The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) AFRICA EAST | Eastern Africa | Water Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 12 | DRAFT | ISR42439 | Implementing Agencies: Zambezi River Authority, The Republic of Zambia Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 09-Dec-2014 Effectiveness Date: 20-Aug-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 21-Sep-2020 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 28-Feb-2025 Revised Closing Date: 28-Feb-2025 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective is to assist in improving the safety and reliability of the Kariba Dam. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Institutional and Project Management:(Cost $70.30 M) Component 2: Plunge Pool Reshaping:(Cost $99.30 M) Component 3: Spillway Refurbishment:(Cost $124.60 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions Overall implementation progress remains moderately satisfactory, and progress towards achievement of the PDO remains satisfactory. The dam break analysis has been completed. All major contracts have been awarded, and, though delayed, work is proceeding on both works components. The installation of piers 2 to 5 of the cofferdam has been completed. For the spillway refurbishment, the site establishment is underway, and the fabrication of built-in parts and needle cofferdam has commenced. However, the global pandemic is affecting implementation progress on the ground, particularly with regards to shipment of materials and equipment, mobility of both contractor and engineers staff. 7/30/2020 Page 1 of 5 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic -- Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies -- Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program -- Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and -- Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary -- Moderate Moderate Environment and Social -- Moderate Substantial Stakeholders -- Moderate Moderate Other -- -- Moderate Overall -- Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Number of people benefitting in the project area through risk reduction and avoided disaster IN00861769 ►Number of people benefitting in the project area through risk reduction and avoided disaster (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Dam break analysis Dam break analysis 3,000,000 people no 3,000,000 at risk from under implementation Value complete and EPP longer at risk from failure and informing detailed update underway. failure assessment Date 27-Feb-2015 08-Apr-2020 18-Jun-2020 28-Feb-2025 Successful completion of the rehabilitation works will improve the safety and remove the threat of risks to Comments: downstream populations Emergency Preparedness Plan adopted and operationalized IN00861768 ►Emergency Preparedness Plan adopted and operationalized (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes No Yes 7/30/2020 Page 2 of 5 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) Date 27-Feb-2015 08-Oct-2019 16-Jun-2020 28-Feb-2025 Measures overall outcome in securing safety of Kariba Dam through restoration of operational curve governed by EPP. Comments: Given the need to update the EPP, this indicator has been unmarked as met. It is expected that the EPP will be updated prior to plunge pool dewatering and again 1 year before project close. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Institutional and Project Management IN00861770 ►Emergency Preparedness Plan Updated (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target EPP to be further EPP further revised in Existing EPP limits revised in anticipation anticipation of the Updated EPP adopted Value operations due to dam of the commencement commencement of the and operationalized safety concerns of the plunge pool plunge pool works works Date 27-Feb-2015 08-Oct-2019 08-Oct-2019 28-Feb-2025 Monitors progress in updating information for improvements to the EPP Comments: IN00861793 ►Dam Break Analysis Completed and Integrated into the EPP (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Dam break analysis consists of 4 phases. Reporting for the first 3 phases is complete. The Flood inundation and Limited information final analysis (combining Dam break analysis Value risk maps integrated available all phases) is being completed. into EPP finalized. The contract for consultant is expected to close at the end of April 2020. Date 27-Feb-2015 16-Apr-2020 29-May-2020 28-Feb-2025 Monitors progress in updating information for improvements to the EPP Comments: Component 2: Plunge Pool Reshaping IN00861791 ►Plunge Pool: Volume Excavated (Cubic Meter(m3), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 300,000.00 Date 27-Feb-2015 08-Oct-2019 08-Oct-2019 27-Feb-2020 7/30/2020 Page 3 of 5 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) Comments: Measures improved safety through physical interventions and stability of plunge pool. Component 3: Spillway Refurbishment IN00861792 ►Spillway: Gates Refurbished (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Fabrications of BIP Ready to commence Value 0 gates refurbished and Needle Cofferdam 6 gates refurbished fabrications. underway Date 27-Feb-2015 16-Apr-2020 18-Jun-2020 28-Feb-2025 Measures improved reliability through improved operations via refurbishment of the spillway Comments: IN00861794 ►Spillway: Rule Curve (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The rule curve will be The rule curve will be reviewed and revised reviewed and revised as as part of the ongoing part of the ongoing process of the process of the preparation for the preparation for the works. works. The TS&S Rule curve reduced by The TS&S Consultant Consultant has Rule curve restored to Value 3.5m has completed the initial completed the initial full supply level review associated with review associated with the plunge pool and the the plunge pool and design review report is the design review being prepared for the report is being spillway refurbishment. prepared for the spillway refurbishment. Date 27-Feb-2015 08-Oct-2019 08-Oct-2019 28-Feb-2025 Measures impact of improved safety of the plunge pool and reliability of the spillway through restoration of Comments: full operational capacity reflected in the operating rule Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P146515 IDA-55630 Effective USD 75.00 75.00 0.00 8.55 61.31 12% P146515 TF-19029 Effective USD 20.00 20.00 0.00 7.46 12.54 37% 7/30/2020 Page 4 of 5 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P146515 IDA-55630 Effective 09-Dec-2014 20-Feb-2015 20-Aug-2015 28-Feb-2025 28-Feb-2025 P146515 TF-19029 Effective 09-Dec-2014 20-Feb-2015 20-Aug-2015 30-Sep-2019 30-Jun-2022 Cumulative Disbursements PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 27-Sep-2019 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 7/30/2020 Page 5 of 5