81569 ENERGY EFFICIENT INLAND WATER TRANSPORT IN BANGLADESH ECORYS NEDERLAND BV ©2011 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet: www.worldbank.org E-mail: feedback@worldbank.org All rights reserved This volume is a product of the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this volume do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. 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CONSULTING SERVICES FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF MORE ENERGY EFFICIENT INLAND WATER TRANSPORT The Transport Research Support program is a joint World Bank/ DFID initiative focusing on emerging issues in the transport sector. Its goal is to generate knowledge in high priority areas of the transport sector and to disseminate to practitioners and decision-makers in developing countries. CONTENTS CONTENTS ........................................................................................... III ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ......................................................................VIII EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ......................................................................... X PART A: REVIEW OF EXISTING DATA ON ENERGY EFFICIENCY OF INLAND WATER TRANSPORT .............................................................. 15 1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 16 1.1 BACKGROUND TO THE STUDY ............................................................................. 16 1.2 OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE ....................................................................................... 17 1.3 STRUCTURE ..................................................................................................... 18 2 GLOBAL PERFORMANCE: IWT VERSUS OTHER MODES .................. 19 2.1 ENERGY EFFICIENCY OF TRANSPORT MODES .......................................................... 19 2.1.1 Energy Efficiency Measurement ...................................................................... 19 2.1.2 CO2 emissions as an indicator of energy efficiency........................................... 21 2.2 FACTORS OF INFLUENCE ON ENERGY EFFICIENCY .................................................... 25 2.2.1 Fuel costs ....................................................................................................... 25 2.2.2 Economies of scale ......................................................................................... 25 2.2.3 Logistical factors ............................................................................................ 25 2.2.4 Commodities involved .................................................................................... 26 2.3 IMPACT ON OVERALL TRANSPORT EMISSIONS .........................................................27 3 IWT PERFORMANCE IN VARIOUS COUNTRIES ................................ 30 3.1 ENERGY PERFORMANCE ..................................................................................... 30 3.2 FACTORS INFLUENCING CO2 EMISSIONS .............................................................. 30 4 BENCHMARK METHODOLOGY ....................................................... 37 4.1 ACTUAL EMISSIONS METHOD ............................................................................... 37 4.2 ‘DUTCH METHODOLOGY’ ................................................................................... 38 4.3 PRACTICALITIES OF VARIOUS METHODS ................................................................ 40 4.4 RECOMMENDED APPROACH ............................................................................... 42 PART B: REVIEW OF TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCES AND IMPROVEMENT TO INCREASE ENERGY EFFICIENCY OF IWT .......................................... 43 5 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 44 6 FUEL SAVINGS BY CONVENTIONAL MEANS ................................... 45 6.1 OPTIMIZATION OF IWT OPERATIONS ................................................................... 45 6.2 MINIMIZING THE HULL RESISTANCE ...................................................................... 47 6.3 PROPULSION METHOD AND STEERING SYSTEM EFFICIENCY .......................................51 6.3.1 Improving the propeller and stern section .........................................................53 6.3.2 Improving steering efficiency ...........................................................................53 6.3.3 Use of power and helm ................................................................................... 56 6.4 ADAPTATION OF THE WATERWAY ........................................................................ 58 iii 7 FUEL SAVINGS USING ADVANCED MEANS ..................................... 61 7.1 THE USE OF ALTERNATIVE FUELS ......................................................................... 61 7.2 ADVANCED LOW RESISTANCE SHIP DESIGN ............................................................ 64 7.3 ADVANCED HIGH-EFFICIENCY PROPULSION SYSTEMS .............................................. 64 7.4 NEW LOGISTICAL CONCEPTS ............................................................................... 65 7.5 CONCLUSION ON ADVANCED MEANS.................................................................... 67 8 CONCLUSIONS............................................................................... 68 PART C: FEASIBILITY OF A PILOT PROJECT TO CONVERT VESSEL ENGINES TO CNG ................................................................................. 70 9 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 71 10 FEASIBILITY METHODOLOGY ....................................................... 72 11 THE USE OF CNG FOR INLAND WATER TRANSPORT ..................... 74 11.1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................ 74 11.2 CNG EXPERIENCE IN SHIPPING ............................................................................ 74 11.3 FUEL STORAGE ................................................................................................. 76 12 EVALUATION ............................................................................... 78 12.1 STAGE/GATE 1 ANALYSIS: IDENTIFICATION ............................................................ 78 12.2 STAGE/GATE 2 ANALYSIS: DEFINITION .................................................................. 86 12.3 STAGE/GATE 3 ANALYSIS: EVALUATION ................................................................ 89 ANNEX 1. LIST OF WORKSHOP PARTICIPANTS .................................. 100 ANNEX 2: LIST OF INTERVIEWS.......................................................... 101 ANNEX 3: CONVERSION FACTORS ..................................................... 102 ANNEX 4: OVERVIEW OF IWT R&D PROJECTS .................................... 103 REFERENCES ..................................................................................... 110 INTERNET LINKS ............................................................................... 113 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ................................................................... 114 LIST OF TABLES Table S.1 Assessment of fuel efficiency improvement means .......................................................... xiii Table 1.1 Worldwide CO2 emissions from transport ........................................................................ 16 Table 1.2 Shares in worldwide CO2 emissions from transport ........................................................... 17 Table 2.1 Energy consumption of various modes of transport .......................................................... 20 1 Table 2.2 Indication of worldwide transport size and share in ton-km in 2005 ..................................27 Table 2.3 IWT freight growth in selected countries (billion ton-km) ................................................. 28 Table 3.1 Emissions per ton/km in IWT in various countries ............................................................. 30 Table 3.2 Fuel consumption for different ship sizes ........................................................................... 31 Table 3.3 Breakdown of inland shipping fleet in 2008 in type of vessel (BAN = 2007) ....................... 32 iv Table 3.4 Share in size based on number of vessels in 2008 (FR, BAN = 2007) .................................. 32 Table 3.5 Share in total capacity in 2008 (‘000 tons) (FR, BAN = 2007) ..............................................33 Table 4.1 Parameters for measurement of energy efficiency and consumption ................................ 37 Table 4.2: Variables formula (4.) [Klein et al., 2009] .......................................................................... 40 Table 6.1 Comparison of price per mega joule between gas oil and EN 590 ..................................... 61 Table 7.1 Assessment of fuel efficiency improvement means .......................................................... 68 Table 11.1 Investment costs for CNG dual fuel system (in USD) ......................................................... 90 Table 11.2 Price difference between petro-diesel and CNG ............................................................... 92 1 Table 11.3 Fuel cost savings for pilot project when using CNG (in USD in market prices) ................. 92 Table 11.4 Economic Price difference between petro-diesel and CNG ............................................... 93 Table 11.5 Fuel cost savings for pilot project when using CNG (in USD in economic prices) 1 ............. 93 Table 11.6 Valuation of CO2 per ton in three different scenario’s (USD per ton) ................................ 93 Table 11.7 Results of Cost-benefit analysis (in ‘000 USD) (discount rate 12%) .................................... 94 Table 11.8 Outcome of various sensitivity analyses ........................................................................... 95 Table 11.9 Overview of CO2 emissions per fuel type.......................................................................... 96 Table 11.10 Financial evaluation (in ‘000 USD) (discount rate 12%) ..................................................... 98 Table 11.11 Outcome of various sensitivity analyses on the financial analysis ..................................... 98 LIST OF FIGURES Figure S.1 CO2 emissions including well to tank (g per ton-km) and pre- and end-haulage of freight transport in 2010 at long distances (> 150 km) in the Netherlands ...................................... x Figure 2- Energy content (in kWh), both volumetric and gravimetric, of different fuels ................... 20 Figure 2.3 Average CO2 emissions for selected transport modes in different countries (tank to wheel, excluding pre- and end-haulage) ...................................................................................... 22 Figure 2.4 CO2 emissions including well to tank (g per ton-km) of freight transport in 2010 at long distances (> 150 km) in the Netherlands, including pre- and end-haulage (well to tank and tank to exhaust) ............................................................................................................... 24 Figure 2.5 Modal split of transport for selected countries (shares in total ton-km)1 ........................... 28 Figure 3.1 Average increase in tonnage in the West European fleet ...................................................33 Figure 3.2 Dates of construction of the inland shipping fleet in Western Europe ............................... 34 Figure 3.3 Fuel consumption by engine age (in gram per kWh) ..........................................................35 v Figure 3.4 Evolution of share of empty trips by vessel type (1997-2006) ............................................ 36 Figure 5.1 Dumb barge with passive rudders for bow steering .......................................................... 46 Figure 5.2 Barge pushing sp vessel using its Articulated Barge System when sailing through a bend 47 Figure 5.3 Example of an inland freight vessel with a traditional bow ................................................ 48 Figure 5.4 Bow shape development of European barges ................................................................... 49 Figure 5.5 Barge convoy stability ...................................................................................................... 50 Figure 5.6 Schematic display of a propulsion plant .............................................................................51 Figure 5.7 Energy balance of a diesel engine ..................................................................................... 52 Figure 5.8 Energy balance of the propulsion plant............................................................................. 52 Figure 5.9 Propeller size with and without tunnel...............................................................................53 Figure 5.10 Example of a multiple rudder system on an inland vessel .................................................. 54 Figure 5.11 Lateral thrust of multiple rudder-vs single rudder ............................................................. 54 Figure 5.12 Lateral thrust of flap-rudder vs traditional rudder ............................................................. 55 Figure 5.13 Arrangement of a rudder propeller system with side guards ............................................. 56 Figure 5.14 Power versus ship speed in deep, shallow and restricted waters ........................................57 Figure 5.15 Hydraulic effects in width and/or depth restricted fairways .............................................. 59 Figure 5.16 Indication of navigable width by fixed posts vs buoys ....................................................... 60 Figure 6.1 Schematic display of a gas-diesel mixing and control unit for dual fuel usage ................... 63 Figure 6.2 Artist impression of a Q-barge truck with four barges....................................................... 65 Figure 6.3 Conceptual design of a mini-pushboat for the water truck system .................................... 66 Figure 6.4 Artist impression of the Water Truck system in operation ................................................ 66 Figure 9.1 Stage/Gate methodology for assessing the feasibility of converting IWT engines to CNG .72 Figure 10.1 Example of a mono-fuel CNG canal boat in Amsterdam ....................................................75 Figure 10.2 M.V. Klatawa in operation ................................................................................................ 76 Figure 10.3 40ft CNG cylinder unit, with four cylinders ........................................................................ 77 Figure 10.4 Multiple CNG cylinder unit ................................................................................................ 77 Figure 11.1 Stage/gate evaluation methodology: identification stage ................................................ 78 Figure 11.2 Path of Ferry crossing at Maowa during dry season (about 16 km) .................................... 81 Figure 11.3 Path of Ferry crossing at Paturia (about 6 km) .................................................................. 82 vi Figure 11.4 BIWTC ferry at Paturia ...................................................................................................... 82 Figure 11.5 Private operator passenger vessel routes. ........................................................................ 83 Figure 11.6 Stage/gate evaluation methodology: definition stage ...................................................... 86 Figure 11.7 Stage/gate evaluation methodology: evaluation stage ..................................................... 89 Figure 11.8 Comparison of annual tank-to-propeller CO2 emissions per propulsion type (tons) .......... 96 Figure 11.9 The Cleanest Ship, M/S Victoria .......................................................................................105 LIST OF BOXES Box 2.1 Methodology for calculating energy consumption of various modes of transport ............. 21 Box 2.2 Methodology for calculating average CO2 emissions for selected transport modes in different countries ............................................................................................................ 22 Box 2.3 Methodology for calculating well to tank emissions (g per ton-km) of freight transport ... 24 vii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The “Consulting services for the Development of more energy efficient inland water transport (IWT)” has been prepared for the World Bank Transport Anchor group (TWITR) in Washington which administers and manages the Transport Research Support Program (TRSP), a financing of DFID, Department for International Department of United Kingdom Government. The task team would like to acknowledge the timely support, help and guidance from Michel Audigé, the Sector Manager, Transport, South Asia Region. The task was lead by Jean-Noel Guillossou, Lead Transport Economist, Sustainable Department, Transport Unit, South Asia Region and Ishtiaque Ahmed, Transport Specialist of the World Bank Dhaka office, provided useful insight, direction and support on a large number of issues when needed. Special thanks go to Comfort Olatunji who provided administrative, editorial and logistics support during the preparation and finalization of this report. Quality and peer reviews were done both at the concept stage and final report stage by Messrs. John Allen Rogers, Consultant Environment Department, World Bank, Federico Querio, Climate Change Team, World Bank, Reynaldo Bench, Sr. Port Specialist, World Bank, and Nathaniel P. Adams, Consultant of the World Bank. The report was prepared by ECORYS Nederland BV, in association with Ecofys (Netherlands) and HB Consultants (Bangladesh). The ECORYS team was led by Mr. Johan Gille, and further consisted of Mr. Dick d’Arnaud and Mr. Jorrit Harmsen. Input from Ecofys was provided by Mr. Rob Winkel and Mr. Sikko Zoer, and from HB Consultants by Dr M. Ismail and Mr. Golam Moula Mollah. The work done by the consultants and the study recommendations were shared with key stakeholders from various agencies in Bangladesh. This report presents the findings of three activities and the contents are based on literature review, desk study and several interviews held within the Netherlands, and data collection, interviews and site visits in Bangladesh. viii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.1 EXISTING DATA ON ENERGY EFFICIENCY OF INLAND WATER TRANSPORT (IWT) Inland water transport is considered more energy efficient, emitting less CO 2 per ton-km performed, compared to transport modes like road or rail. Figure S.1 below shows the average emissions of IW transport as ranging from 25 gr CO2/ ton-km to 70 gr CO2/ ton-km. The variation depends on fleet structure, the age profiles of vessels and engines, and nautical and market conditions. Figure S.1 CO2 emissions including well to tank (g per ton -km) and pre- and end-haulage of freight transport in 2010 at long distances (> 150 km) in the Netherlands Source: CE Delft (2008) The IW sector is able to ship more tons per km with greater fuel efficiency than other modes due to its inherent economy of scale. This benefits the climate, and makes the sector more cost-efficient than other modes. Various factors explain the variation of energy performance of the different modes:  Fuel types: Energy sources, including fuel or electricity, vary depending on the mode of transport. x  Costs: Energy is a key contributor to transport costs and the type of energy used by each mode impacts on its financial attractiveness.  Efficiencies of scale: IW ships can take much larger payloads, thereby reducing fuel consumption and costs per ton.  Logistical factors: IWT requires pre- and end-haulage. It depends on a limited fairway network and includes empty kilometers, which have to be accounted for.  Commodities involved: Load capacity cannot always be used fully used when large cargoes (containers) are being shipped. Improving the energy efficiency of transport Many countries could still more fully exploit the potential of IWT. At the same time the modal share of road transport is increasing at the cost of IWT. There are various reasons for this. The advantages of other modes (speed of delivery, flexibility), limitations of infrastructure (water levels, bridge clearances, port access) and underdeveloped intermodal facilities (transshipment from IWT to truck for pre- and end-haulage) are among the main arguments shippers use to avoid IWT. The lower carbon footprint of IWT transport appears to be a less important factor in their cost-benefit calculations, also in the case of policy makers. Improving the energy performance of IWT itself Improved energy efficiency of the IW fleet could have important impacts in developing countries. This could conceivably be larger than in developed countries in terms of the sector’s contribution to an improved climate and enhancing its cost-competitive position relative to other modes. The energy efficiency performance of inland vessels in developing countries is assumed to be lower than in developed IWT countries due to the use of older engine technologies and vessel designs. The introduction of new technologies could therefore help to achieve much higher efficiency improvements. Recommended benchmark methodology The International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has developed an energy efficiency benchmarking methodology. The ‘actual emissions method’ applies if:  The relevance of international, cross-border traffic is limited.  Fuel consumption data is reliably available.  The methodology could be used for assessments of both freight and passenger transport.  It is further important to distinguish sector emissions (exhaust) from fuel chain emissions (well to wheel). The latter also covers fuel extraction, transport, production and distribution, and performance levels may change if these are also taken into account. Considering these aspects in the actual emissions method, requires an adjustment of the emissions factor applied. It is also important to recognize that IWT requires pre- and end-haulage of goods by road which also generates emissions. Figure S.1 gives an overview of all the relevant CO2 emissions. xi 1.2 TECHNICAL ADVANCES AND IMPROVEMENTS OF IWT EFFICIENCY There are numerous conventional and technologically advanced options for enhancing IWT energy efficiency. Conventional options for improving energy efficiency Conventional options for improving energy efficiency include: optimizing operations, minimizing vessel resistance, improving propulsion systems, and adapting fairways. Each of these has different investment requirements. Optimizing operations falls under the control of the transport operator. It is relatively easy to implement and has low investment requirements. The adaptation of fairways requires decisions and budget allocation on the part of public authorities and lies at the other end of the range of investment options. Technologically advanced options for improving energy efficiency A literature review and interviews with innovation institutes revealed four major themes regarding the improvement of energy efficiency: 1. The use of alternative fuels: bio-diesel, Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)/Liquid Natural gas (LNG), dual fuel (combination of diesel and CNG), electricity or hydrogen. 2. Advanced low-resistance ship design. 3. Advanced high-efficiency propulsion systems. 4. New logistical concepts, changing the operational methods of ships, including new vessel design. In addition to ongoing studies focusing on the improvement of engine or propulsion systems, and hulls and hull hydrodynamics, there are several research projects and promotional programmes that aim at efficiency improvements of conventional technologies on existing ships. Assessment An indicative assessment of the options for the improvement of energy efficiency is provided in table s.1. Qualitative scores indicate their relative implementation costs and possible savings, their impact on emissions and consequences for safety and other aspects. xii T ABLE S.1 A SSESSMENT OF FUEL EFFI CIENCY IMPROVEMENT MEANS Means Investment Cost Savings Environmen Safety Costs t Conventional means Optimizing operations Low Low Low None Minimizing resistance Low to Low/ Low Low moderate Moderate Propulsion systems and Moderate to Moderate to Moderate Low steering gear high high Adapting fairways Very high Potentially Emissions Moderate very high moderate, other aspects varying Advanced means Alternative fuels Moderate Moderate to Moderate Low high Advanced low resistance High High Moderate Low design Advanced high efficiency Moderate to High High Low propulsion systems high New logistical concepts Low to high Low to high Low to None Moderate Source: Own assessment of study team 1.3 FEASIBILITY OF A PILOT PROJECT USING CNG IN IWT A proposed pilot project in Bangladesh foresees equipping a passenger vessel with a retrofitted dual fuel engine system and replaceable CNG tanks. This would require some modification of the vessel. A preliminary feasibility study conducted for this pilot concluded that the pilot was technically and economically feasible. Mono-fuel engine systems using NG remain an option. However, the countries in which this is used would need to have a secure, long-term supply of NG to reduce investment risks faced by IWT operators. Uncertainty about such supplies in Bangladesh would have to be taken into consideration for the country-wide expansion of the pilot. The pilot will not significantly impact on the national availability of CNG; however scaling up the pilot to a larger segment of the IW fleet could have that impact. xiii The investment costs of the Bangladesh pilot amount to some USD 43,000, while the socio-economic Cost-Benefit Analysis shows a positive Net Present Value of USD 145,000. From the operators’ perspective, the pilot is financially feasible, with an earn-back period of 1.1 years. Costs and benefits may have different levels in other countries as these depend on the fleet in existence, technologies used and landside infrastructure. The decision to proceed with the pilot should also consider criteria such as safety and maintenance:  CNG tanks should be installed carefully to avoid impacting negatively on vessel stability.  CNG tanks should be loaded/unloaded at fixed quay walls, because of the stability needed during these operations. Floating pontoons, such as those used in Bangladesh for the embarkation/disembarkation of passengers, should be avoided.  Exhaust gases should be carefully monitored. Incorrectly tuned engines could generate emission levels that exceed those of diesel engines. xiv Introduction PART A: REVIEW OF EXISTING DATA ON ENERGY EFFICIENCY OF INLAND WATER TRANSPORT 15 1 6 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 1 I NTRODUCTION 1.1 B ACK GROUND TO THE STU DY Transport accounts for a large share of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, up to 23% of global CO2 emissions, following OECD data. It is also one of the few sectors where emission levels are still increasing (OECD/ITF, 2008). Most modes of transport showed increased CO 2 emission levels between 2000 and 2005. However, such growth was the highest in international aviation and international maritime transport, (See Table 1.1 below). T ABLE 1.1 W ORLDWIDE CO2 EMISSIONS FROM TRANS PORT CO2 emissions (Mt CO2) 2000 2005 % change Worldwide CO2 from fuel combustion 21,024 27,136 29% Transport 4,614 6,337 37% Passenger Road 3,307 4,648 41% Rail 148 125 -16% Domestic aviation 256 314 23% International aviation 292 416 42% Domestic navigation 96 111 16% International maritime shipping 358 543 52% Source: IEA (2007) The above table makes no distinction between passenger and freight transport. Freight accounts for approximately 31% of CO 2 emissions of road transport and 84% of rail transport (IEA/SMP 2004). No information is available on the share of the CO2 emissions of passenger transport in inland 1 navigation. For the calculations in this study this share was set at nil. Table 1.2 Compares emissions by various land transport modes and the way these developed between 1990 and 2005. The enormous share of CO 2 emissions resulting from road transport is clear and has increased relative to that of rail or inland shipping. 1 In the western world the relevance of passenger transport compared to freight is very small, but in countries like Vietnam or Bangladesh this is certainly not the case. In Bangladesh for example IWT accounted in 2005 for about 8.9 billion passenger-kms and 3.0 billion ton-kms. Due to the fact that volumes in Western countries are very high compared to developing countries, we still expect the global average to be rather small. 16 Introduction T ABLE 1.2 S HARES IN WORLDWIDE CO2 EMISSIONS FROM TRANSPORT CO2 emissions (Mt CO2) 1990 Share 1990 2005 Share 2005 Road 1,033 82% 1,451 87% Rail 124 10% 104 6% Domestic navigation 96 8% 111 7% Total land transport 1,252 100% 1,667 100% Source: own calculations study team based on IEA (2007) and IEA/SMP (2004) Stabilization of greenhouse gas emissions from transport and achieving the Kyoto Protocol objectives will require policies that foster behavioral change. The pressure on policy makers to tackle the issue of climate change through translating the Kyoto Protocol into tangible action plans, is growing in concert with mounting climate change problems. Implementing the Kyoto Protocol will enhance the sustainability of the transport sector and reduce its contribution to the problem of climate change. 1.2 O BJECTIVE AND SCOPE Inland water transport is more energy efficient that modes like road or rail. The bigger capacity of IWT units means that the sector is able to ship more tons per kilometer per unit of fuel than what is possible with other modes. This benefits the climate and makes the sector relatively cost-efficient. Even so, few countries fully exploit the potential benefits of IWT and in many countries the share of road transport is increasing at the cost of IWT. There are various possible reasons for this trend. Among the main reasons given by shippers to avoid IWT are advantages of road transport such as speed of delivery and flexibility, limitations imposed by IWT infrastructure (water levels, bridge clearances, port access) and underdeveloped intermodal facilities (transshipment from IWT to truck for pre- and end-haulage). For shippers these arguments are more important than the potential reduction of transport costs and CO2 emissions. IWT policies to date have tended to have the alleviation of road congestion as the main underlying objective, and governments have only recently starting looking at the carbon-sensitive policies that are needed to promote it as a way to reduce sector emissions. For developing countries IWT energy-efficiency improvement harbors substantial potential, in terms of the sector’s contribution to an improved climate and enhancing its cost-competitive position relative to other modes. The energy efficiency performance of inland vessels in developing countries is assumed to be lower than in developed IWT countries due to the use of older engine technologies and vessel designs. The introduction of new technologies could therefore help to achieve much higher efficiency improvements. Policy makers and promotion organizations dedicate less effort to the sector as a result of their limited IWT-related knowledge and capacity. This could be 17 1 8 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh changed by raising general awareness of the scope for reducing the transport sector’s impact on environment and climate. The objective of part A of this assignment is to deepen knowledge and insights into IWT energy efficiency, as compared to other transport modes, and of methods to further increase the IWT sector energy-efficiency. The scope of this study is limited to CO2. 1.3 S TRUCTURE Chapter 2 compares the global energy-efficiency of IWT with that of other transport modes. It also discusses the reasons for differences between modes and the implications of each for CO2 emissions. Chapter 3 deals with the varying energy-performance of IWT vessels in various regions in the world. Chapter 4 explores several energy efficiency benchmarking methods. The conclusions of Part A are presented in Chapter 5. 18 Global performance: IWT versus other modes 2 G LOBAL PERFORMANCE : IWT VERSUS OTHER MODES This chapter describes the energy performance of inland shipping versus that of other land transport modes (par. 2.1). It also discusses factors behind the differences observed (par. 2.2) and possible consequences for overall GHG emissions of the transport sector (par. 2.3). A comparison of the performance of transport modes requires an assessment of transport sector emissions (exhausts) and emissions along the entire fuel 2 supply chain (also called ‘well to wheel’ ). The latter includes fuel extraction, transport, production and distribution and is further elaborated in chapter 4. Some data sources used for this chapter apply the exhaust approach, while others present the supply chain approach. This is indicated where relevant. 2.1 E NERGY E FFI CIENCY OF TRANSPORT M ODES 2.1.1 E N E R G Y E F F IC IE N C Y M E AS UR E M E NT Kilometers driven per liter of fuel, or liters used per 100 km, are common ways of measuring energy efficiency in transport. Measuring energy efficiency in freight transport should also take into consideration the volume or weight of the cargo being transported as this influences fuel consumption. Accordingly fuel consumption per ton-km is frequently used as a measure of freight transport energy efficiency. However, different modes of transport often use fuel types with different energy contents. One liter of diesel, for example, contains more energy than one liter of LNG and has by far the highest energy content per kilogram or per liter (see the figure below). Shifting from one fuel to the other may therefore involve changes in the size of the storage tanks. 2 The entire fuel chain is called ‘well-to-wheel’. While the emissions within the transport sector are called exhausts, the emission at the front end of this are called ‘well-to-tank’. Furthermore under the ‘door-to-door’ concept all emission of the entire transport chain are to be accounted for. 19 2 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Figure 2- Energy content (in kWh), both volumetric and gravimetric, of different fuels Source: Grimmelius (2010) Differences in the energy content of different fuels can be accommodated by using energy value (Joules) as one of the measures in one’s formula. This means that each fuel type has to be converted into this unit based on standard energy content values (see figure 2.1). Such conversion could also be used in the case of transport modes that do not use carbon-based fuel types, like rail transport where electric power is common. Table 2.1 compares the energy consumption of four modes of transport as measured in Mega-Joules per ton- km. It clearly demonstrates that IWT is more efficient than roads and on par with rail. T ABLE 2.1 E NERGY CONSUMPTION OF VARIOUS MODES OF TRA NSPORT CO2 emission Energy consumption [MJ/ton-km] Fuel Economy [g/ton-km] * (diesel equivalent) [liter/ton- km] 1.13 – 1.28 Truck 97 – 110 0.031 – 0.036 0.24 – 1.00 Rail diesel 21 – 86 0.007 – 0.028 0.14 – 0.62 Rail electric 18 – 80 0.004 – 0.017 0.44 – 0.84 IWT 25 - 70 0.008 – 0.023 Source: calculated by study team based on Ecofys data. 20 Global performance: IWT versus other modes B OX 2.1 M ETHODOLOGY FOR CALCULATING ENERGY CONSUMPTION OF VARIOUS MOD ES OF TRANSPORT Comparisons of transport mode energy efficiency in different countries reflect variable fuel prices rather than energy efficiency. If transport operators do not pay the full cost of using energy, then the type of fuel/energy source used will depend only on the direct cost to the operators (i.e. the full cost minus the externalities). A comparison of fuel prices is not easy to make. Prices for standard products like Marine Diesel Oil (MDO) are known (currently around USD 720 per ton. However, every country has its own tax regime, which can vary between modes within the same country. In many European countries diesel fuel for road trucks is taxed, but not for IWT. Fuel for the inland shipping sector is not taxed, with a cost per liter of diesel of around USD 0.81 (CBRB index, November 2010). Truck diesel, in comparison, costs about USD 1.70 per liter (European Commission, 20 December 2010). Furthermore there are taxation differences between countries, causing for example road freight routes to pass Luxembourg because of the low tax levels involved. A proper comparison should include all costs and not only what is paid by the operators. Externalities such as the climate impacts of emission levels and impacts on health should also be considered to arrive at a meaningful measure of a transport mode’s efficiency. Costs calculated on this basis excee d direct costs by far. For this reason this report will use greenhouse gas emissions as a measure of energy efficiency. The analysis will be limited to CO2 emissions as much information is available on this topic for each of the different transport modes. 2.1.2 CO2 E M IS S IO N S AS AN IN DI C AT O R O F E NE R G Y E F F I C IE NC Y Figure 2.3 presents the range of CO2 emissions for three modes and shows that the average CO2 emissions per ton-km for road transport are much higher than those for the other two modes of transport. It also shows rail transport to be the most energy efficient mode of transport, however, this is because only exhaust emissions are presented. Also, data is based on rail freight transport in Western Europe, which mostly runs on electricity and therefore has relatively low exhaust emission levels. Well-to-tank emissions are needed for more accurate measurements. These vary depending on the source of power generation. Average emissions of IW transport range from 25 gr CO2/ ton-km to 70 gr CO2/ ton-km. IWT emissions of are much lower than road transport emissions, and are at levels comparable to that of rail transport. 21 2 2 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Figure 2.3 Average CO2 emissions for selected transport modes in different countries (tank to wheel, excluding pre- and end-haulage) IWT Rail Truck 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 CO2 gr/ tkm Source: TREMOVE model v2.7b (2009), ECORYS & Consia (2010), Texas Transportation Institute & Center for Ports & Waterways (2009) 1 Based on calculations for the Netherlands, Germany, France, the United States and Vietnam B OX 2.2 M ETHODOLOGY FOR CALCULATING AVERAGE CO2 EMISSIONS FOR SELECTED TRANSPORT MODES IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES EU data was generated by means of the TREMOVE model (version 2.7b). TREMOVE is a European Commission policy assessment model, which assesses the effects of different transport and environment policies on transport sector emissions. It estimates the transport demand, modal shifts, vehicle stock renewal, the emissions of air pollutants and the welfare level. The model covers passenger and freight transport. The module for freight transport covers road, rail and inland shipping. Based on the vehicle stock and transport demand in each country, the model estimates the total amount of ton-kilometers and total CO2 emissions for each type of transport. US data was obtained from a study by Texas Transportation Institute & Center for Ports & Inland Waterways (2009). Its estimates of average CO2 emissions are based on the average fuel consumption of road, rail and inland shipping, and calculations of the power efficiency of each vehicle type. Data was converted from short ton-miles per gallon to CO2 per gram per ton-kilometer using conversion factors listed in annex 3. Data from Vietnam was obtained from a study by ECORYS & Consia (2010). Estimations of the vehicle fleet for road and inland waterway transport were used and average CO2 emissions were calculated by means of weighted average. 22 Global performance: IWT versus other modes The ranges in figure 2.3 reflect differences in average CO2 emissions between countries. There are also large variations within modes in individual countries. Figure 2.4 below shows CO2 emissions for long distance transport in the Netherlands. It shows that, for instance, the CO2 emissions per ton-km for a large truck-and-trailer combination are significantly lower than those for a 20 ton truck. The lower emissions are explained by the significantly higher capacity of a truck-and-trailer compared to that of a single truck, the increase in capacity offsetting the increase in fuel consumption and CO 2 emissions. The same principle holds for inland shipping. 23 2 4 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh F IGURE 2.4 CO2 EMISSIONS INCLUDING WELL TO TANK ( G PER TON - KM ) OF FREIGHT TRANSPORT IN 2010 AT LONG DISTANCES (> 150 KM ) IN THE N ETHERLANDS , INCLUDING PRE - AND END - HAULAGE ( WELL TO TANK AND TANK TO EXHAUST ) Source: CE Delft (2008) B OX 2.3 M ETHODOLOGY FOR CALCULATING WELL TO TANK EMISSIONS ( G PER TON - KM ) OF FREIGHT TRANSPORT The figures of fig 2.3 were calculated on the basis of CO2 emissions for IW vessels in the Netherlands. The underlying study of CE Delft (2008) includes well-to-tank and tank-to-exhaust emissions. Their CO2 data further include logistical factors such as pre- and end-haulage. Figure 2.3 shows the outcome for a long distance case. The points in the figure are the most likely outcome, but also a wider bandwidth is presented, based on a best and worst case analysis for the different logistical factors 24 Global performance: IWT versus other modes 2.2 F ACTORS OF INFLUE NCE ON ENER GY EFFI CIENCY Various factors help to explain differences in energy performance between modes. The following categories are here considered:  Fuel costs  Scale factor  Logistical factors  Commodities involved 2.2.1 FUEL COSTS Cost is the first criterion considered by entrepreneurs in the transport sector when making decisions about what fuel to use. They take fuel efficiency and the technology used into account indirectly. For example, where a cheap fuel type needs an expensive engine, a more expensive fuel may be the rational choice. The operating range is another factor for non-carbon fuels like hydrogen or electricity. Due to differences in energy content (see section 2.1), the size of batteries may have to be much larger than diesel fuel tanks to be able to sail the same distances. This has a negative impact on the net payload capacity of the vessel or truck. Tax policies also have an impact on fuel costs. In European countries, for example, fuel for inland shipping is not taxed, while fuel for road freight is. Price variability therefore complicates comparison. 2.2.2 E C O N O M IE S O F S C ALE IWT, and to a lesser extent rail, can benefit from economies of scale, or, in the case of energy, efficiencies of scale. IW vessels can carry larger volumes of cargo relative to the extra fuel needed, resulting in lower emissions per ton-km compared to road. Also larger vessels or trucks have lower per ton-km emissions than smaller vehicles. Therefore the fleet composition is relevant, which is further explored in chapter 3. 2.2.3 L O G IS T IC A L F AC T O R S Figure 2.4 in the previous paragraph presents ranges of average CO2 emissions for IWT, rail and road. CE Delft (2008) considers the following logistical parameters for this estimate:  Pre- and end-haulage required for IWT and rail transport;  The amount of additional kilometers for rail and IWT against road freight because of differences in density of the network.  Variation in the load factor for all modes of transport.  Productive kilometers (measured by % non-empty kms) Most freight cargo starting points and destinations are not located in close proximity of a railway line or a waterway and pre- and end-haulage by road is required. CE Delft (2008) estimates that this leads to an additional 5% of the total distance which takes place by road. 25 2 6 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Transport distances increase by approximately 10% when shipping freight by rail or IWT as opposed to using roads. This is because of the lower density of rail networks and inland waterways compared to road networks. The load factor is the average amount of goods shipped in single loaded trip as a percentage of the total load capacity of the vehicle. For instance, if a truck with load capacity of 30 ton is loaded with 15 ton of goods, the load factor is 50%. See also the next paragraph on commodities involved. Examples of load factors used by CE Delft are presented in Table 2.2 below. The last parameter is the amount of productive kilometers, or non-empty haulage. If transport routes are unbalanced, with larger volumes going in one direction than in the other, the percentage of empty kms will be rather high. If however vehicles can obtain return cargoes, the percentages become lower. As seen in table 2.2, the productive kms percentage for Dutch inland shipping is relatively high compared to other modes of transport. This is mainly due to: (i) good balance between export of bulk commodities and import of steel products, and (ii) the high percentage of container traffic in inland shipping in the Netherlands (where shipping of empty containers is also considered a loaded trip). It is believed that the relative performance of IWT versus other modes in terms of load factor and productive kms, varies little across western countries, making the available load capacity the main difference. T ABLE 2.2 L OGISTICAL PARAMETERS FOR THE N ETHERLANDS Load capacity (ton) Load factor % % productive kms Truck >20t 27 66 50 Truck & Trailer 27 73 59 Rail 2,500 100 50 Dry bulk ship 1,350 66 78 Push Barge 5,500 66 78 Source: CE Delft (2008) 2.2.4 C O M M O D IT IE S IN V O L V E D The load factor (as described above) strongly correlates to the type of cargoes that are shipped. Performance is measured in emissions per ton-km, making the amount of cargo in tons and the type and density of cargo important factors. When shipping bulk cargo, the full carrying capacity of the vehicle (truck, vessel, rail wagon) is normally used, even though the full volume may not always be used. The load factor is then 100 percent. Voluminous but light weight cargo, to the contrary, uses only part of the full carrying capacity in tons. Accordingly countries that ship only heavy bulk goods by IWT will have better energy performance measured in emissions per ton-km than countries shipping mostly light and voluminous goods in this way. 26 Global performance: IWT versus other modes In conclusion, differences in energy performance between transport modes depend on additional generic factors such as:  Vehicle size (scale factor); and  Commodities involved (heavy or light density). 2.3 I MPACT ON OVERALL TRA NSPORT EMISSIONS Total transport emissions not only depend on the intrinsic energy performance of modes but also – largely – on the share contributed by each mode (the modal split). This varies greatly between countries as shown in the following section. MODAL SPLIT The table below gives an indication of the worldwide modal split of land transport in 2005. It consolidates data about OECD countries, Eastern Europe, Russia and other former Soviet countries, and China, and indicates that IWT accounts for approximately 14% of total ton-kms traveled. 1 T ABLE 2.2 I NDICATION OF WORLDWIDE TRANSPORT SIZE AND SHARE IN TON - KM IN 2005 bln ton-km Share Road 5,706 37.5% Rail 7,726 50.8% IWT 1,782 11.7% Total 15,213 100% Source: OECD (2010) and World Bank (2007) 1 Based on transport in OECD countries, other Eastern European countries, Russia and other former Soviet countries, and China figure 2.5 shows the modal split for several countries and the variations between them. Countries with a large land mass, such as the United States, Russia and China, all have a relatively high percentage of rail transport, as high as 88% for Russia. Countries situated in a river delta, such as the Netherlands, Bangladesh and Vietnam, have a relatively small share in rail, and rely more on IWT. 27 2 8 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Figure 2.5 Modal split of transport for selected countries (shares in total ton -km)1 100% 80% 60% IWT Rail 40% Road 20% 0% NL FR USA RU CN VN BAN Source: European Commission (2010), OECD (2010), World Bank (2007), ECORYS & Consia (2010), Ahmed et. al. (2010) 1 NL, FR, RU, VN = year 2008, USA = year 2007, CN = year 2005, BAN = 2002 The modal split does not reveal any information about the size of the markets concerned. The following table gives an overview of IW transport in 2000, 2005 and 2008, and shows that China has the largest IW freight flows in terms of ton-kilometers. The total volume of freight transported also increased strongly between 2000 and 2005. IWT is also very large in the United States and Russia, even though its share in the modal split is relatively small in these countries. T ABLE 2.3 IWT FREIGHT GROWTH IN SELECTED COUNTRIES ( BILLION TON - KM ) 2000 2005 2008 EU27 134 139 145 - Netherlands 41 42 45 - Germany 66 64 64 - France 9 9 9 Russia 71 87 64 China 712 1,112 USA 526 476 472 Vietnam 22 Bangladesh 3 Source: European Commission (2010), OECD (2010), World Bank (2007), ECORYS & Consia (2010) 28 Global performance: IWT versus other modes The above table indicates that transport mode policies should not only target countries based on their modal shares, but also countries with substantial volumes of transport by these modes. IMPACT OF A SHIFT IN MODAL-SPLIT TOWARDS IWT ON THE TRANSPORT SECTOR CONTRIBUTION TO CLIMATE CHANGE Previous sections showed that CO2 emissions per ton-km for inland shipping are much lower than for road transport. This is because of the higher energy efficiency of inland shipping (fuel consumed per ton-km shipped). A shift in modal split from road to IWT would have a dramatic impact on overall CO2 emissions. IWT accounts for an estimated 14% of total goods transported, but only 7% of CO2 emissions. Road transport accounts for around 30 percent of goods transported and contributes 87 percent of total CO2 emissions. Transferring only 5% of the volume transported by road to IWT, would therefore have a significant impact on global CO2 emissions. A staggering 62 Mt of CO2 emissions could be saved in this way. Policy actions that aim at improving the competitive position of IWT compared to other modes could help to reduce climate change impacts. This could further be combined with measures to increase the energy efficiency of the transport modes concerned. Measures for IWT could aim at increasing the scale of IWT vessels and improving their environmental performance. These trends have already been noted in various developed countries. Part B of this report presents available engine technologies (CNG and other) and other technical options for increasing the fuel efficiency of ships. 29 3 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 3 IWT PERFORMANCE IN VARIOUS COUNTRIES The previous chapter assessed IWT at a global level and compared it with other transport modes. This chapter analyzes IWT energy efficiency and focuses on IWT performance and a comparison between countries. Section 3.1 deals with the energy performance of IWT in various countries where this mode plays an important role. Section 3.2 assesses factors that help to explain the differences observed. 3.1 E NERGY PERFORMANCE Chapter 2 showed that IWT energy efficiency ranges between about 25 gr CO2/ ton-km to 70 gr/ ton-km, which equals to a fuel consumption of about 0.008- 0.023 liters/ton-km if diesel is used. Table 3.1 presents the performance observed in various countries. T ABLE 3.1 E MISSIONS PER TON / KM IN IWT IN VARIOUS COUNTRIES Fuel consumption (liters/ton-km) Region/ Country Average gram CO2 / ton-km EU15 32 0.0102 - Netherlands 40 0.0127 - Germany 26 0.0083 - France 33 0.0105 Vietnam 71 0.0226 0.0083 United States 26 Source: own calculations based on Tremove 2.7b (2010), ECORYS & Consia (2010), Texas Transportation Institute & Center for Ports & Waterways (2009). Fuel consumption data have been calculated using the conversion factors as presented in Ch.2. The table above uses the data presented in figure 2.3. The methodology used for the different sources is explained in paragraph 2.1. There is a big difference between average CO2 emissions in Vietnam and Western countries. The average emission level in Vietnam is about 30 gr/ton- km higher than in the next Western country in line, the Netherlands. The CO 2 emissions of the other countries are all in the same range. Several factors that may explain the differences observed are analyzed in the next section. 3.2 F ACTORS INFLUENCI NG CO2 EMISSIONS The following factors explain differences in IWT energy efficiency between countries:  Sizes and types of vessels used (fleet breakdown);  Age of the fleet and of engines;  Nautical conditions; and  Market factors. 30 IWT performance in various countries SHIP SIZES AND SHIP TYPES table 3.2 shows that larger vessels are generally more energy efficient per ton- km. For example, the CO2 emissions per ton-km of a push barge with a load capacity of over 3,000 tons are 33% lower than the emissions of a ship with a capacity of 250 tons. The comparison assumes a load factor of 100 percent and no empty trips. Different load factors and percentage of empty trips would influence the validity of comparisons. However, the conclusion above remains valid for a given load factor and percentage of empty trips. T ABLE 3.2 F UEL CONSUMPTION FOR DIFFERENT SHIP SIZES Fuel CO2g/ton-km (based Maximum load consumption in CO2 emissions on maximum load Ship type weight (ton) g/km in g/km weight in ton) Dry cargo < 250 t 364 973 3,045 8.4 250 – 400 t 364 973 3,045 8.4 400 – 650 t 638 1,360 4,258 6.7 650 – 1,000 t 968 2,030 6,354 6.6 1,000 – 1,500 t 1,350 2,780 8,701 6.4 1,500 – 3,000 t 2,160 5,058 15,833 7.3 > 3,000 t 2,160 5,058 15,833 7.3 Tanker < 250 t 364 973 3,045 8.4 250 – 400 t 364 973 3,045 8.4 400 – 650 t 638 1,360 4,258 6.7 650 – 1,000 t 968 2,030 6,354 6.6 1,000 – 1,500 t 1,350 2,780 8,701 6.4 1,500 – 3,000 t 3,000 7,877 24,654 8.2 > 3,000 t 3,000 7,877 24,654 8.2 Push barges < 3,000 t 4,000 6,618,459 20,716 5.2 > 3,000 t 7,700 13,685,290 42,835 5.6 Source: Own calculations based on input data for Tremove 2.7b (2010). IWT fleet composition is a highly variable factor that should also be considered when comparing IWT energy efficiency in different countries. In the case of Vietnam, for instance, the fleet consists largely of self propelled dry cargo bulk ships, as opposed to the US fleet, up to 77% of which consists of barges operated in push convoys (see table 3.3). The average size of a vessel in the US is therefore much larger than in other countries (see tables 3.4 and 3.5.). The small size of inland vessels in Vietnam explains the high average CO 2 emission of IWT in that country compared to the low emissions in the United States. However, this does not explain why the CO2 emissions of Dutch ships are higher than those of French or German ones. This may be caused by market factors (see below). 31 3 2 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh T ABLE 3.3 B REAKDOWN OF INLAND SHIPPING FLEET IN 2008 IN TYPE OF VESSEL (BAN = 2007) 2 1 BAN NL US VN dry cargo ships 58% 2% 75% 12% Tankers 13% 0% 2% 6% Tugboats 10% 13% 4% 10% Dry bulk barges 12% 66% 16% tanker barges 1% 11% 6% Passenger ships 5% 2% 8% 41% Other 5% 20% 100% Total 100% 100% 100% 195 Total ships 5,009 40,301 130,970 1 For VN: category other contains passenger ships 2 For BAN: BIWTC fleet only, categorization adjusted by study team Sources: Central Commission for Rhine Shipping (NL) (2009), USACE (US) (2009b), ECORYS & Consia (VN) (2010), BIWTC (2007). Data VN include country boats. The US data show a predominance of vessels ranging from 1,000 to 2,000 tons, most of which are barges operated in convoys of 9 to 15. This result in combined sizes of over 10,000 tons, resulting in substantially improved efficiency compared to that of the original fleet structure. In France vessels types are smaller than, for instance, in the Netherlands. In part this is a function of the fairway network, France having much more smaller waterways. T ABLE 3.4 S HARE IN SIZE BASED O N NUMBER OF VESSELS IN 2008 (FR, BAN = 2007) NL FR US1 VN BAN Up to 249 t 10% 0% 1% 91% 34% 250 - 399 t 7% 41% 0% 3% 16% 400 - 649 t 14% 23% 5% 2% 13% 650 – 999 t 18% 16% 8% 3% 22% 1,000 – 1,499 t 18% 8% 33% 1% 14% 1,500 – 1,999 t 9% 3% 42% 0% 2% 2,000 - 2,499 t 7% 3% 1% 0% 0% 2,500 – 2,999 t 9% 6% 0% 0% 0% 3,000 t and more 8% 0% 9% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Total vessels 4,499 1,369 31,238 95,126 102 1 Excluding self propelled vessels (894 vessels) and tugboats (5,424 vessels) for which no capacity data was available Sources: Central Commission for the Navigation of the Rhine (NL + FR) (2008 & 2009), USACE (US) (2009b), ECORYS & Consia (VN) (2010), BIWWC (BAN) (2007). Data VN include country boats. 32 IWT performance in various countries T ABLE 3.5 S HARE IN TOTAL CAPACITY IN 2008 (‘000 TONS ) (FR, BAN = 2007) 1 NL FR US VN BAN Up to 249 t 1% 0% 0% 30% 7% 250 - 399 t 2% 0% 0% 12% 11% 400 - 649 t 6% 1% 1% 14% 12% 650 – 999 t 11% 4% 4% 24% 35% 1,000 – 1,499 t 17% 28% 28% 20% 29% 1,500 – 1,999 t 12% 39% 39% 0% 6% 2,000 - 2,499 t 11% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2,500 – 2,999 t 19% 1% 1% 0% 0% 3,000 t and more 22% 25% 25% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Total ‘000 tons 5,924 58,218 58,218 7,801 53 1 Excluding self propelled vessels and tugboats for which no capacity data was available Sources: Central Commission for the Navigation of the Rhine (NL + FR) (2008 & 2009), USACE (US) (2009b), ECORYS & Consia (VN) (2010), BIWTC (BAN) (2007). Historical analysis of the Western European shipping fleet shows that there has been a gradual increase in size since the 1950s. This path could also be followed by developing countries. Ship size in Vietnam, for instance, is increasing rapidly, a trend that is expected to continue (ECORYS & Consia, 2010). Figure 3.1 Average increase in tonnage in the West Europ ean fleet Source: BVB (2009) 33 3 4 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh AGE OF FLEET AND ENGINES Newer vessels generally have lower CO2 emission per ton-km than older ones, largely due to continuing technological improvements. This relates to the design of the vessel and the engine technologies used (see also part B of this report for more details on these factors). New technologies however penetrate slowly as ships tend to be in operation for a long period of time, which increases the return on investment. BVB (2009) states that well-maintained ships could have a life span of over 50 years. Accordingly only 24% of all vessels in the Netherlands are less than 20-year old. This renewal rate is much lower than in the case of road transport. About 70% of all truck and trailer combinations in the Netherlands is less than 5 years old (ECORYS 2009). In Bangladesh, age data of only the BIWTC fleet could be obtained (BIWTC, 2007). This indicated that most ships were built in the 1960s and 70s, with self- propelled barges and a number of ferries built mainly in the 1980s. This suggests a similar age structure as in European countries (Figure 3.2). Figure 3.2 Dates of construction of the inland shipping fleet in Western Europe Source: BVB (2009) 34 IWT performance in various countries The hull may be used for more than 50 years, though engines could be modernized for improved performance. Some older vessels may therefore have an energy performance similar to that of younger vessels. An Ecorys survey conducted among shipping operators in the Netherlands confirms the relation between engine age and fuel consumption (see Figure 3.3 below). Fuel consumption is expressed in grams per kWh of engine output. This measure differs from the grams per ton-km shipped. The study shows that these two indicators correlate well. Figure 3.3 Fuel consumption by engine age (in gram per kWh) 250 186 kWh) per kWh) 200 166 (gram per 55 Fuel consumption (gram 150 201 38 Brandstofverbruik 100 30 50 196 0 1990-1994 1995-2001 2002-2006 vanaf 2007 EngineBouwjaar motor construction year Source: ECORYS (2008) NAUTICAL CONDITIONS Nautical conditions in a country also contribute to variations in energy performance. Sailing upstream rivers against a strong flow of water uses more fuel than sailing downstream or in quiet canals. This could be an advantage in countries with dense canal networks. Water levels are also relevant. Most rivers depend on rain or melting snow for their water supply, both of which may vary in the course of a year with 35 3 6 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh pronounced low or high water periods. Fuel consumption may increase during low water periods because of lower load factors and reduced keel clearance (see part B on this matter). Flow velocity may increase during the high water season, resulting in higher fuel consumption when traveling upstream, and lower consumption the other way around. MARKET FACTORS Market structure, finally, could contribute to varying energy-efficiency performances across countries. Load factor and empty kilometers are especially relevant in this regard. Data about the market structure in the Netherlands was presented in Table 2.1 of chapter 2. Similar country-wide data sets could not be found for other countries. Studies in the Netherlands (ECORYS, 2008) indicate that larger sized vessels tend to have a lower share of empty trips than smaller ones, leading to better overall efficiency. This is because it is easier to find return consignments for larger ships than for smaller ones, which are dependent on the availability of smaller consignments. The share of empty trips also tends to be lower for vessels that are operated continuously (24 hours/day, 7 days/week), as opposed to semi-continuous or daily operations (ECORYS, 2008). Beelen (2010) confirms this for Belgium where vessel types vary substantially (see figure 3.4 below). Figure 3.4 Evolution of share of empty trips by vessel type (1997 -2006) 36 Benchmark methodology 4 B ENCHMARK METHODOLOGY This chapter describes methods available to measure the energy efficiency of different transport modes. Section 4.1 deals with general methods for all transport modes. In section 4.2 a method specific to the IWT sector is described. 4.1 A CTUAL EMISSIONS METHOD The energy efficiency of (freight) transport modes, expressed in Kilograms of CO2 emission per ton-kilometer, is calculated by means of the following formula: (1.) kg CO 2 consumed fuel  CO 2 emission factor  ton  km payload distance travelled Energy consumption in Megajoules per ton-kilometer (i.e. an alternative method to measure energy efficiency) is calculated by means of the following formula: consumed fuel  energy density (2.) MJ  ton  km payload distance travelled Table 4.1 describes the parameters used in the formulas (1.) and (2.). Table 4.1 Parameters for measurement of energy efficiency and consumption Variable Description Unit Consumed fuel Overall fuel consumption of investigated liters vehicle(s)/vessel(s) per unit of time (e.g. year, month) CO2 emission factor CO2 emission per combusted unit of fuel kg / liter Energy density Energy content (Lower Heating Value) per MJ / liter combusted unit of fuel Payload Total amount of freight transported by investigated tons vehicle(s)/vessel(s) per unit of time (e.g. year, month) Distance traveled Average distance traveled by the total amount of kilometer transported freight 37 3 8 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh The formulas (1.) and (2.) can be used to calculate the energy efficiency of any transport (sub) sector in a specific geographical area. They could also be used to determine the energy efficiency of any one specific vehicle/vessel or a vehicle/vessel class. The formulas for IWT are based on the commonly used method for measuring the carbon footprint of transport sectors. This is in line with the IPCC protocol, which states that the calculation of greenhouse gas emissions of inland waterway transport should be based on the fuel supplied to vessels which have their points of departure and arrival within the region or country being analyzed. 4.2 ‘ D UTCH METHODOL OGY ’ Using the ‘actual emissions method’ for international transport poses a problem for the allocation of emissions, as all exhaust emissions should be allocated to the country where they are emitted. This does not necessarily have to be the same country in which the fuel was bunkered. An alternative measurement method was used to determine IWT emissions in Western Europe to overcome this problem. This method was applied to Dutch inland shipping, where it is referred to as the ‘Dutch methodology’ (Klein et al., 2009; Denier van der Gon, H., Hulskotte, J., 2010). It aims at measuring: EMISSIONS FROM VESSEL PROPULSION ENGINES PER VESSEL CLASS The ‘Dutch methodology’ considers all emissions on the basis of energy consumption per vessel class. The power demand (kW) for all vessel types is calculated for various inland waterway types and rivers, and a distinction is made between loaded and empty ships. An average speed is calculated on the basis of the vessel class and the maximum speed allowed on the route concerned. (Klein et al., 2009) Depending on the route followed, IWT fuel bunkered in one country can result in emissions in several other countries. However, CO2 emissions resulting from international transport are not included in IPCC calculations. This is covered by the ‘Dutch methodology’, which is used to calculate tailpipe emissions from national and international IWT in Dutch territory. In contrast to the actual emissions method, the ‘Dutch methodology’ uses data on ‘traffic intensities’ (i.e. exact data on the combination of vessel class and a particular inland waterway) to determine IWT emissions. In 2003, when the method was developed, such data was not readily available, a situation that was expected to change. However, by 2010 such data remained unavailable. Accordingly indirect data was, and still is, used to make a rough estimation of IWT emissions. Emission data produced by means of the ‘Dutch methodology’ should therefore be considered provisional (Denier van der Gon, H., Hulskotte, J., 2010). 38 Benchmark methodology Formula (3.) uses the Dutch methodology to calculate IWT emissions per vessel class: (3) Emission  vessel passages  power demand  time  emission factor Vessel passages are the number of vessels passing a distinct inland waterway it iroute. The general calculation is tailored to the available data. Formula (4.) is used to calculate the emission (e) in kilograms of substance (s) in one direction (d) for a specific vessel class (v,c), with or without cargo (b), on a specific route (r) on Dutch inland waterways (Klein et al., 2009): Lr E v,c,b,r,s,d  N v,c,b,r, d  Pv ,b,r   EF Vv,r ,d  Vr  v,s (3.) Formula (5.) can be derived from (4.) to calculate CO2 emissions per ton-km payload transported in a specific vessel class (v,c), over a specific route (r), in one direction (d), with a cargo: E v,c,r, d N v,c,r, d  Pv ,r   EFv V  Vr   Pl v ,c ,r ,d (4.) Pl v ,c ,r ,d v ,r ,d The energy efficiency of the investigated transport mode in formula (5.) is expressed in the same unit as in formula (1.): kgCO2 Kilograms CO2 emission per ton- ton  km kilometer Table 4.2 provides an overview of the variables and indices used in formulas (4.) and (5.). 39 4 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh T ABLE 4.2: V ARIABLES FORMULA (4.) [K LEIN ET AL ., 2009] Description Unit Ev,c,b,r,s,d Emission from propulsion engines per vessel class kg Nv,c,b,r,d Number of vessels of this class on the route and - with this cargo situation sailing in this direction Pv,b,r Average engine power of this vessel class on this kW route Lr Length of the route kilometer Vr,s,d Average speed of the vessel in this class on this Kilometer / hour route Vr Rate of flow of the water on this route (either Kilometer / hour positive or negative) EFv,s Average emission factor of the engines of this kg / kWh vessel class Plv,c,r,d Total payload transported by the number of tons vessels N of this class on the route sailing in this direction Indices Description V Vessel class C Aggregated cargo capacity class B Cargo situation (loaded or unloaded) R Route S (Emitted) substance (e.g. CO2) D Direction of travel 4.3 P RACTICALI TIES OF VAR IOUS METHODS The ‘actual emissions method’ (method 1) and ‘Dutch methodology’ (method 2) could theoretically be applied to all IWT systems to calculate energy efficiency. However, a number of practicalities should be considered when choosing between these.  Data availability The two methods have very different data requirements. Method 1 (actual emissions method) requires only crude information about fuel consumption and freight. Method 2, as applied in the Netherlands, relies on an extensive IWT database. Similar data may be obtainable in other developed countries. Most developing countries, to the contrary, do not have as clearly defined vessel classes and routes or have less developed traffic registration systems. Calculating IWT emissions would therefore first entail setting up a database to cover all vessel activity (in vessel kilometers), data on loaded and empty trips, vessel classes and the average power and speed per vessel class. Moreover, a distribution overview of fleet age would have to be conducted to update 40 Benchmark methodology figures on power and speed correctly over time. Finally, such a database would have to cover all shipping movements over one year in the country investigated.  Emission factors: fuel chain versus transport exhaust only Both methods require an emission factor to calculate the CO2 emission per functional unit. It is also necessary to decide whether to consider the entire fuel supply chain or only the final energy conversion of the fuel (transport exhaust). CO2 emissions from final fuel to energy conversions (through combustion) depend almost exclusively on the carbon content of the fuel. The data of most common fuels is generally fairly available and accurate. Assessing emissions along the entire fuel supply chain, means taking into consideration also emissions resulting from fuel extraction, transport, production and distribution. All these processes consume energy, thereby reducing overall chain-efficiency and increasing the CO2 emissions per combusted unit of fuel. However, such inefficiencies vary significantly between fuel types and between countries (e.g. fuel produced locally or imported). It is therefore recommended that energy-efficiency assessments of IWT systems using different primary energy sources also assess the efficiency of the respective fuel supply chains.  Ease of calculation The emissions of an entire sector can be calculated fairly easily using method 1, whereas method 2 requires a series of calculations per vessel class, route, direction and cargo situation. Moreover, a simple derivative like formula (5.) will hold only for (partially) loaded vessels. Assessing empty vessels will result in a division by zero, which means that the cargo flows have to be analyzed independently of the loaded vessels.  Reliability Method 1 is based on actual emissions derived from actual fuel consumption, whereas method 2 is based on average energy consumption per vessel class - itself an average derived from the distribution of new and older vessels/engines within a class. A wider range of assumptions are therefore at play in method 2, thereby reducing its reliability relative to method 1.  International transport IWT fuel bunkered in one country can lead to emissions in other countries, depending on the vessel route. Method 2 makes it possible to allocate emissions from international transport to specific countries or regions by calculating emissions along specified routes and by dividing trajectories in separate routes. This is not possible with method 1 and is one of the main arguments in favor of method 2. Nonetheless, if inland shipping is mainly domestic, there is no need for such divisions and method 1 suffices.  Auxiliary systems Auxiliary systems on vessels, apart from the main propulsion engine, also consume energy. Such emissions are automatically included in method 1 as CO2 emission is calculated on the basis of fuel consumption, rather than the engine used. In method 2, CO2 emissions are calculated using emission factors and power demand. Power demand does not typically include auxiliary systems and associated emissions. A separate analysis is therefore needed, 41 4 2 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh making use of average auxiliary emissions per vessel class. An alternative would be to include auxiliary systems into the power demand used for the calculations.  Other emissions The two methods differ substantially in respect of their treatment of other exhaust gas emissions. Method 1 uses the energy content and emission factor of fuels, which are useful only when calculating the energy efficiency and CO2 emission resulting from the combustion of fuels. Method 2 can also be used to determine the emissions of other substances (such as NOX, CO, PM10, etc.) resulting from fuel combustion. This was one of the reasons behind the development of the ‘Dutch methodology’. The only requirement is that the average emission factor in kilograms per kilowatt-hour engine power is available for the relevant vessel class. Method 2 thereby provides a framework for calculating the overall impact of vessel movements on climate change and air quality.  Passenger transport Both methods are designed for assessing freight transport only. The environmental performance of passenger transport can be assessed using a similar method, but where per ton-km figures are replaced with per passenger- km figures. This will be useful in countries with high passenger IWT volumes like Bangladesh. Similar to what is done for freight transport, the method allows for comparison over time and between countries.  Comparison between countries Method 1 can be used to compare country performance, based on IPCC recommendations, provided the data is gathered in a similar way and using the same definitions across the board. The Eurostat guiding principles ensure that this is the case within Europe. Such certainty about the completeness and correctness of data does not exist in other regions of the world. Despite this the method can generate results that are reliable enough for comparison between countries 4.4 R ECOMMENDED APPROACH The ‘actual emissions method’ allows for a rapid analysis of the IWT sector in countries or regions where information is not readily available. The calculation is simple and straightforward and allows for a transparent assessment of the situation with actual emission figures. It also depends less on third parties to provide information and the method is recommended when comparing the environmental impact of IWT to that of other transport modes. The ‘Dutch methodology’ is an advanced approach which requires an extensive database with detailed information per vessel class, route, direction and cargo situation. It is has clear value for IWT in the Netherlands and other internationally oriented, highly codified countries, but less so in the rest of the world. 42 Benchmark methodology PART B: REVIEW OF TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCES AND IMPROVEMENT TO INCREASE ENERGY EFFICIENCY OF IWT 43 4 4 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 5 I NTRODUCTION Fuel efficiency has been an issue in the Western world going back to the first oil crisis in the seventies. Barge operators – horrified by fuel price increase – were desperately looking for a way to reduce costs, which in some cases amounted to as much as 70% of the total transport costs. Considerable fuel savings were achieved through a joint effort from research institutes, ship builders and designers, and barge operators. The primary objective of the barge operators at that time was cost reduction. The reduction of carbon emissions auxiliary output was considered less important at the time, though this has obviously changed in light of improved knowledge and awareness of the impacts of GHG and the limits of fossil fuel resources. The following four aspects are generally considered when assessing the efficiency of IWT operations: 1. Optimization of the IWT operations; 2. Minimizing the resistance of hulls and of barge convoys; 3. Efficiency of propulsion methods and steering systems; and 4. Adapting fairways to accommodate optimum ship size and shape. This review will first focus on conventional means, all of which have not necessarily been implemented in all developing countries. Conventional means could be implemented at fairly short notice and the required awareness could be achieved through education, training, seminars and symposium. This review also considers advanced means, technologies and approaches that are in still in their development or pilot phases, including the following: 1. Alternative fuels; 2. Advanced, low-resistance ship design; 3. Advanced, high-efficiency propulsion systems; and 4. New logistical concepts. A distinction is made between newly built vessels and those with retrofitted technologies, or improvements of older systems. The latter may be cheaper and are often used to modernize existing fleets, especially if they could still be used for a long period of time. The often significant environmental performance achieved in this way may still be below that achieved when the same technology is installed in newly built vessels. 44 Fuel savings by conventional means 6 FUEL SAVINGS BY CONVENTIONAL MEANS This section will consider the following conventional technologies and concepts: 1. Optimization of IWT operations; 2. Minimizing the resistance of the hull and barge convoys; 3. Efficiency of propulsion methods and steering systems; and 4. Adapting fairways in view of optimum ship size and shape. The order of these items reflects the size of the investments required. Optimizing operations, at the one extreme, requires little investment and still achieves significant efficiency improvements. The adaptation of fairways, at the other extreme, requires significant investments. 6.1 O PTIMIZATION OF IWT OPERATIONS VOYAGE PLANNING Voyage planning can help to maximize benefits from tides and currents, especially where narrow tidal passages must be negotiated. Relevant items include reducing the speed or adjusting the departure for just-in-time arrival for loading and unloading. This requires the cooperation of port managers who, more often than not, focus entirely on minimizing demurrage, which exists only for seagoing vessels. Also the cooperation of the crew is needed, who may not be overly concerned about operational efficiency. Rewards could be used to motivate them, but carefully so as not to receive unintended effects. In the Netherlands this is achieved through the promotion program ‘VoortVarend Besparen’ (proactive saving). A highly successful fuel competition motivated crew to sail as efficiently as they could. No direct reward was at stake, but the honor of being recognized as the most efficient among peers served as the motivation. The program also helped shipping companies to achieve substantial benefits as a result of the fuel saved. BARGE CONVOY FORMATION Push-barges are the most fuel- and cost-efficient mode for point-to-point transportation of commodities. This applies to traditional cargo such as coal, grain, fertilizer and fuels, but also to containers and even cars. Optimization can be achieved through the formation of barge convoys instead of using single cargo vessels. Push-barge systems are less common in developing countries because of the high investment costs and the scattered pattern of origins and destinations of most freight transport. Barge formations require a large fleet and therefore a high investment costs. It also requires a high level of organization at the headquarters and at the ports. Barge formations thereby become viable only in the case of large and capital 45 4 6 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh intensive companies serving dense transport corridors. Self-propelled barges are more flexible in scattered freight flow situations, and can render a dedicated service to one shipper. An intermediate solution requiring minimal up-front investment is the use of self-propelled vessels that are converted for pushing up front (tandem formation). It is not necessary to substantially increase the propulsion power of an existing self-propelled vessel to push an extra barge. This is because the improved length to beam ratio (L/B) creates an enormous hydraulic advantage, translating into much lower specific power (the power required per cubic meter of water displacement) to reach the same speed. The benefit is such that a slight reduction in speed might even be acceptable. Substantial energy savings can be achieved by adding a barge to the self propelled vessel. Some operators using this system equipped their extra barge with a bow steering unit for improved maneuverability or for shifting the barge temporarily to another quay or jetty. Such a unit comes in useful when extra power is needed against strong current or lateral winds, or for emergency maneuvers. Other operators equip their dumb barges with a passive bow rudder, hand or mechanically operated, for additional maneuverability. The technical design of such a system is shown in the following figure. Figure 6.1 Dumb barge with passive rudders for bow steering Source: own drawing study team based on lectures of Dick d’Arnaud for ESCAP in Bangkok (1989), Jakarta (1990), The Netherlands (1991 and 1993) and others. It is possible to use a so-called Articulated Barge System (ABS, see figure 6.2) with a self-propelled vessel plus dumb barge system. This provides a significant advantage when sailing through bends and the drift angle is reduced to almost zero. This means that:  the convoy is capable of negotiating narrow or tightly curved bends instead of breaking up the combination;  more room is left for oncoming traffic, which no longer has to wait for passage to be completed;  resistance, and therefore the power needed and fuel consumption, is reduced considerably. 46 Fuel savings by conventional means Figure 6.2 shows an ABS consisting of a platform on the pushing vessel, housing bollards and coupling winches, which pivots up to 15 degrees by means of remote controlled hydraulic cylinders. The front barge then acts as a giant rudder. Figure 6.2 Barge pushing sp vessel using its Articulated Barge System when sailing through a bend Source: own drawing study team 6.2 M INIMIZING THE HU LL RESISTANCE Hull shape could significantly influence overall IWT efficiency, especially in the case of shallow water navigation (which is nearly always the case for IWT). The stern section must be adapted to house an efficient propulsion system. The shape of the bow-section could be equally important to reduce the hull resistance factor and thereby the power needed to move the vessel. Traditionally vessels in developing countries were built with a fine bow and swept stern, following the well-known practice for sailing vessels and which is ideal for sailing with light winds (see the figure below for an example of this). The most important characteristic of this bow shape is its low resistance, which leads to acceptable speed levels using little power and fuel. However, the carrying capacity of such ships is relatively low. 47 4 8 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Figure 6.3 Example of an inland freight vessel with a traditional bow Source: own photo taken during field mission Bangladesh The hulls of the mechanically propelled vessels (and in particular push barges) introduced in Western countries were built in such a way as to maximize cargo carrying capacity, resulting in a full bow and stern and high resistance. This did not matter at the time, because of the low fuel prices. Since then bow shapes have developed to combine easy construction and maintenance of payload capacity, with low resistance and a reduction of the power needed for propulsion. This design can be used for barges and self- propelled vessels with a box-like hull. Figure 6.4 compares the initial shape of Europe IIa type (and also USA) barges to the more efficient Europe IIIa shape. Europe IIa consists of a flat bow, slanting under 20 degrees (which was originally even 30 degrees for the smaller type E I). The enlarged type IIIa features a spoon-type stem and wedge-shaped side plates. This shape not only reduces slamming, but also cuts through the water better while increasing bow displacement. 48 Fuel savings by conventional means Figure 6.4 Bow shape development of European barges Source: own drawing study team, based on MARIN, VBD and WL research More efficient convoy and barge formations can similarly reduce water resistance and save energy. A longer and narrower convoy faces less resistance than a short and wide combination. However the advantage of the first may be nullified if the long combination is not rigidly lashed together, because its waggling course would raise the fuel need. A six barge combination is more efficient in a combination of three wide and two long than of two wide and three long, because in the first combination the stern sections are fully integrated. Therefore they are more rigid than the long formation, because in the long formation the bow of the rear two barges meets the front ones. 49 5 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Figure 6.5 Barge convoy stability Source: Own drawing study team Several research projects aimed at improving hull design. CREATING is the best known project in Europe and resulted in “The Cleanest Ship”, a highly efficient gas tanker that currently sails between Rotterdam and Antwerp (Schweighofer & Blaauw, 2009). The European Commission has launched a call for projects to further investigate the modernization of inland vessels under th the on-going 7 Framework Program. Hull improvement is one of the components of this initiative. Improving IWT efficiency is also a way to promote the modal shift and, indirectly, to reduce overall CO2 emissions. The Innovative Barge Trains for Effective Transport on Inland Shallow Waters (INBAT) is a recent project with these objectives and aimed at improving sailing efficiency in shallow water (INBAT, 2005), making use of a combination of lightweight construction and new material applications, an innovative barge train concept and improved propulsive systems. The project helped to design vessels capable of sailing in water depths of 1m. The changes made will also reduce construction costs and improve payloads. It enhances the viability of operations on smaller or seasonally non-navigable inland waterways. The project further does not directly reduce CO2 emissions 50 Fuel savings by conventional means by IWT vessels, but achieves an indirect impact by promoting the modal shift to IWT. 6.3 P ROPULSION METHOD AND STEERING SYSTEM EFFI CIENCY This section looks at several ways of improving efficiency through reconfiguration of the propeller and stern section, the steering efficiency, and the use of power and of the helm. The main objective is to increase the percentage of fuel energy available as power to the engine propeller. The figure below contains a schematic presentation of propulsion systems in ships. Figure 6.6 Schematic display of a propulsion plant Exhaust Propeller Propeller shaft Stern gland Shaft Coupling Main engine bearing Reduction gear Source: own drawing study team Figure 6.7 below shows that only 40% of the potential energy in diesel oil will be converted into power on the engine-propeller shaft. Older engines, which are common in waterborne transport, could have an even worse energy balance, a fact that makes engine replacement an attractive option. 51 5 2 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Figure 6.7 Energy balance of a diesel engine Source: own drawing study team. Figures based on standard diesel engine technology (Prof. Dr. Heuser, VBD) A properly designed engine uses only about half of effective power delivered to the engine propeller shaft for propulsion, translating into only 20% of the original fuel energy potential. The efficiency of a badly designed engine could be even worse than what is shown in figure 6.8 below. Figure 6.8 Energy balance of the propulsion plant 2% to gearbox & shaft bearings 18% propeller efficiency 60% loss in engine fuel combustion Source: own drawing study team. Figures based on standard diesel engine technology (Prof. Dr. Heuser, VBD) and own trials Dick d’Arnaud 52 Fuel savings by conventional means The installation of a gear box, with a high reduction ratio, and a propeller designed specifically for the engine concerned, and the speed and draught of the vessel, count among the main ways improving propulsion efficiency. Such changes may require substantial modification of the ship’s stern as described below. The installation of such gear boxes achieved fuel savings of some 30 percent on country boats in Bangladesh. 6.3.1 IMPROVING T H E P R O PE LL E R A ND S T E R N S E C T I O N The installation of maximum size propellers for optimal efficiency requires the construction of a tunnel rising above water level on the stern section of the vessels concerned. This makes it possible to house the propeller, though one thereby reduces displacement, affecting trim and load capacity. The efficiency gains, however, compensate for these disadvantages. Figure 6.9 Propeller size with and without tunnel Source: own drawing study team based on TU Delft colleges (Dick d’Arnaud) When it is not possible to increase the propeller size in this way sufficiently, then a twin propeller plant could be installed, the efficiency of which is notably better than that of a single, small diameter propeller. This might be the only way in which to achieve good propeller immersion in shallow waters where ships sometimes have to sail only partially loaded. 6.3.2 IMPROVING S T E E R I NG E F F IC IE NC Y Ineffective use of the rudder installation may cause steering with large rudder angles, which induces extra resistance (brake effect). High rudders cannot be used with IWT vessels due to their limited draught. Accordingly their rudder blades generally have a low aspect ratio (height to length) and thereby reduced efficiency. Blade lengths have to be increased to increase rudder area and thereby efficiency. More efficient systems rely on multiple rudder blades with a high aspect ratio. Two rudder blades are most commonly used (see figure 6.10 below). 53 5 4 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Figure 6.10 Example of a multiple rudder system on an inland vessel Source: own photo study team taken in the Netherlands The lateral thrust of a multiple rudder system peaks at a rudder angle of about 40 degrees as opposed to the 60 degrees needed by a single rudder system for substantially less thrust. Figure 6.11 Lateral thrust of multiple rudder-vs single rudder Lateral thrust (%) Multiple 130 % rudder blades 100 % Single rudder blade Rudder angle 400 600 Source: Own drawing study team based on VBD systematic tests 1970 and onward 54 Fuel savings by conventional means Energy efficiency improvements can also be achieved by means of a flap rudder. The flap doubles the angle of the main blade, by which it increases lateral thrust at lower angles to a level comparable with that of the multiple rudder system. Figure 6.12 Lateral thrust of flap-rudder vs traditional rudder Lateral Flaprudder thrust (%) 100% 100% 75% 75% 50% Traditional rudder 50% 25% 25% 10o 20o 30o 40o 50o 60o Rudder angle Source: Own drawing study team based on VBD systematic tests 1970 and onward A rudder propeller (azimuth thruster) combines efficient propulsion with effective steering and backing. It consists of a propeller assembly capable of o 360 rotation as in figure 6.13 below and can direct full thrust in any direction far more effectively than what can be achieved with the most advanced rudder systems. The freely suspended propeller pod in the tunneled stern may however hit the bottom when the stern sweeps over a sandbank and therefore side guards are often added for protection. 55 5 6 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Figure 6.13 Arrangement of a rudder propeller system with side guards Source: Own drawing study team based on MARIN and VBD 6.3.3 USE O F P O W E R AN D H E LM POWER One can significantly reduce fuel consumption with little loss in sailing time by sailing at reduced speeds. The power needed to increase the speed of a vessel sailing under most favorable conditions (i.e. in deep water) builds up to the third power of the velocity increment. This could increase to the fourth or higher power in restricted waters until one reaches ‘critical speed’, the point 3 after which additional power is not converted into speed as shown in figure 6.14 below. 3 The critical speed is the speed range whereby speed increase in a fairway restricted in depth and or width is only possible with unproportional high power installed. 56 Fuel savings by conventional means Figure 6.14 Power versus ship speed in deep, shallow and restricted waters Unrestricted width and depth Unrestricted width and restricted depth Restricted width and depth Economic speed zone Ships speed Source: Compilation of early test results by Delft Hydraulic Lab and MARIN (1960 - 1970) based on the theoretical approach of Schijff et all, and field test results by Dick d’Arnaud The brown line indicates the power demand for speed in deep water and represents a third power curve. This curve rises more steeply to about the fourth power (blue curve) when the water is shallow and wide. The power demand curve rises so steeply in shallow and narrow water that it becomes practically impossible to reach the critical speed (red curve). All situations have an economic speed zone in which reasonable speed overlaps with economic fuel consumption. Simple technical applications like a so-called ‘Tempomaat’ (speed regulator) or a fuel meter, could significantly affect energy efficiency. A slight decrease in speed could substantially reduce fuel consumption and reduce operating costs. This benefit is not directly observable by ship owners in day-to-day operations who may accordingly be reluctant to invest in such an application. Tempomaat is a software application that uses GIS to calculate the most economical sail plan, taking into account fairway characteristics, traffic, etc. The Dutch government subsidizes acquisition of this software in the 4 Netherlands. It can reduce fuel use by some 7% . 4 Source: Interview with Mr. Khalid Tachi of the Dutch Expertise and Innovation Centre Inland Shipping (EICB) 57 5 8 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh A fuel meter is a very simple tool that can be used to save fuel. It shows how much extra fuel is used if speed is increased and shippers can get a concrete sense of how much they would save by slowing down a bit. HELM Steering quality has an impact on sailing efficiency and depends on the experience and sensitivity of the helmsman, who has to anticipate the movement of the vessel taking account of the current, wind, water depth and other traffic. Too much helm is given quite often, as a result of which vessels overshoot their intended course. This happens especially with larger vessels or combinations, on shallow and/or narrow waters with other traffic. The combination of (one-sided) bottom drag and suction from other vessels can turn accurate steering into a rather difficult affair. Compensating for this often results in further overshoots and something of a zig-zag course. Every rudder movement induces some resistance. Overcompensation thereby reduces speed and increases fuel consumption. Electric or hydraulically controlled rudder systems reduce over-steering. However, automatic steering equipment represents the best solution. It makes use of a gyro-compass and rate-of-turn selection (zero rate-of-turn = a straight course) and can result in substantial fuel savings. Increased awareness of steering errors would on its own help to improve efficiency and could be achieved through training and instruction. 6.4 A DAPTATION OF THE WAT ERWAY The characteristics of fairways have an enormous impact on operational efficiency. Time is saved by straightening rivers, though this may have unwanted impacts on erosion, sedimentation rates and the balance between hydraulic and morphologic regimes. Attention should rather be paid to improving shallow and narrow stretches, with the objective of eliminating suction, or bottom drag, phenomena like squat (settling deeper in the water), and repression (a drop of the water level). Side effects of these improvements include the prevention of bank and river bed erosion, factors that could deteriorate vessel passage (Figure 6.15). 58 Fuel savings by conventional means Figure 6.15 Hydraulic effects in width and/or depth restricted fairways Wave building Shaded area is wet cross section by vessel of vessel [f] , when related to channel cross section [F] and less than 10, indicates impact of hydraulic phenomena on speed (drag) and power consumption Bank erosion Return flow of water displaced by passing vessel Bottom erosion by screw race at Water level repression low water at shallow water, causes Reduced keel clearing even less keel clearance causes drag and speed reduction Source: Own drawing study team The intensity of these hydraulic effects can be described by means of the following parameters:  The ratio (H/d) of water depth (H) over draft (d): this should not be less than 1.4, although a ratio of 1.2 may be permitted in places, provided the vessel proceeds dead slow (minimal speed at which vessel can still be steered);  Keel clearance (H - d): this should be more than 0.5 m for unrestricted speed;  Blockage coefficient (F/f), which is the ratio between the wet cross section of the waterway (F) and the wet cross section of the vessel (f). When the ratio is less than 10, speed must be reduced to avoid unwanted effects like erosion and squat (the effect of deeper sinking of the vessels stern, in relation to the speed);  The ratio power (HP) to displacement (∆), also called specific power: When this is high, then a vessel is able to reach a high speed in unrestricted waters. When a high specific power ratio is applied in restricted waters, it will generate unwanted and energy-wasting hydraulic phenomena. There are examples where the speed remains low, regardless of the power applied. This could happen when sailing in narrow canals (high blockage coefficient) with low keel clearance. After waterway improvements have been implemented, vessel pilots have to be shown the cleared profile, so as to facilitate movements of vessels and maximize the use of the improved waterways. Signaling options also have an influence on the navigable width available. For instance (Figure 6.16), a section of a tidal canal was straightened by excavating part of the bank. This enlarged 59 6 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh the available width (green shaded), which was then indicated by means of lighted beacons to permit night navigation. Fixed beacons were preferred to buoys. This was because variable water levels introduce a big margin of error and limit the available width that is safely available. This would even become more serious if the buoy were laid in the standard minimum profile (outline in red). Figure 6.16 Indication of navigable width by fixe d posts vs buoys Source: own drawing study team, based on Rijkswaterstaat tests 1970s-1980s 60 Fuel savings using advanced means 7 FUEL SAVINGS USING ADVANCED MEANS This section describes four advanced ways of improving fuel efficiency: 1. The use of alternative fuels 2. Advanced low resistance ship design 3. Advanced high efficiency propulsion systems 4. New logistical concepts Exhaust gas after-treatment technologies constitute a possible fifth category. These are already commonly used to remove particulates, nitrogen oxides or hydrocarbons from exhaust gas. After-treatment technologies that reduce CO2 emissions on mobile applications are a recent development that has not yet been applied to IWT engines. (See Ecospec website & Ecospec CSNO X product brochure for further reading.) 7.1 T HE USE OF ALTE RNATIVE FUELS PETRO-DIESEL The name petro-diesel (or gasoil) is increasingly used to distinguish this fuel type from other liquid fuels like biodiesel and biomass. Petro-diesel is distilled from petroleum and available in various grades of purity, chemical composition (sulfur content) and contamination. All of these factors have a direct impact on combustion efficiency and harmful emissions. PETRO-DIESEL TYPE EN 590 EN 590 is a type of diesel fuel with a sulfur content of only 0.2% in weight. The main advantage of this type of diesel is its low SO2 content, which translates into a reduced impact on air quality. EN 590 diesel fuel has a higher price per liter, but also an energetic value that is higher than that of “normal” gas oils. Fuel consumption can accordingly be reduced by 3% to 7%. Using EN 590 diesel fuel is economically feasible in Western Europe under current economic conditions. The inland tanker vessel MS Victoria (the ‘Cleanest Ship’ developed under the CREATING project mentioned before) uses this type of fuel. T ABLE 7.1 C OMPARISON OF PRICE PER MEGA JOULE BETWEEN GAS OIL AND EN 590 Energetic value Price Price per MJ MJ/L USDct/L USDct/MJ Gas oil (petro diesel) 36.55 42 1.138 EN 590 38.02 44 1.163 Source: Visser (2009) 61 6 2 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh BIO-DIESEL This liquid fuel is obtained from vegetable oils or fats and can be used in pure form or mixed with petro-diesel. Pure or mixed, this fuel substantially reduces 5 harmful emissions, especially if upstream emissions are included. The main disadvantage of this type of fuel is that engines have to be converted to burn a pure or high percentage bio-diesel fuel mix. In the EU, bio-diesel is therefore blended at a low percentage with regular gasoil. Other countries, such as the United States, use bio-fuels largely as an alternative fuel. CNG AND LNG Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) is Natural Gas stored under a pressure of up to 250 bar. It is then released to be burned as fuel under low (atmospheric) pressure. It is the most common alternative to petrol, principally because of its wide availability and low carbon and other emissions. Use in diesel engines requires conversion to gas combustion with spark ignition. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is gas stored in liquid form at minus 164 degrees Celsius under atmospheric pressure. An advantage of LNG is that more gas can be stored in liquid than in gas form. Main disadvantages are the high costs of LNG tanks and insufficiently dense distribution systems in some countries. LNG is currently used on a small scale in maritime shipping. Some LNG- tankers use the boil off of loaded LNG as fuel. LNG is also used on ferries and coastal vessels. Norway is a major innovator in this regard and 16 of their ships currently run on NG stored on board as LNG. These include car/passenger ferries, passenger ferries, supply vessels, coast guard vessels, and small coastal LNG tankers (NGV, 2009). Another five such vessels are currently under construction. This fuel type is currently also used for inland shipping in Amsterdam (canal cruise boats) and Australia (freight vessels). DUAL FUEL (CNG/LNG + DIESEL) This system uses Natural Gas, either from CNG or LNG, blended with diesel. The latter is needed for ignition. Contrary to vaporized diesel fuel, NG does not spontaneously combust when injected into a cylinder under high pressure. An NG and petro-diesel dual fuel pilot project for inland shipping is currently being implemented in the Netherlands. It is a combined project of the company Deen Shipping, diesel-engine specialist PON Power and naval design firm International Naval Engineering Consultants (INEC). The project is co- financed by the Dutch Ministry of Transport. In this newly designed fuel system, NG will serve as main fuel with petro-diesel as an ignition fuel. The NG will be stored aboard as CNG or possibly as LNG in tanks placed as a container 5 Upstream refers to emissions associated with the production, processing and transport of fuels to the place of consumption, or well-to-tank emissions. 62 Fuel savings using advanced means on the deck. In the future the NG will be stored as LNG in tanks incorporated into the ship’s structure. The main advantage of this system is the lower CO2 3 emissions due to the low CO2 per m fuel. According to PON Power, the system could save 30% CO2 emissions (interview with PON 2010). Figure 7.1 below shows such a system with four main external components (the NG and petro-diesel buffer tanks, the mixing unit (gas train), the electronic control box, and the engine). Figure 7.1 Schematic display of a gas-diesel mixing and control unit for dual fuel usage Source: PON Power (2010) Already in 1986 an initiative was taken to use CNG in inland shipping in Bangladesh. Petro Bangla set up a World Bank funded project called ‘Second Natural Gas Development”. This included pilots for the use of CNG in railways and in IWT. Rupantarito Prakritic Gas Company acted as the implementation agency with consultants from New Zealand preparing the conversion. The project proposed conversion of one BIWTC inland vessel to CNG, which was to serve as a ferry between Aricha and Doulodia. However, they struggled 63 6 4 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh to fuel the ship effectively from a floating storage tank, leading to long down- 6 times for the ship concerned and the project was stopped in 1993. HYDROGEN Hydrogen is the last innovative fuel type discussed. It makes use of fuel cells, which generate electricity to power electric systems including propulsion. Fuel cells use hydrogenic gas as fuel and oxygen as oxidant. The use of hydrogen fuel was piloted on a canal cruise boat in Amsterdam, a project that was initiated by a private cruise company. Safety was the main issue here as hydrogenic gas has to be stored in tanks at 500 bar pressure. Transferring fuel stored at such pressures is forbidden in many places including 7 Amsterdam, which forbids the refueling of hydrogenic gas tanks in the city. 7.2 A DVANCED LOW RESISTANCE SH I P DESIGN Inland vessels could benefit from research on advanced design for seagoing vessels, which generally have much larger R&D budgets at their disposal. Hull design is often a relevant component within R&D projects, though no specific improvements are currently being implemented on inland vessels. 7.3 A DVANCED HI GH - E FFICIENCY PROPULSIO N SYSTEMS DIESEL ELECTRIC PROPULSION Advanced high-efficiency is achieved by propelling an All Electric Ship (AES), otherwise known as a diesel-electric ship, with multiple diesel-powered electric generators. The use of such a system has several benefits. First, the proper use of multiple systems ensures that the engines generate the optimum amount of power needed for specific circumstances. Ship engines in general are considered to be operating efficiently if at least 70% of their power is delivered. However, in the course of a trip the total power output needed at any one point in time may vary substantially (e.g. when traveling upstream or downstream). Average power delivery therefore is not optimal. With a larger number of smaller engines at one’s disposal means that power can be added or subtracted by turning extra engines on or off. The amount of power used is therefore more appropriate to the circumstances, saving fuel and reducing CO2 emissions. Second, a diesel-electric system makes it possible to use road truck engines, instead of shipping engine, which has several benefits. The market for road truck engines is much larger than that of specialized shipping engines. There is much more R&D funding in the sector, resulting in much more innovation. In Europe for instance, truck emissions have declined massively over the last 10 years, mainly because of innovative engine design. Also, the initial investment costs of road transport engines are much lower than for ship engines, while the depreciation is much faster. Engines can therefore be replaced more quickly, 6 Source: Information obtained from Rupantarito Prakritic Gas Company 7 Interview with Henk Blaauw of MARIN 64 Fuel savings using advanced means 8 giving ship owners access to the latest fuel efficiency innovations. Under 9 these conditions fuel savings over the lifetime of a ship could be significant. 7.4 N EW LOGISTICAL CONCEP TS Q-BARGE Q-Barge is a Dutch new shipping concept developed especially for small inland waterways. It consists of a small motorized unit (mini pushboat), which is coupled to a maximum of four small barges, two long and two wide (double tandem unit). The weight of the vessel is minimized by using light weight material, while load capacity is maximized by smart design of the steering cabin and excluding the skipper’s accommodation space. The maximum load capacity amounts to 590t. Introduction of the Q-barge will be combined with another new operational concept: the “trajectory skipper”. The skipper will be hired by a ship owner and will operate a vessel to a specific location. At this location s/he will commence on a return trip with another vessel or by (a rented) car. The main advantage of this operational concept is that shipping becomes a more regular job. Figure 7.2 Artist impression of a Q-barge truck with four barges Source: http://www.researchsmallbarges.nl/ WATER TRUCK The “Water Truck” is a combined Dutch-Belgian initiative within the EU- funded Interreg program, which aims to increase the usage of IWT in smaller inland waterways. Main innovations in this concept are:  Exclusion of skipper accommodation space from the ship;  Disconnection of loading/unloading and sailing. 8 As an example; it is common for Dutch truck operators to replace their trucks every four year 9 Interview with Mr. Khalid Tachi of the Dutch Expertise and Innovation Centre Inland Shipping (EICB) 65 6 6 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh The first part of the concept is similar to the Q-barge concept. The push-vessel consists of a steering hut and motor, and has place for a small car allowing staff to travel back home on the same day. Figure 7.3 Conceptual design of a mini-pushboat for the water truck system Source: EICB (2010) The second part of the concept is largely operational. Barges are operated mainly in so-called barge trains. The barges are disconnected at the destination where final mooring takes place on an individual basis. Using this system, economies of scale are achieved while providing the operator with enough flexibility. Figure 7.4 Artist impression of the Water Truck system in operation Source: EICB (2010) 66 Fuel savings using advanced means TOTAL SHIP OVERHAUL A combination of measures is being investigated under the EU-funded research project INBISHIP. This aims at economically and environmentally friendlier river ship operation and investigates measures such as flexible propulsion power control; increased stowage space; additional maneuverability for improved safety; forward relocation of crew accommodation away from the vibrations and noise of the machinery concentrated aft; and forward relocation of the wheelhouse for improved visibility. The last measure has received negative responses from skippers who are used to being at the back of the ship, with the cargo holds and ship’s aft clearly visible in front of them (Hekkenberg, 2010). Implementation of this measure will therefore be influenced by cultural rather than technical issues. E-NAVIGATION Finally, the efficiency of operations can also be improved by introducing IT systems into what has been quite a traditional sector. Many operations contribute to better estimates of the sailing speed needed, lock and bridge planning and thereby better fuel consumption. This includes the tracking and tracing of ships, which has not been common until quite recently except for container trade, the use of water level information for schedule calculations and the integration thereof into terminal planning and ship scheduling. The term e-navigation covers a variety of aspects, one of which is RIS (River Information Services) under the auspices of which a major reorganization of traffic management on European waterways is currently unfolding. It is based on permitting the exchange of information between international traffic management agencies, vessel operators and fairway management, and between skippers and terminals. With IT developments ongoing in other sectors, the opportunities for the IWT sector will likely expand as well. 7.5 C ONCLUSION ON AD VANCE D MEANS Advanced means to increase the fuel efficiency of inland navigation can be implemented in various areas at operational and technical level, and in the design of ships. The cost of implementing such technologies is higher when compared to conventional means and probably only justified when building new vessels. In some cases the outcomes are uncertain, such as when new logistical concepts are being investigated. IT systems, however, can be applied to all vessels, old or new. 67 6 8 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 8 CONCLUSIONS CONVENTIONAL MEANS OF INCREASING ENERGY EFFICIENCY Four conventional ways of increasing IWT energy efficiency were presented in chapter 6. The main differences between these were their investment requirements and the parties responsible for implementing the measures. Vessel operators can implement operational optimization measures fairly easily, in addition to which the investment needs are low. Fairway adaptations, however, are more complex and require public funding. ADVANCED MEANS FOR INCREASING ENERGY EFFICIENCY A range of technological innovations are available on the market or under research. The literature study and interviews with research institutes conducted for this study highlight three major themes for energy-efficiency innovation: operations, means of propulsion and fuel type usage. Ongoing research projects and promotional programs aim at increasing the use of available advanced technologies on existing ships, while investigating possible improvements of hull/hydrodynamics and engine/propulsion systems. ASSESSMENT No quantitative assessment of the costs and benefits of the measures under discussion were made in the previous sections. An indicative assessment can however be given using qualitative scores for cost of implementation, possible financial savings, the impact on emissions and consequences for safety and other aspects. This assessment is presented in the following table. T ABLE 8.1 A SSESSMENT OF FUEL EF FICIENCY IMPROVEMENT MEANS Means Costs Savings Environment Safety Conventional means Optimizing operations Low Low Low none Minimizing resistance Low to moderate Low/ Moderate Low Low Propulsion systems and Moderate to high Moderate to high Moderate Low steering gear Adapting fairways Very high Potentially very Emissions moderate, other Moderate high aspects varying Advanced means Alternative fuels Moderate Moderate to high Moderate Low Advanced low resistance High High Moderate Low design Advanced high efficiency Moderate to high High High Low propulsion systems New logistical concepts Low to high Low to high Low to Moderate None Source: own assessment of study team 68 Conclusions These measures can be implemented at the initiative of vessel operators or public authorities. Operators will make decisions based on the financial return of an investment. Policy decisions can be taken at government level to provide the operators with the needed investment incentives. Such policy decisions may comprise fiscal incentives, research funding or improving river transport infrastructure. 69 7 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh PART C: FEASIBILITY OF A PILOT PROJECT TO CONVERT VESSEL ENGINES TO CNG 70 Introduction 9 I NTRODUCTION Propulsion technologies using Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) can help to reduce engine emissions in the transport sector. CNG has been highly effective in reducing GHG emissions in urban transport. The technology is also used on several fjord ferries in Norway and on some offshore vessels. Research to use CNG for inland shipping is underway in the Netherlands. Given the promising results elsewhere, the World Bank considers CNG an interesting option for a pilot project which aims at converting IWT vessel engines to CNG. This section reviews the feasibility of such project using Bangladesh as a case study. CNG is used extensively in Bangladesh by cars, buses and three wheelers. Conversion of three wheelers to CNG has had a dramatic impact on air quality in Bangladesh. It is not yet used in inland water transport, though a pilot was planned in the 90s. Bangladesh has its own gas reserves which makes the fuel attractive when compared with imported diesel fuel. Chapter 10 presents the methodology used to evaluate the pilot. Chapter 11 discusses the experience and lessons in using CNG as a fuel type for shipping. Chapter 12 evaluates the feasibility of the pilot project using a Stage-Gate review process. 71 7 2 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 10 F EASIBILITY METHODOLOGY The methodology used to assess the feasibility of the proposed pilot project is based on the so-called Stage-Gate review process as described in figure 10.1. Figure 10.1 Stage/Gate methodology for assessing the feasibility of converting IWT engines to CNG Stage/Gate OBJECTIVE • CNG in IWT pilot project IDENTIFICATION Type of vessel Infrastructure Other issues •Current use profiles •Fuel logistics •Regulations •Techn. Characteristics •Techn. Characteristics •Safety •Environmental impact •… •… Deliverable: Gate 1 SELECTION DEFINITION Technical details Operational details Stakeholders •Engine performance •Vessel use •Shipowner •Vessel adjustments •Fuel origination •Customers •Refilling system •Fuel distribution & •Government, etc. storage Deliverable: Gate 2 PILOT PLAN EVALUATION Cost / benefits Environmental Externalities •Economics •CO2 emissions •Fuel production •Other •Local air quality •LNG import Deliverable: Gate 3 PROJECT DECISION Start pilot project Source: study team 72 Feasibility methodology The Stage/Gate approach consists of three stages, each ending in a gate. IDENTIFICATION STAGE During this stage, data is gathered on:  types of vessels and their technological characteristics (age of vessel, engine type, vessel design, how they are currently used operationally);  supporting infrastructure (e.g. the current supply of fuel, locations of storage, frequency of fuelling, loading/unloading sites and equipment and other port facilities);  waterways (routes on which vessels are operated, sailing distances, water depth and navigability); and  other aspects (safety regulations, traffic density, environmental restrictions, etc.). Based on these elements a selection is made of vessel types that appear the most promising with regard to the implementation of the pilot (gate 1). DEFINITION STAGE During this stage the parameters of the pilot are worked out. This covers  technical details such as the engine performance, system adjustment requirements in the vessel and on shore, and fuel filling systems. One issue, for example, is whether fuel storage can be arranged in independent tanks (for example in containers) or as built-in systems;  operational details such as the normal operational parameters of the ship (routes, main distances sailed, cargo loads, etc.), and the flexibility of these processes with respect to activities like the loading/unloading of fuel tanks; and  stakeholders to be involved in the pilot (ship owner/operator, shippers, regulatory authorities, etc.). The result of this stage is a plan (gate 2), describing the steps for pilot implementation. EVALUATION STAGE During this stage the feasibility of using CNG is assessed, based on the plan designed during the previous stage. The evaluation covers  economic aspects (cost of the investment, operational costs compared to the base case situation);  environmental aspects (benefits of reduced CO2 emissions and local air quality); and  estimates of relevant externalities (for example the availability of fuel and the pressure on other sectors also using gas). Quantitative estimates were made for each of these components. The valuation is based on data available in Bangladesh or, if not available, extrapolated from European figures, e.g. on emission impacts. The result of this stage is a (preliminary) project recommendation (gate 3). 73 7 4 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 11 T HE U SE OF CNG FOR I NLAND W ATER T RANSPORT Various fuel options including CNG were discussed in Part B. This chapter reviews CNG experience in the IWT sector and constraints that have to be taken into account in evaluating a pilot. 11.1 I NTRODUCTION Natural gas combustion is the cleanest of all fossil fuels, as natural gas consists mainly of methane with low percentages of hydrocarbons like ethane, propane and butane. It produces the lowest carbon dioxide emissions of all hydrocarbon fuels; exhaust gas is also virtually free of particulate matter and does not contain sulphur, thereby eliminating all SOx emissions. Natural gas therefore has environmental benefits and also represents an economically viable alternative to diesel fuel. However, realizing this depends on operational specifics. Due to the gaseous nature of the fuel, it has to be stored in a compressed gaseous (CNG) or in a liquefied state (LNG). Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) is natural gas pressurized up to 200-250 bar, while Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is natural gas converted to liquid form by cooling it to a very low temperature. Compression or liquefaction of natural gas is needed to obtain an acceptable energy-density per unit-volume for transportation. CNG is commonly used as a fuel in passenger cars in Bangladesh. Most cars previously ran on petrol, but a switch to CNG vehicles took place because NG in Bangladesh is roughly nine times cheaper than petrol. This study investigates the feasibility of a CNG pilot project for IWT. There are obvious reasons for this:  the use of NG instead of conventional fuels reduces CO 2 emissions;  CNG is readily available for passenger cars at filling stations all over the country;  there is sufficient knowledge on industry standards and CNG technology; and  Bangladesh possesses extensive natural gas reserves. Worldwide LNG is receiving more attention than CNG as a fuel for heavy-duty road transport, inland navigation and offshore vessels. The energy content of LNG per unit of mass or volume is significantly higher than the energy content of CNG, making it easier and cheaper to transport and store. Another driver for the growing interest in LNG as a transport fuel are technological advances made with liquefaction, which has led to lower LNG prices. 11.2 CNG EXPERIENCE IN SHIPPING Natural gas has been used as a marine fuel since the early 1980s. However, until now CNG has not really been used as a fuel for inland vessels. Examples include tourist boats in Russia, the USA (Zbaraza 2004) and Amsterdam in the 74 The Use of CNG for Inland Water Transport Netherlands (Ecofys 2009). Research and conceptual engineering on CNG propulsion systems in inland shipping is continuing, but has not yet been implemented. There are currently 11 CNG canal boats in operation in Amsterdam (see figure 11.1). These vessels consume minimal amounts of fuel, because of their low average speed of 5 km/h. Figure 11.1 Example of a mono-fuel CNG canal boat in Amsterdam Source: Amsterdam Canal Company website CNG is used as a fuel for (seagoing) freight vessels and passenger ferries in Canada and Norway. The bulk of these vessels is not propelled with mono-fuel NG engines, but with dual-fuel systems. These engines can run on either diesel fuel or a mixture of diesel and natural gas. Normally dual-fuel engines use primarily natural gas, with the diesel fuel acting as a ‘liquid spark plug’. The share of natural gas in dual fuel systems can be up to 90% with modern engines. If natural gas is (temporarily) unavailable, the engine can also run on pure diesel fuel. This is important as gas distribution systems are often not as omnipresent and reliable as diesel distribution systems. The M.V. Accolade II, still in operation in Adelaide, Australia since the early 1980s, is the oldest (non-LNG carrier) natural-gas powered marine vessel. The Accolade is a limestone carrier of over 100 meters in length, propelled by two 6-cylinder Fuji dual-fuel engines that generate 1,650 BHP each on NG. The most striking example of dual-fuel technology in the marine sector is the successful operation of two car ferries in Canada, the M.V. “Klatawa” & “Kulleet” over a period of 15 years. The two ferries each had a capacity of 26 cars and 146 passengers, and ran on the Fraser River close to Vancouver until a bridge was built. The M.V. Klatawa was built in 1982. Its two deck-mounted Caterpillar engines were converted to dual-fuel operation in 1985. Eight CNG cylinders were mounted on the main deck in two compartments, one for each engine. Putting the gas storage, piping and the engines on the main deck, meant that there was no gas below the main deck, the main safety feature of the ship. Calculations made after 4 years of operation showed an 8-year payback period, while engine maintenance costs were reduced due to the increased lifespan of the engines. In consequence the MV Kulleet was also converted to natural gas in 1988. The experience gained with the Klatawa reduced the investment costs and payback for the Kulleet was calculated to about 5 years. 75 7 6 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Exhaust emissions were not the focus of the project and therefore no figures were reported. Figure 11.2 M.V. Klatawa in operation Source: Wayne Weber 10 There are other examples of river vessels using natural gas as fuel . However, these have not been properly assessed. The fact that mono-fuel NG engines have not been used in inland navigation applications, other than tourist or canal boats, indicates that dual-fuel technology is worth serious consideration for any CNG pilot project with marine or inland navigation applications. 11.3 F UEL STORAGE The lack of space for CNG fuel tanks on existing diesel vessels often acts as a barrier to conversion. Natural gas has to be stored in a compressed gaseous state (CNG) or in a liquefied state (LNG) so as to obtain an acceptable energy- density per unit-volume. CNG tanks take up roughly 4.5 times as much space as diesel tanks, while LNG tanks use roughly twice as much as diesel for the same amount of energy. 10 See for instance: http://www.brettandwolffllc.com/ngmvessels.html 76 The Use of CNG for Inland Water Transport Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) is stored in pressurized cylinders, available in various sizes from 60 liters to roughly 2,000 liters or more. Multiple cylinders can be combined into a tank unit for the desired storage capacity. figure 11.3 and figure 11.4 show examples of CNG storage units. These are large, bulky CNG cylinder units. Cylinders can also be mounted individually in the vessel’s hull or on deck. Most CNG cylinders are used at a pressure of 200 bar. Figure 11.3 40ft CNG cylinder unit, with four cylinders Source: study team Figure 11.4 Multiple CNG cylinder unit Source: study team Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is natural gas converted to liquid form by reducing its temperature to -162° C, and can be stored in cryogenic tanks. LNG has clear advantages over CNG in terms of energy-content per unit-volume. However, LNG cryogenic tanks have about 1.5 times the weight of ordinary diesel fuel tanks for the same energy content. CNG has 4.5 times as much weight for the same energy content. Around 75% of the weight of the CNG storage assembly consists of the high pressure tanks. 77 7 8 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 12 E VALUATION This section assesses the feasibility of an IWT pilot project in Bangladesh in which a vessel will be equipped to use NG as its primary fuel source. The results of this evaluation are relevant in Bangladesh and elsewhere. The relevant analytical stages are discussed below. 12.1 S TAGE / GATE 1 ANALYSIS : IDENTIFICATION Key parameters that constrain and define the options for using CNG in the IWT sector include the following: infrastructure (river, gas), type of equipment and safety. Figure 12.1 summarizes the steps to be taken during stage 1. Figure 12.1 Stage/gate evaluation methodology: identification stage Stage/Gate 1 OBJECTIVE • CNG in IWT pilot project IDENTIFICATION Type of vessel Infrastructure Other issues •Current use profiles •Fuel logistics •Regulations •Techn. Characteristics •Techn. Characteristics •Safety •Environmental impact •… •… Deliverable: Gate 1 SELECTION Source: study team INFRASTRUCTURE The existing infrastructure scanned included current fuel logistics, relevant technical details and some aspects of waterways and ports. OVERALL SUPPLY OF CNG The existence of a network for CNG distribution is one of the main infrastructure issues that could affect pilot project design. CNG is commonly used as a transport fuel in motor vehicles in Bangladesh. NG is also used for various domestic and industrial purposes, as a result of which the country has a well-developed natural gas infrastructure. Despite the generally good availability of CNG, remote areas often fall outside the national distribution network. In such cases CNG may be delivered by tank 78 Evaluation transporters or delivered in bottles. CNG pilot projects should accordingly be set up in the vicinity of areas with denser populations and good infrastructure so as to avoid the need to invest in infrastructure. INFRASTRUCTURE FOR REFUELING IWT It seems technically feasible to develop large, dedicated and fast-filling onshore CNG facilities (alternatively floating stations on pontoons) in several places in Bangladesh. The start-up costs, however, are significant. Investments have to be made into large compressor stations, piping, buffer tanks, and perhaps pontoons with moorings and land bridges. Especially in the case of a single pilot project it will be difficult to recoup such high investment costs through fuels savings. A smaller, low-key refueling facility located near one of the passenger terminals constitutes a good possible alternative. However, in Bangladesh these terminals are floating pontoons and not regular docks. Pontoons are better able to cope with the water level differences between the dry season and the monsoon and are more practical along the largely natural banks of the rivers in Bangladesh. They can also easily be shifted should the location used silt up. Unfortunately pontoons cannot easily accommodate the suggested low-key refueling facilities. It would also be expensive to build a dedicated floating CNG refueling facility. Using existing CNG refueling infrastructure for road transport, in combination with a mobile CNG tank unit, remains the cheapest option for a pilot project. Such tank units could be loaded once a day at least at existing CNG road filling stations. CNG tank vessels are an alternative, especially if the project were to be scaled up. B OX 12.1 CNG B UNKER V ESSELS A so-called CNG bunker (or feeder) vessel currently exists only in concept (the same holds for LNG feeder vessels). The concept is suited for local CNG distribution to area's without a dense pipeline network. Early adopters of CNG technology may want to bunker fuel at different locations, requiring multiple CNG filling stations. This typically requires high investments that are difficult to recuperate in the course of a pilot project. A CNG bunker vessel represents a flexible alternative as it does away with the need for extensive infrastructure development. New CNG users could also easily be added to CNG delivery routes.  79 8 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh TYPE OF VESSEL The type of vessel used in the CNG pilot project should meet the following criteria:  Fit with operations: the vessel should sail on set routes and return to the same ports/docks on a regular basis. This will make it possible to make use of existing refueling facilities or to set up such facilities where needed. In the case of vessels that travel on random routes this would not be viable.  Fit with technical characteristics: the vessel should have enough space for additional fuel tanks. The engine room should have the space for a more complex fuel system and should be sufficiently modern to allow for state-of-the-art CNG conversion technologies.  Environmental impact: converting the vessel should have a large positive environmental impact in itself. If not, it should be possible to scale the pilot up to similar vessels, thereby to achieve significant environmental benefits. A number of vessel categories of interest to the pilot project were identified on the basis of interviews with local experts and stakeholders in inland waterway transport in Bangladesh. These are:  Large BIWTC-operated river-crossing ferries for cars, road transport and passenger buses, most notably on the roads to and from Dhaka 11 across the Padma River ;  Smaller private-sector operated passenger vessels, operated on the routes Dhaka/Narajanganj – Chandpur. Inland cargo vessels were also considered, but deemed unfit for a pilot project because they generally do not sail on fixed routes. Focusing on these would become possible only once CNG-use has been established in the passenger sector and is a longer-term option. Two top candidate vessel categories are discussed below. LARGE BIWTC FERRIES BIWTC considered converting the propulsion engines of some of their major ferries into NG engines some time ago. Unfortunately the plan lacked sufficient financial support. In the process ferries were considered as likely candidates for a NG pilot project. The Ro-Ro ferry operations fitted the required profile for CNG application well. The vessels are used on short routes and regularly return to the same locations. Moreover, large amounts of fuel are consumed because of the high engine power and full continuous operation of these vessels. These characteristics guarantee a large positive environmental impact and opportunities to recuperate investments in CNG technology. There is ample room in the engine room to install additional equipment for dual fuel operations. 11 However, ferries will have to be used on other routes once the Padma bridge is built, with the project expected to start in 2011. 80 Evaluation The lack of room for CNG storage, other than on the car deck, constitutes the main constraint. A possible solution is to put a 40ft CNG tank container on the car deck among the transported vehicles. This would hamper the Ro-Ro operations, unless the CNG tanks could be mounted individually on the sides, where they would constrict the outer lanes in places. Engine age and inadequate maintenance as a result of a lack of spares could result in sub- optimal performance. The main prerequisite for the installation of NG engines in these ferries would be an adequate supply of CNG near the waterfront of the ferry terminal. Building such a fuel facility would be expensive and is examined in further below. Two ferry locations were investigated: (a) the Padma River crossing of the N7 National road, between Paturia and Daulatdia Ghat, which has a route length of some 10 km; and (b) the Padma River crossing of the N5 National road from Dhakam between Maowa and Char Janajat, which has a route length of up to 16 km, depending on the season. Figure 12.2 Path of Ferry crossing at Maowa during dry season (ab out 16 km) Source: Google Earth, own compilation study team 81 8 2 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Figure 12.3 Path of Ferry crossing at Paturia (about 6 km) Path of ferry crossing at Paturia (abt 4 km) Source: Google Earth, own compilation study team Figure 12.4 BIWTC ferry at Paturia Source: photo study team 82 Evaluation Small passenger vessel Small privately operated passenger vessels are particularly suitable for a CNG pilot project. Vessels sail almost daily from Dhaka or Narajanganj to Chandpur and back. A one-way trip from Narajanganj to Chandpur takes 6 hours, which means that the vessels are en route for roughly 12 hours per day. The remaining idle hours are more than enough for daily refueling. Limited space in the engine compartments may pose a constraint to conversions to dual-fuel systems, though this also reduces safety risks. The main issue, however, is to find room for the CNG storage tanks. Passenger accommodation occupies most of the superstructure, making the top deck the most obvious location for the tanks. The additional weight would certainly reduce vessel stability, which cannot be permitted. Aft of the main deck house on a somewhat extended main deck thereby becomes the best location. Figure 12.5 Private operator passenger vessel routes. Source: Google Earth, own compilation study team The direct environmental impact of CNG application in these passenger vessels is much lower than what it would be in the case of ferries. The potential for scalability, however, is substantial and many similar vessels could benefit from the lessons learned in a pilot project. BIWTA/BIWTC are interested in the execution of a pilot project. They are keen to reduce the operating costs of publicly-owned ferries in the public interest; 83 8 4 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh also to reduce the emission of harmful gases. The motivation of interested private sector passenger vessel operators is purely financial. OTHER ISSUES Two issues needing more attention were identified in the course of the mission to Bangladesh, namely:  Safety requirements;  Shortage of supply in the national NG distribution network. Safety Currently there are little or no regulatory barriers for the use of CNG in IWT. In the course of discussions with the BIWTC safety officer it was decided to further assess the following safety aspects:  No CNG storage cylinders or tanks should be located below the main deck of a vessel where ventilation may be insufficient, even taking into account that natural gas is lighter than air.  CNG storage could be placed in an open space on the main deck with sufficient natural ventilation. Care should be taken that escaping gas does not enter any pockets or spaces of the deck above.  The safest option would be to place CNG cylinders on an open deck outside the passenger area, or which is properly separated from the passenger space (e.g. by means of a fence).  When placing CNG tanks or other heavy items on vessels, the stability of the vessel must always be checked.  When filling CNG in tanks or cylinders that are mounted on a vessel, the fill connection must be on the main deck level to allow for easy connection of the fill hose.  Filling should not be allowed when there are passengers on board.  When filling, the crew should stay away from the tanks or cylinders.  No smoking should be allowed on the vessel, on the passenger terminal or in the direct vicinity of the vessel while filling. In the case of ferries there should be no vehicles on the car deck and no passengers in the superstructure. The same rules apply when using a CNG tank transport vessel and for private sector operated passenger vessels. In the case of the latter the tanks have to be exchanged at a private jetty during the idle hours, during which time there are normally no passengers around. A verification system should nonetheless be in place to ensure that no (early) passengers are on board and that no unauthorized personnel are in the vicinity of the vessel. None of these regulations are show-stoppers for either of the vessels identified as candidates for a pilot project. 84 Evaluation Shortage of natural gas supply The current shortage of NG in Bangladesh poses an additional barrier to CNG- use in IWT or any other high-consumption applications. The pressure in the national gas grid regularly drops to very low levels due to high demand and there is simply not enough gas in the grid during peak hours. Increasing demand by expanding CNG-use to IWT would aggravate this problem. This is one of the reasons why vessel operators are currently unwilling to switch to mono-fuel NG propulsion systems as refueling problems could put their incomes at risk. Dual-fuel engines could bypass this obstacle, as vehicles could fall back on diesel fuel in the event of CNG shortages. Vessels can also easily be restored to their original condition by removing the CNG tanks and piping and conversion would not, therefore, reduce the residual value of the engine or vessel should CNG become unavailable... NG shortages may pose a risk to the proposed pilot project at the moment, but it does not mean that the use of NG in IWT has to be reconsidered altogether. Most stakeholders interviewed in Bangladesh expected the government to address the shortage issue in the future, though uncertainty remains. RESULT: GATE 1 The BIWTC ferries appear to be the logical choice for a pilot project. Ferries consume large amounts of diesel fuel and continuously sail the same routes. However, there are some barriers. There is little room for mobile CNG tank units and Ro-Ro operations would be severely hampered if available space is used for storage. Other CNG storage solutions require a dedicated CNG refueling facility, which in turn requires investments that exceed the capacity of a single pilot project. Also, replacing ferry engines and converting them to dual-fuel operation will be expensive. Finally due to their continuous operations there is little time for refueling. Small private sector operated passenger vessels seem to be a more viable option, even though they consume less fuel and follow longer routes. From an operational perspective the vessels sailing daily from Narajanganj to Chandpur and back would be very suitable for a CNG pilot project. The main issue here is to find a suitable and safe location for the CNG tanks needed to complete a roundtrip without refueling. However, this challenge is not insurmountable and is further assessed during stage 2. There is enough time between return trips refueling. Small private sector operated vessels represent the best choice for the pilot project, in large part because of its smaller scale and lower investment needs. Yet, NG supply problems in Bangladesh hamper any pilot project of this nature, as it reduces the willingness of operators to switch over from diesel fuel. Dual-fuel systems present a solution for this problem as vessel operators retain diesel as a fall-back option, thereby increasing the attractiveness of the pilot project from their perspective. Small private sector operated vessels are therefore selected for the stage/gate 2 analysis. 85 8 6 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 12.2 S TAGE / GATE 2 ANALYSIS : DEFINITION This section examines the details of the technical and operational aspects of the pilot, based on the options chosen at the end of stage-gate 1. Figure 12.6 summarizes the steps taken during stage 2. Figure 12.6 Stage/gate evaluation methodology: definition stage Stage/Gate 2 Gate 1 SELECTION DEFINITION Technical details Operational details Stakeholders •Engine performance •Vessel use •Shipowner •Vessel adjustments •Fuel origination •Customers •Refilling system •Fuel distribution & •Government, etc. storage Deliverable: Gate 2 PILOT PLAN Source: study team OPERATIONAL DETAILS The selected passenger vessels are scheduled to sail from Narajanganj to Chandpur and back every day. A one-way trip is roughly 60 kilometers and takes some 6 hours. The following operational specifications are relevant:  Distance one-way trip: 60 km  Distance round trip: 120 km  Average groundspeed: 10 km/h  Average travel time round trip: 12 hours  Available time for refueling: 6 – 8 hours/day  Average number of sailing days per year: 330 days  Refueling: once daily Refueling will be done through existing CNG infrastructure for road transport. One or more mobile CNG tank units could be used. The mobile CNG tank units could be unloaded from the vessel when empty and transported to a nearby CNG filling station for refueling. Working pressure, fuel composition and the origin of the fuel are therefore identical to that in the road transport sector. A truck with a mounted crane is the most cost-effective option for the unloading, transporting, and reloading of the CNG tank unit. The truck driver 86 Evaluation has to lift the empty CNG tanks from the vessel and load them onto his truck for refueling at a nearby filling station. It is not necessary to offload the CNG units from the truck at the station and it will take roughly 30 minutes to fill them. The full CNG tank units have to be transported back and reloaded onto the vessel. The tanks could be transported by local companies, meaning that no additional investments are required in the pilot phase. Pontoons like the ones used as passenger terminals in Bangladesh cannot be used for the loading and offloading of mobile CNG tank units from and onto a vessel. A fixed dock is needed for this operation and there are a number of suitable private factory docks in the vicinity of Narajanganj. Factory owners confirmed that the docks could be used for unloading and reloading CNG tanks for 2 – 3 hours a day. Finally, the operational details of these passenger vessels make possible a flexible schedule, allowing for refueling during ‘off-peak’ hours. TECHNICAL DETAILS The passenger vessels vary in size, displacement and engine power. The technical details of the MV Trina (M-10467) will be used as the point of departure for this assessment. The MV Trina has the following specifications:  Length: 26.5 m  Beam: 6.25 m  Draught: 1.35 m  Engine power: 165 bhp  Fuel type: Petro-diesel  Specific fuel consumption: 180 g/bhph  Fuel consumption per hour: 30 kg/h at full power The vessel’s current diesel engine will be converted to dual-fuel operation. Dual-fuel conversion of diesel engines is a proven technology. Nonetheless, the substitution of diesel fuel by CNG in retrofitted dual-fuel systems is typically less efficient than what can be achieved with OEM dual-fuel engines. A 50 percent CNG-to-diesel substitution rate in day-to-day operation is therefore assumed for this pilot project. Engine performance is not affected by the dual-fuel conversion. Also fuel consumption in units of energy remains the same. The service life of dual-fuel retrofit systems varies, though the experience of Canadian ferries described above proves that 15 years is feasible. The energy consumption of a vessel doing a typical round trip at full power is calculated as follows:  Total travel time round trip: 12 hours  Fuel consumption at full power: +/- 30 kg/h  Total fuel consumption round trip: 355 kg diesel (425 liter diesel)  Total energy consumption round trip: 15.3 GigaJoules (GJ) 87 8 8 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh With 50 percent diesel fuel substitution, the 7.7 GJ per round trip needs to be produced from NG instead of diesel. This translates into roughly 185 kilograms 3 3 or 230 m of NG and a tank capacity of 0.92 m is needed to store this. CNG storage should ideally consist of two CNG tank units, each consisting of two 250 liter CNG cylinders mounted on a support frame. Assuming the use of Type 3 composite CNG cylinders, the four cylinders have the following specifications:  NG-equivalent Capacity: 65.8 m3  CNG-equivalent Volume: 250 liter  Tare weight: 91 kg  Gross weight: 144 kg  Diameter: 404 mm  Length: 2.800 mm  Service life: 15 years STAKEHOLDERS Private vessel operators and BIWTA, the inland waterways authority, are the main stakeholders of the proposed pilot project. BIWTA provides general support and maintains a regulatory framework that is beneficial for the development of CNG as an IWT fuel. The BIWTA also has to approve any CNG pilot project in IWT. The field mission in Bangladesh encountered strong support among private vessel operators for a CNG pilot project with a passenger vessel on short (< 100km) routes (like the selected route between Narajanganj and Chandpur). The subject was not new to them and they consider CNG as a good way of reducing operating costs. The possible reduction of exhaust emissions was less important to them. Dual fuel technology is preferred to mono-fuel CNG operation, because of the retention of conventional diesel as an option. Local stakeholders did not consider the reduction of passenger capacity in vessels to accommodate CNG tanks as a problem as the resulting cost savings were expected to cover this loss. However, the operators of passenger vessels appeared unwilling or unable to finance (part of) such a CNG pilot project themselves. An initial pilot project could demonstrate the viability of the required investments and influence attitudes toward the investments needed. RESULT: GATE 2 During stage 2 the vessel refueling options were reviewed and a design for the storage of CNG was proposed. The widespread use of mobile pontoons for public transport poses a constraint in Bangladesh and necessitates the use of private fixed docks for refueling (This characteristic does not necessarily feature in other countries). Vessels could therefore be refueled from local CNG stations using mobile tanks transported by and loaded and unloaded from trucks. A 50 percent CNG-to-diesel substitution rate is assumed for diesel 88 Evaluation engines already in operation, which is slightly less efficient than brand new dual-fuel OEM engines. Four 250 liter Type 3 composite CNG cylinders can be used for storage. 12.3 S TAGE / GATE 3 ANALYSIS : EVALUATI ON This section evaluates costs and benefits of a pilot to convert river vessel engines to dual fuel (CNG + diesel). It also assesses the impacts on emissions and comments on externalities which may influence the feasibility and scalability of the pilot project. Figure 12.7 summarizes the steps in the third stage. Figure 12.7 Stage/gate evaluation methodology: evaluation stage Stage/Gate 3 Deliverable: Gate 2 PILOT PLAN EVALUATION Cost / benefits Environmental Externalities •Economics •CO2 emissions •Fuel production •Other •Local air quality •LNG import Deliverable: Gate 3 PROJECT DECISION Source: study team COST/BENEFITS The costs and benefits of the pilot project are analyzed from a broad economic welfare perspective. This means that direct costs and benefits and all other possible positive and negative effects on the economy of the pilot country are taken into account. The economic cost benefit analysis (CBA) differs from a financial CBA in the following respect:  All duties paid and grants received in relation to the project are excluded from the analysis;  All prices are corrected for market distortions (such as taxes); and  If possible, the external effects of the project are internalized by including monetized costs and benefits. 89 9 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh The period of analysis is equal to the economic lifetime of the project and the residual value is included as revenue (in fact as a negative investment) at the end of the period of analysis. The economic internal rate of return (EIRR) can be calculated from the flow of costs and benefits generated. If the ratio is above a certain predefined limit (the capital opportunity costs), the project is feasible from an economic point of view. Other indicators of feasibility, such as net present value (NPV) and benefit cost ratio (B/C-ratio), were also calculated. Assumptions The following assumptions were made to set up this CBA:  12 a discount rate of 12% was used (BRAC 2008) ;  the assumed lifetime of the project is 15 years, with no residual value after ending of the project;  the investment period is 3 months. Economic costs The economic costs of the project consist of:  the investment costs of the project;  the annual maintenance costs of the project, indicated as a fixed percentage of the investment costs;  the annual operational costs of the project. Investment costs The table below provides an estimate of the total investment costs for the pilot project. Included are the costs of a CNG conversion kit, lightweight CNG tanks, local engineering of engine conversion and (most notably) the mobile tank unit (design & construction), and further miscellaneous material costs (piping, nozzles, etc). The costs were estimated based on telephone interviews with possible suppliers. T ABLE 12.1 I NVESTMENT COSTS FOR CNG DUAL FUEL SYSTEM ( IN USD) Economic Price in USD Market Price in USD CNG conversion kit 10,000 10,000 CNG tanks 16,000 16,000 Engineering 13,000 12,000 Other 4,000 4,000 Total 43,000 42,000 Source: Telephone interviews suppliers 12 Literature on cost-benefit analyses for Bangladesh gives rates between 10% and 15%. See for instance Alam (2009) and BRAC (2008). 90 Evaluation The CBA assumes that the materials are imported from abroad and possible taxes were taken into account in the calculation. Local engineering costs were corrected for a 10% labor tax. Maintenance costs In principle the use of a dual-fuel system reduces maintenance costs as NG fuels combust more cleanly. Reduced carbon deposits on piston rings, injectors, etc. mean that engine overhaul could be postponed. Lubricating oil does not become dirty as quickly, thereby extending the intervals between oil changes. The maintenance costs included in this assessment are relatively high at a 5% of total investment costs or USD 2,150 per annum. This was done to finance the following main activities:  recurrent replacement of fuel filters (every 1 – 3 years);  recurrent safety checks on injection nozzles, tanks and piping;  monitoring of emissions and related engine tuning to control emissions;  risk premium for daily (off)loading of CNG tank units. Repairs could become relatively expensive, especially when imported spare parts are needed (Type 3 CNG tanks, filters). It is assumed that maintenance will be sourced locally and maintenance costs have been corrected for VAT (4.5%). Maintenance costs without taxes thereby amount to USD 2,050 per annum. In reality little maintenance is carried out in the IWT sector in Bangladesh. When something breaks down it is repaired, apart from which little money is invested into maintenance. This is acceptable for diesel engines, but for safety reasons it is assumed that vessel operators will maintain the dual-fuel engines. Logistics costs Refueling a dual-fuel boat will involve higher logistical costs than only using petro-diesel (see stage 1). These costs include the following components:  hiring a heavy duty truck with mounted crane and driver, for refueling the CNG tanks (2 hours/sailing day);  additional vessel movements for loading and offloading of CNG tank units (2 hours/sailing day);  docking at a privately owned dock, for loading and offloading of CNG tank units (1 hour/sailing day). The extra personnel costs (vessel & truck operators) amount to some USD 2,000 per annum, based on annual personnel costs of USD 1,750 per FTE. An additional USD 2,000 per annum is spent on equipment costs (truck & docks), leading to a total logistical cost of USD 4,000 per annum. 91 9 2 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Economic benefits The economic benefits of the pilot can be assessed by comparing the expected costs and benefits with what the situation would be without implementation of the pilot. The following economic benefits were calculated:  Reduction in fuel costs to the ship operator.  External benefits of the project, i.e. externalities like environmental benefits or changes in safety. Input for these benefits result from the environmental analysis and the description of the externalities (see below). Fuel benefits The main economic benefit is the reduction of fuel costs to the operator. Table 12.2 below presents the cost difference between petro-diesel and CNG based on market prices in Bangladesh (cost per MJ of diesel is double that of CNG). T ABLE 12.2 P RICE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PETRO - DIESEL AND CNG Fuel type Marketprice in USD per native unit Marketprice in USD/MJ Petro-diesel 0.63 USD/L 0.012 USD/MJ CNG 0.23 USD/M3 0.006 USD/MJ Source: Field mission Bangladesh The price difference between diesel and CNG means that large savings could be achieved by switching to dual fuel. The table below estimates cost reductions that could be achieved by passenger vessels sailing between Narajanganj and Chandpur. A total amount of USD 28,500 could be saved per year, based on a daily roundtrip and 330 sailing days per year. This is almost one third of the total fuel costs per year. 1 T ABLE 12.3 F UEL COST SAVINGS FOR PILOT PROJECT WHEN USING CNG ( IN USD IN MARKET PRICES ) Per trip Per day Per year Petro-diesel 134 268 88,500 Dual fuel (50% CNG) 91 182 60,000 Saving 43 86 28,500 Source: study team 1 Based on the assumptions listed in stage 2 The taxation on CNG is much higher than on diesel in Bangladesh. The diesel price includes only 4.5% VAT compared to 32.7% tax on CNG. Excluding taxes increases the cost difference to USD 29,500 (see table 12.2 and 12.3 below). 92 Evaluation T ABLE 12.4 E CONOMIC P RICE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PETRO - DIESEL AND CNG Fuel type Economic price in USD per Economic price in USD/MJ native unit Petro-diesel 0.60 USD/L 0.012 USD/MJ CNG 0.15 USD/M3 0.004 USD/MJ Source: Field mission Bangladesh T ABLE 12.5 F UEL COST SAVINGS FOR PILOT PROJECT WHEN USING CNG ( IN USD IN ECONOMIC PRICES ) 1 Per trip Per day Per year Petro-diesel 128 256 84.5 Dual fuel (50% CNG) 83 166 55 Saving 45 90 29.5 Source: study team 1 Based on the assumptions listed in stage 2 External benefits The reduction of CO2 emissions and reducing emissions of sulphur and other particles constitute the key positive externalities of the project. CO2 emissions will be reduced by some 55 tons. Such savings are monetized using unit values based on the “Handbook on estimation of external costs” issued by the European commission (see table 12.4). The handbook gives three different scenarios for valuation of CO2. This CBA uses the central values. The total environmental benefits of the pilot project thereby increase from around USD 2,000 in 2011 to 3,500 in 2026. T ABLE 12.6 V ALUATION OF CO2 PER TON IN THREE DIFFERENT SCENARIO ’ S (USD PER TON ) Year of application Lower value Central value Upper value 2010 9 33 59 2020 22 52 91 2030 29 72 130 2040 29 91 176 2050 26 111 234 Source: CE Delft ea (2008), IMPACT – Handbook on estimation of external costs in the transport sector 93 9 4 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Result of the economic CBA The table below contains the results of the economic CBA. The CNG pilot has a very positive effect on the economy of Bangladesh. The NPV of the project is USD 201,000. This results in a benefit-cost ratio of 4.6 and an eIRR of 165%. The payback period (period after which cumulative costs and benefits reach positive level) is 0.7 years. T ABLE 12.7 R ESULTS OF C OST - BENEFIT ANALYSIS ( IN ‘000 USD) ( DISCOUNT RATE 12%) Effects in 2020 NPV 2011-2026 Costs Investment costs 0 -42 Maintenance costs 2 14 Logistical costs -4 -28 Total costs -2 -56 Benefits Fuel cost saving 32 239 Environmental benefits 3 18 Total benefits 34 258 Balance Benefits - Costs 33 201 B/C-ratio 4,6 EIRR 165% Source: study team Sensitivity analyses Sensitivity analyses were conducted for different scenarios to test the impact of variations in major assumptions. The following assumptions were tested:  Doubling of investment costs;  Tripling of logistical costs;  Investment period of one year (instead of 3 months);  200 sailing days per year (instead of 330);  3 Gas price of USD 0.50 per m (instead of 0.23);  Only 20% use of CNG (instead of 50%);  Lower value for environmental benefits (low case scenario);  Lifespan of 10 years (instead of 15). The results of the sensitivity analyses are presented in the following table. The outcome is sensitive to the level of the fuel prices and fuel mix percentages. However, the CBA remains positive even under extreme conditions. Other important sensitivities include the number of sailing days and the investment costs. 94 Evaluation T ABLE 12.8 O UTCOME OF VARIOUS SENSITIVITY ANALYSES Payback period in Scenario NPV in USD ‘000 B/C-ratio EIRR years Base case 201 4,6 165% 0,7 Doubling of investment costs 160 2,6 52% 2,3 Tripling of logistical costs 144 2,3 98% 1,2 Investment period of one year 179 4,4 77% 1,5 200 sailing days per year 100 2,8 64% 1,8 Gas price of USD 0.50 per m3 107 2,9 68% 1,7 Only 20% use of CNG in dual fuel 47 1,8 34% 3,8 Lower value for environmental benefits 190 4,4 150% 0,7 Lifespan of 10 years 162 4,0 165% 0,7 Source: study team ENVIRONMENTAL CNG fuel has clear environmental benefits over most other fossil fuels, especially if NG is the only fuel used. NG engines emit fairly low quantities of particulates, NOX, SOX, and CO2, in comparison with other fuels. These benefits are reduced when using dual-fuel engines running on a mixture of NG and diesel. CO2 emissions The annual CO2 emissions of the pilot vessel were calculated using the IPCC method (see Part A). Three options were analyzed: regular diesel operation, dual-fuel diesel-CNG operation (50/50) and mono-fuel CNG operation. First, a comparison with Tank-To-Propeller (TTP) emissions was made in each case. Second, Well-To-Tank (WTT) emissions were included in the comparison to reflect the impact of the fuel production and distribution chain on total CO 2 emissions. The diesel and CNG production chains generate similar amounts of CO2 emission per unit of energy. 95 9 6 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh Figure 12.8 Comparison of annual tank-to-propeller CO2 emissions per propulsion type (tons) Annual CO2 emissions [tons] 500 400 300 200 100 0 Diesel Dual-fuel diesel/CNG Monofuel CNG Tank-To-Propeller Well-To-Tank Source: Study team Switching to dual-fuel operation with a 50/50 fuel mixture will achieve a 10% decrease in CO2 emissions (Figure 12.8). Switching to mono-fuel CNG operation reduces CO2 emissions by 12%. Lower CO2 emissions are expected for mono-fuel CNG operation, but the emission reduction is to a large part offset by the lower efficiency of NG engines. Dual-fuel combines the advantages of diesel engines (high efficiency) and NG engines (clean fuel). The annual CO2 emissions of a dual-fuel engine could end up being lower than that of a mono-fuel CNG operation, if the share of NG in the dual-fuel mixture is increased. T ABLE 12.9 O VERVIEW OF CO2 EMISSIONS PER FUEL TYPE Propulsion type Tank-To- Well-To-Tank Well-To- Reduction % Propellor Propellor Diesel 375 68 443 - Dual-fuel diesel/CNG 329 70 399 10% Mono-fuel CNG 317 71 388 12% Source: Study team Dual-fuel technology requires careful maintenance and engine tuning. When NG is not combusted completely (due to engine wear or engine tuning), unburned hydrocarbons and methane are emitted through the exhaust. This leads to a significant increase in greenhouse gas emissions, even though CO2 emissions will remain relatively low. Methane has 21 times the greenhouse impact of CO2 on the atmosphere. It is easy to measure methane concentrations in exhaust gases on a regular basis, and high concentrations of the gas would help to indicate when maintenance or tuning is needed. These 96 Evaluation issues are especially relevant in the case of retrofitted systems and old engines. Accordingly the budget for the operational phase of the pilot includes sufficient money for monitoring and tuning (see above). Local air quality As NG is a clean fuel it is possible to reduce the emission of particulates, NOX and SOX significantly by switching to dual-fuel operation. However, NG combustion in a dual-fuel engine could still, and unpredictably so, generate high levels of these emissions, thereby impacting negatively on local air quality. Meticulous engine tuning and (typically) a lot of laboratory testing help to avoid this. The use of retrofit dual-fuel systems increases this risk. It is therefore recommended to include some sort of emission monitoring program in a dual-fuel pilot project. SCALABILITY No significant externalities were identified that could hinder the upscaling of the CNG pilot. This is due largely to the small scale of the proposed pilot, involving only one dual-fuel CNG passenger vessel. The annual NG consumption of the vessel roughly equals that of 15 ordinary delivery vans. It therefore cannot have a significant impact on national or local NG distribution, though customers using the existing CNG stations may have to wait longer when river vessel tanks are refilled. Consuming large amounts of NG in IWT could aggravate current supply shortages experienced during peak hours. Among the main reasons for selecting this pilot was its potential for scalability and the significant potential for positive environmental impacts. The full potential for CNG in IWT in Bangladesh is currently unknown. It is however obvious that a large number of inland water vessels would qualify for the use of this technology; also that expanding use to all these vessels would significantly decrease the emission of greenhouse gases and other harmful substances. However this would obviously aggravate current shortages experienced, particularly at peak hours and have a negative impact on practically the whole of Bangladesh. The acceleration of LNG imports in Bangladesh sea-harbors could constitute a possible positive impact. This could compensate for shortages brought about by NG use in IWT and could help to improve the supply situation as a whole. FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY The financial feasibility of the project from the perspective of the operator is also important. In assessing this account is taken only of such elements that are relevant to the operator, e.g. investments, operating costs and financial savings. The method used is the same as the one presented above, but without non-financial components like the environment. All costs and benefits include taxes and the results are presented in below table. The financial IRR amounts to 90%, and the payback period is 1.3 years. 97 9 8 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh T ABLE 12.10 F INANCIAL EVALUATION ( IN ‘000 USD) ( DISCOUNT RATE 12%) Effects in 2020 NPV 2011-2026 Costs Investment costs 0 -43 Maintenance costs -2 -15 Logistical costs -4 -31 Total costs -6 -88 Benefits Fuel cost saving 28 215 Total benefits 28 215 Balance Benefits - Costs 22 127 B/C-ratio 2.4 FIRR 90% Source: study team The results of the sensitivity analyses, which were similar to those done for the economic analysis, are presented in the table below. T ABLE 12.11 O UTCOME OF VARIOUS SENSITIVITY ANALYSES ON THE FINANCIAL ANA LYSIS NPV in USD Payback period in Scenario ‘000 B/C-ratio FIRR years Base case 127 2.4 90% 1.3 Doubling of investment costs 69 1.5 29% 4.6 Tripling of logistical costs 66 1.4 46% 2.7 Investment period of one year 109 2.3 52% 2.3 200 sailing days per year 42 1.5 33% 3.9 3 CNG price of USD 0.50 per m -13 0.9 5% N/A Only 20% use of CNG in dual fuel -2 1 11% N/A Lifespan of 10 years 101 2.2 90% 1.3 Source: study team The results correspond with the CBA sensitivity analysis. The gas price and the fuel mix used have the greatest influence on outcomes. CNG supply problems may further contribute toward a smaller percentage of CNG in the fuel mix. Other important factors include the investment costs and the number of sailing. Higher investment costs result in a longer payback period, which could affect the commercial interests of operators in a market that is highly competitive and uncertain. Confirmation of the viability of the project would 98 Evaluation require a more precise evaluation of these factors. However, it is clear that they constitute risks that could influence the decisions of private operators to shift from diesel to CNG. RESULT: GATE 3 The pilot is economically feasible and the economic internal rate of return of 165% fully justifies the pilot. This is due to the fairly low investment costs, substantial benefits arising from using cheaper CNG, and the environmental benefits. Sensitivity analyses confirm the robustness of the rate of return. The pilot is also financially feasible from an operator perspective. The pilot would significantly reduce the operators’ fuel costs, making possible an earn- back period of about 1.3 years. Factors such as an increase in CNG price or reduced CNG availability, represent risks for the operator and reduce the financial return on investment. Emissions from a dual diesel-CNG operation are generally lower than those from a conventional diesel operation. However, when NG is incompletely combusted, the engine could emit high levels of unburned hydrocarbons and methane. This is considered a risk especially in the case of retrofitted systems and old engines. Avoiding this will require a focus on engine maintenance and tuning. In the course of the project, vessel emissions should be monitored for particulates, NOx and SOx so as to evaluate the actual impact of the conversion. Scaling the pilot up to cover a large part of the IWT fleet will impact on the overall demand of CNG in the country concerned. This could influence market prices and act as a constraint in the case of limited supplies, as is the case in Bangladesh at the moment. Due to its small size the pilot itself will have no effect on NG supplies. However, such impacts could be felt should the project be scaled up to the rest of the IWT fleet, especially during peak hours. Longer term solutions such as importing LNG via Bangladesh seaports are being investigated. 99 1 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 0 ANNEX 1. LIST OF WORKSHOP PARTICIPANTS Participants of the workshop held Sunday 5 September 2010 in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Name Position Organisation Ms. Jesmin Aga Begum Chief planning manager BIWTC Tanvir Haider Junior marine officer BIWTC Quazis Sarwar Imtiaz Hashmi Director (Planning) DOE Krantakan A. Hannan Chief, marine Construction BIWTC Mr Fazhul Hoque DC PL manager BIWTC Ishtiaque Ahmed Transport specialist World Bank Dr. M.R.H. Whandeka Advisor Spectra Group Md Abdul Basher Joint director (ports) BIWTA A Razzaque JF Director (exp) BIWTA Md Manzour Quadir Sr Deputy Director BIWTA Md Zabizul Alam Khan Sr DDCP BIWTA Khandaker Rasel Hosan DD (Planning) BIWTA Md Zahangir Ham A.E. (MME) BIWTA Eng Md Shafiqul Islam Deputy Manager (CNG) RPGCL Eng Md Kabir Hossai AE (MEE) BIWTA Parvez Ali Anwar Khan IWT Consultant Independent Eng A.I.M. Nuzullah DGM RGPCL, Petrobangla Md Mojiluwe Rahman Sanker D. chief engineering BIWTA Md. Sharif Islam Deputy secretary Min of Shipping Mahmud Hassan Salam Director (planning) BIWTA Md. Alangir Khan Director Dept of Shipping Md Syreful Hasim Joint Chief Min of Shipping Md. Sajjadul Islam Deputy Chief Min of Shipping Umme Hasima Assistant Chief Min of Shipping Md Amirul Islam Assistant Chief Min of Shipping M.A. Fawily Khan Programme officer World Bank Mohammed Sharia Khafers Senior executive HB Consultants Hasan Hafijun Rahman Executive HB Consultants Fawzia Shireen Sultana Executive HB Consultants Shireen Lutfunessa General Director HB Consultants Golam Molla Moulah Expert HB Consultants Dr. Ismail Expert HB Consultants Dick d’Arnaud Key expert ECORYS Floor Smakman Moderator ECORYS 100 Evaluation ANNEX 2: LIST OF INTERVIEWS Bangladesh field mission:  Dhaka Port o Mr Mo.Shahidalla -deputy Director of Terminal  BIWTC o Mr. Osman Amin, Director Technical o Mrs Jesmin Ara Begum, Chief Planning Manager o Mr. Mosharof Hossain GM (Commercial) o Capt Sawkat Sarder, GM (Marine)  BIWTA o Mr Feroza Ahmed Member (Engineering) o Mahmud Hasan Salim Sr Dep Director (Planning)  Department of Shipping o Mr. Md. Alamgir Khan, Director  Titas Gas o Mr Abdul Aziz Khan, Managing Director  Private Operators Association o Mr Al Haj Md Badiuzzaman Badal Senior Vice Chairman BIW Passengers Carrier Association o + additional experts  World Bank Dhaka o Mr Ishtiaque Ahmed Transport Specialist  Paturia Ferry Terminal o Mr M A Matin, DGM o Mr. Enamul Haque, Mechanical Engineer o Mr Abdus Satter  Site visit Narayangonj Port  Ministry of Shipping o Mr. Sajjadul Islam Netherlands/Germany:  EICB o Mr. Khalid Tachi, advisor innovation  MARIN o Henk G. Blaauw - Sr Project Manager Ships  PON Power o Mr. Rob Paulussen, Account Manager Shipping o Mr. Gerhard Groot Enzerink, technical solutions  VDB Duisburg  DST o Dipl Ing Mr. Zoellner 101 1 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 2 ANNEX 3: CONVERSION FACTORS Short ton 0.90718474 Metric ton mile 1.609344 km Gallon 3.7854118 Liter Short ton 2000 lbs lbs 453.59237 gr 102 Evaluation ANNEX 4: OVERVIEW OF IWT R&D PROJECTS This annex gives an overview of ongoing research on IWT innovation. The annex aims to give an overview of the broadness of different ongoing programs. There are programs that focus mainly on technology, while others mainly aim to improve operations. Besides an overview of research programs, the annex also describes some individual projects which could lead to notable results. PLATINA In 2006 the European Commission initiated an action plan called NIADES to enhance the use of inland navigation as part of intermodal freight solutions. The objective was to create a sustainable, competitive and environmentally friendly Europe-wide transport network. The action plan was embraced by the inland navigation sector who collaborated with the Commission to create a multi-disciplinary knowledge network, PLATINA, so as to speed up progress toward NAIADES goals. The project is financed within the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Commission. PLATINA consists of 22 partners from nine different countries. The core consortium consists of Via Donau (Austria) as coordinator, Voies navigables de France (France), Bundesverband der Deutschen Binnenschiffahrt (Germany), Promotie Binnenvaart Vlaanderen (Belgium) and the Rijkswaterstaat Centre for Transport and Navigation (The Netherlands). Five work packages within the PLATINA deal with specific policy areas:  Markets;  Fleet;  Jobs & skills;  Image;  Infrastructure. Work package two, fleet, specifically deals with IWT innovation. The objective of the work package is to ‘improve logistics efficiency, environmental and safety performance of IWT’. Tasks are to support European IWT innovation and set up an IWT innovation database. The first task within the work package is to identify new innovations in Europe, to provide assistance during the “incubation period” of an innovation, and to speed up promotion and dissemination of the technology. The second part of 103 1 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 4 the programme focuses on registering innovations on a database and to make 13 them available to the public through a web based tool. CREATING CREATING was a research programme of the European Commission carried out under the Sixth Framework Programme for research, technological development and demonstration activities. Main focus of the programme was to stimulate waterborne transport through improved integration of shipping into existing transport chains. CREATING has a logistical and a technological focus. The aim of the technological focus is to promote state of the art ship designs for improved economic, safety and environmental performance. Ships have to fulfil the highest requirements regarding:  Ship hydrodynamics: decreasing the hull resistance of the ship and optimizing both propulsion and maneuverability  Engines: to be as efficient and clean as possible  Safety: reducing the risks involved in transport The CREATING Team comprised 27 partners from 9 countries and deals with the Rhine and Danube basin, the North-South connection from the Netherlands to France, and the East-West canals in Germany and Poland. The team includes research institutes, shipyards and relevant branch organizations (viz. shippers, inland navigation) and maintains strong relations with the authorities. CREATING started in July 2004 and ended after a period of three years. Among the mechanisms used to improve the environmental performance of inland navigation were cruise control systems, low sulphur fuel, selective catalytic reduction and particulate matter filters. These systems were implemented in the pilot project “The Cleanest Ship”. Today this ship is still in service and operated between Rotterdam and Antwerp. 13 The tool is still in progress, but will be made available on http://www.naiades.info 104 Evaluation Figure 12.9 The Cleanest Ship, M/S Victoria Photo ECORYS Program “VoortVarend besparen” The program “VoortVarend Besparen”, or Energetic Saving, is an initiative of 14 the Dutch Ministry of Transport. Goal of the initiative is to increase the fuel efficiency of inland shipping by convincing shippers to sail more economically. The program consists of four aspects: 1. Communication program; 2. Platform introducing competition on fuel saving; 3. Training; 4. Provision of technical assistance applications. The first step in the program was a broad communication program. The initiative was set up with many stakeholders including large shipping firms and industry organizations. The aim was to reach as many individual ship operators as possible and to convince them to join the program. 14 See www.voortvarendbesparen.nl 105 1 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 6 The second part of the program was a fuel saving competition. The fuel usage of ships that entered the competition was registered over a set period in 2009. The goal of the 2010 competition was for ship operators to save improve on the savings achieved in the previous year. Ship operators could participate in a training programme on economic sailing to increase their chances in the competition. The key point of the training was to convince experienced ship operators of the costs and benefits of sailing more economically. The last part of the program consisted of providing technical assistance for applications. The programme made it financially attractive to buy mechanisms such as the tempomaat (see section 2.4). The program builds on the operational efficiency improvements as discussed in section 2.2. Examples of individual projects EcoFlow EcoFlow is a Dutch project that will aim to design and build a green and economically sustainable inland ship. The goal is to put this “vessel for the future” into service in 2012. The vessel is to be cost efficient and will comply with all new laws and regulations. EcoFlow will examine all aspects of ship configuration, including design, equipment, loading and unloading, propulsion and automation. It also looks at low emission sailing, hybrid propulsion, fuel savings, ship's build (underwater) and on board integrated control systems. Combi International (supplier of inland vessels), Wärtsilä Netherlands (including marine engines and propulsion systems), TeamCo Shipyard (fitting- out) and Reederei Deymann (inland tanker shipping) each have their own field of experience and expertise in developing green and economically sustainable products. These four parties expect to provide derived solutions for greener, cleaner and more sustainable ships. The project is currently in the preliminary phase with exploratory talks being held between several parties. Expert parties include government agencies, class societies, inland shipping interest groups and banks. Project Energy-saving air-Lubricated Ships (PELS) PELS was set up to enhance scientific and technical knowledge about the effect of air lubrication on the behavior of inland and seagoing ships under various operational conditions. It aims to make safe and efficient application of air lubrication possible within 5-10 years, thereby to significantly reduce ship fuel consumption and emissions. There were two PELS projects: PELS I from 2001 – 2004 and PELS II from 2005 – 2009. 106 Evaluation The project approach combined experimental and numeric research. Experimental research provided insight into the impact of air lubrication on frictional resistance, the flow patterns of water/air bubbles mixture around the hull, and information for validating the flow simulation tools that were developed. The project was carried out by a consortium of shipbuilding enterprises and R&D organisations. Participants from the shipbuilding industry included Bodewes Binnenvaart, Damen shipyards, Van der Giessen – de Noord, Scheepswerf Grave en de Netherlands’ Shipbuilding Industry Association (VNSI). Research organizations included the DK-Group NL, a subsidiary of a Danish enterprise developing fuel-efficient fast ships and the Maritime Research Institute of the Netherlands MARIN. The BOS Foundation was appointed by MARIN to coordinate the project. Economic evaluations were conducted of inland vessels of 110 m length, 11.4 m width and draft of 3.2 m (standard Rhine self propelled vessel). It was concluded that an earn back period of 2 years would be possible. Friction with the surrounding water accounts for most of the resistance faced by ships. Efficiency improvements of up to 20% could be achieved by reducing resistance, though this would require improvements that go beyond what can be achieved by traditional means such as shape optimization and minimizing the radiated waves. Insulating the ship from the water by means of an air layer is a promising technique to reduce friction Low Impact Urban Transport water Omnibus (LIUTO) The Industrial and Materials Technologies (BRITE/EURAM 3) programme fell under the European Commission’s fourth Framework Programme. One of the projects in this programme was the Low Impact Urban Transport water Omnibus (LIUTO). The LIUTO industrial research project consisted of a collaborative venture between six partners from three European countries. The principal objective of LIUTO was to design a hull shape that would minimize wave wash while maintaining or improving vessel maneuverability and performance. The LIUTO waterbus hull was designed, developed and refined by the Department of Naval Architecture (D.I.N.) of the Frederico II University in Naples, Italy. The objectives were to create a lightweight, stress- resistant and low maintenance vessel with significantly reduced wave formation. The resulting modifications to the LIUTO design resulted in a 30 % reduction in wave generation at the ship's median speed. The prototype’s propulsion system consists of two electric motors powered by battery packs that are, in turn, charged by a diesel generator running at a constant speed. Low fuel consumption and low emissions are achieved by running the diesel engines at a single optimum efficiency level. Such hybrid diesel-electric power systems, although more costly to build, might find application in high-speed ferries. The technology developed and perfected through the LIUTO project can be applied in other cities that rely on urban water transport, such as Amsterdam, Bangkok or Dhaka. 107 1 0 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 8 INBISHIP The EU research project INBISHIP™ developed a revolutionary approach to inland cargo ship design. The project takes into account quantified environmental impacts of a conventional inland freighter and develops a concept to significantly reduce these while improving safety and economic efficiency. A concept was developed to improve the economic and environmental performance of conventional river ships, especially in instance where one is dealing with an imbalanced demand for downstream and upstream navigation. It consists of the following elements:  flexible propulsion power control – diesel-electric prime movers (generator sets) and Azipod electric propulsion  stowage space for 14 TEU in length instead of 13 TEU at conventional vessel of the same standardized 110 m length  azimuth pods and powerful bow thrusters enabling extraordinary maneuvering features thus improving safety of operation  accommodation and wheelhouse arranged forward thus enabling an excellent visibility for the skipper and comfort for the crew far away from the vibrations and the noise of the machinery concentrated aft Following these principles the ship gains some 7% container capacity compared to a conventional vessel of the same size, while reducing fuel costs through optimal use of on board power according to the loading and nautical conditions. INBAT INBAT means Innovative Barge Trains for Effective Transport on Inland Shallow Waters and focuses on designing, producing and operating inland barge trains. Safe, environmentally friendly and efficient ships will enable more transport on smaller or seasonally not navigable inland waterways. The final results of the INBAT project will enable cost effective transport at water depths of up to 1 m. This will be made possible by a combination of lightweight constructions based on new material application, an innovative barge train concept and improved propulsive systems. Changes at the design and production stages will reduce construction costs and improve payloads. The cost-benefit calculations executed within the INBAT project will identify where such innovative barge trains can be operated. The designed barge trains could substitute road transport and reduce the overall environmental impact. e-Navigation In Europe and the USA, electronic systems are being developed to enhance traffic management, planning and safety. e-Navigation is a new concept that 108 Evaluation aims to integrate existing/new vessel and shore-based navigational tools into an “all embracing” system. It was defined by the International Association of Marine Aids to-Navigation and Lighthouse Authorities (IALA) as: The harmonized collection, integration, exchange, presentation and analysis of maritime information onboard and ashore by electronic means to enhance berth to berth navigation and related services, for safety and security at sea and protection of the marine environment” Major components include electronic charts, radar, AIS, and precise positioning from satellite and/or land-based navigation systems. For inland navigation these technologies also apply. There are two major challenges when moving from concept to implementation: 1. Ensuring the availability of all system components and using them effectively to simplify the display of crucial navigation-related information. 2. Incorporating new technologies in a structured way while ensuring that their use is compliant with the existing navigational communication technologies and services. Main components on which research is being conducted are:  Electronic chart data/nautical pubs: these will allow an increased use of smart data (data tagged with intelligence), reduce (or eliminate) printed Notices-to Mariners (NotM), NTNI, & lock tickets, allow the use of system-wide updates of Aids-to-Navigation (AtoN), Notices to Mariners (NotM, notices to navigation, etc. and a seamless integration for the mariners, such as river permits, safety zones, CDC reports, air gap, lock lower gauge, etc.  AIS (Automated Identification System) will be in widespread use by inland system operators in the near future. It will enable increased situational awareness from vessel and shore-based operators (e.g., location & movement of other vessels).  Lock Operations: likely in the future more operation rules can be performed electronically (increase in assignment/management)  VTS (Vessel Traffic Systems) will play an increased role (information on ice, flooding, buoys, etc.)  AtoN (Aids to Navigation): Virtual buoys could be used in lieu of e.g. ice buoys.  Finally, towboat operators wish for more information on e.g. current 15 flow data (locks, dams, bridges, etc.) and on drift (floating debris). 15 Summary Report Inland Navigation Technology ’09, “Digital Technology’s Impact on Safety and Efficiency” 3-4 February 2009, US Army Engineer Research and Development Center Coastal & Hydraulic Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS 109 1 1 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 0 The use of satellite systems for positioning and communication are being explored elsewhere as well. For example in Malaysia, the use of GNSS is 16 considered for inland water transport in Sungai Rajang. REFERENCES Ahmed, A., A. Fujiwara & J. Zhang (2010), Land Transport sector in Bangladesh: An Analysis towards GHG emission reduction strategies. Journal of International Development and Cooperation, Vol. 16, nr 2, 2010 pp. 55-68 Alam, K. (2009), Cost-Benefit Analysis of Restoring Buriganga River, Bangladesh. International Journal of Water Resources Development, Volume 24, Issue 4 December 2008, p 593 - 607 D’Arnaud, D.E. (1989), Lectures on fuel efficiency and vessel design for ESCA P, Bangkok. BRAC (2008), Cost-benefit Analysis of CFPR Beelen, M. (2010),` Capacity utilization of inland navigation vessels. Marjan Beelen, University of Antwerp, Department of Transport and Regional Economics. FISN expert meeting November 2010. BvB (2009), The Power of Inland Navigation CCR (2008), Inland navigation in Europe – Market observation 2008-1 CCR (2009), Inland navigation in Europe – Market observation 2009-1 CE Delft, Environmental data and policy on non-road transport modes, 2005 CE Delft (2008), STREAM Studie naar TRansport Emissies van Alle Modaliteiten (Study into TRansport Emissions in All Modes of transport) CE Delft ea (2008), IMPACT - Handbook on estimation of external costs in the transport sector CREATING (2005), www.creating.eu DENA, The role of natural gas and biomethane in the fuel mix of the future in Germany, 2010 16 UN / USA INTERNATIONAL MEETING ON THE USE AND APPLICATIONS OF GNSS 13 13-17 December 2004, The Applications of GNSS in Malaysia: Status Updates, Dr. Mustafa Din Subari, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 110 Evaluation Department for Transport, Carbon and Sustainability, Reporting Within the Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation, 2008 Denier van der Gon, H., Hulskotte, J. (2010), Methodologies for estimating shipping emissions in the Netherlands. A documentation of currently used emission factors and related activity data, BOP report, Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven. European Commission (2010), EU Energy & Transport in Figures: Statistical pocketbook 2010 Ecofys (2009), Beleidsdocument Schoner Varen Amsterdam, Utrecht. (in Dutch) ECORYS (2008), Monitor VoortVarend Besparen, Fase 2: nulmeting (Monitor fuel economies in inland shipping) ECORYS (2009), Basisgegevens voor tariefstructuur Anders Betalen voor Mobiliteit (Base data for a tariff structure for Road Pricing). ECORYS & Consia (2010), Fuel Efficiency, Trade Facilitation and GHG Emissions: The case for coastal and inland waterways in Vietnam Ecospec (2011), website and CSNOX product brochure, http://www.ecospec.com/ EICB, 2010, Water Truck, www.eicb.nl Einang, P.M., Haavik, K.M. (2000), The Norwegian LNG Ferry, Paper A-095 NGV 2000 Yokohama, Trondheim. Grimmelius, H.T. and P. de Vos (2010), Towards Environment-Friendly Inland Shipping Propulsion systems for inland ships using different fuels and fuel cells. TU Delft. Paper for FISN Expert meeting – Antwerp November 2010 Hekkenberg, R.G. (2010), Who will build tomorrow’s inland ships? – A glimpse into the future of the inland ship building sector. Delft University of Technology. IEA (2007), CO2 emissions from fuel combustion 1971 – 2005 IEA & SMP (2004), The IEA/SMP Transportation Model INBAT (2005), Project Innovative Barge trains, http://www.vbd.uni- duisburg.de/inbat/index.htm Klein, J., G. Geilenkirchen, A. Hoen, J. Hulskotte, N. van Duynhoven, R. de Lange, A. Hensema, D. Broekhuizen & H. Molnar-in 't Veld (2009), Methods for calculating the emissions of transport in the Netherlands, 111 1 1 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 2 Task Force Traffic and Transport of the National Emission, CBS, Voorburg. NGV (2009), Gas vehicle report OECD (2010), OECD Statistical Database PLATINA, 2010, Platform for the Implementation of NAIADES, www.naiades.info. Pon Power (2010), company brochure on CNG propulsion systems Schweighofer, J. & H. Blaauw (2009), The cleanest ship project. Final report. Texas Transportation Institute & Center for Ports & Waterways (2009), A modal comparison of domestic freight transportation effects on the general public. Report of December 2007, amended in February 2009 TREMOVE model (2009). Model version 2.7b. Developed by Transport & Mobility Leuven UN / USA (2004), International meeting on the use and applications of GNSS, 13-17 December 2004, The Applications of GNSS in Malaysia: Status Updates, Dr. Mustafa Din Subari, Universiti Teknologi, Malaysia. USACE (2009), Summary Report Inland Navigation Technology ’09, “Digital Technology’s Impact on Safety and Efficiency” 3-4 February 2009, US Army Engineer Research and Development Center Coastal & Hydraulic Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS USACE (2009b), Waterborne transportation lines of the United States Visser, E. (2009), EN 590 voordeliger dan Binnenvaartgasolie. Scheepvaartkrant-200909 (in Dutch) World Bank (2007), An Overview of China's Transport Sector World Bank, 2007, People’s Republic of Bangladesh Revival of Inland Water Transport, Options and Strategies. May 29, 2007. Zbaraza, D. (2004), Natural Gas Use for On-sea Transport, Trondheim. 112 Evaluation INTERNET LINKS CREATING (2005), www.creating.eu Ecospec (2011), website and http://www.ecospec.com/ CSNOX product brochure, EICB, 2010, Water Truck www.eicb.nl PLATINA, 2010, Platform for the www.naiades.info. Implementation of NAIADES Program “VoortVarend www.voortvarendbesparen.nl besparen” 113 1 1 Energy Efficient Inland Water Transport in Bangladesh 4 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS B/C-ratio Benefit Cost ratio Bhp Brake Horsepower BIWTA Bangladesh Inland Water Transport Authority BIWTC Bangladesh Inland Water Transport Company CBA Cost Benefit Analysis CNG Compressed Natural Gas CO2 Carbon Dioxide DOS Department of Shipping EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return FTE Full-time equivalent GDP Gross Domestic Product GHG Greenhouse Gases 9 GJ Gigajoule (10 joule) IPCC International Panel on Climate Change IW Inland Waterways IWT Inland Waterways Transport LNG Liquefied Natural Gas 6 MJ Megajoule (10 joule) MOS Ministry of Shipping Mt Million tons MV Motor Vessel NG Natural Gas NOX Nitrogen Oxide NPV Net Present Value OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer SOx Sulfur oxide Ton-km, tkm Ton-kilometers TTP Tank-To-Propeller USD United States Dollars WTT Well-To-Tank 114 Transport Division Transport, Water and Information and Communication Technology Department The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433 USA www.worldbank.org/Transport 115