Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Disaster Risk Management DPL with Catastrophe Deferred Draw Down Option (P126583) Second Disaster Risk Management DPL with Catastrophe Deferred Draw Down Option (P126583) LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Colombia | Urban, Resilience and Land Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Development Policy Lending | FY 2013 | Seq No: 11 | ARCHIVED on 29-Jun-2021 | ISR47275 | Implementing Agencies: Departamento Nacional de Planeación, Ministerio de Hacienda y Credito Publico Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 10-Jul-2012 Effectiveness Date: 03-Jan-2013 Original Closing Date: 10-Jul-2015 Revised Closing Date: 10-Jul-2021 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program Document) To strengthen the Government's program for reducing risks resulting from adverse natural events. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Low Low Implementation Status and Key Decisions The CAT DDO II has supported three policy areas since 2012, namely: (i) Strengthening disaster risk management institutional and planning capacity; (ii) Strengthening the institutional framework and capacity for including disaster risk management in land use planning; and (iii) Strengthening policies and tools to reduce risk in the housing sector. The full amount of the loan (US$250 million) was disbursed on March 31, 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The Government remains committed to the implementation of the DRM program supported by the Cat DDO II, and confirmed that the program remains relevant, adequate and comprehensive. Two of the six Prior Actions have been successfully completed: Action No. 4 related to Subnational Climate Change Management Plans and Action No. 6 related to the analysis of resettlement processes for households in high-risk areas. There has been moderate progress in the implementation of the remaining four actions under the responsibility of the UNGRD, MADS and MVCT, largely due to staff turnover, lack of strategies to work with subnational entities, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2020 hurricane season. Further progress is expected under these actions before the project closing date. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool 6/29/2021 Page 1 of 7 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Disaster Risk Management DPL with Catastrophe Deferred Draw Down Option (P126583) Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Low Low Macroeconomic -- Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies -- Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program -- Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and -- Low Low Sustainability Fiduciary -- Low Low Environment and Social -- Low Low Stakeholders -- Low Low Other -- Low Low Overall -- Low Low Results Results Indicators Strengthening DRM institutional and planning capacity IN01009092 ►DRM instruments for inter-institutional coordination of the National DRM system, designed and approved (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Instrument: Programmatic Instrument: Three risk Component of the Programmatic management National DRM Plan Component of the instruments for inter- (PNGRD) Updated National DRM Plan institutional (100%). (PNGRD) Updated coordination of the (Overall progress National Disaster Risk Milestone 1. Document 92%). Management System with the initial proposal to Programmatic (SNGRD), designed update the PNGRD Component of the Instrument: Updated and approved: programmatic National DRM Plan out of response protocols 1. component. Work has date; National under the National Programmati been carried out with 20 Emergency Response Emergency Response c component of the sectors, for which the Value Strategy with response Strategy (Overall National DRM Plan critical points of the protocols outdated; progress 100%) (PNGRD) updated. programmatic component Strategy of Resilient 2. Five to be adjusted have been Recovery to Disaster and Instrument: Strategy of response protocols in identified. This has Climate Change (CC)not Resilient Recovery to the framework of the resulted in the designed. Disaster and Climate National Emergency identification of 585 Change (CC). Overall Response Strategy projects of the progress: 20%, below updated. programmatic component the expected 100% 3. Strategy of that require update in target for 2021. Resilient Recovery to terms of targets, contents Disaster and CC and deadlines. Overall progress for designed. Indicator 1 = 71% Instrument: National Emergency Response 6/29/2021 Page 2 of 7 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Disaster Risk Management DPL with Catastrophe Deferred Draw Down Option (P126583) Strategy with response protocols updated (100%) Milestone 1. Design of 5 response protocols (hurricanes, volcanoes, floods, earthquakes and landslides). Progress as expected for 2019 (33.4%). Components in which progress has been made include: Temporary Shelters, Emergency Humanitarian Aid, Search and Rescue, Water and Sanitation, and Critical Incident Management. Date 10-Jul-2018 30-Apr-2020 31-May-2021 10-Jul-2021 Progress to date: Overall progress is at 92%. (i) Instrument 1. Programmatic Component of the National DRM Plan (PNGRD) Updated: Milestone 1. Document with the initial proposal to update the PNGRD programmatic component (Progress: 50%). Work has been carried out with 24 sectors, through 120 involved entities and strategic partners, for which the roadmap to meet the established targets was defined. The results from the technical working groups were compiled. A total of 58 (as opposed to 585, a typographical error in previous ISR) projects of the programmatic component require updating of targets, contents and deadlines. Milestone 2. Sectoral dialogue around the programmatic component of the PNGRD (Progress below expected 25% target for 2021). This process involving 24 sectors was complete. Milestone 3. Adoption of the programmatic component of the PNGRD (Progress below target: 17%). Adoption is expected for December 2021; (ii) Instrument 2. Updated response protocols under the National Emergency Response Strategy: Milestone 1. Design of 5 response protocols (hurricanes, volcanoes, floods, earthquakes and landslides). Progress: 33.4% of target 33.4%. No further progress reported since the last ISR. Milestone 2. Dialogue around response protocols. Progress: 33.3% of target Comments: 33.3%. No further progress reported since the last ISR. Milestone 3. Adoption of response protocols. Progress: 33.3% of target 33.3%. No further progress reported since the last ISR. Adoption is expected for mid/late July 2021. (iii) Instrument 3. Strategy of Resilient Recovery to Disaster and Climate Change (CC): Milestone 1: Designing of the Strategy, coordination instruments, roles and responsibilities. Progress: 20%, below the expected 50% target for 2021. Milestone 2. Dialogue around the Strategy of Resilient Recovery. Progress: 50%. No further progress reported, as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2020 hurricane season, which shifted UNGRD’s priorities and disrupted normal work modalities and schedules. This indicator was introduced during the second renewal period (2018-2021), replacing the previous indicator “The new Agency for the Coordination of the National DRM framework has put in place new instruments for inter-agency Coordination.” The key expected result for 2015 “Two new instruments put in place” was sucessfully achieved. The key expected result for 2018 “Two new instruments put in place” was successfully achieved. IN01009094 ►National Technical Assistance (TA) Program in DRM and Climate Change Adaptation (CCA), designed, approved and implemented (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value National TA Program in Milestone 1. Proposed No further progress National TA Program DRM and CC not preliminary structure of reported (overall in DRM and CCA, designed. the National TA Program progress 45%), below designed, approved (definition of objective the expected 100% and implemented in 5 and scope). Progress as target for 2021. departments and 2 expected for 2019 (10%). sectors. 6/29/2021 Page 3 of 7 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Disaster Risk Management DPL with Catastrophe Deferred Draw Down Option (P126583) This progress corresponds to the preparation of a preliminary proposal by the UNGRD, based on an initial structure drafted by the MVCT. This proposal includes scope, baseline, conceptual framework, prioritization criteria, strategic topic areas and methodology. Milestone 2. Design of the National TA Program. No progress made thus far. Date 10-Jul-2018 30-Apr-2020 31-May-2021 10-Jul-2021 Progress to date: Overall progress is at 45%. Milestone 1. Proposed preliminary structure of the National TA Program (PNAT) (definition of objective and scope). Progress of 10% of 10% target. Milestone 2. Design of the PNAT. Progress of 20% of 20% target. A total of five workshops with the National Planning Department (DNP) and key sectors were organized, where the program’s structure and responsibilities were defined. Milestone 3. Adoption of the PNAT. No further progress reported (15% of 15% target). A concept of the associated investment project was approved in 2021. Milestone 4. Dissemination of the PNAT. No progress reported (5%). Milestone 5. Implementation of the PNAT. No progress reported of target 50%, as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2020 hurricane season, which shifted Comments: UNGRD’s priorities and disrupted normal work modalities and schedules, and staff turnover. This indicator was introduced during the second renewal period (2018-2021), replacing the previous indicator “Number of formulated Municipal Plans for Disaster Risk Management under the technical assistance of the National DRM Unit (UNGRD).” The key expected result for 2015 (688 municipalities) was completed above the target, with a total of 812 municipalities (118%). The key expected result for 2018 (886 municipalities) was completed above the target, with a total of 1,054 municipalities (119%). IN01009096 ►Methodology for Damage and Loss Assessment and Analysis of Environmental Needs designed and implemented. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value Methodology for Damage Milestone 1. Preliminary Overall progress at Methodology for and Loss Assessment document with the scope 72%, below the Damage and Loss and Analysis of and content of the expected 100% target Assessment and Environmental Needs not methodology for damage for 2021. Analysis of designed. and loss assessment and Environmental Needs analysis of environmental designed by the MADS needs for mainland and implemented by 5 ecosystems. Progress of Regional 10%, as set for 2019. A Environmental document was prepared, Authorities (CARs). which includes justification, scope, objectives, conceptual framework and preliminary structure for the EDANA development. Milestone 2. Design and validation of the EDANA through four workshops. Progress as proposed for 6/29/2021 Page 4 of 7 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Disaster Risk Management DPL with Catastrophe Deferred Draw Down Option (P126583) 2019 (20%). Four workshops were held; one with experts in the field of damage assessment and post- disaster environmental needs analysis, and the other three with three CARs (CORNARE, CVS and CAR), in order to socialize progress and obtain key information as input for adjusting the EDANA's methodological design. Milestone 3. Implementation of the methodology by five pilot CARs. Progress of 14% compared to the 70% set for 2019. The advances in the EDANA methodology were implemented by the Cundinamarca Regional Environmental Authority (CAR), for a forest fire event that occurred in its jurisdiction Date 10-Jul-2018 30-Apr-2020 31-May-2021 10-Jul-2021 Progress to date: Overall progress is at 72%. Milestone 1. Preliminary document with the scope and content of the methodology for damage and loss assessment and analysis of environmental needs for mainland ecosystems. No further progress reported (10% of 10% target). Milestone 2. Design and validation of the EDANA through four workshops. No further progress reported (20% of 20% target). Milestone 3. Implementation of the methodology by five pilot Regional Environmental Authorities (CARs). Progress at 42%, below the expected 70% target for 2021. The methodology was implemented by CAR, CORNARE and CVS for forest fires under their jurisdiction, along with technical reports for implementation of the methodology. Further progress is expected by July 2021, through the implementation of the methodology by three additional CARs. The delay in expected progress is due to the disruption of Comments: technical validation activities through virtual sessions, as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. This indicator was introduced during the second renewal period (2018-2021), replacing the previous indicator “Number of municipalities that under the new Decree have reviewed or formulated new plans with the guidelines for DRM in their POTs that have been agreed upon with the CARs.” The key expected result for 2015 (25 municipalities) achieved 60% progress, with a total of 15 municipalities. The key expected result for 2018 (25 municipalities) was completed above the target, with a total of 129 municipalities (516%). Strengthening the institutional framework and capacity for including DRM in land use planning IN01009091 ►Departments with reports of CCA initiatives or projects under implementation integrating risk understanding and risk reduction actions, implemented within the framework of the Territorial CC Mgmt Plan (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 6/29/2021 Page 5 of 7 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Disaster Risk Management DPL with Catastrophe Deferred Draw Down Option (P126583) Value 0.00 5.00 10.00 10.00 Date 10-Jul-2018 30-Apr-2020 31-May-2021 10-Jul-2021 Progress to date: Target associated to this results indicator has been achieved (100%). A total of. 10 departments (Cundinamarca, Sucre, Córdoba, Nariño, Putumayo, Antioquia, La Guajira, Magdalena, San Andrés and Chocó) have approved projects for climate change adaptation, including actions regarding understanding and reducing risk. Implementation started in six of these 10 projects, all of these within the framework of the Integral Plans of Territorial Climate Change Management. Comments: This indicator was introduced during the second renewal period (2018-2021), replacing the previous indicator “Number of watershed management plans (POMCAs) that have incorporated disaster risk management in their formulation.” The key expected result for 2015 (15 POMCAs) achieved 33.3% progress, with a total of 5 POMCAs. The key expected result for 2018 (60 POMCAs) achieved 97% progress, with a total of 58 POMCAs. Strengthening policies and tools to reduce risk in the housing sector IN01009093 ►Municipalities that report information on at least one settlement in the inventory of settlements located in high-risk areas, under the guidelines of the MVCT. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 10.00 12.00 12.00 25.00 Date 10-Jul-2018 30-Apr-2020 31-May-2021 10-Jul-2021 Progress to date: Overall progress is at 20%. Only three municipalities (La Peña, Mosquera and Ibagué) out of the 15 expected for 2021 have reported at least one settlement in the inventory of settlements located in high-risk areas. The difficulties in meeting the targets are due to the fact that few municipalities have developed detailed hazard, vulnerability and risk studies, information that is essential to report the information on settlements at risk in the platform. By July 2021, through the software update and the technical assistance provided, seven additional municipalities are expected to upload their information into the system (Armenia, Cartagena, Girardot, Puerto Boyacá, Magangué, La Mesa y Tocaima), which would Comments: allow reaching 66% of the target for this indicator. The delay in expected progress is due to lack of existing strategies to work with subnational entities, the complexity and cost of detailed risk studies and the difficulty to operate the software for settlement georeferencing. This indicator was continued through the program’s renewal periods. The key expected result for 2015 (25 municipal inventories) achieved 16% progress, with a total of 4 inventories. The key expected result for 2018 (25 municipal inventories) achieved 40% progress, with a total of 10 inventories. IN01009095 ►Analysis documents of resettlement processes (relocation) of families in areas of non-mitigable high risk, as an input to the preparation of guidelines for the resettlement of population in such areas (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Date 30-Apr-2020 31-May-2019 31-May-2021 10-Jul-2021 Progress to date: Target associated to this results indicator has been achieved (100%). Milestone 1. Undertaking of four institutional working groups. 20% progress reported of 20% target for 2019. Milestone 2. Preparation of two analysis documents of the pilot cases. No further progress was reported (20%) in relation to the 20% defined for 2020. Milestone 3. Inputs for the development of guidelines for Comments: resettlement of households in high-risk areas. The final draft of the analysis of two resetlement processes (Salgar and Gramalote) containing the guidelines was completed in October 2020. 30% progress of 30% set for 2021. 6/29/2021 Page 6 of 7 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Disaster Risk Management DPL with Catastrophe Deferred Draw Down Option (P126583) This indicator was introduced during the second renewal period (2018-2021), replacing the previous indicator “Technical assistance and training provided to municipalities for the formulation of the inventory of settlements in high risk areas.” The key expected result for 2015 “250 municipalities” achieved 43.6% progress, with a total of 109 municipalities. The key expected result for 2018 “250 municipalities” was completed above the target, with a total of 265 municipalities (106%). Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P126583 IBRD-81840 Effective USD 250.00 250.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 100% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P126583 IBRD-81840 Effective 10-Jul-2012 16-Nov-2012 03-Jan-2013 10-Jul-2015 10-Jul-2021 Tranches Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 6/29/2021 Page 7 of 7