Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC | Tonga | Urban, Resilience and Land Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 12 | ARCHIVED on 27-May-2021 | ISR46495 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance and National Planning, Kingdom of Tonga, Ministry of Environment, Energy, Climate Change, Disaster Mgmt, Meteorology, Information and Comms Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 19-Jun-2015 Effectiveness Date: 18-Sep-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 29-Mar-2019 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 25-Mar-2019 Original Closing Date: 30-Nov-2020 Revised Closing Date: 31-Oct-2023 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The objective of the Project is to strengthen early warning, resilient investments and financial protection of Tonga. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Strengthening Early Warning and Preparedness:(Cost $11.49 M) Component 2: Risk Reduction and Resilient Investments:(Cost $15.50 M) Component 3: Disaster Risk Financing:(Cost $5.40 M) Component 4: Project and Program Management:(Cost $1.50 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions Progress has been made towards strengthening early warning, with an AM transmitter tower now commissioned. Works are complete at the two Emergency Operation Centers (EOCs) in Ha’apai and Vava’u (Component 1). All classroom works in the 25 school sites are now complete (Component 2). The construction of 21 new Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH) facilities is ongoing. 5/27/2021 Page 1 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) 5/27/2021 Page 2 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Substantial Moderate Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Moderate Moderate 5/27/2021 Page 3 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- Substantial Substantial Overall Substantial Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Strengthen early warning IN00986910 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 24,000.00 30,335,300.00 25,000.00 60,000.00 Date 19-Jun-2015 04-Dec-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 With the AM Transmitter now complete, this is a significant milestone towards putting the infrastructure in place to ensure that timely hazard forecast and warning messages can be disseminated to the public. With the additional strengthening of Early Warning Systems under Component 1 - the next step Comments: will be developing clearer/improved warning messages, and training the public on how to understand and act on them. The end target - with the virtual meetings, continued knowledge sharing using virtual platforms - remains achievable. IN00986944 Female beneficiaries (as a subset of the total number of beneficiaries) (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 9,600.00 12,765.00 12,765.00 24,000.00 Date 19-Jun-2015 04-Dec-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 IN00986945 ►Increased coverage of hazard forecast and warning messages to population at risk (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 30.00 30.00 30.00 70.00 Date 19-Jun-2015 04-Dec-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 The end target - with the virtual meetings, continued knowledge sharing using virtual platforms - remains Comments: achievable. Strengthen resilient investments IN00986941 5/27/2021 Page 4 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) ►School children to benefit from increased resilience to their school (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6,335.00 7,084.00 9,000.00 Date 12-Feb-2018 04-Dec-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 Works are largely complete across schools, with works still ongoing for WASH. It is envisaged the target Comments: will be met ahead of schedule Strengthen financial protection of Tonga IN00986942 ►Participating PICs have recieved payment within a month of the occurrence of a covered (insurance) event. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Date 19-Jun-2015 04-Dec-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 A second payout to Tonga under the Insurance Scheme was made following TC Harold. The Payment Comments: totaled USD4.5 million and was made within one month of the event. IN00986943 ►Time taken to trigger the contingency emergency response component (CERC) for an eligible emergency (Weeks, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6.00 6.00 4.00 Date 19-Jun-2015 04-Dec-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 The CERC was triggered in March 2018. It was the first CERC to be triggered in the Pacific Region, and the fourth to be triggered globally. Indication of the government's intention to trigger the CERC came to the Bank within one month of the event. The formal request to trigger the CERC, including the full CERC Comments: trigger package was received and approved within six weeks. No further CERCs have been triggered since March 2018. In the event that the CERC is triggered prior to the end of the project, it is envisaged that the End Target of 4 weeks will be achieved. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Strengthening Early Warning and Preparedness IN00986946 ►Improved status of hazards observational network (Hydro, Meteorological and Seismic) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 20.00 20.00 20.00 50.00 Date 06-Aug-2015 04-Dec-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 Work is ongoing. A firm (System Integrator Consultants) and an individual Seismic consultant have been Comments: recruited and are working with the government to progress the hazards observational network. The end target is expected to be achieved by 2023. Source of information is the PMU. 5/27/2021 Page 5 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) IN00986949 ►Multi Hazard Early warning systems are established and operating (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 06-Aug-2015 04-Dec-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 The AM Transmitter has been commissioned. Hand held marine communication radios have been provided to 100 fisherman who have been trained in their use. Specifications have been prepared for the Comments: Marine Coastal Communication Network. The end target is expected to be achieved by 2023. Source of information is the PMU. Component 2: Risk Reduction and Resilient Investments IN00986947 ►Number of school buildings rebuilt to improved resilence standards (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 29.00 32.00 30.00 Date 12-Feb-2018 04-Dec-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 The project has exceeded the target of 30 Buildings ahead of schedule. Comments: IN00986950 ►Number of school buildings repaired or retrofitted to improved resilience standards (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2.00 10.00 20.00 Date 12-Feb-2018 04-Dec-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 It is envisaged this indicator will need to be revised, following the government's desire to place a higher Comments: emphasis within the Project on building new school buildings, than repairing existing buildings. IN00986951 ►Schools with gender appropriate resilient WASH facilities (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Date 12-Feb-2018 26-Nov-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 New WASH facilities are planned for 25 schools. Works are ongoing, and all WASH works are expected Comments: to be completed in mid 2021. Source of information is the PMU. IN00986952 ►Beneficiaries of school repairs, retrofitting, and rebuilding that feel project investments reflect their needs (of which 50% are female) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 84.00 84.00 80.00 5/27/2021 Page 6 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) Date 12-Feb-2018 04-Dec-2020 31-Mar-2021 31-Oct-2023 Further beneficiary surveys will be conducted to determine this figure in coming months. Comments: Component 3: Disaster Risk Financing IN00986948 ►The premiums are lower than the simulated price for a comparable coverage purchased individually in the market (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 06-Aug-2015 26-Nov-2020 26-Nov-2020 31-Oct-2023 Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P154840 IDA-56890 Effective USD 8.25 8.25 0.00 3.04 5.50 36% P154840 IDA-D0780 Effective USD 2.25 2.25 0.00 2.40 0.00 100% P154840 IDA-D3590 Effective USD 14.95 14.95 0.00 10.48 4.48 70% P156334 TF-A0900 Effective USD 4.58 4.58 0.00 0.76 3.82 17% P154840 TF-A1232 Closed USD 1.50 1.50 0.00 1.50 0.00 100% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P154840 IDA-56890 Effective 19-Jun-2015 30-Jun-2015 18-Sep-2015 30-Nov-2020 31-Oct-2023 P154840 IDA-D0780 Effective 19-Jun-2015 30-Jun-2015 18-Sep-2015 30-Nov-2020 31-Oct-2023 P154840 IDA-D3590 Effective 18-Jul-2018 16-Aug-2018 17-Oct-2018 31-Oct-2023 31-Oct-2023 P156334 TF-A0900 Effective 19-Jun-2015 18-Nov-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Nov-2020 31-Oct-2022 P154840 TF-A1232 Closed 19-Jun-2015 18-Nov-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 Cumulative Disbursements 5/27/2021 Page 7 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P154840) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 05-Oct-2017 ,Level 2 Approved on 24-Sep-2020 Related Project(s) P156334-Pacific Resilience Program ,P167166-Additional Financing for the Pacific Resilience Project under the Pacific Resilience Program 5/27/2021 Page 8 of 8