS) and the development of the Pasture Rangeland Management Association. The Association has branches across the country and is poised to be a sustainable national producers group. The Animal Health Project is working on epidemic disease control. The Potato Project uses a community seed fund model that could be applicable for distributing and multiplying forage seeds to communities. The SDC also supported the formation of the MFSPA which provides producer platform for the multiplication and distribution of forage seed. 6 FAO FAO has supported numerous livestock and crop research programs that have provided science-based approaches to improving productivity and group formation models for management. The Improving Fodder and Feed in the Central Region project provided technical information on forage crop establishment. The Emergency Response Forage Project (2011) is working with 11 herder groups to establish forage plots. One 10 ha area will be established. 7 PSARTI/MSUA with Five years of crop trials were conducted at PSARTI under the CIDA CIDA Training for Rural Development Project. Results and tested germplasm are available for cereals, oilseeds, forages and small fruits at the PSARTI research centre in Darkhan. MSUA also has a research and training demonstration site at Buurnur. 8 RIAH with SLP RIAH, with support from SLP, has developed 20 types of fodders using small scale equipment suitable for soum-level production. Under-utilized local feedstuffs have been incorporated. These projects have introduced many important management models and technical innovations. There is a real need in Mongolia to synthesize the lessons learned and successful models of these projects for the purpose of establishing some unified national approaches to herder groups, local funds, fodder establishment and land rehabilitation and other factors. This would streamline administration, facilitate joint financing, support more effective delivery of technical support and extension services and allow for a more transparent and comparative monitoring and evaluation system. In the following descriptions, project elements which would best support improved feed and fodder production for dzud management are described. Key policy and capacity issues that have been identified that should be addressed in future policy and program development are also given. These contribute to the overall policy recommendations in Chapter 7 and the pilot projects suggested in Chapter 8. Pasture Risk Management (PRM): The SLP has promoted hay and fodder production. Grants are provided to soums to support herder-based initiatives to increase hay and fodder production and rehabilitate storage based on local conditions. There is one pilot soum in each of 21 aimags. Institutionalization of herder-based participatory PRM is an ongoing process. The first stage was piloting herder based approaches. Herders suggest projects at the bag meetings and they are approved at the soum. Community evaluators are involved in development and approving the proposals. The greatest challenge is attitude, management, capacity and politics. Herders are interested in hay and fodder but the approach needs to be institutionalized and combined with local grants. There needs to be capacity building at the soum regarding pasture management, mapping and other topics. To date, all soum agricultural officers have received plotters to be able to do GPS/cadastral mapping. Above all the regulatory framework needs to be revised to facilitate group formation. LEWS: The SLP has established the LEWS in Mongolia through a program implemented by Mercy Corp and Texas A&M. The LEWS combines satellite imaging with grass sample clipping to provide reliable real-time data on forage conditions. When combined with livestock numbers, it produces accurate projections of carrying capacity and forage deficits. This information is extremely valuable for drought cycle management and dzud preparation. Information from LEWS is available from the website and is disseminated by radio, television and newspaper. The program is currently reporting on six aimags. By July 2011, it will cover 14 aimags and by 2012 it will be nation-wide. Once the program is national, Mercy Corp will do awareness training with other agencies including and governments at the aimag and soum. These groups are not using the LEWS in an integrated fashion at this time. They will need training on a) how to use the maps, and b) natural disaster planning and mitigation. National level trainings will be done in 2012. These will be carried out as larger trainings after all the aimags are into the system. The project is currently paying about $10,000 for distribution of mapping information. From the second half May 2011, the maps will be published in the Onodor newspaper which prints in colour and is available to soum level officials. Maps of current forage available and a 60 day forecast of forage available are printed twice a month: An additional two maps are published once a month. These are deviation of forage availability and the comparison of the current forecast to the long-term average forage available. It is hoped that that snow depth maps from NASA will be available by the end of project. Radio broadcasts will commence at the end of May 2011. The sampling with LEWS is a fully automatic system. At least three rounds of samples have been done in the past three years. Using the database established from these samples as well as livestock numbers, LEWS is able to automatically calculate forage levels, capacity and forage deficits every two weeks. Soil information has also been incorporated. NAMHEM currently conducts grass clippings once a year in August and produces a map from about 1200 to 1500 sites. Samples are dried and the map is produced by hand. The map does not provide any of the analytical criteria that the LEWS is able to provide on the website. NAMHEM produces a second NDVI map from satellite images, but they are not able to combine the information from these two maps. Mercy Corp has sent the NAMHEM samples to the animal forage laboratory for an assessment of crude protein and crude fibre. This is a first attempt to monitor the quality of pasture in Mongolia. When the project ends in March 2012, LEWS will be institutionalized at NAMHEM. An MOU and contracts have been signed to support this transfer. In the fall of 2011, the project will physically move into the NAMHEM building. Texas A&M will provide additional equipment to support the project at NAMHEM. There are currently five staff working on the program for Mercy Corp and it is hoped that NAMHEM will take all five people although job charts have yet to be developed. The ongoing operating costs of LEWS are expected to decrease once it is institutionalized as the equipment provided and will be operational for a decade or more and the clipping required to establish the reference database to verify satellite imagery has been done. In the future, only spot check samples will be required. The adoption of the LEWS system will significantly improve NAMHEM’s forecasting and monitoring capacity. Insurance: Since 2005, the GOM has worked with the SLP to develop an Index-Based Livestock Insurance Program (IBLIP). The approach is a combination of self-insurance, market based insurance and a social safety net. Herders bear the cost of small losses (up to 6%) that do not affect the viability of their business, larger losses are transferred to the private insurance industry and only the final layer of catastrophic loss is borne by the GOM. Insurance is provided through partnering with national private insurance companies and payments are based on livestock mortality rates by species and soum. A livestock indemnity insurance for high level risks (over 30%) is being designed. By 2012, it is planned that the IBLIP will be implemented nation wide, providing all herding households in Mongolia a mechanism for insuring against livestock production risks. Pilot on Pasture Fees: Herders have indicated they are ready to pay fees if the money is used locally. The pilot was initiated in February, 2011 in four soums in Akrhangai, Hovd, Dornogovi and Sukhbaatar. In each case, the whole soum is involved in the program. Fees of 100 MNT/sheep unit are collected and put into a soum livestock risk management fund. Herders provide 40% while the project provides 60%. Herders earn an immediate 50% on their investment and the cash is paid back within two weeks of joining the program. The first fees were to be collected by June 1 and, by mid-May, some soums had already collected 50%. Payments out of the fund are dispersed to herders (60%) while the remainder (40%) is split between the soum, aimag and national governments for otor, wells and an insurance indemnity fund. Payments are made directly to individual herders for repair of shelters, hand wheels, animal blankets or other items they deem necessary. Herders complete a one-page application form that includes their proposed spending. Monitoring of the program is at the grassroots and relatively simple. Once the applications are approved, herders are paid 80% of the requested amount. Based on their report back, the final 20% is paid. All money is transferred bank account to bank account so that no physical cash changes hands. The pilot will be completed in June and the results reported by mid-July, 2011. The results could provide the basis for PPP approaches for soum-level investments. The Emergency Response Forage Project (2011) is working with 11 herder groups in three soums of Ovorkhangai and three soums of Dundgovi to improve fodder production. Technical input is provided by the MSUA research demonstration site at Burnuur. Ownership of assets will go to the groups at the end of the project. Beneficiary selection requires that the families have less than 150 head of livestock, be a female headed household, or had lost more than 50% of their livestock in the 2009/2010 dzud. One of the groups (10 families) will plant 10 ha of irrigated fodder crops (oats and barley) in Bayangol soum of Ovorkhangai. This land was previously in fodder production under the negdels. The soum government has issued a decree for its use in the project and by the herder group. Crops will be planted in 2011 and cut for greenfeed. Equipment being purchased for the group includes a 40hp tractor, harrow, seeder, mower, rake and baler. The area will be fenced, for which a budget of 6.2 million MNT has been allotted. The irrigation component is being delayed by the process of design and tendering and will not be in position until later in the summer. In the meantime, the families are digging a hand well to ensure that they can water the crops. The remaining 10 groups will each fence 5 ha at a cost of approximate 4.3 million MNT per site including the cost of perennial seed. Locally adapted Burgaltai alfalfa is being planted. The Emergency Response Forage Project builds on the previous FAO Improving Fodder and Feed in the Central Region project. This project is completed and technical recommendations should be published in 2011. These two projects together will provide important information for the technical design of fodder improvement investments. The Green Gold project has worked in 65 soums in western aimags representing five ecological zones (altai, gobi, steppe, forest steppe, khangai). Since 2004 they have been working with herder group concepts and have established 20-30 small herder groups for fencing and haymaking. Their experiences have much to contribute to policy formulation and program design. Some of the key lessons learned include: - The current legal environmental does not promote or support group management - Groups are forming because they expect to gain something from the project. If project benefits can not be spread evenly across groups, it creates conflict between groups. - Pasture management areas must involved larger groups to allow movement and pasture rest. SC has moved to larger Pasture User Groups (PUGs) and livelihood approaches that reflect one whole bag. The size of the areas depends on the ecological zone and climate. - Several different concepts have developed in Mongolia regarding pasture institutions. Herders groups have been formed and supported based on the khot ail, PUGs and cooperatives. SDC feels that herders need a new form of self-governing institution that would be founded based on the mandate of resource management rather than on a production basis (khot ail based NGOs) or business operations (cooperatives). - The proposed new Pasture Law has issues that should be resolved. The current version uses a top down approach with two classifications of pasture and two types of rights: i) user rights; and, ii) possession rights. The approach proposed by the Society for Rangeland Management (SRM), supported by SDC, is a bottoms up approach with 5 classifications by use: i) reserve pasture; ii) transient/transport; iii) soum centre small holders; iv) intensive and semi-intensive; and, v) pastoral nomadic. - Herders should be able to have possession rights at winter and spring sites. These should be granted to individual households and khot ails, but no larger groups. - There is a need to strengthen government functionality by developing agreements between government and PUGs. There should be an information mechanism and there is a need for a strong monitoring system. Pasture maps should be simple maps and their use should be flexible. - If pasture use fees were used they could be issued to the PUGs with 70-80% going into the user group fund. According to existing laws, pasture use fees can not be levied. This would require a change in the Tax Law soum level as well as a change in the local budget law. - Pasture monitoring involves NAMHEM. SDC is training staff at the soum level and in 2012 will conduct training in all soums and provide equipment. There also needs to be collective monitoring within the PUGS. - Monitoring must be supported by an enforcement mechanism. This is an institutional issue that can not be solved without completing the legislative framework. It is essential for the GOM to pass a Pasture Law and additional legislation on self-governing institutions for herders. The Green Gold project has also piloted irrigated alfalfa production in various locations. In one of the project soums, 400 ha of a 2000 ha plot of abandoned irrigated fodder land will be rehabilitated. This will provide important technical information about the approaches and costs related to successful rehabilitation. Marketing of good quality forage is an issue. At the moment, there is not enough market interest to sell it all the alfalfa the land rehabilitation would produce. Including alfalfa in national reserve specifications would create and simulate a market for good quality forage. Green Gold has established a fund (collective use fund) for each PUG. SDC contributes 35,000 MNT/family which is matched by the families themselves. At a higher level, they have also organized Soum Pasture Management Associations which works as an umbrella organization of the PUGs. The umbrella association holds the individual funds and provides monitoring and control over their use. The collective use can be used for livelihood purposes such as loans to cover productive activities or medicine and health care. The funds have acted as an entry point for herder group formation, building trust and developing social capital. The Pasture Risk Management fund has supported irrigated fodder production by providing soum groups with equipment. Production goes into local reserves and storage and is sold to PUGs on a cost plus basis. Forage is never sold below cost to ensure that the market is not disrupted. Storage at the soum level is a problem and building new storage can cost 15-20 million MNT. There are issues about carrying out this PPP-based approach at the soum. Not all governors welcome the idea of local herder groups gaining autonomy and power. There is still not a good system for transferring money between the soum government, the association and individual herders. The Combating Desertification project is in its second phase. The project works with herder groups for pasture management. Co-management requires the involvement of both government and herders groups. Group formation is a time consuming process, taking six to seven years for a group to coalesce. Strong leadership within the group is very important. Most groups are informal. If they formalize, most adopt an NGO format. Only a few have opted to become cooperatives, although this is felt to be the most appropriate form. The UNDP has implemented fencing projects to protect forage stands. A five string wire fence with posts every three meters costs approximately $800 US/ha, excluding the cost of transportation. Transportation is expensive and can significantly increase the fencing costs in more distant locations. Alfalfa can be established under irrigation in most locations. In Selenge, it can be established without irrigation. Brome grass also establishes under irrigation. Crested wheat grass (agropyron cristatum (L)) is drought resistant. Oats and barley are also possible forage crops. In all cases, seed is difficult to get and has to be imported. Many of the UNDP results around group formation and forage production should be integrated into national policy and program development. In particular, consolidating the results of the UNDP, FAO, SDC and SLP projects will provide a very strong framework for group formation and promoting local forage production. The UNDP has implemented three phases of the Environmental Disaster Management Project and anticipated that Phase IV will begin by the end of 2011 or the beginning of 2012. The UNDP has worked with NEMA since its creation in 2004. There are still parts of NEMA’s role in national disasters that need clarification. There are issues around coordination and information sharing that is unresolved. Some basic MOUs are in place between Ministries and agencies, but there is not yet enough coordination. The lack of transparency in information has made it difficult to define the needs in emergencies and has hampered international response. The sources and uses of decision-making information need clarification and a comprehensive architecture for storage, retrieval and reporting developed. This may need to be clarified within the Disaster Prevention Law. The project has introduced the concept of cluster-based disaster based management. Clusters have been developed for various types of emergency. They are headed by Government with one line agency involved, as well as other relevant organizations. Management plans should be developed by each cluster. Clusters work permanently to develop contingency plans, conduct preparation and carry out response and recovery. In Mongolia, draft contingency plans are done and need to be continuously updated. In the case of dzud, the line-organization in the cluster should be MOFALI. A contingency plan needs to be developed with an emphasis on preparation and response. Gaps in response and policy would need to be assessed. Phase IV will focus on climate change adaptation and development a national action plan. Disaster management capacity building will be specific to dzud and earthquake management with an emphasis on community involvement in local preparation. These three aspects of climate change, NEMA capacity building and community preparation are all strongly related to building the overall capacity of Mongolia to manage dzud, especially if its frequency and severity continue to increase. The design of specific policy or programs should fit within this overall national action plan on climate change adaptation. The emphasis on community preparation is consistent with the private sector holding the main responsibility for the production of livestock feed and forage. The analysis in this report has been based on/framed within the following assumptions and paradigms: 1) Dzud is a natural, severe event, but it does not have to be a disaster. Lack of planning and management contributes to dzud disasters. There is a need to strengthen monitoring, preparation and response capacities at all levels within the public and private sector. There is also a need to separate those elements of dzud preparedness that should be normal management activities and assign them to herders, local governments and the MOFALI. SEC and NEMA involvement should be focussed on dzud situations are truly emergencies of regional or national scope. 2) When dzud becomes an emergency, it develops as a slow onset disaster occurring in winter and often in the aftermath of drought. This report works on the assumption that the emergency is not exclusively a snow disaster, but a drought/snow disaster in which the ultimate impacts are seen when malnourished livestock succumb to cold and snow because of post-drought weakness. Based on this assumption, the appropriate approach is therefore Drought Cycle Management. The appropriate response to a localized and recurring phenomenon should be community preparedness and response which is carried out within the parameters of an effective national framework of fully funded policies, agencies and programs for protection, preparedness, early warning, response and recovery. Specifically, these approaches are defined by LEGS50 as: a. Drought Cycle Management: Drought is viewed as an expected and normal event. Specific indicators can be used to trigger preparation and/or various response interventions alone or in combination depending on the nature of the drought conditions. Early and timely response is important and preferable in terms of cost-benefit analysis. One example of early interventions is destocking which allows the household to decrease the grazing/feeding pressure while freeing up cash to procure additional feed and medicines or to fund household food purchases. b. Community Preparedness: Communities should be capable of planning and preparing for both slow and rapid onset emergencies. This can include shelter, feed stocks, water points, livestock vaccination, developing markets, pasture distribution and, in the case of Mongolia, organizing otor. 3) The provision of feed and fodder is the most important intervention to keep animals from dying in dzud. The current management systems leave animals chronically undernourished and vulnerable to harsh winter conditions. Animals need to enter winter in sufficient body condition to survive through spring. To this end, pasture, supplementary feed and otor should be considered part of an integrated annual livestock feed system and should be managed in this way on a local and regional basis. These systems are best managed on a local or regional basis with specialized technical support from national professional bodies such as MOFALI and RIAH. Furthermore, 50 LEGS, page 57 Mongolia has unused feed resources in the form of pastures without sufficient wells, underutilized pasture species, abandoned cropland which could be rehabilitated to pasture or forage production as and unrealized potential for forage production as part of a healthy crop rotation system. These resources could be brought into the livestock feed system to increase both the overall livestock feed supply and quality. 4) Livestock production in Mongolia is essentially a PPP with livestock owned by private herders and pasture owned by the State. Livestock owners should have the primary responsibility for ensuring livestock are in suitable body condition and have enough forage available to survive winter. The State’s role should be to provide an enabling policy environment, ensure the sustainability of the pasture resource and provide emergency aid when natural conditions overwhelm normal, responsible preparation. Similarly, the State has an important role in providing education and technical support to herders and local governments. In this setting, PPP approaches may be the most suitable approach, not only for co-management of pastures, but for investments in certain productive infrastructure and the protection and rehabilitation of grazing and crop lands. 5) The chronic poverty that exists in the extensive livestock sector weakens the capacity of local communities to undertake the preparation that should be their role and responsibility. Government policy should be mindful of this and help to overcome these constraints to local action by improving access to investment funding and other resources for the poor. 6) Herders are rational economic agents who will maximize profits and avoid risk. Government needs to create the right economic and financial incentives and disincentives. Current approaches have encouraged dependency in herders, who have been slow to prepare because they expect government will. Market pricing encourages herders to maximize volume instead of quality, minimize production costs and, without secure tenure, avoid investment. Policies and programs should encourage herder accountability and local control. There is a need to make the roles and responsibilities clear and then build herders’ capacity to manage and prepare. 7) In the face of continued overstocking, pasture degradation, climate change and unresolved policy issues, dzud may become or may already have become a chronic emergency reflective of prolonged issues in governance related to the transition from a planned to market economy. This will increase the probably of more frequent dzud disasters. Climate change risks further increase this risk. This reinforces the need for policies that will a) promote long-term local investments in resource management and feed production for disaster preventions and b) limit the day-to-day involvement of disaster agencies so that their capacity is reserved for increasing numbers and severity of regional and national disasters. 8) When dzud conditions require emergency response, they should be delivered in a cost-effective, timely and transparent manner that does not disrupt local markets and inadvertently increase the risks of future disasters. Effective monitoring is important to ensure this quality of service. 9) Given the policy, institutional and economic challenges arising from transition, the herding sector has played a dual role of economic pillar and de facto social welfare and unemployment insurance system for the past twenty years. These dual roles have encouraged the accumulation of livestock as the majority of families strive to achieve and maintain a basic economic herd, restricted the ability to practice sound pasture management and has contributed to the degradation of grazing lands. GOM needs to provide the agricultural, environmental and social investments required to ensure the sustainability of the sector. Policy options have been described through this report as apart of the individual stakeholder analysis. In this section, the highest priority policy recommendations are presented. These are policy changes that will have the greatest impact on improving system operations. In most cases, they have been mentioned by a variety of stakeholders at all levels of the system in both the public and private sector. The GOM must balance economic, environment and social welfare demands within a limited budget. These should not be seen as competing demands, as sustainable national development depends on maintaining the viability and productivity of each of these systems. They are intrinsically interdependent and should be considered that way in policy development. As the dzuds of the last decade have warned, if the pasture eco-system collapses there will be serious economic and social repercussions. Cost benefit analysis would assist the GOM in making well grounded choices of policy options. Analysis of policy options should also consider efficiency, preservation of private market development, equity and welfare impacts. 1. Provide an Enabling Policy Framework Complete the legal framework to provide secure tenure for pasture use and allowing for individual and group possession/use to remove the risk and uncertainty that now constrains investment. This means passing a pasture law. Ensure that the pasture use area is large enough to allow for seasonal pastures and pasture rest, as per SDCs suggested amendments. Alternatively, it may be necessary to look at alternatives means of achieving the same ends. In the Land Law and the Law on Land Allocation, allow for individual herders to have private land for their family needs and possession rights to pasture for the purpose of growing fodder near their winter or spring camp and not only in the soum or aimag centers. Strengthen the process for establishing otor pastures by facilitating reciprocal rights of access. 2. Develop PPPs for the Livestock Sector Develop the contracts and mechanisms required for PPPs for investment and risk management. Continue to expand and promote the livestock insurance system and developing a National Disaster Response Program as a social insurance system. To promote investments in feed production, marketing and storage, design a cost-shared funding program for soums and aimags. The local communities would maintain control over these funds from year to year and have the authority to decide if they will be used for long-term production and storage of feeds or for the annual and emergency purchase of feed requirements. This would encourage medium and long-term planning and investment that could lower dzud risk over the long run. This would build on the concept of some funds already in place, but would give local communities more long-term control over the funds and scope in the use of the funds. 3. Decentralize Responsibility, Authority and Resources Provide recurring annual budgets to soums for pasture rehabilitation and infrastructure to be used in cost- shared approaches with herder groups. At the aimag level, provide recurring annual budgets for risk management, aimag reserves and organizing inter-aimag fodder purchases, production or otor. Decentralize dzud preparation and first stage (alert, alarm) response responsibility to the soums and aimag so they can select the interventions and timing most suitable to their situation. Using the success stories and lessons learned from international projects to define a standardized model for herder group structure, mandate and financing and create a common fund in which national budget and donor support can be pooled. Establish transparent management and monitoring system to ensure the appropriate use and reliable reporting. 4. Develop Integrated Regional Feed Resource Management System Although day to day responsibility for pasture, supplementary feed and otor should be decentralized, there is still an important role for MOFALI to play in overall feed resource policy, planning, development, technical support and extension, monitoring and enforcement. MOFALI, in this role, should act at the strategic and technical level to strengthen and support local and regional capacity, promote regional feed production and markets and assist soums and aimags to develop reciprocal relationships and contracts for fodder and otor pastures. MOFALI can do much to increase available feeds by ensuring all resources are utilized in a sustainable manner. To this end, they should conduct assessments, with aimags, of abandoned crop and fodder land to identify those that can be technically and economically rehabilitated for pasture (regular or otor), hay or fodder crops. They should then prioritize rehabilitation projects and provide long-term PPP funding to rehabilitate and integrate the land into the feed system based on its designated use. The actual rehabilitation would be carried out by aimags and soums with technical support from MOFALI as required. In a similar fashion, small-scale local fodder production using various local feedstuffs and mineral resources could be promoted. More fodder in crop rotations instead of summer fallow would also have a large impact on the total available feed resources. MOFALI can support capacity building for livestock nutrition and feed and fodder production at the soum level by using the VABDs and the NAEC to deliver training and extension services. Use these centers to distribute information. 5. Provide Clear and Reliable Information for Decision Making. Establish a unified database and IT system for early warning and emergency response that includes LEWS and other types of information needed in the overall system of emergency preparedness, assessment, response and recovery. Negotiate and sign MOUs between ministries, agencies, donors and private stakeholders to facilitate inter-agency collaboration and information sharing. Develop a drought cycle management system that will integrate the LEWS system and use clearly definite trigger points for decision making. The decision-tree time frame will begin with the first drought prognosis available (roughly March) and run through the spring of the following year, roughly 12 months later. The decision system will be bottom-up with preparation decision responsibilities being assigned to herder-groups and soum authorities. The second stage decisions would be made by aimag authorities would have the scope of i) reallocating within-aimag resources, ii) securing reserves from regional sources or iii) requesting emergency assistance from national agencies. The trigger points should be based on what are determined to be critical forage deficit and carrying capacity levels. Place primary responsibility for planning and decision making at the soum and aimag level. National agency responsibilities should be to i) monitor that local action is taken when trigger points reached and ii) respond in the case of extreme and/or regional emergency conditions. Train in data interpretation and trigger points at national, aimag and soum level. Strengthen sample collection at soum. Bring cell phone service providers into the EWS to issue severe weather warnings by text messages to their customers 6. Focus NEMA and SEC on Major Emergencies and Strengthen Planning and Monitoring The prospect and trend of climate change means that extreme dzud may become a more frequent and severe event in Mongolia. This will tax the capacity of NEMA to respond. Use state reserves only for regional and catastrophic disasters that legitimately overwhelm the local capacity to prepare and respond. NEMA and SEC should withdraw from any activities that could be deemed to be “normal management responsesâ€? and focus its mandate and programs on effectively dealing with situations that overwhelm normal preparation programs. Continue to strengthen the planning and cluster coordination for emergency management. Develop detailed dzud management plans nationally and locally and update them regularly. Clarify inter-agency roles and responsibilities within the plans and undertake the policy changes and/or operational agreements to implement them. Conduct tabletop exercises to rehearse emergency conditions and responses. Ensure that, within each ministry or agency, staff assigned to dzud emergency management are provided with adequate time and resources to complete their job and not have to deal with competing work demands. Consider establishing inter-agency teams, similar to the clusters, to work together on specific dzud management activities. Develop strong, transparent monitoring programs. By decentralizing the responsibility of preparation and initial response, national level agencies will have time and resources freed up for monitoring. Establish a centralized, transparent mechanism for reports so that any deficiencies in preparation and/or monitoring are immediately apparent. 7. Improve Efficiency and Transparency in Reserve Management Reserves should be managed based on economic efficiency related to quality, perishability and transport costs. Focus on holding high quality, long-life feed stuffs and ensure they are stored in adequate facilities to ensure the maintenance of quality: - Increase the proportion of high quality manufactured fodder products including minerals. - Minimize transportation costs by minimizing the amount of hay transported, focussing on moving only high density feeds and purchasing feeds locally whenever possible. - Establish quality standards for the hay that is purchased and ensure they are enforced. - Undertake a program of facilities upgrades and regular maintenance to ensure proper storage and handling of reserves. Investigate improved methods of packaging, loading and unloading reserve feeds to improve storage life (wrapping bales etc). - Decrease the amount of hay in the reserve. • In a step-by-step fashion over 5 – 10 years, remove hay from national emergency reserves and move to bagh, soum, aimag responsibility. • Replace hay with a cash reserve fund at the national level. Use this emergency cash fund to help aimags contract otor or feed from other aimags when local feed supplies are insufficient. • Remove the security restrictions on state feed reserves so that location and volume is known and can be used on overall feed resource planning. 8. Remove Market Distortions and Promote a Viable Private Feed and Fodder Industry Buy and sell state reserves at market prices and do not release reserves until the market has cleared. To offset the cost of feed prices for vulnerable households, institute a program of feed cost rebates, subsidized feed purchase assistance programs (soft loans and longer payback periods) and/or social welfare payments. The knowledge that emergency supplies will not be subsidized will provide additional incentives for herders to put up their own reserves at a lower cost. Minimize the frequency that NEMA reserves are released into the market by ending the quarterly inventory sales. Replace low quality reserves that have to be turned over on an annual basis with high quality, long life feedstuffs. This will decrease the amount of non-emergency sales and allow for better medium and long-term inventory planning. Engage and promote private and local producers whenever possible. Utilize quality specifications and market-based pricing that will stimulate the commercial fodder market for improved hay and other feed stuffs. This would promote high quality hay production and improved crop rotations. Buy locally, either directly or through companies with local sub-contractors. 9. Provide Herders the Right Financial Incentives and Disincentives Promoting individual responsibility and facilitating the growth of herders’ groups for feed resource production and management will require “getting the signals rightâ€?. Some of these steps have already been written into draft laws and existing policies, but are weak in implementation. Some specific steps required to stimulate local or regionally based, private feed and fodder production are to: - Introduce the financial disincentives (fees, taxes and fines) that will make maximizing animal numbers for volume production less attractive economically than managing a smaller herder for productivity. This will decrease total feed requirements and allow pasture capacity to be rehabilitated those narrowing the nutritive gap to be filled by supplementary feed and fodder. - Assess and introduce, where appropriate, the financial incentives (grants, soft loans), legal incentives (group-based leasing) and technical incentives (provision of technical inputs or services, (or subsidized services, based on groups formation) to facilitate and accelerate the formation of herders’ groups. - Provide the secure, annual budget streams that will allow soum-and aimag governments to engage in medium and long-term planning and investment rather than making short-term, reactive decisions around temporary, ad hoc programming. 10. Build Herder Capacity Train herders in livestock and pasture management including a) the link between nutrition and health, reproduction and productivity, b) types of fodder crops and their production, c) feeds and feeding programs, and d) various other production management topics. Provide financing to herders so that they can implement new approaches. Strengthen soum and bag level information and support services to provide herders with more accurate, complete and timing information and technical support. The creation of the VABD units in every soum with their intention of supporting animal health and productivity, SME development, group formation and extension has been a significant step forward. These units must now be provided with the program budgets and current information streams required to carry out their mandate. 11. Provide for Support for Exit Strategies Through the social welfare system and other sources, provide exit strategies instead of restocking, whenever possible. Programs should support SME start-up, other agricultural activities, job-retraining and improved pensions. These policies should be phased in over a five to ten year period to allow for a smooth transition in focus while capacity building continues in all stakeholder groups. There are some significant developments anticipated in the next five years that will support this shift in the policy approach, including the transfer of LEWS to NAMHEM and the national-wide coverage of the IBLIP. These, and others, should be linked into the implementation schedule (Table 7.1). This phased approach will provide adequate time for herders and local governments to become capable in their new roles. Project experience suggests that it takes five to seven years to develop a capacity herder group. Crop research and practice indicates it would take three to five years for new forage areas to be well established. Similarly, it would take at least three to five years for forage producers and processors to respond to new market signals with new investment in machinery and equipment. Table 7.1: Key Events, Organizations and Programs Supporting Policy Transition Item 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 on FAO, UNDP, Various fodder pilot SDC results available SLP Pasture Fees pilot Fees Pilot completed in July LEWS Mapping printed Institutionalized twice/month. Radio at NAMHEM broadcasts Nation-level commence. training. SDC training on pasture monitoring. Livestock IBLIP NDRP insurance implemented established? nationally SLP III Herder group and insurance capacity building (2012-2017) UNDP IV Climate change adaptation, NEMA capacity building and community preparedness (2012-2017) NMLP Phase I 2010-2015 Phase II 2015-2021 LFP Phase I Phase II 2012-2015 focus on herder capacity PSARTI/MSUA Ongoing crop trials RIAH Ongoing fodder production, livestock nutrition and other related research SRM Ongoing producer representation on pasture management and monitoring MFSPA Ongoing producer involvement in seed multiplication and distribution VABDs Ongoing presence in soums to support technical and extension programs NAEC Ongoing national extension service programming to support producer capacity building Pasture Law Pasture Law Passed? Two pilot projects have been identified that could support improved dzud management through integrated approaches to resource management and improved EWS utilization for disaster management planning. The information system pilot project would support improved drought cycle management and decentralized decision making. It would require vertical implementation between grass-roots end-users and the emergency management and technical agencies in Ulaanbaatar. The regional integrated feed resources project would promote improved feed production and management on a regional basis be linking forage deficit aimags (gobi) with adjacent or nearby forage surplus areas (khangai, steppe, central) for the purpose of forage production, procurement and otor. It is envisioned that the two pilot projects would be integrated, as their programs are complementary. To do so, the pilot projects should be implemented in the same set of aimags and soums. The pilot areas would include one cluster of aimags with one or two soums per aimag, depending on the budget availability. An example of a pilot cluster could be: Western integrated feed resource management pilot area: - Ovorkhangai - forage deficit area with limited abandoned land - Dundgov – forage deficit area - Tov – forage deficit area with easy access for purchasing, some abandoned land - Bulgan- forage surplus area with abandoned land and existing otor areas The EWS system pilot would overlay the forage resource area and would be used by local managers for making production, procurement and otor decisions. The total estimated budget is USD 1.5m. Rationale: The Dzud National Report 2009/2010 highlighted the issues of multiple data systems, poor system integration, conflicting data, insufficient coordination and a lack transparency in information sharing which combined to limit the ability to respond rapidly and effectively to the dzud crisis. The development of the LEWS system under the SLP and its institutionalization at NAMHEM provides an opportunity for Mongolia to integrate high quality, real time forage and range capacity forecasting into drought cycle and dzud preparedness planning. Doing so will require overcoming the challenges of inter- agency and multi-level coordination and the infrastructure challenges of making technical, internet based information available at the grassroots across Mongolia’s vast area. Description: The pilot project would integrate information systems for dzud management and use this information to develop a rapid response system that would be based drought cycle management concepts and clear, technical trigger points. Objectives and Activities: The specific objectives and supporting activities of the pilot would be to: 1. Develop and Integrated Information System for Localized Dzud Management a. Support the institutionalization of LEWS at NEMHAM by providing technical support b. Assess the constraints in providing LEWS information to the aimag and soum level, including access by soum governors, the VABDs and herders. c. Design and implement distribution system for LEWS information to the grassroots based on the access by soum governments, the VABDs and herders. 2. Develop a decentralized (bottom-up) decision-making system for drought/dzud cycle management and rapid response a. Conduct a detailed, participatory assessment of Mongolia’s current practice in dzud decision making as compared to international best practice in drought cycle management as described LEGS and other internationally recognized organizations. b. Develop a time-bound decision tree for dzud preparation and response that clearly links the drought, forage and carrying capacity information available from LEWS to dzud preparation and response management decisions. The decision-tree time frame will begin with the first drought prognosis available (roughly March) and run through the spring of the following year, roughly 12 months later. The decision system will be bottom-up with preparation decision responsibilities being assigned to herder-groups and soum authorities. The second stage decisions would be made by aimags authorities would have the scope of i) reallocating within-aimag resources, ii) securing reserves from regional sources or iii) requesting emergency assistance from national agencies. The trigger points should be based on what are determined to be critical forage deficit and carrying capacity levels. National agency responsibilities should be to i) monitor that local action is taken when trigger points reached and ii) respond in the case of extreme and/or regional emergency conditions. c. Establish linkages to cell phone providers to transmit weather emergency information by text message. 3. Pilot the implementation of the decision tree. (Links to Pilot Project 2). a. Train all users in the system on i) the LEWS information and its relevance and ii) the decision tree and their roles and responsibilities. b. Implement the decision tree in pilot areas (linked to Pilot 2) c. Evaluate the technical and financial results of the pilot. d. Provide policy recommendations. Implementation Agency: SLP Office. Counterpart Agencies: The project would involve NAMHEM, the ultimate home of the LEWS system, NEMA, MOFALI, aimag and soum governments, and herder groups in selected pilot aimags. UNDP would be involved through its capacity building program for NEMA. Key Stakeholders: The pilot would involve several stakeholders signing the Memorandum of Understanding in 2010. The key agencies have agreed to cooperate on the development of an improved pasture monitoring system including dzud forecasting. This would serve as a steering committee for this activity. Program Timing: September 2011 to December 2012 Rationale: There is general agreement that the preparation of livestock feed is the responsibility of herders and that the system should be decentralized to give soum governments and communities the responsibility and authority for dzud preparation. National level emergency management agencies should only be involved in the case of extreme and/or regional disasters that overwhelm the capacity of aimag governments to respond. Description: The pilot project would support the development of integrated feed resource management that would include local seasonal pastures, feed production or procurement for local use and otor pastures. Primarily responsibility for management and planning would rest with soum and aimag stakeholders. Soum level stakeholders would have first responsibility for feed production and procurement. Aimag governments would be involved in coordinating inter-aimag feed production and/or purchases and otor arrangements. The MOFALI would support the system through their nationally based forage monitoring and otor resource departments. MOFALI would also support the program with technical support through the soum level VABDs. Local autonomy would be supported with PPP investment funds that could be used for long-term investment in feed production and storage and/or annual procurement of feeds depending on the assessed priorities within the soum. Money carried over from one year to the next would remain in the soum fund and therefore support medium to long-term planning and investments. Examples of locally based activities include: • Small plots at winter/spring camps for individual herder fodder production and alternative livelihoods (e.g. 1 ha) • Larger group-managed hay/fodder plots (e.g. 5 ha and larger) • Small scale fodder manufacture within the soum (RIAH) • Inter-aimag linkage between khangai forage producers and gobi soums for either otor of hay/fodder purchases • rehabilitation of suitable abandoned land as either otor reserve pasture or commercial forage production Objectives and Activities: The specific objectives and supporting activities of the pilot would be to: 1. Develop an Integrated Feed Resource Management System a. Develop an organizational structure and management plan for inter-agency collaboration that would include soum level stakeholders (herder groups, VABDs, soum government), aimag stakeholders (agricultural departments, Ministry of Social Welfare and Labour) and national agencies (pasture monitoring department, inter-aimag otor agency, NEAC, NAMHEM) with clearly defined roles and responsibilities for each. b. Define how the LEWS system and drought/dzud cycle management decision tree fits into the regional resource management program. (linked to Pilot 1) c. Identify relevant funds (dzud, SME, SLP other) that can be utilized for local feed production investments to complement funding provided by the pilot project. Using PPP principles, establish an investment program for use by i) individual herders, ii) herder groups/cooperatives, iii) soum governments, iv) aimag governments and v) otor organization. Eligible investments could include, but not be limited to i) fencing, ii) seed, iii) field equipment, iv) storage, v) small-scale fodder processing equipment, vi) wells and vii) irrigation equipment. Investments could be for individual plots, group plots, reserves and land rehabilitation for otor pasture. d. Design the reporting and monitoring program. 2. Pilot the integrated regional feed resource management system a. Train all users in the system. b. Implement the system in the pilot areas (linked to Pilot 1) c. Evaluate the technical and financial results of the pilot. d. Provide policy recommendations. Implementation Agency: SLP Office. Counterpart Agencies: Soum level stakeholders (herder groups, VABDs, soum government), aimag stakeholders (agricultural departments, Ministry of Social Welfare and Labour) and national agencies (pasture monitoring department, inter-aimag otor agency, NEAC, NEMHAM, NEMA). UNDP through its community-based emergency preparation activities. Key Stakeholders: The pilot would involve several stakeholders signing the Memorandum of Understanding in 2010. The key agencies have agreed to cooperate on the development of an improved pasture monitoring system including dzud forecasting. This would serve as a steering committee for this activity. Program Timing: September 2011 to December 2013 1. Individual Meetings # Date Organization Contact Person Details 1 May World Bank Andrew Goodland 3 2 Charlotte Benson, Economist Cbenson321@aol.com Consultant 3 Abedalrazq F. Khalil, Young akhalil@worldbank.org Professional Social, Environmental and Rural Development 4 May World Bank Andrew Goodland 4 Workshop, various See separate contact list organizations 5 May UNDP –re Dzud Byambabaatar Ichinkhorloo bimbamn@gmail.com 5 National Report Co-author of report 2009/2010 6 NEMA Gendenhuu BAATAR, First baatar@emer.pmis.gov.mn Captain Deputy Chairman, State Reserve Fund Head, State Reserve Division 7 May MOFALI CHOI-ISH Lkhasuren Choi_ish@mofa.gov.mn 6 General Director, Strategy 9915-5518 Planning and Policy Department 8 MOFALI Munkhuu GALBADRAKH Galaa9699@yahoo.com Office, Livestock Policy 9919-6421 Implementation and Coordination Department 9 MOFALI Zayat BATSUKH, Vice Director of Department of Veterinary and Animal Breeding 10 May MOFALI Gombosuren DEESHIN, Senior 6 Livestock Specialist, of Department of Veterinary and Animal Breeding 11 May Ovorkhangai, 9 Arvaikheer 12 Food, Agriculture and CHINBAT, Head of the SME Department Department 13 YONDONSAMBUU, Head of Animal Breeding Office 14 Land Relations, L. DUUMAA, Land Specialist Suumaa_2006@yahoo.com Construction and City Development Department 15 Social Welfare and UNDRAKH, Chief Labour Division # Date Organization Contact Person Details 16 Meteorological Ts. BUMKHAND, Director 99012472, 98992472 Station Bumaa_ts26@yahoo.com 17 Ovorkhangai NEMA, CHULUUNBAATAR , Vice Director 18 19 Sant Soum 20 Soum Government TSETSEGBADAM, Governor 21 May V& AB Service TSENENBANDI, Animal 10 Breeding Specialist 22 Cooperative TOGOO, Director of Sant- Mandal Cooperative 23 Herder NGO PUNTSAG Bayansan 24 Dairy Farmer OIDOV 25 NEMA Reserves BATSUKH 26 Fodder Producer, Ch. YANJMAA Dealer 27 May Rashaant Soum, B. TUMURDORJ, Governor 99991859 11 Bulgan Province 28 Fodder Producer and J. MUNKNASAN 99971798 Dealer 29 May Mercy Corp, ARIUNGEREL, Officer 12 Livestock Early ENHKZAYA, Project Warning System Coordinator (LEWS) 30 MOFALI, Livestock B. BINIE, Vice-director Policy Implementation 31 MOFALI, Livestock BYAMBADORJ, Pasture Policy Implementation Specialist 32 FAO Emergency B. GANCHIMEG, Livestock Response Specialist 33 May SDC Coping with DAVAADORJ, Director 99187311 13 Desertification Project 34 UNDP ONNO 35 UNDP Preventing N. BATJARGAL, Manager Desertification Project 36 May Inter-aimag Otor D. TSOLMON, Director 976-51-262639 16 Administration 37 Inter-aimag Otor ALTANGEREL, Senior Administration Specialist 38 Seabuckthorn NGO D. NASANJARGAL, Head 39 MOFALI, Livestock GANKHUYAG, Director Policy Implementation 40 SDC Livestock BATSAIKHAN, Director Project ZOLZAYA, Officer 41 Center for Policy A. ENKH-AMGALAN, Head 99119027 Research (CPR) # Date Organization Contact Person Details 42 May SLP II M. NARANTUYA, Monitoring 976-11-322465 17 Specialist 43 SDC Green Gold DORLIGSUREN, Director World Bank, T. NOMUUNTUGS, ntuvaan@wirldbank.org Mongolia & China Sustainable Development Unit 44 May IBLIP H. MUNKNARAN, Monitoring info@iblip.mn 19 specialist 45 FAO Representative N. OYUNDELGER, Representative 46 Research Institute for D. NERGUI, Director Animal Husbandry (RIAH) 47 May Workshop Various Stakeholders – See 20 separate list 48 Altantaria Flour Mill GANZORIG, Vice Director 49 NEMA D. NAMSRAI, Deputy Chief 50 Fodder Dealer Khurelbaatar, Trader in fooder 51 May EU Livestock Health IAN LEACH, Team leader 23 and Marketing Project 52 National Agency for E. ERDENEBAT, Director, Meteorology and International Cooperation Environment Division Monitoring 53 National Agricultural I. KHANIMKHAN, Director of Extention Centre Project and Cooperation Division 54 May SEC M. ENKH-AMAR, Secretary 24 55 MOFALI, Livestock G. NARANCHULUUN, Risk Policy Implementation Management Specialist 2. World Bank Round Table Discussion on “Dzud Disaster Financing and Response in Mongoliaâ€?, May 4, 2011 # Name Organization Title Contact Office phone Email addres number/mobile 1 Enkhzaya D LEWS Coordinator 99100153 461145-107 enkhzaya@mercycorps.mn 2. Khuyagtsogt O Ministry of Finance Senior Officer 99054137 264328 Khuyagtsogt_o@mof.gov 3 Myakhdadag B Standing Committee, Senior Officer 99182751 264405 Myakhdadag2004@yahoo.com Parliament 4 Choi-Ish L MOFALI Dep. Director 99155518 262563 l.choiis@yahoo.com 5 Enkhjargal EU AHLM project Director 99008286 451850 snkhjargal@ahlmproject.mn 6 Oyundelger FAO FAO representative 99092764 310248 oyundelger.nataa@fao.org 7 Zolzaya SDC Livestock Project Project Officer 99174131 451149 zola 8 Ian Leach AHLM project TAT Leader 99637089 40150254 ianleach@tateam.net 9 Fagninol Gilles UNICEF 99118544 10 Turbat D NEMA Officer 93050463 263540 Turenkh199@yahoo.com 11 M. Enkh-Amar NEMA SEC secretary 99114436 De_amaraa@yahoo.com 12 P. Baigalmaa UNDP DM project Officer 88003850 328027 p.baigalmaa@mongol.net 13 Enkh-Amgalan. A CPR Director 99119027 70117094 14 Erdenesaikhan N ENVIRON Consultant 91910331 311938 erdene@environ.mn 15 C. Tsetsgee FAO ERCU Director 99113784 462737 tsetsgee@mongolia-dairy.mn 16 Debra R Agriteam Canada Ag Economist 99110297 drasmussen@agriteam.ca 17 Tsetsegmaa A ADB Economist 99083844 329638 tamar@adb.org 18 Shombodon D RISC Head 99243305 shombodon@yahoo.com 19 Ariungerel LEWS Mercy Corps Officer 99793988 461145-124 arvingerel@yahoo.com 20 Ts. Enkh-Amgalan MSRM Project Manager 99182038 enkhamgalan@greengold.mn 21 N. Batjargal UNDP SLM Project Coordinator 99179141 463032 nbatjargal@desertification.mn 22 Onno van den UNDP Program officer 327585-123 Onno.heuvel@undp.org Heuvel 23 Charlie Benson WB Consultant 24 L. Tungalag WB Consultant 99900509 3. World Bank Round Table Discussion “Improving Feed and Fodder Supply for Dzud Management in Mongoliaâ€? May 20 2011 # Name Organization Title Contact Office phone Email address number/mobile 1 G. Baatar NEMA Head of Division 263570 baatar@emer.gov.mn 2 Turbat D NEMA Officer 93050463 263540 Turenkh199@yahoo.com 3 G. Naranshuluun MOFALI 99190332 263247 4 Tsolmon Inter-aimag Otor Region Administration 5 L. Tungalag WB Consultant 99900509 329638 6 B. Ganchimeg FAO ERCU Crop specialist 99855401, 462737 Ganchimeg_428@yahoo.com 98115401 7 Ian Leach AHLM project TAT Leader 99637089 40150254 ianleach@tateam.net 8 Enkhjargal EU AHLM project Director 99008286 451850 snkhjargal@ahlmproject.mn 9 Enkhzaya D LEWS Coordinator 99100153 461145-107 enkhzaya@mercycorps.mn 10 Davaadorj G SDC Coping with Manager 99187311 326401-814 coordinator@greenmongolia.mn Desertification Project 11 Zolzaya SDC Livestock Project Consultant 99174131 451149 zola 12 Tsogtbaatar Dept of Veterinary and Deputy Director 99118397 Animal Breeding 13 Deeshin Dept of Veterinary and Senior officer 99135386 Animal Breeding 14 Debra R Agriteam Canada Ag Economist 99110297 drasmussen@agriteam.ca 15 Shombodon D RISC Head 99243305 shombodon@yahoo.com 16 Otgonchimeg B RISC Consultant 99060396 17 Nyamjargal G UN FAO Staff member 18 Franch Vannerelle ACF vanofranck@gmail.com. 19 Antony Penney Consultant People who sent written comments and suggestions: 1 Myakhdadag B Standing Committee, Senior Officer 99182751 264405 Myakhdadag2004@yahoo.com Parliament 2 N. Batjargal UNDP SLM Project 99179141 463032 nbatjargal@desertification.mn Coordinator 3 Davaadorj G SDC Coping with Manager 99187311 326401-814 coordinator@greenmongolia.mn Desertification Project The following is an unofficial translation of the Mongolian Livestock Fodder Program. Phase 1 runs from 2008 to 2011 and Phase 2 from 2012 to 2015: Government of Mongolia Decree November 7, 2007 No. 283 Ulaanbaatar Approval of Programme In order to fulfil the state policy on food and agriculture and objectives of the Government Action Programme on preventing livestock from natural disaster and improving hay and fodder supply, the Government of Mongolia DECREES: 1. Approve Livestock Fodder Programme as in Annex 1 and action plan of the Programme as in Annex 2. 2. Assign Minister of Finance, N. Bayartsaikhan, Minister of Food and Agriculture, D. Terbishdagva, and Governors of Aimags and the Capital City to include objectives and activities of the Programme in the annual Social and Economic Development Directions and funding for the implementation of the Programme in the national and local budgets starting from 2008. 3. Assign Minister of Food and Agriculture, D. Terbishdagva, organize the implementation of the Livestock Fodder Programme and report progress and outcome of the Programme implementation to the Government within the first quarter of every year. Prime Minister M. Enkhbold Minister of Food and Agriculture D. Terbishdagva Annex 1 to Government of Mongolia Decree No. 283 of 2007 LIVESTOCK FODDER PROGRAMME One. General background 1. Despite increase in number of livestock of Mongolia, production of products and raw materials at full capacity using biological resources of livestock in pastoral herding conditions and supply of food for population have become insufficient under direct impact of hay and fodder reserves. According to research survey, almost 70.0% of total pasture of Mongolia has been degraded to certain extent, in results, species of pasture vegetation have changed and nutrition of grass has decreased due to increased share of poorly digestible grass for livestock. Biomass of pasture grass has decreased by 30.0%, in addition, total area of pasture has been decreasing from year to year owing to urban construction, road construction and mining. Nutritional value of pasture grass in the winter and spring falls by 2-3 times than in the summer and autumn and livestock eats half of its required feed in 180-200 days. In 2006, fodder crops were planted on 3850.5 ha and gave 10.2 thousand tonne yield, which was 25 times less than average of 1986-1990. So, livestock growth, increase in number and production of value-added products are ensured by sufficiency of pasture and animal fodder. Two. Needs to design the Programme 2. There is a need to formulate and implement a clear policy to locally take measures to prevent pastoral livestock from potential natural risks and supply good quality and output-increasing fodder to intensified beef, dairy cow, pig and poultry farms located in the outskirt of settled cities and towns. Fodder equal to total 37.0 million mt hay (1 kg of hay equals 0.45 fodder unit) is needed annually to feed 57.8 million livestock in SU. Researchers estimate to supply approx. 70% of this need from natural pasture and rest by hay, green fodder and manufactured fodder. State Policy on Food and Agriculture, approved by Parliament decree no. 29 of 2003, emphasizes to build environments to prepare animal fodder using local resources/reserves in all natural and economic zones, support fodder production, and increase the share of high-energy, complex fodder in total fodder production through setting up small and medium fodder factories. Government Action Plan describes “…increase animal fodder production… through which strengthen natural risk resilience of traditional livestock herdingâ€?. Based on these, the current Programme is elaborated. Three. Aim and Objectives of the Programme 3. The aim of the Programme lies in building environments to prevent livestock from natural potential risks by increasing quantity and type of hay and fodder with participation of livestock herding people, enterprises and organizations and to ensure sustainable development of production. 4. Following objectives will be fulfilled in order to achieve the Programme aim: 4.1. Build favorable economic and legal environments to increase fodder production and prevent livestock from risks. 4.2. Increase supply of livestock fodder through introducing advanced technologies of hay and fodder making and adapting best practices of various fodder making. 4.3. Improve use and protection of natural pasture. 4.4. Facilitate hay and fodder preparation by all herder households and enterprises and strengthen capacity to use fodder in proper fashion. Four. Actions and directions to implement the Project 5. Following activities will be implemented in order to achieve objectives stated in 4.1 of the Programme 5.1. Elaborate and abide standard and technology to produce and use mixed and combined fodder for intensified beef, dairy cow, sheep, pig, and poultry farms; 5.2. Support with loan and investment policy initiatives of herder households and enterprises to set up or expand small and medium fodder factories to produce protein-vitamin, combined, mixed, cake or pellet fodder; 5.3. Take measures to build legal environment and provide temporary tax alleviation to residents and enterprises to produce high-protein, high-energy, full-content fodder suitable for type, age and sex of animals that are reared in the outskirt or nearby of regional centers, cities and towns; 5.4. Adapt “exchange energyâ€? method, an internationally accepted way of calculating animal feed nutrition value; 5.5. Support enterprises to engage in seed multiplication of annual and perennial fodder crops; 5.6. Promote initiatives to prepare and use multi-composite fodder using salt, salt marsh, bone flour, chalk, livestock dung ash and zeolite; 5.7. Develop science-based pasture use and fodder production and supply with technological management; 5.8. Expand research work on increasing volume of fodder production, improving quality of fodder and introduce successful ones in production practice. 6. Following activities will be implemented within 4.2 provision of the Programme 6.1. Take measures to expand area of hay-making and stably increase yield and quality of hay per ha based on participation of herders and enterprises; 6.2. Increase fodder production, improve supply of modern hay-making machinery, technology and spare parts, through increasing international and national loan and investment; 6.3. Within the frame of regional development policy, support cooperation of aimag and soum hay- making; 6.4. In order to increase fodder quantity, support residents and enterprises engaged in fodder crop growing or hay-making on irrigated fields using irrigation systems, wells, pools or ponds, snow or rain water in terms of technique and technology; 6.5. Announce and evaluate competition among enterprises and residents of pasture irrigation, irrigated perennial fodder crop cultivation, and fodder preparation and promote best practices to general public. 7. Following activities will be implemented within 4.3 provision of the Programme 7.1. Build legal environment to issue pasture to herder households’ ownership, form collective monitoring of pasture use; 7.2. Build legal environment to impose pasture use fee on herder households depending on the regional specifics and livestock types, form a special fund and use for pasture use improvement; 7.3. Implement measures to issue fodder cropping and hay-making land to settled farmers running intensified beef, dairy cow, sheep, pig, and poultry farming; 7.4. Improve pasture management, establish a data base and pasture cadastre mapping; 7.5. Establish adequate area of pasture per total livestock in sheep unit in each natural and climatic region, perform annual evaluation of pasture use; 7.6. Include measures to prevent and monitor pasture and hay-making area from land degradation and desertification in the national and local land pool planning and implement such; 7.7. Study and solve issue of allowing land other than arable land by land pool classification for pasture purposes under certain conditions and criteria; 7.8. Increase water supply of pasture by refurbishing, rehabilitating or fencing open water, pools or ponds, water pools or digging new wells. 8. Following activities will be implemented within the frame of 4.4 provision of the Programme 8.1. Organize training for herders to train in technology of producing hay, hay silage, combined fodder, mixed fodder and hand-made fodder using good quality fodder crops, produce manuals and brochures of fodder production, promote through media; 8.2. Train all herder households in skills to press snow on 1-2 ha near winter and spring camps and this way maintain moisture in soil to grow fodder crops or cropped hay; 8.3. Assist herders and enterprises to have small scale hay or fodder making equipment and technology, establish and operate regional rehabilitation and services units of agricultural machinery; 8.4. Implement hay and hand fodder preparation and storage for winter and spring use at level of herding households; 8.5. Set up marketing channel to supply good quality, low price, various type manufactured fodder to herders, herding residents and enterprises, open outlets in aimags and soums. Five. Phases of the Programme Implementation 9. Livestock Fodder Programme will be implemented in two phases until 2015. 9.1. First phase: 2008 – 2011. Increase livestock fodder production, improve quality of fodder, favorable legal economical and legal environment to prevent livestock sector from risks, improve technique and technology of fodder production; 9.2. Second phase: 2012 – 2015. Strengthen capacity of herders and herding households in building animal fodder reserves and properly using available pasture and fodder, improve pasture use management and organization. Six. Management and Organization of the Programme 10. National Council should coordinate the Programme at national level and central government organization in charge of food and agriculture should organize its implementation. Sub-Councils should be responsible for the Programme implementation at aimag, capital city, soum and district levels. 11. Chairperson of the National Council should be Minister of Food and Agriculture. Sub-Councils should be chaired by governors of respective levels and members of the Sub-Councils should be representatives of relevant professional organizations, NGOs, enterprises and residents. 12. Within the Programme framework, National Council should be in charge of approving and ensuring implementation of annual consolidated plan of work and Governors of respective levels should be in charge of plan of work to be implemented locally. Seven. Financial resources and funding of the Programme 13. Following financial resources will be used to implement the Programme: 13.1.Assets of residents and enterprises 13.2. National budget 13.3. Local budget 13.4. Long-term loan 13.5. Soft loan and assistance from international organizations 13.6. Donations from organizations and individuals 14. Funding from the national budget should be included in the budget package of the Minister of Food and Agriculture. 15. Financial resources that formed within the framework of the Programme should be centralized in Livestock Protection Fund and use in accordance with initial purposes. Eight. Criteria to Measure the Programme Implementation 16. Progress and outcomes of the Programme will be evaluated by following criteria: 16.1.Legal documents approved for the purpose of implementing the Programme and evaluation of its implementation; 16.2. National annual preparation of hay, fodder crop harvest, manufactured fodder in quantity, type, in particular number of newly established fodder factories and type, quantity and nutrition of manufactured fodder assessed with “exchange energyâ€?, quality assessment of fodder, quantity and nutrition of fodder used to produce 1 kg milk, 1 kg meat and 10 eggs; 16.3. Number of herder households, enterprises that newly possessed small scale hay-making equipment and hectare of pasture that were fenced or rehabilitated; 16.4. National budget used for fodder production or pasture rehabilitation, size of funding from projects implemented in this direction and its results; 16.5. Number of trainings and trainees on livestock fodder preparation, pasture improvement and livestock feeding.