The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Tajikistan | Agriculture and Food Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2021 | Seq No: 1 | ARCHIVED on 23-Sep-2021 | ISR48233 | Implementing Agencies: Republic of Tajikistan, Ministry of Agriculture Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 18-Jun-2021 Effectiveness Date: -- Planned Mid Term Review Date: -- Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 30-Jun-2027 Revised Closing Date: 30-Jun-2027 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The development objective of the proposed project is to strengthen the foundations for a more resilient agricultural sector in Tajikistan. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Strengthening seed, seedling and planting material systems:(Cost $27.70 M) Support investments in Agri-Logistical Centers (ALCs) for horticulture value chains:(Cost $14.00 M) Strengthen public capacity for crises prevention and management:(Cost $13.30 M) Project management and coordination:(Cost $3.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO -- Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) -- Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating -- Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Project was approved by the Board on June 18, 2021, Financing Agreement was signed on June 22, 2021 and Parliament ratified the project on July 1, 2021. Two additional effectiveness conditions are required and are being prepared at the moment, including (i) preparation of Project Operational Manual (POM) acceptable to the Bank; and (ii) Establishment of Project Implementation Unit (PIU). Effectiveness is expected soon. 9/23/2021 Page 1 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate -- Moderate Macroeconomic Moderate -- Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate -- Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate -- Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate -- Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate -- Moderate Environment and Social Substantial -- Substantial Stakeholders Moderate -- Moderate Other Moderate -- Moderate Overall Moderate -- Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Strengthen the foundations for resilient agricultural sector IN01039039 ►Certified seeds, seedlings and planting materials sold commercially (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 75.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 Comments: Share of the produced certified seeds, seedlings and planting materials that are sold commercially. Support investments in agri-logistics IN01039040 ►Clients benefiting from ALC services (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 30.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 9/23/2021 Page 2 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) ALC services could include sorting, cooling, storage, packing and logistics facilities. Clients include those Comments: farmers, agribusinesses etc. who use the ALCs as percentage of all farmers and agribusiness residing in the ALCs’ catchment area to be identified through feasibility study. IN01039072 ►Female clients benefiting from ALC services for at least one year (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 35.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 ALC services could include sorting, cooling, storage, packing and logistics facilities. Female clients include Comments: those women farmers, women-owned or -managed agribusinesses etc. who use the ALCs as percentage of all farmers and agribusiness residing in the ALCs’ catchment area. Strengthen public capacity for crisis management IN01039071 ►Database for timely and effective information for crisis management available (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No -- No Yes Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 Crisis management comprises early warning, preparedness and response. Database includes, at minimum, information on planted areas by crop and district, agricultural production forecast, farm land Comments: use, and major soil types in each agro-ecological zone that would need to meet characteristics of accuracy, completeness , consistency, timeliness, and/ or validity. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Strengthen seed, seedling and planting material systems IN01039073 ►Production of improved seeds, seedlings and planting materials (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 60.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 Proposed climate indicator. Farming is significantly affected by climate change due to the high vulnerability of its natural environment and its low adaptive capacity. In addition to rising average temperature and loss of glaciers, Tajikistan suffers from more frequent droughts and strong winds, which Comments: have a large impact on crop yields, amongst others. The project will invest in availability of climate- resilient and drought-resilient seeds, seedlings and planting materials. The indicator will be disaggregated for (1) major crops, and (2) early generation/ foundation and commercial seeds, seedlings and planting materials. IN01039076 ►Improved multiplied seeds, seedlings and planting materials certified for commercial sale (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 9/23/2021 Page 3 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) Value 40.00 -- 40.00 65.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 Share of produced multiplied seeds, seedlings and planting materials certified by responsible entity for Comments: commercial sale. IN01039078 ►Number of seed multiplication farms supported by the project (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 50.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 Indicator measures how many public and private seed farms and nurseries involved in the multiplication of Comments: seeds, seedlings, and planting materials are supported by the project. Support investments in agro-logistical centers for horticulture value chains IN01039074 ►Number of ALCs fully operational (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 3.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 A fully operational ALC is defined as providing any services such as sorting, cooling, storage, packing and Comments: logistics facilities. IN01039077 ►Clients satisfied with quality of services provided by ALCs (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 70.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 Proposed Citizen Engagement indicator. ALC operational activities could include sorting, cooling, storage, and packing and logistics facilities. ALC “catchment area” will be identified through feasibility study. Comments: Clients include those farmers, agribusinesses etc. who use the ALCs. Clients will identify ALC services that are important to them, and will rate their satisfaction with identified service(s). Indicator will be disaggregated for gender. IN01039079 ►Clients who report that the two-way channel for feedback and response works (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 70.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 Comments: Proposed Citizen Engagement indicator. Indicator will be disaggregated for gender. 9/23/2021 Page 4 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) Strengthen public capacity for crises prevention and management IN01039075 ►Area surveyed (under surveillance) for crop protection and locust control (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 25.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 Comments: The area surveyed for crop protection and locust control. IN01039080 ►Agricultural forecasting system is established and operational (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No -- No Yes Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 Proposed climate indicator. Tajikistan suffers under adverse events and outbreaks that are only amplified by climate change. Moreover they often take farmers and the authorities by surprise. Real time sector monitoring and agricultural production outlook are not yet effectively generated, catching the authorities Comments: off-guard in their response to emergencies. This activity aims to establish the database with agricultural land use, yield forecast, and production/ vegetation index fluctuations to make timely and accurate estimates of agricultural production. Increasing the availability and access to such information is expected to increase resilience to shocks. IN01039081 ►Capacity for soil testing expanded (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 30.00 -- 30.00 180.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 -- 13-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2027 Capacity will be measured by the number of soil samples tests to be conducted by soil testing laboratories Comments: supported by the project on a daily basis. Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed Not P175952 IDA-D8600 USD 58.00 58.00 0.00 0.00 57.31 0% Effective Key Dates (by loan) 9/23/2021 Page 5 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date Not P175952 IDA-D8600 18-Jun-2021 21-Jun-2021 -- 30-Jun-2027 30-Jun-2027 Effective Cumulative Disbursements PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 9/23/2021 Page 6 of 6