Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized A WORLD Issues BANK HIVAIDS and Options COUNTRY in the Caribbean STUDV 21906 March2001 A WORLD BANK COUNTRY STUDY HN/AIDS in the Caribbean Issues and Options World Bank authors: Patricio V. Marquez, Charles Griffin, Victor H. Sierra, Girindre Beeharry and Robert Crown UNAIDS author: Jacob Gayle The World Bank Washington, D. C. Copyright i 2001 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/THE WORLD BANK 1818H Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20433,U.S.A. All rights reserved Manufactured in the United States of America First printing March 2001 1 23404030201 World Bank Country Studies are among the many reports originally prepared for internal use as part of the continuing analysis by the Bank of the economic and related conditions of its developing member countries and of its dialogues with the governments. 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For permission to reprint individual articles or chapters, please fax your request with complete information to the Republication Department, Copyright Clearance Center, fax 978-750-4470. All other queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to the World Bank at the address above, or fax no. 202-522-2422. ISBN:0-8213-4921-X ISSN:0253-2123 Libraryof Congress Cataloging-in-PublicationData has been applied for. TABLE OF CONTENTS ......................................................... ACKNOWLEDGMENTS VI ANDABBREVIATIONS ACRONYMS ......................................................... IX .......................................................... ExECUTIvE SUMMARY XI I INTRODUCTION ......................................................... I THEHIV/AIDS GLOBAL EPIDEMIC ......................................................... 1 What is HIVIAIDS and How Does it Spread'?......................................................... I HIVIAIDS: A Still-Emerging Epidemic......................................................... 2 Impacts of the Disease ......................................................... 3 THE CHALLENGE OF RESPONDING TOHM U/AMDS ................ ......................................... 5 REPORT OBJECTIVES ......................................................... 7 11 THE SPREAD OF HIV/AIDS IN THE CARIBBEAN ......................................................... 9 A HETEROGENEOUS THE CARIBBEAN: REGION.................................. .................... 9 HPV/AIDS PATTERNS EPIDEMIOLOGICAL . ANDTRENDSIN THECARIBBEAN 11 ..................................... Prevalence of HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean .................................................... 11 Incidence of AIDS in the Caribbean ...................................................... 13 MODES OF HIV TRANSMISSION IN THECARIBBEAN ............................................. 15 Heterosexual Transmission of HIV ...................................................... 15 Men-Who-Have-Sex-with-Men Transmission of HIV ...................................................... 16 Injecting-Drug-Use Transmission of HIV ...................................................... 17 Mother-to-Child and Blood-Borne Transmission of HIV ......................................... 17 AT HIGH RISKOF HIV INFECTION POPULATIONS IN THECARIBBEAN................................................ 17 Commercial Sex Workers....................................................... 17 Attendees of Clinics for Treating STDs ...................................................... 18 Pregnant Women...................................................... . 18 MORTALITY DUE TOAIDS IN THECARIBBEAN ......................... ............................. 18 SOCIOECONOMICIMPACTSOFAIDS IN THE CARIBBEAN ......................................... 20 THE TASK AHEAD..... .................................................. 21 HIIINTENSIFYING ACTION AGAINST HIV/AIDS: KEY CHALLENGES FOR CARIBBEAN COUNTRIES ....... 23 How HAVECARIBBEAN COuNTRIES RESPONDEDTO THEHIV/AIDS EPIDEMIC? ............................. 23 STOPPINGTHESPREAD OF HIV/AIDS-WHAT WoRKs? ................................................................... 24 PREVENTIONOF HIV/AIDS IN CARIBBEAN COUNTRIES................................................................... 25 Preventing the Sexual Transmission of HIV ................................................................... 25 Programs to prevent sexual transmnissionof HIV among children and young people...................................... 26 Programs to prevent sexual transmnissionof HIV among adults ...................................................................... 28 Programs to prevent sexual transmission of HIV by treating STDs................................................................. 30 Preventing Mother-to-Child Transrnission of HIV........................................................................... 30 Providing prophylactic drug therapy to HIV-positive mothers and their newbors ......................................... 30 Modifying newborn feeding practices ........................................................................... 30 Preventing Blood-Bome Transmnission of HIV........................................................................... 31 OF HIV/AIDS IN CARIBBEAN DIAGNOSIS COUNTRIES .................................................................... 31 CAREAND TREATMENT OF PEOPLE WITH HIV/AIDS IN CARIBBEAN CoNIuEs ........... 32 ................. Providing Community-Based Carefor People with HIVIAIDS .......................................................... 32 Treating Tuberculosis-The Leading HIV-Associated Opportunistic Disease ................................... 32 34 Providing Antiretroviral Drug Therapy for People with HIVIAIDS ......................... .......................... PROSPECTS FORTHEDEVELOPMENT OF ANAIDS VACCINE ............................................................... 35 INTENSIFYINGNATIONAL TO HIV/AIDS IN THECARIBBEAN: RESPONSES FIVE KEY STEPS ............. 35 Step 1: Increase the National Government's Commitment, Attention, and Funding Related to HIVIAIDS................................................................... 36 Step 2: Scale Up HIVIAIDS Prevention Activities ........................................... ........................ 37 iii Step 3: Scale Up HIV/AIDS Care Activities ................................................................... 37 Step 4: Support More Research on HIVIAIDS ............................ ....................................... 37 Step 5: Strengthen the Regional Response to HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean......................................... 37 IV REaIO zAL REsPoNvsEsTohIV/A1ADSINTfE CARIMEAN ................................................................ 39 RATIONALE FORA REGIONAL RESPONSE TOHIV/AIDS IN THECARIBBEAN ............... ......................39 INTERNATIoNAL DONORS'AcrIviEs RELATED TOHIV/AIDS IN THECARIBBEAN ............... ........ 40 UNAIDS and Its Co-Sponsors' Activities.................................................................. 40 European Union and Canada .................................................................. 40 U.S. Agencyfor International Development (USAID) Activities......................................................... 41 CARIBBEAN REGIONAL ORGANIZATIONS' HIV/AIDS-RELATEDINIATiVES................................... 43 CARICOM Initiatives.................................................................. 43 CAREC Initiatives .................................................................. 44 CRN+ Initiatives.................................................................. 44 THE CARIBBEAN REGIONAL STRATEGIC PLAN OFACrlON FORHIV/AIDS, 1999-2004 A REGIONAL FRAMEWORK FORCOLLABORATION ............................................................... 44 V THE WORLD BANK'S ROLE .................................................................... 47 WHATHASBEENDONEBYTHEWORLDBANK? ............................................................... 47 WHAT COULD BE DONEBYTHE WORLDBANK IN THE CARIBBEAN? ............................. ..................... 49 World Bank Participation in UNAIDS and the Local U.N. Theme Groups on HIVIAIDS .................. 49 World Bank Sector Loans and Project Supportfor HIVIAIDS-Related Activities in the Caribbean.. 50 OPERATIONALIZINGAN HIV/AIDS PREVENTIONAND CONTROL STRATEGYIN THECARIBBEAN ..... 50 Structuring a Regional HIV/AIDS Program as an APL ...................................................................... 51 Coordination withthe International FinanceCorporation to promoteprivatesectorinvolvement 54 .................. Promoting civil societyparticipation ................................................................................. 54 COST SIMULATIONS FOR HIV/AIDS PROGRAMS IN THE CARIBBEAN: MAIN ASSUMPTIONS AND RESULTS ....................................................................... 56 Model Structure and Main Assumptions ........................... ............................................... 56 Main Results.......................................................................... 58 Policy Implications ......................................................................... 59 Conclusion......................................................................... 59 ANNEX I CARIBBEAN CONFERENCE ON HI V/AIDS BARBADOS, 11 AND 12 SEPTEMBER 2000, SUMMARY STATEMENT ......................................................................... 61 REFERENCES........ ............................................................... 65 Map IBRD 30619 iv BOXES, FIGURES, AND TABLES BOXES 1-1 Facts AboutAIDS ....................................................................... 2 1-2 Communique of the 61st Meeting of the Development Committee of the World Bank/IMF on Intensifying Action Against HIV/AIDS, April 17, 2000......................................................... 6 2-1 Overview of the Caribbean Region.................................................................... 10 3-1 Stopping the Spread of HIV/AIDS-What Works?.............................................................. 24 3-2 The Health and Family Life Education (HFLE) Initiative in the Caribbean................................... 27 3-3 UNAIDS Global Strategy for Young People and HIV/AIDS: Seven Steps for Moving Forward.......... 28 3-4 The International Religious Alliance on HIV/AIDS for Africa................................................ 29 3-5 Elements Needed to Implement DOTS for Tuberculosis........................................................ 33 4-1 Overview of the Proposed European Union-Funded Project: Strengthening the Institutional Response to HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean.42 5-1 Exanples of World Bank-Funded AIDS and STD Control Projects in Brazil, Argentina, and Haiti................................................................ 47 5-2 Civil Society and HIV/AIDS Control in Brazil................................................................. 55 FIGURES 1-1 Estimated Impact of AIDS on per Capita Growth................................................................ 4 2-1 AIDS Incidence Rates in North America, Latin America, and the Caribbean, 1982-1996................. 14 2-2 Annual Incidence of Reported AIDS Cases in CAREC Member Countries................................. 15 2-3 Distribution of Cumulative AIDS Cases, by Mode of Transmission, in the Caribbean, 1998............. 16 TABLES 1-1 Global Summary of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic, December 1999................................................. 3 2-1 World HIV/AIDS Statistics by Region, December 1999......................................................... 12 2-2 HIV/AIDS Prevalence Rates Among Adults (Ages 15-49) in Countries in Latin America and the English-Speaking Caribbean, December 1997 . ........................................................ 13 3-1 Table 3-1. Public Sector Health Laboratories That Perform HIV Tests in CAREC Countries, 1994.....31 4-1 Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan ofAction for HIVIAIDS, 1999-2004: Priority Areas and Strategic Actions......................... 45 5-1 Illustrative Annual Cost Assumptions ......................... 57 5-2 Low Cost Package.......................... 58 5-3 Per Capita Costs......................... 58 v ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This report was prepared by Patricio V. Marquez, Lead Health Specialist, Human Development Sector Management Unit (LCSHD),Latin Americaand CaribbeanRegion,World Bank, with contributionsfrom Victor H. Sierra, Public Health Specialist, Consultant;Jacob Gayle, Senior Technical Advisor, Joint United Nations Program on AIDS (UNAIDS); and Robert Crown, World Bank (Ret.). Charles Griffin, HNP Sector Manager, and Girindre Beeharry, Health Economist, LCSHD, Latin America and Caribbean Region, World Bank, contributed the section on cost simulations for HIV/AIDS programs in the Caribbean, on the basis of a simulation exercise done in conjunction with the Caribbean Epidemiology Center (CAREC), the Pan American Health Organization/World Health Organization (PAHO/WHO), University of West Indies (UWI), and the World Bank. The report benefited from information, detailed comments and advice provided by Peggy McEvoy, UNAIDS Team Leader for the Caribbean; and Barrington Wint, Health Manager, Caribbean Community (CARICOM). Lani Rice Marquez, University Research Co., LLC, reviewed the draft version and provided insightful comments and advice. Kerry B. Kemp, Aracelly Woodall, Maria Colchao and Patricia Bemedo edited and supported the production of the report, respectively. Valuable comments and suggestions were provided on various drafts by Debrework Zewdie (Global HIV/AIDS Coordinator for the World Bank); Christopher Lovelace (Director, Health, Nutrition and Population-HDNHE-, World Bank); Charles Griffin (HNP Sector Manager, LCSHD, World Bank); William Experton (HD Sector Leader, LCC3C, World Bank); Anabela Abreu (LCSHD, World Bank); Tressa Alfred (World Bank); Florence Baingana (HDNHE, World Bank); Girindre Beeharry (LCSHD, World Bank); Paloma Cuchi PAHO/WHO); Maria Donoso- Clark (LCC3C, World Bank); Oscar Echeverri (Public Health Specialist, Cali, Colombia); Michele Gragnolati (LCSHD, World Bank); Ruth Levine (LCSHD, World Bank); Miguel A. Marquez (Special Adviser, UNDP); Sandra Rosenhouse (LCSHD, World Bank); Miriam Schneidman (LCSHD, World Bank); Diana Weil (HDNHE, WHO/World Bank); and Fernando Zacarias (PAHO/WHO). The report draws heavily from data and assessments on the HIV/AIDS pandemic prepared by UNAIDS, CARICOM, CAREC, PAHO/WHO, and the World Bank. The report was prepared in the Human Development Sector Management Unit, Latin America and Caribbean Region, at the request of the Caribbean Country Management Unit, Latin America and Caribbean Region, under the leadership of Xavier Coll (Director) and Orsalia Kalantzopoulos (Director), respectively. vii The report was presentedduringthe Meetingof the CaribbeanGroupon Cooperationin EconomicDevelopment(CGCED),"held at the World Bank June 12-16,2000. This meeting from member involved Prime Ministers, Ministers of Finance and other key decision-makers countries, country delegations as well as senior representatives of other international organizations,who assigned the highest priority to deal with the HIV/AIDSepidemic in the region. The report was furtherdisseminated during the RegionalConferenceon HIV/AIDSheld in Barbados,September11-12,2000.The Government of Barbados,togetherwith the CARICOM Secretariat,PAHO/WHO, UNAIDSand the World Bank sponsoredthe Conference. Present at the Conferencewere Prime Ministersof Barbados,the Bahamas,St Vincentand the Grenadines and St Kitts and Navis, the ChiefMinisterof Anguilla,as well as ministersof health,population and/or social development from The Bahamas (also representedby the Ministerof Finance), Barbados(representedby Cabinet),Belize, Cuba, Dominica, Grenada,Haiti, Jamaica,St Kitts and Nevis, St Lucia, Trinidadand Tobago,Turks and Caicos,representatives of the Presidential Commissionon HIV/AIDSfrom the DominicanRepublic as well as high level representatives from Antigua& Barbuda,Aruba, Guyana, Montserratand Suriname.Representatives of major bilateral and multilateralagencies active in the Caribbean,and representativesof civil society, academiaand the media also participated. viii ACRONYMSAND ABBREVIATIONS AIDS Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome AIDSCAP AIDS Control and Prevention Project APL Adaptable Program Lending ARV Antiretroviral AZT Azidothymidine (now called zidovudine) CAREC Caribbean Epidemiology Center CARICOM Caribbean Community and Common Market CARIFORUM Caribbean Forum CAS Country Assistance Strategy CHHP Caribbean Healthy Hotels Project CIDA Canadian International Development Agency CSW Commercial Sex Workers CRN+ Caribbean Network of People Living with HIV/AIDS DFID British Department for International Development GTZ German Technical Cooperation CTO Caribbean Tourism Organization DOTS Directly Observed Treatment, Short course (for tuberculosis) EDF Economic Development Fund EU European Union FTC French Technical Cooperation GAVI Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunizations GDP Gross Domestic Product HAART Highly Active Anti-Retroviral Therapy HFLE Health and Family Life Education Program HIV Human Immunodeficiency Virus IADB Inter-American Development Bank IAVI International AIDS Vaccine Initiative IDU Injecting Drug Use IEC Information, Education, and Communication IFC International Finance Corporation IMF International Monetary Fund IMPACT Implementing AIDS Care and Prevention Project MSM Men who have Sex with Men NGO Nongovernmental Organizations OECS Organization of Eastern Caribbean States PAHO Pan American Health Organization PROMESS Programme des Medicaments Essentiels (Essential Drugs Program) (Haiti) SIDALAC Regional AIDS Initiative for Latin America and the Caribbean STD/I Sexually Transmitted Disease/Infections TB Tuberculosis UNAIDS Joint United Nations Program on HIV/AIDS UNDCP United Nations International Drug Control Programme UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization UNFPA United Nations Fund for Population Activities UNICEF United Nations Children's Fund USAID United States Agency for International Development UWI University of West Indies WHO World Health Organization ix SUMMARY EXECUTIVE Official estimates-which are undoubtedly low-indicate that 360,000 people are living with HIV/AIDS' in the Caribbean region and that the percentage of adults ages 15 to 49 living with HIV/AIDS is approaching 2%. However, given widespread underreporting in the region, it is estimated that more than half a million people are infected with HIV. Out of the twelve countries with the highest HIV prevalence in Latin America and the Caribbean region, nine are in the Caribbean. In Haiti, the Bahamas, Barbados, the Dominican Republic, and Guyana, the HIV/AIDS epidemic has spread to the general population. In other Caribbean countries, the HIVIAIDS epidemic is still concentrated among the population groups who engage in high-risk behavior 2 -commercial sex workers, men who have sex with men, and injecting drug users-but it is accelerating rapidly and is posed to strike the general population. Currently, the primary mode of transmission of HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean is sexual intercourse between men and women. Women now account for more than a third of all AIDS cases in the Caribbean, and the infants of HIV-infected mothers can contract the disease during pregnancy, childbirth, or breast- feeding. Many young people begin sexual intercourse at an early age in the Caribbean, and since they tend not to use condoms to protect themselves, they are at high risk of contracting HIV. Intensified efforts are needed in the Caribbean region if inroads are to be made against the AIDS epidemic. Although many Caribbean governments have initiated a limited response to HIV/AIDS, much remains to be done to bring proven interventions quickly up to nationwide scale. There is no time to delay because HIV/AIDS is unique among diseases in combining seven attributes: HIV spreads very fast. People who contract HIV may remain infectious for many years without knowing they have the virus or showing any symptoms. The potential for spread is high. * It reduces life expectancy, which is positively related to savings, productivity, and education. * HIV/AIDS primarily affects young people, ages 15 to 49, who are in the prime of their lives as workers and parents. * People with AIDS suffer repeated and prolonged illnesses, imposing great costs on households and health systems. * AIDS breaks down social cohesion, challenges value systems, and raises deeply rooted and sensitive gender inequalities. * There is no AIDS vaccine and no cure. There is a growing recognition that HIV/AIDS is not just a serious health issue in developing countries, but a major developmental catastrophe that threatens to dismantle the social and economic achievements of the past half century. The challenge for Caribbean countries is to I AIDS stands for "acquired immunodeficiency syndrome" (a syndrome being a cluster of medical conditions). AIDS is caused by the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), which weakens and then destroys the body's immune system, leaving a person vulnerable to serious "opportunistic infections" (e.g., tuberculosis, pneumonia) which ultimately lead to death. 2 High-risk behavior is defined as engaging in unprotected (i.e., without a condom) sexual intercourse with many partners or sharing of unsterilized needles or other injecting equipment. xi learn from the dramatic experiences of some African countries and act decisively now to prevent the progressive extension of the epidemic to the general population. What happened in Africa in less than two decades could now happen in the Caribbean if action is not taken while the epidemic is in the early stages. Fortunately, there is still an opportunity in the Caribbean to prevent HIV/AIDS rates from escalating to the alarming levels found in many sub-Saharan African countries. This report provides an overview of the challenges and opportunities in addressing the problem of HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean. It presents a snapshot the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the region, offers examples of ways in which Caribbean countries and regional bodies such as the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) have responded to the epidemic, discuss alternative actions for addressing the crisis, and highlights a range of strategies for donor coordination and cooperation in the region. Finally, the report identifies the potential role of the World Bank in addressing the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the Caribbean. THESPREAD OFHIV/AIDS INTHECARIBBEAN Prevalence of HIV in the Caribbean With the HIV prevalence among Caribbean adults ages 15 to 49 approaching 2%, the Caribbean region currently has the highest HlV prevalence rate of any region in the world other than the AIDS-ravaged sub-Saharan Africa, where the prevalence of HIV among adults ages 15 to 49 is reported to be 8.0%. As noted below, the primary reported mode of HIV transmission among adults in the Caribbean region is sexual intercourse between men and women. In part because women are more vulnerable to HIV infection than men due to gender inequality issues, the percentage of women with the disease is rising. As of 1999, about 35% of the adults affected with HIV in the Caribbean region were women. Mother-to-child or vertical transmission now accounts for 6% of all reported AIDS cases in the Caribbean region. Incidence of AIDS in the Caribbean CARICOM estimates that more new cases of HIV/AIDS were reported in the Caribbean between 1995 and 1998 than had been reported since the beginning of the epidemic in the early 1980s. Currently, the Caribbean region has the highest AIDS incidence rate-i.e., number of new AIDS cases per million population per year-in the Americas. From 1991 to 1996, the AIDS incidence rate in the English-speaking Caribbean increased from 142.3 new AIDS per million to 246.2 cases per million. In the Latin Caribbean countries, although Cuba remains with a low AIDS incidence rate, data from Haiti and the Dominican Republic show a similar upward trend. If Puerto Rico is included in the Latin Caribbean figures, the observed trend becomes more pronounced. Modes of HIV Transmission in the Caribbean The primary mode of HIV transmission in the Caribbean is unprotected sexual intercourse-that is, sexual intercourse without use of a condom. More than half of all the AIDS reported cases in the Caribbean region are the result of unprotected sexual intercourse between men and women. xii Apart from sexual transmission, other modes of HIV transmission in the Caribbean region are the use of contaminated needles by intravenous drug users; blood-borne transmission; and, increasingly, mother-to-child perinatal transmission. Mortalityand Socioeconomic Impactsof HIV/AIDSin the Caribbean In the English-speaking Caribbean, AIDS is now the largest cause of death among young men between the ages of 15 and 44. In some parts of the Dominican Republic, AIDS has become the most common cause of death among young women, in particular, women between 20 and 34 years of age. By the end of 1999, the cumulative number of Caribbean children estimated to have been orphaned by HIV/AIDS at age 14 or younger stood at 83,000. The emergence of AIDS as a major health problem places a tremendous burden on the health care systems of the Caribbean countries. HIV has a long latency period, so some of the social and economic consequences of the HIV/AIDS epidemic may not be felt immediately. Eventually, however, unless the epidemic is curbed, economic sectors such as agriculture, tourism, mining, lumber, finance, and trade will suffer as a result of lost productivity due to AIDS-related illness and premature deaths among economically active adults. As recognized by the United Nations Security Council, and the United States Government, HIV/AIDS has manifested itself as not only a challenge to sustainable development but has now become a threat to national sovereignty and global security. These concerns are highly relevant for the Caribbean because its HIV/AIDS epidemic could create significant externalities beyond the region (e.g., according to recent health data, the fastest growing epidemic within Canada is amongst Canadians from the Caribbean, mainly Haitian in Montreal; the second highest urban HIV seroprevalence in the United States is found in San Juan, Puerto Rico). The high-profile international attention to this issue implies that Caribbean governments cannot deny or ignore it anymore. ACTION INTENSIFYING HIV/AIDS: KEYCHALLENGES AGAINST FORCARIBBEAN COUNTRIES Preventionof HIV/AIDSin CaribbeanCountries In order to be successful,HIV/AIDSpreventioncampaignsin Caribbeancountriesmust work on three basic levels: * Preventing the sexual transmission of HIV in young people and adults. Young people represent half of the people who become infected with HIV. For that reason, great importance needs to be given to ensure sure that young people, along with the adult population, have understanding, motivation, skills, tools, and freedom to adopt behaviors that protect them from HIV infection. Reaching young people is a key element in the prevention of the AIDS epidemic. * Preventing mother-to-child transmission of HIV. Many HIV-positive women in developing countries, including the Caribbean, do not have access to prophylactic drugs that can help prevent HIV transmission during pregnancy and delivery. Furthermore, HIV-positive women in developing countries breast-feed their babies and transmit HIV to them that way. Nevirapine (sold as Viramune) appears to prevent mother-to-child HIV transmission even better than the antiviral drug zidovudine (AZT) and at a considerably lower cost. Information gaps need to be xiii addressed in order to make final recommendations on breast-feeding and medical care policies for HIV-positive women in Caribbean countries. Preventing blood-borne transmission of HIV. The screening of donated blood and plasma for HIV antibody began in the Caribbean in 1985. People at risk have also been encouraged not to donate blood. The fact that transmission of HIV through blood or blood products accounts for less than 3% of AIDS cases in most of the Caribbean suggests that additional efforts are needed to eliminate this source of infection. Diagnosisof HIV/AIDSin CaribbeanCountries HIV testing is available in both public and private sector laboratories in the Caribbean. In Caribbean Epidemiology Center (CAREC) member countries, total requests for HIV testing in public sector laboratories rose 44% from 1986 and 1994, and recent trends indicate that the demand for testing will continue to increase. of PeoplewithHIV/AIDSin Caribbean Care and Treatment Countries The treatment of HIV/AIDS in most Caribbean countries, as in other developing countries, is negligible. Public health programs are under-funded in some countries that health agencies cannot afford inexpensive medications for opportunistic infections such as tuberculosis, much less the thousands of dollars it can cost to treat a single patient with the new combinations of antiviral drugs. In several countries, religious institutions and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) are the primary providers of care for people living with HIV/AIDS. Their efforts have expanded partly in response to the growing deficiencies in HIV/AIDS care offered by the public health sector. A representative of the Caribbean Network for People Living with HIV/AIDS (CRN+) notes that an HIV-positive diagnosis is usually seen as a death sentence in the Caribbean. People suspected of being HIV-positive are scorned and cast out. The wider community needs more education to combat this stigmatization and discrimination. of an AIDSVaccine Prospectsfor the Development There is no certainty that a vaccine which will be suitable, effective, and affordable in developing countries will be developed in the foreseeable future. Just as the hope for improved access to costly AIDS drugs should not undermine a strong and unrelenting effort to prevent HIV transmission in developing countries through existing preventive measures, neither should the hope of an AIDS vaccine. to HIV/AIDSin the Caribbean: IntensifyingNationalResponses Five KeySteps Governments of all Caribbean countries (with their development partners) need to expand and intensify their responses rapidly, and to address HIV/AIDS as a multisectoral development issue-not only a health concern. At the national level, the following five actions are fundamental: * Step #1: Increase the national government's commitment, attention, and funding to combat the HIV/AIDS epidemic. It is vital that national leaders in the Caribbean region turn their full attention to the challenges of the epidemic. Their support is crucial to the long-term success of any national or regional effort. xiv * prevention activities at the national and community levels. In Step #2: Scale up HIVWAIDS scalingup HIV/AIDSpreventionactivities,the focus in Caribbeancountriesshouldbe on a core set of prevention activities already shown to be both effective and feasible: (1) communicationsthat move audiences, especiallyyouths, from awarenessof HIV/AIDSto risk-reducing behavior; (2) making condoms, the treatment of STDs, and voluntary counselingand testing for HIV more accessible;(3) ensuring a safe blood supply; and (4) reducing mother-to-childtransmissionof HIV. Communitiesand NGOs should receive directfinancialsupportfor preventionactivitiesat thelocal level. * Step #3: Scale up HIV/AIDS care activities at the national and community levels. Strategies should be mounted by Caribbean countries and their partners to provide high-quality communityand home-basedcare to people with HIV/AIDS.Also needed are programsto care for the childrenorphanedby AIDS. * Step #4: Support more HIV/AIDS-related research at the national level. Continued research is needed into the cost of HIV/AIDStreatment and care alternatives,impact and costs of HIV/ALDS of existingtools in different for differenteconomicsectors, and the effectiveness culturaland infrastructuresettings. * Step #5: Strengthen regional responses to the epidemic in the Caribbean. Regional responses to the HIV/AIDSepidemicare discussedbelow. REGIONAL RESPONSES TO HIV/AIDSIN THE CARIBBEAN There are several good arguments for mounting a strong regional response to HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean region. First, most of the countries in the Caribbean region are too small and/or too poor to support a national capacity to respond adequately to the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Second, with migration, the HIV/AID epidemic is clearly a problem that transcends national boundaries. in their effortsto Internationaldonorscouldassist Caribbeancountriesand regionalorganizations mount an effective regional response to the epidemic. The Response of the Caribbean Countries All of the Caribbean countries have established National AIDS Programs and developed short- and medium-term plans for responding to the epidemic. Caribbean governments-in partnership with regional and international agencies-have sought to address the various aspects of the epidemic in the region. As a result, throughout the Caribbean region, there are country- level successes. Yet, despite these efforts, what is needed in most of the Caribbean countries is a comprehensive, multisectoral national response that engages government, civil society, and international donors, as well as scaled up efforts to serve entire national populations. International Donors' Activities Related to HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean The European Union (EU) and its member countries, the Joint United Nations Program on AIDS (UNAIDS) and its co-sponsors, the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), and the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA) are the primary international donors involved in the HIV/AIDS-relatedactivities in Caribbean countries. Currently,the EU and its member states are the major externalfinanciers of the response to HI/AIDS in the Caribbean, having committed or disbursed over 11 million Euros to date. The EU is contemplating a major new initiative to assist CARICOM member states respond to HI/AIDS: Strengthening the Institutional Response to HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean Project. However, the proposed project, which will last three years and cost 6.425 million Euros, is not yet xv effective. It involves six regional agencies: CARICOM, CAREC, CRN+, UNAIDS, the Caribbean Research Council and the University of the West Indies. Caribbean Regional Organizations' HIV/AIDS-Related Initiatives The Secretariat of the CARICOM-the organization responsible for regional policy and cooperation in the Caribbean region-has assumed a lead role in regional HIV/AIDS initiatives in the Caribbean. The Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS, chaired by the CARICOM Secretariat, recently led a wide consultation process and developed a comprehensive five-year strategic plan for the region. That plan is discussed further below. Two other organizations involved in regional HIV/AIDS initiatives in the Caribbean are CAREC and the CRN+. CAREC operates a Special Program on Sexually Transmitted Infections in the English- and Dutch-speaking Caribbean countries. CRN+, an organization established in 1996, is based in Trinidad and Tobago but has affiliates in 17 countries in the region. Its goals are to share information, build capacity among persons living with HIV/AIDS, and support HIV/AIDS advocacy efforts in the Caribbean. The Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan of Action for HIV/AIDS The Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan of Action for HIVIAIDS, 1999-2004, includes six major areas for regional action: (1) advocacy, policy development, and legislation; (2) care and support of people living with HIV/AIDS; (3) prevention of HIV transmission in young people; (4) prevention of HIV transmission among vulnerable populations; (5) prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV; and (6) strengthening national and regional response capabilities. The National AIDS Program Directors met in Antigua in June 1999 to review and approve the draft regional strategic plan, and the final version of the plan was published in February 2000. The implementation of the five-year plan will be overseen by the Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS under CARICOM's leadership. The activities called for in the plan will be financed largely through existing and new programs and projects. The success of this CARICOM-led regional effort will hinge on the willingness of the leaders of the Caribbean countries to collaborate, as well as on the commitment of the EU, the World Bank, and other international donors. THE WORLDBANK'SROLEIN THE CARIBBEAN What Has Been Done by the World Bank? The World Bank is one the leading financiers of HIV/AIDS activities in the world. Since 1986, the Bank has committed over US$988.5 million worldwide to more than 80 ongoing and future projects to prevent and control the spread of HIV/AIDS. In sub-Saharan Africa, the World Bank has recently adopted a new strategic approach to addressing the devastating consequences of HIV/AIDS on development. In the new strategy, the World Bank treats AIDS as a priority development issue that impacts upon all sectors of the economy and focuses on bringing successful interventions to a national or regional scale. WhatCouldBe Done by the WorldBank in the Caribbean? Except in the Dominican Republic and Haiti, the World Bank's presence in the health sector of the wider Caribbean is relatively limited. The World Bank could broaden its activities in the Caribbean to have a significant impact on the HIV/AIDS epidemic there (1) by actively participating in UNAIDS and local U.N. Theme Groups on HIV/AIDS; and (2) by incorporating xvi HIV/AIDS prevention and control activities for Caribbean countries into its country assistance strategies and lending programs. an HIV/AIDS Operationalizing Preventionand ControlStrategyin the Caribbean The WorldBank could finance a Multi-Country HIV/AIDSAdaptableProgramLending (APL) for the Caribbean to assist the governments of the region to scale up HIV/AIDS preventionand controlactivities. It wouldhelp buildstrongregionaland nationalleadershipwith broad participation, and establish an institutional platform for long-term sustainability. In coordinationwith the InternationalFinanceCorporation(IFC)efforts couldalso be madeto enlist the private sector in HIV/AIDS prevention and control efforts. Additionally, as done in Brazil, World Bank support may help promote active involvementof civil society organizations. Accordingto recent estimatesabout US$260 millionper year, or a 10-fold increase in current national,internationaland private spendingon HIV/AIDSpreventionand care, wouldbe needed to effectivelyslow the spreadof HIV and to treat AIDSvictimswith dignityand compassion. Conclusion No single step will suffice to curb the relentless spread of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the countries of the Caribbean. What is needed is a balanced combination of advocacy, incentives, disincentives, funding, and policy support. The overarching goal of support for developing countries from the World Bank and other development partners should be to help every country at risk to establish an appropriate national HIV/AIDS program comprising basic prevention, basic treatment, and basic care. It should be clear, however, that while costly drugs are available to a small percentage of the world's people, behavior change is the only way to safeguard against infection in most of the world. Concerted action by Caribbean governments and Caribbean regional agencies such as CARICOM, in partnership with civil society, the private sector and NGOs, and with the assistance of the international community, will help to mitigate the adverseimpactof AIDSon peopleof the Caribbeanregionin yearsto come. xvii "Many of us used to think of AIDS as a health issue. We were wrong. AIDS can no longer be confined to the health or social sector portfolios. AIDS is turning back the clock on development. " James Wolfensohn, "War on AIDS, " Appearance by World Bank President before U.N. Security Council, January 10, 2000. I INTRODUCTION THE HIV/AIDS GLOBAL EPIDEMIC As reported in newspaper articles and other publications, a deadly scourge lies beneath the "tropical tranquility" of the Caribbean-HIV/AIDS. AIDS stands for "acquired immunodeficiency syndrome" (a syndrome being a cluster of medical conditions). AIDS is caused by the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), which weakens and then destroys the body's immune system. HIV/AIDS has spread rapidly in the last two decades, causing massive human death and suffering, particularly in the developing world. There is a growing recognition that HIV/AIDS is not just a serious health issue in developing countries, but a major developmental catastrophe that threatens to dismantle the social and economic achievements of the past half-century. What is HIV/AIDS and How Does it Spread? HIV/AIDS is a fatal, sexually transmitted disease or infection (STD). Once a person is infected with HIV, he or she is infected for life. In all but a very small proportion of cases, HIV/AIDS destroys a person's immune system. The time between becoming HIV positive and the onset of AIDS varies. In industrialized countries, the average time between infection with HIV and the appearance of symptoms is about 10 years, but in the poorest countries of the world, without access to proper care, the time is sometimes as short as five years. Once an HIV-infected person's immune system is severely damaged, he or she becomes vulnerable to life-threatening "opportunistic infections" (e.g., pneumonia, tuberculosis) and is diagnosed as having AIDS. Most patients succumb to opportunistic infections within two years after the onset of AIDS (UNAIDS, 1999). Worldwide, about half of all of the people who become infected with HIV acquire the infection before age 25, and they typically die of the opportunistic affections associated with AIDS before their 3 5th birthday. For this reason, AIDS is uniquely threatening to both young people who are at risk for infection and children who are orphaned by HIV/AIDS. According to UNAIDS, the Joint United Nations Program on AIDS, by the end of 1999, the AIDS epidemic had left behind a cumulative total of 11.2 million orphans, defined as children having lost their mother before reaching the age of 15 (UNAIDS, 1999). Not everybody is equally likely to become infected with HIV and to transmit it to others. Like other STDs, HIV is difficult to spread except by sex or other direct contact with the bodily fluids of an infected person (see Box 1-1). About three-quarters of HIV transmission worldwide occurs through sexual intercourse; of these cases, about three-quarters involve heterosexual intercourse and one-quarter involve sexual relations between men. The other modes of HIV transmission are transfusions of contaminated blood or blood products, reuse of contaminated syringes by injecting drug users, infection via birth or nursing from an HIV-positive mother to her child during pregnancy, childbirth, or breast-feeding, and reuse of needles in medical settings. HIV cannot be transmitted by a sneeze, a handshake, or other casual contact (Confronting AIDS, 1998). In the United States and other industrialized countries, medical breakthroughs have prolonged and improved the quality of lives of people living with HIV. As noted in a recent World Bank publication, however, medical breakthroughs in treating Box 1-1. FactsAboutAIDS HIV infection in industrialized * Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is a "retrovirus" countries, although encouraging, that spreadsthroughunprotected sexualintercourse(that are still very far from offering a is, intercourse without a condom), transfusions of technologically feasible or unscreened blood contaminated with HIV, needles affordable cure for the people in contaminatedwith HIV (most frequently for injecting the developing world (Confronting drug use but also in medicalsettings),and from infected AIDS, 1998). women to their child during pregnancy,childbirth, or breast-feeding. HIV/AIDS: A Still-Emerging * HIV is a slow-acting virus. The majority of HIV- Epidemic infected individualslook healthy and feel well for many years after infection; they may not even suspect they The extent of the global harborthe virus,thoughthey can transmitit to others. It HIV/AIDS epidemic is suggested is estimated that 90% of all HIV-infected people by the numbers presented in Table worldwide do not know they have the virus. A 1-1. By the end of 1999, 33.6 laboratoryblood or saliva test is the only certain way to million people worldwide were determinewhetheran individual is HIV-positive. living with HIV, including 1.2 * Once an individualhas an establishedHIV infection,he million children under the age of or she is infected for life. HIV weakensa person's 15. About 95% of these 33.6 immunesystem,reducingthe person's abilityto fight off million HIV-positive people illnesses. As the immunesystemloses its abilityto fight resided in developing countries. off infections, serious illnesses, called "opportunistic Thesidcountriesofthdeveloping cinfections," appear. Treatmentwith antiretroviral (ARV) Thecni otdrugscan slow the progressionof HIV infectionto the world have also experienced 95% serious illnesses that define AIDS, but these expensive of all deaths to date from AIDS, medications are not available to most people in the largely among young adults in their developingworld, who often lack accesseven to drugs peak productive and reproductive that combat opportunisticinfections.Thus, most people years. In some countries of sub- in the developing world succumb to serious Saharan Africa, the social, opportunisticinfectionswithin two years after the onset economic, and other effects of of AIDS. AIDS deaths have already reached crisis levels. The impacts in other countries will be magnified as HIV Source: UNAIDS, 1999. infection rates continue to rise, particularly in countries where poverty, poor health systems, and limited resources for prevention and care fuel the spread of HIV. In most developing countries, treatment of HIV/AIDS is negligible, and health systems are struggling even to provide symptomatic care or the treatment of opportunistic infections among people with HIV/AIDS. 2 Table 1-1. Global Summary of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic, December 1999 People newly infected with HIV in 1999 TOTAL 5.6 million Adults 5 million Women 2.3 million Children < 15 years 570,000 Number of people living with HIV/AIDS TOTAL 33.6 million Adults 32.4 million Women 14.8 million Children< 15 years 1.2million AIDS deaths in 1999 TOTAL 2.6 million Adults 2.1 million Women 1.1 million Children< 15years 470,000 Total number of AIDS deaths since the TOTAL 16.3 million beginning of the epidemic Adults 12.7 million Women 6.2 million Children< 15years 3.6million 1999. Source: UNAIDS, Impacts of the Disease HIV/AIDS is unique among diseases in combining seven attributes: 3 * HIV spreads very fast. * People who contract HIV may remain infectious for many years without knowing they have the virus or showing any symptoms. The potential for spread is high. - It reduces life expectancy, which is positively related to savings, productivity, and education. * HIV/AIDS primarily affects young people, ages 15 to 49, who are in the prime of their lives as workers and parents. * People with AIDS suffer repeated and prolonged illnesses, imposing great costs on households and health systems. * AIDS breaks down social cohesion, challenges value systems, and raises deeply rooted and sensitive gender inequalities. * There is no AIDS vaccine and no cure. In some parts of Africa, HIV/AIDS is already reversing hard-won gains in life expectancy made during the last four decades. Average life expectancy in developing countries rose from 49 years in 1950 to 70 years in 1990. In southern Africa, life expectancy at birth rose from 44 years in the early 1950s to 59 in the early 1990s; as a result of AIDS, however, life 3 This sectionis largelyfrom the WorldBank's document"Intensifying presentedto the ActionAgainstHIV/AlDS," Development Committee, April 17,2000. 3 expectancy in the region is now set to drop back to 45 years between 2005 and 2010. In contrast, people living in south Asia, who could barely expect to reach their 40'h birthday in 1950, can expect by 2005 to be living 22 years longer than their counterparts in AIDS-ravaged southern Africa (UNAIDS, 1999). This too, however, will be challenged unless the Asian sub-epidemic is confronted vigorously before it reaches African dimensions. As the number of HIV/AIDS rises in a developing country or region, the negative consequences become more severe. Health systems become overburdened. The fiscal cost of HIV/AIDS is significant. One year of basic treatment for a person with AIDS costs an estimated two to three times the per capita gross domestic product (GDP) in medical costs alone. Most of these costs are typically borne by the public sector, which faces difficult choices. As the number of AIDS cases increases, so does the cost. In a country with HIV prevalence of 15% (i.e., 15% of the population is infected with the virus), the estimated budgetary cost could rise from 2.5% of GDP today to 6.0% by 2010. In sub-Saharan Africa, there is massive suffering due to HIV/AIDS, and millions of children have been orphaned by the disease. Social systems have become overburdened, and the health and education gains of the poor have been reversed. Recent World Bank research suggests that HIV/AIDS Figure 1-1. Estimated Impact of AIDS on per has a substantial negative impact Capita Growth on economic growth. This relationship was difficult to discern when HIV prevalence rates were lower, but it now 0.0% appears that the economic impact grows as the HIV/AIDS epidemic -0.2% advances. As long as prevalence & S -0.4% of HIV remains below about 5%, o 2i per capita growth is minimally -0.6%- affected. As prevalence rises, per -0.8% capita growth begins to decline, as 0 shown in Figure 1-1. When the to 0-. prevalence reaches 8%-about E -1.2% where it is in 21 African countries 1% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% today-the cost in per capita growth is about 0.4 percentage AdultHIVRate points per year. Compared to historical performance in Africa, such losses are significant. Annual per capita growth in Africa as a whole for the past three years has been about 1.2%, for instance. In countries such as Zimbabwe, where the HIV prevalence rate exceeds 25%, annual per capita growth is probably a full percentage point lower than it otherwise would be. 4 4 THE CHALLENGE OF RESPONDINGTO HIV/AIDS If action is not taken while the epidemicis young, what happenedin Africain less than two decadescould now happenanywherein developingand transitioneconomies.Althoughthe spread of HIV infection is largely the result of private decisions,governmentinterventionto preventit isjustified for severalreasons: * As recognizedby the United Nations Security Counciland the UnitedStates Government, HIV/AIDShas manifesteditself as not only a challengeto sustainabledevelopmentbut has nowbecomea threatto nationalsovereigntyand globalsecurity. * Some individualscannot control their own risk of HEVinfection (e.g., spouses, newborns, victimsof rape,accidentvictimswhoneed a blood transfusion). * InformationregardingHIV transmissionis imperfect. * HIV makespeoplevulnerableto otherinfectiousdiseases,includingtuberculosis. * AIDScannotbe cured. * Adult deathsimposecostson otherfamilymembersand the rest of society. - AIDS mayincreaseboth the magnitudeand depthof poverty. - Marketsto insure againstprematuredeathsand HIV areincomplete. In the Caribbean region and elsewhere, many national governmentshave initiated a response to HIV/AIDS. Few, however, have brought their response to the scale necessary. More than 360,000 people are reported living with HIV/AIDS in the wider, independent Caribbean, and the percentage of adults ages 15 to 49 living with AIDS is 2%. The HIV/AIDS epidemic in the Caribbean is second only to that of sub-Saharan Africa in terms of its percentage of adult population affected and rate of acceleration. In some Caribbean countries (the Bahamas, Barbados, the Dominican Republic, Guyana, Haiti) HIV/AIDS epidemic has already spread to the general population. Some of these countries (e.g., Haiti) have some of the poorest socio-economic and health indicators in the Western Hemisphere, which will only exacerbate the HIV/AIDS problem. In other Caribbean countries, while the HIV/AIDS epidemic is largely concentrated among certain population groups practicing high-risk behaviors (e.g., commercial sex workers, men having sex with men), it is accelerating rapidly and is posed to spread to the rest of the population. Puerto Rico, a Caribbean island that is geographically and functionally central to the region, has the second highest urban HIV infection rate within the United States. Though officially included within United States statistics, Puerto Rico must be considered when estimating the true impact of the epidemic upon Caribbean peoples and resources. The challenge for these countries, therefore, is to learn from the experiences of some African countries and act decisively now to prevent the progressive extension of the epidemic from these groups to the rest of the population. Multisectoral and multidisciplinary development approaches are therefore needed to intervene effectively and address vulnerability in a broader environment where situations of risk occur. 4 This sectionis basedon the World Bank's document"IntensifyingAction AgainstHIV/AIDS,"presentedto the Development Committee, "Confronting April 17, 2000. It alsodrawsfromanotherWorldBankdocument: AIDS," 1998. 5 There is now growing support for the rapid intensification of international action against HIV/AIDS. Ministers attending the 61st meeting of the Development Conunittee of the World Bank/International Monetary Fund (IMF) held in Washington, DC, on April 17, 2000, for example, recognized that the HIV/AIDS epidemic not only poses an acute danger to development in sub-Saharan Africa, but is also a rapidly growing threat in Asia and the Caribbean, and a probable threat in many Eastern European countries and elsewhere as well (see Box 1-2). Clearly, the governments of developing countries cannot address the HIV/AIDS problem alone. Given the scope of the epidemic and limited resources of these countries, sustained support from the World Bank and other development partners of these countries will be required. The overniding goal of support in the Caribbean region should be to help every country at risk develop an appropriate national HIV/AIDS program comprising basic prevention, basic treatment, and basic care. Box 1-2. Communique Committee of the 6 1st Meetingof the Development of the WorldBank/IMF on Intensifying ActionAgainstHIVWAIDS, April17,2000 Ministersat the meetingemphasized that the HIV/AIDS epidemic,whichhas alreadyinfectedabout 50 millionpeopleworldwide,is not only a very seriouspublic healthconcernand the cause of great human suffering,but a severe danger to developmentprogress itself. Ministers recognizedthat HIV/AIDSweakens economicgrowth, governance, human capital, labor productivity, and the investmentclimate, thereby underminingthe foundationsof developmentand poverty reduction. Ministers noted that the epidemic now not only poses an acute danger to developmentin sub- SaharanAfrica,but is a rapidlygrowingthreat in Asia and the Caribbean,and a probablethreat in many EasternEuropeancountriesand elsewhereas well. As HIV spreadsquickly,even countries anti-HIV/AIDS with currentlylow infectionratescannotaffordto delay strengthening programs. In view of this alarmingsituation, the Committeecalled for rapid intensification of international action on the global HIV/AIDS crisis. Giventhe urgencyof preventionand the vast needsfor care and treatment,the Committeestressedthe importanceof effectivepartnershipsto encourageeach actorin the internationalsystemto focus on its comparative strength.Ministersurged governments, international agencies,civil society,the media and the private sector,includingthe pharmaceutical industry,to step up their efforts, buildingon experiencegained in ongoingactivities.They urged developing and transition countries to increase their political and economic commitment to combatingHIV/AIDS,to addressthe epidemic on a multisectoralbasis, to scale up programs to nationwide-and in some cases, regional-scope, to strengthenthe primary health care systems needed for effective delivery of services, and to provide more resources directly to local communities. The Committeeencouraged industrializedcountriesand internationalorganizationsto mainstream HIV/AIDS in their developmentprograms and to devote increased financial and institutionalresourceson a scale commensuratewith the scope of the crisis.Ministers recognized that support for capacity building is particularly important in addressing this long-lasting development problem. Ministerswelcomedthe World Bank's expandedeffortsagainstHIV/AIDS,in particularits active participationin the UNAIDSpartnership, its new HIV/AlDSstrategyfor Africa,and its work with the Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunizations.They urged the Bank to intensify its HIV/AIDS work on a globalbasis,focusingon its areas of expertise,andcalled on the World Bank and the IMF to take full accountof HIV/AIDSin their supportfor povertyreductionstrategiesand the HIPC(HeavilyIndebtedPoorCountries) Initiative. Source: World Bank, 2000. 6 REPORT OBJECTIVES This report provides an overviewof the challengesand opportunitiesin addressingthe problemof HIV/AIDSin the Caribbean. The followingchapterspresentinformationconcerning selectedHIV/AIDStopicsrelevantto the Caribbean,attemptto capturethe stateof HIV/AIDSin the regionas it movesinto the 21 Century,offer examplesof waysin which the countriesof the Caribbean have responded to the mosaic of HIV/AIDS epidemics in the region, discuss alternative actions for addressing the crisis, and highlight a range of strategies for donor coordinationand cooperationin the region,includingthe WorldBank. The report drawsheavily from data and assessmentspreparedby UNAIDS,the CaribbeanCommunity(CARICOM),the CaribbeanEpidemiology Center(CAREC), the Pan AmericanHealthOrganization/World Health Organization (PAHO/WHO), and WorldBank documents. 7 "AIDS isfar more than a medical problem. AIDS is far more than a national problem. AIDS is far from over. " Kofi A. Annan, Secretary-General of the United Nations. IITHE SPREADOF HIV/AIDS IN THE CARIBBEAN THECARIBBEAN: REGION A HETEROGENEOUS The Caribbean region is an extraordinarily diverse region of about 36 million people (see Box 2-1). It includes English-, Spanish-, French-, and Dutch-speaking nations and territories of varying sizes. The region's average regional economic growth rate of about 2% over the past decade has been insufficient to generate adequate employment and reduce poverty, and individual countries are at varying stages of development. Some Caribbean countries, including Barbados, the Bahamas, Antigua, and Bermuda, are ranked high according to the U.N. Human Development Index, and most others, with the exception of Haiti, are ranked at a medium level. The region as a whole is undergoing a demographic transition-a process of population change consisting of a gradual evolution from high birth and death rates to low ones. Haiti with high birth and death rates is at the lowest stage of demographic transition, Jamaica, Bahamas and Barbados are at the highest. In some countries, including the Bahamas, the Dominican Republic, and Trinidad and Tobago, the urbanization process is far advanced (more than 60% of the population reside in urban areas); however, in other countries, including Haiti, large segments of the population still live in rural areas. Economic activity in the region varies and includes the export of petroleum in Trinidad and Tobago to heavy reliance on tourism and banana exports in the countries that are part of the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States (OECS). Available data, presented in this chapter, suggest that the HIV/AIDS epidemic is spreading alarmingly in the Caribbean region. CARICOM estimates that more cases of HIV/AIDS were reported in the Caribbean between 1995 and 1998 than had been reported since the beginning of the epidemic in the early 1980s. Perhaps not surprisingly, given the region's heterogeneity, the epidemics in the Caribbean have different driving forces and transmission routes. Different countries have also varied in their responses to HIV/AIDS. As a result, the Caribbean region as a whole might be considered to have not a single HIV/AIDS epidemic, but a "mosaic" of epidemics (Confronting AIDS, 1998): * Haiti, Bahamas, Barbados, the Dominican Republic, and Guyana have generalized epidemics, meaning that HIV has spread far beyond the original subpopulations with high- risk behavior,5 and 5% or more of women attending prenatal clinics are infected. Better reporting system in Barbados and Bahamas are contributing to a better understanding of the magnitude of the epidemic. * Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago have concentrated HIW/AIDS epidemics, meaning that their national epidemics are still affecting primarily population groups practicing high-risk 5 High-risk behaviour is defined as engaging in unprotected (i.e., without a condom) sexual intercourse with many partners or sharing of unsterilized needles or other injecting equipment. 9 behaviors (among whom infection rates exceed 5%) but are set to spread more widely in the rest of the population. * Other countries in the Caribbean either have insufficient information to be classified or have nascent epidemics, meaning HIV/AIDS prevalence is still low (less than 5%-even among people presumed to practice high-risk behavior). Box 2-1. Overview of the Caribbean Region Definitions of the territorial scope of the Caribbean vary. Probably the "social/cultural" definition of the "wider" Caribbean region is most relevant as it pertains to the HIV/AIDS epidemic within the region. The "wider" Caribbean region includes the following: 1. The sovereign-state members of the Caribbean Community (CARICOM), including both island-nations (Antigua and Barbuda, The Bahamas, Barbados, Dominica, Grenada, Haiti, Jamaica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, and Trinidad and Tobago) and the mainland countries of Belize in Central America, and Guyana and Suriname in South America. 2. Spanish-speaking Cuba and the Dominican Republic. 3. The semiautonomous states of the Kingdom of the Netherlands (Aruba and the Netherlands Antilles islands of Bonaire, Curacao, Saint Marten, Statia, and Saba). 4. The British-dependent territories of Anguilla, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Montserrat, and the Turks and Caicos Islands. 5. The U.S. commonwealth of Puerto Rico and territory of the U.S. Virgin Islands. 6. The territories of the Republic of France consisting of French Guyana, St. Marten, Guadeloupe, and Martinique. The Caribbean is a multiethnic region with many cultural differences. There are English-speaking countries (e.g., Trinidad and Tobago), Spanish-speaking countries (e.g., the Dominican Republic), French-speaking countries (e.g., Haiti), and Dutch-speaking countries (e.g., Suriname). The majority of the population is of African descent, but there are also people of European, Hispanic, and Asian ancestry (e.g., East Indians in Trinidad and Tobago and Guyana). The mainland states of Belize, Guyana, and Suriname, which by virtue of language and cultural heritage, form part of the Caribbean region, are much larger in land mass than the island states of the Caribbean: Belize (29,963 km2 , population 215,000), Guyana (219,470 km2 , population 813,000), and Suriname (163,820 km2 , population 437,000). The island states of the Caribbean vary in size and population from Anguilla (91 km2 and 8,000 inhabitants) to Jamaica 11,424 km2 and a population of 2,447,000. Historically, the Caribbean region has been strongly influenced by Europe and the United States. Many of the English-speaking Caribbean countries have modeled their educational system, the legal system and the political system on the United Kingdom. The countries of the English-speaking Caribbean have a combined population of around 6.7 million scattered over the vast Caribbean Sea, whose farthest points span about 3,500 kilometers between the coasts of Belize and Guyana. The Bahamas and the Dominican Republic are economically reliant on the United States. France and Holland also have strong links with some of the non- English speaking countries, for example Martinique and Curacao. Therefore, there has been much migration from these countries to the Caribbean. The Caribbean is also a major tourist destination, attracting visitors from many parts of the world. Similarly, over the past 40 years, for economic reasons, many Caribbean citizens have migrated primarily to the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. There is also much business travel within and outside the Caribbean. The geographic, political, cultural, and linguistic diversity of the Caribbean region underscores both the complexities in understanding the patterns of HIV contagion and successful responses. Given that human movement throughout the Caribbean and between it and other geographic areas has been the basic foundation of this region's existence since its formative days of "triangular trade" of slavery and colonization, it is clear that an appropriate response to the HIVIAIDS epidemics must recognize the contributing factor of its geopolitical heterogeneity and the complete disregard by HIV of geopolitical boundaries. 1997. Source: PAHO/WHO, 10 HIV/AIDSEPIDEMIOLOGICAL PATrERNS ANDTRENDSIN THE CARIBBEAN Official statistics on the prevalence and incidence of HIV/AIDS cases in the Caribbean are presented below. It is important to recognize, however, that these statistics reflect a high level of underreporting of such cases. of HIV/AIDS Prevalence in the Caribbean' In 1999, about 360,000 persons were reported to be living with HIV/A1DS in the Caribbean region (see Table 2-1). According to UNAIDS, underreporting varies between 30% and 75%. The prevalence of HIV among adults ages 15-49 in the Caribbean region is 2%. The Caribbean region currently has the highest prevalence of HIV of any region of the world other than the AIDS-ravaged sub-Saharan Africa, where the prevalence of HIV among adults ages 15 to 49 is reported to be 8.0%. As discussed further below, the primary mode of HIV transmission among adults in the Caribbean region is sexual intercourse between men and women. For that reason, the percentage of women with HIV/AIDS is rising. As of 1999, about 35% of the adults affected with HIV in the Caribbean region were women. Children under age 14 currently account for only a small part of the known HIV-infected population in the Caribbean region as a whole, but the pediatric share is growing. By late 1996, there had been 6,911 cases of HIV/AIDS diagnosed in children under age 14 in Latin America and the Caribbean. Most young children (about 75%) are infected by their HIV-infected mothers during pregnancy, delivery, or breast-feeding. In some Caribbean countries, even though the numbers of children involved are still fairly small, pediatric cases account for a significant portion of the HIV/AIDS population. In fact, the data available as of 1995 showed that certain countries in the Caribbean were among the countries with the highest percentage of pediatric HIV/AIDS cases in the Americas: 18.2% of HIV/AIDS cases in the British Virgin Islands occurred among children, 8% in French Guyana, 8.8% in Antigua and Barbuda, 8.4% in the Bahamas, and 7.2% in Trinidad and Tobago (Health Conditions in the Americas, PAHO/WHO, 1998). None of the Caribbean countries and territories have been spared from HIV/AIDS. It is important to note, however, that officially reported HIV/AIDS cases and estimates disguise a wide variation in prevalence among the countries in the region. Some Caribbean countries have the highest prevalence of HIV/AIDS among adults in Latin American and the Caribbean (see Table 2-2). The most affected countries are Haiti, the Bahamas, Barbados, and Guyana, with an HIV prevalence rate among adults that ranges between about 2% and 5%. Haiti, with an HIV prevalence rate of 5.17%o,is the most affected country in the world outside of sub-Saharan Africa. Cuba, on the other hand, has one of the lowest rates in the Americas (.02%). In terms of numbers of HIV/AIDS cases in the Caribbean, two countries stand out. Haiti and the Dominican Republic, taken together, accountfor 85% of the total number of cases in the Caribbean. 6 Prevalence is a commonly used epidemiological term that refers to the percentage of people suffering from an illness or condition at a given time. Prevalence rates are typically expressed as a percentage of the total population. Thus, the prevalence of HIV is defined as the percentage of the total population that is infected with HIV, including both HIV-positive individuals who have not yet developed AIDS and individuals whose HIV infection has developed into AIDS. From a public health point of view, HIV prevalence is important because it provides a measure of the population's general risk of contracting AIDS. The higher the prevalence of HIV, the higher the risk of contracting AIDS. 11 Table 2-1. World HIV/AIDS Statistics by Region, December 1999 Percent of Adults & HIV-positive Main mode(s) of Adults & children newly Adult adults who transmission (#) for Epideniic children living infected with prevalence are women adults living with Region started with HIV/AIDS IIV rate (W) HIV/AIDS Sub-Saharan Africa Late '70s 23.3 million 3.8 million 8.0% 55% Hetero North Africa & Middle East Late '80s 220,000 19,000 0.13% 20% IDU, Hetero South & South- East Asia Late '80s 6 million 1.3 million 0.69% 30% Hetero East Asia & Late '80s 530,000 120,000 0.068% 15% Pacific IDU, Hetero MSM Latin America Late '70s 1.3 million 150,000 0.57% 20% MSM, IDU, Hetero Caribbean Late '70s Early '80s 360,000 57,000 1.96% 35% Hetero, MSM Eastem Europe & Central Asia Early '90s 360,000 95,000 0.14% 20% IDU, MSM Western Europe Late '70s early '80s 520,000 30,000 0.25% 20% MSM, IDU North America Late '70s Early '80s 920,000 44,000 0.56% 20% MSM, IDU, Hetero Australia & New Late '70s Zealand Early '80s 12,000 500 0.1% 10% MSM, IDU TOTAL 33.6 million 5.6 million 1.1% 46% * The percentage of adults ages 15 to 49 living with HIV/AIDS in 1999, based on 1998population numbers. KEY: Hetero (heterosexual transmission of HIV); MSM (sexual transmission of HIV among men who have sex with men); IDU (transmission of HIV through injecting drug use). Source: UNAIDS, 1999. According to UNAIDS, which has estimated the number of HIV/AIDS cases taking into account such underreporting, several factors contribute to an underestimation of the size and scope of the HIV/AIDS problem in the Caribbean: * A lack of a standardized case definition in the region as a whole, which makes consistent diagnosis and uniform reporting difficult. * 7 over time. Few and outdated sentinel surveillance studies to determine HIV seroprevalence * A lack of national policies in the Caribbean regarding testing and reporting of HIV. * Limited or no access to voluntary, confidential HIV counseling and testing * Underreporting, late reporting, or no reporting of cases. 7 Seroprevalence: the prevalence of an infection in a given population as detected in blood serum. 12 * Residents' fear of being tested for HIV, Table2.2. HIV/AIDSPrevalence RatesAmong given that a positive test result may lead in LatinAmerica Adults (Ages15-49) in Countries to marginalization or exclusion from andthe Caribbean,December1997 society and the workplace. HIV/AIDS Prevalence * Residents' traveling abroad to be tested Rank Country Rate (%) because of concerns about 1 Haiti 5.17 confidentiality 2 Bahamas 3.77 Adjusting official statistics to 3 Barbados 2.89 account for underreporting, UNAIDS has 4 Guyana 2.13 estimated that more than 500,000 people in _ Belize 1_89 ___________Dominican Republic 1.89 the Caribbean region (as opposed to the 6 Honduras 1.46 360,000 officially reported) may currently 7 Suriname 1.17 be infected with HIV. 8 Jaraica 0.99 9 Trinidad& Tobago 0.94 Incidence of AIDS in the Caribbean' 10 Argentina 0.69 Venezuela 0.69 The first AIDS case in the 11 Brazil 0.63 Caribbean is traced back to the 1970s. By 12 Panama 0.61 the end of 1985, all of the Caribbean 13 El Salvador 0.58 countries had reported at least one AIDS 14 Peru 0.56 case. Since then, the reported number of 16 Guatemala 0.52 new AIDS cases per million population has 17 Colombia 0.36 been climbing every year. Currently, the 18 Mexico 0.35 Caribbean region has the highest incidence 19 Uruguay 0.33 of reported AIDS cases in the Americas, 20 Ecuador 0.28 and the trend is not encouraging (see 21 Chile 0.20 Figure 2-1). 22 Nicaragua 0.19 23 Paragua 0.13 AIDS incidence rates have been 24 Bolivia 0.07 increasing significantly in the English- 25 Cuba 0.02 speaking Caribbean, which together Note: Adultrates(%)are derivedfrom the numberof adults constitutes the majority of the member (15-49years)livingwithHIV/AIDSat the end of 1997 countries of CARICOM. In the English- dividedby the 1997adult population. Caribbean countries, the AID Source:UNAIDS, Report ontheGlobal HI V/AIDS Epidemic, speaking CarJbbean countries, the AD 2000 June l998, PAHO/WHO, incidence rate rose from 142.3 AIDS cases per million in 1991 to 246.2 per million in 1996. In the Latin Caribbean countries, although Cuba remains with a low AIDS incidence rate, data from Haiti and the Dominican Republic show a similar upward trend. If Puerto Rico is included in the Latin Caribbean figures, the observed trend becomes more pronounced. 8 Incidence,in contrastto prevalence,is definedas the numberof new cases of a diseaseoccurringin the population duringa specified period of time. Thus,the incidenceof AIDSis often presentedas the numberof new cases of AIDS diagnosedduringa given year per millionpopulation. Many years typicallylapse betweenthe time an individualis infectedwithHIVand the timehe or shedevelopsfull-blown AIDS. For thatreason,AIDSincidenceratesreflectrates of HIVinfectionfrom yearsbefore.Absentwidespread screeningfor HIV, most casesof HIV/AIDSare onlydetected whenindividuals developand beginto exhibitsymptoms of AIDS. Forthis reason,statisticson the incidenceof AIDS cases may be thought of as only the "tip of the iceberg,"because many people who are infected with HIV in the populationhavenot yet developed visiblesignsof AIDS. 13 The growing importance of the HIV/AIDSepidemicin most countries Figure 2-1. AIDS IncidenceRatesin NorthAmerica, of the Caribbean can be better LatinAmerica,and the Caribbean, 1982-1996 appreciated if one compares the 100D incidence figures in these countries with ______. the steady downward trend in AIDS incidence rates that has been observed in North America (Canada and the 100 United States) since 1992-from 280.9 100 / 4/ AIDS cases per million in 1992 to 126.9 per million in 1996, in large part due to r improved access to medical care. Official AIDS incidence rates tO . among the Caribbean Epidemiology ' i Center (CAREC) member countries 9 I"B / have steadily increased since the 1980s po /a/ (see Figure 2-2). CAREC reports that the cumulative number of officially reported AIDS cases in CAREC countries increased from 9,978 at the end of 1996 to 14,380 in 1998. In terms of cumulative AIDS cases per 100,000 a1. population in CAREC countries as of 192 194 1988198 190 199 1994199i 1996, the country with the highest number was the Bahamas, with 146.6 Year AIDS cases per 100,000 population; next highest were Bermuda (66.0), 1998 Source: PAHO/WHO, Barbados (50.3), Trinidad and Tobago (33.4), and Jamaica (22.3). The HIV/AIDS epidemic has been moving into younger and younger population groups. About 83% of AIDS cases are diagnosed in people between the ages of 15 and 54, and almost half of these cases are diagnosed in people ages 25 to 34. These figures suggest, given an estimated average incubation period of eight to 10 years from HIV infection to the development of AIDS, that about half of new HIV infections are occurring among young people ages 15 to 24. The affected age group are those forming the labor force. Among men, the majority of AIDS cases are in the 30-34 and 25-29 age cohort; among women, the majority of cases are in the 25-29 year-old age bracket, followed by the 30-34 year age group (PAHO/WHO, 1998). 9 PAHO/WHO reportingof HIV/AIDSstatisticsfor the Caribbeanregionis usuallybrokendowninto two categories: CAREC countries(Anguilla,Antigua and Barbuda,Bahamas,Barbados, Bermuda,Belize, British Virgin Islands, CaymanIslands,Dominica,Grenada,Guyana,Jamaica,Montserrat, St. Kitts and Nevis,St. Lucia,St. Vincentand the Trinidadand Tobago,Turks and CaicosIslands,and Suriname);and the Latin Caribbean Grenadines, group (Cuba, DominicanRepublic,and Haiti). 14 Figure 2-2. Annual Incidence of Reported AIDS Cases in CAREC Member Countries 1800 1600 _-= _== =-== - a 1400 10 ____ _-_| ' e 800- S 600- 400~ 200-_--_X _ 198319841985198619871988 19891990199119921993199419951996 Years Source: PAHO/WHO1997. MODES OFHIV TRANSMISSIONIN THE CARIBBEAN In Latin America and the Caribbean, unprotected sexual contact is the main transmission mechanism for HIV/AIDS. More than half of all the AIDS cases that have occurred in the Caribbean region to date were the result of reported unprotected sexual intercourse between men and women. In the English-speaking Caribbean, heterosexual contact accounts about 60% of reported AIDS cases (see Figure 2-3), while in the Latin Caribbean it represents about 50% of the reported AIDS cases. The following factors have a large influence on the rate of sexual transmission of HIV and other STDs (Confronting AIDS, 1998): * The longer a person remains infectious. * The more frequent a person has sexual contacts. * The more new sexual partners contacted. Other modes of HIV transmission in the Caribbean region, as discussed further below, are homosexual/bisexual unprotected sexual relations; the use of contaminated needles by intravenous drug users; blood-borne transmission; and, increasingly, mother-to-child transmission. The percentage of AIDS cases due to mother-to-child transmission of HIV in the Caribbean is now the highest in the Americas. Heterosexual Transmission of HIV Sex between men and women has quickly outpaced HIV transmission by other means. Heterosexual transmission has been the main route of HIV transmission since 1986, facilitated by a number of factors, which are discussed in Chapter III. Women are more vulnerable to HIV than men for biological reasons (i.e., their anatomy makes them more vulnerable than men), as well as for social and cultural norms (i.e., machismo; male-female power relations whereby many women have little or no power to negotiate safer sex practices with their male partners). About 35% of the adults living with HlV/AIDS in the Caribbean region are women. 15 Figure 2-3. Distribution of Cumulative AIDS Cases, 1998 by Mode of Transnission, in the English-SpeakingCaribbean, Percent Distribution of Cumulative AIDS Cases, Caribbean Pennatal HomraBisexual 52B 9.6% Druguse Irnecting HemophiflalCoagulatOn 0.1% BloodTransfusion 0.4% s ~~~~~~~W _ t ~~~~~~58.8% Heterosexual Source: PAHO/WHO, 1998. Currently, the Caribbean region has one of the highest rates of new AIDS cases among women in the Americas. The male-to-female ratio for reported HIV infections cases has been declining in both the Caribbean and Latin America in the 1990s. In the early part of the decade, the ratios were 4.9:1 in Latin America and 2:1 in the Caribbean, whereas in 1996, they were 3.2:1 and 1.7:1, respectively. According to PAHO/WHO, the declining male-to-female ratio of HIV infections reflects the growing "feminization" of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in these regions. In Haiti, the ratio of male-to-female HIV infections is almost 1:1 (i.e., almost evenly split between genders), and the HIV/AIDS epidemic has spread broadly to 8% of pregnant women-as a result, there is significant mother-to-child transmission of HIV in that country. Similarly, in Guyana, nearly 7% of women attending prenatal clinics were infected with HIV as of 1992. In the Dominican Republic, more than 70% of AIDS cases are attributed to heterosexual transmission; there, the male-to-female ratio of cases now stands at 2:1 and is declining. The prevalence of HIV among pregnant women is 2.8% nationwide in that country, and in some areas it has reached 8%. The male-to-female ratio of HIV infections in other countries, including Dominica, Barbados, Antigua, and Trinidad and Tobago, ranges between 3.6:1 and 2.4:1. Men-Who-Have-Sex-with-Men Transmission of HIV Reported homosexual and bisexual transmission of HIV is relatively low in the Caribbean, accounting for about 10% of AIDS cases, but MSM transmission is nonetheless considered an important mode of HIV transmission. Given discrimination against homosexuals and bisexuals in the Caribbean it is quite likely that the reported data underestimate the true percentage of AIDS cases attributable to MSM transmission of HIV. 16 According to CAREC, approximately 20% of AIDS cases among men in the English- speaking Caribbean are reported to be due to sexual contact with other men, whereas 22% of cases of cases among men are reported as "mode of transmission: unknown." Of the 22%, it is assumed that most are probably through male-to-male sex. Injecting-Drug-Use Transmission of HIV In most Caribbean countries, the transmission of HIV by injecting drug use is reported to be minimal, ranging from 0% to 2% of AIDS cases. Bermuda is the exception, where injecting- drug-use transmission represents 43% of total reported AIDS cases. Puerto Rico, reflected in United States statistics, represents another Caribbean community heavily affected by injecting drug use. Crack-cocaine drug use has been shown to be associated with higher risk of HIV infection in the Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, and Jamaica. Among crack-cocaine users, HIV seroprevalence can be as high as 42% in Bahamas and Trinidad and Tobago (CAREC, 1999). and Blood-Borne Mother-to-Child of HIV Transmission The percentage of AIDS cases where children were infected by HIV-positive mothers is higher in the Caribbean region than in any other part of the Americas. Recent estimates indicate that following the increase in the number of AIDS cases among women, mother-to-child or vertical transmission now accounts for 6% of all reported AIDS cases in CAREC countries. Mother-to-child transmission is more likely to happen depending on the stage of the disease that the woman is in, the viral load and procedures carried out during birth. The transmission of HIV through blood or blood products account for less than 3% of AIDS cases in the Caribbean. AT HIGH RISK OFHIV INFECTION POPULATIONS IN THE CARIBBEAN Populations at high-risk are young people who engage in unprotected sexual intercourse, and men who engage in sexual intercourse with other men. The newborns of HIV-infected women are another group at high risk. Many countries in the Caribbean have set up surveillance systems to track the spread of HIV through their populations. The specific type of surveillance necessary follows the general pattern of infection in a given country. Sentinel surveillance of population groups in the Caribbean have primarily included commercial sex workers, people attending STD clinics, and pregnant women. These groups are discussed below. SexWorkers Commercial Commercial sex workers are defined as women or men who provide sex for material gain. In the Caribbean, as noted by CARICOM (2000), commercial sex work is widespread and increasing throughout the countries. It is linked to tourism and to other economic endeavors such as mining, migrant farming and informal sector hawking. Economic hardship is the primary motivating factor for sex work. Prevalence among sex workers has been rising over the course of the epidemic. The problem is aggravated by the absence of any regulation in the sex trade industry and the marginalized status of the trade, implying that social and health services are rarely responsive to the particular needs of commercial sex workers (CARICOM, 2000). In Haiti, 42% to 53% of this population group in the largest urban areas is infected; in the Dominican Republic, the figures 17 varied between 5% and 6% in 1994-95 (PAHO/WHO, 1998). The epidemic has also infected significant numbers of commercial sex workers in Guyana, Jamaica, and Trinidad and Tobago. In Guyana, a survey of commercial sex workers found a seroprevalence of 25% in 1993. In Jamaica, HIV prevalence among commercial sex workers in Kingston was 11% in 1995, but were higher in Montego Bay at 22%. Surveys of commercial sex workers in Trinidad and Tobago have also found high rates of HIV infection (European Union, 1998). Attendeesof Clinicsfor TreatingSTDs STDs are common in the Caribbean (PAHO/WHO, 1996). Studies in both industrial and developing countries indicate that people with current or past STDs are two to nine times more likely to be infected with HIV (Confronting AIDS, 1998). HIV infection rates are high among STD clinic attendees in several Caribbean countries, reflecting the close interaction between HIV/AIDS infection and STDs. In Jamaica, HIV prevalence among STD clinic attendees rose from 0.25% in 1986 to 3.1% in 1990 and 6.3% in 1997. Among STD clinic "repeaters," HIV prevalence was higher; 10% in 1990 and 9.3% in 1993. In Guyana, HIV prevalence among STD clinic attendees was as high as 13.1% in 1992 and 6.6% among women and 21.0% among men in 1995. In Trinidad and Tobago and the Bahamas, HIV prevalence among STD clinic attendees peaked at 13.6% in 1991/92 and declined to 6-7% in 1995/96. Among Haitian migrant workers living in the bateyes, or sugarcane plantations, of the Dominican Republic in 1995, there was high prevalence of STDs, including 5.7% for HIV (PAHO/WHO, 1998). PregnantWomen HIV prevalence among pregnant women has been monitored in several countries through sentinel surveillance. CAREC (1999) estimated that in 1997 there was an HIV prevalence rate of 1-2% among pregnant women in the Caribbean. Haiti has the highest prevalence of HIV among women receiving prenatal care services in the Latin Caribbean (ranging from 8% to 9% between 1986 and 1993 in urban areas and from 3% to 4% in rural areas between 1986 and 1990). In the Dominican Republic the figures ranged from 1% in 1991 to 4%-8% in 1998. In Cuba there is no sign of infection among this population (PAHO/WHO, 1998). In the English-speaking Caribbean, the prevalence of HIV infection among women receiving prenatal care services is less than 1% in the Bahamas, Grenada, the Cayman Islands, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Suriname, and Trinidad and Tobago (PAHO/WHO, 1998). In Jamaica, HIV seroprevalence among prenatal clinic attendees increased from 1.4 per 1,000 in 1989 to 9.5 in 1997. In Barbados, HIV seroprevalence varied between 8 and 12 per 1,000 between 1992 and 1996. In Guyana, a survey of pregnant women in 1992 found an HIV infection prevalence of 7%. In the Bahamas, country-wide HIV screening of pregnant women was introduced on a voluntary basis. HIV prevalence among pregnant women was highest in 1993 at 4.8% and declined to 4.2% in 1994 and 3.6% in 1995. MORTALITYDUE TO AIDS IN THE CARIBBEAN During the last two decades, there were 6,566 AIDS deaths reported in the region, representing 1.4% of total AIDS deaths in the Americas (PAHO/WHO, 1998). The actual number of deaths due to AIDS in the Caribbean is probably higher than the officially reported number (given the probability of underreporting or inaccurate diagnosis of cause of death). 18 The AIDS case fatality rate'0 in the Caribbean region as a whole is high, 63% in 1996. In the English-speaking Caribbean, AIDS is now the largest cause of death among young men between the ages of 15 and 44. Recent research in the Dominican Republic shows that AIDS is the most common cause of death among women in their reproductive ages in the geographic area studied, the National District of Santo Domingo, which encompasses about 30% of the country's population. About 12% of all deaths among the women of childbearing age in that region were found to be caused by AIDS; the next most common cause of death was violence. Unfortunately, mortality from AIDS disproportionately affects young women: 56% of all deaths due to AIDS occur in individuals between 20 and 34 years of age (Caceres Urania,1998). One of the most devastating impacts of deaths from HIV/AIDS is on the children of parents who are victims of the disease. HIV/AIDS most frequently strikes adults who are often raising children and are at the prime of their working lives. By the end of 1999, the cumulative number of Caribbean children estimated to have been orphaned by HIVIAIDS at age 14 or younger stood at 83,000 (UNAIDS, 1999). Experience in other regions of the world has demonstrated that deaths and illness due to AIDS among adults has a profoundly negative impact on the welfare of children in the affected households. Frequently, poor health and premature death of adults lead to income and expenditures changes that can have adverse effects on child nutrition and schooling (Confronting AIDS, 1998; Dasgupta et al. 1999). Some families can no longer afford school costs or the children are needed to help out at home. Children's education may also suffer as a result, reducing literacy rates in communities. This would be particularly onerous for poor families given the already stratified educational system in the Caribbean that is reflected in higher attrition of poor students at all grade levels that becomes deeper and wider at each successive level, and in a skewed distribution of resources to the detriment of schools in poorer communities (Caribbean Education Sector Strategy 2020, World Bank, 2000). According to UNAIDS (2000), AIDS case fatality rates have remained at a constant high in the Caribbean due to several factors: * Late diagnosis of HIV infection and related conditions. * Lack of policies, skills, and resources in preventing mother-to-child HIV transmission in many countries. * Lack of accessibility to antiretroviral (ARV) drugs use to treat HIV-positive individuals in countries such as the United States. * Lack of access to basic medicines to combat opportunistic infections. * Lack or denial of services to HIV/AIDS patients in some countries. In some countries of the Caribbean, HIV/AIDS has pushed back or is starting to reverse the gains in life expectancy achieved in previous decades as the result of progress in the fight against communicable diseases. In Haiti and Guyana, life expectancy is estimated to be 5.7 and 5.2 years less, respectively, than it would have been without AIDS (UNAIDS, 2000). What is ominous for the Caribbean region, however, is that even if all HIV transmission could be halted today, the impact of the illness and deaths of the people already infected will be felt over the next two decades. 10 The case fatality rate is the number of deaths from a disease during a defined period of time expressed as a of the totalnumberof peoplewiththe disease. percentage 19 SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTSOF AIDS IN THE CARIBBEAN HIV has a long latency period, so some of the social and economic consequences of the HIV/AIDS epidemic may not be felt immediately. Eventually, however, if the prevalence of HIV continues to increase in the Caribbean as it has been, per capita economic growth may begin to decline. Increased expenditures for treatment of AIDS and AIDS-related diseases from government budgets and household savings will reduce the capital for more productive investments. Preliminary efforts have been made to project the expected macroeconomic impact of HIV/AIDS within Caribbean countries by the years 2005 and 2020. A macroeconomic impact study of Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago revealed contractions in major variables, such as the Gross Domestic Product (declines of 6.4 and 4.2 percent, respectively). The level of investment was also severely affected as incomes had to be redirected from the production of goods and services to finance HIV- related expenditures. These HIV-related illness expenditures rose by 25.3% in Trinidad and Tobago and 35.4% in Jamaica. Even using low case scenario data, impacts upon several key industries were evidenced, the service sector categories were more greatly affected than employment in agriculture or manufacturing (Camara at al, 1997). The emergence of AIDS as a major health problem places a tremendous burden on the health care systems of the Caribbean countries. Assessments conducted by the University of the West Indies (UNAIDS, 1998) suggest that HIV/AIDS may have important fiscal consequences in the Caribbean, as national health budgets are increasingly taxed by the costs of care for HIV- infected people (e.g., the biggest burden to the health care system is that for managing the opportunistic infections, such as tuberculosis, chronic and severe diarrhea, and other complications, that all put a burden on the bed capacity of hospitals and outpatient departments). The case management of HIV or AIDS through the prophylactic administration of an antiretroviral drug like zidovudine (AZT), that costs more than US$3,000 per year, would represent more than three times the national per capita income in many Caribbean countries. AIDS drains scarce skills and resources needed for addressing other health priorities such as childhood diseases or malaria. HIV/AIDS has considerable potential to cause a negative impact on economic sectors such as agriculture, tourism, mining, lumber, finance, and trade as a result of lost productivity of economically active adults with HIV/AIDS and premature death. The shock of AIDS to the labor markets is one mechanism through which AIDS might adversely affect economic growth in the Caribbean. At present, the affected age group (83% of AIDS cases in the Caribbean are in the age group 15-54 years) are those forming the labor force. A survey of people living with HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean indicate that most of them were already unemployed due in some cases to workplace attitudes (Wint, 2000). As noted in a United Nations Security Council meeting convened in early January 2000, the first time to take up a health issue, HIV/AIDS has grown beyond a health epidemic to become a threat to global security and stability. In a similar fashion, the United States government in April 2000 formally designated the disease as a threat to U.S. national security because the epidemic could undo decades of development work in the world. These concerns are highly relevant for the Caribbean because its HIV/AIDS epidemic could create significant externalities beyond the region (e.g., according to recent health data, the fastest growing epidemnicwithin Canada is amongst Canadians from the Caribbean, mainly Haitian in Montreal; the second highest urban HIV seroprevalence in the United States is found in San Juan, Puerto Rico). The 20 high-profile international attention to this issue implies that Caribbean governments cannot deny or ignore it anymore. THE TASKAHEAD The forces driving the HIV/AIDS epidemic and the implications of the epidemic in the Caribbean are inextricably linked to the region's economic, social, and cultural dynamics. Caribbean AIDS experts have put forth a number of specific challenges to addressing the problem of HIV/AIDS in the region, including the following: * A large discrepancy between cultural, moral, and religious taboos and actual sexual practices in Caribbean countries. * A lack of information and HIV/AIDS prevention programs targeted to groups most at risk (e.g., young people, commercial sex workers, men who have sex with men, migrants). * Low approval rate of condom use among men and women, coupled with the church opposition to condom use. * Stigmatization of and discrimination against persons living with HIVWAIDS, which contribute to HIV transmission by discouraging the use of HIV testing and other services. - Low use of health care facilities for managing HIV/AIDS and other STDs, both in the public and the private sectors, due in part to concerns about confidentiality and the lack of access to effective HIV/AIDS therapies. - The lack of antiretroviral drugs for most HIV-infected people and people with AIDS in the Caribbean. As discussed in the next chapter, Caribbean governments and their partners have taken several actions to combat the HIV/AIDS epidemic, but these actions have not yet turned the epidemic around. It is important for Caribbean governments, with the support of their development partners, to act decisively now before the epidemic reaches the levels it has in sub- Saharan Africa. A key challenge will be putting more effective HIV/AID prevention programs into place. As governments operate with resource constraints and fixed budgets, the call for greater actions in health protection and promotion and disease prevention cannot ignore their cost and how these services will be paid for. The World Bank's 1993 World Development Report (World Bank, 1993) recommends that developing countries use an approach for setting priorities that involves comparing the likely costs and impacts of different preventive and curative interventions. This approach is an important resource allocation tool because cost-effective interventions such as greater use of condoms, cost as little as U$8 per infection averted, whereas the treatment of opportunistic infections associated with AIDS and anti-HIV treatment, which does not cure AIDS, costs thousands of dollars per year per patient. 21 "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." George Santayana Poet and Philosopher III INTENSIFYING ACTIONAGAINSTHIV/AIDS: KEY CHALLENGES FOR CARIBBEAN COUNTRIES How HAVECARIBBEAN COUNTRIES RESPONDED TOTHEHIV/AIDSEPIDEMIC? Starting from the early days of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, Caribbean countries and territories established National AIDS Programs and developed short- and medium-term plans for responding to the epidemic. Caribbean governments-in partnership with regional and international agencies, including those in the United Nations System (UNAIDS), CAREC, bilateral cooperation agencies, and national and international nongovernmental organizations (NGOs)-have sought to address the various aspects of the epidemic in the region. The actions taken with support of these partners have included advocacy and social mobilization, regional and national policy development, the establishment of HIV prevention and drug-control activities and programs, the development of mass media campaigns, and prevention program and services for young people. As a result, throughout the Caribbean region, there are country- level successes to identify pertaining to HIV/ AIDS responses. The safety of blood supply in the vast majority of the region is due to both early intervention as well as pre-existing relative strengths in the areas of public health laboratory work. For the smaller island-states of the eastern Caribbean in particular, Caribbean Epidemiology Center (CAREC's assistance has been helpful. Jamaica has confronted STDs vigorously over the years. The Dominican Republic has elevated its national HIV/IDS program to the level of the president's office in order to demonstrate the serious commitment and the multisectoral responsibility. Since 1986, Cuba has established an effective strategy for addressing HIV/AIDS, including conducting studies of the groups at highest risk, carrying out epidemiological investigation of 100% of cases, performing analyses of hospital admission and outpatient care records, and implementing a comprehensive program of health education for the general population. For many years, the Dutch Caribbean has had outreach programs for commercial sex workers that includes voluntary counseling and testing, STD control, condom distribution and information in the several languages of these migratory CSWs. Barbados has been recognized for its comprehensive, school-based H1V/AIDS education efforts in secondary schools. Through Martinique and Dominica, the French government not only supplies antiretroviral treatment for its Caribbean citizens, but also provides support for nationals of independent Dominica. Yet, despite these individual components of success, what is needed in most of the Caribbean countries is a comprehensive, multisectoral national response that engages government, civil society, and international donors, as well as scaled up efforts to serve entire national populations, as the HIV/AIDS epidemic continues unabated in the region. Health services in Caribbean countries are struggling to respond to the growing population of 23 individuals, including women and children, with HIV/AIDS who require care, support, and treatment. The general level of public understanding of how to prevent HIV/AIDS throughout the Caribbean is low, as it is in many parts of the world. The institutional capacity and the financial resources available to governments needed to contain transmission and treat people living with HIV/AIDS are inadequate. A sense of individual and collective mission and leadership needs to be fostered. Fortunately, there is still an opportunity in the Caribbean to prevent HIV/AIDS rates from escalating to the alarming levels found in many sub-Saharan African countries. Concerted action by Caribbean governments and Caribbean regional agencies, in partnership with the private sector and NGOs and with the assistance of the international community, can make a difference. A further investment in the control of HIV now will mitigate the adverse impact of AIDS on the people and economics of the Caribbean region in the years that lie ahead. STOPPINGTHESPREADOF HIV/AIDS-WHAT WORKS? There is a broad consensus about what steps must be taken in order to combat the spread of HIV/AIDS. Worldwide, successful HIV/AIDS responses have several elements in common (see Box 3-1). Box 3-1. Stopping the Spreadof HIV/AIDS-What Works? Successfulprogramsagainstthe HIV/AIDSepidemicto date havehad severalkey features: * Government commitment at all at the highestlevel and multiplepartnerships levels with civil societyand the privatesector * Cooperationand collaboration amongmanydifferentgroupsand sectors: those whoare mostaffectedby the epidemic,religiousandcommunityleaders, (NGOs,researchersandhealthprofessionals, and the private sector * Decentralisedandparticipatoryapproachesthat bringpreventionandcare programsto a trulynationalscale * A forward-looking, comprehensive and multisectoralresponsethat addresses the socioeconomic determinantsthat makepeople vulnerableto infection,and care,treatment,andsupport targetspreventioninterventions, * Community participation-includingpeople livingwith HIV/AIDS,NGOs,civil society,and the privatesector-in government designand policymaking, implementation of programs. Source: CARICOM/Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS, 2000. 24 OF HIV/AIDS PREVENTION IN CARIBBEANCOUNTRIES In order to be successful, HIV/AIDS prevention campaigns in Caribbean countries must be concentrated at three basic levels: (1) preventing sexual transmission of HIV in young people and adults, (2) preventing mother-to-child transmission of HIV, and (3) preventing blood-borne transmission of HIV (e.g., contaminated blood supplies, use of contaminated needles or other instruments). of HIV Preventingthe SexualTransmission As noted in Chapter II, unprotected sexual contact with a person infected with HIV is the primary mechanism by which HIV is transmitted in the Caribbean region, and the majority of cases are reported transmitted through heterosexual contact. Homosexual transmission of HIV also occurs among men having sex with men in the region. In most Caribbean countries, most people are aware of AIDS, but many people still lack detailed knowledge about modes of HIV transmission and do not know how to protect themselves from the disease. It is especially important to prevent the sexual transmission of HIV among young people, who tend to initiate sexual activity at an early age in the Caribbean. Important considerations in developing approaches to prevent the sexual transmission of HIV/AIDS in Caribbean countries include the following: * Machismo and other cultural factors. To prove their machismo, many men in Caribbean countries (and elsewhere in the world) engage in high-risk behaviors such as having early and frequent sex with multiple women. Such behaviors amplify both their own vulnerability and their partners' vulnerability to HIV infection. Because "macho" men are expected to know about sex, they are discouraged by social and cultural norms from obtaining access to information and services for safer sex. Since women are often economically and emotionally dependent on their male partner and are expected to defer to male demands and decisionmaking even when they know their partner may be infected through outside relationships. The 1998 Caribbean Adolescent Health Survey conducted by PAHO found considerable violence against and sexual abuse of young women. Sexual violence in childhood is the greatest determinant of high-risk sexual activity during adolescence. In Haiti, about 300,000 youngsters are working as domestic servants, many of them in situations where they are physically and sexually abused. Finally, the tension between machismo and homosexuality complicates the task of informing men who engage in sex with other men about HIV prevention. It is worth mentioning that in most Caribbean countries, homosexuality and commercial sex work are criminal offences. This stigmatizes certain high risk groups and behaviours and further drives the problem underground. * Economic and political conditions. Some men and women, and even children, in the Caribbean are forced by economic or political conditions to leave their families to find work or to become commercial sex workers in order to survive. Migrant workers, such as those living in single-sex dormitories far away from their families, frequently turn to commercial sex workers for sex. They then go home and infect their spouses or partners with STDs such as syphilis and/or HIV. Commercial sex workers, particularly women, in the Caribbean often move from one city or island to another, carrying HIV infection as they go. In the Dominican Republic, widespread commercial sex is one of the key factors behind the AIDS epidemic. In some countries, thousands of impoverished children are living on the streets, and these children often turn to sex to survive or are subjected to rape. In Haiti, for example, there are 25 an estimated 5,000 Haitian children living on the streets. These children are at high risk for contracting STDs and HIV. * Early initiation of sexual activity among young people. Many young people in the Caribbean initiate sexual activity-generally unprotected-at a young age, making them extremely vulnerable to HIV and other STDs. The 1998 Caribbean Adolescent Health Survey conducted by PAHO in 100 schools in Antigua, Dominican Republic, Grenada and Jamaica and with out-of-school youth showed that, among those who reported being sexually active, more than 40% said their sexual debut had started before age 10 and another 20% said it had started at age 11 or 12. In some places, young people in rural areas become sexually active earlier than city-dwellers-in the Dominican Republic, 67.7% as against 47.1%. * Tourism. The Caribbean is the most tourism dependent region in the world. Travel and tourism are expected to generate US$32 billion dollars of economic activity in 1998, and contribute 25% of GDP. Each year for the past several years, more than 30 million people- tourists and cruise passengers-have visited one or more of the thirty-two countries that are members of the Caribbean Tourism Organization (CTO) for vacation and recreation. The persistent trend of the time has been an average increase of 5.8% per annum. (Marshall, 1998). Among the tourists are "sex tourists," who engage in unsafe sex practices with fellow tourists and local residents (e.g., female commercial sex workers, "beach boys," children). Such tourism has been more often identified in Spanish and Dutch Caribbean destinations, but also in Haiti and the English-speaking Caribbean countries. The discussion of links between HIV transmission and tourism have often spawned concerns in tourism- based economies worldwide that any correlation between the two could cause financial ruin. However, in countries that have confronted this issue directly, such as Thailand, they have been able to avert any such economic impact and also curb the spread of HIV (Marshall, 1998). • Drug use. Drug use is seen in many countries in the Caribbean and can start very early-for example, among children living or working on the streets. Intravenous drug users in the Caribbean run a high risk of becoming infected with HIV by sharing needles used to inject drugs. Non-injection drug use, including alcohol, crack-cocaine and marijuana, have been connected with HIV transmission due to their impacts upon sexual libido, decision-making and action. Given the prevalence of these and similarly-effecting drugs within the Caribbean, this must be a critical concern for future prevention efforts. PIrograms /opreven/ sexwal transmission of HI V among chirldrenandyowngpeople Reaching young people is a key element in the prevention of the AIDS epidemic in the Caribbean since youth in the Caribbean are at high risk of HIV. It is also important to stress that a large percentage of the Caribbean population is comprised of young people. In Haiti, for instance, over half of the population is under 20 years of age and birthrates are increasing rapidly. Young people between the ages of 10 and 25 represent half of the people who become infected with HIV. For that reason, young people need to have the understanding, motivation, skills, tools, and freedom to adopt behaviors that protect them from HIV infection. As noted earlier, children in Caribbean countries typically initiate sexual activity at a young age. Generally, youngsters who begin having sex at an early age (whether consensual or forced) do not use condoms and are therefore vulnerable not only to unwanted pregnancy and STDs such as syphilis, but also infection with HIV. 26 In view of the early onset of sexual intercourse Box 3-2. The HealthandFamilyLifeEducation(HFLE) among young people in the Initiativein the Caribbean Caribbean, it is essential that Carentseand schools begin The HFLE initiative brings together a wide range of diverse parents and schools begin partners-the CARICOM Ministersof Educationand Health,the discussions with their children Universityof the West Indies,PAHO/WHO, the U.N. Population about AIDS and how to protect Fund (UNFPA), the U.N. Children'sFund (UNICEF),the U.N. themselves when children are at International Drug Control Programme (UNDCP), the U.N. a young age. The Health and Development Programme (UNDP),UNAIDS, and others. Family Life Education (HFLE), HFLE is implemented through this partnershiparrangement and which has been endorsed by the progam provides the basis for a proactiverather than crisis CARICOM and a variety of approachto reachyoung peoplewith informationin areas such as other partners, is an example of HIV/AIDS,sexualhealth, substanceabuse,environmental health, a program based on the notion safety and nutrition. Students will be empowered with skills, that promoting behavioral values,attitudes,and knowledge and will have the opportunity to change among young people enact "real life" situationsin the classroom;this approach will requires empowering students promotebehaviorchange. in a variety of realms (see Box A single plan of action entitled A Strategy for Strengthening 3-2). HFLE in CARICOMStates will be implementedby the partner agencies.This initiativehas four major challenges: (1) to improve Schools are a prime teacher training; (2) to develop comprehensive life skills based setting for AIDS prevention teaching materials for HFLE; (3) to strengthen coordination efforts among young people, but among institutionsengaged in HFLE in regional and national in some countries social levels; and (4) to raise the status of HFLE at all levels of the "taboos" have prevented the educationalsystem. incorporation of sex education into school curricula. In Source: UNAIDS 1999 andEU,1999. Trinidad and Tobago, a group has recently recommended adding a comprehensive HIV/AIDS education program to the curriculum of the nation's secondary schools. The need for such a program was suggested by a 1994 survey among young people ages 12 to 20 that indicated these young people were grossly misinformed about AIDS prevention. Unfortunately, some children in the Caribbean are forced to drop out of school at an early age. In Haiti, for example, less than half of all children reach the fifth grade. Children who leave school are among the young people at the highest risk of HIV infection, and for beginning of criminal careers. For these children, as well as others, it is important AIDS prevention efforts take place not only in schools, but in shelters, in clinics, in workplaces, in sports clubs, on the street, and wherever young people congregate. Communication-among young people, between children and adults, and within communities-as a whole is essential. Comprehensive approaches that harness the creativity and energy of parents, schools, religious institutions, and the private sector must be used to reach young people in the Caribbean with effective HIV/AIDS prevention messages. For children who are living on the streets, HIV prevention approaches should include counseling and a broad range of health care and other support services. Campaigns targeting sexually active youth and advising "safer sex" with the use of condoms have been controversial in the Caribbean and elsewhere. Religious leaders could help in AIDS prevention efforts by promoting behaviors among young people such as promoting abstinence and fidelity, which are clearly important. 27 Nevertheless, realism urges policymakers and educators and other Box 3-3. UNAIDSGlobalStrategyfor health workers to also provide young Young People and HIV/AIDS: people with other means of protecting SevenStepsfor MovingForward themselves against HIV infection. Street children who turn to sex for 1. Establish or review national policies to reduce the economic survival, for example, are vulnerability of young people to HIV/AIDS and unlikely to respond to calls for ensure that their rights are respected, protected and abstinence. fulfilled. 2. Promote young people's genuine participation in Whether in Thailand or expandingnationalresponsesto HIV/AIDS. Uganda, communities that have adopted 3. Supportpeer and youth groups in the communityto a comprehensive approach to the contribute to local and national responses to prevention of HIV/AIDS have been HIV/AIDS. rewarded with a lower rate of infection 4. Mobilizeparents, policymakers,media, and religious and less stigma and discrimination organizationsto influencepublic opinionsand policies directed at those living with HIV or with regardto HIV/AIDS and youngpeople. AIDS. On the basis of this experience, 5. Improvethe quality and coverageof schoolprograms UNAIDS and its cosponsors have put that includeHIV/AIDS and relatedissues. forward a global strategy featuring seven major sets of action (see Box 6. Expand access to youth-friendly health services 3-3). including HIV/STD prevention, testing and counseling, care and supportservices. 7. Ensurecare and supportof orphansand young people livingwithHIV/AIDS. .V,o,,,-1 TNA1T)R IQ4 Programs toprevenw sexualzransmirisson ofJHVamong adults Caribbean countries have adopted a variety of approaches to preventing the spread of HIV/AIDS among adults. Several Caribbean countries have adopted laws in an effort to prevent the spread of the disease: * Laws making HIV/AIDS a notifiable disease, for example, have been enacted in Guyana, Jamaica, Saint Lucia, and Belize. Some attorneys argue that Trinidad and Tobago should do the same. They, warn, however, that the legislation should include safeguards regarding the confidentiality of HIV/AIDS tests. Their concern is that once a person's HIV status is known in Trinidad and Tobago, the person's access to services and health insurance declines. * To reduce discrimination against people with HIV and AIDS, a law in the Dominican Republic specifies the rights of persons infected with HIV and the duties of employers, doctors, and others who interact with such individuals. NGOs are now trying to monitor the law's enforcement. * Legislation to coerce rapists and sex offenders into HIV testing are in place in the Bahamas and Bermuda, whose HIV/AIDS rates top the regional average. Legislators in Trinidad and Tobago have considered similar legislation. * In Trinidad and Tobago, a policy paper on HIV/AIDS prepared by legal analysts recommended that the country emphasize an educational approach to preventing HIV/AIDS rather than a legislative approach. Although there is a high degree of awareness of HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean, there is still ignorance and misinformation about what 28 causes AIDS and how to prevent it. Some people in the region still do not even know that using condoms can help prevent AIDS. Various approaches can be used to educate people about the prevention of HIV/AIDS. Marketing techniques used for selling goods and services can be very effective in reaching out to people to teach them about AIDS. Some Caribbean countries have implemented condom social marketing projects that use a combination of (1) commercial marketing techniques to educate people about the benefits of condoms and (2) commercial distribution channels to sell condoms at subsidized prices. One Caribbean country that is considered a condom social marketing success story, for example, is Haiti. Population Services International implemented a program there that raised people's awareness of the effectiveness of condoms in preventing AIDS and also made condoms available at affordable prices. Countries with condom social marketing programs and sex worker interventions may want to include and test the female condom (a polyethelene vaginal sheath which women can insert before sex) as an additional option. Women in the Caribbean (and elsewhere) urgently need some method that they can use to protect themselves against HIV infection if their male partner does not wish to use condoms. Another option that women could theoretically use to protect themselves from HIV infection is anti-HIV microbicides. Several microbicidal products are currently in clinical testing, and at least two of the products are expected to enter final phase testing in the near future. Religious institutions represent a major resource in the effort to prevent the Box 3-4. The International Religious Alliance spread of HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean. on HIV/AIDSfor Africa Following the example of the Caribbean In June 1999,followinga three-dayworkshopin Council of Churches, which is engaged as Senegal, religious leaders and medical experts part of the Caribbean Task Force on from variousAfricannationsformeda new body HIV/AIDS, the creation of forums and formal to help prevent the spread of HIV/AIDS in alliances among the various religious Africa: The InternationalReligiousAllianceon organizations involved in the effort to combat HIV/AIDSfor Africa. The group will be based AIDS at the country level ought to be given in Dakar under the auspices of two NGOs priorityconsideration. Such affangements involved in AIDS-control work: a Muslim NGO, and a Catholic AIDS services provider. were recently established in Africa (see Box The new body will work closely with scientists 34). in preventionefforts at the grassrootslevel, and fight the stigmatizationof people living with Businesses are another potential HIV/AIDS through associations of religious resource in the effort to prevent the spread of leadersto be createdin everycountry. HIV/AIDS.The GlobalBusinessCouncil on Source:PANA,1999 HIV/AIDS is an association of companies committed to the response to AIDS and actively pursuing their own activities in the fight against AIDS, both at and beyond the workplace. Businesses throughout the Caribbean ought to be continuously persuaded that it makes good businesses sense to invest in programs that save their workers and their customers. In countries where sex tourism is common, for example, the Ministries of Tourism and Health should collaborate to identify tour operators that cater specifically to sex tourists and make their activities safe. A regional effort to improve the health and hygiene conditions for guests and staff in Caribbean hotels-the Caribbean Healthy Hotels Project (CHHP)-is being led by PAHO, CAREC, the Caribbean Hotel Association, and Caribbean Action for Sustainable Tourism. 29 Programstoplrevent sexuallransmission ofHfIVby treatingS'Ds Growing research evidence indicates that common and curable vaginal infections significantly raise a women's risk for HIV infection. For that reason, HIV prevention efforts should include aggressive treatment and screening of STDs for women and their sexual partners. A World Bank report entitled Safe Motherhood and the World Bank: Lessons from 10 Years of Experience recommends packaging together pregnancy and delivery care, family planning, and management of STDs to achieve the greatest benefit at lowest cost. Given wide-ranging economic, technical, cultural and social constraints, even small steps toward integration of these services can be valuable. Preventing Mother-to-Child Transmission of HIV The industrialized world has experienced a decline in the rates of mother-to-child transmission of HIV, but in the developing world, including most of the Caribbean, these rates continue to rise. The widening gap in mother-to-child HIV transmission is due to two things. First, many HIV-positive women in developing countries do not have access to prophylactic drugs that can help prevent HIV transmission during pregnancy and delivery. Second, many HIV-positive women in developing countries breast-feed their babies and thereby transmit HIV to them. Up to one-third of all cases of mother-to-child transmission of HIV are due to breast- feeding. Providrn pyroiphylactic drag therapy to HIV-posziive mohers andtlhetr newhorns A 1994 clinical trial demonstrated that a particular regimen of the antiviral drug zidovudine (AZT) administered to pregnant women during pregnancy and delivery and to their infants after birth reduced the mother-to-child HIV transmission rate more than 80%. The cost of this particular regimen of AZT-between US$800 and US$900 per woman treated, excluding the costs of voluntary counseling and testing and formula feeding for the infant-is far beyond the capabilities of developing countries in the Caribbean or elsewhere. Fortunately, however, there may be an alternative. A just-completed study by the Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine suggests that nevirapine (sold as Viramune) proved to be even better than AZT in reducing mother-to-child HIV transmission and at a considerably lower cost (only about $4 per child). Moreover, the low price of nevirapine may attract subsidization by donor and charitable organizations that previously believed they could not make a difference. Modify/'ng newhorn feedingpractices In developing countries, policymakers are struggling to develop appropriate and feasible guidelines on breast-feeding for HIV-positive mothers. By choosing artificial feeding, a woman may avoid passing on HIV to her child, but where the water supply is unsafe, she may also expose her child to other deadly diseases. In some cases, bottle-feeding may even lead to the social ostracism of a woman and her child. The issue is complicated by the fact that few HIV women in developing countries know what their HIV status is. Several basic research gaps need to be addressed in order to make final recommendations on breast-feeding policy for HIV-positive women in developing countries. One critical area is operational research to study the impact of the use of breast milk substitutes on infant mortality and HIV-infection status. 30 PrevilenzingR/ood-Sorne 1ra,nsmission ofaHV The screeningof donatedblood and plasmafor HIV antibodybegan in the Caribbeanin 1985. By 1989,all 19 CAREC-reporting countrieshad the appropriatetechnologyin place and offered a facility for the initial screening of sera for HIV infection. In addition, CAREC establishedan HIV confirmatorytesting service to serve the nationallaboratories. Since then, laboratoriesin CARECcountrieshave graduallyestablishedtheir own confirmatory capabilities. Peopleat high risk of HIV infectionhavealso been encouragednot to donateblood. The fact that transmissionof HIV throughblood or blood productsaccountsfor less than 3% of AIDScases in the Caribbeansuggeststhat more effortsare neededto eliminatethis source of infection. DIAGNOSISOF HIV/AIDS IN CARIBBEANCOUNTRIES HIV testing is available in both public and Table 3-1. Public Sector Health Laboratories That Perform HIV private sector laboratories in Tests in CAREC Countries, 1994 the Caribbean. The distribution Number Total Total % of public sector laboratories Country Populatiou of AIDS number number initially that performed HIV testing in cases of labs tests reactive CAREC countries as of 1994 is Anguilla 8,000 0 1 150 0.7 shown in Table 3-1. By 1997, Antigua and 65,000 18 1 1,003 15.0 HIV testing HIV was offered by ws estng ofere by BarbudaThe Bahamas, ____________________ 272,000 322 2 21,090 7.3 private sector laboratories in at Barbados 261,000 119 1 10,253 2.6 least 13 CARICOM countries. Belize 210,000 18 7 6,845 0.7 The distribution of private Bermuda 63,000 44 2 1,875 1.5 sector laboratory services was BritishVirgin 18,000 02 Islands 0. _________97 uenCayn 30,000 3 1 4,955 1.1 By request, CAREC Dominica 71,000 5 1 1,439 1.3 has conducted safety audits Grenada 92,000 7 I ... _... and workshops in several Guyana 825,000 105 2 5,034 9.9 national laboratories and has Jamaica 2,429,000 359 3 31,127 3.1 circulated safety guidelines to Montserrat 11,000 0 1 849 1.2 all national laboratories. Total Saint Kitts 41,000 5 2 1,932 4.9 and Nevis____ for HI fo requests reqest testing in HIV tetin in SaintLucia 141,000 13 1 3,652 0.8 public sector laboratories rose SaintVincent 44% from 1986and 1994, and and the 111,000 8 1 3,405 0.9 recent trends indicate that the Grenadines demand for testing will Suriname 418,000 26 2 6,670 0.4* continue to increase. Trinidad and 1,292,000 269 2 5,919 14.8 Toago Turksand 14,000 0 1 2,670 4.2 Caicos Islands Total 6,372,000 1,322 33 109,839 4.3 * Estimate. ...= not available Source: PAHO/WHO, 1997 31 CARE AND TREATMENT OF PEOPLE WITHHIV/AIDS IN CARIBBEANCOUNTRIES The treatment of HIV/AIDS in most Caribbean countries, as in other developing countries, is limited. Public health programs are so under-funded in some countries that health agencies cannot afford inexpensive medications for opportunistic infections such as tuberculosis, much less the thousands of dollars it can cost to treat a single patient with the new combinations of antiviral drugs. A representative of the Caribbean Network for People Living with HIV/AIDS (CRN+) notes that an HIV-positive diagnosis is usually seen as a death sentence in the Caribbean. Infected people and their families need to know that there are options for living available to them. People who are suspected of being HIV-positive are scorned and cast out. The wider community needs more education to combat this stigmatization and discrimination. Providing Community-Based Care for People with HIV/AIDS In many Caribbean countries, religious institutions and NGOs are the primary providers of care for people living with HIV/AIDS. In the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Puerto Rico, for example, hospices and "support houses" run by the Catholic Church provide food, services and pastoral care to young HIV-affected people who have been rejected by their family or community. In addition, there are church-run hospitals for AIDS patients, such as the 120-bed Hospital St Croix de Leoganhe in Haiti, which registers some 24 new HIV-positive cases monthly. Best practices in family and community care for people with HIV have been captured in a 1999 UNAIDS publication entitled Comfort and Hope. One of the six case studies selected was Project Hope, run by a Brazilian NGO, that currently provides services to approximately 480 people living with HIV/AIDS, takes on about 180 new cased per year, and makes about 360 home visit per year, mobilizing a large group of volunteers. These projects provide care and prevention services to people where they live, work, and play. Key commonalties shared by the selected projects include: spiritual motivation or guidance, participation of a well-known community leader, importance of getting moral support of local leaders and authorities, and focus on marginalized groups. CAREC recently appointed an Ad Hoc Committee on Clinical Management of HIV/AIDS to produce guidelines for the clinical care of individuals infected with HIV that would be applicable to the English-speaking islands of the Caribbean region. The new guidelines, Clinical Management Guidelines for HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean, are set at three levels of complexity of care depending on available health facilities. The use of these guidelines is expected to result in a significant improvement in the clinical care of persons infected with HIV in the English-speaking Caribbean. Treating Tuberculosis-The Leading HIV-Associated Opportunistic Disease Tuberculosis is the leading HIV-associated opportunistic disease. According to PAHO, most of the reported cases of tuberculosis (TB) in Latin America and the Caribbean occur in people ages 25 to 54. An estimated 30 to 70% of young adults in developing countries are infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis, but the majority will not develop active TB in their lungs. When TB carriers become infected with HIV, however, the virus destroys their immune system, and many more then progress from latent to active TB. For that reason, countries with high HIV infection rates are experiencing a resurgence of TB. In Haiti and the Dominican Republic, for example, the rates of pulmonary TB are rising alarmingly. In 1998, the incidence of TB in Haiti was 123 per 100,000 population; and the 32 incidence in the Dominican Republic was 51.9 per 100,000 population. Other Caribbean countries have reported rates between 15 and 50, such as Guyana (37.5/100,000), Bahamas (25.4/100,000), Trinidad and Tobago (22.7/100,000), and Suriname (17.9/100,000). TB can be cured with six to eight months of daily treatment with a combination of antibiotics. To ensure thorough treatment, WHO recommends that TB patients take their antibiotics in the presence of a health or community worker who can observe and supervise the therapy. This approach to the treatment of TB is called DOTS (Directly Observed Treatment, Short course), and by 1999, it has been implemented by many Caribbean countries (e.g., Cuba, Belize, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Guyana, Suriname and English-speaking Caribbean countries). DOTS has universal efficacy, curing TB in 85% of cases; in high burden countries, however, with high HIV prevalence, results are lower even under ideal conditions due to high case fatality rates. In 1997, in Caribbean DOTS countries, such as Haiti, 63.6% of registered patients in DOTS demonstration areas were cured at the end of treatment (PAHO/WHO, 2000). Furthermore, the effective treatment of TB in patients with HIV infection extends these individuals' lives and quickly makes them noncontagious, thus preventing further spread of TB. Five elements are needed for countries to implement a successful Box 3-5. ElementsNeeded to Implement DOTSfor DOTS program (see Box 3-5). By Tuberculosis the end of 1998, some 22 countries in Five elementsare criticalto implementing a successful the Americas had adopted the DOTS DOTS(DirectlyObservedTreatment,Shortcourse) strategy. DOTS pilot areas were treatmentstrategyfor tuberculosis: recently initiated in several countries, 1. Government/political commitment to the tuberculosis including Brazil, Ecuador, El controlprogram. Salvador, Haiti, Honduras, and Mexico. In 1999, Colombia, the 2. Detectionof cases,especiallyin personswhocome to Dominican Republic, Panama, and the health services with respiratory symptoms, Parinicagu lapun lichd,tePapoac athrough sputumsmearmicroscopy. Paraguay launched the approach. The challenge for these DOTS pilot 3. Standardized short-coursedirectlyobservedtreatment programs is to gain full support from of all cases with a positive microscopic sputum governments and external partners so examination. that they expand rapidly to have an 4. A regularsupplyof medicines. impact. Success begins with action 5. A registrationand information/monitoring system. by communities, but support from the highest levels of government and Source: MAP, 1998 civil society can make the difference in infectious disease control-as shown with TB control in recent years in the United States and Peru. The countries of the English-speaking Caribbean in general have not yet carried out a coordinated set of interventions to control TB. On the other hand, the health authorities in the English-speaking Caribbean countries do offer short-course treatment for TB with hospitalization during the first four to six weeks. This regimen probably limits transmission of the TB and allows for the patient's sputum to convert to negative. New efforts in Africa and Asia can also provide lessons-as well as renewed UNAIDS/WHO collaboration on finding effective models of community-care and early detection of infection and treatment for latent infection and active disease. Working on TB and HIV/AIDS provides opportunities for measuring impact even in the short-run, given the powerful outcome and impact indicators that can be derived from routine health systems data for TB control. 33 Providing Antiretroviral Drug Therapy for People with HIV/AIDS Since 1996, triple-combination antiretroviral therapy, a combination of protease inhibitors and anti-HIV drugs, has prolonged the lives and improve the quality of life for thousands of people living with HIV/AIDS in industrialized countries. In general, people who are infected with AIDS in developing countries, including countries in the Caribbean, do not have access to the newer antiretroviral therapies. The cost of the new therapies-at Western market prices of $1,000 per month per patient-is prohibitive for most HIV-infected people in these countries. Moreover, although newer drugs can occasionally be accessed, there is not a consistent and steady supply. For that reason, physicians in developing countries are sometimes reluctant to prescribe the newer drugs. A 1998 UNAIDS review of access to HIV-related drugs and NGO activities in several countries, including the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Jamaica, found that none of these countries' governments make antiretroviral treatment available for people with HIV/AIDS. Some NGOs, in these countries-including the PAHO-funded PROMESS (Programme des Medicaments Essentiels) in Haiti and CRN+ in the Dominican Republic and Jamaica-do provide antiretroviral drugs for people with HIV and AIDS, but the supply is uncertain and by no means adequate for the treatment of all those in need. Recently, UNAIDS and a number of pharmaceutical companies have been testing the feasibility of delivering state-of-the art AIDS treatment in four developing countries-Chile, Uganda, Ivory Coast, and Vietnam. The pilot countries established a national advisory committee to coordinate drug-related policy and a nonprofit clearinghouse to purchase and distribute HIV- related drugs. The pharmaceutical companies, in turn, made available a range of anti-HIV drugs, including antiretrovirals, and virologic services at subsidized prices. One of the lessons of the pilot is that even if the newer antiretroviral drugs are offered at drastically reduced prices, the cost of the medical infrastructure for delivering the drugs is probably prohibitive in these countries. Many observers have emphasized that that merely lowering the price of AIDS drugs will not solve the international AIDS crisis. For example, Tom Coates, executive director of the University of California at San Francisco AIDS Research Institute, cautions that if drugs are introduced in a population, but not in sufficient quantities, this policy could be disastrous, making people sicker, rather than better and increasing the possibility for development of drug-resistant H1V strains. He and other public health practitioners working in developing countries have warned that unrealistic expectations of the expensive antiretroviral drug combinations in resource-poor countries may undermine prevention efforts by encouraging the mistaken impression that scientists have found a "cure" for AIDS. The excitement over promising results from trials of new anti-HIV drugs should not obscure prevention-still the most effective approach against the virus. A few international efforts have been made to provide guidelines for antiretroviral treatment in developing countries. In May 1998 the International AIDS Economics Network sponsored an online conference entitled Anti-Retroviral Treatment in Developing Countries: Questions of Economics, Equity and Ethics. 34 PROSPECTS FOR THE DEVELOPMENTOF AN AIDS VACCINE Some observers, noting that the antiretroviral drug therapies available to people with HIV/AIDS in the United States and Europe are still too expensive for those in the developing world, have called for increased efforts to develop an AIDS vaccine. There are still difficult scientific, political, and financial obstacles to overcome in the development of an AIDS vaccine. Furthermore, there is no certainty that a vaccine which will be suitable, effective, and affordable in developing countries will be developed in the foreseeable future. Just as the hope for improved access to costly AIDS drugs should not undermine a strong and unrelenting effort to prevent HIV transmission in developing countries through existing preventive measures, neither should the hope of an AIDS vaccine. At best a vaccine may be a valuable future addition to the set of interventions. Only strong preventive measures will change the increasing trend in the number of HIV infections in the Caribbean and other developing countries. The World Bank recently launched an AIDS Vaccine Task Force to consider how it could speed up development of an AIDS vaccine that is effective and affordable in developing countries. The EU has established a similar task force. These efforts complement the overall HIV vaccine efforts coordinated by UNAIDS with leadership of WHO. In August 1999, the World Bank's AIDS Vaccine Task Force convened a meeting of senior policymakers, donors, and NGOs who met in New Delhi. Participants urged the World Bank to continue efforts to stimulate the development and financing of an AIDS vaccine for low-income countries. They noted that achieving these goals will require the combined efforts of national and international scientists, UNAIDS, WHO, the International AIDS Vaccine Initiative, bilateral organizations, private industry, developing country governments, NGOs, and the World Bank. Similar meetings were held in Brazil and South Africa. More recently, the World Bank has become an active member of the Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunizations (GAVI) that is exploring ways of accelerating development of an AIDS vaccine for developing countries. GAVI is a network comprising interested governments, UNICEF, WHO, bilateral agencies, the Gates Foundation, the Rockefeller Foundation and other partners to complement the work of the International AIDS Vaccines Initiative (IAVI). INTENSIFYINGNATIONAL RESPONSESTO HIV/AIDS IN THE CARIBBEAN: FIVE KEY STEPS As a subregion comprised of small island developing states and mainland nations with relatively- small populations, HIV/AIDS presents unique challenges and the response to it must consider consequences specific to small country circumstances. First, while trends in African countries have suggested that the economic impact of the HIV epidemic becomes evident after experiencing a national HIV seroprevalence of around 7%, such might not be the case with countries with total populations ranging from 100 ,000 to the low millions. In these smaller countries, there is not the population size that might somehow absorb a certain level of the burden before it is significantly evidenced by economic impacts. Second, island communities are often perceived as being challenged with greater confidentiality concerns and breaches than larger countries. Third, the laws and cultural customs inherited through slavery, colonization and other socio- historical phenomena may encourage discrimination and stigmatization of the HIV epidemic and those living with HIV/AIDS or those perceived to be most at risk or vulnerable. Last, providing resources and infrastructures for a comprehensive response to HIV/AIDS in each country might be both resource- prohibitive for each nation, but might also not be realistic in light 35 of the population movement, service delivery and service access patterns in the subregion. Therefore, despite many lessons learned from other country experiences, the Caribbean must learn how to adapt such information to meet the unique needs of its member states. Building an effective national response to the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the Caribbean would require an enabling environment and the necessary resources to bring proven interventions quickly up to nationwide scale. Although many Caribbean governments have initiated a limited response to HIV/AIDS, much remains to be done to bring the response to the scale necessary. Governments of all Caribbean countries (with their partners) need to expand and intensify their responses rapidly, and to address HIV/AlDS as a multisectoral development issue-not only a health concern. At the national level, the following five actions are fundamental: * Increasing the national government's commitment, attention, and funding to combat the HIV/AIDS epidemic, including the integration of HIV/AIDS prevention and control into poverty reduction strategies. * Scaling up prevention activities at the national and community levels. * Scaling up care activities at the national and community levels. * Supporting more research at the national level. * Strengthening regional responses to the epidemic in the Caribbean. Step 1: Increase the National Government's Commitment, Attention, and Funding Related to HIV/AIDS Caribbean governments need to expand and intensify their responses to HIV/AIDS rapidly. Many governments in the Caribbean region have not made HIV/AIDS a policy priority. Not all government leaders are convinced of the potential impact of AIDS. Others see the threat but are reluctant to address the issue. Strong government commitment has proved essential in every country that has made headway against the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Given spread of HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean and its impact on the region's economic and social indicators, it is vital that national leaders in the Caribbean region turn their full attention to the challenges of the epidemic. High-level support and political commitment will be crucial to the long-term success of any national or regional effort. Caribbean governments also need to recognize that HIV/AIDS is a multisectoral development issue-not only a health concern-that requires a multisectoral national program with adequate funding. Moving beyond the Ministries of Health and AIDS-specific NGOs to include representatives of a broad range of other sectors of society in national strategic planning is essential. One major issue that will have to be addressed is how best to allocate scarce resources in light of the rapidly growing costs of AIDS. In developing strategic plans, Caribbean countries should re-examine their spending priorities and allocate their expenditures accordingly. In many cases, they may be able to leverage existing programs (e.g., education, agricultural extension) by integrating HIV/AIDS programs into them at modest cost. Management of national programs should involve the highest office of government to ensure the power, resources, flexibility, and effective coordination to act across sectors. 36 Step 2: Scale Up HIV/AIDS Prevention Activities Caribbean governments and their partners need to expand proven interventions to a scale large enough to reach all vulnerable individuals. Given scarce resources, they should focus on a core set of prevention activities that have proven effective and feasible, including the following: * Communications that move audiences from awareness of HIV/AIDS to risk-reducing behavior. * Making condoms, the treatment of STDs, and voluntary counseling and testing for HIV more accessible. * Ensuring a safe blood supply. * Reducing mother-to-child transmission of HIV. To ensure effectiveness, governments need to work in partnership with persons living with HIV/AIDS, community groups, religious organizations, NGOs, health professionals, and the private sector. Communities and NGOs need to receive direct financial support to act at the local level, where the public sector is often less effective. Step 3: Scale Up HIV/AIDS Care Activities Strategies to provide high-quality community and home-based care need to be developed in Caribbean countries. In addition, Caribbean governments and their partners need to mount programs to care for the thousands of orphans and other vulnerable children whose extended families can no longer bear the full load. Local NGOs are providing care and treatment for persons living with HIV/AIDS in some countries, including Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Jamaica. Typically, the NGO sector has expanded partly in response to the growing deficiencies in HIV/AIDS care activities within the public health sector. NGOs are particularly active in Haiti, providing 60-70% of health services in 1996. In the other Caribbean countries, NGOs complement government and for-profit services mostly though health promotion activities. Generally, there has been limited coordination or regulation of the NGOs' programs. Step 4: Support More Research on HIV/AIDS Continued research is needed into the cost of HIV/AIDS treatment and care alternatives, the sectoral impact and costs of the epidemic, and the effectiveness of existing tools in different cultural and infrastructure settings. Leaders in each sector of a country's economy will continue to view HIV/AIDS as a health issue unless they see the potential impact on their sector and the relatively low cost of intervention at an early stage. Step 5: Strengthen the Regional Response to HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean Regional responses to HIVIAIDS in the Caribbean are discussed in the next chapter. One exciting development is the recent approval by National AIDS Program Directors of Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan of Action for HIVIAIDS, 1999-2004, developed by the CARICOM-led Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS. If the plan succeeds, there will be an increased pool of personnel able to contribute to effective policy development and implementation of programs in the Caribbean; increased regional awareness of the benefits, costs and operational feasibility of interventions to reduce mother-to-child transmission of HIV; an 37 expanded and effective regional network of people living with HIV/AIDS advocating for improved care and support, and contributing to national policy development; improved regional capacity to design, implement and evaluate interventions to reduce high-risk behavior related to the spread of HIV infection; more comprehensive and accurate information on the course, consequences and costs of the epidemic through improved surveillance, monitoring and evaluation of national control programs and through operational research. 38 "Every day, we must balance ourfears about AIDS against the certain knowledge that human action can make a difference. " Peter Piot, Executive Director of the Joint United Nations Program on HIV/AIDS, "The UNAIDS Report, " June 1999 IVREGIONAL RESPONSES TO HIV/AIDS INTHE CARIBBEAN RATIONALE FORA REGIONALRESPONSETO HIV/AIDSINTHE CARIBBEAN Strong arguments can be made in support of mounting a more effective regional response to HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean. First, although all of the Caribbean countries have established broad-based, multisectoral National AIDS Committees and taken some measures to control the HIV/AIDS epidemic, the scope and effectiveness of the response has varied considerably, as discussed in Chapter III. Several problems have hampered national efforts to reduce the spread of HIV/AIDS in Caribbean countries. Most of the countries in the Caribbean region are too small to develop alone the capacity to produce the public goods needed to respond to the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the region. In Haiti and Guyana and, to a lesser extent, the Dominican Republic. lack of infrastructure, poverty, and large size have hampered efforts. Another problem in Haiti, which was affected very early in the HIV/AIDS epidemic, has been political instability. Second, HIV/AIDS is a clearly regional issue. The weak institutional capacity of Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Guyana to respond to the HIV/AIDS, for example, is a problem that transcends national boundaries because many HIV-positive people have left these countries in search of support and care in better off communities elsewhere in the Caribbean region. Strengthening regional institutions and networks would enable all countries in the region, even the smallest, to benefit. Third, the HIV/AIDS epidemic is a long-term problem demanding a sustained response by qualified health care and other personnel, which many countries lack. The response to H1V/AIDS in the Caribbean currently depends on too few qualified and inforned individuals. There is no systematic teaching at the postgraduate level of communication approaches that will get people to alter their sexual behavior. Only scant attention is paid to issues involved in treating STDs and caring for people with HIV/AIDS in the curricula used to train doctors and nurses in the Caribbean. Health economics is also a poorly developed discipline in the Caribbean. Policy analysis and development is carried out in an environment largely isolated from global policy information. Finally, opportunities exist for concerted regional action to make H1V/AIDS a priority development issue that transcends party politics, points to shared interests, and encourages commitment to take on shared vulnerabilities and responsibilities, especially related to sustaining 39 political will and enacting national policies that address human rights and legal and ethical issues related to HIV/AIDS. DONORS' ACTIVITIESRELATEDTO HIV/AIDS IN THECARIBBEAN INTERNATIONAL Activities UNAIDSand Its Co-Sponsors' UNAIDS-which is co-sponsoredby UNICEF, UNDCP,UNDP, UNFPA, UNESCO, WHO, and the World Bank-is the leading advocatefor worldwideaction against HIV/AIDS. The largest donors to UNAIDS in 1998 were the governments of the United States, the Netherlands,the United Kingdom,and the Scandinavian countries. With an annual budget of US$60million,the UNAIDSSecretariatoperatesas a catalystand coordinatorof action on AIDS ratherthan as a direct fundingor implementingagency. UNAIDS Caribbean office in Port-of-Spain,Trinidad, works with a broad array of partners in the Caribbean-including National AIDS Programs, CARICOM, CAREC, the European Community, NGOs, and others. UNAIDS' and its co-sponsors' current commitments/disbursements in Latin America and the Caribbean are about 5 million Euros. AmongUNAIDSco-sponsors,PAHO/WHOprovidesthe most supportto the Caribbeanregion. Most of PAHO's supportin the Caribbeanregion has been providedfor the work of CAREC,a specializedagency of PAHO. UNICEFis active in supportingthe CARICOM-ledHealth and Family Life Education (HFLE) Program (see Chapter III) and the integration of HIV/AIDS interventionsin that program. UNDPis exploringwaysto increaseits supportto the Caribbean's efforts to confrontthe developmentimpacts and consequencesof HIV/AIDS.In March 1999, UNDPheld the First CaribbeanWorkshopon HIV and Development in Barbados. Over half of the 5 millionEuros in fundingprovidedby UNAIDSand its co-sponsorsis to improvethe U.N. System's responseto HIV/AIDSand to supportinter-countryU.N. advisory services. Areas of UNAIDS assistance include strategic planning exercises, resource mobilization,political networking,capacity building, strengtheningnetworks of persons living with HIV/AIDS, strengtheningtechnical cooperation between countries of the region, and funding specific interventions (e.g., to prevent mother-to-child HIV transmission, AIDS management,peer education,tourism, female condom social marketing).UNAIDS' support is also providedfor studiesof HIV voluntarycounselingand testing,communication programs,and ways to strengthen horizontal cooperation among Caribbean countries to improve national responsecapacities. EuropeanUnionand Canada The EuropeanUnion (EU) is the major extemal financierof a responseto HIV/AIDSin the Caribbean,havingcommittedor disbursedover I I millionEurosto date. Significantsupport has been made available from EU special budget-linesand the EconomicDevelopmentFund (EDF)for HIV preventioninterventions in Haiti (1 millionEuros),the DominicanRepublic(1.96 million Euros), Trinidad and Tobago (550,000 Euros), Suriname (891,000 Euros), Guyana (850,000Euros),and Grenada,(569,000Euros). Smalleramountshavebeen made availablefrom the EDF to strengthenSTD diagnosticand HIV testing capabilitiesin Antiguaand Barbuda,St. Lucia, St. Vincentand the Grenadines,the Turks and CaicosIslands,Barbados,and St. Kitts and Nevis. 40 Within the English-speaking Caribbean, international donor support for regional initiatives in the fight against HIV/AIDS has generally been channeled over the years through CAREC. Here, France (FTC), Germany (GTZ), and Canada (CIDA) have funneled their support to more traditional public health efforts of blood safety, the prevention of HIV transmission via condoms and STD control, and the use of mass media or other communications to help prevent the spread of HIV/AIDS. The EU is pose to begin a major new initiative to assist CARICOM member states in responding to issues pertaining to HIV/AIDS and population mobility (including tourism): Strengthening the Institutional Response to HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean Project (see Box 4-1). Developed in consultation with UNAIDS, the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB), PAHO, people living with HIV/AIDS, and others, the project, which has not yet been approved, will last about three years and cost 6.425 million Euros. It involves six regional institutions-CARICOM, CAREC, CRN+, UNAIDS, the Caribbean Research Council, and the University of the West Indies-and 24 countries. It also places the EU (together with USAID in Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Guyana and Jamaica) in the position of being the major donor to regional HIV/AIDS activities in the Caribbean. An unquantifiable but important contribution will be made to the project by CARICOM member states, which make annual contributions to CARICOM, the University of the West Indies, and CAREC. The Strengthening the Institutional Response to HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean Project represents an important contribution to an expanded and sustained response to HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean and has potentially large development benefits. The EU-funded project will offer technical, material, and financial support to regional institutions to expand and improve their response to HIV/AIDS so that the effectiveness and sustainability of national interventions in the Caribbean region improves. Specifically, the project will aim to do the following: (1) support accurate and complete data collection on the incidence and prevalence of HIV/AIDS in all countries in the Caribbean; (2) assist policymakers in at least 10 countries of the Caribbean to use public health economic analysis to inform decisions to allocate funds to HIV/AIDS ; (3) support the inclusion of modules in behavior change communication, health economics, and care of people with HIV/AIDS in postgraduate studies in HIV/AIDS at the University of the West Indies; and (4) empower people with HIV to be actively involved in key policymaking bodies (National AIDS Committees/Programs) in half of the countries in the Caribbean region. CARICOM will help to implement the EU-funded project Strengthening the Institutional Response to HIVWAIDSin the Caribbean under an agreement with CARIFORUM, a regional institution set up to coordinate EU regional projects. The project will be implemented in all Caribbean countries that are members of CARIFORUM. Since the project spans over many countries and six regional institutions, its implementation will require continual consultation. A considerable amount of money has been budgeted for regional consultation and consensus- building. U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) Activities USAID has sponsored HIV/AIDS prevention programs in the Caribbean region for over a decade through two Washington-funded cooperative agreements with Family Health International. Under one agreement, from 1991 to 1997, Family Health International implemented the AIDS Control and Prevention (AIDSCAP) in 45 countries, including the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Jamaica. 41 Box 4-1. Overview of the Proposed European Union-Funded Project: Strengthening the Institutional Response to HIV/IADS in the Caribbean The EU recentlycommittedto fund a majornew projectto assistCARICOMMemberStatesin respondingto issuespertaining to HIV/AIDS.The projecthas not yet finallyapproved. Strengthening the Caribbean region'scapacityto developpolicies for reducingtheincidenceof HIV/AIDS:Withthe proposedrole of CARICOM, and in particularwith the establishmentof its Human and Social Development Council, the Caribbeanregionis said to havethe infrastructureto develop and carry forwardregionalapproachesto region-wide problems. Given the historyand experienceof the previousMinisterialCouncils,there is everyreason to believethat these structuresneed supportto become effective. The EU-fundedproject will address this issue by providinginstitutionalsupport to CARICOM,encouraging inter- countryexchangesand the greaterinvolvement of people with HIV/AIDSin policy formulation. The involvement of UNAIDS in providingaccessto globalpolicydevelopment on program"best practice"is also important. and information For toolong, the Caribbeanregion has been developingHIV/AIDSpolicyin isolationfrom,and sometimesat variance policy. with, international * Strengthening the Caribbean region'scapacityto develepand implement H VIAIDS programs: Capacityto develop and implementHIV/AIDS interventionsvariesacrossthe Caribbeanregion. In Jamaica,the evidenceappearsto suggest that an early and sustainedmultisectoralSTD controlprogramhas been effectivein stemmingthe spreadof HIV. In some countries, lack of governmentcommitmentand action has allowed the epidemic to spread to the general population. Buildingnationalcapacityto respondto the epidemicrequiresshort-termsupport,and long term sustained investmentin humanresourcedevelopment. For that reason, the EU-fundedprojectwill supportthe expansionof existing programs,such as CAREC'sactivityin surveillanceand programdevelopment, as well as longerterm investmentsin capacitybuilding,such as thosein training and economicanalysisat the University of the West Indies,and in policydevelopment, throughsupportto CARICOM, CRN+,and UNAIDS. The implementation of policywill dependon the motivationthat existsat the nationallevel. The existenceof broad-based,multisectoralNationalAIDS Committees in every country reflects an alreadyhigh level of motivation. The limitationon these organizationsis mainlyone of isolation from internationalpolicy and lack of resources and it is in this area the presentEU-funded projectaimsto makea difference. * Availabilityof capacityfor addressingthe HIV/AIDSepidemicin both the public and private sectors: In all the Caribbeancountries, the publicsectorhas taken the lead in mounting some form of responseto the HIV/AIDSproblem. In some countries, however, the private sector, especiallyinsurance companies, trade unions, and employers' havebegun to expressthe desirefor inclusionin policydiscussionsrelatedto the problem. What is needed associations, is a division of labor between the public and private sectors so that capacity expansion will take place in a complementary manner. It is hoped that the effort to create NationalBusinessCouncilson HIV/AIDSas part of the presentEU-funded goal. projectwill contributeto this particular * Justification to expecta privatemarketfor the treatmentof STDsto of the investment:Althoughit is not unreasonable emerge if disposableincomesare large enough,the privatesector will not normallytake the lead in the provisionof publicgoodssuchas preventive services,policyand epidemiologicalresearch,and behavior-change information.Thisis why publicand quasi-public institutionsmustbe relieduponto reducethe incidence of HIV/AIDS.Whenat the national it makessense to have the requiredinterventions level such institutionsare faced withfiscal pressuresand uncertainties mediatedthrough a regionalinstitution.Institutionslike CARICOM, CAREC,and the Universityof the West Indies providesa genuineopportunity for sensibleinvestmentsaimed at addressingHIV/AIDS. On anotherlevel,the justification of the proposedinvestment in bringingabout a reductionin the incidenceof HIV/AIDS in the regionlies in the latest estimateof the economicimpactof HIV/AIDSon two countrieswhere studieshave been done, Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica. Estimatessuggest that this will amount to more than 400 million Euros annually by the year 2000if no successful interventiontakes place. A EuropeanCommunity investment of 6.367 million Euroshas a potentially verylargecost-benefit ratio. * Efficiencyof the investment:In respect of the efficiencyof the investment,most preventionstrategiesinvolvethe production of publicgoods. Financingthroughnon-private sources,preferablyones whichdo not incuran excessburden via taxation,is justified. Sinceprojectfinancingfalls into this categoryof fundingthe efficiencyargumentis adequately made.Source: EU, 1999. * The onlyalternatives to projectactivitiesin an effortto reduce the impactsof HIV/AIDSare a preventivevaccine,a cure for the disease,or effectiveand affordable treatments.Vaccinesare now onlyin the experimental stage and to date there is no cure. Treatmentsare available,but their long-termefficacyand safetyis uncertainand their cost significant (to treatthe 18,000 peoplewith HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean therapieswouldcost about360 millionEuros withantiretroviral a year,or 1140 millionEuros over the life of the EU-fundedproject). In this sense, the projectwill supportthe only knownwaysof achievingthe goalof reducingthe spreadof HIV/AIDS. .Vn-rp- FTI 1Q42 42 Under a second agreement, Family Health International is implementing the Implementing AIDS Care and Prevention (IMPACT) Project, now in its first year, in 25 countries, including Dominican Republic and Jamaica. The AIDS Communications Project (AIDSCOM) of the Academy of Educational Development (AED) also provided support for HIV/AIDS education and information in the early response to HIV/AIDS and provided resident adviser assistance to some Caribbean countries. In the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Jamaica, USAID currently provides about US$6 million in support to the national STD/HIV/AIDS program, NGOs, and other private sector groups. USAID has supported the Haitian Government's response to HIV/AIDS through the Health Systems 2004 project, which focuses on condom social marketing, voluntary counseling and testing for HIV, and strategic planning. Funding for Guyana (US$600,000 per year) for the next three years is expected by the year 2000. USAID at one time supported CAREC's Special Program on Sexually Transmitted Infections (see discussion below) but discontinued its involvement in 1994. REGIONAL CARIBBEAN HIV/AIDS-RELATED ORGANIZATIONS' INITIATIVES The Secretariat of the CARICOM is the organization responsible for regional policy and cooperation in the Caribbean region, and its Human and Social Development Division has assumed a lead role in regional HIV/AIDS initiatives in the Caribbean. Two other regional organizations that have been involved in such initiatives are CAREC and the Caribbean Network of People with HIV/AIDS (CRN+). CARICOM, CAREC, and CRN+ are three of the six institutions that will be implementing the EU-s new project Strengthening the Institutional Response to HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean discussed earlier. CARICOM Initiatives The Secretariat of the CARICOM is the organization responsible for regional policy and cooperation in the Caribbean region, and its Human and Social Development Division has assumed a lead role in regional HIV/AIDS initiatives in the Caribbean. As mentioned in Chapter III, for example, CARICOM has played a lead role in the implementation of the Health and Family Life Education (HFLE) program-the goal of which is to proactively provide young people in the Caribbean region with information on HIV/AIDS, sexual health, substance abuse, environmental health, safety, and nutrition. In June 1998, UNAIDS, CARICOM, and the EU jointly organized a pan-Caribbean Consultation on HIV/AIDS involving 22 countries and territories, as well as regional and international partners. That meeting underscored the need for a well-coordinated, multisectoral expanded response to the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the Caribbean and resulted in the establishment of the Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS, with a formal mandate from the Ministers of Health of the participating countries to coordinate and strengthen the regional response to the HIV/AIDS epidemic. The Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS is chaired by the CARICOM Secretariat. Members include national experts in key HIV/AIDS programming areas, the Caribbean Network for People Living with HIV/AIDS (CRN+), UNAIDS, CAREC, PAHO/WHO, UNICEF, UNDP, the University of the West Indies, the EU, the Caribbean Development Bank, the Inter-American Development Bank, the World Bank, Caribbean Council of Churches, the Association of Caribbean States, the Caribbean Tourism Organization, the Commonwealth Youth Program, the 43 Caribbean News Agency, the Caribbean Congress of Labor, and many other representatives of civil society. Recently, the Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS led a wide consultative process and developed a comprehensive strategic plan for the region. That plan, the Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan of Action for HIV/AIDS, 1999-2004, is discussed at length in the concluding section of this chapter. CAREC Initiatives CAREC, a specialized agency affiliated with PAHO, is the institution in the Caribbean region that has the longest experience responding substantively to the HIV/AIDS epidemic. CAREC's Special Program on Sexually Transmitted Infections has for many years encouraged the involvement of multiple sectors in the fight against HIV/AIDS in the English- and Dutch- speaking Caribbean countries. CAREC's Special Program on Sexually Transmitted Infections has been almost wholly externally financed. France provided a grant to CAREC of 650,000 Euros that comes to an end in December 2000. Germany is providing CAREC with 1.6 million Euros for general support, possibly to be renewed. Canada has provided a grant of 2.6 million Euros of support to CAREC's Special Program that ends in early 2001. CRN+ Initiatives CRN+ , an organization established in 1996, is based in Trinidad and Tobago but has affiliates in 17 countries in the Caribbean region. Its goals are to share information, build capacity among persons living with HIV/AIDS, and support HIV/AIDS advocacy in the countries of the Caribbean. CRN+ is a member of the Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS and. CRN+ has received support from the United Nations Volunteers to its regional office and to assist in building networks in five countries. They will receive significant institutional development support through the new EU project as one of the six institutions implementing that project. THE CARIBBEANREGIONAL STRATEGICPLAN OFACTIONFORHIV/AIDS, 1999-2004: A REGIONALFRAMEWORK FOR COLLABORATION As noted previously, the Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS was established in June 1998 with a mandate to coordinate and strengthen the regional response to the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the Caribbean. Through a broad consultative process, the Task Force has worked with National AIDS Program Coordinators representing virtually all of the Caribbean countries and territories, it developed the Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan of Action for HIV/AIDS, 1999-2000. It includes six major areas for regional action: (1) advocacy, policy development, and legislation; (2) care and support of people living with HIV/AIDS; (3) prevention of HIV transmission in young people; (4) prevention of HIV transmission among vulnerable populations; (5) prevention of mother to child transmission of HIV; and (6) strengthening national and regional response capabilities (see Table 4-1). 44 Table 4-1. Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan of Action for HIV/AIDS, 1999-2004: Priority Areas and Strategic Actions Priority Areas for Action Strategic Actions 1. Advocacy, Policy Development, and Legislation Promote human rights and nondiscrimination Policy 1. Developnient, and Legislation Advocacy, Target leadership in critical sectors HIV/AIDS and health reform Conduct research on impacts Conduct vaccine trials 2. Care and Support of People Living with ERV/AIDS Conduct situational analysis on access and quality of care Develop regional standards of care Extend counseling and diagnostic facilities Extend networks of persons living with HIV/AIDS and support them 3. Prevention of HIV Transmission Among Young People Support the implementation of the Health and Family Life Education (HFLE) initiative Integrate into adolescent programs, including reproductive health programs Condom promotion Research and innovation in methodology Peer counseling Sexual health education for youth in and out of school 4. Prevention of HIV Transmission Among Vulnerable Support development of regional networks Populations: Support research and development to define best practices . Men having sex with men Support implementation of UNDCP plan of action * Sex workers Integrate HIV/AIDS prevention and care into prison health care * Drug users programs . Drug Institutionalised popuatioTargeted information, education, and communication (IEC) * Institutionalized populations programs * Uniformed populations Conduct situational analyses . Mobile populations (e.g., migrant workers, sex Include HIV/AIDS issues in tourism and health initiatives workers, tourists) Develop regional policy and operational guidelines Identify and support field training sites/models 5. Prevention of Mother-to-Child HIV Transmrission Target women for IEC programs Negotiate with pharmaceutical companies for access to antiviral drugs for prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission Close collaboration with UNICEF for program development and implementation 6. Strengthening Regional and National Response Network with regional agencies and NGOs Capabilities Support capacity building in key agencies Upgrade HIV/AIDS surveillance Develop a comprehensive IEC strategy and program Develop research agenda and promote implementation Promote technical cooperation among countries Develop coordinated approach to resource mobilization Target the private sector Strengthen monitoring and evaluation capacity Source: CARICOM/Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS, 2000. The National AIDS Program Directors met in Antigua in June 1999 to review and approve the draft regional strategic plan, and the final version of the plan was published in February 2000. The implementation of the five-year strategic plan will be overseen by the Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS under CARICOM's leadership. The activities called for in the plan will be financed largely through existing programs and projects, including the new EU- 45 funded project that focuses on strengthening the institutional response to HIV/AIDS (see discussion above). If necessary, the Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS will work with the CARICOM Secretariat to mobilize additional resources through multilateral cooperation agreements, the private sector, and UNAIDS resource mobilization mechanisms. The Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan of Action for HIV/AIDS, 1999-2004, lays the groundwork for an expanded and coordinated regional response to the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the Caribbean and provides guidance to Caribbean countries for the design and implementation of more effective national AIDS programs. If the plan succeeds, there will be an increased pool of personnel able to contribute to effective policy development and implementation of programs in the Caribbean; increased regional awareness of the benefits, costs and operational feasibility of interventions to reduce mother-to-child transmission of HIV; an expanded and effective regional network of people living with HIV/AIDS advocating for improved care and support, and contributing to national policy development; improved regional capacity to design, implement and evaluate interventions to reduce high-risk behavior related to the spread of HIV infection; more comprehensive and accurate information on the course, consequences and costs of the epidemic through improved surveillance, monitoring, and evaluation of national control programs and through operational research. The Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan of Action for HIV/AIDS, 1999-2004, provides a clear framework for coordinated action to halt the spread of HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean, and it has been sanctioned by all of the regional institutions and international agencies working in HIV/AIDS in the region. The success of this initiative will hinge on the continuous commitment of leaders of the Caribbean countries to collaborate on this CARICOM-led regional effort. Since the financing for the plan will come largely through existing program and projects, it will also depend on the commitment of the EU, the World Bank, and other international donors. The next chapter discusses the potential role of the World Bank in efforts to prevent and control HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean. 46 "We must shine a spotlight on the AIDS issue, put it front and center. Break the silence; destigmatize it. And build coalitions with governments, the private sector and civil society to fight it. We mustfind innovative ways to make care and treatment available, including affordable drugs. " James Wolfensohn, "War on AIDS, " Appearance by World Bank President before U.N. Security Council, January 10, 2000 V THEWORLDBANK'SROLE WHATHASBEENDONEBYTHEWORLDBANK? The World Bank began providing funding for AIDS prevention in 1986 as part of broader health and sector projects. It began funding free-standing AIDS projects in 1989. In Latin America, World Bank-funded projects in Brazil, Argentina and Haiti aimed to stem the spread of AIDS and STDs in these countries and to prevent it from spreading more broadly in the general population (see Box 5-1). Box 5-1. Examplesof WorldBank-Funded AIDS and STD ControlProjects in Brazil,Argentina,andHaiti The followingWorldBank-funded projectsweredesignedto help curb the spreadof AIDS and STDs in these countries and to prevent these diseases from spreading more broadly in the general population. Brazil:In 1993,the World Bank approveda loan of $160 millionfor Brazil's AIDS and STD ControlProject,which focuseslargely on preventionefforts, but also covers treatment,testing, and increasingthe government'scapacityto deliver services.With the help of about 120NGOs, the BrazilianGovernment launchedAIDS preventionprogramstargetinghigh-riskgroupssuch as injecting-drugusers throughoutthe country.The governmentwas able to expandtesting for HIV and other STDs, as well as to introduce 36 new laboratoriesable to test for HIV. Training programsunderthe project allowedgovernment staff who diagnoseand deliverAIDS servicesto strengthentheir capacityto deal with the epidemicand improve the treatmentof patients with HIV and AIDS. * Argentina:In 1998,the World bank approveda loan for US$15 millionto promotehealth and disease preventionactivitiesin Buenos Aires and in the provincesof Cordoba and Santa Fe, where 85% of Argentina's AIDS-related cases are concentrated.This project is increasingthe availability of existing diagnostic treatment and counseling services in targeted areas and supportingHIV- and STD-relatedresearch and development. It will be implementedwith the the CatholicChurch,NGOs,tradeunions,schools,and student help of civil societyorganizations, organizations. * Haiti: Under the ongoingFirst Health Project, supportis being providedto boost the national TB, STDs and HIV/AIDSprograms,as follows:(i) interventions to increaseutilizationof TB treatment services; (ii) IEC activities and condom distributionto prevent transmission;(iii) epidemiologicsurveillancefor STDs and HIV/AIDS; (iv) staff training to improve testing, counseling,and STDs treatment; and (v) program managementat the central and department levels. Source: World Bank data. 47 The World Bank is one of the leading financiers of HIV/AlDS activities in the world, having committed over US$988.5 million worldwide for 80 ongoing and future projects to prevent and control the spread of HIV/AIDS since 1986. This, however, has not been enough given the scope of the epidemic. The World Bank's loans for HIV/AIDS prevention and control in Brazil and Argentina (two to the Brazilian government and one to the government of Argentina) total US$340 million. Although the Argentina and Brazil loans are on IBRD terms, most of the World Bank's financing for HIV/AIDS-related projects in developing countries is provided on highly concessional terms through the International Development Association. In addition to providing loans, through the Development Grant Facility, the World Bank provides grants for regional initiatives that tackle the HIV/AIDS epidemic. In Africa and Asia, for example, the World Bank has supported initiatives aimed at strengthening regional cooperation and improving the capacity for neighboring countries to consult on policy and implementation issues. The World Bank has also promoted a regional AIDS Initiative for Latin America and the Caribbean. This initiative- patterned along lines of the initiatives in Africa and Asia and known as SIDALAC-is now being integrated into UNAIDS' regional technical support efforts. SIDALAC is currently focusing on (1) the epidemiology and economic impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in Latin America and the Caribbean; (2) the development of interventions to raise awareness of key decision-makers; and (3) the development of innovative interventions in the private sector. SIDALAC has funded the only HIV/AIDS economic impact study in the Caribbean to date, a study that was conducted by the University of the West Indies in collaboration with the CAREC. The World Bank has recently adopted a new strategic approach to addressing the devastating consequences of HIV/AIDS on development. This approach builds on the important HIV/AIDS-related work that the World Bank and UNAIDS have started and uses these organizations' strong comparative advantages to rapidly increase the level of action and available resources needed to bring up to scale the interventions that can slow the HIV/AIDS epidemic. As discussed in the World Bank's 1999 publication Responding to the Crisis: The Intensified Action Against HI V/AIDS in Africa, the World, the new approach does the following: - Places countries in the driver's seat to set the course of their response to HIV/AIDS, emphasizing the important role government leadership plays in developing, implementing, and sustaining a multisectoral effort to fight against AIDS, while also noting the importance of partnership with civil society and the private sector. * Treats AIDS as a priority development issue for the World Bank that impacts upon all sectors and is addressed throughout the Comprehensive Development Framework-a holistic approach that focuses on integrating HIV/AIDS related activities in a multisectoral manner. * Focuses efforts on protecting new generations, while caring for those already infected and affected by HIV/AIDS. * Focuses on bringing successful interventions to a national or regional scale, reaching the vulnerable women, youth and rural populations that have not been reached in the past. * Proposes immediate response by integrating prevention and mitigation efforts into ongoing World Bank projects. * Specifies concrete actions, with estimated costs, which the World Bank can help countries to undertake. 48 * Emphasizes building national capacity to respond, supporting country-based responses and decentralized efforts. * Recognizes that international partnerships are needed and aims to mobilize internal and external resources. The World Bank initially is focusing this approach on sub-Saharan African countries with the highest HIV/AIDS prevalence rates. To this end, the World Bank has established a multisectoral AIDS Campaign Team for Africa (ACTafrica) under the offices of the African Regional Vice Presidents to stimulate and support the Intensifying Action Against HI V/AIDS strategy. Over time, however, the Bank's HIV/AIDS-related activities will continue and gradually be intensified in other regions with rapidly growing epidemics, including South Asia and the Caribbean. The World Bank's lending for HIV/AIDS is likely to increase as more countries turn to it for financial assistance in implementing strategies to fight the HlV/AIDS epidemic. WHATCOULDBE DONEBYTHEWORLDBANKIN THECARIBBEAN? The World Bank's presence in the health sector of the wider Caribbean region, except in the Dominican Republic and Haiti, is fairly small. Nevertheless, as the challenges posed by HIV/AIDS stretch well beyond the health sector alone, there is legitimate need and opportunity for World Bank partnership in the HIV/AIDS efforts in every country. As illustrated by the role it has played in AIDS and STD control projects in Brazil, Argentina and Haiti, as well as in many countries in Africa and Asia, however, the World Bank certainly has the ability to have a significant impact upon the Caribbean region's HIV/AIDS epidemic. The World Bank could expand its activities in the Caribbean both (1) by actively participating in UNAIDS and local U.N. Theme Groups on HIV/AIDS; and (2) by incorporating HIV/AIDS prevention and control activities for Caribbean countries into its country assistance programs and lending portfolios. WorldBankParticipationin UNAIDSand the LocalU.N. ThemeGroupson HIV/AIDS As a co-sponsor and member of UNAIDS, the World Bank has an official presence within every Caribbean nation or territory supported by UNAIDS. Thus, the World Bank might first begin its cooperation to support HIV/AIDS efforts in the Caribbean through active participation in UNAIDS and the local U.N. Theme Groups on HIV/AIDS. There are several ways in which the World Bank might act: * First, the World Bank could provide technical support to Caribbean countries on issues such as the economic impact of HIV on the fragile economies of these countries or the process of governmental planning for HIV/AlDS within the context of evolving economic and social conditions. * Second, the World Bank, as a UNAIDS co-sponsor, could coordinate efforts with the Inter- American Development Bank and the Caribbean Development Bank to define a lending strategy for H1V/AIDSprevention and control in the Caribbean. * Third, the World Bank, by working with UNAIDS, could develop and strengthen ties with specific sectors-such as the finance, health, education, or tourism sectors-by providing consultative and technical support to the Caribbean regional bodies that represent Caribbean country governments and civil society. 49 World Bank Sector Loans and Project Support for HIV/AIDS-RelatedActivitiesin the Caribbean The World Bank's medium-term assistance to the countries in the Caribbean, in line with the Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan of Action for HIVIAIDS, 1999-2004, developed with the leadership of CARICOM could parallel the World Bank's assistance in Africa: * First, the World Bank could support efforts by the Caribbean Task Force on AIDS (see Chapter IV) to mobilize Caribbean leaders, civil society organizations, religious groups, and the private sector to intensify action against HIV/AIDS. Such support may be especially important in countries where HIV/AlDS prevalence is still low. * Second, the World Bank could strengthen and expand its partnership with UNAIDS, the other co-sponsors of UNAIDS (UNICEF, UNDP, UNFPA, UNESCO, and PAHO/WHO), CARICOM, the Inter-American Development Bank, the Caribbean Development Bank, CAREC, the EU, NGOs, and interested bilateral agencies with a view toward implementing the Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan of Action for HIV/AIDS, 1999-2004. * Finally, the World Bank could incorporate HIV/AIDS prevention and control activities for Caribbean countries in its country assistance programs and lending portfolios. The World Bank could restructure ongoing projects to finance HIV/AIDS-related activities, fund free- standing operations for the prevention and control of HIV/AIDS, and develop HIV/AIDS- related activities as part of projects in relevant non-health sectors (e.g., education, tourism). In the health sector, the World Bank could assist in strengthening the Caribbean's regional response to the HIV/AIDS epidemic as part of broader health reform efforts. As a middle- income region, much of the Caribbean currently has relatively good health care. The HIV/AIDS epidemic in the region, however, poses a threat to the fragile service delivery balance that holds these systems together. The World Bank, by participating in a multi- country dialogue-co-hosted with intergovernmental bodies such as CARICOM-could help Caribbean countries develop a stronger and more rational health care service delivery system for the Caribbean that would be better able to address needs related to HIV/AIDS. An improved health care system would at once recognize the issues pertaining to national sovereignty, address the reality that each individual nation-state cannot provide all aspects of health care delivery, and harmonize an approach consistent with the move toward the true development of a CARICOM single-market and economy. The World Bank's assistance in this realm could take many formns, including the support of individual countries to become the subregional sites for particular aspects of health care delivery. ANHIV/AIDS PREVENTION OPERATIONALIZING STRATEGY ANDCONTROL INTHE CARIBBEAN The World Bank could finance a Multi-Country HIV/AIDS Program for the Caribbean to assist the governments of the region to scale up HIV/AIDS prevention and control activities. It would help build strong regional and national leadership with broad participation, and establish an institutional platform for long-term sustainability. As discussed before, given the historical, social and economic factors that link the Caribbean region, as well its population movements, HIV/AIDS constitutes a regional issue. A purely "national" approach could be ineffective owing to external factors. The proposed program, therefore, would offer support to individual countries within the context of The Caribbean Regional Strateeic Plan of Action 2000-2004 prepared by the CARICOM-led Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS and endorsed by the heads of Government. Additionally, by 50 supporting a program conceived as part of regional initiative, donors can more easily exercise their preferences and comparative advantages and complement each other. This was evident at the regional HIV/AIDS Conference in September 2000, sponsored by the Government of Barbados, PAHO/WHO, UNAIDS and the World Bank. Several bilateral donors offered support to regional aspects of the Plan, while the World Bank committed resources at the country level. In the face of the challenges posed by the HIV/AIDS epidemic, it is expected that the proposed program would support the Caribbean Governments in building political consensus, public awareness, and experience both domestically and region-wide. It would help them devote additional resources to the prevention and control of HIV/AIDS, care for persons already affected by it, experiment with institutional arrangements to curb its spread and modify them on the basis of lessons learned over time. The program's underlying premise would be that a broad, inclusive, and in many cases experimental set of activities is needed to have a substantial impact on the spread of the epidemic, considering the diversity of sources of infection, and the behavioral and cultural factors that drive it. This means that the approach would have to be opportune, build on and scale up successes that have been achieved, and accept the costs of errant starts while learning from them. World Bank assistance would be structured as horizontal/regional Adaptable Program Lending (APL). Under the APL, individual countries would obtain separate loans and/or credits to finance their own national HIV/ADS Prevention and Control projects. The respective national projects would be appraised and readied for approval following provisions for investment lending. Final decision as to the countries to be included would be made based on Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) considerations and the degree of readiness of the countries. The operational goal of the APL would be to have all the Caribbean countries participating within the next two years. Each would then seek to reach their own project objectives for HIV/AIDS prevention and control within the ensuing 5 years. The proposed APL, by visibly committing resources, to complement the activities supported by other donors, would attempt to ensure adequate resources to fund the national programs. Structuring a Regional HIV/AIDS Program as an APL In the Caribbean, the principal biological factors explaining this epidemic are much better understood than are the social, cultural, and economic factors that create the environment for HIV transmission. Clearly, however, the countries need to adopt and implement an operational plan for addressing the HIV/AIDS epidemic that takes all of these factors into account. In this context of uncertainty about certain factors associated with the HIV/AIDS epidemic and how to address them, the risks of failure of an HIV/AIDS program in the Caribbean countries can be minimized by structuring a lending program that gives these countries an opportunity to build experience, political consensus, and public awareness at both within these countries and region-wide. The countries in the Caribbean need to simultaneously (1) devote resources to HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment; and (2) experiment with institutional arrangements to curb the spread of the HIV/AIDS epidemic and to treat the individuals who develop AIDS, modifying those arrangements as they learn over time. Lastly, as in the cases of telecommunications, and disaster management programs, the multi-country program approach would simply allow the World Bank to address individual country requirements in a more cost-effective manner by maximizing the use of similarities 51 between country situations, while respecting the fundamental differences between them. As such, in conjunction with other international organizations, the program could be designed along the lines of an existing APL-specifically, the World Bank-financed Organization of Eastern Caribbean States (OECS) Emergency Recovery and Disaster Management Recovery Program. The first step in designing a World Bank-supported multi-country APL for HIV/AlDS prevention and control in the Caribbean countries would be to identify several "champions" who could mobilize interest and be a focal point for addressing the issues. Then, a significant dialogue among the Caribbean governments and with the donor community would be necessary to develop the APL. The following points could provide structure to such a dialogue: * "Letter of development program." The basis of the World Bank's APL would be an agreed-upon statement of the program's rationale and purpose, its medium-term (5- to 10- year) goals, and the rnilestones that could be reached sequentially over the period. The statement would also include ways and means (including an action program, phasing, implementation, cost and financing, and monitoring and evaluation arrangements) that would be needed to reach these goals. The point of departure of such a statement would be the Caribbean Regional Strategic Plan of Action for HIVIAIDS, 1999-2004, formulated under CARICOM's leadership (see Chapter IV). * Program goals. The APL's goals for reduced HIV/AIDS transmission and treatment in the Caribbean countries would be based solidly on the goals agreed with each country. Governments would be encouraged to establish realistic outcomes for themselves, with appropriate milestones that they could progressively reach. Depending on the lag time between an intervention and a measurable difference in the HIV/AIDS prevalence rates, it is likely that the real impacts of the program would be observable somewhat later in its implementation (a back-loaded outcome). Still, it would be useful to establish target levels for various "leading indicators" that could be monitored earlier in the program. The success of an APL would ultimately depend on the success made in developing such a hierarchy of results. For that reason, devoting a significant share of preparation resources to this effort would be warranted. • Common and specific activities. There is common agreement in the Caribbean that each country could benefit from (1) the development of sustainable organizations and practices (and possibly some modification of legal and/or regulatory frameworks) to reduce HIV/AIDS transmission rates and treat people infected with HIV; (2) raising public and community awareness of HIV/AIDS and changing attitudes; and (3) improving access to resources for HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment. An APL to which each country could subscribe would contain these "components" as a minimum set. Achieving agreement on this "regional approach" would be important as part of the preparation stage of the program. Applying the framework in each "subscribing" country would then require additional local consultative processes and agreement on specifics unique to the country concerned. This activity could be considered as part of the implementation of the program, which might be complemented with provisions for financing prevention and treatment, and other activities that were justified. * Program phases. The World Bank's Board of Directors agreed in the case of the OECS Emergency Recovery and Disaster Management Program to treat specific country applications of an agreed-upon regional framework as "phases" of the OECS program. A 52 similar structure could be envisaged for a regional HIV/AIDS program in the Caribbean region: o Caribbean countries would be grouped according to their readiness to undertake an initial set of activities aimed at establishing sustainable domestic structures for preventing and treating HIV/AIDS. Some might be considered "early participants, and others "later or late." Each grouping would constitute a "phase." Given that most of Caribbean countries might be involved, it is possible that three groups or "phases" could be identified. Country activities and a modest amount of investment and operational financing would be covered by individual loan/credit agreements. o Some Caribbean countries might find it necessary to follow their initial efforts with a further period of project-supported institution building. The program could allow for an additional "consolidation phase" within the overall program (two such phases may be necessary, depending on the timing of progress being made by countries in the region). o Once a given country's institutional capacity for preventing and controlling the spread of HIV/AIDS within the country met a standard for sustainability, the country could enter a final "phase," in which it could sign loan/credit agreements allowing it access to additional funds for the support of additional investments and operations financing. O A region-wide consultative process in the Caribbean would help establish the country groupings. * Triggers and exit strategies. The Caribbean countries would be expected to have met their own HIV/AlDS prevention and control milestones when proposing participation in new operations. Additional "triggers" for a country to advance to subsequent phases would relate to the demonstrated sustainability of their domestic HIV/AIDS management infrastructure. The World Bank would probably not wish to "exit" from this program, which is regional and in which some countries would be continuously making progress. The World Bank may, however, not follow on with new loan/credit agreements with individual countries depending on their performance and other related conditions for eligibility for World Bank financing. * Monitoring and evaluation (ongoing and periodic/annual). Countries would need to develop their own monitoring and evaluation capacities to track project implementation and impact as part of their management systems. A program of this nature should also consider providing for periodic region-wide performance and results "audits" as a basis for sharing of experience. * Implementation and coordination arrangements. An APL of this nature would be implemented through the collective efforts of the participating countries. However, planning for a coordination function would be important as a basis for stimulating collective learning and information sharing. An assessment of the viability of existing regional groupings to assume this function, and the incremental resources and agreements that would support the role would be necessary. * Cost and financing. The level of financial support may be determined as a dialogue advances. Complementary institution-building support that might be forthcoming from 53 bilateral and/or NGO sources should also be taken into account. At the Barbados HIV/AIDS Conference held on September 11-12, 2000, the World Bank proposed a lending package of US$100 million for HIV/AlDS activities in the region through an APL; pending approval by the Board of Directors (see Annex 1). Coordination with tfhe InternationalFinance Corporation topromotepripate sector ihvolvememt The International Finance Corporation (IFC) is currently working with private firms in assessing investment opportunities in the Caribbean. Building upon IFC-supported private/public partnerships (i.e., clusters), efforts could be made to enlist the participation of private firms interested in investing in the Caribbean to support HIV/AIDS prevention and control efforts as part of risk-minimization strategies (e.g., given the relative importance of tourism in the Caribbean economy, HIV/AIDS can potentially have a negative impact upon the viability of the tourism industry as a whole). fProm oti'g civii society participatkon As it has been done in Brazil (see Box 5-2), World Bank support may help promote active involvement of civil society organizations (CSOs) in HIV/AIDS prevention and control in the Caribbean countries. To this end, a promising approach to stimulate innovative multisectoral activities might be the creation of a demand-driven fund managed by an intersectoral group headed by Ministry of Health officials and financed by public and private sources that could channel resources to public and private organizations, including community groups. Activities that could be financed by such a fund would include pilot interventions or their replication at the community level, media campaigns, and applied research on risk factor prevalence and effectiveness of interventions. 54 Box 5-2: Civil Society and HIV/AIDS Control in Brazil In Brazil, the term civil society has a political connotation and refers to the vast non-governmental sector composed of community organizations, social movements, NGOs, charitable organizations, professional associations, churches and corporate foundations. Civil society organizations (CSOs) have played a significant role in the evolution of the fight against AIDS in Brazil. The Government's response to the AIDS cdisis was partly fueled by pressure from CSOs in several state capitals that were formed to support people with AIDS. These included the GAPAs or Grupos de Apoio a Prevencdo a AIDS. Also, the Associacdo Brasileira Interdisciplinar de AIDS (ABIA) brought together doctors, lawyers, sociologists, church leaders, and joumalists to carry out independent research on the growing epidemic and to monitor govemment action. It was headed by two capable and charismatic leaders, Herbert "Betinho" de Souza and Herbert Daniel. ABIA assumed a leadership role within the AIDS civil society commumity. In light of the alarming number of hemophiliacs infected through tainted blood, (85% in the city of Rio de Janeiro) ABIA mounted a successful campaign for more stringent standards in blood banks throughout the country. The lobbying campaign consisted of demonstrations in front of blood banks, letter signing campaigns, visits to the Congress, and assisting in the drafting of legislation. In 1989, an offshoot of ABIA was established in Rio de Janeiro called Grupo Pela Vidda. The Pela Vidda was comprised of HIV-positive persons and was geared toward providing care and support services to people with AIDS including legal aid, counseling, and support groups. Today these patients groups have evolved into a large national network, Rede Nacional de Pessoas Vivendo com AIDS (RNP+) comprised of about 400 care and support organizations. In the late 1980s, these various organizations began to pressure the Brazilian govemment to take action against the epidemic. Their tactics included street demonstrations, distribution of condoms, letter writing campaigns, delegations to Brasilia to meet with the Minister of Health and the President, and distribution of flyers and other materials urging the Government to provide funding and develop AIDS prevention programs. With time, many of the CSOs began to establish local, regional, and national AIDS/CSO networks in order to exchange information and more effectively influence public policy. Several state capital cities and regions such as Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Northeast, Centerwest, have active AIDS/CSO networks. The first national AIDS/CSO conference was held in 1989. One of the leaders of this nascent movement, Jane Galvao of ABIA, was recently appointed the head of the NC's CSO Liaison Office. In the 1990s, the number of CSOs involved in HIV/AIDS control and prevention proliferated. Many of them were able to form as the direct result of funding made available by the Ministry of Health under a special component of the World Bank financed AIDS and STD Control Project. The 120 CSOs registered with the NC in 1992 grew over 600 today. Between 1994 and 1997, the Ministry of Health (with World Bank financing) supported 427 CSO projects costing US$ 18.1 million and involving 175 implementing organizations. The Second World Bank Aids and STD Control Project, which has been effective for about 18 months has already implemented 350 CSOs subprojects. To date, CSO activities funded by the Ministry of Health have included research centers, social movements such as the association of transvestites, and informal community or single-constituency groups. The make-up of the organizations funded and/or their target groups have included homosexual men, feminists, transvestites, pregnant women, truck drivers, children, commercial sex workers, drug users, prisoners, hemophiliacs, and the general public. The breadth of activities funded has included research, public education, condom distribution, patient care, policy analysis and advocacy, counseling, patient family support, organizational networking, materials production and distribution, teacher training, and networking events. CSO activities focused on behavior intervention (34%), followed by information, education and communication initiatives (31%), support to persons living with AIDS (29%), and a small number of institutional strengthening efforts (6%). These organizations demonstrated their ability to reach groups of individuals at-risk whose needs the government was either unable or unwilling to address. The CSO projects funded over the past 8 years have distributed over a million condoms, disseminated educational materials to over half a million persons, provided specialized orientation to over 200,000 persons, and have trained over 2,000 trainers. While the impact and cost- effectiveness of CSO activities in changing high risk behaviors has yet to be quantified, CSO participation has clearly broadened the reach of control efforts into a number of key high risk, marginal and hard to reach populations. Forging a Government/CSOs Partnership What is most remarkable about the collaboration which has been forged between the Government and the civil society sector is that it began to become solidified at a time when overall governmentlCSO relations were still quite tense due to a long history of suspicion and animosity framed by the period of the military regime from 1964 to 1985. On the other hand, there were apparentdy several underlying reasons which led the Government to attempt an operational partnership with AIDS/CSOs. First, the very multi-faceted and social nature of the epidemic itself. It was clear from the onset that government alone would not be able to reach the most high risk populations ( IV drug users, commercial sex workers, men who have sex with men) and undertake the needed grassroots prevention and treatment work. CSOs complement govemment action by their flexible, innovative, and generally more cost-effective approach. Further, CSOs could reach and work effectively with people at the community level, especially with marginalized segments of society. to undertake sometimes can be done by CSOs ( harm reduction programs, for Second, actions which are politically difficult for the Governmment example) Third, Intemational development agencies such as the World Health Organization (WHO) and the World Bank clearly encouraged the NC to pursue a collaborative approach to civil society. Source: Gaaison, J., A. Abreu, and J. Sanchez Loppacher, 2000. 55 COST SIMULATIONS FOR HIV/AIDS PROGRAMS IN THE CARIBBEAN: MAIN ASSUMPTIONS AND RESULTS An HIV/AIDS program cost simulation" 1 for the Caribbean Region was carried out in preparation for the regional meeting on HIV/AIDS held on September 11-12, 2000, in Barbados. The purpose of the exercise was to estimate the cost of HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment 12 packages for 23 Caribbean countries under various scenarios. The model structure was loosely based on a simulation model being developed by the World Bank'3 and the parameters underlying the base scenario were obtained from the literature and from a panel of HIV/AIDS experts from PAHO, UNAIDS, the University of West Indies, and CARICOM' 4. Model Structure and Main Assumptions The following information was collected/produced to conduct the cost simulations: First, an exhaustivemenu of prevention and treatmentactivities wasestablished An exhaustive list of the principal interventions to prevent the further transmission of the HIV virus and to mitigate the impact of HIV/AIDS on persons and communities was drawn. The list is basically a list of the typical interventions supported by HIV/AIDS programs around the world. No attempt was made to choose among these activities a priori; it was felt that the best strategy would be to prioritize these activities in a second phase (and therefore trim down the list) according to the specific financial and implementation constraints encountered on a country-by- country basis. Ideally, this would be done with additional information from a cost-effectiveness analysis that would help to rank the interventions. A first set of "indirect" interventions includes surveillance, research, monitoring and evaluation, advocacy, and enhancing regional and national institutional capacity to carry out the programs. A second set of preventive interventions includes those activities that have strong spillover benefits to society as a whole in preventing HIV infections and thus reducing the spread of the disease. They include public awareness campaigns, programs aimed at preventing the spread from high-risk groups such as prostitutes and intravenous drug users into the general population, screening, ensuring safe blood supply, fostering behavior change, increasing access to condoms and preventing the transmission from infected mothers to their babies. The third set of interventions includes various aspects of care and financial assistance for persons or relatives of persons living with HIV/AIDS. These interventions are palliative (prevention of opportunistic infections, counseling, home-based care, anti-retroviral therapy) since there is no cure for AIDS. We also include in this set of activities support to orphans of AIDS patients. II A version of the simulation model (in Excel format) can be downloaded from: httg:Hlwbln00I8.worldbank.orr/LAC/lacinfoclient.nsf/d29684951174975c85256735007fefI 2/ddbc64d751 a7ce3185256 960005deO75?OpenDocument 12 The countries were loosely grouped according their geographic, cultural and economic proximity. Group 1: Anguilla, Antigua & Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Dominica, Grenada, Montserrat, St. Kitts, St. Lucia, St. Vincent. Group 2: Bahamas, Bermuda, Cayman, Turks & Caicos. Group 3: Haiti, Dominican Republic. Group 4: Netherlands Antilles, Aruba, Guyana, Suriname. Group 5: Barbados, Belize, Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago. Group 6: Cuba 13 Bonnel R., et al., 'The Cost of Scaling-Up HIV/AIDS Programs to a National Level for Sub-Saharan Africa,' Working Paper, World Bank, April 2000. 14 The team of experts collegially decided upon parameter values during a two-day workshop held in Trinidad and Tobago (August 17 - 18, 2000). 56 Unit costs were then assigned to each activity Unit costs were then estimated for each of these activities. The costs were for the most part taken from the simulation exercise that is being undertaken in Sub-Saharan Africa'5 . The information derives from the literature and from the direct experience of the team of experts with HIV/AIDS programs in developing world settings. These costs should be revised as Caribbean- specific data become available. Some of the costs are expressed as a the sum of a fixed and of a variable component. The fixed component represents the cost below which the intervention cannot be conducted meaningfully, while the variable component (expressed as a multiplier of per capita public spending in health) is an implicit recognition of the budget constraints affecting each country'6 . Table5-1: MllustrativeAnnualCost Assumptions Intervention Cost per... Low Cost Scenario HighCost Scenario OverheadActivities Capita $0.10- $0.50 $0.10- $0.50 Surveillance Capita $1 $2 TargetedInterventions for CSW $16 $21 Commercial Sex Workers(CSW) Syndromic Management of Case $13 $16 SexuallyTransmitted Infections (STI) Treatment of Opportunistic Case $210 + threetimes $2,100 Infections publicspending Home-based Care Case $500 $1,200 Anti-RetroviralTherapy(HAART) Case $7,000 $10,000 Source: World Bank/University of West Indies/CAREC/UNAIDS/PAHOlWHO estimates The relevarntpopulatuoln and epidemlniologicaliuformation was compiled Estimates for the model parameters were collected or extrapolated from the latest published sources or generated by the panel of experts who participated in the simulation exercise. The main variables used by the model are: population, HIV prevalence, birth rates, access to health services, use of ante-natal care services, ante-natal care HIV prevalence, percentage of sexually active population reporting non-regular partnerships, annual incidence of treatable sexually transmitted infections (STIs), proportion of STIs that are symptomatic, average annual number of commercial sex acts/sex worker, prevalence of syphilis among women, cumulative number of orphans, HIV prevalence rates among high-risk groups (prisoners, men who have sex with men, commercial sex workers, military), migrant and tourist populations, and public spending per capita in health. Finally, program coverage assumptions were constructed The final set of model inputs were the coverage assumptions. For nearly all the interventions contemplated, it was assumed that 100 percent of the relevant population was targeted (e.g., all commercial sex workers, all HIV-infected mothers, all youngsters in school, etc). There were two main departures from the universal coverage assumption: it was assumed that only 20 percent of AIDS patients would benefit from home-based care, and that only 50 15 See footnote2. 16 Thiscontradicts, are factoredonlylaterin the simulation at the margin,the earlierclaimthat budgetconstraints exercise. Thispeculiarway of expressing certaincostsparametersis no more thanan attemptto compromise between divergent expertopinions. 57 percent of HIV patients would benefit from highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), the three- and four-drug combinations against HIV. A 100-percent coverage was deemed improbable for these two interventions if only because the health system cannot reach all patients and because the take up of home-based care is partly predicated on client behavior. The cost estimates derived from the model are shown to be extremely sensitive to the coverage assumptions. Main Results Using the assumptions detailed in the previous section, the following results were derived: Table5-2: Low CostPacka e Program Total Cost with Percentof Total Costw/o Percentof HAART Total HAART Total (US$ million) (US$mnillion) "Indirectactivities" 51.1 2% 51.1 9% PublicAwareness and 162.1 5% 162.1 28% Prevention Basic Care 362.2 11% 362.2 63% HAART 2,760.4 83% 0.0 0% Total 3,335.8 100% 575.4 100% Source: of WestIndies/CAREC/UNAIDS/PAHO/WHO WorldBank/University estimates The cost of providing a comprehensive package of prevention and care activities for 100 percent of the relevant population the Caribbean would therefore be prohibitively expensive. Table 3 below shows how these costs would translate into per capita terms for a few countries and compares the estimated HIV/AIDS program costs with current overall per capita spending on health. Table5-3: Per CapitaCosts (US$) Country Per capitahealth Preventive Plus Basic Care PlusHAART spending Program Program Bahamas $785 $8 $69 $220 Haiti $18 $6 $18 $206 Dominican $91 $4 $15 $117 Republic Guyana $45 $6 $22 $204 Jamaica $149 $4 $15 $89 Trinidadand $197 $4 $16 $91 Tobago I of West Indies/CAREC/UNAIDS/PAHO/WHO Source: WorldBank/University estimates Launching a comprehensive package of interventions (prevention, basic care, HAART) would bump up the current overall spending in health from 28 percent in the Bahamas, all the way to more than a 1,000 percent in Haiti. However, the spread of the disease can probably be reversed through preventive programs with the addition of some of the highest priority basic care activities, and these interventions are feasible everywhere. The HAART costs are probably overstated because efforts are being made to reduce the cost of retroviral drugs. Nevertheless, as the price of the treatment falls, its use may expand sufficiently to keep total expenditures on HAART quite high. 58 Policy hnplications The programscan clearlynot be appliedin toto or to the samedegreein each country. In a follow-upanalysis,the Universityof West Indies modified some of the parametersto better reflect budget constraints and the limited implementationcapacity of Caribbean countries (especiallyHaiti) to comeup with much smallercost estimates($258 millionin the lowunit cost scenario). The cost simulationinstrumentthat was developedis best used at country-level. First, policymakers can correct the assumptionsas needed,and use population,epidemiological, cost and coverageparametersthat are closer to reality. Second, policymakers have a better sense of the budget and implementationconstraints the country faces and can tailor the programs accordingly. Since countriesin the CaribbeanRegion will necessarilyhave to choose from the menu of options because they simply cannot afford all of them, priority-settingis of crucial importance. It is importantthat the criteria for choosingamongoptionsbe clear and explicitand aim to achieve maximumimpact in terms of reductionof the transmissionof the virus and in termsof reducingthe impactof HIV/AIDSon personsand families' 7. Conclusion No singlestep will sufficeto curb the relentlessspreadof the HIV/AIDSepidemicin the countriesof the Caribbean. What is neededis a balancedcombinationof advocacy,incentives, disincentives,funding, and policy support. The overarchinggoal of support for developing countriesfromthe WorldBank and otherdevelopment partnersshouldbe to helpeverycountryat risk to establishan appropriatenational HIV/AIDSprogramcomprisingbasic prevention,basic treatment,and basic care. It should be clear, however,that while costly drugs are availableto a small percentageof the world's people, behaviorchange is the only way to safeguardagainst infection in most of the world. Concerted action by Caribbean governmentsand Caribbean regionalagenciessuch as the CARICOM, in partnershipwith civil society,the private sectorand NGOs,and with the assistanceof the international community,will help to mitigatethe adverse impactof AIDSon peopleof the Caribbeanregionin years to come. 17Suchan exercisewas successfullyconductedin the Dominican Republic at the end of September2000as part of for a WorldBank-financed the preparation project. The maincriterionthat wasused to prioritizeamongactivities was expectedcost-effectiveness. 59 ANNEX 1 C ARIBBEAN CONFERENCE ON HIV/AIDS BARBADOS, 11 AND 12 SEPTEMBER 2000, SUMMARY STATEMENT The Caribbean Conference on HIV/AIDS, sponsored by the Government of Barbados together with the CARICOM Secretariat, PAHO/WHO, UNAIDS and the World Bank took place in Barbados on 11 and 12 September 2000. Participants included governments from the English, Spanish, French and Dutch speaking countries and territories, representatives of Caribbean regional organizations, UN agencies, multilateral and bilateral agencies, civil society and associations of people living with HIV/AIDS, academic institutions and the media. Present at the Conference were Prime Ministers of Barbados, the Bahamas, St Vincent and the Grenadines and St Kitts and Navis, the Chief Minister of Anguilla, as well as ministers of health, population and/or social development from The Bahamas (also represented by the Minister of Finance), Barbados (represented by cabinet), Belize, Cuba, Dominica, Grenada, Haiti, Jamaica, St Kitts and Nevis, St Lucia, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos, representatives of the Presidential Commission on AIDS from the Dominican Republic as well as high level representatives from Antigua & Barbuda, Aruba, Guyana, Montserrat and Suriname. The meeting was organized following a decision of the Caribbean Group on Cooperation in Economic Development (CGCED) which met in June 2000 in Washington, D.C. THE MEETING RECOGNIZED * The gravity of the HIV/AIDS situation in the region. The Caribbean is the hardest-hit region in the world outside sub-Saharan Africa. * Out of the 12 countries with the highest HIV prevalence in the Americas 9 are in the Caribbean. * AIDS is already the leading cause of death among men and women in the 15 to 44 age group. * The epidemic continues to spread and has a devastating social and economic impact. * Intolerance, homophobia and discrimination of people living with HIV/AIDS and of those vulnerable to infection drive the epidemic underground and contribute to the further spread of the virus. * HIV/AIDS is increasingly recognized as a major development problem throughout the Caribbean. * Investing in HIV/AIDS now will significantly reduce future costs. A conservative estimate of the cost of a comprehensive response to the epidemic in the Caribbean would be in the order of US$ 260 million per year. This is more than a ten-fold increase compared to the level of current national and international spending in the Caribbean per year. 61 * Mobilizing the required funding will require creative solutions and an increased commitment at national level from governments and the private sector as well as support by the international community. The meeting endorsed the regional strategic Plan developed by the Caribbean Task Force on HIV/AIDS as the framework on which to base an expanded response to the epidemic. To be effective, this response has to be pan-Caribbean in scope. CONCLUDED THEMEETING THAT * Leadership at the highest political level is essential to the response. * Given its developmental impact, HIV/AIDS needs to be addressed through a multi- sectoral approach. * To move forward it is necessary to reduce stigma, discrimination and exclusion of people living with and affected by HIV/AIDS and protect their human rights and dignity. * People living with HIV/AIDS should be supported and integrated fully into the national responses to the epidemic. * Prevention efforts must be strengthened and broadened. - Increased access to quality care and treatment is needed now. * Strengthening the management and operational capacity of national AIDS programs is essential to ensure an effective and sustainable response. * The private sector should be encouraged to become an active partner in the response. * Reinforcing positive social and cultural norms and values as well as healthy behaviors is an important part of the response. FORTHE SUPPORT RESPONSE REGIONAL * The meeting represented a commitment of the participating Caribbean Governments to increase the levels of resources, both human and financial, that will be made available to address the epidemic in their countries. * Proposals for more involvement of the private sector, e.g. through the creation of a Caribbean Business Council on HIV/AIDS were also discussed. * The international community pledged to support intensified action in the Caribbean with both financial and technical assistance. * Pledges of continued and/or increased support were made by the governments of The Netherlands, Canada, USA, Germany, United Kingdom and France, as well as by the UN system and multilateral agencies (including the European Commission, the Caribbean Development Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank). 62 * The WorldBank proposeda lendingpackage of US$ 85 to 100 million for HIVIAIDS activitiesin the countriesof the region(pendingapprovalby theirBoard). * It is expectedthat additionalfinancialcommitments willbe made by all partnersboth for the RegionalPlan of Actionas well as for nationallevel efforts. 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Mar. 10, 1999. Sykes, R. 2000. "Combining Against the Threat of AIDS." Financial Times. Jan. 7, 2000 (p. 17). The Wall Street Journal. 1999. Volunteers not Hurrying to VaxGen Vaccine Test. June 8, 1999 (p. B 13). The Washington Post. 2000. "AIDS is Declared Threat to Security. White House fears Epideric Could Destabilize World." April 30, 2000 (p. Al and A28-29). The Washington Post. 2000. Cheaper Drugs to Combat AIDS. May 15, 2000 (p. A24). 75 Distributors of World Bank Group Publications Pricesandcredittermsvaryhrn UCZECH REPUBLIC INDIA EUIYOD Co.,Ltd. Publishing PERU SWEDEN countryto country. Consult your 1USIS, NISProdejna Publishersd. 45-1,Suson9-Dong IAioed Editorial SA Desarrollo AB Wennergren-Williams distributor local before placingan Havelkova 22 751Mournt Road Jono-o 3824,lea242OF. 0Apatado 106 P0. 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Pal Bank Corperalton 100,Sir Chittmpalam Gardiner 0,Dgno Set Egm Eero InfoService lntemnational Division Azn Chambers 21, Queen'sRoad MAfwatha P.O.Boa2D06 MargnszgeoEuropa Haz 783-20OParigba Bere-Dong, Lahoere Colombe 2 Nicosia H-1l380udapiest Soctho-ku Tot (9242 6303222;63609885 Tel:(94 132105 Fax: 2) 6-2051Tel: ax,)) J57 (30 1)35068024, ~~~~~~~~~~Fax: (3681) 35090032 25068025 Seoul Tel:(822 536MB-mail: For.(924)) 0362320 pbc@hleraie.noet.p For:(94 B-marl: ))432104 LH'L@sri.lanka.raet E-mail: euroinfotemail.matav.hu For:(92 2) 530-0825 E-mail: seornap@llcholllae.net IBRD30619R JAMAICA HA. 7 'DOMINICAN E. OM4C I KITS -t [AONDURAS AND M*vS BRA ST, '_CNT ANO 'GrNA104tS llLSA GREADA ~~~~RP^ OMNCEAN ANDTOBAGO TRINIDAD PAN ~~~~~~~SURINAME (reuch Guiana(Fr) ADULT HIV/AIDSRATES IN LATIN AMERICA AND_ THECARIBBEAN CHI - 00 - 0B5% 0.51 - 10%/ 101 2.0% 201 3-0% 3.01 -.40% 4.01 -50% 5.01 -60%'Y NO DATA Sources: on theGlobalHIV/AIDSEpidlemic, UNAIDS9,8Report June 1998. UNAIDS, on the GlobalHIV/AIDS Report Epidemic, June2000 mg Thi-pa prod-cd icythc Mop aD.siqLJaita The W-a,l Soek 0 500 1000 10 wi-pdo nat imply,hp o ' f The a, tin/s W-O-;k. - , ny jvdgmael onthelea lt, fcytrieyo n nas,elo App-ain~ar scale) ace.nea -sc,lasdoriea. 2001 JANUARY THE WORLD BANK 181X H Street, XN.XV XUashington, D.C. 20433 USA relephone: 202-477-1234 IFaesimile: 2(12-477-6391 Internet: www.worldbank.org E -mail: feedbackC@Nworldbank.org IU. ISBN0-8213-4921-X