Draft 69631 India: India Post Technical Assistance - Summary Note June 2008 India Country Management Unit Communication and Information South Asia PREM Finance & Private Sector Technology Policy Division Global Information and Communication Technology Department THE WORLD BANK TABLE of CONTENTS ABSTRACT ........................................................................................................................ 1 CONTEXT .......................................................................................................................... 4 RATIONALE FOR INDIA POST’S ROLE IN CHANNELING FINANCIAL SERVICES .......................................................................................................................... 6 KEY FINDINGS ................................................................................................................. 7 India Post’s current offerings in financial products ....................................................... 7 Threats and opportunities faced by India Post ............................................................... 9 Challenges for India Post in achieving the potential to scale up revenues, and possible rewards ......................................................................................................................... 10 Suggested product lines: savings as correspondent banking, quick cash-to-cash money transfer, and many-to-one money transfer.................................................................... 11 Key overarching areas for improvement ...................................................................... 13 Key implementation areas............................................................................................. 14 NEXT STEPS: A PILOT IMPLEMENTATION PLAN .................................................. 19 CONCLUSION ................................................................................................................. 21 ABBREVIATIONS ATM Any Time Money CPMG Chief Post Master General DDG Deputy Director General ERP Enterprise Resource Planning FS Financial Services GDP Gross Domestic Product HQ Headquarters MO Money Order iMO Instant Money Order IP Implementation Plan IT Information Technology KYC Know Your Customer MCIT Ministry of Communications and Information Technology MIS Monthly Income Scheme NBFC Non-Banking Finance Company PLI Postal Life Insurance PO Post Office POSB Post Office Savings Bank PwC PriceWaterhouse Coopers RPLI Rural Postal Life Insurance SMS Short Message Service TA Technical assistance USO Universal Service Obligation WAP Wireless Application Protocol Acknowledgements This note was prepared by Niraj Verma (Finance and Private Sector Development, South Asia Region, World Bank) and Isabelle Huynh (Communications and Information Technology Policy Division) based on a report prepared in 2007-08 by PriceWaterhouse Coopers (PwC) as part of a Bank technical assistance (TA) to India Post. This TA note is a summary of the main findings and suggestions emerging from this work which intended to assist India Post make progress on capitalizing on opportunities for leveraging its existing business model of postal services into delivering financial services which would help achieve increased revenues while providing a means for improving access to finance, particularly for India’s underserved rural and semi-rural areas. The note benefits greatly from the interactions with and information provided by India Post at their head office in New Delhi as well as various other postal offices in other states, which are gratefully acknowledged. Inputs from Kazuhiro Numasawa are also acknowledged. The authors are grateful to the peer reviewers (Djibrilla A. Issa, Sophie Sirtaine). This TA summary note has been prepared under the guidance of Simon Bell (Manager, Finance and Private Sector, South Asia Region). Vinod Satpathy (South Asia Finance and Private Sector Development Unit) provided administrative support. Part funding support of the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation is also gratefully acknowledged. India: India Post Non-Lending Technical Assistance ABSTRACT The financial sector in India has been going through important evolutions in the last few years. This has been characterized by strong growth, increasing adoption of technology and launch of new products and services and an increasing role played by the private sector banks. However, a large portion of the population – particularly in rural areas, where much of India’s population resides – still remains outside the coverage of the formal banking system. A 2004 World Bank-NCAER survey report showed that access to financial services for the poorer families in rural India was extremely low – 87% surveyed households had no credit account and 70% did not even have a deposit account. Given this context, it is not surprising that for the Government of India, improving access to finance is a priority. While multi-channel distribution has become a common strategy for most retail banks, in India like in many other developing countries, physical branches remain the primary contact point with the customers. Commercial banks, with less than 35,000 rural branches altogether, and non-banking finance companies (NBFCs), with 12,000 branches, have a limited outreach relative to the population and spread of the country. India Post’s network stands out as an unparalleled network of 155,000 retail outlets (90% of which are located in rural areas), which plays an important role in savings mobilization (140 millions accounts, 18% market share in terms of deposits) on behalf of Government of India, Ministry of Finance. At a time when the banking sector is increasingly looking at reaching out to a new layer of customers and tapping the bottom of the pyramid market, the Government in aiming at improving access to finance, India Post’s distribution network can prove to be a valuable asset. Indeed, in many countries across the world, postal financial services have become an important contributor to improving access to financial services. In the past few years, India Post has undertaken a number of interesting commercial initiatives often involving partnerships with the private sector, in an effort to increase revenues. Like many postal operators around the world, India Post is seeking new business opportunities in financial services and logistics to maximize the revenue potential of its retail network, in an effort to reach the break-even point after years of consecutive deficits (over Rs.12 billion per year, for revenues which have continuously increased from Rs.40 billion in 2002-2003 to approximately Rs.53 billion last year). This strategic objective – which would not merely help reduce the fiscal burden but also result in other intangible gains including increased staff and institutional morale – could very well complement the Government’s objective of increasing access to finance. 1 However, overall India Post has not been successful in scaling up the partnerships with the private sector, mostly due to external constraints (regulatory and institutional) and internal limitations (issues related to institutional structure, market orientation, technology and quality infrastructure). The revenues generated through those partnerships remain marginal (less than 1% of total revenues) even though the potential for scaling up is substantial. In this context, the Government of India requested the World Bank to provide technical assistance to India Post as it embarks on a process that would help it to generate new sources of revenues. As part of this, an internal and external assessment of India Post was undertaken by a team of consultants (PriceWaterhouse Coopers, PwC). The team used an evaluation framework that looked at identifying financial products and services that could be channeled through the post office and hold the promise of significant revenue streams for India Post largely through playing an ‘intermediary’ role which would enable revenue gains without the department assuming risks on its own balance sheet. This exercise included a review of international postal experiences. This exercise identified services that have a potential for high revenue contribution for India Post, and finds that if well implemented, additional revenues from three products that could be offered immediately – largely with the existing resources and capacities – could increase revenues sourced from non-governmental sources by 27% in one year. These three activities are analyzed in-depth: (i) quick cash to cash transfer, (ii) many to one money transfer (i.e. utility bills payments), and (iii) savings products where India Post plays the role of a correspondent banker. Revenues expected from these services could reach up to Rs.1.6 billion the first year (for total revenues from financial services of Rs.24 billion in 2006, 80% of which deriving from the Ministry of Finance), and Rs.4.3 billion in the fifth year. Detailed calculations and implementation plans are provided in the PwC TA report. In summary, within a year, provided that India Post manages adequately those new products, additional non-government financial services revenues could increase by 27%, and those non-governmental financial services would represent 21% of total financial services revenues (instead of 17%), thereby contributing to reducing the operating deficit. Other services such as mobile payments, mobile banking, card/cash to card transfer, card to cash transfer, distribution of third party products, one-to-many money transfer, would be less easy to successfully roll out in the short term due to required investments, needed skills to execute or implications in the production processes. However, over time these too could be rolled out on scale and add even more to revenues. This note, which draws on the work done by PWC, reviews the key themes, critical success factors, operating models, marketing approaches (including evaluation framework for partnerships) and business plans. It ends with a recommendation on pilot implementation and change management. In terms of next steps, India Post could implement one or two of the suggested pilots with a view to scale it up successfully and thereafter, assess the value-added contribution to 2 the organization. Such a venture is likely to bring to light some necessary structural and institutional changes, as well as help better assess the level of investments in capacity building needed for India Post to sustain those new business modeled initiatives. An updated sector policy, and legal and regulatory framework may also be needed to ensure success in the reform and transformation process. And if this process was to be successful, in the medium to long term, the full developmental impact of utilizing the vast network of India Post’s branches could be realized. 3 Financial Services through India Post Leveraging…to improve revenues and access to finance CONTEXT The growth of the financial sector in India has been impressive over the last decade, particularly its latter half. The financial services industry contributed 6.1 percent of India’s GDP in 2007 (up from 5.5 percent in 2001) and in this period it has witnessed rapid growth and transformation. Just last year (2006-07) the banking sector grew fast – deposits grew nearly 25 percent and growth of credit was over 30 percent. Growth has been particularly fast for some large private sector banks, and the resultant increasing competitive pressure is one factor that has spurred growth, technology adoption and new product offerings from the public sector banks. In addition the Non Banking Finance Companies (NBFCs) have also grown the credit business by 22 percent and hire purchase assets by over 50 percent over the same period. Growth of the insurance sector has also been robust particularly for some private sector insurance companies. Despite this impressive growth, improving access to finance for the poor and underserved population in India remains a significant development challenge in India. Data available on the depth of financial sector intermediation, indicates that a challenge going forward is not just to sustain the high growth rate but also to make it more inclusive, which indeed is a key overall broader focus of India’s 11th Five Year Plan. A 2004 World Bank-NCAER survey report had shown that access to financial services for the poorer families in rural India was extremely low – 87% surveyed households had no credit account and 70% did not even have a deposit account. The most recent All India Debt and Investment Survey revealed that the share of moneylenders in the cash dues of rural households increased from 17.5 percent in 1991 to 29.6 percent in 2002. A June 2007 speech of the Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of India shows that the ratio of loan accounts to adult rural population is less than 10 percent. This despite, the vast network of India’s banking system with its commercial banks, Regional Rural Banks and cooperative banks. Government of India is responding proactively to improve access to finance and has increased its focus on financial sector deepening. Planning Commission estimates show that to sustain overall economic growth, the financial sector needs to grow by 25-30 percent per annum over the over the 11th Five Year Plan period. This growth, would at least partly, need to be derived from deepening the outreach of financial services to the ‘bottom of the pyramid’ underserved segments particularly in rural areas of India, where much of India’s population, and the customer base, continues to reside in. There are some important initiatives that have been initiated including the introduction of the ‘no frills’ savings account, allowing banking correspondents to operate, simplified Know Your Customer (KYC) norms and the constitution of various committees on financial inclusion. However, given the magnitude of the challenge, more efforts are needed. 4 With its vast postal network and human resource base, one contributor to such efforts can be India Post. This note expands on the rationale for India Post to play a role in channeling financial services and provides a strategy for this. From a contextual standpoint, it is important to highlight that India Post is a Department in the Ministry of Communication and Information Technology, with a workforce of about 230,000 full time staff (and 286,000 part time employees). It is fully integrated in the central government and benefits from Government’s support in different ways. The Government has provided substantial support to the Department of Post through the 10th five year plan, including support aimed at starting the automation and computerization of the postal network and this is likely to be scaled up significantly in the 11th five year plan period. This note has been prepared as part a technical assistance to India Post and builds on earlier work undertaken by the Bank (Box 1). The note focuses on India but draws on Box 1: Background on the World Bank’s engagement with India Post The Government had approached the World Bank in 2002 to organize a workshop around India Post and its foreseeable challenges by 2010. The main conclusion of the workshop was calling for a new business model to apply for India Post, in order to offer a more conducive environment to public-private partnerships and market-oriented strategy implementation. In 2005, the Government organized another workshop on the transformation of India Post for Vision 2020, to which the World Bank contributed. The conclusions were broader than in 2002, and touched upon the sector policy, the USO, the market liberalization and regulation, the restructuring of India Post (to deliver efficient postal, financial and IT services in a self- sustainable way), and the key operational issues to be addressed (management autonomy, marketing strategy and business development, operational efficiency, and IT and public- private partnerships as key enablers). international experiences and lessons in postal financial services.1 1 ‘The Role of Postal Networks in Expanding Access to Financial Services’, World Bank, 2006. Also refer, the PwC detailed report prepared under this TA. 5 RATIONALE FOR INDIA POST’S ROLE IN CHANNELING FINANCIAL SERVICES With its network of 155,500 post offices and demonstrated ability to handle large volume of transactions, India Post has an unparalleled potential to contribute to the economic development of rural communities through leveraging its branches to deliver a range of communication and financial services. In 2005-06, this network handled 6.7 billion mail items, 96 million money orders, and on behalf of Government of India, 162 million savings accounts, reflecting an impressive capacity in handling a high volume of postal and financial intermediary transactions. Relative to other countries in the region (and the world), the outreach of the postal system in India (and Asia, largely on account of India Post) is impressive (Figures 1 and 2). Figure 2: Postal network and penetration of savings accounts Figure 1: Inhabitants per Post Office 25% 50000 35000 30000 20% 40000 25000 15% 30000 20000 15000 10% 20000 10000 5% 10000 5000 0 0% 0 Africa Asia Europe LatinAmer. Mid-EastNAfr es an d l ia ia ina ka tan pa an Ind es % Penetration of postal savings accounts People per postal outlet pin an tm Ne Ch kis ail on iL Vie illip Pa Th Ind Sr Source: World Bank, Access Finance newsletter Ph Source: Role of Postal Networks, World Bank Further, over 90 percent of post offices are located in rural areas and Figure 3 - Rural/semi-urban branch network: Scheduled Commercial Banks and India Post these number over four times as many rural branches as that of the 139500 entire commercial banking system (Figure 3). Another key enabling 160000 factor from the perspective of 120000 promoting access to finance is also 33000 80000 that under-served customers particularly those in rural areas are, 40000 unlike the case with bank branches, 0 not intimidated by post offices and No. of bank branches No. of India Post branches post offices are therefore, perceived Source: RBI and India Post data as more ‘approachable’ by poor/rural clients. For all these reasons, India Post is well positioned to leverage its existing resources to deliver or channel financial services, particularly in rural areas. India Post has been managing basic and simple financial products and services for decades, catering to customers who have limited or no access to the banking sector. Given the low banking 6 penetration in rural and poor India, and the current Government’s priority to increase access to finance, India Post shows potential for becoming a central contributor to the Government’s program. Indeed, potentially the greater role of India Post is a win-win from an access to finance perspective and from the point of view of India Post itself since it faces considerable pressure to reduce its operational deficit. Falling mail volumes in recent years (-33% in the last three years) and increased competition from private couriers in the more lucrative product and market segments are an ever growing threat to India Post (see Table 1 below). This has meant that despite growing revenues from financial services (51% percent of the total in 2006), India Post continues to make substantial losses. Thus, while growth in financial services revenues has been a healthy average annual of 8.4%, still, India Post carries a deficit in the range of Rs.14 billion in FY04-05, Rs.12 billion in FY05-06, and an estimated Rs.12.5 billion in FY06-07 (for total revenues of respectively Rs.44.3billion, Rs.50.2 billion, and Rs.53.2 billion). Table 1: Summary financial statements of the Department of Post (FY 2000-2006) (Amounts in Rs Millions) 2000-01 2001-02 %N/N-1 2002-03 %N/N-1 2003-04 %N/N-1 2004-05 %N/N-1 2005-2006 %N/N-1 2006-2007 %N/N-1 Remuneration for POSB 13,023.50 14,967.50 14.9% 15,770.00 5.4% 17,625.00 11.8% 18,610.00 5.6% 23,224.00 24.8% 23,848.50 2.7% %/total revenues 39.5% 40.5% 39.3% 41.4% 42.0% 46.2% 44.8% %/PFS revenues 83.3% 84.0% 84.0% 84.7% 85.1% 87.4% 87.3% Commission on 2,619.70 2,844.60 8.6% 3,011.00 5.8% 3,181.34 5.7% 3,268.94 2.8% 3,341.00 2.2% 3,479.20 4.1% money/postal orders %/total revenues 7.9% 7.7% 7.5% 7.5% 7.4% 6.7% 6.5% %/PFS revenues 16.7% 16.0% 16.0% 15.3% 14.9% 12.6% 12.7% Total financial revenues 15,643.20 17,812.10 13.9% 18,781.00 5.4% 20,806.34 10.8% 21,878.94 5.2% 26,565.00 21.4% 27,327.70 2.9% %/total revenues 47.4% 48.2% 46.8% 48.9% 49.4% 52.9% 51.3% Total revenues 32,978.10 36,971.10 12.1% 40,096.50 8.5% 42,569.29 6.2% 44,318.47 4.1% 50,234.88 13.3% 53,224.00 6.0% Net result -15,498.00 -14,115.00 -13,644.00 -13,752.00 -13,818.00 -12,098.00 -12,495.00 KEY FINDINGS India Post’s current offerings in financial products India Post has been involved in the financial services domain for decades primarily in an agency role function, though it also offers some financial services directly. Its main financial service is that of being a conduit, on behalf of Ministry of Finance, in savings products2, where it has helped mobilize over 160 millions accounts with a total deposits exceeding Rs.3,200 billion in 2006 (Rs.2,680 billion in 2005). Another product is the Postal Life Insurance (PLI), and its rural version (RPLI) – with 1.6 million policies. India 2 India Post offers eight services through the Post Office Savings Bank Scheme: Savings Account, Recurring Deposit, Time Deposit, Monthly Income Scheme, Public Provident Fund, Kisan Vikas Patras, National Savings Certificate and Senior Citizens Savings Scheme. 7 Post has also started to distribute some mutual funds, with a growing network of over 250 post offices distributing selected mutual funds and bonds of Principal-PNB, Prudential- ICICI, SBI/ICICI, Capital/IDBI/RBI bonds, RBI India Relief Bonds, IDBI Flexi Bond, IDBI Government Securities, ICICI Pension Fund, etc. India Post also offers international money transfers (with Western Union) and is an important source of domestic money remittances through the traditional Money Order product, and to a lesser extent, through a technology based Instant Money Order product that has been introduced recently. Given its vast retail network, it is not surprising that India Post is seen as a potential channel partner by players other than the Government of India in the financial services market. Indeed, in the recent Box 2: years, India Post entered into a Recent partnerships of India Post number of partnership with financial service providers arrangements with leading banking and non-banking  International money transfer – Western Union financial players for the Money Transfer distribution of their products  Mutual funds – UTI Mutual Fund, Principal-PNB through the large post office Asset Management, SBI Mutual Fund, Franklin network (see Box 2). Templeton Investments  General insurance – The Oriental Insurance However, there has been Company limited success at scaling up  Pension funds – ICICI Prudential Life Insurance most of these partnerships, the reasons for which are discussed further below. As a result, despite the tremendous potential for ‘win-win’ partnerships for India Post (in terms of revenues and outcomes in reaching out to under-served clients) and a variety of other financial services providers (in terms of increased business sourced through a reliable and very vast branch outreach), the outcomes of such partnerships has been much lower than the potential. It is not surprising therefore, that the remuneration from the Ministry of Finance for post office savings mobilization is by far the largest contributor to India Post’s revenue (Figure 3), higher than postal revenues and paling other financial service revenues, with the only significant financial services based revenues being generated through money orders. In 2006, non-governmental financial services represented 13 percent of India Post’s financial services revenue, implying that the myriad financial service partnerships (other than that with Ministry of Finance for savings) generated only 6.5 percent of total revenues. 8 Figure 3: Breakdown of India Post’s financial revenues Remuneration from MOF 42% 46% Postage in cash 29% Sale of stamps 29% 18% 15% Commission on MO 7% 7% Others 2004-05 2005-06 Source: PwC report, based on India Post’s Book of Information. Threats and opportunities faced by India Post A key threat faced by India Post relates to the concentration risk in its revenue structure and the high dependence on financial service revenues sourced from Government of India. With interest rates becoming more competitive in the financial sector, banks and other players have become more attractive in terms of deposit mobilization and the growth of postal savings accounts has therefore, been adversely impacted as illustrated in the small increase in remuneration for POSB in 2007 (+2.7 percent, versus +13 percent of annual average increase in the last five years). In the future too, while revenues from Ministry of Finance would remain an important source of revenue for India Post at least for the next few years, but its relative significance and growth might not be as impressive as in the past. For this reason in particular but also more generally for purposes of expanding its revenue base and diversification, it is imperative for India Post to look at generating financial service revenues from other sources. This would mean increasing revenues from its money remittance and postal insurance business, but also from realizing the latent potential in its ‘agency role’, which is probably where the largest revenue potential and opportunity lies. By doing so, India Post would be leveraging on its strengths while offering its core advantages of branch presence and widespread human resource network. In addition to being a correspondent for banks for deposit mobilization and other financial services particularly in rural areas, the insurance sector also offers opportunities given that access to insurance is still low in India (with general insurance premium representing 0.61% of GDP in India, against a world average of 3.18%). 3 The mutual fund industry is also an area of fast growth where players are now aiming at non-urban investors. Again here, India Post could position itself as a key partner. Successful 3 Private players such as ICICI Lombard and Bajaj Allianz are growing at a fast pace and could identify India Post as a strategic distribution partner. In the NBFC industry, private players are also experiencing fast growth, and on the retail side players such as HDFC, Shriram Commercial Vehicle Finance or Bajaj Finance could be interested in India Post’s vast retail network. 9 partnerships will not only increase revenues for India Post, but simultaneously help partner financial institutions in increasing their own business while providing much needed access to financial services for under-served clients, particularly in rural and semi-rural areas. Challenges for India Post in achieving the potential to scale up revenues, and possible rewards A key challenge is to scale up existing or new partnerships where there is a business (and development) case and where the goal can be achieved in the relatively short term. Currently, as discussed above, the numerous partnerships and other directly provided products generate revenues that, in the larger picture, fail to make the desired impact on the revenues of India Post. So the challenge is to perhaps focus on fewer but strategically scalable and competitively stronger product/business lines, and successfully roll these out. This would also help demonstrate that India Post can scale up other financial service provision and thereby more effectively utilize its branch and resource network, increasing revenues with relatively smaller increases in costs (since existing staff with training and resources with some up-gradation can immediately offer a much larger volume of financial services than currently offered). This would also allow increasing revenues sourced from non-Governmental entities and lower India Post’s vulnerability on remuneration from the Ministry of Finance on savings mobilized on behalf of Government. ...but the rewards could be significant According to the analysis undertaken under the TA, India Post can significantly increase revenues from select financial businesses/products suggested below to generate 5 times the current revenue generated from all the non-government and non-money order based financial service provision for India Post (currently about Rs.1,000 million). In addition, the products and business lines suggested would help address crucial gaps that currently exist in the provision of such services/products and would have an impact on underserved and poorer clients. Indeed India Post’s competitive advantage, as well as development mandate, lies in providing services in areas where other financial institutions have been less able or interested to venture to. Hence targeting poorer and rural clients would be areas where India Post has competitive advantages. 10 Suggested product lines: savings as correspondent banking, quick cash-to-cash money transfer4, and many-to-one money transfer Drawing on an external and internal assessment of India Post, three categories of products and services were identified that could be considered for initial implementation. The assessment entailed putting together an evaluation framework to identify financial products and services of great potential for India Post. Based on a matrix (Figure 4) crossing business benefit (revenue potential and competitive edge) and ease of execution (investment required, skills to execute, process implications), priority products and services can be identified for India Post. Based on this first assessment, nine broad categories of products were identified with a high potential for India Post (Annex 1), of which three products – detailed below (Box 2) – appear to have the best possibility of traction in the short to medium term, largely on account of ease of execution. Figure 4: Matrix to evaluate product lines 4 While this note does not delve into the international remittance business, given the very large numbers of migrants from neighboring countries living in India, India Post could play an important role, in collaboration with the postal department from other South Asian countries, in promoting regional mobility and remittances. 11 Box 2: Suggested prioritized product offering for India Post Preliminary financial projections were run under a set of realistic assumptions for the three higher potential new products: i) Savings, through the correspondent banking route; ii) quick cash-to-cash money transfer for domestic remittances; and iii) many-to-one money transfer (payments for services, etc delivered through India Post). Out of a current total revenue base of Rs.50 billion, additional revenues from these products could add up to Rs.1.6 billion in the first year (wiping out over 10 percent of the operational deficit), up to Rs.4.3 billion in the fifth year. Non-staff incremental expenses would be marginal, below Rs.0.5 billion, under the assumption that additional work volume could easily be absorbed at no additional labor cost given the current low level of productivity in India Post. The resultant increased profits would contribute to significantly reduce the operational deficits of India Post. Detailed suggestions on implementing these product lines are provided in the PwC report, which is attached to this Note. In addition to potentially yielding a strong revenue stream for India Post, the suggested products would also lead to positive development outcomes by improving access to important financial services particularly for under-served segments of the population. For example, the remittance product suggested could greatly benefit millions of migrant laborers (there were over 307 million migrants in 2001) who need to transmit money back to their families, which typically would be India’s backward states. The product could help achieve faster and lower cost remittances and an initial pilot covering say the Delhi or Maharashtra postal circles and either Bihar or Orissa could potentially benefit millions of low income and poor migrant laborers, amongst others. Similarly, the correspondent banking product, by providing services to commercial banks to collect deposits – through India Post as an agent – could increase the banks’ outreach and business, generate revenues for India Post and provide improved access to deposit services particularly to those who otherwise are excluded from the formal banking system. To achieve successful scaling up of these suggested product lines, India Post would need to address some overarching areas where improvements are required while also implement changes more specific to the particular product lines that have emerged from this TA. 12 Key overarching areas for improvement The assessment of current business and operating model of India Post shows some generic, key areas of improvement if it is to scale up the suggested product lines and compete successfully to increase its revenue base and profitability. From a product management and marketing standpoint, India Post needs stronger capacity in implementing basic commercial tools. It has a large customer base but no customer segmentation tools to target better its customers and tailor adequately its new products. India Post needs to identify primary and secondary customer segments to target, as well as develop tailored strategies for sales and service, and review distribution network to provide an optimal mix of direct and physical channels to meet customer sales and service requirements. Without this customer-centricity approach, cross-selling opportunities are missed. India Post also needs to improve product management and marketing capacity. New product launches are not monitored adequately and slow take off is often due to lack of new product awareness by both postal staff and customers. India Post has recently improved its visibility in the market through some promotion and advertising, but needs to use more focused and sustained campaigns to attain higher recall and off-take by customers. Localized initiatives are run with limited monitoring and rarely turn into profitable, national success stories. In addition to nation-wide initiatives in financial services, a number of initiatives are undertaken by individual circles. There is a need to track national and local initiatives in a structured manner and incorporate key learning from pilots to allow selective and successful roll out. Finally, India Post concentrates on one-channel distribution through its post offices. There is a need for multi-channel network strategy to facilitate customer convenience (e.g. ATMs, kiosks, drop box), improve customer service delivery (e.g. phone, SMS) and customer service (e.g. call centre) and leverage post offices better. From an information and financial management standpoint, India Post needs to migrate to international accounting standards and develop a cost accounting system. It has no profitability measurement; tariffs are not set on a cost-based analysis, and India Post does not know adequately the profitability of different customer profiles. India Post has limited computers and networked information systems (17% of departmental post offices operate with stand alone IT system, the rest are manually operated) and there is need therefore, for more comprehensive MIS to facilitate performance assessment and monitoring. From a capacity building and organizational standpoint, major capacity building and personal development programs are needed. With a massive workforce used to administrative processes, change management will be a challenge for India Post. Employee training of frontline staff on technical and soft skills is needed to improve customer interaction and opportunity to sell a service effectively. The organization structure of financial services in India Post is not adequate, resulting in low leverage of the vast opportunities. 13 In addition, in the medium term, India Post would need to address some broader, enabling elements in its environment to ensure sustainability of its efforts to improve revenues and launch new products. Those elements deal with policy, institutional structure and capacity and universal service obligation (discussed further in Annex 2). Key implementation areas Beyond the broad key areas for improvement, critical success factors were identified to achieve successful implementation of scaling up the suggested product lines. a) A paramount success condition relates to the management of cash requirements at post offices. Cash forecasting is not conducted at the Post offices to assess requirement of cash in a particular period. Request for cash is made by the Post office only after facing a shortfall. There is low authorization limit for holding of cash at each post office. Also, there is shortage of cash vans for delivery of cash at remote locations. In addition to this, there are limited arrangements with nationalized banks to handle cash disbursement. Security arrangements at post offices are not adequate to retain higher amount of cash. Safety of physical cash being transferred from post office is also a concern. This calls for an overall update of internal regulations regarding cash management, both on security (involving acquisition of safes and trucks) and increased level of cash that can be retained in post offices. Each post office needs to carryout a periodical cash flow planning to assess their cash needs. Post offices should forecast their cash requirements based on receipt and payment patterns (e.g. seasonal, cyclical, long term trends). The maximum amount of cash retained by post offices should be reviewed periodically and movement plan for cash vans should be optimized based on the post office-wise schedule for delivery of cash. Sub post offices should be authorized to withdraw and deposit in the nearest branches of local nationalized banks. b) Leveraging outreach will be a challenge for India Post as past experiences have shown its limited success in doing so. To achieve this leverage reach, India Post will need to prepare careful product differentiation for the lines of products that are chosen, chose carefully amongst networked branches, organize product awareness campaigns at a significant scale (and possibly seek support from communication firms to do so in a private-sector way) to ensure product acceptance from its customer bases. All this will also entail that operating models are revised, new mapping of products to urban and rural socio-economic classification as well as new mapping of distribution channel be developed and adopted all across the organization. New operating models will need to be implemented. As an example, the operating model and the process flow for many-to-one transfer are illustrated in Figures 5 and 6. 14 Figure 5: Operating model for many-to-one transfer Figure 6: Process flow for many-to-one transfer A new mapping of India Post’s products and services to urban and rural socio-economic classification will help better targeting customers (Figures 7-9). In the case of the quick cash to cash, India Post should focus on the rural recipient of all socio-economic categories (SEC), while it would focus on the urban senders of SEC B to E: 15 Figure 7: Customer mapping – Quick-cash-to-cash Rural Urban Target segment SEC R1 SEC R2 SEC R3 SEC R4 SEC A SEC B SEC C SEC D SEC E Mapping* Recipient     � � � � � Sender  � � � �     A new mapping of distribution channels to urban and rural population should also be applied, differentiating between urban and rural: Figure 8: Mapping of distribution channels to urban SEC population 16 Figure 9: Mapping of distribution channels to rural SEC population c) A thorough analysis of on-going partnerships and potential new partnerships will help India Post prioritizing them and align them with its corporate strategy, based on profitability and sustainability criteria. A structured partnership evaluation framework will ensure that India Post gains significant value from its on-going partnerships. For future partnerships, India Post will need to clearly decide which products to offer as a manufacturer (own offering), as a distributor (partner offerings), or as a service provider (leverage own capabilities to provide services to partners). India Post will need to outline the details of the partnership (objectives and operating model), define the rationale (cost/benefits, short term/long term) and the strategy, and assess the needed resources (human, physical and financial). This would be particularly important in the context of the relatively limited success in terms of scaling up several partnerships that have been entered into in recent years. d) As noted as a key element of improvement, this analysis will be completed by an improved product marketing and product management (Figure 10), taking into account the potential of cross-selling (Figure 11). India Post should focus on scale and brand driven product provision, competing on a variety of factors (e.g. price, features like speed, reach etc.) and striving to sell its own and third party financial products. It should focus on customer convenience, holistic service and consistency of interaction. There is a need to undertake marketing campaigns (e.g. brochures, banners, pamphlets, etc.) to provide simple and clear communication of product features and benefits. 17 Figure 10: Product management methodology Figure 11: Cross selling opportunities 18 NEXT STEPS: A PILOT IMPLEMENTATION PLAN With a view to start implementation of this plan, India Post could consider starting one or a few pilots. Detailed implementation plans for all suggested activities/services are provided in the PwC report. This provides ideas on “project management� of these proposed pilot initiatives. The proposed strategy involved identifying a project leader (“project owner�) and other involved parties. For each activity which will be part of the project, there is a detailed tasks description, an identification of the responsible entity (India Post and/or consultant) and a tentative timeline. The last activity is the monitoring and evaluation of the pilot project, to enable documentation of lessons and enhance ability to make mid-term corrections during implementation. One illustration on the quick cash-to-cash money transfer, covering a period of two years is provided below (Box 3). Box 3: Implementation plan outline for quick-cash-to-cash product Project owner: Product Manager at IP HQ - Other involvement: DDG FS, CPMG, Product Manager at circles Activity 1:  Identify locations where this service can be rolled out based on o Current state of technology infrastructure in the post offices o Target customer mapping Responsibility: India Post (Product manager, DDG FS) Time duration: 0-24 months (add locations on an ongoing basis) Activity 2:  Redesign processes for money transfer information electronically to interconnected POs o Develop detailed process flows for part online money transfer o Study as-is process for paper based money transfer o Incorporate elements of online money transfer to the existing process Responsibility: India Post, external consultant Time duration: 1 month Activity 3:  Design and implement a module in the existing online money transfer application to o Accept payment o Send money transfer information to the nearest interconnected post office o Retrieve and sort money transfer information sent from different post offices Responsibility: India Post IT department, external consultant Time duration: 1 month Activity 4:  Train operators to accept payments, retrieve and sort money transfer information and send money transfer request o Identify batches for training o Develop training calendar for all the batches Responsibility: India Post Activity 5:  Monitor revenue targets and track costs o Identify monthly revenue target, and organize information gathering to track results o Identify costs associated to new products, and organize information to track costs Responsibility: India Post (product manager, accounting department) 19 Implementing those pilots and scaling them up at a national level will necessarily call for a deep culture change which can be achieved in the medium term. Key steps in change management will involve the assessment of change readiness and the definition of a realistic change strategy; the creation of a change vision by developing a compelling proposition; building commitment by communicating with all stakeholders; developing a culture conducive to change (values, behavior, mindset); and communicating constantly on the benefits of actions. As discussed above an important aspect will be the accounting and financial management system. The decision of scaling up the pilot should rely on the objective assessment of the business benefits taken from the new products, including profitability. India Post will need to build an internal capacity to strengthen and move from to international accounting standard while developing a cost accounting system. In the medium term to ensure sustainability of the new business models, a number of technological capabilities will be needed in order to launch and sustain the potential products and services (Figure 12). Figure 12: Required technology interventions Decentralised National Data National Data hardware Centre Centre Distributed applications Centralised applications Single application Internet (4,000+), Intranet (< Intranet Intranet (26,000 + 35,000 650) (26,000*) ED*) � 6 months*   current situation 2 years* 5years* Decentralised National Data National Data hardware Centre Centre Distributed applications Centralised applications Centralised applications No Intranet Intranet (26,000 + 35,000 network (1,300*) ED*) Product launch �   Quick cash to cash Card to cash transfers Mobile banking capability Many to one transfers Card/cash to card transfers One to many transfers Mobile payments * as planned India Post has requested a large investment envelop under the Eleventh Five Year Plan, half of which would be for the computerization and interconnection of the postal network. Currently, India Post is preparing a competitive selection for the procurement of its ERP system. Management of a project of this magnitude will require unique skills. As 20 identified earlier in this note, successful deployment of new postal services depends on the automation and digitalization of several aspects of the operational processes. CONCLUSION With its network of 155,000 post offices, India Post has an indisputable asset in terms of a platform for financial service delivery. A concerted effort at addressing some generic improvements in its business orientation and specific actions in terms of the suggested product lines, can lead to strong pay offs for India Post. Increased revenues, with marginal incremental costs, can help reduce the operational deficits of India Post significantly, even within a short time span of a year, if the implementation can be streamlined. Such a move also contributes significantly to the development objective of increasing access to financial services – in the case of the suggested products, to savings, payments services and remittances – particularly to those segments that are otherwise under-served on behalf of the formal financial sector, leading to a win-win for all stakeholders concerned. While immediate revenue results can be achieved through rolling out these products – not surprising since a key criterion for selecting the products was ease of implementation given the current resources, systems and capacity – to sustain the gains from such pilot initiatives and to scale them up even further, India Post would need to implement the larger changes, discussed above, institutionally and in its business model. 21 Annex 1 Broad assessment of products with high potential for India Post  Quick cash to cash transfer This service will combine the features of traditional MO and iMO. India Post IT network will be leveraged to transmit money transfer information to interconnected Post Office (PO, similar to iMO) closest to destination and then sent further like a traditional MO.  Correspondent banking (savings products) India Post can render services on behalf of a financial institution in line with a far reaching, RBI circular on correspondent banking. For example, making deposits to and withdrawals from savings accounts of correspondent banks/financial institutions; receipt and forwarding of banking instructions - proposals for opening demand, term and savings accounts etc.  Card/cash to card transfer In this mode of money transfer, sender uses his card or cash at a PO or ATM to transfer money and the recipient can use his card at a PO, ATM to withdraw money or use it at a POS.  Card to cash transfer In this model, the sender loads a card at a PO or ATM and can then transfer money stored in his card. A security code will be generated which will be given to the recipient to withdraw money from a PO at the destination.  Mobile payments This service would provide option of mobile payments using mobile technology (in partnership with mobile operator), wherein the customer’s account with India Post will be debited/credited as per nature of transaction.  Mobile banking For using mobile banking, the sender and receiver will have an account with India Post and money could be transferred through SMS, inbuilt phone applications or WAP enabled phones.  Many to one money transfer This service would include money transfer from multiple customers to one entity.  One to many money transfer This service would involve money transfer from one entity to multiple customers  Distribution of third party products General insurance: India Post could distribute general insurance products like auto insurance, crop insurance etc. These products could be marketed as a third party or as India Post’s products (white labeled). Mutual funds: India Post could distribute mutual fund products of other players. These products could be marketed as a third part India Post’s products (white labeled). 22 Annex 2: Key issues related to policy, institutional structure and USO obligation Policy- A well drafted, updated sector policy could contribute to improving the overall postal sector performance. From a market demand perspective, the generally high correlation between GDP/capita and mail item/capita leads to consider that there is ample room for volume increase in a fast growing economy like India. Current number of mail items/capita is below 10, which could be brought up significantly provided that segments such as direct marketing or utility billers (large volume postal customers) are better served. Institutional structure and capacity - India Post, being a department of the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology (MCIT), is expectedly operated like an administration. Its workforce of more than 480,000 (with more than half on a part-time basis) generates 90% of the total operational expenses. Most of its operational activities are manually-run. There is a need to increase market orientation and knowledge of customers. Financial management is basic and accounting rule do not follow international business accounting standards, so that there is a restricted ability to undertake commercial costing and pricing decisions. Universal Service Obligation (USO) costs - India Post is also bearing a high cost of maintaining its rural network as part of its universal service obligation. International best practice calls for a clear regulatory framework with cost assessment methodology and transparent compensation mechanisms, which is currently not present in India. There is a de facto subsidy transfers from the Government to India Post, so the USO is in fine supported by the Government. An objective evaluation of the USO cost and transparent funding mechanisms (mostly through a reserved area, direct subsidies from central budget, and/or the set-up of a universal service fund) with built-in incentive mechanisms to get the universal service provider (India Post) to perform its obligation efficiently would be useful. 23