Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) AFRICA | Rwanda | Agriculture Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results | FY 2015 | Seq No: 8 | ARCHIVED on 14-Jan-2018 | ISR30596 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning, Ministry of Agriculture and Animal Resources Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program-for-Results Appraisal Document) The objective of the PforR operation is to increase and intensify the productivity of the Rwandan agricultural and livestock sectors and expand the development of value chains. The operation supports the Government of Rwanda’s strategic objectives of the Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 with aims to enhance food security and nutrition contributing to reduction in poverty and inclusive economic growth. The operation supports four broad program areas: (i) agriculture and animal resource intensification; (ii) research, technology transfer and professionalization of farmers; (iii) value chain development and private sector investment; and (iv) institutional development and agricultural cross-cutting issues. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Low  Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions Progress towards achievement of the PDO and implementation progress is Satisfactory. This assessment is based on the World Bank's review of the available evidence pertaining to the 15 core indicators of the PSTA 3 PforR operation, including the performance trends of the 7 DLR&Is and the overall assessment of the PforR operation. In reviewing the current PforR indicators and targets, the mission team: a) assessed progress towards the delivery of existing indicators and targets, while noting any issues that may significantly impact on progress; b) discussed supporting the design and development of PSTA 4. 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 1 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 2 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 3 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 4 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 5 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 6 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 7 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 8 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P148927 IDA-55480 Closed USD 100.00 100.00 0.00 93.39 0.00 100% P148927 IDA-59620 Effective USD 46.00 46.00 0.00 47.49 0.00 100% P148927 TF-19208 Effective USD 50.60 50.60 0.00 50.13 0.47 99% P148927 TF-A5936 Effective USD 9.25 9.25 0.00 0.00 9.25 0% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P148927 IDA-55480 Closed 31-Oct-2014 11-Nov-2014 11-Dec-2014 31-Mar-2017 -- P148927 IDA-59620 Effective 28-Feb-2017 09-Mar-2017 02-May-2017 30-Sep-2018 -- P148927 TF-19208 Effective 31-Oct-2014 06-Mar-2015 08-May-2015 31-Mar-2018 -- P148927 TF-A5936 Effective 04-Oct-2017 09-Oct-2017 07-Dec-2017 30-Sep-2018 -- Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Moderate  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  Moderate  Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Low  Low 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 9 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Low  Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Low  Low Fiduciary  --  Moderate  Moderate Environment and Social  --  Moderate  Moderate Stakeholders  --  Low  Low Other  --  Low  Low Overall  --  Low  Moderate Disbursement Linked Indicators (DLI) PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 1(a): Increased soil erosion control based on agreed technical standards and sustainably maintained - Progressive (Hectare(Ha)) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Value 802292.00 894213.00 923604.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-Sep-2017 Comments Target annual increase of 33,649 ha/yr for Progressive for year 1 through year 3. Year 1 (July 1, 2013 - June 30, 2014), actual increase of 44,184 ha progressive for a total of 846,476 ha achieved against year 1 target of 835,941 ha. Year 1 disbursement target met. Year 2 (July 1, 2014 - June 30, 2015) actual increase of 47,737 ha progressive for a total of 894,213 ha achieved against year 2 target of 869,590 ha. Year 2 disbursement target met. Year 3 (July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2016) actual increase of 18,944 ha progressive for a total of 913,212 ha achieved against a year 3 target of 903,240. Year 3 disbursement target not met, but overall 3-year target met. Year 4 (July 1, 2016 - June 30, 2017) actual increase of 10,392 ha progressive for a total of 923,604 ha achieved against a year 4 target of 919,561. As a result the total target of 919,561 has been fully achieved. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 2 (a): Increased land developed according to agreed technical standards and sustainably maintained - Marshlands. (Hectare(Ha)) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Value 24721.00 29277.00 36521.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-Sep-2017 Comments Target annual increase of 1,800 ha for marshlands. Year 1 (July 1, 2013 - June 30, 2014), actual increase of 2,284 ha marshlands for a total of 27,005 ha achieved against year 1 target of 26,521 ha. Year 1 disbursement target met. Year 2 (July 1, 2014 - June 30, 2015), actual increase of 2,272 ha marshlands for a total of 29,277 ha achieved against year 2 target of 28,321 ha. Year 2 disbursement target met. Year 3 (July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2016), actual increase of 5,884 ha marshlands for a total of 35,161 ha achieved against year 3 target of 30,121 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 10 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) ha. Year 3 disbursement target met. Year 4 (July 1, 2016- June 30, 2017), actual increase of 1,360 ha marshlands for a total of 36,521 ha achieved against year 4 target of 36,000 ha. Year 4 disbursement target met. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 2 (b): Increased land developed according to agreed technical standards and sustainably maintained - Hillsides (Hectare(Ha)) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Value 3075.00 6130.00 11978.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-Sep-2017 Comments Annual increase of 1,000 ha for hillsides for year 1 through 3 . Year 1 (July 1, 2013 - June 30, 2014), increase of hillsides put under irrigation is 1,732 ha for a total of 4,807 ha achieved against year 1 target of 4,075 ha. Year 1 disbursement target met. Year 2 (July 1, 2014 - June 30, 2015), increase of hillsides put under irrigation is 1,323 ha for a total of 6,130 ha achieved against year 2 target of 5,075 ha. Year 2 disbursement target met. Year 3 (July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2015), Increase of hillsides put under irrigation is 2,262 ha for a total of 8,392 ha achieved against year 3 target of 6,075 ha. Year 3 disbursement target met. Year 4 (July 1, 2016 - June 30, 2017). Increase of hillsides put under irrigation is 3,595 ha for a total of 11,987 ha achieved against year 4 target of 8,500 ha. As a result the full DLI has been achieved. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 3.2: Increased average crop yields per ha for key export crop – Coffee (Kg) cherry/tree/year (Hectare(Ha)) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Value 2.20 2.60 2.84 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-Sep-2017 Comments Year 1 (July 1, 2013 - June 30, 2014), increase of 0.2 kg for a total of 2.40 kg achieved against year 1 target of 2.30 kg. Year 1 disbursement target met. Year 2 (July 1, 2014 - June 30, 2015), increase of 0.2 kg for a total of 2.60 kg achieved against year 2 target of 2.50 kg. Year 2 disbursement target met. Year 3 (July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2016), increase of 0.24 kg for total of 2.84 kg achieved against year 3 target of 2.70 kg. Year 3 disbursement target is met. Year 4 (July 1, 2016 - June 30, 2017) the increase of 0.24 kg has been maintained. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 4.2: Percentage of enhanced innovation technologies introduced & released by public and/or private sectors and adopted by farmers (with targets for each year). (Percentage) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Value 25.00 65.00 61.80 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 11 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-May-2017 Comments Year 1 (July 1, 2013 - June 30, 2014) adoption rate of 27% of enhanced technologies achieved against year 1 target of 25%. Year 1 disbursement target met. Year 2 (July 1, 2014 - June 30, 2015), adoption rate of 45% of enhanced technologies achieved against year 2 target of 40%. Year 2 disbursement target met. Year 3 (July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2016), adoption rate of 61.8% of enhanced technologies achieved against year 3 target of 50%. Year 3 disbursement target met. Results for year 2 achievement of DLI 4.2 was incorrectly inputted into ISR. The text above has been corrected to provide the achieved results in year 2 (45%) Year 4. Progress will be assessed in September 2017 PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 1(b): Increased soil erosion control based on agreed technical standards and sustainably maintained - Radical (Hectare(Ha)) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Value 46246.00 82565.00 110041.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-Sep-2017 Comments Annual increase of 7,798 ha/yr for Radical for year 1 through year 3. Year 1 (July 1, 2013 - June 30, 2014), actual increase of land protected against soil erosion was 18,344 ha for a total of 64,590 ha achieved against year 1 target of 54,044 ha. Year 1 disbursement target met. Year 2 (July 1, 2014 - June 30, 2015), actual increase of 17,976 ha for a total of 82,565 ha achieved against year 2 target of 61,842 ha. Year 2 disbursement target met. Year 3 (July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2016), actual increase of 21,352 ha for a total of 103,918 ha achieved against year 3 target of 69,640 ha. Year 3 disbursement target met. Year 4 (July 1, 2016 -June 30, 2017) actual increase of 6,123 ha for a total of 110,041 ha achieved against a year 4 target of 103,918. As a result the total target of 103,918 has been fully achieved. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 3.1: Increased average crop yields per ha for key food crop - Cassava (MT/Ha) (Metric ton) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Value 15.00 17.80 19.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-Sep-2017 Comments Year 1 (July 1, 2013 - June 30, 2014) increase of 1.3MT/ha for a total of 16.30 MT/ha achieved against year 1 target of 16.0 MT/ha. Year 1 disbursement target met. Year 2 (July 1, 2014 - June 30, 2015) increase of 1.50 MT/ha for a total of 17.80 MT/ha achieved against a year 2 target of 17.00 MT/ha. Year 2 disbursement target met. Year 3 (July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2016) increase of 1.17 MT/ha for a total of 18.97 MT/Ha. MT/ha achieved against a year 3 target of 18.00 MT/ha. Year 3 disbursement target met. Year 4 (July 1, 2016 -June 30, 2017). increase of .03 MT/ha for a total of 19 MT/Ha. MT/ha achieved against a year 4 target of 19.00 MT/ha. Year 4 disbursement target met. 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 12 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 3.3: Increased average daily yields of milk per cow (ltrs/day) (Liter) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Value 4.00 5.70 6.30 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-May-2017 Comments Year 1 (July 1, 2013 - June 30, 2014), increase of 1.00 ltr/day for a total of 5 ltrs/day achieved against year 1 target of 4.5 ltrs/day. Year 1 disbursement target met. Year 2 (July 1, 2014 - June 30, 2015) increase of 0.60 ltr/day for a total of 5.7 ltrs/day achieved against year 2 target of 5.0 ltrs/day. Year 2 disbursement target met. Year 3 (July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2016) increase of 0.70 ltr/day for a total of 5.7 ltrs/day achieved against year 3 target of 5.5 ltrs/day. Year 3 disbursement target met. Year 4 (July 1, 2016 - June 30, 2017) increase of 0.60 ltr/day for a total of 6.3 ltrs/day achieved against year 4 target of 6.2 ltrs/day. Year 4 disbursement target has been met. PHDLIPDOTBL DLI 4.1: Number of enhanced innovation technologies introduced & released by public and/or private sectors (with targets for each year). (Number) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Value 5.00 14.00 25.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-Sep-2017 Comments Year 1 (July 1, 2013 - June 30, 2014), incremental increase of 5 enhanced technologies achieved for a total of 10 technologies. Exceeds year 1 target of 3 additional technologies. Year 1 disbursement target met. Year 2 (July 1, 2014 - June 30, 2015), incremental increase of 4 enhanced technologies achieved for a total of 14 technologies against year 2 target of 3 technologies. Year 2 disbursement target met. Year 3 (July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2016) incremental increase of 5 enhanced technologies achieved for a total of 19 technologies against year 3 target of 4 technologies. Year 3 disbursement target met. Year 4 (July 1, 2016 - June 30, 2017) incremental increase of 6 enhanced technologies achieved for a total of 25 technologies against year 4 target of 6 technologies. Year Progress will be assessed in September 2017 PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 5: Increased agricultural finance lending for agriculture sector (production and agroprocessing) (% of total) (Percentage) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Value 3.60 6.60 6.60 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-May-2017 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 13 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) Comments Year 1 (July 1, 2013-June 30, 2014), increase of lending for agriculture sector to 6.1% of total lending achieved against year 1 target of 4.8%. Year 1 disbursement target met. Year 2 (July 1, 2014 - June 30, 2015), increase of lending for agriculture sector to 6.6% of total lending achieved against year 2 target of 5.9%. Year 2 disbursement target met. Year 3. Verification Report received. No additional progress to achieve end target reported. No disbursement made. Year 4. Year 3 Verification Report shows progress has exceeded 75% of target, thereby allowing 100% disbursement per PAD DLI Verification Protocol Table. Final disbursement made in Year 4. PHDLIPDOTBL DLI 6: MIS for Agriculture Sector. Updated Gender-Sensitive MIS Framework and Action Plan for the agriculture sector: Completed, Approved, Implementation initiated and Fully Operational (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Framework and Action Draft M&E MIS rolled out to 30 districts and Plan completed Value Framework/partially producing regular reports by end (C)/approved () and operational June 2017 initiated (I) Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-May-2017 Comments Year 1 (July 1, 2013 - June 30, 2014), a draft M&E/MIS framework prepared and year 1 target was acheived. Year 1 disbursement target met. Year 2 (July 1, 2014 - June 30, 2015), M&E/MIS Framework and Action Plan completed, approved and initiated. Year 2 disbursement target met. Year 3, (July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2016), M&E/MIS Framework and Action Plan operational. Year 3 disbursement target met. Year 4, (July 1,2016 -June 30, 2017) M&E/MIS Framework and Action Plan rolled out to 30 Districts. Year 4 disbursement target met. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 7.1: Approval of seeds policy, prepare action plan, begin implementation of action plan (based on agreed milestone(s) (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) (a) adjustments to S strategies/ Policy, action plan and policies agreed to reflect updated implementation underway NAP; (b) revised implementation Value None exists Policy process for access plans developed and (c) policies/ to finance underway strategies implemented. Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-Sep-2017 Comments Seeds policy is a Year 2 deliverable. However, a draft seeds policy has been prepared and is being validated with stakeholders. Action plan is also under preparation. In Year 2, the Seeds policy has been developed and validated by the Agriculture Sector Working Group making this target achieved. It will be sent to Cabinet and fully implemented. However, MINAGRI is seeking to update the existing Agricultural Policy (from 2004) to ensure greater alignment and compatibility with relevant developments, macro-policies, and recent sub sector policies, including those that are currently a DLI (e.g. Fertilizer, Seed and Access to Finance). A terms of reference (TOR) outlining the scope and process for developing the new Agricultural Policy will be developed by MINAGRI (by end-June, 2016). In Year 3, the seed and fertilizer policies are awaiting final approval. There has been progress towards the development of the Agriculture Finance Policy. Advance payment has been made. Full payment will be made when policy is finalized. Year 4 Targets met. 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 14 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 7.2: Approval of fertilizer policy, prepare action plan , begin implementation of action plan (based on agreed milestone(s) (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) (a) adjustments to F strategy/ Policy Approved, Action policy agreed to reflect updated Value Initial draft exists Plan NAP; (b) revised implementation Implementation underway plan developed and (c) policy/ strategy implemented. Date 30-Jun-2013 31-Dec-2014 04-Sep-2017 Comments Year 1 target was fertilizer policy prepared, approved, action plan prepared and implementation begun of implementation plan. This target was met at 85%. The reason for 85% completion was that during preparation it was agreed that the approval of the policy would be by the Minister of MINAGRI and the Ag. Sector Working Group. This was done. However, the policy has since been sent to Cabinet for approval where it is awaiting final approval. However, MINAGRI is seeking to update the existing Agricultural Policy (from 2004) to ensure greater alignment and compatibility with relevant developments, macro-policies, and recent sub sector policies, including those that are currently a DLI (e.g. Fertilizer, Seed and Access to Finance). A terms of reference (TOR) outlining the scope and process for developing the new Agricultural Policy will be developed by MINAGRI (by end-June, 2016). Year 3. Key parts of the new Policies are currently being implemented. However, full implementation cannot be accomplished until the National Agricultural Policy has been formally approved. Year 4 Target Met. NAP was approved PHDLIPDOTBL DLI 7.3: Approval of agricultural finance policy, prepare action plan, begin implementation of action plan (based on agreed milestone(s). (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) (a) adjustments to AG strategy/ policy agreed to reflect updated Value None exists Policy under preparation NAP; (b) revised implementation plan developed and (c) policy/ strategy implemented. Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 04-Sep-2017 Comments The agriculture finance policy is a Year 3 target. The policy is currently under implementation. However, MINAGRI is seeking to update the existing Agricultural Policy (from 2004) to ensure greater alignment and compatibility with relevant developments, macro-policies, and recent sub sector policies, including those that are currently a DLI (e.g. Fertilizer, Seed and Access to Finance). A terms of reference (TOR) outlining the scope and process for developing the new Agricultural Policy will be developed by MINAGRI (by end-June, 2016). Year 4 Target Met. 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 15 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 8: Extent to which an updated National Agriculture Policy has been approved. (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Value None Exists -- Draft under review. Date 09-Mar-2017 -- 04-Sep-2017 Comments NAP endorsed by Agriculture sector working group Results Results Area Intermediate Results Area Agriculture and animal resource intensification: (i) Soil erosion reduced and land sustainably managed; (ii) Land productivity for priority crops increased; (iii) Animal productivity increased and ani Research, technology transfer and organization of farmers: (i) Improved technologies which are responsive to Rwanda’s agro-ecological potential, men and women farmer needs and resources, and market Private sector-driven value chain development and expanded investments: (i) Enhanced business environment for expanded agricultural investments and value addition; and (ii) Competitive and private sec Institutional results-focused development and strategic cross-cutting issues: (i) Enhanced capacity of sector and its institutions to deliver efficient and effective agricultural services; (ii) Streng Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Increased agricultural land under modernized agricultural technologies (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 19.00 44.00 31.00 34.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 26-Oct-2016 04-Sep-2017 28-Sep-2018 PHINDPDOTBL  Increased agriculture exports (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 22.00 6.00 23.00 25.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 26-Oct-2016 26-Oct-2016 28-Sep-2018 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 16 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) Overall Comments PDO indicators. The progress towards the delivery of PDO targets is satisfactory. In terms of agricultural land area under modernized agricultural technologies (PDO 1) analysis of the data largely supports the targeted increase in land areas under modernized technologies, especially in 2016 where a significant increase can be detected. Second, the actual performance of the agricultural export revenues improved significantly over 2016/2017 but fell fractionally below the agreed target. This short fall is largely due to a dry period in August/October 2016 which caused a dip in coffee production. As pointed out in the March 2017 mission, MINAGRI agreed to revise the methodology for measuring the PDO 1 indicator. During the Fifth Implementation Support Mission (March 20- 29, 2017) MINAGRI and the Bank team agreed on exploring a new methodology for assessing progress towards the PDO 1 indicator. Specifically, the new methodology would incorporate the micro-data from the Seasonal Agricultural Survey (SAS) that is regularly conducted by the National Statistical Institute of Rwanda (NSIR). In this context, MINAGRI has conducted the analysis using SAS data for 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2016 (see table 2). For the reason of methodological consistency, the results from 2013 shall be used as a revised baseline. The baseline has been updated accordingly in this ISR. Table 2: Progress toward the Delivery of PDO 1 (% of agricultural land area under modernized agricultural technologies) Result Indictor 2013 2014 2015 2016 % of agricultural land area under modernized agricultural 24% 27% 31% 34% technologies (Project Appraisal Document) ACTUAL: % of agricultural Land area under modernized 19% 23% 24% 31% agricultural technologies* Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  Increased total milk production (Metric ton, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 503,000.00 776,284.00 816,791.00 780,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 26-Oct-2016 04-Sep-2017 28-Sep-2018 PHINDIRITBL  Increased % of cooperatives/farmers’ organizations which are graded A and B (includes gender dimension) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 5.00 18.00 18.00 30.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2016 30-Sep-2016 28-Sep-2018 PHINDIRITBL  Increased value (total production and exports) of major competitive value chains (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 132,000,000.00 289,500,000.00 356,500,000.00 309,000,000.00 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 17 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) Date 30-Jun-2013 26-Oct-2016 04-Sep-2017 28-Sep-2018 PHINDIRITBL  Increased agri-finance lending for: (a) farmers (including gender targets); & (b) Ag. enterprise investments (value chain activities) (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 3,600,000.00 6,793,000.00 6,793,000.00 7,600,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 26-Oct-2016 26-Oct-2016 31-Mar-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Increased agri-finance lending for: (a) farmers (including gender targets); & (b) Ag. enterprise investments (value chain activities) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 65.00 66.50 66.50 75.00 PHINDIRITBL  Increased private sector investments in ag. sector (domestic and foreign) (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 513.00 621.60 621.60 730.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2015 30-Sep-2015 31-Mar-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Increased % of agric. production marketed (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 28.00 22.00 22.00 25.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 26-Oct-2016 26-Oct-2016 28-Sep-2018 PHINDIRITBL  Enhanced results-focused institutional capacity development of MINAGRI & Districts: Action Plan (AP) updated/ prepared; AP implementation initiated & AP fully operational (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target MINAGRI draft strategy MINAGRI draft strategy Minagri Action Value Minagri Plan not available completed; approval completed; approval Plan Fully pending pending Operational Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2016 30-Sep-2016 28-Sep-2018 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 18 of 19 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Transformation of Agriculture Sector Program Phase 3 PforR (P148927) PHINDIRITBL  Enhanced results-focused institutional capacity development of MINAGRI & Districts: Action Plan (AP) updated/ prepared; AP implementation initiated & AP fully operational (Text, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Districts Strategies Districts Strategies District Action Districts Plans Not Value completed; pending completed; pending Plans Fully available formal approval formal approval operational PHINDIRITBL  Increase in Women’s Empowerment in Agriculture Index for Rwanda (Index (%)) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 91.00 91.00 91.00 93.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2016 30-Sep-2016 28-Sep-2018 PHINDIRITBL  Increased % of households with acceptable levels of food consumption (Food consumption score (%)) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 20.00 77.00 23.00 23.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Sep-2016 04-Sep-2017 28-Sep-2018 Overall Comments Core Results Framework Indicators (CRFIs). The Bank Team reviewed/discussed with MINAGRI officials all of the other (CRFIs), given that they comprise the other drivers of inclusive growth and rural poverty reduction. The mission agreed that additional time was required to collect data on several key indicators. In this context, data on remaining indicators will be collected later. See attached Aide Memoire for collection timing and indicators TBC. 1/14/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 19 of 19