Page 1 Document of The World Bank Report No. P7582-D JI INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION PROPOSED SUPPLEMENTAL CREDIT OF SDR 4.5 MILLION (US$6.0 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE REPUBLIC OF DJIBOUTI FOR THE INTERNATIONAL ROAD CORRIDOR REHABILITATION PROJECT April 2,2003 Finance, Private Sector and Infrastructure Department Middle East and North Africa Region Page 2 CURRENCY EQUIVALENT AIDS CAS DCA EMP ERA EU ICB ICR IDA MOE NCB PM-U SDR Currency Unit = US$l Djibouti Franc (DJF) 180.700 DJF (as of Jan. 07,2003) WEIGHTS AND MEASURES Metric System FISCAL YEAR January 1 - December 31 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Country Assistance Strategy Development Credit Agreement Environmental Management Plan Ethiopian Road Authority European Union Human Immunodeficiency Virus International Competitive Bidding Implementation Completion Report International Development Association Ministry of Equipment and Transport National Competitive Bidding Project Management Unit Special Drawing Rights Vice President: Jean-Louis Sarbib Country Director: Mahmood Ayub Sector Manager: Hedi Larbi Task Team Leader Andreas Schliessler Page 3 THE REPUBLIC OF DJIBOUTI SUPPLEMENTAL CREDIT TO THE INTERNATIONAL ROAD CORRIDOR REHABILITATION PROJECT , PROJECT SUIWMARY Borrower: Government of Djibouti Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Equipment and Transport Beneficiaries: Ministry of Equipment and Transport, International and local civil works contractors, International Food Aid Agencies, Ethiopian foreign trade, Port of Djibouti, Local and foreign transporters Credit Amount: SDR 4.5 million (US$6.0 million equivalent) Terms: Standard IDA terms, with 40 years maturity Financing Plan: Government: US$50,000 IDA: US$6.00 million Economic Rate of Return: 55 % Poverty Category: Not applicable Project ID Number: PO82134 (Supplemental Credit) PO69930 (Original Credit) Map: IBRD30713 This memorandum is based on the findings of the supervision missions of the ongoing operation and an appraisal and negotiations conducted through communication exchanges in early February 2003. The Bank supervision team includes, Messrs. Andreas Schliessler (Senior Transport Economist, Team Leader); Robert Fishbein (Institutional and Social Specialist, Consultant); Mohammed Dali1 Essakali (Junior Professional Associate, Engineer) and Mrs. Rafika Chaouali (Sr. Financial Management Specialist). Page 4 Page 5 INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION REPORT FOR A PROPOSED CREDIT TO THE REPUBLIC OF DJIBOUTI FOR SUPPLEMENTAL FINANCING TO THE INTERNATIONAL ROAD CORRIDOR REHABILITATION PROJECT 1 . I submit for your approval the following memorandum and recommendation on a proposed development credit to the Republic of Djibouti, for SDR 4.5 million (US$6.0 million equivalent). The proposed credit is needed to provide supplementary financing for the ongoing International Road Corridor Rehabilitation Project. It is crucial to complete the rehabilitation of the road which connects the Port of Djibouti with neighboring Ethiopia, which fully depends on the Djibouti port for all foreign maritime trade, and for the massive and recurrent shipments of food aid to millions of Ethiopians. The supplementary financing is needed to cover higher than expected costs for physical road rehabilitation works, and ultimately to allow the existing International Road Corridor Rehabilitation Project to reach its original development objectives. The proposed credit would be on standard IDA terms, with a maturity of 40 years. Background 2 Country Context and Sector Background. Following the outbreak of arrned conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 1998, Djibouti has served as the primary transit port for landlocked Ethiopia. The port of Assab, on the Eritrean coast, formerly played this role, first as part of Ethiopia, and then under an agreement between Ethiopia and Eritrea following Eritrean independence in 1991. The road corridor between Addis Ababa and Assab, which passes some 20 km from the Djibouti border, was upgraded and improved for that purpose. With the sudden shift of Ethiopian traffic to Djibouti port in 1998, the 20-year old road connection between Djibouti port and the Addis - Assab road (via Dikhil and Galafi, see Map No. 30713 attached) received a very high level of traffic of heavy vehicles (roughly 700 trucks per day) it was not in a condition to carry. While the Ethiopian Road Authority (ERA) upgraded the 20-km spur road up to the Djibouti border at the town of Galafi, the 221~km highway between Djibouti port and Galafi deteriorated steadily as a result of heavy traffic and inadequate maintenance. The European Union agreed in principle to finance a major upgrading project for the Djibouti - Addis transport corridor, but it was clear that this project would not materialize for a number of years. In 2000 a rapid emergency solution had to be found in order to assure that Ethiopia’s maritime trade would not be severely disrupted. A particular threat existed (and continues to exist) for the massive shipments of emergency food aid to millions of starving Ethiopians for whom the Djibouti - Galafi road is virtually their lifeline. In response, and based on a request from the Government of Djibouti, IDA prepared the ongoing International Road Corridor Rehabilitation Project as an emergency operation. In a broader context, the port of Djibouti is by far the country’s most important economic activity, and in the medium and long term, the port’s ability to compete with other ports depends on a good road connection with its hinterland, including Ethiopia. Page 6 -2 - 3 Country Assistance Strategy: The Bank’s first CAS for Djibouti was approved in December 2000 and covers FY 2001-2003. It was formulated in the dual context of enormous economic difficulties and deepening poverty, and a new commitment by the Government to address them. Djibouti’s main challenge is reversing the trend of declining per capita incomes and improving the country’s low social indicators -- school enrolment, maternal and infant mortality, and morbidity. The main constraints facing Djibouti are poor physical and human resource base, in addition to the constraints and vulnerabilities common to most small states-- vulnerability to external developments, limited scope for diversification, and limited scope for competition and economies of scale. The CAS recognizes that Djibouti’s most important asset is its port and strategic location. It states that the four-fold increase in port traffic since mid-1998, derived from the conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea, has opened new, as yet not fully exploited, opportunities for investment and growth. Djibouti’s open economic policies with liberal trade and exchange system, which is free of capital or exchange restrictions, and relative stability should help in that effort. The CAS focused on two areas. First, direct interventions to reduce poverty, through (i) reversing the low educational enrolment rates; (ii) addressing health needs, particularly, the epidemic incidence of HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis; and (iii) preparing targeted assistance programs to minimize the impact of adjustment. Second, the CAS proposed measures to provide growth and employment generation, supported through structural reforms to restore competitiveness and private investments, and to develop port infrastructure services for participation in the increased regional transit. 4 Project Objectives and Description. The ongoing International Road Corridor Rehabilitation Project was approved on June 22, 2000 and became effective in December 2000. The objective of the Project is to secure in the medium-term, an acceptable level of service on the Djibouti-Galafi Road, which constitutes Djibouti port’s transit corridor to Ethiopia, during the period when a long-term transport corridor improvement scheme is being developed and implemented by the Ethiopian and Djibouti governments, with assistance from the European Union. The IDA credit of US$ 15.0 million equivalent mainly finances physical road works, although institutional strengthening activities are also included. The original intention was to carry out limited and low-cost emergency works, simply to make the road “survive” until the EU- financed corridor project is implemented. Current closing date is December 31,2004, which will not be affected by the supplemental credit. 5 Implementation Status. Initial delays due to procurement issues have been overcome and project implementation is progressing well. Physical works are being carried out satisfactorily mostly by foreign and local contractors. Tendering of non-physical activities, such as the preparation of a transport sector strategy, are completed and activities are either underway or about to start. The project implementation unit is working satisfactorily. Rationale for the Supplemental Credit 6 . The proposed supplemental credit will finance exclusively a cost overrun for physical works on the Djibouti - Galafi road. Other parts of the project will not be affected in any way. The reason for the cost overrun is- closely related to changes in the scope and timing of the Page 7 -3 - proposed EU-financed project to upgrade the Addis - Djibouti corridor. 7 Changes in scope of works. When the ongoing IDA-financed International Road Corridor Rehabilitation Project was prepared, it seemed clear that the future EU-financed project would eventually upgrade the same Djibouti - Galafi road, and that in the meantime, the IDA-financed project would only carry out (i) limited rehabilitation works on the 100&m section between Dikhil and G&z! at a cost of roughly US$ 120,000 per km, and (ii) maintenance and minor repair works on the Arta - Dikhil section of the road, at an average cost of some US$35,000 per km. However, the feasibility study for the EU project has now resulted in a decision by the Government of Ethiopia and the EU to upgrade the so-called “southern corridor”, which in Djibouti goes through Ali Sabieh and then southward into Ethiopia (see enclosed map). Much of the present main corridor road will hence become a secondary road corridor, which will nevertheless be an important link between the Port of Djibouti and the northern parts of Ethiopia (where much of the food aid goes). For the Dikhil- GalaJi road section, there will thus not be a follow-on project, and the original decision to carry out only a limited rehabilitation with a short lifespan had to be replaced by a more thorough rehabilitation, at an average cost of some US$ 150,000 per km. The additional cost for the Dikhil - Galafi road section will thus be US$ 3.0 million equivalent (including construction supervision). For the Arta - Dikhil section, the 3-year delay of the EU-financed project (to start in 2005) will make it necessary to carry out more extensive maintenance and emergency repair works than originally foreseen, and the cost per km will be some US$ 44,000 more per km than originally expected, which also give an additional cost of US$ 3.0 million. The total additional financing requirement is thus US$ 6.0 million, which will be covered through the supplemental credit. 8 . The proposed operation meets the requirements of OP 13.20 on Supplemental Financing: 0 a The cost overrun is beyond the control of the borrower. (i) The proposed EU- financed project to upgrade the Addis - Djibouti corridor is delayed by 3 years, due to policy changes in Ethiopia and at the EU. (ii) Contrary to earlier agreements, the EU corridor project will not cover the Dikhil - Galafi road section. (iii) Due to heavy traffic to Ethiopia, the road section between Arta and Dikhil is deteriorating at a much faster pace than anticipated, and more maintenance and emergency repair works have to be made quickly, otherwise the road section will collapse. 04 The ongoing project is being implemented in compliance with covenants. Overall project implementation is rated satisfactory. 0 c It is impossible to reduce the scope of the project to fit the available resources. If the supplemental credit is not made available, the ongoing International Road Corridor Rehabilitation Project will not reach its Development Objective. 69 The borrower is unable to finance the additional project cost, or to mobilize funding from other sources, and is now seeking IDA support. 0 e A new freestanding new loan would not be a sensible option. Page 8 -4 - (f> The borrower has shown a clear commitment to the project, and the implementing agency has demonstrated reasonable competence in carrying it out. 9 Bertefits: The main benefit of the proposed Supplemental Credit (and of the ongoing International Road Corridor Rehabilitation Project) is to maintain the competitive advantage of the Port of Djibouti, which is Djibouti’s only significant asset and economic activity. Another important benefit is that food aid shipments to Ethiopia can be safeguarded, which would not be possible if the works on the Djibouti - Galafi road were not completed because of insufficient funding. Description of the Proposed Supplemental Credit 10 . The proposed Supplemental Credit will fund (i) the completion of ongoing road rehabilitation works on the Dikhil - Galafi road section, (ii) emergency repairs and maintenance on the Arta - Dikhil road section, and (iii) supervision of the above works by engineering consultants. 11 Project Financing: The additional project cost, to be covered through the supplemental credit, is estimated at US$6.05 million equivalent of which an IDA Supplemental Credit of US$6.0 million equivalent is proposed. The Government contribution is estimated at US$50,000 equivalent. It is to be noted that the Government’s contribution to the ongoing International Road Corridor Rehabilitation Project is relatively high with US$2.35 million. Given the extremely tight budgetary situation in Djibouti, it is unrealistic that the Government counterpart financing for the supplemental credit could exceed the above amount. The breakdown of the project’s cost, project financing plan and disbursement schedule is shown in Annex 1. 12 Implementation Arrangements and Procurement: The proposed Supplemental Credit does not require additional implementation capacity beyond what is already in place, and a modification of the Project Implementation Plan is not necessary, except for an extension of the period for the execution of road works. The Supplemental Credit will be subject to the same monitoring and reporting requirements of the ongoing project. Procurement and disbursement procedures would follow the procedures outlined in the original Credit Agreement. The Supplemental Credit will be fully executed in 16 months and closed in 28 months, at the same time as the original credit (closing date December 31,2004). 13 Accounting, financial reporting and auditing arrangements: The Project Management Unit has established an acceptable accounting and reporting system for the project, including arrangements for audits. The financial management capacity of the PMU has recently been strengthened through a technical assistance contract with a consulting firm; this has allowed to bring the accounting system fully up-to-date. The Supplemental Credit will be executed in accordance with the procedures which have been prepared and put in place under the ongoing International Road Corridor Rehabilitation Project. These procedures will continue to be reviewed during supervision missions to ascertain their continued applicability. Page 9 -5 - 14 . The same Special Account as for the original credit will be used and maintained in a commercial Bank acceptable to IDA and managed by the Project Implementation Unit. Independent auditors acceptable to IDA will continue to audit the use of all IDA funds available under the credit, including the Special Account and the statements of expenditures. Audit reports will be submitted to IDA no later than six months after the end of the fiscal year. There are no overdue audit reports, and the most recent audit report did not raise any substantial issues which are not already being addressed. The format and the frequency of periodic reporting will be maintained as defined in the project implementation manual. An Implementation Completion Report (ICR) will be prepared within six months after Credit closing. 15 Environmental and Social Aspects: As part of the preparation of the original project, an Environmental and Social Assessment was conducted and concluded that the rehabilitation of the International road Corridor is not expected to generate any significant environmental and social problems since it represents the rehabilitation of an existing road only, with no changes in road width or alignment. Nevertheless, an Environmental Management Plan (EMP) has been satisfactorily prepared for the project in coordination with the Ministry of Habitat, Urban Development, Environment and Territorial Planning (MOE) to mitigate potential construction and operation period impacts and to address road safety issues. The last IDA supervision mission included an environmental expert who concluded that the EMP is being implemented satisfactorily, and that significant social or environmental problems do not exist. Provisions have been made in the project design and budget to continue to support the follow-up on the EMP. 16 Sustainability: The Bank is presently supporting the Government to develop a transport sector strategy with special emphasis on sustainable arrangements for future maintenance of the Djibouti portion of the International Road Corridor between Addis and Djibouti. It seems likely that a maintenance concession will be awarded to a private concessionaire who would manage and maintain the road and collect road user fees to finance his activities. Given the relatively high traffic volumes on that road, this solution seems feasible. The concessioning process will be supported by the ongoing project. 17 . Risks:. There are no major risks. Effectiveness Conditions and Agreements 18 No additional actions are required except for the submission of a satisfactory legal opinion on the Agreement Amending the Development Credit Agreement as a condition of effectiveness. Page 10 -6 - ANNEX 1 Page 1 of 3 THE REPUBLIC OF DJIBOUTI SUPPLEMENTAL CREDIT FOR THE INTERNATIONAL ROAD CORRIDOR REHABILITATION PROJECT ESTIMATED ADDITIONAL PROJECT COSTS AND FINANCING PLAN (in US$) Estimated Costs: I COMPONENTS I LOCAL 1 FOREIGN 1 TOTAL 1 I 1. Civil Works I 930,000 1 4,800,OOO 1 5,730,ooo I I 2. Consulting; Services 1 Total Project Costs I 0 1 320,000 1 320.0001 I 930,000 I 5,120,000 I 6,050,OOO 1 Financing Plan: COMPONENTS LOCAL 1 FOREIGN 1 TOTAL 1 Government of Djibouti ’ I 50,000 I 0 1 -----56,r1 IDA Total Prqject Costs 880,000 5,120,OOO 6,000,OOO 930,000 5,120,000 6,050,OOO Page 11 -7 - ANNEX 1 Page 2 of 3 SUMMARY OF PROPOSED PROCUREMENT ARRANGEMENTS (US$) 1 Prqject Element I Procurement Method 1 TOTAL 1 I I ICB 1 NCB I OTHER I -1 1. Civil Works 2,720,OOO 3,000,000 5,720,OOO 2. Consulting Services 330,000 330,000 I TOTAL 1 3,050,000 1 3,000,000 1 1 6,050,0061 I IDA 1 3,020,OOO 1 2,980,OOO 1 1 6,000,OOO 1 ALLOCATION AND DISBURSEMENT OF IDA SUPPLEMENTAL CREDIT (US$) Category Amount Percentage Financed 1. Civil Works 5,670,OOO 100% of foreign expenditures and 95% of local expenditures 2. Consulting Services 330,000 100% TOTAL 6,000,OOO Estimated Disbursement Schedule: RJS$) I FY03 I FY04 I FY05 I Total I 2,000,000 I 3,200,OOO 800,000 I Cumulative 2,000,000 5,200,OOO 6,000,OOO Page 12 -8 - ANNEX 1 Page 3 of 3 THE REPUBLIC OF DJIBOUTI SUPPLEMENTAL CREDIT FOR THE INTERNATIONAL ROAD CORRIDOR REHABILITATION PROJECT TIMETABLE OF KEY PROJECT PROCESSING EVENTS (a) Time taken to prepare: 3 months (b) Prepared by: Government with IDA assistance (c) Appraisal/Negotiations: February 2003 (d) Planned Date of Effectiveness: April 2003 (e) Completion of works: February 2004 (f) Closing Date: December 3 1,2004 Page 13 42 ‘00’ I IT IIRAI ITI 4 2”30’ UJIU~Wll INTERNATIONAL ROAD CORRIDOR REHABILITATION PROJECT IBRD 30713 REP. CiF ’ YE/i&h- : - : Bab El ,A- --f-l- Road Improvements Uric Paved Roads Improved Earth Roads Main Tracks (National) Other Tracks Railroad International Airport Airfields and Airstrips 4er the Project , . \ . . / l ,2022 / . / . / * ‘Y I \ ,i . \ ERITREA <. . \ J ‘\ P -)v’%:dda+o 6 .*I’ i 12”30’ I i i 6 6 A388 tL / IV t . ,.p .‘_A / This map was .;r @i Map Desi n 3 J” reduced b nit of The \x c . I ji . / The boun aries, colors, der; and any other rnfixmation shown on e.xiR. r’ ‘l;lis map pjo_not, in~ply, on the*pqrt of ..I the x/d Bank. ‘ominafions /ne WONU Bank Woup, any @gment on fhe legal status of any ferrrfory, or any endorsement or acceptince of such boundaries. t Adda / u Moaanrou Y ETHIOPIA KILOMETERS 0 10 20 30 40 50 I I I I I I I I I I MILES 0 10 20 30 42”OO’ 42”30’ 43”OO’ JUNE 2000