Docuent of The World Bank FOR OMCIAL USE ONLY RepaINe. 5911-SU SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW (Annexes) April 16, 1986 Eastern and Southern Africa Region Northern Agriculture Division This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank, United States Agency for International Development, Overseas Development Administration (U.K.), Canadian International Development Agency, Gesellschaft fur Technische Zusammenarbeit (West Germany) and Netherland Ministry of Foreign Affairs authorization. CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS US$1.00 = LSd2.5 LSd1.00 = US$0.40 WRIGHTS AND MEASURES Metric System ABBREVIATIONS AAC - Annual Allowable Cut ARC - Agricultural Research Corporation CFA - Central Forest Administration DM - Dry Matter FRC - Forest Research Certer GDP - Gross Domestic Product GOS - Government of Sudan ICRAF - International Council for Agroforestry IMDC - Imatong Mountains Development Corporation LSU - Livestock Unit MAI - Mean Annual Increment NEA - National Energy Administration NDR - net Discounted Revenue NGO - Non-Government Organization SREP - Sudan Renewable Energy Project TOE - Tons of Oil Equivalent SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOl REVIW List of Annexes Annex I Forest Research In Sudan Annex II Forestry Education and Training Annex III Forestry Extension Service Annex IV Shelterbelte: Potential Benefits, Constralnts and Design Approaches for Sudan Annex V. Irrigation Fuelvood Plantation Options Annex VI Community Forestry Annex VII Watershed Protection in the Sudan Annex VIII Stumpage Price In Sudan for Voodfuel Trees Annex IX Economic Madel 1: The Nangeuent of Natural Savannah Woodlands Annex X Economic Model 2: Plantations or Planted Farm Trees Grown in the Savannah Areas Annex XI Economic Model 3: Tree Plantlng on Irrigation Schemes Annex XII Economic Model 4: Mechanized Agriculture and the Role of Trees Annex XIII Economic Model 5: Benefits of Shelterbelts on Irrigated Land Annex XIV Economic Model 6: Industrial Wood Annex I Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Forest Research in Sudan I. Background 1. Following a period of several decades during which forest research was conducted on a small scale by interested operational field staff and later by a silviculturist, the Forest Research Center (FRC) at Soba was established as part of the Forest Research and Training Institute, with the support a Forest Research and Education Center Project during the period from e.urly 1962 to early 1968. The project was funded jointly by the Government and UNDP and executed by FAO. The facilities established for research included offices for the professional staff, a wood technology laboratory, library and documentaton center, darkroom, nursery and 36 ha of irrigated arboretum. Regional research centers were established in the Central Region, the West and the South. The latter center was closed in 1964 owing to unrest in the region. 2. The primary purposes of the applied silvicultural, botanical, mensuration and management, wood technology and sawmills research program during the formative years were to train the newly recruited staff in research methods and procedures and at the same time to meet the technological needs of the large scale forest development program planned by the government to satisfy the timber, poles, fuelwood and processed wood needs of the growing population. An impressive range of some 37 research reports was published in the center's bulletin series, covering work done on forest botany, species trials, nursery, seeding and planting trials, management tables and irrigation procedures. A start was made in collaboration with ARC scientists at Wad Medani to quantify shelterbelt effects .nd to develop plantation establishment methods that included rain fall capture features for the difficult eastern clay plains sites. 3. Within a few years following the end of the UNDP/FAO project, it was increasingly felt that forest research was receiving inadequate financial support. Career prospects for the professional staff encouraged several of them to move to operatonal field and other posts within and outside the government service to the detriment of the continuity and effectiveness of the research program. In 1975 the FRC was transferred from the Forest Department to become a component of the Agricultural Research Corporation (ARC), the headquarters and most of the older and larger components of which are at Wad Medani. ARC is run by a council or management board that is directly responsible to the Minister of Agriculture. It is one of four major sectoral research corporations of the government of Sudan that form a loose net work under the National council for Research (NCR). Staff conditions of service were immediately improved. Unfortunately, the benefits ended there. The stringent budgetary conditions that affected the Center were shared by other research units that became parts of ARC at about the same time. They included those for Food and Range Management research. Among the regrettable consequences of the transfer was the loss of virtually all links between forest research and forest administration and development. An unsuccessful effort was made -2- Annex I Page 2 to restore the former relationship through the appointment of a Research Program Committee chaired by a Deputy Director General of ARC. Its members included the head of the Forest Service, the Director, FRC, and the head of the forest department of the University of Khartoum. After a short period, it became deft' t. Current Status of FRC and its Program Research Program 4. The work program of FRC comprises three sets of projects at headquarters at Soba and those of the Wad Medani and El Obeid Silvicultural Research Stations. 1/ A summary of each set, with brief comments follows. 5. Headquarters Silvicultural Projects (i) Mesquite (Prosopis chilenses) Project, Phase II. The objectives are to determine total above ground biomass production under rainfed conditions; how it can best be measured; the effect of spacing on growth and pod production; the effect of the tree crop on natural vegetation, and the nutritive value of the pods. (Funded by IDRC). (ii) As part of the FAO/IBPGR Project for the Development of Gene Pools of Species Suitable for Village Forestry in arid and semi-arid areas, to make and exchange with other cooperators, local provenance collections and to assess the performance under representative Sudan conditions of these and imported provenances of Acacia nilotica, A. Tortilis, Prosopis species and Atriplex species. (Supported by PAO). (iii) As funds permit, to make and store local collections of seed; to test, distribute or use as required. 6. Comments. Results so far point to the need for careful selection of representative experimental sites and the need to repeat experiments on two or more sites. Reasonably full stocking is essential in such studies. Site preparation, nursery stock and planting at Soba were initially good but the trees are dying for lack of irrigation water. (The irrigation water pumping problem has beset the Soba Arboretum since 1959 or earlier). The operational objectives of the seed work (para 4 (iii)) are not clear. 7. Forest Botany Section (i) To enumerate successful exotic forest species in the Sudan, to assemble information on their botanical characteristics, habitats and distribution. To recommend introductions of additional species of potential value to Sudan. 1/ The El Obeid station, its staff and program are being transferred to the Western Sudan Agricultural Research Project (WSARP). -3- Annex I Page 3 (ii) Gum Producing Plants of Sudan. To assemble information on their botanical characteristics, distribution and uses; to prepare gum samples for study of their chemical properties and to assess their economic potential. Just over 100 species are listed for possible attention. (iii) Viscosity of gum arabic. To test the effect of environmental factors on this in order to ascertain the conditions that govern it. Comments 8. Botanical research would be useful provided it brings together for rigorous comprehensive review, well collected and analysed data from the species and provenance trials so far conducted in the country. Research on gum producing plants should be designed to avoid duplication of research already completed and concentrate on species likely to be of economic interest. The practical relevance of research on viscosity is not apparent. 9. Arid Zone Section (i) Land Reclamation at Kerma Basin: the use of shelterbelts and other devices to control blown sand and shifting dunes in this desert region area beside the Nile. (Funded by IDRC). (ii) Species Trials at Soba and El Zeideb. The trials at the latter site are irrigated. Comments 10. Broad program concepts are very relevant. Documentation is unavailable. Although data have been collected, they await analysis. The headquarters and field staff concerned devote only part of their time to this research. 11. Wood Technology Section (i) Wood Machinery Properties of Local Woods: evaluation of machinery, peeling and chipping properties. (ii) Mechanical Properties of Local Structural Woods: Evaluation of strength properties and influence of natural defects; formulation of grading rules, derivation of design stresses. (iii) Improved Charcoal Production: To review developments in technology in relation to factors of local use; to investigate the suitability of different species for charcoal making. (Supported by USAID through NCR). (iv) Suitability of Wood Species and Agricultural Residues for the Manufacture of Building Boards. (Supported by NCR). (v) Qualitative and Quantitative Characterization of Wood Structure, leading to production of identification keys and the correlation of wood structure with properties and end uses. -4- Annex I Page 4 (vi) Wood Protection: to determine the permeability of local non-durable woods to vacuum pressure impregnated compounds. Comments 12. The wood technology program is well documented and prosecuted with the degree of vigor that limited facilities and resources permit. The program is larger than can be properly handled by one scientist. It is questionable whether topics such as peeling, chipping, manufacture of reconstituted boards, should be covered in local research, since it is doubtful whether the processes to which they apply could be economic in Sudan. 13. Wad Medani Silvicultural Research Station. This station conducts a replicate of the FAO/IBPGR Gene Pool Development Project (see para 5 (ii)); maintains and regularly measures an irrigation watering experiment, species and provenance trials at 7 locations, and a wide ranging study of Boswellia papyrifia. 14. The dedicated research officer, perhaps stimulated by being based within the ARC compound at Wad Medani, stretches himself to the limit of his resources to maintain these studies and work up the data. 15. Program at El Obeid. The gum arabic research projct and the replicate of the mesquite project (see para 5 (i)) at El Obeid are being transferred (without notification of the Director FRC) to the Western Sudan Agricultural Research Project (WSARP). They are on a maintenance basis during the absence of the research officer on graduate training abroad. FRC had intended that this station would also undertake studies in forage shrubs, species for dune fixation and afforestation for fuelwood production. Other Projects 16. Nursery establishment and trees for Energy. No documentarion available. Survey of Fuelwood Consumption in Khartoum's three towns and in shanty town (proposed study). 17. Except for the studies supported by IDRC, FAO, USAID and NCR, the studies are paid for out of the Center's budget. This permits a very low level of activity. Although some of the studies refiect real world needs, some do not and some of them get less attention and support than they merit. Critical review and management inputs are lacking. 18. Data Processing and Compilation of Results. There is a backlog of data processing and analysis and of compilation and publication of results. Although field work and data have in some cases been written up in research study documentation the effort has not usually gone beyond the stage of listing the data and describing what has been done. One or two drafts, ostensibly intended for publicaton, are circulating which are long on data but short on analysis and information. An instance of serious backlogs in processing, analysis and publication of research results is that of the gum arabic research done in recent years at El Obeid. Numerous data collected over several years on, for instance, genetic control of gum yields, await analysis. -5- Annex I Page 5 19. Reports, Publications, Dissemination of Results. FRC's recently updated list of publications lists 19 papers produced since the spate of bulletins puDlished near the end of the FAO/UNDP Forest Research and Training Project in 1966. Several of the more recent publications are Ph.D or M.Sc. thesis typescripts that have not been published in a form that renders them readily available to anyone interested in the results. A notable example is a text on the trees and shrubs of Sudan based on the Ph.D thesis of the head of the Botany Section which, after a number of years since preparation, still awaits publication for the want of the necessary funds. 20. Except for physical demonstrations at a few field research locations and informal verbal exchanges between the research staff and local officials and farmers, there is virtually no effective communicaton of the results of research, old or recent, in any form, to potential users and practitioners. This results in direct criticism of FRC by forestry and other insstitutions for being unproductive of information, technology and new tree materials required for forest development. It also results in needless repetition of work that has already been done and is overlooked or forgotten, eg. successful reforestation methodology involving rainfall capture development in several ecological settings several years ago appears to be about to be repeated under another program. 21. General Condition of FRC. FRC has received inadequate support. It has an operating budget so low that, for example, it has no telephone, has a buildings maintenance budget for the current year of LS 1,508 (the indications are that it has been at about that level for several years), has no typewriter in working order, no trained typist on staff, no medium other than Sudan Sylva (a professional journal funded by several groups) for the publication of research results, no access to government printing facilities, no research coordinating committee, no regular program review, and no mechanism other than the judgments of the staff for identifying research needs and priorities. Accessions to the library (even free hand-outs-) are rare, work and conference travel funds are meager, operable transport virtually unavailable, and opportunities for overseas training infrequent. Courses at the University of Khartoum are permissible but there is stated to be no graduate training there in several specialized areas, e.g. tree improvement and seed technology. The staff point to lack of stimulus to the research program from representation on Forestry Department technical committees or from inputs from central or regional forest administrations. Conversely, these state that they are unaware of the nature of the center's program. 22. In these circumstances, it is not surprising that the staff are dis-spirited. Some are able, but many good men have been lost to other employment fields over the years. Professional staff members spend up to 10% of their time teaching at the Forestry Training School or the University of Khartoum. In common with employees throughout the government service (whose salaries are generally low), some of the professionals spend part of the time they might be expected to devote to research consulting, either locally or in other countries. It is stated that most are disinclined to undertake new work assignments without additional remuneration or other incentives. One field research officer works for part of his time as an extension officer in a regional forest department -6- nei Annex I Page 6 (for which he is paid his travel costs) and for another part of it for a donor agency funded project in ;lis area, for which he is paid an incentive allowance. 23. Organization and Staff. The Director of FRC is responsible to the Director General of ARC in Wad Medani. The Center is organized into a headquarters group and three program sections: forest botany, arid zone forestry and wood technology. The headquarters group, apart from covering administration, deals with the library, documentation, nursery and seed matters, and conducts research in silviculture and ecology. The Regional Research Station at Wad Medani was established to support forest development in the Central and Eastern Zone. Regional forest research in the west is undertaken separately, within WSARP. ARC proposes to include a forest research officer in an initial intake to reactivate its regional agricultural research station for the south at Yambio. 24. The academic standing and functional dispositions of FRC staff are summarized as follows. Table 1: Summary of Academic Standing and Dispositions of FRC Staff Section University Graduates Diploma Others Ph.D M.Sc. B.Sc. In Forestry I 11 1 I I Headquarters 1 2 2/ 2 6 1/ 2 IBotany 1 3 3/ 1 1 1 2 1 IArid Zone g 2 5 3 1 Wood Technology 1 3 1 1 IWad Medani Station I _ L 1 1 iTotals 3 1 8 11 13 4 IEl Obeid (WSARP) I I l4/ 1 12 1 2 1/ One administrator, one for library and documentation. 7/ One ecologist, one veterinarian for Prosopis feeding studies. 3/ One a chemist for gum research. 4/ At present doing graduate studies abroad. Several of the B.Sc. graduates have been identified, and are awaiting opportunities for post-graduate training. In the present circumstances, career prospects of the staff are not encouraging and morale is low. 25. Program Management and Formulation. The FRC program is normally subject to review and approval by a committee of ARC chaired by one of its Deputy D.G.'s and comprising representatives of various organizations including the central forest administration. So far as is known, this committee has not met, and the program of the Center has not been comprehensively reviewed for four years. There is little or no impact on program formulation as a result of effective interaction with resource -7- Annex I Page 7 development agencies or other relevant sectoral or inter-sectoral institutions. Accordingly, the program largely comprises projects suggested by the staff. Its conceptualization, orientation, documentation, conduct, progress and outputs lack the benefit of the rigorous review that is so important for effective research and development. 26. Physical Plant and Equipment. The Center's buildings at Soba include houses for 5 staff and 9 laborers, six offices, library and herbarium rooms, a general laboratory currently used for seed processing and storage, and a wood technology complex comprising two offices (one used for wood anatomy collections and work), a laboratory, two woodworking rooms and a covered bay. Some facilities are shared with the Training Center. In most cases, these buildings are in a poor state of repair and in one or two cases actually falling down. There is a shortage of laboratory space and equipment. For example, seed handling and research equipment and facilities are needed; most of the timber technology research equipment should be renewed, and library materials and equipment are grossly inadequate. FRC's transport fleet comprises two virtually new vehicles, two vehicles in working condition and five inoperable vehicles (up to 20 years old). There is a virtually complete dearth of nursery and field mechanical and motive power equipment. Pumping equipment for domestic, nursery and irrigaiton water supply is inadequate and unreliable. 27. Budget. The budget for FRC for the 5 years 1979/80 to 1983/84 is summarized as follows: Table 2: FRC Budgets 1979/80 to 1983/84 (LS '000) GOS Budget Donor Assisted Projects Salaries Services Mesquite Karma Basin Year Allowance Operational IDRC Sudan IDRC Sudan Total 1979/80 163.4 16.9 29.9 - - - 210.2 1980/81 138.4 21.8 - - 16.2 - 176.4 1981/82 147.1 21.4 40.5 0.4 17.8 10.3 237.5 1982/83 109.1 21.4 - - 25.3 - 155.8 1983/84 131.9 30.0 70.8 - 58.2 6.4 297.3 Totals 689.9 111.5 141.2 0.4 117.5 16.7 1,077.2 (Note : In November 1984, the official exchange rate in Sudan was LS 2.08 = US$1. In 1979/80, it was about LS 1= US$3). 28. The overall ratio of salaries and allowances to services and operational allocations in Table 2 is 6.2:1. For ARC as a whole over the same period, it was about 3:1, reflecting a markedly lower ratio of operational funding to personnel emoluments at FRC, than the average for ARC. Annex I Page 8 29. To illustrate the meagre extent of the budget, it may be noted that the amount allocated in 1983/84 for maintenance of FRC buildings, including housing, at Soba was LS 1,508. At this time, the cost of one ton of cement was LS 220, 1,000 bricks LS 45, a truckload of sand LS85 and 5 kg of color wash powder LS 40. 30. Whilst the overall budgetary provision has been unduly low, in spite of donor aid, it has to be remembered that there is a general shortage of funds to pay for government services and development in the country, the economy of which has been weak for many years. The scarcity of funds, including those for research, is general throughout the nation. Other Agencies Engaged in or Supporting Forest Research 31. Other institutions engaged in forest research and related technology development in Sudan include: (i) The Department of Forestry, University of Khartoum, which has proposed that it be expanded and upgraded to become a Faculty of Natural Resources, to include range management. Graduate studies, mainly at the masters level, offer opportunities for research and some faculty members are active in the field e.g. economics; wood technology. (ii) Department of Geography, University of Khartoum: interest and activity are strongly focused on land use, including sectoral integration and sociological studies to ensure inputs are based on the perceptions and concerns of people. (iii) The faculty of Agriculture, University of Gezira: proposes to emphasize economics, sociological and extension studies and developments through its Natural Resources Department and in collaboration with the Faculty of Economic and Rural Development. Research areas would include fodder production water balance of the vegetative cover and shelterbelt effects. (iv) Institute of Environmental Studies, University of Khartoum: comprises a small central management and administraiton staff and part time membership of representatives of several faculties, including forestry. The main emphasis of its MSc. programs is on arid lands use and management. Its projects include environmental monitoring and baseline trend analysis; watershed management, prevention of sedimentation and the establishment and maintenance of tree and grass cover in the Blue Nile basin, particularly the Roseires Dam catchment within Sudan; agroforestry systems development; rural renewable energy systems. (v) Renewable Energy Research Institute does not undertake research or related development itself but funds research conducted by other organizations. It has so far made 21 grants in support of forestry/fuelwood producton initiatives in agricultural schemes. Among initiatives it has encouraged in this way are design testing, manufacture and marketing of improved charcoal stoves, including one that uses charcoal chips; improved charcoal -9- Annex I Page 9 production including briquetting; charcoal production research and demonstratons in Rawashda Forest. Part of the favored strategy is to involve interested and affected people fully to ensure operational application of the results. (vi) ARC agricultural scientists have in the past been involved in the assessment of shelterbelt influences. Such studies are fully relevant and there is potential for collaboration with FF-1 in many specific disciplinary areas and in applied work, eg. development of agroforestry and silvipastoral systems. (vii) WSARP. This project is taking over the El Obeid station of FRC. Two scientists will be stationed there, one to continue gum arabic research (including tissue culture) and another in agro- forestry systems and environmentally oriented work, eg. shelterbelts, tree establishment on cracking clays (presumably testing and adaptation of work already reported some years ago). The work will include species trials. (viii) The FAO Forestry for Fuelwood °roject is undertaking research development testing and demonstration work in irrigated and rainfed plantation and natural forest development and management applications. (ix) CARE is engaged in important applied development research, including species trials, fodder production trials, rainwater capture in plantation site preparation,and related nursery techniques, all in rainfed lands in the eastern clay plains. (x) Finn Aid. Trials of 17 Australian species and provenances in rainfed plantaton areas near Damazin in Blue Nile Province, semi-mechanized seedling production technology, which might be appropriate in areas where labor is scarce. 32. Donor agencies supporting research and related development work in the forestry sector include CIDA, Dutch Aid, GTZ, Green Deserts, IDRC, ODA, Oxfam, Sudan Council of Churches and USAID. 33. The foregoing listing is not necessarily complete. It is long enough, however, to indicate the range of institutions involved and thus to emphasize the importance that should be given by FRC to maintain an awareness of activities in the area of forestry research so that duplication is avoided and coordination can be arranged in appropriate instances. Forest Technology and Information Base 34. Since awareness of relevant portions of the literature and practice is vital to the identificaion of research needs and priorities and to the efficient conduct of research, it is relevant to note that although adequate library facilities may sometimes be lacking, Sudan has a relatively well catalogued domestic forestry literature. -10- Annex I Page 10 35. Three bibliographies have been produced covering the period to mid-1984. The first was that by J.K. Jackson, 1959, on Forestry and Related Subjects in the Sudan containing 171 items on Forestry and 199 on allied sciences. This was extended by -A Forest Bibliography of Sudan to 1973 by A. A. Bayoumi compiled at the instance of the Agricultural Research Council in Khartoum and published in 1984 (159 p). Bayoumi's bibliography lists 2,111 items under 15 major subject sub-headings beginning with Forest Environment and concluding with Forest Utilization. Tnoroughness of indexing has led to many of the items appearing under two or more subject headings so that the numer of publicaitons listed is somewhat smaller than 2,111. The work is -ugmented and its value enhanced by author, species and subject indexes. 36. The inventory of Sudan forestry literature was again updated to 1984, in C.W.N. Tapp's draft annotated Literai:ure Review of Forestry in the Sudan, prepared in the offices of the Agricultural Research Council and produced in October 1984 by USAID, who financed the work. This bibliography includes items from the literature in Arabic, translated and compiled by A.I. Abunaib. Due to the time constraints under which this bibliography was prepared, the author does not claim total comprehensiveness. The work contains a section on general reports and classifies the remaining literature under 15 major sub-headings. In all, 339 items are listed, with annotations. 37. In addition, again in the offices of the Agricultural Research Council, Khartoum, and with financial support from USAID, C. W. N Tapp produced in October 1984 a draft Review of Forestry Projects in Sudan as at September 1984. It summarises the principal features of 4 commercial forestry, 10 reforestation, 6 energy, 2 community forestry, 1 shelterbelt, 8 research and 4 miscellaneous projects, i.e. 35 projects in all, excluding classified projects, the number of which is not known. This listing and its summaries will clearly become outdated fairly rapidly. However, for a time it will be a useful reference to activities in the sector. 38. The bibliographies are pa:ticularly valuable in view of the already noted paucity of copies of many of the items listed. Unlisted, unfortunately, are several important items known to have been compiled but never published, eg. A. A. Saleem's valuable review, with reference to Sudan, of the literature on shelterbelts, produced as the University of Edinburgh M.Sc. Thesis. Research Needs and Priorities 39. Forest Resource Development Needs and Opportunities. The priority roles and potential contributions of forestry development to the economy of Sudan and the well being of its people are perceived to relate to three broad sectors: food production (including the need to combat desertification), wood as an energy source, and industrial timber production. These contributions, optimization of all of which would require research inputs, may be indicated more specifically as follows: (i) Role of trees in sustaining food production and agricultural productivity and in helping to combat desertification through: -ll- Annex I Page 11 - more extensive shelterbelt applications in rainfed and irrigated areas; - regulation of streamflow and protection of canal banks; - increased livestock fodder supplies from trees and shrubs; - increased supplies of fruit, gums and pharmaceuticals; - dune fixation, protection of agricultural land and combating desertification; - maintenance of soil stability and fertility and nitrogen fixation; and - forestry applications for cash income. (ii) Role of trees as an energy source through: - increased production of individual trees and stands of trees (grown wholly or partly for fuel); - managment of natural woodland; - improved methods of charcoal production; - design and use of more efficient stoves; and - utilization of waste wood materials. (iii) Increased industrial wood production through: - optimization of yields from an extended plantation estate of fast growing industrial species in high rainfall areas in the south and irrigated plantations in the north; and - improved harvesting, conversion and processing. 40. This list reflects a shift from traditional forest production and operational programs to one emphasizing social forestry and involving large and small farmers and communities and non-government organizations in forestry. This shift will be necessary if forestry is to play to the full. its part in enhancing sustainable production of food, livestock, wood based energy and industrial wood. These programs are urgently required to meet the needs of an increasing population under conditions that normally include some degree of environmental stress but which periodically (as at present) deteriorate as a result of catastrophic drought, the toll of which on the over-browsed, over-cut woodland resource base, and therefore on the degrading ecosystem, is severe. 41. The shift of emphasis will entail a change in the nature of the research program required to support forest development. New target groups will be involved in the development work. They will require new forms of appropriate technology and tree materials. The Forest Department and a few -12- Annex I Page 12 large corporations and companies for whom research has traditionally been undertaken will be supplanted by small and large farmers and communities. The scale and nature of forest operations and thus of techriology and tree materials needs will be specific to each group and will vary from one group to another. The needed research function will entail meaningful interactions with the people served, necessitating sociological studies for proper understanding of their perceptions and needs, in order to develop effective working relationships with them and to strengthen the all important link between research and extension. Economic studies will be essential to give perspective to new technologies as they are developed. An indicative list of priority research topics is set out in Table 3 below. Indicative Listings of Priority Research Topics 42. Relating the national development needs and opportunities listed in the previous section to the target groups principally concerned in each case suggests the appropriate research topics listed in Table 3. Priority ratings are shown in the third column. A rating of 1 is high, 2 lower. However, ratings are suggested where technology or tree materials are already available even though they may simply require optimization. The list is not meant to be exhaustive; some obvious topics have been omitted either because sufficient technology exists to meet needs for the present, or because a priori judgments can be made based on existing experience to devise resource management methods for immediate use and testing. Table 3: Suggested Priorities for Forestry Research Suggested Target Group(s) Research Topics I/ Priority 1. Small farmers and local communities - Sociological research aimed at mainly for own a-sessing people's perceptions consumption. as to needs and receptivity to tree planting. 1 - Tree improvement 2/ of multi- purpose fast growing trees, particularly leguminous species. 1 - Agro-forestry design and estab- lishment techniques, including single tree establishment and direct sowing. 1 1/ In each case aimed at maximizing biological, marketability, and economic features of production. Economic studies as required are implied. 2/ In the interests of brevity, tree improvement is used here to include species and provenance trials, genetic selection and testing. -13- Annex I Page 13 Suggested Target Group(s) Research Topics Priority - Nursery, silvicultural management and harvesting techniques for max- imizing pole, fuelwood, fodder and minor product yields (lopping pollarding and coppicing included). I - Interaction between trees and agri- cultural crops, impact on produc- tivity; soil nutrient effects. l 2. Large farmers and - Growth and yield studies. 1 communities growing wood to protect their - Sociological research as lands and/or for trees above. for own use or as cash crops. 3. Cities, towns and - Tree improvements as above. other large communities Multipurpose species to be emphasized, growing trees for use as also species for use in energy and for environ- shelterbelts and block mental protection. plantations and fast growing soft wooded hardwoods for industrial use. I - Nursery techniques; establishment techniques, including direct sowing; silvicultural management including thinning and other aspects of coppice, pollarding and lopping systems; harvesting, including mechanical harvesting of short rotation crops. I - Agro-forestry design, establishment, management and harvesting techniques and regimes where gum arabic is to be produced. 2 - growth and yield studies 2 - wood based energy production and conversion technology to ensure efficient utilization, including utilization of wood and charcoal waste. 2 -14- Annex I Page 14 Suggested Target Group(s) Research Topics Priority - impact on soil productivity 2 - Tree improvement as for previous group. 1 - Nursery, design, establish- ment, management and harvesting techniques for shelterbelts, block plantations and, where irrigation is practised, some sawtimber. 1 - Regeneration, management, protection and harvesting of fuelvood from natural woodland. (Fodder may be a by-product.) 2 - Growth and yield studies. 1 - Wood based energy production and conversion technology to ensure efficient utilization, including utilization of wood and charcoal waste, densifi- cation, briquetting, design and use of more efficient stoves, 2 4. Wood using - Economic studies to assess industries: saw and optimum scale and feasibility peeler logs, and particularly in relation to manufacture of marketing, haulage routes and reconstituted wood distances. 1 products and pulp. - Tree improvement of fast growing industrial wood species. 2 - Nursery and silvicultural management techniques and rotations and yield predictions for block plantations. 1 - Taungya applications during plantation establishment, including impacts on tree crops. 2 -15- Annex I Page 15 Suggested Target Group(s) Research Topics Priority - Growth and yield studies. 1 - Improved harvesting, conversion and processing technologies. 1 - Economics studies to focus on strengths and constraints of developing technologies. 1 43. It will be necessary to provide for regular seed supplies for all forms of plantation development, including social forestry. This might appropriately be a responsibility of FRC. Research Strategies -44. There is a number of well tried principles and strategies that render research effort effective and it seems appropriate to review them here. Firstly, it will be important to ensure technical soundness and biological fitness of the technological and tree material outputs of research, since people, particularly farmers, are easily discouraged by mistakes. This compels the researcher to be objective and scientific, to recognize biases for what they are and, when deciding what work needs to be done, to be able to distinguish between biological problems and those due to poor application or management. 45. Forest research must be conducted within a realistic socio-economic framework. For example, the Sudan Rural Energy Project funded a study of village biomass needs in North Kordofan and the Sudan Council of Churches another in the Northern Region in 1984 to provide sociological frameworks at the outset of research programs. Another example is represented by the research development work of CARE in the Eastern clay plans which is influenced and guided by strong inputs resulting from studies specifically undertaken to provide sociological perspective to social forestry research and development. The need for an ecological framework for the application of research results must also be born in mind. In this respect, Harrison and Jackson's ecological classification of the vegetation of the Sudan (1958) provides a good background. Other relevant publications extend this understanding, e.g., the 1983 NAS publications on environmental change and on agro-forestry in the West African Sahel; Tulsbach and Hulme's 1984 analysis of recent rainfall changes in the Central Sudan and their physical and human implications. 46. Since resources for research are extremely limited, choices of what to do, where to start and the orientation of the effort must be carefully made. It is important to remember that research is a means to a very specific end and not an end in itself. Forest research in Sudan should as far as possible be applied in nature and, without cutting corners, mission or problem oriented; and of a basic nature only when -16- Annex I Page 16 absolutely necessary. In applied research, it is often appropriate to begin by testing a piece of already existing technology, modified as appears necessary to suit it to the local situation, or, as is the approach used in operations research, by synthesizing a methodology on the basis of existing knowledge, then testing it to identify weaknesses or gaps; making these good, and finally demonstrating the workable technology in practice. Consideration should be given to translating research results into practice by using pilot development areas (PDA's) as is done by some agriculturalists. Conducting applied resarch in the manner described entails careful data collection followed by analysis and publication of the results. The work may fruitfully be done in collaboration with a representative of the target group for whom it is intended. 47. Careful thought must be given, when planning research, to the questions of what data to collect, how to collect it, how to analyze it and convert it into information, and how to apply and disseminate that information. It must also be clear what the nature will be of the systems that will be developed as a result of the research or into which it will fit. A good local example would be gum arabic research which should be conducted on the basis of building blocks that are required to develop or strengthen the broad and relatively complex production system. 48. A research initiative should always begin with a thorough review and evaluation in relation to local needs of existing knowledge and current state of the art of the topic to be worked on. This information background should be kept current as the work proceeds. It is important to avoid repeating research that has already been done elsewhere, unless it was badly done or is part of testing and development for application in a new area. These considerations point to the fact that a good up-to-date library service must be readily available. It is necessary to maintain awareness of the nature and progess of related or similar work at institutions elsewhere, i.e. at other research centers in the same or other countries. Examples of programs relevant to research in Sudan are those of ICRAF in Nairobi, ILCA in Addis Ababa, IIRC in Nigeria, and the Caesar Kleberg Wildlife Research Institute at Kingsville in Texas. 49. In a recent paper on networking in international agricultural research, Plucknett and Smith noted that informal as well as structured collaboration is becoming increasingly common in international agricultural research. A network approach reduces costs, minimizes duplication and boosts efficiency. Collaborative teams involving numerous scientists in several countries have been formed to tackle a range of constraints to boosting production. Each participant has his own discrete program. Each knows what others in the network are doing, keeps in touch with progess and keeps them informed of his own. The collaborators use each others results quickly in the development of their own programs, and provide services to each other as opportunities arise. In these and other ways a network approach reduces costs, minimizes duplication, reduces time scales involved in making progress, and boosts efficiency. 50. The July 1984 IUFRO Asian Region Research workshop on Increasing Productivity of Multipurpose Tree Species urged this approach in relation to 10 groupings of 20 high priority multi-purpose species including Acacia, Prosopis, Eucalyptus, Azadirachta, Bamboo, Dalbergia, Populus, Casuarina, -17- Annex I Page 17 Sesbania and Leucaena. The workshop identified five priority research areas in relation to these groupings, i.e. tree improvement, nursery and tending techniques, silvicultural management systems, protection from fungal and insect attack and systems for maintaining and improving soil fertility. 51. It will be in the interests of FRC to monitor these developments and those of a related IUFRO initiative that is shortly to be undertaken in Africa and, whilst being careful to confine itself to real rriorities, to participate in two or three appropriate networks. 52. The strategy used to conduct a piece of research should be simple. It is important to be realistic about how much to attempt in a given period with the available resources: production forecasts in the planning phases of projects are invariably higher than actual achievements because this principal is ignored. Any tendency to do everything at once or at the same time should be avoided. It is often beneficial for a researcher to collaborate or in some degree integrate his efforts with those of others in the institute, elsewhere in ARC or in other organizations who are addressing the same problem or doing similar work in the same discipline. However, each collaborator should be responsible for a free standing, discrete, defined component of the overall effort. In other words, the integration should take place at the planning phase, when those involved come together to review and evaluate their separate individual efforts or to put together a total system. The alternatives lead to confusion and frustration. Needs and Opportunities for Technological Innovation 53. It is emphasied that the tree materials and technologies and therefore the research effort to produce them, will vary from one target group to another according to the types and purposes of the tree crops they will grow. In particular, there must be emphasis on developing knowledge and materials of multipurpose species for farm forestry, and methods such as lopping, pollarding and coppicing of individual trees or small stands of trees to maximize producton and simplify harvesting; on the interactions between trees and agricultural crops; and on the effects of tree crops on soil fertility and water relationships. 54. In attempting to provide the research needs for the new array of forest development strategies, eg. for plantations to produce wood-based energy, there should be emphasis on devising appropriate local applications of high yield, intensive silvicultural, management, harvesting and conversion technology. Research elsewhere is indicating new (and some old) ways in which forest production, ever. in arid areas, can achieve several-fold increases in yields. Ways shoula be sought to apply such advances in the development of innovative high production systems for use in rainfed and irrigation areas in Sudan. 55. In the conduct of species and provenance testing, the selection of genetically superior materials and their preservation and use in the production of seed or clonal materials, the approaches procedures and safeguards, including maintenance of genetic diversity, recently recommended for Sudan by Palmberg will be valuable guides. Advice given -18- Annex I Page 18 earlier by Pryor continues to be valid. The recent work of Felker and his associates at the Caesar Kleberg Institute in Texes indicates the very wide range of inherent variation in biomass and pod production pptential that can be exploited among species and provenances of Prospois. Under dry land conditions this group has recently recorded producion rates of up to 12 kg of pods per tree per annum; in close spaced plantations, up to 16 oven dry tons of biomass per ha per annum have been produced in three years. Similarly, variable and sometimqs very high production rates have been demonstrated and are being turned to practical advantage with Eucalyptus species in many countries (Congo, Brazil, Zimbabwe for example). Wide degrees of variation may be expected to occur also in Acacia species, both native to Africa and exotic (from Australia and South East Asia), which like Prosopis and Eucalyptus, have strongly outcrossing breeding systems. Testing of Prosopis is included and is being extended to local Acacias in the FAO/IBPGR gene pool project in which Sudan is collaborating. These trials will enable the selection of high yielding individuals for use in new plantation packages for application in Sudan. 56. A nucleus of exotic species and provenance materials already exists in Sudan. Subject to avoidance of building in any tendencies for in-breeding (as has happened for example in E. microtheca), the best use should be made of these existing materials. The fullest use should also be made of indigenous species and the genetic variation within them. Acacia has already been mentioned. Balanites aegyptica is an example of multi-purpose local species that has a potentially important place in plantation schemes of many designs (single trees, shelterbelts, rainfed and even irrigated plantations). There are other native species capable of development for local use, among them a range of browse tree and shrub species for which ILCA has recently made an inventory of food values, distribution, biological management and yield information (see Browse in Africa, 1980, edited by H. N. Houerou and published by ILCA). 57. The need has already been mentioned for one or, if possible, more species suitable for the production of saw and peeler logs under irrigation in the drier parts of Sudan. Gmelina arborea is a possibility: it displays broad provenance variation; DANIDA should be consulted for advice as to appropriate provences to test. 58. Among other species to be considered for species introduction trials are several in the newly aligned genera of the Casuarinaceae, exploration and seed collection of which across their natural ranges, including dry parts of Australia, is beginning to gather momentum. The nitrogen fixing characteristics of this group might warrant introduction and testing of the rhizobia involved. There are Casuarina materials in Egypt that are of potential value in Sudanese shelterbelt practice in both rainfed and irrigation areas. Several Acacia species native to dry areas ir. Australia and neighboring lands also have a part to play in rainfed shelterbelts and block plantations. 59. An indicative (not exhaustive) list of species in relation to range of uses was compiled by the mission and is attached as Appendix I of this Annex. Foresters in Sudan are aware of the need for effective arrangements (seed orchards, seed stands) for operational producton of seed of high genetic quality and for harvesting, processing and storing it. Much needs to be done in this area and in relation to seed distribution -19- Annex I Page 19 center developments, eg. that based in Zimbabwe for Central and East Africa and financed by IDRC. 60. ?elker and his associates in Texas have recently reported results of trials of vegetative propagation by cuttings of high yielding individual tree selections of Prosopis species. Methods of treating stock plants to increase the production of cuttings of suitable physiological condition for rooting, and of manipulating environmental conditions (particularly photoperiod and moisture) to maximize rooting, have resulted in very high degrees of success. This work is potentially transferable and adaptive for operational use in Sudan. It is appropriate that the forest research officer from El Obeid intends to work on vegetative propagation of Prosopis during his current Ph.D. program in the USA. There are possibilities for potentially important applications of clonal reproduction of high yielding Eucalyptus selections as well. This work is well advanced in Congo and Brazil. 61. Nursery production systems require review, improvement and extension by adapting some new production methods for local use, particularly in social forestry and for very deep planting in dry areas. The system of growing seedlings or transplants in polythene bags in sunken irrigated beds commonly results in the production of sub-optimal stock: the plants are often root-bound and less vigorous than they should be through stagnation due to inadequate drainage from the plant containers under the flood irrigation method commonly used. Variants should be tested, eg. the use of polythene tubes combined with regular root pruning to encourage development of fibrous root systems. Production of plants in narrow, 30 cm tubes for deep planting in dry areas, as recently suggested by Felker in a research proposal to FRC for development of intensive plantation methodology, deserves attention. For social forestry, simple effective systems of direct seeding or adaptation of the basket system of raising plants that originated in Gujerat, should be explored. 62. Many plantation schemes are less successful than they should be because for want of attention to conditioning or a modest additional degree of sophistication of the production system, the planting stock is less vigorous than it could be. 63. Priority should be given to the development of technical packages for high yielding plantations in rainfed and irrigated areas. The aim should be to ensure high survival and initial and subsequent growth rates and rapid occupation of the site. The systems would entail the use, as appropriate, of genetically improved seed, seedling or clonal stock; the application of zhizobia or mycorrhiza in the nursery; tubed plants suitable for deep planting on appropriately prepared dry sites; fertilization (phosphorous and potash only where nitrogen fixing species are used), and weeding. Close attention should be given to initial spacing and subsequent clearing and thinning regimes and rotation lengths to optimize site occupation and yields. When plantation packages for enhanced production in rainfed areas are being developed, the work in the Eastern clay plains described by Badi would be a good start point in relation to planting systems. For direct seeding, a good initial analysis of work already done with A. senegal in several areas in Sudan would be valuable. Also aerial seeding trials proposed for denuded dry areas in Mauritania should be -20- Annex I Page 20 monitored. For the improvement of irrigated plantation practice particular areas for attention are furrow configurations; ident'ficaton of optimal watering regimes including avoidance of over watering; methods to secure even distribution of water; eg. appropriate furrow maintenance routines and in most areas, use of furrow irrigation in preference to flood irrigation. An important problem to be investigated is the poor performance of coppice of E. microtheca which, contrary to the usual pattern, is less productive than the seedling crop. The causes of the deaths of stools should be investigated and the relationships to this of method of felling, over- or under-watering, and fungal infection. Efforts should be made to identify and test species more suited than E. microtheca to the light irrigated soils of Northern Sudan. The research should include possibilities among Casuarina and hot area poplars. Instead of averaging 10 m3/ha/year, irrigated plantation yields should approach 30m3/ha per year. 64. A specific need will be for shelterbelt establishment and management approaches suited to the areas to be drained by the Jonglei Canal. Studies will be required to assess site characteristics in order to devise and apply successful plantation methods. 65. Growth and yield studies should be undertaken for the production of tree and stand volume and yield tables that account for the total biomass produced, including foliage and twigs. As an interim measure the individual tree volume tables produced by M.A.W. Khan in 1966 for several commonly used species and any existing yield tables,should be adapted to reflect total biomass production by applying factors based on an appropriate, moderate amount of measurement of samples. 66. Management and harvesting methods and yield tables for trees grown individually in social forestry settings should be devised. Treatment methods would include lopping, pollarding and coppicing. The guidelines developed and described by A.H. Khan in 1965 for lopping Dalbergia sissoo in Pakistan would be helpful, as would work on these topics by Fishwick and Grut of IBRD and by R. M. Lawton as described in ILCA's 1980 publication "Browse in Africa-. 67. Agro-forestry systems development should be a priority area for research in support of social forestry program initiatives. In a recent IBRD report (Fuelwood Consumption and Deforestation in African Countries: Working Paper No. 704), it was noted that prospective economic and ecological benefits, financially low risks and breadth of scope, render agro-forestry an area of development that merits substantially increased goverment and development agencies support. Recent published materials that would facilitate local research in this important area include those of ICRAF; the Faculty of Forestry in the University at Morogoro, Tazania; IIRC and ILCA; Indian experience documented by Norhona of IBRD and others; the applications described and discussed in NAS's 1983 publication -Agro-forestry in the West African Sahel"; the extensive documented work by local and CTFT investigators in several West African countries, particularly on applications involving Acacia albida; and Felker's 1978 paper on intercropping systems using the same species. Analysis of agroforestry applications in Sudan, including several instances along the Nile in the Northern Region and experience with gum arabic production -21- Annex I Page 21 systems, would provide useful early impetus. Also, there is a range of local and introduced species familiar to Sudanese foresters and farmers that will be valuable in this area of research and development. 68. There is a need for a full appraisal and analysis of gum arabic production systems and their relationship with agroforestry and agro-silvo-pastoral systems in Eastern and Western Sudan. This, along the lines proposed in a recent memorandum by C.W.A. Tapp of USAID, would set the stage for capitalization on well documented work in systems-oriented research. 69. Research in the South should begin with the assessment of practice in all aspects of silviculture, management, and harvesting in lower rainfall fuelwood plantation areas and high rainfall fast growing industrial plantations in order to identify priority needs in the areas of species selection, tree improvement, seed procurement, nursery, establishment and tending, growth and yield studies and the availability of management tables. Site work might require attention in a later phase. Institional Organization and Management of Research 70. Institutional Organization; Program Overview and Priorities. Strengtherning FRC should not begin without a comprehensive reorganization and changes in the structures and procedures for management and conduct of research and related activities. FRC should continue to be located at Soba but should become part of CFA. Links between FRC and the rest of the forestry sector should be restored through new structures and consultative and working arrangements at all levels. 71. The Director of FRC should, be responsible to CFA for day-to-day management of FRC and its program. The DG and through him the Director FRC should be assisted in their tasks by a Program Committee that would provide the primary link with the remainder of the forestry sector. To ensure this, as well as to ensure that FRC's function of research would not be undertaken as an end in itself, this Committee should be chaired by the Director General, Central Forestry Administration, with the Deputy DG for Programs of ARC as Deputy Chairman. The Committee should otherwise comprise the Deputy DG, CFA; the Director of each Regional Forest Department; the Director FRC; representatives of the Ministries of Planning and of Energy; the heads of the Department of Forestry and the Geography Faculty, University of Khartoum and of either the Faculty of Agriculture or the Faculty of Economic and Rural Development, University of Gezira; the Director of the Institute of Environmental studies, University of 1Khartoum; a senior representative of the Gum Arabic Corporation, the head of the Forestry Training Center, Soba, and a representative of the National Council for Research. The full committee would thus comprise 18 persons. It would meet semi-annually for the first year or two and annually (more frequently if necessary) thereafter. Two or three senior members of FRC would be in attendance as necessary. -22- Annex I Page 22 72. The Committee's functions would be to: (i) review and indicate priorities among the research needs of the forestry sector; (ii) review and make recommendatons on the structure content, progress and achievements of the on-going research program including the communication of outputs to those who need them; (iii) review and make general recommendations on the budgets and expenditure and facilities of FRC, its staffing, training and other needs for support of the program and any constraints that bear on its conduct. 73. The committee would be assisted in carrying out its tasks by documentation and proposals prepared by the Director, FRC. This input would be strengthened by the activities of FRC staff, particularly the Liaison and Development Officers (LDO) (see aara 79) in feeding information back to the Director to enhance his awareness of programs developments and needs and opportunities for research throughout the sector. The focus on, and priorization of, needs would be strengthened by economic analysis and appraisal of alternatives. The committee should ensure that information about FRC's program is made known to the interested public in a meaningful way. Satellite Research Stations in the Regions 7'. The former regional station in the South should be re-established at Yambio with a initial critical mass of staff of about six research officers including LDO's (para 75), under a manager at the Deputy Director level. The regional station for the Central and Eastern Regions at Wad Medani should have a staff of five professionals (instead of a single one as at present) and the Northern Regional station at Ed Damer should be formally established with a staff of three professionals instead of one as now. The station serving the West from El Obeid should be transferred back to FRC from WSARP (whose needs would still be served), with an eventual professional staff complement of five insted of one. Structure and Organization of Program 75. FRC's program should be mission or problem oriented and largely applied in nature. It should comnrise a series of multi-disciplinary projects of sizes and time scales that would vary according to the nature, importance and complexity of the problem or opportunity addressed. Each project would have specific attainable objectives and annual goals (work targets). It would be determinate in terms of the anticipated period required to achieve the objectives. There would be a clearly defined project strategy. The framework for this would be a series of uni-disciplinary free standing discrete studies (not all of them necessarily beginning or ending at the same time; not all necessarily of the same size or complexity) that would represent the bulk of the work to be done, and form the building blocks of the project. Each study would be one research or LDO's contribution to the project. It also would have specific objectives, a defined strategy, annual work goals and a stated time scale. 76. Each project would have a project leader, usually an experienced scientist or research officer, sometimes an LDO, not necessarily a disciplinary section head, but always a person with leadership acumen or -23- Annex I Page 23 potential. The project leader would always undertake himself one of the component studies. As senior colleague he would lead the group in addressing the project objectives and goals. He would convene and conduct discussion sessions at which the group would jointly review and agree on the definition of the problem to be solved or opportunity to be achieved by the projet; the objectives to be attained, the strategy in terms of individual studies and their objectives and goals; the technical logistical and budgetary needs of the project and its component studies, and the optimal disposition of the resources available; and the specific plan and arrangements required, on a project basis, to enable the work to be done. The project leader would monitor these aspects; he would assist study officers, as and when necessary, to make their arrangements to carry out their tasks; he would convene periodic formal project meetings to review progress and any or all of the foregoing matters relating to accomplishment of the objectives. Informal discussions or consultations would take place at any time as needed. 77. Each study officer would maintain contact with his disciplinary section head (the head of his scientific disciplinary "home base") who would support and counsel him on more esoteric matters pertaining to the discipline, including scientific and technical approaches, compilation and analysis of data and preparation of results for publication. 78. Where a specific 'building block' within a project cannot be the subject of an in-house study (due for example to non-availability of the requisite specialist among the staff), it could be provided through a research contract, the terms of reference, amount of remuneration and time scales of which would be clearly spelt out. 79. A project group would usually include an LDO who would carry the main responsibility for day-to-day contacts and working arrangements with extension personnel and/or representatives of operational (target or resource management) groups with whom he would effect testing, development and demonstration phases of the project. These and his other activities described above would form the subject of his own srudy within the project. The LDO, usually an experienced 'ield forester conversant with research and research development methods, would thus represent an important channel for the communication of research results to the operational phase. He would collaborate with his colleagues in the Center, with extension personnel, operational forescers and others to compile written materials to effect technology transfer. 80. The foregoing discussion indicates the nature of the concise documentation of projects and studies that would be an invariable part of program procedure. The documentation, which would indicate the budget allocation, would be prepared by the scientists and research officers directly concerned, and after review by the project leader, would be reviewed by an in-house program committee advisory to the Director and comprising the Deputy Director(s) and disciplinary Section Heads. When satisfied, the Director would signify his approval of each project and study by signing the Project or Study Statement. -24- Annex I Page 24 81. Research activity at the regional stations would either comprise discrete projects specific to the region served (this would tend to be the case with some of the research in the south, though not wood technology research) or it would form part of one or more projects the principal parts of which are based at Headquarters. 82. The Director would conduct a full scale review of each project and its component studies once a year and also at the time of completion of the proiect or any of its studies. The Director would be assisted in this task by the in-house program committee. The project leader and each study officer would participate and take his turn in presenting his work for review. The review would include consideration of its relationship to the problem or opportunity addressed, objectives, strategy, achievements in relation to goals set; compilation, analysis and publication of results; and proposed goals for the ensuing year. The review would be based on draft new documentation for the ensuing year, to be signed by the Director to signify his authorization after any adjustments have been made arising out of the review. 83. Unless there are specific reasons or needs requiring extension of time for completion of a project or any of its component studies, it would be closed once the objectives had been met and the results published. The periodic occurrence of such project or study terminations would be a principal source of flexibility in the deployment of resources, including human resources, for program development. The structure of the program at any given time would represent the best alignment of research personnel in relation to identified priorities. 84. The Director would ensure that each person's personal program represents a package that is attainable within the time span indicated and with the resources available. The aim should also be for FRC as a whole to concentrate on a few carefully selected priority problems or opportunities that can be undertaken successfully within a reasonable, pre-determined period. Management and Research Staff 85. Managers. The burden of management would devolve upon the Director who would require the support of a good administrative unit, competent information officers, scientific editor, a statistical analysis and computer service unit and librarian. The Director would delegate tasks of a scientific, technical and liaison nature to disciplinary section heads and project leaders. His duties would be shared with a Deputy Director at Headquarters. Another Deputy would be responsible to him for research in the south. The Director or his Deputies would not be expected to conduct personal research programs. -25- Annex I Page 25 Management of Research Staff 86. One of the greatest challenges of program management is to stimulate people so that they accomplish their tasks. Means of encouraging and rewarding good work include remuneration in keeping with the amount, quality and impact of output. Successful, productive research organizations are usually characterized by having an atmosphere that stimulates the scientists and other professional officers to maintain high levels of production. The necessary climate is brought about by clear appreciation by each person of the part he is expected to play in a realistically managed, relevant, mission oriented program, and the provision of sufficient resources (budget, equipment, library, laboratory and field facilities, technical assistance) to accomplish the tasks set, stimulating interaction with and recognition by peers in the work place, similar recognition by leading seminars, participating in study tours and presenting research results at conferences. Being costly, the last two activities should be regarded partly as rewards for performance and not automatic. They should invariably be the subject, when the individual returns to his base, of reports to inform management and colleagues of the scientific and technical highlights encountered. 87. Research program activities as described here entail many meetings to identify, conceptualize, plan and review research needs and progress. A certain amount of such activities is necessary, but a proper balance should be maintained so that ample time is set aside to do the actual research work required. 88. Rates of pay in the Sudanese Government Service are frequently such that employees, including research professionals, find it necessary to spend much of their time augmenting their income by consulting or providing services in other ways. It is desirable to rectify this state of affairs. Ways should be sought to encourge individuals to confine such activities to their own time and to devote paid time, other than rightfully earned leave, to official work. Publication and Dissemination of Reaults 89. Publication of research results is an integral part of the research function. The results of original research are usup'.-: published in the first place in scientific journals. Techniques and resource development and management procedures, syntheses of methods and procedures used elsewhere, and aids based on the original research, are published in a form that make them available to users of the information at various professional and technical levels and in various spheres of development activity. Publication should be in a form that reaches all intended readers. Research and LDO staff are sometimes in a position to produce reviews and literature syntheses which when published, can be of the utmost value to the scientific and resource management and development communities. 90. Material intended for publication in any form should always be the subject of rigorous scientific review as to its soundness, adequacy, organization and clarity of presentation. In many research institutes, -26- Annex I Page 26 this is done by review groups of peers appointed by management. It is then edited by a scientific editor for clarity of presentation and readability by the intended audience. 91. The role of LDO's in translating the results of research to testing, development and demonstration phases within project activity has been discussed earlier. It is the essential link between the researcher and practical application, between him and the extension service or, sometimes, the ultimate user of the information. LDO's, like extension staff, also act as important channels for feed back of research needs. Staffing of FRC 92. Tables 4 and 5 show the present numbers of scientific and technical support staff and indicative strengths to which these should be built up by the end of three and then six years. Table 4 relates to managerial and scientific professtonal staff, Table 5 to technical support personnel. 93. It is proposed that the professional staff be increased in three years from 24 to 46, i.e. nearly doubled, and in a further three years to 55. These increases arise mainly from the proposal to reopen the regional station for the south at Yambio and to raise the numbers at the east and central, western and northern stations to numbers approaching critical masses. These account for 19 of the 22 extra professionals proposed for the first three years and five of the 11 proposed for the second three years. Eleven of the 19 extra professionals proposed for the first three years would be LDO's and one more would be added in the second three years. The addition of LDO's to the staff at Headquarters accounts for four of the six extra staff proposed for the first three years and for one of the six to be added in the second three years. Three of the professionals to be added in the early stages would be research managers. -27- Anner I Page 27 Table 4: FRC Professional Staff - Current and Proposed Strengths Total Strength Headquarters Current End of Year 3 End of Year 6 Research Managers 2 2 Scientists, Research Officers: Botany 5 2 1 Tree rmprovemenc 2 2 Seed 1 2 Ecology 2 2 2 Silviculture 10 - irrigation. nursery 2 2 - dry zone 2 2 - social forestry 2 3 - *helterbelte 1 2 Mensuration 2 2 Soil science I Wood technology 4 4 4 Sociology I Economics 1 2 Liaison and Development 4 5 Subtotals 21 27 33 Regional Station South Research Managers I I Scientists. Research Officers Tree Improvement I I Silviculture 2 3 Mensuration I I Ecology I Liaison and Development 2 2 Subtatals 7 9 Regional Station. EJrs and Central Tree Iprovewene I I Silviculture 1 2 2 Liaison and Developent 2 2 Subtotael 1 5 5 Western Region. E1 Obefd Silviculture 1 2 3 Liaison and Development 2 Z Subtotals 1 4 5 Northern Region Silviculture 1 2 2 Liaison and Development I I Subtotals 1 3 3 Totals 24 46 55 -28- Annex I Page 28 94. Table 5 shovs proposals for increasing the technical support staff from the present 11 to 50 by the end of three years and to 61 by the end of the sixth year. The greater part of these increased (34 of the 39 in the first three years. 9 of the 11 in the second three years) would be research technicians, i.e., forestry diploma holders most of whom would require short courses and in-service instruction to fit them for laboratory and field technical support work. A few of them would have to have more specialized training, e.g., those involved in soils work. The other increases in support staff would be for analysis and computing, library, information and scientific editing services at headquarters, a total of five extra people in the first three years and three more in the second. 95. It will be apparent therefore that the increases would largely be of the types of people required to enable the hard core of research professionals to do their work properly, and to strengthen research development and dissemination of the results to the client groups. The present staffing pattern is unabalanced. A few of the existing professionals will have to be retrained and the B. Sc. graduates who are to undergo graduate training should be encouraged to specialize in the disciplinary areas where they are most needed. Table 5: FRC Support Staff Current and Proposed Strengths Current End of Year 3 End of Year 6 (a) Research Technicians Headquarters 10 25 31 Regional Station South 7 9 Regional Station East and Central 5 5 Western Region 4 5 Northern Region 3 3 Subtotals 10 44 53 (b) Others at Headquarters Analysis and Computing 2 3 Librarian 1 2 2 Information Officer 1 1 Scientific Editors 1 2 Subtotals 1 6 8 Totals 11 50 61 Training and Technical Assistance Needs 96. Whilst training is dealt vith more comp-ehensively in Annex II, it is pertinent to note here the great need for upgrading the individual capabilities of staff at all levels in the restructured FRC. -29- Annex I Page 29 97. Experience at ARC's agricultural research station at Wad Medani has demonstrated that postgraduate and other training programs on a more or iess massive scale, sustained over several decades and involving numerous fellowships for M.Sc. and Ph.D. programs both overseas and in Sudan, have paid dividends. Considerable competence has been developed in a substantial number of research scientists and this has had a considerable beneficial impact on technology development in the agricultural sector. It is suggested that training of forest research personnel be planned and carried through within a similar framework. 98. It will be necessary to arrange short courses to give forestry diploma holders basic training in skills they will require as research technicians. Training should comprise much more than postgraduate work at local or foreign universities. Efforts should be made to link postgraduate and on-the-job training, with the assistance of competent research specialists from overseas, by making twinning arrangements between FRC and appropriate overseas institutions. A single such arrangement attempting comprehensively to cater to the needs of FRC as a whole would-be less desirable than, say, two or three twinnings relating to specific activity areas, e.g., research management, high yield plantation technology, wood technology, and multiple resource use management of savannah woodlands in semiarid and arid areas. 99. Many institutions, are active in the field of professional training support for managerial, research, planning and resource management personnel. Among those currently active or indicating interest in becoming active in this way in the forestry sector of Sudan are Clark Unversity, the Caesar Kleberg Wild Life Institute, Ford Foundation, several national donor agencies and possibly, ISNAR. A potentially important series of new initiatives in this area has begun under a IUFRO program supported finaacially and in other ways by IBRD and FAD. The purpose of these initiatives is to bring about an upgrading of forest research capability in underdeveloped countries through periodic contacts between research personnel and networks of research. 100. The training value of a well conceived program of involvement of research professionals in seminars, field tours and conferences has already been stressed and should be included among the training strategies used. Meantime, the urgent need is for opportunities to refresh or retrain some older staff members, provide experience for a number of relatively new graduates and, perhaps most important of all, recruit and train managers. Research Facilities and Equipment 101. The existing buildings require substantial renovation and repair. With few exceptions existing vehicles and equipment of every kind are antiquated and need replacement. Existing library and information retrieval arrangements represent a very modest base upon which to begin to build the facility that is necessary for a vigorous research program. 102. Appendix II is indicative of the scale and phasing of provisions for buildings, vehicles, equipment, materials and supplies that is required for FRC and its field stations, staffed on the scale proposed in Tables 4 and 5, to develop and operate with reasonable efficiency over the first six years. -30- Annex I 4 p zenff 1 Page I SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Multi-Purpose and Other Species in Sudan Forestry 1. Indicative List of Ctiteria for Species Selection (a) Uses and Products Environmental: Shade, shelter, soil stability and improvement. Wood Production: Sawtimber, poles, fuel (calorific value, suitability for charcoal) Others: Fodder, fruit, gum, bark fibre, live fencing, insect repellents, medicinal properties, tanbark. Multipurpose. (b) Negative Values, Drawbacks Harbors birds or insects; spines; becomes a weed. (c) Silvicultural Features Tolerance/Intolerance of shade, aridity, sali2ity, water logging, periodic drought, defoliation by browsing animals, pollarding. Suitability for clay soils, sandy soils, irrigation Regeneration by coppicing, suckers, cuttings Growth rate: fast, slow. 2. Indicative List of Important Species (excluding fruit trees such as avocado and mango that are usually propagated by grafting). (a) Important species in use- Acacia albida (alluvial plains; sandy soils) Acacia mellifera (clay soils) Acacia nilotica; several subspp. (clay soils) Acacia senegal (sandy or clay soils) Acacia seyal (clay soils) Acacia tortilis, incl. subsp. raddiana (sandy soils) Adansonia digitata (sandy plains in West) Albizia lebbek Anona (custard apple) Azadirachta indica Balanites aegyptica Bauhinia rufescens Cassia auriculata Cassia siamea Cassia sturtii Conocarpus lancifolius -31- Annex I Appendix 1 Page 2 Cordia africana Dalbergia sissoo Eucalyptus camnaldulensis Eucalyptus citriodora Eucalyptus microthera Eucalyptus tereticorins Ficus Bpp. Khaya senegalensis Leucaena leucocephaba Parkinsonia aculeala Prosopis chilensis and others Psidium guavaja Tamarindus indicus Tamarix aphylla Thespesia garkeana Ziziphus mauritania and others (b) Hardy Browse Species Acacia tumida Atriplex numularia Boscia senegalensis Grewia app. (mollis, tenax, villosa) Haloxylon salicornicum Leptodenia pyrotechnica Pithecollobium dulce Salvadora oleoides Salvadora persica Sueda monoica Sueda fruiticosa Tephrosia spp. (c) Research List Acacia app. (dryland Australia) Ailanthius sp. Bamboos (indigenous and exotic) Brousonnetia papyriferA (dwarf mulberry) Butyrospermum ap. (Shea nut) Calliandra cullothyrsus Casuarina app. (Egyptian and Thai materials; new dry area introductions from Australia) Ceratonia siliqua (Coastal area) Colophospermum mopane (for alkaline and heavy soils) Cordeauxia edulis Gleditsia triacanthos Gliricidia spp. Gmelina arborea (possible fast growing soft hardwood general purpose timber ap. for irrigated areas) Lespediza bicolor Leucaena varieties Macadamia (Queensland nut: thin shelled variety) -32- Annex I Appendix 1 Page 3 Morus alba (tall, straight growing forms) Parkia biglobosa Paulonia elongata (as for Gmelina above) Prosopis spp. Robinia pseudacacia Sesbania aculeata Sesbania grandiflora Sesbania sesban Schinus molle Schinus terebrinthefolius Ziziphus jujuba (improved fruiting varieties) -33- A~mex I Appendix 2 SUDMI F0RESTnx SECTOR REKVEW Qstimated Costs of Support for Forestry Research (1985-1291) (Is '000) (i) Civil 'Works Offices 5h4 Houses 1175 i*iscellaneous (stores etc.) 285 Sub-total 2000 (ii) Vehicles and Equipment Vehicles 570 Tractors 330 Iaboratory equipment 570 ILiseellaneous equipment 330 Sub-total (iii) Salaries Research Managers 2O Scientists 3h3 Technicians 21 L, Support Staff .42 Office and Ncon- technical Staff 150 Suo-total 775 (iv) Operating Costs Stipplies 210 Trials and Experiment - 202 Maintenance 202 Contingencies 56 Sub-total 670 (v) Training Graduate Fellowships 18 Study Tours 50 Technical Courses 3 Sub-total 71 (vi) Technical Assistance 110 TOTAL 5426 -34- Annex II SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Forestry Education and Trainlng Background 1. Before examining the institutional aspects of formal forestry training in the Sudan it is appropriate to take note of the present state, in broad terus, of the skilled resource available t6 the country. Sudan has been subject to a continuing 'brain drain' for some years. The following figures indicate the losses of trained personnel, I/ fron a number of disciplines. Estimates of the number of Sudanese lationals working in oil-rich countries in 1980 varied from 250,000 (official figure) to 500,000 (other sources). The principal areas of employment of these emigrant skills were: Saudi Arabia (612), Egypt (202), Libya (9Z), United Arab Emirates (5X), and Kuwait (21). Only 10X of emigrant workers were considered to be illiterate. Assuming a population of 20.5 million and 80Z general- illiteracy rate, the loss in trained personnel represents between 5.52 and 112 of the literate population. The proportions of the training manpower resource are obviously such greater. 2. Thus, it was estiuated that 121 of emigrants had post graduate qualifications and 801 had professional, technical or administrative qualifications or other skills. At least 172 of medical doctors vere practicing abroad, 302 of all qualified engineers, 452 of surveyors and 202 of unversity teachers. In addition, It was considered that the number of secondary school teachers pursuing careers in overseas posts could have been as such as ten times the number of university teachers similarly engaged. 3. These figures are alarming. Emigration of the highly skilled at these levels would be of concern to any government, but for a developing country continuing erosion of the elite manpower can have disastrous consequences for the future development of essential national services. To reverse this trend, conditions of remmneration and service within the home based Civil Service sections require adjustment to offset the attractiveness of overseas term of employment. 4. Whilst the forestry profession has not suffered greatly through overseas emigration, there has nevertheless been considerable reduction in securing officer strength through "migration" from the Forestry Department to other national bodies within the Sudan, e.g., N.E.A., Mechanized Agriculture, etc. In addition, the numbers of forestry graduates from the Department of Forestry, University of Khartoum, who entered directly into the forest administration between the years 1979 and 1984 was only 221 of the total number graduating, or an average of only 42, in spite of the fact that regional professional cadres remain badly understaffed. A further 192 1/ 'Post Independence Sudan. Prof. M. 0. Beshir. Proc. Seminar. Center for African Studies. University of Edinburg 1980. -35- Annex II Page = of graduates joined forestry related occupations however (see Table 1). Thus, it would appear that a career in the forestry service does not command a high priority amongst graduating foresters. Professional Forestry Training 5. Prior to 1975, training of professional level foresters had been carried out at overseas institutions. Whilst this approach had produced satisfactory results, it proved a considerable drain on financial resources, in spite of the availability of scholarships (which themselves were in short supply). In the period 1946 to 1970, a total of only 55 students were sent to overseas institutions for higher training. Such numbers were far from meeting the forestry services needs for professional foresters. 6. Accordingly, the Forestry Department in 1958 proposed the establishment of a training facility for professional foresters within the University of Khartoum. By 1975 a Department of Forestry in the Faculty of Agriculture had been established through a FAO/UNDP project under OPAS arrangements and the present training program began. Professional training is now also given at the University of Juba. 7. University of Khartoum. The Department of Forestry offers a five-year course leading to the degree of B.Sc. (Forestry) Honors. Since its inception, the Department has, with an annual intake of about 20 students, graduated a total of 111 men and women professional foresters. 8. Table 1 shows the known distribution of graduates to employment. It will be seen that the initial employment of only 81 graduates (73%) out of 111 is known. Thus it would appear that the balance, plus the graduates who are known to have entered private enterprise and which together account for one third of the total graduate out-turn has been lost to the Government services. This is a very high wastage considering the urgent needs of the forestry enterprise in the Sudan and the financial investment incurred in training. 9. Students are selected for entry to higher education through the National Adminissions Board on the basis of educational attainment in National examinations. The course consists of five years study, the first two years of which cover basic service and agriculture and forestry related subjects, e.g., botany, zoology, chemistry, geology, mathematics, statistics, biometrics and meteorology, together with introductory forestry subjects, e.g., forest ecology. The following three years are devoted to forestry subjects. The outline of the present syllabus is given in Appendix 1. The form of syllabus is basically in agreement with the subject matter taught in comparable teaching departments in other countries. The proportion of teaching time is approximately 60% of theory to 40% of practical for the years two to five, inclusive. In addition, 15 weeks are spent, iaainly in the final year, or field tours, study tours, etc. This practical training is given in forests within the Sudan and includes the preparation of a working plan. TABLE I - GRADUATE EMPLOYMENT U OF K - 1979-19R4 YEAR NCR U OF K FRI NEA H.A. P.A. M.D.U ARC FR v G.S. R.P.A. FAO PG J.U. FE TOTAL 1979 0 3 1 0 0 4 0 4 0 1 0 1 2 1 1 18 1980 1 0 1 0 7 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 19 1981 0 3 0 1 0 5 0 2 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 20 1982 0 1 0 0 0 7 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 11 1983 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 2 9 1984 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4 TOTAL I II 1 3 0 24 1 8 6 1 3 1 13 1 7 Nt I~~ of 1 of 0% TOTAL 1.2 13.6 1.2 3.7 0 29.6 1.2 9.9 7.4 1.2 3.7 1.2 16.0 1.0 8.6 - Nbtee: NCR - Natianal Council for Research U of K - University of Khartoum FRI - Forest Ranger. Institute NIA - National Energy Adulnistration KA - Ministry of Agriculture FA - Forests Administation NDU - National Desertification Unit ARC FR - Agricultural Research Council, Forestry Research W - Wildlife Service CS - Gezira Scheme RPA - Range and Pasture Administration FAO - Food and Agriculture Organization PC - Post Graduate H UJ - University of Juba H PE - Private Enterprise -37- Annex II Page 4 10. Tours abroad, e.g., to Kenya have been conducted in the past and proved valuable to students and staff, but present financial constraints preclude this activity. 11. The Forestry Department also cooperates in the education of second year agricultural students by the provision of an introduction course in forestry to second year agrlcultural students and a full course in land use plannlng with particular reference to forestry, agroforestry and natural resource manageoent -to flfth year agricultural students. A close link is maintained wlth the Unlverslty of Juba through the provislon of course lecturers ln forestry subject, noably silviculture, utilization and forest economics. 12. The Unlversity of Khartoum student strength could be increased to an annual intake of 30. Such development is presently hampered by lack of physical facilities and shortage of staff. 13. The present staff strength conslsts of: - six lecturers - eight teaching ass'stants, presently studying abroad, and - four teaching assistsats awaiting scholarships for overseas treaining. Based on four years of training (the first year of training is taken at the Faculty of Science), and an annual intake of 20 students, the present staff in post/student ratio is: - lecturers, 1:13 - lecturers and teachlng assistants, 1:6. 14. University of Juba. The University of Juba consists of five constituent colleges of which one, the College of Natural Resources and Environmental Studies offers a five-year course in forestry. Other specializations include Animal Science, Crop Science, Earth Science, Fisheries and Wildlife Management. The University awards the degree of B.Sc. Honors. Teaching began in 1977. 15. Students are selected for entry through the Nationwi Admissions Board, based on the results of national examinations in the general education system. Unfortunately, due to the dislocation of tVe system during the long period of civil disturbance in the three southern regions, the numbers of students from secondary schools who are qualified for entry is very small in comparison with the similarly qualified students from the northern regions. In addition, their attainment levels also fall below the 'cut-off line' of available vacancies. Thus in order to make up, the annual intake numbers, students from the northern regions are enrolled. They make up some 70% of student numbers, almost all of whom return to the north after competing their training. To overcome the shortage of students from the regions of the south, the College operates a special admissions procedure for well qualified secondary school students and for mature students. Jn the latter case and for the forestry specialization, students are chosen from forestry personnel ln Government service who hold the Diploma in Forestry from the Institute of Agiiculture at Yambio. -38- Ane II Page S 16. The University is non-fee paying, fully funded from Central Goverment and residential, but nevertheless, the Ministry sponsored mture students are nonresident and are paid a salary of LS 350 per annum. 17. The present student strength is 248. The optim total strength for all six disciplines is considered to be 600-800. 2/ Fundlg and facilitles are the main constraints to incrersing thls number. Of the 248 students under training, 98 are. n the first year and 58 In the second year. Enrolment in the third and fourth years of the forestry course are seven each. The balance of 78 students are enrolled in the thlrd and fourth years of the reainLng five specializations, i.e., an average of seven to eight students per year per specialization. 18. Actual and theoretical student numbers based uf these figures are given below, and Indicate iov the larger intake vould be reflected in outturn. Table 2: Student Numbers L1 I __ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ Year Actual Theoretical 1 98 120 160 2 58 120 160 Forestry Other Forestry Other 3 7 7-8x5 2Ox6 27x6 4 7 7-7x5 2Ox6 27x6 5 - _ 20x6 27x6 Total 248 600 806 19. The present average of seven students in each of the third and fourth years ls well below the desirable level of 15-20. ThLs level would ensure sensible use of expensive teaching resources. There has been no enrolment for the fifth 7ear (1984-85) due to set-backs caused by disturbances. 20. In the first two years, students pursue comon courses fts baslc sciences, mathematLes, commication skills, etc. On satisfactory completion, students opt for their speclallzation which they then plrsue for the remaining three years An outline of the present curriculum is given in Appendix II. 2/ UnLversity estliate of capacity. -39- Annex II Page 6 21. One difflculty caused by the system of student option at the end of the second year Is that both administration and staff are unavare of the numbers who vill opt for forestry. Oviously, this aggravates forvard plannLng and optLial use of resources. 22. At the end of the fourth year, a perlod of three months is spent on practical vacation work preparing a management plan. DurLig the fifth year, the students are attached to forestry Lnstitutions throughout the southern reglons, from vhom there is essentLal 'feed-back' to the College on the students' competence, attitude, achlevements,e tc., vhlch is taken into account in the flnal assessment. 23. The teaching staff consists of: - Lecturers, two - Teaching Assistants, four. Of the 19 subjects offered, 14 are taught by lecturers from the Forestry Department In the Universlty of Khartoum. The staff student ratio (full time staff) to students of years 3 and 4 is 1:2.33 TechnLcal Forestry TraLiing 24. Formal training at the technical level is glven at two institutions; the Department of Forestry Technicians, Sobs, Khartoum Region and the Forestry Department of the Institute of Agriculture, Yambio, Equatoria Region. 25. Department of Forestry Techniclans, Soba. A Forest Rangers School was established In Khartoum in 1946 and offered two years of training in forestry to students vho had completed eight years of general education. Upon upgrading to College status in 1960, the course was improved in scope and depth of s!'lJect matter and the entrance requirement raLsed to twelve years of general education. The award of a diploma was then instituted. The College was re-sited at Soba and recelved assistance under the UNDP project for Research and Educatlon. Until 1973 the C-rllege had been the responsibility of the Forest Department but subsequently became the responsibility of the Department of Higher Education in the Ministry of Education. 26. A further institutional change was made in 1975, when the College becane a Department of the College of Agricultural Studies of the Khartoum Polytechnic. The Polytechnic ls multidisciplinary, embracing the five Colleges of Engineering Studies; Commerce and BankLng; Fine Arts; Extra Mural Studies and Agricultural Studies. The latter College consists of the three Departments of Agricultural TechnicLans, Veterinary and Animal Husbandry Technicians and Forestry Technicians. While the Academic Council of the Polytechnic approved the avard of B.Sc. (Tech.) some three years ago, only Fine Arts awards that degree. Comerce and Banking award a Higher Diploma, while the remaining three Colleges award the Diploma. 27. The forestry course offered is of three years duration. Diploma holders are eligible for a fourth year of studies in the Department of Technical Education in the Polytechnic, leading to the degree of B.Sc. -40- Annex II Page 7 (Education) and employment as extension technicians and teachers in agricultural secondary schools. 28. Employment opportunities in the past have been almost wholly with the national forest service, which however, may only accept the numbers required to fill vacant established posts. The remainder are lost to the forestry sector. In the period 1946-1983, graduates totalled only 375, an average of 10 per year. Student entry is through the Admissions Office, from whom a list of potential students allocated to the Department is received. Students are Interviewed and preference given to those with credits in basic sciences, mathematics and passes in Euglish and Arabic. Attainments in other subjects, e.g., geography, additional science, etc. are also taken into account. Of the present intake of 39, 33 are presently still pursuing studies, a wastage rate of 102. 29. In geographical terms, student representation is very irregular. For example, 90% of students are from the Central Region but none are from Darfur. This may be a.reflection of the situation that 30% of all schools and possibly 33Z of secondary schools are in the Central Region. (Figures exclude Southern Regions and refer to government schools only). 30. The three year, one stream course will change to three streams and an annual intake of forty students when present building programes are completed in 1985. 31. The course structure is given in Appendix III. Since there is no opportunity within the course for specialization, all students take the common general forestry course. 32. The present staff consists of five lectures and three technical assistants giving a staff student ratio of 1:4. Two further established posts are under processing to bring the staff number to ten. Nevertheless outside and part-time lecturers are still required for subjects such as botany, surveying, geology, policy and law etc. 33. The ratio of practical work to theory is 60Z - 40% respectively. In addition students are required to spend ten weeks in each year on tours, supervised by staff, to selected forests and forest industries to gain practical experience. 34. Forestry Department, Institute of Agriculture, Yambio. The Yambio Institute of Agriculture was constituted in 1950 from an Agricultural Training Centre which had been in existence to serve an integrated agricultural development project in Equatoria by training intermediate level field staff. During the period of civil disturbance between 1955 and 1972, the activities of the Institute came to a complete halt. With the return of peaceful conditions and in order to assist the orderly resettlement of farmers and revitalize both traditional agriculture and animal production and introduce improved agricultural and related methods, the need for the Institute to be rehabilitated became urgent. 35. With assistance from UNDP/FAO, the Institute again became operational in 1975. At the same time it was decided to introduce a forestry course at technical level and the first students were accepted in 1977. Since 1978, USAID has also assisted the Institute. -41- Annex II Page 8 36. The Forestry Department of the Institute offers a two-year course leading to the aw:ard of a diploma in Forestry. Upon completion of the course, successfuAl students are posted to Forest Departments in the southern regions according to the requirements of the Regional Forest Departments. 37. The minimum entry requirement is the satisfactory completion of the Sudan School Certificate or equivalent, with good passes in science subjects, e.g. Biology, Physics and Chemistry, together with Mathematics and English. Candidature of serving forest personnel with Regional Forest Departments is also considered on merit and experience. The annual intake is 24 students made up of 8 from each of the three southern regions. The intake and graduate levels for the years 1977 to 1983 for agriculture and forestry are shown in Table 3. It will be seen that agricultural students outnumber forestry students. Student success rate to the year 1983 was 88% and 81% for agricultural and forestry students respectively. 38. The present staffing of the Forest Department is four lecturers and two teaching assistants. With present student numbers of 18 in the first year and 16 in the second year, the staff student ratio is 1:6. 39. Course subject matter is given in Appendix IV. Certain courses indicated are common course to both agricultural and forestry students in the first year. Planned Development in Forestry Training 40. The present situation within the Forestry Sector and the potential critical resource depletion under current resource use is well understood by the training institutions, particularly in the northern sector. While the overall situation in the southern regions is not yet so acute, nevertheless, the need for a change of eaiphasis from traditional forestry practice to a more widely based community and agro-forestry development programs is equally well recognized. 41. Perusal of the course outlines shows that at professional level, only the University of Juba gives both a course in Land Use and in Rural Extension. The University of Khartoum offers a course in Land Use only. In neither of the technical level institutions are either of the subjects given as courses. In addition no institution offers courses related to the expansion of forestry into community and rural extension, e.g. sociological aspects. Wnile all these matters may be touched upon in other course material, they do not have the status of distinct courses. Common reasons for their omission are lack of trained staff, physical facilities and funding. 42. The Department of Forestry in the University of Khartoum, intends to widen its responsibilities by becoming a Faculty of Natural Resources, consisting of four departments: TABLE 3 - INSTITUTE OF AGRICULTURE YAMBIO ADMISSIONS AND GRADUATIONS 1975-83 YEAR AGRICULTURE FORESTRY ______ ADMISSIONS GRADUATIONS ADHISSIONS G_ RADUATIONS MEN WOMEN TOTAL MEN WOMEN TOTAL MEN WOHEN TOTAL MEN WOMEN TOTAL 1975 29 1 30 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 1976 36 1 37 _- - - - - 1977 37 6 43 27 1 28 24 - 24 _ _ _ 1978 34 3 37 35 1 36 19 2 21 _ - - 1979 31 9 40 33 6 39 17 3 20 19 - 19 1980 27 12 39 27 3 30 19 2 21 15 2 17 1981 48 10 58 31 9 40 23 2 25 14 2 16 1982 19 9 28 38 12 50 16 - 16 19 2 21 1983 38 7 45 19 9 28 24 1 25 16 l 17 TOTAL - - 357 - - 251 - - 152 - - 90 SUCCESS OQ RATE _ _ _ _ _ 882 _ _ _ - _ __! H X Estimated -43- Annec II FAng 10 (i) Forestry; (1i) Range Management; (lii) Wildlife Management; and (iv) Fisheries 43. The three latter disciplines have never been represented as Departments within the University. The proposal envisages: (I) The education of students as resource managers with an Integrated approach to multidisciplinary land use. (ii) The integration of interdisciplinary knowledge leading to greater cooperation between managers of renewable natural resources. (iil) The creation of a cadre of related specialisations with the capability for monitoring and assessing the use and misuse of natural resources. (iv) The establishment of research programs in the Forestry Department, separate from training, include wood technology and wood chemistry, silviculture, management (including yield studies), agro-forestry, fuelvood supply/demand, wood based energy re.ources, and sociological aspects of extension forestry. 44. The Department of Forestry vould lay emphasis in teaching on eztension methods In community forestry agro-forestry and complementary fuelwood and pole production forestry. 45. The present building facilities are inadequate for current needs. To accomodate the in-post staff and the teaching assistants (8) due to return from overseas training, together with ten lecturers who would be required for the three new Departments, a new building would be required. This would consist of lecture theatres, laboratories library, stores etc. Such a building has been approved in the design stage and would cost about LS 900,000. In addition development must include a forest nursery, arboretum and school forest for practical work, physical facilities for excursions and study tours, equipment expansion and renewal, and staff assistance. 46. At the College of Natural Resources and Environmental Studies, University of Juba the priority need is for staff development (and in the meantime staff assistance), and the inauguration of a modest progra mme of forest research. The University is preparing a proposal for the establishment of a University research and training farm and arboretum at Billinyang. Assistance is also required in the provision of equipment and funding for study tours, fellowships and specialized training. 47. The forest Technicians Department at Soba also has prepared plans for upgrading the institution to a Natural Resources Division in the Khartoum Polytechnic. The expanded institution would include course specialization in range management, wildlife management and soil Conservation and land use, together vith Forestry (Appendix V). The annual student intake would be eighty (theoretically 20 for each discipline), -44- Annex II Page 11 pursuing a three year course, i.e. a total student body of 240 in residence. Students would pursue a two year common course, followed by a third year of specialization in their chosen discipline. 48. The objectives of this revised course structure are to provide the national services with trained middle level management oriented towards multidisciplinary land use, and to increase training capacity to meet the anticipated needs of extension and agroforestry. A new building to house 120 students is under construction at a cost of LS 1 million. To complete the program, further accommodation, equipment, staff training, staff assistance, fellowships and ancillary services will be required. 49. The facilities available to the Forestry Department at Yambio are also inadequate. Under the Sudan German Forestry Project based on Kagelu in Equatoria Region, a new technical level forestry training institution is under construction. Work has progessed on buildings and site development but has been halted due to the continuing security situation. It is the Regional Government's intention to relocate the Yambio forestry institution at Kagelu. While this would improve the facilities for practical forestry training and would give the institution autonomy and status, an important land use linkage of common study with agriculture would be lost, at a time when closer cooperation rather than division is the important strategy. Considerable assistance will be required in 3etting up what will virtually be a new school. In-Service Training and Refresher Courses 50. There is no formal program of in-service training for specialists eg. saw millers and saw doctors, Forest Guards, skilled or semi-skilled workmen. Training is essentially an on-the-job activity. Neither do training institutions provide regular refresher courses for all levels of staff, which, apart from introducing current knowledge and practice, would be of the greatest value in promotion procedures. Recommendations 51. If the forestry sector and authority are to meet the present challenges of institutional erosion, resource depletion and the essential changes which must consequently take place in the change of emphasis from traditional forestry practice, it is a sine qua non that adequate, -45- Annex II Page 12 appropriately trained staff be made available in a timely manner. The following recommendations are directed to this end. (i) A Manpower Section should be established in the Central Forests Administration. The Section would be responsible for the planning, forecasting and monitoring of manpower requirements at all levels of forestry activity throughout the regions and in accordance with the phased requirements of the development plarns both at national and regional levels. Forecasts must be made at least ten years ahead and be continually updated. Since regionalization, both CFA and the training institutions have been largely ignorant of the present and future detailed requirements for field and specialist staff. Cooperation by the regions with CFA and the training institutions is essential in order to attain the objectives set out above. (ii) In order to prevent the wastage of trained staff from the forest service and to attract intake at all levels, the present structure of remuneration, conditions of service, promotion opportunities and further in-service education should be revised. (iii) A Forestry Education Advisory Committee should be established to oversee all levels of forestry training. Its responsibilities would include coordination and the allocation of limited resources. The Committee members should include representatives from the Ministry of Education, Central and Regional Forest Services, the training institutions and selected employers, eg. non-government commercial forestry organizations. (iv) Examination of the curricula at both University and Technical levels reveals a very formal adherence to the classic forms of forestry education. Without abandoning the traditional teaching, new curricula must be devised laying emphasis on integrated rural development. This will require substantial inputs covering community and rural forestry, energy resource establishment and mangement, sociological impact studies and extension methodology and techniques. In particular, the curriculum level at Yambio is set far too high, some of the subject being more appropriate to university level. Specialist assistance is essential to make in-depth studies of the present curricula and to devise more appropriate course restructuring, in collaboration with the teaching staff. (v) The present planned developments should be given high priority for completion to improve facilities and increase student capacity. The relocation of the Yambio school at Kagelu and the need to bring its facilities, equipment, staffing etc., to an acceptable level should be given high priority. -46- Annex II Page 13 (vi) As a matter of urgency, training institutions must initiate refresher course programs for in-service staff, with particular emphasis on the changing role of forestry in the rural economy and the methods and practices required. (vii) Regional forest services must organize in-service training to inculcate skills at the field level, with particular reference to rural forestry development. Development Costs 52. In order to meet the planned development given in the preceeding paragraphs, substantial capital inputs will be required. For example, the cost of a new main building for the Forestry Department of the University of Khartoum would be about LS 1 million. Additional funds would be required for equipment, nursery, arboretum, woodlots and housing. The University of Juba is in need of research and general equipment. Some building expans4on will also be required. 53. The Forest Technicians Department at Soba will require assistance, presently estimated as follows: (i) Hostel accommodation for 120 students 6 lecture theaters, 3 laboratories, dining room, recreation facilities, water supply,offices etc. $ 2,500,000 (ii) Equipment, buses, lorries, tractors, camping equipment, tools, laboratory items, books, teaching aids etc. S 500,000 (iii) Furniture $ 500,000 (iv) Fellowships, 3 MSc Courses for two years, (range management, wildlife studies, soil conservation/land use) S 300,000 (v) Teaching assistance, 3 specialists for 3 years S 900,000 54. The relocation of the Yambio school at Kagelu will require considerable building and equipment inputs. 55. Technical assistance will be required in curriculum development at all institutions and at Regional Forestry Department level for in-service and refresher course training. Financial assistance will also be required for funding tours, visits and seminars, particularly outside the Sudan. 56. A six month consultancy will be required immediately to: -47- Annex II Page 14 (i) Produce a detailed quantification of the total requirements needed at each institution and their phasing, to meet planned objectives. (ii) Determine the levels and type of teaching assistance required by the institutions and the individual terms of reference for such assistance. (iii) Assist in curriculum development at the institutions with particular reference to the change in emphasis from classic forestry training to multipurpose forestry/land use management training. (iv) Assist in curriculum development for in-service and refresher course for field staff at Regional level. 'v) Produce indicative costs where appropriate. (vi) Examine and report on any other matter concerning forestry education in the Sudan which covers within his competency. -48- Annex I1 Appendix 1 Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW University of Khartoum Faculty of Agriculture Syllabus for B.Sc (Forestry) Honors FIRST YEAR (PRELIMINARY YEAR) To be taken at the Faculty of Science. SECOND YEAR FIRST SEMESTER AGRICULTURAL BOTANY (21) (3 hours lectures and 4 hours practical a week). VOne 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Introduction to Genetics Mendel's laws of inheritance and deviations from these laws (eg. epistasis, linkage). Taxonomy History, principles and methods of plant classification. Selected families of angiosperms. (Same syllabus as in agriculture). AGRICULTURAL ZOOLOGY (21): (2 hours lectures and 3-hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Principles of systematic zoology and general biology of invertebrates, based on selected species of agricultural and forestry importance. INTRODUCTION TO AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY (21): (2 hours lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Agriculture and forestry, their importance, evolution and role in national economy. Agricultural environment. Sudan agricultural resources and patterns of agricultural production. Significance of forests in providing raw materials. Forest influences and environment. Forest resources of the Sudan and pattern of their use (development, actual level, trends and tasks). -49- AniLex II Appendix 1 Page 2 GENERAL CHEMISTRY AND GEOLOGY: (21) (4 hours lectures and 6 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Physical Chemistry Atomic structure and valence. Solution and their colligative properties equillibria in solutions. Acids, bases and buffers. Colloids. Oxidation and reduction. Introduction to thermodynamics and kinetics of reactions. Orgaaic Chemistry: Characteristics and structure of organic compounds. (Same syllabus as in agriculture). MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS (21): (2 hours lectures and 2 hours tutorial a week). (One 3-hour wricten paper). Curves fitting (parabola, hyperbola etc.). Limits and continuous functions, series. Differentation and integration. Introduction to matrices and probability. Frequency distribution and measures of central tendency, measures of dispersion. Elementary sampling theory. Statistical design theory. Tests of hypotheses and significance. Analysis of variance. Correlation theory (correlation, regression etc.). (Same syllabus in agriculture). SECOND SEMESTER GENERAL CHEMISTRY AND GEOLOGY (22): (4 hours lectures and 6 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Inorganic Chemistry: Chemistry of elements concerned with soils, plant and animal nutrition and their properties in the Periodic Table. Qualitative, volumetric and gravimetric analysis. -50- Annex II Appendix 1 Page 3 Geology: Geological basis of soil formation. Geology of the Sudan and its relationship to soil. Soil profiles. (Same syllabus as in agriculture). BIOMETRICS AND EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN:(22) (4 hours a week). (One 3-hour written paper). Types and analysis of simple experimental designs. Correlation and regression analysis. FOREST BOTANY: (22) (3 hours lectures and 3 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Morphology of woody plants. Structure of plants with special reference to the relationship between form and function. Modifications of form and growth according to different site conditions. Anatomy of woody plants. Cell structure and basic cell types. Structure of tissues and organs. Ontogenesis of dicotyledons and .monocotyledons. METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY: (22) (3 hours lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Physics of the atmosphere. Principles of heat transfer, precipitation and circulation of water. Classification of climates with special reference to the relationship between climate and natural vegetation. Climates of the Sudan. Influences of forests on air and soil temperature, wind velocity, heat transfer and evapotranspiration. Functions, use and care of meteorological instruments. Carrying out and interpretation of meteorological observations. Introduction to hydrology. Functions, use and care of meteorological instruments. Carrying out and interpretation of meteorological observations. Introduction to hydrology FUNDAMENTALS OF SILVICULTURE: (22) FOREST ECOLOGY (2 hours lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 2-hour written paper). Factors influencing the occurrence and growth of woody plants. Retroaction of woody plants on ecological factors (by root systems, absorption of water and mineral salts, production of humus). Basic concepts of habitat, eco-system and productivity. -51-- Annex II Appendix 1 Page 4 Important eco-systems of the Sudan (swamps, savannah, woodlands, forests) and their evaluation in land use planning. Successions and other changes in eco-systems. Field work in evaluation and analyzing ecolog.cal factors. THIRD YEAR FIRST SEMESTER FOREST BOTANY: (DENDROLOGY) (31) (3 hours lectures and 3 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Habit, growth, distribution and biological, physical and ecological features of important trees and shrubs of the Sudan and of East Africa. Identification and recognition of trees and shrubs. Field exercises. BIOCHEMISTRY OF WOOD: (31) (3 hours lectures and 3 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Chemistry of carbohydrate complex (mono-and polysaccharides- cellu:3se, hemicelluloses, gums, pectic substances). Chemical structure, properties and occurrence of proteins, enzymes, lipids (fats, oils and waxes). The isopenten e group of compounds (terpenes, steroids, rubber and gutta-percha). Alkaloids. Compounds related to aromatic amino a compounds (lignin, tannins). Minerals. ALGRICULTURAL MECHANIZATION (31): (2 lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper).' Principles, operation and maintenance of agricultural tractor. (Sxme syllabus as in agriculture). PRINCIPLES OF ECCNOMICS (31): (4 hour lectures a week). (One 3-hour written paper). Basic principles of national income accounting. Introduction to price theory. Supply, demand and production theory. Theory of the consumer bt.havior. Theory of the firm. Perfect and imperfect competitiou. Combination of resources and enterprises. (Same syllabus as in agriculture). SILVICULTURE (31): (3 hour lectures and 3 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). -52- Annex II Appendix I Page 5 Technology of artificial -egeneration of forests (with particular reference to arid, semi-arid and savannah regions). Choice of species. Seed collection and handling. Nursery techniques. Practical in seed handling, layout of nurseries and nursery techniques. FOREST MENSURATION (31): (3 hour lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Tree and stand measurement. Mensuration methods and instruments. Lay-out of sample plots. Construction of volume and yield tables. SECOND SEMESTER -PLANT PHYSIOLOGY (32) (3 hour lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Some properties of water important to life. Transpiration, photosynthesis and .respiration. Mineral nutrition of plants, translocation of organic and inorganic solutions. Morphogenesis and vegetative growth. Plant hormones. Photoperiodism and. flowering. Reproduction, maturation and senescense. Growth correlation. Germination and dormancy. (Same syllabus as in agriculture). INTRODUCTION TO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT (32): (3 hour lectures and 1 hour practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper). Principles of embryology, evolution and biology of vertebrates. Structure and elementary physiology of the major systems and important organs. Distribution, biology and behaviour of selected game animals of the Sudan. Physiology of game animals with special reference to fertility, growth, reproduction and development and population dynamics. Identification and estimation of game. Identification of damages due to game animals. Silvicultural techniques for minimizing game damage in forest plantations. Hunting ans tourism. FOREST SURVEYING (32) (3 hour lectures and 4 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Function, use and care of instruments. Measurements of distances, direction, angles and differences of elevations. Surveying methods and techniques. Plotting and forest maps. -53- Annex II Appendix 1 Page 6 SOIL SCIENCE (32): (3 hour lectures and 3 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Basic physical and chemical properties of soils. Factors of soil formation. Introduction to soil classification. Introduction to soil fertility and crop nutrition. Fertilizers in soils. (Same syllabus as in agriculture). FOREST PATHOLOGY (32): (2 hour lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). General structure and classification of fungi, bacteria and viruses. Biology, and econology of major injurious micro-organisms of forests and forest products with special reference to bacteria, viruses and fungi. Study of important diseases of trees and forest products and methods of their control and prevention. Field work in identification of injuries caused by micro-organisms. SEMINARS (32): (2 hours'a week). FIELD PRACTICAL (In dendrology, nursery techniques and wildlife, 2 weeks). FOURTH YEAR FIRST SEMESTER SOIL SCIENCE (41): (3 hour lectures and 3 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper, practical work will be assessed during the semester). Nature, origin and classification of the main soil types of the Sudan. Chemical and physical properties of Sudan soils and their use, management and productivity. Soil problems and features of arid, semi-arid and tropical regions. (Same syllabus as in agriculture). FOREST ECONOMICS (41): (4 hour lectures a week). (One 3-hour written paper). Nature and scope of forest economics. The forest sector and the national economy. World production, trade and consumption of forest 54 - Annex II Appendix 1 Page 7 products. Supply and demand of forestry goods and services in the Sudan. Prices and marketing of forest products. Forest accounts. Principiles of labor productivity. Work analysis and wage fixation. SILVICULTURE (41): (3 hour lectures and 1 hour practical a week). (One 3-hour wri%nen paper). Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Introduction to yield studies. Afforestation methods. (With special emphasis to site selection and preparation, plant, assortment, spacement, planting techniques, use of cover crops). Tending of plantations. Silvicultural systems, their principals, application and evaluation in moist semi-deciduous and in tropical high forests of the Sudan, with particular reference to clear-cacting, coppice, shelterwood and selection systems, enrichment planting and taungya practice. FOREST UTILIZATION (41): (WOOD AS RAW MATERIAL) (3 hour lectures and two hours-practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work-will be assessed during the semester). Raw wood, structural buil-up and defects. Wood anatomy (with special regard to technology). Chemical composition of wood. Wood physics. FOREST ENTOMOLOGY (41): (3 hour lectures and 3 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper). Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Introduction to class insecta. The external morphology, structure and funcions of the different systems of insects. Development, metamorphosis and classificaiton of insects. Biology, ecology, nature of damage and methods of control, prevention and suppression of major insect pests of forests and forest products. Biology, ecology, nature of damage and control of important injurious species of nematodes, millipedes and mites. Nature, applicalon and effects of insecticides and pesticides. Field work in identification of important insect pests. FOREST ENGINEERING (41): (3 hour lectures and 3 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written pape-. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Introduction to forestry tools and machinery. Forest machinery, functions, application and operation, with practicular reference to machinery for seedbed preparation, sowing, transplanting, spraying, cutting, extraction and transportation. Designs of simple machines and - 55 - Annex II Appendix 1 Page 8 installations (including hand tools and chain saws). Principles and practices of simple road construction in forestry. Timber construction and their application in forestry. SECOND SEMESTER FOREST UTILIZATION (42): (HARVESTING, LOGGING AND TRANSPORTATION OF WOOD) (3 hour lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Felling. Conversion. Logging and extraction. Storing of raw wood (includag preservation methods). Harvesting operation planning. SILVICULTURE (42): (3 hour lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Silvicultural properties and treatment of important indigenous and introduced species for afforestation in arid and semi-arid zones of-the Sudan (including botanical and ecological features and properties, demands on climate, soil, water and nutrients, natural distribution, growth and yield, pests and diseases). Important tree species of tropical high forests, their biological and ecological properties and silvicultural treatment especially in taungya practice. Silvicultural techniques in establishing and management of irrigated plantations. Tree planting practices outside the forests, including shelterbelts and windbreaks. FOREST POLICY LAW & ORGANIZATION: (42) (3 hour lectures and one hour practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper). Origin of forest policy. Formulation of forest policy. Forest policy at the international aod national levels. Forest policy in the Sudan. Forest legislation. Principles of organization. Classical organization structure. Basic units of organization and management levels. Differentiation of responsibilities. Forest authorities. GENETICS & PLANT BREEDING: (42) (4 hour lectures a week). (One 3-hour written paper). - 56 - Annex II Appendix 1 Page 9 Mutations. Multiple-factor hypothesis. Cytoplasmic inheritance. Introduction to population genetics. The chemical basis of heredity. Reproductive systems in crop plants and techniques of selfing and crossing. Methods of plant breeding. Achievements and prospects of breeding crop plants in the Sudan. (Same syllabus as in agriculture). FOREST MANAGEMENT: (42) (3 hour lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 3-nour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester). Objectives and tasks of forest management. Forest inventory as foundation and working method of forest management. Aerial photointerpretation and remote sensing in forest inventory operations. Inventory of area, site and growing stock; principles, methods, techniques and their application to the Sudan (including stratification and classification of forests). Forest evaluation by interpretation of inventory data (evaluation of soil, stocking and damages). SEMINARS: (42) (2 hours a week). FIELD PRACTICAL (In silviculture and forest utilization, 2 weeks). FIFTH YLAR FIRST SEMESTER FOREST UTILIZATION: (31) (5 hour lectures and 3 hour practicals a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester.) Forest industries (saw milling, veneer and plywood, panel production, pulp and paper); use of wood in the round, other wood processing. Measuring and grading, standardization (raw wood, sawnwood, processed wood). Wood marketing and wood supplying. Other forest products (than wood) (charcoal, resins, essential oils, latex gums, tanning materials, bamboo, leaves and grasses, etc.) (including production and harvesting, chemical composition, storing, processing, marketing, etc.) FOREST PROTECTION - GENERAL: (51) (3 hour lectures a week). (One 3-hour written paper). Injuries caused by abiotic agents and methods of their identification, control and prevention with particular reference to heat and drought, water deficiency, water logging, salinity, acidification and wind. Forest fires, their causes, effects, control, prevention and _ 57 - Annex II Appendix 1 Page 10 suppression. Damage caused by game, cattle overgrazing and browsing. Icjuries caused by man, misuse of land and desertification. Field worK in forest fire prevention and fire fighting practices (within the complex practice). INTRODUCTION TO LAND USE PLANNING: (52) (4 hours a week for half an academic year. (One 3-hour written paper). Physical aspects of the environment. Social aspects of land utilization. Institutional aspects of land use. Methodology of the appraisal of natural resources. Alternatives of land use in the different geographical zones of the Sudan. Soil conservation. Rational management of human environment. (Same syllabus as in agriculture). INTRODUCTION TO RANGE MANAC.ENENT: (51) (4 hours a week). (One 2-hour written paper). Principleb, :_r1ods and techniques of vegetation anlaysis (including taxonomy and ecology of wildland plants). Description and measurement of features of range eco-systems and their utilization. Structure, function, dynamics and multiple use management of grassland and desert eco-systems. Principles and planning for improvement rangeland, according to productivity and utilization by various systems of grazing, watering facilities, removing brush and stock improvement. (Same syllabus as in agriculture). FOREST DEVELOPMENT PLANNING: (51) (3 hour lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester.) Concept and principles of planning. (Realism and flexibility, types and levels of planning). The planning process. Formulation of objectives for forestry. Analysis of the forestry sector. Drawing up of forestry projects and methods of project appraisal. Principles and methods of operational research and application in forestry, development planning (linear programming - matrices - game theory - stock theory - transportation problems - simulation - network analysis). FOREST MANAGEMENT: (51) (3 hour lectures and 2 hours practical a week). (One 3-hour written paper. Practical work will be assessed during the semester.) Planning of operation in a forestry enterprise. Determination of rotation. The normal forest (principle of sustained yield management). -58- Annex 11 'Appendix 1 Page 1L Yield regulation, felling produce and allowable cut. Regulation of production (silvicultural planning and taxation). Principles of preparation, control and revision of management plans. Organization of forest management. Selected problems on management of tropical forests. SEMINARS: (51) (2 hours a week). SECOND SEMESTER FOREST MANAGEMENT: (52) Preparation of a management plan. (Field practical, 2 months). (Work will be assessed at the end of the practical) STUDY TOURS (3 weeks). -59- Annez II Appendli 2 Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECtOR REVIEW University of Juba, Forestry Curriculum CURRICULUM: Sumary of Curriculum. First Year: Basic Math. Biology Chemistry Communication Skills Earth Science Physics. Statistics Sudan Foundation. Second Year: First Semester: Second Semester: Botany Botany Organic Chemistry Biochemistry Zoology Zoology Mathematical Methods I Mathematical Methods II Communication Skills Soil Science I IntroL 'ction to Natural Genetics Resources Introduction to Natural Resources -60- Annex II Page 2 Third Year: First Semester: Second Semester: Biochemistry II Silviculture II Ecology Range Management Kicrobiology Dendrology Soil Science II Forest Entomology Silviculture I Principles of Economics Forest Mensuration Machines (prime Movers). Surveying Fourth Year: First Semester: Second Semester: Silviculture III Forest Management II Forest Management Forest Utilization I Forest Inventory Forest Economics Forest Policy and Law Forest Management III Wood Anatomy Harvesting Operations Forest Protection Experimental Methods Rural Extension Vacation: Mauagement Plan Fifth Year: First Semester: Second Semester: Forest Utilization II Land Use Planning Wildlife Management Forest Utilization III Forest Engineering Research Project Research Project -61- Annex II Appendix 3 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Department of Forestry Technicians, SOBA Course Content FIRST YEAR SUBJECTS Botany Geology Mensuration Silviculture Meterology Surveying Forest Protection and Entomology SECOND YEAR SUBJECTS -Botany Mensuration Surveying Silviculture Timber Utilization Range Management Forest Influences Soil Science Forest Policy and Law THIRD YEAR SUBJECTS Botany Surveying Timber Utilization Forest management Ecology Horticulture Wildlife Management Costing SUPPORTING SUBJECTS: Forest Engineering Saw Doctoring Personnel Administration Bookkeeping Horticulture Animal Husbandry -62- Annex II Apeendix 4 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Forestry Department Institute of Agriculture at Yambio COMMON COURSES WITH AGRICULTURE Botany Plant Protection Soil Science Agricultural Engineering FORESTRY SUBJECTS Soil Conservation Forest Protection Forest Policy and Law Forest Botany Ecology Silviculture Forest Influences Surveying Utilization Forest Management Meteorology Forest Engineering Forest Mensuration Harvesting, Saw Doctoring and Costing Geology -63- Annex II Appendix 5 Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Proposed Natural Resources Division - SOBA Khartoum Polytechnic- Outline of Training Progrm A. FIRST AND SECOND YEAR (General Course): 1 Silviculture I and Forest Influences 2 General Botany 3 General Taxonomy (Plant and Animal) 4 General Zoology 5 General Chemistry 6 Ecology 7 Geology and Water Hydrology 8 Soil Science 9 Soil and Water Conservation 10 Forest and Range Protection 11 Surveying and Aerial Photo-Interpretation 12 Forest Engineering 13 'Policy and Law (Forests, Range, Wild-life, and Land-Use) 14 Administration and Personnel Management 15 Meteorology 1b Resource Survey, Mapping and Economics 17 Socio-economical Aspects and Laud-Use Planning - Integration 18 Elementary Statistics IY Land-Use Patterns in the Sudan 20 Integrated Rural Development 21 Special English B/ THIRD YEAR (SPECIALIZED COURSE): I. Forestry: 1. Silviculture II 2. Forest Management 3. Forest Utilization 4. Forest Mensuration II. Range and Pasture: 1. Range management 2. Pastures and Forage Crops 3. Quantative Ecology 4. Range Improvement 5. Plant-Animal Relationship 6. Animal Nutrition -64- Annex II Appendix 5 Page 2 III. Game and Wild-Life: 1. Natural Iistory of Vertibrates 2. Wild-life Management 3. Wild-life in the Sudan Ecosystem 4. National Parks IV. Soil Conservation - Land-Use and Water Programinig: 1. Photo-interpretation for Natural Resources Survey II 2. Soil and Water Conservation II 3. Project Management - 4. Water Programming and Follow-up of Effects of Water Provision -65- Annex III Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Forestry Extension Service 1. The essential needs of resource renewal and the satisfaction of both urban and rural demand for wood products, and in particular wood energy, cannot, in the context of the imminent supply crisis, be met through the efforts of the Central and Regional forest services alone. 2. The rapid depletion of the resource through overcutting, conversion to a rapidly expanding agricultural sector overgrazing and wastage of potentially harvestable wood, jeopardizes the future wood satisfaction of a fast expanding population. Studies by the national Energy Authority suggest that by the year 2,000 and at current rates of consumption, 77% of all tree cover in the northern regions (Northern, Central, Estern Khartoum, Kordofan and Darfur) will have been destroyed. In the Khartoum, Central and Eastern aggregation, all tree cover could be lost by 1987. By comparison, Kordofan and Darfur, with a larger resource base may lose 18% of its forest biomass. The southern regions with their greater resource base will not be critically affected, but even so certain areas particularly, round townships will approach a critical supply demand balance. 3. Energy considerations are not the only factors. Environmental effects resulting from forest cover removal leading to soil degradation and erosion, reduced agricultural crop yields, loss of tree fodder crops and homestead and livestock protection are of the greatest concern in the climatic conditions of northern Sudan. 4. The strategy to be adopted must be two fold: (i) The conservation of energy and the management of the existing and expanded resource. (ii) The involvement of the whole population in the re-establishment of forests, woodlots, shelterbelts, homestead planting etc. This will involve a massive change in emphasis from traditional forestry to social forestry. In order to accomplish this, a vigorous and extensive Forestry Extensive Program is immediately raquired. Previous extension efforts by the national Forests Departmert were on ad hoc basis, limited in scope and largely publicity oriented. 5. The project 'Fuelwood Development for Energy in the Sudan,' operational in the White Nile, Blue Nile and Kassala Provinces, with activities to follow later in Kordofan and Darfur, in addressing this strategy in four development programs. -66- Annex III Page 2 (i) The establishment of 4,300 ha of irrigated plantations and pilot plantations (including rainfed), to provide in the short term energy supply, shelter to crops and employment opportunities. (ii) Management of selected areas of remaining natural forewt for the sustained production of fuelwood and other forest products, with local involvement in both forest and range management aspects. Initially, 50,400 ha in Kassala Province will be brought under management plans, with extension to Blue Nile province at a later stage. (iii) Conservation of the resource through improved charcoal manufacturing techniques and more efficient utilization in the domestic household. (iv) Extension. This is particularly directed towards the second part of the strategy (para 4 (ii)). A core component being established within the Central Forests Administration (CFA) will train extension specialists for field posting and provide supporting services to Regional Forest Departments who will have the responsibility for program implementation. The extension programme for the years 1984 to 1986 is given in Appendix 1. 6. The objectives of the Forestry Extension Service will be: i) To create an awareness in the entire population of the role of forests and tree plantings in the satisfaction of daily requirements for forest products and in environmental protection. (ii) To develop an appreciation of the forests and natural resources of the nation and the inculcation of the proper attitudes and interest in acquiring appropriate knowledge and skills to manage, develop and protect these resources. 7. These objectives and the means to be adopted for their achievement are given in Appendix II. The latter are summarized below. (i) Educational and training programs for staff and field workers at Central and Regional levels and of other concerned bodies eg. other ministries, NGO's and donors. (ii) Dissemination of forestry and land use knowledge to the general public and target audiences. (iii) Community involvement in forest nursery establishment and forestry programs, domestic fuel conservation and other social forestry activities. (iv) School programs in forestry, environment and conservation education. -67- Annex III Page 3 tv) Publicity programs at national and regional levels. (vi) Use of mass media (radio, T.V. and the press). (vii) Support to other activities and donor aided projects in forestry and natural resources. (viii) Continuing education and development of staff. (ix) Establishment of field demonstration and trial plots. (x) Assistance in curriculum development at University and technical level forestry institutions, and coordination with forestry research institutions. (xi) Monitoring, evaluation and reporting program accomplishments. 8. The implementation of this program calls for two institutional organizations; a core component located at the CFA, Khartoum, and a field extension unit in each Region. Core Component, Forestry Extension Service 9. As part of the CFA, the Forestry Extension Service might be headed by a Deputy Director General with a Director in control of Subject Matter Specialists and an Assistant Director in charge of support units. These responsibilities and staff grades finalized after discussion with CFA. In addi-ion, there would be liaision officers with each of the four technical sections of the CFA who would work in close cooperation with the Subject Matter Specialists. 10. The essential activities of the core component will be: (i) Extension training for trainers, i.e. those who will return to a region to continue the training activity. (ii) Cooperation with ministries, private sector and donors in educational and staff training programs. (iii) Publicity to and inculcation of awareness in the general public through the mass media. (iv) Cooperation with the Ministry of Education in extension subject matter for introduction into schools in the general edunation sector. (v) Cooperation with forestry education institutions in curriculum development and teachirg extension techniques. (vi) Cooperation with forestry research institutions for the dissemination of research results. (vii) Monitoring and evaluation of programs. -68- Annex III Page 4 The preparation of audio visual extension aids will be an essential component of all the above activities. 11. The core component will not be directly involved at the field implementation level. This will be the direct responsibility of the Regional Forestry Departments through their own staff and existing extension services staff eg. agricultural extension staff, mechanized farming extension service, Gezira Board extension service etc. The core component will be guided in its activities, policy and coordination by a Program Advisory Committee. Regional Extension Service 12. At regional level, an extension service unit will be established which will include a Forestry Extension Training Center. Staff manning at this level will be from extension staff trained at the core component. 13. The establishment of nurseries, demonstration plots, canal plantings, etc., at Regional and District level will be the responsibility of the Regional Forestry Departments, as well as school planting and extension programs in cooperation with the Ministry of Education. The regional training center will be responsible for training all levels of Departmental staff and of other extension services down to and including overseers. These activities are given in more detailed form in Table 1. 14. The current projecr calls for 30 extension officers, at the professional level, as administration, subject matter specialists and Regional Forestry Extension Officers. It also calls for an extension Forest Ranger at each Circle Headquarters. Thus in the Eastern and Central Regions, there would be required approximately two professional officers and 18 technical officers. 15. The Regions most at risk are in the north of the country where wood resources are low, populations are high and the consequent land pressure for agricultural development is also high. A priority listing for extension activities is given in Table 1. Whilst Eastern, Central and Khartoum Regions (and later part of Kordofan) are receiving attention under the present project, the remaining regions must be brought into the nationwide extension actively within the next ten years. This applies even to the relatively wood rich south; indeed in some specific areas, e.g., Juba, refugee camps. Wau, where a shortage of fuelwood and poles exists or forest destruction is increasing rapidly under population resettlement, extension assistance is already required. Timing of introduction of extension activities to the regions would be as follows: -69- . Table 1 u urnm wczn n Tarpt bit C __d Iscemia lalvata Stat.? no" Perae s0rw_c. Dof. _ 1 (C.P.A) bee IbAir. Cos_ labUcity _ _ e .bie. NLSINtey of leel. P ty. svret. Edecatlos. ~~~~ceaservscium, aiiniatias Forestwy U"ver.Ltf.a Cerriaslm 3.w.l.pst. Idweatlem TaclmicuL d e IWI~bde:. X|ztre<@|@m. sc_[ Forestry ftasrcb Ferncry. Dlam&taL GE barnUt. Xi.ltlesa. fsr,oaat a" U"re. aU Foresty s.d bnastem s Tralag. iblmter. tatase- Staff. S.tlem. Evaluate Ferwn £ccomPlahmnta. ~ gesa OREL. -lfccf *d iUnceaU.al mad Trainin 111 *Prgromm (Exteion rbIkers. Srdg Cstar). r*eulealtara St ad Advice _d Training. Cmel axtealon FAAld PlLdlp. Sghelterbslte, service. workers. aet. lgrlaaltural Scehma. MnIscry ad Schfle. Foremtry (Social orertry Uscntloe. Macantlas Progromma). la4d UM taf MAd adee s and asmlttesa. bp.rtuentu ad Field omurc. Moker . 1OcsL Mbdia. Coarsl Fublielty an Awarenesm. PablIe. UimtrctA/ Nnlirry af Sebholi. SiTc Flaslag - Iducatiou. Sbade/Sliter/Alty. Thu. Council. k~~~~~~~~Dmontration Forgatry Foremt Cerd Seeding Froductls Cinte.ae). Dsparcast. PubUe. 5anarisr. Local Urbiai Advio as Vaodlot Aatbofatte. FowatloS. /.aaeitULemnt te.. Township lam. Vl *Foreret Ceara Advice a and Teimical 2;its Irt_-t. Plbile. *AiatCSe In2 IArsaY tvDm School.. Operatle, VIIeg Aaulty Forectry -latlun. School Coemcuee). Piatiagp. Fusivood Lots. .luterheltu. Smosntratleo Plt, Fruit Trees. Plaating. etc. abLite Individuaal Advice sad Taehaicll (Fart)r. *Aailtaac as: Foder Tr PImtl.g. bahlterbmitu. odlots LUvetock *helter. agrotore.try. PbUlc idividual 1MIbtead Platings (_omattc). Firewood, PoleA. rtlt ate., _Amaty Plamtnge. Sbelter. Shadt etc.; Fritavd Conservatios, Iqroved Stowe. Ne: 1/ Activity coe_ at all lwels. TAhU 2 - talLTV LISTING OSI UlUta Il LTIVITIU PogIalase Is 1O} .1U OF EISTINTED IhhITU (1143) GaOIUI IIBUlS OF UiStiIC?/ UUlM ILUAL SSATIUWA NU4ADIC MIlUIIIIS KuMuu or OOU IUtIIO HUMCIPALItWMt CO(CILS IMlUMOLDS IUIULAtIOl L 0U UIAOLD 10e1.TIUN I0DUSIMOlOS IPIAIOIF . . FIDURINTaMIATi 11Y I. heln £3 '102.359 428.6 UO,110 1,010.7 96,062 SSa.i 9 ,00 w 24 2. CASfral 20 135,226 825.1 414,443 2,43.2 45,032 244.2 24 m1, 562 11 1. havieqm * 211,573 1,343.7 54,424 37U.4 22,Cao lad 3 554 all 24 4. IVArdetea 12 S5,5Y 3148. 344,274 1,923.7 105,703 leiA 17 5ss l£a 24 . S. Dunfug 6 55,556 314.2 413,662 2,1.1103 9,9s 4*9.7 8 749 113 19 A. Northern 10 34,64 220.3 141,621 502.4 ,O01) 20.3 14 74S 241 43 1. ra Acl d 7 "/a I N/A 1111.9 1 2,003.4 - - 14) I. 4uaot aN/ 114.5 N/A 1,222.0 - - 0) 9. Upper mile 10 N/A 52.5 114 1,547.1 - - "/1) TOTAL sa 598,086 4,153.S 1,723,214 14,219.1 211,1 3 2,1I.9 IS 1,560 3,453 244 -71- Annex III Page Phase Region or Area Timing 1 Eastern 1985 onwards Central 1985 onwards Khartoum 1985 onwards El Obeid (Kordofan) 1986 onwards Nyala (Darfur) 1986 onwards Juba (Equatoria) 1987 onwards Wau (Bahr el Ghazal) 1987 onwards 2 Kordofan ) Darfur ) 1988 onwards Northern ) 3 Equatoria ) Bahr El Ghazal ) 1989 onwards Upper Nile ) 16. The crucial factor in implementing this timetable will be the adequate and timely provision of trained staff. Assuming a regional staff establishment of: One Regional Forestry Extension Officer (RFEO) (Professional); Two Assistant RFEO (Professionsals); One Educational and Training Officer (Extension Training Center) (Professional); One Assistant Educational and Training Officer (Technical); and Three Extension Rangers (Technical); and at DistricL level, one Extension Ranger (Technical) The program as set out above and including the CFA H.Q. "core team' would require the recruitment; over the period 1984 to full service establishment in (say) 1990, of 53 Professional Officers (degree level) and 164 Technical Officers (Diploma level). The recruitment, by years is given in Table 3. Table 3: Recruitment of Extension Staff by Years 1984-1989/80 Level Y e a r s Total l 1985 1986 I 1987 I 1988 I 1989 I I IProfessional 161 11i 81 121 6 I 53 ITechnical 47 35 33 371 12 j 164 I (Ratio Professional to Technical 1:3) -72- Annex III Page 8 17. Extension activities at the district level would be carried out in close cooperation with the District (municipal or town) Social Forestry Committee. Thus direct public involvement in social forestry management will begin at that level and will continue downwards through Village Forestry committees to the individual. At these levels, extension advice will be channeled through the existing and, where necessary, rehabilitated extension services. 18. While the Forest Department will establish nurseries at regional and district levels and provide advice and asistance (see Table 1), it is at the village community level that the major thrust in homestead, agro-forestry and shelterbelt plantings will occur. While the Forestry Department will give advice and assistant, the schemes which must be initiated and drawn up by Village Forestry Committees must be perceived by the local populace, both farmer and domestic sectors, to be local activities, using local inputs of materials and labor, under local direction and management. In this way only can success be spread by example through communities. In the early stages, nurseries may be established at village level by the Forestry Department but must be handed into the Village Forestry Committees' responsibility as soon as trained local nurserymen are available. Village nurseries should have an initial capacity of 3,000-5,000 seedlings. Furthermore, the questions of species selection for product use, e.g., firewood, poles, fruits, etc., charges for planting stock ex-nursery, (free, subsidized, nominal, economic cost) and individual participation in village schemes must be resolved at the village level. 19. In the field of fuelvood and in particular charcoal conservation, female forestry graduates and diplomates will be specially advantageous. This topic must be particularly addressed in all training courses. Staffing 20. Possible staff development in the extension service is given in Tables 4 and 5. While suggested dates for inception of staffing are given in Table 1, completion of, for example, a region's staffing down to, and including district level, would obviously not be possible in one year. Indeed the time scale over which any one region would complete its manning schedule, would be in accordance with the local conditions, perceived need for staffing levels and trained staff availability. Costs 21. Tables 6 and 7 give indicative cost inputs for some major requirements, notably staff salaries, buildings, vehicles, equipment, nurseries, fellowships and study tours. Recommendations 22. It is recommended tnat substantial assistance be given in the establishment of a nationwide forestry extension service working in the closest cooperation and coordination with other land use disciplines and Table 4 Sudan Forestry Forestry Extension Services: Staff RequirementE post year I year I yVear 2 year 2 year ' y.!It I yiper 4 #/ear 4 yvar fi yeir 5 Praf Tech Pruf tuci Fr rt l to Ih t Wti lech Prf Tech Hoadqiuar i er% Deputit y Utrut.e l nr lieti-al I DirPetor I Assl sl ait Dl r ruc. trw Suhsilt t1 Malter SpJeciaists fi 4 Afsset. Subuc; ti.tiitr Specialists 10 4 4 IdcaLAtirotl Ir, rrIr'lij OffiCq 1t 2 Radii, IV,e V Pruurii Offi:er I Mtsitiw anq ndN Evalsiat ian I I lUidid vi -nat ta l t I Pubih cit y antiS I i itrary I trJ:iibits arid DOspglAys I Oupi| i C t I aJn Rr an*ti In.jS I PIueten.r Atlit I I MobilIa (itiu.a 2 2 2 2 Paegstin.1 Reqiosial Few estry Ki:temitin Officer tIFtO) 3 3 3 Asut . hlkil 4 - ' EdiLAtilim n mid TIr aiiinig 3 3 '3 3 Ertenstore R.angur 9 2 9 7 La IhLtrICt F:Altisivoi RalIqat b t 15 25 1t rcital Prufpas%inial 14 47 tl MI tl S 12 SJ 4 12 ntlt .11 IfLluiI A :Ial s str 07S1~~~~~~~~~~ii 'a[ -74- Ann III - ~~~~~~PagelO0 Table 5 Sudan foresty Forestry Extension Service Professional and Technical Staff post Prof end Prof end Tech end Tech end year 3 year 6 year 3 year 6 Headquarters Deputy Director General 1 1 Director- 1 1 Assistant Director 1 1 Subject Matter Specialists 11 11 Education Training Officer 1. 1 2 - 2 Radio, TV, Press Officer 1 1 1 1. Monitoring and Evaluation 1 1 1 1 Asst. Subject Mattrr Specialists 22 22 Audio visual Unit 1t.- 1 Publicity and Library 1 1 Exhibits and Displays 1 1 Duplication/Printing 1 1 Photography 1 1 Mobilb Cinema 6 9 Regional Regional Forestry Extension Officer (RFEU) 6 9 Asst. RFEO 6 18 Education and Training 6 9 Asst. Education & Training 6 9 Extension Rangers 20 27 Dustrict Extension Rangers 52 se Total 35 53 115 t64 -75- Annex III Page 11 target groups. Essential aid will be needed to meet the requirements of capital expenditure on buildings, vehicles, nurseries and equipment. To enhance the skills broaden the knowledge of the extension an annual program of fellowships and of study tours is essential. Funds for technical assistance in subject matters which, after further appraisal, will be deemed to be of value to the service are included. -76- Annex III Page 12 Table 6: Salaries - Staff Extension Service Per Annum Per Annum Post in Year 3 in Year 6 Professional Headquarters DDG 5,800 5,940 Director 5,160 5,260 Assistant Director 4,690 4,780 Subject Matter Specialists (SMS) Education and Training Radio, TV and Press Monitoring and Evaluation Officers 29,400 32,970 Total HQ 45,050 48,950 Regions Headquarters Regional Forestry Extension Officers (RFEOs) Assistant RFEOs Education and Training Officer 34,740 69,480 Total Regional 34,740 69,480 Total Professional 79,790 118,430 Technical Headquarters Education and Training Radio, TV and Press Monitoring and Evaluation Officers Assistant SMS& and Other Subject Units 75,600 91,080 Regional Headquarters Assistant Education and Training Officers Extension Rangers 54,600 82,230 District Headquarters Extension Rangers 109,200 198,060 Total Technical 239,400 371,370 -77- Annex III Page 13 Mhble 7: Capital Cbsts Item Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 YeAr 4 Year 5 ttes Office and Store Regloal HQ at IS 100,000 300,000 300,000 300,000 each Tainirig &nters At Pe aIlHQ at IS 450,00 450,000 450,000 150,000 each Total 750,000 750,000 750,000 Professional 240,000 165,000 120,000 180,000 90,000 at $15,000 each Technical Staff 470,000 350,000 330,000 370,000 120,000 at $15,000 each Total 710,000 515,000 450,000 550,000 210,000 Vehicles 160,000 110,000 80,000 120,000 60,00G HQ 370,000 280,000 230,000 1 per District EQ 60,000 60,000 60,000 1 per Fbgional HQ all at $10,000 each Total 590,000 450,000 370,000 120,000 60,000 MDbile Cinenms - 32,000 32,000 32,000 16,000 at $16,000 each fg. Nurseries 7,500 7,500 7,500 at IS 2,500 each District Nbrseries 42,500 50,000 37,500 62,500 27,500 at IS 2,500 each Total 50,000 50,000 45,000 70,000 27,000 Gerb Eqtipment 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 at $25,000 HQ 90,000 90,000 90,000 90,000 90,O0O at $10,000 per Pegim 115,000 115,000 115,000 115,000 115,000 Fellc"Ubipe 2 2 2 2 2 Graduate Febl112tips Study Iburs 10 20 20 20 10 Mn Months ?fRrPllsce]Jw 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 Twlmical Asistance 12 12 12 12 12 Mm Mouths _ 78- Annex III Appendl 1 Page I SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Forestry Extension Program (1984/85-1985/86) 1/ Khartoum 1. Support to CFA in strengthening information and extension capabliltles. 2. Conduct LAucation and tralinng courses at the Universlty and forest technican school ln extension methods. 3. Conduct education and training courses ln extension methods for technical and vocatlonal staff of both CPA and Reglonal Forest Departments. 4. Organize exhibitlons, demonstratlon, etc. (.e.g, Arbor Day, World Food Day). Central Reglon Support to Regional Forest Department in: Gezira 1. Tree plantlig programes, concentrated in areas of the irrigated plantatlons program. 2.. Arbor Day, etc. 3. Introductlon of lmproved cooking stoves. Blue Nile Support to Reglonal Forest Department ln: 1. Village forest extension schemes 2. Promotlon of forestry in agrlculture Support to Forests Administtatlons 3. Charcoal productlon training courses 4. Publlclty and educatlon/training ln multi-purpose land-use and development. White Nile Support to Reglonal Forest Department ln village forest extension schemes. Eastern Region Support to Regional Forest Department in: Kassala 1. Village forest extenslon scheme 2. Promotlon of forestry ln agriculture 3. Introduction of lmproved cooking stoves 4. Urban tree plantlng campaign Support to CFA ln: (i) Publlcity and training ln comblnation of grazlng and forest management and in the involvement of local people ln forestry management. (ii) Support and lialson with refugee agencies (UNDER CARE, etc.). 1/ Dr. R. T. Harks, Forestry Extenslon Officer, Project GCP/SUD/033/HET, 1984. -79- SUDAN Annex III Appendix II FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Page 1 FORESTRY EXTENSION SERVICE Objectives and their Means of Achievements The Objectives of the Forestry Extension Service 1. To create an awareness within the people of Sudan of the benefits of forests and trees both in providing essential products for their daily needs and in protecting their environment. These products may include fuelwood, building poles, fruit, food and fodder etc. The environmental benefits include protection of the soil, crops and water supplies, shade for man and his livestock, control and prevention of desertification. 2. To develop an appreciation of the forest and natural resources of Sudan and the proper attitudes and interest to obtain knowledge and skills to manage, develop and protect on a day to day basis these life sustaining resources. The means of Achieving the Objectives 3. Educational and training programs for the staff and field workers at the Central and Regional levels in the updating of basic knowledge and techniques in conducting a forestry program to obtain optimum results and program accomplishments. Involvement of staff and field personnel of other Ministries, private sector and other donors in the Education/Training Programs. 4. Disseminate the needed forestry and land use knowledge to the general public, and/or target audiences, so that they may be able to make decisions which will protect and enhance the environment. 5. Outreach programs with the village and communities to establish forest nurseries and other forestry programs, such as social forestry, with households and women on improved cooking stoves to conserve fuelwood and to reduce the cost of domestic energy. 6. School prograuis in forestry, environment and conservation education accomplished through the Ministry of Education and teacher workshops utilizing films, film strips, slide series, posters and teaching aids appropriate to Sudan. 7. Publicity programs at the national and regional level to inform people of the benefits of trees and forests etc., tree planting days, World Food Day and mobile cinema shows. 8. Mass media utilizing radio, TV and the press on a regular basis to keep forestry in front of the viewers and readers at all times and to bring about the awareness factor in the minds of the people. -80- Annex III Appendix 11 Page 2 9. Support other activities and donor projets in forestry and natural resources which interface with the role and functions of CFA and the Regions. 10. Continuing educaiton and staff development through the coordination and planning of fellowships, study tours, seminars, workshops and self learning programs to keep abreast of the latest technology in forestry, naturl resources and land use, laws and public policy. 11. Establishment of field demonstrations and trial plots to demonstrate the application of appropriate technology in solving the problems of desertification and application of forestry practices and research. 12. Assistance in curriculum development with higher education, especially with the University of Khartoum and Juba University, to incorporate forestry extension methodologies and techniques into the program for the B.Sc. program in forestry. Work with the Ranger Schools in the development of courses in forestry extension. Coordinate the dissemination of forestry and related research results from Soba and Wad Medari to the various users throughout the Sudan. 13. Monitor, evaluate and report program accomplishments to measure effectiveness of the various techniques and methods of conducting a Forestry Extension Service program in Sudan. Apply needed adjustments to the ongoing program for maximum effectiveness. -81- Annex IV Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Shelterbelts: Potential Benefits, Constraints and Design Approaches for Sudan I. Introduction 1. Shelterbelts, often called windbreaks when they comprise only 1-3 rows of trees, are planted primarily as barriers and reduce wind velocity. This in turn reduces wind erosion and physical damage to plants, evaporation and transpiration, temperature and radiation, increases atmospheric humidity and improves soil conditions. The overall effects include improved environments for man and animals as well as increased crop yields. In addition, shelterbelts provide a wide range of tree products. 2. Shelterbelts have been planted on a small scale in several parts of the Sudan. Some quantification of their influences has been done although little has so far been published. Sudanese foresters, notably Bayoumi and Saleem, have reviewed the literature on shelterbelt influences and design and related it to conditions in Sudan. They have emphasized the benefits in terms of amelioration of the environment, savings of irrigation water and enhanced crop production that would result from more widespread local use of shelterbelts. Strong opinions, which are not always well founded, are frequently expressed concerning a number of drawbacks attribut .le to shelterbelts. 3. This review summarizes the conclusions of the more pertinent literature on shelterbelts in relation to conditions in Sudan. To sharpen the focus it begins with a short summary of relevant environmental and resource development features. This is followed by a summary of shelterbelt influences on the field environment, agricultural crop and other production; the constraints inherent in shelterbelt network development; design and management, and important research needs. Relevant Environmental and Resource Development Features in Sudan 4. Some two-thirds of Sudan, i.e., most of the area north of 10°N, usually referred to as Northern Sudan, has a mean annual rainfall less than 80C mm. Of that zone, the northern third enjoys less than 75 mm and, except for a narrow strip along the Nile, is classified as desert. Of the remainder, the northern half, with less than 300 mm, is semi-desert and the southern portion woodland savannah. Southern Sudan with rainfall in excess of 800 mm, is referred to as the high rainfafl savannah zone. 5. Throughout the country rainfall is seasonal, the seasons being determined by the passage of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ). There is a single short wet season in the northern, desert region, merging into a bimodal annual rainfall pattern over the remainder, with the main rainy season spanning some 3-5 months from May to October. The position of the ITCZ varies from year to year so that prediction of the annual cycle is -82- Annex IV Page 2 difficult. In general, rainfall increases and temperatures decrease with altitude so that, except near the coast, aridity tends to be associated with lowlands. With regard to precipitation, the climate of the drier portion, with mean annual rainfall below about 800 mm, has been described as a variable rather than a constant. Periods of drought of varying length are an inherent feature. They occur at intervals of 20-40 years. Fluctuations are abrupt and often extreme, particularly in the lower rainfall areas. 6. Mean annual wind speeds are 13-16 k.p.h. north of 14°N, 10-13 k.p.h. from 90-140N and 6 k.p.h. south of 9°N. The prevailing winds from November to April are northerly. In the central parts of the country they blow about 90% of the time, averaging about 13 k.p.h. at 12 m, with gusts up to 40 k.p.h. 1.5 m above the ground. From June to September equally consistent southerly to southwesterly winds blow about 85% of the time at an average of some 16 k.p.h. at 12 m, with gusts up to 60 k.p.h. During both seasons morning winds are the strongest. May is also a windy month, wind direction being variable. This is the month during which dust storms -- the "haboob" -- reach a peak. Dust storms are particularly common in the north. October is a relatively calm month although gusts can reach 50 k.p.h. 7. Except in areas of high elevation, temperatures are high to very high, as are evapo-transpiration rates and moisture deficits. 8. The rigorous climate as -jell as frequent occurrences of blown dust and sand, have important physical and physiological effects on plants and plant growth. They also affect the well-being of man and animals. Drought periods in particular have catastrophic effects on agriculture, livestock and the vegetation in general. 9. The effects described are exacerbated by recent trends towards the cultivation of extensive open fields, monocropping, the intensive use of the savannah vegetation for grazing and browse by excessive livestock number and high rates of harvesting of wood to meet the demands for fuelwood and charcoal of a burgeoning population. The results of all these interacting factors during the carrent period of prolonged drought are all too evident. In the extensive areas affected they include lowered productivity and production, increased soil erosion (i.e., wind erosion), reduced groundwater recharge, disruption of soil ecology and nutrient cycling. Shelterbelt Influences 10. Reduction of Wind Velocity. Particularly when humidity is low, wind adversely affects crops by placing them under high transpiration stress. It causes mechanical damage through sand blasting, blowing out of newly seedea or germinating grain, lodging of crops, rubbing and degrading of fruit. On windy days bees and other pollinating insects do not work actively. These effects have been noted in Sudan, e.g. along the Nile north of Khartoum where farmers do not grow bananas, vegetables or vines in unprotected areas and where lodging of wheat during the milk stage commonly occurs. -83- Annex IV Page 3 11. Research reported from many parts of the world, e.g. the Great Plains areas in the USA and Canada and the Majjia Valley in Niger, indicates the important extent to which shelterbelts reduce wind velocities. A fairly consistent pattern emerges, depending on the width, height and permeability of the belts, their orientation and spacing. To leeward of a barrier the reduction is 502 or more to a distance of 5-10 times their height(H) and 20X or more to a distance of 12-20H. The reduction is 5-10X greater 1 m above the ground than it is at 2.5 m. High velocities can occur near the ground just to leeward of windbreaks due to jetting of wind through them if their density near the ground is low. There is a reduction over distances of 1-5H to windward of 102 or more resulting from upward deflection of air currents as they pass over the barrier. In this way dense windbreaks may reduce wind velocity by as much as 75% within 3H to windward. Reductions of similar magnitude to those mentioned above can occur behind windbreaks as narrow as 1-3 rows when densely foliaged species are used. They can be more effective than wide belts in the width of the zone affected to leeward. Widespread reductions of 30Z have been reported behind narrow belts in the desert areas of Sudan. The original wind speed is not resumed if a series of parallel shelterbelts is established across the wind direction at intervals of 20-30H. Control of Wind Erosion 12. Shelterbelts provide protection by reducing wind velocities to speeds at which sand or other soil particles can no longer be transported and are therefore dropped. Work in Russia and the USA has indicated that sandy soils move readily when wind speed 15 cm above the ground surface exceeds about 17 k.p.h., equivalent to 22 k.p.h. at 1-5 m. Soils with more than 802 fine sand (e.g. those in the dry north and parts of the west of Sudan) are highly erodable by wind . A relatively high soil organic matter content, as in parts of the North American Great Plains area, accentuates susceptibility to wind erosion. 13. Some notable instances of the use of shelterbelts to control wind erosion are recorded in the literature, e.g. that of controlling the dust bowl conditions that developed in the Great Plains of the USA in the 1930's. In Niger work reported by Boguetteau-Verlinden it was found that within the area protected by a seris of 2-row shelterbelts of Azadirachta indica, wild velocities did not reach the point where they could cause soil erosion. Similar control has been achieved in many instances in the Sudan. Examples are the use of Eucalyptus belts to reduce the filling of irrigation canals by windblown sand at Abdul Majid in the Gezira area; the reduction of canal siltation and the consequent reduction in frequency and cost of dredging at El Zeidab in the northern Region; reduction or prevention of the movement of sand to cover agricultural land in light sandy soil areas in the same region where dunes have been disturbed by human activity mnd the depasturing of stock; the well-documented case of the very effective Tahamid shelterbelt planted in the 1950's to protect Wad Medani and its environs from blowing sand. There is a proposal, supported by Finn Aid, to establish shelterbelts to protect vulnerable sectors of the road and rail links between Khartoum and Kassala from inundation by wind and reduction of visibility due to blowing dust. Instances are also fairly common of the prevention by shelterbelts, and other types of barriers, of the inundation of buildings by blown sand. -84- Annex IV Page4 Reduction of Evaporation 14. Reduction of wind velocity leads to reduced evaporation, particularly from open water surfaces but also from soil surfaces, and particularly during seasons where temperatures are high. Appreciable reductions have been reported from controlled experiments involving the use of evaporimeters in the USA, Russia and Canada. These were of the order of 31-35% (higher in Russian experiments) at 3-5H to leeward, declining through 26% at lOH, 8% at 20H tp 6% at 25H, corresponding with the pattern of wind velocity reductions. To windward the evaporation reduction was 20X at 1H, 7% at 5H and 0% at 10O. Work by scientists at Gezira indicated that for wind velocity reductions of 50%, 40% and 20% mean annual evaporation reductions were 22%, 18% and 9% respectively. Reduction in evaporation is higher with increasing dryness of the winds. 15. Evaporation from the soil is much less than that from open water surfaces and the reduction due to shelterbelt effects is correspondingly lower. In the Great Plains area of the USA it was 2-2.5% less at 2H on land protected by shelterbelts than in unprotected land. On the warm, sunny side of a barrier it was actually higher by 3-5% than in unprotected areas due to midday temperature build-up in the former area. 16. Shelterbelts have been reported to reduce water loss from sprinkler Irrigation systems. 17. Using calculations based on the Penman formula, reasonable assumptions concerning shelterbelt layouts and management, an assumed mean annual reduction of 20% in wind velocity and crop factors based on the work of crop scientists at Gezira, Bayoumi estimated that the shelterbelt network be advocated in 1976 and 1977 for the Gezira Irrigation Scheme area, entailing 8,000 km of 3-row belts comprising two rows of E. microtheca and one of the bamboo Oxytenanthera abyssinica, in a strip 9m wide between two Im water channels and accounting for 8,400 ha or 1.5% of the scheme area, would result in the saving, by reduced evaporation, of some 380 million m3 of water, sufficient for the irrigation of the shelterbelts themselves and an additional area of 33,600 ha of cotton. Humidity 18. Research in Canada and the USA has indicated that increases in relative humidity due to shelterbelt influences are modest and local, of the order of 2-4%. This would have some positive effect by reducing plant moisture stress, particularly if it occurred during dry periods. Instances of very high humidities induced by shelterbelts having a depressive effect on plant growth have been reported. This effect is usually linked with lack of sunshine, low temperatures and poor aeration of the site, a combination that is unlikely to occur in Sudan. Effect on Temperature 19. The effect of shelterbelts on daytime air temperatures can be sufficient to have an effect on plant growth. They are usually favorable but can be unfavorable depending on crop location, temperature regime, orientation of the belt in relation to the sun, and the height and density of the belt. In the Central Great Plains of the USA fluctuations in -85- Annex IV Page 5 temperature have been found to be up to 50 C greater near shelterbelts than in the open. Temperatures 30 C higher than those in the unsheltered areas have been found at 2H, and 20 C and 30 C lower at 6H and 12H. Midday heat increases tend to be lower near permeable shelterbelts than more dense ones. In the latter cases, where temperatures become higher, this can cause air stagnation. Higher than normal temperatures can also be induced to about 3H leeward. Heat build-up can occur on the sunny, windward side of some shelterbelts, resulting in growth reduction in some crops when normal temperatures are already high. It has been found at Gezira that irrigation tends to reduce these increased heat effects. Shading by the shelterbelt also tends to reduce temperature in the area affected. Radiation 20. Shelterbelts are reported to reduce radiant energy loss from their immediate vicinity, but the extent of this effect is small. Soil Moisture and Nutrient Effects 21. In the Niger shelterbelt study already mentioned, in which the species used was Azadirachta indica, soil moisture within the shelterbelt system was found to be higher than in the open during periods of moist weather. In dry periods when water supply was low, soil moisture within the windbreak system was lower than in the open, presumably due to uptake by plants, the growth and yields of which were higher than those in the unprotected ares. Soil moisture was reduced up to IH to leeward as a result of interception of rain by the barrier. 22. It was found in this study that water consumption by the windbreaks did not appear to influence soil moisture in the main rooting zone of the crop (i.e. at depths of 10-40 cm) and even at 80 cm the difference was very small.. The tree roots were found not to extend more than a few feet outside the area beneath the crown. However, in the Great Plains and many other ereas, shelterbelts tentd to deplete soil moisture to depths of up to 6-8 feet mnder the trees and crop growth is usually affected over a distance of up to 1-1.5H on either side of the belt. This sapping effect on adjacent crops (which is partly due also to shading and competition for nutrients) has been reported by workers in many countries, including those at Gezira in Sudan. As will be seen in the next section, the effect is usually offset by increased overall crop yields. However, it can readily be minimized, if it is excessive, by ploughing a deep furrow on each side of the shelterbelt to sever the tree roots, as is done, for example, in Sudan, Pakistan and the USA. 23. It is generally claimed (though data to support the contention have not been noted) that, through their leaf shed, shelterbelts assist in building up or replenishing soil organic matter and fauna in their vicinity. It is also claimed that they benefit the nutrient cycle through the action of their deep roots in bringing nutrients to the surface. Some shelterbelt species, e.g. Acacia species, and Leucaena leucocephala have a favorable influence as agencies for nitrogen fixation. -86- Annex IV Page 6 General Environmental Benefits 24. The value of shelterbelts is frequently extended by combining them with conservation works such as contour terraces and ditches, which their roots and physical protection tend to reinforce and the effects of which are enhanced. In these ways shelterbelts contribute to the reduction of run-off, the capture and percolation of rainfall, the replenishment of underground moisture and the enhancement of streamflow. Thus they can play an important role in catchment protection. 25. The wind regulation, shading and mulching effects of shelterbelts ameliorate microclimate to the general benefit of animals and humans as well as crops. Effects of Shelterbelts on Crop Yields 26. There is a large amount of published data on the effects of shelterbelts on crop yields. It relates to wide ranges of environmental conditions, crop and management systems as well as assessment procedures. Information of this kind for arid and semiarid areas in the tropics is somewhat limited. Crop yield increase data that appear to be pertinent to irrigated and rainfed conditions in the Sudan are summarized in Table 1. 27. It should be noted that few instances of negative overall crop yield effects are recorded in the literature. All quantified instances of this nature relate to the immediate vicinity of the shelterbelt; in all cases noticed, such declines are compensated by increases further away from the belt so that the overall effect is favorable. Nevertheless, it is clear that under certain specific and somewhat special conditions, shelterbelts can sometimes depress yields. This can happen in wet years, albeit usually in moister climates than that of the northern two-thirds of Sudan. It has also been reported that in hot, humid areas or periods, stagnant conditions characterized by excessively high temperatures can be induced by dense shelterbelts and these can depress yields from annual crops or orchards. 28. The data in Table I relate to the total crop lands concerned; including the land occupied by the shelterbelts. Any values in terms of timber or other physical yields from the belts are therefore additional to increased yields of the crop protected. -87- Annex IV Page 7 Table 1: Reported Percent Net Increases in Crop Yields Attributable to Shelterbelta Z Increase in Crop Location Crop Yield Remarks Maize Romania 165 3015 v 1139 kg/ha Egypt 13 Nile maize 17-74 Summer maize Rice China -51 iH 3 1H 33 3H 49 6H 33 9H 28 12H 8 15H- i.e. an overall increase of 25Z up to 18W and none beyond 18H. China 30 Increased from 1500 to 1950 kg/ha. Egypt 10 Cotton USSR 10-20 Egypt 35 USA (lint) 46 2H 46 3H 30 5H 24 10 13 15H 23 Overall (seed) 55 2H 41 5R 21 10H 10 15H 27 Overall Wheat USSR 17-25 More in dry years Egypt 38 Turkey 25 Romania 20-50 Hay USSR 10-20 Good rainfall years 40-100 Dry years Cereals US Great Plains 5 High yielding land 18 Low yielding land Potatoes USSR 71 Melons, vegetables USSR 50-70 Millet Niger 23 -88- Annex IV Page 8 29. In cases where comparisons were presumably feasible, observers reported that in absolute terms yield increases tended to be higher on more productive land than less productive. 30. A general comparison of crops in the presence or absence of 2-row Azadirachta indica shelterbelts in Northern Nigeria indicated that in drought years, on unprotected fields, serious initial crop failure occurred, necessitating repeated sowings and resulting in poor yields. By contrast, inprotected area yields were normal after a single sowing. Recorded Russian experience with cotton is that, in protected areas, germination takes place earlier and is more even, height is 10-15Z greater and yields 10-30% higher than in unprotected areas. Under semi-arid conditions in Rajasthan, primitive screens known as matts" have been reported to give 20-43% increases in crop yields. Data have been collected on the effects of shelterbelts on irrigated wheat, sorghum and Fiba bean crops at the Aliab agricultural scheme in the Nile Province. Cursory inspection of the data indicates large gains. These data should be analysed and the results published. 31. It may be expected that several beneficial shelterbelt influences would tend to be maximized in many recently developed agro-forestry cropping systems, e.g. alley cropping, for the economics of which a computer simulation has recently been undertaken by Hockstra of USAID. This indicates very favorable applications in a semi-arid area in Kenya. 3']. Although the range of magnitudes of crop yield increases shown in Table 1 is wide, the overall conclusion given is that gains are usually appreciable. Apart from the limited documented local experience, several factors and features of Sudan, particularly the arid and semiarid zones, indicate that worthwhile gains would assuredly result from more general use of shelterbelts. The features include the rigorous climate, the freqency of drought years, the high winds, the fact that the greatest percentage increases tend to occur in dry years and on poor, lighter soils. Overall average crop yield increases from properly designed and managed shelterbelt networks can be expected to be not less than 15-20% and in many instances higher. 33. A recent FAO study showed that if the cost of land on which shelterbelts are grown is excluded, a 10X increase in crop yields results in positive financial returns on shelterb"lt investments. The returns from physical tree products would be additional. 34. There is a deart.h of economic studies of shelterbelt influences which are required as guides to planning of and investment in local shelterbelt development. These scudies could not be undertaken without -89- Annex IV Page 9 reliable hard data from well conceived and executed impact studies. Such data are also required for improvement of shelterbelt designs to suit local conditions and for the prediction of the extent of benefits. Tree Products and Other Benefits 35. The yields of fuelwood, poles, tree fodder, fencing materials, gums, pharmaceuticals and the like from shelterbelts would be additional to those of agricultural crops. Since a high proportion of shelterbelt trees are edge trees, growth rates would be high and yields therefore substantial, particularly in irrigated areas. Cash crops such as gum arabic from shelterbelts in rainfed areas would provide important extra sources of farm income. Ready markets are available for all these commodities. The areas under shelterbelts could and should be substantial in farming areas, e.g. the 8,400 ha postulated for the Gezira scheme by Bayoumi. Given reasonably good management, such areas, under irrigation, could be expected to yield utilizable biomass equivalent to about 10m3 per hectare per annum, i.e. 80,000-90,00om3 per annum in total. -Such production would be an important contribution to local and regional -ooiu supply. It is recorded that the extensive systems of shelterbelts along canals and roads in Egypt yield some 10 m.llion m3 of wood products per annum. 36. Shelterbelts provide or improve habitat for wild animals, bees and birds. The drawbacks of this are discussed in the next section. However, benefits also accrue from increased wildlife populatiins, e.g. if the animals or birds concerned are used as food and because of the part that birds and animals play in seed dispersal, particularly in rainfed range lands. Both groups include types that prey on insect pes 8 . 37. By moderating wind velocities anti providing physical barriers, shelterbelts reduce the intensity of firea and act as firebreaks. 38. It has been noted in the Great Plains area of the USA that by moderating wind velocities, shelterbelts reduce outcrossing in corn varieties, sometimes by 50X or more. Constraints 39. In Sudan, as elsewhere, shelterbelts are often condemned because they harbor birds, insects (including termites) and rodents that damage farm crops. However, counter arguments include assertions (supported by visible evidence) that all these organisms exist or visit treeless farming sites; that some of the birds are insect and rodent predators; seed-eating birds would and do rest elsewhere, even on sorghum plants themselves, in the abs:nce of trees on the farm, and that in any case they fly long distances in large numbers to feed on ripening crops. There are possibilities for reducing nesting .ites in shelterbelts through selection of species such as Eucalyptus in preference to favored nesting species such as the Acacia spp. Bombax malabaricum is an example of tree species that should not be grown in farming areas (in this instance cotton-growing areas) because they are alternate hosts to crop insect pests. Physical destruction of nests is sometimes feasible though of limited effectiveness, e.g. in dr,.Land farming areas. It is noteworthy that there has been little -90- Annex IV Page 10 or no attempt in Sudan to introduce grain crop cultivars bred to emphasize configurations or other features that frustrate or prevent birds from removing the grain from the ear of the crop plant. 40. Diseases caused by Fomes, Polysticus and other fungal species occur in shelterbelt trees (including Eucalyptus microthera). Since centers of infestion by these organisms could develop, the disease situation (like that of insect populations) should be monitored so that potential outbreaks can be dealt with at an early stage. 41. Agriculturists in irrigated schemes in Sudan oppose the development of shelterbelts -- at least those more than 1-2 m tall -- because they interfere with aerial crop spraying. This important practical feature is somewhat complicated by the fact that shelterbelts should ideally be oriented across the prevailing winds in an east-west direction which would also place them at right angles to the direction of flight of aircraft during crop spraying. The problem is capable of solution through shelterbelt design, i.e. tall shelterbAlts N-S, lower ones E-W. The Rahad Irrigation Scheme is working to produce an acceptable design for shelterbelts on irrigated land. 42. Of tne other suspected di.advantages of shelterbelts in the Sudan, one is that they use land and water that should be available for annual crops. Another is that they sap adjacent field crop rows and reduce yields. These claims are denied by consistently occurring benefits of shelterbelts in conserving water, ameliorating soil factors and enhancing overall crop yields, and by the fact that physical measures can be taken to contain root systems. 43. For the foregoing reasons there is strong opposition to shelterbelt applications in parts of the Sudan, particularly in some of the irrigation and mechanized farming areas. Many of the problems are real although most of them are at least partly surmountable. In several instances they are offset by greater benefits attributable to shelterbelt protection. Conclusions Concerning Benefits and Constraints 44. A voluminous literature documents observation, research results and experience of shelterbelt effects ove. a range of environmental, crop and management conditions in many parts of the world. Selected texts and limited, largely undocumented local experience have been reviewed in relation to the rigorous, highly variable climate of Sudan and the intensifying use of its landscape, particularly in the arid and semiarid zones with their inherently fertile clay and less productive, more fragile sandy soils. It is concluded that the strong evidence that the beneficial influences of shelterbelts greatly outweigh the constraints, would apply at least as much in Sudan as elsewhere. 45. Published relevant information indicates that properly designed and managed shelterbelts appreciably reduce wind velocities. This results directly in reduction and control of wind erosion and the linked movement of sand and other soil materials, which damage or destroy crop land, crops themselves, buildings, roads, and canals, and adversely affect humans and -91- Annex IV livestock. The primary effect of reduced wind velocity also results directly in reduced evaporation from open water and soil surfaces, thus reducing plant moisture stress and the physical loss of irrigation water. Atmospheric humidity, temperature radiation, soil moisture and nutrient status and general environmental features are ameliorated. The evidence from comparable areas elsewhere suggests that crop yields in Sudan could be increased overall by not less than a net 15-20d, relatively substantial incidental benefits such as yields of tree products and savings of irrigation water being additional. 46. Objections to shelterbelts on the grounds that they harbor animal, bird and insect pests, provide disease infestion centers or impede crop spraying by aircraft indicate real problems that have been encountered. However, most of them can be overcome or mitigated and are usually more than offset by the benefits. 47. It is concluded that appreciable benefits would result from we'l-planned and managed development of shelterbelt applications in both rainfed and irrigated farming areas of Sudan. Shelterbelt Designs, Layout and Management 48. Due to the large variables affecting shelterbelt applications and influences, the approach to design is largely empirical, though supported by much recorded experience. It must be stressed that shelterbelt networks sinould be planned at the outset of agricultural development schemes so that they are properly integrated into them. To add them later is difficult and can be costly. Also, the local farmers and officials should be properly involved and informed from the start, so that network development can benefit from their active. supportive collaboration and ideas. Other matters to be considered in the planning phase are traditional land use, land tenure and restrictions on subdivision of land, local conservation needs and plans as a whole, availability of trained personnel and training needs. 49. The mechanisms by which shelterbelts moderate winds are well-documented. Sime wind passes through, some rolls over and the remainder passes over the barrier. The air that filters through the belt prevents that which passes over it from sweeping down within a short distance to leeward. 50. Orientation of a shelterbelt across the wind results in zones of reduced wind velocity to both windward and leeward. The extent of these depend on the permeability, shape, width, height and length of the barrier, wind speed and direction. Height is the most important feature that determines the extent of the protected zone. This covers a zone I-lOH to windward and 8-60H to leeward, the effective extent comonly being 15-20H overall. The second most important feature controlling effectiveness of a barrier is its permeability: 50-70% coverage by foliage seems usually to be optimal. Width and shape are usually of secondary importance. A 1-, 2- or 3-row barrier without gaps, with its density extending down to the ground, can be as effective as a 20m wide belt, although it is more prone to develop gaps. These are objectionable since they concentrate wind, causing it to funnel through and damage a strip immediately to leeward. If the belt Is too wide it can also be too impermeable and thus reduce the zone of protection to leeward. -92- Annex IV Page 12 Permeability is best regulated through the mixing of species, including those that are tall and low growing, of narrow and wide habit, in 2- or 3-row or wider belts. Shelterbelt length should usually be at least I21. The ends of belts can be 'bent' to windward over a few meters to prevent eddies there. 51. In regulating wind velocity, most specialists advocate vertical windward and leeward faces to the barrier as being more effective than sloping ones. Nevertheless, many practitioners advocate sloping faces, taller-growing trees being planted in the center. In his proposed schedule for Gezira Bayouui proposed tW' rows of tall-growing Eucalyptus with lower-growing bamboo between them to provide dens ity near the ground. In addition to this feature and to height and permeability, barrier effectiveness is also subject to the degree of ground surface roughness In the area, air stability and wind speed. 52. If a series of belts is to be established they are spaced at intervals of 20-40U across the wind where it normally blows from a single direction. If it comes from several alternative directions, series of belts at right angles to each other are usually effective. At the foregoing spacings, there is a cumulative effect due to the successive belts and winds cannot resume their initial velocity within the series. 53. Many design and layout variants of the basic types of shelterbelts or windbreaks are used in different settings. Thus around villages it is often best to stagger relatively short belts in overlapping blocks. Some agroforestry inter-cropping applications, e.g. alley cropping, have very definite "shelterbelt' effects and should therefore be considered as variants of such barriers. Sooetimes simple trees, e.g. of Acacia albida, are planted at 10-20 m intervals the same distance behind 1- or 2-row windbreaks to enhance their protective and other ameliorative effects. 54. In rainfed mechanized farming areas strips of natural woodland should be retained at intervals of about 20H. Their effectiveness as shelterbelts would be enhanced in many cases by increasing their density in some way, e.g. protecting them from grazing and browsing for a time, augmenting the natural growth with sown or planted tree rows either along the margins or within them. 55. It is wise when planning and establishing shelterbelts to provide for stepped stock and road crossing points from the beginning. It is unwise to attempt shelterbelt developments that are larger than can be properly looked after; poorly stocked and managed shelterbelts very quickly lose their effectiveness. 56. Species should be selected as much as possible for the range of products that tney yield. It is also desirable to use species that are familiar to and valued by the people using them. The species chosen should be suited to the locality and cultural conditions that will apply to or indirectly affect them. They should not be objectionable in harboring or attracting pests and diseases. Fast growing species, and/or the application of thorough site preparation and sound, intensive cultural practice, will result in rapid growth and early effectiveness of the belt. In establishing multi-purpose, multiple row belts it is often advantageous -93- Annex IV Page 13 to combine different planting methods, i.e. to use transplants, cuttings, stumps, and live fencing stakes. In any case, successful establishment and rapid growth and formation should be striven for by using the best available plantation technology: use of seed of high genetic quality, high quality nursery stock, thorough site preparation and planting and tending techniques. 57. Protection of shelterbelts during the establishment and regeneration phases, e.g. from browsing animals and fire, is often difficult, but necessary. Good protection usually results from active participation by the local community in the system as a whole. 58. Shelterbelts, like any other tree crops, require regular silvicultural treatment and management (thinning, coppicing, root pruning, trimming, lopping, regeneration, and renewal) to maintain their essential design features and effectiveaess and to ensure that they yield physical products to the extent compatible with their protective function. Some replanting becomes necessary to preserve a shelterbelt as it builds up a dune throgh interceptian of wind blown sand. The management plans and prescriptions drawn up and regularly reviewed for these purposes should provide, inter alia, for monitoring and evaluation of both treatment of the belts themselves and of their influences on environmental and crop parameters. Simple approaches would be used for small, local applications; more elaborate ones can be used for large-scale schemes. Research Needs 59. The primary need is for applied research in reviewing and synthesizing existing literature pertinent to potential shelterbelt applications in Sudan and collaborating with practitioners in formulating, testing, undertaking controlled impact studies of, and demonstrating shelterbelt configurations. This should include cultural and management prescriptions for different farming systems (traditional and mechanized rainfed, irrigated, etc.) on three or four major soil types (alkaline, montmorillanite clay, sandy soils) in the arid and semi-arid zones. Existing ecological and capability classifications, and land activities, surveys and plans should serve as the general framework for such a program of work. Well-written up and disseminated, the results of research inputs into such effort would represent a major contribution to the needed large expansion of shelterbelt applications to enhance food production. 60. There is a priority need for the collection, proceasing and evaluation of data that can be used for the prediction of quantitative effects of shelterbelts on crops, and for economic studies of shelterbelt establishment and influences. A start could be made by processing and analyzing existing data from trials in the Northern Region and publishing the results of that work. 61. Opportunitiee should be taken to test a range of locally well-known species in both rainfed and irrigated systems. Research and development effort is required to find and establish the use of reasonably fast growing, densely foliaged hardwoods for use as alternatives to the eucalypts, particular:y in narrow belts and specially in sandy soils such as those in the north. Some emphasis in this respect should be devoted to -94- Annex IV Page 14 Casuarina, of which about four species are in use in Egypt, and species of the related genera. Exploration is bringing to light other sp( zies of the group from Australia and other parts of the range of its natural distribution; some of these should be tested in Sudan. 62. Trials and tests should be undertaken of provenances and individual tree selections of local and exotic species (including species of Acacia and Prosopis) to secure fast growing materials suitable for use in multipurpose shelterbelts. Care should be taken not to distribute weed species in this way. Other genera that should be investigated in the same way are Zizyphus, Balanites, Tamarindus, Sesbania, Ailanthus, Robinia and several bamboos. 63. Propogation and tree establishment methods should be developed to optimize growth rates of shelterbelts, particularly in the early years so that protection is provided as soon as possible after planting. 64. Good working links should be maintained with extension personnel, as well as appropriate practitioners, to ensure that the resvlts of research (which should always be published at the earliest date) are communicated to the operational phase, and to ensure feedback. -95- Annex V Page I SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Irrigation Fu.lwood Plantation Options 1. Sudan has considerable experlence of irrigated plantation forestry for production of fuelwood and poles. It began with species trials laid down in 1932 at Gezira, now a 200,000 ha irrigated agriculture scheme where 2,500 ha or more of Eucalyptus microtheca trees have been planted in shelter belts and in block plantations of various sizes on areas unsuitable for agriculture. Tn many cases, they are irrigated with waste water. Relatively large scale plantations are being established in the north of the Gezira scheme area. Some take the form of wide shelter beats to rehabilitate and protect Irrigation canals that have been filled in or are being threatened by blowing sand. Others are demonstrations and tests under the energy oriented FAO forestry project. Some 1,250 ha of the same species were established in the Khartoum Greenbelt. About half of this area is irrigated with sewage effluent from the city, the remainder being watered with water from an adjacent canal from the Blue Nile. Unfortunately, the latter suDply has failed and the plantations dependent on it have died. 2. There are 450 ha or more of Eucalyptus plantations at Khasm el Girba. One thousand ha of the 2,100 ha allocated for forestry plantations at the New Halfa irrigated agricultural scheme have been planted. In addition, the sugar company there has planted over 100 ha using waste water from the factory. The company is installing facilities to treat waste water from the factory so that, with technical help from the FAO project, It c&h extend the area by 40 ha a year for 5 years and much more beyond that time. At Rahad, 2,500 ha have been earmarked for tree planting, of which 360 ha have been planted since 1979. The planting rate is being stepped up to '-00 ha a year, with support from Finn-Aid. In the Khor Kilaibis irrigation Scheme, the Sennar Sugar Co. estimates that 82 million m3 of waste water will eventually be available annually. It has initiated tree planting in an area of 3,300 ha and has reserved a further 11,300 ha for future expansion. Included in the forestry plantings is Cordia sp. for saw log production. 3. The renewable Energy Research Institute, with support from USAID, is working with various private or semi-private agricultural enterprises, e.g. at Salet, north of Khartoum, to develop tree plantations, some intergrated with agriculture in the form of shelter belts and some block plantations on land unsuitable for grain or forage crops because of soil salinity. Effective protection of irrigation canals, farm lands and the Nile River itself, from blowing sand, has been achieved by small scale schemes for planting shelter belts (many of them amounting to narrow block plantations) at frequent intervals along the Nile in the Northern Region. This work is being supported by several agencies including the Sudan Council of Churches, IDRC and Oxfam. 4. Following dam contruction on the Blue Nile at Atbara and other rivers, depressions along these rivers that once naturally supjcrted Acacia nilotica forests because they were periodically flooded are nor being -96- Annex V Page 2 irrigated by pumping river or well water. The Forest Departments of the Eastern and Central Regions are using these means to grow small plantations of various species, in various ways. These schemes usually seem precarious in face of pressure for land for agricultural use. It has been proposed that a shelter belt be established along each side of the Jonglei canal, partly to make use of the opportunity to provide poles and fuelvood to meet what will be a strong local demand. 4. The foregoing is not an exhaustive catalogue of irrigated plantation developments but it mentions most of the important areas. Many of them demonstrate the potential of such plantations to produce wood and additional benefits such as shelter that enhance crop yields. This potential and the growina demands for fuelwood, charcoal and poles are encouraging expanded development of irrigated plantations. The total planned cropped area of sugar cane plantations of the 5 main companies is 66,000 ha. The planned capacities of the factories to be installed total some 700,000 tons. If all or most of the water from these plantations and factories is used to grow trees, the area of plantations would be very large. 5. While some of the existing irrigated plantations demonstrate encouraging production potential, nearly all of them also demonstrate some of the constraints that can reduce the productivity of irrigated plantations. These include: the catastrophic effects of inadequate watering; over watering; lack of precision in the levels of water distribution networks and plantation sites which result in uneven watering; and the decline in yields (particularly from coppice regrowth following the initial seedling rotation) if harvesting or lack of water kills the stumps, the regrowth is not properly tended or irrigation furrows are not properly maintained. With irrigated Eucalyptus, the usual pattern is for yields from the first copice rotation to be higher than those from the seedling crop and then to decline. In irrigated plantations in Sudan, the reverse is the case. This anomaly needs looking into so that the causes can be rectified. Eucalyptus microtheca is almost universally used. Whilst it is in some ways suited to irrigated sites on heavy montmorillonite clay soils, and can to some extent tolerate interrupted water supply, it performs poorly in the sandy soils of the Northern Region. Also, the fact that the cultivar initially used was derived from a single tree accounts for the inbreeding depression and very poor stem form of the plantations. 6. The Gezira and other irrigated areas in Sudan are fortunate in being on impervious montmorillonite clay soils so that the relatively salt free Nile water used for irrigation does not percolate to the deep water table and excess irrigation water is removed by surface drainage. If it did reach the water table the risk of saline soil conditions developing and depressing fertility would be great. This risk does exist however in areas where the conditions described are different and irrigation water can percolate to the water table whence salts can be transported to the upper soil horizons and to the surface by capillary action. The potential consequences of imperfectly designed and inadequately managed irrigation schemes in such areas are demonstrated on a grand scale in several parts of the arid world where extensive areas of once fertile soils have been put out of production by salinity. This could occur in parts of Sudan. -97- Annex V Page 3 7. In the development of irrigated plantation forestry in Sudan, the need for technical soundness in the design, implementation, operation, management and maintenance of water distribution networks and watering regimes as well as of the plantations themselves must be undertaken in full knowledge and with the utmost respect for all the factors that obtain and the constraints that could result from improper design, operation or maintenance. Not to respect these requirements would almost inevitably lead to fall-off in production. Thus yields of 25 m3/ha/annum in the initial, seedling rotation on prime sites, half that in the first coppice rotation and half that again, or less, in the next, has been a not uncommon pattern at Gezira. Rehabilitation of a derelict site is costly and its initial productivity is rarely restored. 8. Provided that the caution sounded here is respected for an indefinite period and technical and managerial inputs in respect of both irrigation and silvicultural management are of a sustained high order, there is no reason why irrigated plantations should not produce high sustained yields. The difficulty is that all the needs cannot always be foreseen and become apparent as operations proceed. For this reason, large scale developments should be preceded by the testing of well designed, managed, maintained and carefully monitored pilot scale operations. 9. The economics of irrigated plantations require careful consideration. The direct benefits in terms of the timber and fodder produced can be hign, but so are the capital costs of establishing such schemes, including those of bringing water to the site. Indirect benefits are of course be taken into account, eg. the fact that fuelwood production from high yielding plantations would relieve the pressures for the same commodity that are depleting and degrading the natural woodlands. When the indirect benefits of irrigated plantations in the form of shelterbelts include enhancement of agricultural cLop yields (which can be a major factor); halving or even quartering the frequency and therefore the costs of dredging canals, or even saving them from being totally filled in and thus rendering the crop lands unproductive, they can be economically sound. 10. The proposals put forward by Bayoumi in 1976 and 1977 for a network of shelter belts in the Gezira scheme, if implemented would cover 8,400 ha. or 1.5% of the land concerned; at 10 m3/ha/annum (a deliberately conservative estimate) they would yield 84,000 m3/annum of wood per annum. Savings of water through reduced evaporaion would be enough to meet the needs of the trees and to irrigate an additional 33,600 ha of cotton. In addition, environmental amelioration would lead to an overall increase of perhaps 20% in crop yields. If the belts were five or six rows wide, instead of the three proposed, only 2.5 - 3% of the land would be taken up by them, wood yields would be doubled and environmental benefits perhaps also increased. 11. The best strategy for Sudan in developing irrigated tree plantations to augment supplies of wood-based energy would be to place first priority on the establishment of networks of well designed and executed shelterbelts in all irrigation scheme areas; and secondly through social forestry programs to encourage farmers in irrigated areas to include -98- Annex V Page 4 fuelwood production for domestic consumption and as a cash crop to be included in their activities. Thirdly, in relation to the demands for wood based fuels of towns and cities within feasible distances of irrigable available land and where water supplies (including waste irrigation or industrial water and sewage effluent) are assured, pilot demonstration irrigated block plantations would be established. The designs, operational specification and regimes, maintenance and management arrangements, organization and managerial procedures would reflect adjustments necessary to obviate foreseeable constraints identified by analysis of existing experience in operating irrigated plantation developments. The pilot plantations would be closely and scientifically monitored so that design features, watering regimes, silvicultural management regimes and any other aspects could be adjusted in the interests of optimization. 12. Once the technical and scientific packages have been tested and approved, and subject to sociological and economic feasibility, larger scale development could go ahead. The danger in undertaking a large scale development without a preliminary pilot phase to test what seems to be the best system in relation to the many interacting factors that bear on it, is that insidious development of soil or other problems could seriously deplete the productivity of the site and perhaps (as has happened in several clasical cases) ruin it for good. 13. The area of land that could be available for irrigated block plantations is not known. However, expectations of the Sennar Sugar Co. can be used to estimate the quantity of waste water that would be available once the five main companies have developed the 66,000 ha of cane fields they plan to establish, and the factories needed to process the cane are working, then the total quantity of waste water generated would be sufficient to irrigate about 110,000 ha of plantations. At iOm3/halannum these would yield 1.1 million m3 of wood annually. (The assumption of lom3/ha/annum includes no credit for enhancement of yields through upgrading of the design, operation and management of irrigated plantaion schemes. With good technology and management, they should approach 3Om3/ha/year). 14. There is some confusion concerning the availability of water from the Nile for irrigation. According to the Ministry of Irrigation, the quantity that must go to Egypt under the Nile Waters Agreement is an annual quantity; it is not controlled on a daily basis. The limits are less stringent since the construction of the Aswan Dam and other impoundment structures such as the recent addition to the height of the Roseires Dam. Accordingly, shortages such as the cessation of flows from Wad Medani past Soba to the Khartoum Greenbelt, lack of water at prepared plantation sites in the Abdul Majid area that could not be planted due allegedly to drought induced shortages in 1984, and shortages that caused deaths in plantations in many other areas in the Nile basin in eastern and central Sudan during the same year, were all due to local scheduling and other distribution problems, including excessively long distributories and/or shallow gradients in relation to demands, i.e. to design problems and not to absolute water shortages. -99- Annex V Page 5 15. It is often mooted that ground water aquifers should be used as sources for irrigation. The feasibility of this can be influenced by pumping costs and also by the capacity of the aquifer3. The levels in some of them have been lowered by excessive use and inadequate recharge in recent years. Each case should therefore be discussed with the Ground Water Resources Authority of the Ministry of Irrigation to ascertain the true situation and prospects of use. -100- Annex VI Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Community Forestry 1. Community forestry is a process of developing awareness, knowledge and responsibility for forestry among social units who have an existing or potential benefit from the presence of forests and trees in their neighbourhood. It has received increasing attention throughout the developing world as a major tool in halting environmental deterioration and satisfying forestry related basic needs of rural populations. Community forestry can consist of one or more of the following major activities, out of which those are chosen which are most relevant to the particular local situations: (i) Village woodlots, (ii) Private tree planting, (iii) Improved management of existing forests, (iv) Leased forests and (v) Amenity or recreation forests. 2. In the Sudan there has been very little experience with community forestry so far. It has been largely identified with the traditional gum arabic production system. This system occurs on private land and the farmer is the direct beneficiary of the system. Communal management of existing forests is reported to have taken place but has deteriorated over the past 10-20 years due to the increased pressure on the resource. Where it still occurs there is usually strong local leadership. There are no recorded instances where local communities have taken the initiative to plant trees for communal use. 3. Unfortunately very little is known about the relationship between trees and people in the Sudan. Only recently have a few programs started activities to encourage individual farmers and villages to plant trees and establish woodlots and only one of those has carried out a thorough sociological survey of the potential beneficiaries of the project. This survey, together with discussions with staff of other projects, villagers and others, confirms that people presently have a very positive attitude towards initiatives in community forestry, in particular in relation to private tree planting. It is too early too identify confirmed successes in community forestry in the Sudan which would be easily replicable throughout the country. So far success has been determined by five factors: (i) Scarcity of fuelwood, fodder and poles, (ii) Awareness of desertification, (iii) Intensive consultation with potential beneficiaries, (iv) Strong extension efforts, and (v) Grassroot level operation of project staff. 4. Considering the lack of success in many African countries with the establishment of village woodlots for fuelwood and the lack of experience with communal management of natural resources in the Sudan, activities in this field should be undertaken with considerable care and initially on a small scale. However there seems to be considerable scope for farm forestry or private planting. In the sociological survey, carried out for the Kassala refugee reforestation project, it was found that 22% of -101- Annex VI Page 2 the people interviewed had planted trees on their land, of which 55% survived. Trees are being planted for fruits, shade or poles, usually a few at a time. The Sudan Renewable Energy Project reported also a great interest among farmers near Khartoum to grow Eucalyptus in shelterbelts as windbreak for sorghum and for the production of poles for sale. Elsewhere there seems to be some reluctance to growing crops and trees together as farmers perceive negative effects of trees in farmland, in particular the increase in numbers of harmful birds and pests and competition for land and water with agricultural crops. 5. In general community forestry however seems to be a viable option for increasing afforestation in the Sudan, provided the political will is there to overcome a number of major constraints presently hampering large scale involvement of the rural population in tree planting. Major Constraints to Community Forestry 6. The major constraints to the development of community forestry are: (a) The forest legislation does not allow private or communal ownership of trees. All forests belong to the Government and permits are even needed for felling trees on private land. This insecurity in obtaining future benefits hinders large scale investment in afforestation by individuals and local communities. (b) Lack of data on the socio-economic relationships between people and trees hampers the design of appropriate extension programs and the production of preferred species. (c) Lack of access to seedlings. There are too few nurseries in the country, which mainly produce seedlings for government plantations. (d) Insufficient knowledge and concern about techniques of site preparation, protecting trees and water harvesting has prevented a high rate of success where no extension was available. Unawareness of the role trees can play in improving agricultural production and misconceptions of their harmful effects has prevented the introduction of forestry in the modern agricultural production system. (e) Conflict in land use and forest management between sedentary and nomadic population groups (nomads own 85% of all livestock in the country). Traditional agreements and systems of consultations between nomadic and sedentary people have broken down and have not been replaced with satisfactory alternatives. (f) Lack of orientation towards community forestry among staff of the Forest Departments, who have been trained in traditional concepts of forest reservation and plantation forestry. -102- Annex VI Page 3 Suggestions to Overcome these Constraints 7. Based on field visits and discussions with many persons in the Forest Administration and from other organizations it is suggested that the following actions be taken by the Government of the Sudan to create a better framework for active participation by the local population in reforestation and management of the natural resources: (a) A major revision of all legislation pertaining to forest and range lands, which would allow local level administrative units and individuals to own and manage forests for their own benefit and which would take into account the needs of nomadic people for seasonal fodder. Priority attention should be paid to the following types of landownership and/or use: (i) Village woodlots - A village co=munity should have the opportunity to establish woodlots of 100-200 ha the produce of which should benefit all members of the community. Legal arrangements should define local responsibilities as well as benefits. (ii) Private tree planting - There should be no restriction on planting and felling trees by villagers on their own land. (iii) Leased forest - Communally owned or Government land could be leased out to individuals for planting trees. (iv) Communal management of existing forests - Based on traditional systems of management new approaches could be developed which would make rational use of tnle growth potential of existing forests. tb) An assessment of the soci-economic relationships between people and trees and how people perceive the role of trees in their environment. The following issues should be assessed: (i) The dependency on trees for the livelihood of rural populations in terms of quantity and quality. (ii) The interest of people in different tree species and in ways of managing forests. (iii) The (mis)conceptions people have about possible harmful and beneficial effects of growing trees. (c) The provision of seeldings for distribution to individuals who want to plant trees should be expanded at a large scale as follows: (i) Increasing the number of government nurseries to cover all key administrative centres; (i1) Establishing small nurseries at each interested village which has sufficient water. These can be developed by private individuals, institutions (schools, cooperatives) or local governments. -103- Annex VI Page 4 (iii) Organizing many distribution points for seedlings to be handed out during planting season. Seedlings should come from central nurseries. (d) Establishing a strong forestry extension support service at the Central Forestry Administrat'OU (CFA) and a pclicy to integrate forestry extension in the overall job description of each employee of CFA and Regional Forestry Departments. CFA will be responsible for: (i) Developing extension techniques and tools for use by all employees of the Regional Forestry Departments. (ii) Developing methods and support materials for training of village level nursery workers and plantation supervisors. (iii) Creating national awareness about the potential of community forestry. (iv) Provide orientation towards community forestry among all employees of the Forestry Departments. (e) Improving the planning capabilities in the Regional Governments to encourage the integration of agriculture, forestry and pasture management. Need for Foreign Assistance 8. In discussions with major donor agencies, the mission found a great interest in supporting activities which would alleviate the problems of desertification, decreasing agricultural productivity and reduced supply of wood based energy. The mission recommends that the following ideas for technical assistance receive a high priority when considering technical and/or financial assistance in community forestry: (a) Technical assistance for the revision of all legislation pertaining to forest and range lands. Sudan could benefit from solutions which have been found elsewhere in developing countries and which have provided greater incentives for mobilizing the rural population in planting trees and protecting forest. The project would consist of a number of consultations and seminars in Sudan with some expatriate inputs in legal, social and technical aspects of forestry during repeated short term consultances over a period of 12-18 months. (b) Technical assistance and local contractual services to carry out a socio-economic survey of people - tree relationship in Sudan. Expatriate inputs by a natural resource oriented anthropologist or sociologist and a contract with a local institution capable of organizing a large scale survey including logistics and training of surveyors. (c) Investment in the development and establishment of 1,000 nurseries most with a small capacity of 5,000-10,000 seedlings. -104- Annex VI Page 5 Investment would consist of (i) a grant or credit to establish the nursery and provide equipment, (ii) technical assistance in training nursery owners and workers, and (iii) guarantee to buy seedlings over a 3-year period against a minimum price. (d) Technical assistance to expand tne recently established forestry extension system to all regions of the country. Particular attention should be given to the role bilateral and UN volunteers could play in such a program. -105- Annex VII Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Watershed Protection in the Sudan Introduction 1. The alluvial deposits in Northern Sudan and the water resources resulting from the Region's four major catchment areas (the Blue Nile, the White Niles, the Main Nile and the Atbara) have been the subject of great deal of interest over the years as they provide the foundation for Sudan's agricultural sector. For centuries, the alluvial areas have been constantly forming, changing, and replenished by the continued sediment deposition of these rivers and their tributaries, thus providing the basis for Sudan's traditional agriculture - gerf, karu, and magat cultivation. More recently, the Roseires and Sennar reservoirs on the Blue Nile and the Khasm el Girba reservoir on the Atbara River provide the bulk of the water requirements for Sudan's major irrigated agricultural schemes including the Gezira, Managil, Khasm el Girba and Rahad. In fact, two-thirds of Sudan's irrigated agriculture lies within the Blue Nile basin. Additionally, hydroelectric installations on the Roseires provide more than 83% of Sudan's installed power capacity. 2. However, the relatively rapid development of Sudan's agricultural sector through intensification of existing agricultural systems (both irrigated and rainfed) and the exploitation of "unused' land (predominantly rainfed) has lead to a number of negative environmental effects on the country's watersheds, including: changes in the physical and chemical properties of the soils, increased soil erosion/water run-off and reduced water retention, particularly in the rainfed schemes; and, pollution of surface and groundwater by pesticide derivatives, soil salinization, increased waterlogging, and increased water salt content in the irrigated schemes. 3. While these problems clearly exist, there are very few, if any emperical or quantitative studies that assess their magnitude, particularly as they relate to decreasing agricultural productivity. For example, intensive mechanized rainfed durra cropping in Kassala Province for up to 25 years on the same site without following prescribed rotations or fallow periods has depleted soil nutrients and organic matter to the extent that not even weeds will grow; inappropriate rainfed scheme site preparation techniques, particularly the continued use of wide strip shallow disc plowing, has led to the development of a sub-soil compaction layer on most rainfed sites which increases water run-off by up to 40%; salt layer formation in the Seleit Scheme's irrigated perimeters; the indiscriminate and uncontrolled removal of vegetative cover on the watersheds (27% of the Blue Nile Province's wooded savana was cleared for mechanized rainfed farming between 1973 and 1983). -106- Annex VII Page 2 The Problems 4. Unfortunacely, the absence of reliable information does not permir a ranKing or prioritization of the problems related to watershed degradation. However, the most critical one to the assessment team would rnp..n tn 9 ^or 1-nd se prao!ices in the watersheds resulting in increased soil erosion and excessive soil deposition in Sudan's rivers, reservoirs and irrigation canals. For example, rainfed mechanized agriculture in the Blue Nile catchment alone is thought to have increased 500% between 1973 and 1983 while the annual peak flow of silt load in the Blue Nile is thought to have increased from 40 million tons in 1965 to 140 million tons in 1979. There would therefore appear to be some correlation between clearing for agriculture and increased silt load on the Blue Nile. While comparative silt load and land clearing data for the Atbara, White Nile and Main Nile are not available, silt load appears to be increasing at a similar rate in these catcbments. The impact of this load on Sudan's reservoirs and rivers is considerable and has resulted in: (i) reduced efficiency of the Roseires, Sennar and Khasm el Girba dams in providing water for the major irrigated agricultural schemes. The Khasm el Girba dam was designed for a total volume of 1,300 million m3 but capacity was reduced due to silting to 778 million m3 in 1976 and is expected to reach 500 million m3 in 1997 unless costly dredging actions are undertaken. The original live storage capacity of the Roseires dam was 6.8 milliards m3 but siltation is expected to reduce this capacity to 2.3 milliards by 1985 and to 2.0 milliards m3 by 2,000. The rate of siltation recorded was over two times greater than design estimates. In contrast, it is estimated that minimum live storage requirements in 1990 to meet the needs of existing agricultural schemes only will be 2.7 milliards m3. Additionally, this reduced storage capacity in the Roseires has resulted in decreased hydroelectric potential necessitating a costly heightening of the dam and importation of dredging equipment. (ii) migration of rivers and tributaries within the flood plains and away from established traditional agricultural areas and water capture points. In the Khor Baraka Delta, channel migration due to siltation often results in a year by year loss of 752 of potential gerf land. Similarly, in 1980, sediment from channel migration blocked the Khor Habrab irrigation scheme intake with 3,000 tons of silt. Additionally, migration of river channels combined with intensive agriculture along the rivers and their tributaries has increased bank erosion rates thereby contributing to further siltation. (iii) incresed siltation in the schemes' irrigation canals resulting in part from reduced water flows and velocity favors aquatic weed establishment, which further reduces flows and increases sedimentation and the risks of canal breakage. The net result is less available water to the agricultural schemes or a substantial increase in recurrent costs. For example, one major canal in the Rahad Scheme was designed to have a cross section of 10 m3 but a study showed actual area was 4.7 m3, reducing irrigation potential by 50%. -107- Annex VII Page 3 (As an example of the magnitude of the siltation problem, on a 2.6 km section of the Karaba minor canal in the RAhad Scheme, 6750 m3 of silt had to be removed in December 1979/80 season in order to maintAin its efficiency. If most of the canals in the schemes are experiencing the same problems, (and most people agree they are) the recurrent costs of maintaining Sudan's thousands of kilometers of canals are enormous). (iv) reduction of the Roseires hydroelectric oucput by as much as 82Z during peak flood periods due to debrls accumulation at turblne intakes. While opinions differ as to the source of this debris, the net result is a reduction in power seriously affecting the Central Region's (Khartoum) political and social climate. Available Information 5. Unfortunately, while the problems resulting from increased siltation and debris transport are known and the causes of the problems can at least be hypothesized, the exact origins and trends of the problem are at best very difficult- to even approximate. Information in general in the Sudan tends to be qualitative, descriptive or very theoretical in nature and often conflicting. For example, estimated of the size of the Roseires/Blue Nile catchment basin in tne Sudan vary from 6% to 33Z. 6. Similarly, there is a great controversy in the Sudan as to the source of debris accumulation on the Roseires. One 1980 study by the NEA entitled Cause and Effects of Debris Accumulation at the Roseires Dam; an Initial Survey, puts forward the hypothesis that debris from agricultural activity and charcoal production in the Sudan portion catchment area are primarily responsible for blocking the intake screens. However, in a subsequent study conducted by the NEA in March 1983, entitled Land Use and the Problems of Roseires Dam", different authors maintained that most of the debris affecting the intake screens comes from Ethiopia and that Sudan's actions to overcome the debris problem must be of an engineering nature. 7. Specific quantitative data on erosion in the watersheds (both in Sudan and Ethiopia), siltation in the reservoirs and canals and debris accumulation are either sporadic, outdated or non-existent. Consequently, the precise origins and causes of siltation are not known. More importantly, the magnitude of the problems as they affect agricultural productivity are not known. This lack of information, or in some instances, conflicting information on Sudan's wtersheds has had two unfortunate results: (i) Development of a laissez-faire' attitude among some Sudanese officials. For instance some officials maintain that the problem lies in Ethiopia, that nothing can be done about it, and propose engineering rather than soil conservation/forestry solutions. (This is made worse by the fact that recurrent cost implications of engineering solutions are rarely considered by either Sudanese or donors; or (ii) Difficulty in preparing, adopting or revising land use and resource management plans and policies, or, at least, in making -108- Annex VII Page 4 rational day-to-day decisions with regard to agricultural development. 8. While most important data on Sudan's watersheds appears to be missing, unreliable or at best seriously dated, it is important to avoid making premature decisions about additional data needs. Obviously, information is not desired for information's sake. The data gathering process must be given clear thought as to objectives and approach. Unfortunately, most research done in the Sudan tends to be very theoretical, discipline-specific and often with the researchers' or donors' personal interests in mind rather than a specific development problem. In particular, studies on the Atbara and Blue File watersheds have tended to be unidimensional in nature focussing on ecological, biological or physical problems rather than on: (i) socio-economic constraints - e.g., what is the farmer's perceptions of the problem and what actions, if any-, is he/she taking to address these problems? What are his/her immediate needs and how di these contribute to the problem? What are peoples percercions of trees in the various land use systems? What is the current role of trees in traditional and mechanized farming systems? What is the farmer's willingness to accept new/improved reforestry/soil conservation technologies? What are the land and tree tenure constraints? What are the potential economic incentives to farmera (both traditional and mechanized). On the macro side, what are the economic benefits of expanding mechanized agriculture as counterbalanced by dredgings costs, loss of electricity production, decreased water supplies to the irrigated schemes and social costs (displaced farmers, loss of power in Khartoum, etc.). In the longer term, how will the loss of soil fertility affect agricultural production? (ii) institutional constraints - what institutions are involved? How much is being aone to address watershed problems now? How well is it being done? What are implementation policy, management, finance, constraints, etc.? What are the constitutional, statutory and customary codstraints? What is the actual and potential degree of local participation required to address the problem? What is needed to mobilize this participation; (iii) political constraints - what are the political realities (both central and regional) in proposing forestry/soil conservation solutions to watershed problems? How can they best be dealt with? And finally, (iv) what are the interactions between these constraints? Conclusions/Recommendations 9. It is also easy to recommend technical forestry/soil conservation solutions to watershed problems in the Sudan, particularly: (i) restriction of mechanized agriculture to the flatter slopes within the watershed; Annex VII Page 5 (ii) encouraging contour plowing on now and existing mechanized rainfed shcemes wherever there are noticable slopes; (iii) avoiding other forms of land degradation resulting from mechanized agriculture by encouraging rotation of a wider variety of crops, ensuring adequate fallow periods with occasional sub-surface plowing; and by establishing windbreaks and shelterbelts; (iv) restriction of tree cutting/charcoal making/traditional agriculture/grazing on the steeper slopes of the watersheds and promotion of improved traditional farming systems involving appropriate soil conservation measures on .the more moderate slopes; (v) restriction of agriculture/tree cutting around the reservoirs and along the watersheds major tributaries; establishment of trees/ permanent vegetation belts along these areas where none exist; (vi) establishment of windbreaks/shelterbelts and canal side plantings in the irrigation schemes in order to reduce water evaporarion, stabilize canal banks and provide additicnal sources of fuelwood and fodder. 10. However, implementation of these solutions in the short term will be problematic at best. The mechanized farmers overriding interest in quick profits, his reluctance to make long term investments in land that he rents at a nominal fee combined with an ineffectual Mechanized Farming Corporation (50Z of the mechanized schemes are unplanned, i.e. illegal), makes soil conservation a difficult problem on the rainfed schemes. The traditional agriculture and pastoral sectors are only slightly better off in that they have not mined the lane but are hesitant to invest scarce time and resources in what the traditional farmer/pastoralist perceives at best as 'unproven technologies or at the worst, not addressing his immediate needs. Thus, any efforts to improve land use practices in these watersheds will require field oriented efforts combined with economic and policy incentives (as opposed to punishments and regulations) and a very strong education and training and extension component for the farmers, local institutions, program/project implementationb and policy makers alike. The following recommendations will hopefully provide a framework for this improvement: (i) A multi-disciplinary land use study should be undertaken on the Atbara watershed which addresses biological, ecological, physical, socio-economic and political constraints to improved watershed management and the interaction between these constraints. The atudy would ascertain what information is available, how reliable is this information, what information gaps need to be filled and what activities/institutions could be used to promote improved land use practices in the watershed based on an assessment of the constraints. Permanent erosion and siltation monitoring points should be established on the slopes, rivers and canals of the watershed as part of the study in order to quantify the extent and origins of the siltation problem. -110- Annex VII Page 6 (ii) The water and land resource study of the Blue Nile Basin undertaken by the Institute for Environmental Studies (IES), should be expanded/modified to include issues/constraints mentioned above (also establishment of permanent erosion monitoring points on the major land use systems and siltation monitoring points in the canals plus monitoring of debris material at the intake of the Roseires at peak flood conditions in order to determine species composition and origin). Alternatively, a companion study could be undertaken to address issues which are not covered by LES. In each case, however, the studies should collaborate closely with the Sudan Renewable Energy Projects current study of marketing wood resources on Blue Nile mechanized farming schemes. (iii) On completion of these studies and after one year monitoring of siltation/erosion problems, a review workshop should be held for each watershed with both regional and central participation, along with representatives from the irrigated or rainfed- agricultural schemes in the watershed. (Local participation - both government and private individuals and agencies - is critical to workshop baccess). The purpose of the workshops would be to comment on and critique the studies, and develop a course of action for resolution of non-engineering watershed management problems leading eventually (and hopefully) to a rational land use plan for each watershed. 1. In the best case scenario, the translation of study findings into interventions by the workshops would emerge from a review of the priority problems and possible solutions identified by the studies. Interventions should in most cases be modest and of a pilot nature. Use of pilot interventions allows for small scale testing of study hypotheses. They also provide valuable insights, often overlooked, but which can have critical bearing on the success of larger programs. Example of pilot activities at the local level which would address watershed problems are: (i) a community project with traditional farmers and pastoralists which would provide seedlings and an integrated extension approach (including protection/establishment of green belts along the major rivers and tributaries) to reforestation. This type of activity would focus on agro-forestry and soil conservation interventions rather than on block plantations and would rely mainly on local participation and local institutions for implementation; (ii) a mechanized rainfed project (preferably private) which would demonstrate the economic potential of maximizing use of wood resulting from clearing, while also showing the economic benefits of agro-forestry/soil conservation in maintaining agricultural productivity (the Egyptian Sudanese Agricul:ure Development Corporation has shown some willingness to participate in such a program); -ll- Annex VII Page 7 (iii) an irrigated scheme project which would demonstrate the economic and environmental benefits of canal side plantings and wind- breaks/shelterbelts. 12. Other activities might include improving the institutional and data framework for data gathering for each watershed in as much as each of these pilot projects would be expected to continue the studies or assessment process but on a smaller scale. 13. In the worst case scenario, the studies proposed above may indicate the problems are for the most part international and may be exceedingly difficult to resolve. Nevertheless, a portion of the problems lie within Sudan's borders and GOS must undertake some action in order to ensure that at least this portion is properly managed. -112- ANNEX VIII Page 1 SUDAN Forestry Sector Review Stumpage Price in Sudan for Woodfuel Trees 1. Stumpage price is the price governments or individuals receive for the use of wood from trees. In many countries, stumpage prle. (or royalty) is fixed irrespective of distance from markets. In many instances, it has been fixed without reference to the cost of growing the wood and usually dead branchwood is free. 2. In Sudan, where the wood raw material is remote from the market, transport is the dominant variable cost in determining the selling price of the product. For example, the selling price of charcoal in Khartoum is about £S200 per ton and the price delivered (by road) to Khartoum £S155 per ton, thus leaving £S45 per ton for wholesale and retail profit, handling/storage charges and wastage (fines etc.). At present, charcoal comes from approximately 500-600 km from Khartoum and the road transport plus loading, unloading charges are about £S70 per ton or nearly half the delivered cost to Khartoum. Labor and materials for cutting the trees and making the charcoal are £S77 and the stumpage fee is £S8 per ton. If it is assumed that, 12 m3 are required to make one ton of (lump) charcoal, then the price paid per m3 is only £SO.67. Trees could not be grown at this price, and even managing the natural woodland may cost more than the increased production achieved. 3. The nearer the trees are to the market, the more the stumpage price could be. Also, if different, transport means are used (railway or river), or larger lorries used for the main haul then again, the stumpage price could be increased and for the economic distance for cutting trees enlaraged. This is illustrated in diagram 1, where the maximum stumpage price per ton of fuelwood or charcoal is given according to tranport means and distance from the market. This assumes a fixed production cost (P) and a fixed delivery price (D). For fuelwood, P is £S27 and D is £S55 per ton and for charcoal, P is £S94 and D £S155 when the average distance from the woodland to the fuelwood/charcoal depot is 50 kms. Figures are also given when the average distance is 100 kus. It is assumed that a light lorry transports, the fuelwood or charcoal over this distance (50 kms or 100 kms) or dirt roads to the depot which is on an all weather road or at a railway/river junction. The fuelwood or charcoal is then on tranported to the market. 4. Another variation is illustrated in diagram 2. Here, different production methods have been assumed for charcoal together with the briquetting of powder and fines. This results in the production cost being decreased from LS77 per ton to either LS67 per ton when improved earth kiln techniques are used and the fines are briquetted, or LS55 per ton when brick kilns and briquetting are used. Also, the amount of wood raw material per ton of charcoal produced falls from 12 m3 to 9m3 and 6m3 -113- ANNEX VIII Page 2 respectively, thus increasing the price that could be paid for the wood raw material. It will be seen that except for the anticipated railway/river rates, all the other transport rates are those pertaining today. The anticipated rates for rivers and railway could be achieved if these transport systems were improved and account is taken of the fact that down-river transport uses far less fuel than up river transport (most if not all fuelvood and charcoal will be travelling down river). Also long haulage of bulk commodities is cheaper than short haul of mixed goods. 5. The two diagrams can be put into tabular form and this is given in Table 1. This table shows the maximum stumpage price that could be paid for roundwood at increasing distances from the market using various forms of tranport. It will be observed that over short distances, it always pays to sell wood directly as fuel rather than convert it into charcoal, provided that the market does not become saturated with fuelwood. However, with road transport, the cross over point between fuelwood and charcoal is between 100 km and 300 km, also charcoal production is profitable for much greater distances. Indeed, if downriver transport were used at a rate of £SO.04 per ton kilometer, then even over distances of 1,500 km, the timber grower could still expect a stumpage price of about £S2 to £S4 per m3, This table also illustrates that the maximum stumpage price that could be expected assuming the woodfuel depot is at the market site (i.e. there is no main haulage cost) is about £S39 for fuelwood and £S14 for cha.coal using modern kilning techniques. 6. These stumpage prices set the limits to the cost of growing trees either in the natural forest, woodland or plantations. Although the theoretical stumpage price for -fuelwood- trees is much larger than that for 'charcoal- trees when the wood is grown in the vicinity of the market, unless people are willing to switch back from charcoal to fuelwood tle demand for fuelwood will only be a fraction of the demand for charcoal. Modern fuelwood stoves will have to be designed for the urban market and the fuelwood will have to be pre-cut in useable pieces, dried and bagged. It may also have to be sold at a discount so that the price differ-nce may not be great. Therefore, for purposes of illustration the stumpage prices for charcoal will be taken as a norm. 7. Just as the stumpage prices for woodfuel has been determined, so can the stumpage prices for poles and sawnwood. The selling price for poles is about £S120 per m3 and the delivered price to the market £S100. The production costs is about the same for fuelwood namely, about £S7 per m3 (£S10/ton air-dry) but poles may not be air dry when transported so that 1 m3 may in fact weight 1.1 ton. Thus, the maximum price delivered to the depot assuming no long haul transport costs, is £S75 per m3 for a 50km bush transport distance and £S63 m3 for a 100 km bush transport distance. If the average long haulage distance to the market is 500 km, then the residual stumpage price becomes £S9/m3 (light lorry), £S20/m3 (heavy lorry), £S31/m3 (railway/river) where the depot price is £S75 per m3. Likewise, the price is minus £S1/m3 (light lorry), £S8/m3 (heavy lorry), £S19/m2 (railway/river) when the depot price is £S63 per m3. asb 2z. r mu vimr iunmsd1 ex mam3a1 MqI d fm on inth* .I wdIacm - t4m ad tzufut Oaita nzb pai* pw3P ma &d qphodtj L,4t lam ("6 bI 1m y l 3 a I2qd (adW 'ihl m [a 0.12 per tm n t4 O. I0t In W o.aPic Z8 km la 0.04m bnI D lwil dmwxl fll dal DA dml 6 dc1 0ou w1cd tiauI M id T1Mtlaul Btid m U.u.ul ,rid Sad ¶k.3(Ua airm nftLaul Kiln ad Kilnard Rulau1 Kiln a Kinad mdtiau1 Kiln ad KLn ad n WtlI Kiln ard K ard Kiln kktt,r 9atkq Kiln &*iat1qki41m9q KMiln k4gt.lae k9tkq Kiln Br*,tlq I_*tiM A. _muimt didm t Pan t 50 I 0 39.2 5.1 7.9 14.3 39.2 5l 7.9 14.3 3.2 51 7.9 14.3 39.2 5.1 79 14.3 No0 22.4 4.1 6.6 12.3 5.2 4.2 6.8 12.7 3.0 4.4 7.0 13.0 33.6 4.@ 7.4 1:.6 U 5.6 3.1 5.2 10.3 11.2 3.4 5.7 11.0 36A 3.8 6.1 11.7 3.0 4.4 7.0 13.0 m 2.1 3.9 6.3 2.6 4.6 9.3 5.6 J.1 5.2 10.3 22.4 4.1 6.6 12.3 40 1.1 2.6 6.3 20 3.4 7.7 2.4 4.3 9.0 16.8 3.8 6.1 11.7 I 5gm 0.1 1.2 4.3 0.9 2.3 6.0 1.@ 3.4 7.7 11.2 3. 5.7 11.0 60 0.1 2.3 0.1 1.2 4.3 1.1 2.6 6.3 5.6 3.1 5 10.3 XQ 0.3 0.1 2.7 0.4 1.7 5.0 2.@ 4.- 9.7 800 1.0 0.8 3.7 2.4 4.3 9.0 90 0.1 2.3 2.1 3.9 6.3 1IDC 1.0 1A 3.4 7.7 lin 1.4 3.0 7.0 in12 1.1 Ls L3 MD 0.8 2.1 5.7 140 0.4 L7 5.0 ismt 0.1 L2 4.3 ism OJ0 3.7 L ¶ncm dt(iltm t mn pt* 10 k 0 23.8 4.2 6.7 12.5 23.6 4.2 6.7 12M5 23.8 4.2 6.7 12.5 23.8 4.2 6.7 12.5 00 7.0 3.2 5.3 10.S 9.8 3.3 5S 10.8 1L2 3.S 5. 11.2 13.2 3.6 6.2 11.8, MO 2.2 4.0 6.5 2.5 4.4 9.2 1.4 2.8 4.9 9.8 12.6 3.5 5.8 11.2 300 1.2 2.7 6.5 1.7 3.3 7.5 2.2 4.0 6.5 7.0 3.2 5.3 NJ.5 61 0.2 1.3 4.5 0.8 2.2 5.6 1.5 3.1 7.2 1.4 2U 4.9 9.6 SW2 2.5 1.1 4.2 0.8 2.2 5.8 2.5 4.4 9.2 I 600 0.5 2.5 0.2 IJ 4.5 2.2 4.0 L5 1 700 0.8 0.4. 3.2 1.L 3U 7.8 1 a00 1.8 1.5 3.1 7.2 gm0 0.5 1.2 2.7 6. i0 0.8 22 5. Imo o s 1 Si LM 0.2 13 4.5 1400 09 3. LUm 2.5 nSo 1. km b lan lml IA 1 3 nte 2 Fa nt to pn a am am nt d xml with t tim1 kIdn Is 12.m. vOt ttU-- kiln ad b*ukq 9.3, ad withl k kiln ad tw ±qg 6iE dd1 -115- ANNEX VIII Page 47 8. The stumpage price for sawlogs has been determined for softwoods and hardwoods grown in the south of the country (Imatong). This is set out in table 2, and gives a softwood residual stumpage price of £S100/m3 (round) for a selling price of £S728/m3 (sawn) and a hardwood price of £S200/m3 (round) for a selling price of ES1109/m3 (sawn). These latter two stumpage prices appear to be high, but the rotations for softwoods (25 years) and hardwoods (40 years) are long and the return on invested capital is only about 10X. -1 16- AMNE Vill Tabte 2 SUDAN: STUMPAGE PRICE OF SAWLOGS (SOFTWOOD AND HARDWOODS) S O f T W O O D m3 t M t .3 t .3 t r o u n d - S a w n - r o u n d - s a w n - (45S Conversion) (45S Conversion) £ £ £ EE £ £ L I £ 1 Stumpage 100 200 (222) 4 -4200 281 ( 444) 622 Sawing Cost (246) 1 492 (20S more expens ve)( 295) 413 Profit (20) ( 49) 96 ( 59) 83 Sub-total (517) 1034 ,(798) 1118 Transport river 1600 kis ( 64) - 128 ( 91) | 128 Road - say 200 kms (22) 44( 31) 44 Handling ( 4) 1 8 ( 4) 6 Sub-total (90) _ 180 (126) 178 Delivered Khartoum (607) 1212 ( 924) 11296 Mark up 205 (121) 242 (185) 259 Selling price (728) 1454 (110) 1555 I. I The current market price in Khartoum is LIM3 Norway Spruce (Austria/Belgium) 692 Radiata pine (NZ) 765 (Average of above two prices 728.5) Scots pine (Sweden) 1042 With a stumpage price of £100 for softwoods and £200 for hardwoods, the return on invested capital will be about 105. ASSUMPflONS: Softwood (Cupressus spp.). Pinus patula. etc.. grown on 25 year rotation. Expected total yield 625 3l/ha (25 3/ha/yr). 2 .3 air dry wood -1 tonne. - Hardwood (Teak, etc.) grown on 40 year rotation. Expected total yield 800 m3/ha ( 0 m/ha.yr). 3 1.4 m air dry wood a 1 tonne. Source: Commercial Forestry. Sudan Forestry Sector Review. I. Bird. (1985) World Bank Report (Adapted). *-117- *ANEX VIII SUDAN Appendix 1 FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW UNIT PRODUCTION COST OF CHARCOAL DELIVERED T THE IRKETM1) (5). Traditional Improved Brick Kiln - ~~~~~~~~~~~Kiln Traditional with Kiln with Briquetting I ____ __ Briguetting UNITS St PER TONNE DELIVERED 3 WOOORAM MATERIAL() - 12 9 6 Brick kiln (depreciation) - 3.0 Metal sheet and chimney (depreciation) - 0.6 Labour including simple tools 41.7 31.1 20.8 Manager - 6.9 5.3 3.3 Water for labourers 11.1 8.3 2.8(3) Sacks 19-.4 19.4 f9.4 Less returned sacks'2) -1.9 --1.9 -1.9 Briquetting Costs () - 3.2 2.6 Production Costs 77.2 66.0 SO.0 Fines and powder Xt) 0.33 0.33 of which 0.25 of which produced at site 1 (not used) 0.25t 0.20t or at depot or at market) briquetted briquetted (1) This refers to a *on of charcoal sold at the market containing only a small percentage of fines. (2) Assumed about 10X of sacks reuseable. (3) Assumed charcoal made near to drinking water. (4) Briquetting of 0.25 t of charcoal for every 0.75 t of lump charcoal produced. Briquetting takes place at the depot and/or the market place. Cost of briquetting, including binder, labour and depreciation costs £13Mt. For brick kilns o.20 t briquetted for every 0.80 t of lump charcoal produced. (5) Brick kilns can only be used where wood is available in a continuous supply at a short distance (say up to 50 kms from the kilns). Once plantations are established or high rainfall savanna managed, brick kilns can be economical to use. Source: Report on Charcoal Production in the Sudan D.E. Earl, Energy Research Council - USAID Report No. 2, February. 1984. KHARTOUM, SUDAN (Adapted). -1 18- _ i nd chfL'-_.:. L =*=_ == == ~~~~~~__ _. _? -1-r: = _________ c.s_ __ 1soiApic_G5_,,CJ - ShA~ C~ IS:v~ AD~ SLpe t@n,iEh ochacp.T?i -qtN 'yio.i c~!~. __- _--=-_rrAt --=- c r . . _r_-___-_ 20e- ooz..~0O 30Q....... woo- J200 - ...f 0 r-U -- 3i- -r' 20 =-~~M ;bIRCEWi;;iOAkhf - _- r _ b42 t- - -- FueJ&: L ~cdc~ - - - -- -m g -_r__ oIa-isrs,..cOs__ _=__ = -_w _neJ U L4W 4cS b ___ ______6. -_.__. -7t h.Z lil64- l __i - _ _ x |~~~~4C&L-" Id°*sb BioiF .................__-=A --isu -119- _______ N e - Vi t:~~~~~~~~~~~~_ S MzDr2_#C2 _d tark~c> plce 1" -chA-ovreo =---= dis'cesfr0 whe-rckct ,,,v e.b ueits 9 ___W : , - _ --- .-- -- _ _ - _-_ -_= _ _ _ - _ - -_ ,C 7 -_L-S_ t & .-4: A_ C1~~ia~~4&aj_dtli w.(ct,sE OI4L4TV4 OACCE ~- vy - - , _P -Ito --arc: =taKsd.w- . . - - . - - adtaTu YdlF- _ ___ 4 -_=-loO_ .__,en _oe-__ Ae o _c , #e- 40 '... : B uwCU5 e1V-4 '- t48 d A9su't/t.-vp {fln--ns- _ -- B-°ick k cCoSc( - - ~-:~---- ~- .~~---. -T~~~ ~ ~~~ - -- - f -Cb-,-~ _ -120- ANNEX IX SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW ECONOMIC MODEL 1: The Management of Natural Savannah Woodlands 1. At present, there are about 94 million ha of natural savannah woodlands in Sudan. of this total, 57 million ha are in the South of the country, and overall they are producing a surplus of wood much of which goes unused. It is the 37 million ha in the North that are being eroded because of over-cutting. In particular, the 10 million ha that lie within a radius of 500-600 km of Khartoum. It is this area that is most under threat and it will disappear by the turn of the century if some form of management is not undertaken on it. Much of this land is not gazetted and therefore at present, it is difficult to undertake protection. The types of woodland found within a 500-600 kms of Khartoum are given in Table 1. The total growing stock is approximately 356 million m3 and the estimated allowable cut 12 million m3. However, the demand for woodfuel and poles in the above area is of the order of 22 million m3 so the growing stock is being depleted at the rate of 10 million m3 per year. Indeed, if consumption continues at the present per capita level, by the year 2000, it will have grown to some 37 million m3 and all the woodland area will be reduced to scrub. Table I also gives an estimate of the annual yield if the savannah area could be brought under management. With care, the growing stocK could be increased by about 35% by protecting regeneration to increase stocking density. Also, by increasing management intensity, the nominal rotation age could be shortened. These measures could double the annual allowable cut to 23 million m3 per year. Even if the stocking density could not be increased, the annual yield could be increased by 5 million m3 to some 17 million m3 by better management. However, because of the relatively low stumpage price for woodfuel due to long haulage distances, it would only be possible to spend not more than £S1.6 per ha per year in the bush lands to just break even if annual yield could be sustained at 1.4 m3 per hectare. Similarly, the rates for low rainfall savannah would be of the order of £S2.4 per ha per year, savannah woodland £S3.3 per ha per year and high rainfall savannah £S2.2 per ha per year. If improved charcoaling techniques were introduced on the traditional earth kiln, then the respective rates per ha per year would be £S2.8 (bushland), £S4.4 (low rainfall Savannah), £S6.7 (Savannah), ES6.2 (high rainfall Savannah). Whether such improvements could be achieved with such a low amount cannot be stated. What is required is urgent experiments to see what improvement can be made at what costs. Although the per ha sum is low, the total amount comes to some £S22 million or with improved charcoaling techniques, some £S42 million. -121- ANNEX rX Tabte 1 - SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW THE NATURAL SAVANNA WOODLANO WITHIN-A 500-600 KM. RADIUS OF KHARTOUM A: Type of woodland with estimated growing stock and yield Average Woodland Area Growing stock including Annual allowable cut Nominal Rainfall Type branches I Rotationi No mill ha qha total mill m3 *3/ha total mill m3 Yrs. Approx. 400 Bushlands 3.43 14- 28 72.03 0.6-1.1 2.92 50 400- 600 Low rainfall 5.27 21- 44 171.28 0.7-1.5 5.80 60 savannah 600- 950 Savanna 1.17 44. 98 83.07 1.3-2.8 2.40 70 woodlands . 900-1000 High rainfall 0.20 98-195 23.30 2.8-5.6 0.84 70 savannah TOTAL 10.07 35 355.68 1.2 11.96 B: improved Management Approx. 400 Bushlands 3.43 28 96.04 1.4 4.80 40 400- 600 Low rainfall 5.27 44 231.88 2.2 11.60 40 savannah 600- 950 Savannah 1.17 98 144.66 4.4 5.15 45 woodlands 90g-1o0o High rainfall 0.20 :95 39.00 8.6 1.72 45 savannah TOTAL 10.07 48 481.58 2.3 23.27 -122- ANNME X Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW ECONOMIC MODEL 2: Plantations or Planted Farm Trees Grown in the Savannah Areas Traditional Forestry Plantations 1. One way to increase output of fuelwood, timber and other tree products is to plant and manage trees. Table I gives the anticipated average annual yield rotation that could be expected from plantations grown in the different rainfall areas. Table 1 Anticipated Plantation Yield and Rotation Average Woodlanda/ Growing Stock Annual Rainfall Type Including Branches Yield Rotation (Mm) (m3/ha) (m3/ha) (yrs.) Approx. 400 Bushland 15 2.5 15 400 - 600 L.R. Savanna 23 4.0 15 600 - 950 Savanna W. 38 9.0 10 900 -1000 H.R. Savanna 71 17.0 10 a/ L.R. Low Rainfall; H.R. - High Rainfall; W. - Woodland. 2. The range is from 2.5 m3/ha in areas of approximately 400 mm/annum to 17.0 m3/ha where the annual rainfall is between 900-1000 mm. In the low rainfall areas, the anticipated rotation is 15 years whereas it is 10 years in the higher rainfall area. Of course shorter rotations could be introduced. Experiments are already being carried out in USA with such species as Prosopis and Leucaena which are grown on one to three year rotations. Prosopis is grown in the lower rainfall areas and Leucaena in the higher rainfall areas. Yields about twice the anticipated figures given in Table I have been achieved. These figures are therefore conservative but should be achievable by the forest service and/or farmer, without much difficulty. Using the figures given in Table 1, and average costs of growing plantations of say Eucalyptus sp, prices can be determined for trees grown in the four zones that will give a return of 1OZ on invested capital. Any price greater than this will mean the grower is receiving more chan 10% and vice-versa. Stumpage price models for the four zones are given in Appendices 1 and 2, and a summary is given in Table 2. -123- ANNEX X Page 2 Table 2 Minium SWage Price That a Gracr ftst Receive In Order To Obtain 10% Returm n onwestent Using Traditional Forestry Methods (X a 10 or 15-Year Rotatimn IhitS ES/o3 74Me Iw Rainfall ghi RainfIL Ashland Savannah S vannah Savarnah (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) Rotations of (Yrs) 15 15 10 10 Total emiture (over 50 or 75 years) 867 677 867 677 867 677 867 677 Total vom (over 50 or 75 years) 187.5 300 450 850 Sgpae price (1) With no inccne fram trees cleared froa land 48.3 42.3 29.6 26.2 10.0 8.6 5.3 4.6 (2) With iIKXD frwm trees cleared fram land 46.2 40.1 27.9 24.2 8.6 7.2 3.8 3.1 (a) Cost with average mangenmt; (b) Costs with efficient mnagment. 3. It will be seen chat the minimum stumpages prices are high especially for bushlands and low rainfall savannah. Today GOS is collecting about £S1 per m3 as royalty (stumpage) for trees cut for charcoal. The study on stumpage rates (as a variable of distance from the market) (Annex VIII) shows, that even if the production unit was within 50 kms ot the market, the stumpage price that the charcoal producers could afford to pay is between fS5 and £S8 per m3 and this drops to between £S3 per m3 at a distance of 550 kms away from the market. iD orde- ihat plantation grown species in the 400 mm rainfall (bushland) area aive a 10% return on investment either the cost of growing trees would have to be reduced by 90% that is from £S867 to £S87 per ha over 75 years or the volume would have to increase 10 times from 187.5 m3/ha to 1875 m3/h.a over the same period. Clearly both of these alternatives are highly unlikely. 4. Establishing plantation schemes in areas of rainfall greater than 600 mm (savannah and high rainfall savannah) could be an economic proposition, especially if they are near rail or river routes, and improved charcoaling techniques are introduced. The grower would then receive between £S6 and £SII per m3 at a distance of 550 kms from the market. However, the initial capital outlay is quite large, a 1000 ha plantation would require about £SO.5 million in the first three years and it would take ten years to recover all these costs. -124. ANNEX X Page 3 Mechanized Forestry Plantations 5. Besides establishing plantations by traditional means, it is possible to use techniques similar to that employed by the mechanized agricultural corporation and also using short rotation species such as Prosopis and Leucaona. Appendix 3 illustrates a model on the four savannah areas (Appendices 1 and 2). The same average yields have been used but the rotation has been reduced to 3 years with 4 coppice rotations of 3 years. The costs have also been reduced to less than half but this is of course over 15 years and not 50 or 75 years. Table 3 gives a summary of the minimum stumpage price in order to give a 10% return on investment. Table 3 inionm Stimqage Price That a Growr Must Receive In Order To Obtain 10% Retun on Investmxt Using Mchanized Forestry Methods and Short Rotatin Spcies Ubits £S/m3 kme LUw Rainfall High Rainfall nuhlards Savannah Savamnah Saaah (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) NDtations (Yrs.) Yrs. 3 3 3 3 Total eexmlditure (over 15 years) £ 399 260 339 260 339 260 339 260 Total volume (over 15 years) m3 37.5 60 135 255 SDuqege price (1) With no income frmn trees cleared f ran ard 12.0 9.5 7.5 5.9 3.3 2.6 1.8 1.4 (2) With ixfnce from trees cleared from land 10.8 8.2 6.3 4.7 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 (a) Cost with avrage mmageint; (b) Cbsts with ef ficie lnt sert. 6. Even the bushland areas (400 mm rainfall) with efficient management it may be economic to grow plantations to satisfy the woodfuel demands for the urban market especially since the anticipated yields may be on the low side. Much will depend on how effectively the mechanized farming methods can be transferred to forestry, and whether the costs pertaining to mechanized agriculture are applicable to forestry. Experiments should be started to monitor costs and yields. Trees should also be incorporated into the mechanized agricultural system as a rotational crop. Both prosopis and leucaena are nitrogen fixing species. Once sorghum or millet have exhaisted the land, these tree species could be seeded and allowed to grow for a period of time in order to restore the fertility of the land and at the same time producing a cash crop. -125- ANNEX X Page 4 7. Even if 'mechanized forestry' and trees in the mechanized agricultural syetem are successful from a yield/land fertility viewpoint, they will only be economically successful if small diameter trees can be used for making acceptable charcoal. It may be necessary to introduce cheap briquetting techniques because more powder and fines may be produced with small diameter trees. Plantations Using Multi-Purpose Trees 8. Multipurpose trees such as Prosopis and Leucaena could be grown for animal feed as well as wood. Two models have been compiled and these are given in Appendices 3 and 4. The second part of Appendix 3 gives the minimum stumpage price assuming animal feed is obtained in years 6, 9, 12 and 15 and is valued at £S10 per ton. This price is much smaller than the market price (aDout £S200 per ton) but it is not known whether there is a commercial domestic or export market for animal feed. This is an important investigation that should take place quickly. 9. Appendix 4 is a model based on a seven-year rotation, with direct sowing tree seeds rather than planting. It is anticipated that pods or leaves will be collected for fodder in years 4, 5, 6, 7 of any rotation except the 1st rotation where the collection will be in years 5, 6 and 7. Again a feed price of £S10 per ton has been assumed. Tables 4 and 5 give the anticipated stumpage price when animal feed is included as a cash crop. -126- ANNEX X Page 5 Table 4 Minion Stumpage Price Mhat a Gwer Mot Heceive In Order Tb obtain a 10% Hetum on Investmeat Iking Mhanizd Forestry Mthods S&ort-Tem Rotatin Species and Producing Animal Feed and Wood hits S/M3 bar Rainfall Hi RW nfall Bushlas Smaah Savamah Savarah (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) Rotaticxus Yrs. 3 3 3 3 Total expenditure (over 15 years) £ 399 260 339 260 339 260 339 260 Total inoo fron (over 15 years) £ 25 25 41 41 90 90 163 163 feed Total volume (over 15 years) m3 37,5 60 135 255 Stumpage prime (1) Witti D incom fran trees cleared fron land 11.4 8.9 U.9 5.3 2.7 2.0 1.2 0.8 (2) With innao fron trees cleared fron land 10.2 7.6 5.7 4.1 1.6 0.9 (c) (c) (a) Cost with average nanagement; (b) Costs with efficient ummagement; (c) costs are already covered 'y other inr . -127- ANNEX X Page 6 able 5 Minimnm SttWge Price That a (ksr Kit RPceive In Order To Obtain a 1Z Retunm an Investment Usinag Direct Soadg Species hat Produce Aanmal Feed as Well as Wood units fS/m3 &ve Lw Rainfall High Rinf &ub]aods Samah Sash amh (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) Rotaton 7 Total exnditure (over 35 years) £ 428 335 428 335 428 335 428 335 Ibtal Incoe fron (over 35 years) £ 178 178 292 292 647 647 1203 1203 feed Total volume (over 35 years) m3 87.5 87.5 140 140 315 315 595 595 Wlth no incazP frou land clpearig or fodder 17.3 13.4 10.6 8.2 4.8 3.7 2.5 2.0 With inmce from land clearing only 16.0 12.0 9.4 7.0 3.6 2.5 1.3 0.7 With D ix m from land clearing income fran fodder 15.0 11.1 8.4 6.0 2.5 1.4 0.3 (c) With incae from both lnid clearing arid fodder 13.8 9.9 7.2 4.8 1.4 0.3 (c) (c) (a) Cost with average nagement; (b) Costs wdth efficient mgement; (c) costs are already evered by other incame. - 10. If there is a market for animal feed or if the subsistence farmer has to supplement feed for animals, then planting multipurpose trees should be profitable in areas of rainfall greater than 500 mm. Even in bushland areas, it may be profitable to grow multipurpose trees especially with mechanized forestry techniques. 11. Tree Planting As a Way to Increase Crop Production On Traditional Farmland. Besides giving animal fodder, many multipurpose trees fix nitrogen as well as acting as a nutrient pump, circulating minerals from the lower soil horizons to the top soil via the leaves. Therefore trees can maintain if not improve soil fertility (and friability). Trees can also improve the micro-climate thus improving agricultural crop yields. If the correct species of trees are chosen and are judiciously spaced in the farmers field, then all the benefits previously mentioned can be achieved while at the same time there is the bonus of 'on-farm- wood which could be used for fuel, posts and building. Appendix 5 quantifies the benefits from tree planting, assuming a 5-10% increase in agricultural production due to the presence of trees. Bayoumi (1976) has stated that the increase could be as great as 20%, but as yet, there is little experimental evidence to support such an increase. A summary of Appendix 5 is given in Table 6. -128- ANNEX X Page 7 Table 6 Per Farm Hectare Total and Discounted Gosts of thie Planting of 160 Trees an Farm in Agro-Forestry Formations, and Total and D1scomted Pe':emues From Incease in Aeric rall Yield (Sorgkm) In Variou Savannah Zae - 35 Year Cycl hmmd Gosts Zone AU areas Bushland L.R. Savannah Sarannah H.R Savannah per Farm 1evemie Per Farm Hectare Hctare (1) (2) 5M (3) 10% 5% l%X 10% 5% 10% Tbtal cost/ Bevemie 12.70 43.65 87.35 55.20 110.60 84.90 169.85 104.70 209.50 DiscQmted Cost/Revalue 8.70 10.38 20.73 13.07 26.22 20.16 40.27 24.83 49.69 Net Discouant Revenue 1.68 12.03 4.37 17.52 11.46 31.57 16.13 40.99 (1) Miese costs are direct costs ouly for , saFrg, wedir and singling. AU other costs such as sroand reparMintm protectimxi and rent have beem ascibled to the agriciltural crop. (2) The Ist alternative assiwd that the overall agricultural increase is 5K per hectare wnm the trees are seven years old. Ihe average inrease in yLeld is 2.8%. Mis inclides the area occpied by the trees. (3) The 2nd alternative assume that the overaul agriclturml increase is 10% per hectare wben the trs are seven years old. DIe a-erage is 5.5%. 12. If the agricultural production is of the order of 2.8% overall (5% at year 7), then even for bushland areas (400 mm of rainfall), there is a net discount revenue of ES1.7 at 5%. In other words, the increase in agricultural production more than pays for the additional cost of sowing and tending the tree seeds. Therefore the wood az- animal feed from the trees are a bonus and any income from either selling the fodder and/or wood is surplus. Most of the wood grown on farm will be for self consumption but there may be some surplus which could be sold. The estimated rural consumption for a family of six to seven people is about 10 m3/Year and to supply this amount of wood from trees planted on farm in agro-forestry formations may require as much as 40 ha in bushland areas to as little as 6 ha in high rainfall savannah areas. However, the area required in low rainfall areas (400 mm/year) may be exaggerated for little information is available on yield, especially from trees grown on farm. Agro-forestry research to determine yields from agricultural crops and trees as well as suitable tree species and planting patterns are urgently required. However, it appears that trees planted on farm are one of the best solutions to at least meeting the rural requirements for wood products while at the same time maintaining if not enhancing farm production. -129- ANNEX X AoOendi X I Page I SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW TabLe 1 sUDAN ANTICiPATED PER HECTARE COSTS AND YIELDS ON PLANTATIONS GROWN TREES IN BUSHLANO AND LOW RAINFALL SAVANNA ON A 15 YEAR ROTATION WITH 4 COPPICE ROTATIONS USING TRADITIONAL NETHODS Year Operation Direct Overhead Costs Total Yields (m3/ha Costs alternatives Costs bushland low rainfall savannah (a) (b) (a) (b) (i) (ii) Is Is LS is is O Sale of wood (2) CLS Zt) (LS 33) from cleared area o Initial establishment(3) 268 95 60 363 328 Bealing up A weeding(4) 49 20 14 69 63 2 Weeding 12 10 7 22 19 3-1S O/H per year 0 5 3 5 3 m3/ha *3/ha 15 Fell 27 44 16 Coppice reduction 12 5 3 17 15 17-30 O/H per year 0 5 3 5 3 30 Fell 51 81 31 Coppice reduction 12 5 3 17 1S 32-45 O/H per year 0 5 3 5 3 45 Fell 43.5 70 46 Coppice reduction 12 5 3 17 1S 47-60 O/H per year 0 5 3 5 3 C Fell 36 57 61 Coppice reduction 12 5 3 17 15 62-75 O/H per year 0 5 3 5 3 75 Fell 30 48 TOTAL 377 490 300 867 677 187.5 300 2.5 4.0 m3/ha/a Note: (1) Overhead costs include an allowance for land rent of LS1.50 per ha per year. In most forest services overhead costs are about the same as direct costs excluding land rent (alternative a). If the forest service is efficient or if the plantingacd maintenance is undertaken by a private individual or firm. then overhead costs could be about half of direct costs, excluding rent (alternative b). (2) It is assumed that the existing wood on the land is sold standing at LSI er m3 On dry bushland, average stocking is 21 m3/ha and on low rainfall savinna 33 m3/ha. Alternatively, the land may have been cleared already. In that case there would be no initial income. -130- A Page 2 (3) Initial establishlent costs are: £ C i) Plants (1600) 160 1ii) Prep ground and clearing 48 (iii) Planting 24 i iv) Weeding 36 Total 268 (4) Year I costs are: £ ( 1) Weeding 26 ( 11) Replacing dead plants 7 (iii) Plants (10) 16 Total 49 These costs (3) and (4) have been taken from various projects throughout Sudan and have been averaged. TabLe 2 NET DISCOUNTfED EXPENDITURE AT 10 AND DISCOUNTED VOLUME AT 101 USIN6 Bushland Low rainfall savannah (a) (b) (a) (b) Total expenditure £ 867 677 867 677 Discounted expenditure With no income from standing crop 488 427 4B8 427 With income from standing crop 467 406 455 394 Discounted volume 10.1 10.1 16.3 16.3 TabLe 3 MINIMIM STUMPAGE PRICE TO GIVE 102 RETURN ON INVZSTNENT USING 3. Units.LS per U Bushland Low rainfall savanna (a) (b) (a) (b) With no income from standing crop 48.3 42.3 29.9 26.2 With income from standing crop 46.2 40.1 27.9 24.2 V ~~~-131- Appendix Z Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW SUDAN ANTICIPATED PER HECTARE COSTS AND TIELDS ON PLANTATION GROWN TREES IN SAVANNA WODA AD HIGH RAINFALL SAVANA ON A 10 TEAR ROTATION WITH 4 COPPICE ROTATIONS USING TRADITIONAL METHODS Year Operation Direct Overhead Costs(l) Total YieLds n3/ha) Costs alternatives Costs high rainfaLL savannah savannah (a) (b) (a) (b) 0 Sale of wood from cleared area(2) CLS 71) CLS 146) Initial establlshient (3) 268 95 60 363 328 - I Beating up and weeding(4) 4i 22.5 15.5 71.5 64.5 2 Weeding .12 12.5 8.5 24.5 20.5 3-10 O/H per year ' 7.5 4.5 7.5 4.5 m3/ha m3/ha 10 Fell - 65 123 11 Coppice reduction 12 7.5 4.5 19.5 16.5 12-20 O/H per year 7.5 4.5 7.5 4.5 20 Fell 122 230 21 Coppice reduction 12 7.5 4.5 19.5 16.5 22-30 O/H per year 7.5 4.5 7.5 4.5 30 Fell 145 198 31 Coppice reduction 12 7.5 4.5 19.5 16.5 32-40 O/H per year 7.5 4.5 7.5 4.5S 4b Fell . 86 163 41 Coppice reduction. 12 7.5 4.5 19.5 16.5 42-50 O/H per year 7.5 4.5 7.5 4.5 so 50 Fell 72. 136 TOTAL 377 490 300 867 677 450 850 9.0 17.0 m3/ha/a Notes: (1) Overhead costs lnclude an allowance for land rent of LSt.50 per ya per year. In most forest services overhead costs are about the same as direct costs excluding land rent (alternative a). If the forest service is efficient or if the planting and maintenance is undertaken by a private individual or firm, the overhead costs ./2... -132- AMEndtX 2 Page 2 could be reduCed to about half of direct cots, excluding rent (alternative b). (2) It is assumed that the existing wood on the land is sold standing at LS¶per m3. On savannahland, average standing 71 .3/ha and on high rainfall savannaih 146 .3/ha. Alternatively the land may have been cleared already. In that case. there would be no initial income. (3) See Appendix I a (4) See Appendix I TABLE 2 NEr pISCOUNT EXPENDITURE AT 10S AND DISCOUNTED VOLUME AT t0S USING (iii) Savannah (iv) High rainfall savannah ( a ) (b) (a) tb) Total- expenditure £ 367 677 867 677 Discounted expenditure With no income from existing standing crop 516 446 516 446 With income for existing standing crop 445 375 370 300 Discounted volume 51.8. .51.8 97.8 87.8 TABLE 3 MIN[MUM STUMPAGE PRICE To GIVE A 10Z RETURN ON INVESTMENT USING Savanna h High rainfall savannah (a) (b) (a) (b) With no income from standing crop 10.0 8.6 5.3 4.6 With income from standing crop 8.6 7.2 3.8 3.1 -133- Annex X ind1x 3 APPENDIX 3 Page I TABLE 1 SUDAN: ANTICIPATED PER HECTARE COSTS AND YIELDS ON PLANTATION GROWN Y!FLns USING SHORT ROTATIONS, LEGUMES AND SEEDING WrTH MECHNAIZATION SIMILAR TO THE MECHANIZED AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM Yr. Operation Direct Overhead Cost(1) Total Yields(5)t6)m3/ha Cost Costs (a) (b) (a) (b) ( i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (3) I n c o m e 0 Est blishment 27.4 28.9 15.2 56.3 46.2 CLS21) CLS33)CLS71)(LS146) 1 Ueeding(4) 26.0 10.2 5.8 36.2 31;8 Prosopis Leucao%na 2 10.2 5.8 10.2 5.8 m3/ha 3. Fell 10.2 5.8 10.t. SS 5.4 8.7 19.5 36.9 4 Weeding4 26.0 10.2 5.8 36.2 31.8 5 10.2 S.8 10.2 5.8 6 Fell 10.2 5.8 10.2 5.8 10.2 16.2 36.6 69.3 eeding4) 26.0 10.2 5.8 36.2 31.8 10.2 5.8 10.2 5.8 9 Fell 10.2 5.8 10.2 5.8 8.7 14.1 31.5 59.4 10 Weedingt ) 26.0 10.2 5.8 36.2 31.8 11 10.2 5.8 10.2 5.8 *^ Fell 10.2 5.8 10.2 5.8 7.2 11.4 25.8 48.6 .j Weedin9 ) 26.0G 10.2 5.8 36.2 31.8 14 10.2 5.8 10.2 5.8 15 Fell 10.2 5.8 10.2 5.8 6.0 9.6 21.6 40.8 157.4 181.9 102.2 339.3 259.6 37.5 60.0 135.0 255.0 2.5 4.0 9.0 17.0 m3/ha/y (1) Overhead cost - See Appendix r (2) See ApDendix I and II (3) Establishment costs taken from average mechanised agricultural costs. (4) Weeding costs assumed to be the same as traditional forestry costs year 1. r @ ~~~~~~~~~~~ANNX x I 134 - Apendi 3 § ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Page 2 (5) The yields are the same as assumed under However, much greater yields are reported from experiments up to 13.4 tons/hg/year Cabout 23 .3Iha/year) with a rainfall of 460 m, using Prosopis Chilens1s and up to 15.5 tons/halyear 26 m3fha/year with the same species DuE With a r all of 700 m. However, inputs would probably also be 2 to 3 times that above. (6) It may be possible to obtain some pods/leaves for animal feed. The following is an estimate of the off-take in ton s by year:- Year. (1) 001 (iii (Iv) 6 0.8 1.3 3.0 5.0 9 0.7 1.1 2.4 4.5 12 0.5 0.9 2.0 3.7 15 0.5 0.8 1.6 3.1 The anticipated value of such animal feed should be at least LStOper tonne. TABLE 2 DISCOUNTED EXPENDITURE AT lOZ AND DISCOUNTED VOLUME @ tOS USING Table 1 Data low rainfall high rainfall bushland savanna savannah savannah (Q) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) Total expenditure 399.3 259.6 399:3 259.6 339.3 259.6 339.3 259.6 Discounted expenditure With no income from standing crop 206.2 162.6 206.2 162.2 206.2 162.6 206.2 162.6 With income from standing crop 185.2 141.4 173.2 129.6 135.2 91.6 60.2 16.6 Discounted volume 17.2 t7.2 27.5 27.5 62.2 62.2 117.3 117.3 TABLE 3 MINIMUM STUMPAGE PRICE TO GIVE 10w RETURN ON INVESTWENT USING Table 1 Data low rainfall high rainfall bushland savanna savannah savannah (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) With no income from standing crop 12.0 9.5 7.S 5.9 3.3 2.6 1.8 1.4 With income from standing crop 10.8 8.2 6.3 4.7 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 ../3... ! ~~~~~~~~-135- AMEX X ;Ap;endix 3 3 - ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Page 3 -ABLE 4 DISCOUNTED INCOME AT 10S FRO4 ANIMAL FEED low rainfall high rainfall bushland savanna savanna savanna (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) Total income from pods, etc. I 25 25 41 4! 90 90 163 163 Discounted income from pods/leaves 10.3 10.3 16.8 16.8 37.3 37.3 66.5 66.5 Net discounted expendlZ'-_ With no income from standing crop 195.9 152.3 189.4 145.7 168.9 125.2 13i97 96.1 With income from standing crop 174.9 131.3 156.3 112.8 97.9 54.3 - 6.3 -49.9 Discounted volume 17.2 17.2 27.5 27.5 62.2 62.2 117 3 117.3 TABLE 5 MINIMUM STUMPAGE PRICE TO GIVE 10: RETURN ON INVESTMENT USING Table .4 Data- low rainfall high rainfall - bushland savanna savannah savannah (a) (b) (a) (b) (a)- (b) (a) (b) With income from pods but no income 11.4 8.9 6.9 5.3 2.7 2.0 1.2 0.8 frou standing crop With income from pods and income - from standing crop 10.2 7.6 5.7 4.1 1.6 0.9 Cc) cc) Cc) cack tlkcvL g1reAA3 bl e.t .ecl -136- Annex X RUMendx 4 Page I Tabte 1. Sudan Inticiated per hect"re costs and yields of wood and animal foddirgrown in the savanna woodland low rainfall high rainfall Direct cost 0/H cost Total cost Bushland savama Savanna savanna Yr Operation a) b) a) O Clearing Income LS LS LS LS LS CLS21) CLS33) CLS71) CLS146) 0 Init1al Est. (direct sowing) 98 98 49 196 147 Yield Y;eld Iel1A TmJlt 1 Weed + beating up with seed 29 24 14 53 43 T/ T/ T/ T pod a pod m leave m leave * 2 Weed 12 3.5 2.5- 15.5 14.5 2 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 4 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 S 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.6 0.9 2.1 3.9 6 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.8 1.2 .2.8 5.1 7 Fell 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.9 12.5 1.4 21 3.2 46 5.9 86 8 Singling & Weed 12 3.5 2.5 15.5 14.5 9 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 10 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 11 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.8 1.3 3.0 5.0 12 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 1.1 1.8 4.0 7.4 13 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 1.4 2.3 5.2 9.7 -14 Fell 3.5 2.5 . 3.5 2.5 1.6 24 2.7 38 6.0 86 11.1 162 15 Singling * Weed 12 3.5 2.5 15.S 14.5 16 -3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 17 3.5 2.5 -3.5 2.5 18 . 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.7 1.1 2.4 4.5 19. 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.9 1.S 3.4 .6.4 20 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 1.2 2.0 4.4 8.4 21 Fell .3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 1.4 21 2.3 33 5.1 73 9.6 139 22 ingling + Weed 12 3.5 2.5 15.5 14.5 23 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 24 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5- 25 - '.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.5 0.9 2.0 3.7 26 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.7 1.3 2.8 5.2 27 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 1.0 t.7 3.7. 6.8 28 Fell 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 1.1 16 1.9 26 4.2 60 7.8 113 29 Singling and weed 12 3.5 2.5 15.5 14.5 30 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 31 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 32 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.5 C.8 1.6 3.1 33 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.7 1.1 2.3 4.4 34 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.9 1.4 3.0 5.7 35 Fell 3.5 .2.5 -3.5- 2.5 1.0 14 1.6 22 3.5 50 6.6 95 TOTAL 187 241 148 4z8 335 17.8 87.5 29.2 140 64.7 315 120.3 595 0.5 2.5 0.8 4.0 1.8 9.0 3.4 17.0 a3/ha/y ./2.. -137- ANNEX X Append1x 4 Page 2 Notes: LS (1) Initial establishment:- Preparing ground and clearing 48 Sowing 12 Weeding 36 Seeds 2 w (2) Weeding and beating up with:- Weeding 26 Sowi ng. 3 Seeds (including above) 0 (3) O/H incLuding rent of *S1.50 per ha for the Land. Assumptions as per Appendix x. (4) YieLd of animaL feed C(n tons) - Prosopis pods and Leuciena Leaves has .been taken as about 20Z of the wood production. The totaL production as uentioned previousLy is a.conservative figure. It is assumed that the standing price per ton is LS10. This is much Lower than the market price in the USA which is about LS2DW/ton CUSSIWO/ton). Table 2 Net Discount expenditure, discounted income and discounted volume *. at 101 discount rate using 4a data. Low rainfall High rainfall bushland savanna savannah savannah (a) (b) (i) (b) (a) (b) (a) (b) Total expenditure 428 335 428 335 428 .335 428 335 Income frau feed S £10/t 178 178 292 292 647 647 1203 1203 Income from initial standing vol. 21 21 31 33 71 71 146 146. Discounted expenditure With no income from standing crop- 295.4 228.5 295.4 228.5 295.4 228.5 295.4 228.5 With income from standing crop 274.4 207.5 262.4 195.5 224.4 157.5 114.4 82.5 Discounted income from pods 38.5 . 38.5 61.6 61.6 139.2 139.2 256.4 256.4 Net discounted expenditure With no income from standing volume 256.9 190.0 233.8 166.9 156.2 89.2 39.0 -27.9 I h income from standing volume 235.9 169.0 200.8 133.9 85.2 18.3-107.0 -173.9 Discounted volume 17.1 17.1 27.9 27.9 62.0 62.0 116.7 116.7 Table 3 Minimu stumpage price to give 101 return on investment using 4a data With no income from standing crop 1.7.3 ,;.4 10.6 8.2 4.8 3.7 2.5 2.0 With income from standing crop 16.0 12.1 9.4 7.0 3.6 2.5 1.3 0.7 With income from pods but no income from standing crop 15.0 11.1 8.4 6.0 2.5 1.4 0.3 - With income from pods and 13.8 9.9 7.2 4.8 1.4 0.3 - standing crop ! Table 1. SUDAN: IhCREASE IN PER HECTARE AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT DUE TO TREES NINALLY COVERING ONE TENTH OF THE AREA (160 TREES PER HA) BEING PLANTED OR RETAINED IN VARIOUS AGRO-FORESTRY FORMATIONS Anticipated average increase In sorghum production in four savanna areas assuming that trees increase production by (1) 5% (2) 10% DUSHLANO L.R. SAVANNAH SAVANNA. H.R. SAVANNAH Year Increase Average increase Average Increase Average Increase Average Increase in yield in yield In )ield in yield in production due of yield of crop of crop of crop trees as a X of sorghum due to sorghum, yield sorghum yield sorghum yield full 4ncrease without presence without due to without due to without due to in yield trees of trees trees trees treeS trees trees trees 5S 101 5% 10% 5S 10% 5% IOS% S kg , kg kg kg kg kg kg kg kg kg kg 0 0 530 0.0 0.0 670 0.0 0.0 1030 0.0 0.0 1270 0.0 0.0 I 10 530 2'.6 5.3 670 3.4 6.7 1030 5.2 10.3 1270 6.4 12.7 2 23 530 6.1 12.2 670 7.7 15.4 1030 11.8 23.7 1270 14.6 29.2 3 37 530 9.8 19.6 670 12.4 24.8 1030 19.1 38.1 1270 23.5 47.0 4 53 53') 14.0, 28.0 670 17.8 35.5 1030 27.3 54.6 1270 33.7 67.3 5 75 530 19.9 39.8 .670 25.1 50.3 1030 38.6 77.2 1270 47.6 95.3 6 90 530 23.9 47.7 670 30.1' 60.3 1030 46.3 92.7 1270 57.1 114.3 7 100 530 26.5 53.0 670 33.5 67.0 1030 57.5 103.0 1270 63.5 127.0 TOTAL 102W8 205.6 130.0 260.0 199.8 399.6 264.4 492.8 14.7 29.4 18.6 37.1 28.5 57.1 35.2 70.4 Average( ) % S 2.8 5.5 2.8 5.5 2.8 5.5 2.8 5.5 (I) StrictLy, the average should be david.t4 by 8 and not?7 unless the trees were cut exactly on the 7th anniversery. However, over 5 rotations, the average approaches 7. * rn 'X Tabte 2. Anticipated cost of planting 160 trees per hectare and revenue from increased sorghum yield Year Cost of BUSHLAHD I L.R. .SAVANNAH I SAVANNAH I H.R. SAVANNAH tree planting Revenue from increased sorghum yield 4t 185 per tonne all areas 5% 10% 5% 10% 5% 10 5X 101 £__ l) _ £ I I I 0 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 2.90 0.22 0.45 0.29 0.57 0.44 0.88 0.54 1.08 2 - 0.52 1.04 0.65 1.31 1.00 2.01 1.24 2.48 3 _ 0.83 1.67 1.05 2.11 1.62 3.24 2.00 4.00 4 1.19 2.38 1.51 3.02 2.32 4.64 2.86 5.72 5 1.69 3.38 2.13 4.28 3.28 6.!5 4.05 8.10 b _ 2.03 4.05 2.56 5.13 3.94 1.88 445 q-7. 7 . 2.25 4.50 2.85 6.70 4.38 8.76 5.40 10.80 TOTAL (2) 7.90 8.73 17.47 11.04 22.12 16.98 33.97 20.94 41.90 Discount C/R e 101 7.63 5.40 10.84 6.84 13.71 10.54 21.06 12.99 25.99 rotations (3) 4.80 34.92 69.88 44.16 88.48 67.92 135.88 83.76 167.60 Total cost/revenue 12.70 43.65 87.35 55.20 110.60 84.90 169.85 104.70 209.50 -140- ANNEX X Appand1 x 5 Page 3 Notes on table Sb: (1) Costs taken from Appendix 4. It is assumed that for trees planted on farm, there are no cLearing costs or overhead costs. These are born by the agricuLturaL cropCs). Therefore the onLy costs ascribed to pLanting trees are (ner 160 trees). Direct sowina and seeds LS1.4. Weeding year 0. LS3.6 Weeding and repLacing dead pLants Year I LS2.9. SingLing and weeding iears: 8, 15, 22, 29, LS1.2 per year. (2) The discounted costs, and revenue is for one rotation only. Like Appendix 4. it is assumed that the lifetime of the tree crop is 35 years (5 rotation of 7 years of which 4 rotations are from suckers). Years 7, 14, 21 and 28 become Year 0 of the next rotation. (3) These are the costs and revenues for the 2nd to the 5th rotation. (4) These are the total costs and revenues over the lifetime - 35 years. Anticipated discounted costs and revenues over 5 rotations (35 years) allowing for variations in tree crop yield as per table 4a (1) Units discounted LS Rotation Discounted BUSHLAND L.R. SAVANNAH SAVANHNAH H.R. SAVANNA Rotation costs IH..SVNA all areas *D i s c o u n t e d Revenue 5% 10% 5% 10% Ss 10% 5% 10% 1st 7.63 3.84 7.74 4.88 g9-q 7.53 15.04 9.?7 18.56 2nd 0.56 3.80 7.63 4.81 9.65 7.42 14.82 9.14 18.29 3rd 0.29 1.76 3.42 2.16 4.33 3.33 6.65 4.10 8.20j 4th 0.15 0.66 1.34 0.84 1.69 1.30. 2.60 1.60 3.21 5th 0.07 0.30 0.60 0.38 0.76 0.58 1.16 0.72 1.43 Total 8.70 10.38 20.73 13.07 26.22 20.16 40.27 24.B3 49.69 (1) The actual and discounted revenue as a percentage of average revenue is taken as follows:- 1st Rotation 71.4%; 2nd Rotation 137.2%; 3rd Rotation 120%; 4th Rotation 91.4: and 5th Rotation 80.0S. -141- ANNEX XI Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW ECONOMIC MODEL 3: TREE PLANTING ON IRRIGATION SCHEMKES Introduction 1. Because the main Northern urban demand centers and in particular Khartoum are in bushland/semi desert areas where growth is sparse, it has been suggested that in order to meet some of the demand for charcoal and other wood products, irrigated forest plantation schemes could be established near to the towns. This section looks at the cost and returns of growing trees on irrigation schemes. Cost Assumptions 2. Various assumptions have been made when compiling the costs of growing trees under irrigated conditions. First, it is assumed that the plantation scheme coavers all costs, that is canal excavation and maintenance, ditching, irrigation and guarding as well as the normal forestry operations. Secondly, it is assumed that the government pays the canal irrigation costs. Finally, it is assumed that the trees are planted as shelterbelts and therefore the canal, ditching, clearing and watering costs are carried by the agricultural crop. The costs for the main canal irrigation work are as follows: New Scheme Gezira Managil Halfa Rahad Average Total all costs Units £ Sudan per ha in 1985 terms. (direct and overhead) 1,124 933 1,133 2,552 1,436 These are total costs including overheads but additional overhead costs have been allowed in this study namely (a) Es 144/ha or (b) Es 288/ha. The average cost of Es 1,436 per ha has been assumed as the direct cost. 3. Forestry costs are as follows for a spacing of 3m x 2m (1650 pp ha):- -142_ ANNEX XI Page 2 Traditional Ditches Made (Abu Sitta Ditches) Costs per ha Year Operation (1984) DIRECT COSTS (LSd) O plants 161.6 O transport plants 7.6 O ditching 12.3 1/ O planting 38.5 o irrigation, weeding, guarding 142.9 I irrigation, weeding, guarding 142.9 2-7 irrigating/guarding 50.0 (per year) 1/ Price given as LS6.15 but no allowance made for depreciation of tractor so cost doubled). Overhead costs can be as much as 50% of total costs or 100% of direct costs. Two variations have been assumed - (A) 50% of direct costs (B) 100% of direct costs. The costs by year are set out in Table 1. It is assumed that the crop is on a seven year rotation and 4 copice rotations are taken from the same tee as well as the first crop from the initial planting, so in tctal there are 5 rotations per planting (35 years in all). Year 7 is Year 0 for the 1st copice rotation and so on. -143- AM= xi Page 3 TabLe I PER HECTARE COSTS AND VOLUME PRODUCTION FOR AN IRRIGATION PROJECT AT GIZERA VOLUME PRODUCTION FULL COST OPERATION WINDOBREAK OPERATION BOTH OPERATIONS YEAR OPERATION DIRECT COSTS OVERHEAD COSTS DIRECT COSTS OVERHEAD COSTS YIELD OPERATIONS OPERATIONS OPERATIONS d3/ha A 8 A 8 St Sf St SE St St 20 20 30 O Canals 1463 144 288 a 0 0 O Ditching 12 6 12 0 0 0 O Forestry' ops. 351 175.5 351 210 105 210 I Weed&iater 143 75.5 143 24 12 24 2 Weed&Water 107 53.5- 107 a S 10 Weed&Water 50 25 50 0 5 10 4 Weed&Water .50 25 50 0 5 10 5 weed&Water 50 25 50 0 5 10 6eedWater SO 25 50 0 5 10 - 7 Fell 50 25 - 50 0 5 10 101 126 151 8 Weed Water and single 143 71.5 143 12 6 12 9 as above 107 53.5 107 0 5 10 10 WeedSWater 50 25 50 0 S5 10 11 WeedLWater 50 25 50 0 5 10 12. WeedWater SO 25 50 0 5 10 13 Weed&Water 50 25 .50 0. 5 10 14 Fell SO 25 50 0 5 10 190 238 286 15 Weed Water and single 143 .71.5 143 12 6 12 16 as above 107 53.5 107 0 5 10 17 Weed&Water SO 25- 50 0 S 10 18 Weed&Water 50 25 50 0 5 10 I" Weed&Water 50- 25 50 0 5 10 -2 WeedSYater 5o 25 50 0 5 10 21 Fell 50 25 50 0 5 10 163 203 244 22 Weed Water and single 143 71.5 143 12 6 12 23 as above 107 53.5 107 0 5 10 24 Veed6Water 50 25 50 0 5 10 25 WeedWater 50 25 50 0 5 10 26 WeedgWater 50 25 50 0 5 10 27 WeedgWater SO 25 SO 0 5 10 28 Fell SO 25 50 0 5 10 134 168 201 29 Weed Water and single 143 71.5 143 12 6 12 30 as above 107 53.5 107 0 5 10 31 Veed6Water 50 25 50 0 5 10 32 Weed&Water 50 25 50 a s 10 33 Weed&Water SO 25 SO a 5 10 34 WeedgWater 50 25 50 0 5 10 35 Fell 50 25 50 0 5 10 112 140 168 TOTAL 4299 1575.5 3151 282 291 582 700 875 1050 /4 -144- ANNEX XI Page 4 Yields 4. With regards to yields, three yields have been assumed, namely 20 m3/ha/yr, 25 m3/ha/yr and 30 m3/ha/yr. Over the 35 years the total yield comes to 700 m3, 875 m3 and 1,050 m3, respectiveLy. However the yield varies according to the particular rotation. The variation Is as follows: Rotation No. % of average rotation yield 1/ 1 72.1% 2 135.7% 3 116.4% 4 95.7% 5 80.0% (average) 100.0%) _,/ 140 m3; 175 m3 and 210 m 3, respectively for 20, 25 and 30 - m3/ha/year. Discount Rates 5. Two discount rates have been chosen to determine minimum stumpage price (a) 10%; (b) 20%. The expenditure alternatives (two overhead costs) have been discounted at the above rates. Similarly, the three volume alternatives have been discounted at the two discount rates. Minimum Stumpage price 6. In order to arrive at a minimum stumpage price, the discounted expenditure has been divided by the discounted volume. The calculations are shown in Appendix I and 2. This minimum stumpage price is the price required per m3 (of all above ground volume) in order to earn either 10% or 20% on investment. Table 2 sets out the minimum stumpage for the three direct cost alternatives with the variations to overhead costs, yields and discount rates. -145- ANNEX XI Page 5 Table 2 MINIMUM STUMPATE PRICE TO OBTAIN.A RETURN-OF (a).1t% (b) 20% ON INVESTED CAPITAL Irrigation (Full Cost) 10% Return 20% Return Uverhead Cost Alternative Overhead Cost A;ternative Yield A B. A B ( i) 20 m3/ha/a 23.62 28.71 57.60 68.76 (ii) 25 m3/ha/a 18.90 22.97 46.11 55.05 (iii) 30 m3/ha/a 15.75 19.14 38.44 45.89 Irrigation (No Canal Costs) ( i) 20 m3/ha/a 12.09 i6.13 24.42 32.56 (ii) 25 m3/ha/a 9.68 12.91 19.55 26.06 (iii) 30 m3/ha/a 8.06 10.76 1.29 21.73 Windbreaks (No canal, ditching or watering costs. 'Reduced Overhead Costs) ( i) 20 m3/ha/a 2.94 4.11 7.77 10.63 ( ii) 25 m3/ha/a 2.35 3.29 6.22 8.51 (iii) 30 m3/ha/a 1.96 2.74 5.19 7.09 -146- ANNEX XI Page 6 7. It will be seen from Table 3 that if it is necessary to pay full irrigation costs even with reduced overhead costs, the minimum stumpage rate that has to be charged to earn 10% on invested capital is more than the charcoal producer can afford to pay - namely LSd5.1 (earth kiln), LSd7.9 (improved earth kiln) and LSd14.3 (brick kiln per m3) even if the trees are within 50 kms of the market. (See Annex VIII). If the Government were to pay the main canal costs, the project has to be on top of the market, and managed very well in order to give a 10 return on investment. Only in the third alternative, that is where trees are grown as windbreaks, does the economic calculation look promising. However, where firms, such as sugar companies have waste water, equipment that has already been depreciated and minimum overhead costs then the costs should be somewhere between irrigation (no canal costs) and windbreak costs. Irrigation Using Multipurpose Trees 8. If tree species are chosen that yield say animal feed as well as wood, then this will bring in extra income and thus reduce the minimum stumpage price. Extrapolating using the data given in the sector under the plantations in high rainfall savanna areas, then animal feed could reduce the minimum stumpage price by between 40 and 45%, but even so, the minimum stumpage price in order to earn a 10% return on investment under the full cost model, will still be more than the charcoal producers are willing to pay. In other words, if wood is grown it will earn less than 10% on investment. 9. However, if there are no main canal costs (as for instance, when plantations are established in cut-out areas in exieting irrigation schemes), then again it should pay to grow multipurFose trees and likewise for windbreaks and industry with waste water and low direct and overhead costs. 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At present the area cleared for mechanized agriculture both planned (demarcated) and unplanned (undemarcated) is approximately 4.5 million ha with an equal share going to planned and unplanned. However, not more than half of this total is under agricultural crop at any time, the remainder is either abandoned or fallow. The planned land is under tie control of the mechanized farming corporation, whereas the unplanned has either been allocated by the regional governments or has been cleared by farmers/merchants without permission. Although the mechanized agricultural corporation gives 25-year leases (in minimum parcels of 1,000 feddans (420 ha), very little of this "planned" land is farmed with a view to cropping it for 25 years. Generally, the land is completely cleared by cutting the bush and trtes and burning them on the spot. It is then farmed for a maximum of four to five years with sorghum as the only crop using very little inputs, if any, such as fertilizers or pesticides. There follows a 7-10 year fallow period and then the land is recultivated and cropped for another 2-3 years maximum, after which the soil is so degraded that the land is abandoned. The same thing happens on the uncontrolled land except no formal leases are issued. The current rent for controlled land is LS2.28 per ha/yr (LSI per feddan) although when the corporation first started it was LS0.024 per ha/yr. It is not known what the 'rent' is for the uncontrolled land. 2. Ideally the annual rainfall should be more than 600 mm but because of a shift South of the rainfall pattern, some of the land first cleared for farming has been abandoned because of too little rain. 3. Over the next fifteen years it is estimated that another 0.8 million hectares of land could be cleared for mechanized agriculture and another 0.9 million ha for traditional agriculture. Approximately 0.95 million ha will be in Central Kordofan and Darfur provinces and 0.75 million ha in Upper Nile, Bhar el Ghazal and Equatoria provinces (Table 1). -150- ANNEX XII Page 2 Table 1 An Estimate of the Cu'rent Area of Land Cleared for Mechanized Agriculture with Forecasts to the Year 2000 - --Units '000 ha---------- Land Forecast of Area Estimated Total Cleared for To be Cleared land cleared by Province Nech. Agric. 1986-2000 2000 1985 Mech. (for mechanized Agric. Other Total agriculture) Northern - - Eastern 1,310 - - - 1,310 Central 1,650 80 100 180 1,730 Khartoum - - - - _ Kordofan 730 270 200 470 1,000 Darfur 170 100 200 300 270 Sub-total "North' 3,860 450 500 950 4,310 Upper Nile 600 320 150 470 920 Bhar el Ghazel 30 50 130 180 80 Equitoria - - 100 100 Sub-total "Sou.h" 630 370 380 750 1,000 TOTAL 4,490 820 880 1,700 5,310 _- - The Role of Trees as a Source of Charcoal and Other t_ca Products 4. Trees could play a number of roles in the mechanized farming system namely as a producer of nitrogen fertilizer, a salvager of other mineral elements, an improver of the microclimate thus increasing the crop yield and finally as a source of wood energy and other wood products. 5. Before land is cleared for farming, the average growing stock of trees in the 600 mm rainfall -one is about 38 m3 per hectare (27 ton/ha). If this could be turned into charcoal or sold as fuelwood or poles, it is worth approximately LSd38 per hectare or 15 years of the current rent. Because licenses to clear land for mechanized farming are generally issued late and/or because the merchants/farmers are not aware of this asset, very little of the wood is utilized for charcoal production, etc. Also the merchants do not have to pay for the wood on the land; in fact they look on the trees as an impediment rather than an asset. The 4.5 million ha of land that have been cleared already for mechanized agriculture would have yielded about 14.25 million tons of charcoal if all the wood had been -151- ANNEX XII Page 3 converted into charcoal. This is equivalent to nearly six years supply of present (1985) charcoal consumption (2.4 million tons) or over three and a half years supply of all wood products. Thus if the trees were cleared in a timely fashion and converted into wood products they could help relieve the pressure on other woodland areas. Over the next 15 years it is estimated that about 1.4 million ha (0.8 mechanized agriculture and 0.6 traditional farming) will be cleared in Central, Kordofan, Darfur and Upper Nile provinces; provinces that are relatively near the charcoal demand centers of Khartoum, Central and Eastern provinces. These areas if systematically cleared could yield over 3.5 million m3 per year - between 0.30 and 0.4 million tons of charcoal (or nearly 40Z of the total current urban household demand for charcoal) over 50% of the urban charcoal demand in Khartoum, Central and Eastern provinces. In order to ensure that much of this wood is utilized, it is recommended that the merchants/farmers should have to pay for the tree crop on the land as well as a land rent. This could lead to a much more systematic use of the tree crop and also make the people aware of the value of this asset. 6. When licenses are given to farm the land for mechanized agriculture, the merchants/farmers are supposed to leave, or replant with trees, 15% of the land as shelterbelts. Apart from improving the microclimate and hence the crop yield, shelterbelts could also provide green manure and wood products, in particular, charcoal. Table 1 estimated that by the year 2000, 5.3 million ha will have been cleared for mechanized agriculture. If the 15% rule is enforced, and there are sound agricultural reasons for enforcing it, then about 0.8 million ha could be under shelterbelts. This would yield up to an estimated 3.2 million m3 annually or between 0.3 and 0.4 million tons of charcoal equivalent. In addition, the 0.9 million ha of land cleared for traditional agricultural farming, if planted with scattered trees could yield 0.5 million m3 of wood. Finally, legume trees could be incorporated into the agricultural cropping system or planted on abandoned agricultural land in order to bring the fertility and friability back to the soil - without a large input of artificial fertilizer - thus saving foreign exchange. 7. Quick grown legume trees such as Prosopis and Leucaena could be incorporated into the farming system, in permanent or semi-permanent shelterbelts or scattered throughout traditional farmers' fields. The leaves could be cut and ploughed into the soil and the wood used for fuel and poles. Being legumes they also produce a profusion of flowers which are an excellent source of honey nectar. 8. Where land has been abandoned because of severes oil degradation, tree legumes may have to be grown over the entire area and only after six to nine years will the tree crop be cut down and crops planted. Thus, at any one time, up to one-third the area could be under a tree legume crop. Of course, if the main purpose of the legumes is to restore fertility then the emphasis will be on the production of leaves, say of leucaena, therefore the production of wood will be a secondary consideration. However, it is anticipated that about 2 m3 of wood could be produced each year as well as four tons of leaves for mulch or green manure per tree hectare. There may be a problem utilizing small diameter stems and if -152- ANNEX XII Page 4- charcoaled, a considerable quantity of powder and fines may be produced which would have to be briquetted. Therefore, methods of charcoaling or charing and briquetting small diameter wood will have to be refined and market acceptability tested. Also methods of mulching/green manuring have to be tested and demonstrated to the farmers. 9. By the year 2000, there v'ill be an estimated 5.3 million hectares under mechanized agriculture. If the trees are salvaged from land to be cleared and if trees are incorporated into the system as shelterbelts and providers of green manure, then it is possible to obtain annually up to 5.5 uilli'.v m3 of wood from the equivalent of 1.8 million ha of land (Table 2) and sustain agricultural production on 3.5 million ha of land at either at-ut 1.4 tons/ha of sorghum equivalent or 5.0 million tons of sorghum equivalent per year. Table 2 Sudan: Estimated Yield of Wood from 'arious Interventions on Mechanized Agricultural Land (Units mill m3) Target Year 1990 1995 2000 15% tree cover Trees from clearing land annually - all provinces ('000 ha) (60) 2.3 (55) 2.1 (50) 1.9 Shelterbelts - no green manure: (Cumulative area '000 ha) (265) 0.0 (530) 1.0 (800) 3.2 or Shelterbelts - with green manure (265) 0.0 (530) 0.5 (800) 1.6 TOTAL 2.3 2.6-3.1 3.5-5.1 33% cover Trees from clearing land ('000 ha) (60) 2.3 (55) 2.1 (50) 1.9 Tree legume shelterbelts providing green manure (590) 0.5 (1,180) 1.7 (1,770) 3.6 TOTAL 2.8 3.8 5.5 -153- ANNEX XII Page 5 10. The estimated demand for all wood products by 2000 assuming conservation methods are adopted is 51.6 million m3. So in theory trees from mechanized agriculture could supply up to 10% of estimated wood demand as well as sustaining agricultural production on the whole area. In addition, the area cleared for traditional agriculture could supply about 33 million m3 from clearing woodland over the next 15 years. If agro-forestry practices were vigorously pursued with a 15% to 33% tree cover tnen by the year 2000 this could yield another 0.6 million m3 in addition to fodder and/or green manure. The Role of Trees as a Producer of Nitrogen Fertilizer and Other Mineral Elements 11. Legume trees provided the correct rhizobium is present fix nitrogen when it is deficient in the soil. Trees also act as a nutrient pump capturing through the roots mineral elements that have been leached from the top soil and returning then to the top soil via the leaves. On a site with rainfall in excess of 1200 mm per year, such species as Leucaena can produce 16 air dry tons of foliage and small twigs per year. However, in Sudan in the 600 mm rainbelt zone with one rainy season per year, it is estimated that the average foliar production will be of the order of 4 tons (air dry) per year. This foliage could be cut from the trees and laid on the ground or plowed in. Tree legumes generally break down rapidly and encourage a rich micro-funa in the soil. Table 3 gives an average dry weight of various nutrient elements as a percentage of dry matter. Table 3 Fertilizer Elements in Dried Leucaena Foliage (Including fine stems)l/ Percentage of Element Dry Weight Nitrogen (N) 2.2 - 4.3 Phosphorus (P) 0.2 - 0.4 Potassium (K) 1.3 - 4.0 Calcium (Ca) 0.8 - 2.0 Magnesium (Mn) 0.4 - 1.0 1/ Source Leucaena promising forage and tree crop for the tropics (U.S. National Academy of Science, Washington, D.C., 1977). -154- ANNEX XII Page 6 12. Using the above figures, four air dry tons (15% moisture content dry basis) of leaves and small twigs will produce an average 110 kgs N, 10 kg. P, 90 kgs K, 48 kgs Ca and 24 kgs Mn as well as various trace elements. Of course, not all the nitrogen will be available to the plant for denitrifying bactoria will convert some of the nitrogenous compounds back to nitrogen gas but an estimated 40% or 44 kgs will be available for agricultural use each year. Also, because the nitrogen and other mineral elements are incorporated into the soil humus they are only released slowly and therefore their fertilizing effect can be carried over for two or three years. 13. Because of the relatively high cost of establishing a tree crop, it is probably too expensive to grow trees for 3 years then up-root them and grow agricultural crops for another 3 years, and so on, hence, the strategy of planting about one-third the area in strips and using the leaves from these strips as mulch. 14. The effect of fertilizer on plant growth depends on the inherent quality of the soil in which the agricultural crop grows. However, on typical agricultural land which has just been cleared from virgin woodland, the production is said to drop off rapidly from about 1/2 ton/ha of sorghum in the first year to 0.8 ton/ha the second and 0.40 ton/ha in the third year. In the second rotation (after 7-10 years rest), the yields are about 0.8 ton/ha in the first year and 0.4 ton/ha in the second year. 15. The production of sorghum could be maintained at say 1.2 ton/ha by using artificial or natural fertilizer. However, in order to maintain the soil structure, an annual green legume crop such as clover should be incorporated into the artificial fertilizer system" say every fourth year. It may be possible to maintain the humus level by ploughing in the sorghum stalks and applying fertilizer but this option is more uncertain than the green manure one. Likewise, phosphate may have to be added to the tree legume system from time to time although in theory there is enough phosphate within the leaves. These three systems have been compared and are detailed in Appendix 1 and 2. It is assumed that when tree legumes are used, one third of any hectare will have the tree crop on it and the other two-thirds sorghum. It is further assumed that in order to maintain the output of 1.2 ton/ha using artificial fertilizer, 100 kgs of 20:10:10 N.P.K.I/ would have to be applied to 'exhausted' soil and proportionally less to partially exhausted soil. The models also assume that these two alternative fertilizer methods are incorporated into newly cleared voodlands and so there are enough inherent nutrients withlin the soil in the first year to exclude the need for applying fertilizer. A summary of Appendices 1 and 2 is given in Tables 4-5. 11- 100 kgs of 20:10:10 N.P.K. will yield 20 kgs of available N. 10 kgs of available P and 10 kgs of available K. The cost of such compound fertilizer is about U.S.$250 delivered to the site LSd500). -155- ANNEX XII Page 7 Table 4 Sudan: A Comparison of Natural and Artificial Fertilizers on One Hectare of Mechanized Agricultural Land Costs and Returns With Tree Legumes As the Source of Fertilizer On a 15-year Cycle, Trees Occupy One-third Area LSd per farm ha Options Units LSd/ha (ii) (iii) (v) ~ (VI) Additional expenditure on trees 86.5 113.1 86.5 113.1 Additional net income from sorghum 910.0 800.0 400.0 290.0 Average additional net income p.y. (excluding wood) 54.9 45.8 20.9 10.5 Average additional net income p.y. (including wood sales)a/ 58.9 49.8 24.9 14.5 Net discounted revenue (excluding wood) (.'' 403.6 333.3 147.6 77.0 Net discounted revenue (includinr wood) (10X) 431.2 360.9 175.2 104.6 Total Sorghum yield per year per two thirds ha (t) 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 Foreign exchange cost over the cycle 19.6 33.3 19.6 33.3 Foreign exchange cost per year 1.3 2.2 1.3 2.2 a/ Income from sale of standing trees assumed to be LSd per m3. Note: Option (ii) assumes efficient management and efficient cutting and spreading of tree leaves and twigs. Option (iii) assumes average management and average cutting and spreading of tree leaves and twigs. Option (v) as per option (ii) except anticipated increase in sorghum yield half expected increase. Option (vi) as per option (iii) except anticipated increase in sorghum yield half expected increase. -156- ANNEX XII Page 8 Table 5 Costs and Returns With Artificial Fertilizer As the Source of Fertilizer on a 15-Year Cycle. Green manure Annual Crop Every Fourth Year, Or Fertilizer Only on a 15-Year Cycle, Sorghum Stalks Ploughed In Artificial Artificial and Clover Only Additional expenditure on fertilizera/ 558.0 1,098.0 Additional income from sorghum 1,122.0 1,428.0 Average additional net income p.y. 37.6 22.0 Net discounted revenue (10% discount rate) 144.0 136.0 Total sorghum yield per ha/year (t) 1.0 1.2 Foreign exchange cost over the rotation 320.0 790.0 Foreign exchange cost per year 21.3 52.7 a/ Fertilizer used 100 kg/ha/a N.P.K. 20:10:10. 16. All the tree legume options give the greatest net discounted revenue, the least foreign exchange cost, and the best average net income per year except where the sorghum yield is half the anticipated yield. This alternative has been incorporated into the model to give an idea of the effect of a 15% tree cover on mechanized agricultural land which is supposed to occur in theory. However, it is anticipated that the producticn of leaves will be greater than the 4 ton/year average because of a longer rotation and hence a larger average biomass production. The rotation of three-year sorghum and one-year annual legume give the next best returns with the complete artificial fertilizer option the least profitable. Of course this latter option gives the greatest yield of sorghum per hectare (1.2 ton), but open agricultural land may be subject to wind and water erosion, thus bringing about a decrease in yield due to removal of top soil. Also shelterbelts could increase overall production by between 10% and 20%. Therefore, the incorporation of tree legums should be vigorously pursued especially as trees also improve the micro-climate and hence the crop yield. The Role of Trees As an Improver of Crop Yield Through the Improvement of the Micro-Climate 17. There is documented evidence about the effect of shelterbelts on the improvement of crop yield, especially on irrigated land. Most of the work on shelterbelts on non-irrigated land has been undertaken in the temperate zone but some work has been done in the tropics with such species as Acacia Albida, A. Senegal, Prosopis cineraria, P. juliflora and Albizzia tebbek - all tree legumes. Up to a 25% increase in crop yield has been recorded when shelterbelts have been incorporated into the system in -157- ANNEX XII Page 9 temperate zones and shelterbelts have proved effective in combating wind erosion in temperate zones and in theory they should also be efficient in African dry lands. This should be especially so in Sudan which is renowned ior sand storms. Erosion has already been recorded on the mechanized agricultural areas so that even if artificial fertilizer are used as in the above model, there is a chance of a reduction in crop yields due to wind and perhaps water erosion. Therefore, from this perspective, the incorporation of shelterbelts into the system seem to be necessary to combat soil loss and sand creep. 18. Mechanized agricultural land is supposed to have 15% of its land under shelterbelts. Shelterbelts are effective up to about 14 times the height of the trees on the leeward side, where wind speed is reduced to approximately 40% of the full wind speed. There are sufficient trees in both options to bring about at least this reduction in wind speed. However, with only 15% tree cover, the fertilizing effect from the trees will be approximately 60X that of the 33% cover (Appendix 1). In Sudan, shelterbelts could act in two ways. First, they could improve the microclimate by decreasing the wind speed thus reducing evaporation. Secondly, they should filter out sand during dust storms, thus decreasing crop damage and soil erosion. It is assumed that the combined effect of these actions will increase crop yield by between 10 and 20% as compared to the open field, thus with a 15% and 33% tree cover, the respective increases in sorghum yield will be: (a) 10% increase (50 kgs and 80 kgs per year) and (b) 20% increase (100 kgs and 160 kgs per year per hectare). 19. In terms of costs and benefits, Appendix 4 gives the financial returns from such shelterbelts assuming that the agricultural crop is sorghum. Thiz is summarized in Table 6. -158- ANNEX XII Page 10 Table 6 Financial Benefits of Shelterbelts or Scattered Trees Covering (a) 15X and (b) 33% of the Land in Rainfed Agricultural Area Units LSd Per Hectare 15% Tree Covera/ 33% Coverbl (6-Year Rotation (3-Year Rotation 30-Year Cycle) 15-Year Cycle) (i) (iv) ( {iv) Total expenditure on trees 73.8 52.0 113.1 86.5 Total income from increased sorghum yield 130.0 260.1 102.0 204.0 Net income 56.2 208.1 -1.1 117.5 Average net income per year 1.9 6.9 -0.7 7.8 Discounted expenditure (10% discount rate) 27.0 18.7 68.7 54.1 Discounted income (10% discount rate) 42.9 85.4 51.3 102.3 Net discount revenue (10% discount rate) 24.2 66.7 -17.4 48.2 a/ 85% agricultural area with 15% tree cover. b/ 67% agricultural area with 33% tree cover. Ui) Average management, 10% increase in agricultural yield due to shelterbelts. (iv) Efficient management, 20% increase in agricultural yield due to shelterbelts. r 20. In all models, except the 33% cover with average management and 10% increase in sorghum yield, the total income from increased yield exceeds the total expenditure and in all cases, except the 33% tree cover with average or efficient management and 10% increase in sorghum yield (Appendix 3), the net discounted revenue at 10X discount rate is positive. This means that the positive effect of shelterbelts alone covers the cost of planting and maintaining the trees without taking into account the fertilizing (or fodder) effect of the leaves/pods or the value of the wood products. If the fertilizing effect and shelterbelt effect are combined then the net discounted revenue is positive even at 20% discount rate, so the financial yield may be in the region of 40% (Table 7). -159- nag 11 Table 7 FINANCIAL BENEFITS OF THE CWSINED EFFECT OF SHELTERBELTS OR SCATTERED TUEAND GREEN 14ANURE FRO0t THESE TREES COVERING (a) 151 AND b) 33S OF .THE LARD IN RAIRFED AGRICULTURAL AREAS Unit LS per ha 6 S- tree cover(1) 33S tree covert2) (6-Yr rotation 30 year cycle) (3 yr rotation 15 yr cycle) ( i ) (iv) ( I ) (iv) Total expenditure on trees 73.8 52.0 113.1 86.5 Total income from increased. sorghum yield- 869.5 1280.1 902.0 1114.0 Net income (excluding wood) 795.7 1228.1 788.9 1027.5 Average net income per year 26.5 40.9 52.6 68.5 Net discounted revenue at 10S 387.3 581.4 384.6 505.9 Net discounted revenue 9 20S discount rate -194.9. 236.9 246.4 306.7 Anticipated annual sorqhum yield per combined ha - (ton) . 0.56 0.61 0.88 0.96 Anticipated annuaJ wooo yield per combined ha (a) with green manure from trees - C,3) 1.70 1.70 0.67 0.67 Cb) without areen mauiure from trees - (*3) 3.40 3.40 1.33 1.33 5 I) Average management,10% increase in agricultural yield due to shelterbelts. (iv) Efficient management,20S increase in agricultural yield due to-shelterbelts. (1) 85S agricultural area 15S tree cover. (2) 671 agricultural area with 33S tree cover. -160- ANNEX XII Page 12 21. Of course no account has been taken of the value of the wood or of some economic benefits such as prevention of soil erosion, the continuous cropping of one area, possibly fodder and honey production and the saving of woodlands due to a decrease if not halting of the shifting cultivation cycle, both for mechanized agriculture and traditional agriculture. These benefits could be considerable, and it cannot be emphasized too strongly that specific trees incorporated in the agricultural system and managed properly could maintain if not increase agricultural production on existing land and at the same time provide tree products to at least the rural population. The benefits to the country are also substantial, there will be a saving of foreign exchange through decrease in artificial fertilizer imports, a deceleration in both the clearing of land for agriculture and soil erosion/desertification and a more stable and prosperous population. -161- ANNEX XII Appendix I TabLe I Page 1 Tree legumes grown to supply fertilizer to crops on mechanized agricultural land (600 m rainfall). Cost and yields per hectare of trees (equivalent to 2 ha of agricultural crops) Tree Crop Yield of Anticipated Anticipated Value Net Anticipated Costs () Airdry leaves cost of increase (£85/t) (6) Value Wood and twigs (t) cutting in yield subtracting yield spreading (2 ha farm) cutting cost ledves I land m 3/ha Year (a)(2) (b)(3) (c) (4) b) (5) (Sorghum) (Sorghum) Sorghum £5.5/t £11.0t t £ £ 1' 366.2 8131.8 2.5 14 28 1'W 128 114 100 1 10.2 5.8 2.9 16 32 1.74 148 132 116 3 |10.2 1'5.8 ' 3.3 le 34 l.9R 168 ISO 132 4.4 4 36.2 31.8 4.6 25 50 2.76 234 209 184 5 _I0.2J 5.81 5.4 30 60 3.24 276 246 216 6 10.2 5.8 6.2 34 68 3.72 316 2S2 248 8.1 7 36.2 31.8 4.0 22 44 2.40 204 182 160' 8 .10.2 5.8 4.7 26 52 2.82 240 214 188 9 10.2 5.8 s.4 30 60 -3.24 276 246 216 7.0 10 36.2 31.8 3.2 17 34 1.92 162 145 128 11 10.2 5.8 3.8 21 42 2.28 194 173 152 12 10.2 5.8 4.4 24 48 2.64 224 200 176 5.7 13 36.2 31.8 2.7 15 30 1.62 138 123 108 14 10.2 5.8 3.2 18 36 1.92 164 146 128 is 10.2 5.8 3.7 20 40 2.22 188 168 148 4.8 339.3 '259.6 60.0 330 660 36.nOC 3060, 2730 2400 30.0 Av. 22.6 17.3 4.0 22 44 2Z.40 204 182 16n 2.0 per fat ha 11.3 8.7 2.0 11 22 1.20 102 91 8fl 1.0 Esti- mated For- eign exch. cost 34.0 26.0 33 66 (1) As per Appendix 3 - plantations or planted farm trees on Savanna areas chapter. ,. (2) Costs with goddi6anagement. (3) Costs with j4'iage management. (4) Costs with efficient labour including overheads. (5) Costs with average labour. (6) This is the estimated price of sorghum before it is harvested. -162- ANNEX XKI Table 2 Ap'endix 1 page 2 _ ~~~~(3) Discounted incoim and expenditure on a 15-year cycLe of mechanized agriculturalland with tree legumes,(per bectare of trees). ( 5 ] (55) (iii) (5Y) Total expenditure trees fs 339.3 259.6 339.3 259.6 Total Income (net) from Sorghum £s 2730.0 2730.0 2400.0 2400.0 Incom less expenditure IS 2390.7 2470.4 2060.7 2140.4 Average net Income p.y. IS 159.3 164.7 137.4 142.7 (excluding wood) Income from sales of wood(1) is 180.0 180.0 180.0 180.0 Average net income including wood Es 171.1 176.7 149.4 154.7 (1) Assumed selli im price £6 per m3 standing Discounted '..e.cnditure Is 206.2 162.2 206.2 162.2 Discounted income ES 1373.0 1373.0 1206.0 1206.0 Net discounted revenue excluding wood is 1166.8 1210.8 999.8 1043.8 NOR with sales (2) ES 1249.6 1293.6 1082.6 1126.6 (2) Discounted revenue from I ha of trees *LS6 per m3X 82.8 () Discount rate 10Z. T':e 3 Income and expenditure on a 15-year cycte of mechanized agricultural land with tree legumes per hectare of. land (One Third trees, Two Thirds Sorghum) I ) {ii') (iii) (IV) Total expenditure on trees ES 113.1 86.5 113.1 86.5 Total income (Net) from Sorghum iS 910.0 910.0 800.0 800.0 Income less expenditure is 796.9 823.5 686.9 713.5 Average net income p y (excludina wood)ES 53.1 54.9 45.8 47.6 ,.ncome from sale of wood (totaL) ES 6n.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 Average net income p y (including wood)£S 57.1 58.9 49.8 51.6 Discounted expenditure per ha(4) £S 68.7 54.1 68.7 54.1 Discounted income (excluding wood) ES 457.7 457.7 402.0 402.0 Net discounted revenue (excluding wood)£S 389.0 403.6 333.3 374.9 Net discounted revenue with wood (5) sales £ 416.6 431.Z 360.9 402.5 (4) Discount rate 10X C5) Discounted revenue from One Third of ha of trees Q L56 per m3 u 27.6 NOTE: ( i) Costs with average management and efficient cutting and spreading of leaves. ( ii) Costs with efficient management and efficient cutting and spreading of leaves. (iii) Costs with average management and average cutting and spreading of leaves. ( iv) Costs with efficient management and average cutting and spreading of leaves. -163- TabLe I ANNEX XII Appendix 2 DUPAN Page ¶ FOP:STRY SECTOR REVIEW Application of artificial fertilizer to one hectare of agricultural land with one annual legume crop every four years Anticipated Anticipated cost of Cost of Anticipated application of fertilizer Der ha (Application) increase in yield Value Year fertilizer kg/ha Q £500/t CS250it) £tO/t of Sorghum (t/ha) (185/t) 0 - 0 a a 1 33 17 0 0.4 34 2 67 33 1 0.8 68 3 100 50 1 1.2 102 4 Clover 50 - - 5 33 17 0 1.2 102 6 67 33 1 1.2 102 7 100 50 1 1.2 102 8 Clover 50 - - 9 33 17 0 1.2 102 10 67 33 1 1.2 102 iI loO 50 1 1.2 102 i2 Clover 50 - - - 13 33 17 0 1.2 102 14 67 33 1 1.2 102 15 100 50 - 1 1.2 102 Total 800 550 8 13.2 1122 Average per year SO 36.7 0.5 0.9 748 Estimated foreign exchange cost 320 0 (1) N.P.K. fertilizer (20:10:10) assumed to cost delivered to site S US 250. TabLe 2 -abLe Z ANNEX XII SUDAN Paqe 2 FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Discounted income and expenditure 15-year cycle mechanized aqriculture with artificial fertilizer ana annual lequm every four years per hectare of form Land - Total additional expenditure £ 558 Discounted expenditure (10%) £ 392 Total additional income £ 1122 Discounted income (10%) £ 536 Income less expenditure £ 564 Net discounted revenue (101) £ 144 Average yearly net income £ 37.6 (1) N.P.K. fertilizer (20:10:10) assumed to cost delivered to site SUS250. (2) The above cLover crop adds the equivaLent of 67 kgs/ha of artificiaL fertilizer to the soil the first year after it is ploughed in and 33 kg/ha the second year. The cost of sowing and ploughing in the clover is estimated to'be £50 per ha. TabLe 3 Continuous application of artificial fertilizer to one hectare of mechanized agricultural land and ploughing in of sorghUm stalks - 15-year cycle Anticipated Cost of Cost of Anticipated application Anticipated fertilizer ploughing in Increase in of fertilizer cost of application sorghum stalks Yield of sorghum Value vear Kg/ha £/ha £/ha I/ba tlha £/ha 0 - _ - 24 1 33 17 0 24 0.4 34 2 67 33 1 24 0.8 68 3-15 p.y. 100 50 1 24 1.2 102 p0-15 1400 - 700 14 384 16.8 1428 Av. P.Y. 93.3 46.7 0.9 25.6 1.1 95.2 Estimated foreign exchange cost 560 - 230 TabLe 4 Discounted incomes expenditure 15-year cycle. Units £/ha Total additional expenditure £ 1098 Discounted expenditure ciOX) £ 550 Total additional income 1428 Discounted income C1DZ. £ 686 In:ome less expenditure 330 Net discounted revenue (101) £ 136 Average yearly net income 22 -165- AMNEX XII SUDAN . Apoendi x2 Page FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW Tree legumes grown to supply fertilizer to crops on mechanized agricultural land (600 m rainfall). Cost and yields per hectare .of trees (eauivalent to 2-ha of aaricultural cro0s) Hatf anticipated yieLd of sorghum assumed Tree Crop Yield of Anticipated Anticipated Value Not Anticipated Co ts(l) Airdry leaves cost of increase (185/t) o) Value Wood and twigs (t) cutting in yield subtracting yield spreading (2 ha farm) cutting cost 3 leaves £ land m /ha Year (a)(2) (br (c) M (C)(5) (Sorghum) (Sorghum) Sorghum L5.5/t £11.0t t £ £ 0 56.3 46.2 0 - - - 1 36.2 31.8 2.5 14 28 0.75 64 So 36 2 10.2 5.8 2.9 16 32 0.87 74 58 42 3 10.2 5.8 3.3 i8 34 0.99 -84 66 48 4.4 4 36.2 31.8 4.6 25 50 1.38 117 92 67 5 10.2 5.8 5.4 30 60 1.62 138 108 78 5 10.2 5.8 6.2 34 68 1.86 158 124 90 8.1 7 36.2 31.8 4.0 22 44 1.20 102 80 58 8 10.2 5.8 4.7 26 52 1.41 120 94 68 9 10.2 5.8 5.4 30 60 1.62 138 108 78 7.0 10 36.2 31.8 3.2 17 34 0.96 81. 64 47 11 10.2 5.8 3.8 21 42 1.14 97 76 55 12 10.2 5.8 4.4 2: 48 1.32 112 88 64 5.7 13 36.2 31.8 2.7 15 30 0.81 69 54 39 14 10.2 5.8 3.2 18 36 0.96 82 64 46 1S 10.2 5.8 3.7 20 40 1.11 94 74 54 4.8 399.3 259.6 60.0 330 660 18.00 1530 1200 870 30.0 Av. 22.6 17.3 4.0 22 44 1. 20 . 102 80 58 2.0 per farn. ha 11.3 8.7 2.0 11 22 0.6G 51 40 29 1.0 Esti- mated For- eign exch. cost 34.0 26.0 33 56 (1) As per Appendix 3 -plantations or planted farm trees on savanna1 areas. t2) Costs with goon management. C3) Costs with. average management. (4) Costs with efficient labour including overheads. (5) Costs with average labour. (6) This is the estimated price of sorghum before it is harvested. -166- TabLe O ANNEX XII SUDAN ~~~~~AppenIdix 2 SUDAN . Page 4 FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW (3) Discounted income and expenditure on a 15-year cycLe of mechanized aaricultural.land with tree leaumes oer hectare of trees haLf-anticipated yieLd of sorghum assumed * ( 1 } (1i) (1ii (iV) Total expenditure trees f 339.3 259.6 339.3 259.6 Total income (net) from Sorghum £ 1200.0 1200.0 870.0 870.0 Incoe less expenditure £ 800.7 940.4 470.7 610.4 Average net income p y £ 53.4 62.7 31.4 40.7 (excluding wood) Income from sales of wood(l) £ 180.0 180.0 180.0 180.0 Average net income including wood £ 65.4 74.7 43.4 52.7 (1) Assumed selling price £6 per m3 standing Discounted expenditure E 206.2 162.2. 206.2 162.2 Discounted income E 605.0 605.0 437.0 437.0 Net discounted revenue excluding wood E 398.7 442.8 230.8 274.8 NOR with sales (2) £ 481.5 525.u 313.6 357.6 (2) Discounted revenu'e from 1 ha of trees e £6 per m3 = 82.8 (3) Discount rate 10%. TabLe 7 Income and expenditure on a 15-year cycLe of mechanized agricultural land with tree legumes per hectare of land (One Third trees. two Thirds Sorqhum) HaLtf-anticipated yieLd of sorghum assuaed ( )i) ) (i) MO (iVl Total expenditure on trees £ 113.1 86.5 113.1 86.5 Total income (Net) from Sorghum £ 400.0 400.0 290.0 290.0 Income less expenditure ' 266.9 313.5 156.9 203.5 Average net income p y (excluding wood)£ 17.8 20.9 10.5 13.6 Income from sale of wood I 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 Average net income p y (including wood)£ 21.8 24.9 14.5 17.6 Discounted expenditure per ha (4) £ 68.7 54.1 -68.7 54.1 Discounted income (excluding wood) 1 201.7 201.7 145.7 145.7 Net discounted revenue (excluding wood)£ 133.0 147.6 77.0 91.6 Net discounted revenue with wood 5 sales 160.6 175.2 104.6 119.2 (4) Discount rate 10% 3 (5) Discounted revenue from One Third of ha of trees e £6 per m = 27.6 NOTE: ( i) Costs with average management and efficient cutting and spreading of leaves. ( ii) Costs with efficient management and efficient cutting and spreading of leaves. (iii) Costs with average management and average cutting and spreading of leaves. iv) Costs with efficient management and average cutting and spreading of leaves. -167- ANNEX XuI Appendix 3 Tabte I g Rainfed agriculture. Anticipated increase per hectare in agricultural output due to shelterbelts or trees scattered throughout the field.. 3a. 33% tree cover(1) 3-year rotation -Sorghum expected Anticipated increase in yield Increase in value Year yield (2/3 ha) (M) 10% increase (ii) 20% increase (1) 10% (ii) 20% 0 0.80 - 1 0.50 L.0s 0.10 4.2 8.5 2 0.58 0.06 0.12 5.1 10.2 3 0.66 0.07 0.13 6.0 11.1 4 0.92 0.09 0.18 7.6 15.3 5 1.08 0.11 0.21 9.4 17.8 6 1.24 0.12 0.25 10.2 21.2 7 0.80 0.08 0;16 6.8 13.6 8 0.94 0.09 0.19 7.6 16.2 9 1.08 0.11 0.21 9.4 17.8 10 0.64 0.06 0.13 5.1 11.1 11 0,76 0.08 0.15 6.8 12.7 12 0.88 0.09 0.18 7.6 15.3 13 0.54 0.06 0.11 S.1 9.3 14 0.64 0.06 0.13 5.1 11.1 15 0.74 0.07 0.15 6.0 42.8 Total (exc. Year 0)12.00 1.20 2.46 102.0 204.0 Av. yield 0.8 0.08 0.16 6.8 13.6 (1) Tree establishment costs as per appendix la. TabLe 2 Discounted income and expenditure for above model g fl ) (is) (iii) (iv) Total expenditure on trees (1/3 area) £ 113.1 113.1 86.5 86.5 Total income from sorghum (2/3 area) £ 102.0 204.0 102.0 204.0 Net income (15 years) £ - 11.1 90.9 15.5 117.5 Net income per year - 0.7 6.1 1.0 7.8 Discounted expenditure (10% discount rate) £ 68.7 68;7 54.1 54.1 Discounted income (10% discount rate) £ 51.3 102.3 51.3 102.3 Net discounted revenue (10% discount rate) £ - 17.4 -3.6 - 2.8 48.2 i) Average management. 10% increase in yield due to shelterbelt. ii) Average management, 20% increase in yield due to shelterbelt. (iM Efficient management. 10% increase in yield due to shelterbelt. (iv ) Efficient management. 20l increase in yield due to shelterbelt. -168- TabLe 3 ANNEX XII APpend i x 3 SUDAN Pago 2 FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW 15S% tree cover (6 yr. rotation) rree Expected Increase in Increase in Forestry costs yield Sorghum yield (per forest ha costs) I yield Year Direct O/H (a) O/H (b) r /ha 0.15 ha 0.85 ha 10% 20% 10S 20% £ £ £ m3 t t £ 0 27.4 28.9 15.2 0.68 - - - 1 26.0 10.2 5.8 0.34 0.03 n.06 2.6 5.6 2-6(py) 10.2 5.8 8.7 1.3 0.57 0.06 0.12 5.1 10.2 7 26.0 10.2 5.8 0.51 0.05 0.10 4.3 8.5 8-12 10.2 5.8 16.2 2.4 0.59 0.06 0.12 5.1 10.2 13 26.0 10.2 5.8 0.53 0.05 0.10 4.2 8.5 14-lB 10.2 5.8 14.1 2.1 0.52 0.05 0.10 4.2 8.5 19 26.0 10.2 5.8 0.50 0.05 0.10 4.2 8.5 20-24 10.2 5.8 11.4 1.7 0.47 0.05 0.09 4.3 7.7 1 26.0 IC.2 5.8 0.47 0.05 0.10 4.2 8.5 ao-30 10.2 5.8 9.6 1.5 0.44 0.04 0.09 3.4 7.6 TOTAL 15;.4 334.9 189.2 60.0 9.0 15.30 1.53 3.06 130.0 260.1 Av. 0.51 0.05 0.10 4.3 8.7 1Si 23.6 50.2 28.4 2.0 0.3 TabLe 4 Discounted income and expenditure for above model UNITS £/ha ( i) 10% (ii) 20% (iii) 10% (iv) 20% Total expenditure on trees (15: area) £ 73.8 73.8 52.0 52.0 Total income from increase yield (85% area) i 130.0 260.1 130.0 260.1 Net income £ 56.2 186.3 78.0 208.1 Average net income per year £. 1.9 6.2 2.6 6.9 Discounted expenditure (10% discount rate) £ 27.0 27.0 18.7 18.7 Discounted income (10% discount rate) £ 42.9 85.4 42.9 85.4 Net discounted revenue £ 24.2 58.4 24.2 66.7 i) Average management,10: increase in yield due to shelterbelts. (ii) Average management,201 increase in yield due to shelterbelts. (iii) Efficient management,10% increase in yield due to shelterbelts. (iv) Efficient management,20% increase in yield due to shelterbelts. -169- Tabte I - ANNEX KIU SUDAN Appendix 4 FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW SUDAN: Rainfed agriculture: Combined fertilizer and shelterbelt effect. APPENDIX 4a. 331 tree cover (15-yr cycle rotation of 3 yrs) Units 1/ha ( 1 ) (11 (1ii (1v) Total expenditure on trees (33Z tree cover) 113.1 113.1 86.5 86.5 Income from fertilizer effect 800.0 910.0 800.0 910.0 Income from shelterbelt effect 102.0 204.0 102.0 204.0 Net income 788.9 1000.9 815.5 1027.5 Per year 52.6 66.7 54.4 68.5 Discounted expenditure (101) 68.7 68.7 54.1 54.1 Discounted income (fertilizer excluding wood) (101) 402.0 457.7 402.2 457.7 Discounted income (shelterbelt excluding wood)(M01) 51.3 102.3 51.3 102.3 Net discounted revenue i10S) 384.6 491.3 399.2 505.9 Discounted expenditure - (201) 50.7 50.7 40.5 40.5 Discounted income (fertilizer) (20S) 266.3 286.0 265.3 286.0 Discounted income (shelterbelts) (20S) 30.8 61.2 30.8 '"61.2 Net discounted revenue (20X) 246.4 296.5 256.6 306.7 Anticipated yield t (twc thirds ha) 0.88 0.96 0.88 0.96 Table 2 15 tree cover (30-year cycle rotation of 6 yrs.) UNITS i/ha Total expenditure on trees (1S1 tree cover) 73.8 73.8 52.0 S2.0 Income from fertilizer effect(1) 739.5 1020.0 739.5 1020.0 Income from shelterbelts effect 130.0 260.1. 130.0 260.1 Net income 795.7 1260.3 817.5 1228.1 Per year 26.5 40.2 27.2 40.9 Oiscounted expenditure (10) 27.0 27.0 18.7 18.7 Discounted income (fertilizer) (101) 371.4 514.2 371.4 514.2 Discounted income (shelterbelts) (t0S) 42.9 85.9 42.9 85.9 Net discounted revenue (101) 387.3 573.1 395.6 581.4 Discounted expenditure (201) 20.9 20.9 15.6 15.6 Discounted income (fertilizer) (201) . 193.2 207.5 193.2 207.5 Discounted income (shelterbelts) (201) 22.6 45.0 22.6 45.0 Net discounted revenue (201)- 194.9 231.6 200.2 236.9 Anticipated yield t (0.85 ha) 0.36 0.61 0.56 0.61 (1) Adapted from Appendix Id. ( i) Average management, 101 increase in yield due to shelterbelt. ( ii) Average management, 201 increase in yield due to shelterbelt. (iii) Efficient management, 101 increase in yield due to shelterbelt. iv) Efficient management 201 increase in yield due to-shelterbelt. -1.70- ANNEX XIII Page 1 SUDAN FORESTRY SECTOR REVIEW ECONOMIC MODEL 5: Benefits of Shelterbelts on Irrigated Land 1. There are two main benefits that trees bring to irrigated land. Firstly, they improve the microclimate thus enhancing the crop yield, and secondly, they reduce evaporation thus making water available for more irrigation. 2. It has been estimated that shelterbelts planting on the Gezira would save between 10 to 20% of the water at present used or an annual total of 400 million m3; this is enough to have an additional 33,600 ha under crops. In Gezira the present cropped land is about 420,000 ha, therefore, shelterbelts could increase the total to 453,000 ha using the same quantity of water. However, about 3% of this cropped area would be required for shelterbelts - that is, 13,600 ha, so that the net addition of land for agriculture would be 20,000 ha or an increase of about 5%. 3. When quantifying benefits, it is convenient to divide them between the increase in crop yield on existing land and the additional land brought under irrigation. This is illustrated for Gezira in Table 1. Table 1 Gezira: Area of Land With and Without Shelterbelts Existing Existing Additional Area Area Area Total Area (no trees) (with trees) Under agriculture 420,000 407,400 32,600 440,000 Under trees - 12,600 1,000 13,600 Total 420,000 420,000 33,600 453,600 4. Due to the improvement of microclimate, the crop yield could be increased by up to 20%. Cotton will be used to illustrate the economic benefits of such an increase. The average annual yield of cotton on open fields in the Gezira is about 1,440 kg/ha. A 10% increase in yield will mean 144 kg/ha more per year and a 20% increase of 288 kg/ha. For the original area, the net increases are shown in Table 2. -171- ANNEX XlII Page 2 Table 2 Gezira: Net Increase in Cotton Yield Due to Shelterbelts on the Original Area Existing Existing Yield area after Yield Yield Area tree (10% Net (20Z Net Planting Increase Increase Increase Increase (Aa) ('000 t) (ha) ('000 t) ('000 t) ('000 t) 420,000 604.8 407,000 645.3 40.5 704.0 99.2 Average yield/ha (t) 1.44 1.58 0.10 1.73 0.24 5. Likewise, the 32,600 ha of new area will give an additional yield of 51,600 tons with a 10% increase in production or 56,300 tons with a 20% increase in production. Therefore, the total anticipated increase in cotton yield due to the planting of 13,600 ha of trees is 92,100 tons (1OZ increase assumption) or 155,000 tons (20Z increase assumption). Even if trees did not increase yield through improved microclimate there would still be a net increase in yield of 28,800 tons of cotton per year due to the saving of water which enables a net additional 20,000 ha to be put under agricultural crops. Of course all the above assumptions are based on the saving when the shelterbelts are fully functional, that is after about seven years. Before then, the increase will only be a proportion of the full yield depending on the height and effectiveness of the trees. Table 3 gives the height of the shelterbelt as a percentage of the final height according to age. On average the increase in yield and water availability will be about 60Z of the full yield. This statement has to be further modified because over the lifetime of a shelterbelt tree crop (say five rotations of seven years), the height and the yield vary from one rotation to the next (see the section on irrigated tree crops). However, the overall average for the five rotations will be 60% and for the purpose of calculations it is a good approximation. -172- ANNEX XIII Page 3 Table 3 Estimated Height and Effect on Water Conservation/Yield of Shelterbelts As a Percentage of the Final Height Estimated height of shelterbelts Age as a % of total height 1/ 0 0 1 14 2 29 3 44 4 62 5 79 6 91 7 100 Sum Z 419 Average Z (7 yrs.) 2/ 60 I/ It is assumed that the increase in yield and water conservation is directly proportioned to height. 2/ Strictly, the average should be slightly more than seven unless the trees are cut on the anniversary. 5 rotations of seven '-ears will mean the original stock is in the 36th year. 6. Of course if the trees were maintained at the seven year old height by lopping and prunning then only in the first seven years would the benefits be less than that at seven years and older, but the yield of wood from lopping may be less than if the trees were felled and allowed to sucker. However, little information is available about yields of wood from lopped trees and this is an area where research is required. 7. If in fact only 60% of the 'full water saving- estimate applies then in practice only an additional 20,200 ha will be cultivable of which 600 ha will be required for shelterbelts thus leaving 19,600 ha for agricultural crops. So the net additional land available to agriculture after 3% of the land has been used for shelterbelts is 7,000 ha. Nevertheless, even this reduced area will give an additional 10,000 tons of cotton per annum even if there was no increase in yield due to improved microclimate. -173- ANNEX XIII Page 4 Economic Benefits from Reducing Evaporation 8. In order to determine the economic benefits, it will first be assumed that there will only be a saving of water due to the presence of trees; that is by planting 13,200 ha of shelterbelts on the Gezira scheme an additional 7,000 ha will be available for agricultural crops (Table 4). Therefore 1 ha of shelterbelts will lead to an additional 0.53 ha of agricultural land. Table 4 Gezira: Area of Land Practically Available With and Without Shelterbelts Additional Total Area Due Area Existing Existing to Water With Increase Area Area Saving Effect Shelter- in (no trees) (with trees) of Trees belts Area Under agric 420,000 407,400 19,600 427,000 7,000 Under trees - 12,600 600 13,200 13,200 Total 420,000 420,000 20,200 440,200 20,200 9. The cost of establishing one hectare of shelterbelts is given in Annrex XI. In summary, the cost over 35 years is estimated to be £S573 with efficient management or £S864 with average management. The discounted expenditure of these two options using a discount rate of 10% is £S403 and ES563, respectively. 10. With regards to income. Cotton is sold ex farm gate for about £S1,000 per ton and the cost of growing and picking is estimated to be about £S750 per ton thus leaving a net income of £S250 per ton. If the average yield is 1.44 ton/ha/year, then 0.53 ha will yield 0.76 tons and give a net income of £S190 per year, therefore over 35 years the estimated net income from 0.53 ha from cotton will be £S6,650. The discounted income from cotton will be £S1,657 (Table 5). -174- ANNA XIII Page 5 TABLE 5: Discounted income from cotton grown on 0.53 ha of Land in the Gezira Year % of full yield Area of Anticipated Net Discounted agricultural Yield income income land ton (LS25O/t) LS ha tnL 0O0 0 0 0 0 1 14 0.12 0.17 42.5 38.6 2 29 0.26 0.37 92.5 76.4 3 44 0.39 0.56 140.0 105.1 4 62 0.55 0.79 197.5 134.9 5 79 0.70 1.01 252.5 156.8 6 91 0.80 1.15 287.5 162.2 7 100 0.88 1.27 317.5 162.9 Sub Total 419 3.70 5.32 1330.0 836.9 (Average) ( 60) (0.53) (0.76) (190.0) 8 to 14 5.32 1330.0 429.3 9 to 21 5.32 1330.0 220.1 22 to 28 5.32 1330.0 113.0 29-to 35 .5.32 1330.0 57.7 Total 26.60 6650.0 1657.0 Cost and discounted cost of shelterbelt over 35 years average management ............... 8. 64.0 563.0 Net revenue and net discount revenue (10%) ................ 5786.0 1094.0 Notes: (1) The additional area of land that 1 ha of shelterbelts engender is on average 0.53 ha. but thr.ouqhout its lifetime, it varies from zero to 0.88 ha. For the overall Gezira scheme, the average of all the area planted under shelter- belts will be 0.53 ha. -175- ANNEX XIII Page 6 11. Therefore, if the costs of the shelterbelts and net income from cotton are as assumed above (at 10X discount rate), the net revenue is at least LS5,786 (LS165 per year) and the net discount revenue (at 10% discount rate) LS1,094 over the 35 years. This does not take into consideration any increase in crop yield, only the water saving effect due to the presence of trees. 12. In order just to give a 10% return on a total cost of LS864 (the cost of 1 ha of shelterbelt with average management) then the additional area of agricultural land that 1 ha of shelterbelt engenders is 0.18 hectare (2,350 ha for Gezira) and the total increase in area for Gezira would be 15,400 ha including shelterbelts (13,050 ha) which is only some three quarters of the estimated water savings that were forecast. 13. On the other hand, if the anticipated yield is as per table 5, namely average 0.76 tons per 0.53 ha, then the net income to the farmer could be reduced to as little as LS85 per ton of cottonl/ just to give a 1OZ return on investment in shelterbelts. Economic Benef'ts from Increasing Production 14. Besides reducing evaporation, shelterbelts also improve the micro-climate and hence the yield. Again, Bayoumi has reported increases of up to 20% in yield due to shelterbelts. In order to translate these increases into economic terms, it is assumed that shelterbelts do not reduce evaporation - they only increase production. Therefore for Gezira the original agricultural area has been reduced from 420,000 ha to 407,400 to accommodate 12,600 ha of shelterbelts. Again, applying the 0.6 fraction (60Z)2/ in the estimated increase in yield to account for shelterbelts at different stages of growth, a 10% increase in yield will give 86.4 kgs per ha per year additional cotton. 15. Of course there will be a loss of 12,600 ha of cotton per year or just over 18,000 tons but to counter this, the gains from increased production should range from 35,200 tons (6% increase in yield) to 70,400 tons (2% increase in yield) giving a net gain of between 17,100 tons and 52,300 tons. Incidentally, an overall increase in production of 3.1Z on the reduced area (407,400 ha) will just counter the loss in production from the area under shelterbelts (12,600 ha). There is no extra cost of planting or tending this additional yield for it has occured in the same area because of improved microclimate. The only extra cost will be for picking the cotton which is assumed to be LS250 per ton. Therefore, the net income from this additional yield, if a farm gate price of LS1,000 tons is ass-med, is LS750 per tun; 12,600 ha of shelterbelts increase production 1/ If the farm gate price for cotton is LS1,000/ton then the cost of growing and harvesting can be as high as LS915 ton. On the other hand, if the growing and harvesting costs are LS750/ton, then the farm gate price could be LS835/ton. 2/ 0.6 of 10Z - 6%; 0.6 of 20% - 12%. These are average increases expected per year throughout the lifetime of the shelterbelt (35 years). -176- ANNEX XIII Page 7 by 17,100 tons 52,300 tons each year on 407,400 ha of cotton plantations. Therefore 1 hectare of shelterbelt will lead to an average increase of between 1.36 tons and 4.15/tons/per annum cx 32.3 hectares. Table 6 translates these figures into discounted income terms, using a 10% discount rate. TABLE 6: Discounted income-from cotton grown on 32.2 hectares of Land in Gezira Units £S(discounted at 10X discount rate) Year % of full Area of .Anticipated Increase Discounted yield agricultural increase in in income land yield Net income ha (6X increase) (41.9 kg/ha) (£750/t) . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ -__ _ _ _ - - __t . £ £ 0 0 -0 0 0 0 1 14 7.6 0.32 240.0 218.2 2 29 15.7 0.66 495.0 408.9 3 44 23.8 1.00 750.0 563.2 4 62 35.3 1.40 1050.0 717.2 5 79 42.7 1.79 1342.5 833.7 6 91 49.1 2.06 -1545.0 871.4 7 100 54.0 2.26 1695.0 869.5 Sub total 419 226 9.49 7117.5 4482.1 (Average) ( 60) ( 32.3) (1.36) (1016.8) 8-14 7117.5 2299.3 9-21 7117.5 1178.8 22-28 7117.E 605.1 29-35 7117.5 309.3 Total _ 35587.5 8874.6 Cost and discounted cost of shelterbelt over 35 years average management .864 563 Net revenue and net discount revenue (Z). .34723.5 8311.6 -177- ANNEX XIII Page 8 16. The anticipated additional income from an average increase in yield of 1.36 tons per annum (32.3 ha) is LS35,588 over a 35 year period and the discounted income at 10% discount rate over the same period is LS8,875. The cost of establishing and tending one hectare of shelterbelt over the 35 years is LS864 with average management. So the income from an increased cotton production of 6% is $34,724 and the net discount revenue is LS8,812. Similarly, for a 12% increase in cotton yield (4.15 tons/year for 32.3 ha), the increase in income is LS108,975 and discounted income LS28,823, giving a net income and net discounted revenue of LS128,111 and LS28,260, respectively, over 35 years. 17. It can be observed that the economic benefits are enormous if the assumptions about costs, prices and increase in yield are correct. In order just to earn a 10% return on investment, the increase in production has to be on average 3.5% or nearly 6% when the trees are 7 years old. On the other hand, for an average increase of 6% in production, the net income from cotton could be reduced from LS750/ton to just under LS50 per ton. Table 7 summarizes the economic returns from the two measures, namely the saving of water and the increase in production. It also gives the combined effect of the two measures. -178- ANNEX XII'I Page 9 TABLE 7: Economic returns.of.sbelterbelts in an irrigated cotton plantation on a 35 year rotattln Units St Effect of Shelterbelts Cost of A B 1 ha of Increase in increase in Combination shelter- area under yield due to of belt agriculture improved A & B (average due to saving microclimate tanagement) of water X (II) 6i I2) 6% 12% 61 12% inc- inc- inc- inc- rease rease- rease rase Area ha 1.00 0.53 32.33 0.53 + 32.33 Total cost (-)Irevenue (+) -864 6650 35588 108975 42238 115625 (Average annual cost/rev.) - 25 190 1017 3114 1207 3306 Discounted cost/rev. e 10% -563 1657 8875 28823 10532 30480 Net discounted rev. 9 10% 1094 8312 28260 9406 29354 Assumed net income from cotton crop L/t 250 750 750 570 640 Minimum net income from cotton to earn 10% on the Du t of shelterbelt establishment £/t 85 48 15 36 13 Minimum increase in agric. Range area per ha of shelterbelt to earn 10% (ha) 0.18 _ - 0.18i (0.00 Minimum increase in average and)to ( and cotton production to give a ) ( 10% return on invested 3.5% 3.5% 0.0%) (3.5% capital - . -179- ANNEX XIII Page 10 18. The above table shows that there should be a considerable economic incentive to plant trees, but to overcome the fear of damage by birds, experiments should be established at once to demonstrate the increases, also farmers should be taken say to Egypt and shown shelterbelts in practice. 19. Other products of the tree namely wood, fodder, honey, fertilizer, etc. are a bonus. On average, the trees should yield about 25 m3 per slnlterbelt hectare per year or 0.8 m3 per farm hectare per year. In addition if fodder trees are planted as mucg as 3 air dry tons or fodder could be produced annually per hectare of trees or 0.1 air dry tons per farm hectare. 20. If a farmer has access to about 10 ha of irrigated land !24 feddans) then 9.7 ha of this area will be under agriculture and 0.3 ha under trees. The average increases in income per year will be approximately LS300 from 0.41 ton of cotton and there will be about 7.5 m3 of wood plus perhaps 1 ton of fodder per year sufficient for the household needs. The shelterbelts will also mean that an additional 2,000 new families will be able to settle on the Gezira because of the extension of the scheme by some 20,2000 ha, so not only should shelterbelts make the farmers more prosperous, they should increase the number of farming families by about 5% and make the families more or less self-sufficient in fuelwood and perhaps poles. -180 - Amx IV page I sm Economic model 6s Industrial Wood - (a) Softwood cotot and yield. Softwood - tcupt spy grown in the South of the country ac matong Mountains) - coota have bon taken from Imatong Mountain project Include staff supervision elennnts but direct costs have been doubled to take account of Infrastructure such an roads and houses. Also in yean when no direct costs occur, overhead costs of SLIO per ha. have been assumd to account for ftre line o road mantenace etc. The following costs and yields are a*numd per hectare planted. Table I Soft md uatsEr. TI.u. Yeur Cast Itum Direct Overhead Total Ylod (2) tIt I Cast Cost g0si3/hb 251/h "3.3/ha days £ £ £ a survey 3.3 3.3 6.6; O Clearing & Burnin?. 105.0 105.0 210.0 0 Staking 16 16.0 16.0 32.0 0 Pitting 5 5.5 5.5 11.0 O Planting S 5 5.5 S.5 11.0 0 Plants (1600) 50.0 S0.0 100.0 0 woeding 23 27.6 27.6 55.2 | O Initial Esubl ish- 1212.9 212.9 425.8 n ent II I Bating up 3 | 3.3 3.3 .61 I Plants (160) 5.0 S.0 10.0 I eding 23 27.6 27.6 5.Z 1 YTear I costs 126 35.9 35.9 71.8 2 Weding 123 27.6 27.6 55.2 3 Overhead - 10.0 10.0 4 Overead - 10.0 10.0 I S Prun1nig (low) 21 2S.3 25.3 50.6 6-8 Overhed t(10) P r yer 30.0 30.0 Vol Vol Vol Vol Vol Vol Prnmng (height) 21 25.3 25.3 50.6 below above below abov below above 110-25 Overhad £10 o.Y. -__ . 160.0 160.0 l1cn 11cm lcm 18cm lowm 1cm top dies top dim cmi coCs !~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~w 0 3 3 3 3 *3' 10 Thinning 23 0 29 0 350 115 Thinning 65 2 el 3 97 41 * ;25 ealling 145 190 182 237 219 254 269 204 370 255 44 306C r Total Cost/Total Yield !327.0 537.0 8U4.0 0 625 750 rAv, cost (M)/yield (m3/ha/&) 1 13.1 21.5 34.6 10.8 J.2 14.8 10.21 17.8 12.21 20.0 25.0 , 30.0 Average inca £m"(round) 41.4 41 ! 41.4 (1) go mtbad gi.mo msale of wood on latd uceb my be about 120-1303/ba. (2) Tleld bavs been adaptod frm the iritiab Forestry Cmmission yIeld table booklet 3& W 1971. -181- Table 2 Diucounted Expenditurm/Incoe_ & Yield - Year 101 1ult Expenditure DE 15S Mult DE 20% DE Year 105 bult 15S Nult 201 Nultj 0 1 425.8 .25.8 1 425:8 425.8 1 0.909 61.8 56.2 0.870 53.8 51.5 10 0.386 0.247 0.162 2 0.826 45.2 37.3 0.756 34.2 31.4 15 0.239 0.123 0.065 5 0.621 40.6 25.2 0.497 20.2 16.3 20 0.149 0.061 0.026 9 0.424 40.6 17.2 0.284 11.5 7.9 25 0.092 0.030 0.010 1-25 9.077 10.0(p.y)90.8 6.464 64.6 50.0 Total 864.0 652.5 6-1g.1 S82-2 ___ ___ Table 3 Discounted lncome and yield Assume all logo under 18 cas top diameter have stumpage of SLI per u3i Yields adapted from Britiah Forestry Commission yields tables. Aif i iUnder Dlscoun- Over @ Discoun- DI DV DI DV Y.U 18 cms Income ted _ 18 cms! Volume 101 15S iSt. 20S 2o'. viL l F&jw income 1o%', V ,L 1T 01.9- 0 O -. 5.7- - .3.7 _ 20 1L 65 65 15.5 2 i 0.5 8.0 0.3 4.2 0.1 1 63 63 9.4 12 1.8 3.8 0.7 1.6 0.3 25 145 145 13.3 190 17.5 4.4 5.7 1.4 2.0 2 269 269 47.1 204 19.8 21.9 6.7 10.9 2.4 10 29 I 29 11.2 O - 7.2 4.7 - 15 81 ' 81 19.4 3 0.7 10.0 0.4 5.3 0.2 2520 78 78 11.6 15 ' 2.2 4.8 0.9 2.0 0.4 25 182 ' 182 16.7 237 21.8 5.5 7.1 1.8 2.4 bwl 370 1 370 58.9 255 24.7 27.5 8.4 13.8 3.0 10 35 1 35 13.5 0 - 8.6 . 5.7 - 30 15 97 I 97 23.2 4 1.0 11.9 0.5 6.3 0.3 20 93 1 93 13.9 18 2.7 5.8 1.1 2.4 0.5 25 219 1 219 20.1 284 26.1 6.6 8.5 2.2 2.8 r 444 1 444 70.7 306 ; 29.8 32.9 10.1 16.6 3.6 __ds105 discount rate j discount rate 20discout rate Yield m3Tha/a _ Yield m3/ha/a Yield m3/ha/a Di~scounted 20 ' 25 i 30 _ 20 25 1 30_ 20 .-I_ _25 1jo _ Exeenditure 652.5 1 652,5 6_52 __ 6--6j.1 0.I I 11 Q 610.1. 5H4.5829 l.82.9.. DI (below 18 cm) 47.1 58.9 70.7 21.9 27.5 32.9 10.9 1 13.8 16.6 DE-DI 605.4 1 593.6 , 581.8 588.2 582.6 577. 572.0 569.1 566.3 DV 19.8 24.7 29.8 6.7 8.4 10.1 2.4 1 3.0, 3.6 DE-DIL. DV(1m3(r 30.6 24.0 ! 19.5 87.8 ! 69.4 1 57.1 238.3 189.7 1157.3 (Min stumpage pric&e for sawlogs) j _ __- Approximete financial yield with stumpage 15.52 16.52 17.5Z price at SLI1O for saviogs and SLI for small diameter logs -182- (b) Rardwood costs and yield. Rardwood - Tectona gradie (teak) grown in the south of the country at Loka. Costs taken from the Sudan/Cerm-n Forestry Project Kagali/Loka. The administrative overheads are estimated ; to be 52 of direct coste but from experience In other countries this is too low. Therefore administrative overheads and other overheads such as houses, roads, vehicles, tending etc. have been taken as 1002 of direct costs except for the land clearing cost of SL950 per ha which in already ass_msd to Include ovorbands. Table 4 Hardwood coats and Yields ____ ~~~~~~~~~~Units ISU Per ha __2 __ Year Cost item man days. Direct Overhead Total (Yield 2) Cost Cost CosN 1503/ha/a 2W/ha/a 25m3/ha/s 0Clearing with bull -- - 1 -~ ~ ~ ~~l- dozer w - 950.0 - 950.0 - I 200(1) _ O Burning waste I 50 75.0 75.0 1SO.O 0 Staking 15 22.5 22.5 45.0 O Pitting 15 22.5 22.5 45.0 0 Planting p ' 1 2 O Plants (2250 plants) - 131.0 131.0 262.0 0 Weeding i 25 1 112.0 112.0 224.0 0 Initial establishment 1313.0 363.0 1676.0 I Beating up 1.5 2.5 2.5 5.0; 1 Plants (225) 13.0 13.0 26.0 1 Weeding 17 76.0 76.0 152.0 1 Year I costs j 91.5 91.5 183.0 Vol VoI Vol Vol Vol Vol - _________________ . -. ---- -below above below above below above 2 Weeding 66.0 66.0 132.0 18 cms 18 cn 18 cm 18 cm 18 Cm 18 I ltop t.d. t.d. t.d! t.d. t.d. 3-9 Overheads £10 p.y. I - 70.0 70. diam. 10 Pruning 21 [ 25.0 25.0 50. 3 3 i3 3m 3 ml ,11-40 Overheads £10 p Y. I - 300.0 300. m mm 1 15 kst T%ining 10 0 13 0 16.5 0 20 2nd Thinning 22 1.5 30 2137.5 2.5 25 3rd Twnsning 49 9 65 12 81 15 30 4th Thinning 49 26 65 34 81 42.51 35 5th Thinning I 49 51 65 681 81 85 40 Final Felling t 80 253 108 338!133.5 422.5 2S9.5 340.5 346 454 432.5 567.5 Total cost/total yield 1495.5 915.5 2411.0 600 800 I 100 . I~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Av cost/yield 37.4 22.9 60.3 6.5 8.5 8.6 11.9 10.8 14.21 11.9 20.0 25.0 Av income per Om3 (round) 113.9 113.9 113.9 (excluding any clearing income) (1) It is assumed that there are an average 200 m3,%a of standilg volume before the land Is cleared. This volume is sold for a ulnimu price of SL200 per ha. (2) Yialds have been adapted from the British Forestry Comisslon yield tables Booklet 34. ENSO 1971. -183- Table 5 Discounted Ezpeilture. Inca. - Yield 105 discount rate .~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 3 115 m /ha/a 20 m3/ha/a 25 m3/ha/a Discounted expenditure I12041.3 | 2047.3 I 2047.3 Discounted income from clW,a4I 200.0 200.0 200.0 Discounted income from small'l log(l) 1 16.5 22.0 1 27.5 Discounted ex - Dis income 11830.8 1825.3 1819.8 Discounted volume 9.9 13.2 1 16.5 3 i (DE-DI)/DV (£m round) 184.9 138.3 110.3! (Minimum stumpage price for saw lJd2Qg7_-- .___I_, 5. discount rate DE .1 1990.1 190.1 DI (clearing) 200.0 200.0 200.0 DI small logs j 5.4 1 7.2 9.2 1784.7 1728.9 I 1781.1 DV 2.2 2.9 3.6 (DE-DI)/DV (£m3 round) I 811.2 614.8 494.8 (Minimum stumpage price for saw logs) Approximate Financial yield ! with stumpage price at fSU 200 for saw logs and | fSU 1 for small diameter logsl 10.551 11.0X1 11.5J