Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No. 66065-DO INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT AND INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CORPORATION COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY PROGRESS REPORT FOR THE THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC December 21, 2011 Caribbean Country Management Unit Latin America and the Caribbean Region International Bank for the Reconstruction and Development Latin America and Caribbean Department International Finance Corporation This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. The Country Partnership Strategy for the Dominican Republic was discussed on 17 September 2009. CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective as of November 9, 2011) Currency Unit = Dominican Pesos US$1.00 38.38 Fiscal Year January 1 – December 31 SELECTED ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS A&A Accounting and Auditing ICT Information and communication technology AAA Analytical and Advisory Services IDB Inter American Development Bank AF Additional Financing IDF Institutional Development Fund APL Adaptable Program Loan IFC International Finance Corporation CARCIP Caribbean Advanced Regional IMF International Monetary Fund Communications Infrastructure Program CCT Conditional Cash Transfer IPAC Participatory Anti-Corruption Initiative CMS Clinic Management System LCR Latin America and the Caribbean CPAR Country Procurement Assessment MIGA Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency CPI Consumer Price Index NLTA Non-lending Technical Assistance CPPR Country Portfolio Performance PARSS2 Health Sector Reform Project (Proyecto de Review Apoyo a la Reforma del Sector Salud) CPS Country Partnership Strategy PASS Performance and Accountability of Social Sectors CSO Civil Society Organization PFM Public Financial Management DPL Development Policy Loan EFO Externally Financed Output RAMP Reserve Advisory and Management Program EU European Union ROSC Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes FBS Fee Based Service SIGEF Financial Management Information System FDI Foreign Direct Investment SIUBEN Single Beneficiary Selection System (Sistema Único de Beneficiarios) FY Fiscal Year TAL Technical Assistance Loan GAC Governance and Anti-Corruption TF Trust Fund GDP Gross Domestic Product UNDP United Nations Development Program IBRD International Bank for USAID United States Agency for International Reconstruction and Development Development IBRD IFC Vice President Pamela Cox Thierry Tanoh Country Director Françoise Clottes Paolo M. Martelli Country Manager Roby Senderowitsch Jun Zhang Task Manager Michael Corlett Ary Naïm THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Country Partnership Strategy Progress Report Table of Contents  1. INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................................... 1  3. CPS PROGRESS, IMPLEMENTATION AND PROPOSED ADJUSMENTS .................................... 4  A.  Assessment of CPS progress to date ........................................................................... 4  B.  Portfolio Performance and Implementation ................................................................ 9  C.  Adjustments to the CPS Program ............................................................................... 10  4. STRATEGY GOING FORWARD AND FUTURE BANK ENGAGEMENT ...................................... 12  5. RISKS AND MITIGATION ...................................................................................................................... 13  Annexes  Annex 1: Revised CPS FY10-13 Results Framework ................................................................................. 14  Annex 2: Dominican Republic Key Economic Indicators 2004-2013 ......................................................... 22  Annex 3 Country at a Glance......................................................................................................................... 23  Annex 4: Standard CPS Annexes .................................................................................................................. 26  CAS Annex B3 - IBRD/IDA Program Summary ......................................................................................... 30  Annex B3 Dominican Republic: IFC Investment Operations Program .................................................... 31  CAS Annex B4 - Summary of Nonlending Services - .................................................................................. 32  8 (IFC) for Dominican Republic .................................................................................................................... 33  CAS Annex B8 - Operations Portfolio (IBRD/IDA and Grants) ................................................................ 34  ANNEX 5: Knowledge Services .................................................................................................................... 35    1. INTRODUCTION 1. The Board of Executive Directors discussed the FY10-13 Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) for the Dominican Republic in September 2009 (Report No. 49620-DO). The CPS covers a four year period ending one year after planned elections and inauguration of a new President in mid 2012. This Progress Report evaluates advances made and how the Bank will position itself strategically for the remainder of the CPS period. 2. The CPS is aligned with the National Development Strategy, especially enhanced social cohesion and improved transparency while dealing with the global economic downturn. President Leonel Fernandez was elected in 2004 and re-elected in 2008 for a second four-year term. His Dominican Liberation Party won a landslide victory in congressional elections in 2010. 3. The four broad objectives of the CPS remain consistent with the Government’s agenda where it overlaps with areas of comparative Bank Group advantage: (i) Strengthen Social Cohesion and Improve Access to and Quality of Social Services; (ii) Promote Competitiveness in a Sustainable and Resilient Economic Environment; (iii) Enhance Quality of Public Expenditures and Institutional Development; and (iv) Build Capacity and Constituencies for Reform. Despite the breadth of the CPS, it focuses the bulk of new lending (US$480 million of US$500 million) on a program of reforms in social spending. A series of three sequential DPLs (Public Performance and Accountability of Social Sectors-PASS- operations) totaling US$370 million seeks to promote and consolidate a major shift in government’s social sector priorities and capacity toward human capital formation. Two investment operations (Additional Financing of the Social Sectors Investment Project-US$10 million, and Health Sector Reform Second Phase APL (PARSS2)-US$30 million) complement the DPLs. A Municipal Development project (US$20 million) completes the CPS new lending portfolio. New lending operations are complemented by lending operations and knowledge services initiated in previous years. Despite this apparent targeting, the CPS seeks to complement sectoral reforms in social protection, education, and health with improvements in public expenditure management on the supply side and initiatives to strengthen transparency and accountability on the demand side. Regarding the existing portfolio of operations, a redoubled effort would be made to improve their performance. The CPS also reflects an intensified focus on the provision of knowledge services, as detailed in Annex 5. 4. Progress under the CPS to date has been good and has validated its targeted approach, which remains relevant for the remainder of the CPS period. The Bank’s quick disbursing assistance has provided critical funding during the global economic crisis, which has allowed government to better protect spending on social sectors relative to earlier downturns. In contrast to earlier episodes, both moderate and extreme poverty have declined through the crisis, though at a decelerated rate. At present, poverty levels fall below pre- global economic crisis rates due to smaller relative crisis impacts, improved crisis management, and stronger safety net protection. Movement toward more performance influenced public expenditures reflected in Performance Agreements for some key ministries is promising, as are a variety of demand side initiatives to strengthen civil society and citizen beneficiary oversight of government operations. The implementation of investment operations existing at the time of CPS launch remains measured with largely moderately 1 satisfactory project ratings. International Finance Corporation (IFC) operations have continued apace, supporting the competitiveness and resilience agenda with investments in infrastructure, telecom, and natural gas distribution. 5. Having largely completed planned lending, and with few adjustments envisioned, the Bank plans to focus its efforts during the remainder of the CPS period on improving implementation of existing projects and consolidating reform efforts during an electoral period. Since 2009, the Bank has provided record support to the Dominican Republic amounting to US$368 million. Only US$70 million of the original US$500 million envisaged lending remains to be allocated during the next two fiscal years. 2. POLITICAL, ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENTS Political Developments 6. The Dominican Republic has enjoyed marked political stability for the last two decades, even with notable swings in economic growth. Power has tended to rotate between two major political parties which have kept taxes and public debt low. The Presidency has considerable power, the Congress plays a relatively limited policymaking role, and the level of transparency and budget openness is low by international standards. According to various international indicators and corroborated by other national surveys, the perception of corruption is high. Since the mid 2000’s various reforms have aimed to improve economic and fiscal management through revision of the legal framework for public expenditures, extension of an integrated financial management system, and efforts to consolidate budget formulation and treasury management in the Ministry of Finance, among other things. But progress has been slow and uneven and major weaknesses remain in auditing. The Presidency still enjoys a high degree of discretion over spending. 7. Despite slow progress on the broad governance agenda, the Government has recently undertaken several institutional reforms to improve the efficiency, effectiveness, and transparency of government operations. It has notably sought to improve social cohesion through better targeting of social spending on the poor in return for enhanced “co- responsibilities� in terms of school attendance, health screening, job training, etc. This approach seems to enjoy broad public acceptance. With the support of the Bank, the Government has implemented the Participatory Anti-Corruption Initiative (IPAC) that is already implementing 30 recommendations to reduce corruption and increase transparency. At this moment, more than half of the recommendations have been fully implemented. A new Constitution, ratified by Congress in January 2010, grants the legislature the right to appoint members of the Chamber of Accounts which reviews Government accounts, removing the group from the Executive's control. The Constitution establishes that annual budget proposals must be submitted before October 1, allowing for greater public and congressional scrutiny. 8. The pace of social spending reform, direction of spending, and/or intensity of revenue efforts (in taxes or electricity) could be impacted by the pending electoral season. Reform champions in the various ministries appear committed to advancing and consolidating the gains, but the post election rotation of key reform figures, the volatility of oil prices, and unforeseeable fiscal demands could threaten the sustainability of several CPS supported reforms. 2 Economic Developments 9. Although the Dominican Republic registered a slowdown during the depth of the global economic crisis, growth has quickly recovered and the country continues to be one of best performers in the region. Growth increased to 7.8 percent in 2010 from 3.5 in the previous year. Growth was relatively broad based in all main sectors of the economy- commerce, financial services, construction and light manufacturing. External factors contributed too as the fall in remittances was mild since expatriate Dominican workers tend to be employed outside construction. Tourist arrivals turned around by the third quarter of 2009 and exports, in part due to reconstruction in Haiti, also resumed growing. Economic growth in 2011 is projected at 5.5-6 percent. Inflation began to accelerate in 2010, rising to 6.3 percent, stemming largely from food and oil prices, but the CPI remained with the Central Bank target of 6-7 percent. 10. With a gradual withdrawal of stimulus spending the fiscal balance improved in 2010. The overall fiscal deficit fell from 3.2 percent of GDP in 2009 to 2.7 percent in 2010. Nevertheless the 2.3 percent of GDP deficit target was missed due to weak tax performance and larger than expected transfers to the electricity sector due to high oil prices. During 2007- 10 the growth in public debt was relatively modest and less than anticipated —from 33.4 percent of GDP in 2007 to 36.8 percent in 2010, less than the previously projected level of 39.8 percent of GDP. The external current account deteriorated in 2010 as the increase in imports exceeded exports. Foreign direct investments (FDI) and external borrowing funded the deficit though and foreign exchange reserves remained at historically high levels. 11. The overall economic outlook for the country remains positive, although challenges remain. Growth is projected at 5 percent over the medium term based on increasing diversification in FDI, exports, and tourism receipts. However, inflation is continuing to creep upward and the Central Bank had to raise the overnight policy rate five times between September 2010 and May 2011 to counter inflationary pressures stemming from strong domestic demand. Improved revenue performance will require continued efforts to improve tax administration and policy adjustments to address a high level of exemptions. The Government‘s financing needs for 2011 are expected to be met through a combination of investment and budget support loans, as well as the issuance of domestic and international bonds. Total gross financing requirements are estimated to reach US$2.5 billion (equivalent to 4.4 percent of GDP) in 2011. This gap is expected to be filled by the issuance of domestic (US$384 million), and international (US$500 million) bonds, and by borrowing from bilateral and multilateral creditors (US$1.7 billion). As the fiscal balance improves and amortization payments decrease gradually, financing requirements are expected to fall to US$2.1 billion in 2012 (equivalent to 3.5 percent of GDP). 12. Continued structural reforms are needed to close the large electricity sector deficit (projected at US$690 million in 2011) and improve the reliability of service. Notable efforts are being made to improve sector management (introducing foreign managers), increase rates to long term financially justified levels, reduce non-technical (theft) losses, and transit from an inefficient geographically based subsidy scheme to targeted needs based subsidies (Bonoluz). The Bank has continued an active dialogue and technical assistance in the sector, joined by the IMF and IDB, to help advance these important structural reforms. Nevertheless, the high dependency on imported fossil fuels as well as the inherent 3 difficulties in overcoming legacy behavior in the sector suggests that solid financial performance is achievable only in the medium term assuming a continued reform effort. Social Developments 13. Poverty rates remain high in the Dominican Republic and the levels of social spending are modest by regional standards, despite economic growth and a relatively high per capita income. Data from April 2011 estimates poverty at 31.6 percent, showing a slight decline compared to April 2009 (33.5 percent); extreme poverty decreased from 10.4 percent to 8.8 percent in the same period. Inequality has significantly declined in the past two years, with Gini coefficient registering at 0.492 (April 2011), below pre-crisis levels. Despite improvements, challenges remain as a broad subset of the population is still vulnerable. Unemployment declined to 14 percent in 2010 but massive underemployment affects a large portion of the population. Women are much more likely to be underemployed than men. Inflation in food and oil prices is likely to affect poverty rates in the future. Spending on education is well below regional averages but has remained steady at 2.3 percent of GDP since 2008 (down from 3.4 percent of GDP in 2002). Schools are overcrowded, with multiple shifts, and the poor quality of education appears to affect most individuals regardless of socioeconomic conditions. Boys are more likely than girls to drop out of school. The country has the lowest performance on the regional standardized exam measuring education quality, and has declined relative to other countries since the 1990s. Health spending is also low at 1.7 percent of GDP in 2010 resulting in weaknesses in the provision of first level of care (essential basic health services with adequate quality) through Regional Health Services. The adolescent fertility rated is extremely high at 106.8 births per 1000 girls age 15-19. After operating as a de facto unconditional cash transfer program, the program has now become a full-fledge Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) with improvements in the definition andverification of co-responsibilities. 14. Poverty and social indicators, however, would likely have been worse without the proactive decisions of Government to protect the levels of social spending and reform social service delivery. In the 2003-4 crisis the poverty rate exploded by 15 percentage points, unemployment rose 4 percent, and education and health expenditures fell by 34 percent and 36 percent respectively. In contrast, social spending this time has been maintained by counter-cyclical measures with coordinated actions between the Ministry of Finance and social sector ministries to reduce supply gaps in health and education. A significant reform of Solidaridad has been undertaken with the aim of expanding coverage and tightening enforcement so as to strengthen the impact on human capital formation. Electricity subsidies are being transformed from blanket geographic areas (which assisted all residents irrespective of their qualification under poverty level proxies) to a means tested approach, resulting in significant savings and greater efficiency of public spending. Thus the Government has used the economic crisis to address some long standing structural issues affecting social outcomes. 3. CPS PROGRESS, IMPLEMENTATION AND PROPOSED ADJUSMENTS A. Assessment of CPS progress to date 15. Progress towards CPS outcomes has been satisfactory and advances are being made under each of the CPS strategic objectives. The focus of the CPS on providing quick 4 disbursing funding to help maintain counter-cyclical Government spending has been critical in supporting the Government’s efforts to contain the economic and social repercussions of the global financial crisis. It has helped maintain the climate for domestic and foreign investment and private sector economic activity and competitiveness. Moreover, policy changes, critical institutional strengthening, and transparency and accountability advances supported by the CPS, if sustained, could pay dividends well beyond the crisis period. 16. While many poverty challenges remain, the protection of the most vulnerable contrasts with previous economic downturns when hard won gains in poverty reduction were lost. Bank’s expertise has been focused on fewer critical goals, with a variety of specialists mobilized to pursue core reforms in the social sectors through several interrelated loans, non lending technical assistance, and dialogue where it can support domestically owned reform initiatives. So far the results are encouraging—the principal PASS lending is proceeding well, and synergies in public expenditure management and accountability may multiply the improvements in the performance of social sectors. The Bank’s program of knowledge services continues to strengthen the analytical basis for Government policy. Donor coordination has intensified, especially among the multi-lateral financial institutions (IMF, IDB, and Bank) with positive benefits in terms of coherent policy advice, coordinated funding programs, and improved collaboration with Government authorities. Further, through enhanced donor coordination efforts, the Bank has mobilized US$3.5 million in additional resources from bilateral partners to support the program, including an Externally Funded Operation with USAID supporting IPAC and civil society initiatives, a Trust Fund on Public Expenditure Management with the European Union (EU) and a new Fee Based Service (FBS) on competitiveness to be financed by the EU. While there is room for improvement, disbursements and effectiveness delays under existing loans have improved compared to previous years. IFC operations as well have played an important role in providing targeted support to the private sector with impacts on employment and growth. Strategic Objective 1. Strengthen Social Cohesion and Improve Access to and Quality of Social Services 17. This first strategic objective of the CPS is achieving good results so far in terms of policy reforms and institutional changes aimed at protecting the most vulnerable and promoting better social outcomes. This objective has been supported by the PASS DPL series, four existing investment operations (the Social Protection Investment Project and its new Additional Financing, Health Sector Reform Second Phase APL (PARSS2), Youth Development Project, two closed investment operations (Early Childhood Development project and Health Sector Reform First Phase APL), one closed DPL (Public Finance and Social Sector DPL), non lending technical assistance (NLTA) including Programmatic Social Sector NLTA, as well as assistance from other donors. 18. The Government has advanced reforms to realize the full potential of the Solidaridad program to promote investment in health, nutrition and education by the poorest families. The combined effort has entailed an overhaul of the conceptual and organizational structure of the CCT program, including a revised relationship with the health and education ministries and improvements in their joint performance. In line with regional practices for CCTs, the Government has consolidated a redesigned Solidaridad as the primary axis of the Social Protection System in the country. Its organizational structure and staff profile have been strengthened, management capacity and internal procedures improved, and 5 coordination with Government ministries mandated and institutionalized. Program operations are being decentralized to 10 regional offices designed to improve responsiveness and client contact. The program has contributed to an increase in the percentage of extreme poverty households participating in Solidaridad from 51 percent in 2002 to 70 percent in November 2010. A first verification in education reached 80 percent of Solidaridad beneficiary students to validate enrollment, and the verification of co-responsibilities for health covered 70 percent of beneficiaries. New, fully electronic management information systems to ensure continuous monitoring of compliance in health and education and strengthen sectoral management beyond the CCT, have been put in place. The system of debit cards to access benefits, especially in local grocery stores, has been upgraded by expanding the number of participating payment institutions and mapping the flow of benefits to ensure adequate institutional coverage. Solidaridad is also developing alternative mechanisms to transfer funds electronically to beneficiaries in addition to the existing debit card mechanism, with a view to promote greater financial inclusion. The Government has made progress in developing a comprehensive Monitoring and Evaluation system for Solidaridad. The 1.8 million household socioeconomic census to update the beneficiary registry of the targeting system (SIUBEN) is currently under implementation to strengthen targeting accuracy and efficiency of social spending. 19. The supply side for health and education inputs to Solidaridad beneficiaries has been targeted for improvement. Recognizing that increased co-responsibility demand for services in health and education requires accessible provision of quality services, the Government with Bank support has undertaken a series of initiatives. In health the Government has been improving the supply of services through investments in health equipment, construction or rehabilitation of new primary health facilities, and the establishment of a Clinic Management System (CMS) for the electronic registration of medical visits designed to improve the quality, accountability and management of primary health services. Household co-responsibilities can be verified, medical records digitized and appropriate adherence by physicians to medical protocols encouraged by the CMS. In education the Government is tackling the three main challenges posed by Solidaridad: (i) reducing the supply gap through classroom construction (160) and school rehabilitation (20); (ii) improving management information for the verification of education enrollment and attendance co-responsibilities; and (iii) initiating an assessment of possible differentiated transfer structures to best compensate for different opportunity costs to schooling. The Youth Development Project, approved in March 2006 has surpassed the target of 25,000 at-risk youth trained, 45 percent of whom are women, by building their work experience and life skills. 20. Improvements in health and education quality and efficiency extend beyond the Solidaridad program. Supported by the PASS program, the Government has introduced results-based management agreements between the ministry and all Regional Health Services to improve the timeliness and quality of primary care. Building on this, the Bank’s Health Sector Reform Second Phase APL (PARSS2) is piloting results-adjusted financing in two regions to provide incentives to health care providers to improve access to and quality of health service at the first level, emphasizing maternal and infant care and nutrition together with other essential preventive services. Due to the increasing focus on accountability in the country and the resulting pressure to improve the quality and efficiency of health programs and services, the Government is also reorganizing the Ministry of Health to separate the 6 functions of service provision from sector oversight/stewardship. In education the PASS series has supported validation of student learning standards for the first and second cycles of Basic Education as well as improvements in school level management and the introduction of a school monitoring and supervision system. The School Management Information System creates a powerful online platform to gather information for managing school administration at all levels. The organic bylaws and operational manual are to be modified. Educational analyses supported through Programmatic Social Sectors NLTA have identified measures to eliminate overlaps in roles across the system. Strategic Objective 2. Promote Competitiveness in a Sustainable and Resilient Economic Environment 21. A second strategic objective is to help create the conditions for equitable economic growth and competitiveness. A variety of outcomes are being sought: (i) a broader information base for informing policy decisions on macro-financial stability, competitiveness, and economic relations with Haiti; (ii) improved performance of water and sanitation corporations in tourist areas; (iii) increased efficiency in power distribution and generation to improve quality of services, and (iv) mainstreaming disaster risk management into the planning process and strengthened institutional capacity for risk management in specific sectors. These objectives would be pursued through five existing investment operations, five knowledge services efforts, and IFC activities. 22. Progress toward strategic objectives is moderate. The Financial Sector Technical Assistance project has contributed to the complete reform and subsequent upgrade of the payment systems, and as a result the DR has been selected in 2010 as the “hub� for the Central American Payment Systems. The Water and Sanitation in Tourist Areas Project has supported the creation of the National Water Council. While the Power Sector TAL closed in December 2010 with a Moderately Unsatisfactory rating, the Electricity Distribution Rehabilitation Project is progressing as bidding has been completed and construction has commenced. The current management for the Dominican Corporation of State Electrical Enterprises is expected to have a significant impact on sector performance over the medium term. As a result of slow progress to date, the Bank has redoubled supervision of the Emergency Recovery and Disaster Management operation. As detailed in Annex 5 a variety of knowledge services are advancing, including the Dominican Republic-Haiti Quisqueya Growth and Poverty Report, a Treasury Service NLTA, Certification in Gender Equity in Firms as Means to Enrich and Promote Competitiveness, and an Adaption to Climate Change and Disaster Risk NLTA. 23. IFC commitments over the FY10-FY11 period have reached US$85.5 million, in addition to US$12 million syndicated from other institutions, increasing the IFC portfolio in the Dominican Republic to US$214.5 million. IFC's support to the compressed natural gas distributor Linea Clave, combined with a US$20 million Sustainable Energy credit line to Banco BHD, will help small industries in DR convert from heavy fuel oil to natural gas, generating both financial savings and carbon emissions reductions. With US$20 million support to the expansion of the Punta Cana airport and US$17.5 million support to the expansion of the Caucedo port, IFC has continued supporting major improvements to the country's competitiveness in the tourism and trade areas. In the telecommunications sector, IFC aims to promote increased competition with its support to the expansion of WIND Telecom (US$16 million subordinated debt plus US$12 million B-Loan). Finally, IFC 7 supported Banco León with a US$5 million trade finance credit line. Since FY06, MIGA has been guaranteeing the Santo Domingo-Samaná toll road and is exploring other potential transportation sector projects. Strategic Objective 3. Enhance Quality of Public Expenditures and Institutional Development. 24. The CPS proposed a strategic approach to public sector management and governance focused on the quality of public expenditure. Rather than tackling a broad program of public administration strengthening or viewing governance as an “over-arching� objective, as in the previous CAS, this CPS more strategically seeks: (i) improved budget management; (ii) progress toward performance-informed budgeting; and (iii) increased management capacity in poor municipalities. Instead of separate lending operations, these governance objectives would be integrated as fundamental elements of the CPS and mainstreamed within the PASS DPL series (multiple reforms to build a culture of results in the public administration), the Municipal Development Project investment operation (institutional development activities to strengthen capacity of local governments), and the second Health Sector Reform Second Phase APL (PARSS2) supporting performance based management in the health sector. Three knowledge services provide additional analytical support, including a Quality of Public Expenditures NLTA, the Programmatic Social Sector NLTA and an Institutional and Governance Review. This approach reflected in part lessons from the FY2006 CAS where an ambitious program of Bank support for public sector reform had only limited success. A reduced focus was considered to be in line with Government priorities at a time of financial and fiscal stress and clearly relevant to the social sector emphasis of the first CPS strategic objective. Progress has been notable. Specific details of these NLTAs and additional activities aimed at strengthening capacity of accountability institutions and fiduciary capacity in general are described in Annex 5. Strategic Objective 4. Build Capacity and Constituencies for Reform 25. This strategic objective seeks to strengthen the demand for good governance, and efforts have expanded during CPS implementation in response to increased demands for Bank support from Government, civil society, and other international financial agencies. The Strategic Objective builds on another lesson from the previous CAS—that promoting, implementing, and sustaining reform requires a strong constituency with enough capacity to mobilize critical stakeholders and resources. It targets: (i) strengthening congressional budget oversight capacity; (ii) strengthening civil society capacity for budget analysis and monitoring; and (iii) enhancing participatory planning at the local level. As in Strategic Objective 3, no separate lending activity was anticipated but rather the incorporation in other operations of components related to participation of civil society organizations in monitoring the implementation of the programs and strengthening social accountability mechanisms. Two knowledge services (an IDF for congressional oversight of public financial management and an NLTA for strengthening civil society) are being implemented including activities to improve access to information and strengthen Congress’ capacity to analyze and monitor budget execution. In addition, additional activities have commenced under this Strategic Objective, often funded by third party trust funds and led by the Bank. These programs concentrate on initiatives to address corruption and improve social accountability mechanisms. Details are provided in Annex 5. A GAC Note has been prepared to address 8 governance challenges, taking stock of the World Bank engagement in the country GAC agenda and exploring ways to institutionalize progress to ensure sustainability of reforms. 26. Progress toward this objective appears solid and will be continued during the remainder of the CPS period recognizing that tangible results from this somewhat unconventional approach will take time. The IDF funded effort began in the Congress in 2009, and is improving congressional capacity to analyze and monitor budget execution, program impact and performance. Congress now has access to budget data online and has received capacity building on transparency/communication skills needed to engage more actively with civil society. Supported by the PASS DPL series, the Government developed in close consultation with civil society and launched the Portal del Ciudadano Dominicano, a web-based user-friendly tool that provides public access to budget information. The Finance Ministry has published easy to access budget execution reports on its website and a short note on the Presupuesto Ciudadano (Citizen Budget), summarizing main budget facts and figures. Together these two tools will significantly expand the transparency and accessibility of budget information. Solidaridad is undertaking several initiatives to improve citizen monitoring and agency accountability. A CCT Community Scorecard has been piloted, reporting on the availability of service inputs in health, education, grocery store management of Solidaridad benefits, and Solidaridad operations themselves. Based on the pilot’s results, the CCT Intersectoral Committee approved the expansion of the community scorecards to reach nation-wide scale. Particularly notable is the Anticorruption Participatory Initiative (IPAC), led by Government and the Bank, which has mobilized 11 other international development agencies and local stakeholders to establish, monitor, and report on the implementation a wide variety of anti-corruption initiatives. Results so far include: (i) the publication of a web-based user-friendly tool that will provide public access to budget information fed by the Financial Management Information System (SIGEF); (ii) a web-based portal with monthly updates that inform citizens of the expected and actual electricity supply in each circuit; (iii) a new performance assessment framework for civil servants that will contribute to the professionalization of the public administration; and (iv) the enactment of a Presidential Decree for the implementation of the single treasury account. In a promising sign of its broad public support, IPACs organizing committee, consisting of Government, private sector, and civil society, recently agreed to continue and assume leadership of the initiative beyond the mandate of the international community’s support in order to continue the implementation of the medium-term set of reforms currently under implementation. B. Portfolio Performance and Implementation 27. Portfolio performance has shown improvement, but challenges remain. The disbursement rate increased from 4.9 percent in February 2009 to 19.3 percent in February 2010, although the rate fell to 11.2 percent in May 2011. Similarly the average delay in effectiveness improved substantially for the twelve-month period ending February 2010 (8.9 months versus 13.9 months during the previous period), but rose to 9.9 months in FY11, greater than the 8.7 months average for LCR but better than the 11.4 months for Central America. The progress in improving disbursement rates and reducing effectiveness delays, though tenuous, are the result of concerted efforts by country staff and Government, including conducting a mapping exercise of Bank operations and Government loan approval processes, creation of a Bank-Government working group to follow up on portfolio issues, and enhanced training and technical assistance provided by financial management and procurement 9 specialists. Most investment operations are extended. Only one of the eight operations have Implementation Progress ratings of Satisfactory with the remainder considered Moderately Satisfactory. During Country Portfolio Performance Review (CPPR) consultations in 2011, the Government recognized that portfolio performance could be improved and committed, together with the Bank, to take action to improve performance. The CPPR identified weaknesses in procurement capacity, attributed partially to high rotation of personnel and understaffing of the procurement function of project implementation units, and to a lesser extent financial management issues, as the primary contributors to weak portfolio performance and low disbursement rates. To that end, the Bank and Government are currently undertaking an assessment of procurement and financial management issues and will produce an action plan to improve project implementation. C. Adjustments to the CPS Program 28. While the CPS has been refined on the basis of evolving circumstances and continual dialogue with Government, its approach and four strategic objectives remain valid. The Bank has provided timely, well targeted, and critically needed financial and policy support to the Government’s stabilization and growth programs during a difficult period. Enhancing its effectiveness as a partner with the country, Bank support is undergirding the fiscal effort, providing valuable policy advice and global experience in the social sectors, reinforcing important Government initiatives in transparency and accountability, and complementing resources from other institutions. New lending has been complemented with selected knowledge services activities that have helped further refine a strategic 4-year program. Challenges remain to increase disbursements under investment operations; however, the rate has improved while the bulk of Bank resources has been rechanneled through DPLs. 29. The Bank responded to the economic crisis with a significant level in development policy lending. Some US$370 million will be disbursed through three PASS DPLs. The PASS DPL series will close after the third (of four originally planned) iteration but would view the possibility of launching a new series or a separate single tranche operation, pending dialogue with Government. All three planned investment operations are effective and in execution. While not envisaged in the CPS, a US$150 million Public Finance and Social Sector DPL was approved in November 2009 and disbursed shortly thereafter. The Social Protection Project Additional Financing and Health Reform projects complement the DPLs, and the Municipal Development operation includes a component focused on improved transparency and accountability. 30. The Bank complemented its lending program through targeted analytical work and technical assistance. As indicated above, there have been wide ranging NLTAs (funded by the Bank, donors, or trust funds) from the Bank providing considerable support for reforms in social sector performance, public sector management and demand for improved governance. The Bank has also been able to expand knowledge services beyond that envisioned in the CPS by leveraging donor resources in areas of mutual interest as is the case in the USAID EFO and EU TF on public expenditure management. 31. With the CPS largely delivered, minimal adjustments are envisioned during the second half of the CPS and will be guided by the need to be strategic in prioritizing additional support. Remaining lending room in the CPS totals only US$70 million, planned 10 under the original CPS to be committed to the remaining FY13 PASS-related operation. During Progress Report consultations, the Government requested additional financial and technical assistance in several priority areas: (i) budget support operations including a continuation of PASS reforms and/or a policy based lending to support reforms in governance and transparency; (ii) Education (the Education project closed on August 31, 2011); (iii) Energy/Electricity Rehabilitation (the existing project will close on December 31, 2012); (iv) Caribbean Advanced Regional Communications Infrastructure Program (CARCIP); (v) Youth and Development Additional Financing; and (vi) Technical Assistance to the Supreme Court. An additional financing of US$20 million of the Emergency Recovery and Rehabilitation project, which will cover cost over-runs due to inflation and improvements in designs to ensure the resilience of the rehabilitated infrastructure, was approved by the Board on November 17, 2011. In addition, the Dominican Republic will participate in CARCIP (IBRD lending level tentatively estimated at US$27 million), a regional lending project to enhance ICT infrastructure, which is expected to go to the Board in the first half of 2012. Decisions on the use of the remaining lending capacity will depend on the results of ongoing dialogue with the Government. Table 1 - CPS Lending and AAA Program FY10-13 CPS Lending Program CPS Progress Report Lending Program (US$ Millions) (US$ Millions) FY 10 FY 10 Actual Performance Accountability in Social Sector DPL $150 Performance Accountability in Social Sector DPL $150 Social Sectors Investment Program $10 Social Sectors Investment Program $10 Health Sector Reform 2nd Phase APL (PARSS2) $30 Health Sector Reform 2nd Phase APL (PARSS2) $30 Municipal Development $20 Municipal Development $20 Total FY 10 $210 Total FY 10 $210 AAA AAA DR-Haiti Quisqueya Growth and Poverty Report FY 11 FY 11 Actual Performance Accountability in Social Sector DPL II $150 Performance Accountability in Social Sector DPL II $150 Total FY 11 $150 Total FY 11 $150 AAA AAA Influenza Prevention NLTA Programmatic Social Sectors NLTA Program Institutional & Governance Review Influenza Prevention NLTA Adaptation to Climate Change and Disaster Risk Program Institutional & Governance Review Management Treasury’s Country Banking Services NLTA FY12 FY 12 Planned Performance Accountability in Social Sector DPL III $70 Performance Accountability in Social Sector DPL III $70 Total FY 12 $70 CARCIP $27 Emergency Recovery and Rehabilitation (AF) $20 Total FY 12 $117 AAA AAA IDF for Strengthening Congressional Oversight Programmatic Social Sectors NLTA Energy Sector and Investment NLTA IDF for Strengthening Congressional Oversight Competitiveness NLTA Energy Sector and Investment NLTA Treasury’s Country Banking Services NLTA Adaptation to Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management NLTA Competitiveness NLTA Treasury’s Country Banking Services NLTA DR-Haiti Quisqueya Growth and Poverty Report Strengthening Civil Society NLTA FY13 FY13 Planned Performance Accountability in Social Sector DPL IV $70 Budget Support (To examine PASS related agenda priorities) $70 AAA AAA 11 CPS Lending Program CPS Progress Report Lending Program (US$ Millions) (US$ Millions) Quality and Efficiency of Public Expenditure NLTA Quality and Efficiency of Public Expenditure NLTA Social Cohesion Programmatic NLTA Programmatic Social Sectors NLTANLTA Strengthening Civil Society NLTA Strengthening Civil Society NLTA Total Lending FY10-FY13 US$500 Total Lending FY10-FY13 US$547 32. The Results Framework (Annex 1) has been adjusted accordingly to better reflect expected outcomes in the four strategic areas of the CPS program. Changes are generally minor and include adjustments to align targets to the CPS cycle (health), reflect changes in project indicators (e.g. PASS is no longer measuring completion of schooling), and extend targets out to reflect delays in effectiveness (Municipal Development Project). 4. STRATEGY GOING FORWARD AND FUTURE BANK ENGAGEMENT 33. Going forward the Dominican Republic faces significant challenges to improve the efficiency, effectiveness, and level of transparency across the public sector to deliver social services and promote growth. Fortunately prospects for private sector led economic growth are good in the medium term. This should provide some fiscal and political space for continued incremental improvements in Government operations. The capacity building, policy adjustments, and organizational improvements in social spending, energy, transparency, and accountability supported by the CPS and other donors, if sustained through the political transition, could provide momentum for continued progress. Certainly avoiding the poverty retrogression experienced in 2003-4 is a notable achievement. To protect these advances the Bank will need to stay engaged with all domestic and external stakeholders, maintain its presence at the policy table, and reinforce the approach of the CPS to focus on areas of Government commitment. The portfolio of investment operations, critical as they are for implementation of several policy reforms linked to DPLs and the CPS, will require redoubled supervision efforts to regain momentum in implementation and disbursements. 34. The Bank’s engagement will remain focused on the core issues. The Bank will continue to provide support under the corresponding four priority CPS areas of more efficient and effective social spending, competitiveness, improved public expenditures, and building capacities and constituencies for reform through FY13. It will also prepare necessary analytical background for an engagement focused on a longer term perspective in the next CPS period. This could permit the Government, supported by the Bank, to focus on efforts to consolidate ongoing social policy initiatives, improve competitiveness and productivity, and advance further in public sector reform. The Bank and Government will continue dialogue on Government requests for additional support, including additional budget support should external financing needs arise. Discussions will center on identifying key development areas where tangible results could be obtained through additional Bank support. 35. IFC strategy in the Dominican Republic will be better aligned with IFC strategy for the Caribbean, with 4 strategic pillars: (i) Financial inclusion, through investment and advisory services to financial institutions to improve access to finance for MSMEs and households; (ii) Competitiveness, through investments that support infrastructure, trade logistics, education and regional integration, and advisory services in areas such as Corporate Governance; (iii) Climate Change, through continued support to the energy sector, direct and 12 through financial institutions; (iv) Resilience to crisis, through the deepening of the local capital markets and support to the diversification of the country's economy. 5. RISKS AND MITIGATION 36. Risks presented in the CPS have been well managed, but remain and are coupled with the risk of policy/institutional backsliding during the electoral or transition period. Implementation interruptions from poor coordination between core and spending ministries have not emerged. Close Bank coordination with the ministries, their substantive commitment to the program (especially the reforms supported by the DPLs), and the general incentive to resolve issues promptly to secure needed DPL disbursements have prevented or overcome coordination problems. 37. Economic risks have been contained as the Government has pursued sound macroeconomic policies and IMF stabilization program which has been closely coordinated with the IDB and the Bank. Growth did not turn negative and is high by regional standards. No significant natural disaster has occurred during the CPS period and indeed the earthquake in Haiti has spurred Dominican exports. However natural disasters must always be anticipated in this seismic and geographically vulnerable country. 38. External risks stemming from the low reserve coverage are currently mitigated by the IMF program, relatively favorable access to international markets, and important FDI inflows. However, an external shock could lead to a foreign exchange shortage, amplified by the absence of a new IMF program (the current program ends in the first quarter of 2012 which could also stall the reform momentum on the structural front). While these external risks remain substantial, mitigating factors include strong macroeconomic management, including growth in the size and sophistication of the domestic debt market and improved financial and bank supervision. 39. Operational risks identified in the CPS relate to poor multi-sectoral collaboration in Government and the Bank as well as counterpart capacity problems in financial management and procurement. Collaboration across sectors seems to be working remarkably well on both sides evidenced by the variety of advances in the public sector and civil society spheres in association with social spending agencies. Fiduciary problems continue to hamper several investment operations, despite intensified training, and will likely remain a continuing challenge. The portfolio has been subjected to systematic monitoring and joint annual reviews. 40. Political risks may be increasing with the pending elections and transition. Regardless of the outcome of the presidential election in May 2012, it is likely that key reform counterparts and champions within the social agencies will be replaced. During the election period there are always risks of reversals in reforms (return to more clientelism in the distribution of subsidies, less aggressive pursuit of electricity theft or tax evasion, etc.). The upcoming presidential elections could impact somewhat the pace and possibly focus of operations in the country, so the Bank will pursue an intensified program of stakeholder consultations, including with the opposition, with the aim of building understanding and support for the operations as critical and non-partisan efforts to promote social and economic development. 13 ANNEX 1: REVISED CPS FY10-13 RESULTS FRAMEWORK Dominican Republic Revised CPS Outcome/Target World Bank Assistance Original CPS Outcome/Target Planned Milestones Progress Towards CPS Outcomes (If applicable) Strategic Objective One: Strengthen Social Cohesion and Improve Access to and Quality of Social Services Ensuring access to quality health Lending services  Enhance strategic  Health Sector Reform II procurement of medicines Indicator 1. Risk evaluation of pregnant (FY10) - $30M  Improved quality of mother and Indicator 1: 30% of pregnant and medical inputs women. 5.2% (October 2011); Number is  Health Sector Reform I child healthcare services in the women with a risk evaluation Indicator 3: Number of regions underestimated because the Clinical (FY03) - $30M target population completed before the 15th week producing monthly reports on the Management system is in initial phase of  PASS DPL Series (FY10, of pregnancy in at least 2 number of poor individuals who implementation.1 FY11, FY12) - $370M Indicator 1: 50% of pregnant women regions (by 2013) were prescribed a medicine at  Public Finance and Social with a risk evaluation completed the first level of care and actually Sector DPL (FY10) - $150M before the 15th week of pregnancy in Baseline: 0.43% based on received medication within 48 at least 2 regions (by 2013) (baseline Clinical Management System hours Indicator 2. Childhood vaccination: less than AAA to be determined in year 1) data from the two PARSS2 Baseline: No monthly reports 1% (October 2011); Number is  Avian and Human Influenza regions (2009) underestimated because the Clinical IDF (FY09) - $1M – partner Indicator 2: 60% of children under 15 Management system is in initial phase of IICA months with vaccination scheme Target: Single Management implementation; records readily available completed according to national Indicator 2: 40% of children System of Medicines and Inputs from the Immunization Program have the data protocols (by 2013) – (baseline to be under 15 months with (SUGEMI) and its per type of vaccination and not per a determined in year 1) vaccination scheme completed corresponding information complete vaccination scheme. according to national protocols system in place and training Records indicate the following vaccination (by 2012) provided to facilitate production rates for children less than 1 year old: of reports by at least one region Measles: Baseline: 0% based on (2013) Region 6: 69.2 percent Clinical Management Region 8: 81.4 percent System Data from the two PARSS2 regions) DPT3: Region 6: 77 percent Region8: 90.6 percent Indicator 3. Single Management System of Medicines and Inputs (SUGEMI): Process has advanced in terms of the development of common procedures for reporting including using reporting forms for all the Regional Health Services 1  The Bank will review the health indicator targets in consultation with the Government next year, after giving some time for the newly introduced Clinical Management System  to be implemented (it was rolled�out in February 2011).  Assuming that the CMS continues to be underutilized, the Bank team will seek other data sources.  14 Revised CPS Outcome/Target World Bank Assistance Original CPS Outcome/Target Planned Milestones Progress Towards CPS Outcomes (If applicable) Providing access to a better quality  80% of CCT beneficiaries Indicator 1. CCT and education: Share of Lending education at all levels comply with education co- children 7 to 14 years enrolled in primary or  PASS DPL Series (FY10, ECD, Basic and Secondary education responsibilities by 2013 middle school for the previous school year: FY11, FY12) - $370M  Increased access to and quality of Indicator 1. CCT and (baseline to be determined) August 2010: 95.2%  Early Childhood Education education education: Increase in the July 2011: 93.4% (ECD) (FY03) - $42M Indicator 1: Increase in the share of share of children of CCT children of CCT program (i) who have program: (i) are enrolled in, and completed at least one year of ECD; attending basic education; and Indicator 2. ECD net enrollment: 67.87% (ii) are enrolled in, attending and (ii) are attending secondary (2009); completing basic education; (iii) are education. attending secondary education (Baselines and targets to be determined) Indicator 2: ECD net enrollment of Indicator 2. ECD net poorest children increases to 86% by enrollment: Target revised to New student evaluation Indicator 3. New student evaluation end of project. 69% standards validated for ECD, standards: Target has been achieved as basic and secondary education demonstrated by four signed Resolutions from New student evaluation standards the Ministry of Education between 2009 and validated for ECD, basic and 2011 validating new student evaluation secondary education standards for: pre-primary education (ECD), the first cycle of Basic Education, the second cycle of basic education and secondary Indicator 3: New student evaluation education. standards start being implemented Protection of the vulnerable Lending: population  Government policies for the Indicator 1. CCT and households in extreme  Social Sectors Investment Improvement in the standards of living social sectors clearly poverty: As of November 2010, 70% of Program (FY08) - $19.4M conditions of the population identified in a policy paper households in extreme poverty are  AF Social Sector Investment  Improve the coverage and quality and reflected in budget participating in the CCT Solidaridad Program (FY10) - $10M of social protection programs documents.  PASS DPL Series (FY10, (CCT program) Indicator 4: Rolling medium- FY11, FY12 ) - $370M term plan and budget framework Indicator 4. Medium term guidelines for  Youth Development Project Indicator 1: % of households in Indicator 1: % of households in of 2011 set out medium-term social protection policy. Milestone has been (FY06) - $25M extreme poverty participating in CCT extreme poverty participating guidelines for social protection achieved: Approved Multi-Annual National program in CCT program policy with projections as to the Public Investment Plan 2010-2012 as well as AAA: Baseline: 51% (01/2009) coverage, estimated budget, and the Multi-Annual National Public Investment  Programmatic Social Sectors Target: 85% (6/2012) Target: 85% (12/2013) financing bases Plan 2011-2014 (FY10) Baseline: Under development (2009) Indicator2: Beneficiaries assessment Target: For FY2011 of the overall quality of attention and No longer an indicator of the service of CCT program (1 PASS DPL results framework beneficiary perception survey at the but an initial beneficiary survey end of the PASS DPL in 2013) has taken place and another is 15 Revised CPS Outcome/Target World Bank Assistance Original CPS Outcome/Target Planned Milestones Progress Towards CPS Outcomes (If applicable) planned for FY12. Indicator 3. Youth training: Number of beneficiaries has been already achieved 25,000 at risk youth have been  29,000 at-risk youth have been trained as of  Improve employability of the poor Indicator: At least 65 % of trained April 2011 at-risk youth beneficiaries employed or self- Indicator 3: 60% of youth trained employed 6 months after found a job within six months of graduation program completion Strategic Objective Two: Promote Competitiveness in a Sustainable and Resilient Economic Environment Enhancement of country  Completion and  Dominican Republic-Haiti Quisqueya AAA: competitiveness dissemination of AAAs, and Growth and Poverty Report: Decision  Treasury’s Country Banking policy discussion. meeting held in November 2011 Services Government has access to broader  Treasury activities have increased Central  Competitiveness information base (data and facts) Bank’s investment capabilities for the  Dominican Republic-Haiti for informed policy decisions in management of foreign exchange reserves, Quisqueya Growth and the areas of macro-financial training financial managers Poverty Report (FY12) stability, competitiveness and economic relations on the IFC investments and TA: Hispaniola island by 2013  Financial and real sectors Doing business reform  Development of basic Lending: infrastructure to support a Support an enabling Indicator 1: Process for selection and  Water and Sanitation in business enabling environment environment for improved  Contract for the development recruitment of the consultants in charge of Tourist Areas Project APL1 management of the water and of W&S Sector Strategy the strategy is being finalized, preparation (FY09) - $27.5M  Water: Improved performance of sanitation sector signed and discussion workshops have started  Power TA Project (FY04) – W&S Corporations in Puerto Plata under the leadership of INAPA. 7.3M region Indicator 1: Adoption of a  Establishment of the Water  Public Finance and Social Indicator 1: Percentage of households National W&S strategy Sector Council. Water Sector Council created in August Sector DPL (FY10) - $150M connected to sanitation network 2011.  Electricity Distribution increases from 60% to 80% in Puerto  The W&S corporations have Rehabilitation project Plata region in 2013 Improved performance of signed performance The “Mesa de Agua� is holding regular (FY08) - $42M Indicator 2: Occupancy capacity of W&S Corporations in Puerto agreements substantive meeting with W&S hotels in the Puerto Plata region that is Plata region and in two  Technical assistance is stakeholders. AAA: connected to communal sanitation additional CORRA recruited for the three Corras,  Energy Sector (partner: networks increases from 50% to 70% IDB) in 2013 Indicator 2 and 3: One performance  Competitiveness NLTA Indicator 2: Business Plan and contract signed and two being prepared  Dominican Republic-Haiti  Energy: Increased efficiency in modernization plan completed Quisqueya Growth and power distribution and generation for the participating W&S Poverty Report (FY12) to improve quality of the service corporations  Treasury’s Country Banking Indicator: Electricity sector average NLTA distribution losses reduced Indicator 3: The W&S Baseline: 28.4% (April 30th, 2009) corporations comply with the IFC investments and TA: objectives of the operational 16 Revised CPS Outcome/Target World Bank Assistance Original CPS Outcome/Target Planned Milestones Progress Towards CPS Outcomes (If applicable) Target: 16.4% (2013) and business performance  energy agreements  transport and logistics Indicator 4. Cost Recovery Indicator 4. Cost Recovery Indices per Indices per company company (EdeNorte, EdeSur, EdeEste): (EdeNorte, EdeSur, EdeEste) While data on progress is unavailable, targets Baseline (data from Dec. are considered achievable. 2010): EdeNorte: 63% EdeSur: 53% EdeEste: 62% Target: EdeNorte: 71% EdeSur: 75% EdeEste: 75% Improvement of the capacity for  Prioritized action Plan for Lending: hazard risk management comprehensive Risk Indicator 1: Disaster Risk Management.  Emergency Recovery Loan Minimize the impact of natural Management at national level aspects included in territorial and (FY08) $80M hazards formulated investment plans: NLTA launched in FY12.  Emergency Recovery Loan  Disaster risk management Additional Financing mainstreamed into Ministry of  Monitoring and prevention of (FY12) $20M Economy, Planning and Avian and Human Influenza Indicator 2. Dam safety management Development improved through early framework: After delays, studies and plans AAA: Indicator 1: Disaster Risk Indicator 1: Disaster Risk warning systems. for strengthening the Dams Management and  Adaptation to Climate Management. aspects included in Management. aspects Indicator4: Reporting time of Hydrology Departments in INDRHI has been Change and Disaster Risk territorial and investment plans included in territorial and poultry diseases at the local level finalized. Mgt. NLTA investment plans by end reduced from 7 days to 4 days  Avian Flu (FY09) – partner  Strengthened institutional capacity 2013 IICA for risk management in specific Indicator 3. Improved access to more sectors (for example water adequate and reliable weather and river resources, electricity) flow data of decision-makers with Indicator 2: Dam safety management responsibility on risk management. The framework updated and operational hydro-meteorological weather observation network is being upgraded. By the end of the Indicator 3: Improved access to more Indicator 3: Improved project it is expected to be transmitting data adequate and reliable weather and access to more adequate and (weather and flows) in real time. river flow data of decision-makers reliable weather and river with responsibility on risk flow data of decision- Indicator 4: Achieved. Reporting time of management by 2012. makers with responsibility poultry diseases at the local level reduced to 1 on risk management by day. 2013. Strategic Objective Three: Enhance Quality of Public Expenditures and Institutional Development Enhancement of the quality, Lending: accountability and efficiency of  PASS DPL Series (FY10, 17 Revised CPS Outcome/Target World Bank Assistance Original CPS Outcome/Target Planned Milestones Progress Towards CPS Outcomes (If applicable) public resources utilization  Narrow the gap between Indicator 1: Budget allocations under social FY11, FY12) - $370M Performance informed management in budget and actual spending programs: PEFA indicator 1 improved from social sectors Baseline: PEFA indicators 1 D to C in 2010 PEFA; No improvement in AAA:  Improve budget management and 2 score D & C (2007) PEFA indicator 2  NLTA Quality of Public Indicator 1: Budget allocations are Target: Bs by end-2012 Expenditures (FY10) adequate to meet entitlements under (partners: IDB, EU) social programs and budget in social  Performance agreements Performance Agreements with the  Institutional and Governance sectors is executed as programmed, as covering the priority social Ministries of Health and Education have Review evidenced by PEFA indicators 1 & 2 sectors (including health and been signed and established. The  Safeguards Capacity (Credibility of budget) education) signed Government approved a Decree regulating Activities Baseline: Baseline: Under development Article 14 of the Budget Law that mandates Indicator 1: D (2009) the design and implementation of performance Indicator 2: C (2007) Target: Agreed for social agreements and signed Performance Target: Equivalent to ‘A’ score in sectors (FY2012) Agreements with the Ministries of Health and identified sectors (2013) following Education for their priority investment assessment of entitlements  Availability of accurate programs. statistics to estimate policy  Significant progress in the move outcomes toward performance-informed Indicator 4: Official and widely- Indicator 2. Introduction of a credible budget management informed poverty figures multi-annual plan and budget framework Indicator 2: Introduction of a credible produced at least once by 2012 social sectors: Government approved Multi- multi-annual plan and budget Annual National Investment Plan in the Public framework social sectors (FY2013) Sector 2010-2013, aimed at closing gaps in the Baseline: Under development supply of education, health, and nutrition (2009) services. This is the first step to developing a Target: Covers social sectors Medium-Term Expenditure Framework. (FY2013)2 PEFA indicators 11 & 12 improved from Ds in 2007 to B, C+ respectively, in 2010. Indicator 3: Accurate and timely Indicator 3: Accurate and performance information loosely timely performance Indicator 3. Performance information linking inputs to outputs, outcomes information loosely linking loosely linking inputs to outputs, outcomes and entitlements is presented in inputs to outputs, outcomes and entitlements presented in budget: budget documents and entitlements is Achieved. Performance agreements covering Target: Coverage for priority presented in budget priority health and education programs signed social sectors (FY2013) documents between respective sectoral ministries and the Baseline: None in 2008 budget Target: Coverage for Ministries of Economy, Planning and priority health and Development; Finance; and Public education programs Administration on August 31, 2011. (FY2013) 2  PEFA indicators 11 & 12 (Policy�based budgeting) improve from Ds (2007) to B scores.  18 Revised CPS Outcome/Target World Bank Assistance Original CPS Outcome/Target Planned Milestones Progress Towards CPS Outcomes (If applicable) Strengthening capacity of local  15 rural municipalities Indicator: The 15 participating rural Lending: Governments trained in procurement, municipalities demonstrate basic capacity in  Municipal Development Decentralization and territorial financial management and procurement, FM and HR management: (FY10) $20M development human resources  The Municipal Development Councils in  Increase rural poor municipalities’ management by December the five pilot municipalities have been management capacity 2012 (revised to 2013). formed; training will conclude by the end of CY2011 Indicator: The 30 participating rural Indicator: The 15  National territorial strategy municipalities demonstrate basic participating rural developed by December 2011  Validation of the municipal diagnostics is capacity in procurement, FM and HR municipalities demonstrate (revised to 2012). underway in pilot municipalities; management (survey of a sample of basic capacity in Institutional Action Plans will be the municipal population) procurement, FM and HR concluded and agreed by the end of CY management (revised 2011 number of municipalities to  Pilot municipalities have begun to create bring in line with project document) the basic units required for compliance with legal requirements; basic training of these units is expected to conclude before the end of CY 2011. Strategic Objective Four: Build Capacity and Constituencies for Reform 19 Revised CPS Outcome/Target World Bank Assistance Original CPS Outcome/Target Planned Milestones Progress Towards CPS Outcomes (If applicable) Enhancement of participatory Lending: policy formulation  Web-based financial Indicator 1. Creation of a Congressional  PASS DPL Series (FY10,  Strengthened congressional budget management information tool Advisory Office: OPA was created and FY11, FY12) - $370M oversight capacities “Consulta Amigable� staffed with merit-based personnel  Municipal Development Indicator1: Creation of a developed and accessible by Project (FY10) - $20M Congressional Advisory Office (OPA) public that is staffed with merit-based Indicator 4: Public access to Indicator 2: Active permanent observatory AAA: personnel and periodically releases web-based interface linked to of the budget run by coalition of CSOs is in  Institutional Development budget analysis reports (FY13). Financial Management place: Achieved. The Centro Juan Montalvo Fund for Strengthening Information System (SIGEF) Civil Society Public Budget Observatory Congressional Oversight  Strengthened civil society’s Baseline: SIGEF not publicly published 3 Reports in cooperation with the  Strengthening Civil Society capacities for budget analysis and available (FY2009) Civil Society Commission on Poverty and NLTA monitoring Target: SIGEF web-based, Fiscal Policy of the Foro Ciudadano, which  Gender Mainstreaming user-friendly interface involves more than 150 CSOs; trained 9 poor Capacity and Advocacy in available to the public communities groups on budget execution DR CSOs Trust Fund (FY13) monitoring. (FY12) Indicator2: Active permanent A coalition of 15 CSOs established an observatory of the budget run by Observatory of the Participatory Anti- coalition of CSOs is in place Corruption Initiative (IPAC) and published 2 Baseline: 1 CSO running Social monitoring reports on the Government’s Policies Observatory including progress in the implementation of the basic public budget and social anticorruption action plan. expenditures analysis reports Participatory budgeting and m-surveys through (FY09) mobile technology are piloted in 2 municipalities Target: Expanded Public Budget Observatory including budget 7 poor municipalities established and staffed process monitoring and systematic with trained personnel Access to Information publication of monitoring reports Offices and CSOs groups established Social as measured by online website and Audit Commissions for local and national by number of CSOs trained in budget execution monitoring. budget analysis and monitoring Indicator 3: All 15 (FY13) participating municipalities  15 municipalities trained in Indicator. 3: All 15 participating are using participatory participatory budget municipalities are using participatory  Enhance participatory planning at budgeting procedures to procedures by December budgeting procedures to prepare annual the local level prepare annual budgets 2012 (revised to 2013). budgets: Project is being piloted in 5 Indicator:3 All 30 participating (based on the criteria of the municipalities: Bayaguana, Padre las Casas, municipalities are using participatory participatory budgeting Las Matas de Farfán, Tamayo y Polo. With budgeting procedures to prepare law). exception of Bayaguana, the others are using annual budgets (based on the criteria participatory budgeting procedures. of the participatory budgeting law). Indicator 4. Public access to web-based interface linked to Financial Management 20 Revised CPS Outcome/Target World Bank Assistance Original CPS Outcome/Target Planned Milestones Progress Towards CPS Outcomes (If applicable) Information System (SIGEF): Achieved. The SIGEF-informed budget transparency portal, Portal del Ciudadano Dominicano, launched on August 30, 2011. Government has also prepared easy-to-access budget execution reports, ‘Presupuesto Ciudadano’ (Citizens’ Budget) 21 ANNEX 2: DOMINICAN REPUBLIC KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS 2004-2013 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009* 2010** 2011 2012 2013 Act. (Percentage of GDP, unless otherwise indicated) Proj. Income and prices GDP growth (% change) 1.3 9.3 10.7 8.5 5.3 3.5 7.8 5.7 6.0 6.0 Inflation (CPI % change) 51.5 4.2 7.6 6.1 10.6 1.5 6.3 8.5 4.7 5.1 Exchange rate (% appreciation - or depr. +) 36.6 -27.8 11.8 0.0 4.2 4.3 2.4 4.7 4.0 3.1 Investment and savings Gross domestic investment (current prices) 14.9 16.5 18.4 18.9 18.2 14.8 17.0 17.5 17.5 17.5 Gross national savings 9.8 8.7 7.3 10.5 11.9 Gross domestic savings 15.7 11.0 10.4 9.8 4.6 6.9 6.1 5.1 8.4 9.3 Non Financial Public sector Total revenues and grants 14.1 15.7 16.2 17.7 15.9 13.7 13.6 13.8 14.4 14.9 Total tax revenues 12.9 14.5 14.8 16.0 14.9 13.1 12.7 13.2 13.7 14.3 Total expenditures (incl. interest) 14.7 15.8 16.1 17.1 19.6 16.9 16.3 15.7 15.7 15.9 Current expenditures 11.7 12.0 12.9 12.9 14.5 13.3 12.6 11.9 11.8 11.8 Capital expenditures 3.0 3.9 3.3 4.1 5.1 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.9 4.1 Primary balance 0.1 0.8 1.2 2.2 -2.1 -1.4 -0.7 0.4 0.9 1.2 Interest 1.8 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.2 Overall balance -1.8 -0.1 0.0 0.6 -3.8 -3.2 -2.7 -1.8 -1.3 -1.0 Public debt Total debt *** 47.4 34.3 36.1 33.1 33.5 36.6 36.8 37.6 37.2 37.1 Balance of payments Current account balance 4.8 -1.4 -3.7 -5.3 -9.9 -5.0 -8.4 -10.2 -6.9 -5.6 Trade balance -9.0 -11.1 -15.6 -15.6 -20.3 -14.6 -16.6 -18.0 -14.9 -14.0 Exports of goods and services (incl FTZ) 43.7 30.0 31.3 28.9 25.6 22.2 22.3 23.3 24.2 25.0 Imports of goods and services (incl FTZ) 42.2 33.8 38.5 37.1 39.1 30.2 33.3 35.7 33.3 33.2 Foreign direct investment 4.2 3.3 4.3 3.8 6.3 4.6 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 Remittances 10.3 7.2 7.7 7.3 7.1 6.5 5.8 5.5 5.3 5.0 Memorandum item: Nominal GDP (billions of US dollars) 21.6 33.5 35.2 39.8 45.6 46.8 52.3 56.2 60.7 66.0 Nominal GDP (billions of DR$) 909.0 1020.0 1189.8 1364.2 1576.2 1678.8 1921.9 2163.5 2430.9 2723.6 Source: Ministry of Finance, Central Bank, EIU and IMF and World Bank staff estimates. *Note: (1) Authorities are still in a process of revising some data for 2009; (2) Authorities are considering alternative ways of reaching the overall fiscal deficit for the projection years, and this table may thus be subject to revisions; (3) statistics consider public debt as gross debt, i.e., bonds owned by agencies within the government are not net out. ** Estimates adjusted to preliminary data by the DR Central Bank. *** Consolidated public debt including DR Central Bank dent. Historical and actual debt data from official Crédito Público figures. 22 ANNEX 3 COUNTRY AT A GLANCE 23 24 25 ANNEX 4: STANDARD CPS ANNEXES Dominican Republic - Key Economic Indicators Actual Estimate Projected Indicator 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 National accounts (as % of GDP) a Gross domestic product 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Agriculture 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 Industry 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 31 Services 60 61 62 62 61 62 62 62 63 Total Consumption 89 90 90 95 93 95 94 91 92 Gross domestic fixed investment 16 18 19 18 15 16 16 17 16 Government investment .. .. .. .. .. .. 3 3 4 Private investment .. .. .. .. .. .. 14 13 13 b Exports (GNFS) 30 30 29 25 22 22 24 27 26 Imports (GNFS) 36 38 38 39 30 34 35 35 35 Gross domestic savings 11 10 10 5 7 5 6 9 8 c Gross national savings .. .. 13 8 8 6 8 10 11 Memorandum items Gross domestic product 34004 35953 41315 45805 46788 51458 .. .. .. (US$ million at current prices) GNI per capita (US$, Atlas method) 2900 3460 4150 4470 4670 5050 .. .. .. Real annual growth rates (%, calculated from 90 prices) Gross domestic product at market prices 9.3 10.7 8.5 5.3 3.5 7.8 5.3 5.5 6.0 Gross Domestic Income 6.0 10.9 8.3 3.0 6.7 4.9 3.5 4.4 6.2 Real annual per capita growth rates (%, calculated from 90 prices) Gross domestic product at market prices 7.7 9.1 7.0 3.8 2.1 6.3 .. .. .. Total consumption 13.8 10.4 7.4 6.3 3.6 6.1 .. .. .. Private consumption 14.0 10.4 7.4 6.3 3.9 6.3 .. .. .. Balance of Payments (US$ millions) b Exports (GNFS) 10058 11153 11958 11670 10295 11671 13837 16308 17430 Merchandise FOB 6145 6610 7160 6748 5483 6598 8367 10542 11353 b Imports (GNFS) 11326 13731 15343 17953 14120 17436 19939 21209 22862 Merchandise FOB 9869 12174 13597 15993 12296 15299 17629 18980 20587 Resource balance -1268 -2579 -3385 -6284 -3826 -5765 -6102 -4901 -5432 Net current transfers 2697 3144 3402 3513 3216 3118 3854 3545 4071 Current account balance -473 -1288 -2166 -4519 -2331 -4435 -4736 -4048 -3709 Net private foreign direct investment 1123 1528 1667 2870 2165 1625 1952 2266 2300 Long-term loans (net) 84 344 180 496 759 1340 901 277 488 Official 231 240 101 729 964 832 66 -55 -427 Private -147 104 78 -233 -206 507 834 332 914 Other capital (net, incl. errors & ommissions) -1652 -853 -307 1479 45 1923 2456 1934 1181 d Change in reserves 918 268 627 -326 -638 -453 -572 -429 -260 Memorandum items Resource balance (% of GDP) -3.7 -7.2 -8.2 -13.7 -8.2 -11.2 .. .. .. Real annual growth rates ( YR90 prices) Merchandise exports (FOB) .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Primary .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Manufactures .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Merchandise imports (CIF) .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (Continued) 26 Dominican Republic - Key Economic Indicators (Continued) Actual Estimate Projected Indicator 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 e Public finance (as % of GDP at market prices) Current revenues 15.4 15.9 17.3 15.7 13.5 13.4 13.8 14.3 14.8 Current expenditures 12.0 12.9 12.9 14.5 13.3 12.6 11.9 11.6 11.7 Current account surplus (+) or deficit (-) 3.5 3.0 4.4 1.2 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.7 3.2 Capital expenditure 3.9 3.3 4.1 5.1 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.8 4.4 Foreign financing -0.4 2.0 0.8 1.6 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.1 0.3 Monetary indicators M2/GDP 27.7 25.3 25.5 27.8 30.0 30.4 30.0 30.0 30.0 Growth of M2 (%) 12.2 6.6 15.6 25.9 15.0 14.5 12.5 10.8 11.3 Private sector credit growth / 80.4 50.0 80.2 -21.9 59.4 162.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 total credit growth (%) Price indices( YR90 =100) Merchandise export price index .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Merchandise import price index .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Merchandise terms of trade index .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. f Real exchange rate (US$/LCU) 65.2 68.5 100.8 101.7 100.9 97.2 95.6 94.4 94.3 Real interest rates Consumer price index (% change) 4.2 7.6 6.1 10.6 1.4 9.4 10.0 3.3 4.1 GDP deflator (% change) 2.7 5.4 5.7 9.8 3.0 5.1 7.9 5.0 5.0 a. GDP at factor cost b. "GNFS" denotes "goods and nonfactor services." c. Includes net unrequited transfers excluding official capital grants. d. Includes use of IMF resources. e. Consolidated central government. f. "LCU" denotes "local currency units." An increase in US$/LCU denotes appreciation. 27 Dominican Republic - Key Exposure Indicators Actual Estimated Projected Indicator 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total debt outstanding and 7072 8553 10142 10119 11046 13045 13152 12598 11478 a disbursed (TDO) (US$m) a Net disbursements (US$m) 132 679 500 557 883 1775 .. .. .. Interest payments 248 320 453 547 505 521 446 403 343 Total debt service (TDS) 1010 1342 1380 1411 1322 1337 1739 .. .. a (US$m) Debt and debt service indicators (%) b TDO/XGS 54.8 58.6 64.1 64.8 80.1 86.0 75.7 63.1 54.0 TDO/GDP 20.8 23.8 24.5 22.1 23.6 25.4 23.2 20.5 17.3 TDS/XGS 7.8 9.2 8.7 9.0 9.6 8.8 10.0 .. .. Concessional/TDO 22.2 22.1 20.4 25.5 25.1 23.8 24.3 25.4 26.3 IBRD exposure indicators (%) IBRD DS/public DS 6.0 4.4 5.2 5.5 6.6 7.7 4.9 5.1 3.9 Preferred creditor DS/public 20.5 25.3 37.0 40.1 28.7 34.4 34.5 27.3 38.5 c DS (%) IBRD DS/XGS 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 d IBRD TDO (US$m) 405 438 472 449 748 864 845 831 817 Of which present value of guarantees (US$m) Share of IBRD portfolio (%) 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 d IDA TDO (US$m) 10.7 10.1 9.4 8.7 8.1 7.4 6.7 6.1 5.4 IFC (US$m) Loans 122 Equity and quasi-equity /c 94 MIGA MIGA guarantees (US$m) 79 157 128 126 100 108 a. Includes public and publicly guaranteed debt, private nonguaranteed, use of IMF credits and net short- term capital. b. "XGS" denotes exports of goods and services, including workers' remittances. c. Preferred creditors are defined as IBRD, IDA, the regional multilateral development banks, the IMF, and the Bank for International Settlements. d. Includes present value of guarantees. e. Includes equity and quasi-equity types of both loan and equity instruments. 28 Dominican Republic Social Indicators Latest single year Same region/income group Latin Upper- Am erica m iddle- 1980-85 1990-95 2004-10 & Carib. incom e POPULATION Total population, mid-year (millions) 6.5 7.9 9.9 572.5 1,001.7 Grow th rate (% annual average for period) 2.2 1.9 1.4 1.2 0.9 Urban population (% of population) 53.9 57.8 70.5 79.0 74.9 Total fertility rate (births per woman) 3.9 3.1 2.6 2.2 2.0 POVERTY (% of population) National headcount index .. .. 34.4 .. .. Urban headcount index .. .. 26.2 .. .. Rural headcount index .. .. 47.7 .. .. INCOME GNI per capita (US$) 1,040 1,910 4,226 7,007 7,502 Consumer price index (2005=100) .. 24 114 123 127 INCOME/CONSUMPTION DISTRIBUTION Gini index .. 51.4 49.0 .. .. Low est quintile (% of income or consumption) .. 4.3 4.5 .. .. Highest quintile (% of income or consumption) .. 56.5 54.5 .. .. SOCIAL INDICATORS Public expenditure Health (% of GDP) .. 1.2 1.5 3.9 3.8 Education (% of GNI) .. .. 2.1 4.0 4.3 Net prim ary school enrollm ent rate (% of age group) Total .. .. 80 94 93 Male .. .. 80 94 93 Female .. .. 80 93 92 Access to an im proved w ater source (% of population) Total .. 88 86 93 95 Urban .. 95 87 97 98 Rural .. 78 84 80 86 Im m unization rate (% of children ages 12-23 months) Measles 54 78 79 93 93 DPT 39 72 82 92 93 Child malnutrition (% under 5 years) .. 8 3 4 .. Life expectancy at birth (years) Total 65 70 73 74 72 Male 63 67 70 71 69 Female 67 72 76 77 75 Mortality Infant (per 1,000 live births) 56 40 22 19 19 Under 5 (per 1,000) 75 50 27 23 23 Adult (15-59) Male (per 1,000 population) .. .. 202 190 201 Female (per 1,000 population) .. .. 132 103 123 Maternal (per 100,000 live births) .. 170 100 86 82 Births attended by skilled health staff (%) .. 93 98 89 96 CAS Annex B5. This table w as produced from the CMU LDB system. 1 /1 1 /01 1 Note: 0 or 0.0 means zero or less than half the unit show n. Net enrollment rate: break in series betw een 1997 and 1998 due to change from ISCED76 to ISCED97. Immunization: refers to children ages 12-23 months w ho received vaccinations before one year of age or at any time before the survey. 29 CAS ANNEX B3 - IBRD/IDA PROGRAM SUMMARY Dominican Republic As Of Date 10/27/2011 Proposed IBRD/IDA Base-Case Lending Program a Strategic Implementation b Fiscal year Proj ID US$(M) Rewards b Risks (H/M/L) (H/M/L) 2012 DO (AF-C) to Emerg. & Disaster Mgt 20.0 DO-3rd Perform.&Accbilty of SocSctrs DPL 70.0 Result 90.0 DO- Budget Support (To examine PASS 2013 related agenda priorities) 70.0 DPL CARCIP 27.0 Result 97.0 Overall 187.0 Result 30 ANNEX B3 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: IFC INVESTMENT OPERATIONS PROGRAM 2009 2010 2011 2012* Original Commitments (US$m) IFC and Participants 1.07 46.52 51.02 2.76 IFC's Own Accounts only 1.07 46.52 39.02 2.76 Original Commitments by Sector (%)- IFC Accounts only FINANCE & INSURANCE 100 46.26 13.59 100 INFORMATION 41.56 TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING 43 44.84 UTILITIES 10.75 Total 100 100.01 99.99 100 Original Commitments by Investment Instrument (%) - IFC Accounts only Equity 7.47 Guarantee 100 3.26 13.59 92.53 Loan 85.99 44.84 Quasi loan 10.75 41 Risk product 0.56 Total 100 100 99.99 100 * Data as of October 01,2011 31 CAS ANNEX B4 - SUMMARY OF NONLENDING SERVICES - As Of Date 10/27/2011 Product Completion FY Cost (US$000) Audiencea Objectiveb Recent completions FSAP update Dominican Republic FY09 148 DO Informality and poverty FY09 93 DO Improving the Perform. of Reg. Hlth S FY09 61 Dominican Rep - ICR ROSC FY10 70 DO Policy Notes FY10 135 DR ROSC A&A - Update FY10 10 DO Support to the National Dev. Strategy FY10 272 DO Energy NLTA FY11 175 DO Poverty Monitoring NLTA FY11 109 Underway DO Prog Inst & Governnce Rev FY12 DO-Social Sectors NLTA (multisector) FY12 DO Better Quality of Public Expenditures FY12 Strengthening Public Media in DR FY12 Planned a. Government, donor, Bank, public dissemination. b. Knowledge generation, public debate, problem-solving. 32 8 (IFC) FOR DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Dominican Repub Committed and Disbursed Outstanding Investment Portfolio As of 9/30/2011 (In USD Millions) Committed Disbursed Outstanding **Quasi Partici **Quasi Partici FY Approval Company Loan Equity Equity *GT/RM pant Loan Equity Equity *GT/RM pant 2012/12 Adopem 0 1.21 0 0 0 0 1.21 0 0 0 0/03 Banco bhd 20 0 10 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 2005/07 Basic energy 20.45 0 0 4.83 0 20.45 0 0 4.83 0 2010 Cae 20 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 2008 Centro fin bhd 0 32.89 0 0 0 0 32.89 0 0 0 2002/11 Cii 28 0 0 0 0 22.26 0 0 0 0 0 Cip dominican 4.87 0 0 0 0 4.87 0 0 0 0 2004/05 Domicem s.a. 9.25 0 0 0 0 9.25 0 0 0 0 2004 Grupo m 2.86 0 0 0 0 2.86 0 0 0 0 2010 Linea clave 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 2005 Occidental ho 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 2007 Sans souci 11.2 0 8 0 0 11.2 0 8 0 0 0/10 Wind 0 0 16 0.82 12 0 0 16 0.78 12 Total Portfolio: 116.63 34.1 59 5.65 12 90.89 34.1 59 5.61 12 * Denotes Guarantee and Risk Management Products. ** Quasi Equity includes both loan and equity types. 33 CAS ANNEX B8 - OPERATIONS PORTFOLIO (IBRD/IDA AND GRANTS) Dominican Republic As Of Date 10/27/2011 Closed Projects 42 IBRD/IDA * Total Disbursed (Active) 79.32 of w hich has been repaid 1.78 Total Disbursed (Closed) 823.27 of w hich has been repaid 389.70 Total Disbursed (Active + Closed) 902.59 of w hich has been repaid 391.48 Total Undisbursed (Active) 181.58 Total Undisbursed (Closed) 1.07 Total Undisbursed (Active + Closed) 182.66 Active Projects Difference Between Last PSR Expected and Actual Supervision Rating Original Amount in US$ Millions Disbursements a/ Development Implementation Project ID Project Name Fiscal Year IBRD IDA GRANT Cancel. Undisb. Orig. Frm Rev'd Objectives Progress P095863 DO  Municipal DevelopmeS S 2010 20 19.45 2.37 P106619 DO (APL2) Health Ref II MS MS 2010 30.5 26.41 3.26 P089866 DO Electricity Distrib RehaS MS 2008 42 31.24 27.83 P109932 DO Emergency Recovery & MS MS 2008 80 46.75 46.75 P078838 DO Financial Sector TechnS MS 2004 12.5 1.84 1.84 P090010 DO Social Sectors InvestmMS MS 2008 29.4 20.65 10.65 6.19 P096605 DO Youth Development P MS MS 2006 25 8.81 8.81 3.74 P054221 DO(APL1)Water&SanitatioMS MS 2009 27.5 26.43 10.76 Overall Result 266.9 181.58 112.28 9.93 34 ANNEX 5: KNOWLEDGE SERVICES A notable feature of the CPS is the intensive program of knowledge services (economic and sector studies, non-lending technical assistance, and grant funding) provided by the Bank to the Dominican Republic. This reflects the Bank’s global expertise, ability to leverage resources from other international financiers which value Bank capacities and leadership, as well as the need to target timely and well focused interventions outside of the normal pace and character of lending operations. Strategic Objective 1. Strengthen Social Cohesion and Improve Access to and Quality of Social Services The Programmatic Social Sectors NLTA is helping the Government build knowledge and capacity to enact the reforms supported by the programmatic PASS DPL series. The NLTA has also supported the Government in assessing and monitoring the social impacts of the PASS-supported reforms. Finally, the NLTA works to address broader knowledge and advisory gaps on the performance and quality of social services and the design of a social protection strategy that builds resiliency to crises. This NLTA has also leveraged support from a Poverty and Social Impact Analysis (PSIA) Trust Fund and a Spanish Fund for Latin American and the Caribbean (SFLAC) Trust Fund. Strategic Objective 2. Promote Competitiveness in a Sustainable and Resilient Economic Environment The Dominican Republic-Haiti Quisqueya Growth and Poverty Report, which is exploring the potential opportunities for joint growth and poverty reduction through a deeper economic relationship, is expected to be finalized by the end of 2011. Preliminary conclusions show that the countries could benefit from a stronger economic integration, including strengthening trade links. The World Bank Treasury's Reserve Advisory and Management Program (RAMP) is supporting public debt management and strengthening the Central Bank’s investment capabilities for the management of foreign exchange reserves, training of a new generation of university graduates in finance, who now play a significant role in financial management at the Central Bank. A Competitiveness NLTA is supporting the design of a logistics and transport national strategy and support to improve the trade facilitation system in the country. The Certification in Gender Equity in Firms as Means to Enrich and Promote Competitiveness trust fund is supporting the National Competitiveness Council’s efforts to mainstream gender in the country’s development strategies through design and pilot implementation of a Firm Certification model on gender equality to further attract private sector’s agents into the implementation of good practices in the workplace. 35 The Adaptation to Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management NLTA was launched in FY12 and will focus on the assessment of climate impacts on the surface hydrology of the country. The Energy Sector NLTA has supported the development of a comprehensive strategy for energy sector reform in collaboration with the IDB, and an action plan which is currently under implementation. Strategic Objective 3. Enhance Quality of Public Expenditures and Institutional Development. Performance informed budgeting is being introduced in the social sectors, supported by the analysis and dialogue under the Quality of Public Expenditures NLTA. As conditions of the PASS series, performance agreements have been signed between the Ministries of Finance, Economy, Planning and Development, and Public Administration with the Ministries of Health and Education. The agreements would cover both institutional and program targets. Performance indicators will relate to internal processes and systems such as planning, procurement, monitoring, personnel and organizational structure as well as priority public programs related to the volume and quality of goods and services delivered by the agency. The agreements call for programs of self-evaluation, validation of the results, and dissemination to internal and external users including the public. The Health Sector Reform Second Phase APL (PARSS2) has made good progress in several key areas: (i) contracts have been signed between National Health Insurance Authority (SENASA) and two pilot Regional Health Services outlining a results-based financing mechanism for the first level of care; (ii) Government is moving to establish an autonomous entity to administer/oversee the regional network of health services, retaining policy direction in the Ministry of Health; and (iii) the quality of spending for medicines is targeted through a consultative process among key stakeholders to design a better integrated supply chain for medicines. The Quality of Public Expenditures NLTA is supporting the strengthening of financial management and procurement mechanisms, and the introduction and institutionalization of performance information by key actors along the budget cycle. The NLTA has supported the ongoing efforts in the social sector, including the PASS DPL series and Social Sectors NLTA. The NLTA is serving as a platform for the Government and the Bank to build trust and to seize political windows of opportunity by providing just in time support to the long-term trajectory of reform implementation and working closer with development partners to strengthen continued PFM dialogue. This work is now being expanded with the support of a 1 million euro TF provided by the EU. The Institutional and Governance Review is currently under preparation. It will analyze the underlying political economy and governance issues that inhibit the country from addressing fundamental development challenges in key sectors like education, health, and energy, and identify potential drivers or opportunities to change those factors. The team will seek to integrate the lessons emerging from the variety of institutional reforms being pursued through the CPS as well as to tap the insight of key national and external stakeholders. The IGR is expected to be completed by late FY12. Activities to strengthen fiduciary capacity. The Bank actively participated in the 2010 Update of the European Union led Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) 36 exercise, which has been used as an important source of information in assessing fiduciary risk of Public Financial Management systems. The Bank’s leading role at IPAC has served as a coordination platform for PFM donors’ interventions. The renewed interest for the implementation of the Single Treasury Account; the development of a tool for self-evaluation of governmental entities for improved accountability; and the institutional strengthening of the public oversight entities, are some of the recommendations that are being implemented with Bank support. Following the 2009 Update Report on Observance of Standards and Codes on Accounting and Auditing, The Bank has provided support, in coordination with other donor partners, mainly with IDB and the USAD –Transparency and Anti-Corruption Project, to the Chamber of Accounts (DR Supreme Audit Institution), the General Comptroller’s Office, the General Accounting Office, the Department of Prosecution of Corruption (DPCA) to assist in the implementation of the 2009 ROSC A&A Update. The academy, and the Institute of Certified Public Accounts, the standard setting body for the private sector, have also participated in training activities to broadly disseminate International A&A standards. Strategic Objective 4. Build Capacity and Constituencies for Reform A Public Budget Monitoring Project (funded by a US$150,000 Global Partnership Facility grant) aims at strengthening capacities for analysis and budget monitoring in civil society. The Access to Information Project implemented in seven poor municipalities (financed by the Japan Social Development Fund for US$420,000) seeks to enhance the capacity of vulnerable groups in rural areas by making public information accessible and training them on how to analyze the information and participate in policy discussions and program design in collaboration with local governments. A Municipal Participatory Budgeting Project through Mobile Technology (supported by a Korean trust fund for about US$72,000), linked to the Municipal Development Project, is piloting the use of mobile technology to enhance citizens’ participation in Participatory Budgeting and social accountability in two municipalities. USAID is collaborating with the Bank (with an EFO of US$350,000) in a Capacity Building Program for Strengthening the Demand for Good Governance in three pilot provinces training about 540 representatives of small and pro-poor community based organizations in advocating for public administration accountability and transparency, in policy analysis and formulation, and in pro-poor service delivery, as well as providing technical assistance to about 200 grassroots and community based organization to improve their own management capacity. Through the Gender Mainstreaming Capacity and Advocacy in DR Civil Society Organizations’ (CSO) TF about 150 CSOs and 100 Municipalities staff have been trained to integrate gender equality in local municipal plans and policies by a Bank trained corps of local trainers. The awareness raising material produced (two videos and two practical guides on how to integrate gender issues at the municipal level) has been used to reach out to CSOs and local public administration staff in other five municipalities. 37 IPAC is a broad multi-donor and multi-stakeholder participatory mechanism involving representatives from civil society, Government, the private sector, and 12 international development agencies aiming to improve transparency, strengthen institutions and fight corruption in the Dominican Republic. The Bank’s leading role in coordination and facilitation of civil society, donors, private sector and the Government has contributed to an enhanced dialogue and enabled a genuine coordination platform for donors’ interventions. During its year of existence IPAC has established 10 working groups, developed 30 recommendations, set up milestones to mark implementation progress, named governmental focal points, and held three accountability workshops to follow up on the recommendations using a scorecard system. 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