Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Bolsa Família (P101504) Second Bolsa Família (P101504) LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Brazil | Social Protection & Labor Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Adaptable Program Loan | FY 2011 | Seq No: 11 | ARCHIVED on 15-Jun-2016 | ISR23695 | Implementing Agencies: Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:16-Sep-2010 Effectiveness Date:24-Nov-2011 Planned Mid Term Review Date:20-Jan-2014 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:24-Mar-2014 Original Closing Date:30-Dec-2015 Revised Closing Date:30-Jun-2017 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The objective of the Project is to strengthen the BF Program's ability to achieve its objective of reducing poverty and inequality and promoting human capital development by improving schooling and health status of children and reducing incidence of malnutrition among the poor population. The proposed operation would achieve this objective by supporting: (a) the strengthening of the program's overall governance through enhanced basic program management functions and accountability, oversight and control functions, in three axes: the registry of beneficiaries (Cadastro Unico), management of benefits, and monitoring of conditionalities; (b) the consolidation of the program?s monitoring and evaluation system; and (c) the strengthening of linkages between Bolsa Familia beneficiaries with complementary actions beyond the program to promote graduation from poverty; these activities would be carried out through the National Commitment for Social Development strategy in the MDS. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name Conditional Cash Transfers (Grants):(Cost $185.00 M) Strengthening Cadastro Unico as the Main Targeting Instrument for Social Programs:(Cost $2.80 M) Institutional Strengthening for the Consolidation of the Bolsa Familia Program:(Cost $4.60 M) Consolidation of the Monitoring and Evaluation System in the Ministry of Social Development:(Cost $4.50 M) Supporting the National Commitment for Social Development (CNDS):(Cost $1.30 M) Operational Support to the Project Implementation Unit at the Ministry of Social Development:(Cost $1.20 M) Overall Ratings 6/15/2016 Page 1 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Bolsa Família (P101504) Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Low  Low Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Project supports Brazil’s Bolsa Familia Program (BFP) and other initiatives of the Ministry of Social Development (MDS) aimed at reducing poverty. The BFP is a fundamental pillar of the Brasil Sem Miseria Plan (BSMP), the national plan to combat extreme poverty. Since Project implementation began, the coverage of BFP has increased from 13.4 (December 2011) to 13.9 million families (May 2016), around 81 million individuals which represents 0.5% of the GDP. The average benefit per month per family increased from R$145 in 2012 to R$ 176 in 2016 (source: Relatórios de Informações Sociais, Conquistas Sociales-Compromisos de um Brasil sem Miseria,SAGI / MDS). Key results In terms of the achievement of its objectives – poverty reduction and increase in human capital , the most recent studies suggest that the reduction of extreme poverty and 15 percent of the reduction in inequality can be attributed to the program (IPEA, 2012, IEG, 2011 and World Bank, 2013). In terms of improving health and education outcomes of children in poor households, impact evaluations show that BFP increased school attendance and grade progression (Cireno et al., 2013). For instance, as a result of the program, the chances of a 15 year old girl being in school increased by 21 percent (see IEG, 2011). Other effects of the program include positive impacts on the number of prenatal care visits, higher immunization coverage, lower child mortality rates (Rasella et al, 2013) and a reduction in crime (Chioda et al., 2013). Importantly, rigorous analysis on the potential perverse incentives of the program shows that BFP did not discourage work efforts by beneficiaries and did not increase fertility among beneficiary households (Oliveira and Soares, 2013). Main activities As a result of the active-search strategy (Busca Ativa) of the extreme poor not registered in the country’s single registry of the poor and vulnerable, “Cadastro Único”, a total of 1.7 million families were added to the registry by May 2016 and automatically became PBF beneficiaries. The number of families identified in the Cadastro Único as belonging to traditional groups (indigenous, quilombolas, extractivists, etc) went from about 200 thousand in 2011 to 1.9 million in 2016. To reach these groups, 1,254 mobile teams and 138 boats for these teams were made available to help in the search of the extreme porr population. The benefit design was subsequently modified in order to help all beneficiary households live above the extreme poverty income threshold (set at R$77 per person per month). Several measures were adopted: the formula to calculate benefits for BFP changed, and a top-up benefit was introduced in order to ensure that beneficiary families would have a minimum per capita income equal to the extreme poverty line; the number of eligible children for payment increased from 3 to 5; additional benefits were included pregnant and breastfeeding women. In the education sector, under the BSMP, more schools that serve BFP beneficiaries joined complementary programs such as Mais Educação and Saúde na Escola and also the Brasil Carinhoso initiative provides financial transfers to encourage municipalities to fill their open slots in nurseries with children in BFP. In primary schools BSMP expands the offer of full time education where most of the students are benefiting from BFP. One of the most innovative and important contributions of the BSMP related to activities mean to promote the productive inclusion of the poor and vulnerable in the economic arena, in both urban and rural areas. As of May 2016, more than 1.79 million? people, beneficiaries of BFP, had enrolled in the vocational training program PRONATEC-BSM; 724 thousand BFP beneficiaries participated in “Programa de Microempreendedor Individual” (MEI), a program for individual micro-entrepreneurs. Regarding productive inclusion in rural areas, 358,000 PBF beneficiary households received technical assistance and resources for promoting rural production. In addition, 928,100 water cisterns were built in the semi-arid Northeast region of the country with the support of the Agua Para Todos Program (Water for All). In the Development Program for Productive Inclusion in Rural Areas (Progama de Fomento a Inclusao Productiva Rural), over 210,000 families were included until May 2016. Since the beginning of the program in 2012, 196,700 families were supported with financial resources in the amount of R$ 2400 or R$3000, depending on the mode. BSM also included food and nutrition security actions targeted specifically to the traditional community populations (PCTs) in the Development Program for Rural Productive Activities (Fomento) and Cisterns Program (Fomento). The joint offering for rural productive inclusion actions for PCTs is being prioritized in order to combat food and nutritional insecurity persists particularly with these vulnerable groups. SENARC recently completed the online beneficiary enrollment questionnaire "prontuario", which will allow immediate enrollment of new families, and to improve instant verification of other registries of social transfers for the same household. A new system of payments for the BFP is under development (by CAIXA) and is expected to be rolled out in early 2017. Finally, two new technologies have been rolled out in order to strengthen the communication channels with BFP beneficiaries: (i) A free mobile application for smartphones was launched on October 19, 2015 allowing beneficiaries to know in advance (ten days before the payment date) the benefit amount, the nearest for withdrawing benefits and information regarding the conditionalities (school attendance and child vaccination); (ii) Priority distribution of TV converters (from analog to digital) to PBF beneficiaries allowing access to BFP application that offers the following features: (1) payment schedule; (2) Frequently Asked Questions; (3) Addresses (4) General Information (a) Bolsa Famíla and (b) Cadastro Único. Workshops, outreach and documentation of good practices: 1. Training Workshop for state technicians on the use of SUAS Handbook and Cadastro Unico as strategic tools of qualification of family monitoring process and on how support for municipalities training demands 6/15/2016 Page 2 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Bolsa Família (P101504) 2. Cadastro Unico / Bolsa Família training targeting state instructors who should in turn train local enumerators 3. Regional workshop for state coordinators to improve intersectoral management process for Bolsa Família and Cadastro Único; 4. State Coordinators National Meeting, in order to discuss and reflect on the possibilities of Strategic reorganization of Cadastro Unico and the Bolsa Família State Management. 5. To broaden the debate and knowledge managers, workers, counselors, users, academics, researchers and society in general on the social assistance policy developed in the country. Recent studies conducted by MDS with the support of the project TA 6. Study on estimates on the number of families belonging to traditional and specific population groups that are not in Cadastro Único or who are already registered but without being identified as belonging to these groups, to help with the formulation of strategies of active search actions in states and municipalities 7. Pairing of Cadastro Único data with the IBGE CNEFE enabling Cadastro Único socioeconomic data analysis by enumeration area to assist municipalities in diagnostic actions and activities of their territories. 8. Study for the identification of social vulnerability situations which can be captured by income predictor and others that cannot be inferred through these statistical tools (therefore conducting field research with focal groups in 11 municipalities). 9. Three studies to evaluate training workshops and their effects and also to produce courseware / instructional material to be used by states and municipalities to assist the training processes conveying important contributions to the child labor eradication policy, and to identify and evaluate training actions for the SUAS Handbook implementation. 10. Diagnosis of the current situation, institutional opportunities and institutional challenges for the area directly responsible for BFP’s oversight. 11. Analysis of the services provided by Caixa Econômica Federal, and design of service quality level indicators to improve qualitative monitoring of services provided to MDS. 12. Improvement of the Conditionalities system (SICON), studies related to conditionalities monitoring and of improvement on language and communication with the PBF beneficiaries. 13. Identification of the progress and obstacles to the implementation of social assistance as citizenship right 14. Study to contribute to the improvement of planning instruments, management, implementation, monitoring, evaluation and social control of the Social Assistance Public Policy and the improvement of SUAS management and quality of services offered. 15. Enhancements in the integration methodology of administrative records of individual Micro-entrepreneurs, Social Information annual inventory and Pronatec Bolsa Formação enrollment bank, allowing the development of longitudinal evaluation studies. 16. Studies and events are proposed by SESAN to improve institutional arrangements for the Programa de Aquisição de Alimentos (PAA): (i) Planning, organization, monitoring and evaluation of three (3) events focused on the mode of PAA Institutional Purchase; (ii) Mapping federal and states government demand in the areas of health, education and public safety to quantify potential for food purchase from the Family Farming. Data analysis (descriptive statistics) and presentation for MDS and guests; and (iii) Threee events focused on PAA Institutional Purchase to increase access to institutional markets for the products from family farming, strengthening the productive inclusion policies with government agencies. 17. Three series of videos were prepared for: (i) the training of managers, technicians and directors on the Single Registry and PBF; (ii) information directed to BFP beneficiaries and civil society. 18. Ethnographic studies have been conducted on the effects of monetary transfers from the Bolsa Família Program (PBF) on indigenous populations residents in seven Indigenous Lands: Alto Rio Negro (AM), Barra Velha (BA), Dourados (MS), Jaraguá (SP), Parabubure (MT), Porquinhos (MA) e Takuaraty/Yvykuarusu (MS). Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Low  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  Low  Low 6/15/2016 Page 3 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Bolsa Família (P101504) Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Low  Low Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Low  Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Low  Low Fiduciary  --  Low  Low Environment and Social  --  Low  Low Stakeholders  --  Low  Low Other  --  Low  Low Overall  --  Low  Low Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Percentage of youth (16-17 years old) whose school attendance is being monitored by the program. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 75.89 78.75 80.27 85.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 31-Dec-2015 31-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  Percentage of beneficiary children of primary school age (6-15 years old) whose school attendance is being monitored by the program. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 88.07 88.33 91.02 90.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 31-Dec-2015 31-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  Percentage of children aged 0-6 and pregnant women in beneficiary families complying with heath conditionalities (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 70.00 75.30 76.80 75.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 6/15/2016 Page 4 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Bolsa Família (P101504) PHINDPDOTBL  Number of State Governments using Cadastro Único for the selection of beneficiaries for their state social programs. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 9.00 18.00 18.00 21.00 Date 10-Jan-2011 30-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  Percentage of households in the first quintile receiving transfers from Bolsa Familia Program (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 66.00 81.56 81.56 76.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2015 30-Jun-2015 30-Jun-2017 Comments The information will be available with the release of results from the PNAD 2014, special module on social programs. This has not yet been made available by IBGE. Overall Comments Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  Average decentralized management index (IGD) increased (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.80 0.84 0.78 0.85 Date 31-Dec-2011 31-Dec-2015 31-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 Comments In order to encourage municipalities to achieve better results in the management of PBF, in August 2015, the Decree n.81 was published, stating the following changes: (i) improvement of the rates used to calculate the Operating Factor (F1) and raising of the minimum levels of such rates; (ii) improvement of financial incentive mechanisms; and (iii) increase of the minimum amount transferred to municipalities that meet all the requirements. These changes can already be identified in the index behavior. 6/15/2016 Page 5 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Bolsa Família (P101504) PHINDIRITBL  Number of beneficiary families (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 12000000.00 13900000.00 13900000.00 12900000.00 Date 30-Jun-2009 31-Dec-2015 31-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Percentage of updated records in Cadastro Único version 7.0 by December 2015. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 40.00 90.40 95.00 85.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Monitoring and Evaluation System of MDS consolidated (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Consolidated Value System not consolidated consolidated consolidated M&E System Date 23-Nov-2011 30-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 Comments In 2015, the Monitoring Department produced studies that contribute to the discussion of multidimensional poverty, deepening the research on urban productive inclusion with specific cutouts. An example of these studies was the study among the beneficiary of the Bolsa Família Program (PBF) on how was the inclusion of mothers in the labor market according to the different composition on the number of children and their attendance to school, using data from the National Survey by Household Sampling (PNAD) 2001-2012. The pairing of the data from the Annual Social Information bases in 2012, methodology implemented by the Monitoring Department, was a key work for the production of studies on inclusion in the formal labor market of the beneficiaries of Pronatec Bolsa Formação, in particular Pronatec BSM. Two papers with results of studies make up the Handbook 24 from SAGI, whose theme is "Urban Productive Inclusion: What did PRONATEC / Bolsa Formação do between 2011 and 2014. In May 2016 SAGI released a new study that summarizes the most recent impacts of the Brazil Sim Miseria strategy on different human development outcomes. SAGI developed more than 50 applications for data visualization: (i) tabulators, graphics generators and maps; (ii) stored and organized information on various programs, actions and social projects in different aggregation levels: from individual to region and country aggregates. Access peaks, the systems havs about 1.5 million visits in a single day. To access the complete catalog of SAGI tools, follow the link: http://aplicacoes.mds.gov.br/sagirmps/catalogo. 6/15/2016 Page 6 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Bolsa Família (P101504) PHINDIRITBL  Number of agreements signed with the States in the context of the BSM Plan (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 27.00 27.00 27.00 Date 20-Jan-2012 30-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  In-house DPI procurement and FM capacity strengthened (staff hired and trained) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0 In process Completed 5 Date 31-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 Overall Comments Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P101504 IBRD-78410 Effective USD 200.00 200.00 0.00 193.07 6.93 97% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P101504 IBRD-78410 Effective 16-Sep-2010 21-Sep-2011 24-Nov-2011 30-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 Cumulative Disbursements 6/15/2016 Page 7 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Bolsa Família (P101504) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 29-Aug-2014 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 6/15/2016 Page 8 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy