99278 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Acknowledgments This report has been prepared by the Metropolitan Manila Development Authority in collaboration with World Bank Country Sector Coordinator Yan Zhang and consultants Douglas Webster, Andrew Gulbrandson, Art Corpuz, Amit Prothi, and Julia Nebrija under the strategic guidance of the MMDA Chairman Francis N. Tolentino. The team wishes to thank the members from national agencies, local government units, civil society, private sector organizations, and the academe who participated in the learning events, workshops, and consultations that were conducted during the Phase 1 process. This report is sponsored by the Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID) with additional support from The Cities Alliance. Disclaimer The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work are those of the writers and do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank. The information in this work is not intended to serve as legal advice. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work and accepts no responsibility for any consequences of the use of such data. This report may be reproduced in full or in part for non-profit purposes without prior permission provided proper credit is given to the publisher, the Metropolitan Manila Development Authority. The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Table of Contents Foreword....................................................................................................................................... iv Section One : Creating the Greenprint What is the Greenprint? ...................................................................................................................... 2 Why prepare a Greenprint? ................................................................................................................ 3 How do we create the Greenprint?...................................................................................................... 5 The Vision ............................................................................................................................................ 6 Section Two: Achieving the Vision Fostering a Metropolis of Opportunity 1. Leveraging Opportunities in Business, Knowledge, and Information ...................................... 13 Technology and Processing Outsourcing 2. Unleashing Metro Manila’s Tourism Potential and Attracting Newly Rich Neighbors ............ 19 3. Reclaiming High-Value Services and Promoting High-Potential Economic Cluster ............... 25 Building a Green Connected, and Resilient Metropolis for All 4. Connecting Metro Manila ............................................................................................................ 33 5. Making Metro Manila Inclusive ................................................................................................... 42 6. Developing a Resilient Metropolis ............................................................................................... 47 Section Three: Key Synergies 7. Key Synergies.................................................................................................................................... 54 8. Moving Forward............................................................................................................................... 56 Section Four: Background Documentation 9. Phase I Process............................................................................................................................... 58 10. Sources............................................................................................................................................ 65 v The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Foreword The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030 is a timely initiative. The country's economy continues to trend upwards and our cities continue to receive new investments in major infrastructure and industries. Now is the time to plan how we will move forward, and to leverage these investments for positive gains. As we live through the daily challenges, and strive to create a different story for ourselves and our cities, it is also the time to envision the Metro Manila that we want, and set a roadmap on how to achieve that vision. In 2011, President Benigno Aquino instructed the Regional Development Council in the National Capital Region (RDC-NCR) to craft a long term plan for Metro and Mega Manila. In response, under the leadership of the Metropolitan Manila Development Authority (MMDA), the RDC-NCR has spearheaded a strategic planning process called the Metro Manila Greenprint 2030, which seeks to address the challenges that impede development of the metropolis and make our cities more competitive, resilient, and inclusive in the coming decades. vi iv The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision What is the Metro Manila of 2030? • The Metro Manila of 2030 is an economic powerhouse in East Asia: where good policies and investments help us stay economically competitive; where we continue to develop livelihood opportunities for a growing population; and where we can find decent work at home that allows us to utilize our talents and skills to the best of our abilities. • In the Metro Manila of 2030, we can move safely, affordably, and comfortably between our homes and places of work, education and play, allowing us more time to spend with the ones we love, avoid delays in our day-to-day lives, increase economic productivity, and even explore new places within our cities. • The Metro Manila of 2030 is a green metropolis; it uses resources more efficiently and provides a livable urban environment for its citizens. Better connectivity and mobility help us use less energy and generate less pollution. • In the Metro Manila of 2030, we can afford a decent home for our families and access basic services; there will be more public space where we can play, exercise, and relax; where areas of interest, and places of history, culture, and heritage are fostered. • In the Metro Manila of 2030, our lives, properties, and livelihoods are protected from disasters; we are better prepared to meet the challenges related to climate change; and our infrastructure continues to serve the public, even in the face of adversity. • Most importantly, Metro Manila of 2030 is a unified metropolis, without borders. Even though the region is made up of many localities, our lives are not limited to any one place; we live, work, study and play in numerous places which make up our metropolis. We do not have to wait until 2030 to see the vision become a reality, the process has already begun. I am pleased to present this first step towards the Metro Manila of the future, the home where we all enjoy a better quality of life. Francis N. Tolentino Chairman, The Metropolitan Manila Development Authority v vii The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision List of Acronyms ADB Asian Development Bank ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations AUV Asian Utility Vehicle BID Business Improvement District BPAP Business Processing Association of the Philippines BPO Business Process Outsourcing BRT Bus Rapid Transit CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate CALABARZON Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Quezon CBD Central Business District CLUP Comprehensive Land Use Plans CNG Compressed Natural Gas CODI Community Organizations Development Institute DOLE Department of Labor and Employment DOTC Department of Transportation and Communication EVAP Electric Vehicle Association of the Philippines FAR Floor to Area Radio GDP Gross Domestic Product HLURB Housing and Land Use Regulatory Board ICT Information and Communications Technology ILO International Labor Organizations IRRI International Rice Research Institute ITO Information Technology Outsourcing JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency KPO Knowledge Processing Outsourcing LGU Local Government Unit LRT Light Rail Transit MICE Meetings, Incentives, Conferencing, and Exhibitions MMDA Metropolitan Manila Development Authority MNC Multinational Corporation MRT Metro Rail Transit MVPMAP Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturers Association of the Philippines NCR National Capital Region NEDA National Economic Development Authority NGO Non-Government Organization NLEX North Luzon Expressway OFW Overseas Filipino Worker PEZA Philippine Economic Zone Authority PNR Philippine National Railway SHDA Subdivision and Housing Developers Association SLEX South Luzon Expressway TESDA Technical Education and Skills Development Authority TOD Transit Oriented Development UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization USD United States Dollar vi viii The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision one Section Creating the Greenprint 1 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision What is the Greenprint? The Greenprint 2030 is a resolute attempt on the part of The green in Greenprint goes beyond trees and open spaces- MMDA to engage all stakeholders in a process to create a green is efficient transportation, affordable housing, and common vision for the region’s future. more resilient infrastructure. It emphasizes sustainable urban development as the underlying principle across the For the first time, all 16 cities and one municipality three themes of inclusivity, connectivity, and resiliency. comprising Metro Manila are linked under one vision that These sectors work together to enable more efficient use of sets developmental priorities for the region and provides resources and to create a livable urban environment. direction to achieve those priorities. The vision is formulated within the wider Mega Manila context, considering the The Greenprint 2030 offers the strategic direction which shared challenges and opportunities with adjacent provinces. informs comprehensive spatial and development plans Like other metropolitan plans, Greenprint 2030 starts prepared by national and local government agencies, related with a vision. However, it differs from the comprehensive to Metro and Mega Manila. Through this process, more metropolitan planning exercises in that it focuses on options for metropolitan governance will also be examined. developing strategic areas of opportunity. Through the vision The aim is to equip the metropolitan area to compete process, connectivity, inclusiveness, and resilience emerged globally and to provide its citizens a safe, resilient, and green as the key entry points for strategic engagement. Based on the environment. vision the Greenprint 2030 will provide metropolitan wide spatial guidance, demostrate coordination mechanisms, and identify areas for catalytic investments. Greenprint 2030 sets up a strategic framework to manage anticipated growth, while addressing today’s challenges. 2 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Why prepare a Greenprint? A strategic plan provides an impetus to address challenges that have a region-wide impact. Today, the region has a When Metro Manila thrives, fragmented governance structure consisting of 17 different local government units and surrounding provinces that are so does the country. independently managed. This institutional set up has often led to conflicting development agendas among LGUs and has shown that metropolitan economies, not national or made the task of tackling issues, such as flooding, informal municipal economies, are the front-line competitive units in settlements, and traffic congestion, that have a regional the global economy. This is true in the Philippines as well, dimension more difficult in Metro Manila. and requires that policy makers acknowledge the importance of addressing some of the most pressing urban problems Home to around 12 million people, Metro Manila ranks 15th at the metropolitan scale. To continue being the primary among the largest global urban agglomerations. Together engine of growth for the Philippines, both Metro Manila and with its neighboring areas, in what is coined as Mega Manila, the surrounding areas need to perform better. it accounts for 30 percent of the country's population and 50 percent of economic output, while occupying less than 4 While Metro Manila led in competitiveness five decades percent of the national territory. When Metro Manila thrives, earlier, it now lags behind many other Asian cities in terms so does the country. of providing high quality products and business services, as well as superior infrastructure and basic services for its firms Metro Manila is still growing, in particular its suburbs and and citizens. Amongst other challenges, the metropolis has some neighboring provinces like Cavite and Laguna. If witnessed environmental degradation, traffic congestion, and current population growth trends continue, Metro Manila proliferation of informal settlements. Low coverage of waste will have a population of 14.1 million by 2020 and 16.9 water treatment, deteriorating transport, and traffic and million by 2030. At the same time, the surrounding provinces inadequate housing conditions are some of the challenges that comprise the rest of Mega Manila will see population that continue to affect the quality of life of the urban residents grow to 23.1 million in 2020 and 30.8 million by 2030, at and undermine productivity and mobility. which point Mega Manila as a whole could have as many as 47 million people. Furthermore, the region is vulnerable to natural disasters, as was witnessed during the onset of typhoons Ondoy and Much of the population growth in Mega Manila is driven Pepeng in 2009. Aside from being proximate to an active by the availability of good economic opportunities and fault, it is subject to intense flooding and landslides, where employment not available elsewhere in the country. With the high concentration of population and assets in Metro an ample supply of young and English-speaking workforce, Manila face an increased risk from natural hazards and Metro Manila has become the destination of the business climate change impacts. process outsourcing industry, leading the way for the country to become one of the global leaders in the information To realize economic gains to their fullest potential and technology-business process outsourcing (IT-BPO) services provide a higher quality of life for its residents, Metro and delivery. Over half of the Philippines’ manufacturing (by Mega Manila must change how it plans, where individual output) is located in Mega Manila along with more than two- governing units need to rise above their own scope, and thirds of its business and financial services industry. think of Metro and Mega Manila as a collective region. Metro Manila has the potential to be a more inclusive, With its size and density, Metro Manila possesses connected, and resilient metropolis; the Greenprint 2030 considerable economic potential and human talent that, if offers a roadmap for reaching this potential. managed well, can pose enormous economic gains and allow higher standards of living for its citizens. Global experience 3 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Metro Manila Mega Manila Figure 1.1 Map of Metro and Mega Manila Mega Manila includes Metro Manila and the surrounding provinces of Pampanga, Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, Cavite, and Batangas. Metro Manila consists of 16 cities and one municipality and accounts for 33% of national output. 4 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision How do we create the Greenprint? The Greenprint 2030 brings together stakeholders across all sectors to deliberate Metro Manila's many challenges and discuss avenues for moving forward. Greenprint 2030 is being prepared in two phases: Phase 1 produced a vision for Metro Manila through a Phase 2 of the Greenprint 2030, which began in October process of stakeholder engagements, knowledge sharing, 2013, will embark on a process to formulate a spatial and consultations. Between March 2012 and February 2013, strategy to realize the vision of Metro Manila formulated Metro Manila Mayors, national government agencies, the during Phase 1. The plan will build upon the Metro Manila private sector, civil society organizations (CSO), urban Vision, formulated during Phase 1, and provide a strategic planning professionals, and members of the academia framework to direct the future growth of Metro Manila. The were engaged to provide insight and support for this cross- process of preparing the strategic plan under Phase 2 will be sectoral initiative. The process is important as it promotes similar to the process of engagement undertaken in Phase 1. coordination amongst various stakeholders, and espouses shared ownership beyond the MMDA. Part of the process entails establishing multiple avenues of communication and linkages, allowing stakeholders to voice their opinion, share knowledge and resources, contribute ideas, and stay abreast with all developments and milestones. 5 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Vision Statement Metro Manila for all; Green, connected, resilient; Offering talent and opportunity; Processing knowledge and delivering services at home and abroad. 6 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Metro Manila for all; Green, connected, resilient; Offering talent and opportunity; Processing knowledge and delivering services at home and abroad. Fostering a Metropolis of Opportunity Building a Green, Connected, and Resilient Metropolis for All Leveraging Opportunities Connecting Metro Manila for IT-BPO • Focus development around new and existing urban • Move up the value chain and increase global market and peri-urban nodes share • Connect nodes via an efficient, sale and reliable • Enhance human resource development multi-modal transport system • Create world-class urban environments Making Metro Manila Inclusive Unleashing Tourism Potential and Attracting Newly Rich Neighbors • Ensure that urban and peri-urban nodes are inclusive • Unlock huge land value through in-situ relocation • Create a variety of activities and destinations to and catalytic infrastructure development explore • Upgrade informal settlements city-wide • Assure visitors of their personal safety • Build high quality infrastructure and ensure high levels of convenience Developing a Resilient Metropolis • Promote better understanding of disaster risks and Reclaiming High-Value Services and their impacts on sustainability and competitiveness Promoting High-Potential Economic Clusters • Accelerate investment in disaster risk reduction programs • Identify and focus on potential areas of comparative • Engage community level participation in adaptation and competitive advantage and mitigation efforts • Ensure the availability of well-trained, specialized • Implement risk-sensitive land use guidelines workers for key industries • encourage private sector cooperation to prevent • Promote economic sectors with high potential for new future enroachment job creation 7 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Achieving the Vision The vision will be achieved through a two-pronged approach which divides goals into strategic areas. The first strategic area identifies major economic opportunities that could improve livelihoods in Metro and Mega Manila. The second strategic area focuses on physical interventions that will attract and sustain competitive industries and talent by making Metro Manila an inclusive, connected, and resilient metropolis. These strategic areas complement and reinforce each other. Together, they are the foundation for the spatial strategies that will be developed in Phase 2. The goals in each area are supported by principles established through best global practices, as well as opportunities where the principles can be applied in Metro and Mega Manila. The two strategic areas are discussed in Section Two. Strategic Area One: Fostering a metropolis of opportunity Strategic Area Two: Building a green, connected, and resilient metropolis for all Metro Manila enjoys emerging global competitiveness in three key areas: information technology and business processing The second thematic area focuses on large-scale city- outsourcing (IT-BPO), regional tourism, and high-value building, particularly in creating a green, connected, and service industries. These three areas performed exceptionally resilient metropolis for all. Under-investment in Metro well in the past few years (2009-2011) and contributed Manila for decades represents an enormous opportunity substantially to Metro Manila’s economic growth, which both to significantly improve the lives of residents, and in turn accounted for one-third of the nation’s economy. also to trigger an economic boom through large-scale city Achieving the vision will require leveraging opportunities building, such as what Shanghai, Singapore, Seoul, and in these key areas to provide continued employment for Bangkok have done over the last several decades. Targeted residents and sustained growth for businesses. large-scale investments can go a long way to enhance the region's competiveness, improve mobility and accessibility, create a greener metropolis, provide affordable and accessible housing options for all socio-economic classes, and improve resilience to natural disasters. 8 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision two Section Achieving the Vision • Fostering a Metropolis of Opportunity • Building a Green, Connected, and Resilient Metropolis for All 9 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 10 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Fostering a Metropolis of Opportunity 11 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Achieving the Vision By 2030, Metro Manila's economy will emerge as an economic 2: Harnessing Tourism Potential and Attracting the powerhouse on the back of three economic sectors that have Newly Rich shown great promise for growth in recent years: information technology and business processing outsourcing (IT-BPO), • Create a variety of activities and destinations to explore regional tourism, and high-value service industries. Through • Assure visitors of their personal safety leveraging these three key sectors, the region can create • Build high-quality infrastructure and ensure high levels substantial new job opportunities by 2030 for residents of convenience across all levels of income, educational, and experiential backgrounds. Selective manufacturing clusters in the peri- 3: Reclaiming High-Value Services and Promoting urban region will also play a prominent role in Mega Manila's High-Potential Economic Clusters revival. • Identify and focus on potential areas of comparative 1: Leveraging Opportunities for IT-BPO advantage • Ensure the availability of well-trained, specialized • Move up the value chain and increase global market workers for key industries share • Promote economic sectors with high potential for new • Enhance human resource development job creation • Create world-class urban environments 12 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 1. Leveraging Opportunities in Information Technology and Business Processing Outsourcing Goal Be a global center for knowledge processing, through continuous wide scale upgrading of human resources and the provision of global leading urban environments and infrastructure for information technology and business processing outsourcing (IT-BPO) activities, the combination of which will position Metro Manila to provide world-class services at home and abroad. Background Metro Manila and parts of Mega Manila enjoy an This industry cluster has significant potential to continue undisputed global competitive advantage in terms of to boost the economy and provide employment at scale the IT-BPO services cluster. Information technology (Figure 2-3). With continued strong support from both (IT) enabled services and business processing the public and private sectors, the IT-BPO industry outsourcing (BPO) are broadly defined including voice could generate USD25 billion in revenue and account and non-voice BPO, knowledge process outsourcing for as much as 8.6 percent of the country's GDP by 2016. (KPO), legal process outsourcing (LPO), government process outsourcing (GPO), and other information and communications technology (ICT) related services. In 2013, Metro Manila had more people employed in the BPO industry than any other city in the world and accounted for 10% of its labor force. The Philippines overtook India in 2011 to become the number one provider of voice-based outsourcing services in the world (by value) and is ranked second globally in non-voiced based outsourcing activities in terms of employment and revenue earnings. The IT-BPO export industry has been a source of new wealth, income, and employment in the Philippines. The IT-BPO sector has a multiplier effect of about 2.5, meaning that for every direct job created in the industry, 2.5 more indirect jobs will be created in supporting service industries. A significant number of these jobs, about 0.8 million in 2012, are employing people in low income groups (Figure 2-1). The industry is primarily located in Metro Manila (Figure 2-2). The dominance of Metro Manila in IT- BPO industry can be attributed to the concentrated pool of human talent, local and international industry, government, and international communications in the country. As of 2012, this area accounted for 75 percent of all employment and more than 82 percent of total revenues of IT-BPO growth in the Philippines. 13 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Principles P1. Emphasize the Importance of Moving up the Value P3. Create World-Class Urban Environments to Support Chain and Increasing Global Market Share IT-BPO Industry Development • Multi-national Companies (MNCs) currently dominate • Create world-class supportive urban environments the IT-BPO landscape. These firms will continue to grow taking into account the industry's 24/7 work cycle. These and create employment. Harness their potential to the environments must feature a mix of uses and amenities fullest extent. that cater to local workers and residents, including retail, dining, entertainment, services (e.g., banking), • Through partnerships between the public and mixed-income residences. Provide a safe and integrated private sectors, promote the competitiveness of local pedestrian system to encourage walkability between the firms within the global marketplace. Emphasize the amenities during all hours. development and capturing of higher-margin activities such as BPO involving analytics, healthcare services, • Include high-quality infrastructure encompassing human resources, and financial services. transmission backbones and distribution networks for electricity, high-speed telecommunications networks, • Strengthen domestic IT-BPO small and medium and well-connected transport systems. enterprises (SME) by improving access to markets and finance, reducing operation costs, and streamlining • Ensure infrastructure reliability and personal safety in government procedures. the event of major disruptions caused by natural hazards, such as floods and earthquakes. • Build on existing institutional strengths across the region. P2. Enhance IT-BPO Human Resource Development through Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) • Well-qualified human resources are instrumental to the sustenance and expansion of this economic pillar. Through PPP, establish large-scale training programs for voice outsourcing and BPO personnel. • Create specialized trainings in sectors such as medicine, finance and accounting, law, research and analysis, engineering design, IT, human resource management and logistic to take advantage of high-value KPO roles. • In addition to training programs, include programs and/ or guidelines that ensure the health and well-being of people employed in the sector. Economic Clusters are typically defined as a geographic concentration of interconnected businesses, suppliers and associated / supporting institutions in a particular industry or field, such as IT-BPO, automobile manufacturing, etc. 14 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Figure 2.1 Total Low Income Group Direct and Indirect Figure 2.3 IT-BPO in the Philippines: Direct and Indirect IT-BPO Employment Employment, 2004-2020 7.0 2.00 Direct Employment 6.3 Outside Metro Manila 1.80 Indirect Employment 1.80 6.0 Metro Manila Direct Employment (Millions) 1.60 0.45 Employment (Millions) 5.0 1.40 1.30 1.20 4.5 4.0 4.5 0.33 1.35 1.00 0.78 3.0 0.80 0.70 0.19 2.6 3.2 0.60 0.56 0.17 0.98 2.2 0.44 0.14 2.0 1.8 0.40 1.5 1.9 0.11 0.58 1.6 0.52 0.20 0.11 0.42 1.0 1.3 1.8 0.03 0.33 1.1 0.08 0.4 1.3 0.00 0.03 0.6 0.6 0.8 2004 2009 2010 2011 2012 2016a 2020b 0.0 0.1 0.4 2004 2009 2010 2011 2012 2016a 2020b Figure 2.2 IT-BPO Industry in the Philippines: Direct Full-Time Employment, Nationwide, Metro Manila, and Outtside Metro Manila 2.00 1.89 Outside Metro Manila 1.80 Direct+Indirect IT-BPO Employment Metro Manila 0.47 1.60 Total Low Income Group 1.40 1.35 1.20 0.34 1.00 0.81 0.80 0.66 1.42 0.20 0.60 0.54 0.17 1.01 0.45 0.14 0.40 0.11 0.50 0.61 0.20 0.12 0.41 0.03 0.34 0.09 0.00 2004 2009 2010 2011 2012 2016a 2020b 15 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Opportunities to Apply the Principles in Metro Manila A. Build Upon Successful Local and National Initiatives A recent International Labor Organization (ILO) study that Support Human Resource Development reported that four out of ten BPO employees suffered from occupational safety and health concerns such as sleep Massive training of IT-BPO personnel requires building on disorders, fatigue, eye strain, neck, shoulder and back pains, ongoing successful programs: and voice problems. Other reports cite odd hours, irate clients, heavy workloads, and other demands as driving BPO At the national level, institutions such as the Technical workers to early burnout. Education and Skills Development Authority (TESDA) and private sector actors allocated PHP 25.2 million (USD To address health and safety concerns, the Department of 600,000) to support talent development in the IT-BPO Labor and Employment (DOLE) issued a reminder to BPO industries. The funding is primarily devoted to Trainers’ companies to adhere to special guidelines associated with call Training programs in cooperation with the Business center work which include the establishment of occupational Processing Association of the Philippines (BPAP). This is safety and health programs and the formation of a health and part of the government’s commitment to support the IT- safety committee in each company. BPO employers are also BPO industry’s Road Map 2016 through a trainer’s program required to maintain an in-house medical staff composed of that offers the best multiplier effect to increase jobs (direct at least one safety officer, an occupational health nurse, and and indirect) from 1.8 million in 2010 to 4.5 million in 2016. an occupational health physician. Employers should also look after the special needs of pregnant or lactating women At the local level, efforts such as Quezon City’s excellent pilot as well as the young, older and disabled workers on their staff. program to provide short-term training to disadvantaged youth should be expanded or replicated. Health and safety concerns related to employment in the BPO industries should be addressed: Eastwood Mall, Quezon City 16 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision B. Create Synergy between Public, Private, and Academic position to create world class IT-BPO environments on Institutions to Support Emerging IT-BPO Needs large parcels of land. Furthermore, there exists a significant opportunity to rehabilitate and restore existing buildings, Put in place policies to incentivize private sector and public effectively retrofitting them for modern use, which will institutions, such as universities, to attract catalytic global be further discussed later in this document. Innovative talent, as other metropolitan areas such as Singapore, Beijing, development could include live/work environments for and Amsterdam are doing, and focus on training graduates junior and middle workers, sensor rich smart buildings and in specific areas that align with the needs of Metro Manila’s communities, and thematically positioning developments IT- BPO sector. around different knowledge generation clusters. Several of the most critical elements in developing such world-class C. Encourage Metro Manila’s Leading Property environments are controlled by government regulations and Developers to Support World-Class Urban should be reviewed to encourage private sector participation. Environments These key elements include providing ample security, ensuring excellent access via public transport, rezoning of Given the sophistication and capital rich position of Metro land uses to support mixed-use, high-density development, Manila’s leading property developers, they are in an excellent and removing obstacles to urban land consolidation. Ayala Avenue, Makati 17 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Eastwood Cyberpark: Leading IT India's Infosys: Local IT Firm Goes Environment Global in a Big Way To meet the needs and demands of IT-BPO industry Infosys is one of India’s, and indeed the world’s leading workers, Megaworld, the developer of Eastwood IT firms with a primary focus on IT-BPO activities. Cyberpark in Quezon City, has created a world-class Over the three decades since its founding in the early urban landscape that includes a number of office towers, 1980s in Bangalore, one of India’s current IT hotbeds, residential towers, and a shopping mall complete with Infosys now employs more than 157,000 people around a variety of restaurants and service outlets. Many of the world and has annual revenues approaching USD these retail and service outlets are open 24-hours a 7 billion. day, 7-days a week to cater to the needs of IT-BPO workers’ round-the-clock schedules. At present, IT While Infosys provides clients with India-based firms employ more than 17,000 workers in Eastwood, services, the company is well-known for branching out as well as an estimated 13,000 ancillary jobs in addition across the world and employing IT-BPO workers in to thousands of residents, many of whom also work in many other countries around the world, including the Eastwood. A free shuttle bus service operates within United States of America, Australia, the Philippines, Eastwood to facilitate access to the development wide Brazil, and China, catering to both local and global range of uses as well as external transfer points. markets from these bases. Infosys serves as a model example for what domestic IT-BPO firms can achieve To further the successful development of new and from a base in Metro Manila. existing IT-BPO nodes in Metro Manila, both public and private sectors must work together to provide clean, safe, and fun 24/7 environments for workers, similar to the one found in Eastwood Cyberpark. 18 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 2. Unleashing Metro Manila’s Tourism Potential and Attracting Newly Rich Neighbors Goal Make Metro Manila the first-choice destination for the newly emerging affluent citizens of East Asia for shopping, cultural tourism, visits to heritage sites, conventions, meetings, and entertainment. Background East Asia, home to the Philippines, is the world’s largest economy, containing the world’s second (China) and third (Japan) largest national economies. The over 600 million people of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), of which the Philippines is a member, are enjoying an economic resurgence, facilitated by wide-scale implementation of the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement in 2015. Unlike in the West, money is in the hands of the middle-aged (with the exception of Japan) people, with a high propensity to travel, shop, sightsee, eat, gamble, participate in conventions, exhibitions and meetings, and to discover their Asian culture and roots. This mobile affluent East Asian population will total approximately 1 billion people by 2020 and 2 billion by 2030; leading consumer analysts, such as McKinsey & Company, all agree that this traveling consumer class is growing substantially faster than previously forecasted. At present, more than 46 percent of international tourists (nearly two million people) to the Philippines come from the East Asian market, with the largest groups being Koreans, Japanese, and Chinese. For the first months of 2013, the East Asia market increased by almost 15 percent. Metro Manila in the 1950s to early 1980s was among the leading destinations for Asia’s elite, but has fallen abruptly in attractiveness over the last three decades. Nevertheless, Metro Manila has the potential to bounce back based on the widespread use of English, its unique (to Asia) Spanish-influenced culture, its geo-strategic position (the eastern gateway to East Asia), and the inherent hospitality and cheerfulness of its people. 19 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Principles P1. Provide Visitors with a Variety of Activities to mechanisms including better urban design (e.g., Participate in and Destinations to Explore walkability, well-lit sidewalks and streets), user- friendly signage and easily accessible local information, • Identify key activities and destinations that generate community-based neighborhood watch programs, substantial interest. Attracting visitors requires more visible police presence, and/or the creation of a identifying key activities and destinations that generate special tourist police force designed to assist and protect substantial interest. Typically, these activities include travelers. cultural and heritage-based tourism, shopping, dining, and entertainment, MICE activities, and serving as a P3. Ensure Visitors have Access to High-Quality staging area for beach tourism where visitors can spend Infrastructure and High Levels of Convenience a few days exploring before heading off to the beach. Destinations often include historical sites, museums, • Develop multiple public transport modes, including bus, shopping districts, high-end restaurants, bars / night rail, and taxi on which visitors can travel safely, quickly, spots and casinos. comfortably, and affordably throughout the metropolis. P2. Assure Visitors of their Personal Safety • Facilitate the provision of convenient, reliable and safe, privately-run tour bus operations. • Create a real and perceived sense of personal safety which can be achieved through a variety of complimentary Quiapo, Manila 20 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Opportunities to Apply the Principles in Metro Manila A. Identify and Promote Key Activities / Sectors in Organization (UNESCO) listing as an internationally which Metro Manila Can Excel in Attracting Visitors recognized heritage site. Metro Manila possesses a number of key areas that could be B. Identify Suitable Locations for the Creation and highly attractive to new visitors. These include its Spanish- Promotion of Identity Districts influenced culture and heritage sites in Manila (something rarely found in neighboring countries), a multitude of major Identify and establish Identity Districts that highlight note- shopping destinations like Trinoma, Greenbelt, Greenhills, worthy aspects of Metro Manila. These districts might include Bonifacio High Street, and the SM Mall of Asia, emerging the cultural core at Intramuros / Binondo, the emerging integrated resorts on the Manila Bay waterfront, world-class MICE and Entertainment district along the waterfront, the MICE facilities with English-speaking staff, and a convenient popular shopping districts, the economic core districts of central staging location for beach tourism. Makati, including Fort Bonifacio, as well as emerging areas like the future Quezon City Triangle CBD. The importance of Metro Manila and surrounding areas like Tagaytay, Batangas, and Laguna is underscored by Target investment in these areas that could come through the fact that these areas account for close to 70% of total public-private partnerships that encourage a high- tourist arrivals. The National Tourism Master Plan suggests quality built environment, or private sector-led Business that these areas are well positioned to serve global leisure, Improvement Districts (BID) such as the Golden Triangle entertainment, MICE, and resort destination markets, with BID in Washington, DC, a private non-profit organization a broad range of day trip activities. Highlighted in the Plan dedicated to providing a clean, safe, and vibrant community is the major restoration of Intramuros , which is currently in one of the city’s high-profile areas. seeking a United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Intramuros 21 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision C. Create Safe and Highly-Accessible Zones that E. Expand Tourism Opportunities by Incorporating the Coincide with Identity Districts Pasig River into the Region’s Transport System In line with the creation of Identity Districts, the concept One urban asset at the intersection of tourism and of safe zones for both tourists and residents should be transportation is the Pasig River. The Pasig River is a historical incrementally deployed. These zones could feature well- waterway, which facilitated trade and growth in early Manila designed and highly-visible signage, the presence of police settlements. The river is 27 kilometers in length weaving or a special tourist police force, friendly, trained tour guides, through Manila, Makati, Mandaluyong, Pasig, Taguig, and and high-quality pedestrian areas that include specially- the municipality of Taytay in the province of Rizal. Along designed street lighting to reduce dark spaces and/or covered the river lie areas of interest such as the Malacañang Palace, walkways in areas with high exposure to natural elements. the National Post Office, Makati City Hall, various Central Business Districts, thirteen bridges, and a host of informal D. Improve the Usability, Attractiveness, Comfort, and settlements. The waterfront remains largely blighted in light Safety of Metro Manila’s Transport System of the loss of industries along the riverbanks, the decline of water transport use, and excessive water pollution. There First impressions of a city are extremely important. As most have been recent efforts to rehabilitate the Pasig River by new visitors will arrive by air, the existing arrival experience integrating land use and transportation plans and focusing at Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) should be on riverfront redevelopment. The goal is to transform the improved, particularly in terms of the immigration process, river so that it becomes conducive to transport, recreation, baggage handling efficiency, and overall aesthetics of the and tourism--providing an uninterrupted glimpse of the city arrival terminal. In striving to develop local tourism, arrival from a different angle, something only a small percentage of areas in all four terminals at NAIA could feature visitor the population and tourists currently enjoy. information booths, posters, and other promotional materials that make Metro Manila’s destinations and activities highly F. Develop a Professional, Metro Manila-Oriented visible, particularly for first-time visitors. Tourism Marketing Campaign Beyond the arrival experience, visitors must have easy Promote Metro Manila in the Asia-Pacific Region based access to safe, comfortable, reliable, and efficient transport on a catchy tagline, images, etc., in synch with the current to move around Metro Manila and its peripheries. Possible highly successful “It’s More Fun in the Philippines” media opportunities to improve visitor experience include reforming campaign. Promotional initiatives should be professionally and standardizing the public taxi system by enforcing meter managed and undertaken at a metropolitan scale. Local usage, establishing a user helpline and upgrading the existing governments should focus on identifying streets and districts mass rapid transit (rail) network to be more visitor-friendly. and events organization that can be incorporated into Investing in transport infrastructure improvements is a key regional campaigns, such as day tours that focus on 2-3 key pre-requisite for improving the overall tourism experience. cities or destinations. National Post Office along the Pasig River 22 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Binondo Bayshore Reclamation Area Makati CBD Map 2-1: Existing and Emerging Identity Districts in Metro Manila Quezon City CBD Existing Identity Districts Binondo Quiapo Intramuros Makati CBD Fort Bonifacio High Street Bonifacio High Street Eastwood Emerging Identity Districts New Quezon City CBD Bayshore Reclamation Area Eastwood 23 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Identity Districts as an Integral Part of Singapore’s Urban Master Plan In 2000, Singapore’s Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) for the first time brought together a series of focus groups to gather input for its ‘Concept Plan 2001’, a predecessor to the 2003 Master Plan. What came out of this participatory planning process was a focus on urban Singapore’s ‘identity’- whether at the neighborhood, district, or national level. The URA emphasized the elements of ‘place’ that would make a highly mobile Singaporean population feel at home. Singapore has recognized the value of heritage conservation in its urban development strategy since the mid-1980s, when the URA rolled out a conservation master plan and Chinatown became the first major focus area for conservation. (Since then, over 7,000 buildings have been protected from demolition, which had been the status quo since independence in 1965.) But the new focus on ‘identity’ was designed to go further than conservation alone. Tan Yong Soon, CEO of the URA in 2001, said: “Beyond the hardware, we seek to identify the charm of various places, the things which make them appealing to ‘us’ and how planning can give a helping hand so that these ‘characteristics’ remain and evolve to give us a sense of belonging, rootedness, and identity.” To do this, the URA developed ‘identity plans’ for 15 areas in Singapore, sorted into four clusters (Old World Charm, Urban Villages, Southern Ridges & Hillside Villages, and Rustic Coast). The plans featured maps highlighting buildings, activity areas and gathering places, social landmarks, heritage roads, and urban vistas. Each plan also detailed the appropriate planning mechanisms to foster identity-driven development in the areas. The tools varied according to the areas, but generally featured protection for iconic buildings, variability in plot sizes, promoting pedestrianism, increasing outdoor retail space and greening efforts. If the measure of success of an urban planning initiative is repetitive usage, the focus on urban identity in Singapore has been a success: in 2010 the URA again convened focus groups on this topic the dual foci of ‘cherishing and keeping the places we love’ and ‘enriching the experience of our built and natural heritage’ for its 2011 Concept Plan. 24 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 3. Reclaiming High-Value Services and Promoting High-Potential Economic Clusters Goal Reclaim Metro Manila’s past role as a leading high-value services center in Asia in areas such as higher education, medical services, tourism, and the cultural economy, and promote economic clusters having high potential to create jobs for lower-income populations. Background In the post-World War II period, Metro Manila was a leading higher-education center in the Asia Pacific Region, known for elite institutions such as the University of the Philippines, the Asian Institute of Management, and the International Rice Research Institute (IRRI). A generation of Asian leaders were educated in the Philippines. Similarly, Metro Manila was once a leading medical center in the Asia Pacific Region, based around a cluster of still functioning quality medical institutions in the area of Quezon Memorial Circle in Quezon City, such as the Philippine Heart Center and the National Kidney Transplant Institute. Considerable potential exists to revive this golden era of Metro Manila as a center for high-value services, and hopeful signs are already appearing. The advertising and animation industries have maintained their viability over the years, although with diminished Asian market share. There are prospects for development and growth of a serious digital media cluster. Specialized English language education is booming, especially in the case of the South Korean market. The new St. Luke’s hospital in Fort Bonifacio Global City is receiving excellent reviews worldwide (e.g., Business Traveler magazine) and is fully US-accredited. 25 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Principles P1. Ensure Visitors have Access to High-Quality P3. Create Industry-Specific Incubators and Platforms to Infrastructure and High Levels of Convenience Catalyze Growth in Key Areas • Identify and focus on key areas with existing or • Industry-specific cluster development should be potential comparative or competitive advantage. In supported through setting up of small firm incubators the case of Metro Manila, these areas may include and/or platforms that allow cross-firm knowledge English language education, selected fields of Higher sharing, ease of access to resources, and “seed” funding Education, Creative Services (such as entertainment, from either public and/or private sources. These advertising, animation, and digital media), nursing and platforms will provide small business with access to health services, and research (possibilities include bio- funding and resources that they may not have the pharmaceutical, media, trade, and legal research). capability to obtain independently. • Identify and support key sub-sectors such as P4. Promote Economic Clusters, particularly those with accounting, healthcare (e.g., diagnostics), and data High Potential for Job Creation analytics. Importantly, future growth in the IT-BPO sector has the potential to generate hundreds of • Promote economic sectors with high potential to create thousands of new indirect jobs, particularly in the jobs for the basic-skilled, low-income earning segment business and financial services subsector. of the region’s population. Supporting future economic growth and the livelihoods of Metro Manila’s existing P2. Ensure the Availability of Well-trained, Specialized and future working age populations, particularly those in Workers to Meet Growing Demand in Key Industries lower-income brackets and/or those who are low-skilled, is critical given the relatively high rate of unemployment • Create large-scale educational opportunities that in Metro and Mega Manila. cater to specific fields, such as the aforementioned needs of the IT-BPO sector, producing high-quality • Evaluate existing locations of economic activities to English-language instructors, and graduates with identify potential areas where “clusters” could develop. world-class skills in various creative services and Economic clusters are concentrations of interrelated research fields. To support key industries with companies, suppliers, and institutions located within a existing and potential advantages, both public and geographic area that foster high levels of productivity private sectors must work together. and innovation. • Engage the private sector and local institutions to develop policies, incentives, and programs that foster an environment to facilitate the development of clusters. • Target those activities in particular that offer the most potential for job creation. 26 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Opportunities to Apply the Principles in Metro Manila A. Recognize and Act on Rapid Growth among with them knowledge gained abroad. In addition to helping In-Demand High-Value Services build knowledge capacity in Metro Manila’s key economic industries, successfully repatriating Overseas Foreign Recognize and act on the demand for high value services Workers (OFW) will boost the size of Metro Manila’s associated with rapid growth of shopping, MICE, tourism, middle-class, creating new opportunities for residential, entertainment, e.g., advertising, exhibition display arts (which retail, and commercial development. includes digital media), holistic and alternative medicine, and cosmetic medicine. The employment potential of these D. Encourage the Creation of Subsidized Creative creative clusters is often underestimated. For example, Industry Platforms several hundred thousand people work in the exhibition display arts cluster in Shanghai, which increasingly entails Encourage the creation of subsidized creative industry digital media applications. platforms / zones (e.g., the Shanghai digital media platform) as magnets to cluster creative services, e.g., advertising, B. Align Initiatives and Investment in Higher enabling small start-ups, who otherwise may not obtain Education in Areas that Align with Major Economic access to needed expensive leading edge technology and Opportunities in Mega Manila equipment. In higher education, given resource constraints, focus on E. Revive the Manufacturing Sector and areas such as IT-BPO that align with Mega Manila economic Encourage New Construction Jobs opportunities. Pursue approaches that improve the overall skills and abilities of the workforce, as well as lead to greater As of October 2012, the five largest economic sectors in the innovation in the targeted industries. Philippines by employment are: (as a percentage of total employed persons) are Agriculture & Forestry (32.3%), C. Engage Highly Talented Individuals from the Wholesale & Retail Trade (18.7%), Manufacturing (8.7%), Global Philippines’ Diaspora Transport & Storage (7.1%), and Construction (5.8%). When compared to successful regional neighbors such as Thailand Many talented Filipinos working in high-end services and Vietnam, it is clear that the Philippines has a much industries have chosen to live abroad. Efforts should be smaller share of manufacturing jobs than its peers with a made to encourage these expatriates to return and bring comparable share of construction jobs. Pasay City 27 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision In order to fully realize Greenprint objectives that include poverty alleviation and improving livelihoods for the region’s lower-income residents, it is necessary to breathe new life into the manufacturing sector by focusing on key sub-sectors with high job creation potential. At present, the most obvious opportunities are to target increasing the competitiveness of agri-business, small electronics manufacturing and assembly, and segments of the automotive industry. For example, food processing is the third largest manufacturing subsector (by employment) in the country. With strong public support, the Philippines could rival Thailand as the “Kitchen of the World” by focusing on unique, branded products for export markets. Small electronics manufacturing and assembly is the largest manufacturing subsector (by employment). With new investment in logistics-related infrastructure, initiatives that support skills-upgrading, and national government (e.g., PEZA and BOI) support, the Philippines (largely Mega Manila) could draw foreign investment away from other ASEAN nations. Lastly, the Philippines is emerging as a leader in electric vehicle parts production, which may employ as many as 50,000 people within a few years (with most of the investment planned to take place within Mega Manila). 28 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Bangkok's Panyapiwat Regenerative Medicine in Institute of Management: Metro Manila Creating High-Quality Graduates in Regenerative Medicine, or stem cell-based therapy, Key Fields is the newest emerging concept for the treatment of illnesses with very little known cure or no cure at all. It Panyapiwat Institute of Management (PIM) is a uses advanced technologies in cellular and molecular private university in Bangkok, fully licensed by the biology, isolating stem cells from a patient's own fat Thai Ministry of Education to award undergraduate (adipose stroma) or bone marrow and engineering and post-graduate degrees, and is owned by the CP All them to preserve, restore, or enhance organ function. company, one of the largest conglomerates in Thailand The Medical City, a world-class health care complex (the flagship holding of which is nearly 6,000 7-Eleven convenience stores). CP All has been running vocational training programs since 1994. In the early 2000s, the company formed a private university to offer Bachelor and Master degree programs focused on coupling traditional theoretical classroom teaching with practical, real-world work experience in the areas of retail, logistics, food services, information technology, and Chinese-related business lines. It does this through paid internship placements within the CP All group, and as the university has grown, other private sector companies have become work placement partners as well, including the Bank of China and the True Telecommunications Group. In order to maintain the integrity of the degree accredited by the Joint Commission International programs and ensure that the curriculum is aligned (JCI) with over forty years of experience in hospital with the needs of employers, PIM invites private sector operations and administration, has identified representatives to its Board of Directors. The model "regenerative medicine" as one of its centers for seems to be working: since incorporation in March excellence along with cancer, cardiovascular, and 2007 PIM has grown to now offer 11 bachelor's degrees wellness serving Filipino and international patients and an MBA program with four specializations, as from the United States, Europe, Russia, and Australia. well as a series of executive short programs. The National Kidney & Transplant Institute (NKTI) has been applying stem cell transplantation since 1990. The NKTI's Stem Cell Transplantation Program has been performing blood and bone marrow transplantation procedures for years and has improved survival for patients who suffer from diseases like leukemias and lymphomas. The Asian Stem Cell Institute (ASCI) treatment center is based in Manila. St Luke's Medical Center and Makati Medical Center have likewise invested in latest and sophisticated medical equipment in pursuing stem- cell research and regenerative medicine, aggressively collaborating with leading medical institutions around the world. 29 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Silicon Valley Comes to the Philippines as an E-Vehicle Parts Philippines Manufacturing Hub Filipino Silicon Valley veteran, Managing Partner With the planned USD 500million electric tricycle at Tallwood VC, a California-based IT start-up program (better known as the e-Trike project) of the venture capital firm, and Chairman of the Philippine Department of Energy and the Asian Development Development Foundation (PhilDEv), Diosdado Bank (ADB), the Philippines may be seen as the Banatao, brought the Silicon Valley to Manila (and regional manufacturing hub for electric vehicle Cebu) in October 2012 as part of PhilDev’s drive to manufacturing parts. The target roll-out of 100,000 strengthen the education system in attacking poverty units of e-Trikes, equivalent to a reduction of 260,000 by promoting Information Technology as a potential tons of carbon dioxide emissions annually, will not million dollar major contributor to the local economy. only benefit the tricycle drivers sector and the country He calls for strengthening top schools curricula on as a whole in reducing pollution, but shall also create science and engineering and build a roster of scholars a whole new electric vehicle industry with already five to support the Department of Trade and Industry’s to six foreign companies already expressing interest to (DTI) roadmap aiming for a 10-fold increase in relocate factories back to the Philippines. The roll out size of the IT industry. While already an important of the e-Trike project makes local auto parts makers industry contributor to the Philippine economy at led by Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturers Association USD 1billion, IT needs to catch up to the level of the of the Philippines (MVPMAP) and the Electric Vehicle BPO industry (USD 11B) and the OFW industry (USD Association of the Philippines (EVAP) optimistic in 20B). The potential to leap the industry to a USD 10 attracting local and foreign partners to set up shops billion industry by 2020 could be attainable through and help revive the ailing local parts making industry. a stronger educational framework that starts with This should benefit a potential of 50,000 employees the implementation of the K+12 basic school system, all fully employed, coming from 9.8 percent of them and a curriculum that builds a base of well-educated currently unemployed, and another 19.2 percent and highly trained workforce, plus DTI’s drive to underemployed. Valued at USD 5,000 per unit, further develop the country’s telecommunications the potential business will generate P21.5 billion in infrastructure and science and IT-based ecosystem. revenue, apart from value-added spare parts and labor. PhilDev’s program through sponsoring forums In addition to reviving the manufacturing sector and and inviting professional speakers abroad, raising potentially creating hundreds of thousands of new scholarship funds, and sponsoring / incubating jobs, if new large-scale city building activities can be potential IT entrepreneurs -- aims to strengthen unleashed in Mega Manila, as proposed in subsequent interactions among IT-based companies, Filipino- chapters of this report, it is highly likely that tens American “technopreneurs” from Silicon Valley, of thousands of new construction sector jobs will foreign and local investors and key government officials be created in Mega Manila through 2030, further “to promote a deeper understanding about investment improving the livelihoods of the region’s current low- in the Philippines and potential collaboration on income communities. business ventures.” 30 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Building a Green, Connected, and Resilient Metropolis for All 31 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 32 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Achieving the Vision Strategic investments in infrastructure focusing on housing, Creating a Resilient Metropolis mobility, and environmental sustainability will lead to an efficient, equitable, inclusive, and resilient region by 2030. • Promote better understanding of the risks and their impacts on the overall sustainability and competitive- Connecting Metro Manila ness of Metro Manila • Encourage investment in disaster risk reduction pro- • Focus major development initiatives around new and grams existing urban and peri-urban nodes • Engage community-level participation in adaptation • Connect urban and peri-urban nodes via an efficient, and mitigation efforts safe, and reliable multi-modal transport system • Implement risk-sensitive land use guidelines and • Protect existing and proposed transport rights-of-way encourage private sector cooperation to prevent future encroachment Making Metro Manila Inclusive • Build redundancy in lifeline systems • Promote economic sectors with high potential for new • Leverage opportunities to unlock huge land values job creation through in-situ redevelopment and catalytic infrastruc- ture development • City-wide informal settlement upgrading 33 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 4. Connecting to Metro Manila Goal Build on the potential of Metro Manila’s multi-centered spatial structure to be green and time saving, by enhancing connectivity among and within urban centers, and by selectively designating new urban centers as Metro Manila integrates with its peri-urban hinterland. Background “Since World War II Metro Manila has seen enormous shifts in its spatial structure, with the pre-War, Manila-centered monocentric spatial structure being replaced by a poly-centric form with Makati as the CBD and EDSA (the former circumferential bypass road) as the main thoroughfare of the metropolis (see Map 3-1). Other centers include Pasig and Alabang, with Fort Bonifacio Global City, Makati, and the immediate Bayshore potentially coalescing into a new CBD. The growth of these centers is being driven by large-scale, private sector-led development, which is emerging as the leading force in shaping the spatial structure of Metro Manila. More recently, large new suburban developments have also sprouted outside of these central areas. Factors leading to the suburban development include cheaper land, proximity to labor pool, and higher levels of congestion in CBD areas. Traffic congestion is a challenge in most of the region, not only in the urban centers but also the emerging suburban centers (such as Las Piñas and Muntinlupa) and peri-urban areas (such as Cavite and Laguna). The region is in immediate need of a transportation system that provides reliable, efficient, and affordable connectivity among the various centers in Metro Manila, as well as between the core city and the peri- urban areas. Creating such a system, through a well- developed road network integrated with rapid transit, will make a significant contribution towards reducing inefficiencies related to congestion and enhanced livability in the region. 34 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Principles P1. Focus Major Development Initiatives around New • Integrate Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) and Existing Urban and Peri-Urban Nodes principles to land use planning through regulations and incentives. At present, land uses often vary little • Focus future large-scale investments in mass rapid around rail transit stations, compared with the urban transit (e.g., LRT and MRT) and real estate around fabric further out from the station. Often, stations are existing urban nodes. surrounded by low-rise shopping malls, rather than mixed-use development. If Metro Manila is to become • Peri-urban nodes may not possess enough variety in a green city, and one attractive to the creative economy, the types of uses. Prioritize provision of jobs and basic this will need to change. services (e.g., schools, hospitals, day-to-day shopping like wet markets) in peri-urban nodes. In select cases, P2. Connect Urban and Peri-Urban Nodes via an these functions should become increasingly specialized Efficient, Safe, and Reliable Multi-Modal (e.g., Finance in Makati) to support improved economic Transport System performance. • Design transportation system as the primary driver of • Create high-density, mixed-use environments at the spatial development in the Mega Manila area. center of the nodes with lower densities and less diverse use mixes extending away from the center. • Improve levels of service on existing mass rapid transit, including integrating payment systems and coordinating • Enable high-density, mixed - use development in the center schedules. of these nodes to promote public transport ridership by minimizing the need for long non-commuting trips for • Accelerate investment and expansion of mass rapid shopping, entertainment, schooling, etc. transit system. • Provide improved access to other parts of the metropolis. • Re-organize bus routes and services to complement Lower-density areas towards the periphery of these rail-based trunk routes and to connect nodes where rail nodes can be served efficiently by bus or para-transit connections are unavailable, while promoting the use of services that provide high levels of accessibility within cleaner fuels and vehicle technologies. the node as well as access to mass rapid transit. EDSA-Taft Ave intersection 35 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision • Re-organize jeepney and Asian Utility Vehicle (AUV) does PNR have the right to develop the land it owns for services to feed (rather than compete with) major trunk railroad tracks, but it is also responsible for land adjacent routes and key nodes, while providing short-distance to the rail line, typically some 40-meters from the intra-nodal travel using cleaner fuels and vehicle centerline of the railway. In theory, this right-of-way can technologies. be utilized for a variety of productive uses; however, in practice such land is often occupied by informal housing P3. Protect Existing and Proposed Transport settlements and/or other illegal types of development. Rights-of-Way • Informal and/or illegal developments within Rights- • Existing and new transport projects, whether they are of-Way represent a major issue when upgrading or road, rail, or waterway-based, such as the Pasig River expanding transport infrastructure. Removing such Ferry project, typically have Rights-of-Way built into developments can be time-consuming and costly. In the project. These Rights-of-Way must be protected to addition, when the Rights-of-Way along major rivers allow for efficient upgrading and expansion of existing and streams are encroached upon, it creates the potential infrastructure projects and to prevent the loss of life and for substantial property damage, injury, and loss of life property in the event of a major natural disaster. during natural disasters. • As an example, the Philippine National Railways owns the Right-of-Way for its entire work, meaning not only MMDA Footbridge MMDA Bike Lane MRT Turnstiles MMDA South-West Terminal 36 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Opportunities to Apply the Principles in Metro Manila A. Capitalize on Metro Manila’s Existing Multi-Nodal • Coordinating operating schedules to provide more Spatial Structure by Designating Priority Nodes and convenience. Urban Centers for High-Quality Investment • Centralizing and standardizing payment systems into a single common ticket like Hong Kong’s Octopus card, Designate key urban nodes/centers as areas that will drive which can be used on all forms of public transport. Metro Manila’s future development. Their growth should be enabled by land use regulations including building codes • Focusing investment on Highest Feasibility Routes, and zoning ordinances that require and/or incentivize high- particularly those that serve key urban nodes and density mixed-use development, particularly surrounding emerging nodes. Examples include extending LRT mass rapid transit stations. Line 1 south to Cavite, accelerating construction of Line 7 (or a BRT alternative) north from the center of Focus on improving key existing nodes like Makati and Metro Manila through Quezon City, and perhaps most Fort Bonifacio. Once institutional and regulatory capacity importantly, building a new MRT line that connects the is in place to support high-quality investment in these Manila Bay waterfront with Makati and Fort Bonifacio. areas, this initiative can be expanded to other nodes with These new lines must be built to international standards strategic significance such as Ortigas, Quezon City, and the and conform to the Department of Transportation and Bayshore area. Communication’s (DOTC) rail masterplan. • Reorganizing existing bus routes to serve key functions Designate, incentivize, and/or create new urban centers, including feeding higher-capacity transit lines (e.g., particularly in the peri-urban areas of Mega Manila, in the connecting riders with MRT Line 3 along EDSA rather medium and long term, extending from existing nodes. than competing with it) and connecting key nodes where higher-capacity service is unavailable, such as providing Facilitate high-density living to support capitalizing on trunk service along Alabang-Zapote Road and Quirino Metro Manila’s multi-nodal structure. Leading developers Avenue connecting Alabang with LRT Line 1 and the have a key role to play in developing innovative urban high- emerging waterfront district. rise communities, not just houses. The financial sector needs • Converting existing bus fleets to cleaner fuels, such as to make consumer credit widely available to promote middle the DOTC’s pilot project using Compressed Natural Gas class condominium living. (CNG). Utilize a range of marketing channels such as television, • Realigning jeepney routes to serve intra-nodal trips or radio, print, social media, and popular culture content (e.g., short-distance inter-nodal trips. television programs), to encourage high-quality, urbane, • Upgrading jeepney drivetrains, moving from polluting high-density living environments. diesel and/or petrol to cleaner fuels or electric batteries. For example, e-Jeepneys and hybrid buses are already B. Prioritize Coordinated Large-Scale Public being used to provide services within Makati while Investment and Institutional Cooperation Towards e-trikes service streets of Mandaluyong City and Taguig Revitalizing Metro Manila’s Public and Private City. Transport Systems • Creating viable ferry-based public transport routes that Building on the earlier principles, the following opportunities integrate with the existing road and rail network as could be seized to improve Mega Manila’s Transport Systems part of Metro Manila’s flood management investment (though none are explicit recommendations for action): along the Pasig River and key tributaries such as the Marikina and San Juan Rivers. Waterborne transport Upgrade existing Mass Rapid Transit lines to conform to has the potential to carry tens of thousands of people international standards with respect to safety, reliability and per day and alleviate congestion and crowding on buses comfort. This includes : and jeepneys, if properly implemented with good access (e.g., high-quality piers and walkways) and safe and • Improving access to station areas, increasing station efficient services. area amenities (such as covered walkways). • Implementing better traffic management practices • Increasing capacity during peak periods creating attractive to improve traffic flows and reduce congestion. Best and highly functional inter-modal transfer facilities. practices include extensively reviewing traffic signal 37 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision cycles and major intersections to ensure they are C. Explore Potential for Relocation and optimized for maximum traffic flow, introducing and/or Redevelopment of Airport and Seaport Areas enforcing policies that prohibit vehicles from stopping and/or parking on major arterial roads, etc. • The four terminals and two runways that comprise • Constructing flyovers at major intersections where non- (NAIA) are designed to handle 30 million passengers physical traffic management practices cannot further annually, yet total demand from domestic and improve traffic flows. Other physical development international passengers totaled 31.6 million in 2012. priorities should include constructing centralized Demand is only expected to increase to 47.8 million provincial / long distance bus terminals and building passengers per year in 2020 and to 69.6 million passengers the expressway connector between the North Luzon by 2030. Further expansion of NAIA to accommodate Expressway (NLEX) and South Luzon Expressway forecast growth is highly unlikely due to surrounding (SLEX) to remove trans-Luzon traffic from Metro urban development that creates high land acquisition Manila’s streets. costs for expansion, new environmental concerns, and other potential concerns such as noise pollution. • Creating a north-south super-corridor through the Mega Manila Region encompassing the Philippine • The inability of NAIA to meet current and future National Railway (PNR) alignment and the NLEX, demand from both domestic and international traffic SLEX, and the NLEX-SLEX connector (See Map 4-3). will have a significant impact on the development This super-corridor can help integrate the north and prospects of Metro Manila by restricting both business south peri-urban areas, the fastest growing components and leisure travel and tourism opportunities, as well as of the Greater Metro Region into the core of Metro limiting opportunities to export high-value air cargo Manila’s dynamic economy, providing the core with like consumer electronics that are manufactured in the complementary economic functions, e.g., in high value metropolitan area. manufacturing. Figure 3-1: Typical Node and Hinterland Relationship Both urban and peri-urban nodes typically have small 'hinterlands' extending outward from the center with a radius of 2-3 kilometers. 38 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Map 3-1: Major Urban Centers and Public • In order to accommodate rising demand for air travel Transport Links in Metro Manila and facilitate continued economic growth in both Metro and Mega Manila, the majority of commercial airport functions at NAIA should be relocated to a site (or sites) that has excellent road and rail access to major urban nodes such as Makati and Fort Bonifacio. Potential relocation options include land reclamation in Manila Bay or Laguna Bay and fully realizing the potential of Clark International Airport near Angeles City. • If some (or all) of NAIA’s existing airport functions can be successfully relocated, it will create two new major opportunities for economic development: The first opportunity will be in redeveloping part (or all) of the current NAIA site. This land is very valuable and already highly accessible. It could serve a number of functions, including be used to address the existing backlog of affordable and accessing housing in the region. Notably, Metro Manila has already benefited from redeveloping former airports, as the Ayala Triangle in Makati sits on the former site of Nielsen Field, the first airport on Luzon Island. • The second opportunity would be to create a modern aerotropolis. These types of developments consist of a variety of uses ranging from logistics and manufacturing to offices, residences, and MICE venues. In major global cities, aerotropolis developments can directly employ upwards of 50,000 people, with indirect employment being several times higher. In other Southeast Asian cities like Bangkok and Jakarta, aerotropolis has resulted in substantial job creation and new suburban nodes with more than a million people. Metro Manila possesses a large number of existing urban and peri-urban centers that can be characterized as 'nodes' or concentrations of various kinds of activities. Urban nodes typically feature dense concentrations of economic activities such as in Makati and Eastwood, cultural activities such as the 'Identity Districts' put forth earlier, and leisure activities, including shopping, dining, and entertainment, such as the node along MRT3 at Trinoma / SM North. Mixed in with these dominant uses are a range of other elements, such as residential areas and community services. In creating a green metropolis, these nodes and hinterlands must feature variable population, job, and activity densities. 39 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Map 3-2 A: Mega Manila’s Future Map 3-3: The PNR-Oriented North-South Node-Serving Transport Network Mega Manila Spine 40 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Map 3-2 B: Mega Manila’s Future Node-Serving Transport Network What is Transit-Oriented Development (TOD)? The guiding principle behind creating TODs is to create a sense of place that serves as a natural draw for people and firms. Typical successful TODs around the world share a number of key characteristics including: • A pedestrian-friendly environment, with safe, high-quality pavements, excellent wayfinding sig- nage, and adequate protection from climate (e.g., tree shading, building facade overhangs, etc); • Excellent urban design standards and aesthetics; • Strong branding and marketing to promote a dis- tinct image for the development that will attract an array of new residents and firms; • Access to rapid transit (e.g., MRT, LRT, BRT) as the anchor amenity, which provides safe, reliable, and efficient access; and • A high-density, mixed-use environment. 41 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Hong Kong's Causeway Bay Redevelopment Opportunity for MTR High-Density Mixed-Use the Airport(s) and Port Facilities in Development Manila Hong Kong's Causeway Bay, once a silted bay with a The Port of Manila and its associated facilities such as small fishing village on its shores, is now a heavily built- the Manila International Container Terminal (MICT) up urban area home to Hong Kong's main shopping account for the majority of domestic and international district, with retail rents second only to New York waterborne freight movements in the country. The City's Fifth Avenue. presence of heavy trucks serving the Port account for more than 40 percent of traffic on major arterial roads As the name implies, much of the land Causeway in the area, leading to serious traffic congestion and Bay now encompasses was reclaimed, an effort which average road speeds of between 10 and 20 kilometers began with a causeway in the 1950s (now Causeway per hour. With port traffic growing by more than 6 Road) and later expanded to include the area that percent annually, much, if not all port functions should is now Victoria Park. In 1973 the Cross-Harbour be relocated to other major ports in the region such as Tunnel opened, connecting the area with Kowloon two Subic Bay and Batangas, which are vastly under-utilized kilometers away, and in 1985, the Causeway Bay station at present. Such an initiative is supported by recent of the MTR Island line followed. research conducted by Japan International Cooperative Agency (JICA) for the Department of Transportation Causeway Bay today is home to some office space and Communication (DOTC) and the National and notable hotel properties (e.g. the Excelsior), but Economic and Development Authority (NEDA). shopping is the primary attraction, much of which is located directly on top of (using air rights) the MTR Freeing up the existing port area for redevelopment will maintenance depot at the station serving this area. create inner city development space for city building Home to major retail properties like the Japanese- and reduce traffic congestion created by heavy trucks owned Sogo, a 13-storie mall, and the Times Square moving goods to and from the port. In particular, the complex, which mixes retail with office space. Retail freed up land should be utilized to develop innovative, rents are so high that some major international retailers green smart, mixed-use urban communities to setup 'pop-up shops' where they rent space for only a showcase the fact that Metro Manila is a leading edge couple of months to test demand before committing to player in smart green urbanization. sky-high rents. In sum, if all NAIA and Port of Manila facilities are fully relocated to other parts of Mega Manila, more than 800 hectares of accessible urban space could be made available for redevelopment, representing a key opportunity to promote the social, economic, and environmental objectives of the Greenprint. 42 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 5. Making Metro Manila Inclusive Goal To create inclusive communities through mixed-use, mixed-income, and variable density nodal development capitalizing on opportunities to engage stakeholders and utilize land readjustment practices across Metro Manila’s existing socio-economic spatial structure. Background Major opportunities lie in redeveloping underutilized industries. Redeveloping underutilized land provides lands in Metro Manila. There is an urgent need to an opportunity to address the current housing backlog improve living conditions for the cities’ urban poor of more than half a million units by channeling some of as well as utilize land more efficiently. National the unlocked value back into housing production. agencies are moving towards policies for on-site redevelopment, in line with the global move away from Helping rebuild communities where they already exist, distance relocation approaches. Upgrading informal introducing higher densities and alternative uses, and settlements will provide more decent living conditions creating more jobs will produce a dynamic, integrated for a significant portion of the cities’ population while Metro Manila. unlocking value land for other uses. Development of housing and other infrastructure in turn creates a job market that can be an important driver of the urban economy as seen in other countries such as China where nearly 50 percent of the GDP is generated by investment in infrastructure, property, and production facilities. Employment in urban construction activities, particularly during times of rapid city-building, can account for nearly 10-12 percent of employment worldwide. City building efforts on a wide scale will require land readjustment policies. These policies can help unlock around USD200 billion in underutilized land across Metro Manila. Large-scale in-situ redevelopment has the potential to add hundreds of billions of dollars to the regional economy by unlocking land value through the sale and development of under-utilized land, corresponding jobs that will be created by new construction activities, and the potential industries/services that could locate to these areas. Investment in housing produces high returns; it is estimated that for every PHP1 invested in housing development, the multiplier effect is two times in terms of other investments in related 43 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Principles P1. Leverage Opportunities to Unlock Huge Land • Implement land readjustment to undertake in-situ Values through In-Situ Redevelopment and Catalytic redevelopment. The basic principle is to organize Infrastructure Development landowners to act collectively, in cooperation with a municipality and/or private developer to pool their land • Maintain the existing spatial intermixing of Metro in order to accomplish a redevelopment project. Land Manila’s socio-economic classes. Building on the spatial readjustment offers a less challenging alternative to land foundation of the existing multi-modal development expropriation, which often encounters strong opposition pattern, nodes and their hinterlands must possess from landowners, can result in project delays, and variable densities and land use mixes. potentially higher project costs. Land readjustment was popularized by Japanese urban planners in the 1960s and • Promote in-situ redevelopment of low-income 1970s and has since been practiced in many countries neighborhoods. This approach allows these groups to to achieve policy objectives ranging from farmland be close to jobs and economic opportunities, rather consolidation to inner-city revitalization. than being relocated to peri-urban areas, where they are devoid of basic amenities and livelihood opportunities. P2. City-Wide Informal Settlement Upgrading Higher-densities result from these processes and will generate more vital, urbane, creative human-centered • Move from ad-hoc, project-based approach to a city- street environments, and vastly improved environmental wide, programmatic approach. Global experience has (green) performance. With additional land created shown that city-wide upgrading holds the promise to through densification and better land use planning, the achieve results at scale. Success stories from Thailand private sector will be free to develop high-rise apartments Community Organizations Development Institute and condominiums that attract middle class residents to (CODI), Ahmadabad, India; Sao Paulo, Brazil; among new areas. others, demonstrate how city-wide upgrading leads to more substantial results and wider development impacts • Redevelop NAIA to create new housing and other than what individual communities or scattered pilot types of land uses. As discussed in the previous section, projects are able to achieve. The city-wide approach lands associated with existing airports including areas warrants leadership of the Local Government Units, adjacent to the airports offer significant opportunities more voice from broadly based urban poor NGO and for redevelopment. If some (or all) of NAIA’s existing people’s organization networks, partnership with all key airport functions are relocated in the future, the airport stakeholders to plan and problem solve together, pooled site can be redeveloped for alternative uses. Further, community saving schemes, and economy of scale in there is a strong potential to foster airport-oriented service provision. development, known as an ‘aerotropolis’ which can create tens or even hundreds of thousands of jobs and shift the spatial development trajectory of the metropolis as it has in Bangkok and Jakarta. 44 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision In-Situ Redevelopment in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area Land readjustment and corresponding in-situ redevelopment One such example is Tama New Town. Designed in the 1960s principles have been applied extensively in suburban Tokyo as a planned alternative to the rapid urban sprawl resulting to combat urban sprawl since the 1960s; indeed, in Japanese, from rising central Tokyo land prices, three different land readjustment is referred to as “the mother of all city government bodies planned and executed the large scale land planning” and it is estimated that one-third of urban areas readjustment and development process over more than three have been redeveloped through land readjustment. decades. The result today is 21 neatly divided neighborhoods, each providing its own public facilities and social services (e.g. The concept is that after landowners have pooled their land, schools, post offices, etc.), a high degree of transit integration roads and infrastructure are added to the combined area. with mixed-use development around the new town’s four The remaining land is then re-divided to create upgraded transit stations, and praise for the distinct variety of housing plots. Land readjustment has been a largely successful options available. The development’s 200,000 residents make tool to encourage infill development and add density in it the largest residential development in Japan by population. underutilized areas. Examples abound at both the small and large scales in urban and suburban Tokyo, led both by private consortiums and public (planning) associations. Disiplina Village, Valenzuela City 45 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Opportunities to Apply the Principles in Metro Manila A. Establish Metropolitan-Wide Form-Based Urban B. Vigorously Pursue In-Situ Redevelopment Practices Development Guidelines for Nodes, Surrounding on a Case-by-Case Basis Areas and Open Spaces Large-scale, in-situ redevelopment should be undertaken, Promote land development where nodes have high density, as part of a metropolitan-wide spatial and slum upgrading with a mix of land uses. As one moves away from the center strategy, both to redevelop underutilized neighborhoods, and of the node, densities decline. Metropolitan-wide form-based to specifically upgrade existing slum housing. Pursued on a guidelines, enabling policies and financing mechanisms case-by-case basis, in-situ redevelopment should emphasize could be a vehicle to incentivize mixed-density, mixed- catalytic community redevelopment consistent with the use, and mixed-income development in areas with specific principles outlined, e.g., strengthening urban centers, creating characteristics. For example, at the center of the node, TOD developments, improving trans modal conditions, density should be highest with a diverse range of land uses relocating residents away from natural hazard risks, and together with a variety of housing types (including affordable improving the living conditions of low income residents. housing). Farther out, within a walkable radius, densities To realize in-situ redevelopment, trusted intermediary should be somewhat reduced and the mix of uses varying by institutions will have to be empowered and well-resourced neighborhood type. to encourage community and/or neighborhood engagement in order to ensure a sustainable (long-term) approach to the redevelopment process. Forward Taguig Habitat Medium-Rise Building Neighborhood Association (FTHMNAI), Taguig City 46 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision The Subdivision and Housing Baan Mankong: Thailand’s Developers Association (SHDA): Citywide Community-Driven Slum The Private Sector Approach to Upgrading and Community Housing Transforming Informal Settlements Development and Reducing the Housing Backog According to the National Informal Settlement The Baan Mankong (secure housing) program, Upgrading Strategy report, over three million of launched by the Thai Government in 2003, centers Metro Manila's inhabitants are informal settlers. on providing infrastructure subsidies and soft This means an estimated three million people are housing and land loans to low-income communities living in substandard living conditions with poor to support upgrading in-situ wherever possible and, sanitation, overcrowding and crude habitation, if not, to develop new homes close by. To date, it has inadequate water supply and insecurity of tenure. implemented upgrading projects in 286 cities and Around half a million of these informal settlers are towns, in 72 of the country's 77 provinces, providing living in dangerous areas such as waterways, canals secure housing to 93,100 households. The Community or 'esteros' and under the bridges. The Subdivision Organizations Development Institute (CODI) helps and Housing Developers Association argues that the poor communities work closely with their local instead of forcefully evicting or transferring informal governments, professionals, government agencies, communities to far-off locations away from their universities and NGOs to survey the communities source of livelihood, in-situ housing is the better in their individual cities and then plan an upgrading option towards slum rehabilitation. SHDA launched process which attempts to improve the city's poor October 2012 "The Housing Industry Roadmap communities. CODI provides support not only to 2012-2030" to address the huge backlog on housing community organizations formed by the urban poor (6.5 million units at national level, if unaddressed for projects but also to their networks, to allow them to by 2030), while providing informal settlers with work with city authorities and with national agencies more decent housing through more supportive on city-wide upgrading programs. These city-wide government policies on in-situ/ on-site settlement, networks also link communities so they can share their helping speed up housing production, land retitling, experiences, learn from each other, work together, public-private partnerships, financial aid package, and pool their resources. The city-wide approach, coupled with supportive public/private/social sectors combined with flexible finance, savings groups, and in making the Roadmap's vision a reality. technical support, are the essential elements in the success of the Baan Mankong program. 47 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 6. Creating a Resilient Metropolis Goal Adopt a comprehensive approach to disaster resilience that includes decisive action and investment in risk reduction infrastructures and in improving living conditions and livelihoods of those in danger areas. Background The Philippines experiences various types of natural region. During Typhoon Ondoy in 2009, 450 mm of rainfall hazards. Due to its physical environment and was recorded by the Manila Observatory in a single eight geographical location along the Pacific Ring of Fire, it hour period, an event that statistically occurs once every 180 is vulnerable to earthquakes, tsunamis and volcanic years, making Typhoon Ondoy the worst recorded calamity eruptions. in Metro Manila. The rains caused the Marikina and Pasig Rivers to exceed their carrying capacity and resulted in floods The country also lies along the Western Pacific Basin, all across Metro Manila as well as the neighboring provinces a generator of climatic conditions such as typhoons, of Laguna, Bulacan and Rizal. monsoons, and severe thunderstorms. Twenty typhoons on average reach the Philippines every year, of which Metro Manila is also traversed by the Valley Fault System around four to six are destructive. Around four to six making it prone to strong earthquakes. An earlier study typhoons on average make landfall in or near Metro found that in a ‘do nothing’ scenario, a 7.2 magnitude Manila annually. earthquake at the West Valley Fault may result in the death of 34,000 people and injure another 114,000, in addition Metro Manila is highly vulnerable to natural hazards. to destroying or damaging buildings and infrastructure. These events damage properties, causes epidemics and Further, fires associated with the earthquake may spread widespread diseases and result in substantial loss of life. through approximately 1,710 hectares of property, injuring Moreover, disasters disrupt economic activities thereby and/or killing an additional 18,000 people. affecting the overall growth and development in the 48 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Principles P1. Promote Better Understanding of the Risks and P2. Encourage Investment in Disaster Risk Reduction their Impacts on the Overall Sustainability and Programs Competitiveness of Metro Manila The vulnerability of Metro Manila is largely a function of Metro Manila accounts for over 30 percent of the country’s its unplanned urbanization, environmental degradation, GDP and is the country’s premier political, economic, and and inadequate infrastructure related measures. There is an financial center. With the vision to make it at par with its urgent need to reduce vulnerabilities associated with natural Asian neighbors, understanding the risks it faces is important hazards, particularly flooding and earthquakes, through to motivate decision-makers and investors on the urgency and a combination of structural and non-structural measures. necessity to mitigate and reduce disaster impacts over time. If A recent Master Plan for Flood Management in Metro fundamental sources of risks are not addressed, disasters can Manila and Surrounding Areas prepared by Government of lead to significant infrastructure damages, disrupt economic Philippines outlines such measures and identifies potential activities, and adversely impact residents, resulting in billions costs of undertaking the measures at USD 8.2 billion. This of dollars of losses and foregone incomes. For example, in the will be a relatively small investment for a metropolis the size aftermath of Typhoons Ondoy and Pepeng, the World Bank of Mega Manila particularly as it will avoid or reduce future estimated that the total cost of storm-related damages and disasters that will be significantly more damaging. losses in the Metro Manila region amounted to USD 4.38 billion (PHP 206 billion), or 2.7 percent of national GDP in 2009. Of this total, 43 percent came from the Commerce (services) sector, while housing and transport accounted for a further 17 percent of total damages and losses. MMDA Emergency Preparation 49 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision P3. Engage Community-Level Participation in Establish appropriate arbitration mechanisms for when land Adaptation and Mitigation Efforts use conflicts arise. Insurance companies should be involved, and convinced to issue no new policies in high-risk areas. Empowering communities to reduce their own risks is an important feature of any meaningful risk reduction program. Prevent new communities from settling in high-risk areas, Community-based and participatory approaches that including ‘temporary’ informal settlements. engage communities in decision-making, implementation, and monitoring ensure the alignment of centrally-driven Enforce seismic building codes. Given the high risk of investments and bottom-up demands, facilitate speed and earthquakes, with particular risk along well-identified quality of implementation, and promote accountability and seismic faults in Metro Manila, it is imperative to follow transparency. seismic building codes. P4. Implement Risk-Sensitive Land Use Guidelines and P5. Build Redundancy in Lifeline Systems Encourage Private Sector Cooperation to Prevent Future Encroachment Lifeline systems pertain to the network of critical city infrastructure, such as electrical power, gas and liquid Increase coordination among decision makers. The MMDA, fuels, telecommunications, transportation, waste disposal, HLURB (Housing, and Land Use Regulatory Board), and and water supply. During times of disaster, this critical relevant LGUs should work together to develop an appropriate infrastructure network becomes stressed. It is important that set of risk-sensitive/responsive land use guidelines and these systems have contingency plans where a failure in any zoning ordinances to mitigate future adverse impacts from one part during a disaster does not affect the overall network, natural hazards. These guidelines must be strictly enforced and services can continue to be delivered to the population. by each LGU. 50 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Opportunities to Apply the Principles in Metro Manila A. Embrace Opportunities to Provide Affected and faster recovery from failures. New infrastructure can Residents with Better Housing and Access to Jobs be disaster and climate resilient by ensuring that it will be through In-Situ Redevelopment and Relocation located, designed, built and operated within the current and future weather conditions in mind. On the other hand, As indicated by the recent Master Plan for Flood existing infrastructure can be resilient by ensuring that Management in Metro Manila and Surrounding Areas, resilience is incorporated in maintenance practices over the regular flooding in Mega Manila directly impacts as many as life of the asset. 2.4 million people. Flood management projects outlined in the report indicate that as many as 610,000 people will need Mega Manila presents a tremendous opportunity for to be resettled. Some of these residents will be able to benefit investments that are aimed at addressing the region’s from in-situ redevelopment while the remainder should be vulnerabilities to existing natural hazards. Investments in encouraged to locate in existing or new urban / peri-urban improving the conditions of roads, bridges, electrical power nodes. Such redevelopment and relocation will require a systems and other such essential infrastructure will reduce significant influx of new housing units and upgrading of risks related to loss of lives, physical damage and interruptions existing housing units in the region. Both the government in critical socio-economic services. Additionally, an influx and private sector should embrace this opportunity to make of funds towards infrastructure improvements can serve as major infrastructure investments and to pursue smarter an important driver of the region’s economy and can have and greener urban planning practices aimed at making the a positive effect on the economic resilience of the country metropolis safer and more livable. as well. B. Invest in Resilient Infrastructure The public sector will need to work on improving infrastructure designs and standards, stringent enforcement Engineers have long tried to design infrastructure to of building codes, as well as develop land use and zoning withstand extreme forces, but recently they have begun to policies to reduce exposure of people and property to natural address the need for urban infrastructure systems that are disasters. The private sector can contribute by raising capital resilient to disasters. Conceptually, resilience entails three and bringing technical know-how on how to improve interrelated dimensions: lower probabilities of failure; resiliency in infrastructure. less-severe negative consequences when failures do occur; Informal settlements along the Pasig River 51 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Map 4-1: Master Plan for Flood Management in Metro Manila and Surrounding Areas Flood Risk Map by Overflow from Major Rivers- Risk Level on Danger of Casualty 52 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision three Section Key Synergies Rizal Park, Manila City 53 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 7. Key Synergies In order to achieve the Vision, several key synergies between the economic / livelihood and city- building strategic areas must be realized. The key synergies are described below: 1. Create a Well-Connected and Inclusive 2. Upgrade Informal Communities, Unlocking Multi-Nodal Metropolis Land Values, and Improving Livelihoods To fully realize the Vision, Metro Manila must focus Informal communities occupy a significant portion of its city-building efforts on creating a well-connected the metropolitan landscape. Many of these communities and inclusive multi-nodal metropolis. Improvements reside on some of Metro Manila’s most valuable land while in all modes of transport must be made to provide safe, others reside in areas that are at extreme risk to flooding affordable, and efficient mobility within each node and and earthquakes. By focusing on in-situ redevelopment between nodes. Design and development guidelines and leveraging win-win land readjustment practices must be implemented and enforced that support successfully used in other parts of the world, Metro mixed-use, mixed-income, and variable density Manila’s people and economy stand to benefit enormously development appropriate to the centers of nodes and through creating space for new, high-value development in their respective surrounding hinterlands, including central areas while simultaneously improving livelihoods measures to retrofit informal communities that of at-risk populations through better quality housing and provide access to basic services, jobs, and amenities for improved access to transport and basic services. all socio-economic classes. On top of substantial job creation and economic development created by the real estate and construction industry, coordinating such city-building efforts will create enormous economic benefits across other key sectors. With a safe, green, and efficient urban environment, it will be possible to attract new investment in IT-BPO and high-end services, while potentially attracting millions of new tourists every year, leading to countless job opportunities. These efforts will allow current residents to live higher- quality lives by spending less time in traffic, breathing cleaner air, and having improved access to education, healthcare, and jobs. 54 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 3. Target Public Policy and Public Investment 4. Create Resilient Communities and Industries Support to Cluster-Oriented Globally Competitive Economic Activities Given the importance of Metro Manila within the national social and economic hierarchy, a range of efforts that build Target public policy / investment support to globally on cooperation among between public, private, academic, competitive activities. Public sector stakeholders cannot non-profit, and multi-lateral stakeholders must be pursued pick winners but should ensure that economic activities, to create resilient communities that are safe, comfortable, particularly manufacturing and IT-BPO, are provided with and accessible places for citizens from all walks of life to live competitive incentives and world-class infrastructure, e.g., and play, and resilient industries that continue to function telecommunications, road transport to ports, etc. This needs efficiently throughout periods of potential disruption caused to be applied both to potential locators, but also to retain and by natural hazards. These efforts should take place from the induce expansion of current firms. bottom-up and from the top-down. More specifically, the national government needs to take Local residents must be engaged and empowered to improve action (regulatory, labor, human resources, energy pricing, quality of life in all areas, but particularly those most affected etc.) to restore the Philippines’ competitiveness in high- by severe natural hazards. Local businesses should work value manufacturing, focusing on economic clusters with together to improve the urban environment to attract new potential. To support these actions, the physical quality of tourists, new investment, and to protect themselves from industrial zones must be improved to be competitive with the effects of natural hazards. The metropolitan and local leading East Asian production environments- particularly governments should assist residents and firms by providing in terms of the supply chain ecosystem like employee access the knowledge and resources necessary to engage, collaborate, to housing and mass transit, reliable truck access for just-in- and empower stakeholders in tackling major resiliency issues time production, access to port and airport facilities, world- and should use their authority to ensure a higher-quality, class telecommunications, green smart urban and building more inclusive, and more risk-sensitive urban form through infrastructure, environmental facilities such as solid waste the development and enforcement of appropriate land use management and hazardous waste disposal, etc. guidelines and zoning ordinances. 55 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 8. Moving Forward The next step is to develop a spatial strategy to make the Vision a reality. In the next phase of this project, MMDA will be working with global experts, national agencies, local government units, and the public to develop long-term strategies towards common goals related to inclusivity, connectivity, and resiliency. Over the next year, MMDA will host workshops, consultations, and events to coordinate with and listen to stakeholders. This process will play an important role in the development of the Greenprint 2030, which will be released in 2015. 56 four Section Background Documentation • Phase I Process • Sources The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 9. Phase I Process Activities Workshops Project Launch and Workshop: Strategy-Based Spatial Planning Phase I of the Greenprint began March 6, 2012, with the official launch by MMDA Chairman Atty. Francis Tolentino. The launch followed the first Workshop conducted by World Bank consultants titled “Strategy Based Spatial Planning”. The workshop examined this approach to urban planning, focusing on how to develop spatial strategies based on competitiveness. Metro Manila’s global and regional strengths were outlined for discussion on possible challenges, opportunities, and competitive interventions. International best practices were presented with lessons from Seoul, Mumbai, Harbin, Vancouver, Singapore and Bangkok. These examples showed the link between a clear vision and strategies for optimizing each city's competitive advantages. Workshop: Approaches to Preparing State of the Art Greenprints A second workshop titled “Approaches to Preparing State of the Art Greenprints” was held on April 6, 2012 at the Linden Suites, Ortigas. The presentation focused in detail on the Mega Manila context from the individual local government level to the region as a whole. The analysis outlined the population density and growth, spatial relationships and patterns, and the centers and sub centers which anchor the metropolitan structure. It discussed the challenges related to informal settlements, green space, and constraints caused by issues of natural disaster, utilities, and property rights. The concluding section presented the areas of intervention with potential for high impact, such as the airport redevelopment, waterfront development, and mass transit. Phase I of the Greenprint consisted of a series of workshops, learning events, and consultations with key stakeholders. 58 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Workshop: Consultations Greenprint Vision One-on-one consultations with national government The Metro Manila Greenprint Visioning Workshop took agencies, local government units, private sector leaders, place on May 25, 2012 at the Discovery Suites, Ortigas. civil society organizations, and academe were faciliated as Following the round of consultations with different part of the visioning process. These consultations affirmed stakeholders, the revised Greenprint Vision was presented to the pressing issues and concerns on housing backlogs participants and final feedback taken pertaining to the vision. and informal settlers, mobility and traffic management, accessibility and transportation, and in particular disaster risk management and vulnerability, and the need for a Learning Events Greenprint to guide Metro Manila’s development. “Best Practices from Mexico and Brazil” Learning events complimented the development of the Greenprint vision. On June 28, 2012 at the World Bank Office in Ortigas, MMDA invited stakeholders to hear best practices from Guadalajara, Mexico and Curitiba, Brazil. Osvaldo Navaro Alves an architect, urban planner, and the former President of the Institute for Urban Planning and Research in Curitiba, Brazil shared the Brazilian experience tackling transportation issues, focusing on the process of creating a rapid bus transit system. Luis Felipe Sequeiros a renowned urban planner and practitioner, a national award recipient for best local practices, and the current head of the Guadalajara 2020, shared metropolitan planning experiences in developing the long-term strategy for Guadalajara. “Metro Manila: Welcome to YOUR Megacity” Associate Director for Urban Development at the Rockefeller Foundation, Benji de la Peña, gave a talk for a group of government and private sector agencies on August 23, 2013 at the MMDA Office in Makati City. The talk focused on how to solve pressing urban problems through bottom- up innovative processes and reframe them in a dynamic, complex-adaptive context. Pena showed that Metro Manila is not experiencing its urban challenges in a vacuum; other cities around the world are struggling to address transport, informal settlements, and other quality of life issues. Pena advocates for a renewed perspective of how to approach these issues and shared his thoughts on how to make Metro Manila a successful megacity. 59 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Participants in Phase I workshops, consultations, and learning events included representatives from local government units, national government agencies, development organizations, civil society organizations, academe, private sector, and media: Local Government Units STAKEHOLDERS Caloocan City, Cavite, Makati, Malabon, Manila, Marikina, Muntinlupa, Navotas, Pasay, Pasig, Pateros, Quezon City, Rizal Province, San Juan, Taguig, Valenzuela. 60 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision National Agencies Bureau of Immigration (BOI) Light Rail Transit Authority (LRTA) Center for Industrial Competitiveness (CIC) Metropolitan Manila Development Authority (MMDA) Department of Education (DepEd) National Anti-Poverty Commission (NAPC) Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) National Competitiveness Council (NCC) Department of Interior and Local Government (DILG) National Economic Development Authority (NEDA) Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) Services Department of Tourism- National Capital Region (DOT-NCR) Administration (PAGASA) Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry (PCCI) Department of Transportation and Communication (DOTC) Department of Energy (DOE) Home Development Mutual Fund (Pag-IBIG) Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology Housing and Land Use Regulatory Board (HLURB) (PHILVOLCS) Housing and Urban Development Coordinating Council (HUDCC) Philippine Retirement Authority (PRA) Laguna Lake Development Authority (LLDA) Bases Conversion and Development Authority (BCDA) League of Cities (LCP) 61 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Development Organizations Australian Agency for International Development Academe (AusAID) Earthquake and Mega Cities Initiative (EMI) Asian Institute of Management (AIM) United Nations Human Settlements Program (UN-Habitat) Ateneo School of Government (ASOG) World Bank Institute of Philippine Culture of the School of Social Sciences, Ateneo de Manila (IPC) Civil Society Organizations University of the Philippines School of Urban and Regional Planning (UP-SURP) Homeless Peoples Federation Inc. Partnership of Philippine Support Service Agencies Inc. (PHILSSA) Philippine Business for Social Progress (PBSP) Philippine Institute of Environmental Planners (PIEP) 62 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Private Sector Media Ayala Land Corporation Abante Tonight Consultants for Comprehensive Environmental Planning Aksyon Dyaryo (CONCEP) DZAR 10.26 KHZ Federal Land Hataw Tabloid Filinvest Development Corporation Hay Metro Fort Bonifacio Development Corporation (FBDC) Inquirer Greenline Environmental System Inc. Interaksyon Hotel and Restaurant Association of the Philippines International Broadcasting Corporation 13 (IBC-13) Makati Business Club Journal Megaworld Corporation Journal Group Organization of Socialized Housing Developers of the Malaya Business Insight Philippines (OSHDP) Manila Standard Ortigas Center Association, Inc. People’s Television Network (PTV) PHINMA Corporation Philippine News Agency (PNA) Robinson Land Corporation Philippine Star Subdivision and Housing Developers Association (SHDA) Remate Online Urban Land Institute (ULI) Sunshine TV Tribune 63 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Metro Manila Council passed the MMDA Resolution 12-28 during the Metro Manila Council monthly meeting on November 15, 2012 to express the support for the Greenprint 2030. 64 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 10. Sources Section 1: Creating the Greenprint Metro Manila Pop 2010=11.85M Land Area: 30,000 km2 Pop Den=18,640 pop/sqkm Population: 92.34M (2010) • 0.2% land Density: 313 pop/sqkm (2010) • 13% population CAGR:1.90% (2000-2010) • 33% GDP Growing slower and slower . . . 1980-90= 2.95% CAGR 1990-00= 2.25% 2000-10= 1.79% Amidst a fast-growing periphery (Reg3+4A) 2000-10= 2.64% Map Source: National Statistics Office (NSO) Census 2010 65 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Pampanga 2.22% Quezon Bulacan City 2.73% Navotas Malabon Rizal San Metro Manila 3.82% Juan 1.79% Pasig Manila Laguna Cavite 3.11% Taguig 4.12% Parañaque Batangas 2.24% Metro Manila Slow growth in center (2000-2010 CAGR): • San Juan : 0.31% Cites and municipalities just outside Metro • Manila: 0.44% Manila are growing fastest: some up to 8%-9% • Malabon : 0.42% (population doubles in about 7-8 years) • Navotas: 0.78% Faster growth in peripheral cities: • Taguig: 3.27% • Pasig: 2.86% • Paranaque: 2.72% • Quezon City: 2.42% 66 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Metro Manila GRDP Sector Shares 2009 Average Household Income and Expenditure 2009 Income MM Income Finance Expinditure MM Expinditure Private Services Income Income Region 4A Construction Region 3 Transport Real Estate Expinditure Income Wholesale- Expinditure Philippines Manufacturing Region 4A Region 3 Retail Expenditure, Energy, Water Govt. Services Philippines • Metro Manila GRDP = 33% of national output • Service-dominated Economy: Private and Government Map Source: PSY 2010; NSCB Family Income Expenditure Survey (FIES) 2009 services, Finance and Trade account for 49% of total MM GRDP • Finance (9.6%), Private Services (8.5%) fastest growing; • Metro Manila dominates the national economy. Construction and Transport also growing robustly. • Service sector dominates Metro Manila's economy. Map Source: NEDA Philippine Statistical Yearbook (PSY) 2010 Metro Manila Philippines Employment rate Rate (%) 87.2 92.5 Metro Manila enjoys the highest HH income & Unemployment expenditure, and lowest poverty incidence in the country . Rate (%) 12.8 7.5 Underemployment 2009 Poverty Incidence Rate (%) 12.5 19.1 Metro Manila (lowest) 4.0% Region 3 15.3% Region 4A 13.9% CARAGA (highest) 47.8% Philippines 26.5% • Metro Manila dominates the national economy. • Service sector dominates Metro Manila’s economy. • Metro Manila has the highest unemployment rate (and therefore lowest employment rate) due to continuous in-migration of people seeking jobs ; it is the primary poverty reduction venue of the country. 67 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Section 2: Achieving the Greenprint 1. Leveraging Opportunities in Information Moving forward, IT-BPO sector needs to: Technology and Business Processing • Accelerate scale up of talent. • Maintain/improve overall cost competitiveness (wages, Outsourcing incentives, real estate, telecom, etc.) • Consolidate dominance in US; increase presence in other markets i.e. UK, APAC. PPP CAGR: 25.0 • Rapidly demonstrate capability and scalability outside -20% of voice, focusing on high-growth segments. 20.0 CAGR: 25% 15.0 CAGR: Metro Manila is expected to remain as main venue for CAGR: 30% 7.2 9.0 15% IT-BPO; 3.2 CAGR: • New facilities are needed in existing and new locations; 9% work environment will require continuous upgrading Low-end Baseline Road Map 2006 2009 2010 2016 2016 2016 (e.g. build-to-suit facilities, mixed use 24/7 services, % of GDP 2.7% 4.5% 4.8% 6.0% 7.0% 9.0% transport access, security). Direct 240K 440K 530K 680K 900K employment 1.3M Indirect 600K 1100K 1325K 1700K 2250K 3.2M employment Other Sources: Source: Business Processing Association of the Philippines (BPAP) 2010; ABS- CBN News. 09 Feb. 2010; Rappler April 11, 2012 BPA/P Experience Excellence: The Philippine Advantage (Sept. 2011) • IT-BPO sector continues to be an economic driver--its Mitra Raja M. 2013a. Leveraging Services Sector Growth in GDP share increased from 2.7% to 4.8% (2006-2010) the Philippines. Chapter 11 in “Developing the Service Sector and direct employment by 120% (totaling 530k) during as an Engine of Growth for Asia”. Manila and Washington the same period. DC: Asian Developing Bank and the Peterson Institute of • Future growth is promising: global offshore services International Economics. demand is projected to grow annually by 10%-15%. • Non-Voice BPO is expected to drive the market in the Mitra Raja M. 2013b. Information and Communication future, with projected CAGR of 20%-25% Technology and Business Process Outsourcing Industry Transformation in the Philippines: Growth, Impact, Opportunities and Challenges. London School of Economics, Annual demand and supply projections of entry-level industry talent–Philippines IT-BPO London (forthcoming). ‘000 FTEs Talent demend (target scenario) Effective addressable talent supply (as-is) Mitra Raja M. 2013c The Information Technology and 200 184 Business Process Outsourcing Industry: Diversity and Challenges: in Developing Asia. Chapter 3 “Developing the 160 157 163 Service Sector as an Engine of Growth for Asia”. Manila and Washington, DC: Asian Development Bank and the Peterson 136 120 133 Institute of International Economics. 80–90k @ 2.5% growth rate 80 73 84 Effective addressable Mitra Raja 2013d. Knowledge Economy Transformation: 72 84 70 supply Innovation, Entrepreneurship, Higher Education and 63 63 Information and Communication Technology Development 40 in Asia: The Case of India, China, Malaysia and the Philippines (forthcoming). 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Map Source: Business Processing Association of the Philippines (BPAP) 2010 68 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Mitra Raja M. 2010. Information Technology and Business • Metro Manila accounted for 12% (2.9 million) of total Processing Outsourcing Industry Growth and Poverty country tourism arrivals (2010). Alleviation: The Case of India. Background paper. Geneva, • Phil direct employment: 778k jobs (2.1%) UNCTAD • Phil total employment: 3.55M jobs (9.6%) • Significant growth opportunities h t t p : / / w w w. j o u r n a l . c o m . p h / i n d e x . p h p / n e w s / • 2012 growth rate (contribution to GDP) expected to be national/39103-p252m-fund-for-it-bpo-industry highest (9.9%) in ASEAN+China+ Australia • A lot of low hanging fruit, if constraints are addressed. http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/169865/wellness-wake-up-call- • NAIA heavily congested; handled about 27M for-sleepless-bpo-agent passengers, 425k MT cargo 2010; annual demand growth 5.5% and 5.0% respectively. • Runway capacity has been reached with no more room 2. Leveraging Metro Manila’s Tourism Potential for expansion. and Attracting Newly Rich Neighbors • Others: traffic congestion, lack of hotel rooms, immigration constraints, other tourism services. Travel and Tourism Capital Investment 2011, $Bn Gambling • Gambling industry in the Philippines is worth an y = 0.4558x+ 7.9633 Visitor Exports R2 = 0.6982 estimated P100B/yr; illegal activities account for 2011, $Bn CHN additional P50B/yr. • 66% of gaming revenues comes from Metro Manila operations. tha • Asia Pacific expected to emerge as world’s leading region for casino gaming in next 5 years, expanding to mal $80B in 2015) aus • Metro Manila can tap part of the Macau gaming market sin and grow to as much as $2B to $5B in size in the next five years. Mainland China will likely be the main ind vie market for local casinos; aside from Macau, Chinese sri only have Philippines and Singapore as alternatives. cam y = 6.5993x- 3.94 Gaming markets (2010) (Billion) Contribution to GDP R2 = 0.9857 2011, $Bn Macau: $23.4B Australia: $3.4B Singapore: $2.8B South Korea: $2.6B Philippines: $0.5B Note: Macau is the largest single destination market in the world, more than y = 1.8271x+1.7296 2X the revenue of Nevada, US) R2 = 0.979 Map Source: Corpuz, "Optimizing the Growth Opportunities in the Tourism Sector: Mixed Use and Integrated Resort Development," 2012; Department of Tourism 2011) 69 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Other Sources: Share of Residential Construction by Market Urban Redevelopment Authority, Singapore Segment www.ura.gov.ph Social High 3. Reclaiming High-Value Services and Promoting High-Potential Economic Cluster High Middle City-Building Construction Output & Share of Top 3 Regions Low Middle 13.7% 10.9% 11.3% Metro Manila Real Estate Trends Gross Floor Area, CAGR 2002 2009 Residential 109.8% (2009-2011) Office 67.1% (2002-2011) Retail 43.1% (2002-2011) Source: ALI, Based on Colliers Sources: NSO Labor Force Survey 2011; PSY 2010 Opportunities to Rebuild Housing Stock and Construction Environment Metro Manila accounts for 13.7% of total • Large Metro Manila housing backlog construction output. • Cumulative backlog+New HH = 497k housing units Metro Manila new construction 2010: (13.2% of national requirement) (2005-2010) 8.7 million sqm (39.4% of total Phil) • Includes relocation of settlers occupying danger areas in P99.5 billion (49.7% of total Phil) Metro Manila Construction sector employed 324k in Metro • Historically, only about 8.5% of backlog is being built Manila (2010) or 7.4% of total metro employment annually • Private sector expected to deliver about 70% of backlog Real Estate • Current Value of Land Assets of Urban Philippines Informal Settlers: US$190 Billion • Low-middle market is driving residential real estate • Housing multiplier = 2 boom • OFW remittances Sources: NEDA MTPDP 2004-2010; http://www.steelasia.com/ samc/2010.3rd.htm; De Soto; Monsod 2010 • Availability of financing • Low interest rates • Can be leading propellant of urban economy/employ- ment for next two decades • Opportunities for more efficient Transit-Oriented Development 70 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision High End Services Education for Foreign Students Philippine Health Tourism • 62k foreign students in country (2012). (Spa and Medical Tourism) • 42k Special Study Permit holders (<18 yrs old) • 20k student visa holders (>18 yrs old) • $1.3B revenue, 2006-2010 • “Inexpensive, high quality instruction” • Revenues = 1.3% of GDP • English medium of instruction; availability of • Employment < 1% of total specialized degrees (e.g. medicine), and large fee • Potential to earn additional $1B/yr by 2018 with new differential ($2,500 vs $30,000 in US) investments in healthcare infra, liberal travel policies • South Koreans and Chinese top the list (English for medical tourists, tourist insurance portability and language), followed by Iranians (dentistry), and international marketing. Americans. • Avg expenditure/tourist = $3,500 • Plus tens of thousands enrolled in small institutions • Two target markets: Filipino balikbayan (~ 10 million); offering short courses in English. and foreigners seeking more economical medical • Popular among Asian and African student services. • Study of English as a second language forms part of a structured tour package (1 week-6 months program) Metro Manila potential to grab market share from Bangkok, • Primary target market: Korea HS and college students KL, Singapore: China HS, college students, and professionals Japan • High level of quality in healthcare; HS, college students teachers, professionals; MEXT • Competitive cost of healthcare; (Ministry of Education Culture Sports Sciences & • Large supply of healthcare professionals; Technology) plan re “Cultivating Japanese with English • English communication skill, culture of compassion Abilities” and service; • Geographical proximity to countries with expensive Bulk of foreign students study in Metro Manila: CEU (larg- medical services (Guam, Taiwan Micronesia, Australia, est number); UE; FEU; MCU; UST; DLSU. Japan, South Korea). Retirement Tourism • 21k foreign retirees from 17 countries (2009) • Current: 50% Asian; rest are mostly Americans and Europeans. • 869.1M retirees from developed world projected (2006- 2015); < 1% or 860k projected to arrive in Philippines in next years. • PRA target: 1M retirees by 2015; generate the 4M jobs, up to $44M annual revenues. • 12 new jobs created per retiree. • Additional potential market: long stay self searching Japanese & Koreans (now outnumber MNC families in Bangkok: 60k-100k) Sources: Manila Bulletin Online 2012; DOT 2008 , 2012; Bu of Immigration 2011, 2012; PDI 2010; AFP (Sources: Evangelista PDI 2012; Phil Tourism Compendium 2012; Virola & Polistico 2007; de Vera, Huang et al. 2008) 71 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Metro Manila's modern healthcare facilities, international Share of Core Copyright-Based access and variety of privately-developed mixed use projects Industries in Philippine Employment are clear advantages over other areas (Subic, Clark, Cebu, Davao, Bohol, etc). Press and literature 0% 12% 3% Special Resident Retiree's Visa (SRRV): lifetime visa allows 1% Music, Theater, Opera holder to permanently reside, gain employment or study in 14% Motion Picture and Video Philippines; grants multiple entry; exemptions from income tax over members’ pension and annuities specific customs 1% Radio and Television 7% duties and taxes. 62% Photography Software and Database Retirement in Philippines: Pros: low cost of living; good climate; availability of outside Source: Computed from 2006 CPBI help; the people; food and scenery Cons: different culture; lack of infra; limited health care outside Metro; security Value Added Share of Core Copyright-based Industries Philippine Gross Domestic Product Sources: PRA, Philippine Star 2012; Business World 2011; Manila Bulletin 2009; GMA News 2007; http://emievil.hubpages.com/hub 0% Press and literature 1% 5% 1% 24% Cultural/Creative Economy Music, Theater, Opera Motion Picture and Video 4% Like most large cities Metro Manila is where: 1% Radio and Television • Creative talent concentrate (breeding ground of innovation); 64% Photography • Most cultural/ creative activities thrive and contribute Software and Database most to the economy. • Economic Contribution: 4.92% of GDP (2005) Source: Computed from 2006 CPBI Heritage and Fine Arts % of Total Employment Value Added as % of GDP • Art Services, Libraries, Museums generated P271M % of Total % of Total Employment, % of Total Employment, revenue Employment, Industry, 43.42% Services, 50.96% Copyright-Based Industries (Core), • 12,000 direct employees in performing arts (2003) 37.68% Value Added as % Science and Technology of GDP, • $28 Billion manufacturing revenue in first half 2008 Agriculture and mining, 0.63% Value Added as % of GDP, Industry, Value Added as % Value Added as % (electronics) of GDP, Services, of GDP, Copyright- 17.79% 15.97% Based Industries • Employed almost 1 million workers in the country. % Total (Core), 13.81% Employment, • PHP 85 Billion revenue for pharmacy industry Agriculture and mining, 5.62% Publishing and Print Media • 2,813 establishments • Employed 198,338 workers Map Sources: TESDA, UNCTAD 2010 • Generated P78.8M value added • 1.31% contribution to GDP (2006) 72 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Design and Architecture Manufacturing Output (XP1000) • Jewelry, interior design, architecture: P8.6B 2002 % 2009 % • Majority of revenue generated from architectural, engineering, technical consultancy Metro M 99,068 39% 128,704 41% • GDP contribution: 0.14%; employed: 17,855 (2006) Reg 3 27,791 11% 27,705 9% Creative Services Reg 4A 44,517 17% 46,147 15% • Game development: $8M revenues; 13% growth; employed 1,400 Phil 254,555 100% 316,406 100% • Animation: $128M revenues; 8,600 animators • Advertising: P4.3B value added (2011) • Manufacture of semiconductors, other electronic components, computers, computer peripherals, Manufacturing and equipment totaled P652B or 19.8% of total manufacturing output (2009). • Manufacturing shares of MM and Philippine economy • Electronics account for 61% (P31B) of total exports in are declining. 2010; avg contribution = 65% (2000-2010) • Even as manufacturing accounts for 28% of MM GRDP • Electronics sector directly employed 500k in country (Services=49%). (2010); annual growth estimated at 5%. • Manufacturing employment (499k in MM) is also decreasing by 7.8% in MM; by 0.7% nationwide (2006-10) Potential for increased role of manufacturing in Metro • Labor productivity growth and thus competitiveness Manila and periphery: declined. • Declining competitiveness of China due to higher labor • Despite its declining share, MM contribution to total wage; average Phil manufacturing wage is only 41% of manufacturing increased from 39% to 41% (2002-09). coastal China; • Geographical diversification of global manufacturing 2003, 2009, investments as part of risk reduction strategy; Metro M, Metro M, • Aging population in mature economies (e.g. Japan) 31.0 27.6 prompting moves to labor surplus countries; 2003, Phil, 2009, Phil, 24.3 22.0 • But need to identify most competitive industries/ clusters and address specific constraints (infra, power 2003 supply, property rights, security) and provide focused support; 2009 • Efficient transport and communication linkages between Metro Manila and periphery (where land for manufacturing is available) are critical. Thai, Thai, Industry, Services, 90.9 76.7 Phil Thai Thai, Phil, Agri, 8.4 Services, 24.9 Phil, Phil, Industry, Agri, 10.7 3.8 73 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Top Grossers in Value of Output PhP Billion, All Manufacturing Establishments (2009) Softdrinks Motor vehicles parts, accessories Powdered condensed, evap milk Motor vehicles Non-ferrous smelting, refining Meat products Cigarettes, cigars Computers, periperal equipment Refiened petroleum fuels Semiconductors, other electronics Figure Sources: DTI BOI The Philippine Electronics Industry Profile 2011; http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/ business/03/06/12/ph-benefit-relocation-chinese- manufacturing; 2009 Annual Survey of Philippine Business and Industry (ASPBI) Figure Sources: NSO Labor Force Survey, DOLE Yearbook of Labor Statistics 2011; PSY 2010; Usui, "Taking the Right Road to Inclusive Growth" ADB 2011 http://business.inquirer.net/61629/ph-leads-way-to-stem- cell-therapy http://www.themedicalcity.com/serviceitem.php?sid=18 http://www.stem-cell-regeneration.com/ http://www.rappler.com/video/talkthursday/28-editors- pick/5539-talkthursday-filipino-in-silicon-valley http://www.wheninmanila.com/silicon-valley-comes-to-the- philippines-the-phildev-economic-forum-2012/ http://www.phildev.org/site/ PageServer?pagename=SVC2PH 74 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 4. Connecting to Metro Manila Transport The traditional radial-circumferential transport network Traffic congestion in Metro Manila: centered on Manila has been retained even though the • Annual loss due to traffic congestion = P140 billion. center has shifted to Makati. • Metro Manila listed as 3rd worst city in the world for • There has been severe underinvestment in infra--2.5% driving, next to Beijing and New Delhi. Existingand Existing ProposedTransport andProposed TransportInfrastructure Infrastructure of GDP vs 5% regional avg (~9% in China) resulting in congestion and environmental degradation. • Residents perceive traffic congestion as number one problem, followed by air pollution, floods and security Sources: http://pinoy-business.com/money-and-finance/financial-losses- Source: Ayala Land Inc. 2012 from-metro-manila-traffic; http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/lifestyle/04/18/12/ manila-3rd-worst-city-driving-cnngo; Philippine Daily Inquirer (PDI) July 9, 2008 75 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Land Use Metropolitan Centers and Sub-Centers • Primary Metro Manila Land Use • Secondary • Tertiary Sales, Parks, Roads, 29%, Metropolitan Centers and 28% Sub-Centers Sales, 3 Residential, • Primary 45%, 44% Sales, • Secondary 3 Institutional, • Tertiary 7%, 7% 3 2 3 Sales, Industrial, Northrail Sales, 2 2 9%, 9% Commercial, 3 12%, 12% MRT7 2 1 Polycentric urban structure: 1 • Presence of several distinct CBDs is relatively unique in LRT2 1 East Asia LRT1 Metropolitan Centers and 3 • Good potential for efficient transit and land use distribution MRT3 Sub-Centers • Minimal open space and parks (e.g. 75% of HK land is agricultural, forest or undeveloped land) 3 Alabang lack of transport • Poor connectivity (related to LRT6 • Primary infrastructure); 1.5 hour one way housing-job commute is not unusual. • Secondary 2 • Location and design of key projects (airport; port; express-ways; reclamation) will significantly affect • Tertiary Southrail future land use. • Metro Manila is one of the most vulnerable places in the world to disasters. • Active Valley Fault System; located in Pacific Ring of Northrail Fire • Flood prone areas: coastal location; intermittent heavy MRT7 rainfall, environmental degradation • Historical record of tsunamis in Manila Bay • Estimated annual damage to properties of natural LRT2 disasters is P20.5B (2006-2011) • 2009 typhoon damage to Metro Manila = 2.7% GDP LRT1 Map Source: Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (Phivolcs); Mines and Geosciences Bureau; National Disaster Risk Reduction and MRT3 Management Council; World Bank (WB) “Mitigating the Adverse Impacts of Natural Disasters on the Philippines: A Study of Disaster Risk Financing Options,” (Draft) 2011 Map Sources: Asian City Innovations Systems Initiative, 2010; http://www. pland.gov.hk/pland_en/info_serv/statistic/landu.html LRT6 Southrail 76 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Monumento Monumento Location ~ Transportation Location ~ Transportation North Triangle Location ~ Transportation North Triangle Market Access Cubao/Araneta Market Access Market Access Cubao/Araneta Eastwood Eastwood Density Manila Manila Ortigas Density Density Makati Ortigas Makati BGC BGC MOA MOA Location of of Location Shopping Shopping Malls, Malls, Shopping Malls, Residential Residential and and and Residential Commercial CommercialCondos Condos and Developments Developments andand Developments Alabang Alabang 77 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision CLUP Review: Common Themes / Elements • Most LGUs base future LU on existing situation & trends – Most LGUs are accepting Passive LU Development Roles; not actively shaping the future • Zoning Ordinances are primary method of controlling LU – Major Interventions (Catalytic Infrastructure / Development) are left to external / higher actors • LGUs largely adopt planning roles independent from other LGUs – Primary / Metropolitan Role: Makati, Manila, Pasay City, Quezon City, Taguig etc. – Secondary Role: Las Pinas / Caloocan City, Muntinlupa, Marikina • Many commonly mentioned LGU Initiatives require Higher Level Government Coordination and Investment – E.g., Intermodal Transfer facilities, River / Waterway Rehabilitation, Establishing and promoting Identity Districts, etc. LGUs of Metro Manila: A View from the Inside LGUs of Metro Manila: A View from the Inside Metropolitan Green Space LGU Primary Function (per CLUP) Self Described Regional Role Impact Plan? Caloocan City Suburban Residential Area None Secondary Yes, not specific Las Pinas Suburban Residential Area None Secondary No Makati Hub for Business Nation-wide National / Global Business Hub Primary Yes Malabon Suburban Mixed Use Area None Secondary No Mandaluyong N/A N/A N/A N/A Manila Historic Regional Center Hub for Business Nation-wide Primary Yes Marikina Suburban Mixed Use Area Bedroom Community Secondary Yes Muntinlupa Suburban Mixed Use Area Gateway to CALABARZON Secondary No Navotas Suburban Residential Area Fishing Industry Hub of MM Tertiary No Paranaque Emerging Mixed Use Hub None Primary No Pasay Established Mixed Use Hub Cross Roads of MM Primary No Pasig Emerging Regional Center Emerging Regional Center Primary Yes Pateros Urban Residential Area Residential Enclave Tertiary Yes Suburban Res + Emerging Quezon City Green, Knowledge, & Health Hub Primary Yes Commercial Hub San Juan Urban Residential Area None Tertiary Yes Taguig Mixed Used Emerging  Int’l  Business  Hub Primary No Valenzuela Residential + Industrial Area Gatewya to MM Northern Gateway MM Secondary Yes 78 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Major Green Space Locations in Metro Manila The Asian Green Cities Index The Asian Green Cities Index Source: EIU / Siemens, 2011 • Manila Ranks 18th out of 22 major cities in Asia in terms of Green • Manila Space Ranks per Capita 18th as out of measure in22 major square cities meters in person per Asia in terms of Green Space per Capita as measure in square meters per person Green spaces: • Disconnected • Dwindling • Opportunities exist but will require: – Purposeful planning and a moderation of short term revenue maximization objective (government properties) – Incentives for private development of public spaces • CLUP data suggest that the MMR has about 6.1 m2 of green / open space per person • Recent Comparative Study, Asian Green Cities Index, suggests that figure is 4.5 m2 per person 79 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Other Sources: JICA, MMDA, PHILVOCS. Metro Manila Earthquake Impact Reduction Study (MMEIRS). 2004. World Bank. 2010. Post-Disaster Needs Assessment. UN/ISDR. 2004. Geneva. Living with risk: A Global Review of Disaster Reduction Initiatives. ESCAP, Natural Hazards and Natural Disaster Reduction in Asia and the Pacific (ST/ESCAP/1574), 1995 NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology). 2008. Strategic Plan for the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program: Fiscal Years 2009-2013. Gainthersburg, Md.: NIST. Bruneau, M., S.E. Chang, R.T. Eguchi, G.C. Lee, T.D. O’Rourke, A.M. Reinhorn, M. Shinozuka, K. Tierney, W.A. Wallace, and D. von Winterfeldt. 2003. A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities. Earthquake Spectra 19(4): 733-752. Vinod Thomas, Jose Ramon G. Albert and Rosa T. Perez. Intense Climate Disaster and Development in Asia-Pacific. Aning, Jerome. “NAIA to undergo Upgrading in 2013 as Number of Air Travellers Increase.” Inquirer. 9 January 2013. Online: http//globanation.inquirer.net/61209/naia-to- undergo-upgrading-in-2013-as-number-of-air-travellers- increase Japan International Cooperation Agency. “Study on the Airport Strategy for the Greater Capital Region in the Republic of the Philippines: Final Report.” November 2011. http://www.aerotropolis.com/airportCities/about-the- aerotropolis Transport & Traffic Planners, Inc. Study to Decongest Manila and Divert Traffic to Subic and Batangas Port, 2012 Presentation to NEDA Infrastructure Committee. 80 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision Photo Credits Building a Green, Connected, and Resilient Metropolis for All Report Cover Julia Nebrija, Michael Pineda, MMDA Section 3: Key Synergies Foreword Photo Cover Photo: Julia Nebrija MMDA Figures Section 1: Creating the Greenprint Cover MMDA Figure 1.1: MMDA Figure 2.1-2.3: Greenprint Team Section 2: Achieving the Vision Cover Figure 3-1: Greenprint Team Michael Pineda Maps Fostering a Metropolis of Opportunity Figure 2-1: Greenprint Team Cover Photo: Farlet Vale Figure 3-1: Greenprint Team Figure 3-2A: Greenprint Team Pg. 16: Julia Nebrija Figure 3-2B: Greenprint Team Pg. 17: Michael Pineda Figure 3-3: Greenprint Team Pg. 19: Tammy David Figure 4-1: Greenprint Team Pg. 20: Julia Nebrija Pg. 21: Julia Nebrija Pg. 22: Julia Nebrija Pg. 23: Julia Nebrija, Michael Pineda Pg. 27: Rafael Fuch-Simon Pg. 29: The Medical City Pg. 35: Julia Nebrija, MMDA Pg. 43: Julia Nebrija Pg. 44: Julia Nebrija Pg. 45: Julia Nebrija Pg. 46: Julia Nebrija Pg. 48: MMDA Pg. 49: Julia Nebrija Pg. 50: World Bank 81 The Metro Manila Greenprint 2030: Building a Vision 82 Follow the Greenprint 2030: www.metromanila2030.com The Metro Manila GreenPrint 2030 Metro Manila for all; Green, connected, resilient; Offering talent and opportunity; Processing knowledge and delivering services at home and abroad. MMDA Building, EDSA corner Orense St., Guadalupe, Makati City Trunk Line : 882-4154 to 74 MMDA Hotline: 136 | MMDA Duty Officer: 0917-5618711 www.mmda.gov.ph