Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Russian Federation | Poverty and Equity Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2007 | Seq No: 15 | ARCHIVED on 01-Feb-2018 | ISR31185 | Implementing Agencies: Federal State Statistical Service (ROSSTAT), Russian Federation Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:28-Jun-2007 Effectiveness Date:22-Apr-2008 Planned Mid Term Review Date:26-Oct-2010 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:03-Feb-2011 Original Closing Date:25-Aug-2012 Revised Closing Date:31-Dec-2018 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The main objective of the project to assist the government of the Russian Federation to produce reliable, timely and accurate economic, financial, socio-demographic and other data for policy formulation and decision making in line with international good practiceand frameworks. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name Component A. Modernization of economic statistics methodology:(Cost $6.99 M) Component B. Development of the modern design and technology for statistical data collection, processing and dissemination:(Cost $79.43 M) Component C. Enhancement of social statistics:(Cost $4.26 M) Component D. Human resource development:(Cost $7.95 M) Component E. Project management:(Cost $7.37 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Moderate  Moderate 2/1/2018 Page 1 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) Implementation Status and Key Decisions All project activities that have been completed and those under implementation contribute to strengthening of multidimensional capacity of the Russian Federal State Statistical Service (Rosstat). In line with Project Development Objectives the project results already allow for solving a wider range of methodology issues based on the international standards and modern information technologies with a higher degree of automation used for data collection. Statistical data collected by Rosstat and other data producers serve not only the internal decision making cycle in the country, but are officially used by the international statistical organizations. These achievements are therefore, seen as a recognition of compliance with international standards and a proof of data reliability. The Second State Statistical System Development Project (STASYS 2) continues to support fulfillment of the Russia Federation’s responsibilities in international data and information exchange process, increasing harmonization of national statistical system with the best international practices. Currently, project implementation is proceeding smoothly and according to the schedule. Overall, the activities included in the last project extension for 2016-2018 have helped to continue scaling up the results already achieved and to further strengthen the Project Development Objectives. The main outputs include: a) advancement of system of national accounts of the Russian Federation. It includes: (i) higher quality of macroeconomic estimates, such as GDP/GRP, introduction of standard statistical units, and centralization of the regional estimates calculation; (ii) switching to 2008 SNA standards, in particular, treatment of expenditures on military equipment as fixed capital formation, and treatment of research and development as capital formation, estimation of fixed capital formation within gross value added, etc. In the transition to the 2008 SNA, the most significant changes in the final use have affected the capital formation sphere. The evaluation of the fixed capital consumption on the basis of the assets market values has been introduced into the calculation practices; (iii) introduction of the environmental and economic accounting into the practices of the national accounting in Russia; compilation of balance sheets with the account for the environmental assets. b) improvement of social statistics: a methodology was developed for conducting comprehensive and specific surveys of the living conditions of the population and for poverty monitoring; the analysis was carried out and the methodology and techniques for the compilation of microdata and the data of household budget survey and providing access to survey microdata and aggregated data for external users have been improved. c) modernization of Rosstat Computing and Information System (CIS), which made possible to improve the system for data collection and processing, introduce elements of multidimensional data analysis using integrated data warehouses with the purpose of creating statistical queries and carrying out analytical data processing (including arbitrary queries), and also to establish an efficient integrated system for protecting statistical information resources from unauthorized access. The transition from a decentralized to a centralized IT infrastructure is being done, which provides for more efficient management and use of the IT systems and ensures solution for more complicated problems under restricted budget financing through optimization of the resource uses. Overall, project PDO and IP ratings remain Satisfactory. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Moderate  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  Moderate  Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Moderate  Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Low  Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Low  Low Fiduciary  --  Low  Low Environment and Social  --  Low  Low 2/1/2018 Page 2 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) Stakeholders  --  Low  Low Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Moderate  Moderate Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Regular analysis of users' satisfaction (Index of users' trust to official statistical data) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 1.04 and Survey was scheduled sustained 2007 - no user satisfaction for 2017with a target annual Value 1.02 surveys value of 1.04. There is regularity or no data for 2016. once in two years. Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 PHINDPDOTBL  Data quality assessment for National Accounts Statistics (NAS) (as per DQAF for National Accounts Statistics as detailed in the IMF 2012 Guidelines) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 2007 - no self- Survey was scheduled - (No data available yet. Value assessments done. First for 2018 with a.target Survey will be 1.12 time in 2010 -1. value ofs 1.112. conducted later in 2018) Date 30-Dec-2010 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 Comments No data available yet. Survey will be conducted later in 2018 PHINDPDOTBL  Share of statistical information provided by Rosstat to the users according to established time schedule (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Not less than Value 2006 - 97.8% 100% 100% 100% Date 28-Jun-2007 25-Sep-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 2/1/2018 Page 3 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) Comments The target value has been reached in 2008 Overall Comments Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  The Statistical Council is established (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Statistical Council is Statistical functioning with Value No Statistical Council Yes Council is minutes of meetings established available. Date 28-Jun-2007 25-Sep-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 Comments The target has been reached in 2009. Since then, the Statistical Council is fully operational. PHINDIRITBL  Share of official statistical reporting forms that could be submitted to NSO electronically (as % of 2015) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 80.00 85.00 90.00 100.00 Date 01-May-2015 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 2/1/2018 Page 4 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) PHINDIRITBL  Degree of implementation of 2008 SNA into Russian statistical practices (% of works fulfilled in accordance with "Action Plan to implement OECD recommendations for developing the SNA in Russian Federa (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 10.00 70.00 75.00 85.00 Date 01-May-2015 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 PHINDIRITBL  Regional Statistical Offices employees dealing with receiving and processing primary statistical data (as % of 2015) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 100.00 90.00 80.00 70.00 Date 01-May-2015 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 Comments TSB (Territorial Statistical Bodies) is the equivalent for Regional Statistical Offices. PHINDIRITBL  Number of methodological guidelines prepared for implementation for compiling satellite accounts in the social sphere recommended by OECD (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 Date 01-May-2015 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 PHINDIRITBL  Dynamics of Rosstat staff training (number of trained staff) (persons) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The level of satisfaction of Value 8 764 1,793.00 1,713.00 Rosstat training needs in 2013 Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2015 Comments 2/1/2018 Page 5 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) The end target "The level of satisfaction of Rosstat training needs in 2013" refers to the level of planned needs satisfied by the actual training provided during the year. Starting in 2010, the end target was achieved. Number of trained staff. Monitoring covers number of Rosstat staffers planned for training at the beginning of the fiscal/calendar year and the actual amount trained. PHINDIRITBL  Dynamics of state budget expenditures for training purposes (thousand rubles) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Prevailing of state budget Unstable dynamics of financing of Value budget allocations for 9.76 9,18 Rosstat training training purposes during the entire project period Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2015 PHINDIRITBL  Total number of classifications used throughout the SSS that are compatible with the equivalent international classifications (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 2007 - 7 12.00 12.00 12.00 Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 PHINDIRITBL  Mastering of international standards (filling out the statistical questionnaires of International Organizations with harmonized indicators) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target End target value End target value Value 85% reached in 2010 and reached in 2010 and 90%. maintained till 2014. maintained till 2014. Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2015 Comments Starting 2014 this indicator was substituted with another one due to changes in the set of questionnaires received from the international organizations. The previously established end target was achieved in full. 2/1/2018 Page 6 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) PHINDIRITBL  Number of sample surveys in different economic and social fields that are conducted on a census basis (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 54.00 59 (target value - 56) 55.00 61.00 Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 27-Dec-2013 Comments New wording reflects more accurately and strictly the indicator. The actual end target value (61) was reached in 2013. Since 2013 there are no activities in support of the indicator. We are just monitoring it. PHINDIRITBL  Reduction in respondent (enterprise) burden (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 100% + + + Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 Comments The symbols (+/-) reflect the positive and negative dynamics in respondent's burden. The dynamic is traced based on the reduction of statistical forms mandatory for reporting, introduction of electronic methods and reduction in number of questions in the questionnaires. 2/1/2018 Page 7 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) PHINDIRITBL  Number of new surveys and/or modules of data collection (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Not less than Value 0.00 8.00 3.00 10 Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2013 Comments New wording (old: Number of new methods of data collection). Indicator calculated based on new statistical forms developed and introduced. The end target value (13) was achieved in 2013. PHINDIRITBL  Number of MDG indicators produced by the SSS (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 33 out of 48 34.00 34.00 34 out of 48 Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2015 Comments The number of MDGs relevant to Russia has been reflected in so-called "MDG+ List" and equal to 34. The end target value has been achieved in full. PHINDIRITBL  Compliance with the ICLS household income and expenditure methodology (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value Partial In full In full In full Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2015 Comments Compliance with the International Conference of Labor Statistics (ICLS) for household income and expenditure methodology. Documentation that confirms compliance with ICLS methodology is available. 2/1/2018 Page 8 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) PHINDIRITBL  Availability of data on skilled labor, demand for skilled labor (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Survey is conducted Survey was conducted Available every two years. The Value Non available in 2016. Data will be starting from next one is scheduled available shortly. 2010 for 2018. Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 Comments The survey was conducted for the 1st time in 2010 with data available. PHINDIRITBL  Number of Rosstat website visits per annum (thousands) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Positive (increasing) dynamics of Data will be available Rosstat web Value 2007 -500K 2,905.00 shortly site visits though out the project up to 1000K. Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2015 Comments Rosstat website visits in thousands per annum. PHINDIRITBL  Availability of data collected through remote/distanced methods (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 65.00 60.00 Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2015 Comments The end target (60%) was achieved in 2013 (61%). 2/1/2018 Page 9 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) PHINDIRITBL  Computer equipment of Rosstat staff (MODERN computer equipment) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 2007 - 1 PC for 1 Value 1 for 1 x 1 for 1 employee Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 Comments Modern computers procured and installed by the project in 2014. The status of the equipment is assessed every two years. PHINDIRITBL  Availability of HBS and LFS microdata bases for users in open access (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Full microdata Yes. The LFS micro bases for users Pilot (open access to data sets were planned are in open Value sample HBS microdata for Yes to be placed on the access, 2003 and 2004) web in 2016. including the LFS data. Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 Comments Indicator "Availability of microdata bases for users in open access (HHS and LFS)" reworded "Availability of HBS and LFS microdata bases for users in open access". The end target value is reached. 2/1/2018 Page 10 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) PHINDIRITBL  Number of statistical tasks resolved on a new technological basis and forwarded to the United Foundation of algorithms and programs (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target All statistical tasks are All statistical tasks are being resolved on a being resolved on a new Value 2007 - 34 More than 300 new technological technological basis basis since 2011. since 2011. Date 28-Jun-2007 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2015 Comments The end target value was reached in 2010. PHINDIRITBL  Number of systemic statistical tasks moved to centralized primary statistical data processing (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 Date 04-Dec-2014 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 Comments End target value was achieved in 2015. PHINDIRITBL  Application of internationally accepted statistical methodologies and standards (questionnaires of international organizations listed in Federal Statistical Action Plan and official OECD questionnaire (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 70.00 0.00 76.00 77.00 Date 01-Jul-2013 28-Jun-2017 04-Jan-2018 31-Dec-2018 Overall Comments 2/1/2018 Page 11 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P092429 IBRD-48670 Effective USD 10.00 10.00 0.00 9.75 0.25 98% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P092429 IBRD-48670 Effective 28-Jun-2007 30-Nov-2007 22-Apr-2008 25-Aug-2012 31-Dec-2018 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level Approved on 17-May-2012 ,Level 2 Approved on 25-Jan-2014 ,Level 2 Approved on 19-May-2015 Related Project(s) 2/1/2018 Page 12 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second State Statistical System Development Project (P092429) There are no related projects. 2/1/2018 Page 13 of 13 Public Disclosure Copy