90488 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 ADB Photo by Bart Verweij/ World Bank, 2014 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 4 Project Progress during 2013 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ADB Asian Development Bank CA Concession Agreement COD Commercial Operations Date DAFO District Agriculture and Forestry Office DSP Downstream Program EdL Electricité du Laos EGAT Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand EMO Environmental Management Office (NTPC) EMU Environmental Management Unit (GOL) GDP Gross Domestic Product GHG Greenhouse Gas GOL Government of Lao PDR IFIs International Financial Institutions participating in NT2 MOF Ministry of Finance MPI Ministry of Planning and Investment MW Megawatt NGO Non Governmental Organization NSEDP National Socio-Economic Development Plan NT2 Nam Theun 2 Multipurpose Hydroelectric Project NTFP Non-timber Forest Products NTPC Nam Theun 2 Power Company Limited POE Panel of Experts PDR (Lao) People’s Democratic Republic PPA Power Purchase Agreement PLUP Participatory Land Use Planning POE Environmental and Social Panel of Experts PRSO Poverty Reduction Support Operation RFA Reservoir Fisheries Association RMA Revenue Management Arrangements RMC Reservoir Management Committee SEMFOP Social and Environment Framework and Operational Plan VFA Village Forestry Association VFG Village Fisheries Group WMPA Watershed Management and Protection Authority Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 5 Table of Contents: SCOPE OF THIS UPDATE ..................................................................................................................... 8 PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION PROGRESS ...................................................................................... 11 Operations and Maintenance ................................................................................................ 11 Social and Environmental Aspects ...................................................................................... 13 Nakai Plateau .............................................................................................................................. 15 Downstream Areas ...................................................................................................................... 23 Watershed and the Environment ........................................................................................... 27 Revenue Management Arrangements ............................................................................ 29 MONITORING AND OVERSIGHT ARRANGEMENTS ...................................................................... 33 LOOKING AHEAD ................................................................................................................................... 35 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 6 Project Progress during 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 7 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 8 Project Progress during 2013 SCOPE OF THIS UPDATE 1. This Update reports on developments in the imple- mentation of the NT2 proj- ect during 2013. It is based on the findings of ongo- ing work of the field-based team and a Joint Supervision Mission of the In- ternational Financial Institutions (IFIs) supporting the Project undertaken in November 2013 as well as subsequent shorter interactions and field visits. It follows the 2012 update to the Boards of the World Bank and Asian Develop- ment Bank (ADB). This update takes stock of the current implementation of the project and draws attention to opportunities and challenges ahead. Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 9 2. The economy of Lao PDR continues to grow rapidly (over 8 percent in 2013), fueled by foreign and domestic investments in the natural resource sectors as well as accommodative macroeconomic policies. However, the macroeconomic situation deteriorated and fiscal pres- sures emerged beginning in mid-2013, which led to the adoption of important corrective fiscal consolidation measures over the course of the last year. The hydropower sector (both completed projects in operation and projects in the con- struction/development phase) along with the mining, construction, food processing and services sectors remain the major contributors to economic growth. This is aided in part by accommodative macroeconomic policies. Domestic credit growth has remained high (about 31 percent year-on-year in September 2013). Public spending has expanded through a substantial base wage increase in FY12/13 and FY13/14 and enhanced month- ly benefits for all public employees in FY12/13 (which was subsequently eliminated in FY13/14). These spending increases necessitated the subsequent fiscal consolidation measures. Economic growth is projected to moderate to 7.2 percent in 2014, reflecting a projected slowdown in some sectors, particularly mining and construction, as well as Government budget tightening. Services (wholesale and retail, transportation and telecommunica- tion) and food processing, as well as beverages, are expected to be key drivers of growth in 2014, supported by continued strong domestic demand, construction and the con- struction-related industry. The natural resources sector is expected to provide a smaller direct contribution to growth in 2014 as no new commercial operations of major power projects or mines are expected. 3. This Update focuses on NT2 project-related matters. The update is comprised of three parts: the first assesses project implementation prog- ress, including the status of the physical project and related work. Secondly, the update reflects on progress towards the project’s social and environmental objectives. Finally, the update looks ahead to key challenges as well as project supervision and monitoring needs, highlighting issues that warrant continued attention during the ongoing commer- cial operations phase of the project. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 10 Project Progress during 2013 PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION PROGRESS Operations and Maintenance 4. NT2 is now in its fourth year of commercial operations. The tech- nical and financial performance of the hydropower project contin- ues to surpass expectations. Annual operational targets for supply - both to the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) and Electricité du Laos (EDL) - have been exceeded in every year of com- mercial operations to date. In 2013, a total of 5,897 GWh (compared to a target of 5,354 GWh) were generated for EGAT and 378 GWh (compared to a target of 300 GWh) for EDL. All six generation turbine units are in operation. Revenues from the sale of electricity generated by NT2 to Thailand and domestically are flowing as planned. 5. NTPC and Government have agreed on reimbursement for costs for emergency public road repairs following severe rainfall events in 2011, and they are determining the payment modality. The project roads were handed over to the Government of Lao PDR (GOL) in 2009, and GOL is responsible for their maintenance and repairs. However, NTPC undertook and acted as contractor for emergency repairs following extreme rainfall events of 2011, with GOL agreement. Government and NTPC have agreed in principle that Government will reimburse NTPC the amount of US$12.3 million plus interest accruing from January 2013 onwards. The final modalities and timing of payment remain to be agreed. 6. Construction of an additional spillway for the Regulating Dam is planned in light of updated hydrology studies that point to the need for additional release capacity to safely handle flows in case of extreme weather events. To ensure additional safety in handling extreme flood events, two hydrology studies were commissioned: one by Electricité de France (EdF) and another by an independent party, Entura. Both studies confirm that an additional regulating dam spillway will be needed to ensure that the company is compliant with its obligations under the Concession Agree- ment.1 After consideration of the options, a free-flow spillway was selected as the most cost efficient and safe solution. The Dam Safety Review Panel (DSRP), the Government of 1 The regulating dam should be able to safely release inflows consistent with a 10,000 annual return interval (ARI) flood event. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 11 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 12 Project Progress during 2013 Lao Engineer (GoLE), and the Lender’s Technical Advisor (LTA) concur with this approach. The additional spillway will be built beside the existing infrastructure. NTPC expects to start construction in November 2014 and to complete the work within six months. IFI safeguards will apply to the construction of the additional spillway. 7. The Water Release Communications System developed by NTPC was successfully implemented in 2013, and appears to be well under- stood by district authorities as well as relevant villages. Effective implementation of the system during two flood events in September and October 2013 confirmed that the protocol is understood by district authorities as well as villages involved. Additional improvements are needed, particularly in providing longer advance warning and improving villagers’ understanding of the urgency of responding to flood warning signals (e.g., moving agricultural assets to higher ground) as soon as they receive warnings. NTPC will install loudspeakers in villages downstream of the Nakai Dam or the Regulat- ing Dam which are at significant risk of impacts from unusual water releases. The loud- speakers will be provided to six villages in Gnommalat (downstream of the Regulating Dam) and 11 villages in Khamkeut (downstream of the Nakai Dam) with a view to further enhancing emergency (and other) communications with villagers. 8. A joint non-binding statement aimed at exploring additional possibilities of extending the electrical capacity of the NT2 Project was signed during the official visit of the President of Lao PDR to France in October 2013, on behalf of all project shareholders. According to the information obtained from NTPC, the current proposed approach to the NT2 extension is to utilize the same volume of water and the same reservoir, but to trans- fer energy from secondary energy to primary energy, which would command a higher tariff. This extension would include installation of approximately 500 MW of additional capacity in a new powerhouse, to be located close to the existing one, so as to utilize the same 500 kV switch yard, downstream channel, and operator’s village, while minimizing social and environmental impacts. At this stage, NTPC and GoL emphasized that no deci- sion has been made on the extension project. The IFIs have noted that their safeguards would apply to any eventual NT2 extension. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 13 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 14 Project Progress during 2013 Social and Environmental Aspects 9. Programs in support of achievement of the environmental and social objectives continue, with an increased focus on sustainability and capacity building ahead of handover to GOL. On the Nakai Plateau, socio-economic monitoring continues to indicate that villagers are better off following resettlement. The focus of the resettlement assistance efforts is on helping the resettlers establish a diverse mix of livelihoods that will be sustainable. Stake- holders have agreed on a process towards possible closure of the Resettlement Imple- mentation Period (RIP). Protection of biodiversity and local development of resident communities in the water- shed remain a concern. Reforms or restructuring to increase the effectiveness of the man- agement of the Watershed Management Protection Authority (WMPA) are under active consideration. Impacts in the Xe Bang Fai downstream area continue to be assessed. Gov- ernment is responsible for implementation of remaining support activities in this area. Nakai Plateau 10. The stakeholders have agreed on a process towards closing the Resettlement Implementation Period (RIP). Following discussions in May 2013, the Minister of Energy and Mines provided guidance, which was accepted by the stakeholders, on the process towards closing the RIP. A time- line has now been set out, under which the Resettlement Committee (RC) may make a decision at the end of 2015 whether to close or extend the RIP, on the advice of the Environmental and Social Panel of Experts (POE). Following this agreement, all the stake- holders are working together to: (a) further enhance the effectiveness of livelihoods assis- tance activities; (b) ensure that sufficient funding and oversight arrangements remain in place for key institutions; (c) secure long-term access of resettlers to key natural resources (e.g., fisheries and agricultural land); (d) strengthen the capacity of relevant Government agencies to assume their responsibilities; and (e) strengthen the ability of communities to secure their interests. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 15 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 16 Project Progress during 2013 11. Monitoring data continue to indicate that villagers are better off following resettlement. The achievements of the Nakai Resettlement program so far have been impressive. As the first step towards possible closure of the RIP, NTPC carried out a 7th round of the Living Standards Measurement Survey (LSMS 7) in early 2013. The data indicate that over 97 percent of sampled resettler households are above the household income target of the rural poverty line (see Figure 1 below), measured using per capita consumption.2 In addition, most households consume at a level significantly above the target, and almost all have monetary savings (see Figure 2 below), providing a potential buffer in the face of any future income shocks. Striking improvements have also been attained in health, nutri- tion, education and sanitation. For example, 90 percent of resettler children aged 5-9 are attending primary school. Stunting rates of children have decreased from 43 percent to 34 percent. Almost 98 percent of resettler households are using malaria bednets. 12. Sustainable livelihood development and institutional strength- ening continue to be key priorities. The Concession Agreement calls for resettler livelihoods to be improved “on a sustainable basis,” so the main challenge moving forwards is ensuring the sustainability of the five livelihood pillars (i.e., agriculture, fisheries, forestry, livestock and off-farm). To this end, NTPC and local authorities are striving to ensure that institutions key to resettler welfare, such as the Village Credit Funds (VCFs) and the Social and Environmental Remediation Fund (SERF), function as intended. They are also investing in further capacity develop- ment within local government so that relevant authorities are able to take full responsi- bility for these institutions. Continued support for and monitoring of these processes are essential. 2 The Concession Agreement specifies the targets for household and village incomes as follows: a. Household Income Target means the yearly target for the income of Resettler households, including income in cash and in kind, to be reached at the beginning of year five of the Resettlement Implementation Period, being for each Resettler household in the Resettlement Area, the greater of: (a) the then current National Rural Poverty Line, multiplied by the number of persons in the household; and (b) Lao PDR Kip 1,420,800 per person, multiplied by the number of persons in the household; and b. Village Income Target means the yearly target for the income of Resettler villages, including income in cash and in kind, to be reached at the end of the Resettlement Implementation Period, being for each village in the Resettlement Area, the greater of: (a) the then current Average Rural Income Per Person, multiplied by the number of persons in the village; and (b) Lao PDR Kip 2,131,200 per person, multiplied by the number of persons in the village. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 17 Figure 1: Frequency Distribution of Per Capita Consumption, 2013 Source: NTPC Figure 2: Percentage of Households with Monetary Savings Source: NTPC Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 18 Project Progress during 2013 Figure 3: Importance of the Five Livelihood Pillars, by Wealth Group, 2013 Source: NTPC 13. Fisheries continue to contribute significantly to resettler live- lihoods and remain one of the most important sources of their income. Fish catches from the Nakai Reservoir have stabilized since impoundment, ranging from 20-80 tons/month in 2012 and 2013, depending on the season.3 The results of LSMS 7, undertaken by NTPC in 2013, indicate that fisheries are the most important single income source for resettlers, contributing around 40 percent of household incomes during 2013. Fishing is most important to the vulnerable and poor households (see Figure 3 above). Therefore sustainable management of fisheries is a critical factor in sustaining the reset- tlers’ living standards. During 2013, the NTPC fisheries management team worked with relevant district authorities, representatives of the Village Fisher Groups (VFGs), the Reservoir Fisheries Association (RFA) and the Reservoir Management Committee (RMC) to develop a Fisheries Co-Management Plan, which has been signed by all stakeholders. Its implementation will be important for safeguarding fisheries resources and securing sustainable livelihoods for resettler families for the long term. NTPC will continue to support the development and capacity building of fisheries co-management institutions, particularly the VFGs and the RFA. Implementation of an effective system of joint patrolling that includes VFGs and local law enforcement authorities, in close cooperation with the WMPA, will be essential to ensure that the exclusive rights of Nakai Plateau residents to fish in the reservoir, which have been officially extended until 2028, are respected. 3 Figure for resettler households only, based on NTPC fish catch monitoring data. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 19 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 20 Project Progress during 2013 14. Implementation of Land Use Planning and Village Development Plans is underway, and resettlers are being supported to increase the productivity of their land. Following on from the Participatory Land Use Planning (PLUP) exercise carried out in 2011, Community Land Titles (CLTs) were allocated to all resettler villages in 2013. To date, 174 titles (2,780 ha agriculture land and 17,428 ha of forest land) have been issued for four main types of land: village forest land, additional agricultural land, state land, and com- munity building land. This is one of the first such processes for Lao PDR, and an impor- tant step in securing the long-term access of the resettlers to their land. The Province has distributed the CLTs to the villages and is now working on the allocation of some of that land to individual households, for use in agriculture. This process has started in several villages and should be completed in all communities by the end of 2014. NTPC is also following up by comparing the CLTs issued with the boundaries agreed during the PLUP, and by providing maps to the villages as a basis for discussion. A process of village devel- opment planning has been carried out in each settlement, working with the strengthened village development committees. The process allowed villagers to discuss the resources and opportunities available to them, and agree on a set of priority actions. The implementation of these Village Development Plans (VDPs) will be closely supported and monitored by NTPC and GOL. The allocation of village lands has already led to an increase in the area of land cropped. Incomes from cropping rose by around 36 percent between the 2011 and 2013 LSMS surveys, as households took advantage of the new land identified through the PLUP. However, there are significant challenges to ensuring appropriate management and longer-term sustainability of yields. Work on agriculture and agroforestry needs to accel- erate through 2014 in order to ensure that agriculture continues to contribute to sustain- able livelihoods. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 21 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 22 Project Progress during 2013 15. Urgent action is required to improve the effectiveness of the Village For- estry Development Company Ltd. (VFDC-previously known as the Village Forestry Association), so that it can contribute effectively to resettler incomes. In the past two years, the VFDC faced substantial challenges, including a management change, pressure from illegal timber harvesting, encroachment by villagers onto its land for agriculture, high levels of taxation of its timber, and delayed payment of debts owed by its only client, Luen Fat Hong (LFH). As a result, VFDC activities in both the forest land and the mill were halted, and no dividends were paid to resettlers for 2012 or 2013. Some progress has been made recently. An acting manager has been in place since December 2013, activities with LFH have been terminated, and the VFDC is exploring the possibility of establishing contracts with other buyers. However, further remedial actions will be nec- essary if the forestry activity is to meet its original objectives, including the resolution of the outstanding debts, payment of outstanding dividends to the resettlers, completion of a forest inventory, and preparation and implementation of a management plan. 16. Further development of the off-farm income generating activities remains a priority. Around ten percent of resettler households, mostly the wealthier segments, run off-farm businesses such as local shops or trading activities. Most of these businesses are small and employ only family members. Off-farm businesses are eligible for credit from the Village Credit Funds, and this has boosted opportunities for micro-business. NTPC continues to provide training on off-farm skills to interested villagers.4 The development of tourism on the plateau could provide new opportunities for off-farm business and employment, but prospects for growth of this sector are limited in the near term and related plans are at a preliminary stage. NTPC, WMPA, GOL and other partners would need to develop a clear strategy and action plan for the gradual development of tourism in the area in order to capture the potential of tourism to enhance livelihoods while minimizing potential associated negative impacts. 4 In 2013 cooking training was offered on the Plateau and attended by resettlers from 13 hamlets. In addition, a small number of resettlers were sent to Vientiane for vocational training (motor repair, tailoring and beauty salon techniques). Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 23 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 24 Project Progress during 2013 17. A small number of vulnerable households will require specialized addi- tional support. This will require close attention for a number of years to come. It is recognized that a small proportion of households, including elderly households with limited family support and persons with disabilities, will find it difficult to reach and/or remain above the poverty line for reasons largely beyond their or the project’s control. While the proportion of vulnerable households has been fairly constant over the past three years, NTPC, GOL and the IFIs, with the advice of the POE, will continue to measure vulnerability trends and to identify appropriate long-term and sustainable solutions for vulnerable households. Safety nets for such households should build on traditional family and community safety nets to the extent feasible but may also require additional support from NTPC. 18. The Social and Environmental Remediation Fund is operational and fund- ing village level infrastructure and activities. In accordance with Concession Agreement requirements, NTPC transfers US$300,000 per year (plus annual escalation for inflation), to the SERF, which is used to fund mainte- nance of village level infrastructure. Under a funding agreement between NTPC and Nakai district, Price Waterhouse Coopers provides technical assistance to strengthen the man- agement capacity of the SERF Steering and Executive Committee. Efforts are underway to link the annual SERF Implementation Plan to the recently prepared Village Development Plans. 19. Water quality monitoring on the reservoir and downstream is ongoing. NTPC monitors and will continue to monitor water quality throughout the concession period. A funding agreement with Eléctricité de France ensures that monitoring and research programs on hydrobiology and greenhouse gases will also continue. In general, water quality in the reservoir is significantly better than had been anticipated during the design phase of the project; it meets or exceeds relevant standards set out in commonly accepted international guidelines. Data on water quality have been made available to GOL and external monitoring agencies. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 25 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 26 Project Progress during 2013 Downstream Areas 20. The NT2 Downstream Areas remain important, as power generation continues to alter flows into the Xe Bang Fai and the Nam Theun river systems. The NT2 “Downstream Areas” designation covers the following two zones: (a) downstream of the power station, including around 150 villages along the Xe Bang Fai River and in its hinterland which are impacted by increased water flows; and (b) downstream of the Nakai Dam, including 38 villages along the Nam Theun River which are impacted by reduced flows. The Government assumed full responsibility for the Downstream Program (DSP) livelihood restoration activities as of January 1, 2013. The following issues on the Xe Bang Fai downstream area are receiving attention at this time: a. Water quality monitoring conducted regularly by NTPC indicates that overall water quality has been better than anticipated and meets relevant standards. Two factors affect the water quality released from the Downstream Channel into the XBF: (i) water quality in the reservoir at the point of extraction to the powerhouse; and (ii) the effectiveness of the aeration structures in the Downstream Channel. Water quality data indicate that water quality meets national water quality standards as well as recognized criteria for supporting aquatic life. This is due to: (i) high freshwater inflows and turnover due to spilling events in 2011 and in the rainy season; and (ii) strong winds resulting in big waves that oxygenate anoxic water columns in the dry season. In addition, downstream aeration structures improve water quality after power genera- tion. Some dry season characteristics of the water in the XBF have been affected by the project, including volume and flow rates, pH, and temperature. b. Fish Catch Monitoring data collected by NTPC from the Xe Bang Fai river show a year- on-year increase in catches 2010-2012, though catches are still below pre-Commercial Operations Date baseline catch levels. Impacts have varied along the river. c. Erosion along the banks of the Xe Bang Fai has been less significant than expected, with a small number of exceptions. This may be partly due to the fact that the fluctua- tion in flows during the dry season has been lower than anticipated because of the effectiveness of the regulating dam and because dry season power production has been more stable on an hourly and daily basis than initially anticipated. However, it has been noted that natural riverbank erosion continues to occur in some locations along the river that lack riverbank protection. The current priority for the Government is to promote riverbank protection measures (restoring riverbank vegetation, installa- tion of erosion control mats or rip-raps) that should be employed by local communi- ties/local government. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 27 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 28 Project Progress during 2013 d. Under the Downstream Program implemented by NTPC before 2013, a total of 544 boreholes with hand pumps and 3,034 latrines were provided to 92 riparian and 65 inland villages to compensate for the NT2 impacts on water quality in the XBF River and tributaries. The boreholes and latrine facilities, including spare parts, were hand- ed over to the villages in December 2012. The Provincial and District Health depart- ments are responsible for providing technical support to village Community Water Maintenance Committees (CWMCs) established for maintenance and operations of these facilities. It is important to note that numerous boreholes have been installed by individual households as an alternative source of water supply for domestic consump- tion. The majority of households in middle and lower XBF villages buy bottled water for drinking. This is typically delivered by suppliers from the district towns. 21. A number of livelihood activities were supported under the NTPC Downstream Program. NTPC monitoring data indicate that there has been promising progress in livestock raising and crop production activities. More work is needed to develop fish raising activities. The XBF Agriculture Technical Center, which is a combined research and supply facility that provides rice seeds, brood-stock fish, fish fingerlings and fish meat to local fish seed producers, local fish farmers and local markets, respectively, is playing an important role in this regard. Enhanced cooperation between the XBF Center and the Fish Farmer Schools as well as Rice Farmer Groups, especially with regard to supplying quality rice seeds and fish brood-stock, remains a priority. As part of the DSP, a Village Income Resto- ration Fund (VIRF) was established to provide affected communities with access to micro- finance. The Rural Development and Poverty Eradication Office assumed responsibility for the management of the VIRF in January 2013. A quantitative and qualitative assessment of the socio-economic situation of the down- stream population has been undertaken by NTPC in the first half of 2014, and this will provide information on the outcomes of the DSP and the current livelihoods status of project-affected downstream communities. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 29 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 30 Project Progress during 2013 22. GOL is undertaking irrigation construction along the Downstream Channel. The GOL has initiated a separate irrigation project that will utilize water discharged from the NT2 downstream channel through Gate #3. Given the proximity of the irrigation scheme to the NT2 site and the potential implications that the construction and operation of the above-mentioned government project may have for NT2, the IFIs have requested additional information from the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry to better determine potential impacts of this irrigation scheme on NT2 assets, as well as its potential implica- tions for the relevant downstream area and its population, in particular in terms of land and other assets and livelihoods. 23. The ability of Government to meet its financial obligations in a timely and predictable manner in order to implement the Downstream Program requires further work. Government has been struggling to make available national budget resources allocat- ed for the Downstream Program following its assumption of full responsibility for the Program on January 1, 2013. Timely and predictable availability of budget resources is essential to enable local government agencies to provide the required support for affect- ed populations and to sustain investments made to date. The IFIs have reminded Govern- ment that NT2 revenues could be used for these purposes as necessary, in accordance with the provisions of the Financing Agreements between Government and the IFIs. In the longer-term, a more structured and predictable benefit-sharing mechanism that would provide Khammouane province with resources to maintain project-related infrastruc- ture assets as well as to meet potential remaining social and environmental issues will be necessary. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 31 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 32 Project Progress during 2013 Watershed and the Environment 24. Securing the Watershed is a complex long-term challenge. The protection of the watershed’s forest is entrusted to the Watershed Management and Protection Authority . The preservation of the forest has so far helped to ensure that reservoir silting has not become a significant threat to the Project. NTPC has been measur- ing Dissolved Oxygen and nutrient load, and has undertaken a study on Total Suspend- ed Solids (TSS). Based on this analysis, siltation is unlikely to be a significant concern in the medium-term. However, measures to protect the diversity of flora and fauna of the watershed have so far been less successful. Pressure is primarily coming from those living outside of the Watershed, although the enclave and peripheral villages are also using and extracting the protected area’s resources, including rosewood, illegally. A combination of high demand and rising prices for hardwood and wildlife in the region, challenging terrain, entrenched regional smuggling networks, uneven law enforcement, and develop- ment of infrastructure that facilitates access to the watershed represent substantial and increasing threats to the conservation of the flora and fauna of this area. 25. The WMPA has continued to undertake modest conservation and local development efforts. However, institutional reform is required to improve its effectiveness and efficiency. In this context of increasing threats to natural resources, in 2013 the WMPA continued to implement conservation and local development activities in the watershed. While some progress has been made, especially on expanding land and water patrol operations, the overall results to date are not commensurate with the funds allocated. As documented in past years, those efforts are failing to mitigate the threats or to improve livelihoods. In 2013, at the request of the WMPA Secretariat, the World Bank provided technical assistance to review and make recommendations for strengthening the WMPA’s fiduciary systems. The Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (MONRE) also recruited a protected area specialist to review the WMPA organizational capacity. The reports point to structural issues in the mandate of WMPA and in its institutional design. Both reviews imply that a robust and coordinated effort is needed from the national and provincial authorities to restructure the WMPA so that protected area management and law enforce- ment functions are improved. In addition, a major effort is required to scale up commu- nity development efforts in 31 villages within the protected area as well as those in its periphery. The recommendations of these studies and institutional options have been shared with Project stakeholders and the Board of the WMPA, and are currently under consideration by Government. The World Bank is awaiting the outcome of these discus- sions, and has offered to support a possible restructuring, institutional development and a scaled up community livelihood program through the recently approved IDA/GEF Protected Area and Wildlife (PAW) Project. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 33 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 34 Project Progress during 2013 Revenue Management Arrangements 26. Government figures indicate that a significant proportion of NT2 revenues have been allocated to eligible pro-poor and environmental objectives, but reporting delays and weaknesses continue to hamper efforts to formally confirm the utilization and allocation of all NT2 revenues to eligible poverty reduction and environmental management programs. Under the NT2 Revenue Management Arrangements (NT2 RMA), progress reports on proj- ects funded by NT2 revenues and accompanying financial reports should be submitted to the IFIs six months after the end of each Lao Financial year. Audits are to be conducted annually. Although the World Bank has received reports on the allocation and expen- diture of NT2 revenues by sector and by some projects including for activities such as teacher training, provision of school text books, rural health services, and electrification of rural villages, the IFIs have yet to receive a formal report on the use of revenues and an audit thereof. These reporting delays are not compliant with the relevant provisions of the Financing Agreements between the GOL and the IFIs. The Ministry of Finance recently sent the comprehensive financial statements to the State Audit Organization (SAO), and the SAO is currently auditing the use of NT2 revenues. These financial statements indicate that while almost all of the royalty payments received to date have been allocated to eligible activities, dividends and taxes received have to date not been deposited in the NT2 Revenue Account. This is not consistent with the requirements of the NT2 RMA, and Government has been requested to correct this situa- tion as soon as possible. The IFIs will continue to work with the respective Government agencies to secure compli- ance with the NT2 RMA requirements. In this regard, coordination mechanisms among the MOF, the Ministry of Planning and Investment (MPI), sector ministries, and the State Audit Organization (SAO) require further strengthening. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 35 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 36 Project Progress during 2013 MONITORING AND OVERSIGHT ARRANGEMENTS 27. The World Bank and the ADB continue to monitor project implementation progress closely. The World Bank and ADB continue to track project implementation, as well as helping to build capacity and addressing challenges as they arise. Annual joint IFI supervision missions are complemented by regular technical visits by the field-based teams. In addition to project implementation support, the World Bank and ADB teams support a variety of complementary activities to strengthen Government capacity at the sector, provincial and district levels. 28. Visits of the POE as well as the Dam Safety Review Panel (DSRP) continue. The POE conducted their 21st missions (A & B) in March and August 2013, respectively. The Panel’s mission reports recognized continued progress in implementing the Project while noting a number of concerns, particularly around the need to strengthen protection of the Watershed’s biodiversity from external pressures, and securing the sustainability of resettler livelihoods on the Nakai Plateau. All POE reports are available on the Govern- ment and NTPC websites. The Dam Safety Review Panel (DSRP) conducted its annual visit of the project in February 2013, and reconfirmed that the project is generally safe both in design and operation. Operations and maintenance systems are considered to be of high standard. Following a recent hydrologic study of floods at the regulating dam, it was determined that the flood risk at design underestimated water volumes for extreme weather events. NTPC will remedy this through the construction of additional spillway capacity at the regulating dam (see paragraph 6 above), an approach which has been agreed by the DSRP. Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 37 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: 38 Project Progress during 2013 LOOKING AHEAD 29. While much has been accomplished, the ultimate success of the project will be determined when the Revenue Management Arrangements have been assessed, and after all environmental and social programs have been evaluated. The Project is generating the expected revenues for the GoL, and there is a possibility to further enhance the return on investment through an expansion of generating capac- ity. Most resettler households are significantly better off today than they were before the project. Yet key social and environmental commitments are not yet over, including secur- ing sustainable livelihoods for the future of the resettlers, ensuring that measures are in place to support the small number of households who are unable to meet the House- hold Income Target (particularly a social safety net to support vulnerable households), the orderly completion of remaining downstream activities, and strengthening environmen- tal protection measures in the watershed. The World Bank and ADB remain committed to working closely with the Government, NTPC and local communities to ensure that project obligations are met, and that national and local benefits from the project are realized to the greatest extent possible. 30. The implementation support efforts of the World Bank and the ADB con- tinue to focus on the social and environmental aspects as well as ensuring that the Revenue Management Arrangements are implemented as agreed. Areas that will require particular attention going forward include: (a) further efforts to strengthen the sustainability prospects of livelihood programs for resettlers, and prepa- ration for handover of associated support to local authorities; (b) consolidating Down- stream Program outcomes; (c) improving conservation and local development in the NT2 Watershed; and (d) securing compliance with the NT2 Revenue Management Arrange- ments. The World Bank and the ADB will continue to provide annual public reports on the implementation of the project, and to work closely with Government, NTPC and other stakeholders to achieve project objectives. The Update will continue to be published as part of regular public reporting on project progress, and will be available in print as well as on the World Bank’s website (www.world- bank.org). Nam Theun 2 Annual Update: Project Progress during 2013 39 Photo by Bart Verweij/World Bank, 2013 ADB The World Bank Lao PDR Country Office Asian Development Bank Patouxay Nehru Road P.O Box: 345 Asian Development Bank Lao PDR Resident Mission Vientiane, Lao PDR Corner of Lanexang Ave. and Samsenthai Road. Tel: (856-21) 266 200 P.O Box: 9724 Fax: (856-21) 266 299 Vientiane, Lao PDR Websites: www.worldbank.org/lao Tel: (856-21) 250 444 Fax: (856-21) 250 333 Website: www.adb.org/laopdr The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Asian Development Bank Washington, D.C. 20433, USA 6 ADB Avenue Tel: (202) 4731000 Mandaluyong City 1550 Fax: (202) 4776391 Metro Manila, Philippines Website: www.worldbank.org Tel: (632) 632 4444 Fax: (632) 636 2444 Website: www.adb.org