Report No. PIN38 Report No. PIN38 Slovenia CAS: Public Information Notice World Bank Board Discusses Slovenia Country Assistance Strategy Progress Report On May 4, 2000, the World Bank's Board of Directors discussed the Progress Report for Bank Group's Country Assistance Strategy for Slovenia covering the period 1997-98 to 2000. Country Context Since its independence in 1991 and subsequent international recognition in 1992, Slovenia has made remarkable progress in consolidating its status as a nation- state, achieving macroeconomic stability and embarking on an ambitious program of structural reforms that will help to ensure timely accession to the EU. Macroeconomic stabilization was, in fact, achieved in the early years of transition as marked by external and internal equilibrium, balanced fiscal budgets, cautious monetary and exchange rate policies and open foreign trade. Recent economic developments confirm the success of Slovenia's macroeconomic stabilization, with inflation continuing to decelerate (6.2 percent in 1999), GDP continuing to grow (4.9 percent in 1999) and an estimated fiscal deficit of 0.6 percent of GDP. In 1999, the current account deficit did deteriorate to 2.9 percent of GDP, but it is expected that the deficit should return to the neighborhood of 1.5-2 percent of GDP. Slovenia's transition strategy has been based on a policy of gradualism and consensus building, which has produced a stable sociopolitical environment and continuity but, to some extent, has also slowed progress in structural reforms, most notably in the restructuring of the real and financial sectors. As a result, the public sector share in the economy remains large at just under 50 percent. A driving political and economic objectives for Slovenia is membership in the European Union. Slovenia is among the five countries that have already started accession negotiations; and Slovenia is now well advanced in the process. Bank Strategy The Progress Report assesses developments since the 1997 CAS was prepared and provides the rationale for a three to five year phase-out of the World Bank's assistance program as Slovenia moves to take its place in the European Union (EU) and graduates from the World Bank. Over FY98-00, the Bank supported the Slovene authorities in their efforts to restructure public finances and increase domestic savings, complete the systemic transformation of the economy, and achieve environmentally sustainable growth. This support was essentially delivered through policy advice and focused reviews, although two lending operations were also delivered: the Real Estate Registration Modernization and Health Sector Reform Projects. Working with the Slovene authorities, the work program that was executed was successful in promoting important reforms in a number of areas including the pension system, health sector finance and management, property rights and housing finance and in initiating the privatization of some state assets, including the two State-owned banks, In addition, institutional capacity was deepened in the area of debt management, and frameworks were developed to better promote foreign direct investment, expand the role of the private sector in infrastructure investments and more effectively enforce and monitor the environmental regulatory regime. Priorities for Bank Assistance Despite substantial progress on many fronts, an ambitious unfinished agenda of structural reforms remains to be tackled by the Slovene authorities. Key among these are: (a) completing the privatization of the State-owned banks, insurance companies, utilities and the residual stakes in already privatized enterprises; (b) strengthening the enterprise sector through measures to improve corporate governance including protecting minority shareholders' rights, improving the quality and disclosure of information, transforming the present privatization funds into genuine open mutual funds or into active joint venture funds and increasing the enforcement capacity of the capital market regulatory agency; (c) ensuring the expansion of a robust third pillar to the pension system; and (d) removing certain labor market rigidities. In each of these areas, the Bank remains prepared to support future Government efforts with policy advice and analytic activities, recognizing that Slovenia is not likely to need the Bank's financial support. As the Bank's administrative budget will be limited to the resources needed to support portfolio implementation and only a small allocation will be available for additional advisory services, a substantial Bank effort would require cost-sharing with the Slovene Government. Slovenia is well prepared to manage its remaining development challenges and to move from being a recipient of Bank financial and technical assistance to being an important partner with the Bank, particularly with respect to neighboring transition countries. Slovenia is already accepting its increasing responsibilities in the international community as a contributor to the Global Environment Facility and to the International Monetary Fund's ESAF-HIPC Trust Fund. In addition, the Slovene authorities have recently initiated discussions with the Bank, Fund and US Treasury officials concerning the establishment of a Public Finance Management Center in Ljubljana that would focus on disseminating recently gained experience first to Stability Pact countries, and later, more broadly throughout the Region. With graduation, Slovenia will demonstrate that it not only has reached the per capita income level associated with Part I members of the Bank, but it also now possesses capable institutions that will help to ensure the sustainability of its economic gains, and a vision as to its proper role in the development community. The World Bank looks forward to working with the Slovene authorities as this new relationship develops. 2 2 -2-