The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Burundi Coffee Sector Competitiveness Project (P151869) Burundi Coffee Sector Competitiveness Project (P151869) AFRICA EAST | Burundi | Agriculture and Food Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2016 | Seq No: 11 | ARCHIVED on 30-Mar-2021 | ISR45580 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock, Ministry of Finance, Budget, Cooperation and Economic Development Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 17-Jun-2016 Effectiveness Date: 12-Oct-2016 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 01-Jun-2020 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 15-Nov-2019 Original Closing Date: 30-Jun-2022 Revised Closing Date: 30-Jun-2023 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objective (PDO) is to increase coffee productivity and improve its quality among small-scale coffee growersin Burundi. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1 ? Institutional strengthening and value chain governance:(Cost $8.50 M) Component 2 ? Coffee growers productive capacity enhancement:(Cost $31.26 M) Component 3 ? Coffee quality improvement and market access:(Cost $8.08 M) Component 4 ? Coordination, monitoring and knowledge management:(Cost $7.16 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Unsatisfactory Unsatisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Unsatisfactory Unsatisfactory Overall Risk Rating High High Implementation Status and Key Decisions The mission was an opportunity to recall that a constant dialogue has taken place between the World Bank and the GoB since October 2020, in particular with the Ministry of the Environment, Agriculture and Livestock (MINEAGRIE) on the impossibility of pursuing the Project in its current design. Actually, pursing it as such will put it at the risk of not reaching its objectives due to the stalling of five (5) intermediate indicators and one (1) PDO level indicator. The mission concluded that, given the lack of progress of some key indicators and, as result of a high level dialogue between the Bank and GoB, it was decided to close the project early, by June 30, 2021. In this regard, the Bank task-team, and the GoB representatives agreed on an action plan to achieve the goal of the project’s anticipated closing on June 30, 2021 with a transition time for the remaining resources transfer to the BLRRP . A detailed action plan has been agreed upon in this regard and is part of the mission's Aide-memoire. 3/30/2021 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Burundi Coffee Sector Competitiveness Project (P151869) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance High High High Macroeconomic High High High Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate High High Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and High Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Substantial Moderate Stakeholders Substantial Substantial Substantial Other Substantial Substantial Substantial Overall High High High Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes PDO indicators IN00956123 ►Increased coffee productivity in the project area (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.80 0.80 0.82 1.60 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 The evaluation of this indicator is part of a comprehensive survey that the National Institute of Statistics and Econom done under a contract with the Project Coordination Unit. This study was planned to be completed by end December published. Several challenges were met by ISTEBU in the course of this exercise. Comments: IN00956124 ►Share of coffee production with AA/A/FW15+ quality (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 3/30/2021 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Burundi Coffee Sector Competitiveness Project (P151869) Value 59.00 60.55 65.93 69.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 This indicator has been proposed for modification on the occasion of the MTR but stayed as initially given the changes made by the GoB on the Project's implementation arrangements which have excluded Comments: ARFIC, InterCafe, CNAC as original implementing agencies. IN00956125 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 144,939.00 172,910.00 300,000.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 Beneficiaries already registered are those who received the fertilizer (4,008), 16,304 recipients who have previously recently cut and rejuvenated the coffee trees, and 5,435 beneficiaries who replanted in 2017; 29,871 who cut and rejuvenated their coffee trees in 2018, 40,664 who replanted in 2018 and 1,313 who Comments: received subsidies from farmers field schools( FFS) sub-projects and shadow coffee subprojects plus 4,100 of demonstration sites as those newly reached in 2019 and 2020. IN00956126 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 15.51 16.50 30.00 IN00956127 ►Share of specialty coffee of total exports (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.60 0.60 0.60 15.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 There is no new number for this indicator which has not been measured during the period under Comments: review given the withdrawal of the concerned Implementing Agencies from the Project's implementation. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Institutional strengthening and value chain governance IN00956128 ►Coffee Act adopted by the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 3/30/2021 Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Burundi Coffee Sector Competitiveness Project (P151869) ToRs for the recruitment of a firm that will be in charge of the drafting of the Coffee Act being drafted by a consultant selected for this purpose. The process didn't progressed because of : (i) the institutional changes in the sector, (ii) the Covid-19 impact which further slowed down some activities. Comments: Activities leading to the achievement of this indicator have staled given the above mentioned changes that withdrawn ARFIC, Inter-Cafe and CNAC from the project's implementation. IN00956131 ►Coffee cooperatives legally registered (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 31.00 77.08 77.08 70.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 The level of achievement was reached before the institutional changes. So the previous implementation rate of 77.08% remains unchanged. Comments: IN00956134 ►Coffee pricing formula accepted by InterCafé, CNAC and ARFIC (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 A study has been completed to determine the costs of production at each segment of the value chain. The price was under calculation when the institutional changes happened. So this activity didn't progressed due to the new institutional changes in he sector particularly because the new regulatory context for the Comments: coffee sector has put an end to the activities of the three implementing agencies namely: Inter-cafe, CNAC and ARFIC. This indicator has continued to stagnate under the same status as previously. IN00956137 ►Coffee sector MIS in place and operational (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 The Census of coffee trees by satellite imagery is at a standstill for the moment. Regarding the general census of coffee growers and coffee trees carried out by ISTEEBU, the field data collection phase was completed. Based on the geographic coordinates collected during the physical census, it is planned to develop a geo-referenced information system. There is progress on the geo- Comments: mapping initiative because of the impact of institutional change in the sector and because of the Covid-19 The general census of coffee growers and coffee trees has been completed by ISTEEBU and the report is available. However the geo-mapping initiative has failed with no additional progress since the last ISR. Component 2: Coffee growers productive capacity enhancement IN00956129 ►Coffee trees replanted (in million) (Number (Thousand), Custom) 3/30/2021 Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Burundi Coffee Sector Competitiveness Project (P151869) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 8.40 15,280.00 16.50 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 The number is in millions of trees. The updated cumulative number is 15,280,000 ; i.e. almost double Comments: the number of 8,400,000 trees reported in April 15, 2020. IN00956132 ►Coffee trees rejuvenated through full stumping (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 13,970,000.00 18,920,000.00 18,750,000.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 The data cover the years 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020. Comments: IN00956135 ►Total area established with improved inter-cropping systems (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6,498.14 6,498.00 7,050.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 Data are estimated on the basis of the number of coppiced coffee trees and the number of replaced coffee trees integrating intercropping in accordance with the recommendations of project mid-term review and Comments: the number of coffee trees located in the demonstration sites. The number of 6,498 ha has not changed since the previous ISR. IN00956138 ►Clients who have adopted an improved agricultural technology promoted by the project, (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 93,587.00 97,687.00 90,000.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 16,304 coffee growers having full stamped coffee trees and intercropping and 5,435 replanting and intercropping in 2017, 29,871 receiving and intercropping, 40,664 replanting and intercropping in 2018 and 1313 which benefited from FFS sub-project grants and sub-projects of shad grown coffee . The assessment is ongoing for current year which will help to update the overall number which remains 93,857 at the moment. This number includes 16,304 coffee farmers who transplanted and intercropped and 5,435 who replanted and intercropped in 2017, 29,871 who transplanted and intercropped, 40,664 who replanted and Comments: intercropped in 2018; 1,313 who benefited from grants from FFS sub-projects and shadow coffee sub- projects and 4,100 located in demonstration sites. For 2020, the project has not released seeds for intercropping. In future reports, this indicator will be reassessed in accordance with the recommendations of the mid-term review of the project: "those who have simultaneously done the following good practices will be considered to have adopted the good practices promoted by the project: mulching, pruning (production and regeneration) and spraying " 3/30/2021 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Burundi Coffee Sector Competitiveness Project (P151869) Component 3 : Coffee quality improvement and market access IN00956130 ►Number of new cupping labs operational in major production areas, (Number) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 The procurement of such equipment has been slowed down because this activity is part of the demand driven sub-projects. A critical mass of such projects were approved by the Bank in November 2020 and Comments: are expected to be all implemented by June 30, 2021.. IN00956133 ►CWSs and dry mills equipped with eco-friendly tech/ infrastructure and/or up-graded storage facilities (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 The activity is being done on the basis of shared costs. Selection and approval committees are in place and sub-projects are already selected at national level and submitted to the Bank. These sub-projects are approved and their implementation is expected to take off soon. Comments: Some concrete achievements are expected before June 30, 2021 since there are some approved sub- projects requested in this regard. IN00956136 ►Additional man/days offered by CWS (by gender), (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 240,000.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 The indicator has not been assessed yet. Comments: IN00956139 ►Roads rehabilitated, Rural (km) (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 33.00 60.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 Rehabilitation of 33 km (3 lots) completed. The number has appeared under actual because the works are completed for the first part of 33 km Comments: feeder roads will finish. IN00956142 ►Coffee export procedure processing time (ARFIC) - (Days) (Days, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 3/30/2021 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Burundi Coffee Sector Competitiveness Project (P151869) Value 10.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 This indicator will be measured once the one-shop stop will be set up. The MTR held in November 2019 recommended to accelerate its creation by April 2020. Unfortunately the institutional changes that happened and the Covid-19 that happened in the meantime impose undetermined delay for this initiative's Comments: materialization. There is no progress on this indicator because of the institutional change in the coffee sector which has eliminated ARFIC. IN00956144 ►Beneficiary satisfaction with project services (including CNAC, Inter Café) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 96.64 96.64 70.00 Date 31-Mar-2015 15-Apr-2020 29-Jan-2021 30-Apr-2022 The study is done and the report has been validated. The positive achievement rates indicate that the level of the indicator reached has exceeded the expected Comments: target. The data come from a study on the level of satisfaction carried out on the beneficiaries of 2017 and 2018. Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P151869 IDA-D0570 Effective USD 55.00 55.00 0.00 33.67 21.45 61% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P151869 IDA-D0570 Effective 17-Jun-2016 05-Aug-2016 12-Oct-2016 30-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2023 Cumulative Disbursements 3/30/2021 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Burundi Coffee Sector Competitiveness Project (P151869) PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 30-Jun-2020 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 3/30/2021 Page 8 of 8