The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ecuador Risk Mitigation and Emergency Recovery Project (P157324) Ecuador Risk Mitigation and Emergency Recovery Project (P157324) LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Ecuador | Urban, Resilience and Land Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2016 | Seq No: 10 | ARCHIVED on 20-Nov-2020 | ISR44212 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Economy and Finance Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 15-Mar-2016 Effectiveness Date: 19-Jul-2016 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 18-Jun-2018 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 09-Apr-2018 Original Closing Date: 07-Sep-2020 Revised Closing Date: 07-Sep-2021 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective is to reduce the potential effects of the El Niño phenomenon and the Cotopaxi volcano, and support the recovery of basic and production services in affected areas in case of an Eligible Disaster, in selected sectors. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? Yes Board Approved Revised Project Development Objective (If project is formally restructured) To support the recovery of basic and productive services in selected sectors in affected areas in case of an Eligible Disaster and strengthen resilience to natural disasters and macroeconomic shocks Components Table Name Component 1: Disaster Preparedness and Risk Mitigation:(Cost $4.23 M) Component 2: Post-Disaster Recovery and Reconstruction:(Cost $52.80 M) Component 3: Technical Assistance to MEF and Project Implementation, Monitoring and Evaluation:(Cost $3.46 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions 11/20/2020 Page 1 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ecuador Risk Mitigation and Emergency Recovery Project (P157324) Overall Implementation Status Project implementation is advancing well and good progress has been shown towards results indicators. A total of 382,239 households of informal sector workers who depend on daily work received cash transfers in April and May under the COVID-19 Emergency Family Protection Bonus. 86 health units were strengthened in response to health needs after an eligible disaster. The Project completed the construction of six flood mitigation works, which protected 173,000 hectares of crops and 203,600 people. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic High High High Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary High Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Substantial Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- -- Moderate Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Support the recovery in affected areas and in selected sectors in case of an Eligible Disaster IN00915871 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,176,182.00 2,417,874.00 2,442,215.00 Date 23-Feb-2016 21-Feb-2020 29-Oct-2020 07-Sep-2021 This indicator includes the direct beneficiaries of the works, services and activities to be carried out by EPA, MSP, MIES and MEF. The end target is expected to be completed by the Project’s closing date, as Comments: more beneficiaries are added following the purchase of two hospital tents under Component 2. IN00915873 11/20/2020 Page 2 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ecuador Risk Mitigation and Emergency Recovery Project (P157324) Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 51.00 51.00 50.00 IN00915874 ►Number of people benefiting from new equipment in the health sector after an Eligible Disaster occurs (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,349,017.00 1,349,017.00 1,838,615.00 Date 23-Feb-2016 21-Feb-2020 29-Oct-2020 07-Sep-2021 This indicator includes the direct beneficiaries of the activities to be carried out by MSP. The end target is not expected to be met by the Project’s closing date. Considering the combined population of both municipalities (Pedernales and Alausí) where the hospital tents acquired under Component 2 will be Comments: installed, the estimated end target would be below 1,450,000 individuals benefited. Therefore, the current end target will be revised accordingly through Project restructuring in the coming months. IN00915876 ►Number of households receiving emergency cash transfers through the Government of Ecuador payment delivery mechanisms (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 382,240.00 400,027.00 Date 31-Mar-2020 31-Mar-2020 29-Oct-2020 07-Sep-2021 The indicator was updated following the disbursement of the emergency cash transfers to support vulnerable households struggling to cope with the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in April and May 2020. The current end target corresponds to an earlier estimate from MIES of total eligible beneficiary households (400,027). This number was later revised to 400,019 households, and it will be updated accordingly through Project restructuring in the coming months. Out of the total eligible households, 96% (382,239) received the full voucher (two payments of US$ 60), 1% (4,791) received the partial voucher (a Comments: single payment of US $ 60) and 3% (12,998) did not receive any payment. Outdated or incorrect contact information was the main reason why eligible households did not receive the transfer, followed by difficulty to reach the payment points caused by mobility restrictions during the state of emergency, even though the network of payment points was expanded from 3,500 in April to 10,588 in May. No further disbursement is expected. As a result, no further update is expected under this indicator. Strengthen resilience to natural disasters and macroeconomic shocks IN00915872 ►Number of people protected through flood mitigation works (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 203,600.00 203,600.00 203,600.00 Date 23-Feb-2016 21-Feb-2020 29-Oct-2020 07-Sep-2021 Indicator was achieved when EPA works were completed in March 2016. Comments: IN00915875 ►Drafting of a program of fiscal and structural reforms to improve macroeconomic resilience (Text, Custom) 11/20/2020 Page 3 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ecuador Risk Mitigation and Emergency Recovery Project (P157324) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Program No Program No Program Program designed Date 22-Oct-2018 21-Feb-2020 29-Oct-2020 07-Sep-2021 The program of fiscal and structural reforms will be based on the findings of a series of consultancies commissioned by MEF. The design of the program is expected to be completed within the Project Comments: timeline, following the successful completion of the consultancies commissioned by MEF. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Disaster Preparedness and Risk Mitigation IN00915879 ►Number of hectares of crops protected against flooding (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 173,500.00 173,500.00 173,500.00 Date 23-Feb-2016 21-Feb-2020 29-Oct-2020 07-Sep-2021 Indicator was achieved when EPA works were completed on March 2016. Comments: IN00915882 ►Number of preventive works (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 Date 23-Feb-2016 21-Feb-2020 29-Oct-2020 07-Sep-2021 Indicator was achieved when EPA works were completed on March 2016. Comments: Component 2: Post-Disaster Recovery and Reconstruction IN00915878 ►Health facilities equipped (number) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 86.00 86.00 289.00 Date 23-Feb-2016 21-Feb-2020 29-Oct-2020 07-Sep-2021 The achievement of the indicator will depend on the timely procurement of goods to be carried out by the MSP. The current end target exceeds the target expected to be met through the remaining activity under Comments: Component 2-Purchase of hospital tents, as no further update is expected in the number of facilities equipped. The end target will be revised accordingly through Project restructuring in the coming months. 11/20/2020 Page 4 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ecuador Risk Mitigation and Emergency Recovery Project (P157324) Component 3: Technical Assistance to MEF and Project Monitoring and Evaluation IN00915877 ►Grievances registered related to delivery of project benefits addressed (%) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 96.00 80.00 Date 18-Nov-2015 21-Feb-2020 29-Oct-2020 07-Sep-2021 IN00915880 Grievances related to delivery of project benefits that are addressed-(number) (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 263.00 10.00 IN00915881 ►Preparation of a strategy to strengthen public financial management: including improvements to budget preparation, execution and control. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Final strategy Value No strategy No strategy No strategy document completed Date 22-Oct-2018 21-Feb-2020 29-Oct-2020 07-Sep-2021 The strategy will be based on the findings of a series of consultancies commissioned by the MEF. Comments: Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P157324 IBRD-85910 Effective USD 150.00 59.59 90.41 54.84 4.75 92% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P157324 IBRD-85910 Effective 15-Mar-2016 22-Apr-2016 19-Jul-2016 07-Sep-2020 07-Sep-2021 Cumulative Disbursements 11/20/2020 Page 5 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ecuador Risk Mitigation and Emergency Recovery Project (P157324) PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 23-Apr-2019 ,Level 2 Approved on 10-Sep-2019 ,Level 2 Approved on 12-Mar-2020 ,Level 2 Approved on 09-May-2020 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 11/20/2020 Page 6 of 6