Document of The World Bank Report No. 15163-CHA STAFF APPRAISAL REPORT CHINA GANSU HEEX CORRIDOR PROJECT -Ap, i 1 -S3., 199 G Rural and Social Development Operations Division China and Mongolia Department East Asia and Pacific Region CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (as of December 1995) Currency Unit = Yuan (Y) Y 1.00 = $0.119 1.00 8.40 FISCAL YEAR January 1 - December 31 WEIGHTS AND MEASURES 1 meter (m) = 3.26 feet I kilometer(km) = 0.62 miles I hectare (ha) = 15 mu 1 ton (t) = 1,000 kg = 2,204 pounds ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS CESLG = County Emigration/Settlement Leading Group cms = cubic meter per second CSO = County Settlement Office EAP = Environmental Action Plan EIA = Environmental Impact Assessment EIRR = Economic internal rate of return GBWR = Gansu Bureau of Water Resources GPIO = Gansu World Bank Projects Implementation Office GWBPIC = Gansu World Bank Projects implementation Commission IBRD = International Bank for Reconstruction and Development ICB = International Competitive Bidding IDA = International Development Association LGCC = Local Government Consultative Committee Mm3 = million cubic meters MED = Monitoring & Evaluation Division (PMB) NCB = National Competitive Bidding NRCR = National Research Center for Resettlement OED = Operations Evaluation Department (Bank Group) PILG = Project Implementation Leading Group PMB = Shule River Project Management Bureau SACC = Settlement Advisory & Coordination Committee SOE = Statement of Expenditures SRWCMO = Shule River Water Conservancy Management Office SSSD = Settlement & Social Services Division (PMB) "Three North" = North, Northwest and Northeast China 8-7 Plan = China's National Seven-Year Plan for Poverty Reduction (1994-2000) CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT LOAN/CREDIT AND PROJECT SUMMARY Borrower: People's Republic of China Beneficiaries: Gansu Province Poverty: Program of Targeted Interventions Amount: Loan: $60 million Credit: SDR 61.8 million ($90 million equivalent) Terms: Loan: 20 years, including 5 years of grace, at the Bank's standard interest rate for LIBOR-based US dollar single currency loans. Credit: IDA standard terms with 35 years' maturity. Commitment Fees: Loan: 0.75 percent on undisbursed loan balances, beginning 60 days after signing, less any waiver. Credit: 0.50 percent on undisbursed credit balances, beginning 60 days after signing, less any waiver. Financing Plan: See SAR para. 3.53. Net Present Value: Y 774 million Project ID Number: CN-PE-3594 CONTENTS 1. BACKGROUND ..............................................1 A. Introduction ..............................................1 B. Sectoral Objectives and Bank Lending ..............................................1 C. Irrigated Agriculture in China ..............................................2 D. Irrigated Agriculture and Poverty in Gansu Province .........................................2 E. Rationale for Bank Group Involvement ..............................................3 F. Lessons Learned ..............................................4 2. THE PROJECT AREA ...............................................6 A. Location ...............................................6 B. Climate, Topography and Soils ...............................................6 C. Water Resources ...............................................7 D. Population, Labor, Farm Size and Land Use ............................................... 8 E. Rural Incomes and Poverty ...............................................8 F. Present Development and Constraints ..............................................8 G. Institutional Support ...............................................11 H. Infrastructure .............................................. 12 This report is based on the findings of preparation, preappraisal and appraisal missions during the period of September 1994 to October 1995. The Bank/IDA staff, foreign and local consultants who prepared the report on various missions were: Messrs./Mss. Lang S. Tay (Senior Irrigation Engineer/Task Manager, EA2RS), W.P. Ting (Senior Agriculturist, EA2RS), W. Ochs (Drainage Adviser, AGRNR), Rob Crooks (Environment Specialist, ASTEN), Zou Youlan (Resettlement Officer, EA2CH), Qun Li (Project Analyst, Consultant, EA2RS), N. Fujimoto (Irrigation. Engineer, Consultant, EA2RS), Robert Weller (Consultant Anthropologist, United States), B. Mitchelhill (Consultant Livestock Specialist, Australia), A. Bartholamai (Consultant Agroprocessing Engineer, United States), Zhang Weizhen (Drainage/Groundwater Consultant, China), Sun Siheng (Consultant Forestry Planning Engineer, China), Cai Wenmei (Consultant Sociologist, China), J. Thomsen (Consultant Forestry Planner, Denmark), A. Salam (Consultant Dam Design Engineer, Canada), Francis Li (Consultant Hydraulic Engineer, Canada), M. Bureprea (Consultant Geologist, Canada), YukLam Ko (Consultant Hydrologist, Canada), C. Saint-Pierre (Consultant Agronomist, France), E. Liang (Consultant Economist, EA2RS), Zhang Chaohua (Consultant Project Analyst, China), and Raz Yihar (Consultant Field Crop Specialist, Israel). Peer reviewers were: W. Price (ASTEN), W. Ochs (AGRNR), B. Trembath (EA2IN), Schaengold (ASTHR), C. Ameur (MNIAG), and C. deHaan (AGRTN). The Task Manager is Lang S. Tay, the Division Chief is Joseph Goldberg, and the Department Director is Nicholas C. Hope. - ii - 3. THE P JECT ...........................................................................................................13 A. Objectives ........................................ 13 B. Project Description ........................................ 13 C. Principal Features ........................................ 13 D. Voluntary Emigration and Land Settlement ........................................ 26 E. Institutional Support and Strengthening ........................................ 29 F. Status of Project Designs ........................................ 30 G. Implementation Schedule ........................................ 30 H. Women in Development ........................................ 31 I. Environmental Assessment ........................................ 32 J. Land Acquisition and Involuntary Resettlement ........................................ 33 K. Cost Estimates ........................................ 34 L. Financing ........................................ 35 M. Procurement ........................................ 36 N. Disbursement ......................................... 38 0. Accounts and Audits ........................................ 40 4. ORGANIZATION AND MANAGEMENT .............................................. 41 A. Project Organization .............................................. 41 B. Financial Management .............................................. 43 C. Execution and Supervision of Project Works .............................................. 43 D. Project Launch Workshop .............................................. 44 E. Emigration and Land Settlement Management .............................................. 44 F. Operation and Maintenance of Project Works .............................................. 44 G. Management of Production Activities .............................................. 45 H. Monitoring, Evaluation and Reporting .............................................. 46 5. PRODUCTION, MARKETS AND PRICES .............................................. 48 A. Production .............................................. 48 B. Markets .............................................. 48 C. Prices .............................................. 49 6. BE&iEFITS, JUSTIFICATION AND RISKS .............................................. 50 A. Benefits ...................... 50 B. Employment and Incomes ...................... 50 C. Cost Recovery and Repayment ...................... 52 D. Financial and Economic Analyses ........................................ 52 E. Risks ........................................ 54 7. AGREEMENTS REACHED AND RECOMMENDATION ................................... 60 - 111 - ANNEXES A. Statistics Table 1-Climatic Data Table 2-Soil Types and Classification Table 3-Project Area Statistics Table 4-Present Land Use Table 5-Crop Production 1993 Table 6-Crop Yields 1989-1993 Table 7-Comparison of Demographic and Socioeconomic Situations between Gansu Province and the Eleven Emigrating Counties Table 8-Characteristics of Production Systems B. Cost Estimates Table 1-Project Cost (a) Expenditure Account Project Cost Summary (b) Project Components by Years-Investment (c) Expenditure Account by Project Components (d) Expenditure Account by Years Table 2-Procurement of Major Works by ICB and NCB Table 3-Procurement of Goods Table 4-Retroactive Financing of Works Table 5-Estimated Disbursement Schedule and Profile Table 6-Training and Study Tours Table 7-Consultant Services and Research Table 8-Composition and Cost Estimate for Agrimachinery and Equipment Table 9-Cost Estimates of Agricultural Support Services Component Table 1 0-Cost Estimates of Livestock Development Table 11-Project Financing Plan C. Economic Evaluation and Analysis D. Summary of Environmental Action Plan E. Summary of Involuntary Resettlement Action Plan F. Summary of Voluntary Emigration and Land Settlement Plan G. Irrigation System Monitoring, Control and Dispatch H. Performance Indicators and Impact Monitoring I. Other Technical Data and Information J. Selected Documents and Data Available in Project File - Iv- CHARTS 1. Project Implementation and Management Organization 2. Organization for Emigration and Land Settlement Management 3. Organization for Operation and Maintenance of Irrigation Works 4. Organization for Anxi County Agrotechnical Extension Center FIGURES 1. Implementation Schedule 2. Disbursement Schedule MAPS IBRD Map No. 27591 IBRD Map No. 27592 IBRD Map No. 27593 TABLES IN THE TEXT Table 2.1: Existing Irrigation Facilities .......................................................... 9 Table 3.1: Leaching Quotas .......................................................... 18 Table 3.2: Design Parameters of Drainage System in Changma Irrigation District ......... 19 Table 3.3: Exploitable Groundwater Resources .......................................................... 20 Table 3.4: Water Use, Supply and Demand at Full Development (P=50%) .................... 21 Table 3.5: Comparison of Incidence of Poverty .......................................................... 27 Table 3.6: Project Cost Summary .......................................................... 35 Table 3.7: Procurement Arrangements .......................................................... 36 Table 3.8: Disbursement Arrangements .......................................................... 39 Table 6.1: Financial and Economic Rates of Return and Sensitivity Analysis (8-Year Scenario) ........... 55 Table 6.2: Financial and Economic Rates of Return and Sensitivity Analysis (1 1-Year Scenario) ........... 56 - 1 - 1. BACKGROUND A. INTRODUCTION 1.1 Investigations of the Shule River Basin in Hexi Corridor for irrigated agriculture development and land settlement were carried out by Gansu in the early 1950s, followed by decades of project planning, ad hoc and increasingly better planned implementation, and review. The Gansu Provincial Study conducted by the Bank Group in 19851 concluded that irrigation development in Hexi Corridor would be a logical means of alleviating poverty and significantly reducing provincial food deficits. Since then, various Bank Group missions, while supervising the ongoing Gansu Provincial Development Project (Agriculture Component) Ln. 2812/Cr. 1793-CHA of FY87, had discussed the project and guided Gansu in project preparation for ultimate Bank Group financing. The proposed project in Shule River Basin has been identified to have high developmental potentials and has long been supported by the Bank Group. However, due to Gansu's counterpart funding constraint, the proposed project was only finally accepted by the central government for Bank Group financing in the FY96 lending program as the earlier poverty-oriented project approached completion. The project was prepared in September 1994, preappraised in May 1995, and appraised in September 1995. B. SECTORAL OBJECTIVES AND BANK LENDING 1.2 China's agriculture feeds a population of about 1.2 billion. Land resources are scarce (about 0.1 hectares-ha-per capita). Water resources, although abundant in the south, are scarce in the north and northwest, limiting expansion and development of agriculture. Agricultural reform, begun in 1978, has helped to reduce the incidence of rural poverty by about 170 million people, from 270 million to about 100 million people by 1985. However, since 1985 there has been only a small decline in the incidence of absolute poverty. The earlier gains in rural incomes have come mainly from areas endowed with favorable natural resources, whereas the mountainous regions of southwest and northwest China remain poor due to harsh natural elements and relative overpopulation. China's poverty reduction strategy is now focused on raising incomes and living standards of people in these poor regions through investment in agriculture and land development, rural works and enterprises, provision of basic social services, and facilitation of emigration to better favored areas. See World Bank Country Study entitled "China-Growth and Development in Gansu Province," World Bank, Washington DC, 1988. - 2 - 1.3 Bank Group lending for agricultural projects with direct poverty alleviation interventions include: Northern Irrigation (Cr. 1885-CHA), Gansu Provincial Development Project (Ln. 2812/Cr. 1793-CHA), Loess Plateau Project (Cr. 2616-CHA), Southwest Poverty Reduction Project (Ln. 3906/Cr. 2744-CHA) and Shanxi Poverty Alleviation Project (FY96). Other agricultural projects that include poverty reduction subprojects in numerous extremely poor counties are: Shandong Agricultural Development Project (Cr. 2017-CHA), Shaanxi Agricultural Development Project (Cr. 1997-CHA), Henan Agricultural Development Project (Cr. 2242-CHA), Tarim Basin Project, Xinjiang (Cr. 2294-CHA), Guangdong (Cr. 2307-CHA) and Sichuan (Cr. 2411- CHA) Agricultural Development Project. These projects have made a real and sustainable contribution to poverty reduction, with the Northem Irrigation Project doing so in part by assisted emigration of poor upland peasants to newly irrigated areas (para. 1.9) C. IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE IN CHINA 1.4 China achieved rapid expansion of irrigated farmland from the early 1950s to the mid-1980s. Through expansion in irrigation, the effective irrigated area increased from about 20 million ha in 1952 to 33 million ha in 1965, 45 million ha in 1976 and 48.5 million ha in 1984. However, after 1985 the area declined and stagnated at about 45 million ha due to a net loss of cultivated land to nonagricultural use (including some land which should never have been developed, now reverted to grassland) and reduced investment in water resources development by both central and local governments. The productivity of irrigated land is about twice that of rainfed land as irrigation allows both higher cropping intensities and higher yields. Irrigated agriculture accounts for about two thirds of total grain production and three quarters of commercial crop production. 1.5 Despite past successes, China continues to face problems in the irrigated agriculture sector. Continued depletion of water resources, coupled with degradation of water quality by industrial pollution and chronic uneven regional distribution of water resources, continues to constrain irrigated agriculture development and expansion. Many of the large schemes constructed in the 1950s and 1960s in haste are aging fast and need rehabilitation. Operation and maintenance in many areas are still inadequate due to the insufficient resources allocated. The government's short-term strategy is to selectively improve and rehabilitate some of the more urgent and priority areas that would provide quick returns with minimum investment, while the long-term plan calls for interbasin transfer of water to resolve regional water shortages. There is still potential for increasing production from existing irrigated farmland through better water management and higher irrigation efficiency. New irrigated agriculture development would be limited and confined to smaller river basins with adequate water resources. D. IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE AND POVERTY IN GANSU PROVINCE 1.6 Gansu, located in the northwest arid region, is a resource poor province with a population of 22.6 million, 84 percent of which is rural. Agricultural production is - 3 - largely affected by harsh natural elements (topography, climate, land and water) and a weak production infrastructure. The province is deficit in food grain production. Over the last two decades the province had to import grain to feed its increasing population, especially those in the upland areas of central and southeast Gansu where the harsh climate and marginal land and water resources cannot sustain an increasing population. Of the 3.5 million ha of cultivated land, only about 1.07 million ha are irrigated. It is planned to increase the total irrigated land to about 1.25 million ha by 2000 and 1.33 million ha by 2010. 1.7 The province has 41 officially identified absolute poor counties with about 4.26 million people living below the absolute poverty line and depending on government relief for food, clothing and fuel. Although some progress has been achieved under the poverty reduction programs of the "Two Xi"2 Commission since 1983, much more needs to be done. The province has formulated a seven-year plan to reduce the incidence of poverty for about 4 million people. The 1,000 kilometer (km) long Hexi Corridor in the northwest region of the province (the route of the ancient Silk Road), with its favorable climate and better resources, offers a long-term solution to reducing the province's deficit in food grain and alleviating poverty. E. RATIONALE FOR BANK GROUP INVOLVEMENT 1.8 The project would directly address two of the Bank Group's main operational priorities in China-poverty alleviation, and environrnental enhancement and protection. The project is also consistent with the current Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) and the Progress Report of March 26, which supports in-situ income-generation programs in lagging provinces, upgrading of marginal agricultural lands, major water storage, and irrigation and drainage development. This is in line with the strategy jointly developed by the government and the Bank for reducing absolute poverty in the 1990s.3 It complements the government's Ninth Five-Year Plan and addresses two of the key challenges facing rural development in China: relative stagnation of income growth in rural area, and large-scale water shortages in the north and west. Bank Group participation in the project will play a key role in developing a prototype large-scale settlement project integrated with irrigated agriculture in the Hexi Corridor of western Gansu Province where large tracts of land exist for potential future development, for example, the Corridor's Hei River Basin has potential of similar settlement development for poverty reduction for 80,000 to 100,000 people. The project would also serve as a development model for rational use of limited land and water resources in small self- contained river basins in the water scarce regions of Northwest China. In addition, Bank 2 The two Xis refer to Dingxi Prefecture and Hexi Corridor. 3 Close collaboration was established resulting from the 1992 sector study "China: Strategies for Reducing Poverty in the 1990s" and the "International Conference on Poverty Issues in China" held in Beijing, November 1992. - 4 - Group involvement would provide access to the Bank Group's (and international consultants') experience and technologies in development of irrigated agriculture for arid regions, settlement planning and management, and environmental protection and management. F. LESSONS LEARNED 1.9 The Bank Group has assisted China in financing various agricultural projects aimed at raising incomes and living standards in the rural areas. These projects have been or are generally being implemented efficiently with benefits and performance exceeding appraisal estimates. In Northwest China, the Yinan component of the Northern Irrigation Project (Cr. 1885-CHA), in neighboring Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, and the agricultural component of the Gansu Provincial Development Project (Ln. 2812/Cr. 1793-CHA) have direct poverty reduction programs to settle a total of 135,000 people from resource-poor areas to newly developed irrigated land. Settlement of 55,000 people in the Yinan component has been successfully completed and that for the Yindaruqin component (Gansu) with 80,000 people has just begun due to belated completion of the irrigation facilities, involving construction of major civil works over mountainous terrain (90 km of Feeder Channel comprising 39 tunnels, pipe siphons, aqueducts and lined canals). The relative success of these Bank-financed agricultural projects can be attributed to a high degree of commitment by local governments at all levels, effective project planning, design and management, and active participation by local communities and project beneficiaries. 1.10 A recent Bank mission4 to assess the results and impacts of poverty-reduction- through-voluntary-resettlement programns in Ningxia implemented under the Bank- financed Yinnan Component of the Northern Irrigation Project (Cr. 1885-CHA) found the results to be very positive in reducing absolute poverty and providing greater level of incomes after resettlement on newly irrigated land. The investment has been cost- effective with quick realization of benefits. The mission also found that the large number of Hui minority people resettled have not only maintained their cultural and religious integrity, but further rebuilt and strengthened them with their increased incomes, which they could not afford in their former villages. Key issues identified by the mission include: (a) newly irrigated land to be provided to each settler should be allocated to achieve either high incomes or a greater number of beneficiaries; and (b) programs should not exceed the carrying capacity of the existing available resources. Gansu's project staff planning the settlement component have visited and studied the successful voluntary resettlement programs completed for 55,000 people under this Bank-financed project in Ningxia. 4 The Bank mission comprising Alan Piazza (EA2RS), Zou Youlan (EA2CH) and Lin Zongcheng (Consultant Anthropologist) visited Ningxia November 5-10, 1995. - 5 - 1.11 Gansu's own experience in poverty alleviation through land settlement were both negative and positive. The failures5 of earlier settlement in Hexi Corridor implemented in the late 1950s and 1960s were attributed to the involuntary nature of settlement, inadequate planning, lack of supporting services and infrastructure, and settlers not able to adapt to the new environments. The more successful poverty reduction programs were those carried out by the Two Xi Commission since 1983 with better planning and resources. Some 337,000 people have been settled since 1983, the majority of them in the Hexi Corridor. Local community leaders and project planners are still mindful of the initial settlement failures in Hexi and the inherent risks involved without adequate planning and provision of essential support services. Experience and lessons learned under the Two Xi Commission poverty reduction programs carried out over the last decade have been reflected in the planning and design of the voluntary settlement model for the proposed project. 1.12 From Bankwide experience, the OED's review (No. 72, September 1994) of five completed transmigration projects in Indonesia provides useful guidelines for the planning and design of the Hexi Corridor settlement component. Though socioeconomic conditions, project designs and programs are somewhat different, some of the findings and lessons identified by OED are relevant. These include: (a) security of guaranteed incomes for settlers is more important than levels of income, (b) proper and thorough field investigations should be undertaken prior to settlement, (c) greater settler participation in project development and more opportunities for income-generation activities for women are required, (d) a strong and stable institution is needed with a clear settlement strategy and plan to ensure successful implementation, (e) there must be a gradual buildup of local capacity, supported by adequate resources, to absorb the large transmigrating society, and (f) more attention should be paid to protection of the environment. The above relevant OED findings and lessons have been reviewed with Gansu project planners whose voluntary emigration and settlement plan has already taken most the above findings and lessons into consideration. 5 During the Great Leap Forward period (1958-59), a large number of settlers from densely populated agricultural areas of Southeast China were settled in the Hexi Corridor as a means of reducing population in southeast China and increasing labor availability in Hexi Corridor. However, many of the settlers left and returned to their home areas by the early-1960s. A similar failure occurred in the late 1960s when a number of youths from Tianjin were sent to the Hexi Corridor; they were only permitted to return to Tianjin in the early 1980s. - 6 - 2. THE PROJECT AREA A. LOCATION 2.1 The proposed project area, located in the Shule River Basin in the farthest western corner of the Hexi Corridor in Gansu Province, is administered by Anxi County and Yumen City of Jiuquan Prefecture. It is bordered on the west by Hami District of Xinjiang Autonomous Region, on the north by Inner Mongolia and on the south by the Qilian Mountains in Qinghai Province. IBRD Map No. 27591 shows the general location of the project area. B. CLIMATE, TOPOGRAPHY AND SOILS 2.2 The project area has an inland arid continental climate with short hot summers and long cold winters. Annual total rainfall ranges from 50 to 70 millimeters (mm) against annual total evaporation of 3,000-3,200 mm. The frost-free period ranges from 117 to 182 days, averaging about 140 days. This restricts agriculture to only one main crop per year. However, long sunshine hours (2,960-3,260 hours annually) and abundance of solar energy are very conducive for vegetative growth during the planting season. More detailed climatic data are given in Annex A, Table 1. 2.3 The total proposed Shule River watershed area is about 4,130 square kilometers (kmtn) with about 1,330 km2 located above the proposed Changma Dam site. The middle reach (1,200 knm) and the lower reach (1,600 km2) contain three existing partially developed irrigation districts with ground elevation ranging from El. 1,100 to 1,600 m. The proposed project area is generally flat, consisting of alluvial, deluvial and alluvial fan plains with higher relief sloping from south to north. Ten south-north gullies of 4-10 m deep intersect the plains. Fringing the project area are the Gobi Desert and permanent and semipermanent sand dunes. Strong wind, sand storms and scorching heat waves are common occurrences, especially in Anxi County located in the west of the project area. 2.4 Primary soil materials are of alluvium and silt with secondary materials of aeolian and red clay of the Tertiary Period. The various soils are classified in Annex A Table 2. Soil nutrients are low in nitrogen, deficient in phosphorous and relatively low in organic content. Appropriate soil improvement and dressing would be required for optimum crop production. - 7 - C. WATER RESOURCES Surface Water 2.5 There are two major rivers in the project area: Shule and Chejin Rivers. The average long-term runoff of Shule River, measured at Changma Station, is about 1,031 million cubic meters (Mm3) and that of Chejin River, measured at Shiyou Gorge Station, is about 51 Mm3. Yearly and seasonal distributions are not even, with about 53 percent of annual quantity occurring during July-September, about 8.5 and 10 percent during winter and spring for the Shule River. The total annual runoff varies from 536 Mm3 for dry years (1956-57) to 1,507 Mm3 for abundant water years (1972-73). The long-term (1952-89) average flow per second is 32.8 cubic meters per second (cms), with a maximum annual average of 47.8 cms and minimum of 17.0 cms. Presently, the main Shule River is not fully regulated and only about 42 percent of its annual runoff is diverted for agricultural and domestic use. Chejin River has been fully used with its flow in the upper reaches, the Shiyou River, extracted for industrial and urban uses. Only a limited quantity in the lower Chejin River flows into the existing Chejinxia Reservoir used for irrigation. 2.6 Water quality of Shule and Shiyou Rivers has been monitored by four sampling stations on each river. Their results are presented in Annex D Table 5. For the Shule River, despite a relatively high concentration of zinc, the water quality is generally suitable for irrigation purposes. The water quality deteriorates somewhat after entering and leaving the Shuangta Reservoir with a higher concentration of mercury and mineralization, but still conforming to the irrigation water quality standard.6 The Shiyou River, upper stretch of Chejin River, is presently polluted by 36 points of industrial and urban effluent discharges. Actions are in hand to control and abate this water pollution. Due to natural dilution while flowing downstream, the water quality improves somewhat before entering the Chejinxia Reservoir. With the proposed diversion of 61 Mm3 per year from the proposed Changma Trunk Canal to augment the water supply in Chejinxia Reservoir, the water quality would be further improved through dilution. Groundwater 2.7 Total groundwater resources are estimated at about 704 Mm3 per year, with 65 percent from river seepage, 21.5 percent from canal seepage, 11 percent from irrigation' infiltration, and the remaining from subterrain flow, storm and rainfall infiltration. Present extraction and use of groundwater is rather limited (40 Mm3) due to availability of cheaper surface water and the lack of electric energy. Mineralization of groundwater varies from 1 to 3 grams/liter and is generally suitable for crop irrigation. 6 China's Standard GB 3833-88 for Surface water for Irrigation-Grade 1I. - 8 - D. POPULATION, LABOR, FARM SIZE AND LAND USE 2.8 The 1993 total population in the project areas under Yumen City, Anxi County and local State Farms was estimated at about 124,320, with rural population of 105,890 (85 percent). This includes an immigrant population of 13,150 people. The population density at 7.1 persons/km2 is low compared to the provincial average of 49.3 persons/ km2. Total rural labor force is only about 53,100 and there is a general shortage of labor. Landholding per family is comparatively large with an average 0.31 ha cultivated land per capita (0.6 ha per capita in state farms). Farming is mechanized to a large extent in view of large farm size and labor shortage. The large tracts of potentially arable land are capable of absorbing additional immigrant population without affecting the economic holdings of the existing population. The basic statistics of the project area are given in Annex A Table 3. 2.9 The present land use of the middle and lower reaches of Shule River is low as shown in Annex A Table 4. Out of the total area of 1,932,400 ha, 146,800 ha (7.6 percent) is used for agriculture and forestry, 150,000 ha (7.8 percent) under pasture, 6,500 ha (0.3 percent) for residential and industrial use. Some 1,645,600 ha (85.3 percent) remain unused, of which 228,500 ha (11.8 percent) is barren arable land suitable for reclamation and agricultural development. E. RURAL INCOMES AND POVERTY 2.10 Per capita rural income of the project area (average Y 1,400) exceeds the provincial average (Y 430) and the 11 emigrating counties (Y 220-Y 320) in central and southeast Gansu. Higher per capita incomes are mainly due to better utilization of resources through irrigated agriculture and cultivation of larger landholdings. The 200,000 persons proposed for voluntary settlement under the project are now living in absolute poverty with per capita income less than Y 300 due to poor resources, degrading environment and increasing population. Voluntary emigration and settlement in Shule River Basin under the project would alleviate their absolute poverty within three to four years and thereafter rapidly enhance their economic well-being to the same level of the existing farmers in the project area. Annex A Table 7 compares the demographic and socioeconomic situations of Gansu Province, the project areas, and the 11 emigrating counties. F. PRESENT DEVELOPMENT AND CONSTRAINTS Irrigation and Drainage 2.11 Irrigation development in the Shule River Basin dates back to the early Qing Dynasty, some 350 years ago. Due to scanty population, large expanse of land and primitive irrigation facilities, only about 17,300 ha were irrigated prior to the 1950s. Through major reconstructions carried out during 1956, 1966 and 1984, the total area irrigated has now been expanded to about 43,300 ha under three irrigation command areas-Changma (25,500 ha), Shuangta (14,500 ha) and Huahai (3,600 ha). The irrigation facilities constructed to-date are tabulated in Table 2.1 below TABLE 2.1: EXISTING IRRIGATION FACILITIES Facilities Changma Shuangta Huahai (25,500 ha) (14,500 ha) (3,600 ha) Diversion Headwork/Intake (no) I - I Diversion Trunk Canal (no/kmn) 2 1 1/47 Storage Reservoir (MM3) - 240 (Shuangta) 41 (Chejinxia) Main & Submain Canals (no/km) 92 11 3/90 3/67 Branch & Subbranch Canals (no/kIn) 92/475 32t275 11/54 Lateral Canals (no/kn) 179/341 180/335 88/132 2.12 The existing Changma Intake diverts about 430 Mm3 annually or about 42 percent of the long-term average annual flow of Shule River. About 340 Mm3 is used for irrigation in the Changma Irrigation Area, 40 Mm3 is sent to augment the Shuangta Reservoir in the Shuangta Irrigation Area and 10 Mm3 for Chejinxia Reservoir in the Huahai Irrigation Area. About 40 Mm3 is used for domestic and industrial water supply. Other supplementary water sources used include 180 Mm3 from springs and 36 Mm3 from groundwater. 2.13 The main constraints confronting the present irrigation system are: (a) due to lack of upstream flow regulation of the Shule River, only about 42 percent of the annual average is being effectively used with the remaining running to waste, resulting in frequent water shortages during the irrigation peak demand periods; (b) the main canal systems are aging fast and in poor condition, resulting in low canal system efficiency of 43 percent to 49 percent; (c) lack of adequate on-farm facilities, leading to poor water control and management; (d) lack of drainage facilities for soil salinity control in some areas; (e) the West Main Canal in Changma Irrigation Area is a temporary earth channel without proper canal control structures and suffers from serious bank erosion and seepage losses, and poor water conveyance; (f) the East Main Canal is poorly aligned in its upper reaches and needs to be realigned for better water conveyance; (g) problems of frost damage to canal concrete-linings need to be resolved; and (h) the overall water management standard is low and needs to be improved. The proposed project would address the above deficiencies. Crop Production 2.14 Currently, the project area has 43,300 ha of irrigated land. During the 1993 season, 32,900 ha was planted with various crops with a total output value of Y 235 million, which represented about 49 percent of the total agricultural output value for 1993 (see Annex A Table 5). The production came from 13 townships and 4 state farms - 10- supporting a total population of 124,320 people (rural population of 105,890). Per capita cultivated land by farmers is 0.62 ha (1.00 ha by state farm worker). Cultivation is mechanized to a high degree: plowing 89-100 percent, sowing 77-100 percent and harvesting 37-75 percent. Due to the high solar radiation energy and where irrigation water supply is assured, the average unit yields7 achieved have been consistently well above the province's average yields for various crops (see Annex A Table 6). The present production systems are well managed and supported by a satisfactory basic agrotechnical extension and support services system at county and township levels (a similar system also exists in the State Farm hierarchy). The characteristics of production systems are summarized in Annex A Table 8. 2.15 Crop production models and experience already exist in the project area, including that of land settlement by immigrant settlers. This would undoubtedly facilitate reclamation and development of 54,600 ha of new land for irrigated agriculture and settlement. The main constraints currently confronting increased crop production are: (a) lack of irrigation facilities and water; (b) saline and salinized soils requiring amelioration; and (c) frequent sand storms and scorching heat waves. The proposed project would attempt to minimize the impacts of these physical constraints. Livestock 2.16 The project area is an important livestock production base in the Province. It has large tracts of natural grazing grounds and abundant supply of cultivated pastures and crop residues from the irrigated cropland. Current production is mainly by specialized households and small household production. The holding stock at the end of 1993 were: large animals 31,800 heads, sheep 127,700 heads, pigs 65,000 nos. and poultry 352,500 birds. Per capita production of meat, egg and milk in 1993 were: 40.6 kg, 10.3 kg and 1.75 kg. Except for milk (lower by 2.5 kg), the per capita production of meat and egg exceeded the province averages by 17.9 kg and 5.9 kg, respectively. However, due to increasing demands by tourism and major mining industries and urban centers in the Hexi Corridor, the present production can only meet 70 to 75 percent of the demands for meat, eggs and milk. It is projected that production would have to increase by 2.03-, 3.2- and 9.4-fold by the end of 1990s. The processing of feed and forage is generally of small scale and low quality. Efficiency of feeds could be improved through appropriate blending with fine feeds and concentrates. The Animal Husbandry Department maintains a satisfactory veterinary services and technical extension system at county and township level to support the production. 7 The average unit yields for wheat and corn reported for Anxi County and Yumen City for 1989-93 were higher than those of the state farms. This is due to more intensive cultural practices adopted by small family farms, higher inputs and better established on-farm windbreaks that provided oasis effects, which are more conducive for crop growth. Forestry 2.17 Gansu Province has forest cover of about 8 percent, which is below the national average of 12.3 percent. Historically, the Shule River Basin was covered with lush forest and pasture, but through years of wars and destruction by man, these endowments have long been destroyed. Since the 1950s, the State and provincial government have launched campaigns of afforestation, closing off desert for reforestation, controlling large tracts of desert and sandy soil areas against grazing for purpose of conserving vegetation. The project area has also benefited from the national "Three North" Shelter Belt Programs completed under two phases to control desertification in Northeast, North and Northwest China. Currently, the project area has 9,971 ha of protective forest, 2,645 ha of agroforestry and 2,153 ha of border windbreaks, providing a forest cover of 4.2 percent. Forestry development and production is generally low cost, labor intensive and of simple technology specially adapted for the project area. G. INSTITUTIONAL SUPPORT 2.18 Overall, the present agricultural production systems in the project area have satisfactory basic institutional support that, however, would need to be upgraded and expanded to cope with increased demand under the project. Present status of various sectors are summarized below: (a) Irrigation and Drainage Research. Research and experimentation topics investigated in the past by various provincial and national units in the project area included canal seepage, damage to canal linings by frost action and swelling of clayey soil, irrigation application rates, soil amelioration methods, and feasibility of subsurface pipe drainage. Results of some of the more successful experiments have been used and promoted. However, due to lack of resources, these studies have been scaled down considerably. Currently, the Shule River Water Conservancy Management Office (SRWCMO) still maintains a small experimental station near Yumen Township, doing experiments on irrigation techniques as to number of irrigation applications, timing, quantity, for different crops with the aim to economize use of irrigation water. The project would support and strengthen the research and experiment facilities with provision of equipment and staff training. (b) Agriculture. Support services for crop production are provided by the existing agrotechnical extension centers in Anxi County and Yumen City, which have laboratory facilities for soil analysis and other analytical work, agrimachinery service stations and seed companies. The Gansu Academy of Agricultural Sciences maintains a research station at the prefecture center of Jiuchuan and this station serves the needs of the project area. Under the leadership and guidance of county, prefecture and province, the townships and farms have been able to obtain quality seeds, extension of - 12 - new technology, pest control, and production techniques for high-yielding and high-value crops. (c) Animal Husbandry. The project area has 177 technical staff; 14 of which are professional and 53 senior and middle level staff. The veterinary and technical extension services system consists of two county centers and 19 township stations. Supporting production are two pasture stations, five quality stock breeding farms, two livestock products trading companies and two processing enterprises. Further institutional support is provided at Jiuchuan Prefecture and provincial levels for research, technical support and staff training. (d) Forestry. The Forestry Bureau maintains a total of 157 staff and workers in the project area, of which 45 are technical staff. Services are provided through the two county forestry technical extension, disease and pest control, and seedling centers. The Bureau also operates I forestry farm, 2 nurseries and 20 township forestry stations. Research is mainly undertaken by the national "Three North" Shelter Belt Program and the results disseminated to the project area for application. H. INFRASTRUCTURE 2.19 The project area is well served by the existing Lanzhou-Xinjiang Railway and the National Highway No. 312, supplemented by a comprehensive network of roads at prefecture, county, township and village levels. Domestic flights from Lanzhou land regularly at Jiayuguan and Dunhuang, both fringing the project area. With the completion of the multitrack Lanzhou-Xinjiang Railway and the provincial fiber-optic telecommunication system, transport and communication capacity for the project area will be further expanded, thereby facilitating industrial, rural enterprise and agricultural development. - 13 - 3. THE PROJECT A. OBJECTIVES 3.1 The main objectives of the project are to: (a) alleviate poverty of some 200,000 poor farmers from the resource poor areas of central and southeast Gansu Province by emigrating and settling on newly developed irrigated land in the Hexi Corridor; (b) increase agricultural production in Gansu Province, especially in food grains and commodity crops; and (c) protect and restore degraded environments. B. PROJECT DESCRIPTION 3.2 The principal project components are: (a) Changma Dam (55 m high) on Shule River to provide effective storage of about 100 Mm3 of water for irrigation and water supply; (b) Irrigation and Drainage-improve facilities for 43,300 ha existing and develop 54,600 ha new irrigated land in three irrigation districts; (c) Agriculture-crop production, support services, agrimachinery services and livestock production; (d) Land Settlement for 200,000 immigrant farmers from resource-poor areas on newly developed irrigated land in 16 new townships and 160 villages; (e) Environmental Protection and Management through afforestation, monitoring, soil and water conservation practices; and (f) Institutional Strengthening and Support through provision of staff training, technical assistance, equipment, vehicles and essential facilities. C. PRINCIPAL FEATURES Changma Dam 3.3 The proposed Changma Dam would be 55 m high with a crest length of 365 m and a zoned earthfill embankment with a central clay core. A side channel regulated spillway, with three gates (10 x 7.7 m), would have discharge capacity of 1,655 cms. An 8.0 m diameter concrete-lined 300 m long diversion tunnel on the left abutment to be built during the construction stage would be used later for silt flushing purposes. The water intake concrete-lined tunnel (5.5 m in diameter x 500 m long), located on the right abutment, would divert water for irrigation downstream after passing through a surface - 14- powerhouse with a total installed capacity of 14.25 MW (3 Francis turbines; 2 x 6.5 MW and 1 x 1.25 MW). Some 8,320 m of buildings and 53 km of access roads will also be constructed to facilitate operation and maintenance. 2 3.4 The Changma Dam would create a reservoir covering about 12 km of area with a total storage capacity of 194 Mm3, out of which 80 Mm is dead storage. The dead storage for siltation is projected to last for 37 years with silt flushing carried out during the annual high stage flow, commencing from July to early August. A flow simulation study carried out serially using 41 years of flow records (1952-93) of Shule River shows that for 34 out of 41 years the surface water resources alone are insufficient to meet the projected water demands. Thus, groundwater would be required for supplement. Only 17 years show a net water deficit over the conjunctive supply of surface and groundwater. In 14 years, the net deficit is less than 5 percent of the total projected demand, in 2 years about 10 percent, and only in one very dry year (1956) does the deficit reach 30 percent of the demand. The overall water balance situation is satisfactory. However, the risk of drought does exist and a drought crisis management contingency plan would have to be included in the operation of the irrigation system (see para. 4.12). On completion, the Changma Dam would provide better regulation of flow in the Shule River, thereby increasing annual irrigation supply from 430 Mm3 to 926 Mmn3 and the flow utilization rate from 42 to 90 percent. 3.5 Reservoir Resettlement. The Changma Reservoir would require involuntary relocation and resettlement of 131 families (566 persons) and acquisition of 172 ha of cultivated land. A Resettlement Action Plan (RAP) has been prepared in accordance with the provisions of Bank OD 4.30 and submitted to the Bank/IDA (see paras. 3.48-3.49 and Annex E for more details). The RAP has been reviewed and accepted by the Bank for implementation. A summary of the RAP is given in Annex E. 3.6 Dam Safety. An international panel of experts (appointed in accordance with Bank OMS 3.80) has reviewed the safety aspects of the dam design in April 1995. The panel considered the layout and structural design of the dam to be basically safe and recommended further refinements to the design, which have now been incorporated in the design.' The panel will be retained to review safety aspects of the dam during its construction stage. The panel has also reviewed the safety aspects of the two existing reservoirs, Shuangta and Chejinxia, and found them to be basically safe for operation subject to recommended remedial works being carried out. Gansu has agreed to complete these recommended remedial works not later than December 31, 1998. At negotiations, assurances were obtained from Gansu Province that it would (a) complete remedial works to Shuangta and Chejinxia Reservoirs not later than December 31, 1998; and (b) carry out periodic safety inspections of the completed Changma Reservoir, and the B For details, see Dam Safety Report by International Panel of Experts in project file. - 15 - existing Shuangta and Chejinxia Reservoirs in the project area, according to practices and procedures9 acceptable to the Bank/lIDA. Irrigation and Drainage Irrigation 3.7 Irrigation facilities would be improved on an existing 43,300 ha and expanded to 54,600 ha new land to be reclaimed under the following three irrigation areas: (a) Changma Irrigation Area. The existing Trunk Canal Main Intake Complex would be shifted 6 km upstream towards the Shule River Gorge and a new trunk canal constructed to connect with the existing one. This would reduce the seepage losses in the river channel located between the new and existing intake sites. The existing pair of trunk canals (total capacity of 65 cms) will continued to be used, but the first 19.4 km of the older trunk canal will have its lining of conglomerate stones replaced with concrete for better efficiency. A new bifurcation gate is required for the East/North Main Canals. A new 49.5 km long lined-canal along a new alignment complete with proper canal control structures will replace the existing West Canal earth canal which is in very poor condition. Connecting to this new canal, four existing and two new submain canals, totaling 105.6 km, would be improved and constructed. The East Main Canal will have its capacity increased to 7.6 cms, serving ultimately a total of 8,020 ha. Part of the canal will be improved by canal realignment and replacement of canal lining and control structures. The North Main Canal will have its capacity increased to 9.1 cms to increase irrigated area from 5,467 ha to 10,500 ha. The canal will be extended by about 0.95 km and about 10 km of the existing canal will have its damnaged lining replaced. The South Main Canal, basically in good condition, will have its capacity increased from 4.6 to 6.2 cms to serve 5,800 ha. A total of 196 branch canals, totaling 653 km, will be improved and constructed. To take advantage of the available hydraulic head, one minihydro power station each will be incorporated into the New Trunk Canal (Extension) Intake (12 MW installed capacity) and the New West Main Canal Intake (6 MW installed capacity). Some 24,600 m 2 of offices and buildings, and 288 km of rural roads complete with bridges and culverts will also be constructed to facilitate operation and maintenance of the irrigation area. With the improved and expanded facilities, Changma Irrigation Area will increase from the present 25,500 ha to 56,870 ha. 9 Periodic safety inspections would be carried out in accordance with Regulation No. 77 on "Management of Reservoirs and Large Dams" enacted by China State Council on 3/22/1991. - 16- (b) Shuangta Irrigation Area. Primary irrigation works completed include the Shuangta Reservoir, Anxi Trunk Canal, South and North Main Canals, and 32 branch canals totaling 275 km, 35 percent of which are lined. The Shuangta Reservoir, strengthened in 1984 to correct foundation and seepage problems, has now a total capacity of 170 Mm3. The reservoir will be augmented with 216 Mm3 annually from the Changma Trunk Canal with completion of the new Changma Reservoir. The 32.8 km Anxi Trunk Canal will have its present capacity increased from 24.5 cms to 28 cms to serve about 31,070 ha. The South Main Canal will have its old intake at the end of the Anxi Trunk Canal replaced and the downstream stretch realigned for 18.5 km. Included in the improvement and extension are various canal control structures, bridges and flood spillways. The North Main Canal, totaling 35.2 km, will have 13.5 km improved, 10.4 km expanded, and 11.4 km newly constructed, complete with canal lining and ancillary structures. To reduce seepage losses in conveyance, a new 43.2 km Xihu Submain Canal, starting at the end of the North Main canal will be constructed to replace the existing Shule River used to convey water to Xihu cotton-growing area. The existing 29 branch canals in Shuangta area will be improved for 108 km out of 145 km and some 97 km will be extended or newly constructed, complete with canal lining and control structures. Some 7,500 m2 of offices and buildings, and 40 km of rural roads complete with bridges and culverts will also be constructed to facilitate operation and maintenance of the irrigation area. On completion, the total irrigation area will be increased from 14,500 ha to 30,670 ha. (c) Huahai Irrigation Area. Irrigation water is diverted from the Changma Trunk Canal via the 43.3 km Shule-Hua Main Canal into the Shiyou River and regulated in the downstream Chejinxia Reservoir. The present Huahai Irrigation Area intake is located 11 km downstream of the Chejinxia Reservoir and about 10.4 Mm3 of water is lost annually through seepage along the river channel above the intake. Under the project, it is proposed to shift the intake further upstream 5.5 km with a designed capacity of 7.55 cms. The Huahai Trunk Canal will be expanded for 1.1 km up to Chainage 8+650, from there a new 12 km trunk canal of 5.9 cms capacity running parallel to the existing trunk canal would be constructed. The East Main Canal, 5.25 km long and commanding about 2,000 ha, will have its capacity expanded to 1.75 cms. Canal lining, control structures and bridges would be improved and added. The West Main Canal will be improved for 2.0 km and extended 5.7 km with its capacity increased to 2.9 cms to serve 3,300 ha. The North Main Canal, 7.7 km long and serving 4,646 ha, will have its capacity increased to 4.1 ems. Improvement and expansion would include downstream canal bank raising and lining replacement. A total of 20 branch canals would be improved (37 km) and constructed (57.6 km). Some 3,200 m2 of offices and - 17- buildings, and 40 km of rural roads complete with bridges and culverts will also be constructed to facilitate operation and maintenance of the irrigation area. The improved and expanded facilities will increase the irrigation area from 3,600 ha to 10,670 ha. Canal System Efficiency 3.8 The present overall canal system efficiency is only estimated at 50 percent (Changma 54 percent, Shuangta 43 percent, Huahai 54 percent) due to aging of the canal system and incomplete lining of the canal systems. The project designed efficiency is 62 percent, although somewhat high, but achievable due to the extensive canal linings being proposed for the canal network, improved system operation and maintenance, and establishment of a computerized system for monitoring, simulation and dispatch of irrigation water. The projected canal system efficiency would be affected by a combination of factors: soil and topography conditions, size and length of canal networks, quality of system construction and canal linings, and standard of operation and maintenance. The system efficiency would be progressively built up with completion of the irrigation works and, therefore, this would need to be progressively monitored for the canal system in each of the three irrigation areas. Project risk and sensitivity analyses (para. 6.20) were carried out using a range of lower efficiency (60 and 55 percent) evaluated against project benefits (area irrigated and the number of settlers) and the actual efficiency achieved and monitored. Canal Lining 3.9 Due to porous and sandy soils, adequate and extensive lining of the canal system would be required to achieve the desired canal system efficiency. Most of the lining in the existing irrigation areas would be improved or replaced, and new ones constructed in the new irrigation areas. Damnage to canal lining caused by frost action and upheaval of clayey soil supporting concrete lining during cold winter seasons is a serious problem in the project area. Based on past experience learnt and studies carried out, Gansu has evolved designs of canal lining to meet different soil and water table conditions. These designs have been reviewed by the Bank/IDA and found to be technically sound and cost effective. The designs include use of precast concrete panels and slabs, in-situ concrete, large conglomerate stones set in concrete, geomembranes and replacement of clayey soil materials with gravely and sandy soils of low moisture retention capacity under the concrete linings to minimize swelling and upheaval during cold weathers. Details of these designs are given in Annex I Appendix 6. Drainage and Salinity Control 3.10 Reclamation of Salinized and Saline Soils. Of the 54,600 ha of new lands to be reclaimed, there are about 39,000 ha (71 percent of total) salinized and or having saline soils, with area distribution as follows: - 18 - Irrigation New Land Salinized & Percentage District Reclaimed Saline Soils of total (ha) (ha) (%) Changma 31,300 21,000 67.1 Shuangta 16,200 14,800 91.4 Huahai 7,100 3,100 43.7 Total 54,600 38,900 71.2 3.11 The reclamation of saline lands will be implemented through leaching of saline soils in combination with drainage and agricultural measures. According to experiments carried out in the state farms and experience in areas with similar conditions, the leaching quotas required for reclamation of soils with different salinity levels are as shown in Table 3.1 below. TABLE 3.1: LEACHING QUOTAS (m3/ha) Average Salinity in 100 cm layer (%) 10 5 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 Changma rrigation District 26,250 18,000 12,000 10,500 9,000 7,500 6,300 Shuangta Irrigation District 26,850 18,450 12,300 10,800 9,300 7,800 6,450 Huahai Irrigation District 22,515 16,815 12,435 11,280 9,915 8,265 6,225 3.12 On-farm Drainage Systems. For the reclamation of salinized and saline soils, on-farm drainage systems consisting of lateral, sublateral and field drains will be constructed. Generally, two layout schemes of irrigation and drainage systems are to be adopted: (a) with sublateral drains constructed adjoining to sublateral irrigation canals; and (b) with sublateral drains built in between sublateral irrigation canals. For scheme (a) the spacings of both sublateral irrigation canals and drains are 250-400 m, while for scheme (b) the spacing is 400-600 m. Field drains with depth varying from 1.7-2.2 m and spacing of 70-150 m, depending upon the texture and hydraulic conductivity of soils, are temporarily constructed during reclamation to accelerate leaching. These field drains will be leveled at the maintenance stage. For nonsalinized and light soils, based on the experience of state farms and irrigation districts with similar conditions, only sublateral drains are required with spacing of 250-400 m. In areas where groundwater of low salinity is used conjunctively with surface water, only lateral and sublateral drains are necessary to supplement the vertical drainage provided by tubewells. The reclamation of - 19- 54,600 ha wastelands will be implemented over a period of 10 years from 1996 to 2005 (see Annex H Table 2). 3.13 Main and Branch Drains, and Drainage Outlets. In addition to the main Shule River and Beishi River carrying drainage to the wastelands lying to the west and north of the project area, the existing primary and secondary drainage systems will be supplemented with construction of the following additional drains in the three irrigation districts to cope with increased drainage from the expanded irrigation area: Irrigation District Main Drain Branch Drain Changma Tuhulu M.D. New: 33 no for 140.3 km 40.6 km Rehab.: 21 no for 85.8 km Total: 54 no for 226.1 km Shuangta Guazhou M.D. New: 11 no for 66.2 km 25.5 km Huahai New: 7 no for 59.8 kmn 3.14 The typical design parameters of drainage systems for Changma Irrigation District are shown in Table 3.2 below. TABLE 3.2: DESIGN PARAMETERS OF DRAINAGE SYSTEM IN CHANGMA IRRIGATION DISTRICT Levels of System Sublateral Lateral Branch Tuhulu main Drainage area (ha) 33-53 53-167 667 1,000 1,667 7,866 Design discharge (cms) 0.013-0.021 0.021-0.065 0.261 0.39 0.65 1.382 Bottom width (m) 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.0 Longitudinal slope 1/500 1/500 1/500 1/500 1/500 1/2000 Side slope coefficient 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 Depth (m) 2.0-2.2 2.1-2.4 2.4-2.6 2.5-2.7 2.5-2.7 2.95 Groundwater and Tubewell Development 3.15 The exploitable groundwater resources in Changma, Shuangta and Huahai Irrigation Districts and planned groundwater extraction are as shown in Table 3.3. - 20 - TABLE 3.3: EXPLOITABLE GROUNDWATER RESOURCES Exploitable Groundwater Planned Groundwater Extraction (Mm3) Irrigation District Resources (Mm3) Year of p=50% Year of p=75% Changma 95.19 29.62 59.37 Shuangta 49.40 12.18 39.67 Huahai 8.50 2.62 5.00 Total 153.09 44.42 104.05 3.16 With the completion of the project, the surface runoff will be regulated by the Changma Reservoir and groundwater recharge will come mainly from seepage losses of irrigation canals and deep percolation of irrigation water in the field, which are more or less uniformly distributed. Therefore, the extraction of groundwater, the number and location of tubewells in different areas will be planned according to the groundwater recharge in those areas. The groundwater drafted would be used conjunctively with surface water. Tubewells would be constructed adjoining to surface irrigation canals to augment irrigation canal supply. During periods when canal water is not available, the ground water is used for irrigation of vegetables, tree crops and other crops, especially during drought when surface canal water supply is limited. Some 730 tubewells would be constructed under the project, mostly in the Changma Irrigation District, to supplement the surface irrigation water. The locations and spacing of these new tubewells would be subject to detailed investigations.'° Water Resources-Supply, Demand and Quality 3.17 The total water resources available annually in Shule River Basin has been estimated at 1,220 Mm 3; 1,082 Mm3 surface water and 138 Mm3 groundwater. Based on the demands for ultimate development under the project, the total demand would be about 1,071 Mm3; 969 Mm3 for agricultural use and 102 Mm3 for industrial and domestic use. Table 3.4 below shows the breakdown of use, demand and supply for a normal year (P=50%). The surface supply would only be made possible through regulation of the Shule River by the proposed Changma Reservoir. 10 The present groundwater regime will be changed as a result of increased Shule River flow regulation and diversion for irrigation to the expanded areas. The future extraction of groundwater should preferably be based on results of groundwater model simulation. - 21 - TABLE 3.4: WATER USE, SUPPLY AND DEMAND AT FULL DEVELOPMENT (P=50%) Item Demand (Mm3) Supply (Mm3) Irrigation: Surface Water Groundwater Total Changma I.A. 556 491 65 556 Shuangta I.A. 308 279 29 308 Huahai I.A. 105 105 0 105 Subtotal 969 875 94 969 Industrial use 83 83 0 83 Domestic use 11 0 11 11 Rural enterprises 08 0 8 8 Total 1,071 958 113 1,071 3.18 The overall water quality of the main Shule River" supplying the main bulk of water for irrigation is within China's standard GB 3833-88 Grade II for surface water for irrigation. As part of the lower stretch of the Shule River is being used to convey water to the Shuangta Reservoir for irrigation of Shuangta Irrigation Area, it would be necessary to monitor the potential increase in salinity in the Shuangta Reservoir water due to planned reclamation of some 10,100 ha of salinized soils drained by this stretch of the Shule River. Agriculture Agricultural Support Services 3.19 With the immigration of new settlers, the population of Yumen Township would be increased by about 30 percent and that of Anxi County doubled. Therefore, the investment for agricultural support services would reflect these population changes. Moreover, the design and delivery mechanism of agricultural support services would be made flexible to meet emerging needs of the migrant settlement development over the course of time. Consideration would also be given to promote competitive markets in most types of services to be provided by enterprises, companies and specialized households. New migrants settled on State Farm administered land would enjoy existing support services under the State Farm system which is self-sufficient in most of the The water in the smaller Shiyou River has been extensively used by industries and Yumen City and is polluted, but only an insignificant quantity is used for irrigation. - 22 - services. The proposed agricultural support services under the project are summarized in the following subcomponents: 3.20 Agrimachinery Services. A total of 16 township/subfarm agrimachinery service stations would be built progressively over the project implementation period to provide agrimachinery services on fee basis to the new migrant farmers. The size and capacity of these stations would take into consideration the small-size farm holdings, existing capacity of agrimachinery specialized households from adjoining townships, and migrants using own machinery and draft animals to meet their needs. The composition of the proposed machinery and equipment for each station is summarized in Annex B Table 7. It consists mainly of 4 medium-size bulldozers, 1 each scraper and land leveler, 3 55-hp tractors, 4 plows, 2 harrows and 3 sowing machines for each station. To maximize use of machinery, the bulldozers, scrapers and land levelers would also be used in land reclamation work, and the tractors for general transportation. Each station will have a built-up area of 300 m2 and be equipped with workshop repair facilities. Four fuel depots will also be built to serve these stations and the public. These stations will be operated and managed by the Provincial Agrimachinery Service Bureau. 3.21 Seed Production and Processing. Quality seeds are available in the project area for all crops, including most of the secondary crops. County seed companies produce and sell most of the seeds to farmers; 100 percent of the hybrid corn seeds and 20-25 percent of wheat with the remaining being produced by farmers. Only sugarbeet and vegetable seeds are imported from outside the county. State farms in the project area produce and process their own seeds. To meet increased demands for seeds under the project, it is proposed to expand storage, processing and transportation capacity of the existing Yumen Township Seed Company, and to equip a seed analytical laboratory. Similar expansion is also proposed for the Anxi County Seed Company in addition to setting up a multiplication system for quality cotton seed, including 227 ha of seed production farm and processing facilities. The county seed companies would be encouraged to contract with farmers to produce quality seeds rather than expanding development of their own seed farms. In line with the national policy, county seed companies would also be encouraged to review and increase their subsidized seed prices so as to make their operations more viable and efficient, and as a measure to discourage farmers from overseeding when seeds are priced too cheaply. Optimal seeding rate for various crops would also be promoted through farmer extension programs and field adaptive research and demonstrations. Further support for quality seeds will be provided through a seed processing subproject being prepared under the proposed FY96 Seed Sector Commercialization Project. This will be located in the project area's Huanghua State Farm, with an annual capacity of 12,500 tons, mainly for wheat, hybrid corn and barley. 3.22 Extension. Yumen Township and Anxi County each have one existing extension center with offices for some 15 technicians, soil analysis and plant protection laboratories, and classrooms for training activities. The organization setup of the existing Anxi County Agrotechnical Extension Center is shown in Chart 4. These two centers would be expanded on the basis of number of new migrants coming into the township and - 23 - county. Existing townships have an extension station each staffed with 2 to 4 technicians per station making the farmer/technician ratio about 1,000 under Anxi County and 500 under Yumen Township (compared to 45 under the State farms). Transportation has been identified as a major constraint facing county centers and township stations. Therefore, sufficient vehicles would be provided under the project. For each of the proposed new settlement townships/subfarms, an extension station would be established. Extension staff would be trained to man these new stations with appropriate skill-mix and experience. The extension programs to be undertaken by the county centers and township stations would be based on the integrated training programs planned for the new migrants (see Anncex). 3.23 Research. Research activities to support the agricultural production would focus on on-farm applied research for the new settlement areas. This would be undertaken mainly by the Jiuchuan Prefecture Agricultural Research Institute, Gansu Provincial Academy of Agricultural Sciences located at Jiuchuan on contract with the Project Management Office. Topics suggested by the Jiuchuan Research Institute for applied research, subject to evolving needs and further detailed investigations, include the following: (a) selection and breeding of improved varieties, (b) adaptive research on water-saving irrigation techniques, (c) adaptive research on soil fertility improvement in newly reclaimed areas, (d) follow-up of pest, diseases and weeds, (e) adaptive research on vegetable production, (f) screening of crops and species tolerant to salt and climatic risks, (g) adaptive research to increase the efficiency of agricultural inputs (seeds, fertilizer and irrigation water), particularly on wheat, both in the existing and the new irrigated areas, (h) cotton pest integrated management, and (i) selection of early, quality wheat varieties. The Jiuchuan Research Institute would use existing facilities of the existing county extension centers as no new research facility would be provided under the project, except for funding of some essential equipment to supplement those to be provided by the Jiuchuan Research Institute. Results of successful applied research would be extended to farmers through the county extension system. 3.24 Cost Estimates. The cost estimates for the above four subcomponents are summarized in ex B Table 9. - 24 - Livestock Development 3.25 The livestock component would initially focus on strengthening existing veterinary and technical-extension services and production of poultry and pigs through family farms and specialized households. As the new project areas are developed and settled, village (or farm) technical-extension and veterinary service stations would be established. At the later stage, commercial livestock production would be undertaken through establishment of various demonstration bases in the project area. The main subcomponents are summarized as follows: (a) Establishment and Improvement of Livestock Extension Network: (i) expansion and equipping of city/county animal husbandry and veterinary service centers for training and extension; (ii) replication of animal husbandry and veterinary stations for the 16 new townships and subfarms. (b) Included under Overall Project Management: (i) training of city, county and township staff; (ii) training of existing farmers and new settlers in livestock production techniques. (c) Production and Supply of Improved Livestock: (i) layer fertile egg/chick production farm in Yumen City; (ii) broiler fertile egg/chick production farm in Anxi County; (iii) egg hatching facilities in 33 townships/subfarms; (iv) lean boar production farms in Yumen and Anxi; (v) lean sow production farms in 33 townships/subfarms. (d) Fodder Production and Feed Processing: (i) feed and fodder processing in 33 townships; (ii) pasture seeds for farmers; (iii) pasture seed production farms; (iv) grassland fencing of key areas for rehabilitation/protection; (v) watering points to improve utilization of grasslands; - 25 - (vi) complete protection of temperate deserts (rangeland). (e) Credit for Production: The following credit facilities would be made available through the Y 15 million revolving fund provided under the Voluntary Settlement Component (para. 3.32): (i) credit for the procurement of improved livestock (specialist farmers); (ii) credit for small farmers to procure livestock. The cost estimates for each subcomponent and the investment activities for each of the existing and new townships are summarized in Annex B Table 10. Afforestation 3.26 The proposed afforestation is primarily to: (a) protect the fragile land from wind erosion and enhance eco-environments for crop production and human habitation; (b) provide a source of fuelwood energy for the new settlers; and (c) provide soil and water conservation measures in the catchment area of the Changma Dam. Upon completion, the vegetative cover in the project area would be increased from 4.2 percent to 8.5 percent, thereby enhancing the primitive and fragile arid eco-environments in the project area. The typical technical designs of afforestation for the project area are given in Annex I Table 5. The various proposed subcomponents are summarized below: (a) Eco-environment Protective Forest Belts: To protect and improve the fragile eco-environments of the project area, three fringe forest belts totaling 236.6 km covering 290 ha in area would be planted. The northern project boundary running to the west would have a belt of 115.2 km covering 138.2 ha. Planting will be four rows at spacings of 1.5 x 2 m and I x 2 m. The northern Anxi County boundary will have a similar four-row belt of 86 km covering 103.2 ha. The third belt is located along the East Main Canal with a length of 35.4 km and 180.7 ha. In addition, forest belts will be planted along three main roads with a total length of 112.9 km covering an aggregate area of 84.2 ha. The vegetative cover of some 109,080 ha of sandy areas and sand dunes would be conserved and protected to prevent livestock grazing, thereby helping prevent ingress of sand dunes and desertification into the cultivated areas. (b) Wind Protection and Agroforestry: For wind protection of the project area, primary and secondary windbreaks, based on main and branch canal networks, would be planted. A total of 98 lines of windbreak forest, covering 704.7 km and 504.7 ha, would be planted. The 56 primary windbreaks, in a south-north direction in line with the prevailing wind, would cover a total length of 428.6 km and an aggregate area of 394.7 ha with tree planting spacing at 1.5 x 2 m. The secondary windbreaks, - 26 - running generally in east-west direction, total 42 lines of 276.1 km and area of 110 ha. In addition, it is planned to plant on-farm single-row tree borders based on 5 percent of newly reclaimed area and 2.5 percent of existing cultivated area. The total area covered by on-farm tree borders would amount to 3,820 ha. Agroforestry would consist of planting of fruit trees in residential areas and development of an orchard covering 3,333.3 ha. (c) Fuelwood Forestry: As a supplementary source of energy to coal, fuelwood trees would be planted at spacing of I m x 2 m along Gully No. I to No. 10 with an aggregate area of 1,000 ha. This fuetwood forest would provide sustainable harvesting of fuelwood for the new settlers. (d) Soil and Water Conservation Forest: An aggregate area of 3,330 ha would be planted with shrubs and trees in gullies and along river banks and slopes located upstrearn of the Changma Reservoir area in the vicinity of Tien Shen Chiao and Er Tao Chuan so as to reduce soil erosion caused by surface runoff, thereby reducing the silting of the Changma Reservoir. The dam catchment area has been declared a protected forest area by the Gansu Provincial Government. At negotiations, assurances were obtained from Gansu that the Changma Dam catchment area in the Qilian Mountain Range would be maintained and protected as a protectedforest area by December 31, 1998 and at all times thereafter. D. VOLUNTARY EMIGRATION AND LAND SETTLEMENT 3.27 As a means to reduce the incidence of absolute poverty in the province, 200,000 people will emigrate voluntarily from 11 of the poorest counties in central and southeast Gansu and settle on the newly developed irrigated land under the project. At the same time, the new migrant settlers would also provide the labor force required for project construction and economic development of the project area. Presently, the per capita grain production and income in these 11 counties are less than half of the national average, and well below the average of Gansu's 41 officially identified poor counties (see Table 3.5 below). The land in these upland regions is steep, badly eroded, nonirrigated and inaccessible. With increasing population, these counties run large deficits of grain in each year and many of the absolute poor in the remote valley villages and townships have to rely on annual governnent relief for food, fuel, clothing, etc. - 27 - TABLE 3.5: COMPARISON OF INCIDENCE OF POVERTY Average % below Average Grain per income per absolute Illiteracy grain yield % of land capita La (kg) capita La (Y) poverty line La rate (%) (kg/ha) eroded China 500 922 9 25 4,131 19 Gansu 390 563 22 39 2,622 38 41 poor counties 288 449 46 57 2,027 80 I IEmigrating 219 350 49 67 2,106 75 counties Hexi Corridor 1,355 1,401 - 16 6,997 - (Project Area) aLa Figures are for rural population only. 3.28 A master land settlement plan has been prepared to relocate 200,000 people over a period of 10 years. In all, 95 townships with planned quota of emigrants for each township have been selected for the emigrating 11 counties (see details in Annex F Table 2). Within them, prospective settlers would be filly informed of the benefits and risks of migration and settlement, their obligations and right to refuse. Applications for emigration would be strictly voluntary, systematically processed (screened by the respective village committee, reviewed by township government and approved by county government). Selection of settler households would need to meet the criteria'2 established by Gansu Government. Some 10 percent of settler households with moderate income and education level would also be selected for settlement. Past experience shows that these moderate-income settlers would readjust and succeed very quickly in the new settlement areas and would be useful to serve as models or lead farmers to others. 12 The two-stage selection criteria for settler households are: First Stage: (a) per capita income of less than Y300 and grain production <150 kg; (b) at least two workers in the household with head of household between 18 and 50 years of age; (c) at least two years of primary education or acceptable literacy level (relaxed for minority applicants); (d) experience in agricultural production; (e) willingness and positive attitude towards emigration; and (f) in good health and mentally sound, not physically handicapped. Second Stage: (a) per capita income less than Y150 and grain production <50 kg; (b) demonstrate intensive desire to emigrate; (c) 75 percent of the existing cultivated land is on above 25 degrees slope; (d) possess junior middle school education, technical skill and vocational trade training; and (e) demonstrate pioneering spirit and leadership. - 28 - 3.29 During the first year of emigration, only working members of family would move to the new settlement areas to take part in the project construction. Dependents will only emigrate during the second or third year after a household head has decided to stay on (he would have the option of returning to his original residence within the first two years). Each family will contract for at least 30 years 2 mu (0.13 ha) per capita of irrigated land for cultivation without any form of repayment. In addition, each family can lease, with rent payment13, an additional 1.5 to 2.0 mu per capita, depending on their economic well- being and availability of family labor. The lease is subject to renewal after 10 years. Each settler family will also be allotted 534 m2 for housing and 667 m2 for planting vegetables and fruit trees. Based on a family of five persons, the per capita land allocated would be 0.157 ha. Large family farrns, with maximum land holding of 10 ha, would also be promoted; but the number would be limited to 150 farms. 3.30 Each settler will cost about Y 1,100: comprising Y 750 for relocation expenses and housing materials, Y 100 for basic water and electricity supplies, Y 100 fuel supply for the first two years, and Y 150 for purchase of agricultural tools and production inputs during the first year of settlement. New migrant settlers will also be exempted from payment of land and agricultural taxes for the first three years of their settlement. The new settlers would be placed in 16 new townships to be established in the three irrigation districts. Each township will encompass 10 administrative villages, each village will have 5 to 10 residential sites with 250-300 families in each residential site, and a population of 12,500-13,500 people in each township. During the initial settlement, basic education (primary and secondary schools) and health facilities would be provided by the project to each township and village. Later, as the settlements stabilize and grow, the local governments would provide the other necessary amenities and services. 3.31 About 25 percent of the emigrant settlers will be from minority groups, mostly Islamic Hui and Dongxiang. Although no separate settlement plan has been proposed for the minority groups, the relevant provisions of Bank OD 4.20 on Indigenous Peoples have been taken into consideration. To maintain their cultural and religious integrity, these minority groups will be settled together (as will the majority Han), following as much as possible their earlier residential groupings. This would help the rapid reconstruction of social networks in the new settlement areas. The current settlement master plan provides for one Dongxiang minority township, and 16 Hui minority administrative villages to be established. The minority migrants would also enjoy preferential policy incentives, such as relaxation on selection criteria (literacy level), priority for employment, credit facilities, and exemption for payment of primary school fees and textbooks. 13 Rent payment for leased land: I st-3rd year- zero. 4th-6th year-Y 75 per 0.1 ha or Y 50 per mu. 7th-IOth year-Y 150 per 0.1 ha or Y 100 per mu. After 10th year-Subject to renewal and negotiations. - 29 - 3.32 Under the project, Gansu will use its own funds to establish a revolving fund of Y 15 million to provide credit to migrant farmers to assist them in purchasing production inputs, operating small rural enterprises and family business. The credit will be of low interest (0.24 percent per month) and for short-term period (2-3 years) with a maximum amount of Y 2,000 per household so that a large number of migrant households can be benefited. Preference would be given to women and minority migrants. The revolving fund would be managed by the Agricultural Bank of China and the Rural Credit Cooperatives for the Project Office on a fee basis. At negotiations, assurances were obtained from Gansu that a revolving fund would be established not later than December 31, 1996 to provide credit to migrant farmers under arrangements acceptable to the Bank/IDA. 3.33 The existing County Settlement Offices (CSOs) in each of the 11 emigrating counties and the host Anxi County and Yumen City will implement, administer and manage the emigration and settlement programs entrusted to them by the Project Management Bureau (PMB). The CSOs will be responsible to the respective County Emigration and Settlement Leading Group (CESLG). A Settlement Advisory and Coordination Committee will be established to advise and coordinate with PMB in drawing up the annual settlement programs and budgets for implementation by CSOs. The Settlement and Social Services Division under the PMB will oversee the implementation by CSOs. More details of the organizational and management structure are given in para. 4. 10. The Population Research Institute of Northwest China, Lanzhou University will monitor the settlement over the project implementation period, establishing a database to track the social and economic status and progress of settlers. 3.34 At negotiations, assurances were obtained from Gansu Province that Gansu Province would (a) implement the emigration and settlement plan based on annual programs and budget reviewed and agreed by the Bank/IDA, monitor annually the progress of implementation and furnish the results to the Bank/IDA not later than March 31 of the following year; (b) lease all land distributed to settlers rent free for a minimum of 30 years, and (c) lease up to an additional 2.0 mu per capita to settlers on 1 0-year renewal lease with acceptable rates of rent. E. INSTITUTIONAL SUPPORT AND STRENGTHENING 3.35 Training. Staff training would be focused on improving technical competence and acquiring technical skills in (a) drainage and water and soil salinity control, (b) operation, maintenance and management of large irrigation areas, (c) water resources monitoring, simulation and dispatch in Shule River Basin, (d) management of large-scale human settlements, and (e) optimization of agricultural production in arid regions, covering crops, livestock and forestry. This would be achieved mainly through study tours, attendance at international seminars and workshops, and training courses conducted by subject specialists. The training programs and estimated costs are given in Annex B Table 6. At negotiations, assurance were obtained from Gansu that training would be carried out according to a time-bound action plan acceptable to the Bank/IDA. - 30 - 3.36 Technical Assistance. Technical assistance in the form of consultant services, totaling about 100 person-months of foreign and local specialists as detailed in Annex B Table 7, would be provided to assist the Project Management Bureau in: (a) supervision of civil works construction of the Changma Dam by ICB contract; (b) planning, design and implementation of a basinwide system network for monitoring, simulation, control and dispatch of surface irrigation water integrated with the extraction and use of groundwater; (c) planning, design and implementation of a basinwide environmental monitoring of land and water resources impacted by the project's activities; and (d) monitoring and evaluation of new migrant settlers as to their socioeconomic well- being. 3.37 Building, Vehicles, Equipment. The project would build an office complex at Yumen Township to house the Project Management Bureau and supporting facilities. One county training center each would be built at Anxi and Yumen City for use to train project staff at lower levels for all sectors, local leaders and lead farmers in participatory aspects of the project development. To ensure and facilitate smooth implementation of the project, sufficient quantities of office equipment and vehicles would be provided to the PMB, and the county implementing agencies. Details of equipment and vehicles are given in Annex B Table 3. F. STATUS OF PROJECT DESIGNS 3.38 Detailed designs complete with bill of quantities for the Changma Dam, the new conveyance canal and main intake, and the main canal systems in the three irrigation areas have been completed by Gansu Water Resources Design Institute. Further refinements to the Changma Dam design, incorporating the recommendations of the international dam safety review panel and Bank missions, have also been completed for preparation of international competitive bidding (ICB) bid documents to begin in early 1996. Designs for the main, secondary and tertiary canal systems in the three irrigation areas are being undertaken simultaneously by the Yumen Water Conservancy Department and Jiuquan Prefecture Water Conservancy Department. They will be completed progressively in time for the scheduled construction. Design for the development of the resettlement site for relocation of households affected by the Changma Reservoir has been completed. G. IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE 3.39 Due to its physical size, and the need for proper phasing and sequencing of various components, the project will be implemented over a period of 10 years between July 1996 to June 2006. Major items of construction work would be substantially completed and disbursed within the first seven years. The Changma Dam and the primary irrigation systems in the three irrigation districts are scheduled to be substantially completed within the first four years. However, land development and settlement, on- farm irrigation works, livestock and afforestation would be phased out over a period of 10 years. The project's detailed implementation schedule is shown in Figure 1. At - 31 - negotiations, assurances were obtained from Gansu Province that a detailed annual budget and programs of works would be prepared and furnished to the BanklIDA by November 30 of each year, for project implementation in the following year. 3.40 Reviews of the project implementation in meeting the development objectives and target benefits would be conducted at the beginning of 2000 and 2003. The reviews would include assessment of expenditures, revised project cost estimates, physical works completed and outstanding, and targets achieved. The reviews would recommend changes deemed necessary to complete the project. At negotiations, assurances were obtained that Gansu Province would prepare and furnish information and data for implementation reviews to be jointly conducted by Gansu and the Bank/IDA at the beginning of 2000 and 2003, and Gansu would implement the measures agreed after each review. H. WOMEN IN DEVELOPMENT 3.41 The female population in the host counties (Anxi and Yumen City) and among the 200,000 people from the 11 emigrating counties is estimated to be about 47 percent and 48.5 percent, of which those within the working age group of 15 to 59 years is 74 percent and 63 percent. In both cases, the female population has a lower literacy level than the male, especially the migrant females who have an illiteracy rate of about 90 percent compared to 77 percent of the females in the host counties. Recent surveys show that most of the females are engaged in simple and unskilled work, unable to compete with males in the skilled and professional fields. Steeped in traditional social prejudice and low self-esteem resulting from traditional culture, they are generally not motivated for change, less adaptive to new environments, and deprived of social and economic development opportunities unless special interventions are made to improve their status. 3.42 Under the project, special interventions targeted at the migrant female population have been designed to change their social and economic status by promoting their participation in social and economic development. These interventions include specific targets for employment in the public and service sectors, construction industry, township and village enterprises, and assistance in the development of small family-run businesses and cottage industries. Women migrants will be given preference in obtaining credit under the project's revolving fund specially created to assist new migrants (see para. 3.32). Details of targeted interventions are given in Annex F Table 6. 3.43 To equip the females for their participatory role in development, emphasis would be laid on raising their literacy level through education and vocational training. Primary and secondary schools would be built in the new settlement villages and townships to ensure that migrant children (including girls) complete the fundamental education. Adult females would be encouraged to attend adult education or vocational training classes to learn practical skills or techniques so as to broaden their opportunities for work or effective self-employment. About 4,000 females or one third of the migrant females to be trained are expected to attend vocational training classes. The migrant females would - 32 - also be encouraged to join the Women's Federation (WF) to be established in each village. The WFs would organize various socioeconomic activities for their members, such as thrift and saving, home science, knowledge learning, literary and art groups, to promote members' participation in social activities. This would gradually motivate the females, give them more self-confidence, self-respect and decision-making in matters affecting them. I. ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT 3.44 The environmental assessments were jointly completed by the Northwest Investigation Design and Research Institute of the Ministry of Electric Power and the Gansu Provincial Hydroelectricity Investigation and Design Institute of the Ministry of Water Resources for Gansu Provincial Government, and reviewed and endorsed by the National Environmental Protection Agency in July 1993. Based on the Bank's review and recommendations during project preparation (September 1994) and preappraisal (May 1995), the assessment reports were further refined and improved into a full Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) and an Environmental Impact Summary (EIS) submitted to the Bank in July 1995. The Gansu Provincial Government has released these two environmental assessment documents to the public. 3.45 The environmental impact assessment studies have identified both adverse and positive impacts. Due to its small component of involuntary resettlement of 131 families involving 566 persons affected by the proposed Changma Reservoir, the project has been classified a Category A project. A Resettlement Action Plan has been prepared in accordance with the provision of Bank OD 4.30 (see paras. 3.48-3.50). The potential negative impacts identified are: (a) the reclamation of some 10,100 ha of salinized soils for cultivation upstream of the existing Shuangta Reservoir may increase the salinity level of water in the reservoir as a result of draining the leachage into the reservoir; (b) the interim changes to the groundwater regime (water levels, recharge, yield, quality) resulting from higher regulation of the Shule River flow and water diversion for irrigation. Other impacts are those associated with construction activities, public health and fuel-energy demands for new migrant settlers. The positive impacts identified include protection and enhancement of the existing fragile ecosystem through afforestation, better and more rational use of land and water resources, and creation of ''oasis" effects leading to microclimate improvement. 3.46 Environmental rehabilitation of the source areas in the 11 emigrating counties would be carried out by local governments after permanent emigration of selected households to the new settlement areas. The rehabilitation measures, mainly related to soil and water conservation, would include freezing and prohibition of cultivation of steep slope land given up, afforestation, land terracing, planting of shrubs and grass, and changing of cropping pattern with less emphasis on grains. Engineering measures, which are more expensive, would be avoided or kept to a minimum. The proposed programs of works and estimated costs for the 11 emigrating counties are summarized in Annex D Table 4. A total of Y 13.5 million (base cost) has been provided under the project based - 33 - on an average estimated cost of Y 50,000 per km2 for similar works currently carried out in Gansu. 3.47 Based on the discussion between the Bank and the project authority, an Environmental Action Plan (EAP) has been prepared to mitigate the negative impacts and to provide measures for both short- and long-term environmental protection and management of the Shule River Basin. Details of the EAP are given in Annex D. The EAP also includes basinwide environmental monitoring of land and water resources, and institutional support and strengthening through provision of staff training, monitoring and laboratory equipment, and vehicles. During Bank supervision of the project implementation, particular attention would be paid to the monitoring results of land reclamation and salt leaching of salinized lands located upstream of the Shuangta Reservoirs and it effect on the salinity level of water in the reservoir. At negotiations, assurances were obtainedfrom Gansu Province that project activities will conform with appropriate environmental practices; and Gansu Province would carry out the Environmental Action Plan, monitor the annual programs and furnish the results annually to the Bank/lIDA not later than March 31 of the following year. J. LAND AcQuISITION AND INVOLUNTARY RESETTLEMENT 3.48 Land Acquisition. Except for the acquisition of 172 ha of cultivated land to be inundated by the proposed Changma Reservoir, there will be no land acquisition for work construction in the new proposed irrigation area as the land is currently wasteland, barren and uninhabited, belonging to the State. For improvement works in the existing irrigation areas, some land would be required for the improvement and expansion works, but this would be minimal as most of the canals and drains already have adequate reserves. No houses or families will be affected as people only reside in villages, away from canals and drains. The 172 ha of land in the Changma Reservoir will be acquired and compensated under the RAP (para. 3.50 and Annex.E). Part of the compensation will be used by the Yumen City government to develop alternative land for distribution to the relocatees for cultivation in the settlement area located in the Huahai Irrigation Area. 3.49 Involuntary Resettlement. Construction of the proposed Changma Reservoir will affect 131 families with a total population of 566 persons. The affected people would be relocated and resettled on a 5,580 mu (373 ha) site in the Huahai Irrigation Area. A Resettlement Action Plan (RAP) has been prepared in accordance with the provisions of Bank's OD 4.30. A summary of the RAP is given in Annex E. The total cost for compensation, relocation, resettlement and rehabilitation is estimated at Y 17.5 million (base cost) or about Y 30,900 per capita.'4 Under the RAP, each relocatee will get 4.5 mu of land for cultivation and participate in the joint development and management of 2,000 mu of commodity crops (fruits, hops, licorice, etc.). Each 14 This compares very favorably to compensation paid under other Bank-financed agricultural projects in China. - 34 - household will get a housing plot of 635 m2 in the planned resettlement village complete with basic infrastructure and amenities. The stakeholders participated in the selection of various resettlement sites and general consensus was reached by the relocatees and the host village nearby on the site selected. The relocation and resettlement will be carried out in two phases; starting in 1998 and completing before the end of 1999 ahead of the flooding of the Changma Reservoir in 2000. The socioeconomic well-being of the relocatees will be monitored by the National Research Center for Resettlement (NRCR), Hehai University, Nanjing for four to five years or until they are satisfactorily rehabilitated. 3.50 At negotiations, assurances were obtained that Gansu Province would carry out the relocation and resettlement of people affected by the Changma Reservoir according to the Resettlement Action Plan approved by the Bank/lIDA, monitor annually the progress and performance, and furnish the results to the Bank/IDA not later than March 31 of each year. K. COST ESTIMATES 3.51 The total cost of the project is estimated at $259.2 million, of which the foreign exchange component is $147 million, or 57 percent. Table 3.6 shows the project cost summary and detailed cost estimates of various components are given in Annex B Tables 1 (a) to I (d). 3.52 Cost estimates have been derived by applying current unit prices to detailed quantity estimates for the main components. Unit prices are based on recent prices for similar works carried out in Gansu Province. Equipment costs are based on recent price quotations and inquiry. Base costs are estimated with September 1995 prices. For costs expressed in US dollars, the expected average price increase is estimated at 2.6 percent for 1996-2005, and when the costs are expressed in Yuan the annual rates are 10.5 percent, 8.5 percent, 7.0 percent, 6.5 percent and 6.2 percent for 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999 and 2000-05. Physical contingencies of 5 percent have been applied to all items except for the Changma Dam, for which 10 percent is allowed. - 35 - TABLE 3.6: PROJECT COST SUMMARY Y million S million % %total % % ota foreign base foreig bas Local Foreign Total exchange oats Local Foreign Total -dchng co e Investment Costs Civilworks 43366 69778 1.13144 62 61 5163 S3.07 134.69 62 61 Mach & Equip 1597 6968 8565 St 5 190 830 1020 5I 5 Vehicle 266 895 11.61 77 I 032 107 1.35 77 1 Land settlement 7654 7566 15219 50 8 911 9.01 1812 50 9 Taining & study tours Oveeans training & tourn - 2 46 2 48 100 . - 0.30 0 30 100 - Local training & tour 4 33 12.23 1637 75 1 049 146 1 95 75 1 Subtotal training& study tours 4.13 14.71 I3.85 75 1 0.49 1.75 2.24 75 1 Specialist sevice - 600 600 300 - - 071 0.71 100 - Research&experiment 2594 2571 5165 50 3 309 306 615 50 3 Operation & maintenance 599 773 1372 56 1 071 092 163 56 1 Survey &design 29 34 1198 4131 29 2 3 49 143 4 92 29 2 Planting & production materials 15 22 6 03 2125 28 1 1 81 0 72 2 53 25 1 On-farm orks i61 68 92 28 253 96 36 14 19 25 10 99 3023 36 14 Others 179 048 227 21 - 021 006 027 21 - Project maagement 24 27 35 47 59 74 59 3 2.89 4 22 7 11 59 3 Total Investment Costs 797.17 1,052.46 1,S49.63 57 300 94.90 125.29 220.19 57 100 Recurrent Costs - - - - - . - - Total Baseline Costs 797.17 1,052.46 1,549.63 57 100 94.90 125.29 220.19 57 I00 Physcal conttngencien 4439 6249 10688 58 6 528 744 12.72 58 6 Price contingencies 336.32 40480 741 11 55 40 1198 1432 2630 54 12 TOTAL PROJECT COSTS 1,177.8 1,519.75 2,697.62 56 146 112.17 147.05 259.22 57 333 L. FINANCING 3.53 Financing proposed for the project is as follows: S million % Central Government La 23.8 9.2 Gansu Province 70.1 27.0 City/Counties/Entity 7.6 2.9 Self-raised funds 7.7 3.0 Subtotal 109.2 42.1 Bank/IDA 150.0 57.9 Total 259.2 100.0 La Allocations from Ministry of Water Resources and State Planning Commission. 3.54 China is eligible for single currency loans under the Bank's expanded program. The Government of China and Gansu Province have selected LIBOR-based US dollar single currency loan terms for the project in order to facilitate management of the foreign exchange risk of their borrowing by more closely matching the currency of their liabilities with their net trade flows, about 75 percent of which are US dollar denominated. They selected the LIBOR-based product in order to preserve the full maturity of this loan, - 36- compared to the fixed-rate option that would have resulted in a 15-year loan. The Borrower judges that it can manage any interest rate risk. This loan ($60 million), together with other already approved FY loans, represents about 2.4 percent of the fiscal year 1996 IBRD expected lending to China, and is well within the 50 percent volume guidelines approved by the Bank's Board. 3.55 The loan of $60 million would be for 20 years, including a 5-year grace period at the standard interest rate for LIBOR-based US dollar single currency loans. The credit of SDR 61.8 million ($90 million equivalent) would be on standard IDA terms with 35 years' maturity. The proceeds of the loan and credit would be made available to Gansu Province for 20 years, including 5 years' grace for the Loan and 7 years' grace for the Credit, with interest at the same rates charged by the Bank/IDA for the Loan and the Credit. M. PROCUREMENT 3.56 Project procurement will be based on the Bank Group's latest guidelines "Procurement under IBRD Loans and IDA Credits, January 1995" (revised January 1996). Gansu has retained the services of the International Tendering Company of the China National Machinery Import and Export Corporation to carry out procurement activities for the project. Table 3.7 summarizes the procurement arrangements. TABLE 3.7: PROCUREMENT ARRANGEMENTS Procurement Method Project Elements ICB NCB OtherLa NBF A2 Total Land acquisition & compensation - - - 1.0 1.0 Civil works L 22.6 77.3 93.9 - 193.8 (14.7) (50.2) (44.0) (108.9) Machinery, equipment & vehicles 8.6 6.0 2.0 - 16.6 (8.6) (6.0) (2.0) (16.6) Building and production materials - - 16.2 - 16.2 (11.5) (11.5) Training and technical assistance /d - - 7.6 7.6 (7.6) (7.6) Design, supervision & management - - 6.7 3.0 9.7 (5.4) (5.4) Land settlement services and supplies L; - - - 14.3 14.3 Total 31.2 83.3 126.4 18.3 259.2 (23.3) (56.2) (70.5) (0.0) (150.0) la Other includes force account work, shopping, consultant services, technical assistance and training. Lb NBF denotes non-Bank Group financing. Lr Including on-farm works and buildings, water and electric supplies for settlers. a Including research and experiments. ia Covering relocation services, heating fuel, and agricultural tools. Note: Figures in parenthesis indicate Bank Group financing. 3.57 Works. Civil works costing $10 million equivalent or more per contract will be awarded under ICB. This will involve only one contract for the construction of Changma - 37- Dam with an estimated cost of $22.6 million. Qualified domestic bidders competing under ICB civil works will be eligible for a 7.5 percent preference in bid evaluation, in accordance with Bank Group guidelines on procurement. Contracts costing less than $10 million and more than $200,000 equivalent per contract will be awarded under NCB procedures acceptable to the Bank/IDA. These civil works (estimated $77.3 million in total value) comprise numerous packages of small structures, earthworks for canals and drains, and buildings spread throughout the project area and would likely not be of interest to foreign contractors who, however, will be allowed to bid in these NCB bids. The remaining works with an estimated value of $93.9 million, mostly on-farm earthworks for tertiary canals and drains, small structures, access roads, land reclamation, afforestation, basic water and electric supplies, etc., are scattered over a wide area, labor intensive and to be implemented over a 10-year timeframe. As such, they will be best procured under contracts awarded on the basis of simplified procedures similar to national shopping procedure with at least three price quotations (with less than $200,000 per contract and aggregate value of $45 million) and, with the prior agreement of the Bank/IDA, force account works (up to $48.9 million total) using beneficiary labor organized by local governments to participate in the project construction. Progress payments for force account works would be based on unit prices and quantities agreed annually with the Bank/IDA. Prequalification of bidders for all civil works costing $5 million or more per contract will be required. Prequalification of bidders for ICB bidding of the Changma Dam will be advertised as a specific procurement notice in the United Nations Development Business and/or well-known technical magazines, newspapers and trade publications of wide international circulation. 3.58 Goods. All contracts for goods costing $200,000 equivalent or more will be awarded under ICB. To the extent practicable, contracts for goods shall be grouped in bid packages to cost $200,000 or more each. These contracts include construction and agricultural machinery, vehicles, turbine/generators, transformers, steel bars, communication and monitoring equipment, with an estimated total cost of $8.6 million. Qualified domestic bidders competing under ICB will be eligible for a preference in bid evaluation of 15 percent of the c.i.f. price or the actual custom duties and import tax, whichever is less. The remainder, mostly small items of office machinery, laboratory and workshop equipment, cement and timber would be procured through NCB procedures acceptable to the Bank/IDA with an estimated total value of $6.0 million. Building materials and production inputs for settlers spread out in 160 new villages (aggregate value $13.7 million), a small quantity of machinery, equipment, miscellaneous instruments (aggregate value $2.0 million), and livestock and forestry production materials (aggregate value $2.5 million) will be procured using national shopping (with at least three price quotations) for procurement under $50,000 per contract and international shopping (with at least three quotations from at least two different countries) for procurement between $50,000 and $100,000 per contract. The aggregate value for national and international shopping will not exceed $3.0 million and $1.5 million, respectively, for livestock and forestry production materials, machinery, equipment and instruments. - 38 - 3.59 Design, Supervision and Management. Engineering surveys and designs would be carried out by local design institutes at provincial and prefecture levels on direct contract basis. In addition to department supervision, individual engineering consultants would be employed to assist in the supervision of major works. The project management element will cover operating costs for office facilities and equipment, vehicles, monitoring and evaluation systems. The aggregate cost has been estimated at $5 million for surveys and designs, consultant supervision $1 million, and project management $3.7 million. Only $6.7 million of the total $9.7 million will be Bank-financed. 3.60 Review of Bid Documents and Contracts. Bid documents"5 for all civil works in excess of $2.0 million and goods in excess of $200,000 will be subject to prior review by the Bank/IDA. This will cover the ICB contract for the Changma Dam (para. 3.58) and 17 NCB contracts for works ($54 million in value), and 15 contracts for goods ($14.4 million in value). The prior review of bid documents will cover 77 percent of all contract value for civil works and more than 90 percent of contract value for goods. The slight lower review coverage than the target 80 percent for works is due to large number of low value packages of earthworks and small structures normally associated with irrigation project. These small packages would be more efficiently carried out by small local contractors at county and township levels. Beside supporting and promoting local construction industry and participatory work by project stakeholders, the timely completion of these small packages of works would bring project benefits on stream with completion of each package of works. Standard Bidding Documents with standard Special Conditions prepared and issued by the Ministry of Finance, in consultation with the Bank/IDA, would be used for ICB and NCB. All other contracts will be subject to selective review after bid awards. Annex B Table 2 shows procurement packaging and scheduling of major items of works and goods by ICB and NCB contracts. 3.61 Technical Assistance and Training. The selection and engagement of consultants to carry out the technical assistance programs will be based on the Bank's "Guidelines for Use of Consultants by World Bank Borrowers and by the World Bank as Executing Agency-August 1981." The World Bank's Standard Form of Contract for Consultants' Services will be used and prior review of consultant service contracts by the Bank/IDA would be required for contracts with an estimated cost of $100,000 or more for firms and $50,000 or more for individuals. In addition, terms of reference and sole- source selection of consultants, regardless of the value of the consultancy contract, are subject to the Bank's prior review. All reimbursable training will be based on programs agreed with the Bank/IDA. N. DISBURSEMENT 3.62 The proceeds of the Bank Loan/IDA Credit would be disbursed as follows: I5 Including prequalification, notice of invitation to bid, bid documents, bid evaluation and recommendations, and contracts. - 39 - TABLE 3.8: DISBURSEMENT ARRANGEMENTS Amount Category Disbursable Percentage of (S million) Disbursement (%/6) 1. Works: (a) Civil works for Changma Dam, primary and secondary canal 64.9 65% of expenditures and drain systems, tubewells, minihydropower stations and buildings (b) Land reclamation and development, on-farm works, infrastruc- 44.0 45% of expenditures ture, rural and farn roads, afforestation, basic water and electric supplies for settlers 2. Goods (machinery, equipment, vehicles, building and production 28.1 1000/o of foreign materials for settlers) expenditures; 100% of local expenditures (ex- factory) and 75% for goods procured locally 3. Consultants' services and training 7.6 100% of expenditures 4. Operating Costs for Design, Supervision & Management 5.4 80% of expenditures Total 150.0 3.63 To accelerate and facilitate construction of the main Changma Dam, and involuntary resettlement of households affected by the Changma Reservoir, retroactive financing of construction works effective from October 1, 1995 will be required for the following: (a) construction of temporary works and facilities covering access roads, electricity and communication to the dam site; (b) improvement and expansion of the irrigation facilities in the Huahai Irrigation Area of the 5,580 mu resettlement site so that relocation and resettlement of families affected by the Changma Reservoir can be carried out early; and (c) construction of two branch canals, and a portion of Anxi North Main Canal, to serve pilot settlement areas. The total disbursable amount would be SDR 3.43 million ($5.0 million equivalent) as detailed in the work programs in Annex B Table 4 reviewed and approved by the Bank/IDA. 3.64 Statements of Expenditures (SOEs) will be used for disbursements to be made against (a) works under contracts costing less than $2,000,000 equivalent each (which includes all force account works); (b) goods under contracts costing less than $200,000 equivalent each; (c) training and study tours; (d) consultants' services under contracts awarded to firms costing less than $100,000 equivalent each and consultants' services contracts awarded to individuals costing less than $50,000 equivalent each; and (e) operating costs for design, supervision and management. SOEs for force account works are to be supported by progress reports showing physical quantities and unit prices, the latter to be reviewed and updated annually and agreed by the Bank/IDA. 3.65 To facilitate disbursement, a Special Account, to be operated by the existing Gansu World Bank Projects Implementation Office (GPIO) under the Gansu Bureau of - 40 - Finance, will be established in a bank acceptable to the Bank/IDA. The Special Account will have an initial authorized allocation of $6 million equivalent, which will be increased to $10 million when the cumulative disbursement amount reaches SDR 30 million. GPIO will prepare and submit applications for disbursement and replenishment of the Special Account monthly or whenever the account is drawn down to half its initial amount, whichever comes first. The project is expected to be completed by June 30, 2006 and to close on December 31, 2006. The estimated schedule of disbursements is given in Annex a Table 5. The disbursement schedule is slower than the historical profile for water resources and agricultural projects in China, due to the nature of the project. It is closer to that of land settlement projects in China and other competent borrowing countries. 0. ACCOUNTS AND AUDITS 3.66 The Shule River Basin Project Management Bureau (PMB) will maintain records of all project expenditures. These records will be forwarded regularly to GPIO, which will review and consolidate the accounts of expenditure and submit them to the Bank/IDA for disbursement. GPIO has proposed that the State Audit Administration through its Gansu Provincial Bureau of Audit will audit the project accounts; this auditing arrangement is acceptable to the Bank/IDA. The audited accounts will also include the Special Account and the details on withdrawals from the Loan/Credit account made on the basis of SOEs, and the auditor's opinion as to whether such withdrawals were made against expenditures eligible for disbursement by the Bank/IDA. At negotiations, assurances were obtained from Gansu Province that it will maintain consolidated project accounts, which will be audited by an independent auditor, and submit such audited accounts to the Bank/lIDA within six months of the close of each financial year. - 41 - 4. ORGANIZATION AND MANAGEMENT A. PROJECT ORGANIZATION 4.1 The Shule River Basin Project Management Bureau (PMB), established at Yumen Township, will have overall responsibility for project implementation and management under the guidance of the existing Gansu World Bank Projects Implementation Commission (GWBPIC), and Gansu Bureau of Water Resources (GBWR) which has been designated as the owner and principal agency to oversee the project implementation and provide technical guidance. A Vice Governor in charge of agriculture has been designated to oversee the Hexi Corridor Project. The existing Gansu World Bank Projects Implementation Office (GPIO) in the Gansu Bureau of Finance, serving as an executive arm of GWBPIC, will assume overall financial responsibility in project funding, including applying for reimbursement of project expenditures from the Bank/IDA. The general organization of the project is shown in Chart 1. 4.2 PMB, with status of a provincial bureau, will have eight departments: general administration; finance; engineering and infrastructure; settlement and social services; agroeconomic development; monitoring and evaluation; procurement and supplies, and a representative office in Lanzhou. The total staff establishment is estimated at 100 persons. Three advisory or consultative bodies would also be established to advise PMB on project implementation specifics. These bodies are: (a) Panel of Experts. The panel would consist of senior experienced technical experts, reputed institutions of higher learning, and research centers, within Gansu Province or in the country, of various disciplines to advise PMB on specific technical issues or problems as the needs arise. PMB would maintain a list of panel experts and institutions updated periodically. (b) Local Government Consultative Committee (LGCC). Comprising local government representatives from Jiuquan Prefecture, Yumen City and Township, and Anxi County, LGCC will meet regularly with PMB for consultation on project proposals for their respective constituents, exercise the participatory role and provide the contribution required by and of the constituent governments in project implementation. The LGCC will also liaise closely with county/city project leading groups and project management offices on the land settlement programs. (c) Settlement Advisory and Coordination Committee (SACC). The land settlement of 54,600 ha newly irrigated land with 200,000 persons would involve 11 emigrating counties from central and southeast Gansu and the - 42 - hosts-Yumen City and Township, Anxi County and Jiuquan Prefecture. To ensure a participatory role of the stakeholders in the successful emigration and settlement, SACC, comprising representatives from provincial bureaus of Civil Affairs, Ethnic Affairs, Poverty Alleviation and State Farms, Lanzhou University, local governmnent representatives from Jiuquan, Ganan, Dingxi, Linxia and Longnan prefectures, the 11 emigrating counties and the host Anxi County and Yumen City governments in Hexi, will advise PMB and its Settlement and Social Services Department on the detailed planning, design and program implementation of the land settlement component. For impartiality, the SACC would be chaired by a person nominated by Gansu Provincial Government, and assisted by two vice chairmen, one representing the emigrating county governments and the other the host governments in Hexi. Each chairman of the 11 County Emigration and Settlement Leading Groups (CESLG) will be a member of the SACC. (d) County Emigration and Settlement Leading Group (CESLG). Each of the 11 emigrating counties would establish a CESLG chaired by the county or deputy county chief with heads of the township emigration/ settlement groups as members. The CESLGs would: (i) plan and oversee implementation of the emigration/settlement programs carried out by the county Settlement Offices; (ii) approve settler households processed and recommended by the Village Settlement Groups and township governments; (iii) coordinate, through SACC, with PMB the annual budgets and programs for emigration and settlement, and the follow-up on the welfare of those emigrated and settled; and (iv) plan and oversee rehabilitation and restoration of the environmentally degraded areas after the people have emigrated. (e) Project Implementation Leading Groups (PILGs). At city, county and state farm level, PILGs would be established to organize and oversee implementation of project works and activities contracted with PMB. The PILGs would liaise closely with LGCC and SACC on their needs in formulating the annual plan and work programs to be prepared by PMB. The PILGs would be assisted by respective project management offices to be established. 4.3 The PMB, Panel of Experts, LGCC, SACC, CESLGs and PILGs were established prior to project negotiations. During negotiations, assurances were obtained from Gansu Province that these entities would be maintained with terms of reference, staffing and other resources acceptable to the Bank/IDA. - 43 - B. FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 4.4 Flow of Bank/IDA Funds. Assurances were obtained at negotiations that the Borrower would make the proceeds of the Bank Loan and IDA Credit available to Gansu Province for 20 years including 5 years' grace for the Loan and 7 years for the Credit with interest at the same rates charged by the BanklIDA for the Loan and the Credit. Gansu Provincial Government has designated Gansu Provincial Bureau of Water Resources (GBWR) as the "owner" of the project to be responsible for the cost recovery, repayment of Bank loan and credit, and the foreign exchange risk. Part of the Bank/IDA funds will be paid directly to contractors for civil works and suppliers of goods under ICB contracts on request by GPIO. A small portion of funds will be used to cover the costs of training and technical assistance. The remaining funds will be disbursed against local expenditures for civil works, on-farm works, land reclamation and settlement, livestock, afforestation and goods procured locally through NCB, force account works and shopping. 4.5 Sources and Flow of Domestic Funds. Domestic funds, which will finance about 42 percent of the project costs, will be contributed by various sources as sunmmarized in Annex B Table 11. Project beneficiaries will also contribute both self- raised funds and labor for earthwork construction. Understandings were obtained from the Borrower and Gansu Province that these sources of domestic funds are firm and committed. 4.6 Terms and Conditions of Bank Loan/IDA Credit. A Project Agreement will be signed between the Bank/IDA and Gansu Province incorporating the above agreements. C. EXECUTION AND SUPERVISION OF PROJECT WORKS 4.7 Execution. Planning, designs and execution of major civil works contracts on Changma Dam, New Trunk Canal and the main canal extension and improvements in the three irrigation areas will be undertaken by Gansu Bureau of Water Resources (GBWR) through a full-time unit responsible to PMB. Other civil works including on-farm facilities will be executed by Yumen Township Water Conservancy Department (YTWCD) coordinated by this unit. Similarly, crop production, livestock and afforestation will be executed by the provincial/prefecture/county technical bureaus and departments concerned and coordinated by project units under PMB. The land settlement will be executed by the respective existing county settlement offices in the I I emigrating counties, Anxi County and Yumen City, and coordinated by the Settlement and Social Services Division (SSSD) under PMB. 4.8 Supervision. Day-to-day supervision of project works will be accomplished by implementing departments. For Changma Dam, GBWR will engage consultants acceptable to the Bank/IDA to assist GBWR in the supervision of civil works construction under ICB contract. To supplement the Bank/IDA supervision, PMB will, from time to time, engage local experts from the Panel of Experts to supervise the progress of various project components. PMB will furnish the findings and - 44 - recommendations of these experts to the Bank/IDA. The respective provincial technical bureaus/departments will undertake supervision of works based on annual work programs planned and agreed by PMB. SSSD, in collaboration with CESLGs, will supervise the annual emigration and settlement programs to be executed by the county settlement offices. D. PROJECT LAUNCH WORKSHOP 4.9 To facilitate project implementation, the Bank/IDA in collaboration with the Ministry of Finance will conduct a project launch workshop in Lanzhou in May 1996 for the staff of GPIO, PMB and project county/city implementing agencies. The objectives of the workshop will be to clarify the role and responsibilities of PMB and its various departments, and entities of local governments in project implementation. Other topics to be included will be: (a) procurement (based on the new guidelines of January 1995) and disbursement; (b) project accounts and annual auditing; (c) monitoring and evaluation; and (d) recordkeeping and reporting. Experienced staff from other Bank-financed projects would be invited to the workshop to share their experience. E. EMIGRATION AND LAND SETTLEMENT MANAGEMENT 4.10 Effective and efficient management will be needed to ensure successful emigration and settlement of the planned 200,000 people. PMB, in consultation with SACC, CESLG and LGCC, will plan detailed annual emigration and settlement programs based on the approved Land Settlement Master Plan for approval by GWBPIC. The approved programs will then be suballocated to the respective emigrating counties for execution by the county settlement offices. PMB, through its SSSD and the Monitoring and Evaluation Division, will supervise and monitor the implementation progress. For implementation coordination between the 11 emigrating counties and the host county/city of Anxi and Yumen, PMB will resolve any issues jointly through meetings held at regular intervals with SACC, CESLG and LGCC. To strengthen SSSD under PMB, some experienced staff from the Two Xi Commission will be seconded to SSSD to form its core staff. The overall organizational and management structure for emigration and land settlement is shown in Chart 2. F. OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE OF PROJECT WORKS 4.11 A new Shule River Basin Water Resources Management Bureau (SRWRMB) will be established at Yumen Township not later than December 31, 1998 to be responsible for the overall basinwide water resource planning, development, operation and management in the Shule River Basin. SRWRMB will be established by Gansu Provincial Government and given appropriate regulatory power under the Water Laws. This is to ensure efficient water control and dispatch of the main and secondary irrigation systems transcending county administrative boundaries. The existing three operation and maintenance (O&M) offices, the Anxi County Water Conservancy Office operating and maintaining the Shuangta Irrigation Area, the Yumen City Office for the Huahai Irrigation Area, and the Shule River Irrigation Management Office operating the trunk - 45 - canals and the Changma Irrigation Area, will be consolidated and placed under SRWRMB. The proposed new organizational structure for operation and maintenance is shown in Chart 3. SRWRMB will prepare a plan for the overall O&M of the completed irrigation works covering the three irrigation areas and submit the plan to the Bank/IDA for review not later than December 31, 1999, and carry out O&M of the irrigation works based on the operation and maintenance plan reviewed and agreed by the Bank/IDA. 4.12 To provide an effective means for efficient irrigation water control, dispatch and management, a monitoring system will be constructed with a network of telemetricJ communication stations covering the whole irrigation area to collect and transmit data to the center in SRWRMB for computerized simulation (or optimization) of control and distribution of irrigation water. This monitoring system would play a major role in assisting management in deriving decision rules for operation of the irrigation system and for drought crisis management. Details of the system are summarized in Annex G. 4.13 To sustain the required operation and maintenance of irrigation works, annual water fees will be collected from the users in the project area. Current irrigation water rates range from Y 0.015 to Y 0.03 per m3. Based on the projected production cost per unit of water, these rates would be revised after 1999, taking into consideration the inflationary increase in cost, and to be imposed upon completion of irrigation facilities in each main canal command area. The revenue collected is expected to cover at least the full annual operation and maintenance costs, but not the depreciation costs. 4.14 At negotiations, assurances were obtainedfrom Gansu Province that SRWPMB will (a) be established not later than December 31, 1998 with terms of reference, staffing and other resources acceptable to the Bank/IDA; (b) prepare and submit to the Bank/IDA a plan for operation and maintenance of the whole irrigation area for review not later than December 31, 1999 and carry out the required annual operation and maintenance for the completed irrigation works, taking into account the Bank's/IDA's comments; (c) collect irrigation water rates upon completion of irrigation facilities in each main canal command area at levels adequate to meet at least the full annual operation and maintenance costs of completed irrigation works and the cost of replacing their structures; and (d) furnish to the Bank./IDA not later than December 31, 1999, the proposed schedule of such water rates to be established and collected. G. MANAGEMENT OF PRODUCTION ACTIVITIES 4.15 Technical supervision of livestock, forestry and agroforestry production would be provided by supervising units or groups to be established within the bureaus concerned at county and township levels under the guidance of prefecture and provincial departrnents. PMB would oversee and monitor the progress and performance of the agreed annual programs. - 46 - H. MONITORING, EVALUATION AND REPORTING 4.16 The monitoring of project performance and impact has been discussed with Gansu Province. A Monitoring and Evaluation Division (MED) will be established under PMB to coordinate the monitoring and evaluation of the project's progress, performance and impacts of various subcomponents to be carried out by assigned technical departments. There will be three subprograms for monitoring and evaluation (see below) by assigned technical departments. In addition, MED will undertake the overall monitoring of physical and financial progress of project implementation and prepare consolidated reports for submission to project management and the Bank. Project staff in MED would be trained on the collection of data, their analysis and evaluation, and reporting. (a) Involuntary Resettlement for Changma Reservoir: The National Research Center for Resettlement (NRCR) of Hehai University in Nanjing, in collaboration with Gansu Design Institute, will monitor and evaluate annually the socioeconomic well-being of 131 families (566 persons) relocated by the construction of the Changma Reservoir and resettled in the Huahai Irrigation Area. The monitoring and evaluation would be initially for four to five years or until the relocatees have achieved at least current livelihood levels. MED will coordinate with NRCR for the timely monitoring and dissemination of findings, which will be forwarded directly to the Bank, and recommendations for any follow- up action required by the project management. (b) Voluntary Emigration and Land Settlement: Over a 10-year period of settlement implementation, the Population Research Institute of Northwest China, Lanzhou University will undertake the monitoring and evaluation of the new migrants settled in the project area. An aggregate of 10 percent of the migrant households will be surveyed each year. Results will be forwarded directly to MED and the Bank. More details of the monitoring parameters and targets are given in Annex F. The monitoring and evaluation would not only establish a comprehensive database of the migrant settlers and provide valuable information on socioeconomic impacts, but also identify any specific deficiencies in the settlement programs affecting the settlers. This would enable the project management to take timely remedial actions or to design improvements to the programs for the coming years. (c) Environmental Monitoring of Land & Water Resources: A long-term basinwide eco-environmental monitoring will be carried out by existing county, city and prefecture environmental protection agencies in the Hexi Corridor, supported by local specialist consultants, to evaluate the long- term impacts on land and water resources, and the ecosystem, resulting from implementation of the project. Details of the monitoring are given in Annex D on the Environmental Action Plan. The project would - 47 - strengthen and support the institutional capacity and capability of various local environmental units to carry out the monitoring and analytical work. (d) Physical and Financial Progress of Project Implementation: MED will collate progress reports from the respective technical bureaus and units implementing the project components to compile into the overall physical and financial progress report for the project. Physical reports will include quantities of work completed, as well as machinery, equipment and materials procured and used. Financial reports will detail all project expenditures, amount and value of contributed labor, and supporting documents for disbursement from Loan/Credit proceeds. MED will compile the progress report semiannually for review by PMB and subsequent submission to the Bank through GPIO by July 31 and January 31 of each year, for the previous half-year periods. 4.17 The monitoring of performance indicators and impacts for the above four monitoring programs are given in Annex H. At negotiations, assurances were obtained from Gansu Province that it would: (a) carry out periodic monitoring of project performance and impacts based on indicators discussed, and furnish the results to the Bank/IDA at agreed intervals; and (b) prepare andfurnish to the Bank/IDA semiannual reports of the project's physical and financial progress by July 31 and January 31 of each year, for the previous half-year periods. - 48 - 5. PRODUCTION, MARKETS AND PRICES A. PRODUCTION 5.1 Crop production is expected to increase significantly by the time the project reaches its full development year (beginning Year 18) due to improved and expanded irrigation and drainage facilities, increase in irrigated area and improved agricultural support services. The incremental cropped areas and production of various crops are given in Annex C Table 3(a) to 3(d). 5.2 The total grain production is projected to increase from 111,040 tons (without project) to 315,480 tons (with project) with an increment of 204,440 tons or 184 percent of the without-project scenario. Major increases in commodity crop production projected include: 6,875 tons cotton, 8,220 tons oil crops, 46,800 tons sugarbeet, 2,635 tons black melon seed, 42,100 tons melons, 34,230 tons various vegetables, and 1,010 tons hops. The total incremental production value is estimated at Y 584 million; Y 313 million for grain crops and Y 271 million for commodity crops. The increased production of various crops would also provide substantial increase in crop residues and forage (Y 72 million in value), which would be used as coarse feed for livestock production. 5.3 The main incremental annual livestock products projected at full development (beginning Year 22) are: 40 tons alfalfa seed, 126,650 tons alfalfa hay, 820,680 broiler/ layer chicken, 1,010 tons commercial egg, 676,000 egg for hatching layer chicks, 2.1 tons wool, and seed stock of 32,600 chicks, 124 calves, 686 sheep, 3,010 breeding pigs and 20,100 piglets. The total output value is estimated at about Y 59.3 million. 5.4 The forestry and agroforestry component would produce annually about 14,440 tons of fuelwood during Year 1-10, 16,220 tons (commencing about year 15) and 24,780 tons at full development (Year 26), 2 million saplings for nursery, 71,230 poplar poles, 25,000 m3 of timber (commencing about Year 20) and about 62,670 tons of fruits (commencing about Year 10), with a total value of Y 99.6 million against current output value of about Y 3.0 million. B. MARKETS 5.5 As Gansu Province is deficit in grain production, the increased grain production will be absorbed by local markets within the province to offset about three fifths of the projected foodgrain deficit. Currently, China produces only about 4.0 million tons of cotton to meet her demand of about 5.0 million tons, and Gansu produces 18,000 tons against demand of 23,000 tons. The increased production of 6,875 tons cotton under the project would be completely procured by the State. The increased production of 46,800 tons of sugarbeet would be processed by the surplus processing capacity within the province to meet national and provincial shortages of sugar, currently estimated at about - 49 - 700,000 tons. Hops (particularly in pelletized form) is in big demand by overseas and local beer breweries. The increased production of hops will be readily absorbed by the local and national markets. The increased production of livestock and forestry products would be absorbed mainly by local markets in the project area and within the province. 5.6 The existing marketing channels operated by the national commerce departments, supply and marketing cooperatives, supplemented by cooperatives, household groups and individual traders, offer very competitive markets for agricultural produce. Farmers would be able to obtain market prices, and this would provide incentives for increased production. The future market in the project area is expected to expand with the improvement of the transportation network, especially the National Highway No. 312 and the Lanzhou-Xinjiang Dual-track Railway passing through the project area. C. PRICES 5.7 At present the prices of agricultural products in the project area, except for cotton and tobacco, are free-market prices or coexist with a free-market price. State procurement prices consist of a ceiling and floor guaranteed price. In general, all direct government subsidies have been eliminated. 5.8 In Hexi Corridor output prices have risen steadily for the past several years. From 1985 to 1993, the crop purchasing price index rose 73, 74, 82 and 117 percent for grain, oil, cotton, and vegetables, respectively. From 1993 to 1994 the official guaranteed price rose about 25 percent for grain (Y0.8/kg to Y 1/kg), and 21.1 percent for cotton (Y 6.6/kg to Y 8/kg). The unit prices of vegetables, fruits, and meats also increased. Recent increases brought the official grain price close to the local open-market price, and also close to world prices adjusted to the farm level. Local market prices in 1995 have been increased about 23 percent for wheat (Y 1.3/kg to Y 1.6/kg), 50 percent for cotton (Y 8/kg to Y 12/kg), 30 percent for melon seed, and 30 percent for beets from 1994. Prices are expected to continue rising due to the higher incomes and demand in the project area and surrounding industrial and urban growth centers. 5.9 Presently, farrners procure inputs at market prices. These prices are about 15-25 percent higher than the formerly subsidized prices. From 1993 to 1994 the price rose about 29 percent for urea, 14 percent for phosphate fertilizer, and 30 percent for agricultural chemicals. In 1995 the price for nitrogen fertilizer increased by about 29 percent from 1994 in the project area. 5.10 Prices Used in Analysis. Input and output prices used in the crop budgets for financial analysis of the project components are either 1995 average free-market prices or official prices, and are based on data provided by the project authorities. These prices are summarized in Annex C Table 1. For economic analysis, World Bank commodity price projections have been used to calculate the farm-gate value of wheat, maize, soybean, cotton, chicken, pork, and urea, with appropriate adjustments for domestic and international transport and handling costs. The economic value of most other farm inputs and outputs was considered either equivalent to the financial price or adjusted by the standard conversion factor. Detailed calculations are shown in Annex C Table 2. - 50 - 6. BENEFITS, JUSTIFICATION AND RISKS A. BENEFITS 6.1 The most important of all benefits is the alleviation of absolute poverty of 200,000 poor farmers from subsistence farming to self-sufficiency in food and basic needs, and then ultimately to become moderate- to high-income farmers. The migrant households would also enjoy better standards of living and higher quality of life in the new settlements.'6 6.2 The increased production of foodgrain, commodity crops and livestock products (Annex&.. Table 3a-3e) will ease current shortages in the Province, especially of foodgrain, import of which will be reduced by three-fifths. With emigration and settlement on the newly irrigated land, the 200,000 poor farmers would be self-sufficient in food and basic needs, and no longer dependent on government relief. With the out- migration there would be reduction of population pressure on marginal land in source areas and this would facilitate more rational use of natural resources and higher productivity per capita. The other significant intangible benefit is the protection and enhancement of the fragile eco-environmental system of the projec, area through the planned afforestation and rational use of land and water resources. 6.3 The project would generate a total of about 112.3 GWh/year hydroelectric power, which would be fed into the local grid to alleviate the current power shortages. The Changma Reservoir would increase the industrial water supply to 83 Mm3/year. The project would also stimulate and promote economic growth in the two project counties through creation of 16 new townships and 160 villages to accommodate the 200,000 migrant population. The projected agricultural production, including that of livestock and forestry, would turn the project area into a major grain and commodity crops production base in the province, providing the essential raw materials for township and village enterprises, and generating employment opportunities in the service sector as well. B. EMPLOYMENT AND INCOMES 6.4 Employment. During project implementation, some 29.6 million worker-days would be required for the construction of Changma Dam and the irrigation systems; 17.5 million for land settlement; 1.7 million for agricultural development; and 3.0 million for other activities. The required labor would be provided mainly by the new migrant settlers 16 While all costs of migration and settlement have been included in rate of return calculations of the project, no benefits of improved housing and social services for settlers have been quantified. - 51 - and the local population, and the rest from other neighboring counties and within the province. Some skilled workers will be provided by construction contractors from outside the province. After the project is completed, some 14 million worker-days of regular employment would be created; 12 million in crop production and agricultural support services; 0.7 million in livestock production; 1.0 million in forestry and agroforestry; 0.3 million in operation and maintenance of irrigation and power systems. Numerous undetermined jobs would also be created by rural, township and village enterprises in the new 16 townships and 160 villages to be created by land settlement. 6.5 Incomes. Per capita incomes of the majority of the households from the 11 emigrating counties are currently below the poverty line (Y 400 per capita income), varying from Y 188 to Y 365 (see Annex F Table 2) with an overall average of Y 290 for the 11 counties, below the absolute poverty level of Y 300. The farm model analysis shows substantial increase in migrants' income with the comprehensive improvement in irrigation and drainage, crop, livestock and forestry production, and agricultural support and agrimachinery service. Several items have been considered to calculate and assess the impacts on typical household income, such as various incremental taxes (agricultural tax, special product tax and fee, etc.); the project loan repayment (including farmer labor contribution requirement allocated to each household); and an incremental water charge that will cover the full operation and maintenance costs for the new and rehabilitated irrigation and drainage system. Charges for additional (1.5 to 2 mu per capita) leased cultivated land will be waived for the first three years. It will be charged at Y 50/mu in the fourth through sixth years and Y 100/mu following the seventh year after immigration. The standard charge for these items is presented in the typical household farm model (see Annex C Table 4). 6.6 Many farm households were surveyed in the project area to represent typical beneficiary families. The representative farm households were selected in three irrigation areas based on specialized livestock production, and crop production technologies with different cropping area. Three counties were selected among the 11 emigrating counties to derive detailed income and expenditure data in the model: Jishishan, representing a minority area, cold climate, high altitude, and a relatively high income; Lixian, also representing a cold climate and high altitude but with mid-level income for this poverty area; and Yongjin, representing an arid, centrally located, relatively poor area. The net incomes of migrant households who adopted improved or new technologies under the project would increase substantially. The farm models indicate that the project would increase farm household income from Y 729-1,382 currently to Y 4,884-4,897 in year 10 in Changma, Y 1,600 to Y 6,500 in Shuangta, and Y 12,000 to Y 15,900 in Huahai."7 In addition, migrant household income with specialized livestock production will increase from Y 1,357 to Y 8,144 with cattle production, and Y 12,592 with sheep production 17 The higher incomes referred to relocatees from Changma village to Huahai new irrigation area affected by the construction of the Changma Reservoir. Their present incomes are comparatively high due to incomes derived from rearing of large herds of livestock. - 52 - 6.7 The summary table of migrant household net incomes in each subproject area is presented in Annex C Table 5. It shows the annual average real growth rate of household income at 3 to 25 percent through year 10, and 3.3 to 14 percent through year 20 for various forms of specialized production. C. COST RECOVERY AND REPAYMENT 6.8 Cost recovery for the project will take several forms. Farners will pay the full cost of some agricultural inputs and services, i.e., seeds, tree saplings, livestock,"8 agricultural machinery services. The investment cost in irrigation will be recovered through labor contributions for construction, operation and maintenance, and through increases in irrigation water charges (para. 4.13) to meet at least the full annual O&M costs. 6.9 The Gansu Government proposes to recover some capital costs from the migrant settlers through rent for lease of an additional 1.5 to 2 mu per capita of newly developed irrigated land (para. 3.27). The rent amount is estimated at Y 1.5 billion for 370,000 mu over a 20-year period. The net increase in agricultural taxes'9 (comprising normal agricultural tax plus 8 percent tax of local product value) at full development is projected to be about Y 23.65 million/year. Part of this additional revenue (60 percent) will be used for project repayment. The estimated Y 60/year/person saving by provincial government on reduction of poverty interventions and providing grain and other social relief to 200,000 people as a result of emigration and settlement would amount to about Y 120 million over a 10-year period. This amount would also be used for loan/credit repayment. D. FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC ANALYSES Financial Analysis 6.10 Financial analyses for the principal components were based on detailed crop budgets prepared for the annual and perennial crops, reflecting representative scenarios in each component and subproject. Selected crop budgets for wheat, corn and cotton are given in Annex C Table 6a to 6e. Given the price and cost structures in each subproject area, as well as the objective of the project, rates of return for all components are acceptable. The FIRRs on individual components ranged from 12.1 (Changma Irrigation 18 The veterinary service charges proposed are: (a) Epidemic Prevention: Sheep/goat Y 1.50/head, pig Y 1.0/head, chicken Y 0.10/bird; (b) Diagnosis/Treatment: Large animal Y 1.50/head, Small animal Y 1.0/head; (c) Castration: Horse Y 20/head; Cattle Y 15/head; Sow/Boar Y 1.5-Y 1.0/head; Sheep/Goat Y 1.0/head; (d) Insemination: Cattle Y 30/head; Pig Y 15/head; Sheep/Goat Y 1.50/head. 19 After considering exemption of payment by new migrant settlers for the initial three years under the preferential policy for new migrants settling under the project. - 53 - Area) to 26.2 percent (Parent Layer Chicks Farm). The overall irrigation/drainage component FIRR is 15.6; ranging from 12.1 in Changma to 17.2 in Shuangta and to 12.3 percent in Huahai. 6.11 The FIRR on forestry components ranged from 12.5 to 21 percent, depending on the kind of trees. The fuelwood forest is 13.3 percent, nursery 16.6 percent, and orchard 21 percent, while the lowest rate, 12.5 percent, occurs for planting of protection forestry. The latter does not always pay in the short run, although it is a critical element in the comprehensive protection and conservation of the ecosystem. 6.12 The FIRR for the grassland and livestock subproject is 19.6 percent, 18.7 percent is for pasture improvement, 17.9 percent for forage seed production base, 24.4 percent for the livestock production base, 12.5 to 16.2 percent for lean pork and sow breeding farms, and 26.2 to 14.3 percent for poultry (layer/broiler) breeding farms. The detailed tables showing financial rates of return are attached in Annex C Table 7a and 7b. Assumptions for Economic Analysis 6.13 Economic analysis was done on the major components (irrigation and drainage, forestry, grassland and livestock) and for the project as a whole. World Bank price projections or export prices actually realized in China were used to estimate farm-gate prices in 1995 constant terms for traded inputs and outputs. The standard conversion factor of I was applied to all nontraded items. Conversion factors for investment cost items are listed in Annex C Table 8. All economic values were converted to local currency at the prevailing official exchange rate of Y 8.4 to $1.0, and a discount rate of 12 percent was used to approximate the opportunity cost of capital in China. All project costs, including project investment and production costs, working capital and physical contingencies, have been considered in estimating the economic costs of the project, but price contingencies, interest, and taxes were omitted. Economic and Sensitivity Analysis 6.14 Based on the above assumptions and comparing costs and benefits over a period of 30 years, the economic internal rates of return (EIRRs) for selected components range between 18.2 percent (for irrigation and drainage component) to 29.1 percent (for livestock development component), depending on the assumed cropping and activity pattern, the size of the irrigation and planted area, and the investment cost. The estimation of economic costs and benefits of the project accounted for project investment, migrants' subsidies, farm production cost, and all incremental migrant household income from crop, forestry, and livestock production. The overall project EIRR is 18.8 percent with a net present value of about Y 774.1 million (Annex C Table 9). The results of the economic analysis are summarized in Table 6.1. If the assumed crop yields take 10 years (instead of 7 years) to reach stable stage, the overall EIRR will be reduced to 17.1 percent with a net present value of Y 587.4 million (see Table 6.2). - 54 - 6.15 Sensitivity analysis of the ERRs for each of the project components was carried out with switching values to identify levels at which the project would become economically nonviable, and how far the total costs including the operation input cost and investment cost could rise or benefits (the yield or output price) could fall. Table 6.1 shows that the overall project is not rendered unprofitable by significant changes in cost or benefits. Benefits will need to be 26 percent lower than estimated or incremental costs 34 percent higher before the EIRR will fall to 12 percent. The detailed sensitivity analyses can be found in the project files. E. RIsKS 6.16 The project risks have been identified and analyzed. Measures have also been incorporated in the project to minimize their effect. The major risks associated with the project are: (a) potential increased salinity in the Shuangta Reservoir water due to leaching and drainage from accelerating upstream reclamation of salinized land; (b) natural disasters of drought, scorching heat waves and sand storms; (c) delay in achieving the stable crop yields assumed at the eighth year for reclaimed land; (d) reduced benefits from lower canal system efficiency; and (e) delay of project implementation due to slow and poor performance of land settlement, and lack of inadequate institutional and financial support. These risks were evaluated with sensitivity analyses on a variety of data and assumptions required for the estimation of EIRR. The results shows that, even with consideration of the risks mentioned above, the estimated EIRRs are higher than the assumed minimum rate (12 percent). Further, measures have been taken to reduce these risks. Table 10 (AnnexC) summarizes the sensitivity analysis for the risks that were quantified. - 55 - TABLE 6.1: FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC RATES OF RETURN AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS (8-YEAR SCENARIO) Switch Switch Component Name FIRR NPV EIRR NPV Valuelb Value /L (%/6) (Y million) (°/0) (Y million) (°/O) (°/) Irrigation and Drainage Changma Irrigation Area 12.1 6.6 15.8 227.5 17.9 21.8 Shuangta Irrigation Area 17.2 163.4 23.4 319.7 35.3 54.5 Huahai Irrigation Area 12.3 3.5 18.0 72.5 22.0 28.3 Subtotal 15.6 173.4 18.2 619.7 26.0 34.0 Forestry Development Protection Forestry 12.5 0.5 14.7 3.0 25.0 33.4 Fuel Wood Forestry 13.3 0.1 17.0 0.5 11.0 12.4 Agroforestry La 21.0 77.7 22.8 91.4 49.3 97.1 Nursery 16.6 0.7 20.5 1.1 19.5 24.2 Subtotal 19.5 79.0 21.4 96.0 45.5 U3.6 Livestock Development Pasture Improvement 18.7 23.7 29.5 42.8 11.4 12.9 Forage Seed Production Base 17.9 0.6 21.2 0.8 31.7 46.4 Parent Layer Egg Chicks Farm 26.2 2.2 31.5 2.2 37.8 60.7 Parent Layer Meat Chicks Fasnn 14.3 0.2 15.0 0.3 14.9 17.6 Breeding Pig (lean pork) Farm 12.5 0.0 12.5 0.0 9.3 10.3 Breeding Pig (sow) Farm 16.2 1.2 22.4 1.2 17.7 21.5 Livestock Production Base 24.4 11.7 37.0 10.8 7.0 8.0 Subtotal 19.6 39.5 29.1 58.0 16.0 19.0 Total Project 16.5 291.9 18.8 774.1 26.0 34.0 La Household fruit trees and orchards. & Percentage change of reduced benefits to reduce EIRR to 12 percent. Lr Percentage change of increased total cost to reduce EIRR to 12 percent. - 56 - TABLE 6.2: FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC RATES OF RETURN AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS (11-YEAR SCENARIO) Switch Switch Component Name FIRR NPV EIRR NPV Value /b Value L (%) (Y million) (%) (Y million) (%) (%) Irrigation and Drainage Changma Irrigation Area 10.9 -67.9 14.4 143.6 12.0 13.7 Shuangta Irrigation Area 15.4 105.6 21.1 255.0 30.0 43.0 Huahai Irrigation Area 9.8 -29.6 14.8 34.3 11.4 12.9 Subtotal 13.8 8.1 16.3 433.0 20.0 25.0 Forestry Development Protection Forestry 12.5 0.5 14.7 3.0 25.0 33.4 Fuel Wood Forestry 13.3 0.1 17.0 0.5 11.0 12.4 AgroforestryLa 21.0 77.7 22.8 91.4 49.3 97.1 Nursery 16.6 0.7 20.5 1.1 19.5 24.2 Subtotal 19.5 79.0 21.4 96.0 45.5 83.6 Livestock Development Pasture Improvement 18.7 23.7 29.5 42.8 11.4 12.9 Forage Seed Production Base 17.9 0.6 21.2 0.8 31.7 46.4 Parent Layer Egg Chicks Farm 26.2 2.2 31.5 2.2 37.8 60.7 Parent Layer Meat Chicks Farm 14.3 0.2 15.0 0.3 14.9 17.6 Breeding Pig (lean pork) Farrn 12.5 0.0 12.5 0.0 9.3 10.3 Breeding Pig (sow) Farrn 16.2 1.2 22.4 1.2 17.7 21.5 Livestock Production Base 24.4 11.7 37.0 10.8 7.0 8.0 Subtotal 19.6 39.5 29.1 58.0 16.0 19.0 Total Project 14.9 126.6 17.1 587.4 20.0 26.0 la Household fruit trees and orchards. lb Percentage change of reduced benefits to reduce EIRR to 12 percent. Lc Percentage change of increased total cost to reduce EIRR to 12 percent. 6.17 Increased Salinity in Shuangta Reservoir. There is a potential increase in salinity in the Shuangta Reservoir water due to planned upstream reclamation of salinized soils drained by the stretch of the Shule River from Qiduntang to Bulunji of Changma Irrigation District. The water quality, as defined by mineral content, deteriorates somewhat after leaving the Shuangta Reservoir. A forecast of water quality, based on a linear mixing basic model with a water balance regulation calculation, shows that the mineralization level of Shuangta Reservoir can meet acceptable standards for farm irrigation water (less than 2 grams/liter) only if the period of land reclamation is more than 10 years (8-, 10- and 12-year periods were considered). If the period of land reclamation is less than 10 years, the water quality will have some impact on crop yield, mainly affecting wheat, barley, beans, and vegetables during July-August irrigation. Local experimental data shows that crop yields will be reduced by about 5 percent on - 57 - average. The risk from high mineralization (over 2 grams minerals/liter) has been estimated to reduce crop yields by 5 percent (for crops mentioned above) in Shuangta Area for a 10-year reclamation period in Changma Irrigation Area. The analysis shows that the EIRR for the Shuangta component would fall from 23.4 in the base model to 18.1 should this actually occur. However, the PMO has proposed the following measures to ensure Shuangta Reservoir will conform to the irrigation water quality standard: (a) adopt a phased 10-year plan (1996-2005) for land reclamation and salt leaching; (b) timing of land reclamation and salt leaching with high stage flow of Shule River; (c) closely monitor the mineral content of leaching water flowing into and out of the reservoir, and adjust land reclamation accordingly. 6.18 Natural Disasters. According to the water balance calculation over the 41 years of available hydrologic data (1952-93), and local meteorological statistics from the agricultural department of Yumen and Anxi, there is a drought (P=75%) every four to five years, and localized scorching heat waves or damaging sand storms about once in five to six years. During the drought years, the area (about 60,000 ha) may face water deficit (annual average about 73.6 million mi3) between April and June. This would reduce mainly yields of wheat and barley by 5 to 10 percent through reduced irrigation water supplied. Impact on other crops will be minimum. The scorching heat waves would also mainly reduce crop yield of wheat and barley by about 5 to 10 percent in average, although the effect on barley is somewhat less. Reduced yields of 8 and 7 percent for wheat and barley once every four years for drought, and every five years for heat waves have been adopted in the risk analyses over the 30-year life span for the project. This reduces the EIRR of the irrigation and drainage component from 18.2 percent of the base model to 17.2 percent, and net present value from Y 619.7 million to Y 525 million. The measures adopted to minimize the risks would include: (a) establishing primary protecting forestry belts at the fringes of irrigation districts and on-farm shelter belts and windbreaks; (b) promoting and extending water-saving irrigation technology; (c) conjunctive use of available groundwater with surface water, and (d) using computerized optimization modeling techniques provided for the irrigation system for drought crisis management. 6.19 Stable Yields Delayed. There is also a risk that crop yields assumed in the base model would not be stabilized within eight years of land reclamation and cultivation. Delay might arise due to lack of experience of new migrant farmers with irrigated agriculture, slow improvement of land reclaimed and soil amelioration, compounded by - 58 - the harsh natural elements. The EIRR is recalculated for this risk by assuming a conservative crop yield, which increases gradually in the first 3 years, and reaches the stable path after 11 years based on the yield decrease of 5 to 20 percent for different crops in the stable year. This reduces the EIRR of the irrigation and drainage component from 18.2 percent to 16.3 percent. 6.20 Reduced Benefits from Lower Canal System Efficiency. With the irrigation improvement and new construction the overall canal system efficiency would increase from 50 percent to 62 percent, which is the designed efficiency used in determining the irrigation supply and demand under the project. Given the importance of land settlement in this project, the efficiency is a key factor in determining the amount of new land that can be developed for irrigation and, therefore, the number of settlers. Since canal system efficiency is influenced by the size of the irrigation scheme, topography and soil conditions, extent of canal lining, quality of construction, and standard of operation and maintenance, the risk of not achieving the designed 62 percent efficiency exist. Risk and sensitivity analyses have been conducted for a range of lower efficiency values (55 percent and 60 percent) evaluated against the projected benefits and the actual efficiency achieved and monitored. The EIRR was recalculated by assuming a set of lower irrigation efficiency value (55 percent and 60 percent), which would reduce irrigation water supply by 121.8 and 31.9 Mm3, respectively. An optimal cropping pattern (based on 55 percent efficiency), which jointly optimized irrigation and settlement benefits (to minimize the benefits lost in agricultural production while ensuring self-sufficiency for the 200,000 settlers), would retain the irrigation area for all single-cropped areas (grain, fruit and cash crops), and reduce the irrigation area for pasture (from 11,060 ha to 4,000 ha) and some multiple cropping areas. This would reduce the EIRR of the livestock component from 29 percent of the base model to 13.6 percent, and net present value from about Y 58 million to Y 5 million. For the whole project, the results are less sensitive to the reduced canal system efficiency. At 55 percent canal efficiency, the EIRR would fall from 18.8 percent to 18.3 percent, and the net present value from Y 774 million to Y 721 million. Impact of 60 percent canal efficiency would be even less. However, the risk of reduced efficiency would be minimized through the extensive construction of canal linings throughout the canal network, improved system operation and maintenance, and establishment of a computerized system for monitoring, simulating and dispatching of irrigation water. In addition, the canal efficiency would also be progressively monitored and evaluated with completion of the irrigation facilities. The results would be reviewed during the interim project implementation review to be carried out in 2000 and 2003, and changes would be made to project design, if deemed necessary. 6.21 Resources and Institutional Capacity. The other substantial risks that could delay implementation of land settlement are: (a) lack of timely and adequate counterpart funds to finance project activities; (b) inadequate institutional capacity for project implementation; or (c) settlers give up and return to their original place. - 59 - Financial requirements for voluntary emigration and land settlement of 200,000 persons would be very large and concentrated in a few later years due to rapid implementation. Any shortages of counterpart funds would substantially slow implementation and delay benefits. The associated risks arising from delay in project implementation have been reflected in the economic analysis. A two-year delay in the implementation will reduce irrigation and drainage benefits by 5.2 percent, forestry development benefits by 4.4 percent, and livestock components by 16 percent, with an overall benefit reduction of 5.8 percent. To ensure provision of timely and adequate counterpart funds, Gansu Province has confirmed that counterpart funds have been committed and agreed to submit annual budgets and work programs to the Bank/IDA for review (see paras. 3.39 and 4.5). To further assist Gansu Province in facilitating implementation of the land settlement component, part of the local expenditures incurred under land settlement would be disbursed against the loan/credit. 6.22 As for institutional capacity for project implementation, Gansu has many years of successful experience in carrying out voluntary settlement in Hexi Corridor under the "Two Xi" poverty reduction programs. Currently, voluntary settlement of 80,000 people is in progress under the Yindaruqin Irrigation Scheme being completed under the Gansu Provincial Development Project. Experienced staff from the Two Xi Commission and Yindaruqin will train and guide other new project staff. The risk with implementing capacity would be further reduced through systematic planning of settlement programs to be carried out in stages and well integrated with the progress of land reclamation and infrastructure construction. An effective institution would also be established to oversee, manage and monitor the settlement programs. The possibility of large numbers of settlers returning to their origins would be minimized by selecting settlers with positive attitudes, motivated for emigration to improve their economic well-being, and trained to adapt to the new environments. Overall institutional support and strengthening would be included in the project to ensure that the operation, maintenance and management of completed works and production activities would be sustained. Satisfactory agricultural production models and systems are already in place in the existing irrigated areas. The agricultural yields and production projections are based on existing models and systems, and are therefore realistic and sustainable, and would provide both safety and adequate incomes for new settlers. - 60 - 7. AGREEMENTS REACHED AND RECOMMENDATION 7.1 At negotiations, the following assurances were obtained from Gansu Province to: (a) (i) complete remedial works to the existing Shuangta and Chejinxia Reservoirs not later than December 31, 1998; and (ii) carry out periodic safety inspections of the completed Changma Reservoir, and the existing Shuangta and Chejinxia Reservoirs in the project area, according to practices and procedures acceptable to the Bank/IDA (para. 3.6); (b) maintain and protect the Changma Dam catchment area in the Qilian Mountain Range as a protected forest area by December 31, 1998 and at all times thereafter [para. 3.26(d)]; (c) establish a revolving fund not later than December 31, 1996 to provide credit to migrant farmers under arrangements acceptable to the Bank/IDA (para. 3.32); (d) (i) implement the emigration and settlement plan based on annual programs and budgets reviewed and agreed by the Bank/IDA, monitor the annual progress and performance, and furnish the results to the Bank/IDA by March 31 of the following year; (ii) lease all land distributed to settlers rent free for a minimum of 30 years; and (iii) lease up to an additional 2.0 mu per capita to settlers with rent payment at rates acceptable to the Bank/IDA (para. 3.34); (e) carry out training according to a time-bound action plan acceptable to the Bank/IDA (para. 3.35); (f) prepare and furnish detailed annual budgets and work programs to the Bank/IDA by November 30 of each year, for project implementation in the following year (para. 3.39); (g) prepare and furnish project information and data for implementation reviews to be conducted jointly by Gansu and the Bank/IDA at the beginning of 2000 and 2003, and Gansu to implement measures agreed after each review (para. 3.40); (h) ensure that project activities will conform with appropriate environmental practices; carry out the Environmental Action Plan agreed with the Bank/IDA; monitor the annual programs and performance; and furnish the results to the Bank/IDA not later than March 31 of the following year (para. 3.47); - 61 - (i) carry out the Resettlement Action Plan approved by the Bank/IDA, monitor the annual progress and socioeconomic well-being of the relocatees, and furnish the results to the Bank/IDA not later than March 31 of the following year (para. 3.50); (j) furnish the consolidated project accounts for annual auditing by an independent auditor acceptable to the Bank/IDA and the auditor's report to the Bank/IDA within six months of the close of each financial year (para. 3.66); (k) the PMB, Panel of Experts, LGCC, SACC, CESLGs and PILGs would be maintained with terms of reference, staffing and other resources acceptable to the Bank/IDA (para. 4.3); (1) that SRWRMB will: (i) be established not later than December 31, 1998 with terms of reference, staffing and other resources acceptable to the Bank/IDA; (ii) prepare and submit to the Bank/IDA for review a plan for operation and maintenance of the whole irrigation area not later than December 31, 1999 and carry out the required operation and maintenance for the completed irrigation works, taking into account the comments given by the Bank/IDA; (iii) collect irrigation water rates upon completion of irrigation facilities in each main canal command area at levels adequate to meet at least the full annual operation and maintenance and replacement costs of the completed irrigation works; and (iv) furnish to the Bank/IDA not later than December 31, 1999, the proposed schedule of such water rates to be established and collected (para. 4.14); and (m) (i) carry out periodic monitoring of project performance and impacts based on indicators discussed, and furnish the results to the Bank/IDA at agreed intervals; and (ii) prepare and furnish to the Bank/IDA semiannual reports of the project's physical and financial progress by July 31 and January 31 of each year, for the previous half-yearly periods (para. 4.17). 7.2 At negotiations, understandings were obtained from the Borrower and Gansu Province that counterpart funds are firm and committed (para. 4.5). 7.3 Assurances were obtained from the Borrower that the proceeds of the Bank Loan and IDA Credit would be made available to Gansu Province on terms and conditions acceptable to the Bank/IDA (para. 4.4). 7.4 Subject to the above condition, the proposed project is suitable for a Bank Loan of $60 million with a maturity of 20 years, including a 5-year grace period, at the Bank's standard interest rate for LIBOR-based US dollar single currency loan, and an IDA Credit of SDR 61.8 million ($90 million equivalent) on standard IDA terms with 35 years maturity to the People's Republic of China. - 62 - CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT ANNEX A Prolect Area Statistics CHINA HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT GANSU PROVINCE Climatic Data at Yumen and Anxi (1975-1980) -Li bm Feb Mu Apr May Jn 1. Avg4 en Nov D Teb o AV. _a (N Yu Q .2 2.2 4.5 5.4 7 4 5 3 14.8 8.6 4.8 1.7 2.1 0.9 61.9 Ami 1.1 1.0 3.1 3.2 4.6 5.6 11.9 6.8 1.3 0.5 1.0 1.0 41.1 aA diys(da) 4 %39).a Yum 0.0 0.0 3 4.0 6.0 s.0 6.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 33 Au 0 0 2 3 3 4 9 5 I 0 I 0 2n Evnpagi () Yum 49.6 £1.6 2023 337.8 436.9 407.3 313.5 377.7 300.3 213.5 1103 56.2 2947 Am 40.8 77.7 22n0 351.5 449.8 4382 441.5 4514 325.8 206.5 U.9 43.1 3140.5 Av j Y a -10.5 -6.4 1.5 9.1 15.5 20 21.6 20.6 14.8 7 -1.7 -8.4 Ama .10.4 -5.2 3.6 11.5 18.2 22.9 24.9 23.8 17.4 8.7 -1.1 -3.5 MaUsols Yuma -3.6 . a 9.3 17.2 23 268 2S.3 27.8 22.6 15.1 5.1 -1.9 Am- -1.8 3.7 12.6 20.3 26.4 30.5 32.4 31.6 26.1 18.4 7.5 -0.6 wasiffisoml Yallu -35.8 -12.5 -5.I 1.6 7.4 12.0 14.3 13.3 7.7 0.4 -7.0 *13.3 Ama _-16.9 -12.3 4 3 9.4 14.3 16.5 16 9.5 1 -7.7 -14.5 1 IDiyi3 lee YS 12.2 13.5 144 15.6 15.6 14.8 14 14.5 14.9 14.7 12.1 11.4 Amai 15.1 16 16.6 17.3 17 16.2 15.9 16.6 16.6 17.4 15.2 13.9 Yumsem 225.2 239.0 255.4 273.5 317.3 324.8 314.4 312.2 295.6 279. 232.5 217.8 3267.5 Ama 212.8 212.1 252.9 274.7 320.6 324.6 322.9 322.6 30.03 25.3 324.8 2a.s 337.9 Yoidea 54 46 35 33 30 37 45 43 39 38 44 54 Ami 55 44 31 29 2 34 39 37 35 36 47 56 -wwd spew at) Yina 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.3 3.9 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.8 4.5 4.7 Ami 3.2 3.8 4 5 4.5 4.3 3 3.5 3.8 3.7 3.3 3.2 3.2 (D X. - 64 - ANNEX A SOILTYPE.XLS Table GANSU HEXU CORRIDOR PROJECT LAND/SOIL TYPES AND AREA IN PROJECT AREA Land/Soil Type Area Perecnt Organic Potentials for Crop Production (000 ha) % Matter (%) A. UNCULTIVATED LAND Deswt so#: Brown desert soil 33.1 14.5 0.2 - 1.0 Meidum-low to medium-high \a Other 19.2 8.4 Grazing only \d Sub-total 52.3 22.9 Sa4 Soss Saline soil <6% 50.0 21.9 Varies Medium-low to medium-high (after soil leaching) \b Saline soil >6% 15.2 6.7 Grazing only Meadow saline soil 49.1 21.6 Medium high (after soil leaching) \b & c Marsh/Bush saline soil 15.0 6.6 Grazing only \d Others 5.8 2.5 Sub-total 135.1 59.1 Afedow and Mah Land Meadow soil, deeper w/table 9.3 4.1 1 - 6 High \c solonetz/marsh land 18.9 8.3 3 -20 Grazing only Sub-total 28.2 12.3 W.nd-blown Sandy Sof: Semi-permanent sand 10.3 4.5 0.2 - 1.0 Low \a Permanent & Drifting sand 2.6 1.1 None \d Sub-total 12.9 5.6 TOTAL UNCULTIVATED LAND 228.5 100.0 B. CULTIVATED LAND Irigated desert sol 40.6 66.3 1 - 3 High (deeper w/table) Water-logg.d so 17.5 28.6 1 - 2.5 Medium (shallow w/table) Oth typef 3.1 5.1 0.2 - 2.5 Meidum-low and low TOTAL CULTIVATED LAND 61.2 100.0 TOTAL 289.7 Note: \a: reclaimed land tums to irrigated desert soil after sustained organic applications. \b: reclaimed land turns to waterlogged cultivated land. \c: reclaimed land turns to irrigated desert soil. \d: bush cover to be preserved where exisitng. - 65 - ANNEX A CHINA Table 3 QANBU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJZCT Project Counties and Area Statistics - 1993 * ~~~~~<~Project City/Couariy/Pam > Proj Area Item/Description Unit YumeinCity Amim Comay Swn Fuarms Totl All Trme m ino * ~~~~~~Total Project : Total Project Total Projet Tota Pro"et Total Area Amea Ame Aream% IAdfhl.ladeortlUml I Toweahipe/Par rat. a 5: t0 8: 4 4 22 17 77 VilaoeaiProdcAon Teamu . rat. 63 36:46 46 46 41: 68 89 IT7 166 94 Totwi landl area xODDha 2277.9 59.8 : 2293.7 130.8 132.3 99 3704.4 289.68 ToW tabaale land : xD ha 18.8 42.8 37.7 0 99.3 Totalculuvaud land x= ha 12.8 13 22-8 0 37.6 Irrapaid amn: x= ha 10.7 .0 10.7 Effective xODDha 24.1 14.1 1 9.2 15.7 112.2 22 : 54.5 40.3 75 Auurnd N OWha : 20.5 12.9 1 6.4 13.3 : .4 8.4 : 45.3 33.6 :74 Foroat : O ha : 3.2 2.2: 4 3.3: 4.7 4.5: 11.9 9.9: 83 Grausland x030he 38.9 34.9 : 109.9 76.7 1 3.2 2 2 1 62 123.6 :76 Tota ununod land xM ha : 045 523 : 2155 8148.6 8 0.7 75.7 : 3310.7 1447.3 : 44 Of which: wasteland . 001) ha : 45 44.7 : 200.5 221.5 : 69.4 61.9 : 324.9 228.21 72 TOWa x. O 184.2 54.5 77.2 50.46 : 19.6 19.4 : 220.9 224.36 :44 Rural : 79.5 4.4.5 57.5 45.5 : 12.1 12.9 1 49.1 202.9 68 Farm worker, x. 24.3: 21.6: 7.2: 0 53.2: Families . :D 52.3 15.4: 20.9 23.2: 6 5.9: 79.2 34.5: 44: Whea : = hith 9.30 4.70 7370 6260 2.40 1.30 28.40 12460 68: Corn : z00D be 2.30 2.20 290) 0.80 0.07 0.07 4.67 3.07 66: Bailey sowm 0.A 0.58 0.00 0.M 2.77 2.77 3.35 3.35 I00 Beatie xm V 0.89 0.3.4 0.44 0.23 0.01 0.02 2.34 0.58 43 Cotioet x OD ha . 0.28 0.28 : 2.25 1.91 0.37 0.37 : 2.30 2.46 :91 Hq,e sOOha 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 100 Oilseea : x090ha 1 .38 0.58 : 0.82 0.77 : 0.28 0.28 : 2 38 1.53 :64 Suparbeeu x sl ha 0.62 0.52 : 0.45 0.45 : 0.22 0.22 1 17 1.08 :92 Vegetabe : zOha . 0 63 0.47: 0.39 0.37: 0.00 0.00: 202 064: 82 Meloas : X0u ha 0.23 0.20: 0.63 0.60: 0.08 0.08 0.94 03811 94 Black mcio~nseed eMlhe 0.75 0.75 0.70 0.30 0.917 0.97 2 42 2.42 [OD Orchamds : zI ha 12.23 1.12 1.43 2.38 : 0.15 0.1 IS 2.81 2.64 : 94 Wheat : aDoWm 58.50 32.40 71.00 42.90 4370 4260 134.20 79.90 20: Corn M ~OM W 24.901 23210 27260 17260 0.52 0.52 43.02 41222 96 Burlgy . WM2Wm 4210 4210 002 00 OO 15.40 25.40 19.50 19.50 [O0 Beat sOODatmm 3260 280 380O 1.20 0.04 0.04 7.4, 3.04 421 Cationi xOOID mm 0217 0.17 2.62 2,421 0.38 0.38 3217 2.96 93 Hop x~~~~sOtu m 000) 000) 002) 000: 1.49 2.49 2.49 1.49 200 Oilseetds x OC mem 322 2.10 6210 204: 0.22 0.22 9.44 2.36 25 Superbeat . 000 mm 2920D 25.50 28260 2830: 3.20 3.70 5200) 47.50 91 Vqetable : X000,omm 19.10 24820 20.00 930M 0.283 0.00 ) 29.10 23.90 : 2 Meloem X00111 mm 8.30 7.40 24910 23.90 2.30 1.30 34.40 32.60 95 Black melonsaed x0omm 1.23 2219 2.29 2.29 2.09 1.09 3.62 3.57 99 Omhds I= wOOee 1.39 2.08 2.23 2216 02 7 0217 2.79 2.42 86 GVAO- ~ ~ : Y min crops : Ymin : 08.50 73.40 92.20 84.00: 28.20 28.40 229.30 285280 82 Forat : Yul .d 2.56 200 3.54 329: 0.30 V.70 580s 4.99 86: Livwsak Yul :d 43.50 23.31 20210, 1260: 1.46 2.43 65.76 43.33 66 AtisscWiture Y, min : 0.58 0214 0.49 0.48 : 0.20 :~. 0 1217 0.72 62 Tota 154.24 97854 117.03 106.37 : 30.86 3i' 63 302.03 234894 78 iTati Agd4sceel Prad. Valm min 210.9 200 8 20.9 472.6 JAr. rura beema, par72pka YuaLn 229 12250 2813 1 753 UrJ dapeutia.:t . . Largeatanus x W hd : 29.6 26.7 1 9.0 25.2 4.1 4.0 : 52.7 35.8 68 ShatW/gm : x0hds. : 76.4 37.5 : 87.2 72.2 1 6.2 25.9 1 79.8 125.5 : 0 Pit : = :d 59.2 34.9 : 32.2 29.5 : 9.9 9.7: 202.3 74.1 73 CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Classification of Wasteland, Reclaimable and Cultivated Land by Irrigation Areas Irrigation Unit <-E Exising Wasteland by Class----- Suitable for Existing Total Area Class I Class II Class Ill Class IV Class V Total Reclamation Cultivated Land Area Area Changma (000 ha) 0 5 51.1 90.5 7.3 153.9 46.5 39.7 193.6 % 0 3 33 59 5 Shuangta 000 ha) 0 0.5 23.7 26.4 2.1 52.7 28.4 16.5 69.2 % 0 1 45 50 4 Huahai C000 ha) 0 1 6.5 7.4 7 21.9 10.7 5 26.9 % 0 5 30 34 32 Total ('000 ha) 0 6.5 81.3 124.3 16.4 228.5 85.6 61.2 289.7 % 0 3 36 54 7 3x GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT CroPoed Area, Yields, Production 8. Values for 1993 Crop Changma Irrig. Area- < Shuangla lrrig. Area - luahal Irrig. Area - Total Cropping Cropped Yield Prod- Value Cropping CFopped Yield Prod- Value Cropping Cropped Yield Prod- Value Cropping Cropped Yield Prod- Value ratio area lion (94 price ratio area lion (94 price ralio area lion (94 price ralio area (average) lion (94 price) (%) COO0 ha) (lon/ha) (000 ton) (Y`mIn.) (%) 000 ha) (Ion/ha) (000 Ion) (Y'min.) (%) (000 ha) (Ion/ha) (000 ton) (YmIn) (%) (000 ha) (ton/ha) (000 ton) (Yrmin.) Grain cro0s: Wheat 34.3 7.02 6.67 46.82 75.04 44.6 409 562 22.99 36.81 48.6 1.58 6.24 9.86 1568 386 12.69 6.28 7967 12753 Barley 16.3 3.33 6.02 20.05 33.05 0.2 0.02 4.28 0.09 0.15 00 0.00 000 000 0.00 10.2 335 6.01 2013 33.20 Corn 12.5 2.55 10.02 25.55 35.04 8.6 079 1203 9.50 12.86 16.9 055 1025 564 7.68 11 8 389 10.46 4069 5558 Beans 2.6 0.53 5.33 2.82 6.46 0.1 0.01 2.74 003 0.10 0.9 003 6.62 0.20 052 1.7 057 535 3.05 708 Sub-Total 656 13.43 149.59 53.5 4.91 4992 66.5 2.16 23.88 623 2050 000 223.39 Commodity croos Cotton 0.0 0.01 0.01 0.07 24.9 2.29 1.22 2.79 40 54 5 5 0.18 0.90 0.16 2.34 7 5 2.48 119 2 96 42.95 Oil crops 4.0 0.81 1.74 1.41 5.51 5.4 0.50 0.96 0.4a 1.86 7.1 0.23 2.06 0.47 1.81 4.7 154 1.53 2.36 9.18 Sugarbeels 5.2 1.07 44.22 47.32 10.91 0.1 0.01 4.50 0.05 0.01 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.3 1.08 43 85 47.36 10.92 Blackrmelorneeds 9.5 1.95 1.45 2.83 23.22 2.1 0.19 1.19 0.23 1.83 8.6 0.28 150 0.42 3.44 7.4 2.42 1.44 3.47 28.49 Mtelons 1.6 0.32 33.94 10.86 6.53 5.7 0.52 39 39 20.48 12.24 1.5 0.05 22.48 1.12 0.62 2.7 0.89 36.48 32 47 19.39 Vegeabtles 2.5 0.51 34.51 17.60 17.44 2.5 0.23 22.76 5.23 5.28 2.8 009 13.05 1.17 1.22 2.5 0.83 28.93 24.01 23.94 1 Hop 2.0 0.41 3.22 1.32 17.08 0.4 0.04 4.32 0.17 2.25 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.4 0.45 3.32 149 19.33 oN Others 3.2 0.65 3.7 0.34 7.1 0.23 3.7 1.22 0 00 0.00 0.00 4 Sub-Toaud 28.0 5.73 80.76 44.9 4.12 64.01 32.6 1.06 9.43 33.2 10.91 0.00 154.20 Green manure 6.4 1.30 1.6 0.15 0.9 0.03 4.5 1.48 0.00 0.00 TOTAL 100.0 20.46 230.35 1000 9.18 113.93 1000 3.25 33.31 100.0 32.89 0.00 37759 lb ui:a GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Average 166S993) Yields for Anxl County, Yumen City & State Frams (tonsiha) 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Average 1989-93 Crop And Yumen C. S. Farms Anxi Yumen C. S. Farms Anri Yumen C. S. Farms Anri Yumen C. S. Farms Anxi Yumen C. S. Farms Anxi Yumen C. S. Farms Overall GRAIN CROPS: Whoal 5.09 5.21 3.21 5.36 5.62 3.55 5.63 6.22 3.78 6.16 6.49 3.83 6.47 6.78 3.89 5.74 6.06 3 65 5.15 Barley 8.23 3.96 4 27 4.32 5.37 5.58 8.23 4 70 6.47 Corn 5 70 4.49 4.65 8 15 9.28 6 92 9.36 9.93 9.14 10.59 10.10 10.B8 10 46 7.50 8 94 8 85 7.05 8 28 Bean 4.36 4.49 2.89 3.60 4.09 4.14 345 5.46 2.88 4.23 594 2.69 5.32 547 2.61 4 19 5.09 3.04 4.11 COMMODITY CROPS: Colton 0.89 0.25 1.19 096 1.29 0.72 1.02 122 075 1.10 1.26 0.90 1.03 1.17 079 0.87 0.94 Oi seed 1 72 1.82 0.87 1.23 2.00 122 1.27 1.83 1 13 1.13 2.01 0.9B 1.34 1.B9 1.19 1.34 191 1.08 1.44 Sugarbeet 35.05 4728 16.67 3360 48.28 25.54 41.01 51.25 19.89 42.76 5215 5.25 40.86 49.19 33.42 38.66 4963 20.15 36.15 1 Black melon seed 1.31 1.61 1.48 1.57 1.72 161 1.60 1.80 1.55 2.07 1.74 1.52 159 1.45 1.12 163 1.66 1.46 1.58 0° 00 Melon 53 45 46.13 12.36 31.24 42.86 20.97 54.36 41.84 12.88 45.71 41.32 12.00 39 56 35.90 14 41 44.86 41.61 14.52 33 67 1 Vegetables 17.29 30.54 25.60 16.18 29.77 2308 24.14 25.98 34.00 31.19 3024 33.33 26.60 30.54 25.20 23.08 2941 28.24 26.91 Hops 3.44 3.72 3.54 3.25 3.35 3.46 3.46 Souice: StalisLical fepot llfnom Anxi County. Yuffen City and Provincial Stae Farm Bwueau tor 1989-93. I3X , C)%:0 Comparison of Demographic and Socio-economic Situations between Gansu Province and the Eleven Emikratincr Counties Average at Grain productionproportion Raeo am Aumo which: ra. Piroportion income of pena Gper capita of poor illiterate occupation per Fiat irrigated Yield of minority erosion land Population of farmer population peron capita of farmer land bnd nationality proportion density Order (kg) (%) (% (ha) (ha) (ha) (kg/ha) population NO. (Person/kmn') China 922 500 8.8 25.1 0.104 0.027 4131 9.1 18.8 123 Gansu 563 390 22. 3 39. 17 0. 182 0. 065 0.047 2622 8. 3 38. 2 51 Out migration 350 219 49. 2 67.30 0.114 0.018 0.017 2106 22. 22 75. 2 114 counties DongXiang 282 86 222 72.2 83.96 1. 667 0.014 0.026 2036 85. 2 99.8 155 TanChang 286 85 164 47. 1 75.79 0. 113 0.012 0.004 1649 2. 7 70.9 83 JiShiShan 301 83 215 58. 8 74.56 0.093 0.018 0.020 2591 52. 1 84.0 223 Yongjin 336 82 317 49. 2 41. 19 0. 143 0. 041 0.043 2546 13. 3 99. 0 101 LIiXian 337 81 229 38.3 64.92 0.159 0.011 0.013 1731 1.6 80.5 109 MingXian 358 80 181 58. 6 70.63 0. 109 0.014 0.008 2100 3. 2 50. 1 114 HeZhen 368 79 240 39. 2 69. 79 0. 136 0.023 0.023 2948 57. 1 83.4 183 1.ingTan 370 78 203 60.4 66.57 0. 139 0.021 0.006 1941 27. 3 92.5 96 WuDu 377 77 203 42.2 64.52 0.105 0.008 0.014 1712 2.7 76.3 104 t3 ZhouQu 380 76 192 51. 9 69.51 0.097 0.009 0.014 1755 32.2 55.5 41 I.ingxia 430 70 270 42. 9 65. 25 0. 079 0.033 0.037 3506 39. 5 85. 1 279 Source: Gansu Hexi Corridor Project Feasibility Study Report - 69A-- ANNEX A Table 8 Characteristics of production systems Changma Shuangta Changma Shuangta township township State farm State farm a/ Households/township-farm 2300 1400 1100 650 Cropped area/township-farm 2400 1700 2400 680 Households/village-team 320 280 45 Cropped area/village-team 330 330 100 Cropped area ha/household 1.05 1.18 2.18 1.05 Cropped area mu/per capita 4 4.5 10 5 % of cropped area in: wheat 40 40 15 35 corn 25 15 c/ - barley 5 - 65 5 cotton - 35 - 50 broadbeans 5 - - - linseed 5 b/ c/ - sugarbeet 7 - c/ - melonseed 8 3 15 - melon, vegetables 5 7 - - hops - - 5 10 % of cropped area in double-cropping catch crop/wheat vetch 5 5 - - linseed 5 other 5 relay-cropping corn/wheat 30 10-- Animal raising per household draught animals 1.2 0.7 pigs 3 2 sheep 3 2 Numbers/100 ha of: draught animals 109 57 0 pigs 281 172 0 sheep 285 170 420 people 370 330 0 N-P-K fertilizer units from animal manure d/ 95-40-70 1 50-70- 11 5 35-1 5-30 Farming practices: Townships State farms area/one field 1-2 mu 5-20 ha tractor HP/1 00 hectares 1 50 e/ 100 farm + 1 50 private one tractor plows 10 ha (15 HP) 100 ha (70 HP) irrigation 1-2 mu field 2 m-large strip Wheat seeds kg/ha 450 375 Wheat: units N-P fertilizer/ha 220-100 1 80-120 Wheat: herbicide locally whole area - 70 - CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT ANNEX B Cost Estimates and Procurement Chkia Hod Conidor ProjeA Components Proed Cost Sunmary (RMB Millon) (USS Million) % % Total Vs % Tobal Foreign Base Foreign Base Local Foreign Total Exchange Costs Local Forelgn Total Exchange Costs A. Irrigation and Drainage 1. Changma Reservolr 92.50 203.76 29626 69 16 11.01 24.26 35.27 69 16 2. Changma lr R rReselemetr 7.94 7.56 15.50 49 1 0.94 0.90 1.85 49 1 3. Changmr rlation Area 319.48 388.90 708.38 55 38 38.03 46.30 84.33 55 38 4. ShuangtaIringation Area 97.73 115.82 213.55 54 12 11.63 13.79 25.42 54 12 5. Huahai lnigation Area 38.64 39.54 78.18 51 4 4.60 4.71 9.31 51 4 6. Monitoring & Simulation System 0.52 3.48 4.00 87 - 0.06 0.41 0.48 87 - Subtotal Irrigation and Drainage 556.79 759.07 1,315.87 58 71 66.29 90.37 156.65 58 71 B. AgricLtural Support & Services 7.20 18.28 25.47 72 1 0.86 2.18 3.03 72 1 C. Livestock Development 8.62 11.33 19.95 57 1 1.03 1.35 2.38 57 1 D. ForestryDevekeprent 15.15 10.97 26.11 42 1 1.80 1.31 3.11 42 1 E. Environment Protection 21.28 26.41 47.69 55 3 2.53 3.14 5.68 55 3 F. Land Settement 153.84 154.06 307.90 50 17 18.31 18.34 36.65 50 17 G. Institution Developent 34.29 72.35 106.64 68 6 4.08 8.61 12.70 68 6 Total BASEUNE COSTS 797.17 1,052.46 1,849.63 57 100 94.90 125.29 220.19 57 100 Physical Contingenres 44.39 62.49 106.88 58 6 5.28 7.44 12.72 58 6 Price Contingencies 336.32 404.80 741.11 55 40 11.98 14.32 26.30 54 12 TotalPROJECTCOSTS 1.177.88 1,519.75 2,697.62 56 146 112.17 147.05 259.22 57 118 m >4 (PX -w China Hexi Corrndor Project Expenditure Accounts Project Cost Sunmary (RMB Million) (USS Million) % % Total % % Total Foreign Base Foreign Base Local Foreign Total Exchange Costs Local Foreign Total Exchange Costs 1. Investmnwt Costs A. CM[lvwrks 433.66 697.78 1,131.44 62 61 51.63 83.07 134.69 62 61 B. Mach. 8 Equip. 15.97 69.68 85.65 81 5 1.90 830 10.20 81 5 C. Vehicle 2.66 8.95 11.61 77 1 0.32 1 07 1 38 77 1 D. Land Settlemrnt 76.54 75.66 152.19 50 8 9.11 9.01 18.12 50 8 E. Training & study tours Oversestraining&tours - 2.48 2.48 100 - - 030 030 100 - Local training&tour 4.13 12.23 16.37 75 1 0.49 1.46 1 95 75 1 Subtotal Tralning&studytours 4.13 14.71 18.85 78 1 0.49 1.75 2.24 78 1 F. Specialist Services - 6.00 6.00 100 - 0.71 0.71 100 - G. Rese & experimernt 25.94 25.71 51.65 50 3 3.09 3.06 6.15 50 3 H. Operaon & mairtenanr;e 5.99 7.73 13.72 56 1 0.71 0.92 1.63 56 1 1. Surveyanddesign 29.34 11.98 41.31 29 2 3.49 1.43 4.92 29 2 4 J. Plantig and Pmduction Matedals 15.22 6.03 21.25 28 1 1.81 0.72 2.53 28 1 K On FarmnWorks 161.68 92.28 253.96 36 14 19.25 10.99 30.23 36 14 L. Other 1.79 0.48 2.27 21 - 0.21 0.06 0.27 21 - M. Projed Managemrn 24.27 35.47 59.74 59 3 2.89 4.22 7.11 59 3 Total lnvesbnent Costs 797.17 1,052.46 1,849.63 57 100 94.90 125.29 220.19 57 100 II. Recurrent Costs TotalBASEUNECOSTS 797.17 1,052.46 1,849.63 57 100 94.90 125.29 220.19 57 100 Physical Contingencies 44.39 62.49 106.88 58 6 5.28 7.44 12.72 58 6 PriceContinencie 336.32 404.80 741.11 55 40 11.98 14.32 26.30 54 12 Tota PROJECTCOSTS 1,177.88 1,519.75 2,697.62 56 146 112.17 147.05 259.22 57 118 E1> China Hexi Corridor Project Project Components by Year - Base Costs (RMB Million) Base Cost 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 Total A. Irrigation and Drainage 1. Changma Reservoir 51.68 75.46 62.18 73.00 32.98 0.50 0.46 - - - 296.26 2. Changma Reservoir Resettlement 3.00 9.08 1.46 0.96 1.00 - - - - - 15.50 3. Changma Irrigation Area 67.36 71.54 81.27 99.69 103.22 99.69 101.05 42.00 24.07 18.49 708.38 4. Shuangta Irrigation Area 19.77 23.79 25.76 25.67 26.55 31.25 30.28 16.64 7.21 6.62 213.55 5. Huahai Irrigation Area 13.79 13.96 9.15 11.21 10.44 7.44 4.48 4.42 2.45 0.84 78.18 6. Monitoring & Simulation System 2.00 1.20 0.60 0.20 - - - - - - 4.00 Subtotal Irrigation and Drainage 157.60 195.04 180.41 210.74 174.19 138.88 136.27 63.06 33.73 25.94 1,315.87 B. Agricultural Support& Services 1.93 10.73 9.42 0.78 2.06 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 25.47 C. Livestock Development 2.04 2.15 1.49 1.48 2.52 1.39 1.39 2.54 2.48 2.48 19.95 D. Forestry Development 3.75 3.50 3.26 2.93 3.07 3.63 2.16 1.69 1.28 0.83 26.11 E. Environment Protection 6.23 5.46 5.03 5.17 5.70 4.83 4.35 3.62 3.55 3.73 47.69 F. Land Settlement 9.24 20.58 27.39 2e.13 35.07 35.91 53.20 39.70 39.40 19.28 307.90 G. Institutional Development 23.61 20.49 14.45 8.81 7 69 6.53 6.66 6.36 6.04 6.01 106.64 Total BASELINE COSTS 204.41 257.95 241.45 258.04 230.30 191.28 20414 117.09 86.59 58.38 1.849.63 Physical Contingencies 12.61 16.52 15.18 16.52 13.12 9.59 10.23 5.85 4.33 2.92 106.88 Price Contingencies Inflation Local 4.37 15.75 23.18 33.63 40.77 44.29 58.06 42.52 37.05 26.99 326.61 Foreign 1.70 6.54 10.37 15.66 16.95 16.54 20.57 12.75 10.64 8.57 120.28 Subtotal Inflation 6.07 22.29 33.54 49.29 57.72 60.84 78.63 55.28 47.68 35.55 446.89 Devaluation 5.32 19.42 28.28 39.82 41.74 38.78 47.57 29.20 24.30 19.79 294.23 Subtotal Price Contingencies 11.39 41.71 61.82 89.11 99.46 99.62 126.19 84.48 71.98 55.35 741.11 Total PROJECT COSTS 228.41 316.18 318.45 363.68 342.88 300.49 340.56 207.43 162.90 116.65 2,697.62 Taxes 4.44 7.53 7.69 9.23 11.72 6.46 6.83 2.82 1.62 1.27 59.61 Foreign Exchange 137.74 191.47 193.83 220.45 194.81 163.10 179.89 101.32 78.13 59.01 1,519.75 (D Cheu Hiod Cokior Posct Expenditure Accounts by Year - Bae Costs (RMB MilWn) Base Cost Foreign Exchdw 199w 1997 1999 199 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Total % Anount 1. Invesdment Costs A. CM works 148.22 178.81 171.17 181.71 134.99 109.72 109.90 41.00 33.58 22.34 1,131.44 61.7 697.78 B. Mach. & Eq. 7.56 16.08 10.94 17.05 21.59 4.01 4.08 1.65 1.35 1.35 85.65 81.4 69.68 C. Vehile 4.49 4.21 1.80 0.71 0.39 - - - - 11.61 77.1 8.95 D. Land SeWLment 4.02 15.77 13.93 14.77 16.10 17.73 23.71 19.57 17.22 9.38 152.19 49.7 75.66 E. Trainng A study tours Ova beining & ltout 0.64 0.60 0.84 0.40 - -- - - 2.46 100.0 Z48 Locaitrabiing&lotw 3.27 3.11 2.21 2.35 2.61 1.05 1.30 0.38 0.06 0.03 16.37 74.7 12.23 Subtotal Training & study tours 3.91 3.71 3.05 2.75 2.61 1.05 1.30 0.38 0.0o 0.03 18.85 78.1 14.71 F. Spewis Services 1.29 1.65 1.77 0.99 0.15 0.10 0.05 - - 6.00 100.0 6.00 G. Resefrch & perxinmnt 7.17 6.73 6.38 3.75 8.01 2.74 7.37 1.81 5.71 1.99 51.65 49.8 25.71 H. OperaUon&mantawnce 1.05 1.15 1-05 1.15 1.75 2.79 2.64 2.14 - 13.72 56.3 7.73 1. Survey addesign 11.29 11.09 5.05 5.04 3.51 3.09 0.60 0.57 0.55 0.53 41.31 29.0 11.98 J. Plurig nd Produdctnm Mbhis 0.33 2.20 2.00 1.90 2.93 3.37 2.88 2.21 1.86 1-57 21.25 28.4 6.03 KOnFarmnWaod 6.01 10.15 18.40 2222 3Z15 41.04 45.4 41.96 20.53 15.64 253.96 36.3 92.28 L. OtheU 0.13 0.74 0.27 0.34 0.40 0.03 0.03 0.11 0.11 0.10 2.27 21.3 0.48 --J M. Prcct Mangeent 8.96 5.67 5.64 5.67 5.70 5.62 5.75 5.66 5.62 5.45 59.74 59.4 35.47 Total Inves_nt Costs 204.41 257.95 241.45 258.04 230.30 191.28 204.14 117.09 86.59 58.38 1,89.63 56.9 1,052.46f L. Recunert Costs Total BASEUNE COSTS 204.41 257.95 241.45 258.04 230.30 191.28 204.14 117.09 86.59 58.38 1,849.63 56.9 1,052.46 Physk ConUngencies 1261 16.52 15.18 16.52 13.12 9.59 10.23 5.85 4.33 2.92 106.88 58.5 62.49 Price Coniled hilation LDCII 4.37 15.75 23.18 33.63 40.77 44.29 58.06 42.52 37.05 26.99 326.61 Foreign 1.70 6.54 10.37 15.66 16.95 16.54 20.57 12.75 10.64 8.57 120.28 100.0 120.28 Subtodal lnfaion 6.07 2229 33.54 49.29 57.72 60.84 78.63 5528 47.68 35.55 446.89 26.9 120.28 Devauon 5.32 19.42 28.28 39.82 41.74 38.78 47.57 29.20 24.30 19.79 29423 96.7 284.52 SubtoalPim Confingencles 11.39 41.71 61.82 89.11 99.46 99.62 126.19 84.48 71.98 55.35 741.11 54.6 404.80 Total PROJECT COSTS 228.41 316.18 318.45 363.68 342.88 300.49 340.56 207.43 162.90 116.65 2,697.62 56.3 1,519.75 Taxes 4.44 7.53 7.69 9.23 11.72 6.46 6.83 2.82 1.62 1.27 59.61 Foreign Extag 137.74 191.47 193.83 220.45 194.81 163.10 179.89 101.32 78.13 59.01 1,519.75 M a. Hd fIdor R*d U,.pegtN.mPcm I by Comtpoa.Sb 4amk Incing- CufltgeacIms (RMS MMM) IrIgM*n and Onubug Cannma Chann Shuwanga Hu Airkulturnl Changmn Resevolr Irrigiato IrrIgaton rgSao& SImulaon Support s Lvestock Forestry Environmt Voluntary kutIonI Reservoir Reetlement Area Ara. Atom Services Development Devopnmnt Protetkon Resettlement Development Tobl 1. Investment Costs A CrWlvork 338.58 5.65 720.59 19558 61.05 - 9.09 7.49 2.86 2040 230.59 15.07 1,606.96 B. Mach. & Equip. 50.88 - 26.39 2.53 0.57 14.56 9.73 6.66 - 1.55 8.40 121.26 C VehIe 0.91 - 0.36 - . - 4.61 0.33 0.72 - 6.61 13.55 D Land Settemmi - 10.63 - - - - - 228.5 - 239.22 t- Traifnin A study inur ae tboir S Ia - - - . - - - - - - 3.08 3.08 LocalSrig&taour 1.16 - 2.17 0.47 0.22 - - - - - 18.08 22.10 Subtotaitra lkng &stdyloams 1.16 - 2.17 0.47 0.22 - - - - - 21.16 2519 F SpeIast S e - - - - - - - 7.57 7.57 G. Reseci aIepar - - - 1.38 4.72 2.76 . 38.57 24.39 6.13 75.95 H Opq S &m a ohndew 6.02 - 5.08 6.12 374 - - - - - 20.96 1. Surawyuiddmlpn - 25.15 13.03 6.09 - - 1.41 7.94 - 53.82 J. Plmgw aid Frokiin Matertab - . - - . - - 13.08 19.61 0.57 33.25 K. On FnnWlaft 1.23 260.21 95.93 36.68 - 0.85 0.06 5.95 5.59 * 408.51 L OChes 1.76 - - - - - 0.64 0.48 0.37 . - 3.25 M. Precd Msrgfrr-t 1.50 - - 4.78 84.05 90.33 1 Totl InvestvnenCosta 399.32 19.01 1,039.95 315.03 108.36 4.72 32.50 31.17 37.59 71.08 489.90 148.99 2,697.62 -4 II. Recurent Cosdt U Total PROJECT COSTS 399.32 19.01 1,039.95 315.03 108.36 4.72 32.50 31.17 37.59 71.08 489.90 148.99 2,697.62 1 Taxes 12.19 - 30.93 3 65 0.66 0.49 2.94 1.22 1.03 3.16 0.26 3.08 59.61 Foregn Erhwi 275.26 9.24 567 64 169.51 54.21 4.10 23.32 17.34 15.20 39.20 244.61 100.13 1.519.75 (D F 2 rt M P Cf I-.- China Hexi Coandr Prqect Expenditure Accounts by Components - Base Costs (U1S5 Minion) Irrigation and Drainage Monitorng Changma Changma Shuangta Huahal & Agricultural Physkal Changma Rervoir Irrigation Irrigation Irrigaton Simulaton Support & Livestock Forestr Environment Land Institutional Contingencies Reservoir Resttlement Area Area Area System Services Development Development Protection Settlement Development Total % Amount I. Investment Costs A CMtworks 30.32 0.57 60.00 16.25 550 0.85 058 030 1 61 17.23 1.49 134.69 6.1 8.25 B Mach.SEquip 4.13 2218 022 006 - 136 0.78 0.59 - 017 071 10.20 7.0 0.72 C Vehice 0.08 - 004 - - - 044 0.04 008 - - 0.71 1.38 1.7 0.02 0 Land Settent - 100 - - - - - - - - 17.12 - 18.12 5.0 091 E. Training & study tours Overseas training & tours - - - - - - - - - - 0 30 0.30 5.0 0.01 Local tranng tour 0 10 - 0.19 0 04 0 - - - - - - 160 1.95 5 3 0 10 SubtotalTraining &studytours 0.10 - 019 004 002 - - - - - - 1.89 2.24 52 0.12 F SpecialistSec- - - 0.71 071 50 0.04 G Research & expenment - - - 014 - 0.48 0.24 - - 2 95 1 79 0.56 6.15 5 0 0.31 H Operation & maintenance 0.49 - 036 0 48 0 30 - - - - - - - 1.63 65 011 I Surveyanddesign - 236 1 25 057 - - - 011 063 - - 4.92 50 0.25 J Planting and Producbon Materials - - - - - - 0 95 154 0 05 - - 253 50 013 K OnFanmWorks - 0.13 1920 704 287 - 006 001 047 044 - - 30.23 50 1.51 L Othem 0.15 - - - - - 0.06 003 003 - - - 0.27 7.8 0.02 M PrqedtMragemert 0.15 - - - - - - - - 036 6.61 7.11 50 0.36 TotallnvestmentCosts 35.27 1.85 84.33 2542 9.31 048 303 2.38 311 568 36.65 1270 220.19 5.8 12.72 11. Recurrent Costs 35.27 1.85 8433 2542 931 048 303 2.38 311 568 3665 12.70 220.19 5.8 12.72 o PhyscalCont ies 3.52 0.09 422 127 047 002 0.15 012 015 028 1.83 0.60 12.72 - Prce Contingencies Inaon Local 2.40 0.17 15.69 504 160 0.00 0.15 054 0.76 106 9.97 1.50 38.88 Foreign 1.72 0.04 567 171 0.44 001 014 0.20 013 041 2.99 086 14.32 Subtotal InflaUon 4.12 0.21 21.36 6.75 2 05 0.02 0.29 0.74 0.89 1.47 12.96 235 53.20 - - Devaluation -1.65 -0.12 -1080 -3 51 -1.12 -0.00 -0.10 -0.37 -0 52 -0 72 -6.94 -1.04 -26.90 SuttotalPnceConbngencies 2.47 0.09 10.56 3.24 092 0.02 0.19 037 036 0.75 602 1.31 26.30 5.2 1.36 41.25 2.03 9911 2994 1070 0.52 337 2.86 362 671 44.51 14.61 259.22 5.4 14.06 Taxes 1.19 - 2.95 036 0.06 0.05 0.31 0.12 011 030 0.03 0.32 5.80 55 0.32 ForeignExchange 28.40 0.99 5428 16.18 5.39 0.45 2.42 1.61 150 371 22.25 987 147.05 5.6 &.19 m tzIF (0 Ht i rt m 0- - 77 - ANNEX B Table 2 page 1 of 3 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Procurement Methods for Wor_ Item Procurement Methods Construction ICS I NCB I Other I NBF Total Start End <_ Y million (Base Cost- > Chanoma Reservoir I ____ _______i Temporary works 3 NC8: (a) Access road 22.0 22.01 Jan-96 Jun-97 (b) Power supply 9.5 9.51 Jan-96 Jun-97 (c) Communication 3.2 3.21 Jan-96 Jun-97 Sub-total 34.7 34.71 IC81 Changma Dam Civil Work 154.3 _ 154.3 Jan-96 Dec-G0 Other temporary site works 45.1 45.1 Jan-96 Jun-98 Sub-total 154.3 34.7 45.1 234.1 | Chanama Irriaation Area NCB1 Trunk Canal extension _ _ _ (a) Intake complex and canal 46.9_ 48.91 Jul-99 Dec-00 (b) Mini Hydropower station 14.81 14.81 Jan-00 Dec-00 NC82 Trunk Canal Improvement 12.41 12.41 Jan-98 Dec-99 NCB3 New West Main Canal: l _ l (a) Canal from 0 km - 25 km 37.11 37.11 Jan-96 Jun-99 (b) Canal from 25 km 49.5 km 15.91 15.91 Jan-96 Jun-99 (c) Mini Hydropower station 18.11 18.1j Jun-97 Jun-99 NCB4 Sub-main and Branch Canals on West MC: i i (a) Sub-main #1 &branch canals 25.51 25.51 Jan-97 Dec-00 (b) Sub-main #2 & branch canals 18.51 16.51 Jan-97 Dec-00 (c) Sub-main S3 & branch canals 16.21 16.21 Jan-97 Dec-00 (d) Sub-main #4 & branch canals 13.21 13.21 Jan-97 Dec-00 (e) Sub-main #5 & branch canals 12.4 12i41 Jan-97 Dec-00 (f) Sub-main #6 & branch canals 11.5 11.51 Jan-97 Dec-00 NCB5 East Main Canal 24.1 24.11 Jul-98 Doc-40 NCB6 Branch canals on East MC X 3.1 3.1 Jan-00 Dec-00 NC87 North Main Canal 5.8 5.8 Jan-98 Dec-99 NCB8 Branch canals on North MC 9.7 _ _ 9.7 Jul-98 O3c-00 NCB9 Main Drains (4 packages) 21.7 21.7 Jan-96 Jun-99 NC810: Branch drains (10 pacakages) 38.9 38.9 Jul-96 Dec-00 Other 1: West Main Canal Area: (a) On-farm works 110.2 110.2 Jan-96 Dec-05 (b) Land leveling 23.0 23.0 Jan-96 Dec-05 Other 2: East Main Canal Area: l (a) On-farm works 30.0 30.01 Jan-97 Dec-O5 (b) Land leveling i 7.0 7.01 Jan-98 Dec-05 -78 - ANNEX B Table 2 page 2 of 3 Item Procurement Methods | Construction ICB NCB Other NBF Total I Start- End C million (Base Co> Other 3: North Main Canal Area: _ | | i _ (a) On-farm works 49.4 49.4[ Jan-98 Dec-05 (b) Land leveling L 11.0 11.01 Jan-98 Dec-05 Other 4: South Main Canal Area: (a) On-farm works 29.7, 29.71 Jan-97 Dec-05 (b) Land leveling 7.0 7.01 Jan-97 Dec-05 Other 5: Misc. Permanent Works o 50.0 50.0i Jan-96 Dec-05 Sub-total 343.8 317.3 661.1 i Shuanata Irriaation Area _ _ __ _ _ _X X =__ NCB1 Shuangta Mini-hydro Station 24.21 24.2; Jan-96 Dec-98 NCB2 North Main Canal (2 packages) 19.0 19.01 Jan-96 Dec-96 NCB3 North MC branch canals 11.6 11.6i Jan-96 Dec-02 NCB4 South main Canal (2 packages) 18.11 18.1, Jan-97 Dec-99 NCB5 South MC branch canals 9.71 9.71 Jan-97 Dec-02 NCB6 Xihu Mian Canal 2 packages) 11.7]- 11.71 Jul-98 Jun-02 NCB7 Xihu MC branch canals 6.3 6.31 Jul-99 Dec-02 NCB8 Main Drains (2 packages) 7.8 7.61 Jan-96 Jun-99 NC89 Branch drains (5 packages) 14.1 14.11 Jan-97 Dec-02 Other 1: Other permenant site works 12.0 12.0j Jan-96 Dec-02 Other 2: South MC Area: (a) On-farm works 18.7 18.7j Jan-97 Dec-05 (b) Land leveling 7.0 7.0 Jan-97 Dec-O5 Other 3: North MC Area: (a) On-farm works _ 35.4 35.4 Jan-96 Dec-05 (b) Land leveling 15.0 15.0 Jan-96 Dec-05 Other 4: Xlhu Sub-MC Area: = _ = (a) On-farm works 8.0 8.0 Jan-98 Dec-05 (b) Land leveling 2.0 2.0 Jan-98 Dec-05 Sub-total 122.3 98.1_ 220.4 - 79 - ANNEX B Table 2 page 3 of 3 Item Procurement Methods Construction ICB I NCB I Other NBF Total I Start End <_ Y million (Base Cost) -> Huahal Irrigation Area _ NCB1 Headwork 2.5 2.51 Jan-98 Jan-97 NCB2 Trunk Canal: _ (a) Canal from 0.0 km - 7.6 km 5.7 5.71 Jan-96 Jun-97 (b) Canal from 7.6 km - 14.6 km 4.2 4.21 Jan-96 Jun-97 (c) Canal from 14.6 km - 21.5 km 4.3 4.31 Jan-96 Jun-97 (d) Branch canals 1.0 1.0[ Jan-96 Jun-97 NCB3 West MC and SUB-main canals 3.5 3.51 Jan-98 Dec-00 NCB4 North MC and SUB-mains 1.8 1.8 Jan-96 Dec-00 NCB5 North MC & Sub-mains 5.8 5.8 Jan-96 Dec-00 NCB6 Branch drains 9.7 9.71 Jul-96 Dec-00 Other 1: East MC Area: (a) On-farm works 4.1 4.11 Jan-99 Dec-05 (b) Land leveling 2.1 2.11 Jan-99 Dec-05 Other 2: West MC Area:T____ (a) On-farm works 6.4 6.41 Jan-99 Dec-05 (b) Land leveling 3.5 3.5] Jan-99 Dec-05 Other 3: North MC Area: _ _. (a) On-farm works 8.7 8.71 Jan-99 Dec-05 (b) Land leveling 5.0 5.o] Jan-99 Dec-05 Other 4: Other permanent site works _ r 5.2 5.2 Jan-96 Dec-00 Sub-total 38.5 35.0 73.5 Other Civil Works _ NCB1: Project Management Office __=___ 6.0 6.0 Jul-96 Dec-98 NCB2: Guest House & Staff Quarters 6.5 6.5 Jan-97 Dec-98 Other 1: Agriculture 4.8 4.8 Jan-97 Dec-00 Other 2: Forestry 1.1 1.1 Jan-97 Dec-00 Other 3: Livestock 4.1 4.1 Jan-97 Dec-00 Other 4: Settlement 8.0 8.0 Jan-96 Dec-02 Sub-total _ 125 18.0 30.5 _ TOTAL PROJECT (Y'min.) 154.3 551.8 513.5 1219.6 (USS million @ Y8.40/USS) 18.4 65.7 61.1 145.2 Prior Review of Bid Documents (>S2.0 million _ ICB = 1 contract _ NCB = 17 contracts | GANSU RHXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Procurement of Materials., Machinery and EquiDment - ------------Procurement methods-------- Item Qty. Unit ICB LIB NCB Others Total -------- Price \a Amount : : Amount Amount Amount Amount : : (Y'000) (Y'000) (Y0UUU) (Y0o0) (Y'OOO) (Y'000) Vehicles Self-tipping trucks, 5 tons 10 150.0 1500.0 : 1500.0 Trucks, 5 tons 10 75.0 750.0 : 750.0 Bus( 44 passengers : 4 150.0 600.0 : 600.0 Mini bus, 22 passengers : 3 370.0 1110.0 : 1110.0 Mini bus, 16 passengers : 2 75.0 150.0 : 150.0 Field vehicles 17 305.0 5185.0 : 5185.0 Sub-total Vehicles 9295.0 : 9295.0 O&M Machinery a equipment : : Scraper, 0.6m3 7 340.0 2380.0 2380.0 Backhoe excavator, 1 m3 : 3 350.0 1050.0 : 1050.0 Bulldozer, 74 kw : 9 100.0 900.0 : 900.0 Bulldozer, 88 kW 9 150.0 1350.0 1350.0 Concrete mixer, 0.4 m3 10 40.0 : 400.0 400.0 Truck-mounted crane, 8 tons : 2 200.0 : 400.0 400.0 Diesel generators, 86 kw : 4 90.0 : 360.0 360.0 Tipping trailer, 0.5 m3 20 18.0 : 360.0 360.0 Sub-total 5680.0 1520.0 7200.0 X 0 Aqricultural machinery Excavator, 0.6 m3 : 5 350.0 1750.0 : 1750.0 Tractor, 74 kw 33 100.0 3300.0 : 3300.0 Land leveling machine 33 25.0 825.0 : 825.0 Bulldozer, 74 kw 55 100.0 5500.0 : 5500.0 Truck-mounted crane, 8 tons : 2 200.0 : 400.0 400.0 Sub-total 11375.0 400.0 11775.0 Office Equipment : : : . PC conmputers, 486 20 30.0 .600.0600 Copying machine : 5 50.0 : 250.0 250.0 X sm Fax machine 2 40.0 80.0 80.0 M ¢ rt ( X Sub-total 850.0 80.0 930.0 to Laboratory Equipment . Universal testing machine, 100 tons 1 80.0 80.0 80.0 Universal testing machine, 200 tons 1 100.0 100.0 100.0 J Agricultural adaptive research equi sum : : 600.0 600.0 Sub-total : : : : : 780.0 780.0 ; : <-----------Procurement methods-------- Item Qty. Unit ICB LIB NCB Others Total -------- Price : \a Amount * ~ ~ mut A-on m7Tt Amount (Y'000) (Y'0u0) (Y'000) (Y'000) (Y'000) (Y'000) Environmental Monitoring Equipment \ sum * * * 4000.0 4000.0 Settlement Monitoring Equipment \b sum 1000.0 : . 1600.0 2600.0 VHF Communication Equipment \b sum 2500.0 : 1000.0 3500.0 Irrigation Monitoring Equipment \b sum 800.0 : 400.0 1200.0 Electrical/Mechanical Equipment : : Turbine/generator set, 6500 kw 2 3870.0 7740.0 : 7740.0 Turbine/generator set, 1250 kw 1 1130.0 1130.0 : 1130.0 Turbine/generator set, 6000 kw 2 3200.0 6400.0 : 6400.0 Turbine/generator set, 2000 kw 3 1900.0 5700.0 . 5700.0 Turbine/generator set, 1200 kw 2 1200.0 2400.0 : 2400.0 Transformer. 10,000 KVA : 2 620.0 1240.0 : 1240.0 Transformer, 6,000 KVA : 1 500.0 500.0 : 500.0 Bridge lifting crane, 50 tons 2 650.0 : 1300.0 1300.0 Bridge lifting crane, 15 tons 1 300.0 : 300.0 300.0 Valve, D=250 : 4 600.0 : 2400.0 2400.0 Sub-total : 25110.0 4000.0 29110.0 Workshop Machinery & Equipment . : . : : : General lathe : 3 200.0 600.0 600.0 Lathe : 3 300.0 : 900.0 900.0 X Planning machine : 3 60.0 : 180.0 180.0 Drilling machine : 3 10.0 : 30.0 30.0 Sub-total : : 1710.0 1710.0 Construction Materials Steel bars (tons) : 6500.0 2.5 16250.0 : : 16250.0 Cement (tons) 150000.0 0.25 : 37500.0 37500.0 Timber (m3) : 2500.0 3 7500.0 7500.0 Sub-total : 16250.0 45000.0 61250.0 Production Materials: . . . . . Improved Livestock seeds : sum . * 12600.0 12600.0 M a- Tree saplings : sum : : : 8400.0 8400.0 x C X Sub-total 21000.0 21000.0 Miscellaneous : sum : : : 5000.00 5000.00 ' TOTAL COST (Y'000) : : 72010.0 50920.0 33000.0 155930.0 (US$ * Y8.4/$) 8572.6 6061.9 3928.6 18563.1 \a: Include prudent shopping on basis of at least three bid quotations and off-shelf purchase. \b: Detailed equipment 1ist and estimated costs in project file. -82 - ANNEX B Table 3 Sheet 3 of 4 GANSU HIMX CORRIDOR PROJECT ProDosed Packadng for ICB & NCB Procurement of Goods \a Package No./Item Description Quantity Amount (YOOO) Package No. 1(ICB) Vehicles: Self-tipping trucks, 5 tons 10 1500 Trucks, 5 tons 10 750 Bus, 44 passengers 4 600 Mini bus, 22 passengers 3 1110 Mini bus, 16 passengers 2 150 Field vehicles 17 5185 Sub-total 929S Package No. 2 (ICB) Plant and machinery: Scrapper, 0.6 m3 7 2380 Backhoe excavator, (I m3) 3 1050 Excavator, 0.6 m3 (agri. use) 5 1750 Sub-total 5180 Package No. 3 (ICB) Plant and machinery: Bulddozer, 74 kw (irrig. 55, agri. 9) 64 6400 Bulldozer, 88 kw 9 1350 Sub-total 7750 Package No. 4 (ICB) Agricultural machinery: Agricultural tractor, 74 kw 33 3300 Land leveling machine 33 825 Sub-total 4125 Package No. 5 (ICB) Settlement monitoring equipment sum 1000 Package No. 6 (ICB) VHF Communication Equipment sum 2S00 Package No. 7 (ICB) Irrigation monitoring equipment sum R00 Package No. 8 (ICB) Turbine/generator: 6500kW 2 7740 1250 kW 1 1130 6000 kW 2 6400 2000 kW 3 5700 1200 kW 2 2400 Sub-total 23370 ANNEX B -83- Table 3 Sheet 4 of 4 Package No./Item Description Quantity Amount (Y'000) Package No. 9 (ICB) Transformer, 10,000 KVA 2 1240 Transformer, 6,000 KVA 1 500 Ss- total 1740 Package No. 10 (NCB) Bridge lifting crane, 50 tons 2 1300 Bridge lifting crnae, 15 tons 1 300 Ss- total 1600 Package No. 11 (NCB) Valve, D=250 4 2400 Package No. 12 (NCB) Workshop equipment (lathe, planning machine & drilling machine, etc.) 1710 Package No. 13 (ICB) Steel bars (tons) 6500 16250 Package No. 14 (NCB) Cement (tons) 150000 37500 Package No. 15 (NCB) Timber (m3) 2500 7500 Sub-total ICB Packages 72010 (S8S.57 million) Sub-total NCB Packages 49110 (S5.85 million) TOTAL 121120 (S14.42 million) \a: Bid documents for these packages will require prior clearance by the Bank/IDA (Ref SAR para. 3.60). GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Retro-active Financing Works Effective October 1, 1995 Total Expenditure Estimated Disburseable Estimate for Retroactive Expenditure Amount in * Cost Financing in US$ US$ YmIn Ymin US$ min USS min I Changma Reservior Temp Works: (a) Electricity supply 43 km of 35 Kv supply line 7.00 (b) Microwave communication Yumen Township to site 2.50 (c) Road access 16 km from headwork to site 17.00 Sub-total 26.50 18.25 2.17 1.30 11 Branch canals to two pilot sites 9.5 km and 4.9 km for for new settlers 40 families 6.00 6.00 0.71 0.43 1 co IlIl Irrigation system improvement Trunk canal 21.5 km, main and upgrading in Huahai Irrig. Area canal 2,7 km and branch canal 4.5 km 33.00 21.50 2.56 1.54 IV On-farm works at resettlement Earthworks and land leveling 9.80 4.90 0.58 0.35 site for 131 families V. Anxi North Main Canal 29.4 km, 240,000 mu 25.70 12.85 1.53 0.92 TOTAL 101.00 63.50 7.56 4.54 VI. Contingency 0.46 GRAND TOTAL 5.00 * Assumed 60% of expenditures. - 85 - ANNEX B Table 5 GANSU HiXI CORRIDOR PROJECT imasted Disbursement Sch-dul- and Profile IBRD/IDA Estimated Disbursement Disbursement Profile /a Fiscal Year ------- ----------------------- and Semester Semestral Cumulative Percentage Year/ Cumulative ----(US$ million)-- (%) Semester (%) FY 1996 Board Approval Expected May, 1996 FY 1997 Year 1 Jul-Dec 96\b 7.5 7.5 5 1st 0 Jan-Jun 97 7.5 15.0 10 2nd 30 FY 1998 Year 2 Jul-Dec 97 7.5 22.5 15 1st 38 Jan-Jun 98 7.5 30.0 20 2nd 46 FY 1999 Year 3 Jul-Dec 98 10.0 40.0 27 1st 54 Jan-Jun 99 10.0 50.0 33 2nd 66 FY 2000 Year 4 Jul-Dec 99 12.5 62.5 42 1st 74 Jan-Jun 00 12.5 75.0 50 2nd 82 FY 2001 Year 5 Jul-Dec 00 10.0 85.0 57 1st 90 Jan-Jun 01 10.0 95.0 63 2nd 94 FY 2002 Year 6 Jul-Dec 01 10.0 105.0 70 1st 98 Jan-Jun 02 7.5 112.5 75 2nd 98 FY 2003 Year 7 Jul-Dec 02 7.5 120.0 80 1st 100 Jan-Jun 03 5.0 125.0 83 2nd FY 2004 Year 8 Jul-Dec 03 5.0 130.0 87 1st Jan-Jun 04 5.0 135.0 90 2nd FY 2005 Jul-Dec 04 5.0 140.0 93 Jan-Jun 05 5.0 145.0 97 FY 2006 Jul-Dec 05 2.5 147.5 98 Jan-Jun 06 2.5 150.0 100 FY 2007 Jul-Dec 06 Close on 12/31/06 Jan-Jun 07 Board Approval Date: Expected May 1996 Completion date: June 30, 2006 Closing date: December 31, 2006 /a: Disbursement profile for agricultural sector in China compiled by OPRPG, June 30, 1995. /b: Including US$5.0 mln. retroactive financing effective from October 1, 1995 to signing of the Loan and Credit Agreements. GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Tralnina and Studv Tours ItemnDescrioin Unit Total - Planned investments by Year > Total Investment 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 1996-05 _ _ _ _ _ _ (YOOO) A. TRAINING 1. Traiiing of migrant farmers (por-sos) (a) Irration techniques 500 250.0 40.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 250.0 (b) Crop cultbation 241435 5255.0 164.8 582.3 825.0 803.7 904.5 906.9 1067.8 5255.0 (c) Fruit bes culbivation 25510 2054.0 164.2 149.3 119.3 119.3 1343.3 49.3 109.3 2054.0 (d) LivstDck prodwtion 57000 1684.0 384.0 252.0 364.0 352.0 352.0 1684.0 Sub-total for Migant Farmers 324445 9243.0 733.0 1018.6 1343.3 1310.0 2634.8 991.2 1212.1 9243.0 2. Traning f Project Mgmt Staff 4117.9 2042.0 1304.0 43.3 48.0 53.1 61.6 82.9 388.0 61.5 33.5 4117.9 and units above county level Sub-toWtl ftr TRAINING (A) 13380.9 275.0 2322.6 1386.6 1358.0 2087.9 1052.8 1295.0 388.0 81.5 33.5 13380.9 B. STUDY TOURS 1. Overseas Study Tours (a) Advanced agri. technoogy 10 400.0 200.0 200.0 400.0 t o (b) Forestry and forae maWng 5 200.0 200.0 200.0 a% (c) Sod salinity and inproveement 10 400.0 200.0 200.0 . 400.0 (d) Environ. protction & rngm' 12 480.0 240.0 240.0 _ 480.0 (e) Emigration and settement 15 600.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 ;600.0 (f) Emigration and settleent 10 400.0 200.0 200.0 400.0 Sub-tobl 62 2480.0 640.0 600.0 840.0 400.0 0.0 2480.0 2. Local Study Tours (= ___ =__o __n s_=_ (a) Water resources devebpment _ (b) Agrita development . (c) Animal husbandry dev. (d) Forestry developmont _ Sub-total 1 _ 165.0 2000 2400 2300 2500C 2450 - i 1 Sub-total Study Tours (B) 3U5.0 840.0 840.0 1070.0 650.0 245.0 3US.0 TOTAL 17005.9 3615.0 3162.6 2456.6 2008.0 2932.9 1052.8 1295.0 388.0 61.5 33.5 17005.9 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Consuldna Services and Research IterrmDescription Unit Total -----Planned investments by Year--------> Total Investment 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 1996-05 (Y-000) (Yaoo) (Yo000) ('rooo) (Yo000) ('POOO) (Y'OOO) (Y.000) (Y-000) (Yo000) (Y'OOO) (Yo000) A. CONSULTANT SERVICES 1. Foreian Consultants (man-months) (a) Irrig. niotrkng systern 350.0 50.0 500. 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.o 50.0 350.0 (b) Shuangra reserv. monitoring 200.0 200.0 200.0 (c) Environ. mnonitoring systemr 300.5 3005 300.5 Sub-total 850.5 50.0 2500. 350.5 50.0 500 500 500 s 850.5 2. Producton Studbis by Research Institutons & universWes (persons) (a) Fruit and orchard development 50.0 10.0 10.0 100. 10.0 10.0 50.0 (b) Livestock breod variety 22.5 12.0 10.5 22.5 (c) Cropprotection & cultivation 40.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 40.0 (d) Environ. monioring & evakua 196.0 96.0 100.0 196.0 (e) Forestry dev. & mgml 15 67.1 33.5 33.6 67.1 (f Livestock dev. & mgrn't 16 54.0 27.0 27:0 54.0 - (g) Agri. crop dev. & ngmt 300 275.0 25.0 500. 50.0 50.0 500. 50.0 275.0 Sub-total = 704.6 213.5 170.0 97.0 70.0 104.1 50.0 0.0 704.6 3. Enainoeeina Suoervision (man-mnonth) (a) Changma dam 36^ 2671.2 621.6 777.0 806.4 466.2 2671.2 (b) Dam safety panel 8 369.6 92.4 92.4 92.4 92.4 369.6 (b) Contac adnministration 16 1243.2 310.8 310.8 310.8 310.8 _ 1243.2 (c) Ectrro-inech. instabtion 4 53.8 53.8 53.8 (d) Meta fabr. component insta. 8 57.1 57.1 57.1 Sub-total 72 4394.9 1024.8 1180.2 1320.5 869.4 4394.9 Sub-total Consultant Servics (A) 5950.0 1288.3 1600.2 17U.0 989.4 154.1 100.0 50.0 5950.0 Dam foundation - 4 man-months Embankment - 28 man-months Twunel - 4 man-m-onths _ C l -91r lterDescription Unit Total <- ------------------------------------------Planned investentis by Year-- -------------- --------------------------> Total Investnent 1996C 197 197 98 19999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 1996-05 (YWO) (y 060) (Y'00O) (Y'0OO) (Y'000) (Y'00) (Y'OOO) (Yc00) (Y'000) (Y'000) (Y000) (YW0) B. RESEARCH 1. Research & experirments I . _ (a) Salizied land improvement 1500.0 300C0 _ 300.0 300.0 300.0 3000 ( 15000 (b) lrrig. water saving techniques 600.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60 0 60.0 600.0 (c) Shuangta Reserv. salinity _ 600.0 300.0 150 0 150.0 . _ 600.0 (d) Crop variety and breedin 670.0 100.0 200.0 100.0 100 0 1100 70.0 . 670.0 (ea) mp;roved livestock breeding 400.0 200.0 100.0 50.0 50.0 400.0 (Q Agro-forestry and windbreaks _ 300.01 100.0 100.0 50.0 50.0 . 300 0 Sub-total 4070.0 760.0 1010.0 810.0 560.0 560.0 130.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 4070.0 2. Suppoting Eqipmt (a) Atomic absorption photfomtr 350.0 350.0 _ 350.0 (b) N.P.K analyftcal eqip. . 35.0t 35.0 35.0 (c) Irig. water quality analy. equip 30.0 30.0 _ _ 30.0 (d) Crop protecion equip. 45.0t 45.0 __45.0 X (a) Laboratory araly. equ. 120.0 80.0 40.0 C _ 120.0 (fl Crop quaity tsting equip. 60.0 60.0 _ 60.0 (g) Computer hardlsoftware 35.0 35.0 350 Sub-totl 675.0 530.0 145.0 . . . 675.0 Sub-total tI" Reaerch (B) 4745.01 1290.0 1155.0 810.0 560.0 560.0 130.0 60.0 60.0 60.0. 80.0 4745.0 09 25. 7. 2 0 144 . 200 ._ _ .~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ . rt mDO - 89 - ANNEX B Table 8 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Typical Agricultural Machinery & Equipment Composition for a TownshiD Aaricultural Service Station Item/Description Quantity Unit Cost Value Technical Specifications (Y'000) (Y'000) Tractor with trailer 3 70 210.0 Bulldozer, medium-size 4 100 400.0 55 hp. Scraper 1 45 45.0 Land leveler 1 20 20.0 Plow 4 10 40.0 Harrow 2 9 18.0 Sowing machine 3 8 24.0 Workshop repair equipment set 10 10.0 TOTAL 767.0 Note: The above machinery will serve about 2,670 ha (40,000 mu) Each station will have a building of 300 sq. m. - 90 - ANNEX B Table 9 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Estimated Coats for Aar. Support Services Item/Description Unit Unit cost Quantity Amount Subtotal (Yuan) (Yuan) (Yuan) Yumen Citv extension center training facilities sq.m. 600 510 306,000 training equipment set 1 50,000 1 50,000 field vehicles item 100,000 1 100,000 soil lab. upgrading set 2 100,000 1 100,000 556,000 Anxi Countvextension center training facilities sq.m. 600 1,000 600,000 training equipment set 1 50,000 1 50,000 field vehicles item 100,000 1 100,000 soil lab. upgrading set 2 100,000 1 100,000 850,000 State farms extension soil lab. upgrading item 100,000 1 100,000 100,000 Township new extension center 11 training facilities sq.m. 500 3,700 1,850,000 equipment set 3 20,000 11 220,000 2,070,000 Applied Research programs item 200,000 5 1,000,000 field vehicles item 100,000 1 100,000 field office sq.m. 500 200 100,000 1,200,000 Yumen seed production storage sq.m. 500 500 250,000 drying floor sq.m. 60 500 30,000 seed testing equip. set 40,000 2 80,000 grader (county) item 15,000 2 30,000 treatment (county, t'ship) item 25,000 4 100,000 490,000 Anxi seed production storage sq.m. S00 1,500 750,000 drying floor sq.m. 60 1,500 90,000 seed testing equip. set 40,000 1 40,000 seed grader (county) item 15,000 4 60,000 treatment (county, t'ship) item 25,000 12 300,000 1,240,000 State farm seed vroduction storage sq.m. 500 1,000 500,000 drying floor sq.m. - 60 1,000 60,000 seed testing equip. set 40,000 0 0 seed grader (county) item 15,000 0 0 seed treatment (subfarm) item 25,000 5 125,000 685,000 Township/branch farm machinery station bulldozer, medium-size item 100,000 64 6,400,000 scraper item 45,000 16 720,000 land leveler item 20,000 16 320,000 55 HP tractor + trailer item 70,000 48 3,360,000 plow item 10,000 64 640,000 harrow item 9,000 32 288,000 sowing machine item 8,000 48 384,000 building sq.m. 250 4,800 1,200,000 4 diesel oil stations sq.m. 250 800 200,000 workshop equipment set 10,000 16 160,000 13,672,000 TOTAL BASE COST 20,863,000 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Estiamted Costs and Annual Investment for Livestock Component Item/Descripton Estimated Costs 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Total (Y'000) 1996-05 1. Improvement & Develooment of Extension Network (a) Yumen City Center 688 172 344 172 688 (b) Anxi County center 688 172 344 172 688 (c) 16NewTownshipStations 1169 133 132 110 280 257 257 1169 Sub-total 2545 344 688 477 132 110 0 0 280 257 257 2545 1. Production & Supply of Improved Livestock (a) YumenCityparentlayerfarmexpansion 662 166 331 165 662 (b) Anxi County brolier production farm expansion 646 161 323 162 646 (c) Establish/upgradeegg hatchery in 33 townships 2026 506 1000 520 2026 (d) Yumen City lean boar production farm development 138 38 100 138 (e) Anxi County lean boar production farm development 138 38 100 138 (f) Lean sow production farm in 16 township and supply pigs to 33 townships 1790 140 140 130 460 460 460 1790 Sub-total 5400 909 1854 987 140 130 0 0 460 460 460 5400 III. Fodder Production and Feed Processine (a) Establish feed/fodderprocessingin33 townships 1562 150 150 142 380 370 370 1562 (b) Pasture seed (lucerne) credit for farmers 1600 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 1600 (c) Pasture seed production fanns 1000 330 340 330 1000 (d) Grasslans fencing for rehab./protection 1000 200 200 200 200 200 1000 (e) Water points (tubewells) to improve graasland utilz. 1000 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 1000 Sub-total 6162 300 300 980 990 972 300 300 680 670 670 6162 IV. Livestock Credit Fund for Specialized Households (a) Creidtforprocurementofimprovedlivestock 5513 0 0 0 0 1100 1100 1100 750 750 713 5513 Sub-total 5513 0 0 0 0 1100 1100 1100 750 750 713 5513 TOTAL LIVESTOCK COMPONENT 19620 1553 2842 2444 1262 2312 1400 1400 2170 2137 2100 19620 w t Z rttD >C Other Items Included in Other Components 0 (a) Tech. consultation and guidance at provincial level 604 201 201 202 604 (b) Stafftraining at all levels 2616 270 500 500 500 400 446 2616 (c) Livestock subsidy for new scttIcrs (rcvolving fund) 3364 264 300 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 3364 Total 6584 735 1001 1052 850 750 796 350 350 350 350 6584 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Livestock Proiect Investments at Count Centers and Townshio/Sub-farm Stations Center/Station Irrigation Upgrade New Staff Farmer Lean Boar Lean Sow Layer Broiler Chicks Cattle Compound Credit for Area Extension Extension Training Training Breeding breeding Breeding Breeding hatchery Al. Station Feed Specialized Location Station Station Farm farm Farm Farm processing Households YUMEN CITY __ __ Yumen City Center _ X __ _ X _- X ___X___ ______ X Existing Station ____ _____ ____ Hushai Huahai _ X K K K x Huangzhawan Changma _ K K K K K x Liuhe Changma _ K X K X Xiaxbao Changma X K K K K K K Yuman Changma _ X K K K K K Huanghua Farm Changma _ __ X X X K X K X Yinma Farm Changma X X X X X X X New Stations Baijiatan Huahai X X K K K K K K Beishihe Changma X X K _ K K K K Kuantan Huahai X _ X X K K K K Banton Sub-farm Changma X X X X K X _ X Dapeshan Sub-farm Changma X X X X X X X X Dushazi Sub-farm Huh.i X X X = x X X- X ANXI COUNTY Anxi County center X K X X_X Exdsting Statons Biongqi Changma K K K K K K K Guazhou Shua X K K _ K K K Hedong Changma X K K K K K K Huangchen Shuangta X X K X X X X Nancha Shuangta X X X X X X X Cimozi Changma X X X X X X X Sandaguo Changm3a X X X X X X X Xihu Shuangta X X X X X X X Xiaowang Sub-farm Shuangta X K K K K K K Xihu Farm Shuangta X K K K K K K Now Stations = K X X K K X Xvcn- Baiqibmo Shuangta X X X K X X X Badaoguo Changma X X K X K X K X X Tuduntan Changm_a X X X X X K K K Tuhulu Changma X X K X _ KXK X t Wangjiacao Changma X X X X X X K C Wujiazhuang Shuangta X X X X X X X X Xianyang _Shuangta X X X X X X X X Yanbehu Shu ngb X X X X X X X X Zahus Chargma X X X X X X X X Uanghu Sub-farm Shuangt X K K K K K K 93 - ANNEX B Table 11 Sheet 1 GANSU III CORRIOR PROJECT FINANCING PLAN Item No. Source of Funding Amnt (lMmillion) Local Counterpart Funds: 1 Capital Consruction Funds, Minishy of Water Resources 100.0 2 Sta Planning Commission 100.0 3 Gan Burea of Wat Resources 73.0 4 Gansu Prvinca Plaig Commision (Capital Construction) 297.8 5 Gansu Bureau of Finance (Development Funds) 200.1 6 Gansu Two Xi Commision 296.1 7 Gansu Poverty Reduction & Development Office 242.0 & Gansu Minning Enterprise 64.0 9 Labor Contnbuion from Project Beneficanes 64.6 SubAotal 1437.6 BankIDA Fundlnr. 10 US$150 million @ Y8.40/USS 1260.0 TOTAL LOCAL + BANK/IDA 2697.6 CHINA OANSU HEXI CORPIDOR PROJECT Local Funding by Annual khvestnt Amounut, Projed ReIms and Source IbnVFundkng 'c - A n e InvstmmV Amounts (Ymln.) > Toal Souwe 1966 1697 196 1969 2000 2001 2002 2003 2005 2005 1. Chanama Dam MWR 16.72 23.46 20.82 26.06 12.52 0.20 0.20 O.00 0.00 0.00 1w.00 SPC 7.06 9.93 8.81 11.04 5.30 0.09 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.33 SPC 2.13 6.74 1.16 06 01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.76 S. Chm kTl Amrr GTXIC 7.34 7.41 9.08 11.87 13.07 13.41 14.43 6.37 3.86 3.16 90.00 SPC 3.74 3.78 4.62 6.06 6.67 6.84 7.36 3.25 1.6 1.61 45.91 GBWR 4.40 4.45 5.44 7.12 7.84 6.04 6.e6 3.82 2.33 1.90 54.00 GPPC 15.55 15.69 19.20 25.14 27.68 28.39 30.56 13.49 6.21 6.70 190.61 GPADO 6.52 6.56 8.06 10.55 11.62 11.92 12.83 5.66 3.45 2.61 8o.0 GME 5.22 5.27 6.45 8.44 9.29 9.53 10.26 4.53 2.76 2.25 64.00 CONT. LABOR 2.63 2.65 3.24 4.25 4.68 4.80 5.17 2.26 1.39 1.13 32.22 s&t4ad 4140 4&83 W6.07 73.43 .e86 62.93 89.27 39.40 24.00 19561 S5674 4. Shuwuat krL Area GPPC 4.74 5.42 6.33 6.73 7.40 9.25 9.52 5.M 25 2.49 6o.00 GBWR 1.19 1.36 1.56 1.66 1.5 2.31 2.36 1.39 0.64 0.62 15.00 GBOF 4.40 5.04 5.88 6.25 6.88 8.60 8.85 5.16 2.37 2.31 55.74 GTXIC 0.71 0.81 0.95 1.01 1.11 1.39 1.43 0.63 0.30 0.37 9.00 GPADO 0.55 0.63 0.74 0.79 0.86 1.06 1.11 0.65 0.30 029 7.00 COEIT. LABOR 2.03 2.32 2.71 2.67 3.17 3.95 4.05 2.37 1.09 1.06 25.65 sa*li 13.62 1158 18.19 19.33 21.27 26.58 27.37 1.96 7.35 7.14 172.39 L. Hual hTkL Area G8WR 0.59 0.62 0.43 0.57 0.56 0.43 0.27 029 0.18 0.06 4.00 GPPC 4.45 4.63 3.27 4.26 4.23 3.21 2.05 2.15 127 0.46 30.00 GOOF 2.35 2.45 1.73 226 2.24 1.69 1.06 1.14 0.67 0.24 15.65 GTXIC 0.74 0.77 0.55 0.71 0.71 o53 0.34 0.36 021 0.08 5.00 GPADO 0.43 0.45 0.32 0.42 0.41 0.31 020 022 0.12 0.05 2.93 CONT. LABOR 0.99 1.04 0.73 0.96 0.94 0.72 0.46 0.48 029 0.10 6.71 SubAw 9.s55 9.96 7.03 9.20 9.09 6.89 4.40 4.64 1.74 0.9n 64.49 X4ead (1) b(s) 87.42 101.57 10127 12680 12464 116.00 121.24 800 305 27n. 11417.71 6. MonIi_i & Modelfln to GPPC 0.18 0.09 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 7. Ahkxlk 3.3. GPPC 0.67 3.74 3.54 0.31 O0 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 9.s2 G. .2.02c01 Day7 GOOF 0.72 0.n2 0ou 0.57 1.03 o.eo o.e4 1.25 12Z9 1.37 e.73 *snVFunding A ' Irn n,u n Amonu (Ymniln.) > TOeW Scum 1996 1997 1996 1969 2000 2001 2002 2003 2005 2005 GPPC 0.60 0.59 0.44 0.47 0.85 0.50 0.53 1.03 1.07 1.14 4 722 *. AtIInwd GOOF 2J 2.91 2.1 2.80 3.11 3.92 2.46 2.05 1J4 1.14 25.95 GBOYF 3.96 3.42 339 3.72 4.37 3.93 3.76 3.31 3.45 3.a5 37.16 11., GTXIC 5.16 9.70 13.91 15.25 20.22 21.98 34.9 27.41 28J9 15.01 192.12 GPADO 4.08 7.e8 11.01 12.07 16.00 17.40 27.36 21.70 22.87 1118 152.07 sub-tow 9.24 17.36 24.92 27.32 36.22 39.38 61.97 49.11 51.7 26.89 344.19 12. kiulhion Dev. GOOF 10.74 9.18 7.03 4.57 4.24 3.83 4.14 4.2 4.24 4.46 56.65 Sub4oW (0 so (12) 26.72 37.44 42.38 3a.31 49.65 5.71 73.04 59.9 62.44 7.79 45L9W TOTAL (1 lo (12) $16.14 139.01 145.65 168.17 174.49 16U.31 194.28 119."9 ff.63 65A4S 1437.6M faEMrnx of AVY^SS InvedbTst bwScumn MWR 16.72 23.46 20.82 26.06 12.52 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 SPC 12.95 20.45 14.59 17.92 12.86 6.83 7.44 3.25 119 1.61 100.00 GBWR 6.18 6.43 7.45 9.37 1025 10.78 11.31 5.50 3.15 25 73.00M1 GPPC 26.39 30.16 32.83 36.95 41.04 41.40 42.71 2229 13.17 10.85 297.79 GeoF 25.18 23.72 21.4S 20.17 21.87 22.57 20.95 17.12 13.68 13.39 200.11 GTXIC 13.95 18.69 24.47 28.J4 35.11 37.31 50.79 34.97 3337 18.62 296.12 GPRDO 1156 15.34 20.13 23.83 26.89 30.71 41.52 28.23 26.74 15.03 242.00 GME 5.22 5.27 6.45 8.44 9.29 9.53 1026 45S 2.76 2.25 64.00 CONT. LABOR 5.65 6.01 6.6S 8.08 8.79 9.47 9.71 5.13 2.77 229 64.5 Toeb 123.82 149.653 154.90 179.68 16.64 168.90 134.8 121.62 37.6 66.62 143T76 MWR Mirily of dWuer Resures SPC Stli Pliig Conwnbnss- GPPC Guis Pvudcl Pioming Comm*issiot COOF Gmu Bursau of Fh D a, GBWR Gsnu Bureu of Web Resourres GTXIC G.tu Tw Xi Conmwisio GPRDO Guw Pwwty Rudlan & Dw p Ollbo , GME Germu Lmig Enbrpiu CONT. LABOR C _**Sd Lm. - 96 - CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT ANNEX C Financial and Economic Analyses - 97 - ANNEX C Table 1 China Gansu Hex! Corridor Project FINANCIAL PRICES (In Yuan) Unit 1996 Unit 1995 Layer Egg Chicks unit 1.6 Outputs Other aninal products Food crops Animal traction day 8 Wheat kg 1.6 Breeding Pig - m head 1,500 Wheat-r kg 1.6-2 Breeding Pig- f head 1,200 Malze kg 1.2 Sheep (one year) head 230 Maize-r kg 1.2-1.4 Piglet head 55 Barley kg 1.4 Calf head 1,500 Potato-r kg 0.4-0.6 Inputs Conwrnercial crops Seeds and Seedlings Faba Bean kg 2 Wheat seed kg 1.7-2 Faba Bean-r kg 1.6-2 Maize seed kg 2 Cotton kg 12 Barley Seed kg 1.8 Melon kg 1 Potato seed-r kg 0.4-0.8 Melon Seeds kg 12 Faba Bean seed kg 1.6-2.5 Vegetable kg 1 Cotton Seed kg 3 Beet kg 0.3 Melon Seed kg 20 Hemp kg 3.6 Vegetable Seed kg 20 Hemp-r kg 2.6-3 BeetSeed kg 20 Hops kg 13 Hemp Seed kg 3-5 Licorice kg 3 Licorice Seed kg 7-18 Herb kg 6-7 Nursery Seed kg 60 Fodder and forage Alfalfa seed kg 10 Wheat straw kg 0.2 Poplar seedling unit 0.3 Wheat straw-r kg 0.06 Apple seedlings unit 0.5 Interplant Straw kg 0.15 Pear Seedling unit 0.5 Maize stover kg 0.1 Tamarix Seedling unit 0.05 Barley stover kg 0.2 Fertilizers and pesticide Potato Straw-r kg 0.4-0.6 Urea kg 1.1-2 Bean straw kg 0.15 Phosphate kg 0.42 Bean straw-r kg 0.15 Manure ton 15 Cotton Straw kg 1.4 Fertilizer for Alfalfa ton 400 Hemp Straw kg 0.15 Other inputs Hemp Straw-r kg 0.15-0.2 Plastic mulch kg 8 Alfalfa hay kg 0.3 Water-new irrigation system m3 0.08 Alfalfa Seed kg 10 Water m3 0.03 Alfalfa grazing kg 0.3 Electricity Kwh 0.21 Forest products Diesel kg 2 Fuel Forest Cuttings kg 0.1 Animal Traction day 15 Poplar poles unit 5.5 Animal Traction-r day 4-5 Poplar Timber m3 200 Forage kg 0.3 Poplar Fuel kg 0.15 Feed kg 1.6 Fuel Wood (Tamarix) kg 0.15 Young animnals Apple kg 1.5 Piglet head 55 Pear kg 1.5 Calf head 1,500 Nursery Seedling unit 0.5 Breeding Pig (lean pork)-m head 1,500 Uvestock Products Breeding Pig (lean pork)-f head 1,500 Breeding Pig-m head 1,200 Egg (egg chicks) unit 1 Breeding Pig-f head 1,200 Commercial Egg kg 8 Chicks unit 1.5 Layer Meat Chicks unit 2 Commercial Chicks unit 1.2 Pork-r kg 8.2 Labor Mutton kg 16 Skilled labor day 8 Beef-r kg 14-15 Unskilled labor day 5.67 Chicken kg 12 Unskilled Labor-a day 7 Egg (meat chicks) unit 1.3 Skilled Labor-a day 9 Note: Labor-r day 3-5 r: Suffixes denote commodity price for out-migration area. a: Suffixes denote commodity price for livestock production. - 98 - ANNEX C Table 2 CHINA: Gansu Hexi Corridor Project Farm Gate Prices for Traded Inputs and Outputs a/ (1995 Constant Prices) Corn Wheat Soybean Cotton Poultry Pork Urea NetTrade Status M M X X X X M 1995 prices World Market Prices 109 197 260 1728 1232 1276 143 Ocean Freight:(US$/t) 20 20 20 60 70 50 34 CIF/FOB Price Port (US$/t) 129 217 240 1,668 1,162 1,226 177 CIF/FOB Price Port (Yuan/t)-b 1,088 1,827 2,016 14,010 9,761 10,298 1,485 Port Charges and Distributors' Margin-g 60 60 60 63 60 100 93 Transport - Port to Wholesalers-c 95 95 95 103 103 103 103 - Mill to Wholesalers-d 44 44 44 44 44 44 44 Ex Factory Price 1,286 2,025 1,818 13,800 9,554 10,052 1,724 Processing Adjustment 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Processing Cost 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 By-Product Values 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Mill Gate Value 1,286 2,025 1,818 13,800 9,554 10,052 1,724 Transport - Farm to Mill-e 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Economic Farmgate 1,294 2,033 1,810 13,792 9,546 10,044 1,732 Farmgate Prices-f 1,200 1,600 2,000 12,000 10,000 12,500 1,430 CF 1.08 1.27 0.90 1.15 0.95 0.80 1.21 2005 Prices World Market Prices 125.21 200.88 339.85 1995.06 1375.90 4199.25 192.63 Ocean Freight:(US$/t) 20 20 20 60 55 50 34 CIF/FOB Price Port (US$/t) 145 221 320 1,935 1,321 4,149 227 CIF/FOB Price Port (Yuan/t)-b 1,220 1,855 2,687 16,254 11,096 34,854 1,904 Port Charges and Distributors' Margin-g 60 60 60 63 60 100 93 Transport - Port to Wholesalers-c 95 95 95 103 103 103 103 - Mill to Wholesalers-d 44 44 44 44 44 44 44 Ex Factory Price 948 1,546 2,488 16,045 10,889 34,607 1,550 Processing Adjustment 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Processing Cost 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 By-Product Values 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Mill Gate Value 948 1,546 2,488 16,045 10,889 34,607 1,550 Transport - Farm to Mill-e 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Economic Farmgate 940 1,538 2,480 16,036 10,881 34,599 1,542 Farmgate Prices-f 1,300 1,627 2,000 10,000 10,000 13,000 1,823 CF 0.72 0.95 1.24 1.60 1.09 2.66 0.85 a/ Based on WB Commodity Price Forecasts, October 14, 1994, adjusted to 1995 constant price. b/ Exchange Rate: Y 8.4 = US$1 c/ 'Distance from port to wholesaler 1770 km From Lianyun to Lanzhou by rail at Y .0535/ton/km adjusted by 1.07 CF. d/ Distance from mill to wholesaler: 850 km form Lanzhou to Yumen by rail at Y11/ton/km adjusted by CF of 1.07 e/ 'Distance from farm to mill: 20 km from Yumen to project field on average by road at Y.42/t/km, adjusted by CF of .96 f/ Based on local market price in Hexi Corridor in 1995 - 99 - CHINA ANNEX C Oansu Hee Cetkbe Pnbl ( Ana. Yid nd Table 3(a) krbution and D,dinae Conwenent pF-ent Fu20 Deveonen Inaresnnt Camnpont I Crpes Arm Y Ar Y0d Od Avm YiWd Ctpw 11000 ha) I sm0 ) (1000 fan) (1000 ha) I taaj) (1000 ton I 11000 ha) (Iniha) (1000 fwn) Chann Exledng hrigmien Ana Wheat 3.51 5.10 17.90 10.37 6.90 71.55 6.86 1.80 53.65 Maize 0.27 7.00 1.89 0.79 10.20 8.06 0.52 3.20 6.17 Barley 0.87 4.00 3.48 2.55 7.05 17.98 1.68 3.05 14.50 Been 0.59 4.00 2.36 1.75 5.70 9.98 1.16 1.70 7.62 Melon 0.06 31.00 1.80 0.18 40.50 8.37 0.12 15.50 6.51 Melon seeKb 0.20 1.30 0.26 0.56 1.87 1.05 0.30 0.57 0.79 Vegetable 0.09 23.00 2.07 0.28 37.50 10.50 0.19 14.50 8.43 Beet 0.26 34.00 8.84 0.78 46.50 36.27 0.52 12.50 27.43 Hemp 0.70 1.30 0.91 2.07 2.25 4.66 1.37 0.95 3.75 Hope 0.20 3.00 0.00 0.58 4.50 2.61 0.38 1.50 2.01 Subtotal a.76 5.96 40.17 19.91 8.59 171.02 13.16 2.64 130.84 Chanpr- New krqgrln Amea Wheat 13.44 5.40 72.58 13.44 5.40 72.58 Maize 0.98 7.95 7.79 0.98 7.96 7.79 Barley 3.13 5.78 18.09 3.13 5.78 18.09 Been 2.15 4.20 9.03 2.15 4.20 9.03 Melon 0.22 36.00 7.92 0.22 36.00 7.92 Melon seecd 0.69 1.42 0.98 0.69 1.42 0.98 Veetable 0.34 31.50 10.71 0.34 31.50 10.71 Beet 0.95 39.00 37.05 0.95 39.00 37.05 Hemp 2.54 1.65 4.19 2.54 1.065 4.19 Subtotal 24.44 6.89 168.34 24.44 6.89 168.34 TotiChangmangiadonnAm 6.75 5.96 40.17 44.36 7.06 72.58 37.60 7.90 299.18 Shuanqt Euiedng bwlgarion Ame Whest 0.96 4.70 4.51 5.43 6.60 35.84 4.47 1.90 31.33 Maize 0.13 7.60 0.99 0.75 10.80 8.10 0.62 3.20 7.11 Bodey 0.05 4.60 0.23 0.29 6.75 1.96 0.24 2.15 1.73 Cotton 0.51 1.08 0.55 2.87 1.65 4.74 2.36 0.67 31.22 Melon 0.09 36.26 3.17 0.48 60.25 24.12 0.39 15.00 20.95 MeWon Seod 0.04 1.30 0.05 0.22 1.60 0.40 0.18 0.50 0.34 Vegentble 0.05 24.00 1.20 0.28 37.b0 10.50 0.23 13.50 9.30 Hemp 0.09 0.90 0.08 0.60 2.18 1.09 0.41 1.28 1.01 Hope 0.02 3.30 0.07 0.12 4.50 0.54 0.10 1.20 0.47 Subtotal 1.94 6.59 10.85 10.94 7.98 87.28 9.00 2.38 76.42 Shuangta NHw kliewen Am Whet 6.23 5.10 31.77 6.23 5.10 31.77 FJize 0.83 8.25 0.85 0.83 8.25 6.85 Badey 0.32 5.40 1.73 0.32 5.40 1.73 Cotton 3.21 1.28 4.11 3.21 1.28 4.11 Melon 0.54 37.50 20.25 0.54 37.50 20.25 Melon Seed 0.24 1.42 0.34 0.24 1.42 0.34 Vegetable 0.32 32.25 10.32 0.32 32.26 10.32 Hemp 0.56 1.50 0.84 0.56 1.50 0.84 Subtotal 12.25 6.22 76.21 12.25 6.22 76.21 Total shuanta blgemn Av 1.94 5.59 10.86 23.19 7.05 163.49 21.25 1.46 162.63 Hualu Ebiddng higeslon Ama VWeat 1.14 4.80 5.47 1.66 6.75 11.21 0.52 1.95 5.73 Maize 0.17 7.60 1.29 0.26 10.50 2.63 0.08 2.90 1.33 Cotton 0.25 0.73 0.18 0.36 1.50 0.54 0.11 0.77 0.36 Mlbon 0.03 31.00 0.93 0.04 40.50 1.86 0.01 15.50 0.93 Melon Seed 0.14 1.30 0.19 0.21 1.80 0.38 0.07 0.50 0.20 Vgotable 0.05 16.00 0.80 0.07 37.50 2.83 0.02 21.50 1.83 Hemp 0.10 1.20 0.12 0.16 2.18 0.33 0.05 0.98 0.21 Subtotal 1.88 4.78 8.98 2.74 7.14 19.66 0.86 2.30 10.58 Huai New healon Arm WhVlt 3.25 5.25 17.06 3.26 5.25 17.00 Maize 0.49 8.10 3.97 0.49 8.10 3.97 Cotton 0.70 1.22 0.85 0.70 1.22 0.86 Mlion 0.09 3a.76 3.31 0.09 36.76 3.31 Mieon Seed 0.41 1.42 0.58 0.41 1.42 0.58 Vegetble 0.14 31.50 4.41 0.14 31.50 4.41 Hemp 0.29 1.50 0.44 0.29 1.50 0.44 Subtotal 5.37 5.70 30.62 6.37 5.70 30.62 Tot Hua lrdgmmonAro 1.88 4.78 8.98 8.11 6.19 50.18 6.23 1.41 41.20 Tot W. & DrWin. Coponenrt 10.57 5.68 60.00 75.06 7.16 541.54 06.08 0.64 493.02 - 100 - ANNEX C Table 3(b) GANSU BESI CORRIDOR PROJECT Projection of yields in the new area ( Based on 8 years ) (ton/ha) Cropping year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 CHANGMA Wheat 2.18 2.72 3.26 3.80 4.32 4.86 5.40 Barley 2.25 2.84 3.42 4.02 4.60 5.19 5.78 Corn 2.70 3.57 4.46 5.36 6.20 7.08 7.95 Faba bean 1.65 2.07 2.50 2.92 3.34 3.70 4.20 Cotton Linseed 0.75 9.00 1.05 1.20 1.35 1.50 1.65 Sugarbeet 17.25 20.88 24.50 28.12 31.76 35.37 39.00 Melonseed 0.75 0.87 0.98 1.10 1.20 1.32 1.42 Melon 13.50 17.25 21.00 24.75 28.50 32.25 36.00 Vegetable 13.50 16.50 19.50 22.50 25.50 28.50 31.50 Hop SHUANGTA Wheat 2.02 2.54 3.04 3.52 4.08 4.59 5.10 Barley 2.10 2.66 3.20 3.75 4.30 4.84 5.40 Corn 3.00 3.87 4.76 5.62 6.50 7.38 8.25 Faba bean Cotton 0.68 0.78 0.88 0.99 1.08 1.19 1.28 Linseed 0.68 0.81 0.94 1.10 1.24 1.36 1.50 Cotton Melonseed 0.68 0.80 0.93 1.05 1.17 1.30 1.42 Melon 15.00 18.75 22.50 26.25 30.00 33.75 37.50 Vegetable 14.25 17.25 20.25 23.25 26.25 29.25 32.25 HUAHAI Wheat 2.10 2.62 3.15 3.68 4.20 4.72 5.25 Barley Corn 2.85 3.72 4.60 5.48 6.34 7.23 8.10 Faba bean Cotton 0.61 0.72 0.81 0.92 1.01 1.12 1.22 Linseed 0.75 0.87 1.00 1.12 1.24 1.38 1.50 Sugarbeet Melonseed 0.68 0.80 0.93 1.05 1.17 1.30 1.42 Melon 14.25 18.00 21.75 25.50 29.25 33.00 36.75 Vegetable 13.50 16.50 19.50 22.50 25.50 28.50 31.50 Hop Note: No output at the first year due to the treatment of the salinized soil GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Proiection of Yields in the New Area ( Based on 10 years ) (unit: ton/ha) cropping year Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 CHANGMA Wheat 1.80 2.18 2.72 3.26 3.60 3.80 4.32 4.50 4.86 5.40 Barley 2.25 2.40 2.84 3.42 3.80 4.02 4.60 5.19 5.40 6.00 Corn 2.70 3.50 3.57 4.46 5.00 5.36 6.20 6.40 7.08 7.30 Faba bean 1.30 1.65 2.07 2.50 2.92 3.10 3.34 3.70 3.80 4.00 Cotton Linseed 0.75 0.80 0.90 0.90 1.05 1.20 1.35 1.40 1.50 1.65 Sugarbeet 12.00 16.00 17.25 20.88 24.50 26.00 28.12 31.76 35.37 39.00 Melonseed 0.75 0.80 0.87 0.98 1.10 1.20 1.32 1.50 1.42 1.60 Melon 13.50 16.00 17.25 21.00 22.00 24.75 28.50 30.00 32.25 36.00 Vegetable 12.00 13.50 16.50 18.00 19.50 22.50 25.50 27.00 28.50 31.50 Hop SHUANGTA Wheat 1.70 2.02 2.54 3.04 3.52 3.70 4.08 4.59 4.70 5.10 Barley 2.10 2.25 2.66 2.88 3.20 3.75 4.30 4.84 5.00 5.40 Corn 3.00 3.30 3.87 4.76 5.30 5.62 6.50 6.67 7.20 7.38 Faba bean Cotton 0.55 0.59 0.63 0.68 0.78 0.88 0.99 1.08 1.19 1.28 Linseed 0.40 0.60 0.68 0.70 0.81 0.90 0.94 1.10 1.15 1.24 Sugarbeet Melonseed 0.68 0.80 0.93 1.05 1.11 1.12 1.17 1.30 1.35 1.42 Melon 15.00 17.00 18.75 21.00 22.50 26.50 29.00 30.00 33.75 37.50 Vegetable 13.00 14.25 16.00 17.25 20.25 23.25 25.00 26.25 29.25 30.00 HUAHAI Wheat 1.70 2.10 2.50 2.62 3.15 3.68 3.70 4.20 4.72 5.25 Barley Corn 2.85 3.30 3.72 4.10 4.60 5.48 6.34 6.60 7.05 7.23 Faba bean Cotton 0.44 0.56 0.61 0.72 0.81 0.85 0.92 0.97 1.01 1.09 Linseed 0.60 0.70 0.87 0.90 1.00 1.12 1.24 1.30 1.38 1.35 Sugarbeet X X Melonseed 0.68 0.80 0.93 1.05 1.17 1.20 1.30 1.35 1.42 1.53 Melon 14.25 17.00 18.00 21.75 23.00 25.50 29.25 30.00 33.00 36.75 Vegetable 12.00 13.50 16.50 17.00 19.50 22.50 23.00 25.50 27.00 28.50 Hop Note: No output at the first year due to the treatment of the salinized soil Chh. Ganu Had Corrdor Pid - f W - -a Caone.V Aju Mode( _____ INCREMENTAL PRODUCTION (Detiled) (In UnIs 000) nrement lint 1 2to5 Bto8 9 10 11 to1S 1S 17 18to30 Main Production Whead kg 4,080.0 25,008.2 80,152.6 77,800.2 95,237.5 147,744.1 151,276.5 152,916.3 153,631.5 make kg 1,120.0 4,260.7 9,590.0 12,186.6 14,218.8 20,961.6 21,525.3 21,784.9 21,898.0 BaSy kg 1,996.8 5,660.0 12,177.9 15,494.2 18,854.2 28,130.0 28,624.9 28,851.6 28,909.0 Fabe Bean kg 232.0 1,614.8 4,246.2 5,635.9 7,036.6 11,469.4 11,786.2 11,935.0 12,005.0 Colton 1k 318.4 1,425.1 3,059.2 3,862.1 4,695.9 6,691.1 6,802.5 6,854.3 6,875.9 Meln kg 65.0 5,683.1 15,319.0 20,106.4 25,068.8 40,396.6 41,398.9 41,900.0 42,087.5 Meion Seeds kg 106.0 518.0 1,197.5 1,487.6 1,792.2 2,550.7 2,601.7 2,624.8 2,635.0 Vegeable kg 850.0 5,712.0 13,700.2 17,617.9 21,617.3 33,046.2 33,769.4 34,110.6 34,230.6 Beet I 1,820.0 7,429.3 17,873.7 23,539.1 29,076.9 44,973.9 46,0802 46,5822 46,800.0 Hemp kg 498.2 1,701.3 3,512.6 4,413.0 5,349.8 7,950.3 8,113.0 8,188.4 8,219.5 Hope Ig 114.0 418.5 64.2 724.8 801.1 1,005.6 1,012.0 1,014.0 1,014.0 liMb ower kg 1,173.6 6,032.6 13,7282 17,510.2 21,572.5 33,110.2 33,763.0 34,050.7 34,131.4 BaIey e"r kg 2,9952 8,926.8 17,514.4 21,931.0 26,444.7 41,355.1 42,535.5 43,105.4 43,375.3 Soyben Wm kg 232.o 1,614.8 4,246.2 5,635.9 7,036.6 11,469.4 11,7862 11,935.0 12,005.0 Cotton Straw IQ 63.7 -2,753.9 1,135.6 2,677.6 4,127.0 7,778.2 7,977.6 8,070.8 8,1092 HwVp Straw kg 99.4 3,401.0 7,134.6 8,855.9 10,739.5 15,953.4 16,290.8 16,447.9 16,5152 4 wC 5- China Gansu Nexi Corridor Livestock and Forestry INCREMENTAL PRODUCTION (Detailed) (in Units IO00 Lk lIat 2 4 0 I I a 1 1 11 12 13 14 Is 1' Main Livestock Produciona Afalfa hey kg 40347.3 41244.71 43742.2e 4754.7d 8127.71 670.71 74175.10 35.42 s13.70 5117m.00 1t0373.3 t 1056.34 t17m2.5i 1li1MMl ttrsfl.01 Alfalfa Sed kg oo 0. 0.a 23.00 40.Xr 40.00 40.a 4.oD 4con 40.c 40.00 40.00 0.W 2.00 40.00 Alfafa graing kg 0.o 0.00 0.00 17.31 312.44 312.4 312.4 312.44 312.4 512.44 312.64 31264 0.06 167.31 312.44 Wool kg 0.00o oO 0.00 o07 0.6 1.42 .13 1.05 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 Chkkan kg 6.2 6.23 6.23 s1.6 I..2 482.ee is.1 ese.so m.4 *20.211 e20.2 QO.2 cn0 r20.2n n.2 Egg nrdt chicks) WAd 100.00) 1o.o tO.OO u O.W mOOo turn 1.0 160.00 li.00 160.00 160. 10000 116.00 160.00 1 60 oo 1a000 Egg( (gghiks) 4 s1.00 516.00 516.00 16.00 014.00 01.00 01600 16. 510.00 016.o 51e.01 515.00 616.00 516.00u 516.00 Connercial Egg kg 50.40 5s.40 68.40 237.00 417A4 0s6.00 7)4.40 671.40 100.40 1001.40 1oo06o 1006.40 100640 1 4O 100o.40 Laere MMChicks 2D.OO 2d0 3M 200 3M 3.00 20.W 20.00 20.00 3. 3M 3M 3M 300 20.00 LaVarEggChicke 12.60 12.60 12.67 12.60 12.60 12.60 12.0 12.60 12.60 12.67 12600 12.60 12.80 12.0 128 Breeding Pig -rm In 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0e17 017 017 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 017 017 Breding Pig-f hed o.0 0.00 0.01 1.02 1.53 1.02 1.03 2.01 240 2.67 217 2.67 2a7 2.07 2.7 Shep(oneser) heed 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.31 047 0.564 0.61 0.0 0.67 0so 0.6s 0 0.6 O. Piglet heed 0e22 022 0.4 1.57 .43 6.62 11.6 15.42 17.34 20.10 a.10 2.10 20.10 10 20.10 calf hee 0.00 o.0 O00 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.10 0.11 012 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 By Produoth Otlher 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.67 66.3 144.00 102.0 162.00 171.00 171.00 171.00 1IM 171.00 171.00 Main Forestry Producdon Poparpoie 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.60 122.57 lOO.n 71.91 71.2 142.22 10471 flu1o Popler Thibr 0.0 0 0 000 0.°00 0.0 0.00 0°0 0.0 0.°00 0.0 0 0.00 ° 00 C. 000 PoplarFuel I 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 00 0. 2324.7 110e4.77 0.20 7123.42 643.71 12347.4 645640 600166 Fuel Wood (Terla) kg 0.00 66.75 1667.06 1667.sO 1677.00 2361.23 3270.00 375.00 2375.00 4036.75 5062.00 A6.75 3375.00 403s.75 06200 Apple kg 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.00 530.03 e.00 1511.75 2261.3 3138.63 4217.0 S6.33 7313.34 57.76 60.2e 1000740 Peer kg 0.00 0.00 07.34 154.3 3004.90 45s6.7s ee02.73 406.00 i23705 17O0.e1 21014.47 2161.67 2636 .47 2162.06 Nuewe Ueedlfng k 0.00 1000.00 1Dl 00 1000. 0 100.00 1000.00 2000.00 2000.00 2DOo.O0 MOo. 2300.00 2000.00 20000 2000.00 300.00 U-, k is 16 17 1e 16 3 21 2n 23 24 20 as 2e 2e N Main Livestock Production/a Alfalfa hay kg 110077.81 1084.24 10o3.3 10663.43 110461.67 6421.62 116317.01 117054.30 ls01.05 114616.45 1120I2.19 1066.67 1o .36 10667.43 1s441.17' Alflfa Seed kg 40.56 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 0.00 20.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 an grang kg 312.64 312.44 312.44 312.60 312.44 12.44 312.44 312.64 0.00 167.31 312.64 312.84 312.44 312.44 312.84 Wool kg 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2L07 Chilwn kg 20e c20n r20.2e C20n r20.2 can n202e n202 120e2 *2e2 220.2e n202e can e20.n an1 Egg(inaadchcks) we turn teran 167.00 1tur 1t0 1tun laOO 1tOur 1turn 1tun 1tr.0n tr.n tr.n tr.n0 t.0 EggF (ggl clh.e) mc 016.00 Ste.. 016.00 0s1.00 516.00 016.00 506.00 510.O 016.00 114.00 016.00 016.00 016.00 01600 16011 ConencoIl Egg kg too 100 .40 10.40 1o0o40 o0o040 100.40 100.40 100.40 1006.40 10o40 1o0o40 1o0.o 1o0o40 10A40 100.40 Leyr Met ChOicig 20.00 20.00 20.00 30.00 .00 2.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 23.00 00 20.0 LarlEgg Chkla m4 12.60 12.67 12.60 12.4 iS 12.46 12.00 126 12a.0 12.67 12.67 12.60 12.0z 1267 12.0 Breeding Pig -r F_s 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 &aadkgPig-f heed 2.7 2.67 2.67 2.07 2.07 2.67 2.67 2.37 2.07 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.97 2.67 2.67 Shep (on p) hee o.0 0.68 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 o.66 0. 0.66 0.66 0.67 0 0.66 0.e Piglet hed 20.10 20.10 20.10 23.10 3.10 20.10 20.10 20.10 20.10 20.10 20.10 20.10 3.10 3.10 20.10 can heed 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 112 0.12 0.12 By Produrcts Oets ain h 171.00 171.00 171 W 171.00 171.00 171.0 0 .W 171. 00 171.00 171.00 171.00 I11. 17.00 171.00 Main Foretry Production Ht Popilrpol_ c 73. 3v 3. .56 174 O.W .0 0.00 O. 00.0 O.W 0.06 O. 0 .00 0 .co O.W 24J5 ID PopigrThober d 0.0 0.00 0.00 W 00 1234 61.35 SOAI 01.4 Wa.M 71.3 52A5 3WU4 1.31 14J PoplarFuel kg e0.66 2341.71 2e0426 000 000 37561.3 184412 10100.3 1197237 10720. 21412.57 1576.7 1621 40.94 6674 LI C Fuel Wood (T h) kg 6062.00 436.75 3375.00 4 .75 502.50 4375 337s.00 403.75 506250 436.75 75.00 4036.75 50e40 436.75 3375.6 W ' Apple kg 106074 1256,46 1401.05 iSM.12 15MAO 16s6AO 14042A0 16S6340 1711640 17402.61 17402.11 17402.1 174C 1746e2 1740281 Peer kg 230M.e 336s7 374022e 40170.5 4190.77 42628.15 432661 43e4111 44eo72s 4036712 45367.03 42e7.a3 42673 4s27a3 40367.03 N _a_ Sedln 2 W 2 W.00 20 00.00 230.00 w 2 306.00 366.00 0.001 30 00.00 23oW00.00 300.00 flU 00 216 a: Inceen al v1 tock products cover only tO e rom knklinanced direct breeding frma and btroduced breding stock to ftrmes, and do nat ake nto account tde Increa d producto f the Improved breeding stock on the entire popuitlon. Pe I - 104 - ANNEX C Table 4 Sheet 1 Chin Mlgrants from Jish iha to Shuangt. Houshold Model Gansu H14x Corridor Projct L mmoT pTALB d - 0. . . e . 0.e 1.2 IA 1.7 2.0 1.5 2.1 2l 21 2l 0.0 is Si -- ki" . . . 0.2, 0.2, .2,l- - . .2 2 0.2 0. 0.3 0.32 0.3 03 ~~~~~4s ~~~~~~~~~~~~0.2 0.3 0.3 SB* - t.0 C.; O.; 0.1 a.; 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.1 0.1 G.1 P- * *.. 0.2 0.3 0. - - - - - * C1m . . . 1 1.0 1.1 1 IA 1.5 IJ 2.0 22 22 22 22 M61. ~~ ~~- * - Si Si 00 0. 0.0 e.e 07 Sie 0i S eJ 0*J Is" S AA- - - 1 .1 1 01 0.1 e 2 0 0 0 2 2 _i * - 0- 2 0 2 22 0. 0 02 0 5.2 S eJ S2 0J v-~~~~~blm 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - -~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~. .3 O H . . . 1I 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 L. 0.1 0.1 Apple al0.2 2 0.GI -2 -. GI GA G PMow IL - 6- - 2 0..2 0.2 0.2 . 0.5 1 _W.11 Idt. t J1T IJ 2 J Ii 3.2 3Si 5.1 GI 0.1 H 7.1 7.1 0.0 0L Vw am - .1 0. 2 0.2 0.3 0. 0.4 .4 0.4 GA CA OA ft 0.2 02 0.2 . IWO 0 - . 0e to 0.0 ee Si 0.0 0.0 0.0 Si Si S. Si Mad i- 0.0 0.0 0.- - -- - - - Sub7 d_ - 0.0 0.0 e.0 5.0 00 e e.0 0.0 0 .0 0.e e J 0.0 C_n- a". . 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0. 0.3 S S 0. M.* Se 0to 0.0 0.0 OA Si0 0.0 Si0 Oi to0 Si 0.0 Si H-* 0.0* 0.0 0.0 --- -- - H_ -J _ 0.0 0e e M . V*. ofr I 2.1 2.1 21 Lo 3.2 IA 4.2 - f LI 0.e ?A 0. 0.1 ,i OA meAw lemee ., a WU_ bo F0. Sy r 0t - -1 .1 . . Wa _w UmNd_ P A 0 7 G. .7 t 0 S.? t? O. V7 .7 6 7 S.? W .T tr V7 -_ T.td a_ - _db 1. 3. s ¢7 *. ¢.7 0.7 *T7 7 0. 07 *.7 *.7 e.7 *.7 Sm.t 0.1m Uqd .d Po 0. 6. 0.1 0. . 01 & h*.Tdt O0. W2 - a n z.4t 3i 1 30 4} 4.0 Ui 7.0 7.t II e.0 0.0 0., .7 PSm=:m Cad Mad..* - - 0.1 01 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 L Mad 'MO* 0.2 .2 02GA - _m seed -* - Si S 0.0 *e 0.0 ae 0.0 0.0 G.0 ee 0. C. had in 0.0 0. 0. e - Bud - * * - * - $94,11 .1 .t1 0.1 . . . . . O e Sd 0.0 Si S 0.0 0. 0.0 0.0 OA 0.0 0.0 0.0 .0 HM t Seed * - e . 0.0 0.0 0.0 S.i 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 _tbead Se - . . 0.0 0eJ e.0 0.0 0e0 e0. 0. e 0. ee 0.0 '*geMhSeud * - . 0. 0.0 0.0 S Si Si 0.0 0.0 Oi e.e eJ . Lk"~ 0ed0.0 0.0 0.3 - -. - O.; - LI - ::w~~~~i Si Si t - - -. - . -. . .§@§ee .0* Mm3 0* - *° .i. . b.S 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.1 .3 0. t 0.1 u 0. Mw. O.,I 0.3 0.2I 0. 0 .3 . 0.2 0.3 0. 0.2 02 0.3 __~ ~ ~ ~ S Si - i . ee -s .- -l -l -l el - l PAW Sy~dm L ILI 5.3 02 0. 0.3 0.3 02 0.2 0.2 0.2 0LI 0.2 0.2 rm- - - _- -l U -. A d Tre".* 0.2 0.3 0.2 ee Be -,. T. G.; 62 ~- . - 0.1 0.1 0 1 0. 0.2 pro" T= * * - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Si0 0.0 0.0 Ome-Tud Swmomi IfA II' -* --w iT Ii, I- Li1 2.2 2.2- 2.2, 2.2, 2.3 2.3 2- Law kw . . GA . . Li . . Li . Li . b ~~~- 4 T~ L Aj * L1 - PVedeT Cod . -T 1.? 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NW,~ ~~ - ~ ~5*3* NW, VNNNI 61111" VW,- W, VWI :W, VINpgoV #Wa .wuuao Im,fl uwjWqmNW, - 107 - ANNEX C T4ble 4 ChV emi HKS Cclddr Prtd Re _c o O _wh m lo us k lti Modd PIANCLAL CUDGET (DITED) AdI - March (hI Yut'000) is Without Proled With Projed Ito29 30 1 2 3 4 6 6 7 S * 10 It l2toU 30 main PNedued Whet 10.4 10.4 10.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 vlmetht - - - 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0 9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 m1ir - - 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0 6 Bub 2.4 2.4 2.4 - - - - - - - FbaaBen 1.1 1. 1.1 - - - - Cdn _ - - 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 Mebi S - - - 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 V _ - - 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 HM 1.6 1.8 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 02 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 03 0.3 0.3 0.3 MFeb - - - - 5. 6.6 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 Apple - - - - - - 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 3.6 3.6 pe- 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 9.4 9.4 PaO" 0 09 0 . 9 09 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 09 MLton 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.5 cn - - - 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Subtotal Main Prducton 15.6 15.6 156 5.2 11.8 13.4 15.1 22.2 23.1 23.6 24.1 24.8 24.8 32.0 32.0 y Products Wuet S 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 04 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 hS~bttShw - - - 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 d rIM oku- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 9w ls 0.5 0.5 0.5 - - - - Been sew 0.1 0.1 0.1 - - caion atw - - - 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 HM Sah 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 o - - - 0.4 0.4 0.4 04 0C4 0.5 0.5 0 5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Sub4-otuatlyproducte 27 27 27 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.3 14 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 Gro_sValue Of Productin 18.3 18.3 183 59 12.6 14.3 16.1 23.3 24.3 24.9 25.6 26.3 26.3 33.6 33.6 Other ab Kia from LUstk Prodbucn 04 04 .4 0.4 - - - - - - Ud.tmwhicaiw 0.5 0 5 0.5 0.5 - - Sub-Total Othe illows b0 0.6 - - -- hPFLO 192 19.2 192 6.8 126 143 161 23.3 243 24.9 25.6 26.3 26.3 33.6 33.6 Pmoduction Coot Puchaeed hIpus ' ased 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 01 01 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 01 0.1 Wm thtN Sed - - - 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 mie sed - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Baisy Sed 0.2 0.2 0.2 - - - - - - - - - - - - Fl Bow seed 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - CdanSee - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 00 0.0 Meln6Seed 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Vegeabs Sed 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 May Seed o. 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 :=b5 se - - - - 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 :tOen 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 NW0o- - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 ure- - 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Pioagot_ 0.3 0.3 0.3 0 1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0 3 Mwers 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0 7 Peedde 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 06w Opi 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 WhImw - - 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0 7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 Wemr 0.4 0.4 0.4 - - - - - - - - Mecinmy 0 8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 Ar.1 Trackn 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 ;'oqs-rshicelse - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Fsdrlalm - - - 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 Feadprocn*qu.iate - - 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Alai X - - - - - 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 AdStproductTa- - - - - 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 01 01 01 0.1 pd ce - - - 0.1 0.1 01 0.1 0.1 0.1 01 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 06orh - - - 02 02 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 08 Sub-TaftI Pun-a_hd lnpuXt 46 4.6 5.0 40 5.5 5.8 6.2 61.7 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.6 7.6 Labor Sdsbw bor 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0. 03 0.3 0.3 02 02 02 0.3 U wdl dbor 2.7 2.7 3.1 22 2.6 2 .6 26 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2 21 2.7 .bor-R 0-1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 01 0.1 0.1 ulub1TtaHliredLaber 2.7 27 3.1 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.i 3.1 3.1 31 Uub-TtelProductionCost 7.2 7.2 8.1 64 84 8.8 90 9.8 10.1 1033 103 10.4 105 10.7 107 OUTFLOWS 7.2 72 8.1 64 8.4 8.6 9.0 9.8 WA 103 10.3 10.4 105 10.7 107 Cah FlowIeforsFlnencing 12.0 12.0 11.2 04 4.3 5.6 7.1 13.5 142 14.6 152 15.9 159 22.9 22.9 FPianciol bilw Trander fmnPAiLowPerod 7.2 7.2 7.2 6.4 6.4 86 9.0 9.8 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.4 105 107 10.7 Cnarllon *OmcaAns - - 0.9 . - - - - - - - Sub-Total Ftnancialhibyom 7.2 7.2 8.1 8.4 6.4 86 90 9.6 101 10.3 10.3 104 10.5 10.7 10.7 Financial Outltis TruairtNed Pod 72 7.2 64 6.4 8.6 9.0 9.8 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.7 107 10.7 Not Financing - 1.7 -2.0 -0.3 -0.4 -0.8 -0.4 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 2- C_h FlowAerFlbRnncing 12.0 12.0 128 -1.6 4.0 5.3 63 13.2 14.1 14.6 15.2 15.8 15.6 22.9 22.9 Change In Not Worth CWr*bdm frwmamwirsev - - 0.9 - - - - - - - - - - - PeeS"avean of Trusr hi Nod Psod - 7.2 - - - - - - 10.7 Sub-Total Change In Na Worh 7.2 -09 -107 FensPdly lneft Ahtwer Pnmncing 12.0 19.2 120 -1.6 4.0 5.3 6.3 13.2 141 146 152 158 156 22.9 336 Return per F_9hnlOy of Labor - - - - - hncns tl Ib4umn pwr hlfautseums.l FrIl-Ca d Labor - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - IRR 13.71. NPV * 5.04 la Ro tes fra ah gs hi O gra h uv apge hi Ha hrigaoion era Gansu Hexi Corridor Prolect !ncome Irnpct on Milrant Houeholds Unit Yuan Preent Net Income Future Net Incorne Real Growth Plaming Ndt-1995 Household Plantation Family Family/b Per Year 10 Per Year 20 Per Per Year Per Year ArExpertees Area (ha) Suie Income C pta Family Capita Familv Cita ToYear 10 To Year20 Migrnts from Yw6in Crmp Productio 0.7 5.0 729.3 145.9 4897.1 979.4 5787.9 1157.6 21.0/ 10.9'!. ToChangmaArea Crop Production/a 1.2 5.0 729.3 145.9 7136.6 1427.3 10217.0 2043.4 25.6% 14.1% Miginb fixm Jishishan Crop Production 0.7 5.0 1600.0 320.0 6500.0 1300.0 7400.0 1480.0 15.0/ 8.0%/C To Shuangta Area Crop Productio/a 1.2 5.0 1600.0 320.0 9200.0 1840.0 12300.0 2460.0 19.1% lO.7/ Migrt firm lixien Crop Productio 0.7 5.0 1382.5 276.5 4884.0 976.8 5775.0 1155.0 13.5% 7.4% ToChmgmaArca CropProductiont/ 1.2 5.0 13U2.5 276.5 7123.6 1424.7 10204.0 2040.8 17.8% 10.5% ReoeateefirmChan Crop Production 1.8 5.0 12000.0 2400.0 15900.0 3180.0 22900.0 4580.0 2.9/ 3.3% To H_ahai Amwb with Uveglock MigruitnsChw4pna CattleSpeciulzed 0.7 5.0 1357.0 271.4 8144.0 1628.8 9035.0 1807.0 19.6% 9.9% Irrigtion Area Production Migrat in Chagm Sheep Spdalzed 0.7 5.0 1357.0 271.4 12952.0 2590.4 13842.0 2768.4 25.3% 12.3% nigaion Area Production Average 1.0 5.0 2459.7 491.9 8526.4 1705.3 10829.0 2165.8 13.2% 7.7% Ln n Note: a/The Migrants will pay 150 yuan/0. Iha for additional land use (total 0.5ha per family) after 5 yars in relocated new irription area. b/ Relocate, from eidsting Changna Irrigation Ara to Huahai new irrigation area due to the constuction of the Changma Reservoir Chhn Oansu HeXi Coqrldor Project Whet-Shuagt. Nw Aea Crop -h FIANCIAL UDOET ExstIng (in Yiuu Pw he) 2Teed ,ju icrmet {In 4onP"hZ} T ebnob6y 7" T _ | ? 8t0o0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 loh Revnue Most 3.232.0 4,064.0 4,864.0 s,3en0 6,526.0 7,344.0 8,160.0 3,232.0 4.064.0 4,864.0 5,632.0 6,528.0 7,344.0 8,100.0 Ev Products Whd w * eo60.0 762.0 912.0 1,2580. 1 2240 13780 1,53.0 606.0 762.0 9120 I 058 0 1,224.0 1.371.0 1i530.0 hob4lel Revemn -f3lWT 4,826.0 5T770 i 0 7752.o C722.0 9.690.0 - 3838.0 4.826.0 5277IVto 688.0 1 7-.5T-- ,7i22 9.690.0 input coet W ed * - 510.0 510.0 510.0 5100 5100 510.0 510.0 - 51.0 510.0 510.0 510.0 510.0 510.0 510.0 Nvgen - . 101.3 155.3 209.3 263.3 317.3 3133 371.3 * 101.3 155.3 209.3 263.3 37.3 371.3 371.3 P9ime - * 420 651 88.2 111.3 134.4 157.5 157.5 - 42.0 65.1 88.2 111.3 134.4 157.5 157.5 u* *enso225.0 247.5 270.0 292. 3150 337.5 337.5 - 225.0 2475 2700 292.5 315.0 337.5 337.5 Pedde - . 25.0 250o2 25.0 25.0 250 250 250 250 25.0 25o 25.0 25.0 25 0 25.0 25.0 AI Taw - - 300 3000 3D 0 30.0 300.0 3D000 3000 30D.0 3000 300.0 300.0 3000 300.0 30D.0 Meiery . 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 - 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 Wdw - 480.0 481.2 461.2 481.2 481.2 481.2 481.2 481.2 480.0 481.2 481.2 481.2 481.2 461.2 481.2 481.2 Sub4tol in o 48o.0 2,.134.5 4.1 WTT3T33.TT71433.3 --2W.S S 26325325 46.0 2,134.5 2,234.1 2333T 2,433.3 -2,3U29 2,632.5- 26325 innom (Befoe Labor Cost) - 480.0 1,3.6 25920 3442a.4 i24 5,219.2 6,08.00 7056 -480.0 1,703.6 F-2,592 3,442.4 4,254.8 5,219.2 8o089.6 7,tt7. Labor cs U ieiedbo - 510.3 1,275.8 1,275.81 1 275.e 1,275.8 1,275.8 1,275.8 1,275.8 510.3 1,275.8 1,275.8 1,275.8 1,275.8 1,275.8 1,275 8 1,275.8 Income Lr abbor Costs . 990.3 427.8 1.316.2 2166S.6 is7s.0 3,943.4 4,813.s8 " 78j1i -90 3 427.s 1,316.2 2,1886.6 2,979.0 3,943.4 4,813.8 ,O7-I1s InomeAdn Lxor: IRR None, WV P 37.41603 imux Aw 1b IR * None, NPV * 27.823.07 c~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ V*o-W* ""AM cm Yk- -t le * *0 1e- Sioo 4e91 4 S_ " n__ l - -60 2,540 4040 Use xe020 4xe Soe - 2,02 214 .340 xS5le 4Xo 4AW0 Ie IWd e 1,00 ,010 4,00 5,26 4,00 6*0 7,40 3*10 3010 4no4 1,6 .20 SmPS * 0 . d , e e i - - 200~~~~~~~~~~~~~~1 3 3 w 3 ws * 0 * 400 . * * 0 * 0* 2 0* 0* *0enh . 15 21 27 35 4J 40 . 15 207 270 20 n . 0 44 R*n000*t 3IO IN 210 2 2t 31 17 Minnie One . . 15 leA 18o YeJ 21 S Mi22 i1 Its Is lii 21 .St x .S Ped~~~~~~~~ ~~~~ - . ~~~~~~~~ 20 5 2 1 2 25 25 21 2 52 2 52 Ad T. - *0 * *" *0 *0 *0 *0 -0 3e0e *0s M.0 30 3w t WAdmmg ywft ~ ~ - 450 4lso 450 A5" 0 450 * 400 450 450 4*0 450*00 Labw tole000 l 605 6,1 61 OS 001 *1 ,0 0.015 0.011 X*1 501 601 61 6*1 Ih0WNdmbew . 08 2 22m 225 n5 221 2n 2W of 2 2Ws 225 to 2W 2t Zs Al rla cmin Gansu Hed Cokidor Pro.ed Coti.-Shuangta EXsIng Are Crop Mod April - March FINANCIAL BUDGET Existng (In Yuan Per ha) Techlogy New Technology 1 1030 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12to30 Revenue Main Producon Cotion 12,960.0 14,400.0 14,880.0 15,360.0 15,840.0 16,320.0 16,920.0 17,280.0 17,780.0 18,360.0 18,840.0 19,320.0 19,800.0 By Products Cotton Stew 2,721.6 2,884.0 3,122.0 3,220.0 2,M.0 2,856.0 3,556.0 3.640.0 3,724.0 3,850.0 3,920.0 4,060 4,158.0 Sub-total Revenue 15,681.6 17,284.0 18,002.0 18,580.0 18,612.0 19.176.0 20,476.0 20,920.0 21,484.0 22,210.0 22,760.0 23,380.0 23,958.0 Input costs Cotdon Seed 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 Nitrogn 450.0 450.0 637.5 712.5 787.5 787.5 787.5 787.5 7875 787.5 787.5 7875 7875 PhosphF 1 252.0 252.0 260.4 268.8 273.0 273.0 273.0 273.0 273.0 273.0 273.0 273.0 273.0 Manure 675.0 6750 675.0 675.0 675.0 675.0 675.0 675.0 675.0 675.0 675.0 675.0 675.0 PeFiie 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 Animal Tration 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 Machey 900.0 900.0 1.000.0 1,100.0 1 ,200.0 1,2.0 100.0 1,200200.200.0.0. 1,200.0 1,200.0 1,200.0 Wtr - 360.0 360.0 360.0 360.0 360.0 360.0 360.0 360.0 360.0 360.0 360.0 360.0 Water 135.0 - - - - Oter nput 1,0.0 1,050.0 1,150.0 1,250 1350.0 1,350.0 1,350.0 1,350.0 1,350.0 1,350.0 15.0 1350.0 1,350.0 Sub-total Inputcot 4,287.0 4,512.0 4,907.9 5,1913 5,4705 5,470.5 5,4705 5.470.5 544705 705 5.4705 5,4705 5,4705 ncmemn(BeforeLaborCosts) 11,394.6 12,772.0 13,094.1 13,388.7 13,1415 13,7055 15,0055 15,4495 16.0135 16,7395 17,2895 17,9095 18,4875 Lab coats Unskdldhkbor 2,5515 2,551.5 2,5515 2,5515 2,5515 2,5515 2,5515 2,5515 2,5515 S 2,51 251 2551S 2,5515 0 knca (Afe Labor Costs) 8,843.1 10,2205 10,542.6 10,837.2 10,500.0 11.154.0 12,454.0 12,896. 13,462.0 14,188.0 14,736.0 15,358.0 15,936.0 hcom BeIre Lbo RR - None, NPV 32,672.00 hconm Atr Labor RR Non, PV - 32,672.00 X Ir rt D X1 V' - in. - X |S,t SSY w 0 'SS ANNEX C - P|lable 6(b) } ° 8 8 ° e s xj°g 19 8 ° S 3Sheet 2 _- N _ _w . | -- E. 8- EsR1 88'tz I, III0l08° - N - .-wooAS - a-> . N 8 -.SYo8 '- , ^ 8 I|SY|9§' 4 | - Rn8S8S "1~~~~~~~ | I. II< ~I 8 °I, 1 | -O i o °Y s1 ;s I i a> ii;s s3 i Il!t0| China Gansu Hexi Corridor Project Faba Bean-Changma New Area Crop Mo April - Marc FINANCIAL BUDGET Existing (In Yuan Per ha) Technology New Technology 1 to 30 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 to 30 Revenue Main Production Faba Bean - - 3,300.0 4,140.0 5,000.0 5,840.0 6,680.0 7,400.0 8,400.0 By Products Soybean staw - - 247.5 310.5 375.0 438.0 501.0 555.0 630.0 Sub-total Revenue - - 3,547.5 4,450.5 5,375.0 6,278.0 7,181.0 7,955.0 9,030.0 Input costs Faba Bean seed - - 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 Nitrogen - - 22.5 30.0 37.5 45.0 52.5 60.0 60.0 Phosphate - - 126.0 168.0 210.0 252.0 294.0 336.0 336.0 Manure - - - - 45.0 75.0 150.0 225.0 225.0 Pesticide - - 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 Animal Traction - - 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 Machinery - - 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 Water - 480.0 480.0 480.0 480.0 480.0 480.0 480.0 480.0 Other Input - - 50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 75.0 Sub-total Input costs - 480.0 1,728.5 1,783.0 1,882.5 1,967.0 2,096.5 2,226.0 2,226.0 Income (Before Labor Costs) - -480.0 1,819.0 2,667.5 3,492.5 4,311.0 5,084.5 5,729.0 6,804.0 Labor costs Unskled bbor - 510.3 1,530.9 1,530.9 1,530.9 1,530.9 1 1,530.9 1,530.9 Income (After Labor Costs) - -990.3 288.1 1,136.6 1,961.6 2,780.1 3,553.6 4,198.1 5,273.1 Income Before Labor IRR = None, NPV = 36,509.07 Income After Labor IRR = None, NPV = 25,088.64 tD 0m at%D > o' Cn Chkw Gisu Hed Corrkdor P-pc Fnb. Bem-Changn New Arm April - March YIELDS AND INPUTS Existing (Per hi) Technoogy New Technology Unit I to 30 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 * to 30 yekd kg - 1 ,650 2,070 2,500 2,920 3,340 3,700 4,200 By products Soybe.n s5w kg - 1,650 2,070 2,500 2,920 3,340 3,700 4,200 FabuBeanseed kg - - 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 Nbogen 1k - - 30 40 50 60 70 80 80 Phosphate kg - 300 400 500 600 700 800 800 Maniae ton - - 3 5 10 15 15 pesticide Yuan - 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 Ankid Tracion Yuan - - 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 Muchiry Yuan - 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 Watr m3 - 6,000 6,000 6,000 6,000 6,000 6,000 6,000 6,000 OlherInpul Yuan - s0 55 60 65 70 75 75 Labor Unskdld bbor day 90 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 m I-ItM 0t > Ga MoS Corrkr Pid FMa Be-hign r- g A ApN- RUd (Ps he) T A Nw Tachsohey Udt 1toso 1 2 3 4 * 6 7 U 9 1i 11 121la YVA kg 4.000 4,200 4340 4.470 4,600 4,740 4.6o 5.020 5,1O 5,3co 5,430 5,50 5.700 a Ibl O lo 4000 4,200 4.340 4.470 4,O6 4,740 4,S80 5,020 5,160 5.30 5,430 5.560 5700 0 - FPaB Ew n_d bg 150 150 150 150 150 150 ISO ISO 150 150 1SO 150 150 hib"m e 9 so so eU 7n as 0 8 as as e ee as e S Phoate kg 6so e0s 766 677 ? 97 967 967 967 se7 W7 67 967 917 Ms tnIS IS 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 Pa s Yuen 120 120 130 140 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 Aim' Tb Yurn 300 300 300 300 300 m 300 300 300 300 m 30D 30D MaduiYs Va 225 225 250 275 300 3UD 3UN 3 3N 3U 3UN 3U 30U wa m3* 5,625 6,0oo 6,000 6S000 6,000 6,000 6,000 6,000 6AW 60 6W 6OD0 Wa m3 5,625 - Olihyi Vad t 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 UhwflS bbr day 27 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 210 270 Gnu Haud Corwdwk Pmpcq s- Fabe Bmwi--~~~~~~~~~~ EWdWg Ame Crop ~~~~~~~~PelMarch 4H Fib fn.ag. Exdi Argo Qo FCLJUAL BUDGET Exhom (in Yuen Pr he) Technoeogy Now Technology 1 o30 1 2 3 4 £ a 7 a S 10 11 12 j30 bun FabsBen 8,000.0 8,400.0 6,6so0 8,940.0 9,200.0 9,480.0 9,760.0 10,0400 10,3200 10,600.0 10,6600 11,120.0 11,4 00 By Products Soybmn obsw 60D0o 6300 651.0 670.5 690.0 711.0 732.0 7530 774.0 795.0 6145 634.0 6s.0 Sub4oW Re" en8,6000 9,0300 9,3310 9,610.5 9,890.0 10,1910 10,492.0 10,7930 11,094.0 11,395.0 11,674.5 11,9564.0 122550 bped cos Febs Bow seed 300.0 300.0 300 0 300.0 300.0 300 0 300.0 300 0 300 0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 Nbagen 45.0 45.0 51.0 58.5 66.0 66.0 66.0 66.0 66.0 66.0 66.0 86.0 66.0 Phosphts 273.0 273 0 321.3 368.3 414.5 414 5 414.5 414.5 414.5 414.5 4145 414.5 414.5 Muss 225.0 225.0 225 0 225.0 2250 2250 225.0 225.0 225.0 225. 225.0 225.0 225 0 PF*bokie 1200 120.0 130.0 140.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 1500 150.0 150.0 1500 a ZI Ardinm TscAln 300 0 300.0 300.0 300. 0 3000 30.0 300 0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300 0 H X' Mohrsy 225 0 225.0 250 0 275 0 300.0 300 o 300 0 300 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300 0 C wt - 450 80 o 0 4o 0 o 40.0 480.0 480.0 4o.0 4oo.0 480.0 4co.0 480.0 480 0 a WSn 168.8 . * - - . . - , , OthwrA 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 750 75.0 75.0 750 750 75.0 75.0 75.0 75. 0 bt Inpn csh 1,731.8 2,013.0 2,132.3 2,221.8 2,310.5 2,310.5 2,310.5 2,310.5 2,310.5 2,310.5 2,310.5 2,310.5 2,310 5 kioms (Before Labin Cost) 6,8683 7,017.0 7,198.7 7,386.7 7,579.5 7,8805 6,181.5 6,462.5 8,76.5 9,064.5 9,364.0 9,6435 9,944.5 U hod w 1,530.9 1,530 9 1,530.9 1,5309 15309 1,530.9 1,530.9 1,530.9 1,530.9 1,530.9 1.530.9 1.530.9 1.530.9 -hcoi Labw Cosdt 5,337.4 5,4861 5,6676 5,857.8 6,046.6 6,3496 6,6506 6,951.6 7,2526 7,563.6 7,633.1 8,112.6 8,413.6 KmU, Ithe Libor IRR * None, NPV = 12,676.40 Ircome PAr Lmbr IRR u Nore, NPV = 12,876.40 cN Gen Hod Ccstdrw Pict Make-Chng ffwd Are Crop ModaW Aprl- Mwch FINANCIAL BUGOET Exblsng an Yunn Per h) Technology Now Technology I to 30 1 2 3 4 6 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 to 30 Man ProdueNn swin 8,400.0 9.720.0 9s,s9.o 1018.0 10,404.0 10,632.0 10,872.0 11,068.0 11,328.0 11,556.0 11,784.0 12,O00.0 12,240.0 By Pd mmm stwm 1,185.0 1,215.0 1,245.0 1,280.0 j*. 1,330.0 1,350.0 1,386.0 1,416.0 1.445.0 1,480.0 1,530.0 Sub-tota Reven 9,585.0 10,935.0 11,205.0 11,468.0 11,704.0 11,962.0 12,231.0 12.474.0 12,744.0 13,001.0 13,264.0 13,500.0 13,770.0 hput cost. Makesd 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 Nitron 525.0 525.0 562.5 637.5 712.5 712.5 712.5 712.5 712.5 712.5 712.5 712.5 712.5 Phoephb 195.3 195.3 210.0 235.2 260.4 260.4 260.4 260.4 260.4 260.4 260.4 260.4 260.4 luAw' 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 Patde 120.0 120.0 125.0 140.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 Animal Truction 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 3D0.0 300.0 300.0 Mac*eY 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 450.0 Water - 576.0 576.0 576.0 576.0 576.0 576.0 576.0 576.0 576.0 576.0 576.0 576.0 Watw 216.0 - - - - - - - - Otr lnpiA 825.0 825.0 825.0 625.0 825.0 25.0 82s.0 825.0 825.0 625.0 825.0 825.0 825.0 Subttotal hnput costs 3,231.3 3,591.3 3.648.5 3,763.7 3.873.9 3,873.9 3,873.9 3.873.9 3,873.9 3,873.9 3,873.9 3,873.9 3,873.9 Income (Before Labor Costs) 6,353.7 7,343.7 7,556.5 7,704.3 7,830.1 8,088.1 8,357.1 8600.1 8,870.1 9,127.1 9,390.1 9,626.1 9,896.1 Labor costs UnkUled labor 1,871.1 1,871.1 1,871.1 1,871.1 1,871.1 1,871.1 1,871.1 1.871.1 1,871.1 1 e71 1 1,871.1 1,871.1 1,671.1 Incom (After Labor Coda) 4,482.6 5,472.6 5,685.4 5,833.2 5,956.0 6,217.0 6,486.0 6,729.0 6,999.0 7,256.0 7,519.0 7,756.0 8.025.0 Income Before Labor IRR - None, NPV 1 18,193.49 Inm Aftr Labor IRR - None, NPV - 18,193.49 China Gansu Hexi Corridor Prolect Fhsneb ONd EconoIIC BO of R - m Boind - ISyuar forn a" yM in rem& iA" alage) Switch Swttch Component Nane FIRR NPV EIRR NPV Value lb Value/c (%) miuioYuan (M%) znilinu PyU Puat kgn-lo mi d Drinage - Changma IrIglo Area 12.1 6.6 15.8 227.5 17.9 21.6 -Shangta krlllon Are 17.2 1634 234 319.7 35.3 54.5 - Huah. hpOn Area 12.3 3.5 18.0 72.5 22.0 28.3 Subt hIlgaTlon and Dr_ aIng 15.6 1734 18.2 619.7 26.0 34.0 Foresy Deveopment - Proction Foresy 12S 0.5 14.7 3.0 25.0 334 . FuelWoo Foresy 13.3 0.1 17.0 0.5 11.0 12.4 - Agro-Foetia 21.0 77.7 22.8 914 49.3 97.1 - Nusery 16.6 0.7 20.5 1.1 19.5 24.2 Subtottl Foresty DeI _pment 19.5 79.0 214 96.0 45.5 6.6 Ivestock D - - Pastwu mnpvemt 18.7 23.7 29.5 42.L 114 12.9 - Forag See Producton Bse 17.9 0.6 21.2 0.6 31.7 46.4 - Parent Layer Egg Chicks Farm 26.2 2.2 31.5 2.2 37.8 60.7 - Parent Ler Mt Chicks Farm 14.3 0.2 15.0 0.3 14.9 17.6 - Breeding Pg (ean pork) Farm 12.5 0.0 12.S 0.0 9.3 10.3 - Breeding Pig (sow Farm 16.2 1.2 224 1.2 17.7 21.5 - Uvestock ProdutconB ase 244 11.7 37.0 10.3 7.0 3.0 Subtotl Litock Development 19.6 39.5 29.1 6.0 16.0 19.0 H Totbl Project 16.5 291.9 18.6 774.1 26.0 34.0 c a. Household ftr e and orchards b. peceag chane of redueod benfis to reduce EIRR to12%. c. Pecntag dcnge of Incased total cost to reduce EIRR to1l2. China Gansu Hoxi Coridor Project FnandiM mad Eonnonic Rd f Rium Swttch Switch Component Name FIRR NPV EIRR NPV Value lb Value k (%) miLna (%) Yiuen a pY krgaonad Drage - Chmiga Irraon Area 10.9 47.9 14.4 143.6 12.0 13.7 - Shuangt Ir lgaton Ar 15.4 105.6 21.1 255.0 30.0 43.0 - Huah Irrgation Are 9.8 -29.6 14.6 34.3 11.4 12.9 Subtot Irrigation and Drainage 13.8 8.1 16.3 433.0 20.0 25.0 Foresy Development - Protection Forestry 12.5 0.5 14.7 3.0 25.0 33A - Fuel Wood Forestry 13.3 0.1 17.0 0.5 11.0 12.4 - Agro-Forstryla 21.0 77.7 22.8 91.4 49.3 97.1 - Nursery 16.6 0.7 20.5 1.1 19.5 24.2 Subtotal Forstry Development 19.5 79.0 21.4 96.0 45.5 U3.6 Livestock Deveopmnt - Pasture Improvement 18.7 23.7 29.5 42.8 11.4 12.9 - Forage Seed Producton Base 17.9 0.6 21.2 0.8 31.7 46.4 - Paent Layer Egg Chicks Farm 26.2 2.2 31.5 2.2 37.8 60.7 - Parent Layer Meat Chicks Farm 14.3 0.2 15.0 0.3 14.9 17.6 - Breeding Plg (lean pork) Farm 12.5 0.0 12.5 0.0 9.3 10.3 - Breeding Pig (sow) Farm 16.2 1.2 22.4 1.2 17.7 21.5 - Livestock Production Base 24.4 11.7 37.0 10.8 7.0 8.0 Subtotal Livestock Development 19.6 39.5 29.1 58.0 16.0 19.0 _ m 0J Total Project 14.9 126.6 17.1 587.4 20.0 26.0 a. 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LY BY SLY GLY~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~1:71 T-~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~9 7- ITS Ila I&S, 39S ZLI 399 A XI VA XB 397 MY 363 M0: % Y: 4A "I 10* SIA 510 221 $IS =7 UY 03 MS S" OBS $52 KS 0 L OR im so to OS ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~a OD at~~~~Hj~ A 30 of as .1. MA 11 1:~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ - 119 - ANNEX C Table 8 CHINA Gansu Hexi Corridor Proiect Main Conversion Factors Standard Conversion Factor a/ 1.00 Machinery/Equipment b/ 1 .10 Electricity 1.10 Transport - Rail 1.07 Transport - Road 0.96 Labor - Unskilled 1.00 - Skilled/technician 1.30 Earthwork 1.06 Materials 1.00 Fuel 1.00 a/ SCF = (Official exchange rate)/(Shadow exchange rate) = 1 b/ For locally made machinery and equipment procured locally. c/ The other conversion factors are calculated based on the estimated economic prices and the prices used in the cost budget. China Gansu Hcxi Corrfdor Project ECONOMIC BUOGET (AGGREGATED) I 5t.36 1 2 3 4 s * 1 I 9 1 11 1 1 14 13 16 1 1s 1s 26. 2 225026 27 2e # 74 F..d 1 2W0.7 MA.7 2211 227 5 204 2531 M 29 2o52 52.7 004 404.3 4470 4a3.6 165. 5420 5614 5754 640 15w.0 5.7 see.7 51.7 1w1.7 sr., 1r4.7 Sn7 501.7 cam...w 12 162.1 72I.0 1715 I5M 201.2 2164 2Z2.A 254.9 2M26 14.0 347.6 374.0 400.3 4154 477 7 426 4421 444.7 445A 445A 4453 445s 445s 445s 445e. 445.8 Foddu . I I I.: 127 130 136 149 11.9 20A 225 251 276 161 30.3 20 200 322 22 2 31. 31A 3220 34.e 32A 21 31A 32.0 3325 F.," - 0.6 0 9 0.e 3.9 6.9 los 157 22.e 2#.0 37.8 45.6 537 s5o 64.5 72n1 7.4 64.7 IONA 1163 111.1 1063 lo" IW04 4 - - - ~~* . . . . 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 00 00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 00 0.0 090 0.0 00 fi IdI- - 13 13 12 44 7. I I.1 134 15.7 1.0 19.2 1.2' 19.2 19.2 162 10.2 lii 161 1.2 59 592 1. 1.2 10.2 13.2 0a- _0 - 0 2 o9 o o II 20 2.7 _30 7 4 s4 5. 2 .2 2 52 52 5 2 5.2 52 5.2 0.2 0. 5. 0. 0. 5.2 02 06b44 r_Md. 372. 372.6 311.0 4212 4421 471 5 511.1 501.1 015.7 662 n77.2 0673 627.0 1010.1 1.0572 1.0071 1.1250 1140.3 1.1602 1.111. 1.1753 I0A 1x264.0 1.20 11979.0 M132 1.162 F. _..4bsgp 47J 473 46.7 404A 45.1 Sa. 54.7 60.0 13.6 7412 as. 2A 67A 105.0 10.0 114.2 11623 11e2 1s0e 1163 1ls9 1163 11e 11eJ 116- 1193 1163 a0- 4 § Wd F f. . . . . . 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 02 0.2 02 0.2 0.2 02 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 6.2 0.2 0.2 b*.446M6sw.e45. 473 47.9 467 404 451 510 547 so0 so7 74 624 925 a 7 1v5.2 100 a114 4 1104 1923 110.7 120.0 120.0 1200 126.0 120.0 12.0 120.0 120.0 4203 420W 444.7 40.7 402.2 sno 5s.e 621.7 ee4s 71eo 9626 900 1.014o 6 1.1453 1.1069 12114 124a2 1.26 1273 1.2999 1,26505 1.223 1,2.0 121 1A,e6 1.3113 1,1217 Pr§dWd§M C.d Csc4 s. 0.2 5.2 01 01 0 0 01 01 . . . . - * - - - - - - - F.V _ _ pdd& a . 03 0. 0 00 00 0 09 0.0 03 0.0 9.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - 0&. M 0P 6." 9 0J 05 19 1.0 2.5 1.1 1.1 - . . . . . . . . . . I r.v C6m .d . 113 106.7 1191 140J 171 13 1 1451 134 A 6. 24.9 03. . * * 00 . . * oo . . . . s Sb*.T4dPwdin.46pds t 1102 11530 5203 1403 144.7 140.2 147.0 72. 40.7 3230 0.0 -- 0 0 Cm9 - F- '. * 01 0.0 04 04 04 05 0o 0S 0.5 0.3 . . . . . . . I b4M40 k _C . . 1101 11.03 I1.3 149.9 1451 140.7 147.9 72 411 32A 0.0 -0 - - * - - - -0 s..& 17.7 17.3 17.7 17.7 1eJ 193. 21. 2n5 261 2r4J 27 372 231 40A 403 403 406 453 40.7 407 40.1 407 40. 47 40a7 407 4" - - _ _ 0 0 0 3 003 - * - - - os1 A 93 63 OA 62 F2_6350 263 263 267 41 453 497 321 24J 626 063 74.7 941 5o 67.7 063 920 263 o2o 263 26nA a1 26 a&7 as 2a C- MP" 462 4V12 073 o II 0.7 7.2 62.7 62 1033 117A 1303 141.7 547 1 l 16.1 150 lo 1503 150 9 1519 513 5113 1013 1SI3 ISI 5513 1s01 1513 15*L Y." __& .- - - - 61 0A 0.6 0.7 03 13 1W 13 1.0 I 1 I 0 1.o I A 1t3 I A IJ 1 IJ 13 13 .O 64111111cod 03 - 01 0.2 5.2 OA4 05 .7 0 0.9 Io0 I.I 1.1 I.1 I. 1 1.5 SI I .I I I .1 1.5 .1 1.1 1.1 1.J 1.I 1.I llbT.4d 4 6i 6dhV46l INA 1603. 114.5 117.8 127.0 126. 163.7 113.1 1063 211A 2251 255.7 2731 277.7 20 2430 26M6 26 7 267 D. 2D7J 2W4A W7 2 2nu 247J M F- W_ s7J S71 01.0 05 2663 194 745 62.2 2A 104.7 1172 126 132IY 135.5 135.7 126.1 124.2 126.3 1261 5264A 126A 137 IYO 1230. 1247 163S 164A 9,6.6" C..ft I557 15is 1743 171.4 50.7 2679 2216 2511 2600 310.5 2525 262.5 40e.2 412.2 4166 426.1 4219 422.0 423A 423.9 423.7 424.1 4263 42a 42.0 4243 4233 T04_e Co 4 156.7 156. 2663 204 317 2657. 3723. 3926 424A r9 226.6 414.9 4092 4312 45.4 420.1 4211 425.0 421. 425. 425.7 424.1 424A 420. 4264 4246 425 o C. 3.1 a06.6 0.7 26.9 47.1 40.7 623 406 401 26.9 6.7 63 66I *J 6 .63.7 9.7 6.7 17 0.7 O6T.L. 154.7 I503 249.1 4321 4133. 421A 420 4267 401.2 4270 441A 441.s 412 420.0 422.5 427.0 42e6 420.7 42A 42.0 4303 4203 431 a 43.5 431.0 43o.0 CM& F4w _2 2x.1 0.7 Ne5 7e.e 5063 544 1129 105.1 226 4209 1912 401.7 6S03 742A 7M4A A13 24 W.1 N9U S 0643 01 _.4 .I - - on? NtR * 16*l NPV ' 774.12 0o 0 - 121 - ANNEX C Table 10(a) China Gansu Hexi Corridor Project Risks and Sensitivity Analysis Switch Switch Risk from Increased Salinity EIRR NPV Value /a Value /b (in Shuangta Reservoir) (%) million yuan percent percent Irrigation and Drainage - Shuangta Irigation Area 18.1 220.5 27.0 37.0 Subtotal Irrigation and Drainage 16.8 519.6 21.0 29.0 Switch Switch Risk from Natural Disaster EIRR NPV Value la Value lb (Drought, Sand wind & Scorching Heat Waves) (%) million yuan percent percent Irrigation and Drainage - Changma Irrigation Area 14.9 171.5 14.1 16.4 - Shuangta Irrigation Area 22.3 293.2 33.3 49.8 - Huahal Irrigation Area 17.0 60.6 19.0 23.5 Subtotal Irrigation and Drainage 17.2 525.0 22.0 30.0 Total Project 17.9 679.7 25.0 30.0 Switch Switch Yield Influence by Soil Salinity EIRR NPV Value la Value /b (Stable Crop Yield reached by 11 years) (%) million yuan percent percent Irrigation and Drainage Changma Irrigation Area 14.4 143.6 12.0 13.7 - Shuangta Irrigation Area 21.1 255.0 30.0 43.0 - Huahal Irrigation Area 14.8 34.3 11.4 12.9 Subtotal Irrigation and Drainage 16.3 433.0 20.0 25.0 Total Project 17.1 587.4 20.0 26.0 Switch Switch Risk from Canal System Efficiency EIRR NPV Value la Value lb 55 percent ) ( X ) million yuan percent percent - Uvestock Development 13.6 5.2 11.0 10.0 Total Project 18.3 721.0 25.0 32.0 Switch Switch Risk from Institutional Capacity EIRR NPV Value /a Value /b (Benefits delay by two years) (% ) million yuan percent percent - Irrigation and Drainage 13.0 108.4 8.0 9.0 - Forestry Development 17.0 57.7 34.0 60.0 - Livestock Development 13.0 8.8 5.0 6.0 Total Project 13.0 174.9 9.0 10.0 a. percentage change of reduced benefits to reduce EIRR to12% b. Percentage change of Increased total cost to reduce EIRR to12% Riak and Sansvt AnS~aia for Natural Diflh* 0- bk C3 f*52 d a-w--4-24 - . M--- a 3124 911*3 9224* 93421 9124) 224* 541 2443 2441 24** 299133 - 2424 a232 24243 24243 -m 1221 2443 2443 nat 2424 2424 aS' 1224* art. - 24247 24M* VnA*9A2A Tm 033 *31 k24 '3M km e. all ,4mI ri k,k 33 rk 3 33 34 m u* al a, 34 34 25 23 34 23 35 *3 34 s, at an,Mm Ye i2* i24 494 225 323 47 224 ml 557 s, 4244 4941 423 W 242 4)* 55 34k m * 32 *48 *4 443 ap 43k m 47*A=2 Alln "I* 4 V.- i Z.a, ai 211 53 3m 34 ..91 aA S. 54 wtt a il 4P 2* 342 44 24 22 314 32 342 34 P - . .~ i. .a 7.4 2* e. i.. 3* oa 902 n, as sns as. m 24 C e aAll.ni Ce C'C a C Cj-24 - 'm 241 03* 247 724'3 34kAk 33. "'M. 431 453 349 S 44 a' a 21243 4.37. 2.2..21W_12- "124* M. Mm Ant 222 22* m e 1. 223 i - 424'~~~~~~_ 424 44 323 34* 44 I= = M,4* I- -21 35 24 )3 44 21-I-),2 I=* 4I44 317 I=e 4194 42 11ZW. 424 211192 an 2* 42I-.* 23 442 2-- 3~~~~~~~~ ~~mI *)4 Im354 24 3)* 347 44 33 k 9)3* km ke. ~2JA" klk. Nk. k 34~~~ 134* ifS 252* 252*~~~~~J 2541 25`2... .. 93* IN. in! 24* al 4243 A Mi 47 23; WIN 2 a a a - 4 32 a a a a a 57 5JI'7 e. F13 94 1343 92* kfl* 2442 2A2 224 I 3 13 21 III k123 M2 'W' 3 )14 1322 733 3 I 2243 4I= 32 I 4I43 4'M3 k23 2 23 k24 a V es a.I. 72 1 4 1 .4* 1* .1* 9* 14 93 9,* 3* 13 3k 13 14* 14 .4 132 .7* .a m 1)* )* .* 32 2. 5* j a "7 24, 25J 'w8 a.- a. 23k 04 4 -27 e1 SI 2,4* OkI' '3k m a m m a a a m a a= 7- 2823 2333 031 *mX' 424*'2.727 2W 2 4* k Ce.1 71k. 7I9_ O S I k4 I24 3Z. I k . ..SIk52 k, I5. -k35) M 4* M m m v-F Im w Ia) a 323W W- IM"I .1 - - . at at is is ai ir0 a a.t ''gui 'A", m AI,n am mta lAm, mgia ma ma m m am Iam am am am i~ta~wnrniziinzii: aJ. .11.L.f.h.JUI.tf.1.I.I.i.J.JI.J.J.I.t.1 . 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U"6 6-" U "U " - z~~rs1t1R*I;[II~~4LIj4:.dj::1JI:JjI.J.dj.]42jJJi4,4S - . 1t U*F So n' I I l .a I s a' - 125 - CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT ANNEX D Summary of Environmental Action Plan - 126 - ANNUX D Sumarv of Environmental Action Plan General A comprehensive environmental impact assessment study was jointly carried out by China Northwest Design and Research Institute of Ministry of Electric Power and Gansu Design Provincial Hydropower Investigation and Design Institute of Ministry of Water Resources. The study report has identified both adverse and positive impacts as a result of project activities and development, and recommended appropriate measures to mitigate the adverse effects. Beside the normal impacts resulting from construction activities, the most significant adverse impacts are: (a) potential increase of salinity level in the existing Shuangta Reservoir as a result of land reclamation and salt leaching to be carried out under the project in the Changma Irrigation Area located upstream of the reservoir; (b) changes to the regime of groundwater along the middle reaches of Shule River as result of flow regulation by the Changma Dam and diversion of water to new irrigated land developed; (c) demand for energy by new migrants may lead to cutting of trees and shrubs for fuelwood; and (d) the Changma Reservoir will inundate about 131 households (566 persons) and would require resettlement elsewhere. (This impact has been dealt with separately through the preparation of a Resettlement Action Plan). Plan for Mitigation and Management In close consultation with the design institutes who carried out the impact study and the Bank missions, Gansu Government has drawn up a plan for mitigation and management of the environmental impacts. The plan (see Annex D Table 1) covers short-term and long-term impact as follows: Short-Term: The short-term plan cover mainly mitigation of adverse effects arising from project construction activities, sanitation, waste disposal, air and noise pollution abatement. Disease control and treatment among the new voluntary migrants and relocatees resettled from the Changma Reservoir area is also included. Industrial and urban effluent polluting the Shiyou River, currently under the implementation, will be continued with funding from the Yumen City Government and polluting enterprises concerned. Long-Term: The long-term plan covers monitoring of impacts on land and water resources, including biota of plant and animals. Surface and ground water quality, groundwater level, and salinity level in the Shuangta Reservoir will be monitored at regular intervals up to year 2005 and beyond where necessary. Micro climate changes and induced earthquake by the Changma Dam will also be monitored. Implementation Schedule The plan will be carried out through the project implementation period from 1996 - 2005. Some long-term plan items will be continued after completion of the project construction in 2005. The implementation schedule is shown in Annex D Table 2. - 127 - Estimated Costs The total cost is estimated at Y46.2 million as summarized in Annex D Table 3. The main items and their estimated costs are as follows: (a) Data collection & monitoring Y12.5 million (b) Equipment & instruments 19.3 (c) Installation and commissioning 2.4 (d) Staff training 2.0 (e) Design, supervision and management 10.0 Total Y46.2 million Management The physical activities - data collection, monitoring and analytical work will be contracted out to local environmental agencies and universities who have the necessary capacity and competence to carry out such activities. This would avoid the Project Office of setting up of its own establishment, leading to duplicating staff and equipment. The Monitoring and Evaluation Division under the Project Management Bureau will be responsible to oversee the contracted environmental agencies, with assistance from technical specialists, if necessary. Monitoring A comprehensive environmental monitoring system will be established to monitor the long-term impacts on land and water resources in the Shule River Basin. Technical assistance has been sought from the International Land Improvement and Reclamation (ILIR) of Netherlands to plan and design the system. Key monitoring stations will be set up prior to start of the main project work in order to collect baseline data for comparison. The proposed system network is generally shown in the attached sketch map to the Annex D. Key parameters to be monitored would include: water quality parameters for both surface and groundwater, meteorological data, water table, terrestrial and aquatic biota, and soil salinity. Rehabilitation of Source Areas after Emigration Environmental rehabilitation of the source areas in the eleven emigating counties would be planned and carried out by the local governments after permanent emigration of the people. Priority would be given to the environmentally degraded areas on hilly land and cultivated land on steep slopes. The rehabilitation would be mostly through soil and water conservation measures which are well-tested locally and cost efficient. The measures would include afforestation, planting of shrubs and grass, closing of hilly land and steep slopes for cultivation, terracing and benching, and change of cropping patterns with less emphasis on food grain cultivation. The itemized works items and cost estimates are given in Table 4. A total of 25,000 ha would be rehabilitated in the eleven counties at a total cost of Y13.5 million (base cost). GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Environmental Action Plan Item Identified Impact Proposed Mitigating Mcasurcs Mitigation methodology and Target: Standards and level of Units responsible for: Investrent No. processes rcsults expected (__000) __ _ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Implem./Execution Supervision/Monitoring 1 SHORT-TERM PLAN ___ _ ____ Durinn Construction / Proiect ImDle.entation I Disposal of waste water during To contruct settling tanks and Water from aggrcgrate washing China's national standard for Contractors, Unit in-charge of Projcct Management Bureau, constuction of Changma Dam neutralizing tanks. is to be settled in settling tanks Surface water: GB8978-88 construction. Northwest Design Institute and he dwork. before discharged. Water Gradc 1. fr5om washing of concrete s mixers is to be neutralized of it 8 acidity/alkalinity beforc dischargc. 2 Solid waste disposal at Burying, backfilling, Waste from construction will be Containment to prcvent Contractors, Unit in-chargc of Project Management Bureau, construction sites designated dock piling & used for bsckfilling or burying.. secondary pollution construction. Northwest Design Institute approved utilization. Othcrs to be stock piled at designated areas. Daily 20 domestic waste will be buried. Night soil will be treated and to be used as fertilizer. 3 Air pollution at sites in Dust, smog and noise control at Use of mask and muffles by Grade n in GB3095-82 Grade Contractors, Unit in-charge of Proj. Management Bureau concentrated areas. site. Protection for workers. workers, watering of dusty IL construction. 19.5 roads, install smnog reduccr in trucks. 4 Noisc pollution at sites in Noise reducing and dampening Usc equipment and machinery China national standard for Contractors, Unit in-charge of Proj. Management Bureau. concentrated areas. measures, limiting construcion with low decibic as far as industrial noi2se control: GBJ construction. at night. possibic. Strengthen proper 87-85. China national standard cqtuipment maintenace. Adopt for environment noise control: noise reduction measures for GB 3096 Grade U mixed ae. noist air compressors, air vesscl, ctc. Avoid night shifll works En near residential areas. I Itemn i Identified Impact Proposed Mitigating Measures Mitigation methodology and Target: Standards and level ofUnits responsible for: Investment No. processes results expected (OY'000) __________________ I Implem.,,Execution Supervision/Monitoring __ S Epidemic diseases in Public health inspection and Regular physical examinations No applicable standards, but Yumen City and Anxi County Project Management Bureau. concentrated areas of anti-epidemic measures. of workers. issue of preventive close monitoring of infection Epidemic Control Stations. construction sites. medicines, clinical treatment. incidence. Disinfection treatment of potential infectious disease 40 areas. Strengthen anti- epidemic health measures. 6 Potential increase of salinity Monitoring of salinity level in Close monitoring of salinity Not to exceed the baseline Units in-charge of construction, Project Management Bureau. level in water of Shuangta reservoir, and staged and levels in the leachage draining salinity level established prior Northwest Institute. Reservoir. gradual reclamation of into reservoir aand control to leaching of land. China salinized land up-stream of progress on reclamation of national standards for surface reservoir salinized soil areas. water quality for irrigation: GB 5084-92 Grade n1. 7 Water pollution in Shiyou River Polluting enterprises to invest Polluting enterprises required to China's national standard Identified enterprises and Project Management Bureau in effluent treatment. complete/constrcut waste water GB8978-88 Grade 11 for Yumen City EPA. and Prov. EPA Additional water diversion from treatment facilties for comprehensive discharge of Shule River for dilution. Laojunmiao Oil Extraction waste water. China national 1- factory, Yumen Oil Refinery standard for surface water l D factory and Yumen Power environmental quality:GB 3838 See Note (b) Station. Diversion of 61 Mcm 88 Grade 11. of water from Shule River to dilute the pollution. New Settlement Sites _d _ __ _ 8 Infectious diseases from Public health hygiene and Physical screening of emigrants Control and eradication of County and township public Project Management Bureau. voluntary emigrants. inspection, disease control and before settlement, regular epidemic diseases from health and epidemic disease 560 tretment, health education for follow-up and treatment. migrating counties into new control centers and stations. l__________ |_______ emigrants. settlement areas. 9 Drinking water for settlers at Chemical treatment and use of Purification and treatment to China national standard for Northwest design Insitutte, Project Management Bureau. | -31 initial stage of settlement freshwater from deep acquifers. drinking water standTads. drinking water: GB 5749-85 local health and epidemic 660 (D 'J control stations. [ l 1 10 Infectious disease from Public health hygiene and |Physical screening of emigrants Control and eradication of Yumen City, Changma Project Management Bureau. | X involuntary relocatees from inspection, disease control and before resettlement, regular epidemic diseases from township and village public l - tj Changma reservoir tretment, health education for follow-up and treatment in Changma reservoir area into health and epidemic disease relocatees resettlement area. new settlement areas. control centers and stations. Item Identified Inpact Proposed Mitigating Measures Mitigation methodology and Target: Standards and level of Units reaponsible for: Investment No. procesaea results expected (Y000) Implem./Execution Supervision/Monitoring fL9!)NGTERM PLAN 11 Surface and ground water Monitoring and anlyea at Set up monitroing points in China national standards Local Environmental Project Management Bureau quality changes resulting from regular intrvals Shule River Baain and sampling GB3S38-88 Claa I-M for monitoring stations, Northwest and Provincial Water RCsourCes 2955 land reclamation and irrigation water for analyses according to snfacc water environment Insitute, Prov. Hydrological Burea u specifications. quality Bureau 12 Changes of groundwater regime Monitoring and model Analyze data from observation Pre-debtrmmed optimum Provincial Water resources Project Management Bureau - levels, drawn down, yielda. simulation. Regulate and operation weila predict critical depth of groundwater Bureau and Provincial groundwater extaction change tlhrgh modeling, for plant growth, preventing Geological mining Bureau. Regulab grt dwatr econdary soil ulinization and etraction nd recharge. dewetification. ___________ ___________ ___________ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~144 13 Bio-ecological changs on plant Zoning and prolibtion of Public eduaction on various Compare against established Local Enviromental Project Mangemnt Bureau and nimals hmn activities through ptotction laws for baseline data. Aament hstitutc, Qilian and Provincial EPA regulatory meauxe Develop e_viomnt, land, grsland, mouitain Protection Bureau ew and altcnative eregy to famstry and wild animals replace traditional fchiood Stresbdcn enforcement of these energy regulatio and lawh. Incee 192 coal supply, and psrnoe I- altnat iw energy srces of solar, wind andnrne ga& 14 Aquatic bio-ecological changes To nonitor water quality and Oberw gowth ofalgae in Prevent eutrophication ofwater Shule River Water Convancy Project Mangement Bureau aquatic biota. resrvoir nd rivesr, and in resnvoir and riven. Cina Mangawmt Dept Yumen City and Provincial EPA changes in docking nd spcies national sandard for fishesy and Amiu County Health and 55 Of ilu water quality GB: 11607 - 89 Epidermic Station. 15 Micro-climate change Meterologiccal obsrvatios in Collection of meterological Compare to baseline data Yumnen City and Anxi County Project Management Bureau. the three irrigation districts data from pre-detennined sites collaeeted prior to start of Meterological Stations 33 and compare with baseline data. project development. 16 Induced eahquake Observation nd prediction nbtallation of intrments, LAnzhou Seismologic Reerach Project Management Bureau 8 I-' obsrvation, data aalyses, and Institue nd Jisyuguan and Lanzhou Eartquake 91 rt forecaating. Seismologic Observation InstitubA. t1 ______________ _ .Station.. Note: (a) No inveatment has been provided under the project as the concemed enwrprie ame required to bear the cost of effluent treatment (b) No investment has been provided under the project as the concened enterpries and Yumen City Government are expected to bear the cost of treating this existing water pollution. Gansu Hexi Corridor Project 1996 1 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001- 2002 2003 2004 2005 ID Task Name Q41Q1IQ20Q3lQ4Q1 102TQ31Q4QIQ203Q4Q1Q 103Q401QQ2lQ3lQ 4l QllQ2la3lQ4lQ1ll22Q3lQ 4lQ1i23Q Q2lQ3TQ4lQ1Q2Q3lQ4lQ1lQ21Q3Q4 1 I. SHORT-TERM PLAN 2 Treatment of constm. waste water .____ 3 Disposal of Constrn Soild Waste .____ 4 Control air pollution 6 Control of Noise pollution 6 Epidemic disease control among workers I 7 Salinity level in Shungta Reservoir 18 Shiyou River water pollution 19 Disease control among migrants _ 20 Disease control among reservoir relcoate 21 Drinking water for migrants 22 F-. 23 II. LONG-TERM PLAN I 24 Surface/groundwater quality protection - _ 26 Gorundwater level control 26 Biota Plant and Animal Protection _ ____ _ _ 27 Aquatic bio-ecological protection 28 Micro-climate changes 29 Induced earthquake study --=-=-- 30 31 III. ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING . 32 Surface water quality _ - - - Task Summary Rolled Up Progress :D Project: Gansu Hexi Corridor Project Prges old pTs Date: 12/19/95 Progress Rolled Up Task Milestone Rolled Up Milestone X z a~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 10 10 *II I~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~P ID 0.4 Ip I~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ - 0 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Estimated Costs and Annual Investment for Environmental Protection and ManaRement Item/Description <- - - - --- --------- -- Investment by Year (Y' 0 }---------> Total Physical & Total 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 1966-05 Price Cont- Item (Base Cost) igencies Data Collection& Monitoring 880 832 872 894 922 958 924 1018 969 641 8910 3652 12562 Equipment & instruments 2086 2046 1146 2206 2076 1370 1245 880 880 880 14815 4462 19277 Installation & commissioning 157 157 157 157 157 157 157 157 157 157 1570 807 2377 Staff training 210 140 1212 275 1837 150 1987 1 Design, Supervision & Magm't 1680 990 790 640 600 480 480 480 480 480 7100 2883 9983 Total 5013 4165 4177 4172 3755 2965 2806 2535 2486 2158 34232 11954 46186 D 4 La R: ENVREHAB.XLS GANSU IEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Rehabilitation of Source Areas after Emieration Emigrating County Ten-acing & Tree Shrubs & Steep hill slope Steep,cult. land Total Area Investment Benching Planting Grass Planting to be closed for to be closed for to be Base afforestation grass planting Rehabilitated Cost (ha) (ha) (ha) (ha) (ha) (ha) (Y'D00) 1. Li County 525 1050 350 875 700 3500 1886 2. Wudu County 374 747 249 622 498 2490 1342 3. Danchang County 330 660 220 550 440 2200 1186 4. MinCoamty 342 684 228 570 456 2280 1229 5. LinaxiaCounty 159 318 106 265 212 1060 571 6. HezhaCounty 48 96 32 80 64 320 172 7. JishiKbA County 189 378 126 315 252 1260 679 8. Donghxian County 578 1155 385 962 770 3850 2075 9. YonjinggCamty 663 1326 442 1105 884 4420 2382 10. LintanCounty 314 627 209 522 418 2090 1126 11. ZhouquCounty 237 474 158 395 316 1580 852 Total 3759 7515 2505 6261 5010 25050 13500 g | .Yonitoring Results oRSurtace eater Quality in long Tern Average wnd the Year of 1993 PH Hardness sS iro CCD BOD, NH " NO, NO:( pnenol C.N A, C,- Pb Cd Hg Cu Zn Oil F ~~~~~~~~V I F4 I i ~ I ¢! L upbsD~ tr3LOnloDngterD 8-34 1n.04 1117.581 7.79 1i.0 1 1.21 0.17 I 0.94 0. 002 0o.ooOsIo. oooo.ooo7 o0.001 000110.0006 0.1 0.0051 01 1.07 upstream .aierage 0(-_4_____________d_7_ I1a9 . 19.93 7.91 2.25 i7.6 j .10.2 6 . i.S4 J. -03 0.-002 0.004 0.003 10.003- o416.o 0 7i 1993 I 75.61 i~~~zi ____ I.1 *J ..~3 37 . u43II768005 7o 5 .01600200.0I I *. 7. 0 28 Cioobrstye 1|flong term 9.38 14. 78 7346. 5{IIC 14 .21 18.i59 4.51 |2.37 0.0237 0.000.0106|0.00201 1 a199 8.72 2.65 r3682.61 5.S 9.8 3.24 0;17 0.042 1 0.604 0.021 0.043 0.010 0.0199 .0017 .000070.04561 12.49 1.9.93 8.72 2 657 682. 6 5.5 f 9 1 1 £ .9 upstream -------geer3 B.52 10 7. 8C1 2- S 1 8 ° 1_92 _ _ °-0I002 001 o. 003 27 0-001310- I 0 053 1993 8.18 8.14 11438.5 8. 7 2.1 0.47 |. 05 0034 0.020 0. 002 0.0120.005 ° 0.0327 .0041 0.0003 O. O5Sd 4.20 I ChiJin Reservoir lOng ter 8.43 35.89 525. 12 7.95C 2.67 1.36 0.32 1.40 0. 326 0 00 0.0012 0.002 0.017 0.0017 0.001o 10. 0947 0. 1080 0.76 downstream average 1- -0020.0]004.00 0n* ____ 1993 7.89 52.5 10. 1 2. 6 0.321 0.30 .022 0002 0.002 0. 009 3. 004 0. 0270 .. 0003C . 000020. 0162 2.30 I FrOrO-- ____ I r9rr[H433000.604J1ooTol(+Soo9llo3 oo Chang9ia Headworks long term 8. 00d 13. 88 1175. 5 8.01l 1. 55 0. 55 004 060 0.)01 0.0005s 0.001 0. 002 0. 001 0.0055I10.000810. 0000o 0.0093 0. 10.Si 0. 224 Shurcationgate average _ _ Shuleabes hisha.t song tera|, 6 ! 7.14 34.6? UQOC 1.25R| 1. 31| 0.06 1.23 0.014 0. 00051 0. | 0.0007 0001 041 0. 000 0. 044: 0 1349 !1. 02 % ece ig b.,!n ter 17 76 6. 14 3-62 %.IO .2 1.73 __ _ _ _ 004 ... 001 _ _ _ Z' southern side drainsaverage r-iI Shumnota Reservoir long tero S. 34 31. 65 3. 1 0- 0 O. 0.0004 0.004 0.003 0.09 0.0 0. 00030.01800.140 0.40 Lipstreas iaeTg S.01 ! !ss j I !1 1oloo1 o001.2s.0so0vs001! 1 1p Shuansta Reservoir long ter 8s.45 24.75 35.99 7.52 1.9 1.3. 41 0.003 0000 00 03 0.00 0300000.02 0. 51o.o00:lO.0 0.07831 0-44 downstream Ler0.09 0.0a0020.05e04 I Th~~~~~'a1T9 8 W44 8.10 I 0.010o 0. 002 o. 002 0. 134 024-L02A.03 Layout Diagram of Section Points for Items to be Monitored ____________________________El...___xi_NT_____T1 * CL, [*r.L 1L1 TIst.mh.jgcaccat Jamie. .. lw hI ,w r 'Ml 0 1_1P 1" *~ -" - A.w P.M 'Rl|| ,learZ aStella * =0"1 b _sl fin Ww. , ~~z inltl_ *kz * _1tl bbk gw g zd _ 1- t.11 sell fsa wakll, m ab 6 ae. _aa,P, - 137 - CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT ANNEX E Summary of Involuntary Resettlement Action Plan - 138 - ANNEX E CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Summary of Involuntary Resettlement Action Plan' for Chanqma Reservoir General 1. The planning of a dam (Changma Dam) on the Shule River to store water for irrigation and hydropower generation dated back to the early 1960s. Inhabitants along the Shule River valley were aware of the proposed Changma Dam and the local government has since restricted much of the economic development in the valley to be affected by the reservoir. The proposed Changma Dam, 55 m high with a crest length of 350 m, would create a reservoir covering about 12 km2 of water surface area with a total storage capacity of about 194 million m3. The reservoir would provide irrigation water to improve and develop a total of about 98,000 ha of cropland on the Shule River alluvial plain. Some 200,000 poor farmers would be emigrated from upland resource poor regions in central and southeast Gansu and settled on the 54,000 ha newly developed irrigated land. A total of 131 families (566 persons) will have to be moved from the Changma Reservoir area and resettled on a 5580-mu new resettlement site in the Huahai Irrigation Area Assessment of Land, People and Assets Affected 2. Based on the latest detailed engineering survey and investigation and (based on 1 in 5,000 topographic map), computation of backwater curve, a total of 172 ha existing cropland and 131 families involving 566 persons in the following three Shuixia village groups will be affected by inundation of the proposed reservoir. Items Shuixia Shuixia Shuixia Total Remarks Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 No. of family (nos.) 47 40 44 131 No. of people (persons) 226 169 171 566 Cultivated land (mu) 890.8 821.8 869.7 2582 4.56 mu _______ ___ ___ ______ _ _____ ______ per capita No. of trees (nos.) 37248 21673 22568 81489 No. of fruit tree (nos.) 353 109 277 739 Large animals (hds.) 435 382 443 1260 Sheep (hds.) 1006 240 28. 1529 Pigs (hds.) 150 193 239 580 Poultry (nos.) 1980 1676 1746 5442 No. of rooms (nos.) 334 270 373 977 Buildup area (sq.m.) 6012 4860 5632 17586 Animal pan area (sq.m.) 17290 15855 10150 43295 Agri. machinery (nos.) 57 17 37 111 Agro-processing (nos.) 4 1 5 10 '\ For details see Resettlement Action Plan in Project File - 139 - 35 kV power lines (km) 0.1 Strengthen 6 kV power lines (km) 1.65 Replaced Low tension lines (km) 8.25 Replaced Transformer (nos.) 4 30 KVA Rural road (km) 6.4 Telephone line (km) 1.35 Mini-hydropower (nos.) 1 Replaced Primary School (nos.) 1 138 T2 Policies, Laws and Regulations The main policy objectives adopted by Gansu for the involuntary resettlement are: (i) productive level and standard of living of relocatees should not be lower than before relocation; and (ii) the rate of economic development and improving standard of living should be comparable to that of the local residents in the resettlement area. These policy objectives are in line with that of the Bank's OD 4.30 on Involuntary Resettlement. The principal laws and regulations governing the process of land acquisition and resettlement under the project are: (a) The Land Management Law of PRC (b) Implementation Regulations of the Land Management Law of PRC, State Council Document No. 73 promulgated on January 4, 1991 and effective in February 1992. (c) State Council Document No. 74 on Regulations on the Land Acquisition Compensation and Resettlement for Large and Medium-sized Water Conservancy and Hydro-electric Power Projects effective from May 1, 1991. Consultation Processes and Participation The inhabitants of the Changma Valley were aware of the proposed Changma Reservoir as early as 1960s when planning of the Changma Dam was carried out. The local government has planned and controlled development in the valley so as to minimize acquisition of cultivated land and relocation of people when the project is launched. Close consultation was maintained between the Project Authority, Gansu Design Institute, Yumen City Government, Agricultural Commission, local governments of Changma Village and Huahai Township, and representatives of affected village groups. Over the period three alternative sites (Bijiantan, Nanqu Jiudui Dong and Xiahuizhuang) were considered jointly by the stakeholders and beneficiaries for the resettlement. Xiahuizhuang was finally chosen for its better land and water resources, and closer access (5 km) to existing community and services in Huahai Township. Resettlement Strategies and Alternatives The main strategy is to ensure that living standard of the affected people is not lower than prior to resettlement and that there will be opportunities for further enhancement of their economic well-being comparable to that of the host population. To achieve this, affected households will be resettled on land-for-land basis (4.56 mu per capita) and given housing lots for building of their new houses. To further develop their economic well-being, affected households will participate in the collective production and management of 2,000 mu commodity crops (licorice, orchards, livestock, etc), small-scale enterprises and services. The resettlement village will be operating as a basic - 140 - unit sharing profit and losses, thereby minimize risk in the production and economic development activities. Compensation Standards and Norms Based on the "Design Specifications of Inundation Treatment of water Conservancy and Hydro-power Projects (SD130-84)" full replacement costs have been considered for compensation of land acquisition, relocation, infrastructure, services, housing and moving expenses. In addition, a multiplier of 4 has been applied in determining the compensation for land acquisition based on the average annual output values of the last three years, and a multiplier of 3 for resettlement compensation in accordance with the provisions of "Regulation of Compensation for Land Acquisition and Resettlement in the Construction of Large and medium-sized Water resources and Hydro-power Projects". The average value of three years output value (1992-94) is Y462.86 per mu as shown in Annex E Table 1. This average value has been used in determining the compensation for land acquisition (x4) and resettlement (x3) per mu. Evaluation for Compensation The amount of compensation evaluated for land acquisition, resettlement, replacement for infrastructure and services are itemized in Annex E Table 2. The total amount is Y17.5 million, including expenses for training of relocatees, management and contingencies. Compensation and Use of Funds The total amount of Y17.5 million compensation assessed will be used for the following purposes: (a) Development of resettlement site Y8,370,000 (Table 3) (b) Payment to local government for reconstruction of infrastructure and services affected in the Changma Reservoir area Y 467,800 (c) Cleaning of reservoir area Y 15,000 (d) Direct compensation payment to affected households resettled Y5,750,000 (e) Transportation in relocation, and compensation for loss of earning Y 191,200 (f) Management, training, monitoring and physical contingency Y2,720,000 Total Y17,513.000 Policy Incentives Subject to government approval, the policy incentives proposed for the relocatees are as follows: (a) supply of building materials at State-controlled prices; (b) 50% subsidy for production fertilizer for the first four years; (c) exemption from or reduced payment of taxes on land, housing lot, special agricultural and forestry products for an initial period of years; (d) subsidized tariff for electricity supply; (e) exemption or reduced irrigation water charges for the initial period of years; and (f) preference for employment in enterprises and enrollment in school for children. Implementation Schedule Initial development of the resettlement site will begin in 1996 and - 141 - the actual physical relocation and resettlement of the affected households will be carried out in two phases, 1998 and 1999, to be completed before flooding of the Changma Reservoir in December 2000. The implementation schedule is shown in Annex E Table 4. Management and Supervision The Yumen City Government through its Resettlement Office will be primarily responsible for the implementation and management of the resettlement program under the direction of the Project Management Bureau (PMB) . One station each will be established in Changma Village and the Huahai Township to carry out the relocation and resettlement, and ultimate rehabilitation in the resettlement area. The organization structure is shown in Annex E Chart 1. Funds will be allocated by PMB to the Yumen City Government based on the planned programs approved. The planned annual expenditures are shown in Annex E Table 5. The funds will be administered by the Yumen City Government according to normal government financial procedures and regulations. Monitoring and Evaluation Monitoring and evaluation of the people resettled will be carried out by National Research Center for Resettlement (Hehai University) in collaboration with Gansu Design Institute for a period of five years or until they are satisfactorily rehabilitated. The scope and content of M&E are given in the Appendix to the main RAP. Periodic M&E reports will be submitted to the Project Management Bureau and the Bank/IDA for review and follow-up actions. GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Estimated Average Output Value Pcr Mu in Submergcd Arca (1992-1994) ChanEma Rcservoir 1992 -----> <-------------1993-----------------------> < 1994- Crop Yield/mu Unit Price Area Valuc Yield/mu Unit Price Area Value Yield/mu Unit Pricc Area Valuc (kgtmu) (Y/kg) (mu) (Yuan) (kg/mu) (Y/kg) (mu) (Yuan) (kg/mu) (Y/kg) (mu) (Yuan) Grain Crops: Wheat 486 1 1860 903,960 505 1.05 1860 986,265 303 1.6 1860 901,728 Bean 328 0.98 103 33,108 342 1.03 103 36,283 205 2.3 103 48,565 Pca 175 1.24 103 22,351 178 1.27 103 23,284 107 2.3 103 25,348 Oil crops: 173 2 516 178,536 182 2.2 516 206,606 109 3.9 516 219,352 Total 2582 1,137,955 2582 1,252,438 2582 1,194,992 Average value/mu cropped 440.73 485.07 462.82 Average for 1992-1994: 462.87 Note: The lower 1994 yields were affected by pest, but unit prices were higher at free market prices. D X I-. t' - 143 - ANNEX E Table 2 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Cost Estimates for Land Acquisition, Compensation, Relocation & Resettlement Chanuma Reservoir Item Unit Unit Cost Quantity Value Remarks (Yuan) (Y'000) I. Acqulsitlon & ComDensation Land acquisition mu 1,851.44 2582 4.780 Unit cost = Base rate Y462.86 x 4 Compenation for Loss of Cultivation mu 1 388.58 2582 3,585 Unit cost = Base rate Y462.86 x 3 Sub-total I 8,366 II. Compensation for SubmerFed Assets Standing crops mu 462.86 2582 1,195 Unit cost = Base rate of Y462.86 Residential houses sq. m. 165.00 17586 2,902 Subsidiary buildings sq. m. 2.00 43295 87 Trees nos. 15.00 81489 1,222 Fruit trees nos. 200.00 739 148 Graves removal nos. 500.00 393 197 Based on average 3 graves/family Sub-total II 5,750 III. Compensation for Infratructure and Amendities Electricity supply system: 10 kV H. T. lines km 30,000.00 1.65 50 Removal 35 kV H.T. tines m 100.00 100 10 Only strenthening required Low tension lines km 20,000.00 8.25 165 Removal Transformers 30kVA set 1,000.00 4 4 Removal and re-installed. Sub-tolal 229 Rural road (gravel) km 1,000.00 6.38 6 Farm road km 500.00 6.98 3 Communication lines km 6,000.00 1.35 8 Sub-total ill 246 IV. Compensatlon for Services School sq.m. 165.00 138 23 Village admin. office sq. m. 165.00 270 45 Mini-hydropwer station nos. 100,000.00 1 100 50kw capacity Sub-total IV 167 V. Relocation Transportation Transporting belonging tons 80.00 1965 167 160 km x YO.5/km-ton VI. Other Compensation & Expoenses Lost of worked days man-day 10.00 2830 28 Medical expenses person 10.00 566 6 Reservoir area clearing man-day 10.00 1500 15 Sub-total VI 49 Sub-total I to VI 14,736 Vii. Administratlon & Mananement Administration sum 295 Assumed at 2% of total base cost Survey and design sum 405 Assumed at 2.75% of total base cost Supervision sum 368 Assumed at 2.5% of total base cost Training sum 147 Assumed at 1% of total base cost Sub-total ViII 1,216 Vil. Physical Contingency sum 1,474 Assumed at 10% of total base cost. TOTAL 17,425 - 144 - ANNEX E Table 3 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Rehabilitation and Construction Costs at Xiahuizhuang Resettlemnet Site Item Unit Unit Price Quantity Amount Remarks (Yuan) (Y'000) L Land Preparation Cropland for household mu 210 2582 542.2 Forest belts mu 210 300 63.0 Grassland mu 210 700 147.0 Orchard base mu 210 1000 210.0 Licorice base mu 210 1000 210.0 Village residential area mu 210 333 69.9 Sub-total 1242.2 IL Production Base Develoyment Orchard base mu 732.5 1000 732.5 Licorice/hop base mu 700 1000 700.0 Grassland mu 350 700 245.0 Forest belts mu 350 300 105.0 Fertilizer subsidy mu 60 2582 154.9 Sub-total 1937.4 IIL Construction of Infrastructure Imigation facilities mu 200 5582 1116.4 Internal access roads km 60000 8.63 517.8 Main road to village km 150000 6 900.0 Gravel road, 6 m wide Water supply sum 706.0 Including tubewell, tower tank, pipe Electricity supply: system to households. H.T line & transformer km 60000 6.5 390.0 New installation. L. T line & transformer km 30000 10 300.0 New installation. Comnmunication line km 10000 6.5 65.0 New installation. Sub-total 3995.2 IV. Construction of Social Services School, clinic & village office m2 300 1900 570.0 Office/school equipment 200.0 Playground m2 20 10000 200.0 Fencing to relic site sum 50.0 Sub-total 1020.0 Sub-total I to IV 8194.8 V. Physical Contineency sum 532.7 Assumed @ 6.5% of total base cost TOTAL 8727.4 Resettlement Implementation Plan of the Changma Reservoir 4 151 - 1391 ID Task Nwne Duration Start Finish Qtr I Qtr 3 Qtr I Qtr 3 Qtr 1 Qtr3 J trl Otr3 | Qtr I t1 | 3 1 1 Resetmnt huplenhatlo Plan of the Changnu 21.6Sw 717195 34299 Reserwvoir 2 1.1 The odskide work of hnplemtation and making 17w 7/71S5 11/S2/3 repod _ 3 1.1.1 Report -Program>> to Yumen city 1w 7/7/95 7/13/95 4 1.1.2 To introduce -Program-> to migrants or the 1w 7/21/95 7/27/95 6 1.1.3 To set To Municpal Rewtent Office 1w 10/27/95 11/2195 a 1.1 4 Ascertain the izwesators for the Dam area 1w 10/27/95 11/2/95 7 11_ 5 To.astn thestaffsofthe seftemertama 1w 10/27/95 11/2195 I 1. 1.6 To acquire the opinion of sarting capital 1w 10/27/95 11/2/56 9 1.1.7 To compile the report of the implntation plan ow 7/7/95 8/31/95 10 1.1. Togooncomputers 1w 8/25/ 8/31/95 11 1.2 To set up mnual of copnsation for each 7w 111131/6 12/23963 Ihousehold U 12 1.2.1 Preparatory work 1w 11/13/95 11/17/95 13 1.2.2 The measure of the rooms 3w 11/20/ 1 2895 14 1.2.3 To verify the cuiivated land 3w 12/11/95 12Q2995 15 1.2.4 To verity the areas of auxiliary buildings 3w 12111/95 12/29/95 16 1.2.5 To veriiy the ree (including th fru trees) 3w 12/11/96 12|29/ 96| 17 1.2.6 To venfythe graveland 3w 12/11/95 12/29/95 . 13 1.2.7 To verify pig and small liestocks 3w 12/11/95 12/29/95 19 1.2.8 To verify old-aged, sick and disabled, and poorest 3w 12/11/95 12/29/95 households_ : Task Summary Rolled Up Progress _ Pro,ec: Resemrent Impknfwnbtion PrgesRNdU " Date: 311/96PrgesRbUTk lMsoien Ro_ Up M lbton ANNEX E Tablg 4 Sheet 2 S ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~I 8 E a cn C~~~~~~~~~~~L CZ X _ a -_ _ we l_ 1_5 > i Oo111111 I X1 t 1b U so X E5 a) iI I! -Cp U~W c~~I!III i m~ ~~~~~ _1 01 _1 01 h ha g ! ffiIii iii. SL~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ i~~~ a; I I J -J D_ 0C~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~= ci £ 'laa4S alqe a xaNNV - L7T - Resettlement Implementation Plan of the Changma Reservoir 4 1 5966 1993 _D Task Nu Duration Start Finish Qtr I Qtr3 1 Qtr3 Qtr 3 Otr Qtr 3 Otr I Qtr3 Q Qtr3 go 1.5.3.4 To publiize the organ of the commites 7w 1/3/96 2/21/96 69 1.6.4 Shops 39w 1/1/96 9127/96 60 1.5.4.1 The preparin 24w 1/1/96 6/14/96 61 1.5.4.2 Shops 1 15w 6/17196 9/2796_ 62 1.5.4.3 Shops 2 15w 6/17/96 9127/96 63 1.5.4.4 Shops 3 15w 6/17/96 9/27/96 64 1.5. 4.5 Storehouse 15w 6/17/96 W27/96 65 1.5.4.6 Advertise for staffs 1w 9/239 9/27/96 66 1.6 The constuction of reskdntial site 106w 2126/96 3/1S:3 67 1.6.1 Phase I 53.3w 2126/96 3/6/97 69 1.6.1.1 Theprpwriion 21.pw /W26 7/24/961 69 1.6.1.2 The copnseaai for rooms 2w 7/25/96 8/7/96 70 1.6.1.3 The constructio of the rooms lOw 8/8196 10/16/96 71 1.6.1.4 The miWants move into new houses lOw 10/17/96 12/25/96 72 1.6.1.5 The extension of the highways 4w 2f7/97 3/97 73 1.6.1.6 The compktion of phase I Ow 3/6/97 3/6/97 . 74 1.6.2 Phase II 34.8w 711/97 3/6198 76 1.6.2.1 The prepation 2.6w 7/8/97 7/24/97 76 1.6.2.2 The compensation for rooms 2w 7QW7 8/7/97 . Task _ rtSummary Rdbd UpProgress Project Ree311 nt/%lrent Progress Rolled Up Task _ -I Milestone *Rolled Up Milestone /D Resettlement Implementation Plan of the Changma Reservoir 4 i] 1996 1998 ID Task Nane Duration Start Finish Qtr 1 Qtr 3 Qtr 1 Qtr 3 Qtr 1 Qtr 3 Qtr 1 Qtr 3 Qtr 1 Qtr 3 77 1.6.2 3 The construction of the rooms lOw 8/8/97 10/16/97 73 1.6.2.4 The migrants moyve into new houses 1 Ow 10/17/97 12125/97 79 1.6.2.5 The extension of the highways 4w 2/9198 3/6/98 80 1.6.26 The completion of phase b1 Od 3/6/9 3/6/98 e1 1.7 The construction of econonmic development 169w 7/7t95 1011t98 82 1.7.1 The management of windbreak forest 169w 7/7t95 10/1/98 _ 83 1. 7.2 The construction of 1000 mu of orchard 169w 7/7/95 10/1/98 _ _ 34 1 7.3 The construction of 1000 mu licorice roots 169w 7/7/95 10/1 t98 86 1.7.4 The construction of household farmland 169w 7nt95 10/198 86 1.7.5 The construction of grassland 169w 7/7/95 10/1t98 _ 87 1.7.6 The construction of toilets and livestocks 106w 9/20/96 10/1 t -98 St 1.7.7 The completion of the construction of economic Od 10/1/98 10t1/98 _devebpment 89 IA Techncal training 8w 4/1317 1/12/97 90 1.8.1 Adaptive technical training 8w 4/18197 6112/97 91 1.8.2 The training for technical backbones 8w 4/1 97 112/97 92 1.8.3 The training for specialized households 8w 4/18/97 6/12/97 93 1.9 Technil assistance 3w 10/1197 11/26197 t 94 1.9.1 The assistanice from departments concerned 8w 10/1/97 11/25/97 95 1.9.2 To provide for planning assistance for households 8w 10/1/97 11/25/97 c 4-. Task Summary Rolled Up Progress En Projec Resetiment mpbmenationProgress Rolled Up Task t Milestone *Rolled Up Milestorne v Resettlement Implementation Plan of the Changma Reservoir 4 11996 11999 ID Task Name Duration Start Finish tr 1 |tr3 | Qtr I Qtr 3 Ctr 1 Qtr 3 Q Qtr1 I Qtr 3 Qtr 1 Qtr 3 96 1.9.3 Technical assistance of aquaculture 8w 10/1/97 11/25/97 97 1.10 Supervision and evaluation 122.6w 4/18197 8/24/99 98 1.10.1 The progress of resettlerment Sw 4/19897 6/12/97 99 1 .10. 1.1 The progress of the ascertainment of land in 8w 4/18/97 6/12/97 settlement site 100 1 10 1.2 The progress of the construction 8w 4/18/97 6/12/97 101 1.10.1.3 The progress of the developing tems 8w 4/18/97 6/12/97 102 1. 10. 1.4 The progress of the removing of the specialied 8w 4/18/97 6/12/97 facilities 103 1.10.1.5 The progress of moving 8w 4/18/97 6/12/97 104 1.10.2 The arrival of the capital Sw 6/13/97 3/7/97 105 1. 10 .2.1 The arrival of the capital 8w 6/13/97 8/7/97 106 1. 10 .2.2 The investment of capital and the U#e 8w 6/13/97 8/7/97 107 1. 10 .2.3 Social and economic effect of the capital 8w 6/13/97 8/7/97 10S 1.10.3 The settement of productlon SW 5/6/99 6/29893 109 1. 10.3.1 Target of production settlement SW 5/5/9 6/29/98 110 1. 10 .3.2 Comparison of the condition of production before and 8w 515/98 6/29/98 after fth move 111 1. 10 .3.3 The comparison of the target of economy before and 8w 5/5/98 6/29/98 after the move 112 1.10A The settnt of life 3w 5/6/99 6/29199 113 1. 10.4.1 The target of life settement 8w 5/5/99 6/29/99 T as k Summary Rosed Up Progre/s 6 Ft Project: Resetement ImpWrmatimon Progres Up Task a mMdollsoe *Roled Up Milestone Resettlement Implementation Plan of the Changma Reservoir 4 1996 ( 1998 ID Task Name Duration Start Finish Qtr 1 Qtr 3 Qtr 1 Qtr 3 Qtr I Qtr 3 Qtr 1 Qtr 3 Qtr Qtr 3 118 1.10.4.3 The comparison of economic income 8w 5/5/99 ./29/99 116 1 .10.4.4 The comparison of the main life index 8w 5/5/99 6/29/99 117 1.10.6 The operation of the irplementation organs and 8w 6/30/99 8/24/99 benefit 118 1.10.5.1 The set of the organization 8w /30/99 8/24/99 119 1.10.5.2 The setting of the staff members 8w 6/30/99 8/24/99 120 1.10.5.3 Economic resources and income 8w 6/30/99 8/24/99 121 1 .10.5.4 The operation of administrative system and efficiency 8w 6/30/99 8/24/99 122 1.11 The construction of the Reservoir 11w 317/97 5/22/97 123 1.11.1 The clearing of the dam floor 11w y7197 522t97 124 1.11.2 The enforcement of transmission lines 4w 3/7197 4/97 125 1.11.3 The move and building of the transmission lines 4w 4/497 5/1/97 126 1.11.4 The compensation for small hydropower station 2w 317/97 WOW . 127 1.12 The completion of resettlement Od 8/2499 8/24/99 >4 F- H Task Summary _ Roiled Up Progress Project: Resettlement Implementation P o UT Date: 3/1/96 ~~~~~~Progress Roiled Up Task5 Date: 311/960 Milestone Rolled Up Milestone 0 -_ GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Annual Physical Qauntities and Investment Iten/Description Physical Quantiy Annual investment (YOOO) Total Unit 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Investment A. LAND LEVEUNG 1. Household cuft. land mu 2582 542.0 542.0 2. Windbreak mu 300 63.0 63.0 3. Grassland mu 700 147.0 147.0 4. Licorice mu 1000 210.0 210.0 5. Orchard mu 1000 210.0 210.0 6. Residential site mu 333 70.0 70.0 Sub-toto (A) 6915 124Z0 12420 B. PRODUCTION BASE 1. Orchard mu 1000 1000 1000 1000 183.2 183.2 183.2 183.2 732.8 2. Lcorice mu 1000 1000 1000 1000 175.2 175.2 175.2 175.2 700.8 3. Grassland mu 700 700 700 700 61.3 61.3 61.3 61.3 245.0 4. Windbreak mu 300 300 300 300 26.3 26.3 26.3 26.3 105.0 5. Fertizer subsidy mu 2582 2582 2582 2582 38.7 38.7 38.7 38.7 154.8 Sub-tota (B) 5562 6J52 5682 6682 484.6 484.6 484.6 484. 19311.4 C. NRGA TION SYSTEM mu 5662 1116.4 1116.4 D. ROADS WiHlN VILLAG km J.64 678.0 678.0 E. INFRASTRUCTURE 1. Main access road km 6 892.4 892.4 2. Water supply sum 706.0 706.0 3. Electricity supply 0.0 (a) H.T. Power lines km 6.5 390.0 390.0 (b) L.T. power lines kmr 10 300.0 300.0 4. Telephone line sum 65.0 65.0 Sub4otal (E) 2353.4 2353A F. SERVICES m a, 1. School/clinic 19000 570.0 570.0 m H 2. Playground 10000 200.0 200.0 >C 3. Fumiture 200.0 200.0 4. Fencing 50.0 50.0 Sub4otal 1020.0 1020.0 Item/Descnption -Physical Quanty <- -Annual investment (Y'000)- Total Unt 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Investment G. HOUSEHOLDS RESETTLEMENT 4500.0 748.0 250.0 250.0 6748.0 H. TRANSPORTATION 9.6 95.6 191.2 1. RECONSTRUCTION 1. Cleaning of reservoir 15.0 15.0 2. 35 kV lines 10.0 10.0 3. Telphone relocating 8.1 8.1 4. Comp. for mini hydro 100.0 100.0 Sub-tl d) 133.1 133.1 J. OTNERS 1. Administration 58.1 58.1 58.1 58.1 58.1 290.5 2. Survey & design 431.0 431.0 3. Supevsin & monitorng 73.8 73.8 73.8 73.8 73.8 369.0 4. Training of PAPs 74.0 74.0 148.0 Sub-obl (G) 636.9 206.9 131.9 131.9 13t9 123&5 HK CONTNGENCIES 2000.0 , TOTAL 1878.9 10258.3 1460.1 362.1 999.6 17559.0 r) u1t>j rt (DA t- n 1eœ - 154 - CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT ANNEX F Summary of Voluntary Emigration and Settlment Plan - 155 - ANNEX F CHINA GANSU HFXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Sunmarv of Voluntary Rmiaration and Land Settlement Plan1 Poverty Background 1. Gansu Province has about 4.2 million people living below the threshold of poverty in 41 officially identified poor counties, mostly located in central and south Gansu. These counties are located in resource poor areas with an increasing population to support in a much degraded environment. In some of the remote townships, the poor people are unable to feed themselves and have to rely on government for relief annually. The economic situations of the 41 poor counties are summarized in Table 1. Since 1983, with the establishment of Two Xi Commission in Gansu, poverty reduction programs have been undertaken to help these poor people. The programs included out- migration and settlement in better resource areas in Hexi Corridor and other regions of the province. To-date, a total of 337,000 people have settled in Hexi Corridor and other irrigated areas in the Yellow River valley. Although the Two Xi poverty reduction programs have been successful, but the scale was quite modest due to limited resources. Therefore, Gansu has proposed a major 10-year program to settle 200,000 poor people from central and south Gansu to Hexi Corridor and at the same to develop large tract of cultivable land for production of grain and commodity crops to ease current deficits faced by the province. Selection Criteria 2. The selection criteria used are as follows: (a) County/Township Counties and townships planned for emigration are based essentially on their poor economic situations (per capita income of less than Y300 and grain production of less than 150 kg), have not benefitted or substantially benefitted from the Two Xi poverty reduction programs, degraded environments with most of the cultivation on steep land, and high density of population. To achieve maximum impact, preference has also been given to those counties and townships that would form a contiguous group. (b) Emigrants Emigration will be strictly voluntary by application from rural people residing within the planned townships. Selection of prospective emigrants will be based on a two-stage selection criteria established below: First Stage: (i) per capita income of less than Y300 and grain production <150 kg; (ii) at least two workers in the household with the head of the household between the age of 18 and 50 years; (iii) at least two years of primary education or acceptable literacy level (relaxed for minority applicants); (iv) experience in agricultural production; and (v) in good health, mentally sound, and not physically handicapped. Second Stage: (i) per capita income less than Y150 and grain production <50 kg; (ii) demonstrate intensive desire to emigrate; (iii) 75% of the existing cultivated land is on slope above 25 degree; (iv) possess junior middle school education, technical skill and vocational training; and 1\ For details see "Report on Implementation of In-Migration Settlement" in project files. - 156 - (v) demonstrate pioneering spirit and leadership. 3. The second stage criteria will only be used in the event the number of applicants far exceeded the number of places available. Some 101 of the emigrants with higher incomes and possessing high motivation and technical skills will also be specially selected for early settlement to serve as lead or demonstration farmers to other migrants. Preference will be given to minority applicants to fill the planned number of minority emigrants for each township. The literacy level requirements for minority applicants will also be somewhat relaxed in view of their lower literacy level. Counties/Townships Selected for Emigration 4, The selected eleven counties covering 95 townships with the numbers of planned emigrants and minority emigrants for each township are shown in Table 2. The number of emigrants indicated for each township is strictly for planning purposes only. The actual numbers of emigrants and the village groups will only be determined after emigration applications have been received and processed. However, flexibility will be maintained in the final determination of number of emigrants between village groups under each township, and also between townships in the event the planned number of emigrants cannot be filled. The total number of emigrants planned is 200,000 persons with 50,000 (25%) from minority groups. Consultation and Participation Processes 5. There is over-whelming enthusiasm to emigrate to Hexi Corridor in view of the better economic prospects. The planned 200,000 people represent the optimum number of new migrants that Hexi Corridor will be able to accommodate with the resources to be developed under the project. The stakeholders in the source areas (county and township governments) as well as the host governments (Anxi County and Yumen City) have been closely consulted in the planning and design of the emigration and settlement plan. The stakeholders will also be represented in the advisory and consultative committees and groups to work closely with the project implementation authorities. At the grassroots level, village emigration/settlement groups will be formed to inform and receive applications from intending emigrants. Representatives of emigrants, including local community and religious leaders, will be included in these village groups. 6. A systematically planned participatory process will be used to inform and involve the people in the source areas. The village emigration/settlement groups will use mass media to inform the people of the planned emigration and settlement programs. This will include radio broadcast, public meeting, notification, handouts, visits to settlement areas by emigrant representatives, and talks by successful immigrants in their own original villages. 7. Each emigration applicant will receive an information package, informing him of the emigration and settlement programs, prospects, risks, government assistance in emigration and settlement, land allocation and lease, infrastructure and services provided in the settlement areas, incentives and policy preferences for immigrants, returns expected by government, emigrant's responsibility, default and penalty. Details of application, processing and selection procedures will also be included in the information package. New Settlement Planned in Project Area 8. Sixteen new townships/sub-farms have been planned in three irrigation areas (Changma, Shuangta and Huahai) in Shule River Basin under the project. Details are given in Table 3. Under these 16 townships/sub-farms 160 administrative villages will be established, each with 5 to 10 residential village groups containing 250 - 300 families each. Each township/sub-farm will have a population of 12,500 - 13,500 people. During the initial stage of - 157 - settlement, basic education (primary and secondary schools) and health facilities will be provided by the project to each township and village. Later, as the settlement areas stabilize and grow, the local governments will provide other necessary amenities and services. Minority Emigrants 9. The main minority groups in Central and Southeast Gansu are the Dongxiang, Islamic Hui and Tibetans. No separate settlement plan has been proposed for the minority emigrants, but they will enjoy the same economic benefits as the Hans. However, provisions of the Bank OD 4.20 on Indigenous Peoples have been considered in the settlement programs to ensure that the minority groups will have their socio-cultural traditions retained as far as possible. For this purpose, major minority groups will be settled in one community according to their wishes. One township will be exclusively established for the Dongxiang minority emigrants and 10 villages for the Islamic Hui emigrants. Minority community and religious leaders will serve on the local township and village settlement groups to help to resolve any issues relating to minority groups. Minority migrants will also enjoy the same incentives as the Han migrants in addition to the current government policy preference given to minority people in employment, enrollment in schools for minority children, and exemption for payment of school fees and text books. The demographic and socio-economic comparisons between the main minority groups and the Chinese Hans, represented by typical emigrating counties, are summarized in Table 4. Settlement Subsidies 10. For each emigrant, the government will provide the following subsidies over the period of two years: Direct subsidy to emiqrants (a) Relocating expenses Y350 (b) Construction of house 400 (c) Purchase of production inputs 90 (d) Purchase of agricultural tools, etc 60 (e) Purchase of coal for heating, cooking 100 (f) Water supply 60 (g) Electricity 40 Sub-total Y1.100 Indirect subsidy for amenities and services (h) Primary and secondary schools Y272 (i) Health facilities 42 (j) Tubewells 19 Sub-total Y333 Total Y1.433 oer capita 11. In addition, the cost for management and monitoring of the emigrants is estimated at Y31.5 per capita, excluding the cost of new migrants training estimated at YB.5 million for 7,200 migrants in about 300,000 person- sessions. The overall total settlement base cost is estimated at Y292.9 million for 200,000 people or Y1,465 per capita. In addition to the above financial subsidies, all migrants will be exempted from payment of taxes (land, agricultural and forestry products) and rent for the first three years of their settlement. - 158 - Land Distribution & Lease to Settlers 12. In the settlement areas, each migrant will be allocated basic 2.0 mu irrigated land on land use contracts for 30 years without payment (about 10 mu or 0.67 ha per household of five) for crop cultivation, beside 534 m2 for housing and 667 m2 for fruit tree and vegetable gardens. In addition, each migrant will also be eligible to lease additional 1.5 to 2.0 mu (0.1 - 0.133 ha) of land with phased rent payments; zero for 1st - 3rd year, Y75 per mu for 4th - 6th year, and Y150 for 7th - 10th year. After the 10th year, the lease is subject to negotiations and renewal. Larger family farms at 10 ha per household will also be promoted, but the number will be limited to 150 households. Training of New Migrants in Settlement Areas 13. New migrant farmers from central and southeast Gansu settling in Hexi Corridor will have no experience in irrigated agriculture, multi-cropping systems integrated with livestock and forestry in a totally new environment. They will need training in irrigation techniques, multi-cropping, livestock and forestry production systems. An integrated training plan has been prepared by a special working group appointed by the Project Management Bureau (PMB). The detailed training program is given in Table 5. It will cover 7,200 township and village technical staff and lead farmers, and about 300,000 person-sessions for general farmers on various topics. The total estimated cost is Y8.44 million over the a 10-year period. The working group has been retained to supervise and monitor the implementation and performance of the training plan. Women Migrants in Development 14. Women migrants would be encouraged to participate in the project development activities. Special interventions have been designed to cater to their specific needs. These are summarized in Table 6. The programs include specific targets for employment in the public sector and service sectors, construction, rural enterprises, and financial assistance in the development of small family-run business and cottage industries. Women migrants would be given preference in obtaining credit under the project' revolving fund of Y15 million. It is projected that by the end of the project implementation period some 4,000 women migrants or about one third of the total women migrants would have received vocational training. The performance and impact of women participation in project development would be monitored based on the program indicators in Table 6. Estimated Costs for Settlement 15. The total base cost for settlement is estimated at Y292.9 million (Y489.9 million including physical and price contingencies). The itemized costs and the planned investment over a 10-year period are summarized in Table 7. Settlement Management 16. The annual emigration and settlement programs, approved by the Project Management Bureau, will be implemented and managed by the existing County Settlement Offices (CSOs) in each of the eleven emigrating counties in central and southeast Gansu and the two host county/city responsible for the new settlement areas in Hexi Corridor. The respective County Emigration/Settlement Committee will sign annual contracts with the PMB and supervise the CSO for the implementation. Funds for the emigration and settlement based on approved programs will be allocated annually to the county/city governments by the PMB. The overall organization structure for the implementation and management is shown in Chart 3 of the SAR. - 159 - Monitoring & Evaluation 17. A comprehensive monitoring system will be established under the project to be operated by the Demographic Research Institute of the Lanzhou University in Gansu Province. The system will be used to screen and select emigrant applicants based on weighted criteria and to create a data base of the emigrants selected. A 10% sample size of the migrant households will be tracked annually to monitor their socio-economic progress and compare their performance against the planned targets. The annual monitoring and evaluation results will be used by the project management authorities in the planning of programs for the subsequent years and also for the Mid-Term Review exercise to be conducted for the project in 1999. More details of performance targets and impact monitoring are given in Annex H. - 160 - ANNEX F Table 1 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Ranking Order of 41 Poor Counties and Regions by Per Caoita Grain Production and Net Income Serial County/Region Per Capita Year 1983 Per capita Year 1993 Ranking No. Grain Net Income Grain Net Income order (kg) (Yuan) (kg) (Yuan) 1 Yu Zhong 307 200 308 604 1 2 Yong Deng 182 163 298 551 6 3 Hui Ning 264 166 262 405 28 4 Jing Yuan 218 198 312 540 8 5 Jing Tai 363 175 515 552 5 6 Ping Chuan 231 267 246 501 12 7 Qin An 175 138 242 504 11 8 Gulang 298 113 330 428 26 9 Tian Zhu 210 111 169 457 22 10 Dingxi 386 182 367 562 3 11 Tongwei 237 162 295 487 18 12 Longxi 202 195 265 558 4 13 Lin Tao 253 196 335 554 7 14 Zhuanglang 234 166 264 496 14 15 Jing Ling 273 169 328 498 13 16 Hua Chi 404 190 452 543 10 17 Huan Xian 223 174 300 491 16 18 Yong Jing 317 239 317 336 37 19 Dong Xiang 230 140 222 282 41 20 Qing Yang 224 250 381 585 2 21 Qingshui 238 173 397 488 17 22 Gan Gu 167 218 263 512 9 23 Wu Shan 162 212 237 466 21 24 Zhangjiachuan 169 198 264 431 24 25 Wei Yuan 238 200 302 469 20 26 Zhang Xian 211 126 398 471 19 27 Min Xian 156 215 181 358 35 28 Xi He 181 200 316 393 30 29 Li Xian 214 183 229 337 36 30 Kang Xian 231 214 302 299 39 31 Wu Du 155 220 203 377 32 32 Wen Xian 198 207 285 425 27 33 Dang Chang 146 214 164 286 40 34 Lin Xis 263 270 270 430 25 35 Kang Le 308 238 320 398 29 36 Guang He 254 230 275 436 23 37 He Zheng 242 144 240 368 34 38 Jishi Shan 155 188 215 301 38 39 Lin Tan 182 240 203 370 22 40 Zhou Ni 154 164 170 493 15 41 Zhou Qu 127 279 192 380 31 Note: Boxed in counties are selected emigrating counties. - 161 - ANNEX F Table 2 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Sheet 1 Basic Statistisc of Emigratina CountleslTownshlD and Planned Emlarants County/ Total Minority Grain Prdn Income % of with Arable No. of As % of Of which: Township Population Population per capita per capita Income Land emigrants Total minority Total Emigrating Actual 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 County 1. Zhahua No. of families 0 170 390 590 400 590 930 1040 620 310 5040 Dongxian No. of peolple 0 830 1920 2930 1990 2920 4630 5170 3090 1520 25000 No. of minority migrants 0 830 1920 2930 1990 2920 4630 4170 2090 1120 22600 2. Tuhulu No. of families 0 0 370 360 470 650 970 340 590 290 4040 Yongjing No. of peolple 0 0 1830 1810 2300 3200 4790 1710 2920 1440 20000 No. of minority migrants 0 0 0 0 1000 1000 2500 1000 1500 500 7500 3. Wujiacao No. of families 0 0 190 230 160 230 370 270 250 120 1820 Zhouqu 0' No. of peolple 0 0 910 1150 790 1150 1830 1320 1240 610 9000 No. of minority migrants 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4. Badaogou No. of families 0 0 180 310 190 280 440 380 290 150 2220 Zhouqu No. of peolple 0 0 910 1510 950 1400 2190 1860 1460 720 11000 No. of minority migrants 0 0 0 0 0 500 1000 1000 500 3000 6. Qiduntan No. of families 0 40 190 270 190 260 420 220 290 140 2020 Wudu u No. ofpeolple 0 210 940 1310 910 1320 2090 1100 1420 700 10000 M @ j No. of minoritymigrants 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 I New Settlement Planned/ < ---Emigration/Settlement by Year > Total Emigrating Actual 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 County 6. Daposhan No. of families 0 0 250 210 320 370 600 790 590 300 3430 Lintan No. of peolple 0 0 1230 1040 1560 1830 2990 3930 2920 1500 17000 No. of minority migrants 0 0 0 0 0 250 250 250 250 1000 7. Beishhe (S.F.) No. of fmikes 0 0 120 170 180 210 270 470 260 140 1820 Wudu No. of peolple 0 0 600 860 900 1040 1320 2310 1300 670 9000 No. of minory mgmrias 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9. Bwanb (S.F.) No. of familes 430 590 330 240 190 560 1040 700 590 370 5040 Lbidang No. of peolle 2120 2940 1660 1200 950 2790 5130 3470 2890 1850 25000 No. of mnolty mrarts 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Aka of bMrdONs 430 800 2020 2380 2100 3150 5040 4210 3460 1820 0 25430 N0. of?peoPie 2120 3980 10000 11810 10360 15650 24970 20870 17240 9010 0 126000 No. of minrity migrants 0 U0 1920 2930 2990 4670 8380 6420 4340 1620 0 34100 9. Yanbohu No. of families 620 340 90 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 1110 Linxia No. of peolple 3060 1670 440 330 0 0 0 0 0 0 5500 No. of minority migrants 3060 1670 440 330 0 0 0 0 0 0 5500 En .I 10. Wujiazhuang m Ho No. offamilies 0 0 110 50 350 400 370 160 280 300 2020 Hezhen , No. of peolple 0 0 530 260 1730 1990 1850 790 1380 1470 10000 No. of minority migrants 0 0 0 0 500 1000 1000 500 1000 1000 5000 New Settlement Planned/ <--- ---------------------------Emigration/Settlement by Year----- -----------> Total Emigrating Actual 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 County 11. Lianghu No. of families 0 0 370 320 360 350 400 420 480 130 2830 Dang Chang No. of peolple 0 0 1840 1590 1800 1710 1960 2090 2370 640 14000 No. of minoritymigrants 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12. Xiangyang No. of families 0 0 0 0 580 510 420 390 250 370 2520 Jishi Shan No. of peolple 0 0 0 0 2880 2530 2080 1910 1250 1850 12500 No. of minority migrants 0 0 0 0 0 1000 1000 1000 400 0 3400 13. Baiqibao No. offamilies 0 0 0 0 470 340 250 90 170 90 1410 Linxia No. of peolple 0 0 0 0 2360 1700 1220 470 820 430 7000 No. of minornty migrants 0 0 0 0 0 1000 1000 0 0 0 2000 Sub-total Shuanata Area No. of families 620 340 570 430 1760 1600 1440 1060 1180 890 9890 No. of peolpIe 3060 1670 2810 2180 8770 7930 7110 5260 5820 4390 49000 No. of minority migrants 3060 1670 440 330 500 3000 3000 1500 1400 1000 15900 14. Bijiatan No. of families 0 460 330 410 150 210 220 230 310 0 2320 MinXian No. of peolple 0 2290 1640 2040 730 1050 1090 1120 1540 0 11500 No.ofminoritymigrants 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15. Kuantan m F t No. of families 0 850 310 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 1310 Min Xian 't m X No. of peolple 0 4210 1520 770 0 0 0 0 0 0 6500 No. of minoritymigrants 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 New Settlement Planned/ Emigration/Settlement by Year > Total Emigrating Actual 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 County 16. Dushizi (S.F.) No. of families 0 360 270 490 290 0 0 0 0 0 1410 Minxia No. of peolple 0 1820 1340 2420 1420 0 0 0 0 0 7000 No. of minoritymigrants 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sub-tohl Huhu A,.: N of.foniu 0 1670 910 1060 440 210 220 230 310 0 0 5040 No. otpuolple 0 8320 4500 5230 2150 1060 1080 1120 1540 0 0 26000 Ho. of m Aot m lWit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Toff 16 TownsnIks fdurft wJ No. or f,Is 1060 2810 3500 3860 4300 4960 6700 5500 4970 2710 0 40360 No. of p.apIe 5180 13970 17310 19220 21270 24630 33170 27250 24600 13400 0 200000 No. of umbity miwlts 3060 2600 2360 3260 3490 7670 11380 7920 5740 2620 0 50000 ToEi 1i Towl"nps fcuiiatdv) ND. otf Imfbs 1060 3850 7360 11220 15520 20480 27130 32680 37650 40360 No. otpeoIpbe 5180 19160 36460 66680 76960 101680 134760 162000 183600 20000 No. of minorit m lgt 3060 5660 7920 11130 14870 22340 33720 41640 47380 60000 .t m -P .)O -168 - ANNEX F Table 4 GANSU HEM CORRIDOR PROJECT Demographic and Scio-Economic Situation of Donexiane, Hui . ZonE and Hans in Central and Southeast Gansu Indicators & Description --------------------Emigrating County--------------------------> Dongxiang Linxia Zhouqu Li (Dongxiang) (Hui) (Zong) (Hans) Demoerawhic Data Total population (persons) 222975 317152 116332 450634 Population density (peoplekmn2) 155 279 41 109 Minoritiy population (%/O) 85.2 39.5 32.2 1.6 Minority group Dongxiang Islamic Hui Tibetans No. of people/household (persons) 5.66 5.06 4.89 5.09 Sex ratio 105.46 105.48 104.72 109.26 Aze Groun: (%) 0 to 14 years 34.97 29.99 29.91 31.67 15 to 59 years 59.50 63.97 63.31 60.74 > 60 years 5.53 6.04 6.78 7.59 Literacy Level Overall illiteracy rate (/O): 84 63 70 65 Male (%) 76 47 54 48 Female (%) 92 78 86 84 Composite average value of cultural level 1.26 2.96 2.76 2.89 Industry Composition (%) Primary 96.92 93.75 90.37 94.89 Secondary 0.36 2.73 4.13 1.26 Tertiary 2.72 3.52 5.50 3.85 Occupation Composition (°): Professional & technical 1.51 1.65 3.07 2.03 Supervisory and managing 0.52 0.19 1.02 0.82 Office workers 0.36 0.34 1.00 0.35 Business and service personel 0.33 1.23 1.23 0.88 Agriculture, animal husbandry, fishery 96.78 93.68 91.35 94.59 General workers 0.50 2.92 2.30 1.32 Others 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 Socio-economic Data Infant survival rate (%/6) 89.1 81.3 90 88.6 Rural net income per capita (Yuan) 282 430 380 337 Grain production per capita (kg) 222 270 192 229 Cultivatedlandpercapita(ha) 0.111 0.079 0.097 0.159 Source: Gansu Province "Report on Implementation of In-Migration" October 1995. M IGTRAIN.XL-S GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Inteerated Training for Mierant Farmers Training Topics and < ------Investment and Training Person-Session by Yzar- ------------------ I To j Target Groups 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000j 2001 _ 2001 20 20u4 2005 1. IRRIGATION Township technical staff Cost (Y'000) 9 9 6 6 6 48 Persons 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 16 Admin. village tech. staff Cost (Y'000) 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 160 Persons 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 160 Lead fanners Cost (Y000) 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 73 Persons 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 1600 Fanners in irrig. techniques Cost (YO000) 83.3 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 278.6 Person-session 2500 652 652 652 652 652 652 652 652 652 8368 Sub-total Cost (Y'OOO) 115.6 54 51 51 51 51 51 45 45 45 5S9.6 Persons 179 1 79 1 78 1 78 178 178 178 176 176 176 1776 Person-session 2500 652 652 652 652 652 652 652 652 652 8368 tl. AGRICULTURE ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~0% Township tchnical staff Cost (Y'000) 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 144, Persons 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 48 Admin. village tech. staff Cost (Yooo) 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 160 Persons 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 160 Lead farniers Cost (Y'000) 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 80 Persons 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 1600 Farners in natural villages _ Agricultural cultivation tech. Cost (Y'000) 26.1 181.6 217.2 221.1 290.4 328.4 338.6 171.6 141.9 83.1 2000 Person-session 1044 7265 8688 8844 11616 13136 13544 6864 5676 3324 80001 Pest control/treatment Cost (Y000) 13.1 90.8 109.6 110.6 145.2 164.2 169.3 85.8 71 41.6 1001.2 Person-session 522 3632 4344 4422 5808 6568 6773 3432 2838 1662 40001 Fertilizer application Cost (Y'000) 13.1 90.8 109.6 110.6 145.2 164.2 169.3 85.8 71 41.6 1001.2 Person-session 522 3632 4344 4422 5808 6568 6773 3432 2838 1662 40001 Salinized soils inprovement Cost (Y'000) 11.4 79.1 94.6 96.3 126.5 143 147.5 74.7 61.8 26.2 861.1 Person-session 522 3632 4344 4422 5808 6568 6773 3432 2838 1662 40001 cn j3 Sub-total Cost (Y'000) 105.7 484.3 573 580.6 749.3 841.8 866.7 459.91 369.7 216.5 5247.5 1_ Persons 12I 182 182 182 f 182 182 182 1821 176 176 1808 t1 Person-session 26101 18161 217201 22110129040 1 32840 33863 17160| 14194 8310 20000. Training Topics and < --__ ____- _Investment and Training Person-Session by Year----- --- Total IargetGroups { 19961 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001; 2001 2003 2004 2005 111. FORESTRY _ I I Township technical staff Cost (Y'000) 84 24 24 0 12 _. 144 _ ________ Persons 28 8 8 0 4 _ 48 Admnin. village tech. staff Cost (Y'000) 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 160 Persons 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 160 Lead farmers Cost (YO000) _ 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 80 Persons 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 1600 Farrners in natural villages _ Fruit trees cultivation & maint Cost (Y'000) 32 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.2 276.8 Person-session 1500 1274 1274 1274 1274 1274 1274 1274 1274 1274 12966 Protective forest cultivation Cost (Y'000) 16 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 138.4 Person-session 750 637 637 637 637 637 637 637 637 637 6483 Forest pest controLl/reatment Cost/year 5.3 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 45.8 Person-session 250 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 2158 Sub-total Cost (Y'000) 161.3 93.3 93.3 69.3 81.3 69.3 69.3 69.3 69.3 69.3 845 Persons 204 184 184 176 180 176 176 176 176 1 76 1808 Person-session 2500 2123 2123 2123 2123 2123 2123 2123 2123 2123 21607 IV. LIVESTOCK _ _ __ = Township technical staff Cost (Y'000) 21 21 21 21 21 21 18 144 Persons 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 48 Adrnin.villagetech.staff Cost(Y'000) 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 160 Persons 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 160 Lead farmers Cost (Y'000) 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 80 Persons 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 1600 Farmers in natural villages: I Livestock rearing Cost (Y'000) 30 120 120 120 90 90 90 60 60 60 840 Person-session 1500 6000 6000 6000 4500 4500 4500 3000 3000 3000 42000 Livestock breeding Cost (Y'000) 15 60 60 60 45 45 45 30 30 30 420 Person-session 750 3000 3000 3000 2250 2250 2250 1500 1500, 1500 21000 Feed blending Cost (Y'000) 5 20 20 20 15 15 15 10 10| 10 140 Person-session 250 1000 1000 1000 750 750 750 500 500 500 7000 Sub-total Cost (Y'00) | 95 245 245 245 195 195 192 124 124 124 1784 r X | Persons 183 183 183 183 183 183 182 176 176 176 1808 | Person-Session 2500 10000 10000 10000 7500 7500 7500 5000 5000 5000 70000 TOTAL Cost (Y'000) 4776 876.6 962.3 945.9 1076.6 11571 1179 698.2 608 454.8 8436.1 Persons 748 728 727 719 723 719 718 710 704 704 7200 Person-Session 10110 30936 34495 34885 39315 43115 44138 24935 21965 16085 299979 WOMENDEV.XLS GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Developmental Activities for Fenale Migrants Item -- Number of Persons s > Year I Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year IO Total Unt Planned No. of Migrant Labor during Year 6134 12016 8236 7834 12753 14776 19901 16357 14764 8042 120000 persons (Es&natedFemub Labor) 1132 3559 3051 4760 6041 7518 10280 10593 7823 5474 60231 persons Cunulative No. of Migrant Labor In Year 6114 17239 26624 33408 46161 60936 80837 97194 111958 120000 cum. nos. (Estimated Female Labor) 1132 4691 7742 12502 18543 26061 36341 46934 54757 60231 cum. nos. 1. Producion Agr-tecwrica trazinig 950 3910 3350 3320 4760 5370 6540 5460 4850 3380 41890 person- session LhestockproducUon 0 1625 3989 7767 12769 18351 25309 34049 40327 45109 45109 cum. rios. L Entelpm fculave persnds| Non-agrl.sklda 0 170 389 826 2192 3824 6787 10220 11696 12500 12500 cum.nos. Fw -run businesi 0 153 292 445 615 812 1078 1296 1493 1600 1600 cum. nos. fU. Condructlo War consovaNcy waft 1037 2721 3018 3360 2796 2828 2828 1163 1001 728 21480 peron- yer IV, Pubki Senvkes lcumuffve personsi Teachem 0 6 16 31 53 97 158 223 305 416 416 cum. ros. Healfhiworkcrs 0 5 12 23 39 73 118 168 229 212 212 cum. nos. Agro-techdsnaon 0 3 8 15 26 48 79 112 153 206 208 cum.nos. Adninistratin cadres 0 2 4 8 14 24 39 56 76 104 104 cmn. nos. M Sociadworkws 0 6 14 27 46 85 139 195 267 364 364 cum. rios. Sheet2 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Land Settlemnent - Estimated Costs and Annual Investment Item Unit Cost Total <------------------------------------------------Annual Investment (Y 'mn.) - - - ------ > per capita Cost Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Total (Yuan) (Y`mIn) Planned No. of Settlers during the Year 5184 13970 17309 19217 21255 24625 33168 27262 24607 13403 200000 I. Subsidy to Settlers Relocation 350 70 1.81 4.89 6.06 6.73 7.44 8.62 11.61 9.54 8.61 4.69 70.00 Housing 400 80 2.07 5.59 6.92 7.69 8.50 9.85 13.27 10.90 9.84 5.36 80.00 Production inputs 90 18 0.47 1.26 1.56 1.73 1.91 2.22 2.99 2.45 2.21 1.21 18.00 Agri. mach. & tools 60 12 0.31 0.84 1.04 1.15 1 28 1.48 1.99 1.64 1.48 0.80 12.00 Fuel for heating 100 20 0.52 1.40 1.73 1.92 2.13 2.46 3.32 2.73 2.46 1.34 20.00 Water supply 60 12 0.31 0.84 1.04 1.15 1.28 1.48 1.99 1.64 1.48 0.80 12.00 Electricity 40 8 0.21 0.56 0.69 0.77 0.85 0.99 1.33 1.09 0.98 0.54 8.00 Sub4otal I 1100 220 5.70 15.37 19.04 21.14 23.38 27.09 36.48 29.99 27.07 14.74 220.00 II. Infrastructure Primary/Sec. schools 281.5 56.3 1.46 3.93 4.87 5.41 5.98 6.93 9.34 7.67 6.93 3.77 56.30 Health centers & clinics 42 8.4 0.22 0.59 0.73 0.81 0.89 1.03 1.39 1.15 1.03 0.56 8.40 Sub4otal II 323.5 64.7 1.68 4.52 5.60 6.22 6.88 7.97 10.73 8.82 7.96 4.34 64.70 Ill. Management and Training of Settlers Monitoring & evaluation 15 3 0.08 0.21 0.26 0.29 0.32 0.37 0.50 0.41 0.37 0.20 3.00 Monitoring system 7 1.4 1.40 1.40 Training of Settlers 19 3.8 2.04 1.31 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.04 3.80 Sub4otal IlIl 41 8.2 3.52 1.51 0.30 0.34 0.37 0.43 0.68 0.48 0.43 0.24 8.20 TOTAL 1464.5 292.9 10.90 21.40 24.94 27.69 30.63 35.48 47.80 39.28 36.46 19.32 292.90 - 173 - CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT ANNEX G Irrigation Monitorina. Simulation and Dispatch Svstem - 174 - ANNEX G TERMS OF REFERENCE INTEGRATED MONITORING, SIMULATION AND DISPATCH SYSTEM GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT 1.0 PROJECT BACKGROUND The Gansu Hexi Corridor Project is a multi-purpose water resources development project to accommodate an increase in population of 200,000 being relocated from extreme poor areas of Gansu Province. The Project requires the construction of the Changma Reservoir on the Shule River, approximately 540 km of diversion canals and 970 km of irrigation canals and 450 km of drainage ditches. The design flows within the main diversion canals are between 30 to 42 m3/s, and between I - 9 m3/s for the secondary canals. The joint operation of the Changma Reservoir with the exiting Shuangta Reservoir, located downstream on the Shule River, and the Chijinxia Reservoir on the Shiyou River, would be able to regulate as much as 90.40 of the surface runoffs. The cultivated areas within the Changma, Shuangta and Huahai irrigation command areas could be increased by 54,600 ha, from the current value of 43,600 ha to 98,200 ha. Other usage within the project area include industrial and domestic consumptions. Ground water augmentation will be required for all three irrigation command areas with the use of about 900 wells. Four hydroelectric power stations are planned to be installed at the Changma Reservoir, 14.25 MW, the Changma Dam intake of the new trunk canal, 12 MW, the west main canal, 6 MW, and the Shuangta Reservoir, 2.4 MW. In order to ensure the efficient use of the water resources and the effective distribution of available water, and a sustainable extraction of ground water, an integrated monitoring, simulation and dispatch system will be required. 2.0 SCOPE AND OBJECTIVES The integrated monitoring, simulation and dispatch system will be able to monitor the state of operation of the entire project, including the operation of all three reservoirs, the flow conditions of all hydroelectric stations, discharges at key locations along the diversion and irrigation canals, discharges at the drainage ditches, quantity of ground water extractions and meteorological variables. Automatic monitoring should be provided for water levels and discharges of all three reservoirs, and flow conditions of the trunk, main, and sub-main canals. Other variables should be observed manually at - 175 - proper intervals or obtained through interfacing with the environmental monitoring database. The integrated monitoring, simulation and dispatch svstem will have the capability to simulate the operation of the entire system to evaluate system operation strategy, for irrigation diversion as the primarv objective and hydroelectric power generation and to forecast short term system behaviour. It is noted that the daily load variations may be incorporated into short term diversion operation. The monitoring of the svstem will ensure a smooth and efficient operation for water distribution within the svstem. To provide effective control of the distribution and to eliminate potential human operational errors, flows control gates to the trunk canals, the main canals, and to the sub-main canals could be controlled automatically. Therefore, as many as 26 gates can be included, among which 17 are located in Changma, 5 at Shuangta, and 4 at Huahal imgation areas. While the releases at the hydropower stations are regulated by system diversion operations, flood control procedures of individual reservoir, whenever necessary, will take precedence. The monitoring system will also provide a database on the system operation, so that the dynamics of the entire system can be examined, and system operation strategy can be refined towards a more optimal conjunctive use of the available water resources within the Shule-Shiyou River Basin. Manual input of data will be necessary for manually observed variables. Interface with the environmental monitoring database will probably be required. The use of GIS can be considered if its use is shown necessary to enhance the usability and to simplify the user interface. In order to provide the planning staff with a complete view of the agnrcultural productions from the operation. periodic data on cultivated areas from all three irrigation command areas can be considered as part of the database, if these information has not been included in other component of the project. The production data can be surveyed and entered to the database manually. 3.0 SYSTEM STRUCTURE AND COMPONENTS a. Monitoring and Management Information System The operation of the entire Hexi Corridor Project will be monitored from a control centre located at the Project Management Office in Yumen Township. - 176 - Both spatial and temporal state variables of major components of the Project and meteorological data, such as precipitation, air temperature, evaporation and wind speed. will be monitored, stored and archived with the use of a database. Sampling frequency or observation intervals will depend on the dynamics of the variables. Sampling of the state variables, which are monitored automatically, mav be performed at source or at the control centre. A list of variables to be included in the svstem database will be required together with their corresponding characteristics, which will include, but not limited to, the following: name, location, data format, and sampling frequency or interval. Basic data processing, such as error checking, checking of data range, basic statistics, and basic data presentations, should be provided. b. Transmission and Communication Remote sensing sites can be linked to several sub-stations, located at the Management Offices of the three irrigation command areas. These sub-stations will then be linked to the control centre at the Hexi Corridor Project Management Centre. via a proven and reliable mode of data transmission. A microwave communication system is planned for the project to link all operational units. This system can be considered and adopted for data transmission. Other alternatives, such as linking the monitoring stations directly to the Project Management Centre, can be considered if shown to be more efficient. Transmission frequency and the amount of data transmitted will depend on the design of the monitoring system. c. Computer Modelling A computer model will be requtired to simulate the operation of the entire system covering all major system components for flow regulations, diversions, ground water extractions, drainage, and hydroelectric generations. This model should be capable of evaluating different operation strategies for decision making, and should considered the temporal and spatial variations of discharges within the system. Development of the computer model should be based on proven computer codes and interface to the system database should be provided. As the combined length of the main diversion canal and the west main canal is over 80 km, it may be necessary to have the computer model, or perhaps a - 177 - dynamic flow routing model, to verify the short term diversion schedule. The computer model(s) should be versatile enough for future updating. d. System Interface User interface should be provided for ease of use of the various components of the computer system. The development of the user interface can be considered as a separate component, or be partially integrated with the system database and the modelling software. 4.0 EQUIPMENT AND METHODOLOGY 4.1 Office Space The control centre can be housed in the building of the Administration Bureau of the Shule River Basin located in Yumen Township. Approximately 300 m2 of office space will be required. 4.2 Hardware Equipment for the control and monitoring of the hydroelectric power stations will be included with the installation of the power stations. Only hardware required for monitoring the canals, simulation and automatic gate controls are included here. The monitoring, simulation, and dispatch system will probably be a micro-computer based system. It is anticipated that the following hardware will be required: a micro-computer system, which will be used as the server, a micro-computer system, which will be used at the control centre; micro-computers for sub-stations; pnnters; a tablet; communication system hardware, UPS's, water level sensors with interface: flow meters with interface. - 178 - 4.3 Software General commercial software should be used if possible. for the operating system, database, networking, and supporting utilities. Efficient exchange of data with other project components should be considered in their selection. Simulation model of the svstem should be developed from proven computer codes, and should be easilv portable among operating platforms. Proprietary models or models for which source codes are not disclosed should not be selected, unless their usability and functionalitv are overwhelmingly superior. 5.0 TECHNICAL INPUTS The integrated monitoring, simulation and dispatch system is not expected to be very complicated. The monitoring system of state variables is straight forward. However, the development of the simulation computer model for operational decision making require thorough understanding of the dynamic relationships among various components of the system and numerical simulation techniques. Therefore, two expert advisors, either intemational or domestic, on telemetry in water resources, and water resources system simulation are recommended. Perhaps, a hardware specialist on computing and communication hardware should be consulted. 6.0 IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE As the diversion canals are not expected to be completed until the 7th year of the project, the hardware system selection and acquisition should be conducted the earliest in the 4 dh year of the project, in order to take advantage in the latest technological developments and to provide a relatively continuous therefore more efficient, execution of this project component. The following implementation schedule is provided based on a seven-year project implementation period. If the implementation period is scheduled to be longer, all activities from vear 4 on should be postponed accordingly. The development of the simulation model for the svstem should be carried out at the beginning of the project. a. Planning and Design Planning and design of the simulation model for the system should begin immediatelv with no conflict with other components of the project. The - 179 - simulation modelling software should be developed first and preliminary runs should be conducted with the current available data to verify the system configuration. Then the monitoring network should be established, which would be followed by the design of the database and the monitoring and control system during year 5 of the project. The computer modelling software of the system can be developed together with the simulations of the system with the currently available data, within the first year of the project implementation. The planning of the monitoring network and the database can then follow. b. Equipment Acquisition A svstem of micro-computer, such as a PC-Pentium- 100, together with adequate accessories, should be acquired for the computer modelling software development and model simulations at the beginning of the project implementation. Other equipment can be acquired at the beginning of year 6. C. Installation and Implementation The first micro-computer system for the development of the simulation software should be installed at the beginning of the project implementation phase. The development of the simulation model and the preliminary runs should be conducted within year 1, with limited activities in the following years. The design of the monitoring and automatic control system and the database should begin in year 5. Acquisition of required hardware should commence in the second half of year 5. The development of the database should follow as soon as the server computer is installed (in mid-year 6). The installation of automatic monitoring devices and computer system as sub-stations should begin as soon as the civil structures are ready (year 6). The installation of the data communications devices will follow as soon as the microwave system and the communication hardware are installed (late vear 6 to eariv year 7). The installation testing of the complete monitoring, simulation and dispatch system should be concluded by mid-year 7. - 180 - 7.0 Training of Operation Staff Training of operation staff is a important part of the monitoring, simulation and dispatch system, particularly operation and planning personnel responsible for the execution of the simulation, database maintenance, and computer system operations. Other training should include gate operators, well operators, canal inspectors and maintenance crew. User manuals for the execution of the simulation model, database, and svstem operations should be produced, which can be used as training materials for the operation and planning personnel. Operation manuals for gate and well operations should be provided for the field operators. 8.0 Estimations 8. 1 Time a. Simulation Models Project staff 24 man-months Expert advisors 6 man-months b. Database Project staff 18 man-months Specialist Advisors 2 man-months c. Design of Monitoring and Control System Project staff 5 man-months Specialist advisors I man-months d. Installation of Monitoring and Control Devices and Communication Link Project staff 36 man-months Specialist advisors I man-months - 181 - e. System Integration and Implementation Project staff 12 man-months Specialist advisors 2 man-months TOTAL: Expert/Specialist Advisors: 12 man-months Project staff: 95 man-months Total budget: Y I,500,00 8.2 Equipment Acquisition Major Computer Software: Operating System, Networking, Communication Software, Database, Compilers, Spreadsheet, Word- processing, Utilities, Simulation Modelling Package, etc. Total: Y80.000. Major Hardware: I Micro-computer system as server I Micro-computer system at control centre 3 Micro-computer system at sub-stations 3 Dot-matrix (medium quality) printers for sub-stations i LaserJet for control centre i Dot-matrix (medium qualitv) printers for control centre I Digitizing tablet, minimum size 24" x 18" (approx.) 5 Networking interfaces (system design specific) 3 Communication hardware, e.g. modems (system design specific) 3 UPS for sub-stations (medium capacity) I UPS for control centre (large capacity) 26 automatic gate controls 26 (min.) flow monitoring devices including interface to micro-computer Total: Y942,960 (including miscellaneous items) TOTAL BUDGET: Y2,600,000. - 182 - CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT ANNEX H Performance Indicators and Imnact Monitorina GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Kev Performance Indicators (Main Summary Table) B- Project Objectim Key Performance Indicators Unit Base Year Intermediate Review #1 Review #2 ICR Full Develop. 1996 1998 2000 2003 2006 2012 L Irrigation Development (a) Existine area (see separate detailed table) Ihrigation area improved 000 ha 18.6 31.94 41.86 43.6 43.6 43.6 Areaitrigated 000ha 18.6 31.94 41.86 43.6 43.6 43.6 (b) Newv ame New land reclaimed 000 ha 0 8.7 20.4 47.1 54.6 54.6 New land itrigated 000 ha 0 4.91 14.37 39.6 54.6 54.6 (c) Total irigation water supplied Mcm 545 594 642 813 941 941 (d) rigatfin system efficiency % 43-54 44-55 46-59 59-61 62 62 (e) Water charges collected Y'mln 4.55 10.84 12.14 38.75 48.65 48.65 (f)Opertion&maintenamcecxp. Y'mn. 7.07 15.09 13.03 25.94 31.01 31.01 IL Increase Agcultural I LEJstnALa Production Area cultivated for. (see separate detailed table) Food gain 000 ha 7.09 20.03 21.22 22.09 22.09 22.09 Commoditycrmps OOOha 3.47 10.6 11.13 11.5 11.5 11.5 Total production obtained. Food grain xOO tons 7.2 14.16 20.92 30.98 39.11 43.91 Commodity crps xOOO tos 81.5 9.72 16.18 25.16 33.79 38.34 Livestock producti Grasslad developed xN)00 ha 4.2 4.91 4.91 4.91 4.91 4.91 (b) New Area Area cultivated for Food grain 000 ha 0 2.77 7.6 20.57 28.67 28.67 Comumoditycrops 000 ha 0 1.04 3.21 9.42 13.39 13.39 Total production obtained: Food grain xOOO tons 0 2.83 14.01 50.95 108.65 160.53 Commoditycaops xDO tons 0 1.14 8.33 34.39 77.28 115.53 m ¢ . Livestolc production: Grassland developed x000ha 0 0.47 1.52 4.35 6.15 6.15 ' Meat tons 0 5.7 338 211.9 4380 7270 Milk tons 0 0 0 0 0 1093 Project Objecties Kay Peformnuce Indicton Unit Base Year Intermediate Review #1 Review #2 ICR Ful Dwevop 1996 1591 200 2003 2006 2012 Egs tons 0 0 197.6 807.4 1730 4182.6 Tobd Crop Output Value YMIn.L 395.8 426 485.7 640.2 913 1029.8 Totad iveStockO utpu Value Y'mhl. 2.02 15.989 22.62 41.92 42.03 61.31 Total Gra Agni. Output Vaiuca Ymn.L 397.82 442.6 509.1 692.7 913.4 1190.1 mlL Poverty Reduct ad s (see seprate detailed table) Toadip establishsd nos. 0 8 16 16 16 16 Admin.illage sedbished n1. 0 15 69 1S0 150 160 No. offamilies aeled noG. 0 7360 16520 32660 37650 40360 No. of People sttled prsns 0 36460 76940 16200 181800 200000 No. of minority people setled persons 0 7920 14670 41640 47380 50000 Socio_c Donomit Per caita incnb Yuan1 145.9 301.8 446.6 1319.5 1427 2043.4 Percpigroduction/b kg 242 196 255 609.8 677.3 677.3 Per capita *iznc Yuan 320 440 600 1480 1840 2460 Percapitagpainproductioa/c kg 259.7 128.2 191.2 503.2 556.5 556.5 Per caita incmeld Yuan 276.5 298.5 444 1398 1424.7 2040.8 i Percapita ginproductioa/d kg 279.98 196.6 255.5 609.8 677.3 677.3 0 Per capita calmies onaned calories 1968 2233 2356 2514 2995 299S No. of schols built Secdary acbools ns. 0 2 7 14 16 16 Piimai schools nos. 0 30 139 269 302 320 Student Populato Primay persos 0 4395 9272 19623 24106 25903 Seconduy middle pers 0 446 1177 2677 3673 3943 SecoAary high person 0 388 981 2532 3613 3880 Totalkshtucnpopulation persons 0 5229 11430 24832 31392 33726 r No. of hospitalsbut nos. 0 8 16 16 16 16 m O' No.ofheIth clinics built nos, 0 15 61 130 160 160 t D Credit avoxovd for moduction: K_ No. of applcants approved nos. 0 7360 15520 32680 37650 40360 Ofwhich for wmnea fanners nos. 0 4420 7760 16340 20180 20180 Total amount aroved Y'mnhL 0 3.5 10.1 11.4 35.2 35.2 Ofwidwihfor women fumers Y'mln. 0 2.1 6.1 6.8 21.1 21.2 IV. Environmental Protection New Setment AMea and Rebabilitation Piny forest belts establshed kbnba 0 0 0 429n395 429/395 429/395 Project Objecti Key Performance Indicaton Unit Base Year Intermediate Review #1 Review #2 ICR Full Deveop. 1996 19 2000 2003 2006 2012 (see separate detailedtables Secondaryforestbeltsestab. km/ha 0 0 0 276/110 276/110 276/110 for newsettlement are & On-farm windbreaks establ. ha 100 1500 2400 4300 4700 13030 emigration source ara) Fuehvood forest establishd ha 0 300 500 800 1000 1000 Orcrd Forest ha 0 600 1300 2700 3330 3330 Nursey ha 0 100 100 100 100 100 Ovall vegdative cover % 2 3 4 9 11 11 Total Forestry Output Value Y!mUn 0 0.599 0.833 10.6 28.8 72.06 Emigation Source Areas: Total area rehabilitatedrestored ha Taracing/bendhing ha 0 810 2010 3240 4050 4050 Afforesation \a ha 0 9404 17994 21006 22950 22950 Planting of shrususs ha 0 1620/994 4036/1808 6480/2376 8100/2700 8100/2700 Cosing of cultivated land on teep dopes ha 0 6790 12150 12150 12150 12150 OD at Output value including rop, forest, and livestock poduction. bl Migrants fiom Yo4min county to Changma irigation are d Migrats fnom Jihishan county to Shuangta irigftion area d/ Mgitrs frTn Lixian couty to Changma irigation area IEcnz 5 D z- GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT New Reclamation and Cropped Area by Year Irrigation Area Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 RECLAMATION AREA Changma Reclaimed 0.53 0.80 2.49 2.81 3.86 5.10 6.07 4.98 2.60 2.09 Cumulative 0.53 1.33 3.82 6.63 10.49 15.59 21.66 26.64 29.24 31.33 31.33 Shuangta Reclaimed 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 2.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 1.33 1.19 Cumulative 0.67 1.34 2.01 2.68 4.68 7.68 10.68 13.68 15.01 16.20 16.20 Huaihai Reclaimed 0.00 1.53 1.31 1.36 0.99 0.53 0.54 0.53 0.28 0.00 Cumulative 0.00 1.53 2.84 4.20 5.19 5.72 6.26 6.79 7.07 7.07 7.07 Total Reclaimed 1.20 3.00 4.47 4.84 6.85 8.63 9.61 8.51 4.21 3.28 0.00 Cumulative 1.20 4.20 8.67 13.51 20.36 28.99 38.60 47.11 51.32 54.60 54.60 0' CROPPED AREA Changma Cropped area 0.00 0.41 0.63 1.95 2.18 3.01 3.98 4.74 3.89 2.02 1.63 Cumulative 0.00 0.41 1.04 2.99 5.17 8.18 12.16 16.90 20.79 22.81 24.44 Shuangta Cropped area 0.00 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.52 2.27 2.27 2.27 1.01 0.90 Cumulative 0.00 0.51 1.01 1.51 2.01 3.53 5.80 8.07 10.34 11.35 12.25 Huahai Cropped area 0.00 0.00 1.17 0.99 1.04 0.74 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.21 0.00 Cumulative 0.00 0.00 1.17 2.16 3.20 3.94 4.35 4.76 5.16 5.37 5.37 Total I m Cropped area 0.00 0.92 2.30 3.44 3.72 5.27 6.66 7.42 6.56 3.24 2.64 Cumulative 0.00 0.92 3.22 6.66 10.38 15.65 22.31 29.73 36.29 39.53 42.06 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Developnental Activities for Fmale Migrants Ibtn Number of Persons > Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year5 Year6 Year7 Yar8 Year9 Year10 Total Uni Planned No. o Migrant Labor during Year 1184 120656 326 734 12753 14776 19901 16357 14764 8042 120000 persons (Esift'ted FemaebLabor) 1132 3559 3051 4760 6041 7518 10280 10593 7823 5474 60231 persons Cumulative No. of Migrnt Labor In Year 613 17239 25624 33408 46161 60936 30837 97194 111915 120000 cum. nos. (Estied,FodFmate Labor) 1132 4691 7742 12502 18543 26061 36341 46934 54757 60231 cum. nos. L Produdion AgMec lraltning 950 3910 3350 3320 4760 5370 6540 5460 4850 3380 41890 person- Liestock dcbton 0 1625 3989 7767 12769 18351 25309 34049 40327 45109 45109 cum. nos. . .~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~I- 11, ErtnxerD (cuviAVe Dersons) Non-Wri. sidelns 0 170 389 826 2192 3824 6787 10220 11696 12500 12500 cum. nos. . Faniy-run bu.ness 0 153 292 445 615 812 1078 1296 1493 1600 1600 cum. nos. NL Condrucdlo Water consevancy works 1037 2721 3018 3360 2796 2828 2828 1163 1001 728 21480 person- IV, Public SerVices Icurnui ive prK§son Teachers 0 6 16 31 53 97 158 223 305 416 416 cum. nos. Healkhworkem 0 5 12 23 39 73 118 168 229 212 212 cun.nos. Agro-techelensbon 0 3 8 15 26 48 79 112 153 208 208 cum.nos. Admni stative cadres 0 2 4 a 14 24 39 56 76 104 104 cum. nos. c Socialworkers 0 6 14 27 46 85 139 195 267 364 364 cun.nos. La ANNEX H - 188 - Table 4 Annual schedule of afforestation in project area Unit :ha. Year Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total 9033.40 247.33 1182.94 1050. 84 953.53 944. 94 1432. 44 1197.74 918.5 638.43 466. 71 Total 6390. 00 147. 33 518.39 553. 79 605. 23 717.44 1204. 94 919. 24 818.5 538.43 366. 71 .X total 3056.60 147. 33 129- 67 189. 66 215. 66 300. 67 743. 27 477. 00 455.00 210.34 188.00 . Chaagma 1626.29 73.0 19. 67 84.33 107. 66 159.0 409.63 280.0 258.33 130.0 104.67 R 5 Shuangta 1036. 64 63.33 33. 33 40.0 51. 67 100.0 257. 98 170. 33 170.0 66.67 83. 33 Huahai 393.67 11. 0 76.67 65.33 56.33 41.67 75.66 26.67 26.67 13.67 total 2666.70 255.38 230.79 256.23 283.43 328.33 442.24 363.5 328.09 178 71 z 5 pear 1166. 69 56. 92 93. 37 110. 29 96. 60 146.06 233.02 185. 38 160. 94 84. 11 X apple 499. 99 24. 39 40.02 47. 7 41.4 62. 59 99.86 79. 45 68.97 36. 04 ' pear 466.70 44. 19 26.18 20.35 81.74 74.00 66.34 58.58 54.33 40.99 3 apple 199. 99 18. 94 11. 22 8. 72 35. 02 31. 71 28.43 25. 10 23. 28 17.57 0 0.i c pear 233.33 77.66 42.0 48.72 20.07 9.78 10.21 10.49 14.40 s. apple 100.00 33.28 18. 0 20.88 8. 6 4.19 4.38 4.50 6.17 I total 666.70 133.34 133.34 133. 34 133.34 133. 34 ,. r pear 233.35 46.67 46.67 46.67 46.67 46.67 w apple 100.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20. 00 ci, , pear 233.35 46.67 46.67 46.67 46.67 46.67 apple 100.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20. 00 q ; total 1268.5 338.4 248.3 248.3 127. 5 127.5 178.5 . Changma 735.68 127.5 127. 5 127. 5 127.5 127.5 98.18 8 Shuangta 415. 95 120.8 120.8 120.8 53.55 3 t Huahai 116-87 90.1 26.77 total 1374.9 100.0 326. 15 248.75 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 91 environment a protection 283. 9 141. 95 141. 95 e foreat s road tree 84. 2 84.2 V. reservoir * protection 6. 8 6. 8 g- tree firewood 1000.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 S Source: Gansu's "ProjeCt Feasibility Study Report - October 1995" GANSU tEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Projection of Student Population & School Required Item <-------- Annual Projection (persons/units) - ------- --------------------- -----> Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Total Planned No. of SetUers during the Year 5184 13970 17309 19217 21255 24625 33168 27262 24607 13403 200000 Cumulative No. of Settlers In Year 5184 19154 36463 55680 76935 101560 134728 161990 186597 200000 C -Cumulative--- ----- - Projected student population in: Primary schools 625 2308 4395 6711 9272 12240 16237 19523 22489 24404 Juniormiddleschools 48 176 446 682 1177 1864 2062 2677 3427 3637 Senior midde schools 44 163 388 592 981 1619 2148 2582 3371 3613 Sub-total 717 2647 5229 7965 11430 15723 20447 24782 29287 31654 x Projected number of schools reqtired (cumulative): Primary schools 4 15 29 44 61 81 108 130 150 160 Secondary schools 1 2 3 5 6 8 10 13 15 16 Sub-total 5 17 32 49 67 89 11S 143 165 176 Projected number of teachers required (cumulative): Primary schools 20 77 147 224 309 408 541 651 750 813 CD Secondary schools 11 25 61 93 158 255 309 386 499 532 v- . SD Sub-total 31 102 20S 317 467 663 ago 1037 1249 1345 ANNEX H - 190 - Table 6 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT Supervision Mission Schedule and Inputs Mission Mission Input Mission members' Date (s-wks) speciality Apr-96 Workshop launch 8 Ir, As, Pa, RMC Sep-96 Supervision #1 12 Ir, Ag, Lk, As, Fr, Rs May-97 Supervision #2 10 Ir, Dr, As, Pa, En Sep-97 Supervision #3 14 Ir, Dr, As, Ag, Lk, Fr, Rs May-98 Supervision #4 and 9 Ir, As, Pa Initial Review Sep-98 Supervision #5 14 Ir, Dr, As, Ag, Lk, Fr, Rs May-99 Supervision #6 10 Ir, Dr, As, Pa, En Sep-99 Supervision #7 14 Ir, Dr, As, Ag, Lk, Fr, Rs May-00 Supervision #8 and 16 Ir, Dr, As, Ag, Lk, Fr, En, Pa Interim Review #1 Sep-00 Supervision #9 14 Ir, Dr, As, Ag, Lk, Fr, En Sep-01 Supervision #10 14 Ir, Dr, As, Ag, Lk, Fr, En Sep-02 Supervision #11 14 Ir, Dr, As, Ag, Lk, Fr, En Sep-03 Supervision $12 and 16 Ir, Dr, As, Ag, Lk, Fr, En, Pa Interim Review #2 Sep-04 Supervision #13 14 Ir, Dr, As, Ag, Lk, Fr, En 1-Sep Supervision #14 14 Ir, Dr, As, Ag, Lk, Fr, En May-06 Supervision #1 5/Pre-ICR 9 Ir, As, Pa Sep-06 ICR mission 14 Ir, Pa, As, Ag, Ik, Fr, En Total 216 Legends: Ir: irrigation As: anthropologistlsciologist Dr: drainage Pa: project analystleconomist Ag: agriculture En: environmentalist Lk: livestock Rs: resettlement specialist Fr: forestry RMC: Resident Mission China - 191 - CHINA GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT ANNEX I Other Technical Data and Information - 192 - ANNEX I Appendix Title 1. Summary of Project's Main Technical and Economic Data 2. Shule River Average Monthly Flow for Various Return Periods 3. Irrigation Schedule, Norms and Quantities for various crops in Changma, Shuangta and Huahai Irrigation Areas 4. Comparison of Demographic and Socio-economic Indicators between Gansu Province, Project Area and the Emigrating Counties 5. Typical Design of Afforestation for Project Area 6. Canal Lining ANNEX I - 193 - Appendix 1 Sheet 1 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT TECHNICAL AND ECONOMIC DATA Item Unit Quantity Remarks I. HYDROLOGY 1. Catchment area: Total km2 41250 Above Changma Dam site km2 13250 2. Period of hydrological data years used years 41 From 1952 to 1 993 3. Long-term average annual flow mcm 1031 4. Typical representative flow: Long-term average flow rate cms 32.7 On 7/25/52 at Changma Bao Actual maximum flow rate cms 758 Hydro. Stn. Historical max. flow rate investigated cms 1710 Between 1869 - 1871 Designed flood flow for Changma Dam cms 1620 Designed at P= 1 % Verified for flood flow for Changma Dam cms 2960 at P=0.05% (1 in 2000 years) 5. Flood Volume Aug.'81 at Changma Bao Hydro. Actual maximum measured mcm 66.6 Stn. Designed flood volume for Dam mcm 306 Verified flow volume mcm 548 5. Sediment Long-term average per year 000 tons 4720 Long-term average sediment content kg/m3 3.66 On 8/21/72 at Changma Bao Actual maximum measured kg/m3 99.3 Hydro. Stn. II. CLIMATE 1. Long-term average temperature deg. C 6.9 to 8.8 at Yumen and Anxi Station 2. Long-term maximum temperature deg. C 36.7 to 42.8 3. Long-term minimum temperature deg. C -28.2 to -29.3 4. Maximum wind speed m/s 28 to 34.5 5. Annual rainfall mm 63.4 to 47.4 6. Annual sun shine hours hrs 3265 to 3287 7. Frost -free days days 134 to 157 8. Cumulative temp. above 10 deg.C deg. C 2901 to 3564 9. Solar radiation energy Kcal/cm2 154.9 to 152.9 10. Relative humidity % 41 to 39 III. EXISTING IRRIGATION FACILITIES 1. Irrigated area (total) 000 ha 43.6 Cultivated land 000 ha 39.5 Forest and pastrue 000 ha 4.1 2. Changma main intake mcm 430 3. Shule River flow utilization rate % 41.7 4. Changma intake diversion distribution: Changma area irrigation mcm 340 Industrial use mcm 40 Diversion to Shuangta Reservoir mcm 40 Diversion to Chejin Reservoir mcm 10 5. Water from Shuangta Reservoir mcm 200 to 240 Shuangta Irrig. Area only 6. Water diverted from Zhejin Reservoir mcm 49 Huahai Irrig. Area 7. Groundwater usage mcm 46 All three areas 8. Canal system efficiency: Changma Irrig. Area % 54 Shuangta Irrig. Area % 43 ANNEX I Anpendix 1 Sheet 2 Item Unit Quantity Remarks IV. MAIN PARAMETERS USED FOR PROJECT DESIGN 1. Irrigation assurance % 50 P = 50% for normal years 2. Canal system efficiency % 62 3. Total area to be irrigated (total): 000ha 98.2 Changma Area 000ha 56.9 Shuangta Area 000ha 30.7 Huahai Area 000ha 10.6 4. New irrigation area increased (total) o00ha 54.6 Changma Area 000ha 31.3 Shuangta Area 000ha 16.2 Huahai Area 000ha 7.1 5. Changma Reservoir regulated volume: mcm 100 Irrig. use for Changma area mcm 550 Industrial use mcm 83 Diversion to Shuangta Reservoir mcm 254 Diversion to Zhejin Reservoir mcm 61 6. Groundwater utilization (total): mcm 78 Changma area mcm 50 Shuangta area mcm 22 Huahai area mcm 6 7. Spring water utilization (total): mcm 95 Shuangta Area only V. CHANGMA DAM 1. Main Dam across Shule River Type of dam Rockfill with impervious clay core Height of dam m 54.3 At El. 2004.0 m Crest length at top of dam m 364.8 2. Spillway Crest elevation El. (m) 1993.3 No. of bays no. 3 Each 10x7.5 m Designed capacity cms 1228 P=11% Verified and checked capacity cma 1570 P-0.05% Spillway channel width m 25 Discharge velocity per meter width cms/im 49 P 11% 3. Flood/Sediment release tunnel Type Round. under pressured Length of tunnel m 300.3 Diameter of tunnel m 8 Designed flood capacity mcm 392 Verified and checked flood capacity mcm 1014 4. Intake Tunnel for Power Generation Type Round, under pressured Diameter of tunnel m 4 Length of tunnel m 605 Maximum inflow cms 65 5. Power House Type Above ground Floor area m2 550 6. Main Installations (a) Turbines Number of units noa. 3 Capacity each Kw 6500 & 1250 2 x 6600 Kw and 1 x 1250 Kw Maximum operating head m 54.7 Minimum operatinh head m 24.4 Designed operating head m 40 - 195 - ANNEX I Appendix 1 Sheet 3 Item Unit Quantity Remarks (b) Generators nos. 3 Capacity each Kw 6500 & 1250 Total capacity Kw 14250 Annual average generation GKwh 60 Average annual running hours hrs 4220 VI. CHANGMA RESERVOIR 1. Reservoir wtare level elevations: Designed flood level El. m 2000.8 Verified and checked flood level El. m 2002.2 Normal storage level El. m 2000.8 Flood control level El. m 2000.8 Designed low water level El. m 1988.4 Dead storage level El. m 1988.4 2. Reservior surface area at normal level km2 10.5 3. Back water km 8 to 9 4. Reservior capacity: Total capacity mcm 193.4 Flood regulation mcm 1 3.4 Live storage mcm 100 Sedimentation detention mcm 80 Dead storage VII. DOWNSTREAM FLOOD VELOCITY AND ELEVATION 1. D/s velocity at designed flood discharge cms 1620 Corresponding flood level El. m 1949.3 2. Minimum regulated discharge cms 1.8 Corresponding d/stream level El. m 1947 VIII. IRRIGATION DIVERSION WORKS (a) Changma Irrigation Area 1. New intake nos. 1 New construction 2. Extension of Trunk Canal to new intake km 6 New construction 3. Improvement to existing Trunk Canal km 19.4 Improvement 4. New trunk Canal km 0.54 New construction 5. West Main Canal km 49.5 New construction 6. 6 sub-main canals on West Main Canal km 75.3 & 30.3 New & Improved 7. Shantaoguo Conveyance Canal km 3.9 New construction 8. East Main Canal km 15.2 & 20.2 New & Improved 9. North Main Canal km 1 .0 & 10.0 New & Improved 10. North Sub-main Cnal #1 km 1 3 New construction (b) Shuangta Irrigation Area 1. Trunk Canal km 15 Imporved 1. South Main Canal km 18.9 & 12.0 New & Improved 2. North Main Canal km 11.4 & 23.9 New & Improved 3. Xihu Sub-main Canal km 43.2 New construction (c) Huahai Irrigation Area 1. New intake complex nos. 1 New construction 2. New Trunk Canal to new intake km 21.6 New construction 3. West Main Canal km 5.7 & 2.0 New & Improved 4. East main Canal km 5.7 Improved 5. North main Canal km 0.6 New construction - 196 - ANNEX I Appendix 1 Sheet 4 Item Unit Quantity Remarks (d) Branch Canals 1. Changma Irrig. Area km 587/314 New construction/improved 2. Shuangta Irrig. Area km 124.3/78.4 New construction/improved 3. Huahai Irrig. Area km 57.6 New construction IX. DRAINAGE WORKS (a) Changma Irrigation Area 1. Tuhulu Trunk Drain km 40.6 New construction 2. Yinma and Huanghua SF Trunk Drains km 23 Improved (b) Shuangta Irrigation Area 1. Quazhou Trunk Drain km 25.5 New construction (c) Branch Drains 1 Changma Irrig. Area km 140.3/85.8 New construction/improved 2. Shuangta Irrig. Area km 126.4 New construction 3. Huahai Irrig. Area km 59.8 New construction X. ON-FARM WORKS (a) Irrigation Facilties 1. New irrigation area 000 ha 52.9 2. Existing irrigated area 000 ha 24.7 (b) Drainage Facilities 1. New irrigation area 000 ha 40.9 2. Existing irrigated area 000 ha 10.6 Xl. TUBEWELL IRRIGATION 1. New tubewells nos. 730 For irrigation use only. 2. 10 Kv power lines km 373 New construction Xii. POWER GENERATION 1. Changma hydropower station kw/nos. 14250/1 New construction 2. Changma Intake hydropower station kwinos. 12000/1 New construction 3. Yumen City (West M.C.) hydropower kwtnos. 6000/1 New construction WORKS AND MATERIAL QUANTITIES Irrigation & Drainage Works (a) Works quantities 1. Earthwork & Rock excavation mcm 17.6 2. Earthwork and Rock backfilling mcm 1.74 3. Mass and reinforced concrete mcm 0.54 (b) Principal Construction Materials 1. Cement 000 tons 310 2. Timber 000 m3 37.7 3. Steel 000tons 22.7 (c) Labor Requirements 1. Total mln. m-d 27.7 2. Peak demand persons 19000 - 197 - ANNEX I Appendix 1 Sheet 5 Item Unit Quantity Remarks Changma Dam (a) Work Quantities 1. Excavation in earth and conglomerates 000 m3 362 2. Excavation in rock 000 m3 367 3. Earthfilling 000 m3 418 4. Conglomerate backfilling 000 m3 2192 5. Concrete 000 m3 111 6. Stone pitching and riprap 000 m3 17.2 7. Curtain wall grouting m 2770 8. Grouting to fissures m 26430 9. Grouting to backfilling m2 6835 10. Concrete anti-seepage wall m3 10582 (b) Principal Construction Materials 1. Cement 000 tons 31.8 2. Timber 000 m3 4.6 3. Steel tons 6250 (c) Labor Requirements 1. Total mln. m-d 1.6 2. Peak demand person 3200 XIV. INCREMENTAL PRODUCTIONS 1. Food grains 000 tons 204.4 2. Edible oils 000 tons 8.2 3. Melons and vegetables 000 tons 76.3 4. Cotton 000 tons 6.8 5. Hay for animals 000 tons 126.6 6. Timber 000 tons 24.8 7. Meat products 000 tons 13.6 8. Wool, hair, etc. tons 2.1 9. Supply commodity grains 000 tons 114.2 58% of incremental production 10. Supply commodity edible oils 000 tons 5.7 70% of incremental production XV. SETTLEMENT Total in new areas developed: person 200000 By the year 2005 Changma Irrigation Area person 125000 Shuangta Irrigation Area person 50000 Huahai Irrigation Area person 25000 XVI. ECONOMIC EVALUATION 1. EIRR % 18.8 Based on 1995 prices. 3. Net present value Y' mln. 774 Based on 1995 prices. 3. Average per capita income for new migrants Yuan 980 - 3180 Based on 1995 prices. GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT MONTHLY AVERAGE FLOW AND SUSPENDED SEDIMENT LOAD IN SHULE RIVER Item Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Average/ Total Flow Monthly av. flow (cms) 13.1 13.3 14 20.6 27.7 39.5 84.8 87.4 37.6 21.3 17.5 13.7 32.54 Percent of annual (%) 3.35 3.41 3.59 5.28 7.09 10.12 21.72 22.38 9.63 5.45 4.48 3.51 100.00 Suspended Sediment Monthly total ('000 tons) 2.9 3.4 12.5 54 122 234 1690 1490 149 11.5 5.6 5.1 3780 Percent of annual total (% 0.08 0.09 0.33 1.43 3.23 6.19 44.71 39.42 3.94 0.30 0.15 0.13 100.00 Bed Sediment Monthly total ('000 tons) 0 0 0 13.6 36.6 58.5 425 375 37.3 0 0 0 946 co Percent of annual total(%) 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.44 3.87 6.18 44.93 39.64 3.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Total Sediment Monthly total ('000 tons) 2.9 3.4 12.5 67.6 158.6 292.5 2115 1865 186.3 11.5 5.6 5.1 4726 Percent of annual total (%) 0.06 0.07 0.26 1.43 3.36 6.19 44.75 39.46 3.94 0.24 0.12 0.11 100.00 SEDIMENT GRAIN SIZE DISTRIBUTION > Grain size (mm) 0.007 0.01 0.025 0.05 0.1 0.25 0.5 1 °. ~ % passing grain size 17.8 24.6 45.4 69.2 87 96.9 99.7 100 Average values for 1971-80 by weight GANSU HEDa CORIDOR PRtOJECT SUMMARY OF IRRIGATION DURATION AND QUANTITIES FOR DIFFERENr CROPS CHANGMA. SHUANGTA. HUAHAI IRltGATION AREAS Crop C _oa Irri Ars (,00 he) Shbua9a Irig. Ar (30,670 ha) Hhasi IrTg. Am (10,670 ha) Cr No. i trri. Inpcna Groc Irriy. CropP4 No. of Irriy Irrrmt Grou 2Igm Cromr No of Irig. IMPrr Gou Irrg. roeo das Wm wmqot Vods a rsio days Wu R,q'mt Vohae a rwo da W*ln Rq'mt Vohmire a (I) U ac.m/ba 0.62 \krly I cu.rm/a 0.62 E\lrsy xi cam/ba 0.62 Efifcrey (rawm) (mem) (mrm) Wbcs 52.9 130 6515 276.28 52.8 127 6015 154.13 52 121 6250 55.04 Cm 3.1 102 726 19.75 5.2 116 7200 180.6 a 124 6975 9.60 comma0 0 0 0 0 86 4500 22.26 0 96 4650 6.40 Bmbd (Fd t_ 6.9 a mm 37.97 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 onSll&d 8.1 70 4650 34.55 3.7 is 4650 0.51 4 54 5120 3.51 SW bt 3 120 67 18.66 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 I6kmVsg.phA 5 95 6750 30.96 5 126 6750 16.70 4 114 6750 4.65 Famu amtmi 10 72 4500 41.21 14.4 72 45ee 20.41 13 57 3000 6.72 P _me 12 76 4125 45.40 10 73 4125 32.06 1 5s 3310 6.25 Mab.62.* sPme 21.2 30 1RD 35.W 23.2 38 IOD 20.66 20 31 1950 6.71 mkwaredOs _Ir 0 0 0 0 1.3 22 2860 1.16 0 0 0 0 %D Tod momS 294.04 7 ' S ^irr I 26.1 16 sD 23.8 26 2560 24 37 1S56 Afs *err1p 51.9 46 180c 51.8 46 IMD 52 37 )Se \I1: Ih rg r ibg r aum m sigasswe qppkc . 3^t1 CI3p I FaIbIS W GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT IRRIGATION SCHEDULE AND APPLICATION RATES FOR VARIOUS CROPS Chanrma lrrioation Area 156,800 ha) Crop/ Cropping Irrigation Irrigation Period No. of Irrig. Water Requirements Gross Irrig. Area (ha) ratio Sequence Start End Days Norm Total Volume @ cu.m/ha cu.m/ha 62% Efficiency (mcm) Wheat 51.90% * 1 21-Sep 5-Nov 46 1800 28477.53 2 1-May 15-May 15 795 3 16-May 30-May 15 690 4 31 -May 17-Jun 18 1050 5 18-Jun 5-Jul 18 840 6 6-Jul 23-Jul 18 840 6015 276.28 Corn 3.10% '1 5-Apr 20-Apr 16 1500 1700.97 2 10-Jun 23-Jun 15 900 3 1-Jul 15-Jul 15 975 4 16-Jul 30-Jul 15 1125 5 31-Jul 14-Aug 15 975 6 15-Aug 29-Aug 15 975 1 7 30-Aug 10-Sep 11 750 7200 19.75 0 Broad (Faba) bean 6.90% *1 5-Apr 20-Apr 16 1500 3924.03 2 25-May 8-Jun 15 975 3 9-Jun 23-Jun 15 900 4 24-Jun 8-Jul 15 975 5 9-Jul 23-Jul 15 900 6 24-Jul 4-Aug 12 750 6000 37.97 Oil seeds 8.1 *1 5-Apr 20-Apr 16 1500 4606.47 2 16-May 3-Jun 19 900 3 4-Jun 17-Jun 14 750 4 18-Jun 30-Jun 13 750 uz >. 5 1-Jul 7-Aug 8 750 4650 34.55 Z Sugar beets 3.00% '1 5-Apr 20-Apr 16 1500 1706.1 2 10-Jun 24-Jun 15 840 " '-H 3 25-Jun 14-Jul 20 1020 4 15-Jul 3-Aug 20 1020 5 4-Aug 23-Aug 20 825 6 24-Aug 10-Sep 18 825 7 21-Sep 1-Oct 11 750 6780 18.66 Crop/ Cropping Irrigation Irrigation Period No. of Irrig. Water Requirements Gross Irrig. Area (ha) ratio Sequence Start End Days Norm Total Volume @ cu.m/ha cu.m/ha 62% Efficiency (mcm) MelonsNeg. 5.00% '1 5-Apr 20-Apr 16 1500 2843.5 2 1-May 15-May 15 750 3 9-Jul 23-Jul 15 900 4 24-Jul 7-Aug 15 975 5 3-Aug 22-Aug 15 975 6 23-Aug 1-Sep 10 900 7 2-Sep 10-Sep 9 750 6750 30.96 Forest area 10.00% 1 1 -May 15-May 15 750 5687 2 1-Jul 15-Jul 15 750 3 5-Aug 14-Aug 10 750 4 30-Aug 10-Sep 12 750 5 11 -Oct 30-Oct 20 1500 4500 41.28 Pasture 12.00% 1 16-May 24-May 9 750 6824.4 2 18-Jun 30-Jun 13 675 3 24-Jul 14-Aug 22 900 4 30-Aug 10-Sep 12 900 5 11 -Oct 30-Oct 20 900 4125 45.40 ° Multi-cropped Pasture 21.20% 1 31-Jul 14-Aug 15 750 12056.44 2 15-Aug 29-Aug 15 1050 1800 35.00 Total 539.85 Spring irrig. ' 26.10% 1 5-Apr 20-Apr 16 1500 1500 Autumn/winter irrigation 51.90% 1 21-Sep 5-Nov 46 1800 1800 5 . rt S. > w X-H Shuangta Irrigaion Area (30,670 ha) Crop/ Cropping Irrigation Irrigation Period No. of Irrig. Water Requirements Gross Irrig. Area (ha) ratio Sequence Start End Days Norm Total Volume @ cu.m/ha cu.m/ha 62% Efficiency (mcm) Wheat 51.80% *g1 26-Sep 10-Nov 46 1800 15887.06 2 25-Apr 9-May 15 795 3 1 0-May 24-May 15 690 4 25-May 10-Jun 17 1050 5 11-Jun 27-Jun 17 840 6 28-Jun 14-Jul 17 840 6015 154.13 Corn 5.10% *1 16-Mar 10-Apr 26 1500 1564.17 2 25-May 8-Jun 15 900 3 9-Jun 23-Jun 15 975 4 24-Jun 8-Jul 15 1125 5 9-Jul 23-Jul 15 975 6 24-Jul 7-Aug 15 975 7 8-Aug 22-Aug 15 750 7200 18.16 Cotton 10.00% *1 16-Mar 10-Apr 26 1500 3067 2 21 -Jun 5-Jul 15 750 3 6-Jul 20-Jul 15 750 4 21-Jul 4-Aug 15 750 5 5-Aug 19-Aug 15 750 4500 22.26 Oil seeds 3.70% *1 16-Mar 1 0-Apr 26 1500 1134.79 2 10-May 24-May 15 900 3 25-May 10-Jun 17 750 4 11-Jun 25-Jun 15 750 5 26-Jun 10-Jul 15 750 4650 8.51 rt :bA MelonsNeg. 5.00% *1 16-Mar 10-Apr 26 1500 m ( 1533.5 2 25-Apr 9-May 15 750 i 0 3 16-Jun 30-Jun 15 900 X 4 11-Jul 15-Jul 15 975 5 16-Jul 30-Jul 15 975 6 31-Jul 14-Aug 15 900 7 15-Aug 29-Aug 15 750 6750 16.70 Crop/ Cropping Irrigation Irrigation Period No. of Irrig. Water Requirements Gross Irrig. Area (ha) ratio Sequence Start End Days Norm Total Volume @ cu.m/ha cu.m/ha 62% Efficiency (mcm) Pasture 10.00% 1 1 0-May 24-May 15 750 3067 2 11-Jun 23-Jun 13 675 3 15-Jul 29-Jul 15 900 4 20-Aug 29-Aug 10 900 5 11 -Oct 30-Oct 20 900 4125 20.41 Forest area 14.40% 1 10-May 24-May 15 750 4416.48 2 15-Jul 29-Jul 15 750 3 115-Aug 29-Aug 15 750 4 30-Aug 5-Sep 7 750 5 11 -Oct 30-Oct 20 1500 4500 32.06 Multi-cropped Pasture 23.20% 1 30-Jul 14-Aug 16 900 7115.44 2 15-Aug 5-Sep 22 900 1800 20.66 Multi-cropped Oil seeds 1.30% 1 8-Aug 19-Aug 12 1050 398.71 2 20-Aug 29-Aug 10 750 1800 1.16 Total 294.04 ----------------------------------------------------------------__-----------__---------------- Spring Irrig. * 23.80% 1 16-Mar 10-Apr 26 1500 1500 Autumn/winter Irrigation 51.80% 1 26-Sep 10-Nov 46 1800 1800 r 10. u 10 iL. > > LI)o Hua Hai Irrigation Area (10,670 he) Crop/ Cropping Irrigation Irrigation Period No. of Irrig. Water Requirements Gross Irrig. Area (ha) ratio Sequence Start End Days Norm Total Volume @ cu.m/ha cu.m/ha 62% Efficiency (mcm) Wheat 52% R1 1 -Oct 5-Nov 37 1800 5548.4 2 1-May 15-May 15 825 3 16-May 30-May 15 750 4 31-May 17-Jun 18 975 5 18-Jun 5-Jul 18 900 6 6-Jul 5-Jul 18 900 6150 55.04 Corn 8.00% 01 15-Mar 20-Apr 37 1500 853.6 2 10-Jun 24-Jun 15 900 3 1 -Jul 15-Jul 15 975 4 16-Jul 30-Jul 15 975 5 31-Jul 14-Aug 15 900 6 15-Aug 30-Aug 16 900 7 31-Aug 10-Sep 11 825 6975 9.60 Cotton 8.00% 1 15-Mar 20-Apr 37 1500 853.6 2 1-Jul 15-Jul 15 750 3 16-Jul 30-Jul 15 750 4 31-Jul 14-Aug 15 900 5 15-Aug 30-Aug 16 750 4650 6.40 Oil Seeds 4.00% 01 15-Mar 20-Apr 37 1500 426.8 2 31-May 9-Jun 10 975 3 24-Jun 30-Jun 6 900 4 6-Jul 20-Jul 15 825 5 21-Jul 5-Aug 16 900 5100 3.51 MelonsNeg. 4.00% *1 15-Mar 20-Apr 37 1500 1 426.8 2 16-May 30-May 15 750 m p 3 18-Jun 30-Jun 13 900 4 24-Jul 5-Aug 13 975 X 5 6-Aug 19-Aug 14 975 6 20-Aug 30-Aug 11 900 7 31-Aug 10-Sep 11 750 6750 4.65 Crop/ Cropping Irrigation Irrigation Period No. of Crop Water Requirements Gross Irrig. Area (ha) ratio Sequence Start End Days Norm Total Volume @ cu.m/ha cu.m/ha 62% Efficiency (mcm) Forest areas 13.00% 1 11-May 25-May 15 750 1387.1 2 31-May 18-Jun 18 750 3 24-Jul 5-Aug 13 750 4 20-Aug 30-Sep 11 750 3000 6.71 Pasture 11.00% 1 16-May 30-May 15 750 1173.7 2 18-Jun 5-Jul 18 750 3 6-Aug 19-Aug 14 900 4 31-Aug 10-Sep 11 900 3300 6.25 Multi-cropped Pasture 20.00% 1 6-Aug 20-Aug 15 900 2134 2 21-Aug 5-Sep 16 1050 1950 6.71 Total 98.87 -__ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0__ - _ Spring Irrigation 24% 1 15-Mar 20-Apr 37 1500 1500 Autumn/winter Irrigation 52% 1 1 -Oct 5-Nov 37 1800 1800 (D m rti J H GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT - SETTLEMENT COMPONENT Demographic and Soclo-econonic Indicators Comparliaon between Province, Project Aroe and Emigrating Counties Province/ | <--- Populatin > 'Agri. Population Project Area/ Total Annual Minority As % of Density No. of As % of I University High Sch. Sec. Sch. Prkmary Total llherate/ Emigrating Counties 1 990 increase Population 1990 total per sq.m. j Persons Total Pop. a a levels sernilit. Imin. 1982-90 ('0001 (%) (person ( min.) 1%l Iper '000) (per '0001 (per '000) Iper '000) (per '000) (per '000) (per I 000) I I lGansuProvince I 22.37 16.87 1856.2 8.3 49.3 I 18.59 82.5 I 11 78.3 168.5 291.3 549.1 279.3 |Project Area I Yumen City I 0.194 6.05 2.4 1.2 14.4 I 0.081 45.9 24.6 179.9 299.6 289.6 793.6 109 Anxi County I 0.074 0.14 0.5 0.6 3.1 I 0.055 75.3 I 6.9 124.5 247.8 323.2 702.4 171.6 Total/OveraN I 0.268 4.39 2.9 1.1 7.1 I 0.136 54.4 I 19.7 164.7 285.4 298.7 768.5 125.5 Emlrating Counties | I I.I Jinhn 0.413 14.1 0.9 0.2 188.2 0.401 96.3 I 2.5 46 119 277.6 445.1 383.7 r I I I O0 Yongjing I 0.188 14.96 25 13.3 100.8 I 0.164 87.5 I 6.7 53.9 149.3 310.2 520.1 294 1 I I I Dongxban | 0.223 22.03 189.9 85.2 147.7 I 0.22 97.7 | 1 17.6 33.8 93.4 145.8 541.1 Jishishan I 0.194 17.29 101.4 52.1 213.6 I 0.189 96.9 I 1.4 21.4 56.5 53.6 132.9 514.9 LInxI | 0.317 14.8 125.1 39.5 261.7 I 0.312 95 | 1 34.7 96.4 208.3 340.4 433.4 Hezheng | 0.164 18.25 93.3 57.1 170.4 I 0.159 96.2 | 1.6 32.2 91 59.1 173.9 478.7 Zhouqi | 0.116 13.62 37.5 32.2 39 I 0.107 91 | 2.7 39.7 94.3 57.3 194 486.9 Lintang I 0.131 11.48 35.8 27.3 91.4 0.124 93.7 | 2.2 38.2 84.2 88 213.6 477.8 Wudu | 0.471 13.41 12.9 2.7 100.6 I 0.454 96.4 j 4.6 39.7 92.2 213.5 350 456.1 : Jinchang | 0.266 12.6 7.1 2.7 237.8 f 0.26 97.4 I 1.4 28.6 56.4 152.4 238.8 538.6 X Min 0.393 11.74 12.5 3.2 109.9 I 0.371 93.9 | 1.8 29.8 80.9 165 277.5 498.7 Total/Overall I 2.876 14.45 641.4 22.3 128.2 I 2.761 96.5 I 2.5 35.8 87.5 196.4 322.2 460.1 GANSU HE10 CORRIDOR Demograplc and Socdo- between Province. Projb Province/ - < -Agriculturai Inputs and Productivity- - > ------Land with Slopes--------> Project Area/ j Agric. Fertilizer Grain Grain Net agri. I Less than 15 to 25 Greater Emigrating Counties I mechani- Appin. Yields prodn. income j 15 deg. degrees than zation per labor per labor I 25 deg. | Iwatt/mu) 1kg/mu) (kg/mu) (kg/mu) (Yuan) | (%1 1%) 1%) |Gansu Province I 1089.4 23.5 159 1005 935 I |ProJect Area Yumen City I 3261.3 40.6 397 2831 2210 100 0 0 Anxl County I 2505 45.4 384 3342 2409 I 100 0 0 Total/Overall I 2927.6 42.8 391 3035 2289 I 100 0 0 |Emigrating Counties | Jinin ) 334.1 16.4 109 784 589 I 81.15 18.06 0.79 I_ Yongjing 2409.5 15 148 913 645 | 63.03 32 4.97 1 Dongxian 1106 20.9 169 612 320 I 56.48 34.48 9.04 Jishishan I 842.1 20 169 612 320 | 75.98 4 20.02 Linxia I 1417.5 19.9 232 790 704 | 80.78 17.44 1.78 Hezheng | 1049.7 15.4 185 700 483 40 57 3 Zhouqi 677.6 4.4 99 345 355 21 66 13 Linteng I 797 4.4 99 345 355 I 44.6 45.8 9.6 P Wudu I 986 25.5 114 454 556 I 77.5 13.42 9.08 P >C Jinchang 453.6 15.2 121 445 642 I 29.82 25.56 43.62 X Min 375.6 5.5 130 393 428 I 41.18 41.18 17.64 Total/Overall I 793.9 15.5 134 587 538 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR DemogragNi en Sodo- betwee Proebce, Profs Province/ <.44eath Amenlties-- > <--------Economic Development- -> Project Aree/ Heafth ctrs. Heiath workers Beds for Petients Industrial Agric. T&V Enter. Net Agric. Grain Cultivated I Emigrating Counties clinics, etc Persons Nos. j Output Output Outpout income production lind INo3.) INose. (per '000) INos.l Iper '000) per capita per capita per capite per cphet per capita per capita | IY) IY IY) (IY ' (Kg) Imu) j |GenwProu he | 4186 69050 3.1 47346 2.2 1236.5 457.2 287.9 430 307 2.8 tPmict Are Yumen City 42 1000 5.2 714 3.7 I 3668.5 298.8 344.5 916 442 3.7 I AnxiCounty 24 223 3.1 194 2.7 486.9 618.1 477 926 914 4 I TotallOveral 66 1223 4.6 908 3.4 I 2792.7 386.5 380.9 920 572 3.7 I I I itEmig-thggCounties I I Jinin 44 511 1.3 371 0.9 114 209.8 146.5 310 315 3.8 | I I Yonaing 31- 607 2.7 402 2.2 I 273.8 120.9 322.4 293 241 2.1 I Dongxian 28 127 0.6 110 0.5 9.6 130.7 175.3 233 209 1.7 I Jishlhan 22 140 0.7 121 0.6 I 7.8 148.9 93.2 223 217 1.5 Lhixis 26 227 0.7 169 0.6 I 35.7 202.1 208.4 286 274 1.3 I Hezheng 19 190 1.2 282 1.8 I 47.7 169.7 214.9 285 243 1.5 I Zhouql 39 389 2.7 t85 t.6 115.7 142.8 55.8 279 155 1.5 I I I Lintang 23 213 1.7 120 0.9 42 157.9 92.4 275 191 2.2 Wudu 80 1291 2.8 962 2.1 I 84.3 206.5 108.3 322 196 1.6 i Jinchang 37 399 1.5 290 1.1 5 56.2 274.5 93.1 274 187 1.7 | Min 47 515 1.3 372 1 56.3 168.9 71.5 248 178 1.7 | Total/Overall 396 4509 2 3384 1.4 I 75.5 185.4 139.8 280 222 2 Typical design of Afforestation in project area ee Type I 0dr Slclwed kinds Proporation Density Digging pit Afforostatlon ol Type otindls Sel etedkns ot bid the distance Sapling rl i unud wp iretli drdRabisin stete Remarks of land of forest of treets of laces between rows (as) sossbr bea of 11'ex bc distan Sapling style time stAndad way, rime sapling oltnarad Second white poplar, Mao Edg shelter Tiao and arbor l. 5x2 3330 arbor:40X60 Continued three years in wbich respectively forest belts Zhang Zi buosh:l X2 4995 pit bushn (deep) plantag ASpurn 2 years growcd I gtade sapling loosen the soD hoe up weeds I tine in each pine, red wit- boshi:401X 0 sapling0100 year,yeartly watering 1-2 slites. low Hu poplar. abrO6 Continued three years,in which respetdielY 2 IV gorestbelts red w-low or 6 4 ubos:l. X2 333 pit autumn (deep) planting Spring 2 years growed I grade sapling loosen the sol hoe up weeds I ime in ch 3 1 forest belts whbitAe ir 10 bush, I.5X2 13995 bush:40X40 sapling apir2m year ,yeasty watering I1-2 tir *Hen tSIecot t bS Ir t r I nd 10 1- SX2 3330 40X 60 pl n ing Sprin 2-3 ytUs gr g sIn ti hre Years, in whch re- pating 3 rows 3 I trunk; shelter Second'30 itatun 40 X60 planting Spring 2-3 years growed I grade specsively loosen the soil, hoe up palogbttie fores5 belts white 10 .52 3330 pit utumn ep) sapling autumn sapling weeds I time in each year ,yearly wa- nlin both a poplar ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~tecing 1-2 times. : aa trunk shelter Xin Jiang 403(60 planting Spring 2-3 years growed I grade Continue4 three years. In which threecyers.c-n wich plantIngin 3 rows 0 riest bhelts pop anr g l I. 53( 3330 pit autumn 4sX60 pl,ihna Sprinl 2-3 years growed I grad tie loosen the oil, hoc up slongt both sides or~~~st belLS poplar W~~~~~~~~(eep) sapling autumn sapling weeds I time in each ycar,yeorly wa- of canal teringI 1-2 limes. main - Secard white 4OX60 planift Spring 2 - 3 years Stowed I grade ~~~~~Continued three year,in which respeclls'ry Planting 2 rows A- 1 1 O,i sheliet ec ord w it 10 ISX 2 3330 pit au l1 w p a i ng S pr n 2 - 3 ye ar g o we c gr ade up w e td I lim e in c ads long bo th sid es Of tFs s Jagpoplar ar Xi O 15( 30 ptolnn (deep) saplias autoumn sapling year ,yearly watering 1-2 litims. C 6 g Vice - shelite Second while 40x6O pAtn pit 2-3y sgoe rd Continued three years,in which respecivoly plantuing I rows a- forest belts poplar or Xini II 1. 5 1665 pit autumn 6 plnigSrg 2-3yesgawdIrde loosen the soil ,hot up weest I time in eo* log both sides of Jiang poplar (deep) saplin auitumn saplinkg Yeryal watering 1-2 tiumes anl Protectios rOOd Second white 1 15X330403X60 planting Spring 2 - 3 years growSd I grade Continued three years .ln whirl respectively planting 2 rowl a- 10 forest belts popla 0 I 32 33 pit atutumn (tp saln m aligloqsen the soii,hoeaupweedslItime in eac long both sides of f m yeor.y:aray watering 1-2 times l canal R - Source: Gansu's eProject Feasibility Study Report - OCtober 1995it - 210 - ANNEX I Appendix 6 Sheet 1 of 7 Canal Linina Gansu's Experience in Canal Lining 1. Located in northwest China, Gansu has a dry and cold climate. The Project area in Hexi Corridor has annual average rainfall of 47 - 160 mm, evaporation of 2,000 - 3,050 mm, average monthly low temperature of -8.1 to - 16.7 degree C, with absolute low temperature of -24 to -29.3 degree C. The ground freezing depth ranges from 0.8 to 1.8 meters. Therefore, canal lining works for preventing seepage and their damages by frost heave during winter are of particular importance in Gansu. In this respect Gansu has accumulated considerable years of successful experience. Types of canal lining, based on materials to be used, are as follows: (a) dry stone blocks (b) block in cement pitching (conglomerates or cut stone blocks) (c) concrete (precast and in-situ) (d) plastic membrane The type of canal lining used depends on the availability of local materials, swelling characteristics of the base soil materials, water table level, and flow velocity in canals. Canal lining cross-sections are mostly stepped trapezoidal and also some with parabolic base, vertical sides, and U-shaped. Cross-sections with parabolic base and U-Shaped are more resistant to frost heave caused by swelling of soil. But U-shaped sections are generally of precast concrete units or cast in-situ concrete, mostly used on smaller canals below branch canal with lower flow velocity. Dry Block Conglomerate Lining: Mainly used in areas where local conglomerate stones are available at site. Roughness factor is about 0.0275 to 0.03. Lining thickness is less than 20 cm and can stand up to velocity of 3 m/sec. Although economic but less effective in seepage prevention, averaging with 2.6% per km canal seepage losses. Cut Blocks in Cement Pitching: The roughness factor is about 0.0275 and lining can stand flow velocity up to 4 m/sec. Resist frost heave better than concrete lining. Concrete Lining: This is the main type of lining used in Gansu. It has been extensively used in mid- and down-stream areas of Shule River and Hedong Loess Area where conglomerate stones are scarce. Due to difficulty in repairing cracks of in-situ concrete lining caused by frost heave, more precast concrete linings have been used instead. Seepage loss is about 0.4% per km canal with seepage rate of 0.12 to 0.14 cu.m./m2/day. I Condensed and translated from a technical paper prepared by Gansu Design Institute. ANNEX I - 211 - Appendix 6 Sheet 2 of 7 Polyvinal Plastic Membrane: There two methods of use. First, the membrane is used together with concrete lining. The concrete panels prevent scouring and damages to plastic membranes and its ageing through weathering. This method is used mostly on canals with larger flow velocity. Second, the membrane is covered with a layer of protective soil or gravel. This method can only be used in area with high water table and low velocity flow in canal (generally less than 1 m/sec). Seepage prevention by plastic membrane is effective with seepage losses at 0.01' per km canal or seepage rate of 0.12 to 0.14 cu.m./m2/day. Frost Heave Prevention Measures 2. Based on Gansu's several years of experiment and operation experience, the main method is to replace the silty or clayey sub-soil supporting canal linings with a more sandy and gravely soil materials. The thickness of sub-soil replacement layer depends on natural site conditions. In areas with lower water table, thin layer of light soil with sandy gravel soil beneath, the thickness of sub-soil replacement layer, including the thickness of concrete lining, should be not less than half of the maximum freezing depth. This would basically eliminate damages caused by frost heave. In areas with higher water table, canal bed with clayey or heavy loam soils, the thickness of replacement layer should be 70% to 80% of the maximum freezing depth to be effective against frost heave. Proposed Canal Lining for Gansu Hexi Corridor (Shule River) Project 3. Gansu Hexi Corridor (Shule River) Project will cover 98,200 ha of irrigated land in Changma, Shuangta and Huahai Irrigation Areas. The canal system includes trunk, main, sub-main, branch, lateral, sub-lateral and field canals with varied soil conditions and water table levels. The maximum freezing depth also varies. Therefore, the types of canal lining described above will be encountered. The five types of canal lining proposed for the Hexi Project is further clarified below: (a) Type I: The canal bed is constructed with either in-situ or precast concrete with side slopes in precast concrete slabs or panels without sub-soil sandy gravel replacement layer. This type of canal lining is to be used for canals running over gravely soil and without the need for frost heave prevention, and with flow velocity less than 3.5 m/sec. The precast units can be mass produced and installed with flexibility in work schedule. The Type I lining will be used mostly on the branch canals of the New West Main Canal and the connecting canals to the Old West main Canal in Changma Irrigation Area, most of the Xihu sub-main canals, and the first 4.6 km of the Sub-main Canal No. 1 of the Changma Trunk Canal. (b) Type II: The canal bed and slopes will be constructed with in-situ concrete without the sub-soil replacement layer. This type of lining is to be used in area with sandy/gravely soils with no frost heave conditions. It can stand up to flow velocity of 3.5 to 5.0 m/sec. This type of lining is structurally good with little seepage losses, but less flexible in construction scheduling than Type I. It will used mainly on improvement of - 212 - ANNEX I Aopendix 6 Sheet 3 of 7 the Changma Trunk Canal, Changma New West Canal, Sandaoguo Conveyance Canal, and others. (c) Type III: The canal bed is laid with block pitching and side slopes with precast concrete units with 40 cm of sub-soil replacement layer. This type of lining is used on canals with steeper gradient, higher flow velocity, higher degree of material movement and scouring due to soil upheaval. The block pitching is generally 25 to 30 cm and side slope precast units of 8 cm thickness. The sub-soil replacement layer will depend on the soil upheaval characteristics, freezing depth, sub-soil conditions, and cross-section of canals. This type of lining will be used at the end stretch of the Changma East Main Canal and the upper stretch of Huahai Trunk Canal (Ch. 7+750 and above). (d) Tvye IV: The canal bed is laid with in-situ concrete with side slopes in precast concrete units of 8 cm (6 cm for branch canals), with sub- soil replacement layer of sandy/gravely soil of 60 to 80 cm thick. This type of lining is used for canals with flow velocity up to 3.5 m/sec and higher degree of frost heave is expected. It will be used for Changma North Main Canal, Anxi North and South Main Canals, and part of Xihu Sub-main Canal Improvement. (e) Tvye V: This type uses plastic membrane of 0.18 to 0.2 mm and a cover protective soil layer. The soil protective layer consists of a top layer 40 to 50 cm of gravel and a bottom layer of loam soil. This type of lining is suitable for canals with severe frost heave, flatter gradient and lower flow velocity. For higher flow velocity, the top protective layer will need to be protected by a layer of coarser gravely materials to prevent scouring of the protective layer. This type of lining will be used in the new stretch of the Anxi North Main Canal, Changma North Sub-main Canal, and middle stretch of the existing Changma East main Canal, and branch canals with low flow velocity. Typical Designs 4. The five typical designs proposed and their respective estimated construction cost is summarized in the attached technical characteristics table. Construction, Operation and Maintenance 5. It is important to consider the following: (a) In-situ concrete-lined canals are difficult to maintain and repair after damaged. Therefore, its quality of construction for the foundation base and in-situ concrete should be high to avoid deformation and consequent frost heave damages. (b) For precast concrete-lined canals, the high quality of precast concrete units should be ensured and the mortar jointing should be tight and firm to prevent cracking and falling of the jointing materials, leading to -213 - ANNEX I Appendix 6 Sheet 4 of 7 seepage. The seepage water will carry clayey soil materials and contaminate the sub-soil sandy/gravely replacement layer, thereby inducing frost heave of the replacement layer and causing damages to the lining. (c) Expansion/contraction joints should be properly constructed, otherwise seepage will lead to contamination of the replacement layer and its subsequent frost heave. (d) The clayey soil content of the sandy/gravely sub-soil replacement layer should confirm to design specifications, otherwise the replacement layers will not achieve its swelling/upheaval prevention functions. (e) All canals with linings should stop operation before freezing to prevent damages by icing action. (f) All canals with linings should be inspected according to timed schedule and repaired in time to avoid major problems occurring. CANLING.XLS GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECTI Tvii Desiens of Canal Ifning and Construction Cost Type of Lining Canal to be used | SoUl Conditions Designed Canal Side Designed Lhning cUes Replacement Cost of Remauks Flow Depth Slope Velocity Base Side Layer Lining ________________ mun3/sec m ni/sec cm cm cm Y/m \a _ _pe I Changma East M.C. Sandy/gravel base In-situ and/or relaigmnent iront soiL no swelling 7.0 - 7.1 1.9 - 2.4 1.25 1.43 - 1.92 10 8 None 252 precast concrete stretch expected_ without sub-soil Ch inm Trunk replacement layer Sub-M.C. Topportion same as above 2.4 - 2.9 1.17 -1.22 1.25 <3.0 8 8 None 150 4.59 km Changma New West MC Sub-main canals _ and connecting sub- same as above 2.0 - 3.7 1.1 1.25 <3.0 8 8 None rmain canals to existing _ _____e_II __Changma Trunk Canal Gravel and conglo- _ _ Add in-situ concrete In-situ concrete Improvement strtch merate, low waler 35 2.6 1.25 3.7 10 10 onto existing cong- withour sub-soil table level loMterate lining. replacement layer Changa New West Gravel and MainCanal cmngonrates 39 - 48 1.3 - 3.2 1.5 1.8 - 4.95 12 10 223 - 474 T jefIll Changma East M.C. Fine loam soil with Block pitchmg to end stretcb sandy gravel under, 2.1 1.4 1.25 1.35 - 1.84 30 8 50 - 70 476 base and slopes in block stone avail. _ atconcrete, Huahai Trunk cnaL Stony soiL broken with sub-soil above Ch7+750 km stone quarry nearby 9.4 2 1.25 2.1 - 3.45 30 30 30 592 replacement layer Tvpe IV Changma West MC lBase in situ or pc sub-main canals Fine loam soid 2.0 - 3.7 1.1 1.5 <3.0 8 8 40 - 60 concrete, slopes in Changna North MC pc conc., with sub- improvemet stetlch Fine loam soil 2.6 - 5.1 1.4 - 1.55 15 1. 24 - 1.4 8 8 50 - 70 443 soil replacement Anxd Norlh MC Alluvial deposit of Itn_ _ _ _ layers improvement stretch snad, gravel and 6.3 - 25 1.8 - 2.7 1.5 1.93 - 2.27 8 8 60 - 70 599 d r Z soil (10%) __ _o X Anxi South M.C. Soil with broken 4 ___ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Ul ' I H itnprovement stretch stone and gypsum, - ____ __X X I0% soil and low 6.8 - 7.91 1.6 - 1.8 1.5 1.55 - 2.09 8 8 50 - 60 o water table '7m I Huahai New Trunk Soil with broken Canal, afiter Ch 7+750 stone 5.9 1.5 1.25 2.43 - 3.53 8j 8 50 Tpe V Anxi North M.C. Fine clay and loam, i____ Plastic membrane new construction high water table, 3.4-6.3 -5-1 91 1 751 1.32 Membrane 0.2 mm 50 278 Slope is 1:0.75 where with protective g Bravel soil beneath _ _ _ _ _ [ |membrane is buried cover layer Changma North M.C. Top layer of fine _ - -1 j I sub-nain canal |loaTi, bottom layer | tI IIIIII of fine clay, high 1.3-2.75 1.4- 1.6 1.75 0.8-0.93 Membrane0.18mm | 50 211 Slope is 1:0.75 where j |______________ watertable I _ j j - i I_ membrane is buried \a: Cost is for lini on1y, excluding earthwork costs in excavation and backfilling. 4 Pa _11 I _-___ ANNEX I Appendix 6 Sheet 6 of 7 '; \ R~~~~~~C. SZcS gs F z£*~~~~~~~~~~~~~~/t coWCS Id L - -. 04' Ae 40t"-SItrV 4cM#Vr iM-3'F C P or 'C. Alf~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~l I ~SAIYI~ rrm"IL o- ~Oc~v~A44Y "LOCAf p7CA,w- a £C7 )- C. I44&5 &,V 4 -AA OP A 4l_fl"A-MW ANNEX I 216 Appendix 6 Sheet 7 of 7 P.4,m~V4 aj'h~ ~. 9R. g . §*~ ft5i#tm ct #$Vc,M4^< & v -4ffiffi- < g P44*7'- T YP IIA a B = S {3=/ze ^ dff r7 eW /E oJZ SIc(ov <6rf3oGX ,~&iZ/h -- H t~~~ - 217 - ANNEX 3 Selected Documents and Data Available in Project File 1. Feasibility Report for Gansu Hexi Corridor Project (Revised: August 1995) 2. Implementation Plan for Gansu Hexi Corridor Project (December 1995) 3. Report on In-Migration Settlement and Appendix (October 1995) 4. Resettlement Action Plan & Appendix for Changma Reservoir (October 1995) 5. Integrated Training Plan for New Migrant Farmers (October 1995) 6. Feasibility Report on Livestock Development and Production (Revised: 7. Feasibility Report on Crop Production and Support Services (June 1995) 8. Feasibility Report on Afforestation (June 1995) 9. Main Report: Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) (June 1995) 10. Summary Report: Environmental Impact Assessment (EIS) (June 1995) 11. Environmental Action Plan (EAP) (August 1995) 12. Feasibility Report on Irrigation and Drainage Vol. I & II (June 1992) 13. Changma Reservoir Water Balance Simulation Study (May 1995) 14. Dam Safety Panel Report (April 1995) 15. Dam Break Analyses for Changma Reseervoir and Chejinxia Reservoir (September 1995) 16. Project Cost Estimates Tables (compiled with COSTAB program) 17. Project Financial and Economic Analysis Tables (compiled by FARMOD program) I -4 4i a.nJI 2,stt JOf aS Ue a A_1 -j lAIFe-s1 da-. &a,p.a j S lu.n.,sl .a.ad an_ *aqj AIIeJIV *_ katrits -asllF ti do' bX-*S@ l*st / - _ --Od tl_-Ww a^ 1-i1el jl5- $]w ..,*a, to*fl *ttd o.j.Jattqs dab ~ I 11 -5 kJp. AO' U994 ;a )*ttn 1A s tSaCZt aooaa do ae" I 33 luar Ulilm) It 1g1 t0t01/'9Ot 0069 1A EU/d_ees Ipl ral=lFl It *attoddn 30 ftt-lSA *btJflA &we *fltdS t*1305 *Aflntitttiut lot tCtSl siteB jaoj 9 t.99o*.eJ so.4 .tetsAl tto3,AI'3 a, j'oB a,;lUs t.oadaU ¶ ttuautOS 9 bultJ,3 09q Otl_- ;jbv 9 t] lus-in ttaat.1 ,atptq ha 'texu tot tr ettut oH > @ | AlB_4 'AOEP | |~~~~~~~~~ dsna 0agata6 Uld' |e0 30 I93004 1OA 193 lM |n090D Oa.aaaor Aq V-a"0-3 0 tt to tn tya lt |030t * trie aetto. Ia bOtb 1Z w w sPaumbn ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ b 1 ss t -l e uWMd co~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~xN"id 1H11 - 219 - Chart 2 GANSU HExI CORRIDOR PROJJECT Organization Chart for Emigration and Land Settlement Management Gansu World Bank Projects Implementation Commission (GWBPIC) Settlement Advisory & Shule River Project Local Govt. Consultation CoordinationCo t ................ . .Managemnet Bureau (PMB) .. Group (LGCG) (SACC) -Settlement & Social -Jiuquan Prefecture Govt. Lanzhou University -Pra. Civil Affairs Bureu Admin. a Personel -Yumen City Govt. -Finance & Budget -1xi County Govt. -Engineering Conatrn. -Yumen Township Govt. Prev. Poverty Allev. Offe Prov. State Farma Bureau -Procurement & Supplies mine State Farm -1Monitoring & Evaluation uanghua State Farm -Lanzhou Rep. Office iaowan State Farm uanghUa State Farm -Agr-Sco. Prodn. & Dev. ~~igMa State Farm -duhi State Farm |Jiuquan Profscru Got ixa Prefcueoot -xmnCity Govt. -~ogigCuty Govt. -SxiCounty Govt. -ogiang County Govt. ishisha County Govt. iaCotGvhan County Govt. |Gananl Prefecture Govt. P cepu rofcue ot nCounty Govt. a xin Cuty Govt. zuCounty Govt. -1auCounty Govt. -Dnchang County Gcovt. [Dingxi Prefectr: S¢t.[q thizAfars :C:-mi..i]n 4 inxian County Gavt. Note: At each emigrating county are: (a) County Emigration & Settlement Com. asaited by the County Settlment Office, (b) Tovnahip/Village Emigration Committ - 220 - Shule River Basin Water Resources Management Bureau Chart 3 Organization Chart Shule River Basin Water Resources Mlgm't Bureau (Total Staff: 1250) Changma I. A. Div.ion Headquarters Office Hu hai I. A. Division ahtot I. A. Division at Yumen Township at Yumen Township in Hu hai Townhip *t Anxi Couty (Staff: 332) (Staff: 653) (Staff: 80 (Staff: 105) [Trrunk Canal O&M Office Canal OSM Office Canal 01OK Office I-west Mlain Canal 0114 Off. Water lava Division Irrig Research & Extens. at Main Canal 0SM Of f outh Main Canal OSM Off. L-East Main Canal Off fat/North MC O&M Off orth Main Canal OM Off. 'North Main Canal O0M Off. ihu Area Oim Office Salinized Soil Improvesmt -rrig. Exp. Station Irrig. O&M Research Monitoring & Evaluation Engineering Mgm't Div. K vironmental monitoring lectricity Supply Maint. Settlement monitoring oesunication Maintenance -rrig. Works Maintenance |Economic Enterprises Div. O | peration Monitoring, |Simulation & Dispatch Anti Flood/Draught Office L Rt MoTiitoring Center |General Admin Divimion| lParty/Public Realtion Off |-Labor and Wages |-Party Liaison Committee -Personnel Affairs --Worker Association General Administration -Unity Coemission Welfare i Benefit Affairs -Federation of Women Hydroelectric Division Security Sub-bureau K et Main Canal Station Dam Main Station angin Reservoir Station Planning/Finance Division mReervoir Magement Div. H ngma Reservoir huangta Reservoir -einxia Reservoir - 221 - 00 Chart 4 T~~~~~~~~~~~ Li < 3 g~~~~~~ mm,, mm 1:! 'T r g ] |~~ 1 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT 1996 1997 199 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ID Task Name Q41Q1 IQ21Q3jQ4Q1 1Q2iQ31Q41Q11Q2jQ3041Q1Q21Q30Q40Q1a213Q41 21Q31Q41Q 0Q2Q3Q41 234 1Q2)304Q104 20304 1 CHANGMA DAM 2 Changrna Reservoir 3 Temporary works 4 Silt flushing tunnel Main embankment - 6 Spillway 7 Intake tunnel for hydr 8 Other permnanent wor 9 Reservoir Resettlernent 10 11 IRRIGATION AREAS DEV, 12 Chargm Inrig Area _ 13 Trunk canal improv/e Ii--m 14 West Main Canal 15 East Main/Sub-main _| 16 North main canal 17 Main/branch drains 1 18 Other Permanent Wo 19 On-farm works 20 Land levelling 21 Shuangta lrrig. Area _ m I CD 22 South main/Sub-mai ____I H Task Summary Roled Up Progress Date: 12/19/9 Progress RobdUp Task a Milestone Rolled Up Mlestone < 2 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ 1 1996 1| 19981999 i 2000 r 2001 r 2002 7 2003 r 2004 200$ - ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 01~~~199 00QQQ 20 4QI2Q~4IiQ 3~1Q~j40 20 ID Task Name ___ _C'2_ _-_____4 ___2_3 _ q 4 1___ __ _____4 Q IQ2 13 I__ _i_____44___ _ 23 North marniSub-main . 24 Xihu Sub-main Cana! _ 25 Main/Branch Drains 26 On-farm works 27 Land Levelling 28 ! Huahai Irrig. Area . . I I 29 New headworks 30 Trunk Canal externsio .. 31 West Main Canal 32 North main Canal - 33 East main Canal 34 Branch canals . 35 Main/Branrch Drains 36 Other permanent wor _ 37 On-farm Works - _ 38 Land Levelling . 1i i 39 I rrig. Mont.,Sirnualtion. 40 _ . 41 AGRI. SUPPORT SERVICES * i.qi 42 Anxi CATEC __C 43 Yumen CATEC ____ '-1 (D 44 Huahai CATEC . '|4 Task Summary Rolled Up Progress Dat: 12t19/95 Progress Roled Up Task Milestone Rolled Up Miltestone K) 3 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT _ _ 1 1996 11S997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 ID | Task Name ~ ~ 0 Q4|Q |Q21Q3IQ4I101IQ2lQ3lQ41QI IQ2lQ3IQ4lQl IQ2103IQ4lQl IQ2IQ3IQ4IQl1IQ2TQ3IQ1IQI3I4Q1QI3lQ4]Ql Q21Q3IQ1IQI3Q ID TakName 041Q0 412341234123400Q0000Q000Q 1234010l 20Q304 45 Township Extension Statio _ 46 Seed Company Upgrading 47 Township Agri-mach Stati 48 Fuel depots 49 Research & Expernments 50 51 AFF ORESTATION 52 Changma Irrig. Area 53 Mgm't Center S Stati 54 Nursery & fruit tree pl 55 Fueiwood forest . _ 56 On-farm windbreaks . _ 67 Shuangla lrrig. Area *-I 58 Mgm't Center & Stali I I 59 Nursery & fruit treepl ,.pi.n 60 Fuelvvood forest .. 61 On-farm windbreaks _ 62 Huahai Irrig. Area 63 Township Mgm't Stati I 64 On-larm windbreqak .__ 65 Orchard development 66 Environ. Protective Fore Task Summary Rolled Up Progress ! e: 1OuuR Rr Progress Rolled Up Task Milestone Rolled Up Milestone W 4 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT 1996 1997 1998 | 1999 | 2000 2001 2002 2003 | 2004 2006 ID Task Name Q4101 lQ20Q31040Q1 IQ2l031041Q1 IQ23Q43Q1 IQ20Q3lQ40Q1 0Q20Q30Q40Q1 0Q21Q31Q40Q1 0Q20Q30Q40Q10 Q20Q30Q4010 IQ2lQ3lQ401 0Q20Q30Q4 67 68 LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT I 69 Changrna Irrig. Area 70 Vel, service system 71 Breeding system 72 Forage processing 73 Commercial producti 74 Shuangta Irrig. Area _ 75 Vet service system . 76 Breeding system 77 Forage processing 78 Commercial producti I 79 Huahai Irrig. Area I I I 80 Vet service system 81 Breeding system _ 82 Forage processing 83 Commercial producti .4 86 ENVIRON. PROT/REHAB I 86 Monitoring & miigation __ _ 87 Rehab. of Emigration Area I m 82 fD~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~f 83 Task Summary Rolled Up Progress DB)SCMlRatle M1 R11OT Progress Roiled Up Task Miestone Roiled Up Milstone <2> . >~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~r 5 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT _ 1 1996 1 1997 1 1998 1 1999 2000 _ 2001 _ 2002 2003 2004 2005 ID Task Name Q401 2030401 Q2 34|1 0Q2-30Q4010Q 030010Q 2030Q40Q10IQ20304 02041 02 0E 89 LAND SETTLEMENT 90 Changma Irrig. Area 91 Zhahua 92 Tuhulu 93 Wangjiacao 94 Badaogou 95 Qiduntang 96 Daposhang S/F 97 Beishihe S/F 98 Bantang S/F . . .. .... _~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~.... .. .. ... 9 Banlang S/F h : ~~~~~~~~~. . . . . . .. . .:.: . . ... . :. ..... . .. . :::.. ::- 99 Shuangta Irrig. Area 100 Yanbohu - _- ------ -_-_-------_-_----- 101 Wujia huang = ..~~~~~~~~~~~........... .... ; ........ ..... . .. . .. ....... . ................ 101 Wujiazhuang ...... 102 Lianhu S/F . ....: . .: 103 Xiangyang ........ 104 Baiqibu~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ . ....... .. .. .::.:.:. :.. .::. :-.: .: . 104 Baiqibu- 105 Huahai Irrig. Area 106 Bijiatang 107 Kuantang 108 Dushangzi S/F __._C 109 l10 TRAINING & TECH. ASST Task Summary Rolbed Up Progrcss Date: 12/19/95 Progress Rolled Up Task Milestone Rolled Up Milestone <22 6 GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT 1996 1997 1993 | 1999 | 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ID Task Name 04Q01 Q02lQ3lQ401 IQ2103Q4010 IQ2lQ3lQ40Q41 022Q30401 Q203Q4 0102341Q2034102Q30Q401Q Q20Q30Q40QlQ21Q3104 111 Stafftraining&studytout - - - - - 112 Migrant training 113 Technical assistance . _ 114 116 ENGR. &PROJ. MANAGEME ____111______________ _ .- . . . . . .~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------ .~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~. Task Summary Robd Up Progress 0 Date: 12/19{95 /I?T ~~~~~Progress Roled Up Task a Mihstonle *Rolled Up Milestone <> o Estimated Disbursement Schedule 16 0 ......... ... . ...... . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . ... ........ . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . .. . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. ... . . . . . . . .. . . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . ......... .... . ... . . ......... 14 0 ..... ... . . ... .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . . . .. . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. ... .. .. .... .. .. .. ... . . . . . .. . . . . . : . . .. . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . 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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .. 1 2 0 . .... . .... ... . ............. .. .. ... ... .... ............... . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . : . . .. . . . . .. . . .. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . .. .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . .. . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . . .. . .. . . . . . .. . .. .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . .. .. . .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . .. . . . . . . . . . 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Amt. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . .. . .. . .. . . .. . . .. . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . ................. ................ ......... .. ... .... .......... ................. .. ... ........ 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I.. ..... ........ 40 . . . .. .. . . . .. . . . . . .. . . . .. . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... ....... . . .. . . . . ... . .. . ... . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . ....... . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..... . . . . . . . .... . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . .. ... ........... ...... . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ......... .. . . .......... ................... .. . . . . .. . ... . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... ............ .. 00 20 . . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . . . . (D . .... ... .. .. .. .... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .... ....... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. ......... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . 0 ...... Jul-Dec 96 Jul-Dec 97 Jul-Dec 98 Jul-Dec 99 Jun-Dec 00 Jul-Dec 0 1 Jul-Dec 02 Jul-Dcc 03 Jul-Dec 04 Jtil-Dec 05 Calendar year IBRD 27591 -050 sc9c ' . ' \ / 50 CO - 010 c0o I i .s.Q= ju~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~T-tOel . ,~~~~~~~~~~ Shuang To Irrigolio9 Area 8 \ z Jx n \ h roO DoEo9ng t p oJ < 10 2 0 IQ 20 39/ 40 59 /ILOMETE TE.,~,@S hoolof So IIAhO d.om, t oo l ooy L- a _ B ... To... 8-ooF b.own oo.o Io..odo..oo.o.orn90 A. pL0.r oJ rh. wo,Id looL G.Bp / - x ,o4ot6 9Ke.101 450006 oEoo, 09505h -op.-.gao,e g .x 990 0 39 00 9 5X0 9930 0.;9 9990 Kx)0x -. RUSSIAN FEDERATIONZ C H I N A KAZAKSTAN f ) K A , GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT GENERAL LAYOUT OF IRRIGATION SYSTEM AND AREAS / h 0 N G 0 LI A NEW SETTLEMENT SITES R EXISTING HEADWORK . NEW IRRIGATION AREAS A EXISTING STATE FARMS - NEW HEADWORK --- EXISTING BRANCH CANALS NEW RESERVOIR FOREST BELTS - NEW TRUNK CANALS ° SELECTED TOWNS AND VILLAGES Area of Map B EIJING NEW MAIN CANALS e COUNTY IXIAN) HEADQUARTERS - . _ * ,'!IN --~NEW BRANCH CANALS * NATIONAL CAPITAL IINSET) * RESETTLEMENT AREA FOR RIVERS 1> CHANGMA RESERVOIR RELOCATEES - RAILROADS . \ o - EXISTING RESERVOIRS MAIN ROADS EXISTING IRRIGATION AREAS PROVINCE BOUNDARIES (INSET) - C EXISTING TRUNK CANALS - INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARIES IINSETI EXISTING MAIN CANALS A- 9- ISRD 27592 99 00 / 99 30 roI^0X *0 9930 99 *799 \r 9r0 °93R 13RD275 509 05/9 \ X00 ." X F.-_ ,4 x.h. onhpA _ = ^ -0 , 301 Cl 8~~~~~~~~S, G 9t*V F-. 7sh._/ Qa u511 bLX45<\ p t_lFb0|rniF ,on90~p -ongHu3roxj Wan; I.. j , > ** j VT ~ Rn ToY B S. ShongT9 * J I.. . .. ,-.F. ,~~~~~~~~~~S Gan Pn.. .- -NS .s,- . 9 L-9 .7.kZ5-n& -h F. / / .... HuoHoi Irr,aol,on Ar.HWag A 31 30 //W/....t30 O~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~~~hon To IrnoIa Aoo sxreas 0L OH< iaYp _. '0 0 02C gZI0 rh d- - .d ..r onr ,.dgl n d. -,ol sR31Us of . rhb o. oW P-k C H I N A Na, I A-. GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT .')M O N G O L I A NEW SETTLEMENTS (_(_ 'NEw SETTLFMENT SITES A EXISTING STATE FAPMS ._ INEw IRRIGATION AREAS 6 NATIONAL CAPITAL (INSETI)rc.fMo EJN -4NEW RESERVOIR RIVERS CBEJIN EXISTING RESERVOIRS RAILROADS ff EXISTING IRRIGATION AREAS MrAIN ROADS 1 SEECTED TOwNS AND VILLAGES PROVINCE BOUNDARIES (INSET) a COUNTY (XIAN4I HEADQUARTERS - INTERNTONAL BOUNDARIES llINSETn . Af1011 30 39 09 9069O9dA IBRD 27593 96IO MONGOLIA C H I N A /oUu~q, 1- __ - ~~'/~ ~'-\ GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR PROJECT OUT-MIGRATION COUNTIES FROM CENTRAL AND SOUTH GANSU *----.--ti]OUT MIGRATION COUNTIES XINJIANG >s\ 8 . roEIln o, L 'ize OUT-MIGRATION COUNTY HEADQUARTERS SELECTED CITIES AND TOWNS O - , PROVINCE CAPITAL J A J 9 ,_U A N * NATIONAL CAPITAL (INSET) IN. < . , EI Ml ON, G-OL g ... NATIONAL ROADS Pr ct Area Yumoro/ - - - PROVINCE ROADS D- \ Dund iBRD 27592 - _ RAILWAYS RIVERS 4. - J DSab.i Monggolza onto.- - - / - ---- PREFECTURE BOUNDARIES Aks.y Kozokn Zizhixion .- . ---_ PROVINCE BOUNDARIES S_-n Y_guro ' -- j -~--- > > X 9 ---- INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARIES (INSET) \ '->' :~~~~NGXIA SHAX an~~~~~~~~~~~~~u I SHANX QINGHAI 367> . tei2u t ,, \ - t -t.3 0 0o0 200 300 KILOMETERS T. xi-9Jovuo\ H QING N Th. .I-,on.., a domt,o,t, iond any odrbi,rontio- i t\Hesko.\ hrowon . map do. rotrnp otIhe port of Th. W ord tol 0- HI ' Gacn Xiji Goyon _ or ov.pmnoo. of sor booond-.s. Dongjo s HUIOIRO h 34,~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~.. \ g ~~~~ t ~RUSSIAN FED)ERATION /E__/t /~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~naln > 1._ t~tan°HrO -2ton 5 0 N G O I A L.qupvsNvq R In 4 . . > ~~~~~Area of map .~'7 ; oS__ n2o G~ N. ongpoc onIJIN; To Xi or r Th~~ *, on ,ga JGinQTU .- - . A - :. - -I _ I X. '0 _ -__ t -.A . , , . ,-C, ,/ _ N 9 - -- -G 1.A00 10- lot10 AFRhL I QQa I IMAGING Report No: 15163 CHA Type: SAR