37438 ¸¹Ò¤ÒÃâÅ¡ µ"¡µ`¥ »...°`®¬ "§",°ª­®Ì"ª­»¬ Õ"§" ¬"¡"««Õè TM--È 30 989 æ­"¡ 1 ªÿ¡«-- °ÿßæ 10330 ª­»¬ , (662) 686-8300 æ»®`°"¬ 2548 , " (662) 686-8301 http://www.worldbank.or.th/monitor/economic : . : kmatin@worldbank.org Kbhaopichitr@worldbank.org 30 989 1 10330 (662) 686-8300 http://www.worldbank.or.th ( ) . ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) . i F F ADB Asian Development Bank EXIM Bank Export-Import Bank AGM Annual General Meeting FDI Foreign Direct Investments AMC Asset Management Companies FIDF Financial Institutions Development Fund . AMLO Anti-Money Laundering Office FPO Fiscal Policy Office . ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations FTA Free Trade Agreements BAAC Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives FY Fiscal Year . ( 1 30 ) BOI Board of Investment GCC Gulf Cooperation Council BOT Bank of Thailand GCS Government Counter Services . CBC Central Bankruptcy Court GDP Gross Domestic Product CDP Country Development Partnership GFMIS Government Fiscal Management Information System - CDRAC Corporate Debt Restructuring Advisory Committee GSB Government Savings Bank . CODI Community Development Organizations Development HS Harmonized System Institute ( ) . CPI Consumer Price Index ICAAT The Institute of Certified Accountant and Auditor of Thailand DOI Department of Insurance ICP Insurance Core Principles DOT Direction of Trade IEA International Energy Agency ISIC International Standard Industrial Classification EFTA European Free Trade Association KPIs Key Performance Indicators EGA E-Government Agency LRC Legal Reform Committee for Development of Thailand . EGAT Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand MCFD Mediation Center for Financial Disputes EHP Early Harvest Program MFN tariff Most-Favored-Nation tariff EPPO Energy Policy and Planning Office MOC Ministry of Commerce EU European Union MOU Memorandum of Understanding ii F F F F MLR Minimum Loan Rates RTGS Real Time Gross Settlement MSDC Microfinance System Development Committee SDUs Service Delivery Units NBFIs Non-bank Financial Institutions SEA Securities and Exchange Commission Act NCC National Communications Commission SEC Securities Exchange Commission . NIDA National Institute for Development Administration SES Socio-Economic Survey NESDB National Economic and Social Development Board SET Stock Exchange of Thailand . NLRDC National Legal Reform and Development Committee SFIs Specialized financial institutions NLFPC National Legal Framework and Policy Committee SMEs Small and Medium Enterprises NPLs Non-Performing Loans SML Small-Medium-Large / NPM Net Profit Margin SOEs State-owned Enterprises OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development SPVs Special Purpose Vehicles OPDC Office of Public Development Commission TAMC Thai Asset Management Corporation . . PAMP Public Affairs Management Plan TCI Technology Capacity Index PATH People s Audit for Thailand TFEX Thailand Future Exchange ( ) PCA Public Company Act TFP Total Factor Productivity PICS Productivity and Investment Climate Study TOT Telephone Organization of Thailand PII Private Investment Index TSD Thailand Security Depositary Company ( ) PPI Producer Price Index TVQ Thai Vocational Qualifications PPP Private Public Partnership UTCC University of The Thai Chamber of Commerce PSA Public Sector Account WB World Bank PSDS Public Sector Development Strategy WTI West Texas Intermediate ROSCs Reports on Observance of Standards and Codes yoy Year-on-year iii 1 : ...................................................................................................................................................................................1 2 : .........................................................................................................................................................5 2.1 2548 2549........................................................................5 2.2 .............................................................................................................................................................................7 2.3 ......................................................................................................................13 2.4 ..............................................................................................................................................................................14 2.5 ........................................................................................................................................................17 2.6 ................................................................................................................................................................................18 2.6.1 .....................................................................................................................18 2.6.2 .....................................................................................................................................................23 2.7 .........................................................................................................................27 2.8 .........................................................................................................................34 3 : ............................................................................................................................41 3.1 ......................................................................................................42 3.2 .....................................................................................................................................................................48 3.3 ..........................................................................................................................................................50 1: .......................................................................................................................................I 2 : .......................................................................................................................III 1. ....................................................9 2. ..........................................................................11 3. ................................................................................................................28 4. ..................................................................................................................................42 5. .....................................................................................................47 6. .....................................................................................................49 1. GDP 2545...............................................................................................................6 2. , 2545-2548...............................................................................................6 3. 2539-2547......................................................................................................................8 4. 2546-2547............................................................................................................8 5. 2543-2547.........................................................................................10 6. 2539-2547............................................................................................................................................10 7. 2539-2547...................................................................10 iv 8. 2534-2547..............................................12 9. 2542-2546 ( : 2542).........................................................12 10. 2546 2548...................................................................................................................................................14 11. 2548..................................14 12. 2547 2548.......15 13. 2548........................16 14. 2547 2548..............................................................................................17 15. 2547 2548...............................................................................................18 16. , .................................19 17. ................................................................19 18. 2547 2548....................................................................19 19. ( PPI)............................................................................................................................21 20. ...............................................................................................................21 21. ...................................................................................................22 22. BOI...........................................................................................................22 23. ...............................................26 24. , 2548-2552....................................................................26 25. , 2546-2549p.........................................................................................................................................29 26. , 2544 9 2548........29 27. 2544 2548................................................................................30 28. 1 2546 2 2548.......................................30 29. 2543 2548.......................................................................................31 30. 3 4 2544 2 2548............31 31. 1 2544 2 2548.................................................................................................31 32. 2541 2547....................................................................32 33. 2541 2547..........................................................................................................32 34. 2541 2547................................................33 35. 2541 2547................................................................33 36. 1 2543 1 2548...............33 37. ........................................................................36 38. .................................................................................................36 39. 2 ..........................................................................................................................................38 40. (Wage Premiums) .....................................................................................................38 41. .............................................39 42. .......................................................................................................................................39 43. ( 2546).......................................................................................................40 44. ( 2546)...........................................................................................................40 45. ( 2546)...................................................................................40 46. ...............................................................................................................................40 47. 2544-2549..............................................................................52 v 1. (2545-2548).....................................................................................6 2. ............................................................................8 3. , 2547-2549........................................................................................................................9 4. ...........................................................................................................................................13 5. 2547 2548...................................................................15 6. 2547 2548................................................17 7. .....................................................................................................................................................20 8. ..............................................................................................................................22 9. BOI ..........................................................................................................23 10. .....................................................24 11. ...........................................................................24 12. , 2548-2552.......................................................25 13. , 2549-2552..........................................25 14. .....................................................................................27 15. ..............................................................................................................................28 16. ......................................................................................................................29 17. 2520 2547................................................................................35 18. ............37 19. .............40 20. Basel II.............................................................................................................43 21. .......................................................................................................................................46 vi ã«'Ë 1 ¿"æ«¡ 2548 9 4.2 6.1 5 2549 5 21.3 2543 ( 14.2 ) 11.3 2547 35 2543 17.2 2547 2548 2548 40 2546 50 2545 2548 1 4.5 4.3 6.2 1 1.10 1 20 2523 15 40 80 1,385 2546 2547 10 ( 2550-2554) 5 2 2 2549 2549 - 1.8 2548-2552 7 9 2552 12 2548 30 85 2547 1.8 27 2.7 1.5 19 35 3 13 12 48 BASEL II 2551 27 2548 10.3 0.58 2547 2548 50 5 10 OECD 3 20 2548 (E- Government) 2548 2550 2541 2545 8 18 4 F ã«'Ë 2 °"øÑúµ--«·­·«,å¡ 2.1 °"¢¬"¬µ--«¢Õߺ`µ¿--±è ¡««¡,,ª­»'Ë·å®`ß 0.2 ªÇ 2548 ·­ 2549 0.5 2548 4.2 6.1 5 ( 1 2) 2548 41 28 2549 30 2547 ( 1) 2546 5 40 70 2545 6 6 8 2548 2547 10 2548 2 2547 2548 2548 6 2545 50 3.5 3 2548 5 Yª'Ë 1: ¥--TM'°"`,¿§ªÅ,µ'¬¡µãÕ --¥ ã« GDP Yª'Ë 2: °"¢¬"¬µ--«¢Õß°"`,¿§ÌÈ"¡--´` ,,ªÇ 2545, (ª­»¬ = 1) ·­¥'´, 2545-2548 2 15 Gasoline High Speed Diesel ) 10 )1 ) 1 d=nali = haT( 1 y 5 xe( Ind y-o-,ntecr 0 pe ( 0 -5 mante ais one nastik dn ani ai se a R nap Ind laa Ch inp DP Ja aidob m Vi Ind Pa ilaahT aknaLi iasy Sr M iliphP inhC,na liaatrsu A dnalaeZ anihC, Lao w Ca iwaT ong Ne K -10 2002 2545 2003 2546 2004 2547 7M2005 7M 2548 ong H : : IEA 10 ( 1) 2548 1.3 µ""ß'Ë 1: °"ª'ˬ·ªß,,"§"¢"¬ª'°ÌÈ"¡--ª'¬'¬ (2545ñ2548) ( 2545 = 100) 2545 2546 2547 8M 2548 100.0 108.2 115.7 140.6* 100.0 106.3 110.6 130.0 PPI 100.0 100.8 114.5 114.2 100.0 99.2 94.5 104.7 : * 2548 153.7 6 F 2548 2548 2.2 §«"¡¬"°® 2547 2543-2547 2 12.8 2543 9.5 2545 7.1 2547 ( 2) 80 2547 10 2543-2547 2549 21 2543 11 2547 ( 3) 2548 - ( 2 ) 2 2545 ( 4) 2543-2547 - 40 ( 5) 3 10 3 2 3 2548 7 µ""ß'Ë 2: ®Ì"«§®·­ 姫"¡¬"°®¢Õߪ­»¬ ®Ì"·°µ"¡"¬¿"§ ( ) 2543 2545 2547 0.10 0.14 0.11 1.45 1.15 0.76 2.63 2.11 1.91 7.22 4.97 3.65 1.36 1.14 0.66 12.76 9.54 7.08 ( ) 1,736 1,801 1,853 1,310 1,316 1,387 1,227 1,277 1,339 1,019 1,078 1,131 993 1,040 1,078 1,034 1,096 1,164 1,135 1,190 1,242 : Yª'Ë 3: --¥ 㫧® ®Ì"·°µ"¡"¬¿"§ Yª'Ë 4: ºº`µ¿"§°"°...µ "§" ·­"¬¥å ªÇ 2539-2547 ªÇ 2546-2547 35 30 2539 1996 2000 2543 2547 2004 25 30 20 25 y 15 o- t 20 y-, 10 cen erP 5 15 ntecreP 0 10 -5 5 -10 2003 2546 2004 2547 Jan- Aug . .- . . Jan- Aug . .- . . 0 2004 2547 2005 2548 Bangkok Central North Northeast South Whole Growth of farm price Growth of crop production country Growth of farm income : : 2543-2547 1 3 2 5 ( (Gini coefficient) 6) 0.525 2543 0.499 8 F °Õ'Ë 1: º°­®"°°"æ`Ë¡¢÷È¢Õß"§"ÌÈ"¡--µãÕß`øáÕ ·­°"®`µ`,µ"ß»...°`® 30 53.6 37.7 ( 4 ) ( 3 ) 30 ( 3) 2548 4 1.10 14.59 2547 23.90 2548 0.9 40 30 ( 3) µ""ß'Ë 3: °"æ`Ë¡¢÷È¢Õß"§"ªÅ,µ'¬¡, 2547-2549 ( ) ( ) 2547 2548 ( . .- . .) 2547 2548 2549p* ( 95) 7.3 6.8 12.7 26.6 3.78 ( 92) 11.1 10.3 14.5 27.8 4.10 ( ) 46.9 48.0 4.0 41.7 26.38 14.6 0.2 7.4 27.8 2.29 ( ) 9.7 14.8 10.2 2.5 0.00 6.6 29.1 13.7 : * ( ) 4.5 2549 ( ) ( ) 0.5 2549 0 ( ) ( ) 2548 3.5 2 5 30 3.5 2 1 4.5 0.5 26 4 ( 3) 14 1.5 1 3 4 7 10 2547 13 2548 92 5 2.5 ( ) 98 10 9 Yª'Ë 5: "¬¥å¢Õߧ--«Õ®Ì"·°µ"¡ª­¿¢Õß"¬¥å Yª'Ë 6: "¬¥å©'ˬ¢Õߧ--«Õ ®Ì"·°µ"¡"¬¿"§ ,¥¬§`¥ªö ªÇ 2543-2547 --¥ ã«¢Õß"¬¥å©'ˬ¢Õߧ--«Õ,,°ÿßæ¡À"§ ªÇ 2539-2547 2000(LHS) 2543 (LHS) 2004(LHS) 2547 (LHS) 16 % Change 2543-2547(RHS) % 2000-2004 (RHS) 45 Central 14 40 12 35 hta South 30 B 10 25 ndasu 8 tnecr 20 6 Pe North 2004 2547 hoT 15 4 10 2000 2543 2 5 Northeast 1996 2539 0 0 lat me yral er er co -n tif ltu reh me egni ne 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 To in Sa No ciltuir ag cuirg Ot co Fr in be Fraction of Bangkok A : 2547 : 2547 2547 ( 7) (Gini coefficient) 0.5 2539 Yª'Ë 7: --¡ª­ ``ϧ«"¡¡ãã"'¬¡°--¢Õß"¬¥å ®Ì"·°µ"¡"¬¿"§ ªÇ 2539-2547 1996 2539 2000 2543 2004 2547 0.6 0.5 t 0.4 en ciiffeo 0.3 Cini G 0.2 0.1 0.0 Bangkok Central North Northeast South Whole Country : 10 F °Õ'Ë 2: ª­¥Á Ì"§--®"°"¬ß"°"æ--"»...°`®¿"§µ­«--ÕÕ°©'¬ßÀÕ* F 35 3 2513 3 2513 2547 ( 2531) 34,000 11,000 2513 1 5 2 5 2513 2533-2542 3 5 2 5 3 35 56 2531 17 2547 9 3.7 2 3 2545 1 7 2531 1 3 2523-2532 F F 2513 1 16 9 1 3 2547 1 6 2 3 2531 60 1 3 17 12 1 2 F F F F F F F F F F F 2 5 35 1 5 2 3 1 2 ( ) 30 F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F 2 5 2523 1 13 24 23 ( ) 1 11 F F F F F F F 4 5 1 5 ( 8) Yª'Ë 8: ¡Y§ã"æ`Ë¡ºº`µ°"°...µ ®Ì"·°µ"¡·ßß" Yª'Ë 9: °",,TMå®ã"¬¢Õß--" ªÇߪ­¡" 2542-2546 ¿"§°...µ,,¿Y¡`¿"§µã"ßÊ ªÇ 2534-2547 (À㫬:"µãÕ§ "§"ªÇ 2542) 0.12 11,000 10,000 0.10 9,000 8,000 0.08 7,000 6,000 0.06 5,000 4,000 0.04 3,000 2,000 0.02 1,000 0 0.00 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Vicinity East Central West North Northeast South F Northeast Central North South F F F F 5 ( 9) 2546 6,400 ( 2542 160 ) 1 3 27 3 30 2542 2546 F 3 * 2548 www.worldbank.or.th 12 F 2.3 §«"¡¡ã·ãÕ¢Õß ¿"«­·«¥åÕ¡¿"¬Õ° 7 40 ( 4) 53.6 ( 4) G-7 56 G-7 2 2546 2.2 2 3.1 3.8 10 2546 µ""ß'Ë 4: ¿"æ»...°`®­À«ã"ߪ­» 2546 2547 2548 2549 , GDP 2.5 3.8 3.1 3.1 (PPP Weights) 3.9 5.0 4.4 4.3 OECD 1.8 3.0 2.4 2.5 2.7 4.2 3.5 3.5 1.4 2.6 2.3 1.8 0.7 1.7 1.1 1.4 5.8 10.3 6.4 7.0 CPI - G7 a/ 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.0 ($/bbl) 28.9 37.7 53.6 56.0 % 15.9 30.6 42.1 4.5 10.2 17.5 11.9 -5.9 LIBOR (US$. 6 ) 1.2 1.7 3.8 5.0 : World Bank DEC Prospects Group 25 2548 a/ , 2538 G-7 13 2-3 Yª'Ë 10: °"¢¬"¬µ--«¢Õߪ`¡"°" ãßÕÕ° `§å"Õÿµ "À°¡ ­À«ã"ß°å"¥Õ·°¢Õᦀ 2546 ÷ß °å"¥Õ·°¢Õᦀ 2548 15 2.4 °" ãßÕÕ° ) 10 -o-yy, 5 ntecr 0 pe ( 16.5 22.7 -5 4.4 -10 2003 9M 2004 9M 2005 9M 6 Labor intensive products High-technology products Resource based products Manufactured products ( 10) : Yª'Ë 11: Õ--µ"°"¢¬"¬µ--«¢Õß¡Y§ã"°" ãßÕÕ°ª¬--ßµ"¥,° ­À«ã"ߥա°"§¡÷ßæ...¿"§¡ 2548 12.7 40 7 6 ) 35 30 ( 11) y o- 25 y- t,necreP 20 15 10 ( 5 0 ani na ais a ias ci e ,h dnal 30 C,na Chi ne Indi laya publ mante sen .pe a ry dn n paaJ Vi ppiil Indo M Re R,aer nia pora unga ilaa Rom hiP ngiS Po H Th 2548 26 iw hce Ko Ta Cz : 31 ( 12) 14.6 (HS16) 6 (HS10) 5.4 2548 3.3 -1.2 2547 (HS85) 7 6 (HS40) 1.9 14 F µ""ß'Ë 5: `§å" ãßÕÕ° Yß ÿ¥ `Õ--¥--·°,,TMã«ß°å"¥Õ·°¢Õᦀ 2547 ·­ 2548 ( ) 2547 2548 (HS Code) 1 85 21.5 23.8 24.6 18.9 1.9 2.6 2 84 16.3 22.0 17.5 17.5 24.7 24.8 3 87 5.9 38.1 9.7 7.3 44.2 16.0 4 40 5.5 21.8 5.9 5.5 14.6 5.0 5 39 4.5 28.1 5.9 5.4 38.0 10.6 6 27 3.2 47.6 6.2 4.3 53.8 10.6 7 16 2.8 1.5 0.3 3.0 21.6 3.8 8 71 2.7 4.2 0.6 2.8 19.7 3.3 9 10 2.9 67.7 6.9 2.2 -12.6 -2.2 10 29 1.5 21.4 1.6 1.8 37.8 3.5 : 21.6 (HS39) (HS71) 8 (HS29) ( 5) (HS84) Yª'Ë 12: Õ--µ"°"¢¬"¬µ--«¢Õß°" ãßÕÕ°ª¬--ßµ"¥µã"ßÊ ­À«ã"ß°å"¥Õ·°¢Õᦀ 2547 ÷ß °å"¥Õ·°¢Õᦀ 2548 2004 9M ( 4 3.3) 2547 9M 2005 9M 2548 9M 35 ) 30 25 y o- 20 y-,tnecrep 15 80 10 ( 5 0 liaartsu an sreh eldd ts N an A (HS1605) Chi Ea Ot Mi 73.8 A ASE apJ,S UE 8 (HS1604) d an U : 14.9 2548 -1.4 15 F Yª'Ë 13: Õ--µ"°"¢¬"¬µ--«¢Õß°"Ì"¢å"¢Õߪ­»®'®"° ª­»µã"ßÊ ¥Õ¡°"§¡÷ß¥Õ `ßÀ"§¡ 2548 50 ) 40 2548 30 20 y 10 15.1 40.4 0 -10 2547 o--y,tnecr pe -20 ( -30 -40 -50 9 s ( 13) ne aid ae dn er dn ais na ci yr In or la po ,wi aisy nap man aina ppiil K la Ja h Po et m unga hiP ngaiS ilaah T donenI Ta puble Ma Vi R Ro H outS hcez C (HS84) (HS29) 2548 : World Trade Atlas (HS27) 11 44 10 (HS40) 222 (HS10) 160 01-06 1 2547 20 12 2548 11 01-06 2548 38 2546 35 2547 31 (HS08) (HS07) 39 49 33 2548 12 5,121 843 9 20 2548 278 2548 10 2547 50 2553 6,583 2,682 11 01-06 (HS01) 20 2548 575 (HS02) (HS03) (HS04) 2548 (HS05) (HS06) 2553 16 F µ""ß'Ë 6: `§å" ãßÕÕ° Y㪭»®' Yß ÿ¥ `Õ--¥--·°,,TMã«ß°å"¥Õ·°¢Õᦀ 2547 ·­ 2548 ( ) 2547 2548 (HS Code) 1 84 22.8 27.7 24.6 29.1 65.9 49.8 2 85 13.3 18.3 10.2 12.9 26.1 11.5 3 40 12.4 13.6 7.4 9.9 3.7 1.5 4 27 10.2 16.3 7.1 9.2 17.8 6.0 5 39 8.5 47.9 13.7 9.0 36.8 10.4 6 29 4.9 12.4 2.7 5.0 31.2 5.1 7 07 3.3 69.1 6.7 3.3 33.0 3.6 8 72 1.5 -51.5 -7.7 2.8 151.6 7.4 9 44 2.9 39.6 4.0 2.7 21.6 2.0 10 10 3.0 266.3 10.9 1.6 -32.2 -3.2 : 2.5 °"`,¿§¢Õߧ--«Õ Yª'Ë 14: ¥--TM'°"`,¿§¿"§Õ°TM ¡°"§¡ 2547 ñ `ßÀ"§¡ 2548 8 7 ) 6 2548 5 4.6 4 5 2545 yoy,tne 3 2 8 2548 rceP 1 ( 0 ( 14) 1 -1 -2 -3 4.5 7 7 74 74 74 74 74 7 7 74 8 8 85 85 85 85 85 8 404 40 4704 404 405 40 . 4.04 .- 4.0 4.0-l 4.04 4740 4.0 . 4.05 .- 4.0 4.0-l 4.05 n- b- .r 40-r 40-y . g- ..p-eS .- .v- n- b- .r 40-r 40-y . g- .aJ .eF .u . .u .. .. . .o .aJ .. .. .Ju Ma Ap un-J .Ju Ma A Oct .eF un-J N Dec- Ma Ap Ma A : 17 Yª'Ë 15: ¥--TM'§«"¡TMËÕ¡--˺Yå`,¿§ 2.6.1 °"ßÿ,,ª­»¢Õß¿"§Õ°TM ¡°"§¡ 2547 ñ °--¬"¬ 2548 120 2004 2547 110 2005 2548 100 11.7 90 x 17.3 13.4 85.4 ndeI 80 70 2548 60 ( 16) 2548 1 4 50 . n .b r . r . . n .l g . p. t . . .c . y . v . Ja . .Fe .. . Ma Ap Ju .Ju . . . . Ma Au Se Oc No De : 3 4 ( 17) 2548 ( 18) 2.6 °"ßÿ 15.3 2548 10 2548 80 2-3 1.8 (45 ) 11 2542 17 2548 5 2523-2532 5 7 10 2550 8 2548 1.7 34.5 7.6 2-3 2540 20 2549 80 (BOI) 2-3 18 F Yª'Ë 16: °"ßÿ·å®`ß,,¿"§Õ°TM, °"`,¿§¿"§Õ°TM Yª'Ë 17: °"¢¬"¬µ--«¢Õß°"ßÿ¿"§Õ°TM ·­Õ--µ"°"¢¬"¬µ--«¢Õß°" ãßÕÕ° `§å" ·­ --¥ ã«°"ßÿ¿"§Õ°TM'Ë·å®`ß 20 90 20 18 80 18 ) ) 16 16 tne 70 14 14 mts 60 y y 12 12 o- o- venI 50 y- 10 y-, 10 et vairPfo 40 ent,c ntecr 8 8 per 30 6 6 % pe( ( 20 4 4 10 2 2 0 0 0 2546 H1 2003 2547 H1 2004 2548 H1 2005 -2 2546 H1 2003 2547 H1 2004 2548 H1 2005 Share of Construction in PI (LHS) ( ) Share of Equipment in PI(LHS) ( ) Private Consumption Private investment PI growth (RHS) Construction growth (RHS) ( ) ( ) Exports ofGoods Equipment growth (RHS)( ) ( ) : : Yª'Ë 18: ¥--TM'°"ßÿ¿"§Õ°TM ·­µ--«TM'È«--¥ÕËÊ ¡°"§¡ 2547 ñ °--¬"¬ 2548 Private InvestmentIndex(LHS) ( ) Domestic cementsales(RHS) ) ( ) 18 Domestic commercialcarsales RHS) 70 Importof capitalgoods at1995prices (RHS)) 2538 ( 2548 16 60 ) ) 80 50 14 40 12 8 30 yoy, 10 yoy, 20 21 nte nte rceP 8 10 80 16 rceP 6 0 ( ( ( 7) 4 -10 (hard 2 -20 disk drive) 0 -30 74 b. r . r . . l. . . . . . l. . . y n g p t v c .b r r n g p 40 . y . . . . 4 . . . 21 1 4 .-n . Fe . . Ju. . . Ma Ap .. Ju Ju. Ma Au . Se Oc. ..No De . 50-n8 .Fe Ma Ap .. Ju Ma Au Se .Ja Ja . 13 11 : 80 9.4 8 13 60 21.6 2543 3.7 ( 19 µ""ß'Ë 7: Õ--µ"°",,TMå°Ì"--ß°"º`µ ( ) 2538-2539 8 8 8 2547 2548 59.10 76.41 67.86 70.41 8 9.3 2548 > 90 0.1 54.6 115.1 131.5 * 0.1 31.0 59.5 103.6 * 0.2 67.4 92.5 101.6 0.6 81.2 101.0 0.7 56.0 98.6 100.1 (Hard disk drive)* 4.7 71.5 100.0 0.2 89.7 95.4 * 0.3 93.3 95.0 0.8 86.8 103.2 92.6 1.2 126.9 95.5 92.2 0.4 42.0 93.8 91.0 8 2548 15.0 80 90 0.2 71.1 89.6 0.6 77.6 92.3 88.9 0.9 88.3 87.8 88.8 0.1 92.1 95.5 87.3 0.7 79.3 78.9 86.7 9.5 87.5 84.1 86.3 * 0.1 72.0 93.9 84.7 * 0.9 90.3 82.0 81.8 2.1 86.5 72.2 81.8 0.0 77.5 80.4 8 2548 6.9 70 80 60.8 71.6 79.9 * 3.8 75.0 76.8 79.3 0.7 70.3 79.1 * 0.3 88.0 75.4 78.8 0.1 73.1 75.3 * 0.5 77.1 56.5 74.6 0.5 63.1 73.4 * 0.1 67.8 72.3 0.4 83.5 74.9 72.1 * 0.0 70.7 71.2 0.4 82.4 85.9 71.1 : : * 60 20 F Yª'Ë 19: Õ--µ"¥Õ°'Ȭß`°Yå'Ë·å®`ß* 19) (ª--,¥¬ PPI) 7 9 ( 20) 10 8 ( 8) 6 4 t cen 2 erP 0 -2 -4 2548 -6 8 2003 2549 2546 2004 2547 8M 2005 2548 Lending rate InflationPPI PPI 8 2548 Real interest rate 6.5 4.8 ( : * (MLR) 21) 7.6 Yª'Ë 20: °"¢¬"¬µ--«¢Õßß`°Yå¿"§ÿ°`®¢Õß "--°"ß`** BOI 2-3 10 3 9 325 ) 8 14 UNCTAD 7 6 -o-yy, 5 ntecr BOI 4 pe 2549 ( 3 2 1 0 2001 2544 2545 2002 2003* 2546* 2547 2004 2005*** 2548*** : : * (ISIC) (BOI) 2546 2549 ** 2546 ( 9) *** 14 : UNCTAD Global Investment Prospect Assessment, September 2005. 21 Yª'Ë 21: °"À¢å"¢Õ߬ե«¡ß`ßÿ,¥¬µß®"°µã"ߪ­» Yª'Ë 22: °"Õÿ¡--µ`°"ßÿ,¥¬µß®"°µã"ߪ­»¢Õß BOI 8 100% foreign equity 100% 400 10%