82604 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY 2013–2017 A Summary THE WORLD BANK GROUP Full text of the COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY 2013–2017 is available on http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/india India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY 2013–2017 A Summary THE WORLD BANK GROUP 1 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) 2 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) Foreword This India Country Partnership Strategy for the World Bank Group comes at a moment where both India and the World Bank are at important points in their history: India has crossed the threshold to become a Middle Income Country and is poised to lift millions out of poverty in years to come, in all likelihood more than any other country in the world. The World Bank has committed itself to the goal of eliminating extreme poverty by 2030 and boosting shared prosperity. For our team it was clear that our strategy should aim squarely at supporting India’s and the World Bank’s shared goal to eliminate poverty. We therefore analyzed what would be the best ways of maximizing the impact of growth in India on poverty alleviation. We did this by comparing the performance of Indian states over the last decade and analyzing why those states that lifted more people out of poverty succeeded in doing so. We also looked at historic performance of other large federal countries at times when they had long periods of sustained growth and lifted many people out of poverty. And we took India’s own 12th Five Year Plan as our basis, as the Plan’s goals are fully aligned with our objectives. Through this work we came to a number of important shifts compared to previous strategies: 1. In order to help eliminate poverty, we should shift our resources (limited though they are in comparison to India’s needs) to where the battle against poverty must be won: in India’s low income states; 2. We should see India’s rapid rural to urban transformation as a tremendous opportunity, both for agriculture and for poverty alleviation and competitiveness; 3. All parts of the World Bank Group, IBRD, IDA, IFC, MIGA should work as one, not by accident but by design; 4. We should not be content just to provide financing. Our limited resources can only have meaningful impact when they bring something new that can be tested and after that rolled out in other programs. With our partners in the Government of India, we hope to use this strategy as the basis for a continued strong engagement with India for years to come. In order to justify the resources that this requires, we understand that our primary focus should be on using the available resources in the best way possible and faster. Development in India is a rapidly moving process, so anyone who wishes to contribute to it must move fast. We also understand that we need to keep learning to adjust to India’s unique and complex path and to understand some of the fundamental challenges the country faces: How will cities become sources of competitiveness and efficiency? How will India keep growing rapidly and have enough water and energy to keep that growth going? How can India lift more people out of poverty faster without them being at risk of falling right back when a family member gets sick? We will not answer these questions alone, and these are not the only questions that need answering. But we will work hard to add our experience and knowledge to help answering them and others. I am grateful to all those who contributed to this strategy, in the Government of India, IFC, MIGA, IBRD and IDA. We all understand that this is just a document. The hard work starts now. Onno Ruhl Country Director, India 3 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) Contents 1. Introduction / 6 2. A Strong Voice for National and Global Development / 8 India’s Development Path / 9 The Role of the World Bank Group / 11 3. Impressive Progress, Serious Challenges / 12 India and the Millennium Development Goals: National and Global Contexts / 14 Moving to Middle-Income Status / 16 4. Exploiting Opportunities through the Country Partnership Strategy / 20 Integration: Connecting India’s Many Parts / 22 Transformation: Achieving Urban–Rural Balance in Development / 24 Inclusion: Ensuring Benefits from Faster Economic Growth for All / 27 Improved Governance, Sustainability, and Gender Equality / 28 5. Synchronizing the CPS with India’s Development Plans / 30 Low-Income States: Economic integration and Poverty Reduction / 31 Building Capacity and Institutions / 33 Building on a strong portfolio / 35 6. Conclusion: A Partnership across India / 36 List of tables Table 1: India’s performance on the Millennium Development Goals / 14 Table 2: Low-income and special category states / 32 List of boxes Box 1: Contributing to growth through better domestic, regional and global integration and achieving results / 23 Box 2: Water and sanitation: contributing to global goals / 25 Box 3: Helping India reap the benefits of urbanization while raising agricultural productivity / 26 Box 4: Working in partnership with India to promote human development and strengthen social programs to support more inclusive growth / 28 List of figures Figure 1: Poverty rates in Indian states / 13 Figure 2: A Global Perspective on India’s Progress on MDGs / 15 Figure 3: India CPS results chain: engagement areas and outcomes / 21 5 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) 1. Introduction India is uniquely placed to help reduce global poverty and boost shared prosperity. While the country has achieved encouraging results in recent years in tackling these dual challenges, it remains home to one-third of the world’s poor, as well as the largest number of people who have recently escaped poverty but are still vulnerable to falling back. India is now in the midst of an important transition, casting off its long-held status as a developing nation to emerge as a new leader in the international economic arena. Strong support for the country at this crucial juncture can help bend the arc of history by accelerating the decline in poverty both in India and the world. India’s ongoing transformation calls for a new phase in its long-standing partnership with World Bank Group (WBG). The new Country Partnership Strategy (FY2013–17) between India and the WBG responds by setting out a program of support—from the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), International Development Association (IDA), International Finance Corporation (IFC), and Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA)—that seeks to develop transformational and innovative solutions to tackle the country’s most pressing development challenges, especially in the poorest, least developed, and most isolated of its states. A more pronounced focus on India’s low-income states (Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh) and on urbanization are hallmarks of this new phase of 6 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) partnership, and represents a key strategic shift in the WBG’s support to India’s development. As India continues to transform from The strategy seeks to help India lay the foundation for achieving a long-term a largely rural, vision for 2030—a vision of the nation as a global economic powerhouse where agrarian economy more and more people share the benefits of growth and where no more than 5.5 into an increasingly percent of the population lives in poverty and 41.3 percent of the population is urbanized one, no longer vulnerable to falling back. more emphasis will be needed on creating strong Key Elements of the World Bank Group linkages between the urban and Strategy rural parts of the country. The World To help achieve the vision for India in 2030 and contribute to its ongoing Bank Group will transformation, the WBG strategy focuses on three broad areas of engagement: support efforts integration, rural-urban transformation and inclusion. Improving domestic—as to help India and well as regional and global—integration is key to high, sustained growth, and its people reap accelerated poverty reduction. As India continues to transform from a largely the benefits of rural, agrarian economy into an increasingly urbanized one, more emphasis will urbanization, while be needed on creating strong linkages between the urban and rural parts of the also improving country. WBG will support efforts to help India and its people reap the benefits of agricultural urbanization while also improving agricultural productivity. A third area of support productivity. is to work in partnership to help foster the inclusion of all social and economic groups - regardless of age, gender, caste, or place of residence – thus ensuring that the benefits of faster economic growth touch the lives of all of India’s people. All three areas of engagement will share a focus on improving governance, promoting environmental sustainability, and bolstering gender equality. World Bank Group Support Given the deep and complex challenges confronting a rapidly changing country, the strategy makes the case for continued high levels of support for India. Aware that WBG finances will always be modest compared to the task at hand, the strategy aims to leverage resources in creative ways that take into account the different strengths of India’s states and regions, the entrepreneurial spirit of its people, the deep experience of civil society, and the convergence of better governance and social responsibility. To make a meaningful contribution to the assault on poverty, the volume of support from the WBG should be in the order of about $5 billion per year over the next five years. For the WBG’s endeavors to be effective, actions will be required at the national level, at lower levels of government, as well as through partnerships with the private sector, civil society and development partners. The strategy is closely aligned with India’s own vision for development outlined in the 12th Five-Year Plan (FY2013–17), which calls for “faster, sustainable, and more inclusive growth”. Lessons have been incorporated from the Group’s long-term engagement in the country, and take into account learning from the previous strategy (FY2009–12) as well as inputs from experts across a broad spectrum of economic, social, and government sectors. 7 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) 2. A Strong Voice for National and Global Development In recent years, India has emerged as an important player on the world stage, playing a pivotal and leading role in the global information technology (IT) revolution, and being on the cutting-edge in using IT for e-government and the delivery of services. The country is home to internationally recognized companies that have become global leaders in pharmaceuticals, steel, and space technologies. India enjoys a prominent voice in global forums, advocating for creative ways for multilateral development banks to raise capital and financing to enable them to meet the infrastructure-financing needs of the developing world. Recently, India has been one of the most vocal advocates for expanding the role of multilateral institutions to help countries reach the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), finance the development of their infrastructure and human resources, manage global financial crises, and ensure a balanced, prosperous, and inclusive economy. Given the country’s global significance, India’s continued rapid economic growth will be essential for poverty reduction and shared prosperity, not just within the country but also around the world. In this critical endeavor, India’s role and impact cannot be overstated. 8 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) India’s Development Path Despite progress, only a fifth of the Before the industrial revolution India was one of world’s wealthiest countries, population has accounting for more than a quarter of global Gross Domestic Product (GDP). firmly escaped By the time of Independence in 1947, however, its economy was universally vulnerability and stagnant. Hobbled for decades by great poverty and widespread hunger, many of India’s frequent famines, and low rates of literacy and productivity, India has once newly non-poor, again emerged to become a global economic powerhouse. In the process the especially in rural country has undergone a number of development revolutions - agricultural, areas, are still at technological, and entrepreneurial - and its strides in economic and human risk of falling back development can be counted among the most significant global achievements into poverty. of recent times: • Between 2005 and 2010, India’s share of global GDP increased from 1.8 to 2.7 percent. 53 million people were lifted out of poverty, enabling India to achieve the first Millennium Development Goal of halving the proportion of people living on less than $1.25 a day. • During the last decade India’s economy expanded at an average annual rate of 7.6 percent, placing it among the top 10 of the world’s fastest growing nations. The economy showed resilience even in the aftermath of the global economic crisis. • Exports have been three times as high as 1990 levels, accounting for 21.5 percent of GDP. 9 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) • Progress on human development has been remarkable; life expectancy has Today, even as India more than doubled - from 31 years in 1947 to 65 years in 2012 - and adult hones the cutting literacy has more than quadrupled - from 18 percent in 1951 to 74 percent in edge of technology, 2011. its urban high- rises tower over Yet, despite this progress, only a fifth of the population has firmly escaped city slums, and its vulnerability and many of India’s newly non-poor, especially in the rural areas, modern economy are still at risk of falling back into poverty through economic shocks such as overshadows a illnesses, natural disasters, poor crop yields, or indebtedness. Today, even as India once-predominant hones the cutting edge of technology, its urban high-rises tower over city slums, agricultural and its modern economy overshadows a once-predominant agricultural sector, sector, significant significant challenges remain: challenges remain. • Poverty remains widespread, and people who rise from poverty remain extremely vulnerable. • India’s rapid growth in the last decade has not benefited everyone. Significant inequities persist between the urban and rural areas, rich and poor states, and between social and economic groups and genders. • Many human indicators lag behind world averages, especially in health, malnutrition, and actual educational outcomes. • Infrastructure—transport, electricity, and sanitation—is inadequate to meet demand. 10 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) Although India has done better than most countries in terms of economic growth, the degree of poverty reduction associated with one percentage point of GDP growth India has been has been substantially less than in countries such as Brazil and China. Therefore, home to major for growth to be sustainable, it will need to be more inclusive than in the past, and innovations in engender greater prosperity across the broad economic and social spectrum. development, from the Green Revolution and The Role of the World Bank Group the Mahatma Gandhi National The World Bank Group has contributed to India’s development since the time Rural Employment of the country’s independence, providing support where and when it was most Guarantee program needed. Since the first International Bank for Reconstruction and Development to the promotion (IBRD) loan to the Indian Railways in 1949, India has made extensive use of of the Right to WBG financing, knowledge, advisory services, and technical assistance to tackle Information Act. fundamental developmental challenges and build a modern economy. In the course of the 60+ years of the WBG’s partnership with India, the country has benefited from approximately $160 billion in IBRD/IDA/IFC financing at 2010 prices—far more than any other member country. In the process, the World Bank Group has also benefitted enormously from the partnership. India has been home to major innovations in development, from the Green Revolution and the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee program to the promotion of the Right to Information Act. Given the growing demand to learn from India’s diverse development experience, the country is emerging as a key provider of development experience in South–South knowledge exchange. 11 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) 3. Impressive Progress, Serious Challenges While India has made significant progress in reducing absolute poverty, it remains home to one- third of the global poor1. On the positive side, India has done well by halving the proportion of people living on less than $1.25 a day. Most notably, rural poverty has decreased by 14 percentage points, and the less well-off are increasingly reaping the benefits of shared prosperity, with consumption growth of the bottom 40 percent rising to catch up with average consumption growth. But with GDP per capita at $1,410 in 2011, India remains at the bottom of the group of middle-income countries. More than 400 million people still live in poverty. With population growth, the absolute number of poor people actually increased in some of India’s poorest states between 2004–05 and 2009–10 (figure 1), with poverty rates three to four times higher than those of the most advanced states—Haryana, Kerala, and Punjab. And some states have poverty rates comparable to those of the poorest low-income countries. 1. Based on 2009-10 data in POVCALNET. Preliminary estimates based on recently released household survey for 2011-12 suggest a further decrease in India’s poverty rate. 12 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) Indian society remains highly segmented and income inequality is rising. Inequalities persist with a number of groups - scheduled castes, scheduled Structural tribes, and women - remaining the most disadvantaged. Structural inequalities inequalities have have kept entire groups trapped, unable to take advantage of opportunities that kept entire groups economic growth has offered. While much progress has been made in education, trapped, unable to health, maternal mortality, and fertility, gender inequality remains high. The take advantage of number of girls to boys has decreased steadily over the last fifty years—a trend opportunities that associated with the “missing women” phenomenon; it is particularly evident in economic growth some of India’s more advanced states. has offered. While much progress A middle class is emerging, but only a fifth of the population has firmly escaped has been made in vulnerability.2 A large number of people who are no longer considered “poor” education, health, have consumption levels that are very close to the poverty line. Many of India’s maternal mortality, newly non-poor, especially in rural areas, remain highly vulnerable; minor and fertility, gender shocks—illness, natural disasters, poor crop yields, indebtedness—can easily push inequality remains them below the poverty line. high. It is vital to increase the number of people who are not only above the poverty line, but are no longer susceptible to easily falling into poverty. India’s continued progress is not only significant for its people, especially those still living in poverty, but also for the global achievement of the MDGs. Helping India address its development challenges is central to the World Bank Group’s goal of reducing poverty and boosting shared prosperity. Figure 1. Poverty rates in Indian states 80 Bihar 70 Chhattisgarh 60 Jharkhand Odisha Poverty Rate 50 40 30 Punjab 20 Himachal Pradesh Goa 10 0 Bulgaria Malaysia Turkey West Bank and Gaza Croatia Slovania Belarus Jordan Czech Republic Lithuania Uruguay Seychelles Thailand Romania Estonia Argentina Chile Iran, Islamic Rep. Egypt, Arab Rep. Dominican Republic Iraq Mexico Ecuador Peru Brazil Goa Panama Algeria Paraguay Guyana El Salvador Bhutan Belize South Africa Punjab Nicaragua Suriname China Yemen, Rep. Philippines Gujarat Pakistan Delhi Tamil Nadu Mauritania Turkmenistan Ghana Rajasthan Botswana Namibia West Bengal Gambia, The Papua New Guinea Timor-Leste Togo D & N Haveli Swaziland Bangladesh Kenya Uttar Pradesh Burkina Faso Jharkhand Mali Bihar Mozambique Central African Republic Tanzania Zambia Madagascar Liberia Legend Countries Indian States Note: At $1.25 a day, constant 2005 PPP, US$; for countries, figure indicates poverty rates for the latest year available in POVCALNET; for Indian states data is from 2009/10 Source: POVCALNET 2. Vulnerability in the Indian context is defined as households living on income that is twice the national poverty line of US$1.17. 13 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) India and the Millennium Development Goals: National and Global Contexts Again, India’s development is one of the most significant global achievements of the 20th century, but significant challenges remain. Over the last two decades, India has achieved or is on track to achieve some of the Millennium Development Goals by 2015. Extreme poverty—the proportion of people living on less than $1.25 a day—has been halved (MDG1) to under 30 percent, and the number of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water (MDG7) has also been halved. In addition, 96 percent of Indian school children—boys and girls alike— will complete a full course of primary education (MDG2) and India will likely eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education (MDG3) by 2015. Table 1. India’s performance on the Millennium Development Goals MDG Performance 1 Extreme poverty Achieved 2 Primary education completion rate On track 3 Gender parity in primary and secondary education On track 4 Child mortality Off track 5 Maternal mortality Off track 7a Access to improved water source Achieved 7b Access to improved sanitation facilities Off track Source: World Bank staff calculations based on data from the World Development Indicators database. 14 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) However, at least three MDGs are off track. Although much progress has been made in India since 1990, under-five and infant mortality rates remain high. India’s contribution According to 2010 data, 63 out of 1,000 under-five children and 48 infants out to meeting global of 1,000 live births die. While both rates have reduced by half, it is unlikely that Millennium India will meet the target of reducing them by two-thirds. Reducing the target Development on maternal mortality (MDG5) by three-fourths is also likely to be missed, even Goals (MDGs) though it has decreased from 570 out of 100,000 live births in 1990 to 230 in 2010. is significant, especially for MDGs From a global perspective and for most MDGs, India is making more progress than that are furthest the rest of the developing world. For primary education completion, India has away from meeting already achieved 96 percent of the required target, whereas developing countries, as global targets. a group, have achieved 87 percent. This is also the case for health-related MDGs, even though more progress is needed in this regard, particularly in reducing maternal mortality. Recent estimates indicate that although the country may not fully achieve the MDG on reducing maternal mortality MDG, it has already achieved 75 percent of the target. This is far above the 46 percent reduction observed in developing countries as a whole. Increased efforts are nonetheless required in terms of access to improved sanitation facilities where progress is significantly lower (62 percent of the target) than the 72 percent achieved in the rest of the developing world. India’s contribution to meeting global Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) is significant, especially for MDGs that are furthest away from meeting global targets. India’s contribution to lowering the maternal mortality ratio (MDG5) was 33 percent between 2005-2010 while for the mortality rate of children under five (MDG4) it was 28 percent. Given India’s track record and its continued and focused attention to Figure 2. A Global perspective on India’s progress on MDGs 100% 100% 100% 96% 96% 92% 87% 90% 80% 75% 72% Progress toward 2015 70% 62% 59% 60% 52% 50% 46% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% MDG 1a. MDG 2a. MDG 3a. MDG 4a. MDG 5a. MDG 7c. MDG 7c. Extreme Primary Ratio of girls Mortality Maternal Improved Improved poverty completion to boys in rate, under-5 mortality water sanitation (% of rate, total (% primary and (per 1,000 ratio source (% of facilities population of relevant secondary live births) (modeled population (% of below $1.25 age group) education estimate, without population a day in (%) per 100,000 access) without 2005 PPP) live births) access) Developing countries India Note: a value of 100% means that respective MDG has been reached. Values denote present progress as illustrated by most recent available data: Extreme poverty-Global: 2010, India: 2008; Primary completion rate-Global: 2009, India: 2008; Ratio of girls to boys in primary and secondary-Global: 2009, India: 2007; Mortality rate, under 5-2010, Global: 2010, India: 2009; Maternal mortality ratio-2010; Improved water source-2010; Improved sanitation facilities-Global: 2008, India: 2010. Source: World Bank staff calculations based on data from the World Development Indicators database. 15 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) addressing the MDG challenge, India has the potential to contribute even more to India has the global targets. Without India making further and faster progress on reducing child potential to and maternal mortality and improving access to sanitation, the global MDGs are increase income per unlikely to be achieved. capita to $5,283 by 2030, and lift 304 million more people Moving to Middle-Income Status out of poverty and ensure that The diverse experience of Indian states is revealing of what could be another 394 million accomplished—and what would be realistic—in aiming for the overarching people are above objectives of the CPS—higher economic growth, accelerated poverty reduction the vulnerability and increased shared prosperity. Some states have done better than others in threshold. terms of economic growth; others have done better in terms of poverty reduction and reducing vulnerability. Differences are to be expected in the short term, but these differences have persisted over extended periods. The CPS presents two scenarios for India in 2030. Both are based on the observed performance of Indian states between 2005-2010, a period of high growth and poverty reduction. • Base scenario. Under the base scenario, India’s GDP growth rate, as well as the speed at which the numbers of poor and vulnerable people decline for every percentage point of growth, remain the same as in 2005–2010. In this scenario, the GDP growth rate would be sustained at 8.2 percent average over this period. Income per capita would reach $5,283 in 2030 at 2010 prices, compared with $1,375 in 2010, poverty would drop from 29.8 to 12.3 percent, and the share of people above the vulnerability threshold would increase from 19.1 to 33.6 percent. 16 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) • Ambitious scenario. Under the ambitious scenario, India sustains rapid GDP growth in the base scenario but improves its performance to that of the best- With a young performing state at the 80th percentile of the distribution in terms of poverty population and reduction and reduced vulnerability. Over the period 2005–2010 those 8 million people states were Rajasthan and Karnataka, respectively. Matching, at the national entering the labor level, the performance of these high-achievers would be an extraordinary force every year, accomplishment. Under the ambitious scenario, the poverty rate would India could reap decline to 5.5 percent, and the share of people who are no longer vulnerable a substantial would reach 41.3 percent. demographic dividend, but The CPS scenarios to 2030 also reveal the implications of India’s average sustained, there could also be high growth on the number of people worldwide living below the poverty line considerable stress and above two poverty lines or the vulnerability line (those no longer vulnerable to if employment falling back into poverty). If the base scenario were realized, the number of global opportunities are poor would fall by 191 million and the number of people above the vulnerability not commensurate line would increase by 277 million. If the ambitious scenario were realized, the with expectations. corresponding figures would be 304 and 394 million. The former compares to China’s contribution to global poverty reduction over the last two decades and the latter amounts to raising to prosperity the equivalent of the combined present populations of France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom. India’s recent development experience shows that achieving the ambitious vision by 2030 will require addressing a wide range of challenges. With a young population and 8 million people entering the labor force every year, India could reap a substantial demographic dividend, but there could also be considerable stress if employment opportunities are not commensurate with expectations. At present only 16 percent of the workforce derives its income from regular wage 17 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) employment, and more than 50 percent are engaged in agriculture. The female An estimated 300 labor force, already low as a proportion of the total labor force, decreased from 34 million people to 29 percent between 2000 and 2010, with the drop being particularly marked are not connected for women at higher levels of education. to the national electrical grid, Constraints across three main areas could make India miss its potential and those who demographic dividend: are, face frequent disruptions. The • Platforms for growth. Infrastructure needs are massive. Only 20 percent of the manufacturing national highway network is four-lane, ports and airports have inadequate sector remains capacity, and trains move very slowly. One-third of the rural population lacks underdeveloped access to an all-weather road. Road safety is a growing concern in a country and has grown at a that is adding new drivers at a record pace. An estimated 300 million people pace that is below are not connected to the national electrical grid, and those who are, face expectations. frequent disruptions. The manufacturing sector remains underdeveloped and has grown at a pace that is below expectations. The size distribution of businesses in India is characterized by a “missing middle,” which is a source of concern given that small and medium enterprises are typically an important source of wage employment. Improving and maintaining a healthy investment and business climate is also crucial to growth. • Managing spatial transformation. The number of urban centers has grown from about 5,000 in 2001 to 8,000 in 2011, and 53 cities already have a population in excess of one million. Every year there is a need to accommodate an additional 10 million urban dwellers and provide them with adequate basic services. Success at meeting this challenge has so far been partial. The number of slum 18 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) dwellers increased from 75 million in 2001 to 93 million in 2011—a quarter of the urban population. The rural space is not well connected to cities, resulting At 65.4 years, life in weak value chains for agricultural products and an insufficient creation expectancy is of off-farm employment. Although half of the Indian population derives its more than 5 years income from agriculture-related activities, agricultural output remains below lower than the government targets. world average. Malnutrition • Human development potential. Health outcomes compare poorly with those of rates remain countries at similar levels of development. At 65.4 years, life expectancy is more high: 40 percent than 5 years lower than the world average. Malnutrition rates remain high: 40 of the world’s percent of the world’s malnourished children live in India. Maternal and infant malnourished mortality as well as fertility rates remain high compared with those of other children live in growing economies in Asia. Out-of-pocket health expenditures are among the India. Maternal and highest in the world and make households, especially the very poor, highly infant mortality vulnerable to health shocks. Primary education has been largely universalized, as well as fertility but progress on actual learning outcomes has been limited. Secondary rates remain high education is the new bottleneck. At 4.4 years, educational attainment is low, and compared with India still accounts for one-third of all illiterate people worldwide. Enrolment those of other rates for grades 9–12 are just 40 percent; of those enrolled, approximately growing economies 15 percent drop out and one-third fail their examinations. Inequity in all in Asia. dimensions, including caste and gender, is a major concern. India has the potential of making a dramatic contribution to reducing poverty at home and increasing shared prosperity globally. In principle, the new global target to “bend the arc of history” could be attained through a combination of successes across other countries. But it is unlikely that this will happen unless India continues to make substantial inroads. Successfully addressing these key constraints. 19 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) 4. Exploiting Opportunities through the Country Partnership Strategy The CPS vision through 2030 includes a balanced use of financing, knowledge, advisory services, and technical assistance that is catalytic and transformative. WBG resources will attract investment and financing from many sources inside and outside of India. And Bank sector expertise will help India maximize the effectiveness of financing, program management, and project execution. Specifically, the CPS will contribute to three main engagement areas: integration, rural-urban transformation, and inclusion. Effective engagement will require actions at the national level, at lower levels of government, and through partnerships with the private sector, civil society and development partners. A range of high-level intermediate development objectives provide both the rationale for the content of the World Bank Group program as well as a clear line-of-site to higher order country goals. Analytical work underpinning this CPS shows a strong correlation between select development outcomes and the CPS program—its overarching goals and engagement areas. For example: 20 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) Figure 3. India CPS results chain: engagement areas and outcomes Overarching goals: Economic growth Poverty reduction Shared prosperity Engagement area: 1 Engagement area: 2 Engagement area: 3 Country Long-Term Integration Transformation Inclusion Objectives* • Increased GSDP growth in • Increased population of • Improved access to services to low-income & special category secondary cities excluded segment of population states • Increased off-farm employment • Increase female labor force • Increased trade and participation investments in the region • Decreased infant mortality Outcomes: Outcomes: Outcomes: • Improved transport • Strengthened institutional • Improved access to electricity connectivity capacity of urban government • Strengthened public & private • Improved inter-regional power • Improved urban transport health-delivery systems transmission services • Improved child nutrition delivery • Improved market-driven skills • Improved access water supply systems CPS Outcomes for productive employment and sanitation services • Improved access & quality of • Enhanced private investment in • Increased agricultural education low-income states productivity • Increased coverage of social • Strengthened regional • Improved environment protection programs integration protection and biodiversity • Enhanced rural livelihood conservation opportunities • Reduced Greenhouse Gas • Increased access to financial emissions through energy services efficiency and renewable energy • Enhanced disaster risk production management system Note: *Analytical work completed as part of the CPS indicates strong correlation between these country long-term objectives and economic integration, spatial transformation and social inclusion. • The rate of urbanization (as measured by population growth of secondary cities) is correlated with economic growth, while creation of jobs (more specifically off-farm employment) is correlated with increased shared prosperity. Both these aspects are addressed through activities under the rural- urban transformation engagement area. • Human development (infant mortality), gender equity (female job participation), jobs (off-farm employment), urban development, policies (business climate) and transfers (public spending) supports all three overarching goals. Human development (education, health, nutrition and especially, infant mortality) is strongly linked to rapid poverty. 21 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) • Support under the third engagement area of inclusion will aim to help More balanced the Government of India ensure inclusive growth by improving human growth across India, development outcomes as well as gender parity (figure 2). and especially in its low-income and • More balanced growth across India, and especially in its low-income and special category, special category, is correlated with improved economic integration. This is is correlated with addressed under the first engagement area of integration. improved economic integration. Integration: Connecting India’s Many Parts Enhanced efforts to increase India’s market integration can significantly boost India’s economic growth. Better integration – the connection of India’s diverse regions and sectors – will result in more-balanced growth among Indian states, helping low-income states converge more quickly with their faster-growing neighbors. For instance: • To benefit from economies of scale and increase competitiveness, there is a need to remove physical and policy barriers across states (notably the multilayered system of taxation) that impede markets from functioning efficiently. • India’s massive infrastructure gap must be bridged so that people can get to jobs and goods to markets. 22 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) • Reforms in the power sector are also needed to rationalize energy pricing and improve the capacity and reliability of the generation, transmission, and As the largest and distribution system. most-populous country in the • Innovative forms of financing can harness hitherto unfocused household region, India is savings into infrastructure finance, a potentially significant way to achieve central to many investment targets in infrastructure. Mobilizing financing for public- efforts toward private partnerships (PPPs) through new management structures and with regional economic appropriate government support is needed to attract investors. integration and cooperation. • The development of a vibrant manufacturing sector— especially small and Further integration medium-size enterprises—will require reforming labor laws, improving land with neighbors access and management, cutting bureaucratic red tape, and providing better in South Asia access to financing. As jobs are created, India’s youth will need skills and and beyond knowledge that are better tailored to the needs of a fast-growing economy. can contribute exponentially to As the largest and most-populous country in the region, India is central to many India realizing efforts toward regional economic integration and cooperation. Despite steady its 2030 growth and unprecedented progress, South Asia remains one of the least economically potential, while integrated regions in the world. Further integration with neighbors in South benefitting other Asia and beyond can contribute exponentially to India realizing its 2030 growth countries in the potential, while also greatly benefiting other countries in the region. Key among region. seventeen possible areas for increased regional collaboration are management of common natural resources (most importantly water), transport, and power. Supporting the Government to help states converge and grow more evenly through improved market integration is one of the main development objectives of the WBG strategy for India. The WBG will also facilitate the exchange of knowledge and experiences in a more systematic manner, so that international good-practice examples can inform India’s development while showcasing India’s development successes to the rest of the world. Box 1 Contributing to growth through better domestic, regional and global integration and achieving results World Bank Group financing, analytical and advisory services will help India: • Improve transport connectivity (9000 km of additional State highways upgraded and maintained in good condition in Targeted states by 2017) • Improve inter-regional power transmission (Power exchange between regions and states increase from 46,027 Gwh in 2009 to 60,000 Gwh by 2017) • Enhance private investment in low-income states (additional US$2.3 billion private investment facilitated in low-income states) • Improve market-driven skills for productive employment (70 percent of graduates of Industrial Training Institutes employed within 1st year of completing training) • Strengthen trade regional integration (border crossing time between Nepal and India reduced by 20 percent) 23 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) An acceleration Transformation: Achieving Urban–Rural of India’s ongoing transformation from Balance in Development a largely agrarian economy to one Advancing urban progress that depends on an ever-expanding The faster a country urbanizes, the faster it grows—and, with the right policies in manufacturing place, the faster the country can reduce poverty and increase shared prosperity. sector, and from a An acceleration of India’s ongoing transformation from a largely agrarian economy predominantly rural to one that depends on an ever-expanding manufacturing sector, and from a to an increasingly predominantly rural to an increasingly urban population, would significantly boost urban population, India’s potential for growth and poverty reduction. Accomplishing that acceleration would significantly will require a focus on both rural and urban development, on improving the boost India’s livability of cities and villages, on creating more jobs in manufacturing and more potential for off-farm jobs in rural India, and on improving agricultural productivity, especially growth and poverty among smallholders. Success in this effort will avoid an out of control migration to reduction. cities that results in a vast underclass for every city. Effective, flexible, and accommodating urban planning, land management, and land- use regulations are essential to addressing the urbanization challenge. Improving the investment climate to attract increased private sector investment (from domestic and foreign sources) and improving local access to credit will allow small and medium-size enterprises—an important growth engine in India—to flourish. This transformation also calls for further empowering local governing bodies— Panchayat Raj Institutions in rural areas and local urban bodies in cities across 24 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) India—so that they are able to identify and respond to local needs and to plan long-term for a more systematic rural-urban transformation. If developed and If developed and managed well, cities in India can be a source of greater efficiencies—resulting in managed well, more efficient use of natural resources and lower carbon intensity. cities in India can be a source of By 2031, it is projected that 600 million people will live in India’s cities. Prominent greater efficiencies, in the 12th Plan are the current and future needs and challenges of India’s cities resulting in more and their burgeoning populations. Government priorities include: efficient use of natural resources • Increasing investment in new urban infrastructure (e.g., expanding the metro and lower carbon rail network and the bus rapid transit system); intensity. • Strengthening urban governance; enhancing human and organizational capacities; developing long-term, strategic urban planning capacities; • Addressing the needs of the urban poor and improving slums; and • Raising environmental sustainability. On urban transport, the Government’s goal is to increase the share of public transport to at least 50 percent of all motorized trips. Private, and often very expensive, urban transportation exacts a huge cost on the urban population, especially the very poor. Universalizing safe drinking water and sanitation remains a priority, as is ensuring that all Indian cities are free of open defecation—a contributor to malnutrition, as well as a major public health risk. The Government strives for 100 percent metering of water supply and 24-7 access where possible and feasible. The Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM) remains the main vehicle for the Government’s urban development and reform. The 12th Plan calls for a series of reforms at the national and state level, as well as interventions to strengthen the institutional framework. State governments also have their own urban development plans. A strong focus on agricultural and rural development The Government recognizes the need for an equally strong focus on agricultural and rural development. Under the 12th Plan, agricultural productivity is targeted to grow by 4 percent annually, and irrigated areas are expected to increase from Box 2 Water and sanitation: contributing to global goals Making India’s cities more livable will require improvements in the reliability, financial and environmental sustainability, and affordability of water supply and sanitation services. Although more than 90 percent of the urban population has access to drinking water and more than 60 percent to basic sanitation, piped water is only available for a few hours per day and raw sewage often overflows into open drains. The already stressed water supply and sanitation delivery system will have to be revamped to respond to the urbanization challenge—an additional 250 million people will migrate to cities in the next 20 years. To improve service delivery, the WBG’s work will focus on strengthening governance and institutional arrangements for water supply and sanitation services; piloting service delivery models that are efficient, accountable, and customer-oriented; and improving financial sustainability of providers. IFC will help address efficiency and conservation issues in municipal, agricultural and industrial water. A new program will focus on water-use efficiency in major water-intensive commodities such as rice, and will also help private sector partners adopt water efficient technologies. 25 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) 90 million to 103 million hectares. Income opportunities in agriculture, which includes horticulture, animal husbandry and fisheries, are expected to expand, while simultaneously creating more off-farm employment. Strengthening the implementation of major centrally sponsored schemes that cover everything from rural employment and social security to rural sanitation and water supply is central to the Government’s rural development strategy—is rapidly emerging as the next major development and policy challenge for India, and it is central to the 12th Plan. The Government and organized citizens also recognize that sustaining a high annual growth rate of 8.2 percent under the 12th Plan and beyond will require placing environmental sustainability and the sound management of natural resources—air, water, forests, and biodiversity—front and center in India’s development. Planning the urban-rural transformation The WBG’s focus on the rural-urban transformation—and particularly on urbanization— represents a significant shift in its strategy, and engagement in this area is expected to intensify over the CPS period and beyond. The strategy will focus on supporting the efforts of national, state, and city governments to improve the management and livability of second-tier (medium-sized) cities as well as larger metropolises. Because 85 percent of the urban poor live in small and medium-size cities across India, efforts are likely to contribute to the ambitious scenario’s poverty reduction target. This multi-sectoral engagement will focus on urban management and planning, infrastructure and service delivery, financing systems and frameworks, and capacity building at the national, state and city levels. Analytical work to inform urban sector policy and initiatives will supplement a growing operational engagement. Box 3 Helping India reap the benefits of urbanization while raising agricultural productivity The World Bank Group’s integrated package of support—technical assistance, lending and investment, knowledge services—will help India: • Strengthen institutional capacity of urban government (220 cities with updated urban management systems for improved service delivery in targeted states) • Improve urban transport services (Modal share by public transport in targeted cities doubled to 8 percent by 2017.) • Improve access water supply and sanitation services (Additional 6.7 million people provided with access to improved water resources) • Increase agricultural productivity (Cereal yield for beneficiary farmers increased from 2.8 tons of wheat per hectare to 3.5 by 2017) • Improve environment protection and biodiversity conservation (160 million liters per day of untreated municipal and industrial waste water prevented from entering the Ganga River by 2017) • Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions through energy efficiency and renewable energy production (Additional 1.5 million (tCO2e) GHG emissions reduced per year by 2016) 26 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) Inclusion: Ensuring Benefits from Faster Economic Economic Growth for All integration and rural-urban Inclusive growth is another key priority for the Government’s 12th Five-Year Plan. transformation Inclusion is about ensuring that everyone benefits from faster economic growth, can benefit a large regardless of social grouping, age, gender, or place of residence. This will require share of India’s significant improvements in the social sectors of education and health (notably population, but progress toward universal health coverage), better access to safe water and electrical only if there power, and the creation of meaningful employment and livelihoods opportunities. is a stronger The Government’s 13 large, centrally sponsored schemes for inclusiveness— focus on human covering rural and agricultural development, health and nutrition, education, power, development and water, and urban development—will have to be reformed to drastically improve on policies that implementation performance, reduce duplication, create convergence, and most help make growth important, to improve development outcomes. Economic integration and rural- inclusive. urban transformation can benefit a large share of India’s population, but only if there is a stronger focus on human development and on policies that help make growth inclusive. For example, a growth strategy that focuses on labor-intensive sectors, rather than on skill- and capital-intensive ones, and on the development of small and medium-size enterprises will help create productive employment opportunities for India’s poor people and make growth more inclusive. India’s weak health system and poor nutritional outcomes undermine its competitiveness. And even while India eradicates major infectious diseases, the growing burden of non-communicable diseases increases disability among the working-age population; malnutrition reduces lifetime productivity; unmanaged 27 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) World Bank Box 4 Working in partnership with India to promote human development and strengthen social will work with programs to support more inclusive growth counterparts at The World Bank Group’s financing and knowledge work with support India’s efforts to: the national and state levels to • Improve access to electricity (Additional 220,000 households with off-grid connections) scale up support • Strengthen public and private health-delivery systems (Coverage of poor households under in performance- the Government Sponsored Health Insurance Schemes almost doubled to 350 million by 2017) based public • Improve child nutrition delivery systems (400,000 additional poor households with access to management, community managed nutrition centers) e-governance, • Improve access and quality of education (Secondary school enrollment for grades IX and X public procurement increased from 28 million in 2012 to 40 million by 2017) and financial • Increase coverage of social protection programs (Coverage of program beneficiaries increased management, M&E, to 25 percent by 2017) implementation of • Enhance rural livelihood opportunities (Additional half billion supported poor households the right to service report a 20 percent increase in income) law, strengthening • Increase access to financial services (Additional to micro, small and medium enterprises in India’s anti- targeted states) corruption • Enhance coastal disaster risk management system (An operational Early Warning framework, and Dissemination System installed in 3 states in targeted vulnerable communities.) supporting social accountability mechanisms. health care costs displace more productive investments by the state and by households; and high fertility rates keep women out of the workforce. The main health-related target of the 12th Five-Year Plan is greatly reduced rates of maternal and child mortality. Other necessary changes include improving delivery systems by strengthening accountability, providing regulation and oversight of private providers of health care, and ensuring insurance coverage for more people, especially the very poor. Improved Governance, Sustainability, and Gender Equality Engagement under the CPS will focus on extensive capacity building, technical assistance, analytical work, and knowledge exchanges that underpin lending operations, focusing on the three broad engagement areas: (i) integration; (ii) transformation; and (iii) inclusion. An inherent part of this is improved governance, environmental sustainability, and gender equality. • On governance, many of the actions required to foster economic integration concern public investments and government regulation. Institutional development plays a key role in the case of spatial transformation, whereas strengthened accountability is critical for social inclusion. More specifically, the World Bank will work with counterparts at the national and state levels to scale up support in performance-based public management, e-governance, public procurement and financial management, M&E, implementation of the right to service law, strengthening India’s anti-corruption framework, and supporting social accountability mechanisms. 28 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) • On environmental sustainability, economic integration has important implications for natural resource management, whereas the priority in relation to spatial transformation is to minimize congestion, improve resource use efficiency, and reduce pollution impacts, including greenhouse gas emissions. Efforts to improve disaster risk management help households cope with natural disasters, reducing their chance of falling back or deeper into poverty. • Finally, economic integration and spatial transformation should lead to greater paid employment opportunities for women, whereas social inclusion can be promoted by enhancing voice and tackling discrimination. 29 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) 5. Synchronizing the CPS with India’s Development Plans The implementation of the CPS program is guided by the 12th Five Year Plan as well as the Government’s new “Innovation, Impulse, and Investment” approach. That approach lays out India’s vision of how best to use the financing and expertise from multilateral institutions to address its development challenges and places significant importance on the value-added of the World Bank’s program that goes well beyond financing. The Government seeks World Bank support for projects that: • Have a systemic or transformational impact • Help innovate and pilot new approaches • Introduce innovative financing instruments and leverage resources The approach provides a push towards working together to shape a pipeline of projects that takes advantage of the World Bank’s international expertise, while addressing financial sustainability and overall funding for the CPS program. Following these principles will result in greater country-led program selectivity and effectiveness. The approach also proposes a rebalancing of the World Bank portfolio toward state-level activities and, within that segment, toward low-income and special category states, where a majority of the poor and the vulnerable live. 30 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) Special emphasis will be placed on multi-sectoral projects and programs, as well as on creating synergies with existing Government programs across sectors. India’s seven low- Although access to financing remains important to India’s development, the income states are knowledge services that come with that financing are particularly valued. Those now growing faster services include the transfer of knowledge and international good practices, than the average guidance on reforming processes and systems, and the building of capacity for and investments improved service delivery. in those states thus have higher economic returns Low-Income States: Economic Integration than investments elsewhere. The and Poverty Reduction impact is even greater when Major economic powers are often strengthened by their constituent parts, such considering the as the United States and the European Union, and have experienced long-term payoffs in poverty convergence in living standards. In India, by contrast, divergence across the states reduction. has remained the norm. Convergence is supported by economic integration, and this in turn requires policies at the national level. But it can also be supported through a greater emphasis on policy reforms and investments in the low-income states themselves. For instance, India’s seven low-income states are now growing faster than the average and investments in those states thus have higher economic returns than investments elsewhere. The impact is even greater when considering the payoffs in poverty reduction. 31 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) Table 2. Low-income and special category states (US$) Low-income States Special Category States Population % Poor GSDP per Population % Poor GSDP per (mn) capita (mn) capita Bihar 103.8 53.5 294 Assam 31.2 37.9 536 Chhattisgarh 25.5 48.7 695 Himachal 6.9 9.5 1,267 Pradesh Jharkhand 33.0 39.1 589 Manipur 2.7 47.1 569 Madhya 72.6 36.7 555 Meghalaya 3.0 17.1 866 Pradesh Odisha 41.9 37 676 Mizoram 1.1 21.1 883 Rajasthan 68.6 24.8 666 Sikkim 0.6 13.1 1,715 Uttar Pradesh 199.6 37.7 436 Uttarakhand 10.1 18 1,233 Total 545.1 39.5 494 Total 55.5 29.5 792 Notes: GSDP per capita has been converted from INR to USD using the period average exchange rate. Total for population weighted average of the group. Total % of poor is the HCR for the group. Special category states are mostly northern mountainous states, sparsely populated, and those with high transport costs leading to high delivery cost of public services. (as defined in the 13th Finance Commission). IFC also includes West Bengal, but excludes Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand. Sources: Census 2011, Planning Commission, poverty figures 2009-10, CSO GSDP, 2010-11, MF-IFS exchange rate Guided by the Government’s new approach to working with multi-lateral Over the five-year development institutions, the World Bank Group strategy will contribute to period of the CPS, India’s continued efforts for better economic integration and inclusive growth, the WBG program by gradually shifting its program of support to low-income and special category will be rebalanced states (described in table 2). Over the five-year period of the CPS, the WBG toward more state- program will be rebalanced toward more state-level activities, particularly in level activities, low-income and special category states, home to half of India’s 400 million particularly in low- people living on less than $1.25 per day. Overall, the aim of that rebalancing will income and special be to raise the share of the Bank’s commitments devoted to direct financing of category states, state projects to 60 percent, of which half (30 percent of total lending) will go home to half of to low-income and special category states. Under this CPS, the approach for India’s 400 million engaging low-income and special category states will build on lessons learned people living on from successes and failures over the last four years. Specific activities will build less than $1.25 per on the successful approach already adopted in Bihar, which combines extensive day. capacity building, technical assistance, and analytical work that underpins lending operations. Past experience also shows the relevance of local knowledge, particularly in the context of state-level political economy. IFC is also intensifying its program in low-incomes states. Its strategy aims to ensure that people at the “base of the pyramid” gain greater access to finance, infrastructure, and markets, while working to formalize the private sector in these states. IFC is in the process of expanding its program in Bihar, Odisha, and Rajasthan by increasing investments and improving business-climate reforms (with a special emphasis on small and medium-size enterprises), enhancing certainty and transparency, and reducing business risks. Currently, 44 out of 66 advisory projects in India involve at least one low-income state. By the end of this CPS period, IFC aims to invest approximately $2.3 billion, and facilitate another $1.4 billion in private investment in low-income states alone. 32 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) Lending to more advanced states will focus on activities that are innovative and transformative. These projects can test second-generation approaches, which Support for then can be applied to low-income states that often have limited capacity. For centrally sponsored example, the pilot Beneficiary Verification System for health services, which schemes and produces timely data, is serving more than 3,000 beneficiaries in Karnataka and national projects may now be replicated in the low-income state of Uttar Pradesh. IFC, having will focus on led many innovative renewable-energy investments in India, will promote capacity and the replication of its solar rooftop pilot in Gandhinagar in five additional cities institution building. in Gujarat and develop solar policy recommendations to engage other state Sharing knowledge governments. and international good practices can help leverage Building Capacity and Institutions public financing by improving design, Support for centrally sponsored schemes and national projects will focus implementation, on capacity and institution building. Sharing knowledge and international and monitoring on good practices can help leverage public financing by improving design, a national scale. implementation, and monitoring on a national scale. The core concept in World Bank support for centrally sponsored schemes will be to support the Government in scaling up successful state-level interventions into national programs. The World Bank has played an important role in such efforts; in the process, it has learned that success is not always guaranteed. Support for the Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan Education-for-All Program, for example, has shown that successful scaling-up requires significant upfront inputs into improving management and fiduciary systems, building national institutions, careful supervision, and 33 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) adjustments along the way. Increasingly, projects will focus on helping states IFC is supporting implement programs supported by central schemes. The complex challenges of inclusive business bringing development solutions to national scale in a large and diverse country models to like India require a learning partnership. expand access to goods, services, Given the size, diversity and magnitude of India’s development challenges, and livelihood selectivity principles are central to World Bank Group engagement under this CPS. opportunities for Selectivity in the India context is primarily about the “where” and “how” of WBG those at the “base engagement, the former guided by the Government’s “Innovation Impulse with of the pyramid” in Investment” approach and the latter by management and staff’s understanding commercially viable that better collaboration across the WBG and sectors is likely to result in improved and scalable ways. development outcomes. Country-led selectivity principles are being applied more Such models have systematically upstream by Government, and internally by the India management huge potential team. Such a concerted effort is needed to intensify engagement in low- income for scale up, and and special category states. Selectivity principles will also be applied to IFC’s contribute to the engagement in low-income states. IFC will aim to support projects/programs that goals of reducing offer scope for scalability. For example, alongside a growing number of business poverty and and development partners, IFC is supporting inclusive business models to expand boosting shared access to goods, services, and livelihood opportunities for those at the “base prosperity. of the pyramid” in commercially viable and scalable ways. Such models have huge potential for scale up, and contribute to the goals of reducing poverty and boosting shared prosperity. 34 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) Building on a strong portfolio The CPS builds The CPS builds on a large current portfolio, which will be the main source on a large current of development results over the next five years. The current portfolio—with portfolio, which will financing from the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) be the main source and International Development Association (IDA)--includes net commitments of development of $23.7 billion across 78 projects. Of that amount, $16.7 billion is undisbursed, results over the reflecting a relatively young portfolio (38 percent of the total undisbursed next five years. amount is for projects approved by the Board in the last two years). At the end The current of January 2013, IFC’s committed portfolio contained 219 projects amounting to portfolio—with $4.8 billion, including $564 million syndications. MIGA has no existing exposure financing from the in India, but may support investments into critical areas during the CPS period International Bank through the provision of credit enhancement. During the last CAS period, IFC for Reconstruction delivered a strong program. During FY2009–12, IFC committed $4.5 billion in total and Development financing (including its own account and mobilized funds), with nearly 34 percent (IBRD) and supporting infrastructure. Through end February 2013, IFC has committed $822 International million in total financing. Thirty-four percent of IFC’s own account commitments Development were in equity and 63 percent were in loans. IFC’s India portfolio is performing Association (IDA)- well. Investments in low-income states have grown from $60 million in FY2009 to -includes net $265 million in FY13 as of end of February 2013, an increase of 342 percent. The commitments of advisory portfolio has grown from $30 million over 42 projects in FY2009 to $55 $23.7 billion across million in 66 projects by end February 2013. 78 projects. 35 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) 6. Conclusion: A Partnership across India The CPS is not just between the Government of India and the World Bank Group, it is a partnership with the people of India. This document can only present the vision and grand plan, but taking it to fruition will require the support of a great cross-section of Indian society: entrepreneurs, (whether trained to run large companies or those naturally gifted who start micro-enterprises of their own), workers who devise better ways of doing things, civil society as it strives for improved governance, educators, farmers, and members of the state and national government. The CPS has a core that spreads out like the spokes of the spinning wheel, offering a diversity of possibilities to the equally diverse people of India who share the goal of balanced, equitable development and a vision of India in 2030 where more people share the benefits of India’s economic success. 36 India & The World Bank Group in a Time of Transformation THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY (2013–2017) THE WORLD BANK GROUP 70 Lodi Estate New Delhi - 110003, India Web : http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/india Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/WorldBankIndia 38