POLICY RESEARCH REPORT ON d GENDER AND DEVELOPMENT Working Paper Series, No. 3 Gender and Preferences for Th paper examines kow demand Malaria Prevention in dependigon whose preferences in the household are assessed, Me Tigray, Ethiopia anyi nia that wk prevent makaria in dtheir household malaria than married men. There Julian A. Lampietti are, however, no sigmfcntw Christine Poulos ~~~~~~~dfferences in the rate at which male Christine Poulos ~~~~~~~~and female respondent substiute Maureen L. Cropper tm g imid chdk6n for aidodts when choosing an optimal amount Haile Mitiku of mnaliria prevention for their Dale Whittington househoUd A new, test of the 'common preference' hypothesis is preasente& October 1999 The World Bank Development Research Group! Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Network IThe PRR on Gender and Development Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about the Policy Research Report. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. Thec findings, interpretations, and conclusions are the author's own and do not necessarily represent the view of the World Bank, its Board of Directors, or any of its member countries. Coie ae vaale nbne_at http: //www.worldbank.org/gender/prr. Policv Research Report on Gender and Development Over the last several decades, gender researchers and academics outside the issues have attained increased Bank, other donor agencies, and groups prominence in the debates over from civil society. In addition to the development policy. There is a growing consultation process, a series of body of evidence and experience linking background papers on selected topics has gender awareness in policy and projects been commissioned. These papers have to equitable, efficient, and sustainable been selected to fill some of the gaps in outcomes in development. However, the existing literature as well as to these links are still not widely augment knowledge in selected areas. understood nor have these lessons been fully integrated by donors or national The Policy Research Report on Gender policy makers. and Development Working Paper Series is intended to encourage early discussion of In mid 1998, work began on the Policy the findings of these papers in advance of Research Report (PRR) on Gender and the expected publication of the PRR in Development. The objectives of the Spring 2000. An objective of the series is report will be to strengthen the analytical to get the findings out quickly, even if the and empirical underpinnings of these presentation is less than fully polished. links and, in doing so, to clarify the The papers are preliminary and carry the value added of bringing a gender names of the authors and should be cited perspective to the analysis and design of accordingly. development policies and projects. The findings, interpretations, and In pursuit of these objectives, the PRR will conclusions are the author's own and do draw on interdisciplinary perspectives, not necessarily reflect the view of the from research and project and policy World Bank, its Board of Directors, or any experience. The report will incorporate of its member countries. extensive consultation with Bank staff, This paper is part of a series of papers on selected topics commissioned for the forthcoming Policy Research Report on Gender and Development. The PRR is being carried out by Elizabeth King and Andrew Mason and co-sponsored by the World Bank's Development Economics Research Group and the Gender and Development Group of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Network. Comments are welcome and should be sent directly to the author(s) at julian@lampietti.com. Copies can be found online at http://www.worldbank.org/gender/prr. For paper copies, please send your request to Gender_PRR@worldbank.org. Gender and Preferences for Malaria Prevention in Tigray, Ethiopia Julian A. Lampietti3, Christine Poulosh, Maureen L. Croppera, Haile Mitikuc, and Dale Whittington' Abstract: This paper examines how demand for preventive health care differs depending on whose preferences in the household are assessed. The analysis indicates that married women are willing to pay more to prevent malaria in their household malaria than married men. There are, however, no significant differences in the rate at which male and female respondents substitute teenagers and children for adults when choosing an optimal amount of malaria prevention for their household. A new test of the 'common preference' hypothesis is presented. Keywords: Intrahousehold Allocation; Malaria; Gender Analysis, Non-market valuation, Health Economics a The World Bank b University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill c Mekele University College,Mekele, Ethiopia This article is based on Julian ALampietti's Ph.D. dissertation "Assessing Preferences for Health Care: Willingness to Pay for Malaria Prevention in Northern Ethiopia" (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 1999). The research received financial support from the UJNDP/World Bank/WHO SpeciaProgramme for Research and Training in Tropical Disease (TDR). Thanks are due to V. K. Smith for inspiring the ideas presented here and to Bill Evans for providing the SAS code used to estimate the model. The field work would not have been possible without the help of K. Komives and T. Ghebreyesus. Earlier drafts of this paper benefited from comments by Robert Conrad, Milager, John Villani. Andrew Mason,Hanan Jacoby, Lant Pritchett Francois Bourginion, Shahidur Khandker, andNobu Fuwa. Introduction' One of the goals of the literature on intrahousehold allocation is to determine whether husbands and wives would make the same choices when confronted with decisions regarding family welfare. The literature to date suggests that they would not, a finding that has important policy implications. For example, if wives purchase more health care for their families than husbands, policies that place more resources in the hands of women would have significantly different impacts on household welfare than policies to increase the incomes of men. This depends, of course, on women having the opportunity and resources to make these purchase decisions. This paper examines whether husbands and wives in northern Ethiopia make the same choices with regard to an important form of health care -- malaria prevention: Specifically, we compare husbands' and wives' demand functions for two different goods that prevent malaria. Our interest lies not only in seeing whether the demand functions of husbands and wives differ, but also in how these demand functions are affected by family composition. Holding family size constant, will households with more children buy more bednets or fewer bednets, and will this decision differ between husbands and wives? While the policy implications of these decisions are important in their own right, this research also contributes to the growing literature on intra-household allocation decisions. As noted by Thomas (1997), tests of the hypothesis that families maximize a common utility function (the common preference hypothesis) rely on the maintained assumption that purchase decisions depend only on thesum of non-earned incomes in the family. Rejection of the hypothesis rests on showing that thedistribution of non-earned incomes within the family affects spending. Measuring non-earned income is, however, fraught with difficulty. We present a new approach to testing the common preference hypothesis. If one is willing to accept that stated choices reflect preferences, then confronting husbands and The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors and should not in any way be attributed to the World Health Organization or the World Bank. 2 This paper builds on a paper byLampietti (1999). 1 wives with such choices provides an alternative method of testing whether they have the same preferences. If preferences differ between husbands and wives, then the common preference model cannot hold. We illustrate this approach using data collected in the Tembien region of Tigray, Ethiopia, in January 1997. Heads of household or their spouses were asked how many hypothetical malaria vaccines or bednets they would purchase for their household at a given price. These data are used to estimate household demand functions for malaria vaccines and bednets for male and female respondents. While the choice of who in the household was interviewed was not random, the demand function for husbands should reflect mean preferences of married men and the demand function for wives should reflect mean preferences of married women. Whether husbands and wives in Ethiopia have the same demands for malaria prevention depends in part on the form that prevention takes. In the case of a hypothetical malaria vaccine--a private good that, by assumption, would protect each person inoculated with the vaccine for one year -- wives would purchase more vaccines for their families at each price than would husbands. There is however, no difference in the impact of family composition on vaccine demand between husbands and wives. In both cases, families with more children purchasefewer vaccines, holding family size constant. For bednets--a private good that within households has some of the properties of a public good -- we cannot reject the null hypothesis that the demand functions are the same. This may be because of the quasi-public nature of the good or because the bednet scenario was administered to about half as many respondents as the vaccine scenario, making it more difficult to reject the null hypothesis of common preferences. Theoretical Model This section develops a theoretical model that combines Becker' (1981) benevolent dictator model and Grossman' (1972) health production model. Becker assumes that a single individual, such as a head of household or their spouse, makes the consumption choices for the entire household. Let us call this person the decision-maker and assume he or she is benevolent. Each family memberi enters the decision-makers 2 utility function. Utility is a function of consumption of a numeraire4i), leisure time (Li), the amount of time spent ill with malaria 6'i), and a vector of decision-maker characteristics (Z) such as education, age, and gender. Assuming n family members, utility is given by U= L(X.. ,, 1.L4, S, ...$1,, Z). (1) Grossman's model relates the individual's choice of health inputs to health outcomes. The time spent ill (Si) with malaria by each individual is a function of preventive care such as vaccines or bednets (4,) and treatment such as chloroquine (Mi). How effective these inputs are depends on individual health characteristics Vi) and, in the case of malaria, on the prevalence of the mosquitoes (which transmit malaria),E. Si = s(A1, Mi, Hi, E). (2) The decision-maker maximizes utility subject to the household budget constraint, n 77 77 77 77 I,i + fw,i(T-Li -Si) = XXi + P A,Ai + P,MiM. (3) i=l i=l i=l i=l i=l where is the sum of each individual's non-earned income (I) and ,w '.(T-Li-S7) is earned income, which is equal to the sum of each individual's wages (v) times the total time available for work (I) minus leisure time v9) and time spent sick (S) with malaria. The sum of these equals total household consumption. This budget constraint indicates household expenditures on consumption, prevention, and treatment cannot exceed household income. The decision-maker selects values of vectorsX, L, A, and M to maximize household utility subject to the budget constraint and to the health production functions. This yields a household demand function. for preventive care, whereA* is the number of vaccines chosen by the decision-maker: 3This model is observationally equivalent to the common preference model in which members of the household have identical preferences over the vectorsX, L, and S. 3 A = g(l, w, p, p, Z, H, E) (4) This function indicates that demand for malaria prevention depends on household non-earned income, a vector of wages for each household member, as well as the prices of preventive and mitigating health care, a vector of decision-maker characteristics, a vector of baseline health for each individual, and the prevalence of mosquitoes. The demand function can be used to examine how the quantity of preventive care purchased changes with the gender of the respondent and the composition of the household. For example, the literature on intrahousehold allocation suggests that improvements in child health have also been associated with a mother' control over family resources. If true, then we would expect women to purchase more preventive care for their children than men do. Holding household size constant, do households with a large number of children purchase more or less vaccines? How is the answer to this question affected by the gender of the respondent? Answering these questions begins to provide insights into the intrahousehold allocation of preventive health care. The value of protecting n household members with hypothetical vaccines is the maximum amount of income that can be taken away from the decision-maker while giving him or her A* vaccines and keeping utility constant. Formally, this is the area under the decision-maker's income-compensated (Hicksian) demand curve for vaccines. This can be approximated using equation (4). The total value the decision-maker places on preventing malaria in themselves and members of their household or Willingness To Pay (WTP) for prevention is the area under the demand curve and to the left of household size. This can be written as: WTP f g(1, w, p, p,, Z, H, E)dA (5) 0 Study Site, Research Design, and Sampling The data were collected in 1997 in the Tembien sector of Tigray province, northern Ethiopia as part of a project to assess the demand for malaria prevention and to 4 compute the medical costs and productivity losses associated with the disease4 The value people place on preventing malaria is a function of their economic circumstances and the severity of the disease. In Tigray, the primary activity is subsistence cultivation. Given the relatively small size of their land holdings, the low productivity of their land, and difficulties in gaining access to inputs and technology, many households are unable to produce enough food (Relief Society of Tigray, 1995). These problems are compounded by the incidence of malaria, which reaches its peak during the harvest each year (Figure 1). Government control activities include spraying in the early part of the transmission season, encouraging environmental control by communities, and training health workers to recognize and treat malaria with chloroquine. The research design was tailored to the study area. Two-thirds of the households sampled were presented with the hypothetical vaccine scenario and one third with the bednet scenario. Each household was randomly assigned one of five prices for either the hypothetical vaccine or the bednet. A three-part survey instrument was administered. The first part asked questions about a household's current health status, knowledge of malaria, and expenditures on malaria prevention and treatment. The second part presented the respondent with one of two contingent valuation scenarios. The third part requested information on the socioeconomic characteristics of the household members. The hypothetical vaccine scenario started by explaining to the respondent that such a vaccine was not currently and might never become available. Then the enumerator described a vaccine that would prevent the recipient from contracting malaria for one year. The scenario included a detailed description of the commodity, checked respondent understanding of how it worked, and provided reminders of substitute goods and the budget constraint. It was also emphasized that a separate vaccine would need to be purchased for each member of the household in order to protect them from getting malaria for one year. The respondent was then asked whether he or she would purchase one or more 4A detailed description of the project and its results may be found inThe Value of Preventing Malaria in Tigray, Ethiopia (Cropper et al. 1999). 5 vaccines at one of five randomly assigned prices. The lowest price was Birr 5 (US$ 1) and the highest price Birr 200 (US$ 32). If the respondent answered 'yes'to the original choice question, he or she was asked how many vaccines would be purchased. In a separate split sample, respondents received a bednet contingent valuation scenario. This scenario coupled an explanation of how using a bednet reduces the probability of contracting malaria with a demonstration of a double-size polyester bednet impregnated with 1 percent deltamethrin. Again, the scenario checked respondent understanding of how the commodity works, and provided reminders of substitute goods and budget constraints. The respondent was then offered the opportunity to purchase one or more bednets at one of five randomly assigned prices.Prices per bednet ranged from a low of Birr 8 (US$ l) to a high of Birr 1 00 (US$ 16). The sampling strategy employed a three-stage design. Districts were selected in the first stage; villages were selected in the second stage; and households were selected in the third stage. Two points about the choice of respondent should be noted. First, only one individual, either a man or a woman, was interviewed in each household. Second, there was no protocol for selecting whether a man or woman was interviewed. While the choice of households was intended to be random, we cannot guarantee that the gender of the respondent was selected at random. Eight hundred and eighty-nine field interviews were completed. Forty-one respondents were not familiar with malaria and were dropped from the study. This left 569 respondents who received the hypothetical vaccine scenario and 279 the bednet scenario (Table 1). Approximately 114 interviews were completed for each of the 5 hypothetical vaccine prices and 56 for each of the 5 bednet prices. Fifty-seven percent of our respondents were women and 43 percent were men; thirty-four percent of female respondents were single heads-of-household& We had to delete one record because the contingent valuation question was not completed properly. 6A female head of household is defined as a female respondent who answered no to the survey question 'Are you married?" or to the survey question 'Is your spouse alive?" 6 Household Demographic Chlaracteristics The average household interviewed consisted of five members: two adults, one teenager (12-19 years of age), and two children (0-11 years of age). The mean age of respondents in our sample is 42, with men being slightly above the mean and women being slightly below it. Literacy is low, with only 13 percent of those interviewed claiming they can read a newspaper with ease. There is a considerable disparity in literacy by gender, with 22 percent of the men in our sample responding that they could read a newspaper with ease, while only 7 percent of women responded in this manner. Labor markets in Tembien are not well developed, making it difficult to measure wages, (w), in the theoretical model. It is possible to use an agricultural production function - in which output depends on the time input of each family member - to impute wages for each household member. However, obtaining measures of time input for each family member remains a difficult empirical task that we chose not to undertake. Instead, we estimate household income and use this as a proxy forw. Adding together crop production, annualized livestock holdings, and off-farm income provides a measure of annual household income. Mean household income is Birr 1,387 (US$ 220) and the median is Birr 1,157 (US$ 183). There are a number of households with very low incomes. One explanation for this is that these households do not produce enough food to support themselves but have coping mechanisms, such as participating in local 'food for work'programs, not captured in the survey. There are significant gender-based differences in reported agricultural income, with men reporting larger figures than women do. This suggests either a systematic difference in households in which men and women were interviewed (non-equivalence of test groups) or gender-based recall error (measurement error). Separating households by respondent gender and marital status reveals that female-headed households are significantly worse off than all others. This may be because of the absence of adult males to undertake plowing at the onset of the rainy season. There is also a difference in the incomes reported by married men and women (jointly headed households). Examination of non-agricultural measures of wealth in these households, such as off-farm income, housing characteristics, and household assets (lanterns, beds, radios, shoes, and jerricans) reveals that there are no other significant 7 economic differences between these groups (Fable 2). This suggests that there are no systematic differences in economic status between married households with male respondents and those with female respondents. A possible explanation for differences in the reporting of income can be found in the traditional division of household responsibilities. In northern Ethiopia, while both sexes are equally involved in agricultural production, men are responsible for marketing agricultural surplus (livestock and grain) and women for minding the granary. This could explain why men report higher agricultural income than women: men recall production while women recall consumption. Mfalaria in Study Area Malaria is endemic in Tembien, with peak transmission coinciding with the beginning of the harvest. Both Plasmodium falciparurn and Plasmodiumn vivax are present, with Plasmodium falciparum predominating (Ghebreyesus et al., 1996).7 There appear to be gender-based differences in the respondents'perception of whether malaria is more serious for adults or for children (Table 3). Forty-eight percent of men believe that malaria is more serious for children, while 48 percent believe that it is equally serious for adults and children. Thirty-seven percent of women believe that malaria is more serious for children and 59 percent believe that it is equally serious for both adults and children. That male respondents perceive malaria to be more serious for children than female respondents counters the conventional wisdom that females are more sensitive to the health of children than males. Malaria is widespread, with 78 percent of respondents reporting that they have had malaria at least once in their lifetime. Incidence is evenly distributed across household members. Fifty-eight percent of respondents had malaria at least once in the last two years. Fifty-three percent report that at least one other adult in their household had the disease in the last two years. Forty-nine percent report that at least one teenager or child in their household had malaria in the last two years. A number of factors might contribute to a disparity in reported malaria incidence 7 Plasmodiumfalciparum is the more virulent of the two species. 8 between the sexes in their lifetime (86 percent for men and 72 percent for women). First, men are generally more mobile than women and children, and thus may be more exposed to infection. Second, 98 percent of the community health workers are men carrying out their duties from their homes (Ghebreyesus et al. 1996). Focus group discussions have revealed that women are reluctant to see male health workers for cultural reasons, thus they may under-report the occurrence of malaria (Ghebreyesus et al. 1996). Finally, males may receive treatment more often and report a higher incidence than females because their health is given priority by the household. This is because males perform critical strenuous agricultural activities, such as plowing, that support the household's agricultural production. Analysis of Contingent Valuation Responses The principal choice question asked respondents how many vaccines or bednets they would purchase at one of five randomly assigned prices. Thirty-nine percent of respondents agreed to purchase one or more vaccines. Conditional on buying any, the mean quantity purchased was four and the median three. Sixty-two percent of respondents agreed to purchase one or more bednets, the mean and median quantity purchased were both one. Cross tabulations reveal that for both vaccines and bednets the quantity purchased decreases with an increase in price (Table 4 and Table 5). The null hypothesis that number purchased does not vary systematically with price is rejected for both goods!. This suggests that respondents seriously considered the price information in the scenario and that their responses depended upon the price they received. This is valuable information for the design of malaria prevention programs. Figure 2, which is based on a sub-sample of Table 4, simulates the purchasing behavior of married men and women in a hypothetical 200-household village. At prices above Birr 20 (US$ 3) per vaccine, married females' demand lies to the right of married males' demand. The figure suggests that at prices over Birr 20 (US$ 3), demand is systematically For hypothetical vaccinesX2(,21 = 136.33 and for bednets X2 = 52.04 9 higher for married females than for married males. Both revenue and population coverage can be increased by targeting married women. For example, at a price of Birr 40 (US$ 6) per vaccine, an additional Birr 3,160 (US$500) in revenue could be collected by targeting. Not only are revenues increased but coverage also goes up, with seven percent more of the population receiving the vaccine at this price. Of course, this kind of targeting depends on two conditions. The first is that women have some level of decision making power in the household and the second is that the cost of targeting women over targeting households does not outweigh the benefits. Empirical Specification The theoretical model relates the number of hypothetical vaccines a respondent agrees to purchase to a vector of explanatory variables. These variables include household non-earned income, wages, and the prices of preventive and mitigating health care. The discrete nature of the dependent variable and the large number of zeroes and small values suggests that a count regression model is appropriate. The probability density function, however, is modified so that household size is an upper bound for each observation. In the case of the Poisson model this implies, P[Ai = ki i A i ni = ; where k I to n i. (6) i i ~Pr[A =7 vaccines 5 24% 35% 33% 8% 20 48% 25% 22% 6% 40 68% 21 % 10% 2% 100 81% 10% 6% 3% 200 90% 6% 4% 0% Table 5. Number of Bednets Purchased by Price (n=279) Price (Birr) 0 nets 1 net 2 nets 3 or more nets 8 19% 21% 43% 17% 20 22% 33% 32% 13% 40 41% 37% 20% 2% 60 52% 23% 19% 6% 100 63% 25% It% 2% 20 Table 6. Means and Standard Deviations of Variables in Models Vaccine Model Bednet Model Variable N Mean Std.Dev. N Mean Std.Dev. Numberofvaccinespurchased 569 1.45 2.19 279 1.07 1.14 Price (Birr) 569 68.30 68.22 279 44.89 32.78 Log income (Thousand Birr) 569 2.40 0.84 279 1.97 1.23 Missing wage (1 if no wage) 569 0.28 0.45 279 0.39 0.49 Number of teenagers 569 0.81 0.91 279 0.56 0.78 Number of children 569 1.95 1.35 279 1.74 1.33 Household direct COI (Birr) 569 18.25 16.48 279 22.26. 16.45 Married (I if married) 569 0.82 0.39 279 0.70 0.46 Gender (1 if female) 569 0.53 0.50 279 0.66 0.47 Read (I if read easily) 569 0.38 0.49 279 0.53 0.50 Age (years) 569 42.56 14.25 279 41.04 15.04 Alt (hundred meters) 569 16.80 1.54 279 16.51 1.89 Household size 569 5.09 2.00 279 4.53 2.03 Enumerator_2 569 0.03 0.18 279 0.06 0.24 Enumerator_3 569 0.04 0.20 279 0.08 0.26 Enumerator_4 569 0.09 0.29 279 0.00 0.00 Enumerator_5 569 0.08 0.27 279 0.00 0.00 Enumerator_6 569 0.09 0.28 279 0.00 0.00 Enumerator_7 569 0.08 0.27 279 0.00 0.00 Enumerator_8 569 0.03 0.18 279 0.08 0.28 Enumerator_9 569 0.04 0.20 279 0.09 0.29 Enumerator_10 569 0.04 0.19 279 0.09 0.28 Enumerator_11 569 0.09 0.28 279 0.00 0.06 Enumerator 12 569 0.04 0.20 279 0.08 0.27 Enumerator_13 569 0.04 0.19 279 0.08 0.27 Enumerator_14 569 0.04 0.19 279 0.09 0.29 Enumerator_16 569 0.04 0.20 279 0.08 0.28 Enumerator_17 569 0.10 0.30 279 0.00 0.06 Enumerator_18 569 0.05 0.22 279 0.09 0.29 Enumerator 19 569 0.04 0.20 279 0.09 0.28 21 Table 7. Parameter Estimates for Hypothetical Vaccine Models (n 569) Variable Reduced Model Males Females Price -0.016a -0.020a -0.O15a (Birr) 0.001 0.001 0.001 Log household income 0.391a 0.256a 0.608a (log thousands of Birr) 0.047 0.085 0.085 Missing wage 0.062 -0.478b 0.564a (I if no wage) 0.100 0.251 0.127 Number of teenagers -0.087b -0.216a -0.024 (number of individuals) 0.055 0.098 0.099 Number of children -0.3 05a -0.221 a -0.239a (number of individuals) 0.043 0.075 0.080 Household cost of illness 0.015" -0.004 0.031" (Birr) 0.002 0.003 0.004 Married 0.455" 0.701b 0.281 (I if married) 0.131 0.434 0.183 Gender 0.308a (I if female) 0.070 Read 0.299a 0.116 0.536a (I if read easily) 0.069 0.118 0.121 Age -0.023a _0.008b -0.0312 (years) 0.003 0.004 0.006 Altitude -0.095a -0.098a -0.026 (hundreds of meters) 0.018 0.031 0.035 Household size -0.025 -0.098 -0.118 (number of individuals) 0.040 0.067 0.081 Intercept 2.792a 2.594a -0.104 0.410 0.840 0.806 Notes: Standard errors are below parameter estimates. 'Significant at the 5% level Significant at the 10% level 22 Table 7 Continued. Variable Reduced Model Males Females Enumerator_2 -0.252 -0.119 0.349 0.433 0.713 0.891 Enumerator_3 1.765a 1.416a 0.825a 0.198 0.401 0.452 Enumerator_4 -0.949a -0.339 -0.955a 0.193 0.325 0.470 Enumerator 5 -0.636a -1.460 1.260a 0.217 0.405 0.463 Enumerator 6 1.427a 0.855a 1.148a 0.185 0.356 0.393 Enumerator_7 -0.852 -1.114 0.215 0.350 Enumerator_8 0.051 -1.426 2.31 3a 0.246 0.710 0.744 Enumerator 9 0.026 -0.726 1.413a 0.292 0.618 0.683 Enumerator 10 1.032a 0.193a 1.714a 0.220 0.410 0.472 Enumerator 11 -0.426a -1.043 1.079a 0.207 0.386 0.431 Enumerator 12 -0.362 -0.714 1.066a 0.240 0.438 0.521 Enumerator 13 1.201a 0.478a 1.557a 0.213 0.366 0.453 Enumerator_14 0.865a 1.953a -1.140a 0.195 0.421 0.468 Enumerator_16 -1.693a -2.151 0.418a 0.345 0.507 0.722 Enumerator_17 0.131 -0.224b 0.410 a 0.192 0.368 0.415 Enumerator_18 0.143 -0.946 1.904a 0.214 0.385 0.471 Enumerator_19 1.075a 0.267 1.393a 0.196 0.709 0.732 Notes: Standard errors are below parameter estimates. a Significant at the 5% level bSignificant at the 1 0% level 23 Table 8. Willingness to Pay by Respondent Gender and Marital Status (Birr) Hypothetical Vaccines Males Females Mean Median Mean Median Married 219 151 267* 181 AT 2-55 211 Single 210 123 161 95 .K 1] 92 * Indicates difference between mean male and female WTP is significant at 5% level 24 Table 9. Parameter Estimates for Insecticide Treated Net Models (n = 279) Variable Reduced Males Females Model Price -0.015a -0.017a -0.015a (Birr) 0.003 0.006 0.003 Log household income 0.092 0.198 0.055 (log thousands of Birr) 0.082 0.398 0.098 Missing wage 0.047 -0.084 0.219 (I if nowage) 0.258 0.728 0.312 Number teenagers 0.143 0.418 0.056 (number) 0.144 0.417 0.188 Number children 0.048 0.332 -0.054 (number) 0.125 0.382 0.157 Household cost of illness -0.003 0.010 -0.009 (Birr) 0.006 0.016 0.007 Married -0.020 0.670 -0.090 (I if married) 0.237 0.903 0.282 Gender 0.067 (I if female) 0.189 Read 0.002 0.125 -0.120 (1 if read easily) 0.200 0.506 0.285 Age -0.010 -0.018 -0.007 (years) 0.007 0.019 0.009 Altitude 0.054 -0.003 0.084 (hundreds of meters) 0.046 0.126 0.057 Household size 0.039 -0.257 0.130 (number of individuals) 0.116 0.327 0.140 Intercept -0.368 0.996 -1.190 0.882 2.557 1.140 Notes: Standard errors are below parameter estimates. 'Significant at the 5% level bSignificant at the 10% level 25 Table 9 Continued. Variable Truncated Males Females Poisson Enumerator_2 -0.120 - 1.437 0.161 0.405 2.064 0.448 Enumerator_3 0.729 -0.114 1.215a 0.307 1.203 0.377 Enumerator_8 0.106 -0.445 0.342 0.365 1.358 0.441 Enumerator_9 0.491 -0.357 0.931 0.377 0.926 0.524 Enumerator_10 -0.056 -1.115 0.432 0.414 1.098 0.513 Enumerator_12 -0.783 -0.686 -1.086b 0.383 0.814 0.606 Enumerator_13 0.027 -0.662 0.384 0.438 1.106 0.578 Enumerator_14 0.511 -0.409 0.831a 0.325 0.740 0.398 Enumerator_16 -0.850 -0.712 -0.664 0.446 1.068 0.583 Enumerator_18 -0.086 -0.632 0.255 0.397 0.901 0.511 Enumerator_19 0.058 -0.440 0.260 0.456 1.172 0.569 Notes: Standard errors are below parameter estimates. S Significant at the 5% level Significant at the 10% level 26 Figure 1. Malaria Incidence and Cropping Calendar in Tigray, Ethiopia 35% - 30% d '5 25% O 20% 1 5% -_ $ 10%- / _ 5% / X 0% Planting Weeding Harvesting Threshing -5% Cropping Calendar Figure 2. Simulated Demand for Malaria Vaccine in 200 Household Village 200 * 180 160l 140j 120 \ \ * mamried males only married female, only I00 80 602 40\ 20 - 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Quantity 27