The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Uzbekistan: Strengthening the Social Protection System Project (P166447) Uzbekistan: Strengthening the Social Protection System Project (P166447) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Uzbekistan | Social Protection & Jobs Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2020 | Seq No: 3 | ARCHIVED on 23-Nov-2020 | ISR43995 | Implementing Agencies: Republic of Uzbekistan, Ministry of Employment and Labor Relations, Ministry of Finance Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 01-Jul-2019 Effectiveness Date: 18-Nov-2019 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 07-Oct-2022 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2024 Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2024 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to improve inclusion of poor and vulnerable people in the social assistance system and labor market, including those affected by the economic reforms in Uzbekistan. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Modernizing the Social Safety Net:(Cost $5.00 M) Improving the Effectiveness of Active Labor Market Programs:(Cost $41.00 M) Project Monitoring and Management:(Cost $4.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Project became effective on November 18, 2019 and was subsequently adopted by the Government through the Cabinet of Ministers Resolution #669 issued on October 30, 2020. The project is on track to achieve its PDO and is expected to contribute to the economic and social crisis response by supporting the delivery of social assistance and employment programs for the unemployed. The overall implementation of moderately satisfactory. The procurement of key hardware equipment for the national roll out of the Single Registry is pending MOF’s approval. An assessment of the Single registry software and operational procedures is underway to inform future developments and expansion. The Subsidies Financing Manual (SFM) regulating the disbursement of employment subsidies is close to being finalized and adopted by MELR and MOF. Progress has been made on the procurement packages for key activities under component 2, including (i) hardware and software for the LMIS Backup Data Center; (ii) entrepreneurship training, (iii) information campaigns; and (iv) equipment for the Jobs Multifunctional Centers. The 11/23/2020 Page 1 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Uzbekistan: Strengthening the Social Protection System Project (P166447) following two activities are priorities for the coming months: (i) case management and job matching TA and (ii) functional review of Employment Support Centers. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Moderate Macroeconomic Substantial Substantial Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and High Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- Moderate Moderate Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Outcome 1. Increased share of poor families supported by social benefits IN00909683 ►Share of people in the poorest quintile that are receiving social benefits for low-income families (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 31.00 31.00 31.00 37.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 Coverage of all three combined family allowances among households in the poorest quintile of the pre- Comments: social assistance consumption national distribution Outcome 2. Improved employability of vulnerable jobseekers IN00909682 ►Share of employment subsidy (any type) beneficiaries who have a job 6 months after program completion (disaggregated by vulnerable groups and sex) (Percentage, Custom) 11/23/2020 Page 2 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Uzbekistan: Strengthening the Social Protection System Project (P166447) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Date 28-Feb-2019 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the number of difficult to employed individuals who have a job in six months after receiving any of the three employment subsidies supported by the project – disaggregated by type: Comments: women, youth, returning migrants, low income workers. No data has been produced so far to measure this indicator. IN00909684 Share of female employment subsidy (any type) beneficiaries who have a job 6 months after program completion (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 24-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2024 IN00909685 ►Share of employment subsidy (any type) beneficiaries who have a job 12 months after program completion (disaggregated by vulnerable groups and sex) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the number of difficult to employed individuals who have a job in twelve months after receiving any of the three employment subsidies supported by the project – disaggregated by type: Comments: women, youth, returning migrants, low income workers. No data has been produced so far to measure this indicator. IN00909686 Share of female employment subsidy (any) beneficiaries who have a job 12 months after program completion (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 24-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2024 IN00909687 ►Share of vulnerable jobseekers who find a job through ESC intermediation services (disaggregated by vulnerable groups and sex) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 40.00 40.00 40.00 45.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the job placement through ESC intermediation services for vulnerable groups – disaggregated by type: women, youth, displaced workers, returning migrants, PWDs, social assistance Comments: beneficiaries. Share of jobseekers, not only vulnerable, who find jobs IN00909688 11/23/2020 Page 3 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Uzbekistan: Strengthening the Social Protection System Project (P166447) Share of female vulnerable jobseekers who find a job through ESC intermediation services (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 25.00 25.00 25.00 35.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 24-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2024 IN00909689 ►Share of beneficiaries of the entrepreneurship skills training awarded financial support whose business is operational 12 months after completing training (disaggregated by sex) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the number of people who received entrepreneurship skills training and financial Comments: support to keep their business operational 12 months after the training completion. The data will be disaggregated by sex IN00909690 Share of female beneficiaries of the entrepreneurship skills training awarded financial support whose business is operational 12 months after completing training (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 24-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2024 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1. Modernizing the Social Safety Net in Uzbekistan IN00909692 ►Number of districts implementing the outreach activities included in the adopted outreach strategy (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 180.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 Comments: This indicator measures the number of districts which received outreach activities IN00909695 ►Number of households registered the social registry (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 25,266.00 939,347.00 1,000,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 11-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 Comments: This indicator measures the number of households applying to be registered in the social registry 11/23/2020 Page 4 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Uzbekistan: Strengthening the Social Protection System Project (P166447) IN00909698 ►Number of inactive work-able individuals registered in the single registry referred to ESCs (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 100,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the number of work-able individuals registered in the single social registry (or via their household) and referred to ESCs to benefit from Employment Services. Wok able members with no Comments: formal declared income are required to register with ESC. The number exists but is not available, IN00909701 ►Share of social benefit applicants satisfied with the selection process (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicators measures the level of satisfaction with the selection process by social benefit applicants. Comments: Not yet due. It will be tracked in year 2 and 4 through the beneficiary assessments. IN00909703 ►Number of administrative units (districts) adopting the Single Registry to select beneficiaries of low income family allowances (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 11.00 89.00 200.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the number of administrative units of the Republic of Uzbekistan that adopted the Comments: Single Registry IN00909705 ►Number of officials trained in the use of the Single Registry (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 345.00 1,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the number of officials of who received training on the use of the Single Registry. Comments: The previous value was incorrectly coded as "23" instead of "0". IN00909707 ►Average time between the day appplication is submitted and the day the eligibility decision is made (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 20.00 15.00 15.00 5.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 11/23/2020 Page 5 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Uzbekistan: Strengthening the Social Protection System Project (P166447) This indicator measures the speed of taking decision on the benefit provision. This means the average number of days between the day applicants submit their applications to the day of receiving notification Comments: of either approval or rejection to low income family allowances. IN00909709 ►Regular social assistance reports produced from the single registry that are published in the website (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the improved monitoring system for social benefits, including number of Comments: applicants, beneficiaries, payments made, complaints etc. IN00909711 ►Share of complaints received and recorded in the Single Registry that are addressed (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the share of complaints received through GRM tool and addressed on time. The Comments: time required for addressing the complaint will be defined by the MoF in its corresponding documents Component 2. Improving the Effectiveness of Active Labor Market Programs IN00909693 ►Job councellors trained in the use of profiling and referral tools (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator reflects the number of ESC job counselors trained through the Project training activities - Comments: disaggregated by gender IN00909696 ►Share of registered jobseekers referred to existing ALMPs (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 38.00 38.00 38.00 40.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 Comments: This indicator reflects the number of registered jobseekers who are referred to existing ALMPs IN00909699 ►Number of ESC‘s contacts with employers (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 11/23/2020 Page 6 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Uzbekistan: Strengthening the Social Protection System Project (P166447) Value 25,000.00 36,290.00 36,290.00 50,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 31-Mar-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator tracks the number of contacts the ESCs made with employers to check or follow up on job Comments: vacancies and job referrals IN00909702 ►Number of beneficiaries of employment subsidies (any of the three types supported by the project, by sex and vulnerable groups) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 20,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 01-Jan-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator monitors the number of beneficiaries who benefit from any of the three employment subsidy. Comments: The number is disaggregated by sex to track impacts of the benefit on female jobseekers, and by vulnerable groups IN00909704 ►Number of participants who complete the entrepreneurship training, by sex (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 15,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator monitors the number of participants who complete the entrepreneurship training. The data Comments: will be disaggregated by sex IN00909706 ►Share of graduates of the entrepreneuship training who launch a business after completing the training (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator monitors the number of people who launched a business after completing the Comments: entrepreneurship training. The data will also be disaggregated by sex IN00909708 ►Jobseekers’ profiles generated in LMIS (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,000,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 Comments: This indicator measures the number of applicants’ profiles created in LMIS IN00909710 ►Private enterprises receiving advisory and information services on training provision (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 11/23/2020 Page 7 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Uzbekistan: Strengthening the Social Protection System Project (P166447) Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 4,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator describes the number of micro, small and medium private enterprises received consulting Comments: services on individualized business development and skills needs through the activities provided by the Project Component 3. Project Monitoring and Management IN00909691 ►Percentage of project beneficiaries satisfied with activities supported by the project, disaggregated by social assitance and LM interventions (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 25-Oct-2019 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the share of beneficiaries who confirmed that the Project has established Comments: effective engagement processes. IN00909694 ►An M&E framework for MELR developed and regularly updated (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 The M&E framework will include key performance indicators tracking MELR’s labor market interventions to Comments: inform policy decision making IN00909697 ►Regular labor market reports of MELR produced based on information from the LMIS and the M&E system (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the number of labor markets reports produced by MELR based on information Comments: from ISWO and LMIS supported by the Project IN00909700 ►A report produced, finalized and disseminated assessing the employers’ skill demand survey data (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Dec-2018 24-Apr-2020 06-Nov-2020 31-Dec-2024 The employer survey data analysis will assess the short term skills demand by employers and inform the Comments: development of a medium term skills forecast instrument Performance-Based Conditions 11/23/2020 Page 8 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Uzbekistan: Strengthening the Social Protection System Project (P166447) Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P166447 IDA-64460 Effective USD 50.00 50.00 0.00 0.25 49.75 0.5% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P166447 IDA-64460 Effective 01-Jul-2019 19-Jul-2019 18-Nov-2019 31-Dec-2024 31-Dec-2024 Cumulative Disbursements PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC 11/23/2020 Page 9 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Uzbekistan: Strengthening the Social Protection System Project (P166447) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 11/23/2020 Page 10 of 10