Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research eGR 1 @ CGIAR Study Paper Number 12 Peru and the CGlAR Centers A Study of Their Collaboration in Agricultural Research Luis J. Paz Silva !S ral l _~~~~~~~~~03 _ i~~L Peru and the CGIAR Centers CGIAR Study Papers No. 1 Technological Innovation in Agriculture: The Political Economy of Its Rate and Bias No. 2 Modem Varieties, Intemational Agricultural Research, and the Poor No. 3 Plant Genetic Resources: The Impact of the Intemational Agricultural Research Centers No. 4 Costa Rica and the CGIAR Centers: A Study of Their Collaboration in Agricultural Research No. 5 Guatemala and the CGIAR Centers: A Study of Their Collaboration in Agricultural Research No. 6 Zimbabwe and the CGIAR Centers: A Study of Their Collaboration in Agricultural Research No. 7 Nepal and the CGIAR Centers: A Study of Their Collaboration in Agricultural Research No. 8 Bangladesh and the CGIAR Centers: A Study of Their Collaboration in Agricultural Research No. 9 Brazil and the CGIAR Centers: A Study of Their Collaboration in Agricultural Research No. 10 Indonesia and the CGIAR Centers: A Study of Their Collaboration in Agricultural Research No. 11 Ecuador and the CGIAR Centers: A Study of Their Collaboration in Agricultural Research Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research CGIAR Study Paper Number 12 Peru and the CGIAR Centers A Study of Their Collaboration in Agricultural Research Luis J. Paz Silva The World Bank Washington, D.C. Copyright (© 1986 The Intemational Bank for Reconstruction and Development/THE WORLD BANK 1818 H Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20433, U.S.A. First printing September 1986 All rights reserved Manufactured in the United States of America At its annual meeting in November 1983 the Consultative Group on Intemational Agricultural Research (CGIAR) commissioned a wide-ranging impact study of the results of the activities of the international agricultural research oganizations under its sponsorship. An Advisory Committee was appointed to oversee the study and to present the principal findings at the annual meeetings of the CGIAR in October 1985. The impact study director was given responsibility for preparing the main report and conummissioning a series of papers on particular research issues and on the work of the centers in selected countries. This paper is one of that series. The judgments expressed herein are those of the author(s). They do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, of affiliated organizations, including the CGIAR Secretariat, of the international agricultural research centers supported by the CGIAR, of the donors to the CGIAR, or of any individual acting on their behalf. Staff of many national and international organizations provided valued information, but neither they nor their institutions are responsible for the views expressed in this paper. Neither are the views necessarily consistent with those expressed in the main and summary reports, and they should not be attributed to the Advisory Corrmmittee or the study director. This paper has been prepared and published informally in order to share the information with the least possible delay. Luis J. Paz Silva is president of the National Development Foundation of Peru and head of the Department of Economics of the National Agrarian University, La Molina. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Paz Silva, Luis J., 1931- Peru and the CGIAR centers. (CGIAR study paper, ISSN 0257-3148 ; no. 12) 1. Agriculture--Research--Peru. 2. Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research. 2. Agriculture--Research--International cooperation. I. Title. II. Series: Study paper (Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research) ; no. 12. S542.P4P39 1986 630'.72085 86-19214 ISBN 0-8213-0788-6 v Summary The Peruvian economy is subject to the dynamics of the world economy. Domestically, this has resulted in an uncoordinated and underdeveloped economic structure and in wide inequalities among social groups and between regions of the country. These characteristics -- underdevelopment, little economic coordination and subordination to the world economy -- are particularly manifest in the rural sector. Except for the agricultural export sector, which is now in severe crisis, and the agribusiness sector in the northern Costa, the agricultural sector is characterized by traditional forms of organization, low levels of crop and livestock production, high rates of farm consumption, underdevelopment of other productive sectors, low levels of income and satisfaction of essential needs, shortage of land, very small farms and farm-to-city migration. The agrarian reform program in the 1970s eliminated some features of the system of very large and very small farms and improved social justice. However, the hoped-for results of increased development and production were not realized. Also, in 1950-82, farm output grew at an average annual rate of 2.1 percent -- less than the population increase. The percentage share of agriculture in the GDP during that period dropped from 23.5 to 12.7 percent. However, almost 40 percent of the population continued farming in that period, an indirect indicator of the poverty of most campesinos. vi The National Farm Research, Extension and Education System was given a high priority in the late sixties, but deteriorated In the seventies, losing much of its staff and budget. Research activities over the last two decades were mainly designed to meet the requirements of the Costa. The main crops investigated were sugarcane, cotton, rice, maize, beans, potatoes and sweet potatoes. The private sector had an excellent research infra- structure for sugarcane and cotton. Livestock research was neglected, with the main work in this area being done in universities (San Marcos-Ivita and La Molina). In the seventies, the Peruvian Government assigned top priority to agrarian reform, so professional personnel (particularly extension agents) and budget resources were allocated to this work and research support was cut substantially. In this period, research on sugarcane and cotton halted, and the Experimental Stations of the Farmers Associations were placed under the new agrarian organizations. The private sector no longer assigned priority to research. With the establishment of the Agricultural Promotion and Research Institution (INIPA) in 1981, efforts were made to use allocated resources more efficiently by concentrating on a small number of products. Five national priority programs were established: potatoes, maize, rice, grain (wheat, barley and oats) and grain legumes. These five products are also the focus viil of the three international centers in Latin America -- CIAT, CIMMYT and CIP. The National Livestock Program was started in 1985. The farm research system in Peru provides for coordination and support between the five national programs for individual products. Each program has a national leader located in the major experimental station for the product involved and a co-leader assigned by the international center for each product. The clear assignment of priority to these five products and the relationship established with the international centers is enabling Peru to train scientific staff rapidly and make use of the genetic findings of the international centers. This is saving Peru many years of scientific work and enabling it to make up for ground lost in the seventies. Obviously, the priority assigned to these activities has been reflected in personnel training and the production of improved seeds adaptable to the various characteristics of the regions in Peru. Due primarily to the work of the INIPA. the constant efforts of the National Agrarian University and the support of international research centers, substantial improvements have now been made in producing seed varieties with resistance or tolerance to adverse factors and with high productivity. Individual observations on the impact of the international centers include the following: (1) increased production requires establishing a system for producing and distributing seeds. reducing transportation costs and developing agribusiness alternatives, identifying and promoting markets to provide better incomes for farmers, and developing information services on markets and prices; (2) the international agricultural research centers (IARCs) should rank their activities by priority and focus on those that have comparative advantage; (3) IARC reports should expand on and give priority to factors limiting farmers' output and income; (4) more effort is needed on research on water and soil management and on over-irrigation and soil erosion; (5) research based on agroecology zones is valuable; (6) research on true potato seeds will help eliminate the risk of a shortage of seed potatoes in times of drought; (7) increased dissemination of research methods and increased opportunities for training would be beneficial; and (8) improved systems for distributing publications are encouraged. In-depth discussions of five products, rice, maize, potatoes, beans and wheat include international cooperation, indicators of crop production, improved varieties and improved cultivation techniques, commercial varieties and price policies. ix Contents 1 Highlights of the Peruvian Farm Sector 1 1.1 The country 1 1.1.1 Natural features and political divisions 1 1.1.2 Population 7 1.1.3 Economy 9 1.2 The farm sector 11 1.2.1 Structure 11 1.2.2 Infrastructure and institutional organization: public and private 19 1.2.3 History of product prices 23 1.2.4 Performance in the past and the present 27 1.2.5 Policy factors that directly or indirectly affect the market 32 2 National Agricultural Research System 35 3 Impact of International Agricultural Research Centers on the National Agricultural Research System 43 4 Impact of Research on Farm Production 53 4.1 Rice 53 4.1.1 International cooperation in rice 54 4.1.2 Geographic distribution of rice production 55 4.1.3 Objectives of improved rice technology 55 4.1.4 Improved varieties 59 4.1.5 Improved cultivation technology 64 4.1.6 Agricultural extension service and transfer of technology to the farmer 65 4.1.7 Analysis of trends in unit yields of rice 67 4.1.8 Commercial rice varieties at the present time 72 4.1.9 Price policy for rice 72 4.2 Maize 74 4.2.1 International cooperation in maize programs 75 4.2.2 Chronological highlights of genetic improvement of maize 76 4.2.3 Main indicators of Peruvian maize production 79 4.2.4 Criteria for improved maize technology 80 4.2.5 The major technological innovations contributed by research 82 4.2.6 Current commercial varieties 83 4.2.7 Extension service and technology transfer 85 4.2.8 Changes in unit yields of maize 86 4.2.9 Maize price policy 91 4.3 Potatoes 92 4.3.1 International potato improvement cooperation 96 4.3.2 National potato production 97 4.3.3 The main technical problems and constraints in potato growing 98 4.3.4 Major technology advances in Peruvian potato research 100 4.3.5 Genetic improvement 101 4.3.6 Varieties now grown 105 x 4.3.7 Extension services and technology transfer 106 4.3.8 Changes in unit yields of potatoes in Peru 107 4.4 Beans (frijoles) 107 4.4.1 Indicators of bean production 109 4.4.2 General legume indicators 112 4.4.3 Analysis of unit yields of beans 113 4.4.4 The main problems with bean production in Peru 118 4.4.5 Bean research goals 119 4.4.6 Varieties 119 4.4.7 Varietal improvement 119 4.4.8 International cooperation 119 4.4.9 Technology transfer 122 4.4.10 Bean price policy 122 11.5 Wheat 123 4.5.1 International technical cooperation on wheat 124 4.5.2 Chronological outline of varietal improvement of wheat 124 4.5.3 The criteria applied for genetic improvement of wheat 127 4.5.4 Improved cultivation technology 127 4.5.5 Main technology innovations 127 11.5.6 Extension service and technology transfer 127 14.5.7 Analysis of changes in unit yields of wheat 128 4.5.8 International commercial classification of wheat 129 41.5.9 Wheat price policy 129 5 Conclusions 133 5.1 Rice 135 5.2 Maize 135 5.3 Potatoes 136 5.4 Beans 136 5.5 Wheat 136 xi Abbreviations AFATER Special Project for Expanding the Agricultural Frontier by Modernizing Irrigation CCP Cempesino Confederation of Peru CENECAMP National Center for Campesino Enterprises CENFOR Forest and Livestock Centers CESPAC Special Project for a Services Center on Audiovisual Training for Teachers CGCP General Confederation of Peruvian Campesinos CIPA Agricultural Research and Promotion Centers CNA National Agrarian Confederation CODEAGRO Committee for the Defense of Small and Medium Farmers CONAP National Supply Corporation CRIA Regional Centers for Agricultural Research ECASA Rice Marketing Corporation EGASA Amazon Livestock Corporation EMCOPESA Corporation for Marketing Livestock Products EMDEPALMA Corporation for the Development and Exploitation of Oil Palm EMMSA Corporation for Wholesale Markets ENACO National Cocoa Corporation ENCI National Company for Marketing Inputs EPCHAP State Company for Marketing Fish Meal and Oil EPSAP Public Company for Agricultural and Fisheries Services (known as EPSA since 1971) FAR Rural Action Front IDB Inter-American Development Bank INAF National Institute for Expanding the Agricultural Frontier INDA National Institute on Agribusiness Development INFOR National Forestry and Wildlife Institute INIPA National Agricultural Research and Development Institute JURPAL Metropolitan Lima Food Price Control Board MT Metric Tonne xii ONA National Agrarian Organization ONERN Oficina Nacional de Evaluacion de Recursos Nacional PADI Agricultural Policy and Institutional Development PRIDI Private Project for Comprehensive Development PROCOMPRA Special Project for a Comprehensive Program on Marketing Farm Products REHATIC Special Project on Land Rehabilitation in the Costa UNA National Agrarian University USAID United States Agency for International Development CGIAR-supported centers CIAT Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical CIMMYT Centro Internacional de Mejoramiento de Maiz y Trigo CIP Centro Internacional de la Papa IBPGR International Board for Plant Genetic Resources ICARDA International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas ICRISAT International Crops Research Institute for the Semi- Arid Tropics IFPRI International Food Policy Research Institute IITA International Institute of Tropical Agriculture ILCA International Livestock Center for Africa ILRAD International Laboratory for Research on Animal Diseases IRRI International Rice Research Institute ISNAR International Service for National Agricultural Research WARDA West Africa Rice Development Association 1 1 Highlights of the Peruvian Farm Sector 1.1 The country 1.1.1 Natural features and political divisions Peru is in the western part of South America between 0002? and 180211033" south and 69039127" west. It is bordered on the north by Ecuador and Colombia, on the east by Brazil and Bolivia. on the south by Chile, and on the west by the Pacific Ocean. It is 1,285.215 km2 in area. The Andes cross Peru from southeast to northwest, paralleling the coast. They comprise two mountain ranges, which divide the country into three natural regions. Coaatal plain (the Costa) The Peruvian Costa is approximately 3.080 km long and varies considerably in width, from over 100 km in the Department of Piura to less than 1 km in the Department of Arequipa. The highest elevation is estimated at 1,000 m above sea level. Except for the area north of Piura, the Costa is arid, and its climate is dominated by the effects of the Peru Current, the Andes and the anticyclone circulation of the South Pacific. The thermal inversion generated in its atmosphere results in meager rainfall, dry soil, heavy clouds throughout the year. high humidity (average 70 to 80 percent) and median annual tempera- tures from 17 to 260C. While the climate of the Costa is similar throughout its length. there are climate differences in the interior, depending on the latitude. The major difference is in the north (Tumbes- Piura), because of it-s proximity to the equatorial region and the seasonal influence of the El Niflo Current, which shifts to the south in the summer, producing a subtropical climate with abundant seasonal rain. 2 Mount;in reglon (th Sierra) This region averages 4,000 m above sea level. The lowest altitude is estimated at 1,000 m, and the highest peaks are over 6,000 m. The lowest level of the Andes is the western versant (1,000 to 2,000 m), a desert area. At intervals, torrential rivers, the main drainage channels of the Andes, cut narrow east- west valleys. On the eastern versant, the climate promotes heavy vegetation, and there are numerous torrential rivers. The middle Andean region, approximately 2,000 to 3,000 m in altitude, has similar features on both versants. At this level, there has been deep erosion, producing imposing Andean canyons such as those of the Majes, Canete, Rimac, Chillon, and Canon del Pato rivers on the west versant, and the Paucartambo, Urubamba, Apurimac, and Mantaro canyons on the east, as well as the canyon formed by the Maranon river. At this level of the Andes, some valleys comprise well-defined farming areas like the Arequipa and the Callejon de Huaylas areas on the western versant. On the eastern versant are the Cajamarca valley and the valleys formed by the following rivers: Huallaga (in Huanuco) Mantaro (in Junin), Pampas (in Ayacucho) and Urubamba (in Cusco). The highest Andean region is over 3,500 m above sea level. From this level to 4,500 m is the plateau area known as Punas. It is a gently rolling area mostly covered with the graminaea grass ichu. From 2,000 to 3,500 m above sea level, the climate is temperate, with an average annual rainfall of 300 to 1,200 mm. The temperature ranges from 2 to 25°C, varying substantially from day to night and also with the altitude. The climate in this region makes it one of the best suited for human habitation. Most of the plateaus from 3,500 to 4,500 m are covered with graminaea, so they are a natural pastureland for cattle, sheep and the camelidae (alpacas, llamas, et al.). T=e A_az9n and Jvnse region (the Sglva) This region comprises three areas, differing mainly in their morphology and the characteristics of their rivers: Ceja de Selva ("brow of the mountain"), the High Selva and the Low Selva. 3 The Ceja de Selva is a region of broken topography. with deep, narrow, steep-sided gorges. The climate is temperate and overcast, with heavy rains in the summer. The morphology of the High Selva consists mainly of the high Andean foothills. which sometimes reach 2,000 m. separated by long, narrow valleys that often form large gorges (known as "pongos"), through which the major rivers of the Selva flow. Large areas of the High Selva consist of river terraces at various levels. The lowest terraces which border the current riverbeds, are subject to brief floodingt highly fertile and constitute valuable farm land. While the middle-level terraces are not as fertile as the lowlands, they can be farmed and are not subject to flooding. The Amazonian tropical plains (Low Selva) begin where the Andean foothills leave off, and often this area coincides with the end of the area of large gorges. Extensive areas of the Low Selva are temporarily flooded by the large rivers comprising the Amazon hydrographic system. The region has important forest resources. Permanent farming is limited to the higher regions and to some mud flats suitable for intensive seasonal farming with crops that tolerate wet soil. Soil resource For the most parts Peruvian soils have low natural fertility, are deficient in nutrients, are frequently arid and have little organic matter. Another characteristic is the steep slope of large areas of land, which results in shallow unstable soils susceptible to erosion. There are also soils seriously deficient in water (in the Costa) and soils subject to periodic flooding, aggravated by poor drainage in the Selva. The estimated area of soils suitable for agriculture, pasture and forestry is 74.2219000 ha (58 percent of the country's area), which is distributed as follows: 4 Temporary cropping 4,902,000 ha (3.8%) Permanent cropping 2,707,000 ha (2.1%) Subtotal (includes the 3.5 million ha now being farmed) 7,609,000 ha (5.9%) Pastureland 17,916,000 ha (13.9%) Forestland 48,2L,QQ La (57g2) Total 74,221,000 ha (57.7%) With 3.5 million ha now being farmed, the country could more than double its current agricultural land. Most of the unused potential is in the Selva (about 4 million ha), but these lands are scattered along rivers, and major markets are not easily accessible. Farm management practices suitable for this delicate ecosystem should be used. The area now under cultivation in the Costa (about 800,000 ha) could be doubled, depending mainly on the water supply. In the Sierra. the potential is negative, that is, land is being used that is not suitable for farming (mostly steep slopes subject to erosion). An estimated 10 percent of the area now under cultivation in the Sierra should not be farmed. iWgtrr resources Water is generally scarce in the Costa, relatively abundant in the Sierra and overabundant in the Selva. Runoff water in the country has been estimated by the Oficina Nacional de Evaluacion de Recursos Nacional (ONERN) at a little over 2 billion m3, with the Atlantic basin accounting for 98 percent. According to currently known potential. the controllable water volume is 5 million m3, 40 percent of which is on the Pacific versant. 58 percent on the Atlantic versant, and 2 percent in the Lake Titicaca basin. Currently the regulated volume nationwide is nearly 5 billion m3, in 186 lagoons and 23 dammed reservoirs. Sixty percent of the dammed water is on the Pacific versant, and 33 percent on the Atlantic side. A large portion of the regu- 5 lated volume on the Atlantic versant is brought to the Pacific side through trans-Andean diversions. Nearly 24 billion m3 of water are consumed in the country. of which about 95 percent is for agriculture and more than two-thirds is used in the Costa. Forest resources An estimated 74 million ha, or 58 percent of Peru's total area is natural forest land. Current timber production is 5 million m3, which could be increased to an estimated 150 million with available resources. There are two types of forests: homogeneous and mixed. Mixed forests cover 90 percent of the wooded areas and have a large number of species per unit of area. These forests are mainly in the Departments of Loreto, Ucayali, San Martin and Madre de Dios, and to a lesser extent in the High Selva Depart- ments of Amazonas, Huanuco, Pasco, Junin and Cusco. Homogeneous forests cover 10 percent of the wooded area in the country, and certain predominant species differentiate one forest from the others. These include: Forests subject to flooding, about 6 million ha in the Selva floodplains near the major rivers (Maranon, Ucayali, Napo. Putamayo and Amazonas). Most of these forests are in the Department of Loreto. Podocarpus forests. which cover about 700,000 ha located mainly in the Department of Cajamarca (Jaen San Ignacio). The Podocarpus is a conifer that is important because of its extensive use in carpentry and paper manu- facture. Arid forests cover a total of over 750.000 ha, dis- tributed in the Departments of Lambayeque, Piura and Tumbes. The most common species here are guayocan (cesalpinia melanocarpa), cow trees (palo de vaca), hualtaco, ceibo (erythrina cristagalle), and algarrobo (ceratonia siliqua). The first three are important for the manufacture of furniture and parquet. Most of these forests are degraded as a result of indiscriminate use (industrial, fuel and forage) and improper management. 6 Energy resource Peru's energy potential is about 5,600 billion kilocalories, of which approximately 70 percent comes from hydropower, 17 percent from petroleum. 10 percent from coal and 3 percent from gas. Howevert consumption breaks down as follows: petroleum provides about 60 percent of energy requirements. while hydropower contributes only 16 percent. This is an irrational use of available resources. particularly since hydraulic resources are renewable, while petroleum is not. The hydropower potential in Peru is estimated at 58.000 MW, of which 11.000 MW is on the Pacific versant and 47,000 MW on the Atlantic side. The latter includes 250 MW for the Titicaca Lake Basin. Peru's geographical conformation and the availability of water should make it possible to meet the country's energy demand mainly from hydropower. Petroleum resources are mainly located in the coastal Department of Piura (including the submarine sill) and the eastern Amazon Basin. The latter includes the provinces of Loreto, Requena and Coronel Portillo. Proven reserves are estimated at 800 million barrels, with a 10-to-1 ratio of reserves to current production. Proven petroleum reserves are estimated at 10 billion barrels, of which 90 percent are in the eastern Amazon Basin. Natural gas reserves are mostly associated with petroleum, so their location is similar. Proven gas reserves are estimated at 1.3 billion cubic feet. Current production comes mostly from the north of the country and totals 4 percent of proven reserves. The country has a large variety of coal, from the highest quality (anthracite) to the lowest (lignite and peat). The main anthracite coal deposits are in La Libertad, Ancash and Cajamarca; bituminous coal in Lima and Junin; and lignite in Tumbes. Estimates to date are that less than 1 percent of the total coal potential has been used out of about 1 billion tons of possible reserves. 7 bdu1biolgal reources This aspect of the country's potential resources comprises the communities of biological species inhabiting the ocean waters. rivers. lakes and lagoons of Peru. Peruvian ocean waters are among the richest in the world because of the huge amounts of nutrient substances brought to the surface by deep water upwelling. Marine resource potential comprises fish, crustaceans, mollusks, mammals, algae and other species currently used by people in one way or another. The northern and central coasts have the largest amount and variety of ocean resources, although both the amount and variety can change with shifts in the ocean currents (the Peru and El Niflo Currents). The southern coast has the least marine resource potential. However. Arequipa and Tana play a major role in exploiting fisheries resources for industrial and direct consumption. The hydrobiological potential of inland waters mainly consists of the fish species in the rivers, lakes and lagoons of the Selva and the Sierra. In the Selvat paiche (a codlike fish), gamitano, and shad (sabalo) are the major sources of protein for the Amazon population. In the Sierra, trout along with other species like suche. arnillo drum (caracha). and bream (boga) con- tribute to the diet of the Andean people. 1.1.2 Population According to estimates by the National Statistical Insti- tute, the Peruvian population is approaching 19.700,000 in 1985. In 1990, the population will rise to about 23,100,000, and in the year 2000, to 29,600,000. The population increased at an average annual rate of 2.1 percent between 1940 and 19609 and then accelerated to 2.9 percent between 1961 and 1972. From 1972 to 1981, the rate declined to 2.5 percent. The breakdown by age group shows that young people predominate in the Peruvian population. Table 1.1 shows that most of the population is under 14. and consequently below the working age. 8 Table 1.1 Peruvian Population -- Percentage Breakdown by Age Age Groups 1972 1980 1990 0 - 14 45 44 42 15 and over 55 56 58 Total 100 100 100 In addition to the overall growth rate and the breakdown by age group, another important feature of the Peruvian population is the growth in the interior of the country. The Department of Lima and the Constitutional Province of Callao together accounted for 30.5 percent of the country's total population in 1981. The other more populated departments were: Piura, Cajamarca, La Libertad, Puno, Cuzco and Arequipa, which together comprised 32.7 percent of the total population. Hence, 63.2 percent of the population lived in 27 percent of the area of the country. Lima and Callao are the most densely populated areas, with 152.7 inhabitants per km2. Census figures for 1940-61 and 1961-80 show that, with some variations, the population of the departments in the Costa area (Lima, Callao, Tumbes, Lambayeque, Ica, Moqugua, and Tacna) has increased the fastest over the last 40 years and that the departments of the southern Sierra (Apurimac, Ayacucho and Huancavelica) have had a slower growth. The statistics also show that the population of the Selva, particularly Ucayali, Amazon and Loreto, is growing rapidly, but this does not have a major impact on the distribution of the country's total population because of the small sizes of these populations. Migration has been the main factor influencing the popula- tion dynamic of the various territorial units in the country. The Lima-Callao area, the most developed in the country, is the main attraction for migrants because opportunities are greater 9 there than in the highlands where the standard of living is one of the lowest in the country. Table 1.2 shows the migratory flows by department. 1.1.3 Economy Per capita gross domestic product (GDP) measured at 1970 prices, increased from 1970 to 1976; remained virtually the same up to 1982; and then fell significantly in 1983 because of the production drop resulting from the natural disasters that year. Table 1.3 shows the per capita GDP trends in 1960-83. In a little over 30 years, the farm sector's predominant share of output has dropped to nearly half, and other sectors have emerged, like mining, manufacturing and tertiary production. which in recent years have been contributing more than 80 percent of GDP. The tertiary or services sector accounted for 44 percent of the employed population in 1982, followed by the farm sector, with 38 percent. Table 1.4 breaks down GDP formation and employ- ment absorption from 1950 to 1982 by sector. The value of exports was US $3,015 million in 1983, 8 percent less than in 1982. This decline was mainly caused by a US $207 million reduction in overseas sales of nontraditional products, mainly because of insufficient dynamism in the industrialized countries and serious liquidity problems in the developing countries. In addition, the stronger dollar increased the price of Peruvian products in countries whose currencies were devalued against the U.S. dollar, causing a drop in Peru's export sales. Lower imports of traditional products (US $71 million) were mainly associated with a drop in foreign sales volumes of farm, fisheries and petroleum products, caused by the negative effect of the El Niffo phenomenon. In contrast, while the average prices of traditional products rose in 1983, they did not reach their 1981 levels, which can be used as a base year for comparison. 10 Table 1.2 Migration by Departments Departments Immigrants Emigrants Balance Lima-Callao 45.1 14.4 30.7 Arequipa 6.0 4.9 1.1 Junin 5.9 6.1 -0.2 La Libertad 4.9 5.2 0.3 Lambayeque 4.2 3.6 0.6 Ica 3.7 3.6 0.1 Ancash 3.5 8.5 -5.0 Amazonas 2.9 1.7 1.2 Cajamarca 2.4 8.6 -6.2 Cuzco 2.3 4.6 -2.3 Piura 2.3 6.1 -3.8 Huanuco 2.1 3.4 -1.3 Loreto 2.0 2.5 -0.5 Ayacucho 1.7 5.5 -3.8 Pasco 1.7 2.3 -0.6 Tacna 1.6 1.0 0.6 Puno 1.6 6.1 -4.5 Huancavelica 1.4 4.0 -2.6 San Martin 1.3 2.1 -0.8 Moquegua 1.2 0.9 0.3 Apurimac 1.0 3.9 -2.9 Tumbes 0.0 0.8 0.1 Madres de Dios 0.3 0.2 0.1 Total 100.0 100.0 00.0 Source: Boletin de Analisis Demografico No. 22. 1979. ONE. 11 Tables 1.5 and 1.6 show the performance of export volumes and prices from 1981 to 1983. In 1983, the value of imports dropped 27 percent from the previous year, with a decline in purchases of various types of commodities, except for foodstuffs, as shown in Table 1.7. A decrease in productive activity and the policy of gradually increasing the real exchange rate, which raised the prices of imports expressed in local currency, affected this result. The banking system's international reserves fell US $61 million in the first quarter of 1984. However, this was significantly less than the decline in the first quarter of 1983. A major factor in this relative improvement was the agreement between the Peruvian Government and the international banking system to reschedule the foreign debt. 1.2 The farm sector 1.2.1 Structure The Peruvian economy is subject to the dynamics of the world economy. Domestically, this has resulted in an uncoordinated and underdeveloped economic structure and wide inequalities among social groups (in terms of income, development level, forms of socioeconomic organization and inclusion in the national economy) and between regions of the country. This produces unstable socioeconomic integration in the country. These characteristics -- underdevelopment, little economic coordination, and subordination to the world economy -- are particularly manifest in the rural sector. Except for the agri- cultural export sector (now in a severe crisis) and the agri- business sector in the northern Costa, the sector is character- ized by traditional forms of organization, low levels of crop and livestock production, high rates of farm consumption, under- development of other productive sectors, low levels of income and 12 Table 1.3 Gross Domestic Product Per Capita GDP Population Per Capita GDP Year (SI. million 1970) (in thousands) (S/. 1970) 1960 140,638 9,528 14,607 1961 152,482 9,907 15,391 1962 166,245 10,192 16,311 1963 173,009 10,486 16,499 1964 185,369 10,788 17.183 1965 194.407 11,098 17,517 1966 208,112 11,418 18,227 1967 215,424 11,747 18,339 1968 215,363 12,085 17,821 1969 224,272 12,433 18,038 1970 240,666 12,791 18,815 1971 253,014 13,160 19.226 1972 267,782 13,538 19,780 1973 284,384 13,886 20,480 1974 303,879 14,242 21,337 1975 311,131 14,607 21,300 1976 321,483 14,982 21,458 1977 320,640 15,367 20,865 1978 314,969 15,761 18,984 1979 328,527 16,165 20,323 1980 337,749 16,580 20,371 1981 347,877 17,005 20,457 1982 351,059 17,442 20,127 1983 309,666 17,889 17.310 Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru. Table 1.4 Structure of Production and Employment* by Sector Sector GDP at. 973,Prices (ercentaxe) Employment 1950 1960 1970 1982 1950 1961 1970 1982 Agriculture* hunting and forestry 23.5 17.2 14.7 12.7 59 53 53 38 Fishing 0.3 1.1 2.2 0.1 * * * * Mining 5.6 7.8 7.1 8.0 2 2 2 1 Manufacturing 18.2 22.9 24.7 23.4 13 13 14 13 Construction and Energy 3.9 3.9 3.6 5.0 3 4 5 4 Tertiary sectors 48.5 47.1 47.7 50.8 23 28 26 44 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100 100 100 100 S E* S S~ V SSV'SSXSSSSt.S' 'S VS S '' ' 5' 5 S VS' LS , XX<.''S.' ' S