Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA | Tunisia | Agriculture Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Specific Investment Loan | FY 2011 | Seq No: 15 | ARCHIVED on 14-Sep-2016 | ISR24963 | Implementing Agencies: ODESYPANO (Northwest Sylvo-pastoral Development Office under MAHRP) Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:20-Dec-2010 Effectiveness Date:24-Jun-2011 Planned Mid Term Review Date:16-Jun-2014 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:12-Dec-2014 Original Closing Date:30-Jun-2017 Revised Closing Date:30-Jun-2017 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objectives (PDOs) are to improve the socio-economic conditions of the rural population and promote better protection and management of natural resources in the project area using an integrated participatory approach to community-based development. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name 1. Institutional support and technical assistance for the preparation and implementation of Community Development Plans in the project area:(Cost $3.10 M) 2. Support for agricultural and pastoral production and income-generating activities in the project area:(Cost $3.80 M) 3. Consolidation, protection and management of natural resources in the project area:(Cost $14.00 M) 4. Improvement of basic rural infrastructure in the project area:(Cost $22.10 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Unsatisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial 9/14/2016 Page 1 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) Implementation Status and Key Decisions 1. This Implementation Status and Results update is based on the results of the July 2016 supervision mission the PNO4 conducted jointly with the ODESYPANO (Office de Developpement Sylvo-Pastoral du Nord-Ouest), the agency responsible for the overall management and coordination of the implementation of the project. PNO4 is in its sixth year of implementation and the project closing date of June 30, 2017 is less than 11 months away. 2. The project continues to be fully active in all targeted administrative sectors (113) and supports the implementation of 113 participatory Community Development Plans developed in close consultation with the beneficiary communities and being implemented through Annual Program-Contract with the active involvement of some 127 established and functioning community groups (87 Agricultural Development Groups or GDAPs and 40 Development Committees or CDEIs). The review of key indicators points to continued progress and results in areas that include: (i) overall number of beneficiaries reached (100% of which 50.5% female), (ii) land under soil and water conservation management (33,535 ha or 81% of the end target), and (iii) increase in land covered by perennial plantation and improved pastures (11,417 ha or 71% of the end target). With regard to institutional support and capacity building, over 7,480 person-day of training for members of local organizations, and staff of ODESYPANO), (ii) 276 demonstration plots realized, over 19,224 person-day of information and training provided to small farmers in support of agricultural and pastoral production, over 24,500 artificial inseminations conducted, 394 ha of small irrigated schemes established or rehabilitated, 149 km or rural roads upgraded, 770 km of rural roads rehabilitated and 7 potable water systems improved. It is estimated that PNO4 investments up to the end of May 2016 have generated over 913,600 paid work-days in the project zones. 3. Areas where progress remains below targets include: (i) promotion of income-generating activities (with only 576 IGA already established or only 58% of the end-target and 2 pilot micro-rural enterprises under operation or 20% of the end target of 10); (ii) land consolidation with now 7,245 ha (up from around 800 ha back in October but still only 60 % of end target) already completed, and (iii) improvement of basic water infrastructure (with 325 water harvesting household cisterns already completed (or 57% of end target). Improving the level of achievements of these activities underlines the need to maintain and to accelerate further the pace of project implementation. This will ensure the adequate completion of remaining activities during the implementation period left (less than 11 months) until the closure of the loan in support of PNO4 on June 30, 2017. 4. The level of disbursement of the Loan for PNO4 (in its euro denomination) stands at 77%. 5. With the closing of the project in less than a year, the importance taking appropriate steps to prepare the end-of-project completion report (including all background thematic and external assessments and reviews) and to put in place in a timely fashion strategies and arrangements to ensure the sustainability of the project’s results and achievements in the post-PNO4 period is to be highlighted. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool 9/14/2016 Page 2 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Moderate  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  Moderate  Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Substantial  Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Moderate  Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Substantial  Substantial Fiduciary  --  Moderate  Moderate Environment and Social  --  Moderate  Moderate Stakeholders  --  Moderate  Moderate Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  1. Improvement in a composite index of socio-economic indicators at the sector level. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 100.00 116.60 116.60 122.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 23-Oct-2015 23-Oct-2015 31-Dec-2016 Comments Comments MTR value (73% of end-of project target) kept unchanged as this Outcome indicator is to be assessed at the end of the project. As a reminder, the composite index of socio-economic conditions includes the following elements and associated weights: Employment at the sector level (30%), Housing conditions and household equipment (20%), Access to drinking water (20%), Access to rural roads (20%), Access to electricity (7%) and Access to schools and health facilities (3%). The importance of each sub-indicator is based on several factors: likely influence of the project activities, degree of need satisfaction in the region and degree of measurability through surveys. PHINDPDOTBL  Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Core) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 318432.00 318432.00 318432.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 9/14/2016 Page 3 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) Comments 100 % of end-of project target. Refers to the population of the 113 targeted administrative sectors/Imadas with Program-Contract implemented or under implementation, and of which each household benefits of at least one intervention of the project. Beneficiaries of main project investments include: rural paths/road: 288,700; Water supply: 5,800, support to agricultural production 58,700, improved natural resources management: 40,600. As indicated in the sub-indicator below in nominal value, the percentage of femal beneficiaries is at 50.5%. PHINDPDOTBL  Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Core Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 160808.00 160808.00 160808.00 PHINDPDOTBL  3. Increase in the percentage of land under soil/water conservation management (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 30.90 36.40 36.40 37.80 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 80% of end-of project target. As for actual area in ha, the baseline was established at 187,000 ha. Since October 2015, an additional number of 9,783 ha of land benefiting from completed soil/water conservation investments has been added thus bringing the total area under soil/water conservation to 220,535 ha or 36.4 percent of the total project area of 604,653 ha. As a reminder, soil and water conservation structures include physical (gully plugs, contour dry walls, flood protection dikes, etc.), and biological (plantation of soil retaining bushes and trees) with the goal to protect against soil erosion and loss of land and other assets due to rainwater runoffs, floods, etc.) PHINDPDOTBL  4. Increase in the percentage of land covered by perennial plantations and improved pasture (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 30.80 32.72 32.72 33.50 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 71% of end-of project target. As for actual area in ha: the base line was established at 186,478 ha. Since October 2015, an additional 9/14/2016 Page 4 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) number of 4,549 ha of land benefiting from perennial vegetal cover and improved pastures has been added and bringing the total of land covered by perennial plantations and improved pastures to 197,895 ha or 32.72 percent of the total project area of 604,653 ha. As a reminder, perennial vegetal cover and improved pastures include reseeding or planting of permanent pastures, arboriculture, agro- forestry, and improved pasture management practices with the goal of protecting the fragile natural resource base against soil erosion and loss of land due to rainwater runoffs, while increasing access to fodder for livestock and diversification of income sources for small farmer and livestock holders. PHINDPDOTBL 5. Number of sectors involved in the project that have their population organized in GDAPs or CDs and have prepared their PDC which isbeing implemented in collaboration with partners (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 37.00 113.00 113.00 113.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 15-Jun-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 100% of end-of project target. With regards to the use of a participatory approach, all the above-mentioned achievements and outcomes are the results of the implementation of 113 participatory community development plans developed in close consultation and implemented with full participation and active involvement of the beneficiary communities organized in 113 agricultural development groups (GDAP) of development committee of the Imada (CDEI) fully operational that have been established and/or strengthened with the support of the project. Overall Comments Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  1. Percentage of sectors with a GDAP (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 40.00 64.60 64.60 62.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 112% of end-of project target. To date, 73 administrative sectors of the 113 targeted by the project have at least one functioning GDAP. The remaining sectors have opted to operate with the ad hoc structure of Extended Development Committee of the Imada (CDEI) established and strengthened with the support of the project. 9/14/2016 Page 5 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) PHINDIRITBL  4. Percentage of cash or in-kind contributions to investments by project target groups (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 10.00 9.30 9.30 10.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 93% of end-of project target. The cumulative contribution of beneficiaries (cash or in-kind as recorded by the implementing agency) to date amounts to a total of around 6.9 million of Tunisian dinars (MDT) with a total commitment of PNO4 to date to about 74 MTD. PHINDIRITBL  5. Percentage of CPA investments fully committed or executed (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 65.00 88.00 88.00 80.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 152% of end-of project target. This is based on the cumulative amount 71 MTD of CP (annual program-contract) actually committed and/or completed compared to the cumulative total 81 MTD of all CP planned until the project closes in June 2017. PHINDIRITBL  7. Percentage of PDC funding by partners (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 35.00 33.00 33.00 40.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments The cumulative total of funding provided by regional and local development partners (line ministries, NGos, etc.) for the implementation of PDC and as calculated by the implementing agency stands to date at 35 MTD. This represents 34% of the combined total of funding (106 MTD= 71 MTD + 35 MTD) committed to date to support the implementation of approved PDCs. As a reminder, the baseline of 35% for this indicator was the level of cofinancing achieved under the previous PNO3 operation. But in the three years that followed the 2011 Tunisian revolution and the ensuing institutional and administrative transition, the mobilization of such cofinancing from local/regional development partners proved extremely difficult. While there has been a recent surge in such funding in the last two years or so, this indicator is not expected to exceed the 35% level by project closing (compared to the 40% end-of-project target). 9/14/2016 Page 6 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) PHINDIRITBL  8. Crop yield index (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 100.00 115.60 115.60 120.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 23-Oct-2015 23-Oct-2015 31-Dec-2016 Comments MTR value (78% of end-of-project target) kept unchanged as this intermediate result indicator is to be assessed at the end of the project. Elements of this composite indices and their respective weights are as follows: Wheat yields (20%), Fodder yields (40%) and Olive Tree yields (40%). PHINDIRITBL  9. Livestock yield index (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 100.00 113.90 113.90 120.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 23-Oct-2015 23-Oct-2015 31-Dec-2016 Comments MTR value (70% of end-of-project target) kept unchanged as this intermediate result indicator is to be assessed at the end of the project. Elements of this composite indices and their respective weights are as follows: Meat (40%) and Milk yields (40%). PHINDIRITBL  10. Land use change index (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 100.00 124.80 124.80 120.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 23-Oct-2015 23-Oct-2015 31-Dec-2016 Comments MTR value (124% of end-of-project target) kept unchanged as this intermediate result indicator is to be assessed at the end of the project. The elements of this composite indices and their respective weights are as follows: Fodder crops (30%), Olive trees (30%) and Horticulture and organic crops (40%). 9/14/2016 Page 7 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) PHINDIRITBL  11. Number of work days created (Days, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 909540.00 913670.00 120000000.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 76% of the end-of-project target. PHINDIRITBL  12. Percentage of vulnerable people seeking to access AGRs that have obtained financing and concretized their AGRs (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 23.20 14.40 25.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 57.6 % of the end-of-project target. The previous value has been corrected. Vulnerable people considered for this indicator are poor and/or land-less youth and women. To date, a cumulative total of 576 income-generating micro-projects have been funded and concretized out of a total of around 1,000 planned by the project. PHINDIRITBL  13. Number of marketing arrangements established by rural entreprises over the project period (cumulative) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2.00 2.00 10.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 20% of end-of-project target. No changes in terms of established and functioning rural micro-enterprises with project support and two of which have been successfully in operation for over a year. They are run by women (spice processing and forest products/essential oil processing.) 15 additional business plans have been prepared and finalized for additional pilot micro-enterprises. The implementing agency expects most of those to be fully established and operational before project closing. 9/14/2016 Page 8 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) PHINDIRITBL  14. Percentage of erosion sensitive lands protected by soil/water conservation (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 20.70 23.10 23.10 23.90 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 75% of the end-of-project target. In terms of actual area in ha: the base line was established at 75,000 ha based on the results of the previous PNO3 operation , the current value is 83,893 ha and the end-of-project target is 86,614 ha. Percentages are of the total area of erosion-sensitive of 362,400 ha in the project areas. Soil and water conservation structures considered for this indicator are only the physical ones (gully plugs, contour dry walls, flood protection dikes, etc.) that protect against soil erosion and loss of land and other assets due to rainwater runoffs, floods, etc. PHINDIRITBL  15. Percentage of pastures that are upgraded and managed according to agreed conservation practices (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 11.30 14.30 14.30 15.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 81% of the end-of-project target. In terms of actual area in ha: the base line was established at 41,000 ha based on the results of the previous PNO3 operation, the current value is 51,853 ha (5,029 ha additional since the Oct 2015 mission) and the end-of-project target is 86,614 ha. Percentages are of the total area of erosion-sensitive of 362,400 ha in the project areas. Improved pastures managed according to agreed conservation practices contribute to protect against soil erosion and loss of land and other assets due to rainwater runoffs. PHINDIRITBL  16. Percentage of land upgraded through tree plantations (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 10.20 13.90 13.90 13.50 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 112% of the end-of-project target. In terms of actual area in ha: the baseline was established at 37,000 ha based on the results of the previous PNO3 operation, the current value is 50,520 ha (5,517 ha additional since Oct 2015) and the end-of-project target is 48,924 ha. Percentages are of the total area of erosion-sensitive of 362,400 ha in the project areas. This indicator accounts for sensitive land protected through agro-forestry and tree plantation. 9/14/2016 Page 9 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) PHINDIRITBL  18. Percentage of households in project areas that have access to drinking water (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 71.20 72.60 72.60 74.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 50% of end-of-project target. In terms of actual number of serviced households: the baseline was established at 47,725 households based on the results of the previous PNO3 operation, the current value is 48,675 households (415 additional households serviced since Oct 2015) and the end-of-project target is 49,600 households (for a total of 1,875 additional household to be serviced). Percentages are of the total households of 67,030 households in the project areas. This indicator takes into account households serviced by either individual connection or standpipes within a 300 meter radius. Severe limitations in the availability of water resources in adequate quantity and quality for potable water and irrigation in the project areas remains a major constraint to further significant progress . PHINDIRITBL  Improved community water points constructed or rehabilitated under the project (Number, Core) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 329.00 341.00 510.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 67% of end-of-project target. Improved water points to date include: 8 spring catchments, 7 small-scale potable water supply systems and 325 household cisterns completed (of which 213 additional cisterns since Oct 2015). PHINDIRITBL  Roads constructed, Rural (Kilometers, Core) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 147.00 149.00 200.00 Date 16-Feb-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 75% of end-of-project target. Construction contracts for additional 23 km are at various stage of tendering and implementation. 9/14/2016 Page 10 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) PHINDIRITBL  Roads rehabilitated, Rural (Kilometers, Core) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 763.00 770.00 600.00 Date 16-Feb-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Comments 128% of end-of-project target. PHINDIRITBL  22. Percentage of households in project areas that have access to rural roads (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 80.00 90.30 90.40 94.00 Date 16-Jul-2010 31-May-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2016 Overall Comments 74% of end-of-project target. In terms of actual number of serviced households: the baseline was established at 53,760 households based on the results of the previous PNO3 operation, the current value is 59,790 households (499 additional serviced households since Oct 2015) and the end- of-project target is 63,000 households. Percentages are of the total households of 67,030 households in the project areas. This indicator takes into account households located within 1 km of a rural path/road. In terms of actual number of beneficiaries with improved access to rural paths/roads: the baseline was established at 255,360, the current value is 288,691 and the end-of-project target is 300,070. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P119140 IBRD-79860 Effective USD 41.60 41.60 0.00 28.41 9.53 68% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P119140 IBRD-79860 Effective 20-Dec-2010 12-Jan-2011 24-Jun-2011 30-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2017 Cumulative Disbursements 9/14/2016 Page 11 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report 4th Northwest Mountainous & Forested Areas Development Project (PNO4) (P119140) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 22-Feb-2016 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 9/14/2016 Page 12 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy