Public Disclosure Authorized   Public Disclosure Authorized   Public Disclosure Authorized   Public Disclosure Authorized




    80
1
                                                                                                           1999 2




                                                             80
                                                                                                      16
                                                                                                                    21251
                                    Krugman
                     Flood
Marion 1997




              1994

                                2




                                3




                         1998




         Krugman
          1994

                          M2
                 2




                     M2
                               1998   Berg
Pattillo 1998
•

                                                          9

•
•

                                             17
                                                                                           1
    994
•



          17




•




Further reading

Berg, Andrew, and Catherine Pattillo. 1998. “Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test.”IMF
   Working Paper 98/154. International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C.
Calvo, Guillermo, and Sara Calvo. 1992. “Argentina: Monetary and Financial Sys- tem.” In John
   Eatwell, Murray Milgate, and Peter Newman, eds., The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money
   and Finance. London: McMillan.
Calvo, Guillermo, and Enrique Mendoza. 1996. “Mexico’s Balance of Payments Cri- sis: A
   Chronicle of a Death Foretold.” Jour- nal of International Economics 41: 235-64.
Flood, Robert, and Nancy Marion. “Per- spectives on Recent Currency Crisis Lit- erature.” IMF
   Working Paper 98/130. International Monetary Fund, Washing- ton, D.C.
IMF (International Monetary Fund). 1998 “Financial Crises: Characteristics and Indi- cators of
  Vulnerability.” World Economic Outlook (May). Washington, D.C.
Obstfeld, Maurice. 1994. “The Logic of Currency Crises.” http://elsa.Berkeley.edu/
  users/obstfeld/ftp/currency_crises/cc.html

                  Sara
Calvo

                                                                                     Sara
Calvo                36337                          Thematic Groups



(side headings)

                                                                                       (p. 1)

                                                              (p. 2)

                                                           (p. 3)

                                                                    (p. 4)

(boxes)

        1                1979   81 (p. 1)

1977                                     1979




                                                                                         1981
6

        Calvo   Calvo 1992



        2                1994   (p. 2)

90
                                                               M2
1994



M2

10
M2

       Calvo   Mendoza 1996



       3               1992   (p. 3)

1992




       Obstfeld 1994



(footers)

                                              p. 1)
                       16 (p. 2)
1999 2 (p. 3)
_________________________________________________________________________________
ORJR WUDQVODWLRQ              S 

                                                                           35(0
         KWWSSUHP                        35(0              6DUDK
1HGRODVW      35(0                     35(0