103042 Global equities tumble following China stocks rout Financial Markets Global stocks tumbled on Monday, with sharp declines in Chinese shares triggering national trading halt. Market analysts attributed the collapse to China’s disappointing manufacturing data, the coming removal of a 6-month lockup period on share sales by major institutional investors, and the trigger of the circuit breaker mechanism that came into effect Monday and was put to test immediately. China’s CSI 300 Index had initially fell 5 percent, prompting a 15-minute trading stop, and it took just 7 minutes for losses to reach the threshold for a second suspension (7 percent) as soon as the market re-opened, halting the trading for the day. Europe’s Stoxx 600 Index dropped 2.4 percent in afternoon trading and the S&P 500 Index fell 2.2 percent in morning session. Oil prices rose amid concerns about growing tensions in the Middle East but weak economic data out of China limited the gains. The advances came after Saudi Arabia on Sunday severed diplomatic ties with Iran in the fallout from the embassy assault. Brent, the global benchmark, rose 4.3 percent to $38.88 a barrel, and West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark, climbed 3.2 percent to $38.21 a barrel. Advanced Markets U.S. manufacturing continued to contract in December, according to the Purchasing Managers’ Index of the Institute for Supply Management. The index fell further into contractionary territory at 48.2 in December, from 48.6 in November. The index is at the lowest level since 2009, as manufactures face headwinds from weak external demand in the context of a strong U.S. dollar. In the Euro Area, the December manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (Markit) showed the fastest growth since July 2014, with the index rising to 53.2, compared with 52.8 in November. Manufacturing expanded in all member countries, including Greece, helped by the European Central Bank’s stimulus program. GDP growth in Singapore picked-up to 2 percent (y/y) in Q4 of 2015, faster than the 1.8 percent growth registered in Q3 and ahead of expectations. Services and construction continue to expand, while manufacturing remains weak. Emerging and Developing Economies East Asia and Pacific The highest since October 2014, consumer prices in South Korea rose 1.30 percent (y/y) in December 2015, following a 1.0 percent rise in November. The cost of housing & utilities and transport fell at a slower pace while prices of food and clothing & footwear rose further. Europe and Central Asia 1 Expanding at the fastest pace in 13 months, the Istanbul Chamber of Industry manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for Turkey rose to 52.2 in December from 50.9 in November. Positive contributions from output, new orders, employment and stocks of purchases components supported the increase. Latin America and the Caribbean The Markit Manufacturing PMI for Brazil came in at 45.6 in December up from 43.8 in November, showing contraction for the 11th straight month. Output and new orders dip at rates that, although slower, remained sharp. Employment, buying levels and stocks also fell. Sub-Saharan Africa Kenya’s GDP advanced 5.8 percent (y/y) in Q3 2015, up from a 5.5 percent increase in Q2. It was the highest growth rate since Q2 2014, as agriculture expanded sharply due to improved weather conditions. Construction, financial activities, internal trade and transportation also contributed to growth while accommodation sector continued to shrink. January 4, 2016 The Global Daily is an informal briefing on global economic and financial developments compiled by the World Bank’s Development Economics Prospects Group. Recent issues, together with analysis of a variety of macroeconomic topics, covered by the Group, may be found at: http://www.worldbank.org/prospects. The views expressed in the Global Daily do not necessarily reflect those of The World Bank Group, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. Feedback and requests to be added to or dropped from the distribution list may be sent to: Derek Chen (dchen2@worldbank.org). 2