68870 Vol. 3 World Bank Measuring foreign direct investment in the area of information and communication technology Deliverable 2 - Proposed system for data collection in FDI in ICT Prepared for the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology, Information Center Geoffrey Robertson, Revised 7 May 2009 1 Abbreviations BOP Balance of payments BPCG International Monetary Fund Balance of Payments Compilation Guide, BPM5 International Monetary Fund Balance of Payments Manual fifth edition) BPM6 International Monetary Fund Balance of Payments Manual (draft sixth edition), 2008 CBE Central Bank of Egypt FDI Foreign direct investment FDIE Foreign direct investment enterprise FES Foreign exchange system GAFI General Authority on Foreign Investment GAFI EPD GAFI Economic Performance Department GICT Global Information and Communication Technology ICT Information and Communications Technology IIP International Investment Position ITIDA Information Technology Industry Development Agency MCIT Ministry of Communication and Information Technology MCIT-IC Information Centre of the Ministry of Communication and Information Technology RTA Reimbursable Technical Assistance 2 Table of contents Executive summary and time line ........................................................................................................... 4 Chapter 1. Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 7 Chapter 2. Concepts and definitions associated with foreign direct investment................................... 9 Chapter 3. International standards on the measurement of FDI in economic statistics ...................... 10 3.1 BOP and IIP measures .......................................................................................................... 10 3.2 Measures of activities of FDIEs ............................................................................................ 11 3.3 Sources of data .................................................................................................................... 12 Chapter 4. Current measurement of FDI in Egypt’s BOP and IIP statistics ........................................... 14 4.1 GAFI data ............................................................................................................................. 14 4.2 CBE Foreign Exchange System ............................................................................................. 14 4.3 Measurement of FDI inflow ................................................................................................. 15 4.4 Other data capture .............................................................................................................. 15 Chapter 5. Proposed improvement to FES and FDI statistics in the ICT Sector .................................... 17 Appendix A. Concepts and definitions associated with FDI .................................................................. 20 Appendix B. Proposed FDI Survey Form ............................................................................................... 22 Appendix C. Analysis of proposed data items, their purpose, priority and easy of collection ............. 26 Appendix D. Outputs from the FDI survey ............................................................................................ 28 Appendix E. Data Entry and Tabulation System for the Proposed FDI Survey ..................................... 31 3 Executive summary and time line This study of the measurement of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the information and communication technology (ICT) sector of Egypt’s economy forms part of the second amendment to a reimbursable technical assistance (RTA) programme delivered by the Global Information and Communication Technology (GICT) department of the World Bank to the Information Centre of the Ministry of Communication and Information Technology (MCIT-IC) of the government of Egypt. The initial agreement was signed in June 2006 and the second amendment in August 2008. The focus of the Ministry of Communication and Information Technology (MCIT) is to promote the development of ICT services (and ICT-enabled services) in Egypt so that Egypt has the best ICT technology available to it. In addition ICT services provide significant export earnings, and provide employment opportunities, particularly for the increasingly well-educated Egyptian community. To achieve the further development of the ICT sector, Egypt aims to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) from foreign entities that are ICT specialists. To understand and monitor the success of this policy, MCIT needs good statistical data on FDI. To date a prime focus has been on measuring the financial inflow of FDI into ICT. However, concern has been expressed about the measure of FDI inflow because there is an apparent discrepancy between the measures of FDI inflow produced by the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) and those of the General Authority on Foreign Investment (GAFI). The measure of FDI in ICT shows great volatility from year to year (dropping from $US 1.900 million in 2006-07 and almost zero in 2007-08), and there is a lack of understanding of exactly what is being measured. The World Bank’s GICT department has been asked to assist in MCIT’s measurement of FDI in the ICT sector by clarifying what are ICT products and services, and what are appropriate measures, based on international best practice, of FDI, and what strategies should be developed to obtain a more appropriate measure of FDI. Clarifying the nature of ICT services is the first part of the project and a separate report exists on this (final draft delivered February 2009). This report covers Part 2 of the project concerned with the appropriate measurement of FDI, and forms the second and final deliverable. Mr. Geoffrey Robertson (World Bank FDI expert consultant) visited Cairo form 12 to 17 April to assist in Part 2 of the project. The aim of Part 2 is to advise on what are appropriate measures, based on international best practice, of FDI; to assess the discrepancies in Egyptian statistics on FDI in the ICT sector, and more generally, the adequacy of the statistics; and what strategies should be developed to obtain a more appropriate measure of FDI? During the visit, Mr Robertson worked closely with officials from MCIT IC and Information Technology Industrial Development Agency (ITIDA); held discussions with staff of the CBE responsible for the compilation of Egypt’s balance of payments (BOP), based on the foreign exchange system (FES), and Egypt’s international investment position (IIP) statistics; held discussion with various GAFI staff. The project was conducted under the guidance of Dr Tim Kelly, Lead ICT Policy Specialist at the World Bank. Regarding international best practice for measuring FDI, Mr. Robertson described measures associated with the BOP and IIP statistics; and measures related the size and behaviour of FDI enterprises (FDIE) within an economy - these tend to measure national accounts measures (e.g. value added). These measures, and the international standards that support them, are documented in this report. A number of workshops were held with MCIT IC staff to explain the concepts and their practical application, and on the last day of the visit, this material was again covered in the wrap up workshop which included staff of ITIDA, CBE and GAFI. 4 From discussions with CBE, GAFI, MCIT-IC and ITIDA staff an understanding of the available data sources emerged. The most comprehensive number on FDI financial inflow is that measured by the CBE which includes the GAFI data on paid up capital, as well as information obtained from FES on FDI financial inflows. However, the CBE figure includes only partial data on FDI inflows. For example it does not include transactions not requiring the use of foreign exchange, which could be a significant gap, and reinvested earnings of FDIEs, another significant omission. In addition, measures of the accumulated flow of FDI (FDI liabilities as measured in Egypt’s IIP statistics), are likely to be seriously understated. Apart from this, there are concerns about the quality of classification of FES measured transactions. The GAFI statistics do not provide comprehensive information on FDI. In recent years, GAFI has been attempting to collect data from all private companies in Egypt, including FDIs. However, the response rate so far has been poor. ITIDA and MCIT-IC have also been putting together some data on individual businesses in the ICT sector. A more complete description of these findings is given in this report. Working with MCIT-IC and ITIDA staff, a series of recommendations was devised to strengthen FES data on FDI and services in the ICT sector, which if implemented would lead to improved BOP and IIP statistics. A second set of recommendations was developed to conduct a survey of around 30 ICT sector businesses which would provide better BOP/IIP measures than are currently available and measure the overall performance and behaviour of FDIEs in the ICT sector and contribute to better national accounts data for the sector. The leadership for this work would be undertaken by MCIT-IC working closely with ITIDA and CBE staff. These recommendations are described in this report, and if implemented successfully, might be extended by the CBE and GAFI to other sectors, thus improving measures of FDI in the context of BOP/IIP and national accounts statistics across the board. These recommendations again developed in detailed discussions with MCIT IC staff and were presented to a workshop/wrap session on the last day of the mission. For the development and implementation of the survey, the report contains a draft survey form, developed in consultation with MCIT IC staff and specifications for a system to enter and tabulate data and produce publication tables. Possible timeline (a) Improvements to BOP/IIP statistics compiled by CBE staff (i) MCIT IC to provide a copy of this report to both CBE management and BOP/IIP technical staff as a first step gaining greater cooperation on FDI statistics and to facilitate CBE making improvements to BOP/IIP statistics. Mid May 2009. (ii) MCIT IC and CBE staff to hold discussions on the possibility of establishing in FES:  A business reference number for ICT businesses.  A data profile (BOP codes by time series) by larger ICT enterprises.  A study of the larger ICT businesses and their recording of BOP transactions to determine the extent of omissions, understatement, and misclassifying of transactions by ICT enterprises Note: (ii) should start in May 2009 to develop a work program to undertake these activities. Task should be completed by November 2009. (iii) MCIT IC and CBE staff to formulate recommendations about improving the quality of FES data for ICT enterprises for BOP purposes. Completed by November 2009. (iv) MCIT IC to provide FDI ICT survey results to CBE for inclusion in BOP/IIP statistics. February 2010. 5 Note: The CBE is to receive a technical assistance mission on BOP/IIP methodology. The timing of this mission is unknown. Obviously, the technical expert should be informed of these developments with a view to reflecting on them in his/her report. (b) Improvements to BOP/IIP statistics compiled by CBE staff (i) Phase 1 FDI ICT survey i. With assistance from ITIDA and possibly GAFI, decide on businesses to be collected in survey. Early May 2009. ii. Decide on data items to be collected following preliminary skirmish with larger ICT enterprises and finalise collection form. Late May 2009. iii. Test survey form and collect preliminary data. Attempt to have all enterprises to respond. Mid June 2009. iv. Finalise data entry, tabulation and publication system End May 2009. v. Entry data and query misreported data. Test that data entry, tabulation and publication tables are working correctly. vi. Finalise data for Phase 1. End September 2009. Note that Phase 1 collects some data items for year ended 30 June 2006, 2007 and 2008 and data transactions data for 2006-07 and 2007-08. It also collects data on the activities of enterprises are collected for 2007-08. (ii) Phase 2 FDI ICT survey i. Revise and update list of businesses in ICT sector. September 2009. Decide whether to increase the numbers of businesses. ii. Decide on data items to be collected, redesign and test form with some enterprises. Late September 2009 iii. Undertake FDI ICT survey for 2008-09. October 2009. iv. Redesign and complete data entry, tabulation and publication system. September 2009. v. Entry data and query misreported data. End November 2009. vi. Finalise data for Phase 2. End November 2009. vii. Publish paper, after consultation with stakeholders. February 2010. 6 Chapter 1. Introduction This study of the measurement of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the information and communication technology (ICT) sector of Egypt’s economy forms part of the second amendment to a reimbursable technical assistance (RTA) programme delivered by the Global Information and Communication Technology (GICT) department of the World Bank to the Information Centre of the Ministry of Communication and Information Technology (MCIT-IC) of the government of Egypt. The initial agreement was signed in June 2006 and the second amendment in August 2008. The focus of the Ministry of Communication and Information Technology (MCIT) is to promote the development of ICT services (and ICT-enabled services) in Egypt so that Egypt has the best ICT technology available to it. In addition ICT services provide significant export earnings, and provide employment opportunities, particularly for the increasingly well-educated Egyptian community. To achieve the further development of the ICT sector, Egypt aims to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) from foreign entities that are ICT specialists. To understand and monitor the success of this policy, MCIT needs good statistical data on FDI. To date a prime focus has been on measuring the financial inflow of FDI into ICT. However, concern has been expressed about the measure of FDI inflow because there is an apparent discrepancy between the measures of FDI inflow produced by the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) and those of the General Authority on Foreign Investment (GAFI). The measure of FDI in ICT shows great volatility from year to year (dropping from $US 1.900 million in 2006-07 and almost zero in 2007-08), and there is a lack of understanding of exactly what is being measured. The World Bank’s GICT department has been asked to assist in MCIT’s measurement of FDI in the ICT sector by clarifying what are ICT products and services, and what are appropriate measures, based on international best practice, of FDI, and what strategies should be developed to obtain a more appropriate measure of FDI. Clarifying the nature of ICT services is the first part of the project and a separate report exists on this (final draft delivered February 2009). This report covers Part 2 of the project concerned with the appropriate measurement of FDI, and forms the second and final deliverable. Mr. Geoffrey Robertson (World Bank FDI expert consultant) visited Cairo form 12 to 17 April to assist in Part 2 of the project. The aim of Part 2 is to advise on what are appropriate measures, based on international best practice, of FDI; to assess the discrepancies in Egyptian statistics on FDI in the ICT sector, and more generally, the adequacy of the statistics; and what strategies should be developed to obtain a more appropriate measure of FDI? During the visit, Mr Robertson worked closely with Dr. Nagwa Elshenawy (Director, MCIT-IC), Ms. Eman El Shewy (MCIT-IC), Ms Heba Youssef (MCIT IC), Dr. Hany El Qolaly (ITIDA) and Ms. Saher El Sherbini (ITIDA); held discussions with staff of the CBE responsible for the compilation of Egypt’s balance of payments (BOP), based on the foreign exchange system (FES), and Egypt’s international investment position (IIP) statistics; held discussion with GAFI staff responsible for the operation of the One-Stop-Shop and the Economic Performance Department; formulated recommendations to improve FES measurement of FDI activity, and designed a survey for the more thorough measurement of FDI in the ICT sector. The project was conducted under the guidance of Dr Tim Kelly, Lead ICT Policy Specialist at the World Bank. Regarding international best practice for measuring FDI, three approaches may be identified. These are first, measures of FDI intentions, second, measures associated with the BOP and IIP statistics; and third, measures related the size and behaviour of FDI enterprises (FDIE) within an economy - these tend to measure national accounts measures (e.g. value added). Measures of FDI intentions 7 have rarely been seriously developed – economic analysts have opted for better BOP/IIP statistics on FDI and where possible better statistics on the overall size and measurement of FDIEs. The concepts and definitions of FDI, BOP/IIP measures of FDI, and measures associated the size and behaviour of FDIEs are described in a number of international standards, most recently in the IMF’s Balance of Payments Manual (sixth edition), soon to be published. Staff members at the MCIT-IC were given a workshop on this material, which was repeated to a larger audience consisting of staff of GAFI, CBE and the Information Technology Industrial Development Agency (ITIDA) on the last day of the visit. A description of the concept and definition of FDI is given in Chapter 2 of this report and in Appendix A, while descriptions of BOP/IIP measures and of measures associated with the size and behaviour of FDI enterprises are given in Chapter 3 From discussions with CBE, GAFI, MCIT-IC and ITIDA staff an understanding of the available data sources emerged. The most comprehensive number on FDI financial inflow is that measured by the CBE which includes the GAFI data on paid up capital, as well as information obtained from FES on FDI financial inflows. However, the CBE figure includes only partial data on FDI inflows. For example it does not include transactions not requiring the use of foreign exchange, which could be a significant gap, and reinvested earnings of FDIEs, another significant omission. In addition, measures of the accumulated flow of FDI (FDI liabilities as measured in Egypt’s IIP statistics), are likely to be seriously understated. Apart from this, there are concerns about the quality of classification of FES measured transactions. The GAFI statistics do not provide comprehensive information on FDI. In recent years, GAFI has been attempting to collect data from all private companies in Egypt, including FDIs. However, the response rate so far has been poor. ITIDA and MCIT-IC have also been putting together some data on individual businesses in the ICT sector. A more complete description of these findings is given in Chapter 4 of this report. Working with MCIT-IC and ITIDA staff, a series of recommendations was devised to strengthen FES data on FDI and services in the ICT sector, which if implemented would lead to improved BOP and IIP statistics. A second set of recommendations was developed to conduct a survey of around 30 ICT sector businesses which would provide better BOP/IIP measures than are currently available and measure the overall performance and behaviour of FDIEs in the ICT sector and contribute to better national accounts data for the sector. The leadership for this work would be undertaken by MCIT-IC working closely with ITIDA and CBE staff. These recommendations are described in Chapter 5 of this report, and if implemented successfully, might be extended by the CBE and GAFI to other sectors, thus improving measures of FDI in the context of BOP/IIP and national accounts statistics across the board. These recommendations were presented to a workshop/wrap session on the last day of the mission. 8 Chapter 2. Concepts and definitions associated with foreign direct investment The concept of direct investment is that of: an entity, resident in one economy, having a significant degree of influence or actual control over the day-to-day operations of an entity resident in another economy. At the outset, it should be mentioned that while many refer to this phenomenon as foreign direct investment, the simple term, direct investment, is sufficient. While the concept is quite straightforward, in practice, those measuring direct investment have found it necessary to develop a set of concepts and definitions to describe and define this phenomenon. Over time, these concepts and definitions have been refined and the most up to date and useful description of direct investment and measures of the activities of foreign direct investment enterprises (FDIEs) may be found in the soon to be published International Monetary Fund’s Balance of Payments Manual(sixth edition)(BPM6). Appendix A to this report provides a summary of the concepts and definitions of direct investment relevant to Egypt’s situation. This chapter touches on these issues to provide sufficient background to the discussion in this report. The primary concept in any discussion of direct investment is that of the direct investment relationship, i.e. the relationship between the direct investor and direct investment enterprise. The direct investor is said to have either significant influence or control of the direct investment enterprise. This is normally achieved through ownership of shares (equity) to which attach voting rights. Within the category of direct investment, two sub-concepts are defined. These distinguish between direct investment in which the direct investor controls the direct investment enterprise, defined as having majority ownership of the voting equity of the direct investment enterprise, and those situations in which the direct investor does not have control but is in a position to have significant influence over the operations of the direct investment enterprise, which is defined as having at least ten percent of more of the voting equity in the direct investment enterprise but less than a majority of the direct investment equity. The direct investment relationship may be between the direct investor and the immediate direct investment enterprise, but may extend to those entities in which the direct investment enterprise itself controls or has significant influence. This is referred to as an indirect relationship. There are further concepts and rules to describe and define the indirect transmission of control and influence through a chain of ownership. As part of this framework, subsidiaries, associates, fellow enterprises, and affiliates are described and defined. An example of how this all comes together is given in Appendix A. The concept of direction of investment describes whether the investment is in Egypt or from Egypt. Inward direct investment (direct investment in Egypt) describes situations where the direct investor is a non resident and the direct investment enterprise is a resident Egyptian company. Outward direct investment describes the less common situation, for Egypt, where the direct investor is an Egyptian resident and the direct investment enterprise is a foreign resident entity. Our sole concern in this report is with inward investment and in Egyptian foreign direct investment enterprises (FDIEs). 9 Chapter 3. International standards on the measurement of FDI in economic statistics 3.1 BOP and IIP measures While FDIEs can impact many BOP items, the two components where their activities are explicitly measured are the direct investment financial flows and investment income. Direct investment financial flows consist of equity investment, reinvestment of earnings, and other direct investment. Equity investment consists of the issue of capital or injection of branch equity, withdrawals of equity, purchases and sales of equity, conversion of portfolio investment to direct investment and purchase and sales of real estate by non-residents. In the BOP, that part of income that is reinvested by FDIEs is recorded as income with the offset in the financial account. Direct investors may also provide finance to the FDIE by way of long- and short-term loans, or trade credit, as an alternative to providing equity capital. Direct investment income contains three items, namely distributed earnings such as dividends, distribution of branch profits, reinvested earnings, which is the offset to reinvestment of earnings in the financial account, and interest payable on other forms of direct investment such as interest payable on long-term loans. The international investment position (IIP) measures an economy’s financial claims on the rest of the world (plus monetary gold) and its liabilities to the rest of the world. In this context, the stock of FDI is regarded as a liability to the rest of the world. Another way to think of FDI stock is the accumulated financial flows. The IIP reconciliation statement shows the relationship between the stock of investment at the beginning and end of period with financial transactions (the BOP financial account) and other changes due to volume (e.g. conversion of say portfolio to direct investment), exchange rate changes (e.g. movement of the Egyptian pound against the United States Dollar) and valuation changes (e.g movement in share prices on the stock exchange if company is listed). An illustration of the IIP reconciliation statement is included on the next page. Not only is the IIP, particularly IIP time series, useful in understanding BOP and economic transactions more generally, but when collected with financial flows data provides a built in validation check of stocks and flows. 10 Illustration of IIP reconciliation statement Beginning Financial Others changes in financial asset and End of of period account liabilities period Changes in position due to Transactions Other Exchange Other changes in rate changes price volume changes Assets Direct investment Portfolio investment Financial derivatives Other investment Reserve assets Liabilities Direct investment Portfolio investment Financial derivatives Other investment Net IIP 3.2 Measures of activities of FDIEs The System of National Accounts recommends that a useful classification is that on foreign controlled enterprises and non foreign controlled enterprises. These are obviously a sub-set of direct investment enterprises. BPM6 (Appendix 4) provides guidelines on the development of statistics of multinational enterprises, and in turn quotes a number of sources from which the international standards are drawn. The references include: • Eurostat, Recommendations Manual on the Production of Foreign Affiliates Statistics • Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), OECD Benchmark Definition of Foreign Direct Investment (fourth edition), Chapter 8 FDI and Globalisation • OECD, OECD Handbook on Economic Globalisation Indicators, Chapter 3 The Economic Activity of Multinational Enterprises 11 • United Nations, Manual on Statistics of International Trade in Services, Chapter IV Foreign Affiliates Statistics and the International Supply of Services BPM6 recommends that the following data items should be published:  Sales (turnover) and/or output  Employment  Value added  Exports and imports of goods and services  Numbers of enterprises  Additional possible data o Assets (financial and non financial) o Gross fixed capital formation o Net worth o Net operating surplus o Taxes on income o Research and development expenditures o Total purchases of goods and services; and o Intra-group exports and imports Unfortunately, few countries have developed such statistics. Canada initiated such studies and the USA has traditionally measured the activities of foreign affiliates of United States direct investors. Australia also has a long tradition in this field and one of the more recent studies, (Australian Bureau of Statistics Economic Statistics of Foreign Owned Businesses in Australia, 2000-01, Reference No. 5494.0, published 2004) illustrates the type of data that may be published. The table below shows information from the Australian Economy-wide Survey for the transport, storage and communications industry. All sectors were included, except for agriculture. Majority Foreign owned businesses: economy-wide survey SUMMARY OF INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE, Transport, storage and communication, 2000- 01 Operating Employment Total Total Operating Total assets Total Gross Industry businesse operating operating profit liabilities fixed value s income expenses before tax capital added formatio n No. ‘000 $’m $’m $’m $’m $’m $’m $’m Australia 18,584 326.6 72,662 63,613 9,143 100,961 61,994 8,770 33,669 Foreign 287 60.6 18,597 19,045 -312 26,374 18,666 3,830 5,434 Unknown 16 520 58.2 9,123 9,186 -56 6,236 4,336 337 2,921 Total 35 390 445.4 100,382 91,844 8,775 133,570 85,026 12,937 42,024 3.3 Sources of data Traditionally data for BOP statistics, including FDI, are taken either from foreign exchange record systems, described comprehensively in Chapter 3 of the Balance of Payments Compilation Guide (BPCG) (in that chapter they are referred to as International Transactions Recording Systems), from FDI or BOP surveys, or a mixture of both. 12 The BPCG provides thorough descriptions of these methods and should be read by persons involved in either the CBE FES or persons working on the survey proposed by this report. The methodology associated with both was described fairly fully in the presentation made on the last day of the mission. Data sources used in measuring activities of FDI/foreign controlled statistics combine censuses and surveys of business, plus surveys of FDIs. This was the approach that the Australian Bureau of Statistics uses. The Australian approach is to take an economic data collection and for each business in the collection to add a category such as ‘majority foreign owned’/’not majority foreign owned’, or ‘foreign controlled’, ‘joint foreign and Australian controlled’ and ‘Australian controlled’. To establish the correct classification for this category, especially as foreign ownership/control may take the form of indirect foreign ownership, the shareholdings of each business need to be established. Shareholders may be non resident persons or entities, i.e. immediate shareholders are non resident/foreign. However, where shareholders are Australian resident companies, and sometimes other entities, their shareholdings are investigated to determine if they have immediate foreign shareholders. Again, if indirect shareholders are resident companies, their shareholdings may be investigated, and so on up the chain of ownership. A search of an ownership chains may refer to many published sources and other sources, particularly the International Investment Survey, of which FDIEs are a component. 13 Chapter 4. Current measurement of FDI in Egypt’s BOP and IIP statistics 4.1 GAFI data GAFI has several sources of data relevant to the measurement of FDI in the ICT sector. First GAFI collects data on company registrations through the One-Stop-Shop. Reports are produced on each company which show its issued capital and details of its shareholders. However, there are problems of terminology, because what is actually recorded is what is agreed to be issued. New forms are to be completed and submitted if this issued capital is to be amended (increased or reduced). Under Egyptian law, some 10% of issued capital is to be paid within a month of registration of the company, 25% within three months and the remainder within ten years. The GAFI Economic Performance Department (EDP) collects data from newly registered companies to record the receipt of the 10% of the issued capital. These data are classified sector, geographic location, nationality of company and currency. No information is collected on the proceeds of the remaining issued capital. There are about 60,000 registered private companies in Egypt. GAFI staff estimate that around 20% of these (12,000) would be FDIEs. GAFI EDP has instituted a collection of all companies to obtain information on their financial statements. While such accounts should be kept, so far only about 10% (5,000 companies have responded). We were shown a copy of the draft report which shows the following information: Millions Egyptian pounds o Total issued capital 158,000 o Of which:  10-50% foreign owned 20,000  50 to less than 100% foreign owned 25,000  100% foreign owned 12,000 While these data provide some useful insights, they cannot provide us with definitive information on FDI in the ICT sector. 4.2 CBE Foreign Exchange System The CBE measures BOP transactions using the foreign exchange system which measures receipts and payments of foreign exchange by Egyptian banks. A separate form is completed on each payment/receipt by the commercial banks and forwarded to the CBE - the CBE receives around 100,000 forms a month. Total receipts and payments by currency are reconciled with bank (nostro) accounts. Data collected on each payment and receipt includes: o Currency and value of transaction o Purpose o Name of local payer/beneficiary o Reporting bank The purpose is written in. There seemed to be no standard wording for recording purpose. The purpose of each transaction is classified according to BPM5. Discussions with CBE staff revealed that there were a number of deficiencies with the current system. It was mentioned that receipts do not 14 always include the purpose of the transaction, as the SWIFT coding system does not allow for this. Coding in many cases is somewhat based on best guesswork, e.g. services payments and receipts by communication enterprises are coded as communication services. Traditionally, there are a number of weaknesses of FES. Such systems usually do not measure transactions not involving foreign exchange payments and receipts such as offshore transactions. This particularly affects transactions associated with FDIs. For example issued capital may be spent on the acquisition of goods imports. Reinvested earnings of FDIEs companies are not measured. Often companies have transactions on both sides of the BOP and therefore may offset payments and receipts and so what passes through the banking system is a net payment (gross receipts less gross payments). Net payments/receipts lead to understatement on both sides of the accounts. Another practice which detracts from classification accuracy is the combining of many accounts for different transactions into a single batch payment. There is no analysis of transactions and data validation is very limited. The CBE may wish to consider introducing a business numbering system and monitoring transactions by the larger businesses by looking at patterns of reporting and consistency over time. This would provide a valuable monitoring tool and should lead to improved data quality. Although the system is being automated, unfortunately time did not permit the opportunity to examine what is actually planned and whether data quality may deteriorate or if there may be opportunities to improve data capture. The CBE is expecting to receive technical assistance in BOP statistics from the IMF. 4.3 Measurement of FDI inflow Before the visit, concern was expressed that there were two figures on FDI inflow, namely that of GAFI and that of the CBE. Both measure FDI equity investment. Both GAFI and CBE staff confirm that the CBE is the more comprehensive figure as the CBE figure measures the GAFI data plus transactions identified by FES. However, exactly how this was done was not clear because both agencies described the compilation process differently. The author’s understanding is that the compilation is as follows (at the wrap up session, CBE staff said that this understanding was correct):  GAFI measures the initial draw down of paid up capital (the first 10 percent). The data are available by sector. They are supplied to the CBE.  The CBE adds the GAFI data to FDI transactions identified in the FES after deducting any duplicate transactions from the FES data. The CBE statistics on FDI inflow, published in the BOP are therefore GAFI data plus other FES identified FDI transactions. However, the CBE figure is not available by sector.  GAFI has compiled FDI in ICT by taking its figure and adding a portion of the CBE’s other FES identified FDI transactions. The CBE figure is therefore the more comprehensive. However, it is nevertheless likely to be an inadequate measure of FDI inflow. It does not measure reinvested earnings and financial inflows resulting from transactions where settlement is offshore. Combined with this is the fact that not all inflows are adequately described in the FES and little quality control or analysis of FES transactions is undertaken. 4.4 Other data capture ITIDA has put together profiles on about 300 of FDI ICT companies. This is a good starting point for any register of businesses in the ICT sector. 15 The author was impressed with a study organised by MCIT to measure current and constant price estimates of the communications sector thus leading to improved current and constant price estimates, used in the national accounts statistics, for that sector. This provides a model for what is recommended in this report to provide a range of BOP/IIP and national accounts measures of the ICT sector. 16 Chapter 5. Proposed improvement to FES and FDI statistics in the ICT Sector The MCIT focus is to promote the development of ICT services (and ICT-enabled services), in Egypt so that Egypt has the best ICT services available to it. ICT services also provide significant export earnings, and employment opportunities, particularly for the increasingly educated Egyptian community. To achieve the development of the ICT sector, Egypt attempts to attract FDI from foreign entities that are ICT specialists. To understand and monitor the success of this policy, MCIT needs good data on FDI. Developing a clear understanding of the role of FDI in the ICT sector is hampered by the lack of good statistical data. It is clear that the FES provides a good data source for measuring certain aspects of FDI in the ICT sector, as well as data on ICT services. However, the FES needs to be improved and one set of recommendations aims to improve the FES. However, even with the improvement of FES statistics, there are still data gaps, and so a survey cum study of the ICT sector is recommended. The proposed survey, as it follows internationally recommended guidelines on BOP/IIP and national accounts compilation, could in the longer term be extended to other sectors by CBE, GAFI and the Ministry of Finance. A number of recommendations are made to improve the measurement of FDI and/or ICT services in FES. These are:  A business reference number be added for ICT businesses. A list of such businesses could be made available primarily from ITIDA – in the longer term this might be extended to other sectors.  For the larger ICT businesses, a data profile (BOP codes by time series) should be established – again, in the longer term this might be extended to other sectors.  For the larger ICT businesses, a study of the recording of BOP transactions in FES should be undertaken to determine: a. the extent of understatement of BOP transactions due to the non recording of non foreign exchange transactions, b. the impact of offsetting, netting and batching transactions, and c. the appropriateness of the classification of the BOP transactions. This might be achieved through CBE staff participating in preliminary interviews proposed as part of establishing the FDI survey cum study.  Recommendations should be formulated and implemented that might improve the quality of FES data for BOP purposes. Following detailed discussion with MCIT-IC, it is proposed that MCIT-IC working closely with ITIDA, GAFI, CBE and possibly the Ministry of Finance, to test and undertake a FDI survey as part of a broader study of FDI in the ICT sector. The survey would be divided into two phases. In phase one it is proposed to test the feasibility of collecting data, for 2007-08 (year ended 30 June), in respect of:  Foreign direct investment inflow of FDIEs in ICT (Note some data would also be collected in respect of 2006-07).  Foreign FDI investment income.  Key measures of performance of ICT companies – these data would potentially also improve the estimation of the national accounts. In phase one, some less important component items which measure FDI inflow and investment income would not be included but would be included in phase 2. Also, some items proposed for 17 inclusion in phase one may be dropped following some initial form testing if their collection would not add much to accuracy and cause collection problems. In phase two, it is proposed to collect the same range of data as collected in phase one – but this time for 2008-09. Further it is proposed to test the feasibility of collecting a greater range of data from the ICT companies and possibly a greater number of companies. The additional items in phase two may include:  More detailed components of FDI inflows and FDI investment income,  Information on portfolio and other investment flows of ICT companies,  Information on selected services (e.g. communications, information technology) of ICT companies. The approach in phases one and two should be flexible so that lower priority items might be deferred or dropped. Appendix B presents the collection form which shows the full range of data that may be collected in phases one and two. Appendix C provides an analysis of the proposed data items, their purpose, priority, and ease or difficulty of collection. Appendix D describes how data collected on the form would be used to compile BOP/IIP statistics and measures of the activities of ICT companies. The proposed study would closely conform to international standards and recommendations, and would provide a comprehensive data set on FDI in the ICT sector in Egypt. Various international standards have been consulted. The latest and most succinct recommendations are set out in the soon to be published Balance of payments Manual (sixth edition) (BPM6). While most countries follow the standards (in terms of concepts, definitions, classifications and collection methods) established for BOP and IIP statistics, few countries have developed the capacity to measure the overall size and behaviour of FDI entities, as recommended by BPM6 and standards for national accounts (the United Nations System of National Account, edition 4). Australia is one country that has done so and close attention has been paid to its methods (with which the author is very familiar) in the design of the proposed survey. Following common international practice, the number of businesses would be limited to around 30, which are estimated to account for between 90-98 percent of FDI in ICT, exports and imports of ICT services, and employment in the ICT sector. At a later time, attempts should be undertaken to collect benchmark data for the remainder of the sector. Generally, the methodology proposed here is outlined in the IMF Balance of Payments Compilation Guide (BPCG), Chapter on survey design. The list of ICT sector companies and information about each will be supplied by ITIDA. The survey would include both FDI and non FDI companies. While for some purposes only FDIEs need to be included, for other purposes such as the comprehensive measurement of ICT services and comparing the relative contributions of FDIEs and non FDIEs, both need to be included. Copies of these documents have been provided to MCIT-IC staff. A timetable for the testing and implementation of the survey was discussed with MCIT-IC staff. Essentially, the survey will be tested and preliminary data collected for 2007-08 before mid May. Final data for 2007-08 and data for 2008-09 would be collected from mid-September with final results becoming available by late 2009-early 2010. 18 It is understood that the CBE will receive IMF technical assistance in BOP/IIP in the near future. It is important well before the start of that mission that the selected expert is appraised of the recommendations in this report. 19 Appendix A. Concepts and definitions associated with FDI This appendix provides key information about the concepts and definitions associated with direct investment, taken from BPM6 The first concept is that of the direct investment relationship, which describes the relationship between the direct investor and the direct investment enterprise as either one of control or significant influence. Note the direct investor and direct investment enterprise are residents of different economies. • A direct investment relationship arises when an investor resident in one economy makes an investment that gives control or a significant degree of influence on the management of an enterprise that is resident in another economy. (BPM6, para 6.9) • A direct investor is an entity or group of related entities that is able to exercise control or a significant degree of influence over another entity that is resident of a different economy.(BPM6, 6.11) • A direct investment enterprise is an entity subject to control or a significant degree of influence by a direct investor. (BPM6, 6.11) In some cases, a single entity may be, at the same time, a direct investor, a direct investment enterprise, and a fellow enterprise in its relationships to other enterprises. (BPM6, 6.11) As we can see that definition makes a distinction between immediate and indirect relationships. It should be noted that control or influence attaches itself to ownership of voting power. • Control or influence may be achieved directly by owning equity that gives voting power in the enterprise, or • Indirectly through having voting power in another enterprise that has voting power in the enterprise. Accordingly, there are two ways of having control or influence. These are identified as either immediate or indirect. It is also in this part of the definition that control is defined as more than 50 percent ownership of voting power and influence as between 10 and 50 percent voting power. (a) Immediate direct investment relationships Immediate direct investment relationships arise when a direct investor directly owns equity that entitles it to 10 per cent or more of the voting power in the direct investment enterprise. • Control is determined to exist if the direct investor owns more than 50 per cent of the voting power in the direct investment enterprise. • A significant degree of influence is determined to exist if the direct investor owns from 10 to 50 percent of the voting power in the direct investment enterprise. (BPM6, 6.12) (b) Indirect direct investment relationships Indirect direct investment relationships arise through owning of voting power in one direct investment enterprise that owns voting power in another enterprise or enterprises, that is, an entity is able to exercise indirect control or influence through a chain of direct investment relationships. (BPM6, 6.12) A further concept is also introduced; that of fellow enterprises, i.e. entities that share a common direct investor. 20 • Fellow enterprises are those which are both under the control or influence of the same direct investor. (BPM6, 6.12) Certain principles are articulated for indirect transmission of control and influence through a chain of ownership. These are: • Control can be passed down a chain of ownership as long as control exists at each stage. • Influence can be generated at any point down a chain of control. • Influence can only be passed through a chain of control but not beyond. (BPM6, 6.14) These principles may become clear when we study the diagram below. To complete the definition the definition distinguished between subsidiaries and associates. (a) A subsidiary is a direct investment enterprise over which the direct investor is able to exercise control (b) An associate is a direct investment enterprise over which the direct investor is able to exercise a significant degree of influence, but not control (BPM6, 6.15) The diagram (Box 6.1, BPM6) provides an indication of how to classify different entities using the concepts and definitions just discussed. A Direct Investor B G Immediate subsidiary of A Immediate associate of A C D H I Immediate subsidiary of B Immediate associate of B Immediate subsidiary of G Immediate associate of G Subsidiary of A Associate of A Associate of A Not affiliated with A E F J K Immediate subsidiary of D Immediate associate of D Immediate subsidiary of H Immediate associate of H Associate of A Not affiliated with A Associate of A Not affiliated with A 21 Appendix B. Proposed FDI Survey Form COVER PAGE Sir/Madam, Special study of foreign direct investment in the information and communications technology sector in Egypt The Ministry of Communications and Information Technology (MCIT) is planning a special study on the foreign direct investment (FDI) in the information and communications technology (ICT) sector. This study will enable MCIT to devise policies and incentives to facilitate ICT sector development in Egypt and generally to improve economic statistics such as the balance of payments and international investment position statistics related to the ICT sector. The study will largely take the form of a survey of companies in the ICT sector and is seeking balance sheet, income and expense, and related information. Officers will contact you shortly to discuss this questionnaire and seek your cooperation in its completion. All information supplied in the survey will be used strictly for statistical purposes and be kept confidential to the MCIT Information Centre. Following the visit you will be asked to complete the questionnaire and return it to this office by 15 May 2009. You should keep a copy of the completed form for your records. As will be explained to you, where actual data are not available, careful estimates will be accepted. Ms. Xxx and Yxxx (contact details), will assist you in this task in any way that they can. Thank you, your cooperation is greatly appreciated. Accurate statistics depend upon it. Yours faithfully, Dr. Elshenawy Director MCIT Information Centre __________________________ . 22 Special study of FDI in ICT in Egypt Purpose As explained in the cover page, MCIT is conducting a special study on the foreign direct investment (FDI) in the communications and information technology (ICT) sector. This study will enable MCIT to devise policies and incentives to facilitate ICT sector development in Egypt and generally improve economic statistics such as the balance of payments and international investment position statistics in the ICT sector. Confidentiality Information reported in this questionnaire, which you are requested to complete by 15 May 2009, will only be used for statistical purposes and will be treated as confidential by the MCIT Information Centre. Reporting money values Generally you are asked to report money values, which should be reported in thousands of the currency chosen (e.g. Egyptian pounds, US dollars). Foreign (non residents) and Egyptian residents In many parts of the form you are asked to report information on transactions with foreign (non residents) and Egyptian residents. Foreign residents includes entities (governments, businesses, persons) domiciled or operating outside Egypt, while Egyptian residents are those, including foreign owned companies, domiciled or operating in Egypt. Parts A to H of questionnaire The questionnaire consists of six parts: Part A seeks information on the shareholders in this company. It consists of two parts, Part A1 seeks information on shareholders which hold 1% or more of the shares in the company, whereas Part A2 seeks to find out what percentage of the shares are held by foreign residents and the percentage held by Egyptian residents. This information will assists those conducting the study to determine whether this business is a foreign direct investment enterprise and the extent of foreign ownership. Part B seeks key balance sheets totals such as total assets and liabilities and details of shareholders funds. Part C seeks supplementary balance sheet data on financial claims on and liabilities to non residents (see definition above) classified by whether the non resident party is a related entity or not. If uncertain about how to complete this section of the form, please contact MCIT IC staff. Part D collects key items from the revenue and expense accounts, which should be readily available. Part E seeks supplementary on revenue and expenses, associated with exports and imports of communications, information technology and other services (excluding transportation and travel services). Part F seeks supplementary information on investment income receivable or payable abroad. Part G seeks information on employment and fixed capital expenditure. 23 Name of company_______________________________________________________________ Address of company _____________________________________________________________ Name of person completing form___________________________________________________ Position in company______________________________________________________________ Contact details in case of inquiry____________________________________________________ Currency in which values are reported (e.g. Egyptian pounds, US Dollar) ___________________ NOTE: all money values amounts should be reported in thousands A1. Shareholders % of shares held at 30 June Name of shareholders who hold 1%+ of shares 2006 2007 2008 A2. Total foreign/Egyptian shareholdings % of shares held at 30 June 2006 2007 2008 Foreign residents Egyptian residents B. Balance sheet items at 30 June 2006 2007 2008 Total assets Total liabilities (excl shareholders funds) Shareholder’s funds Issued shares Reinvested earnings Other C. Supplementary balance sheet items at 30 June 2006 2007 2008 Financial claims on related foreign resident enterprises Financial claims on other foreign resident enterprises Liabilities to related foreign resident enterprises 24 Liabilities to other foreign residents entities D. Income and expenses items 2007-08 1. Earnings/revenue 2. Costs of goods bought in and services 3. Value added (=1-2) 4. Employee costs 5. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (=3 – 4) 6. Interest payments minus interest and dividend receipts, taxes, depreciation and amortisation 7. Net profit (=5-6) 8. Dividends 9. Retained earnings (=7-8) E. Selected service exports and imports items 2007-08 Service exports Communications Information technology Other services (included IT facilitated), excluding international transportation and travel services Service imports Communications Information technology Other services, excluding international transportation and travel services F. Selected investment income items with foreign resident enterprises 2007-08 Interest and dividends receipts From related enterprises abroad Form non related enterprises abroad Interest payments To related enterprises abroad To non related enterprises abroad G. Other items 2007-08 Number of people employed at 30 June Gross fixed capital formation 25 Appendix C. Analysis of proposed data items, their purpose, priority and easy of collection The following provide an analysis of the data items to be tested for inclusion in phases one and two of the proposed survey. For the initial pilot study and data collection it is proposed to restrict data items to the following:  A. Shareholdings, but restricted to 10% or more holdings. However, in company interviews ask about the importance of those shareholdings below 10%.  B. Balance sheet items. Include all those shown in B. However total assets and liabilities could be relegated to phase 2.  C. Selected balance sheet items. Relegate to phase 2. However, in discussions with companies could ask about the importance of loans from related companies abroad.  D. Income and expense items. The approach of collecting the complete range of items, verses selected items, should be discussed with companies - see note at end of table.  E Selected services. Relegate to phase 2.  F. Selected investment income items with related companies abroad. Relegate to phase 2.  G. Other items. Test in phase one but possibly relegate to phase 2. A1 Shareholders  Shareholders with  To determine FDI and  High priority Data readily available (also see Note 1) 10%+ shareholders DFIE characteristics  Shareholders with 1-  To measure portfolio  Low priority. 10% shareholdings investment. A2 Total Identify portfolio investment Low priority. Moderately easy to foreign/Egyptian in ICT companies. collect. shareholders B. Balance sheet  Assets and liabilities  Measures of behaviour  Medium priority. Data readily available. items of FDIEs Care required to  Shareholders’ funds  Measure FDI inflow  High priority measure issued shares o Issued shares and reinvested o Reinvested earnings correctly. earnings o Other C Supplementary  Financial claims on  Measure component of  Medium to high Moderately easy to balance sheet and liabilities to FDI collect items related non residents  Financial claims on  Measure other  Low and liabilities to other investment by FDIEs non residents D Income and  Earnings, value added  Measure behaviour of  High priority Data should be readily expense items and Employee costs FDIEs (also components available from (See note 2) of national accounts) published accounts.  Dividends and  Measure FDIE BOP  Medium to high reinvested earnings income items priority E Selected  Exports of selected  Low priority Data moderately services Measure of important difficult to collect. services economic contribution of  Imports of selected FDIEs in ICT. Also provide services improved BOP measure of ICT services. F Selected  From/to related  Measure of other DFI  Medium Moderately easy to investment enterprises abroad income collect. income items  From/to non-related  Measures of portfolio  Low with non- enterprises abroad and other investment residents income of FDIEs G. Other items  Number of people Important measures of Medium to high Moderately difficult to employed behaviour of FDIEs. collect.  Fixed capital formation Note 1.Regarding item A1, it is necessary to use information also to identify indirect FDI and portfolio investment. 26 Note 2: While items D2, D5, D6 and D7 are not required per se, it may be easier to collect them as it clearly shows the nature of the data that we are attempting to collect. This could be discussed with companies during the form testing stage. Categories:  Data relatively available: Data are published in annual accounts and accompanying notes and/or required by FDIs.  Moderately easy to collect: Data should be easily available, with some effort, but may be difficult for some companies.  Data moderately difficult to collect: data may not be routinely identified and may require company to set up special arrangement to extract data. 27 Appendix D. Outputs from the FDI survey Outputs from the proposed survey may be used to provide:  Financial flows, investment incomes and services by FDIE and non FDIE in ICT sector for inclusion in the BOP/IIP.  Measures of the activities of FDIEs and non FDIEs in ICT sector. Within the BOP/IIP categories, priority should be given to measuring financial flows and investment income, and within that to:  Financial flows direct investment in Egypt: o Equity investment, and o Reinvested earnings, and o Other capital (although this is probably not that significant)  Investment income, direct investment debit, o Dividends, and o Reinvested earnings It should be noted that measurement of investment income is less important that the financial flow. It should also be pointed out that reinvested earnings (financial flow) and reinvested earnings (investment income) are the two sides of the one transaction. The IIP items fall out as a by-product and are very important in their own right. Tables 1 and at the end of this Appendix show how the various BOP/IIP standard components may be derived from the survey form. Priority items are highlighted in yellow. The measures of activity, their source in the form, their use and priority is given in Table 3. Technical note on indirect ownership of shareholdings For some purposes, it is necessary to identify indirect share ownership. These include:  To determine whether a company is a FDIE, and  To determine the portion of reinvested earnings to be attributed to FDI. To identify if a selected company is a DFIE, it is necessary to investigate the shareholders of the shareholders, of the initially selected company, up the chain of ownership chain until satisfied that no FDI relationship exists, following the rules set out in Appendix A. To determine the portion of FDI in a FDIE, one takes  the portion of shares held directly by FDI, plus  the portion of shares held indirectly by FDIs. As an example of calculating indirect FDI, let us assume that our selected company has an Egyptian resident shareholder which owns 66% of the selected company’s shares. The shareholder in turn has a FDI which holds 50% of its shares. By multiplying shares long the chain (66%*50%) we may determine that the FDI owns 33% of the selected company. Table 1. Derivation of BOP items from proposed survey BPM5 Standard components (see pages 43ff of BPM5) Source of data (Survey form) Financial transactions (flows) B1.2 Direct investment in 1.2.1 Equity  B. (Change in) issued shares * held by reporting economy capital immediate FDIs.  A1. (Change in composition of) shareholdings of immediate FDIs 1.2.2  B.(Change in) reinvested earnings * % Reinvested held directly and indirectly by reinvested 28 earnings earnings.  A1. (Change in composition of) Shareholdings of immediate and indirect shareholdings. 1.2.3 Other  C. (Change in) Liabilities to related capital foreign-resident entities, less  C. (Change in) Claims on related foreign resident enterprises 2B2.2.1.2 Portfolio  B. (Change in) issued shares * held by investment, equity immediate portfolio investors securities, other sectors  A1. (Change in composition of) shareholdings of immediate portfolio investment shareholders 2B3.1.2.4 Other C. (Change in) Financial claims on other foreign investment, assets, loans, resident enterprises other sectors 2B3.1.2.4 Other C. (Change in) Liabilities to other foreign investment, liabilities, resident enterprises loans, other sectors Investment income 1B2. Investment income 2.1 Direct 2.1.1 I 2.1.1.1 Dividends and D8. Dividends * immediate FDI share debit investment Income on distributed branch equity profits 2.1.1.2 Reinvested D9. Reinvested earnings * immediate and earnings and indirect FDI share undistributed branch profits 2.1.2 Income F Interest payments to related enterprises on debt abroad minus interest and dividends from (interest) related enterprises abroad. 2.2 Portfolio 2.2.1 Income D8 Dividends * immediate portfolio investors investment on equity share (dividends) 2.3 Other F Interest payments to non related enterprises investment abroad 1B2 Investment income 2.3 Other F Interest receipts from non related credit investment enterprises abroad Service exports and imports 1Ab3 Communication E Service exports - Communications services credit 1Ab7 Computer and E. Service exports – Information technology information services credit 1Ab3 Communication E Service exports - Communications services debit 1Ab7 Computer and E. Service exports – Information technology information services debit 1. A. b. IIIII I Table 2. Derivation of IIP items from proposed survey BPM5 Standard components (see pages 108ff of BPM5)  Source of data (Survey form) B1.1 Direct investment in 1.1 Equity capital and  B. Issued shares * held by immediate FDIs, plus. reporting economy reinvested earnings  B. Reinvested earnings * % held directly and indirectly by reinvested earnings.  B Other shareholders’ funds held * held by immediate FDIs 1.2.Other capital  C. Liabilities to related foreign-resident entities, less  C. Claims on related foreign resident enterprises B2.1.2 Liabilities, Portfolio  Shareholders’ funds * % held directly by portfolio investors investment, equity securities, other sectors A3.2 Assets, Other investment, C. Financial claims on other foreign resident enterprises loans, other sectors B3.2 Liabilities Other investment, C. Liabilities to other foreign resident enterprises loans, other sectors Table 3 Measures of economic importance, their use and priority Measure of economic Location in survey form Use Priority activity 29 Earnings/revenue D Income and expenses  Important measure of economic activity High  Important in measure of national accounts Costs of goods bought and D Income and expenses  Important measure of economic activity Medium- sold  Important in measure of national accounts high Value added D Income and expenses  Important measure of economic activity High  Important in measure of national accounts Employee costs D Income and expenses  Important measure of economic activity \High  Important in measure of national accounts Earnings before interest etc. D Income and expenses  Measure of economic activity Medium  Important in measure of national income Interest payments, etc D Income and expenses  Measure of economic activity Medium  Important in measure of national income Net profit D Income and expenses  Important measure of economic activity Medium-  Important in measure of national accounts high Assets B Balance sheet items Measure of economic activity \Medium Liabilities B Balance sheet items Measure of economic activity Medium Selected service exports and E. Service exports and imports Measure of economic activity Medium imports Number of people employed G other items Measure of economic behaviour Medium to high Gross fixed capital G other items Measure of economic behaviour Medium formation to high 30 Appendix E. Data Entry and Tabulation System for the Proposed FDI Survey This appendix is comprised of three parts. Part A shows the data entry form, Part B tabulation of company results and Part C the publication tables. These are actually a set of specifications for an easy to prepare Excel spreadsheet which could be prepared once the exact data items to be collected in the survey are determined. The data entry sheet would require data to be entered in the white cells. Other cells provide either descriptions or derived items. A number of the derived items are either data checks so that the person entering the data can check to determine whether there have been reporting or data entry errors. There are also a number of instructions within the data entry form to guide the person completing the form. At the end of the data entry form are the summary measures for the company (Sections H to L) that would be automatically transferred to the tabulation sheet (Part B). By keeping the exact same format, it makes the construction of the tabulation sheet relatively easy to undertake. Part B enables the compiler to examine which companies are contributing to each items, a very powerful data validation tool. Part C shows the proposed publication tables which includes measures of the:  Levels of direct investment in the ICT Sector in Egypt  Flows of direct investment in the ICT Sector in Egypt  The investment income payable on direct investment in the ICT Sector in Egypt, and  Measures of activity of direct investment enterprises and non direct investment enterprises in the ICT sector in Egypt. 31 PART A Data Entry Sheet Company number ________(e.g. 01, 02 etc) Name of company_______________________________________________________________ AA. Currency and value 30 June 2006 30 June 2007 30 June 2008 AA1. Currency in which values reported (e.g. USD, Egyptian pounds) AA2. Confirm that all money values are reported in ‘000 (1). One confirmed report Yes/ AA3. Conversion factor as at year end (reported currency *Egyptian pounds conversion ratio) (2) /////////////// 2006-07 2007-08 AA4. Conversion factor as at mid-year (reported /////////////// (AA3 currency *Egyptian pounds conversion ratio) (3) (07)+(08))/2 (1) A common problem if for companies to report in actual pounds, dollars, etc and not as requested in thousands. This is an important check. (2) If company reported in USD, the conversion factor would be the number of USD to Egyptian pounds at end of year (e.g. 5.102) reported by the CBE. If company reported in Egyptian pounds the conversion faction would be 1.000 (3) The average of beginning and end of year may not always be the best conversion factor to apply to transactions. Some judgement may therefore be required and a replacement factor used (e.g. a conversion factor that applies at the date of the transaction). A1. Shareholders 30 June 2006 30 June 2007 30 June 2008 A1. % of shares held by direct investors A2+A3 A2. % of shares held by immediate direct investor A3. % of shares held by indirect direct investors.(1) A4. Direct investment enterprise (Yes=1,no=0) (2) /////////////// 2006-07 2007-08 A5. % of shares held by direct investors at mid-year (3) /////////////// (A1 (07)+(08))/2 (1) This requires investigating whether resident shareholders are themselves direct investment enterprises. If, for example, a resident shareholder held 40% of the shares, and it in turn had an immediate direct investor with an 80% shareholding, then the % of shares held by indirect direct investors is 32%. (2) It is important that an entry of 1 or 0 is made here as further calculations require it. (3) The average of beginning and end of year may not always be the best percentage to apply to transactions. Some judgement may therefore be required and a replacement percentage used (e.g. the percentage that applies at the date of the transaction). B. Balance sheet items 30 June 2006 30 June 2007 30 June 2008 B1. Total assets B2. Total liabilities (excl shareholders funds) B3. Shareholder’s funds B4 Issued shares B5. Reinvested earnings 32 B6. Other (1) B7. Check that B1-(B2+B3) -= 0 B8. Check that B3 - (B4+B5+B6) = 0 B9.Derived financial flows /////////////// 2006-07 2007-08 B91.Direct investment in Egypt – Equity //////////////// B4 (08)-(07) B92.Direct investment in Egypt – Reinvestment of /////////////// B5 (08)-(07) earnings B93.Other – Check if belongs to B91 or B92 //////////////// B6 (08)-(07) (1) This requires investigating to ensure that these are in the nature of revaluations and not new or withdrawal of investment or reinvestment of earnings. C. Supplementary balance sheet items 30 June 2006 30 June 2007 30 June 2008 C1. Financial claims on related foreign resident enterprises C2 Liabilities to related foreign resident enterprises C3.Direct investment - other investment C2-C1 C4 Derived financial flows /////////////// 2006-07 2007-08 C41 Direct investment - other investment C3 (08)-(07) D. Income and expenses items 2007-08 D1. Earnings/revenue D2. Costs of goods bought in and services D3. Value added (=1-2) D4. Employee costs D5. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (=3 – 4) D6. Interest payments minus interest and dividend receipts, taxes, depreciation and amortisation D7. Net profit (=5-6) D8. Dividends D9. Retained earnings (=7-8) D10. Check that 1-(2+3)=0 D11. Check that 3-(4+5)=0 D12. Check that 5-(6+7)=0 D13. Check that 7-(8+9)=0 D14. Check that D9-B92=0 F. Selected investment income items with foreign resident enterprises 2007-08 F1. Interest and dividends receipts 33 From related enterprises abroad F2. Interest payments To related enterprises abroad F3. Derived investment income F2-F1 Direct investment – other investment income G. Other items 2007-08 G1. Number of people employed at 30 June (actual not ‘000) G2. Gross fixed capital formation G3. Average employee costs (D4/G1) G4. Does average employee costs seem acceptable (Yes/no) H. International investment position – Direct investment in Egypt H. Level of direct investment in Egypt ///////////////////////// HA. At 30 June 2006 HB. At 30 June 2007 HC At 30 June 2008 H1C+H2C H1 Level of direct investment in Egypt – equity ///////////////////////// H1A. At 30 June 2006 H1B. At 30 June 2007 H1C At 30 June 2008 B3*AA3*A1 H2 Level of direct investment in Egypt – other ////////////////////////// H2A. At 30 June 2006 H2B. At 30 June 2007 H2C At 30 June 2008 C3*AA3 I. Balance of Payments Financial Account - Direct investment in Egypt I. Direct investment in Egypt ///////////////////////// IA. 2006-07 IB. 2007-08 I1B+I2B+13B +I1 Direct investment in Egypt – equity ///////////////////////// I1A. 2006-07 I1B. 2007-08 B91*AA4*A5 I2 Direct investment in Egypt - reinvestment of earnings ////////////////////////// I2A. 2006-07 I2B. 2007-08 B92*AA4*A5 I3 Direct investment in Egypt - other investment ////////////////////////// I3A. 2006-07 I3B. 2007-08 C41*AA4 34 J. Balance of Payments Investment Income Direct investment debit 2007-08 JA. 2006-07 JB. 2007-08 I1B+I2B+13B +J1 Direct investment in Egypt – Dividends and distribution of branch profits ///////////////////////// J1A. 2006-07 J1B. 2007-08 D8*AA4*A5 J2 Direct investment in Egypt - reinvestment of earnings ////////////////////////// J2A. 2006-07 J2B. 2007-08 D9*AA4*A5 J3 Direct investment in Egypt - other direct investment income ////////////////////////// J3A. 2006-07 J3B. 2007-08 F3*AA4 K. Comparison of direct and non-direct investment companies KA Direct investment enterprises 2007-08 KA1. Turnover D1*AA4*A4 KA2. Value added D3*AA4*A4 KA3. Wages and salaries D4*AA4*A4 KA4. Number of people employed G1*AA4*A4 KA5. Gross fixed capital formation G2*AA4*A4 KA6. Assets B1*AA4*A4 KA7. Liabilities B2*AA4*A4 KA8. Shareholders funds B3*AA4*A4 KB Non-direct investment enterprises 2007-08 KB1. Turnover (D1*AA4)-KA1 KB2. Value added (D3*AA4)-KA2 KB3. Wages and salaries (D4*AA4)-KA3 KB4. Number of people employed (G1*AA4)-KA4 KB5. Gross fixed capital formation (G2*AA4)-KA5 KB6. Assets (B1*AA4)-KA6 KB7. Liabilities (B2*AA4)-KA7 KB8. Shareholders funds (B3*AA4)-KA8 KC. Check that data are entered for KA1-8 OR KB1-8, BUT NOT BOTH Yes/no L. Some analytical tools LA. Direct investment reconciliation 2007-08 LA1. Direct investment at 30 June 2008 HC LA2. Direct investment at 30 June 2007 HB LA3. Direct investment 2007-08 (financial flow) IB LA4. Direct investment other changes in shareholder funds (1) B93*AA4 35 LA5. Direct investment other changes (2) LA1-LA2-LA3-LA4 LA. Direct investment reconciliation 2006-07 LA1. Direct investment at 30 June 2007 HB LA2. Direct investment at 30 June 2006 HA LA3. Direct investment 2006-07 (financial flow) IB LA4. Direct investment other changes in shareholder funds (1) B93*AA4 LA5. Direct investment other changes (2) LA1-LA2-LA3-LA4 LB Average wages and salaries per employee (3) (KA3/KA4)+(KB3/KB4) LC Investment income ratio 2006-07 (shows return on investment) (4) JB/((HC+HB)/2)% LC Investment income ratio 2007-08 (shows return on investment) (4) JA/((HB+HA)/2)% (1) These should be due to revaluation of balance sheet items. The exact nature of such transactions should be ascertained from the company. (2) These can arise for various reasons, but any very large figures need to be explained. (3) This is a useful data validation tool to ensure that wage and salary costs and numbers of employees have been correctly reported. It is also a useful analytic tool to see whether FDIES pay higher or lower wages and salaries to employees. (4) This is a useful data validation tool to ensure that income items and the levels of investment have been correctly reported. It is also a useful analytic tool to see the rate of return on direct investment. 36 PART B Tabulation Sheet H. International investment position – Direct investment in Egypt Total O1 02 03 04 05 06 Etc H. Level of direct investment in Egypt HA. At 30 June 2006 HB. At 30 June 2007 HC At 30 June 2008 H1 Level of direct investment in Egypt – equity H1A. At 30 June 2006 H1B. At 30 June 2007 H1C At 30 June 2008 H2 Level of direct investment in Egypt – other H2A. At 30 June 2006 H2B. At 30 June 2007 H2C At 30 June 2008 Note: No data are entered into green lines I. Balance of Payments Financial Account - Direct investment in Egypt Total O1 02 03 04 05 06 Etc I. Direct investment in Egypt IA. 2006-07 IB. 2007-08 I1 Direct investment in Egypt – equity I1A. 2006-07 I1B. 2007-08 I2 Direct investment in Egypt - reinvestment of earnings I2A. 2006-07 I2B. 2007-08 I3 Direct investment in Egypt - other investment I3A. 2006-07 I3B. 2007-08 J. Balance of Payments Investment Income Direct investment debit Total O1 02 03 04 05 06 Etc J. Balance of Payments Investment Income Direct investment debit JA. 2006-07 JB. 2007-08 J1 Direct investment in Egypt – Dividends and distribution of branch profits J1A. 2006-07 J1B. 2007-08 J2 Direct investment in Egypt - reinvestment of earnings J2A. 2006-07 J2B. 2007-08 37 J3 Direct investment in Egypt - other direct investment income J3A. 2006-07 J3B. 2007-08 K. Comparison of direct and non-direct investment companies Total O1 02 03 04 05 06 etc KA Direct investment enterprises KA1. Turnover KA2. Value added KA3. Wages and salaries KA4. Number of people employed KA5. Gross fixed capital formation KA6. Assets KA7. Liabilities KA8. Shareholders funds KB Non-direct investment enterprises KB1. Turnover KB2. Value added KB3. Wages and salaries KB4. Number of people employed KB5. Gross fixed capital formation KB6. Assets KB7. Liabilities KB8. Shareholders funds L. Some analytical tools Total O1 02 03 04 05 06 Etc LA. Direct investment reconciliation (2007-08) LA1. Direct investment at 30 June 2008 LA2. Direct investment at 30 June 2007 LA3. Direct investment 2007-08 (financial flow) LA4. Direct investment other changes in shareholders funds LA5. Direct investment other changes LA. Direct investment reconciliation (2008-09) LA1. Direct investment at 30 June 2007 LA2. Direct investment at 30 June 2006 LA3. Direct investment 2006-07 (financial flow) LA4. Direct investment other changes in shareholders funds LA5. Direct investment other changes LB Average wages and salaries per employee LC Investment income ratio 2006-07 (shows return on investment) LC Investment income ratio 2007-08 (shows return on investment) 38 PART C Publication Tables Level of Direct Investment in Egypt in ICT Sector Millions of Egyptian pounds At 30 June 2006 At 30 June 2007 At 30 June 2008 Level of direct investment in Egypt Of which Equity investment (incl. reinvestment of earnings) Other investment NOTE: These are the levels of investment measured in the IIP statement Flows of Direct investment in ICT Sector in Egypt Millions of Egyptian pounds 2006-07 2007-08 Direct investment in Egypt Of which Equity investment Reinvestment of earnings Other investment NOTE: These are the financial flows measured in the BOP Financial Account The investment income payable on direct investment in the ICT Sector in Egypt, and Millions of Egyptian pounds 2006-07 2007-08 Investment income payable abroad by direct investment enterprises in the ICT Sector Of which Dividends and distribution of branch profits Reinvestment of earnings Other investment income NOTE: These are the direct investment, investment income payable abroad measured in the BOP income account. Measures of activity of direct investment enterprises and non direct investment enterprises in the ICT sector in Egypt in 2007-08 Foreign direct Non foreign All enterprises investment direct enterprises investment enterprises Turnover – millions Value added – millions Wages and salaries – millions Number of people employed Gross fixed capital formation millions Assets – millions Liabilities – millions Shareholders funds – millions Number of enterprises 39