WpS 011Y POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER 2904 Law and Finance Why Does Legal Origin Matter? Thorsten Beck Aslh Demirgiic-Kunt Ross Levine The World Bank Development Research Group Finance October 2002 | POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER 2904 Abstract A growing body of work suggests that cross-country Second, the "adaptability" channel holds that (1) legal differences in legal origin help explain differences in traditions differ in their ability to adjust to changing financial development. Beck, Demirgiuc-Kunt, and Levine commercial circumstances, and (2) legal systems that assess two theories of why legal origin influences adapt quickly to minimize the gap between the financial development. First, the "political" channel contracting needs of the economy and the legal system's stresses that (1) legal traditions differ in the priority they capabilities will foster financial development more give to the rights of individual investors compared with effectively than would more rigid legal traditions. The the state, and that (2) this has repercussions for the authors use historical comparisons and cross-country development of property rights and financial markets. regressions to assess the validity of these two channels. This paper-a product of Finance, Development Research Group-is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the determinants of financial development. Copies of the paper are available free from the World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433. Please contact Kari Labrie, room MC3-456, telephone 202-473-1001, fax 202-522-1155, email address klabrie@worldbank.org. Policy Research Working Papers are also posted on the Web at http://econ.worldbank.org. The authors may be contacted at tbeck@worldbank.org, ademirguckunt@worldbank.org, or rlevine@csom.umn.edu. October 2002. (43 pages) The Policy Researcb Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the view of the World Bank, its Executive Directors, or the countries they represent. Produced by the Research Advisory Staff Law and Finance: Why Does Legal Origin Matter? Thorsten Beck, Asli Demirgiui-Kunt and Ross Levine Keywords: Law; Financial Development JEL Classification: G28, G38, HI 1, 016 Beck and Demirguc-Kunt: World Bank (tbeck(.worldbank.org and ademirguckuntuworldbank.org respectively); Levine: University of Minnesota (rlevine(.csom.umn.edu). We thank Pam Gill for excellent research assistance. We thank without implicating Daron Acemoglu, John Boyd, Maria Carkovic, Tim Guinnane, Patrick Honohan, Simon Johnson, Paul Mahoney, Richard Messick, Andrei Shleifer, two anonymous referees, and seminar participants at the Banco Central de Chile, the University of Minnesota, Harvard University, the World Bank, and UCLA. Parts of this paper were originally part of a working paper titled "Law, Politics, and Finance," which was a background paper for the 2002 World Development Report. 1. Introduction A growing body of work suggests that cross-country differences in legal origin help explain cross-country differences in financial development. La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer, and Vishny (1997, 1998, henceforth LLSV) show that whether a country's Commercial/Company law is based on British, French, German, or Scandinavian legal origins is important for explaining the country's laws on creditor rights, shareholder rights, and private property rights as well as the country's level of bank and stock market development. Subsequent research relates legal institutions to corporate valuations, ownership concentration, and dividend policies (LLSV, 2002a,b; Himmelberg, Hubbard, and Love, 2002), cross-firm and cross-industry capital allocation (Wurgler, 2000; Beck and Levine, 2002; Claessens and Laeven, 2002), the informational efficiency of stock prices (Morck, Yeung, and Yu, 2000), and financial fragility (Johnson, et al., 2000). Furthermore, Levine (1998, 1999) traces the effect of legal origin on financial development through to long-run economic growth, suggesting that legal origin influences economic growth by shaping national financial systems. While LLSV and others show that legal origin explains financial development, the profession has not empirically explained why legal origin matters. North (1988), for instance, argues that Britain has better institutions than France does. According to this view, British colonies are likely to inherit better institutions than French colonies with positive ramifications on financial development. Thus, legal origin may proxy for institutions that are not fundamentally related to the legal system. Similarly, Stulz and Williamson (2002) note that British origin countries are primarily Protestant, while French origin countries are overwhelmingly Catholic. They argue that legal origin proxies for religious and cultural differences that influence financial development and that differences in legal tradition, per se, are not crucial for explaining current levels of financial development. Beck, Demirguc-Kunt and Levine (2002), however, show that legal origin remains robustly linked with 2 financial development when controlling for religious composition and other national characteristics.' While legal origin is robustly linked with financial development, the literature has not shown the channels via which legal origin shapes finance. Consequently, this paper discusses and empirically assesses two theories of why legal origin matters for financial development. Legal theories emphasize two inter-related channels through which legal origin influences finance. First, the "political" channel contends that (a) legal traditions differ in terms of the priority they attach to private property rights versus the rights of the State and (b) the protection of private contracting rights forms the basis of financial development (LLSV, 1999). According to this view, the English common law evolved to protect private property owners against the crown. This facilitated the ability of private property owners to transact confidently, with positive repercussions on financial development (North and Weingast, 1989). In contrast, the political channel holds that the French and German civil codes in the 19th century were constructed to solidify State power by placing the "prince above the law" (Hayek, 1960, 166-7).2 Over time, State dominance of the judiciary produced legal traditions that focus more on the power of the State and less on the rights of individual investors [Mahoney, 2001]. More generally, the political channel stresses that the civil law tradition promotes the development of institutions that advance State power with adverse implications on financial development. Thus, the political channel highlights the degree to which the State controls the judiciary and emphasizes the difference between common and civil law countries. Second, the "adaptability" channel stresses that (a) legal traditions differ in their ability to evolve with changing conditions (Hayek, 1960) and (b) legal traditions that adapt efficiently to minimize the gap between the contracting needs of the economy and the legal system's capabilities XBeck, Demirguc-Kunt, and Levine (2002) also confirm Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson's (2001, 2002) findings that geographical endowments affect the development of institutions, including financial institutions. Interestingly, Thomas Jefferson too sought to place the State above the judiciary, while John Marshall asserted judicial independence (Simon, 2002). 3 will more effectively foster financial development than more rigid systems (Merryrnan, 1985). An influential, though not unanimous, strand of the comparative law literature holds that the Common law evolves efficiently as judges respond case-by-case to unforeseen and changing conditions (Posner, 1973).3 Several scholars argue that since the Common law grants substantial discretion to judges, inefficient laws are challenged in the courts and through repeated litigation efficient rules replace inefficient ones.4 These authors suggest that legal systems that (i) reject jurisprudence - the law created by judges in the process of solving disputes - and (ii) rely instead on changes in statutory law will tend to evolve more inefficiently with negative implications for finance. In a corollary to the adaptability view, Dawson (1968) and Merryman (1996) advance the "French Deviation" view, which distinguishes many French law countries from France and German law countries. According to this view, the French Revolution sought to change French law radically by eliminating jurisprudence. Under Napoleonic legal doctrine, judges simply apply the law; judges do not interpret the law, and the principle of stare decisis is rejected (Merryman, 1996, 111-112). Dawson (1968) and Merryman (1985, 1996) consider this a radical deviation because prior to the Revolution, jurisprudence was an important source of French law. Since Napoleonic legal doctrine did not work well in practice and conflicted with France's long legal history, the French courts circumvented the doctrine. "What the judges actually did, however, was build a body of law based to some extent on earlier French law, nourished by French legal scholarship, but built largely through their own decisions" (Merryman, 1996, 113). Unfortunately for French colonies, "...when the French exported their system they did not include the information that it really does not work that way, and they failed to include a blueprint of how it actually does work" (Merryman, 1996, 116). Thus, unlike France, many French civil law colonies have been unable to shake off the shackles of 3 For countervailing views and modifications, see Cooter and Kornhauser (1980), Cooter, Kornhauser, and Lane (1979), Blume and Rubinfeld (1982), Rubin (1982), and Kaplow (1992). Also, see Johnson, et. al., (2000) and Coffee (2000). 4 the Napoleonic doctrine. Critically, Germany explicitly rejected the French deviation. Building on Savigny's vision of legal science, Germany accepted the need for jurisprudence and sought to create a responsive legal doctrine. Adopters of the German code, therefore, obtained a legal system specifically designed to evolve with changing conditions. According to this corollary, many French civil law countries will have more rigid legal systems and therefore support financial development less effectively than German civil law countries, Common law countries, and France itself. While the political and adaptability channels are inter-related parts of the law and finance theory and while they both predict that legal origin shapes financial development, they emphasize different mechanisms. The political channel focuses on the power of the State. Legal traditions that strengthen the power of the State relative to private property rights tend to hinder the development of free, competitive financial markets. In contrast, the adaptability channel focuses on the process of law making. Legal traditions that efficiently adapt to changing conditions, by eliminating inefficient laws and creating more efficient ones, support financial development to a greater degree than more rigid legal systems. Of course, legal origin may operate through both channels; the political and adaptability channels are not mutually exclusive. We empirically assess the importance of each channel in accounting for cross-country differences in financial development. Although there are differences between the political and adaptability channels, they are inter- connected parts of the law and finance approach to financial development and it may not be feasible to distinguish fully between these two mechanisms. Specifically, the political channel focuses on the power of the State while the adaptability channel highlights differences in the ability of legal systems to evolve with changing conditions. Jurisprudence, however, may be much less likely in a system where the State controls the judiciary than in a system where the judiciary enjoys greater independence. This may lead to skepticism regarding the ability to distinguish the independent 4 See, for instance, Rubin (1977, 1982), Priest (1977), and Bailey and Rubin (1994). 5 effects of the political and adaptability channels. Moreover, since we only have imperfect empirical proxies of State control of the judiciary and legal system adaptability, this aggravates the identification problem. While recognizing these barriers to assessing the comparative roles of the political and adaptability channels, we continue with our investigation using the best available data. This paper provides empirical evidence concerning the channels through which legal origin shapes financial development. La Porta et al. (2002) shows that the independence of the judiciary and jurisprudence are closely associated with economic freedom. We, however, focus on the channels through which legal origin influences finance. In related work, Pistor et al. (2000) and Keinan (2000) provide detailed comparisons of the evolution of statutory corporate law and the law on secured transactions in key countries. In contrast, our paper uses broad cross-country regressions to assess whether legal tradition shapes finance primarily by affecting the power of the State relative to the judiciary or primarily by influencing the adaptability of the law to evolving conditions. Finally, Djankov et al. (2001) collects detailed data on the operation of legal systems. They examine the link between legal origin and the operation of legal systems and assess the association between the operation of legal systems and corruption. We exploit the Djankov et al. (2001) and La Porta et al. (2002) data to form proxies of (i) the power of the State over the judiciary and (ii) the degree of legal system adaptability and then study whether legal origin influences finance through the political and adaptability channels. Specifically, we use legal origin dummy variables as instrumental variables, compute the exogenous component of State control over the judiciary and legal system adaptability, and assess through which channel legal origin influences financial development. The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Based on the comparative law literature, section 2 discusses the political and adaptability channels. Section 3 describes the data and section 4 presents the results from cross-country regressions. Section 5 concludes. 6 2. The Political and Adaptability Channels of the Law and Finance Theory 2.1. The Political Channel: Historical Background In the sixth century, Emperor Justinian had Roman law compiled. Hayek (1960) notes that the Justinian texts represent an important break with Roman law. While Roman law placed the law above all individuals, the Justinian texts place the emperor above the law. From the 1400s, France's legal system progressed as a regionally diverse melange of customary law, Justinian's legal texts, and judicial decisions. Further, by the 18ih century, the judiciary's reputation had deteriorated as the monarch sold judgeships to rich families. These families used their control of the courts to impede progressive reform and support their own interests. Unsurprisingly, the French Revolution turned its fury on the judiciary and moved to eliminate the role of the judge in making and interpreting the law. Robespierre even argued that, "the word jurisprudence ... must be effaced from our language." (From Dawson, 1968, 426). France sought liberty and progressive reform by creating a strong legislature and by limiting judicial independence. Consequently, in codifying the Code, Napoleon - like Justinian - (a) unified regional legal systems and (b) placed the State above the courts. Thus, codification supported the unification and strengthening of the government and relegated judges to a relatively minor bureaucratic role. Like Napoleon, Bismarck unified Germany and unified the legal system through codification. Although Bavaria and Prussia codified parts of the law during the 18th century, it was Bismarck's decision in 1873 to codify and unify the whole of private law in Germany that led to the adoption of the German civil law in 1900. Thus, according to the political channel, Bismarck's codification - like Justinian and Napoleon before him - consolidated and strengthened the state. 7 The history of the English commnon law is very different. The English common law attained its modem form in the tumultuous 16* and 17t centuries when Parliament and the English kings battled for control of the country. The Crown attempted to reassert feudal prerogatives and sell monopolies to raise revenues. Parliament (composed mostly of landowners and wealthy merchants), together with the courts took the side of property owners. Ultimately, the Crown was unable to reassert feudal privileges and its ability to grant monopolies was also severely restricted. The courts asserted that the law is king and limited the Crown's discretion to alter property rights. Thus, in comparison with France during the 1 6th and 1 7th centuries, the English common law was a source of liberty and a champion of private property rights. 2.2. The Political Channel The political channel holds that (i) legal traditions differ in their emphasis of the rights of private property owners vis-A-vis the rights of the State and (ii) private property rights form the basis of financial development. Thus, historically determined differences in legal origin help explain existing differences in financial development (LLSV, 1998). The political channel. argues that the Civil law has tended to emphasize the rights of the State, rather than private property rights, to a greater degree than the common law with adverse implications for financial development. Indeed, LLSV (1999, 231-2) state that, "(A) civil legal tradition, then, can be taken as a proxy for an intent to build institutions to further the power of the State..." A powerful State will tend to create policies and institutions that divert the flow of society's resources toward favored ends, which is antithetical to competitive financial markets. Furthermore, a powerful State with a responsive civil law at its disposal will have difficulty credibly committing to not interfere in financial markets, which will also hinder financial development. 8 In contrast, the political channel argues that the Common law historically stood on the side of private property owners against the State. Rather than becoming a tool of the State, the Common law has acted as a powerful counterbalance that has promoted private property rights. Thus, according to the political channel, the common law's comparative emphasis on private property rights relative to the State tends to support financial development to a greater degree than the civil law.5 2.3. The Adaptability Channel: Historical Background Not only did Justinian's codification break with the Roman law tradition by placing the emperor above the law; Justinian also broke with the Roman law tradition by attempting to eliminate jurisprudence. Roman law had evolved from a law for a small community of farmers to support the needs of an imperial city through piecemeal case-made law over many centuries. (Dawson, 1968, 145-6). Justinian attempted to change this doctrine and "... asserted for himself a monopoly, not only over all law-making power, but over legal interpretation." (Dawson, 1968, 122) Nevertheless, this "Justinian deviation" did not take root; jurisprudence continued to shape the law. Thus, an essential attribute of Europe's legal tradition, including that in Germany and pre-Revolutionary France, is that it is dynamic, unfinished, and changing [Dawson, 1960; 1968]. In pre-Revolutionary France, judge-made law was an important source of law (Dawson, 1968, 296-311). Clearly courts must have weighed and debated the appropriate application of conflicting Roman law, customary law, and case law as new circumstances and cases emerged. Yet, from the 146 century onward, judicial deliberations occurred in comparative secrecy [Dawson, 1968, 286- 302]. Historically and still today, French courts give remarkably cryptic explanations of their decisions when compared to German or British courts. 5Rajan and Zingales (2002) and Pagan and Volpin (2001) stress that contemnporaneous political factors influence financial markets. The law and finance theory's political channel is related, though distinct. It stresses that the civil law has promoted the development of institutions that further the power of the State, which hinders financial development. 9 iAs noted above, the French Revolution sought to make the law judge-free (Merryman, 1996). The theory underlying the French legal doctrine is that the legislature drafts laws without gaps, so judges do not make law by deciding cases. The theory is that the legislature does not draft conflicting laws, so judges do not make law by choosing among competing statutes. The theory is that the legislature provides clear laws, so judges do not make law by giving practical meaning to ambiguous laws. The theory is that judges play a mechanical role. Like Justinian, Napoleon sought a code that was so clear, complete, and coherent that there would be no need for judges to deliberate publicly about which laws, customs, and past experiences apply to new situations. While Revolutionaries sought to eliminate jurisprudence, Merryman (1985, 1996) argues that the French have found ways to circumvent many of the inefficient qualities of the Napoleonic doctrine over the last two centuries. Indeed, the lead draftsmen of the Code recognized that the legislature could not draft complete, fully consistent, and comprehensive codes. Practitioners recognized that the legislature could not revise the Code sufficiently rapidly to handle efficiently the myriad of changing problems that arise in a dynamic nation. Consequently, in contrast to doctrine, the French courts eventually built an entire body of tort law on the basis of Article 1382 of the Code Napoleon that states that one whose act injures another must compensate that person (Merryman, 1985, 53). In contrast to doctrine, French courts have recently used case law to recast the law of unjust enrichment, alter the law on obligations, re-work the law of contract regarding gifts, and change the system of administrative law (Dawson, 1968, 400-415). Thus, Merryman (1996) argues that the Napoleonic doctrine is a deviation from two thousand years of legal tradition built on jurisprudence and judicial discretion. 10 According to Merryman (1996), however, the exportation of the Napoleonic doctrine has crippled the judicial systems of many French colonies and reduced the probability that they would develop efficiently adaptive legal systems. There are four inter-related reasons for this conclusion. First, the French, unlike the English, rigidly imposed the Code Civil in its colonies even though there were - and remain -- serious conflicts between the Code and local laws (ZK, 1998, 109-13; henceforth ZK).6 Tensions between local law and the transferred doctrine may impede the efficient development and application of the law.7 Second, when the French instilled the Code, they brought the theory of the Napoleonic doctrine with its antagonism toward judges, jurisprudence, and judicial discretion. They did not also bring the practical knowledge of how to circumvent some of the negative attributes of the Code and reinstall an efficient role for judges (Merryman, 1996, 116). Third, given the Napoleonic doctrine, judges "... are at the bottom of the scale of prestige among the legal professions in France and in many nations that adopted the French Revolutionary reforms, and the best people in those nations accordingly seek other legal careers" (Merryman, 1996, 116). Consequently, it is more difficult to develop efficiently responsive legal systems if the courts do not attract the best minds. Fourth, France has a long history of avoiding open disputes about legal interpretation (Dawson, 1968). Moreover, Napoleonic doctrine formally inhibits open disputations by judges on how they weigh competing statutes, ambiguous laws, and past court decisions in deciding new cases. The exportation of this characteristic to French colonies, i.e., the absence of a legal culture of openly discussing the application of the law to evolving conditions, hindered the development of efficient legal systems around the world according 6England did not try to replace Islamic, Hindu, or unwritten African law and the flexibility ofthe Common law eased its transfer. For instance, the English courts in India were instructed to apply Islamic or Hindu law depending on the faith of the parties in cases of inheritance, marriage, caste, etc. In Africa, judges were to apply the English law only to the extent that local circumstances permitted and matters were to be decided by equity and good conscience as rendered necessary by local circumstances (ZK, 1998, 225-9). While somewhat chaotic, this arguably set the stage for the evolution of an independent, dynamic cormmon law in the post-colonial era. to Merryman (1985, 1996). In sum, many argue that French colonies inherited a restrictive legal doctrine under particular conditions that enhance the probability that their legal system will be less flexible than Common and German civil law countries. The comparative law literature notes that German legal history is very different from France's. Unlike in France, from the 16th century, German courts published comprehensive deliberations that illustrated how courts weighed conflicting statutes, resolved ambiguities, and tackled new situations (Dawson, 1968). Law faculties at universities worked directly with courts to decide cases and then worked to rationalize reality with the logic of the Justinian texts. Through active debate and interchange between scholars and practitioners, Germany developed a dynamic, common fund of legal ideas that formed the basis for codification in the 1 9th century. In contrast to the revolutionary zeal and antagonism toward judges that shaped the Napoleonic Code, Germany explicitly rejected the static approach adopted by the French. Unlike the French Code, the German Code "was not intended to abolish prior law and substitute a new legal system. On the contrary, the idea was to codify those principles of German law that would emerge from careful historical study of the German legal system." (Merryman, 31) The German civil code embraced the need for jurisprudence in creating a responsive, flexible legal system. The English common law tradition is almost synonymous with judges having broad interpretation powers and with courts molding and creating law as circumstances change. The common law is obsessed with facts and deciding concrete cases, rather than adhering to the logical principles of codified law. Thus, the popular dictum: "The life of the law has not been logic: it has been experience." (ZK, 1998, 181). Unlike the Napoleonic doctrine, judges continually - and as a matter of general practice -- shape the law through their decisions. 7 For an insightful analysis of the transfer of the law internationally and its effect on economic development, see Berkowitz, Pistor, and Richard (2002) 12 2.4. The Adaptability Channel The adaptability channel is built on two basic premises. First, to the extent that a legal system adapts slowly, large gaps will appear between financial needs and the legal system's ability to support those needs. Second, the major legal traditions differ in terms of their ability to adapt to changing financial circumstances. According to the adaptability channel, legal systems that embrace case law and judicial discretion tend to be more responsive to changing economic conditions than legal systems that rely more strictly on judgments based purely on statutory law (Posner, 1973). Inefficient laws are challenged in the courts and "... through the process of litigation and re-litigation inefficient rules will be replaced by efficient rules" (Pistor et al., 60, 2000; See Rubin, 1977; Priest, 1977). In contrast, legal systems that reject jurisprudence necessarily rely more on statutory law changes to modernize and adapt the law. A large legal literature, however, argues that statutory law is slow and costly to change, so that the absence of jurisprudence tends to hinder the efficiency with which laws adapt to changing conditions (Bailey and Rubin, 1994).8 The adaptability channel predicts that French legal origin countries, albeit not necessarily France itself, have a lower probability of having an efficiently flexible legal system than German civil law and especially Common law countries. The first and main argument focuses on jurisprudence and not adhering too rigidly to statutory law. The adaptability channel holds that the Common law is inherently dynamic as it responds case- by-case to the changing needs of society. This limits the opportunities for large gaps to grow between the demands of society and the law. In contrast, the Napoleonic doctrine's distrust of judges 8 It is not necessarily the case that the case law responds more effectively than statutory changes. For instance, as exemplified by the law on contracts for the benefit of third parties, English law has clung with remarkable tenacity to the principle that 'only a person who is a party to a contract can sue on it'." (ZK. 1998, 468) In contrast, the Continental countries granted greater rights to third parties through statutory changes. 13 and jurisprudence has hindered the flexibility of the legal system in many French law countries, with adverse implications on financial development. Furthermore, many legal scholars argue that the German law falls close to the Common law in terms of adaptability since it rejected the Napoleonic doctrine and instead maintained its historical roots in jurisprudence and judicial discretion. As noted, Merryman (1985) argues that France did not adhere to its legal doctrine and instead re-instilled jurisprudence. French colonies were not so lucky, however. When the French rigidly imposed the Code, they imposed the Napoleonic doctrine and did not necessarily include a blueprint of how it actually should work. According to this view, French civil law countries have a lower probability of enjoying an efficiently flexible legal system than Common or German civil law countries. Two other characteristics of French law may also work to inhibit the efficient responsiveness of the law to changing financial conditions, especially in former French colonies. First, Dawson (1968) emphasizes that extensive deliberations about interpreting the law have been key characteristics of German legal history and an inherent part of the Common law, but France has historically exhibited a dislike of open judicial disputations. Furthermore, the Napoleonic doctrine that was exported intemationally prohibits these disputations. According to the adaptability channel, legal cultures that discourage open deliberations about the applicability and interpretation of the law will hinder the development of efficiently dynamic legal systems. Second, Merryman (1996, 116) argues that the most powerful consequence of the Napoleonic doctrine "... may have been to demean judges and the judicial functions." According to the Napoleonic doctrine, judges served a mainly clerical function. Thus, in France and French law countries, recruiting practices, salaries, and prestige frequently reflect this perspective (Merryrnan, 1996, 113). According to Merryman (1985, 1996), the Napoleonic doctrine became self-fulfilling: the best minds chose other professions, which hindered efficient legal flexibility: As a consequence, 14 the legislature will have a tendency to write "bright line laws" to limit the role of the courts. "Once this pattern of lawmaking has been established, however, it is hard to change" (Pistor et al., 2000, 62). Courts will not be challenged to develop legal procedures and methods to deal with emerging conditions. Thus, according to some scholars, these characteristics of the French law have worked to retard the development of efficiently adaptive legal systems that support financial development. 2.5 An Aside on France vs. Germany Though not central to our analysis, some scholars emphasize the greater adaptability of the German relative to French law beyond former French colonies.9 Consider for instance the assignment of contracts. Roman law started from the position that personal rights could not be transferred. Over the centuries, customary law in (what is now) Germany evolved to support a wide range of financial assignments as transferability of financial claims became an important part of commercial arrangements. Ultimately, the courts held that assignment was complete once the assignor and assignee agreed. In both Germany and the United Kingdom, the principle of assignment was developed by court decisions before it was codified into the German BGB (1900) and the UK's Judicature Act (1873). In French law, however, the assignment is only treated as complete if the original debtor is notified, which has potentially negative implications for asset transferability. While the French legislature has revised certain statutes to circumvent the obsolete rules contained in the Code, the more flexible structure of the German and Common law allowed business to more efficiently assign debts (ZK, 135; 442-455, 1998). A similar pattern of jurisprudence is found in the law on contracts for the benefit of third parties, e.g., insurance contracts, annuity arrangements, etc. (ZK, 456-469). Interestingly, the German courts used the law regarding third parties to fill gaps in tort law during the twentieth century; which further illustrates the flexibility of German courts. 15 Similarly, it was the German courts, not the legislature that took the lead in affording protection against unfair conditions of business during the 20th century. As noted by ZK (1998, 336), "What we have here is judge-made law of the purest kind." While typical in Common law courts and Germany, some argue that this type of judge-made law would be considered more aberrant in a French system (Merryman, 1985; ZK; Dawson, 1968). 2.6. Differences between the Political and Adaptability Channels The political and the adaptability channels make conflicting predictions. First, they provide conflicting predictions regarding French versus German civil law countries. The political channel holds that the Civil law tradition - both French and German - tends to centralize and intensify state power and therefore takes a more wary stance toward the development of free financial systems than the Common law. In contrast, the adaptability channel stresses that Common law and German civil law countries have notably more adaptable legal traditions than French civil law countries.10 Second and more importantly for our purposes, the two channels make different predictions concerning the mechanism through which legal systems influence the development of financial markets. The political channel contends that State control of the judiciary produces a system that focuses more on the power of the State and less on the private contracting rights of individual investors than a legal system characterized by an independent judiciary. Thus, the political channel stresses that cross-country differences in the independence of the judiciary are critical for explaining cross-country differences in financial development. In contrast, the adaptability channel stresses that cross-country differences in the flexibility of the law are critical for explaining cross-country differences in financial development. We empirically assess these hypotheses below. 9 Zweigert and Kotz (1998, 158) argue that the unlike in France, the German civil code grants greater discretion to judges, "... the courts in Germany have relied above all on the general clauses of Art. 138, 157, 242, and 826." 16 3. Data We use cross-country analyses to assess the empirical validity of the political and adaptability channels. We examine a sample of up to 115 countries with French Civil, German Civil, Scandinavian Civil and British Common Law origins. Due to data limitations on the political and adaptability indicators, however, the sample is reduced to 54 countries in some of the regressions. Our data include origin countries, which raises the question of endogeneity. Berkowitz et al. (2002) stress the difference between legal origin countries - U.K, U.S., France, Germany, Austria, Switzerland and the five Scandinavian countries - which formed legal traditions, and the transplant countries, which received the legal traditions. This is less of an issue in our analysis since the legal origin variables are primarily used as instrumental variables and we use specification tests to assess the validity of the instruments. Nevertheless, we have confirmed all of the results in the paper using a smaller sample of countries that eliminates the eleven countries listed above. To assess the political and adaptability channels empirically, we need indicators of financial development, legal origin, State power over the judiciary, and the adaptability of a legal system. We describe these variables in turn. Table I presents descriptive statistics and correlations. 3.1. Financial Development To measure financial development, we use indicators of financial intermediary development, stock market development, and the protection of property rights. We use the same indicators as in Beck, Demirguc-Kunt, and Levine (2002). 1 One could argue that (i) adaptability is crucial, (ii) Common law countries tend be more flexible than Civil law countries, and (iii) reject the view that German civil law systems tend to adapt more efficiently than French civil law systems. We assess this empirically below. 17 Private Credit equals financial intermediary credits to the private sector divided by gross domestic product (GDP) and is measured over the 1990-95 period. Private Credit excludes credit to the public sector and cross claims of one group of intermediaries on another. It thus measures the amount of savings that is channeled through debt-issuing financial intermediaries to private borrowers. Levine, Loayza, and Beck (2000) show a strong connection between Private Credit and economic growth. The summary statistics in Table I shows a wide variation in Private Credit, ranging from over 140% of GDP in the United States, the Netherlands, Japan and Switzerland to less than 5% in Sudan, Ghana, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Uganda, Angola, and Congo (Zaire). Stock Market Development equals the total value of outstanding equity shares as a fraction of GDP and is averaged over the 1990-95 period. This measures the overall size of the equity market relative to the size of the economy. While Malaysia has a market capitalization of 189% of GDP, there are 42 countries in our sample with no measurable stock market activity. Property Rights is an index of the degree to which the government protects private property and enforces laws that protect private property. The data are for 1997 and were obtained from LLSV (1999) and the Index of Economic Freedom. While Private Credit and Stock Market Development are direct measures of the size of financial intermediaries and equity markets, Property Rights measures a key input into the efficient operation of financial contracts and the development of formal financial institutions: the degree of protection of private property rights. The maximum value of Property Rights is five, while one indicates the weakest property rights protection. Twenty-five countries have the highest degree of property right protection, while three countries have little or no protection at all (Property Rights equals one). 18 The correlation matrix in Table 1, Panel B shows that all three measures of financial * development are highly correlated with each other. The lowest correlation coefficient is 0.52 and the correlations are significant at the 1 per cent level. 3.2. Legal Origin Through occupation, colonization and imitation, the British, French and German legal origin spread around the world. Napoleon made it a priority to secure the adoption of the Code in all conquered territories, including Italy, Poland, the Low Countries, and the Habsburg Empire. Also, France extended her legal influence to parts of the Near East, Northern and Sub-Saharan Africa, Indochina, Oceania, French Guyana, and the French Caribbean islands during the colonial era. Furthermore, the French Civil Code was a major influence on the Portuguese and Spanish legal systems, which helped spread the French legal tradition to Central and South America. The British exported the Common law through its colonies. The Austrian and Swiss civil codes were developed at the same time as the German civil code and the three influenced each other heavily. The German Civil Code was not imposed but exerted a big influence on China (and hence Taiwan), Czechoslovakia, Greece, Hungary, Japan, Korea, and Yugoslavia. We use data from LLSV (1998, 1999) that identifies legal origin of each country's Company/Commercial Law. Thus, the British Legal Origin dummy variable equals one if the country adopted its Company/Commercial law from the British Common Law and zero otherwise. A similar rule is followed for the other legal origin dummies. Our sample comprises 43 countries with British Common Law, 61 countries with French Civil Law, six countries with German Civil Law and five Scandinavian Civil Law countries. The correlation analysis indicates that countries with French Civil Law have significantly lower levels of Private Credit, Stock Market Development and Property 19 Rights than countries with German, Scandinavian, or British legal origins. German legal origin countries have higher levels of financial development. 3.3. Indicators of the Political Channel Our two indicators of the relative power of the judiciary vis-a-vis the executive and legislature are from La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Pop-Eleches, and Shleifer (2002). Tenure of Supreme Court Judges ranges from zero to two, increasing in the tenure of the Supreme Court judges. In a legal system that grants tenure to Supreme Court judges, this increases the independence of the judiciary relative to the State. According to the political channel, (a) Civil law countries are less likely to grant tenure to judges than Common law countries and (b) larger values of Tenure of Supreme Court Judges will be positively associated with financial development. The correlations are not fully consistent with the political channel's predictions (Table 1). While countries with a British common law tradition are more likely to grant Supreme Court judges longer tenure than French civil law countries, there is not a significant correlation between German legal origin and the Tenure of Supreme Court judges. Furthermore, Tenure of Supreme Court Judges is not significantly correlated with the financial development indicators. Supreme Court Power combines the tenure of Supreme Court Judges with a dummy variable indicating whether the Supreme Court has power over administrative cases, i.e. cases involving the government. To the extent that the Supreme Court has control over administrative cases, this represents greater judicial power relative to the State. The ability of Supreme Court Judges to review administrative cases, however, might not be effective if they do not have life-long tenure and are therefore not sufficiently independent from the executive and legislature. We therefore create a dummy variable that takes the value one if Supreme Court Judges have both life-long tenure and power over administrative cases, and zero otherwise. The political channel predicts that Supreme 20 Court judges who have life-long tenure and power over administrative cases are more independent from the State, with positive repercussions for financial and institutional development. The correlations indicate that British legal origin countries have the highest levels of judicial independence while French civil law countries have the lowest levels of Supreme Court Power. There is not a significant relationship between German legal heritage and Supreme Courts Power. Supreme Court Power is not significantly correlated with the financial development indicators. 3.4. Indicators ofAdaptabiity Channel We use two variables indicating the extent to which judicial decisions are based (i) on previous court decisions and (ii) on principles of equity rather than on statutory law. Case Law (La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Pop-Eleches, and Shleifer, 2002) is a dummy variable that indicates whether judicial decisions are a source of law. The adaptability channel predicts that (a) Common law and German civil law countries are more likely to admit judicial decisions as a source of law than French civil law countries and (b) countries in which judicial decision are a source of law will adapt more easily to changing economic and financial circumstances and therefore have higher levels of financial development. Unsurprisingly, British common law countries have high levels of Case Law, while French civil law countries tend not to include judicial decisions as a source of law. Legal Justification (Djankov, La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes and Shleifer, 2002) indicates whether judgments have to be based on statutory law rather than on principles of equity. Legal Justification takes on values of 0, 0.33, 0.67, and 1, where higher values signifies the legal system imposes greater requirements that judgments be based on statutory law. Consistent with the adaptability channel, many British Common law legal systems (e.g., Australia, Canada, Ghana, New Zealand, Malaysia, United Kingdom, and United States) have comparatively low Legal Justification 21 requirements (e.g., values of 0 or 0.33), where practically all French civil law countries have Legal Justification requirements of either 0.67 or 1. The adaptability channel predicts that higher values of Legal Justification will be associated with lower levels of financial development. The Table 1, Panel B correlations are broadly, though certainly not overwhelmingly, consistent with the adaptability channel. Greater adaptability is measured by higher values of Case Law, and lower values of Legal Justification. First, British legal origin countries have the most adaptable legal systems and French legal origin countries have the least adaptable legal systems. There is not a significant correlation between the German legal origin dummy and either of the adaptability indicators. Second, the adaptability indicators are generally significantly correlated with financial development. That is, greater adaptability is positively associated with financial development. Third, as suggested in the Introduction, the adaptability indicators are significantly correlated with the political power indicators. 3.5. Other Possible Determinants of Financial Development To assess the robustness of our results, we include several other potential determinants of financial development in our empirical analysis. Latitude equals the absolute value of the latitude of the country to control for geographic endowments. We take the data from LLSV (1999). In previous work (Beck, Demirguc-Kunt, and Levine, 2002) we have shown that Latitude helps explain financial development.12 Independence equals the fraction of years since 1776 that the country has been " Djankov, La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes and Shleifer (2002) use survey data from law firms in 109 countries to indicators of the functioning of the legal system when courts confront cases involving the eviction of tenants for non-payments of rent and the collection of bounced check. 12 According to the endowment theory (Engerman and Sokoloff, 1997; Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson, 2001), the geographical endowments encountered by Europeans determined their colonization strategies. According to Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson (2001), in areas with more favorable disease environments, Europeans founded settler colonies, whereas in others they established extractive colonies. Settler colonies developed long-lasting institutions that protect private property rights and are thus conducive to the development of financial markets. Extractive colonies instead developed long-lasting institutions that allow the few elite to exploit their positions, with adverse implications for private property rights (Easterly and Levine, 2002). Since countries that are closer to the equator tend to have unfavorable disease endowments, we use latitude as an exogenous proxy of geographical endowments. In our previous work we also 22 independent. We include this since a longer period of independence may provide greater opportunities for countries to develop institutions, policies, and regulations that are conducive to open and competitive financial markets. 4. Cross-Country Regressions This section presents the results from cross-country regressions to assess (1) the importance of legal origin in explaining cross-country variance in financial development, (2) the ability of legal origin to explain cross-country differences in the political and adaptability indicators, and (3) the ability of the exogenous component of the political and the adaptability channels to account for cross- country differences in financial development. 4.1. Legal Origin and Finance The results in Table 2 show that distinguishing countries by legal origin helps explain cross- country differences in financial intermediary development, stock market development, and the degree of private property rights protection. This finding was first documented by LLSV (1998) and recently confirmed with additional robustness checks (Beck, Demirguc-Kunt, and Levine, 2002). Even after controlling for geographic endowments and the length of national independence, the legal origin dummies enterjointly significantly in all regressions at the 1%-level. Also, note that Latitude and Independence both enter significantly and positively in most of the regressions. The results also indicate that French legal origin countries, on average, have substantially lower levels of financial development than German civil law and British common law countries. The used settler mortality, the log of death per thousand soldiers as an indicator of the initial disease environment. However, this indicator is only available for former colonies. Beck, Demirguc-Kunt, and Levine (2002), however, show that using latitude as indicator of initial endowments leads to similar conclusions. 23 superscript "F" on the British legal origin dummy variable indicates that the British legal origin dummy is significantly different from the French legal origin dummy. Similarly, the "B" on the French legal origin dummy, indicates that the French dummy is significantly different from the British Common law dummy, and so forth. As shown, the British legal origin dummy is always significantly larger than the French dummy and the German dummy is significantly greater than the French dummy in all regressions except one. In half of the regressions, the German and British legal dummies are not statistically different from each other, while the German legal dummy is significantly greater in the other three regressions. This occurs particularly when using the financial development indicator most closely associated with bank development, Private Credit. These findings are broadly consistent with the adaptability channel. Recall, the political channel focuses on the difference between the Common law and the Civil law. Thus, the political channel does not predict that German civil law countries will have higher levels of financial development than French civil law countries. The adaptability channel focuses on the distinctly static nature of the French civil law, relative to both the British common and German civil law traditions. Thus, the adaptability channel is consistent with the finding the French civil law countries have notably lower levels of financial development than the other legal families. These results, however, do not reject the political channel since legal origin may operate through both channels. 4.2. Legal Origin and the Political and the Adaptability Channels Table 3 assesses whether legal origin explains cross-country differences in the indicators that we use to define the political and adaptability channels. Thus, we regress the proxies for the political and adaptability channels on the legal origin dummy variables. There are four regressions: two political channel indicators and two adaptability indicators. We report the F-tests of whether the legal origin dummy variables significantly explain cross-country variation in the political and 24 adaptability indicators. We also report cross coefficient tests, as in Table 2, of whether the coefficients on the legal dummies are significantly different from each other. Legal origin helps explain cross-country variation in the political and adaptability indicators. The F-test of the joint significance of the origin dummies indicates that legal origin enters all of the regressions significantly at the 0.01 level. Consistent with the law and finance theory, the Table 3 results indicate that British common law countries have significantly greater judicial independence (i.e., less State control over the judiciary) and significantly more adaptable legal systems than French legal origin countries. Specifically, the tenure of Supreme Court judges and their ability to control administrative cases are all, on average, greater in British common law countries. Similarly, the use of case law and the ability to use equity rather than statutory law in making judgments are, on average, greater in British common law countries. The Table 3 results are broadly consistent with both the political and adaptability channels. Consistent with the political channel, the civil law countries have significantly less tenure for Supreme Court judges and significantly less judicial control over administrative cases than Coimmon law countries (see the political indicator regressions in Table 3 Panel A), i.e., consistent with the political channel civil law countries tend to foster the power of the State vis-a-vis the judiciary. Further, there are no significant differences between French and German Civil law countries. Consistent with the adaptability channel, the main difference is between French civil law and British common law countries, not between civil and common law per se. The coefficient on the German legal origin dummy always lies between the French and British coefficients and is significantly different from the French value in the case of Case Law. These results broadly confirm 25 the predictions of the adaptability channel that French civil law countries are less adaptable than both Common and German Civil Law countries. 4.3 The Political Channel and Financial Development Table 4 assesses the questions (a) does the exogenous component of the political indicators explain financial development and (b) does legal origin explain financial development through some other mechanisms besides the political channel. To make this assessment, we use two-stage least squares regressions with heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors of the following form: ISt Stage: Political Channel Indicator = o[3 Legal Origin Dummies] + yX + v 2nd Stage: Financial Development = a[Political Channel Indicator] + 3X + u X is a set of exogenous variables that are included in some of the second stage regressions. The error terms in the first and second stage regressions are v and u, respectively. The three Legal Origin Dummies are the instrunental variables. Thus, the coefficient on the Political Channel Indicator, a, provides information on whether State power over the judiciary influences financial development after controlling for potential endogeneity, thus providing the answer to our first question. The test of the overidentifying restrictions (OIR) addresses the second question: Does legal origin explain financial development through some other mechanisms besides the political channel? The null hypothesis of the OIR test is that the legal origin dummies are not correlated with u.13 Thus, rejection of the OIR test is a rejection of the view that the legal origin only explains financial development through the political channel. For the case where the regressions include, X, i.e., the second-stage includes Latitude and Independence, the OIR test becomes a general specification test of the validity 13 This produces a Lagrange multiplier test statistic that under the null hypothesis is distributed Chi-squared (m), where m is the number of overidentifying restrictions. The number of overidentifying restrictions equals the number of excluded exogenous variables minus the number of endogenous variables included as regressors in the second stage regression. 26 of the instruments. We include X to assess the robustness of the findings by controlling for other potential exogenous deterninants of financial development. The results in Table 4 provide no support for the political channel. The indicators of the political channel do not enter any of the regressions significantly. Also, the OIR-tests are rejected in all regressions, suggesting that legal origin explains financial development through some mechanism besides the political channel. While some may view these results as representing an indictment of the political channel indicators, the legal origin dummies help explain cross-country differences in the political channel indicators in a manner that is consistent with theory (Table 3), but the exogenous component of the political channel does not explain finance. 4.4 The Adaptability Channel and Financial Development Table 5 assesses the questions (a) does the exogenous component of the adaptability indicators explain financial development and (b) does legal origin explain financial development beyond the adaptability indicators. To make this assessment, we use the same two-stage least squares methodology described above. The results in Table 5 provide qualified support for the adaptability channel. First, the adaptability indicators enter significantly and with the correct sign in 10 of the 12 regressions when using a 0.05 significance level and in 11 when using a 0.06 significance level. Second, the OIR-test is not rejected for any of the Stock Market Development regressions. This suggests that the legal origin dummies do not explain financial market development beyond their ability to explain cross- country variation in the legal adaptability indicators. Third, the results on Property Rights are mixed. When controlling for Latitude and Independence, i.e., when controlling for other exogenous determinants of financial development, the OIR test is not rejected at the 0.05 level. This again suggests that legal origin does not explain property rights beyond the adaptability indicators: 27 However, the OIR test is rejected in the property rights regressions when we do not control for Latitude and Independence. For the Private Credit regressions, the OIR test is always rejected, suggesting that legal origin explains Private Credit beyond the adaptability indicator. Since we believe (i) equity market development reflects securities market development more generally and (b) securities market development requires more support from the legal system than bank development, we view these regressions as largely - though not without qualifications - consistent with the adaptability channel. 4.5 The Political and Adaptability Channels and Finiancial Development We now examine the political and adaptability channels simultaneously using an extended version of the instrumental variable procedure described above. Specifically, we estimate the following regression. 1" Stage: Political Indicator = o [3 legal Origin Dummies] + y1X + v, l" Stage: Adaptability Indicator = 2[3 legal Origin Dummies] + y2X + v2 2nd Stage: Financial Development = a, [Political Indicator] + at2[Adaptability Indicator] + iX + u Thus, we assess whether the exogenous components of the Political Indicator and the Adaptability Indicator explain financial development. Since there are two endogenous variables (Political Indicator and Adaptability Indicator) and three instruments (the three legal origin dummy variables), there is only one degree of freedom in the OIR test, i.e., the test of whether the instruments explain financial development beyond their ability to explain the endogenous variables. To check the robustness of the results discussed below, we experimented with including other instrumental variables and various X-variables. Specifically, in the case when there are no included exogenous variables (X is empty), we tried (a) using Latitude and Independence as instrumental variables and (b) using Latitude and Independence as instrumental variables and also including three 28 variables measuring each country's religious composition as instrumental variables (i.e., the percentage of the population that is Catholic, Muslim, or a non-Protestant religiori, so that Protestant is the omitted category). We get even stronger results than those reported below. Furthermore, we also included these additional instrumental variables in the second stage, i.e., we included them as X- variables rather than as pure instruments. Again, we get even stronger results than those reported below. Table 6 is organized in the following manner. There are four combinations of Political and Adaptability indicators for each financial development indicator. Thus, Table 6 reports the results of 12 regressions. It also reports the test of the over-identifying restrictions (OIR test), and the F-test from the first-stage regressions. Table 6 is divided into three panels that report the Private Credit, Stock Market Development, and Property Rights regressions respectively. The Table 6 regressions suggest that (1) legal origin explains financial development through the political and adaptability channels, and not through some third mechanism and (2) the evidence is more consistent with the adaptability channel than the political channel. In none of the 12 regressions is the OIR test rejected at the 10 percent level. Thus, we do not reject the null hypothesis that legal origin only explains financial development through the political and adaptability channels. There is no support for the political channel, though this must be qualified. In none of the 12 regressions does the political indicator enter significantly and with the sign predicted by the political channel. Theory suggests that the political indicators should enter positively. For instance, greater Tenure for Supreme Court Judges creates greater judicial independence and greater support for private property vis-a-vis the State and greater support for the private contractual arrangements underlying financial development. The political indicators sometimes enter negatively and significantly. This may occur if the predicted components of the political and adaptability channels 29 are highly correlated. While we obtain the same results when adding many additional instrumental variables as specified above, we interpret the Table 6 results cautiously. Note these results do not imply that the political channel is in general unimportant. Djankov, La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer (2002) show that regulatory restrictions on commercial entry are greater in French legal origin countries, which is consistent with the political channel. Rather, this paper's results are narrowly focused on assessing whether legal origin explains stock market development, property rights, and financial intermediary development primarily through the political or adaptability channels. There is qualified support for the adaptability channel. The adaptability indicators always enter with the correct sign. Moreover, they enter significantly (at the 0.05 significance level) in 10 of the 12 regressions. For example, Case Law is positively related with Private Credit, Stock Market Development, and Property Right when controlling for either of the political channel indicators. We not only find a statistically significant relation between the exogenous component of legal adaptability and financial development, but also a large economic effect. Take the example of Case Law. According to the regressions in Table 6, countries in which judicial decisions are a source of law, have on average 130 percentage points higher levels of Private Credit and 52 percentage points higher levels of stock market development. Further, property rights protection is rated at least 2.6 points higher - on a five-point scale - in countries with case law.'4 This is more than three standard deviations for Private Credit, more than two standard deviations for Property Rights and more than one standard deviation for Stock Market Development. 14 These numbers are based on the smallest coefficient estimates for each financial development indicator. 30 5. Conclusions While past work shows that legal origin helps explain financial development, this paper examnines the mechanisms via which legal origin operates. The law and finance theory emphasizes two channels. The political channel postulates that legal traditions differ in terms of the priority they give to private property rights relative to the rights of the State. Since private property rights form the basis of financial development, historically determined differences in legal origin explain financial development today. The political channel holds that Civil law systems tend to promote the development of institutions that advance State power with negative implications for financial development. The adaptability channel stresses that some legal traditions differ in terms of their responsiveness to changing socioeconomic conditions. Since inflexible legal traditions produce gaps between legal capabilities and commercial needs, historically determined differences in legal tradition explain financial development today. The adaptability channel holds that French legal origin countries are more likely to develop inefficiently rigid legal systems than British Common law and German civil law countries with adverse repercussions for financial development. While subject to qualifications, the results provide relatively more evidence for the adaptability channel than for the political channel. First, the exogenous components of the indicators of legal system adaptability frequently explain cross-country differences in financial intermediary development, stock market development, and private property rights protection even when controlling for the politica] channel. These regression results are robust to including additional instrumental variables and controlling for other possible deterninants of financial development. Further, the regressions generally pass the test of the over-identifying restrictions, which supports the validity of the instrumental variables and our tentative conclusion that legal origin influences financial development primarily through the adaptability channel. Second, the exogenous component 31 of the political channel does not explain cross-country variation in financial development. Third, German civil law and British common law countries have significantly better-developed financial intermediaries and markets and better property right protection than French civil law countries, which is fully consistent with the adaptability channel. Our results have to be interpreted with caution. The political and adaptability channel measures proxy only imperfectly for the two mechanisms stressed by legal scholars. Thus, some may question whether we have empirically distinguished between the two mechanisms. 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Journal of Economic Perspectives 14, 217-32. Weber, M., 1958. The Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism. Charles Scribner's Sons, New York, NY. Wurgler, J., 2000. Financial markets and the allocation of capital. Journal of Financial Economics 58, 187-214. Zweigert, K., K6tz, H., 1998. Introduction to Comparative Law. Oxford University Press, New York, NY. 36 Table 1 Summary Statistics and Correlations Summary statistics are presented in Panel A and correlations are prescnted in Panel B, respectively. Private Credit is the value of credits by financial intermediaries to the private sector as share of GDP. Stock Market Development measures the value of shares listed on the stock exchange as share of GDP. Property Rights reflects the degree to which govemment enforces laws that protect private property, with higher numbers indicating better enforcement Legal origin is a dummy variable that takes on the value one for countries with French civil law tradition, British common law, or German law tradition, and zero otherwise. Tenure of Supreme Court Judges indicates the length of tenure of Supreme Court judges. Supreme Court Power is a dummy variable that takes on the valuc one if Supreme Court Judges have life-long tenure and jurisdiction over administrative cases. Case Law is a dummy variable that takes on the value one if judges base their decision on case law. Legal Justification indicates whether judgments have to be based on statutory law rather than on principles of equity. Independence is the percentage of years since 1776 that a coumtry has been independcnt. Detailed variable definitions and sources are given in the data appendix. Panel A: Summary Statistics N Mean Std. Dcv. Min Max Private Credit 115 0.43 0.41 0.00 2.07 Stock Market Development 115 0.22 0.37 0 1.89 Property Rights 114 3.43 1.08 1 5 FrenchLegalOrigin 115 0.53 0.50 0 1 BritishL egalOrigin 115 0.37 0.49 0 I Gernnan Legal Origin 115 0.05 0.22 0 1 Tenure of Supreme Court Judges 61 1.79 0.49 0 2 Supreme Court Power 61 0.62 0.49 0 1 Case Law 61 0.64 0.48 0 1 Legal Justification 80 0.64 0.32 0 1 Latitude 115 0.25 0.18 0 0.72 Independence 115 0.39 0.38 0 1 37 Panel B: Correlation Matrix of Variables Tenure of Supreme Private Stock Market Property French Legal British egal German Legal Supreme Court Credit DevelopmentRights Origin Origin Origin Court Judges Power Case Law Stock Market Development 0.664*** Property Rights 0.632** 0.522** French Legal Origin -0.362*** "0.296*** .0.405**' British Legal Origin 0.041 0.198' 0.143 4.821** German Legal Origin 0.549*** 0.207* 0.344*** -0.249*** .0.181* Tenure of Supreme Court Judges -0.038 0.098 0.212 -0.245* 0.308* -0.196 Supreme Court Power -0.108 0.173 0.127 40.317* 0.471** 40.311 0.567** Case Law 0.190 0.273** 0.314** 40.652"** 0.472*** 0.133 0.244* 0.495** Legal Justification 40.261** 40.425** 40.303** 0.560*" 40.569*" 0.076 40.229* -0.402*" -0.470"* *, *", *** Indicate significance levels of 10, 5, and I percent respectively. 38 Table 2 Law and Finance The regression estimated is: Financial Sector Development = a + 01 French legal origin + f6 British legal origin + P3 German legal origin + PX, where Financial Sector Development is either Private Credit, Stock Market Development, or Property Rights. Private Credit is the value of credits by financial intermediaries to the private sector as sharc of GDP. Stock Market Development measures the value of shares listed on the stock exchange as share of GDP. Property rights reflects the degree to which govemment enforces laws that protect private property, with higher numbers indicating better enforcement. French, British and German legal origin are dummy variables that take on the value one for countries with French, British and German law tradition, respectively. The Scandinavian legal origin is captured by the constant. The regressions also include a vector of control variables, X. Latitude is the absolute value of the latitude of a country, scaled between zero and one. Independence is the percentage of years since 1776 that a country has been independent. Regressions are estimated using Ordinary Least Squares. The subscripts B, G, F signify that the respective coefficient is significantly different from the British, German and French Legal origin coefficient, respectively. P-values are given in parentheses. Detailed variable definitions and sources are given in the data appendix. Obs F-test for legal origin French legal origin British leal origin Genna legal origin Latitude Independence R 2 Private Credit 13.900 -0.506Bu -0.344"'A 0.595B 0.383 115 (0.000) (0.002) (0.044) (0.021) 7.760 -0.093BO 0.106F'- 0.721B-F 0.834 0.171 0.529 115 (0.000) (0.630) (0.568) (0.011) (0.000) (0.077) Stock Market 5.960 -0.152"o 0.044F 0.273 F 0.107 115 Development (0.001) (0.027) (0.654) (0.058) 5.450 0.039k 0.287F 0.262 0.349 0.220 0.192 115 (0.002) (0.764) (0.015) (0.112) (0.155) (0.003) Property Rights 115.160 -1.783G -'1.172F ' 0.200'F 0.274 114 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.274) 13.280 -0.424 ' 0.320F 0.615F 2.7642 0.574 0.508 114 (0.000) (0.216) (0.321) (0.076) (0.000) (0.021) 39 Table 3 Law, Politics, and Legal Adaptability The regression estimated in Panel A is: Political Structure = , French legal origin + ,0 British legal origin + P3 German legal origin, where Political Structure is Tenure of Supreme Court Judges or Supreme Court Power. French, British and German legal origin are dummy variables that take on the value one for countries with French civil law tradition, British common law tradition, and German law, respectively and zero otherwise. Tenure of Supreme Court Judges indicates the length of tenure of Supreme Couit judges. Supreme Court Power is a dummy variable that takes value one if Supreme Court Judges have life-long tenure and jurisdiction over administrative cases. The regression estimated in Panel B is: Legal Adaptability = PI French legal origin + P2 British legal origin + 03 German lcgal origin, where Legal Adaptability is either Case Law or Legal Justification. Case Law is a dummy variable that takes on the value one if judges base their decision on case law. Legal Justification indicates whether judgmnents have to be based on statutory law rather than on principles of equity. All regressions are estimated using Ordinary Least Squares. The subscripts B, G, F signify that the respective coefficient is significantly different from the British, German and French Legal origin coefficient, respectively. P- values are given in parentheses. Panel A: Political Structure F-test for legal origin French legal origin British legal origin Germalegal origin R5 Obs Tenure of Supreme 137.100 L667B 2000F, l.50B 0.846 61 Court Judges (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Supreme Court 12.510 -0.333B 0I50F.G -0.6339 0.299 61 Power (0-000) (0.114) (0.437) (0.012) Panel B: Legal Adaptability F-test for legal origin French legal origin British legal origin German legal origin R2 Obs Case Law 20.770 4.690. 40}48 -0.1677 0.432 61 (0.000) (0.000) (0.144) (0.294) Legal Justification 15.060 0.296k -0.117 G 0.189a 0.375 80 (0-000) (0.068) (0.479) (0.306) 40 Table 4 The Political Channel The regressions estimated are: Financial Sector Development = a + P Political Structure and Financial Sector Development = a + , Political Structure+ 02 Latitude+ 03 Independence, where Financial Sector Development is Private Credit, Stock Market Development, or Property Rights. Private Credit is the value of credits by financial intermediaries to the private sector as share of GDP. Stock Market Development measures the value of shares listed on the stock exchange as share of GDP. Property rights reflects the degree to which govemment enforces laws that protect private property, with higher numbers indicating better enforcement. Political Structure is Tenure of Supreme Court Judges or Supreme Court Power. Tenure of Supreme Court Judges indicates the length of tenure of Supreme Court judges. Supreme Court Power is a dummy variable that takes on value one if Supreme Court Judges have life-long tenure and jurisdiction over administrative cases. Latitude is the absolute value of the latitude of a country, scaled between zero and one. Independence is the percentage of years since 1776 that a country has been independent. All regressions are estimated using Instrumental Variables - two stage lcast squares. In the first-stage regressions the political structure indicators are regressed on the British, French, and German legal origin dumnies. P-values are given in parentheses. Panel A: Private Credit OIR test Tenure of Supreme Court Judges Supreme Court Power Latitude Independence Obs Private 24.083 -0.258 61 Credit (0.000) (0.515) 21.024 -0.108 0.959 0.299 61 (0.000) (0.791) (0.007) (0.071) 23.655 -0.292 61 (0.000) (0.305) 21.125 0.052 0.897 0.358 61 (0.000) (0.876) (0.000) (0.085) Panel B: Stock Market Development OIR test Tenure of Supreme Court Judges Supreme Court Power Latitude Independence Obs Stock Market 7.298 0.349 61 Development (0.026) (0.291) 6.861 0.450 -0.164 0.142 61 (0.032) (0.2 18) (0.654) (0.288) 8.385 0.231 61 (0.015) (0.311) 7.078 0.444 0.022 0.262 61 (0.029) (0.134) (0.937) (0.114) Panel C: Property Rights OIR test Tenure of Supreme Court Judges Supreme Court Power Latitude Independence Obs Property 20.930 0.609 61 Rights (0.000) (0.442) 12.934 0.830 2.107 0.876 61 (0.002) (0.303) (0.000) (0.006) 20.951 0.136 61 (0.000) (0.802) 12.797 0.975 2.785 0.885 61 (0.002) (0.160) (0.000) (0.098) 41 Table 5 The Adaptability Channel The regressions estimated are: Financial Sector Development = a + P Legal Adaptability and Financial Sector Development = a + 3, Legal Adaptability+ P2 Latitude+ 03 Independence, where Financial Sector Development is Private Credit, Stock Market Development, or Property Rights. Private Credit is the value of credits by fmancial intermediaries to the private sector as share of GDP. Stock Market Development measures the value of shares listed on the stock exchange as share of GDP. Property rights reflects the degree to which govermnent enforces laws that protect private property, with higher numbers indicating better enforcemnent. Legal Adaptability is Case Law or Legal Justification. Case Law is a dummy variable that takes on the value one if judges base their decision on case law. Legal Justification indicates whether judgments have to be based on statutory law rather than on principles of equity. Latitude is the absolute value of the latitude of a country, scaled betwocn zero and one. Independcnc is the percentage of years since 1776 that a country has been independent. All regressions are estimated using Instrumental Variables - two stage least squares. In the first-stage regressions the political structure or legal adaptability indicators are regressed on the British, French, and German legal origin dummies. P- values are given in parentheses. Panel A: Private Credit OIR test Case Law Legal Justification Latitude Independence Obs Private 15.482 0.534 61 Credit (0.000) (0.006) 7.814 0.621 0.654 0.581 61 (0.020) (0.005) (0.018) (0.002) 29.680 -0.238 80 (0.000) (0.268) 20.084 -0.718 0.755 0.443 80 (0.000) (0.001) (0.000) (0.002) Panel B: Stock Market Development OIR test Case Law Legal Justification Latitude Independence Obs Stock Market 2.328 0.426 61 Development (0.312) (0.009) 2.617 0.483 -0.071 0.223 61 (0.270) (0.010) (0.808) (0.043) 3.905 -0.494 80 (0.142) (0.031) 2.067 -0.864 -0.014 0.350 80 (0.356) (0.001) (0.948) (0.002) Panel C: Property Rights OIR test Case Law Legal Justification Latitude Independence Obs Property 7.818 1.410 61 Rights (0.020) (0.002) 2.066 1.270 2.400 0.814 61 (0.356) (0.003) (0.000) (0.018) 20.034 -0.942 80 (0.000) (0.056) 5.115 -1.904 2.107 0.876 80 (0.078) (0.001) (0.000) (0.006) 42 Table 6 Finance, Politics, and Legal Adaptability: The Horse Race The regression estimated is: Financial Sectr Development = a + O, Political Structure + 2 Legal Adaptability where Financial Sector Development is Private Credit, Stock Market Development, or Property Rights. Private Credit is the value of credits by financial intermediaries to the private sector as share of GDP. Stock Market Development measures the value of shares listed on the stock exchange as shar of GDP. Property rights reflects the degree to which governnmnt enforces laws that protect private property, with higher numbers indicating better enforcement. Political Structure is Tenure of Supreme Court Judges or Supreme Court Power. Tenure of Supreme Court Judges indicates the length of tenure of Supreme Court judges. Supreme Court Power isa dummy variable that takes value one if Supreme Court Judges have life-long tenure and jurisdiction over administrative cases. Legal Adaptability is Case Law or Legal Justification. Case Law is a dummy variable that takes on the value one if judges base their decision on case law. Legal Justificadion indicates whether judgments have to be based on statutory law rather than on principles of equity. All regressions are estimated using Instrumental Variables - two stage least squares. In the first-stage regressions the political structure and legal adaptability indicators are regressed on the British, French, and German legal origin dummies. (F-test results for the first stage regressions are presented, as well). P-values are in parentheses. Panel A: Private Credit Adaptability Indieators Political Power lndicators Flrsi-stageF-tests Tenure of Legal Supreme Supreme Court Political Case Law Justification Court Judges Power OIR test Adaptability Power Obs 1.472 -1.993 0.117 13.090 3.390 59 (0.045) (0.088) (0.732) (0.000) (0.024) 1.347 -1.292 0.000 8.920 59 (0.002) (0.007) (0.998) (0.000) -1.691 -2.464 0.833 14.800 3.130 54 (0.101) (0.071) (0.361) (0.000) (0-034) -2.138 -1.909 0.317 7.250 54 (0.027) (0.004) (0.573) (0.000) Panel B: Stock Market Development Adaptabilty Indicators PoltIcal Power Indicators Flrst-stageF-tests Tenure of Legal Supreme Supreme Court Political Case Law Justification Court Judges Power OIR test Adaptability Power Obs 0.589 -0.374 1.007 13.090 3.390 59 (0.046) (0.421) (0.316) (0.000) (0.024) 0.525 -0.179 1.597 8.920 59 (0.032) (0.502) (0.206) (0.000) -0.953 -0.788 0.158 14.800 3.130 54 (0.033) (0.176) (0.691) (0.000) (0.034) -1.002 -0.514 0.627 7.250 54 (0.026) (0.166) (0.429) (0.000) 43 Panel C: Property Rights AdaptabWty lndkaton Political Power Indicators First-stageF-tests Tenure of Legal Supreme Supreme Court Political Case Law Justification Court Judges Power OIR test Adaptabilty Power Obs 2.759 -2.683 0.776 13.090 3.390 59 (0.027) (0.173) (0.378) (0.000) (0.024) 2.678 -1.878 0.675 8.920 59 (0.002) (0.041) (0.411) (0.000) -2.578 -3.087 2.527 14.800 3.130 54 (0.106) (0.142) (0.112) (0.000) (0.034) -3.407 -2.667 1.798 7.250 54 (0.037) (0.050) (0.180) (0.000) Policy Research Working Paper Series Contact Title Author Date for paper WPS2881 Returns to Investment in Education: George Psacharopoulos September 2002 N. 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