FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE Housing Finance: Investment Opportunities For Pension Funds © 2018 The World Bank Group 1818 H Street NW Washington, DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet: www.worldbank.org All rights reserved. This volume is a product of the staff and external authors of the World Bank Group. The World Bank Group refers to the member institutions of the World Bank Group: The World Bank (International Bank for Reconstruction and Development); International Finance Corporation (IFC); and Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), which are separate and distinct legal entities each organized under its respective Articles of Agreement. We encourage use for educational and non-commercial purposes. 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FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE TABLE OF CONTENTS ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS III ACKNOWLEDGMENTS V EXECUTIVE SUMMARY VII INTRODUCTION 1 Pension Fund Investments in Housing Financing 1 Methodology and Approach 3 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 5 Supply-side Investment Opportunities 5 Demand-side Investment Opportunities 7 SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – DIRECT INVESTMENT IN HOUSING PROJECTS 9 The Pros and Cons of Direct Investment 9 Preconditions for Successful Direct Investment 10 Equity Investment in a Housing Developer 11 Pros and Cons of an Equity Investment in a Housing Developer 11 Preconditions for a Successful Equity Investment in a Housing Developer 12 SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN HOUSING PORTFOLIOS 15 Co-funding for Housing Funds 15 Pros and Cons of Co-funding for Housing Funds 15 Preconditions for Successful Co-funding for Housing Funds 15 Investment in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) 15 Pros and Cons of REITs 19 Preconditions for Successful REITs 19 SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN SOCIAL HOUSING BONDS 23 Pros and Cons of Investing in Social Housing Bonds 23 Preconditions for Investing in Social Housing Bonds 24 SUMMARY – SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES 27 DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES - INVESTMENT IN PROVISION OF MORTGAGE LOANS 29 Pension Funds Investing in Intermediaries Offering Mortgage Loans 29 Pension Fund Taking an Equity Stake in a Mortgage Originator 29 Pension Fund Providing Wholesale Funding to an Intermediary 29 HOUSINGAND PUBLIC PENSION FUND GOVERNANCE INVESTMENT: FINANCE LESSONS – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FROM EUROPE AND FOR CENTRAL PENSION ASIA FUNDS I DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES - INVESTMENT IN MORTGAGE SECURITIES 31 Pros and Cons of Mortgage Securities 31 Preconditions for Creating a Successful Mortgage Security Market 33 Mortgage Securities – The Experience in Emerging Markets 33 Covered Bonds (on-balance sheet mortgage securities) 35 Pros and Cons of Covered Bonds 36 Mortgage Backed Securities (off-balance sheet mortgage securities) 38 Pros and Cons of Mortgage Backed Securities 40 Bonds issues by Mortgage Liquidity Facility (MLF) 40 Pros and Cons of Mortgage Liquidity Finance 43 Preconditions for a Mortgage Liquidity Facility 43 SUMMARY – DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES 45 CONCLUSION 47 Pension System Considerations 47 Country-specific Considerations 49 Areas for Future Investigation 49 In Summary 50 ANNEXES 51 REFERENCES 57 ENDNOTES 63 LIST OF CASE STUDIES Case Study 1. Direct Investment – How Partnerships Unlock Emerging Markets 11 Case Study 2. Equity Investment in a Housing Developer – When Things Do Not Go According To Plan 13 Case Study 3. Gauteng Partnership Fund 16 Case Study 4. Social Housing as an Investment Asset Class for Pension Funds1 – Opportunities in the UK 17 Case Study 5. REITs in Africa 20 Case Study 6. Social Housing Bonds – The Australian Experience 24 Case Study 7. New Dutch Approach to Mortgage Origination 30 Case Study 8. SA Home Loans – Securitization as a Funding Tool 32 Case Study 9. Covered (Mortgage) Bonds – Chile’s Letras de Crédito 37 Case Study 10. United States – Mortgage Backed Securities Market 39 Case Study 11. Nigerian Mortgage Refinance Company (NMRC) – On the Mark – Successfully Connecting 42 TABLE OF CONTENTS II LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Total Assets in Funded and Private Pension Arrangements as a Percentage of GDP: 2016 2 Figure 2. Pension Fund Allocation to ‘Land & Buildings’ 3 Figure 3. Investment Opportunities for Pension Funds 6 Figure 4. REITs Across Africa 21 Figure 5. Mortgages Outstanding (By Country) as a Percentage of GDP 34 Figure 6. Capital Market Facilitated Housing Finance in Emerging Markets 35 Figure 7. Mortgage Covered Bonds 36 Figure 8. The Mechanics of Securitization 38 Figure 9. Mechanics of a Mortgage Liquidity Facility 41 Figure 10. Housing Investment Instrument by Level of Risk 47 HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS III FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ARMs Adjustable Rate Mortgage Loans CAHF Centre for Affordable Housing in Africa CHP Community Housing Project CMO Collatoralized Mortgage Obligation DC Defined Contribution DB Defined Benefit GDP Gross Domestic Product GFP Gauteng Partnership Fund GSE Government Sponsored Entity HCA Housing Communities Agency HFC Housing Finance Company HIFSA Housing Investment Fund South Africa MBS Mortgage Backed Security MoFI Ministry of Finance Incorporated MLS Mortgage Liquidity Facility MMS Mortgage Market System NMRC Nigerian Mortgage Refinance Company OECD Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development PMO Primary Mortgage Banks PAYG Pay As You Go REIT Real Estate Investment Trust RPI Retail Price Index SAHL South African Home Loans SARB South African Reserve Bank SPV Special Purpose Vehicle RSC Registered Social Landlord SIB Social Impact Bond SII Social Impact Investing THFC The Housing Finance Corporation WEF World Economic Forum WHC Watumishi Housing Company ZAR South African Rand HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS V FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE ACKNOWLEDGMENTS T he authors of this paper are Linda Sing (Adjunct Faculty Member of the University of Pretoria’s Gordon Institute of Business Science), Fiona Stewart (Lead Financial Sector Specialist of the World Bank Group) and Simon Walley (Lead Financial Sector Specialist of the World Bank Group). Research and input for the report were provided by Guillermo Larrain (Professor in the Economics Department of the University of Chile) and Eun Jung Park (Operations Officer, World Bank Group). Comments were also gratefully received from the following World Bank colleagues Loic Chiquier, Mark Davis, Ekaterina Gratcheva and Andrey Milyutin. Appreciation is also extended to Aichin Lim Jones for design and layout support. This paper was presented at The World Bank Group’s 8th Global Housing Finance Conference “Breaking the Mold”, held from 30 May to 1 June 2018 in Washington D.C. HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS VII FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY T he global housing deficit in both developed and developing countries is increasing – driven by demographic and other mega-trends including urbanization and income inequality. Global pension fund assets, on the other hand, are both growing and increasingly looking for long-term, productive investments. There are multiple avenues through which pension It appears as though some inroads are already being made funds can invest in the housing sector. ‘Supply in linking invested pension fund assets with investments side’ investment opportunities range from direct in housing developments in specific developing investments in housing projects or investments in economies. Nevertheless, it is also evident that there housing developers, to investments in housing funds remains significant potential for more investment by or social housing bonds. pension funds in housing-related instruments. Several factors are needed for the ‘stars to align’ including: ‘Demand side’ investment opportunities include a supportive legislative framework; trustees must be a range of investments in mortgage securities - trained so that they are understand and are comfortable whether covered bonds, mortgage-backed securities with housing investments and the risks involved (which or via bonds issued by mortgage-liquidity facilities.1 varies considerably by products), and can include them However, the supply and demand sides of the in their investment mandates; having pension funds of equation do not fit together as neatly in practice as on sufficient size to make these investments and build this paper. One key point to note is that the regions where knowledge is required - which generally means large, the funding for affordable housing is most pressing funded schemes, often from the public sector with some are generally the jurisdictions with the lowest additional development mandate; pension schemes with pension fund coverage for its citizens. Therefore, a younger membership and offering less investment with notable exceptions, where the financing is choice to members are better placed to invest in more needed the most, access to domestic pension fund illiquid asset, which housing investments often represent. assets are least available. Products which cater to a large numbers of informal sector workers are needed to make the pension and Even amongst the largest, most sophisticated housing savings link in developing countries – which and mature pension funds, investments in ‘land will also need to attract foreign pension investment to and buildings’ (under which housing is generally provide the scale of capital required. categorized) remain relatively minimal, compared to the asset categories where most of the assets are None of this will take off without stable macro- typically invested, i.e. bills and bonds, shares and fundamentals, well-developed capital markets, mutual funds. In addition, the prevailing legal or and indeed a well-developed housing sector (with regulatory regime may also restrict pension funds established developers and construction companies, from investing, which impacts the type of housing vibrant home ownership and/or rental markets, robust finance investment or investment instrument that is registration along with political will and supporting adopted by pension schemes. In addition to creating policies to advocate for investment in housing). instruments with the appropriate risk-return profile, Data showing the extent to which and how pension past experience showed that without the right kinds funds are investing in housing is still limited and of incentives, mobilizing pension fund assets for deserves further research. Further policy and housing investments can be constrained. regulatory guidance on the different investment vehicles is also required. HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS IX FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE INTRODUCTION T he global housing deficit is expected to burgeon to one billion units by 2025 and is estimated to cost an estimated US$ 650 million per year – or between US$ 9 trillion and US$ 11 trillion in total.2 Other sources put the overall cost at US$ 16 trillion, if the cost of land is factored in.3 The provision of affordable housing is a long-standing policy challenge,4 but is being exacerbated by well-known demographic trends, including urbanization5 and global inequality, which is pricing even middle-class households out of ownership in many countries.6 A staggering 90 percent of urban growth by 2030 will occur in Africa, Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean.7 Governments cannot be expected to finance the entire housing deficit and policymakers are looking to the private sector to elp support the developmental objectives in the housing sector. Pension Fund Investments in sophisticated and mature pension funds, investments Housing Financing in ‘land and buildings’ – which is how housing investments are generally classified10 – remained Pension funds – with over US$38 trillion assets relatively minimal, compared to the asset categories in OECD countries alone8 – are one of the largest remain where most of the assets are typically sources of private sector investments, and potentially invested, i.e. bills and bonds, shares and mutual sources of housing finance. In terms of the value of funds. Pension funds in many developing economies assets held by private pension funds as a percentage invest predominantly in government bonds, that are of GDP, the weighted average for OECD countries basically deemed to be risk-free.11 However, it is also is in the region of 140 percent of GDP, whereas for interesting that some developing countries feature developing economies (in the OECD sample), the highly on this list of exposure to land and building weighted average is 40 percent of GDP. Whilst this – largely due to the lack of alternative capital market data only represents a ‘slice’ of the total market, it is opportunities. (See Figure 2). a useful proxy for the global situation. In addition, the prevailing legal or regulatory The key point to note is that the regions/areas/ regime in housing may also restrict pension funds economies where the funding for affordable housing from investing. An inadequate legal and regulatory is most pressing, are generally the jurisdictions with framework governing alternative investments has the lowest pension fund coverage for its citizens. been cited as one of the major reasons for a lack Therefore, where the financing is needed the most, of pension fund investment in the sector.12 For13 access to domestic pension fund assets are least or example, while many countries have legislated available. There are obviously notable exceptions, to allow for pension funds to invest in real estate for example, in South Africa where the value of investment trusts (REITs), this is only a recent private pension assets as a percentage of GDP is in trend.14 Other pension schemes, either on their own, the region of 100 percent. (See Figure 1) or driven by national policy, have adopted a social impact agenda which is supportive of and facilitates Given the low interest rate environment since the investments in housing.15 Such factors have an global financial crisis, these funds are increasingly impact on the type of housing finance investment or looking for long-term, stable returns, uncorrelated investment instrument that is adopted by the pension with global markets.9 Yet, it is notable in the scheme. OECD sample, that even amongst the largest, most HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 1 Figure 1. Total Assets in Funded and Private Pension Arrangements as a Percentage of GDP: 2016 OECD Countries Selected Non-OECD Jurisdictions Denmark South Africa Netherlands Namibia Canada Liechtenstein Iceland Singapore United States Weighted Average Switzerland Malta Weighted Average Hong Kong (China) El Salvador Australia Croatia United Kingdow Jamaica Sweden Kosovo Chile Uruguay Finland Colombia Israel Peru Simple Average Simple Average Ireland Costa Rica Japan Kenya Korea Brazil New Zealand Dominican Republic Mexico Maldives Estonia Bulgaria Malawi Spain Tanzania Latvia FYR of Macedonia Slovak Republic Thailand Portugal Lithuaniz Norway Russia France Nigeria Italy Mauritius Poland Romania Czech Republic Ghana Slovenia Indonesia Belgium Egypt Germany China Austria Armenia Panama Turkey India Hungary Serbia Luxembourg Albania Greece Pakistan 0 40 80 120 160 200 240 0 40 80 120 160 200 240 2006 2016 Source: OECD, 2017. To be attractive to investors, housing investment In addition to creating the appropriate risk-return opportunities – including mortgage security yields – profile, past experience showed that without the right will have to reflect risks associated with alternative kinds of incentives, mobilizing pension fund assets investment options, including credit risk, liquidity can be constrained. For example, Colombia had put risk, market risk and prepayment risk. The challenge in place tax exemption on yields for banks and other is how to create housing investment instruments potential investors, thus pushing yields down, while with the right risk-return profile for these investors to it affords no value to tax-exempt pension funds, allow pension funds to provide access to longer-term thus limiting pension funds’ demand for mortgage- finance through capital market instruments (such as backed securities.17 covered mortgage bonds, securitization etc.).16 INTRODUCTION 2 Figure 2. Pension Fund Allocation to ‘Land & Buildings’ Tanzania Zambia Surinam Kenya Papua New Guinea Finland Switzerland Malawi Slovak Republic Australia Uganda Indonesia Canada Nigeria Austria Norway Germany Bulgaria Brazil UK Italy USA Slovenia Korea Israel Denmark 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Methodology and Approach suggestions for creating a facilitating environment for long-term investment in the housing sector by This paper investigates the possible long-term pension funds and put forward recommended areas investment opportunities in the housing sector from for future research. the perspective of the supply- and demand- sides of the housing value chain. The report will focus on the The paper is based predominantly on desktop supply- and demand- side investment opportunities research and input from a select number of available to pension funds. The mechanics of the housing and pension fund specialists. This report investment opportunities will be discussed, together is mainly a ‘qualitative’ descriptive survey of the with the pros and cons, and necessary preconditions types of investment which pension funds’ make that need to prevail in order to facilitate successful into the housing sector. It is meant as an overview, investment. To further elaborate on the investment introductory piece, and does not provide quantitative opportunities and to take cognizance of lessons learnt, data on to what extent pension funds do, could or potential investment approaches are illustrated by should have exposure to housing. available case studies. Finally, the paper will proffer HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 3 FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS P ension funds have multiple avenues to invest in the housing sector. To ensure that there is a seamless matching of accumulated savings (through pension funds) with long-term investment opportunities, several conditions are necessary to facilitate transactions: • Potential long-term investors should not be side investment opportunities, pension fund financing constrained in their ability to provide financing could boost the size and reach of mortgage markets. by barriers, such as incentives and restrictions on portfolio allocations. Supply-side Investment • Long-term financing in many countries are often Opportunities constrained by the narrowness of the range of Along the housing value chain, supply-side available instruments. Policymakers intent on components refer to the purchase and preparation unlocking new sources of long-term finance of suitable land for construction, the installation of should foster the growth of new markets and infrastructure (electricity, water, sanitation, roads) instruments that can fill the gap between the and the construction of residential housing units current sources and projected future demand for (‘top structures’) either for ownership or rental long-term investment. Often bond, equity and purposes. These investment options for pension securitization markets in developing economies funds include: are not sufficiently mature and liquid. • Direct investments in housing projects – where • Many rapidly industrializing and urbanizing the pension fund assumes the role of property emerging markets will need foreign investors to developer and plays an active and direct role in help fund capital-intensive investments, if they the development and construction of housing. do not have sufficient domestic savings to fund growth. An enabling environment that allows for • Equity investment in housing developer – more stable flows of long-term capital (such as involves the pension fund investing in a direct foreign direct investment) to countries with large equity stake in an existing housing development investment needs is, therefore, a priority. company to form a partnership. In this instance, the pension fund would generally only play the role Broadly speaking, investment opportunities of financier and at the level of providing strategic available to pension funds in the housing sector can input, while leaving the day-to-day management be categorised into: and running of the development and construction • Supply-side investment opportunities, and; of housing to their development partner. • Demand-side investment opportunities. • Investment in housing funds – relates to pension funds’ investments into collective investment Figure 3 illustrates the supply- and demand-side vehicles (or ‘funds’). The two types of investment investment opportunities available to pension funds vehicles discussed in this report include: and links the investment categories to the types of housing that can be supported. For example, -- Housing funds that are formed to pool investments by pension schemes in housing funds investments from various investors. These could facilitate the construction of housing for rental, pooled funds are then used to either take equity ownership or social housing needs. On the demand- stakes, co-fund and/or provide risk-sharing for HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 5 6 Figure 3. Investment Opportunities for Pension Funds PENSION FUND Supply-side Investment Opportunities Pension Fund Demand-side Investment Opportunities Debt Insurance Investment in Investment in Social Investment in Investment in Loans to Housing Housing Impact the Provision of Mortgage Securities Fund Members Projects Portfolios Investment Mortgage Loans INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS Direct Equity Stake Investment in Social Pension Fund Equity Stake Covered Mortgage Mortgage Loans Secured Direct Investment in in Housing Housing Housing as Mortgage in Mortgage (Mortgage) Backed Liquidity by Retirement Loans Projects Developer Funds Bonds Lender Lender Bonds Securities Facilities Benefits Administrator Intermediary Co-funding for Real Estate Housing Investment Funds Trusts (REITs) Mortgage Loans Personal Loans Land and Housing Construction Purchase of Existing Property Purchase Upgrade of Infrastructure of Existing Self-build Existing For Ownership For Rental Social Housing For Ownership For Rental Property Dwelling Source: Sing, 2018. projects that are proposed by rental housing -- Mortgage Backed Securities are a type of entities or social housing institutions. There are mortgage security, where a pool of mortgages myriad variations and combinations of equity, is sold to a ‘special purpose vehicle’, which, in co-funding and/or risk-sharing that these project turn, issues bonds to investors. finance structures may take. -- Bonds issues by Mortgage Liquidity Facilities -- Collective real estate investment trusts (or (MLFs), which act as intermediaries between ‘REITs) which own, operate and manage primary mortgage lenders and bond markets. income-producing real estate. Some REITs engage in financing real estate. REITs are This report examines each of the supply- and similar in structure to ‘mutual funds’, which demand- side investment opportunities available allow investors to invest in a collection of to pension funds mentioned above, in terms of the equities. REITs can be publicly traded on major possible advantages and disadvantages of investing exchanges, public but not listed, or private. in the instruments, and outlines, in broad terms, the environment that needs to prevail to facilitate • Social Housing Bonds – part of governments’ (or investment. In addition, where available, relevant development institutions’) social impact investing case studies are included to illustrate potential (SII) initiatives, where bonds are issued to enable learning opportunities. private investors to earn a return on investment provided that agreed social outcomes are achieved. One related and important topic, which is not covered in this report, is using pension savings to provide or underwrite loans to fund members to purchase their Demand-side Investment own homes. This can be done either by allowing Opportunities direct withdrawals from accumulated retirement The demand-side of the housing value chain refers savings; or providing direct loans to fund members to the provision of mortgage or other forms of loan secured by the members’ accumulated retirement finance, either directly or indirectly, to the consumer. savings; or by pension funds securing (guaranteeing) The end-user funding facilitates the purchase of members’ loans from a third-party lender. existing houses, the building of new dwellings or In many developing (and some developed) the upgrading of existing units. These investment economies, savings accumulated by individuals in a options for pension funds include: pension fund are often the sole (or main) source of • Investment in the Provision of Mortgage wealth accretion during their lifetimes. Therefore, Loans to broaden access to fund members and/or pension funds may decide to allow their members consumers. This would involve taking an equity access to these accumulated retirement savings for stake in mortgage lender. In this instance, pension life’s ‘important’ occasions which require relatively funds elect to invest in third-party intermediaries substantial amounts of funding, e.g. the purchase of who offer mortgage loans to their members and/or a home, funding a child’s education. In emerging other consumers. markets, lower income individuals may be excluded from formal financial services and from accessing • Investment in Mortgage Securities where loan finance. This has led observers to suggest that, pension funds invest in bond market instruments. from a welfare point of view, workers should have the right to use their own pension savings in order -- Covered (Mortgage) Bonds are a type of to improve their current circumstances. Housing is a mortgage security, where bonds are issued natural asset class that is compatible with the nature against a specific pool of residential mortgages, of the pension system. Indeed, buying a house while which are held on the issuer’s balance sheet but being an active worker may reduce vulnerability in ring-fenced as collateral. later years. HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 7 However, the danger is that, if not properly savings are overly depleted, so that people have administered and assessed, individuals can risk ended up ‘asset rich and income poor’ at older age. losing both their house and their pension. In many These issues, including international examples, are countries the challenge has been that pension covered in a separate, companion paper. INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 8 FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – DIRECT INVESTMENT IN HOUSING PROJECTS T he World Economic Forum (WEF)18 defines direct investment as “…investing in which the future asset owner makes the decision to take part in a specific investment.” Institutions have directly invested in illiquid assets, such as real estate, since the late 19th century. However, interest in direct investing has grown in the wake of the 2007/8 global financial crisis, as institutions have searched for ways to increase long-term returns and diversify their portfolios. Direct investment can be defined as investing in an asset in which the future asset owner decides to actively participate in a specific investment opportunity. The three main ways in which asset owners invest directly are: • Solo (independent) direct investing, offers the investors with different investment time horizons or most discretion but is the most demanding model, liquidity profiles. requiring significant commitment of time and resources. The investor identifies the investment, While the costs of running direct-investing programs makes the investment decision and performs (or can vary depending on the size, complexity and directly oversees) critical investment activities. asset types included in the investment, running a sophisticated direct-investing team can be higher • Partnership direct investing with other asset than using external managers. However, removing owners or an asset manager, allows investors to layers between the asset owner and the underlying share risks, tasks and responsibilities. Partners asset, can serve to reduce the complexities and costs invest together in a specific deal (or series of associated with additional intermediaries and can deals) over time. This model allows investors to result in higher operational flexibility.21 pursue bigger deals, offers a broader range of deal sourcing and can help to mitigate risk. (See Case Direct investing also provides asset owners with direct Study 1) control over assets and helps to reduce principal- agent challenges, which occur when a principal • Co-investing with an asset manager alongside a employs an agent to perform a task, and is not able to traditional fund investment is the most popular directly supervise or measure the agent’s activities.22 and least demanding model. An institution invests It is important to ensure that the right incentives in a fund run by an asset manager and then may are provided so the agent can act in the principal’s have the opportunity to invest directly alongside best interests but aligning compensation schemes the asset manager.19 with long-term time horizons can be harder for asset owners investing in illiquid assets, like real estate. The Pros and Cons of Direct Removing an intermediary layer helps to overcome the principal-agent challenge but places significant Investment additional responsibilities on those governing a Direct investing in housing projects can offer benefits pension fund, such as senior management, or the to pension funds as it increases transparency within board, who would need to spend significant amounts the context of the institution’s overall portfolio. of time understanding the direct investment program Also, it makes it easier to assess the value, risk, at the appropriate level of detail.23 and liquidity of a specific asset.20 Direct investing became more attractive since the financial crisis, In many developing economies, direct investing as it gave the investor more control over the assets may be the only option available to pension funds and investment decisions were not shared by other as capital markets and financial intermediaries are HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 9 limited in scope and experience. However, direct • Institutions require the correct investment investing has some challenges. The small size of processes, staffing capacity and capabilities, risk many pension funds and low liquidity can prevent management models and back-office infrastructure them from participating in direct investment. Direct to provide appropriate oversight. investment in real estate – including residential housing - requires sizeable resources that allow • Institutions should cultivate a deep expertise for building, acquiring, managing and disposing and insight into the asset class within a specific of assets.24 Direct investments are also not suitable geographic location. investments for funds with high liquidity needs. • Institutions must be prepared to be publicly In addition, when pension funds have invested accountable for each investment decision and its directly in housing projects, the experience has relationship with their broader activities, and to be not always been successful, particularly in small able to manage any reputational risks. markets and when investors do not have sufficient • Institutions must ensure that ownership, knowledge of the real estate market.25 They normally governance and decision-making mandates match lack the market knowledge, experience and scale investors’ asset-management, liquidity and exit to manage such projects, and may be ‘encouraged’ strategies. or persuaded to invest for developmental or social reasons, without due regard for economic/financial • Deals need to be structured to minimize cross- returns. Stringent governance checks are also border and inter-company tax liabilities. required to prevent the misuse or embezzlement of funds.26 • The regulatory environment associated with the direct investment must be reliable, transparent In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, volatile and attractive enough to permit investment. and uncertain returns from traditional investments encouraged investors to increase allocations to • Policymakers must be willing to permit direct illiquid assets. Indeed, the potential for improved investment. Large-scale deals involving assets that returns, greater control and increased value for are perceived as strategic may require multiple money have led many investors to explore the layers of approvals to enable execution. extent to which they could make these investments • Under normal circumstance, investors are directly.27 concerned with and have to take a view on the long-term liquidity of assets and their exit Preconditions for Successful Direct strategies. This challenge is magnified in the case Investment of illiquid asset classes. Therefore, developments to standardize and package emerging alternatives • Institutions need to ensure that the size of their such as infrastructure debt, in order to create institution can afford the cost of staffing a direct a liquid market, make a material difference to investments team and that their governance enhance assets’ attractiveness.28 structure is sufficiently robust to manage the downside risks of direct investing. Furthermore, • Direct investment exposes pension funds to the the institutions’ strategic goals and its comparative cyclical nature of real estate markets. The quality advantage must be aligned with the potential of market infrastructure – including reliable direct investment. information on price/rents, professionalism of real estate intermediaries (brokers, appraisers, • Institutions should have the structure, cultural property managers etc) – is therefore a key factor flexibility and swift decision-making protocols for success. needed to support the investment. SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – DIRECT INVESTMENT IN HOUSING PROJECTS 10 Equity Investment in a Housing Pros and Cons of an Equity Investment in Developer a Housing Developer Pension funds taking a direct equity stake in a Pension funds would be placing significant reliance housing developer represents a sub-set of a direct on the strategic and operational decisions of the investment model. However, it is somewhat of housing developer to run a successful business, an arm’s- length transaction because the pension and on the developer’s knowledge of the industry fund (depending on the size of its equity stake) can and experience in the sector. The pension fund choose to distance itself from the daily management thus mainly assumes ‘normal’ equity risk, placing and operational activities of the housing developer. reliance on the caliber of the company’s board and management team. Case Study 1. Direct Investment – How Partnerships Unlock Emerging Markets Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (‘Caisse’) is an institutional investor that manages several public and para- public pension plans and insurance programs; and is the second largest pension fund in Canada. Caisse’s real estate subsidiary, Ivanhoé Cambridge, has been looking to emerging markets as it seeks opportunities outside its traditional markets. To manage risks in emerging markets, Ivanhoé Cambridge regularly partners with local operating companies with a strong track record and with in-depth knowledge of the region. In 2006, Ivanhoé Cambridge partnered with the Carvalho family in Brazil. The joint venture invested US$ 1.5 billion in retail real estate, owning and managing 16 shopping centers and managing five additional shopping centers on behalf of third parties. Ivanhoé Cambridge built on this partnership model in 2013 to partner with TPG in Prague and invested US$ 1 billion in supply-chain warehouses servicing Central and Eastern Europe. This was followed by additional investments in Italy, Poland, Romania and the Czech Republic to double the company’s assets in less than a year. In 2014, Ivanhoé Cambridge partnered with a US-based company to develop mixed-used urban communities in Mexico, initially investing over US$ 100 million. Ivanhoé Cambridge attributes its success in direct investment in emerging markets to its partnership approach.1 Following its initial foray into the commercial real estate sector, Ivanhoé Cambridge has significantly increased its investments in residential properties. As at 31 December 2017, the group’s investments in residential real estate constitutes 16.5 % of its overall portfolio. The portfolio includes 84 multi-residential properties in the United States and United Kingdom. Ivanhoé Cambridge is also currently involved in the development and/or refurbishment of 2,336 housing units in the United States and Canada to the value of US$ 267 million. Caisse has also branched out in to the real estate funding market, providing finance for commercial real estate mortgages, as well as syndicated loan finance for residential mortgage bond portfolios. Through its subsidiary, Otéra, which has US$ 9.2 billion under investment, the group has invested US$ 1.35 billion (or 14.5% of its investment portfolio) in multi-residential mortgage bonds.2 Notes: 1 Information correct as of 30 June 2014 (WEF, 2014) 2 Information obtained from the Caisse, Ivanhoé Cambridge and Otéra websites. Available online at: https://www.cdpq.com/en/investments/real-estate http://www.ivanhoecambridge.com/en/multiresidential-buildings/projects https://www.oteracapital.com/en/about-us/activities HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 11 Unless the pension fund acquires a majority stake in • Strong governance and regulatory environment. the company, it will have little to no control over the company’s business operations. (See Case Study 2) • A relatively large number of mature, experienced and large housing development companies to Preconditions for a Successful Equity achieve economies of scale and to facilitate Investment in a Housing Developer competitive market conditions. • Swift and transparent flow of relevant information. • Vibrant and sophisticated banking sector that readily provides consumer mortgage finance. • Liquid and mature stock markets (for listed housing developers) to enable market-related pricing and valuations, and trading ability. SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – DIRECT INVESTMENT IN HOUSING PROJECTS 12 Case Study 2. Equity Investment in a Housing Developer – When Things Do Not Go According To Plan Housing Investment Fund South Africa (HIFSA) The Old Mutual group is an international investment, savings, insurance and banking group, which was established in 1845 in South Africa. The group has more than 19 million customers with US$ 276 billion of assets under management as at 30 June 20171. It is dual-listed on the London Stock Exchange and Johannesburg Stock Exchange; and is included in the FTSE 100 index. The group’s Alternative Investments capability includes the Housing Investmen Fund South Africa (HIFSA) in its portfolio. HIFSA is an impact investment fund, i.e. investments that provide investors with commercial returns while delivering positive social and developmental impacts on scale. HIFSA invests in assets/areas where gaps or backlogs in social infrastructure have not been adequately addressed, with a primary focus on developing affordable housing and providing access to quality education. The knock-on benefits of these initiatives are tangible economic development and job creation. As at March 2016, HIFSA managed in excess of ZAR 9 billion and originated approved deals of ZAR 15.6 billion.2 RBA Holdings As part of its stock exchange listing prospectus in 2007, RBA Holdings noted that “…it was established in 1997 and had grown to become one of the leading suppliers of fully (mortgaged) quality homes on a turnkey basis to the affordable housing market in (South Africa)...(having) built more than 5,000 homes since its establishment…with the capacity to deliver about 1,200 homes per annum. This capacity can be increased to deliver in excess of 2,000 homes per annum.”3 In 2014, RBA entered into an agreement with HIFSA for a loan of ZAR 55 million. HIFSA subscribed for 550 million RBA shares at 10 cents each as part of an equity transaction. By 2016, HIFSA had put RBA into business rescue reportedly as a result of injudicious management of their property portfolio and poor cash flow management. In 2017, RBA’s main operating company and construction arm were declared insolvent and liquidated.4 This case study is an illustrative example of how, notwithstanding experienced and professional due diligence undertaken by the investor with an in-depth knowledge of the housing sector, inherent risks lie with the full reliance that must be placed on the strategic, functional and operational expertise and diligence of the company’s management team. Notes: 1 Information from Old Mutual Investment Group website. Available online at http://ww2.oldmutual.co.za/old-mutual- investment-group/about-us/assets-under-management 2 Old Mutual Alternative Investments. 2016. Housing Impact Fund South Africa (HIFSA). Old Mutual Investment Group, Fund Fact Sheet, March 2016. Available online at http://ww2.oldmutual.co.za/docs/default-source/old-mutual-south-africa/ omig/omig-fact-sheets/alternative-investments/hifsafactsheet.pdf?sfvrsn=10 3 RBA Holdings Limited – stock exchange listing prospectus, 5 September 2007. Available online at https://www.rbaholdings. co.za/downloads/RBAHoldings_prospectus2007.pdf 4 Cokayne, R. 2017. RBA placed in final liquidation. Business Report, 23 March 2017. Available online at https://www.iol.co.za/ business-report/companies/rba-placed-in-final-liquidation-8303649 HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 13 FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN HOUSING PORTFOLIOS R ather than directly investing in individual housing projects or purchasing an equity stake in a company, pension funds can diversify their investments by investing in housing funds. This approach allows the for pooling of funds in order to: • Provide funding to qualifying developers to guarantee, which could substantially reduce the upgrade or construct housing for ownership, project risk to the pension fund. rental or for social housing – co-funding for housing funds. Preconditions for Successful Co-funding for Housing Funds Invest in a pool of assets that will, in turn, be • income generating – collective real estate funds. • A clear strategic mandate and governance These collective real estate funds can be framework for the housing fund must be in structured as public listed, public non-listed or place. private funds. • All parties involved must have a clear understanding of each parties’ roles and responsibilities. Co-funding for Housing Funds • If the objectives of the housing fund are to Money for the co-funding of housing funds is often promote developmental- or socially- driven initially (partially or wholly) funded by the public projects, then there probably is a need to include sector (government), who may then invite the some form of risk mitigation and/or incentives to private sector to provide funding to match, or top attract funding. up, the housing fund with additional funding. In addition, the objective of the funding is generally • The housing fund must have the capacity, for developmental housing projects (see Case capabilities and resources to undertake the deal Studies 3) or for social housing (see Case Study 4). origination, project assessment, risk management For the private sector, and thus participating pension and administrative functions. funds, providing co-funding would fall within its impact investing, community development or social Investment in Real Estate responsibility mandate. Investment Trusts (REITs) Pros and Cons of Co-funding for Housing Collective real estate investment trusts (or ‘REITs’) Funds are a particular type of real estate fund that owns, operates and manages income-producing real estate. The upside of co-funding for pension funds is that REITs are similar in structure to ‘mutual funds’, in most instances the responsibility for sourcing which allow investors to invest in a collection of appropriate housing development opportunities equities. REITs can be publicly traded on major generally falls to the housing fund itself. The exchanges, public but not listed, or private. REITs housing fund would not only be responsible for which are listed on a stock exchange are a more deal origination but also for project assessment, liquid investment option. Housing REITs are a risk management and controls, and investment specific type of REIT which invest in underlying administration. In addition, for some housing housing projects. funds, the state may offer some form of risk-sharing HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 15 Case Study 3. Gauteng Partnership Fund The province of Gauteng in South Africa is the country’s largest contributor (over 30 percent) to national GDP and generates about 10 percent of the entire African continent’s GDP. The Gauteng Partnership Fund (GPF) is a state- owned institution established in 2002 to address the housing needs of the province. GPF plays a pivotal role in bringing together the private, non-profit and public sectors to fund and develop social and affordable housing, within a human settlements framework. GPF’s mandate is to: • Raise funding and facilitate investment by using public sector funds to leverage additional finance • Facilitate equitable risk sharing through project finance models • Develop project funding packages that will attract external funders • Implement, coordinate and oversee projects on behalf of the investment pool • Take custodianship of state-owned land and to unlock value of the land in order to create sustainable human settlements • Turnkey planning and execution of strategic projects GPF has set up several housing funds that target specific housing needs: • Rental housing fund, which enhances the viability of affordable housing by rental developers/entrepreneurs • Entrepreneur empowerment property fund program – an incubator program to designed to enable previously disadvantaged individuals to enter the affordable, rental property market • Social housing fund, which enhances the viability of affordable, rental housing projects initiated by Social Housing Institutions • Student housing fund, which enhances the projects developing student accommodation by rental developers/ entrepreneurs • Funding of mixed income housing developments, which develops optimal funding structures and raises funding GPF has secured senior debt and concessionary funding from the Public Investment Corporation (the investment arm of the state employees’ pension fund) and Futuregrowth (part of the Old Mutual Investment Group). GPF uses a range of funding models (private equity/private fund, bonds, REITs and SPAC2) and variety of equity and debt (long- and short- term) instruments. As at March 2016, GPF had committed ZAR 1.7 billion of its own funds and had leveraged a further ZAR 3 billion of additional public and private sector funding to develop social and rental housing. This funding has led to the construction of 25,000 housing units. Notes: 1 Information from the Gauteng Partnership Fund presentation to the Gauteng Infrastructure Funding Summit held on 4 May 2017. Available online at http://www.gpf.org.za/Portals/0/Docs/2017%20events/GPF-GIFS-Presentation_Final. pdf?ver=2017-05-05-124804-667 2 A Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) is a publicly trade shell that has a special mandate to acquire or merge with other companies or assets. At the time of listing, the company must have no operations of its own. The SPAC must be led by an experienced management team with prior M&A and/or operating experience. The SPAC has 24 months to conclude the transaction. SPACs are in many ways an alternative to raising capital for acquisitions. SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN HOUSING PORTFOLIOS 16 Case Study 4. Social Housing as an Investment Asset Class for Pension Funds1 – Opportunities in the UK Social housing in the UK, i.e. affordable accommodation provided to people on low incomes, is provided mainly by registered social landlords (RSLs or “housing associations”) and local councils. Around 1,717 of these housing associations2 offer approximately 4 million homes3. The Government supports social housing through a system of grants and housing allowances, and RSLs must comply with the Homes and Communities Agency (HCA) rules and with standards of corporate governance as set out in the Companies Act. A Conducive Environment Historically, medium-sized and smaller housing associations in the UK approached banks for their borrowing requirements (usually for 30- and 50- year term finance) or issued bonds via The Housing Finance Corporation (THFC). Only the largest associations could borrow directly in public bond markets. However, following the 2007/2008 global financial crisis and the deployment of Basel 3 capital requirements, banks had become increasingly reluctant to hold long term illiquid assets on their balance sheets and investor appetite had also dwindled as clients sought refuge in (risk-free) AAA sovereign bonds. At the same time, the UK government’s austerity measures led to a cut of almost 50% in grants to the sector. In 2013, it was estimated that housing associations would need to borrow around £15 billion to fund planned regeneration and maintenance projects to 2015. Ways for Pension Funds to Access Social Housing Investments • Purchase inflation-linked social housing bonds – However, these bonds are not readily bought and sold. Due to the lack of liquidity, asset managers launched social housing fund vehicles for pension schemes to invest in which provided exposure to a portfolio of different social housing bonds diversified across different RSLs, in different parts of the UK. • Development partnerships – These represent equity investments in social housing and are usually used by housing associations that have reached their maximum level of balance sheet leverage. This way of access carries higher risks (in particular the risks associated with getting involved in the development stages of a building project) but also offers higher expected returns. • Sale and leaseback agreements – This consists of buying a number of existing properties and leasing them back to the housing association for a period of 30 to 50 years. Depending on the agreement, the property ownership may revert back to the association, in which case the pension scheme investor would receive the amortization of the capital value (i.e. income stream) over the term of the lease Pros and Cons of Social Housing as an Investment Asset Class • The most attractive features of this asset class is its liability matching properties, combined with its higher yields relative to the currently very low government bond rates. Compared to inflation-linked bonds, in 2013, social housing bonds could potentially return 1.5% to 2.5% extra return for investors. Even higher returns could be enjoyed if housing associations’ debt is structured around development partnerships and sale and leaseback agreements – although these come with additional risk. • In addition, this asset class also provides inflation-linked, regular cash flows. In the UK, since 2005, the government set rent increases for housing associations at RPI4 plus 0.5%, linking rental streams to inflation and making investments in social housing comparable to long-dated, inflation-linked assets. • From a risk perspective, investing in social housing represents a relatively high level of credit worthiness. In 2013, Moody’s publicly rate 26 housing associations in the UK, ranging between Aa2 to A1 suggesting that in the ‘unlikely event of a housing association facing acute liquidity stress, the UK government will very likely provide extraordinary HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 17 support’. The rating also reflects the fact that the social housing stock itself serves as collateral in the event of a default, as the houses would be sold and the proceeds would go to the creditors. Furthermore, the majority of the associations’ rental income comes from local government with very robust rent collection rates. • Social housing investments qualify as socially responsible (or impact) investing. • Changes to welfare policies or greater government austerity measures could increase the risk of non-payment of rents. This risk can be mitigated with the introduction of mechanisms to manage arrears. • The risk/return profile of the various social housing investments is influenced, to different degrees, by the type of housing being built, the quantum of development risk assumed by the investor, the size of the project and the location of the development. • Poor liquidity of the investment vehicles means that investments in social housing are better suited to ‘buy to hold’ investors. Notes: 1 Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association. 2013. Investment Insight: Social Housing. NAPF, March 2013. 2 As at 1 April 2018. - UK Government. 2018. Current registered providers of social housing – List of registered providers as at 1 April 2018. Available online at https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/current-registered-providers-of-social- housing 3 In 2015, the number of social housing units provided by local authorities numbered 1.643 million and those provided by registered housing associations numbered 2.387 million dwellings. UK National Audit Office. 2017. Housing in England: Overview. Department for Communities and Local Government, HC917, Session 2016/17, 19 January 2017. Available online at https://www.nao.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/Housing-in- England-overview.pdf 4 In the UK, the Retail Price Index (RPI) is a measure of inflation, which includes the cost of housing, calculated based on an arithmetic mean [whereas the Consumer Price Index (CPI) excludes the cost of housing and is calculated based on a geometric mean]. A REIT is a corporation or a business trust that and raise additional funds from financial combines the capital of many investors to acquire institutions. This funding is then used to originate (or provide financing for) various real estate mortgages to property buyers, to purchase assets. As such, a REIT is designed to aggregate mortgages that were originated by banks and then funding from diverse sources and at the same time, sold on the secondary mortgage market, and/or offers opportunities for a wide range of investors to purchase mortgage-backed securities (MBS). from international, institutional and even small Their revenues are generated primarily by the households to invest in a tax-efficient investment interest income that they earn on the mortgage vehicle.29 Also, these investments allow investors loans. REITs use the interest income to service to pool risk and tend to be spread geographically to their debt finance costs and to pay dividends to further reduce risk.30 their investors. Fewer than 10 percent of REITs are mortgage REITs. These REITs make loans that REITs can invest in both commercial and residential are secured by real estate but they do not generally real estate. For the affordable housing sector, own or operate real estate31 and. 32 residential REITs, to the extent that they are directed to affordable housing, can successfully channel • Equity REITs – generate income through the investment into an underserved market. growth of equity held in a property, through the collection of rental income and/or from sales of The different types of REITs include: long-term properties holdings. By issuing shares to • Mortgage REITs – deal in investment and investors and/or applying for loans from financial ownership of property mortgages. Mortgage institutions, REITs raise financing towards REITs raise equity by issuing shares to investors purchasing existing properties and/or developing SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN HOUSING PORTFOLIOS 18 new properties. These acquired properties form the • 75% of the REITs’ assets and income must be REIT’s portfolio of income-generating properties. derived from real estate, and; The REIT receives rental income from tenants and pays the majority of the resulting profit to its A minimum of 90% of the taxable income must be • shareholders as dividends.32 The majority of REITs paid out as dividends. are in the form of equity REITs. In this sense, REITs are very attractive to pension • Hybrid REITs – effectively combine equity funds because they are exempted from corporate REITs and mortgage REITs resulting in the tax and also share most of the profits as dividends. REIT owning properties and mortgage loans. By In addition, unlike property development projects diversifying across both types of investments, which have high perceived risk due to the illiquid hybrid REITs intend to leverage off the benefits nature of property investment, REITs have several of both types of REITs, with less risk than if it other attractive features for investors.35 invested in one or the other. • Diversification – Through pooled capital funds, REITs are able to diversify their property Pros and Cons of REITs portfolio and allow investors to a hold balanced, Equity REITs are generally safer than mortgage diversified portfolio. REITs, as investments are made in properties, • Liquidity – Listed REITs allow for quick access which are leased to high-quality tenants in order to to, and exit from, various investments via the generate a respectable and growing income stream. share trading platform of a listed stock exchange. In addition, since real estate values tend to increase This, in turn, results in a more efficient allocation over time, the intrinsic value of these companies of capital resources. can increase as well. The combination of property appreciation and dividends can produce impressive • Regulation and good governance – With respect total returns with relatively low risk. to publicly traded REITs, financial statements and other relevant information must be made Risks are, however, not entirely mitigated as it is available to investors and lenders, and must possible for property values to fall, for vacancies comply with strict reporting requirements and to increase, or for interest rates to spike and make regulations, which enhances transparency and borrowing money more expensive. Nevertheless, good governance. REITs typically have relatively low volatility and consistent income. Preconditions for Successful REITs The business model for mortgage REITs to generate In order to develop successfully, an enabling income is to borrow money at low short-term environment for REITs include: rates and investing in longer-dated mortgages that pay higher interest rates. In order to achieve the • Institutional strength and property markets – robust requisite spreads, mortgage REITs tend to be highly property rights, accurate records of title deeds. leveraged. The main risk to mortgage REITs is interest rate fluctuations. • A certain level of market development and maturity, including accurate and reliable property Both equity and mortgage REITs receive taxation valuations and property market transparency. benefits in most countries,33 effectively removing double taxation and increasing profits available for • Legislative and regulatory context, such as distribution as dividends.34 In order to receive the tax appropriate rental market legislation (i.e. benefits, most REITs must comply with regulations, legislation that protects both tenants and which were first introduced by U.S. markets, and landlords) and appropriate tax legislation and which most global regulations have followed: financial regulations. HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 19 • A high demand environment, characterized by a mostly left to banks). Diversification by sector flourishing private rental sector. should be – mostly left to banks (typically starting with commercial property) and location is also • The presence of supply-side factors, such as large- advised. scale landlords, property managers etc. • Incentives - tax incentives for REITs, as well as tax • A well-established rental market with depth of incentives for shareholders36 supply and demand. One of the general lessons about REITs, is that the • Existing property markets must have reached a conditions for a vibrant formal rental market are certain scale and maturity, as REITs require critical usually missing in most emerging markets. This mass to attract investor interest. relates to other reforms (including landlord/tenant • Minimum diversification in underlying REIT legal relationships, lack of property managers, hostile assets (which need to be fully constructed and taxation regime for landlords etc.). The lack of these leased so the REIT does not become a construction factors can depress net rental yields for formal rental loan vehicle for developers – highly risky lending investors (net of taxes, net of risks) which prevent REITs markets form emerging and expanding. Case Study 5. REITs in Africa The Centre for Affordable Housing Finance in Africa (CAHF) undertook a comprehensive study of seven African REIT markets – Ghana, Kenya, Morocco, Nigeria, Rwanda, South Africa, Tanzania - in 20171. As REIT markets were still in the early stages of development, REITs have been only marginally successful in many of African countries. The varying performance of REIT markets across the continent appears to be contextually driven, suggesting that in addition to exploring the potential for affordable housing REITs in Africa, it is essential to understand the contextual factors that support or undermine REIT markets. (See Figure 7) • Housing Finance Company (HFC) REIT – Ghana – The REIT was created to boost housing supply as HFC’s mortgage lending business found that there were not enough houses to finance. It was also a way to mobilize long-term funds that was cheaper than traditional construction finance, thus lowering the cost of residential housing construction overall. Ninety-five percent of investors were local retail investors (who also use the REIT as an avenue to save for future home purchases) and five percent are local institutional investors. • Union Homes Hybrid REIT – Nigeria – The REIT was established to provide retail and pension fund investors with an opportunity to invest in a diversified portfolio of real estate assets, i.e. in properties and mortgages. The REIT does not prioritize developmental projects; 69% of its portfolio was invested in luxury apartments to maximize regular rentals and capital growth. Nevertheless, the REIT suffered a negative net performance in 2014, as two of the REIT’s key properties were vacant due to renovations and as a result of a major asset revaluation. Regulatory ceilings on investments in real estate were expected to continue to place limitations on REITs’ performance. • Watumishi Housing Company (WHC) REIT – Tanzania – The REIT was structured to enable pension funds (and other institutional investors) who had reached their real estate investment ceilings a further opportunity to invest. The majority of shareholders in the REIT are pension funds. The REIT has prioritized the construction of low-middle income homes for ownership or rental by Tanzania’s public officials. In 2017, pension fund members were added to eligible purchasers. The REIT had negotiated preferential mortgage finance rates with the commercial banks. It is not known whether the REIT has provided funding for mortgages or provided underlying guarantees in order to secure these lower rates. WHC REIT has thus reduced the cost of housing units and secured cheaper mortgage finance. • Indluplace – South Africa – Was S.A.’s first focused residential REIT, prioritizing ready-built, high-yield rental properties. It is noted, however, that REITs such as Indluplace generated high, short-run returns but may experience diminishing returns in the long-term if they shy away from development and construction. SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN HOUSING PORTFOLIOS 20 • Transcend REIT – South Africa – This REIT targets affordable and middle-income rental properties. Their portfolio is 2,500 units with a projected dividend yield of 8.5%. • REITs need to determine if the demand is in affordable housing or in commercial property. For example, South Africa has an oversupply of office, retail and industrial property rentals, whereas there is an inadequate attention to affordable housing. On the other hand, Tanzania’s commercial REIT market is perceived to have greater potential. • African residential REITs show mixed results in their returns (e.g. Nigeria’s Union Homes Hybrid REIT failed to distribute dividends in 2014 due to negative performance; Ghana’s HFC REIT delivered higher returns compared to local benchmarks and to government notes; South Africa’s Indluplace generated average returns of 9.5 percent). • Instability in the economic conditions and the concomitant increase the cost of capital can adversely affect the demand for REITs. • There is a demand for more liquidity but REITs need long-term and patient capital (e.g. pension funds) • Regulatory frameworks and tax incentives need to be in place, particularly for affordable housing REITs, where risks (management and economic) are higher • The limited stock of housing (especially of affordable housing) places constraints on the future development of the REIT market, e.g. Tanzania. • Low public awareness about REITs curtails their ability to attract investors. Notes: 1 Kruger-Levy, N. & Bertoldi, A., 2017. Residential REITS and their Potential to Increase Investment In and Access To Affordable Housing in Africa – Report 2: Case Studies of African REITS. CAHF, February 2017. Available online at http:// housingfinanceafrica.org/app/uploads/RGSA_CAHF_-Study-Residential-Reits-in-Africa_Case-study-Report-2017.pdf Figure 4. REITs Across Africa Tunisia Morocco No. of Value Country REITs (US$) Algeria Libya Arab Rep. Western Sahara of Egypt Ghana 1 12.6 Million Mauritania Kenya 1 35.5 Million Cape Verde Senegal Mali Niger Sudan Eritrea Morocco 1 NA Chad The Gambia Guinea-Bissau Guinea Burkina Faso Djibouti Nigeria 4 224 Million Benin Nigeria Sierra Leone Côte Ghana d’Ivoire Central African Rep. South Sudan Ethiopia South Africa 30 16.1 Billion Liberia Togo Cameroon Somalia Uganda Tanzania 1 40 Million Equatorial Guinea Kenya São Tomé and Príncipe GabonCongo Rwanda Seychelles Dem. Rep. of Burundi Congo Tanzania Comoros Angola Malawi Zambia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Mauritius Botswana REIT Presence Swaziland Lesotho South Africa Source: CAHF, 2017 HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 21 FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN SOCIAL HOUSING BONDS T here has been a growing phenomenon amongst policymakers of using social impact investing (SII) to assist in addressing housing shortages for low income households. These initiatives have ranged from tax incentives,37 social enterprises and social housing bonds. Social impact investing involves three core provision, social impact bonds tend to centre characteristics: around providing support services which assist households to maintain their occupancy. • A purposeful intention to make a specific social Essentially, social impact bonds work similarly impact through the investment and to pursue a to a regular government bond, except for the fact specific social outcome. that its return on investment varies according to • The intention to derive both a social and a financial the social outcomes achieved. (See Case Study 6). return on the investment. Pros and Cons of Investing in Social • To achieve outcomes which are measurable from both a social and financial perspective. Housing Bonds • One effect of this type of arrangement is to transfer Social impact investing can be used to both construct the ‘risk’ in respect of outcomes being achieved housing and maintaining affordable housing stock, from taxpayers to the private sector. Under a as well as delivering services necessary to support normal government funded housing support vulnerable households to maintain their tenancy. To program, taxpayers bear the entire burden for achieve these objectives, there are three common programs or initiatives which are not successful. types of investments: Under a social bond, that risk is largely transferred • Schemes that promote direct investment to private sector investors. in affordable housing construction and which • Social housing bonds provide government with are often linked to tax incentives earned by long-term funding. From an investor perspective, discounting rentals. there is liability matching. • Social enterprises,38 i.e. not-for-profit enterprises • Due to their bespoke nature, social housing bonds which are led by an economic, social or are relatively complicated to set up. environmental mission which fund a substantial proportion of their mission through trading • Social housing bonds enable governments to activities and reinvest a large proportion of their share the burden for delivering on developmental profits toward the fulfilment of their mission. objectives by creating a partnership with the private sector. • Social impact bonds are a type of government bond through which private investors earn a • Depending on the structure of the social housing return on investment provided that agreed social bond, provision can also be made to also supply outcomes are delivered. Whereas property funds funds for support services to assist vulnerable and community housing providers (CHPs) are households to maintain their tenancy. primarily focused around affordable housing HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 23 Preconditions for Investing in Social • Governments may have to bridge the finance Housing Bonds ‘gap’. • More often than not, there is a finance ‘gap’ which • Risk mitigants have to be put in place to ensure exists between what might have been earned that beneficiaries are not impacted in instances through rental payments to vulnerable tenants and where the investment does not deliver upon its full the costs that are incurred in providing housing. anticipated return from a financial perspective. To overcome this: • There must be a flexible approach to measurement metrics and expected outcomes, as there may be a • Private sector investors will need to be persuaded need to adjust these measures once participants have to accept a lower than market return in exchange gained experience when the project goes ‘live’. for the knowledge that their investment will achieve a socially beneficial outcome, (which It must always be borne in mind that social impact may not square with the fiduciary duty of most investing represents just one of several possible pension funds) and/or; solutions and is not, in itself, an ultimate panacea to the affordable housing shortage.39 Case Study 6. Social Housing Bonds – The Australian Experience1 Social Impact Bond (SIB) Processes Led by State Governments By July 2017, eight social impact bond (SIB) contracts had been concluded in Australia, all of which were initiated by state governments. Each of these governments pursued their SIB contracts by releasing an open request for proposals to select the eventual service provider, who would often partner with financial intermediaries or other parties. The parties then enter what is referred to as a ‘joint development phase’ where the feasibility and details of contracts are established. Large not-for-profits in Australia are much larger and deliver across a wider range of services than in the UK, so they have the capacity and experience to negotiate directly with government, rather than through an intermediary. The joint development phases have resulted in outcomes-based contracts between the state government in question and their chosen not-for-profit service providers. Not all projects that have entered this joint development phase have exited, with some projects deemed unfeasible. It is worth noting that the first two SIBs made changes to their payment metrics after observing them in practice. Investors The majority of SIBs raised funds on the open market, resulting in a greater number and range of investors than SIBs in other parts of the world. Investors include trusts, foundations, institutions (including superannuation/pension funds), charities and high net worth individuals2. The minimum investment for all has been AU$50,000. All SIBs have been oversubscribed. Attracting Investment As the SIB process is government-initiated, there is a perception that SIBs save governments a lot of money and that governments should thus be actively enticing providers and investors to participate by sharing some of those savings. As the contract is signed before investors are sought, there is a need to make the SIB attractive to investors. If investors do not sign up, the new service will not be delivered and years of work is potentially wasted. • Most Australian SIBs include a ‘standing charge’, where government pays a fixed amount (which can be up to 50% of contract value) regardless of outcome. In many other SIBs around the world, government payments are only made in response to outcome achievements. This was used in the Benevolent Society Social Benefit Bond to create a ‘guarantee of principal’ for one tranche of investors. SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN SOCIAL HOUSING BONDS 24 • There are exit or termination points for investors, so that the program can be terminated if early results are not good, and the unspent proportion of the investment returned. • Rates of return to investors are capped much higher than overseas – the maximum rate of return for one tranche of the Benevolent Society SIB is 30% IRR, in comparison to Peterborough’s 13% and Belgium’s 6%. • Metrics were created that limited risk for investors. For example, the Newpin Social Benefit Bond funds separate programs for mothers and fathers but as the fathers’ program had less evidence, it was not included in the payment metric for investors. The fathers’ program was included, however, in the payment metric for the charity providing the services. • The media has been used to promote SIBs as an investment opportunity, with coverage of each investment opportunity including the national financial newspaper, the Australian Financial Review. • The Victoria government appointed two consortia to provide stable and affordable housing, case management and specialist support to young people leaving out-of-home care and to other groups experiencing chronic homelessness and harmful and other drug use.3 Notes: 1 Tomkinson, E. 2017. Social impact bonds (SIBs) in Australia. Online blog available at https://emmatomkinson. com/2017/07/18/aussie-sibs/ 2 Individual investment is restricted to ‘wholesale’ investors, i.e. a finance professional or a ‘sophisticated investor’ i.e. one who has an income of over AU$250,000 per annum for the last two years or assets in excess of AU$2.5 million. An offer restricted to wholesale investors safeguards retail investors from buying products they do not sufficiently understand and is cheaper to issue. 3 Premier of Victoria, Australia. First Social Impact Bonds for Disadvantaged Victorians. Treasurer, 18 April 2017. Available online at https://www.premier.vic.gov.au/first-social-impact-bonds-for-disadvantaged-victorians/ HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 25 FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE SUMMARY – SUPPLY-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES W hile this section has attempted to theoretically categorize both potential investment opportunities and the available investment mechanisms, it is important to note that there are no clear delineations between the opportunities or the investment mechanisms. For example, investors can adopt a venture capital approach to make a direct investment in a construction project with a partner, use a venture capital approach to investing in a housing fund, or select a REIT that focuses on investing in emerging construction companies.40 This phenomenon provides pension funds with the flexibility to adopt, and adapt, investment avenues and financing structures in the housing sector that best reflect the investment profile of their members. Direct investment and investment in housing and the regulators overseeing them, within the context developers maybe the simplest route for pension of their overall portfolio. fund managers to understand – being closest to their experience with real estate investments. However, it REITs do provide pension funds with more is not without risk. Housing development is highly diversified exposure within the instrument itself, cyclical, with even experienced banking lenders but less diversification on a portfolio level as, being frequently having to write off such investments. listed instruments, REITs generally move in line with Political or other types of nefarious interference in line with equity markets. Their supposed liquidity such investments is also, sadly, only too common. may also be theoretical rather than real. Again, the success of these instruments is not widespread due Overall exposure to the real sector can sometimes be to a lack of suitable supply making it challenging to ‘hidden’by pension funds, by taking stakes in developers achieve sufficient scale. when the reach their regulatory asset allocation limits to direct real estate. Such considerations need to be Social bonds are an increasingly popular option, make carefully by pension fund trustees and managers, but need to be structured in a way which can meet pensions funds’ fiduciary duties. HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 27 FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES - INVESTMENT IN PROVISION OF MORTGAGE LOANS I nstead of investing on the supply-side of the housing value chain, pension funds could elect to facilitate housing finance to the consumer, through the provision of mortgage loans. There are different ways in which a pension fund can invest in the provision of mortgage loans to the consumer:41 • By taking an equity stake in a mortgage lender alternative, usually employed by large private (the intermediary), who then offers mortgage investors and pension funds, is to hold shares loans to the end-user. directly. (See Case Study 8) • By providing wholesale funding to an intermediary, Pros and Cons of Taking an Equity Stake in a who then provides mortgage loans to end-users. Mortgage Originator The upside and any potential downside risks of Pension Funds Investing in Inter- a pension fund electing to take an equity stake in mediaries Offering Mortgage Loans a mortgage originator is the same as that of any Pension funds could elect to invest in intermediaries equity investment. Depending on the size of the who offer mortgage loans to consumers. The form equity investment, and whether or not the shares of the investment could take the form of: are publicly listed or not, determines the level of strategic input or control the pension fund has in • Either an equity stake in the entity that provides driving its affordable housing agenda. mortgage loans to consumers, or; Pension Fund Providing Wholesale Funding • To provide a wholesale funding line directly to the to an Intermediary intermediary, who, in turn, on-lends the funds to the consumer. As an alternative to taking an equity stake in an intermediary, the pension fund could provide a Pension Fund Taking an Equity Stake in a wholesale loan to the intermediary, who would Mortgage Originator then on-lend the funds (in the form of mortgage loans or personal loans) to the consumer.42 The The structure of the equity investment in a mortgage risk to the pension fund of adopting this approach originator generally involves the buying and holding is its reliance on the governance, management of shares in anticipation of an income stream from ability and business acumen of the intermediary. dividends and participating in any capital gains. Typically, these funding arrangements are Typically, equity holders receive voting rights, structured around a risk-sharing framework meaning that they can vote on candidates for the between the fund and the intermediary. board of directors to exercise their interests or an HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 29 Case Study 7. New Dutch Approach to Mortgage Origination Recently, more non-bank institutions have entered the market to provide mortgage loans and have attracted institutional investors, like pension funds, to provide finance. The Netherlands is Europe’s second largest mortgage market estimated at over €600 billion in 2015. Since the financial crisis, new mortgage originations and public RMBS securitizations across Europe had fallen due to tighter regulation and cheaper financing available through the European Central Bank. Although the Netherlands experienced a decrease in mortgage originations during 2008–2013, originations have since increased to pre-crisis levels. However, fewer of the new originations flowed from traditional sources such as banks and insurance companies but rather from mortgage funds known as “regiepartijen”, which are originating nearly a quarter of new loans. Regiepartijen are financed by equity from external counterparties such as pension funds, insurance companies and other financial institutions. The equity is used to originate new loans through broker networks. Essentially, regiepartijen allow institutional investors to originate mortgages through a fund. Because they offer a higher yield than Dutch government bonds, they have proven to be extremely attractive to investors. By mid-2015, the funds accounted for around 10 percent of Dutch mortgage origination. The Netherlands is home to six or seven mortgage funds that are raising equity for new loan originations, one of the most well-known being Syntrus Achmea, which is backed by an insurance company. In the UK, London-based TwentyFour Asset Management launched a mortgage fund backed by equity from investors. The company’s trust, UK Mortgage Ltd, acquires loan portfolios and plans to utilise equity to fund originations – just like the Dutch model.1 Note: 1 Pastras, G. 2016. The new Dutch approach to mortgage origination. Clayton Euro Risk, 10 March 2016. Available online at https://iir.nl/blog/the-new-dutch-approach-to-mortgage-origination/ AND Hale, T. Dutch lenders lose ground in battle for new mortgage market. Financial Times, 8 February 2016. Available online at https://www.ft.com/content/006f0238- cc34-11e5-a8ef-ea66e967dd44 DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN PROVISION OF MORTGAGE LOANS 30 FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES - INVESTMENT IN MORTGAGE SECURITIES P ension and insurance institutions contribute to a rapidly growing pool of funds that constitute a key potential source of long-term housing finance. Mortgage-related securities are the instruments through which long-term funding in capital markets can be accessed and inherent risks can be managed. Mortgage-related securities include bonds, pass-throughs (PTs) and structured finance instruments. Variations of mortgage security instruments • A well-functioning mortgage securities market, discussed in this report include: frees up lenders from having to develop expensive distribution channels (e.g. retail bank branch • Covered bonds network) to raise deposits to fund mortgage • Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) loans. Securitization, for example, enables thinly- • Bonds issued by Mortgage Liquidity Facilities capitalized lenders who specialize in mortgage (MLFs) origination and servicing to enter the market. Greater specialization could lead to operational efficiencies, cost savings and reduced spreads (and Pros and Cons of Mortgage improved affordability).44 That said, mortgage Securities lending and securitization require faith in the long- • Mortgage securities can increase the flow of funds term future of local capital markets, something to the housing sector. An increase supply of housing that is missing in most emerging markets.45 (See finance should reduce the cost of mortgage finance Case Study 8) and increase access to mortgage finance.43 • Mortgage securities can also increase competition • It allows for better allocation of risks inherent in in primary markets by allowing non-bank financial housing. institutions to compete with the banks. • Mortgage securities allow markets to tap into • Mortgage pools offer different durations and pools of contractual savings. different risk profiles, giving investors a wide choice to suit their investment preferences. • Institutional investors (pension and insurance funds) with long-term liabilities are better • Mortgage securities increase the liquidity of positioned to manage liquidity risk than short- mortgages and thus reduce originators’ risks and funded depository institutions. Pension funds and the required risk premium. life insurance companies have long-term liabilities • For the broader economy, the development of and look for longer term assets to match their cash capital markets facilitates financial deepening, flow and investment requirements. fosters economic growth and improves stability in • Mortgage securities allow pension funds that are the financial system. constrained by their portfolio size to participate in the housing market. However, mortgage securities can be complex and may not be an appropriate instrument for pension funds in emerging economies. HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 31 Case Study 8. SA Home Loans – Securitization as a Funding Tool1 Securitization activities in South Africa have decreased over time, with the assets of securitization instruments traded on the JSE2 decreasing from ZAR 125.7 billion to ZAR 59 billion in the third quarter of 20163. SA Home Loans (“SAHL”) is a dedicated mortgage finance provider which was launched in South Africa in 1999, offering mortgage finance at 19.6% at a time when the prevailing prime lending rate was 23.5%. The company has continued to offer below-market mortgage interest rates through its securitized funding model, and in 2005 introduced a 20-year fixed interest rate mortgage loan (“Varifix”). SAHL is not a deposit-taking institution and as such, has to fund the mortgage loans via a securitization funding platform, where cash flow-producing assets (such as mortgage loans, car loans, etc.) are pooled and packaged as securities, which are then sold to institutional investors in the capital markets. Initially, SAHL utilized short-term funding mechanisms (such as overdraft warehouse funding lines) to fund newly- originated mortgage loans. Once a sufficient pool of mortgage loans has been built up, large institutional investors (capital market participants), like pension funds, are approached, given details of the specific home loan pool (to enable them to assess the risk of the pool of home loans) and then offered residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS), which are secured by the specific, ring-fenced pool of loans in a securitized structure (legal entity). The securities offered to investors are generally between 3 to 5 years in duration. The proceeds from issuing securities to the investors are used to purchase the mortgage loans from short-term funding structures of the lender. In this way the funding for the mortgage loans gets converted from short-term funding to long-term funding. The securitization poses no risk to the borrower. It is the lender and the capital market funders who face the risk of the individual borrower defaulting on their mortgage loan and the full balance not being recovered. In order to facilitate the use of securitization as a funding tool the mortgage bond over the property is registered in the name of “The South African Home Loans Guarantee Trust”, which in turn, guarantees the lender payment in respect of the mortgage loan agreement. All borrowers sign an indemnity which places the obligation for payment of the loan on the borrower and as security for the obligation, authorizes the Guarantee Trust to register a mortgage bond over the property. If a borrower defaults on their obligation, the property is foreclosed upon and the trust will realise the security (through sale of the property). The proceeds of the sale of the property will then flow to the lender. Securitization in South Africa In South Africa, the lender, being the securitized entity, which has acquired the mortgage loan assets, holds the primary risk in the securitization transaction, incurring a certain percentage of initial losses in the structure, which is usually sized at a level to allow for the securities notes issued to the market to have an investment grade rating. This rating is supported by substantial cash reserves which are injected into the securitized entity at the outset (generally by the originator, i.e. SAHL. The South African model ensures that the originator, as well as the securitised entity (“lender”) retains a significant vested interest in ensuring the high credit quality of assets originated, as it holds the rights under the agreement and the obligations to the borrower. This was not always the case in non-South African transactions. - A further distinction from the overseas market is that South African securitization transactions have remained relatively simple and have primarily been used as a means of raising funding. This is unlike the international experience where structures became increasingly complex and risky. Consequently, there have been no defaults by securitization structures in South Africa and securitization remains a robust and viable funding and investment mechanism for both lenders and investors. Oversight and regulation of Securitization in South Africa • All securitization transactions must comply with the Securitization Regulations incorporated in the Banks Act, in terms of legal documentation that properly documents the nature of the transaction. South Africa’s central bank, the SA Reserve Bank (SARB), must approve every new securitization. DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN MORTGAGE SECURITIES 32 • Independent trustees are appointed to ensure that investors’ interests are protected. • Rating agents assign an initial rating to the various tranches of notes and continue to monitor the structures after issue date and report on any changes to the risk faced by investors. • Independent auditors are appointed for every new securitization transaction. Auditors provide an initial report on compliance with the Securitization Regulations, as well as undertaking annual audits of the securitization legal entity. Notes: 1 SAHL. Undated. Securitisation as a funding tool. Available online at https://www.sahomeloans.com/content/ uploads/2016/11/Securitisation-A-Funding-Tool.pdf 2 Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) 3 Kemp, E. 2017. Measuring shadow banking activities and exploring its interconnectedness with banks in South Africa. South African Reserve Bank Occasional Paper Series OP/17/01, December 2017. Available online at https://www.resbank. co.za/Lists/News%20and%20Publications/Attachments/8160/OP1701.pdf Preconditions for Creating a not be completely protected against default and Successful Mortgage Security Market market risks. Most pay-through mortgage-backed securities structures protect the senior bondholders • A macroeconomic and fiscal environment that against default risk by prioritizing the principal facilitates the supply of and demand for good and interest payments for the senior bonds. But quality securities. if default rates rise high enough, as in a financial crisis, even senior bondholders may suffer from • A robust legal, regulatory and institutional framework. default risk. For example, appropriate legal, tax and accounting framework, efficiency of the land registry, strength of • Governments must not issue debt extensively as the balance sheet of mortgage lenders. this ‘crowds out’ other issuers.47 • A relatively well developed financial sector. Mortgage Securities – The Experience • A developed primary mortgage market. The in Emerging Markets magnitude of countries’ mortgage market varies significantly between developed and According to Chiquier et al,48 there have been many developing economies, and is largely dependent examples of mortgage-related securities transactions on the sophistication and maturity of financial issued in emerging markets. (See Figure 9) The markets, the strength of the legislation protecting mortgage securities ranged from simple mortgage lenders’ and borrowers’ rights, the depth of the bonds to more complex pay-through structures. credit information systems and the prevailing Nevertheless, the funding from capital markets macroeconomic environment.46 Naturally the in developing economies for housing remains mortgage market penetration is much deeper in relatively low. developed countries than in emerging markets, Examples of successful mortgage securities where there are, therefore, fewer opportunities for transactions included mortgage bonds in Chile, the such investments. (See Figure 5) Czech Republic and Hungary; mortgage backed • Mortgage securities must offer an attractive securities (MBSs) in Columbia and Mexico; risk-adjusted return since the securities issued liquidity-facility issuance in Jordan and Malaysia. against mortgage pools vary widely in terms of ‘Success’ was measured as evidence that there was: duration and credit quality, and investors may • Repeat issuance of standardized securities. HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 33 34 DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN MORTGAGE SECURITIES Percent 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Swit Nethzerland erlan Source: hotfinet. Swe ds de Cypr n Denm us a Unite Norw rk d K ingdoay Icela m Portu nd Belg gal ium L u x e Spa mbo in u Finla rg nd Malt Fra a Germnce a Greeny Europe and Central Asia c Irela e n Middle East and North Africa Au d Slov sria akia Cze c Ita h R epub ly Po lic Lithuland a Slov nia e Hung nia Georary Bulg gia ar Serbia Turk ia North America Bosn Alb ey ia Romania Rus & Herzeg ania s ia n Fede ovina ratio Bela n East Asia and the Pacific Armerus Uk nia Azer raine bajia n Unite Canada d Sta tes New Austria Zea Ba lnadh a m Pana as ma C South Asia Trinid Costa hile ad & Rica T o bag Mexico o B Colo razil mbia Unite Saud Peru Australia and New Zealand d Ara i Arab bE m ia ir at Tunises ia Figure 5. Mortgages Outstanding (By Country) as a Percentage of GDP Isra K el S uwait in g Hong apore Kon Ja g Kore Mala pan a, R e ysia p u bli Thail c of and C Mon hina golia P Fij Sub-Saharan Africa h il ip p i Indo ines nesia Bang India la Sri Ldesh a P nka Latin America and the Caribbean Sout akistan h Afr ic K a Zimb enya abw Nig e Tanz eria ania Figure 6. Capital Market Facilitated Housing Finance in Emerging Markets Structured Finance Structure Finance Mortgage Bonds (Asia, Africa) (Latin America, CEE) Conduits Liquidity Facilities Chile China Argentina Argentina India Colombia Hong Kong, China Brazil Brazil Jordan Czech Republic Korea, Republic of Colombia Colombia Malaysia Hungary Malaysia Chile Hong Kong, China Mexico Kazakhstan The Philippines Mexico Korea, Republic of South Africa Latvia Thailand Panama Trinidad Trinidad Poland Morocco Peru Thailand South Africa Trinidad Latvia Russia Source: Chiquier, Hassler & Lea, 2014. • A significant share of housing finance flowing structure and ring fencing of collateral can increase from capital markets. the bond rating by one or more notches, reducing the cost of funding. • Secondary trading in mortgage security instruments. Mortgage bonds may be pass-through securities, as in Chile (see Case Study 10) and Denmark, where Covered Bonds (on-balance sheet all cash flows are passed to investors, whether they are scheduled payments, prepayments, or defaults. mortgage securities) More commonly, they are pay-through, where the Covered bonds (or ‘mortgage bonds’) are bonds that bonds have a simplified payment structure similar are senior general obligations and issued against a to that of a standard corporate bond, such as semi- specified pool of residential mortgages on a bank’s annual interest payments and principal at maturity.52 balance sheet. Mortgage bonds are created from the cash flows of a collateral pool.49 Investors have a This ‘on-balance-sheet’ instrument, based on priority claim against the collateral pool in the event specific legislation and supervision, provides the of the issuer’s bankruptcy; the collateral pool for the market with a long-term funding tool with cost mortgage bond is separated from the assets of the efficient performance on the issuer’s side, as well as bank and is available only to satisfy the claims of a stable and safe, long-term, liquid investment from the mortgage bondholders. (See Figure 7) the investors’ perspective, contributing significantly to the creation of an efficient housing market and As these bonds remain on the issuer’s balance sheet, financial stability.53 their value remains linked to the financial strength of the issuing institution.50 The pricing and quality At the end of 2016, over EUR 2.1 trillion of covered of mortgage bonds depend on the credibility and bonds remained outstanding and continued to financial strength of the issuing financial institution, play an essential role in European banks’ funding as well as the quality of the collateral pool which strategies.54 The amount of outstanding mortgage has been ring fenced.51 Where banks have the covered bonds was equivalent to over 20 percent of market standing to issue bonds, the mortgage bond outstanding residential mortgage loans in the EU.55 HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 35 Figure 7. Mortgage Covered Bonds Bank A Loan LT Funding Loan Bonds and Liens Cover Pool  Borrowers cede  Bank ring-fences part of its mortgage portfolio  Funders buy bonds and in their property as into a “cover pool” return provide long term security for a long funds to the mortgage term mortgage loan  The cover pool is made of strictly defined institution eligible mortgages  The bank sells bonds to funders which are issued based on the credit standing of the bank and the quality of the cover pool  Rules on eligibility and matching usually set by law and overseen by reguylator Source: World Bank, 2011. Covered bonds, along with deposits and securitization On the other hand, benefits for the investor include: form a balanced, sustainable and efficient mortgage funding mix, catering to a wide audience of lenders • Double recourse to issuer and the collateral pool. and investors; offering a channel for pension fund • Higher credit rating than unsecured debt. investment while increasing mortgage finance affordability for households.56 • Lower risk weighting and favorable treatment under Solvency II, Basel III. Pros and Cons of Covered Bonds • Favorable repo treatment at the European and other Benefits for the issuer: Central Banks. • Increased duration of the liability which allows for Finally, mortgage borrowers’ benefits include: proper matching to portfolios of long-term assets. increased affordability; more choices; better consumer protection.57 • Stability of the funding mix, allowing increased predictability in balance sheet maturity profile. It should, however, be noted that covered bonds are largely limited to only a few markets (4 countries • Increased diversification in the investor base, in both make up 50% of the outstanding issuance). They are type and geography. also highly dependent on the enabling framework (legal structures, rating systems, payment flows etc.). DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN MORTGAGE SECURITIES 36 Case Study 9. Covered (Mortgage) Bonds – Chile’s Letras de Crédito In Chile, mortgage bonds have been the dominant fixed-income, investment instrument for insurers and pension funds1. Letras de crédito (letters of credit) were introduced following the collapse of the Chilean savings and loans industry in 1997. Their introduction coincided with the launch of the first private pension funds, who became natural investors in these instruments.2 Mortgages with up to 25-year maturity have been available in Chile since the 1970s, funded by letras de crédito hipotecario, which are covered bonds typically indexed to inflation3 – responding to annuity providers’ need to preserve the purchasing power of pensioners – but with the legal possibility of denomination in pesos.4 In 1980, when Chile created a fully funded pension system with individual retirement accounts, it also permitted insurance companies to sell annuities backed by letras as investments for the retirement accounts in the payout phase of the privatized pension system. As market conditions changed, particularly the taxation and regulatory framework, Chile moved away from mortgage bonds and toward securitization. The government eliminated stamp taxes on refinancing, making it more attractive for individuals to take advantage of steep declines in interest rates between 2000 and 2004. Prepayment rates5 rose dramatically, reaching an annualized 39.8 percent for prime mortgages in November 2004. Likewise, stamp taxes on securitization were eliminated, changing the cost-benefit calculus for mortgage bonds and securitization. The pass- through feature of letras proved difficult for institutional investors to manage as prepayments rose. Securitization is more flexible for banks, as they began to offer a wider range of loan products. There were also more legal restrictions on mortgages funded with letras than on other kinds. At the end of 2005, 39 percent of mortgages were financed with letras, down from 67 percent in 2003 and 70 percent in 2001. Institutional investors are major buyers of mortgage- backed securities, just as they were of letras.6 Despite the declining popularity of letras, it is clear that mortgage bonds were a precursor to creating a fully functional, capital market and that the synergistic development of the market coupled with the rise of the private pension fund sector resulted in a successful housing finance model. Notes: 1 These mortgage bonds received widespread acceptance without being backed by government guarantees. 2 Chiquier, L. & Lea, M. 2009. Housing Finance Policy in Emerging Markets. World Bank. Available online at https:// openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/2641 3 Mortgages indexed to inflation create additional default risks in times of extremely high inflation but at the same time creates potential for one of the asset classes sought by annuity providers and private pension fund managers. Inflation- indexed mortgages provide the basis for securities that are ideal for long-term institutional investors (Chile, Colombia, and Mexico). Colombia’s indexing system lasted from the early 1970s to 1998, when interest rates spiked during the financial system crisis and the mortgage index, linked in part to short-term rates, also spiked, driving up monthly payments. As a result, defaults rose to 33 percent of outstanding loans. 3 Cheikhrouhou, H., Gwinner, W.B., Pollner, J., Salinas, E., Sirtaine, S. & Vittas, D. 2007. Structured Finance in Latin America: Channelling Pension Funds to Housing, Infrastructure and Small Business. The World Bank, Washington D.C. Available online at http://siteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/StructuredFinanceinLAC.pdf 4 Market risk is linked to the duration of the mortgage security and varies according on market circumstances. When mortgage pools prepay, mortgage security investors are deprived of the interest income they would have earned on the outstanding principal over the contractual maturity. 5 Ibid HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 37 Mortgage Backed Securities (off- Mortgage backed securities may be pass-through balance sheet mortgage securities) securities, where all cash flows are passed to investors, whether they are scheduled payments, prepayments or Issuers of mortgage backed securities sell the pool defaults; or they may be pay-through, where separate of mortgage loans to a trust or other specially bonds convey distinct rights to the cash flows of the created legal entity, or ‘special purpose vehicle’ collateral pool. In a pay-through mortgage backed (SPV). The SPV then issues bonds. The collateral security, the issuer typically creates senior bonds pool must be completely removed from the balance and subordinate bonds. In the simplest pay-through sheet of the issuer in an arm’s-length transaction structures, senior bonds receive scheduled interest that reflects market pricing of the assets. There can and principal, as well as principal prepayments. be no recourse to the seller in the case of default of Subordinate bonds receive cash flows only after the mortgages in the collateral pool, nor may the seller scheduled payments and prepayments are allocated view the collateral pool as a resource in case of need. to the senior bonds. The subordinate bonds suffer first If the seller goes bankrupt, the seller’s creditors have from defaults and their receipt of interest payments no access to assets of the special purpose vehicle. is reduced by any prepayments. Mortgage backed Since the pool of a mortgage backed security stands securities are popular partly because the structuring alone, financially weak institutions can securitize allows cash flows to be allocated in an infinite number assets and raise cash, unlike mortgage bonds, of ways, allowing the issuer to tailor the bonds to the where significant reliance is placed on the financial precise needs of institutional investors.59 (See Case standing of the issuer.58 (See Figure 8) Study 10) Figure 8. The Mechanics of Securitization Bank A Special Purpose Long-term Vehicle (SPV) Funding Providers Loan “Seasoned” Mortgages MBS Loan Funding LT Funding  Borrowers cede  Bank provides loan from its  Enhances the quality of the  Funders buy Mortgage their property as balance sheet acquired mortgages by Backed Securities (MBS), security for a long providing credit where possible combining term mortgage loan  Mortgages are “seasoned” enhancements a range of different bonds for a minimum period of time to generate the risk return  SPV splits mortgage profile congruent with their  Banks then sell the rights portfolio into different to the future flow of interest investment objectives quality “tranches” & principle repayment to a  Funders use a range of special purpose vehicle (SPV)  Sells bonds from the derivatives & hedging in return for a lump sum portfolio(s) to funders products to offset potential  Banks administer the default risks, if risks are mortgage on behalf of the unacceptably high SPV for a fixed fee Source: World Bank, 2011. DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN MORTGAGE SECURITIES 38 Case Study 10. United States – Mortgage Backed Securities Market1 Examples of some of the earliest mortgage backed securities issuances were farm railroad mortgage securities in the United States in the mid-19th century. The United States still represents one of the most extensive and sophisticated mortgage backed securities markets worldwide. In the U.S., pools of mortgage backed securities were sold to a federal government agency, like Ginnie Mae, or to a government sponsored-enterprise (GSE), such as Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, or to a securities firm to be used as the collateral for the issuance of a new MBS. The majority of MBSes carry the guarantee of the issuing organization to pay interest and principal payments on their mortgage backed securities. While Ginnie Mae’s guarantee is backed by the “full faith and credit” of the U.S. government, those issued by GSEs are not. MBSes issued by private firms (‘private label’) are typically issued by subsidiaries of investment banks, financial institutions, and homebuilders whose credit-worthiness and rating may be much lower than that of government agencies and GSEs. Unlike traditional fixed-income bonds, MBS bondholders receive monthly (not semi-annual) interest payments, as homeowners pay their mortgages monthly and these mortgage payments are what ultimately find their way to MBS investors. Another difference compared to, say, a Treasury bond is that the Treasury bond pays interest only and a lump-sum principal amount on maturity, whereas a MBS pays interest and principal throughout the life of the investment (with no lump-sum payment on maturity). In the beginning cash flow from the MBS is mostly from interest but over time, a greater percentage of the proceeds flows from the principal. Some of the most common types of mortgage backed securities are: • Pass-Throughs are a mechanism (in the form of a trust) through which mortgage payments are collected and distributed (or ‘passed through’) to investors. The majority of pass-throughs have stated maturities of 30-, 15- and 5- years. While most are backed by fixed-rate mortgage loans, adjustable-rate mortgage loans (ARMs) and other loan mixtures are also pooled to create the securities. Because these securities “pass through” the principal payments received, the average life is shorter than the stated maturity life, and varies depending upon the paydown experience of the pool of mortgages underlying the bond. • Collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) are a complex type of pass-through security. Instead of passing along interest and principal cash flow to an investor from a single pool of assets (e.g. 30-year fixed mortgages at 5.5 percent, which happens in traditional pass-through securities), CMOs are made up of many pools of securities, referred to as ‘tranches’ or ‘slices’. There could be many tranches, with each one operating according to its own set of rules by which interest and principal gets distributed. The advent of the global financial crisis, however, put a significant dampener on the MBS market in the U.S., as investors lost hundreds of billions of dollars in over-hyped mortgage backed securities. In a decade of MBS litigation, investors devised numerous ways to hold banks, mortgage issuers and even credit rating agencies accountable for misrepresenting the quality of the mortgages underlying the complex investment instruments.2 Notes: 1 Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA). Undated. Mortgage-Backed Securities. Available online at http://www. finra.org/investors/mortgage-backed-securities 2 Frankel, A. 2018. New front in MBS litigation: Pension funds claim Ocwen breached ERISA duty. Reuters, 8 March 2018. Available online at https://www.reuters.com/article/us-otc-mbs/new-front-in-mbs-litigation-pension-funds-claim- ocwen-breached-erisa-duty-idUSKCN1GI2VJ HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 39 Pros and Cons of Mortgage Backed large to get the necessary economies of scale Securities and the volumes of issuance that would lead to a liquid MBS market. This would be reflected in the From the investor’s point of view one of the biggest pricing of the MBS which would be even more problems is that they are now directly exposed to the expensive than otherwise. risk of default, which can be a big problem, as was the case in the last financial crisis. Bonds issues by Mortgage Liquidity Additionally, the are some other obstacles that Facility (MLF) emerging countries must confront in order to develop this instrument:60 Mortgage Liquidity Facilities (MLFs) represent a move away from the traditional portfolio lending • High issuance cost – In the beginning, lenders would model (or ‘primary market’) towards an unbundled have to be prepared to offer a significant premium housing finance value chain (or ‘secondary on the securities above the risk-free rate to attract mortgage market’). A MLF act as an intermediary investors. This cost would most likely be in the form between primary mortgage lenders and the bond of credit enhancements such as over-collateralization, market. Banks provide mortgage loans from their quality of securitized assets, a liquidity facility for the own balance sheet and, when necessary, will then SPV or other mechanisms limiting some of the risk. source funding from the liquidity facility, using their mortgages as collateral. The bank either receives a • Lack of detailed portfolio data – A lack of mortgage wholesale loan from the MLF (using mortgages as data limits the amount of analysis which can be done collateral) or “sells” the mortgage portfolio (but the by investors on possible mortgage portfolios to be default risk remains with the bank/lender so as to securitized. Without good data, investors would avoid moral hazard issues). The liquidity facility assume the worst-case scenario and demand a higher then issues bonds, which are not directly linked to level of risk mitigation which makes securitization the underlying mortgages. (See Figure 9) Unlike more expensive for the issuers. with securitization, the bonds can be issued at any • Potentially negative impact on competition – The time as there is no need for an existing portfolio of scale needed to develop securitization could lead to mortgages waiting to be funded. problems in competitive market forces (monopoly, These are simple, unsecured, unstructured, corporate duopolies, etc.). issuance (usually by highly rated or guaranteed • Risk management issues – One of the lessons of institutions) and consequently are frequently the last financial crisis is the dangers of separating purchased by pension funds. Institutions with the origination, servicing and risk-taking functions. medium- to long- term liabilities, like pension funds, Confronting this problem is one of the biggest then buy the bonds issued by the liquidity fund. The challenges in emerging countries. MLF may initially carry a guarantee (potentially government funded) in order to stimulate demand • Prudential risks – Securitizing the best assets from and the bond would typically carry a small margin a bank’s portfolio leaves a bank with more funding above government securities to attract investors.61 and capital but potentially a higher proportion of non- performing loans. This has prudential implica¬tions Bonds issued by a Mortgage Liquidity Facility (MLF) for the regulator who may have concerns about banks are generally more appropriate investment instruments weakening their balance sheets in this way. in emerging markets than securitization and can play a vital role in the establishment of a more developed • Lack of ‘feed stock’ – For securitization to work, secondary mortgage market (including securitization). market liquidity needs to be generated through Key differ¬ences between bonds issued by a liquidity regular issuances in large amounts. At present facility and securitization are that liquidity facilities the size of the mortgage market is not sufficiently are generally less complex, involve lower levels of DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN MORTGAGE SECURITIES 40 Figure 9. Mechanics of a Mortgage Liquidity Facility Bank A Liquidity Facility (LF) Long-term Funding Providers Loan Mortg age a s Fundi Collateral ng Bond Bank N ng LT Funding Fundi Collateral a s age Loan Mortg  Borrowers cede  Bank provides loan from its  LF then issues bonds -- the  Institutions with medium to their property as balance sheet bonds are not directly linked long term liabilities would security for a long to the underlying mortgages. buy the bonds issued by term mortgage loan  When necessary, the bank Unlike with securitisation the the LF sources funding from the bonds can be issued at any liquidity facility, using the time as there is no need for  The LF may initially carry a mortgages as collateral an existing portfolio of guarantee (potentially)  Either receives wholesale mortgages waiting to be government funded) in order to stimulate demand loan from the LF (using funded mortgages as collateral) or  The bond would typically  A key difference to “sells” the mortgage portfolio carry a small margin above securitisation is that the risk (but the default risk remains government securities of default remains with the with the bank/lender so as to bank/lender avoid moral hazard issues) Source: World Bank, 2011. risk transfer (the risk of default remains with the bank/ be adopted and can be viewed as more ‘palatable lender) and that the bonds are not directly linked to the stepping stone’ for the following reasons: underlying mortgages. These differences combine to make liquidity facilities’ bonds more appropriate for • The sophisticated legal framework, accounting emerging markets.62 systems and governance processes required for more complex mortgage securitization transactions may MLFs have an important role to play in contributing not be in place. to the evolution of market maturity and can be used to promote mortgage securitization once the proper • The MLF could act as a powerful intermediary, conditions are put in place. The two instruments achieving ‘economies of scale’ by sourcing long- (MLF bonds and securitized loans) can, however, term funding at better rates and more preferential co-exist, enabling users and investors to choose terms and conditions, than if the primary mortgage between different combinations of features, risks lenders acted alone. and prices. MLFs are seen as ideally suited to the • Capital market funding is an important source relatively early stages of market development.63 of addressing the maturity mismatches between (See Case Study 11) primary mortgage lenders’ liabilities and assets,64 In the course of the development of a secondary and a MLF is an appropriate conduit to access this mortgage market, a MLF is one structure that can long-term funding. HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 41 Case Study 11. Nigerian Mortgage Refinance Company (NMRC) – On the Mark – Successfully Connecting Mortgage Financing to Capital Markets The NMRC is a private sector-driven mortgage refinance company which was incorporated in June 2013 and which obtained its operating licence from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in February 2015. NMRC’s objective is to deepen primary and secondary mortgage markets by raising long-term funds from capital markets, in order to promote home ownership in Nigeria. NMRC has the following stated business objectives: • To encourage financial institutions to increase their mortgage lending by providing them with long-term finance. • To increase the maturity structure of mortgage loans and assist to reduce mortgage (interest) rates. • To increase the efficiency of mortgage lending by taking a lead role in proposing changes to the enabling environment for mortgage lending, as well as by standardizing mortgage lending practices of financial institutions. • To introduce a new class of high quality, long-term assets to the pension funds and other investors.1 NMRC has 21 investors which include the Ministry of Finance Incorporated (MoFI) and the Nigerian Sovereign Investment Authority which hold 17.02% and 22.7%, respectively. Other investors include five commercial banks and fourteen primary mortgage banks (PMBs) hold a further 12.07% and 48.21%, respectively. NMRC currently has 25 member banks who draw on their services.2 The organization has N8.63 billion3 Tier One capital, with a further US$ 120 million in Tier Two capital in the form of a subordinated loan4 from a World Bank International Development Agency facility. In July 2015, NMRC successfully issued a “15-year N8 billion Series 1 Bond” under its N140 billion medium term note program, backed by an unconditional Federal Government of Nigeria guarantee. Local pension funds were the main buyers This is being deployed to the refinancing of the mortgage portfolio of member Primary Mortgage Banks (PMBs). NMRC increased the value of portfolios refinanced with recourse from N1.9 billion in 2015 to N8.2 billion as at 31 December 2016. In the policy space, NMRC developed uniform underwriting standards to facilitate home ownership in the informal sector in collaboration with the Nigerian Central Bank and lobbied with government to introduce more robust property foreclosure regulation and processes. From an operational perspective, NMRC designed an internet-based Mortgage Market System (MMS) that provides an end-to-end financing solution, aimed at overcoming the cumbersome processes associated with home ownership by integrating key components of the housing value chain from construction finance, mortgage origination and administration to secondary market mortgage refinancing. It is hoped that increased operational efficiencies and improved data collection will enhance business intelligence that drives policy, business decision making and credit penetration. To counter the effects of Nigeria’s 2016 recession, resultant tight liquidity and high interest rates, which slowed the tempo of mortgage creation by member banks and depressed NMRC’s refinancing activities, the company began the process of issuing a Sukuk (no-interest Islamic finance product) and obtained the CBN’s approval to raise its equity (Second Tranche Equity Raise) in order to raise cheaper funding that should drive down interest rates for borrowers. This should be assisted by NMRC’s and the NMRC Bond’s ratings at BBB+ and AAA, respectively.4 In 2015, NMRC signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., a global private investment firm with strong expertise in asset-backed mortgage securities, for the firm to invest a minimum of US$ 1 billion (about N200billion) in the Nigerian mortgage sector. The firm has made arrangements to build 10,000 houses in Kadura, Lagos, Enugu and Abuja within the year and plans to use the NMRC vehicle for refinancing the related mortgages.5 Notes: 1 Nigerian Mortgage Refinancing Company (NMRC) website. Available online at http://nmrc.com.ng/about-nmrc/ 2 NMRC 2016 Annual Review and Financial Statements. Available online at http://nmrc.com.ng/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/ NMRC-AR-2016.pdf 3 Nigerian naira (N) 4 The loan is aimed at: (1) strengthening the balance sheet; (2) providing confidence in NMRC as a bond issuing entity. The loan is available to NMRC is 6 instalments, subject to the attainment of specified disbursement-driven milestones. 5 Hofinet. 2015. Nigerian Mortgage Refinancing Company Open for Business. 6 April 2015. Available online at http://www. hofinet.org/news/article.aspx?id=185 DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN MORTGAGE SECURITIES 42 • In several jurisdictions, the instruments to raise funds • A liquidity facility can act as a first step in linking directly from capital markets are not available, or mortgage markets to capital markets but without they may be too costly or complex to access. the same levels of complexity and risk transfer as a fully-fledged secondary mortgage market (while • MLFs can also be structured to provide temporary still allowing the mortgage market to grow in the liquidity support to lenders through collateralized absence of the infrastructure necessary for a more short-term operations, such as repurchase developed secondary market). agreements. This short-term flexibility may not be achievable via other secondary mortgage market • During this transitionary phase, MLFs can also structures. facilitate the standardization of policies and practices in the market and set the foundations for • Investors may have some concerns over the the further evolution of the secondary mortgage risks associated with mortgage securitization market. and require some form of additional reassurance in order to be persuaded to enter the market. • MLFs can contribute to strengthening the mortgage As MLFs are typically government owned market by promoting efficient and effective credit [structured as a public-private partnership (PPP)] bureaux, mortgage and land registration systems, or government supported, this may provide the judicial oversight and enforcement, appraisal additional reassurance that market participants services and other institutions which help to lower and investors in their bonds may require.65 transaction costs and lower risk.67 Pros and Cons of Mortgage Liquidity • The bonds of a MLF provide long term investment Finance opportunities in which long term liabilities can be invested. This is particularly useful for pension The benefits of MLF include: funds, life insurance companies and social secu¬rity funds.68 • MLF can provide lenders with lower cost funding than they would be able to access individually. • MLFs can be used as a tool for delivering policy This is especially beneficial for second-tier banks, objectives, such as promoting affordable housing which suffer the most from liquidity constraints. or the promotion of local currency lending. If In turn, this enables lenders to offer better interest managed carefully MLFs can be used to pursue rates thus improving end user affordability.66 affordable housing objectives without necessarily distorting the objectives of market-based pricing. • In the absence of a liquidity facility only financial The MLF may be able to set specific criteria for institutions with good credit ratings or extensive the refinancing of loans to particular groups of branch networks (with sufficient deposits) society, such as low-income groups.69 could meaningfully participate in the mortgage indus¬try. However, because liquidity facilities enable smaller banks and non-bank financial Preconditions for a Mortgage institutions to participate in the industry, a more Liquidity Facility competitive environment can exist. • An underlying motivation for financial institutions • By issuing its own bonds, MLF increase the to refinance or sell their mortgage loans driven by leverage of existing funding, allowing short-term lender demand (resulting in capital or liquidity deposits to (more easily) be converted into long constraints) or due to cash flow risk management term assets, with the safety net of the liquidity needs. facility to deal with liquidity risk issues. • Investor demand for long-term assets and the ability to invest in mortgage-related securities. HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 43 • A sufficiently developed private bond market • Robust regulatory oversight by a relevant capable of supporting cost-effective credit rating, authority. More specifically, there is no need for: bond underwriting, and servicing infrastructures. (See Case Study 15) -- A legal framework to create bankruptcy-remote structures, such as special purpose vehicles • A stable macroeconomic environment. (SPVs). • A sufficiently homogenous pool of mortgages -- A specialized legal framework for MLFs, and underwritten under sound origination standards. the capacity and willingness by authorities to implement. • Commitment by the central bank and/or government to initially take at least a minority -- A tax framework capable of treating ownership stake in the MLF to provide market securitization in a tax-neutral manner. support and to lend credibility. -- A specific accounting framework. -- The ability to transfer/assign security interest at low cost.70 DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES – INVESTMENT IN MORTGAGE SECURITIES 44 FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE SUMMARY – DEMAND-SIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES D emand-side investment opportunities involve a range of investments in mortgage security instruments that enable access to financing through capital markets. From a pension fund’s perspective, it is apparent that this range of potential investment opportunities also pose varying degrees of credit risk to the scheme and/or can impact significantly on the long-term investible assets of the fund. Covered bonds offer a more protected version of in bonds issued by MLF are often a first step in these instruments, but the complex legal framework emerging markets, before full scale mortgage to support them has limited their widespread backed securities are issued. adoption to only a few markets globally. Investing HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 45 FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE CONCLUSION I t appears as though some inroads are already being made in linking invested pension fund assets with investments in housing developments in specific developing economies. Nevertheless, it is also evident that there remains significant potential for more investment by pension funds in housing- related instruments. There are, therefore, several critical observations are often shaped by national policies, the quality around when the ‘stars are aligned’ and pension of the information available to pension funds funds can invest in the housing sector: about housing investments or directed by the needs (for example, for access to housing finance) Pension System Considerations articulated by the fund membership. Pension fund trustees are also conservative and generally • A fundamental requirement determining whether prefer to invest in commonly accepted vehicles pension funds invest in housing is the prevailing and sectors. In the case of housing, there is often legislative and regulatory framework in a a dearth of knowledge about housing markets. jurisdiction. An inadequate legal and regulatory This lack of familiarity with the vagaries and framework governing alternative investments has risks associated with housing investment either been cited as one of the major reasons for a lack of persuades funds to avoid investment in housing pension fund investment in housing.71 and72 altogether or to make housing investments without fully appreciating the associated risks. Therefore, • Furthermore, the generally accepted and commonly the need to expand information flows to inform applied investment mandates adopted by and educate both funds and their members is an pension funds’ board of trustees, also play an area that requires attention. Most information, important role in determining the acceptability of training and partnerships for trustees will be investing in housing. The nature of the mandates needed the more risky the housing instrument that are ultimately adopted as common practice they move into. Figure 10. Housing Investment Instrument by Level of Risk Bank Sovereign Bonds Social (Wholesale Direct Bonds Finance) Investment SOE Housing MBS Bonds Funds (Housing (Including Corp.) REITS) Source: Authors. HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 47 • Size of the pension fund industry and of some up-side or to use ‘moral suasion’ to actively individual pension schemes.73 As discussed persuade funds to participate. in the report, many economies with the greatest housing needs are not supported by a sufficiently • Whether the scheme is a public- or private- large or robust pension fund sector that could pension fund determines the monitoring drive meaningful investment in housing. Low environment within which it operates.74 Typically, pension coverage of the workforce constrains monitoring is more stringent for private schemes, overall involvement in housing. At a scheme as trustees are individually liable. Monitoring and level, some funds may not have the capacity to regulation of public funds tend to be relatively lax evaluate and manage housing investments, or may and politically driven.75 Therefore, the investment not be in a position to withstand the sometimes- behaviour of public and private schemes differ. For uneven performance of housing investments, or instance, if there is a national policy to promote to manage any inherent risks that may arise from investment in housing, public schemes could be housing investments. persuaded to direct investment to housing through political pressure, while a private scheme would • The typology and liquidity requirements of the be more reluctant to bow to political pressure. pension scheme. Thus, key considerations when defining the regulatory framework and designing • For many emerging markets, the present investment instruments are: demographic dividend76 is an opportune time to invest more aggressively in housing. If the -- How the benefits are determined, i.e. whether age profile of the fund tends towards a larger the fund is defined benefit (DB), defined proportion of younger members, the fund is contribution (DC) or a hybrid arrangement. able to tolerate a higher risk investment strategy DB schemes are usually large, have a closed as the time to payout is further into the future, membership and have to manage their whereas funds with an older membership base liabilities over decades. This means that they tend to be more conservative. In addition, it is are better placed to provide long-term, illiquid more likely that countries with a larger, younger funding than DC schemes. Other factors, population also have a relatively greater demand such as the average age of participants in the for affordable housing. pension scheme. • Employment volatility and mobility in firms or -- How the benefits are financed, i.e. whether on a in an industry have an impact on pension funds’ full or partial pay-as-you-go (PAYG) basis or if investment approach. The higher the likelihood they are fully funded (or capitalized) in advance. of staff turnover, the more liquidity required by the scheme. Therefore, investments in housing (a -- How free participants are to switch from one more illiquid asset class) would better suit pension provider to another, i.e. whether the pension schemes catering to firms or industries will lower fund is open or closed. levels of staff turnover.77 • Certain pension funds have a stated • In addition to taking into account the typology and developmental mandate to contribute to broader liquidity requirements of pension schemes, they social upliftment or have a policy of impact need to deliberate on, evaluate, manage and investing, and these would be ideal institutions mitigate for the following investment risks: to approach to provide financing for housing. However, for the majority of pension funds, the -- Solvency risks related to instrument issuers, be they primary objective of trustees and management companies or corporations developing projects, or is to maximise members’ returns. Therefore, a financial agencies or banks that act as financial ‘carrot and stick’ approach is required to either intermediaries, as in the case of securitized attract investment through incentives that promise instruments or bonds or mortgage certificates. CONCLUSION 48 -- Interest rate risks in the case of fixed income conditions would include, amongst other things instruments; – stable macroeconomic fundamentals, strong financial institutions active in capital markets -- Market risks associated with the intrinsic and and in the mortgage lending space, established specific risks of the housing sectors. developers and construction companies, vibrant -- Liquidity risks related to financing projects home ownership and/or rental markets, robust through debt instruments, which are usually registration, titling and administrative processes, long-term.78 political will and supporting policies to advocate for investment in housing. Country-specific Considerations Areas for Future Investigation • Accessing pension funds to finance the development of housing must be designed to In the course of undertaking research for this report, mimic the pension fund savings profile of the several issues arose which pointed to the need for specific country (and not seen a generic panacea further investigation. for all economies). Country-specific challenges, • Unsurprisingly, the need for accurate and for instance, high levels of unemployment or consistent quantification of the housing where there is a high degree of informal business, shortage is important. In addition, the must be factored into any decision to look to establishment of common definitions to express pension funds to finance housing development. the nature of the ‘shortage’ (or ‘lack’). For As such, there is a need to develop innovative example, in terms of what would qualify a retirement products that could cater to this market. dwelling to be of ‘substandard’ quality; what For example, ‘PAYG’ pension contributions for number of inhabitants per square meter of space the unemployed or informally employed. would constitute ‘overcrowding’. Solving for this • In jurisdictions where the need for large-scale issue would be no easy feat as standardization and urgent housing developments is greatest, (for geography, local conditions, cultural norms policymakers should strongly consider putting in and acceptability, affordability levels) would be place preconditions that attract foreign pension extremely challenging. Nevertheless, the need for fund investment (because domestic markets data to better understand and quantify the global would not be able to provide the required quantum housing shortage must be noted. of financing). • At an aggregate level having access to • The existence of a well-developed capital comprehensive and accurate data that quantifies market is an important precondition for the the quantum of assets under investment of level of investment in housing as capital markets public and private sector pension funds and at a facilitate the ease of financial flows and are better more granular level, a more detailed breakdown situated to match long-term funding requirements of the types of investments being made in what is with the long-term profile of housing investments. currently categorized as ‘land and buildings’ (e.g. Furthermore, the level of sophistication of capital whether it is in commercial or residential property, markets also generally determines the range of or housing-related investment instruments), would investment instruments available and the pace of prove extremely helpful to determine the potential new investment product development. pool available for investment in housing. This information would also be useful in guiding how • To support housing investment, there is also a legislative and regulatory frameworks should be need for a well-developed housing sector. This constructed, and contribute to designing appropriate would include role-players in the end-to-end and relevant investment products that would prove housing value chain and depending on the market attractive to pension funds. HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 49 • Further quantitative data on how the different • More granular work needs to be undertaken to housing instruments have performed in understand the dynamics of pension schemes different regions would be enlightening, to which allow members to directly withdraw understand better the different risk/ return profiles. funds from accumulated savings and the impact Examining the actual investment performance by on the funds’ overall performance. pension funds in selected countries which have invested in their instruments would be helpful. • There needs to be a search for innovative examples of how funds have prevented ‘leakage’ • Whilst there is a need to ‘customize’ housing from funds where withdrawals have not been investment instruments in a country to attract used for housing purposes. both domestic and foreign pension funds in order to cater to the unique requirements of a In Summary particular geography, it would be instructive and useful to collate a set of generic policies It has been estimated that by 2025, one billion new and guidelines for each of the housing homes will be needed worldwide at an estimated cost finance instruments. This obviates having to of US$ 16 trillion and in the same period a further recreate legislative, regulatory and operational 440 million households (or 1.6 billion people) would policies and processes from scratch. It is also an occupy crowded, inadequate and unsafe housing, or opportunity to incorporate any learnings from would be financially stretched. the experiences of other economies. This report examined supply- and demand- side • The importance of a conducive legislative and investment opportunities available to pension funds, regulatory environment to promote pension funds’ outlined pros and cons of the instruments, and investment in housing cannot be underestimated. highlighted the necessary preconditions to facilitate Many countries, both developed and developing, the success of these investments. In addition, where have created the legislative and regulatory available, relevant case studies were included to frameworks to facilitate successful investing. illustrate potential learning opportunities. Establishing a repository of successful legislative and regulatory frameworks would contribute to Housing investment instruments could offer facilitating an effective investment environment. pension funds a, longer term, asset class, which This requires an extensive investigation to could complement and enhance existing investment comprehensively collate this information. Several strategies. However, for many emerging markets, countries have also adopted investment policies significant work still need to be done to create the that have not proved to be successful. This ideal investment environment and lessons from information would also prove to be useful and practical experience (both good and bad) should be should be included in the proposed repository. examined further. CONCLUSION 50 Type Of Investment Investment Characteristics Enabling Conditions Suitability For Pension Instrument (Supply-Side) Scheme Investment In Housing Projects Direct investment in • Large-scale projects • Requires sizeable resources • Large defined benefit (DB) housing projects • Requires in-depth (financial, industry funds, with in-house capacity understanding of real estate expertise, management and and expertise in the housing market dynamics administrative capacity) and sector • Relatively illiquid investment investment in time (committed until project • Requires agile and flexible complete) management culture • Greater control over assets • Robust governance and and investment decision transparent reporting • Program management • Conducive legislation and relatively expensive regulatory environment Equity investment in • Significant reliance placed • Strong governance and • Large defined benefit (DB) housing developer on the industry knowledge regulatory framework funds and expertise of the housing • Large number of large- • Defined contribution (DC) developer scale housing developers to funds with lower liquidity • Normal ‘equity’ risk – reliance leverage economies of scale requirements placed on company’s board and competitive forces and management team • Vibrant banking sector • Liquidity (for listed housing willing to provide consumer ANNEXES developers) mortgage finance Investment In Housing Portfolios Co-funding for housing • Public-private sector • Clearly defined roles and • Smaller pension schemes funds partnership responsibilities for all parties • Defined contribution/open • Reliance on housing • Risk mitigation or funds fund for deal sourcing, incentives required to offset project assessment, developmental/societal risk management and objectivesHousing fund must controls, investment have appropriate capabilities administrationReduced and capacity project risk for pension fund FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 51 52 REITs • Usually tax benefits for investors • Institutional strength and vibrant • Most pension funds • Regular income streams and property markets potential long-term capital • Some level of market maturity ANNEXES appreciation upside • Legislative and regulatory • Diversified investment assets framework • Liquid • High rental demand environment • Highly regulated environment • Large-scale landlords • Tax incentives for investors Social Impact Investment Social housing bonds • Specific social impact targets • Potential ‘finance gap’ either • Funds with a social/developmental • Clear financial objectives covered by government or mandate • Usually a public sector-driven accepted by investor initiative • Risk mitigants introduced to cater • Matching of government’s long- for to reduce risk of lower financial term funding needs with investors’ returns horizons‘ • Flexibility with measurement • Outcomes risk’ passed from metrics taxpayer to private sector • Relatively complicated structures Type Of Investment Investment Characteristics Enabling Conditions Suitability For Pension Scheme Instrument (Demand-Side) Investment In The Provision Of Mortgage Loans Pension funds as direct • Provision of direct benefit to fund • Requires creation of in-house (or • Larger funds, with in-house providers of mortgage loans members outsourced, but managed) credit capacity and expertise in risk and • Access to funds during ‘lifetime of risk assessment capabilities, loan management membership processing resources and • Any losses from default borne by administrative support pension fund • Potential erosion of and/or removal of investible assets from the investment pool • Risk of exposure to limited number of companies or industry in the event of crisis Equity investment in • Significant reliance placed on the • Strong governance and regulatory • Large defined benefit (DB) funds mortgage lender industry knowledge and expertise framework • Defined contribution (DC) funds of the mortgage lender • Large-scale mortgage lenders to with lower liquidity requirements • Normal ‘equity’ risk – reliance leverage economies of scale and placed on company’s board and competitive forces management team • Vibrant banking sector willing • Liquidity (for listed mortgage to provide consumer mortgage lenders) finance Wholesale funding to • Reliance on intermediary’s risk • Clearly defined roles and • Medium- to large- funds intermediary who on-lends to assessment, loan management responsibilities for all parties consumer and administrative expertise • Clearly defined risk assessment • Ring fenced risk for pension fund criteriaClear deliverables/ outcomes Investment In Mortgage Securities Investment in covered bonds • Investors have priority claim • Institutional strength and vibrant • Most pension funds over specified pool of residential property markets mortgages • Some level of market maturity • Collateral pool separate from • Legislative and regulatory issuer’s assets framework • Reliance on strength and credibility of issuer • Potential reduction in cost of funding (based on financial strength of issuer) • Allows for asset and liability matching • Double recourse for investor (to issuer and collateral pool) Investment in Mortgage • Pool of mortgage backed assets • Understanding of the risks • Pension funds with sufficient Backed Securities (MBS) sold to special purpose vehicle associated with underlying assets investment knowledge / expertise (SPV) • Accumulation of portfolio data in (in-house or via specialist external • Collateral pool totally removed order to assess portfolio risk managers) from issuer’s balance sheet • Market liquidity to ensure regular • Investor directly exposed to credit issuances in large amounts default • Vibrant mortgage lending market • Robust legislative and regulatory HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS framework 53 54 Mortgage Liquidity Facility • Intermediary between primary • Initially, MLF requires a guarantee • Large defined benefit (DB) funds (MLF) mortgage lenders and the bond (potentially government funded) to • Defined contribution (DC) funds market stimulate demand with lower liquidity requirements ANNEXES • Mortgage lenders accesses a • Requires a sophisticated legal wholesale loan in exchange for framework, accounting systems bond issue and governance processes • No need to have an existing portfolio of mortgages to issue bonds • Plays a role in developing more mature markets • Promotes economies of scale by sourcing long-term funding at better rates on behalf of individual mortgage lenders • Facilitates expansion of mortgage markets • Promotes strengthening of mortgage markets (e.g. credit bureau, land and mortgage registration systems) Pension Supported Loans Direct withdrawal from • Provision of direct benefit to fund • Requires a relatively large base of • National mandatory pension funds pension fund members contributors – perhaps structured (with sufficient contribution rates) • Access to funds during ‘lifetime of at national level • Provident funds with separate ‘use membership • Member education and support of funds’ accounts • Relatively higher contributions required to understand the required from members scheme • Ring fenced accounts allocated for different objectives, e.t. housing, healthcare • Potential erosion of and/or removal of investible assets from the investment pool Direct loans to pension fund • Provision of direct benefit to fund • Requires creation of in-house (or • Larger funds, with in-house members members outsourced, but managed) credit capacity and expertise in risk and • Access to funds during ‘lifetime of risk assessment capabilities, loan management membership processing resources and • Any losses from default borne by administrative support pension fund • Legislative and regulatory • Potential erosion of and/or framework allowing fund members removal of investible assets from to access accumulated savings the investment pool • Risk of exposure to limited number of companies or industry in the event of crisis Providing collateral for • Provision of direct benefit to fund • Agreement of loan terms and • Large funds housing loans from third members conditions with third-party loan party • Access to funds during ‘lifetime of provider (e.g. maximum loan membership amount as a percentage of • Any losses from default borne by accumulated savings, interest third-party loan provider rate, loan processing and • Potential loss investible assets administration) from the investment pool if • Legislative and regulatory member defaults framework allowing fund members • Member could lose accumulated to access accumulated savings retirement savings and/or fixed property HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 55 FINANCE, COMPETITIVENESS & INNOVATION INSIGHT | LONG-TERM FINANCE REFERENCES Bloomberg 2018. 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UN-Habitat, 2016 chapter 3, ‘The Fate of 11. Short et al, 2009. Housing’. 12. Mutero et al, 2010. 3. Woetzel et al, 2014. 13. Philipps, 2011. 4. Johnstone, 2017. 14. FIAP’s survey (Philipps, 2011) concludes that: 5. United Nations, 2010. “Pension schemes’ direct investment in housing and infrastructure, is constrained by legal 6. The UN Special Rapporteur on adequate and regulatory frameworks in surprisingly housing (United Nations, 2014) noted that numerous countries.” “…significant problems of homelessness and inadequate housing also exist in some of the 15. Phillips (2011) cited Mexico as having most economically developed societies… legislation that governed investments promoting increasing homelessness in the most developed housing as a preferred investment objective countries and countries suffering from grossly (along with developing the country’s strategic unequal distribution of wealth…” infrastructure and regional development). – Peru is noted as the country with the most 7. UN-Habitat, 2015. comprehensive legal framework for promoting 8. OECD, 2017. investments in housing financing instruments, authorizing investment in first issuances of 9. Luüs, 2014. instruments destined to finance the development of new projects, specifically investment in 10. ‘Housing’ as an investment asset class is not financial instruments which are associated with reported separately from real estate investing, so the development of infrastructure projects and regulations applied to this investment category concessions. would also apply to direct investment in housing. Asset-backed and securitized products 16. Sy, 2017. would normally be included under regulation on derivatives. Some countries – such as UK, US 17. Cheikhrouhou et al, 2007. and Australia - apply the ‘prudent person rule’ 18. WEF, 2014. and impose no specific asset class restrictions on pension fund investments. Derivatives 19. Ibid. are restricted to non-speculative usage, but are generally allowed. However, many other 20. Ibid. countries still apply fairly stringent (if not full) 21. Ibid. restrictions on direct investments in real assets, HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 63 22. Ibid. separate development projects. Over the 20 years to 2014, an average of 107,000 dwellings 23. Ibid. were created each year across around 1,420 24. Inderst, 2009. projects. 25. For example, a Brazilian pension fund lost 38. A common form of social enterprise in housing money that it had invested in real estate when is community housing providers (CHPs). These building contractors sold only 240 of the 3,600 work with governments and private sector luxury apartments built in 2016 due to the partners to build and manage properties. Many economic crisis (Yanqui Zaza, 2017). lease properties from state governments, whilst others develop and maintain their own housing 26. A recently reported unfortunate example stock. An advantage of CHPs is that their involved housing investments and the National structure associated with dealing with a range Social Security Association (NSSA) in of other parties from the government and for- Zimbabwe. Newsday 4th May 2018, ‘Grace profit sector promotes transparency whilst the Sucked in NSSA Plunder’. https://www. ‘enterprise’ nature of their model encourages newsday.co.zw/2018/05/grace-sucked-in-nssa- innovation. plunder/. 39. The section on Social Housing Bonds is based on 27. WEF, 2014. the following article: Heaton, A. 2017. Impact Investing Could Be Key to Affordable Housing. 28. Ibid, Sourceable, 4 October 2017. Available online at https://sourceable.net/impact-investing-key- 29. Kruger-Levy & Bertoldi, 2017, affordable-housing-pub-sept-15/. 30. Peppercorn & Taffin, 2013, 40. Venture capital tends to focus on emerging 31. Investopedia, Undated, companies that are seeking substantial funds for the first time, while private equity tends to 32. Ibid, fund larger, more established companies that are seeking an equity infusion. 33. REITs are exempt from paying tax on distributable net income or subject to 41. As noted, the members of pension funds in preferential corporate tax rates; exempt from some countries can also access their pension capital gains tax when selling off assets; exempt savings early and use these funds as down from or subject to concessions on stamp duty payment on a house or as collateral as a loan. and transaction tax on transfer of properties. In some (rare) cases, pension funds themselves also act as providers of mortgage loans to their 34. Ibid, members. These issues are covered in a separate 35. Ibid, companion paper to this report. 36. Ibid, 42. The pension fund could also provide wholesale funding to an intermediary to provide 37. In 1986, the United States changed its Internal commercial finance to property developers or Revenue Code and introduced the Low Income construction companies on the supply-side of Tax Credit Program, in terms of which investors/ the housing value chain. – For example, in South developers receive tax credits for agreeing to Africa, the pension fund asset management rent a portion of the housing at below market company, Futuregrowth, provides a line of rates. Between 1987 and 2014, around 2.78 credit to the National Urban Reconstruction million dwellings were created through 43,092 and Housing Agency (NURCHA). NURCHA ENDNOTES 64 on-lends the funds to established- and start-up 55. Ibid. construction companies that build privately- owned affordable and government-subsidized 56. Ibid. dwellings. 57. Ibid. 43. There is evidence that where pension funds 58. Cheikhrouhou, et al, 2007. are involved in the mortgage market, interest rates can be reduced. Chile is a good example 59. Ibid. of this impact. Evidence shows that, across Latin America, access to the financial system 60. World Bank, 2011. (number of banked adults taken as a proxy) 61. World Bank, 2011. correlates with lower levels of housing shortage – with more people having access to loans to 62. Langhan, 2016. fund a housing purchase. In addition, pension savings are correlated with lower interest rates 63. Ibid. on mortgages – with affordability, as well as 64. For institutions with small (or no) deposit base, access, being key to providing more housing capital markets are the only source of funding. finance. Even large commercial banks, who may not 44. For example, in Australia, the entry of require external funding, may need to access wholesale-funded specialist lenders led to capital markets to address maturity mismatches a reduction of 200 basis points in mortgage between their short-term deposits and long- spreads from 1994 to 1996 (Cheikhrouhou et term loans. Holding marketable bonds or being al 2007). able to pledge loan portfolios for short term advances are ways to address this requirement. 45. Chiquier& Lea, 2009. (Langhan, 2016). 46. Warnock & Warnock, 2008. 65. Ibid. 47. Ibid. 66. In emerging markets, the availability of fixed interest rate options reduces the impact of 48. Chiquier & Lea, 2009. potential risks of interest rate and/or inflation 49. Ibid. volatility and provides lenders and borrowers with a degree of certainty. (Langhan, 2016). 50. Ibid. 67. Ibid. 51. For ring fencing of collateral to be effective, most countries require a special law for its 68. World Bank, 2011. establishment. 69. Langhan, 2016. 52. Cheikhrouhou et al, 2007. 70. Ibid. 53. Milyutin, Undated. 71. Mutero et al 2010. 54. European Covered Bond Council (ECBC) 72. Philipps, 2011. Covered Bond Fact Book 2017 Edition https:// hypo.org/ecbc/press-release/ecbc-publishes- 73. The size of assets under management does 2017-edition-european-covered-bond-fact- not necessarily depend on the type of pension book-including-market-statistics-2016/ system adopted. In some countries, large pension assets have accumulated as these systems HOUSING FINANCE – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PENSION FUNDS 65 require mandatory savings (e.g. Chile). In 76. Demographic dividend, as defined by the United others, it is a large market of voluntary pension Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) refers to “the schemes offered by employers which has built economic growth potential that can result from up significant assets (e.g. UK, US). Some of the shifts in a population’s age structure, mainly larger systems are defined contribution (DC) when the share of the working-age population in nature (e.g. Australia), others are defined (15 to 64) is larger than the non-working-age benefit (DB), such as the Netherlands. Some share of the population (14 and younger, and 65 are managed by a number of competing private and older). It is assumed that there is a boost in pension providers (e.g. Hong Kong), others economic productivity when there are growing consist of one large government scheme (e.g. numbers of people in the workforce relative to Namibia). (Stewart, 2017). the number of dependents. 74. Pallares-Miralles et al, 2012. 77. Ibid. 75. Mutero et al, 2010. 78. Philipps, 2011. ENDNOTES 66