79657 Strategy for Africa: Eighteen Months into Implementation – Progress Report on Results, April 2013 – Africa Results Monitoring Framework (AFRMF) The Africa Strategy includes the Africa Results Monitoring Framework (AFRMF) to monitor progress in results areas relevant to the strategic outcomes based on a set of agreed indicators. The AFRMF is built on the existing Bank information systems and is aligned with the IDA16 results measurement system and the Corporate Score Card. Outcome reporting is organized into a three�tiered structure to address key results and performance aspects along the results chain.  Tier 1: Regional Progress on Key Regional Development Outcomes. This tier represents the high�level development outcomes that countries in Africa are achieving. Bank-supported programs as well as government and other development partners contribute to the achievement of these country development outcomes, such as MDGs and GDP growth. This tier provides a context for the Bank’s efforts in development in Africa. Progress reporting on these regional, high-level outcomes depends on statistical sources of data which becomes available only on an annual or even multi-year basis. Given that the strategy was launched in March 2011, it is too early to report progress for most of the Tier 1 indicators.  Tier 2: Outputs and Outcomes Supported by Bank Operations. This tier measures the Bank’s contribution to regional development outcomes and focuses on sector outputs and outcomes supported by Bank operations. Data collected through project ISRs using standardized core sector indicators or other customized project indicators are used to report on results in this tier. Contents of this tier are also accessible online at http://RIMsys. Results in this tier will contribute to the achievement of the long-term regional development outcomes (Tier 1 indicators). The results indicators were developed in consultation with sector teams so as to ensure specific linkages to the strategic priorities and the availability of reliable data (mostly from ISRs) for reporting progress.  Tier 3. Organizational and Development Effectiveness. This tier focuses on the quality of the Bank’s portfolio and services enabling effective delivery of operations and their intended development objectives. This 18-month results update contains a brief summary of results and a full update on the Results Framework in table format. The brief summary of results in the next section focuses on Tier 2 indicators, i.e. results supported by Bank operations and other activities, as well as Tier 3 indicators, i.e. organizational and development effectiveness. The results table covers all the three tiers. The Africa Strategy continues to make steady progress toward several of its anticipated outputs and outcomes and most of the Tier 2 indicators continue to show a positive upwards trend in 2012. While Tier 2 indicators rely on twice-yearly updates of the project’s Implementation Status and Results Report (ISR), data for many project indicators are updated only once a year. Due to these limitations, progress under the Tier 2 indicators may be under-reported. 1 The Foundation: Governance and Public Sector Capacity The strategy focuses on building public sector management capacity, strengthening incentives within the civil service, and improving governance on the demand as well as the supply side. Progress in the area of Public Sector Management and Capacity is measured by improvement in the Economic Management and Public Sector Management CPIA indicators. From 2010 to 2011, the number of countries with CPIA Economic Management above 3 has increased from 25 to 27 showing some improvement. Strategy Pillar One: Competitiveness and Employment Improving the Business Environment and Access to Finance is critical in achieving sustained outcomes in competitiveness and employment at the regional level. One key aspect of improving the business environment is streamlining the processes to register property. Bank projects have been instrumental in reducing the average number of days to register property across targeted countries from an average of 101 days in 2010 to 25 days in 2011, thus being on track to reach the target of 8 days in 2015. Similarly, the strategy has made continued progress in increasing the number of deposit accounts in targeted countries, from 10.2 million in 2010 to 25.9 million in 2011 and 28.5 million in 2012, surpassing the original target of 23.4 million accounts. These are promising steps in helping to increase the share of formally banked population on the continent. Improved Infrastructure, including Strategic Cross�Border Services. The first 18 months of implementing the new Strategy for Africa showed largely positive signs of improving critical infrastructure services. - Energy. While most energy indicators show progress, they are advancing at a pace that continues to be too slow to achieve the 2015 targets. Additional household connections have shown steady progress since 2010, from 12.3 million people having The Kenya Private Sector Power Generation Support Project (P122671) benefits access to electricity to from complementary World Bank Group support, in the form of International 15.7 million in 2011 and Development Association (IDA) and Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) guarantees and International Finance Corporation (IFC) financing to 17.4 million in 2012. expand power supply and generation to Kenyan beneficiaries, including However, this is not yet households, commercial entities and industry, by mobilizing long-term financing for supported by enough private sector investment in urgently needed power generation capacity. The increase in generation project consists of three thermal power generation projects and one geothermal capacity to serve the project that have all been developed and financed by the private sector. In just over a year since approval by the World Bank Board of Executive Directors, and under growing demand; challenging global financial market conditions, three of the four Independent Power similarly, interconnection Producer (IPP) projects have achieved financial closure and the first projects are of national grids through under construction. regional transmission lines happens only at a very slow pace, thus delaying regional power trade. Nevertheless, it is expected to see steep progress in generation capacity with some large projects reaching implementation stage. For instance, the Board of Directors approved in FY12 a $ 132 million loan for the Cameroon 2 Lom Pangar Hydropower Project, which, together with co-financiers, aims at increasing generation capacity by 120 MW. In addition, innovative Private-Public Partnership approaches are showing promising results, such as the Kenya Private Sector Power Generation Support Project (see boxed text). - Transport. In 2012, an additional 6547km (2011: 11,823 km) of rural and non-rural roads were constructed or rehabilitated, thus putting this indicator on track of achieving its 2015 target. Even though the port�dwell�times for three targeted ports of Douala, Mombasa and Tema have yet to be reduced, project implementation progress gives reason to expect that the targets will be met. - Water and Sanitation. Indicators in this area continue to show strong performance and the region was able to revise the 2015 targets upwards for people provided with access to “Improved Water Sources� to 68.4 million. In FY12, this indicator reported to have reached 50 million people. Similar strong performance was seen for the total of additional people with access to “Improved Sanitation�. The number of people in urban areas with access to regular solid waste collection, was 6.3 million in 2012 compared to 4.8 in 2011. - ICT. While significant progress has been achieved for ICT in 2011, results have stagnated in 2012. In 2011 the number of countries where projects support the implementation of principles of open access to international gateways and regional infrastructures has grown from 10 to 17. No additional countries were added in 2012. Increased Learning for All. The Africa Strategy recognizes that increasing Africa’s competitiveness and employment hinges on a skilled workforce. Building Seeking to address Nigeria’s enrollment deficiency that led to 30-40 percent of the world’s out-of- children, the Nigeria, State Education Sector Project (P096151) worked with the Federal on the success with access school Government, States, and local authorities to improve the quality of basic education in targeted areas, to primary education, the especially for girls. Participation levels were positively influenced by the project. From 2007 to 2011 strategy emphasized the Primary Completion Rates for girls increased from 17.4% to 41% in Kaduna, 49% to 55% in Kano need to improve overall and from 45% to 50% in Kwara. Over the same period, rates for boys increased from 23.5% to 52% in Kaduna, 70.9% to 57% in Kano and 50% to 57% in Kwara. education quality. With the support of Bank-financed School before and after project in Kano State Photo Credit: Bagoma Birnin Gwari, LGA: projects, the number of classrooms built or rehabilitated at the primary level increased from a baseline of 45,857 in 2010 to 57,442 in 2011 and 67,296 in 2012. There is a high likelihood of achieving the target of 77,442 in 2015. The Strategy has also well progressed in providing support to targeted client countries to reach the goal of having some 280,000 additionally qualified teachers in 2015: From a baseline of 87,535 in 2010, this number has already increased to 161,712 in 2012. In addition, Bank supported projects also assisted client countries to purchase and distribute 67.6 million additional textbooks since 2010. 3 Increased Agricultural Productivity and Diversification were identified by the Africa Strategy as key areas to improve competitiveness and employment. According to the Update on Agricultural Development in Sub-Saharan Africa produced for the Spring Meetings 2013 by the Sustainable Development Department in the Africa Region, �of the 183 million hectares (ha) of cultivated land in SSA, 95 percent is rain-fed and less than 5 percent benefits from some type of Agricultural Water Management (AWM)—by far the lowest irrigation development rate of any region in the world.� The Bank supported client efforts by helping to increase the area provided with irrigation and/or drainage services from 378,732 hectares in 2010 to 383,142 hectares in 2011. Progress in this area has registered at a slow pace and strong efforts are necessary to achieve the 2015 target of some 570,000 ha. Similarly, progress in reaching farmers with access to advice, new varieties, and/or better inputs in projected countries, is slow, and strong implementation efforts will be necessary to achieve target in 2015 - by 2011 an additional 13.6 million farmers were reached against a target of 21.5 million farmers in 2015. Strategy Pillar Two: Vulnerability and Resilience Increased Social Safety Nets Coverage. Countries in the Africa Region are subject to a number of shocks such as droughts, floods, food shortages and macroeconomic crises and diseases like malaria and HIV/AIDS continue to heavily impact on human capacity. Reducing these vulnerabilities and building resilience to these shocks is therefore a prominent area of the Africa Strategy and is reflected under pillar 2. In this spirit, Bank-financed projects successfully continued to broaden the coverage of people with safety nets and the number of new beneficiaries from social safety net programs has risen to 15.6 million people in 2011 to 28.8 million in 2012. Improved Maternal and Child Health Care Services and Malaria and HIV Prevention. Despite the progress made over the past 15 years, Africa still faces large challenges with respect to meeting the MDGs and continues to see some of the highest maternal and under-five mortality rates worldwide. For instance, in 2011, out of 1000, 109 did not live to their fifth birthday. Under the new strategy, Bank-financed operations focus on improved service delivery in order to influence these development outcomes. By end 2012, the Bank has supported the construction, renovation and equipment of 3,835 additional health facilities over a baseline of 2,119 in 2010. The significant progress in providing additional people with access to a basic package of Health, Nutrition and Population Services continued, and with Bank-financing, the number of people with access increased from a baseline of 37.5 million in 2010 to 69.7 million people in 2012. The Bank has also continued to support client countries to purchase and distribute an additional 26.5 million insecticide�treated bed�nets in 2012. Further, in 2012, additional 600,000 pregnant women were provided with antenatal care during a visit to a health care provider, through projects supported by the Bank. Progress on this indicator has slowed down compared to 2011, when additional 1.3 million pregnant women were reached by this service, although implementation schedules suggest that the target of reaching an additional 7.1 million pregnant women by 2015 will be achieved. In addition, the Bank’s support enabled clients to immunize additional 1.4 million children in 2012, adding to the substantial increase in 2011, and making progress toward the expected goal of additional 67.3 million children immunized in 2015. 4 Improved Resilience of Economies to Climate Change Risks. The strategy tracks progress of the support toward improving resilience of economies to climate change risks at the Tier 1 and Tier 2 levels. At the Tier 1 level, the strategy recorded an increase of 6 countries, from 2 in 2010 to 8 in 2011, who have Horn of Africa Emergency Health adopted policy documents of sector development and Nutrition Project (P127949) strategies to enhance resilience to climate variability and climate change, in areas such as In response to a crippling humanitarian crisis in food/agriculture, green infrastructure, water supply, the Horn of Africa and the corresponding disaster risk management. 2011 is the most recent data outpouring of Somali refugees, food security and health were supported in the world’s two point available and the 8 countries are: Burkina Faso, largest refugee camps, Dabaab in Kenya and Gabon, Mali, Niger, Ghana, Uganda, Ethiopia, and Dollo Ado in Ethiopia. IDA contributed $30 Togo. While there is no updated information available million to support UNHCR’s delivery of on the increase in area with sustainable land emergency services, benefitting over one management practices, the previous trend (from million individuals. Over 76,000 children were treated for severe malnutrition and 113,000 147,153 ha in 2010 to 573,252 ha in 2011) suggests pregnant and lactating women received food or that the strategy will be able to meet its 2015 target micronutrient supplements. through Bank supported projects. While the previous Strategy update was able to report one additional country with improved early warning systems, bringing the total number of countries with improved early warning systems to 7 (Mozambique, Ethiopia, Sudan, Togo, Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda), Dadaab Refugee Camp in Kenya Photo Credit: WB progress on this indicator seems slow. Additional effort will be necessary to achieve the target of 15 Results countries by 2015. It is noteworthy however that Between September 2011 and September 2012, the project achieved the following results recently approved operations in the area of climate (aggregate data for Kenya and Ethiopia refugee change (most notably the first Climate Change DPO camps): for Mozambique, or the Multi-Sector Emergency • Over one million direct project beneficiaries Recovery Project for Madagascar with mainstreamed (of which 50 percent are female) disaster risk management activities) underscore the • Over 200,000 children (6-59 months) focus on the climate change agenda in the Africa received a dose of Vitamin A supplements Region. • Over 76,000 children were treated for severe acute malnutrition • Over 113,000 pregnant and lactating Cross Cutting Areas women received food or micronutrient supplements The Africa Strategy Monitoring System tracks • Over 135,000 children under five years progress in four cross cutting outcome areas: (i) were treated for acute respiratory infections • Over 57,000 children (6-59 months) Increased Engagement in Fragile States, (ii) Increased immunized against measles Engagement in Regional Integration (results • Over 15,000 latrines constructed or monitoring in the areas Power, Transport and ICT renovated for improved sanitation services mainstreamed in the earlier sector results sections • Over 60,000 children under five years were above), (iii) Increased Engagement in Middle Income treated for watery diarrhea Countries, and (iv) Improved Aid Effectiveness, Country Systems, and Work in Partnerships. 5 Increased Engagement in Fragile States. The Bank has established a Fragile States Hub in Nairobi in 2011. It is fully operational, serving fragile countries across all regions. Overall, the number of internationally recruited staff based in FCS and the Hub increased from 66 in 2010 to 77 in 2011 and 78 in 2012. Decentralization of task management to staff in the field working on Fragile Situations increased from 42% (of projects in FCS managed by TTLs based in the field) in 2010 to 45% in 2011 and further to 50% in March 2013. Increased Engagement in Middle Income Countries. The Bank is monitoring support for increased engagement in Middle Income Countries through overall volume of lending. Commitments have steadily increased from $4,235 million in FY10 to $ 4,282 million in FY11 and $4,366 million in 2012. Overall Support for AAA (Bank Budget funded only), has decreased from $9.9 million in 2010 to $7.8 million in 2012, after it spiked in FY11 to $13.4 million. Improved Aid Effectiveness, Country Systems, and Work in Partnerships. The number of CASs that address statistical capacity building increased from 5 in 2010 to 11 in 2011 and 16 in 2012. There is no update from the OECD DAC available at this point on progress in reducing the number of project parallel implementation units. However, there was an increase from 60 in 2010 to 72 in 2011. The Africa region, however, witnessed that parallel implementation units proofed to be critical entities in facilitating continued – if limited – support to a client countries slipping into fragility or uncertain political times requiring to act under the OP 7.30 regime. Madagascar is one example were PIUs enabled critical support to the poorest population. Tier 3: Organizational and Operational Effectiveness The Africa Strategy’s success depends to a large extent on the quality, timeliness and efficacy of the operations mapped to its outcome areas. Therefore the Africa Strategy Results Monitoring System also tracks a few critical process indicators related to operational efficiency. The disbursement ratio for investment lending projects in the Africa portfolio has recovered in 2012 to 21.4 % after it had slumped from 24% in 2010 to 19.4% in 2011, thus exceeding the regional target of 20%. The share of projects with indicators capturing all aspects of the project development objective (PDO) is about 75%. The update for operations approved in FY12 has not been available. The ratio of projects with satisfactory outcome ratings by IEG in FY11 and FY12 are respectively 58.1% and 61.9% compared to 64.1% in FY10. However, some FY11 and FY12 exits are yet to be evaluated by IEG, and the Region expects the final outcome ratings for FY11 and 12 to be in the same range as FY10. In terms of achievement based on self-evaluation, 81% of Implementation Completion Reports (ICRs) reported their outcomes to be satisfactory in FY12, up from 73.8% in FY11 and very close to the FY10 level of 80.6%. Numbers of HQ and CO Appointed staff who are decentralized to country offices remained largely at the same level with 58% in 2010 and 59% in 2012. Starting in FY13, however, the region started rethinking its approach to improving client orientation and associated levels of decentralization in particular. 6 Africa Results Monitoring Framework: Progress and Challenges How does the region monitor Africa Strategy Results? The primary responsibility for reporting on the AFRMF indicators rests with Sector Departments in the AFR Region. Sectors have dedicated Results Focal Points (RFP) to work closely with the Africa Core Operations Services Department (AFTOS)/the Development Effectiveness Unit (AFTDE) and the Chief Economist’s Office to ensure overall coordination. The RFPs are responsible for data collection and aggregation from their sector units, culling data from ISRs and other appropriate sources.. Challenges to Monitoring Results. The Africa Results Monitoring Framework builds on existing monitoring and information systems and largely relies on corporate systems. Most importantly, it captures data on outputs and outcomes supported by Bank operations from project ISRs. Although ISRs are required to be updated twice a year, the results sections of ISRs do not always receive enough attention. Sources of data, units of measurement and frequency of data collection are not always identified or consistent, making it difficult to measure progress and identify trends. While the Corporate Reform and Strategy Department (OPSRS) has put in place the Results Integration and Management System (RIMsys), mapping projects, aggregating information and reporting progress on project indicators remains by and large a manual effort. Data aggregation on the Africa results indicators involves time�consuming follow up with project task teams. In addition, the system also offers little help to ensure data consistency. Development of the system has taken a long time. Additional efforts are now needed to improve its functionality to allow more effective and timely progress reporting of the Africa Strategy. In the future, the Africa Results Monitoring System will also have to include results and information form the Bank’s rich suite of Knowledge Services in the region. 7 Africa Results Monitoring Framework – Progress April 2013 CSC Target Strategic Indicat Baseline Progress (cumulat.) outcome Unit of Indicator or Measurement Value Year Value Year 2015 Source Trend TIER 1 - OVERARCHING REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT OUTCOMES GDP per capita X constant 2000 US$ 618 2009 647 2011 900  Gross Fixed Capital Formation, % of GDP 13.5 2009 12.8 2011 17 private sector Accelerated Poverty headcount (PPP, % of 52.3 48.5 2010 Growth and population under US$ 1.25) X % (developi 2005 (developing <45 ADI Sub-  Strengthened ng only) only) Saharan Africa i Inclusiveness Labor Force Participation Rate, adult, total (% ages 15-64) X % 70.6 2009 70.7 2011 n.a.  Labor Force Participation Rate, adult, female (% ages 15-64) X % 64.4 2009 64.5 2011 n.a.  Labor Force Participation Rate, youth, total (% ages 15-24) % 52.9 2009 52.9 2010 n.a.  (# per 1000 Under 5 mortality rate X people) 116 2009 108.6 2011 93 ADI Sub-  Maternal Mortality rate (# per 100,000 live Saharan Africa (modeled estimate) X births) 629 2005 504.6 2010 <500  Improved Prevalence of HIV, female (% 2011 Human aged 15-24) X % 3.8 2009 3 <1.7 WDI  Development Prevalence of HIV, male (% 2011 aged 15-24) % 1.5 2009 1.33 <0.6 WDI  Gender Parity Index (GPI): ratio of girls to boys in primary and ADI Sub- secondary education Gross X % 88.6 2008 90.1 2011 91% Saharan Africa  Enrolment Ratio PILLAR 1: COMPETITIVENESS AND EMPLOYMENT Improved Time to register property days 71 2010 65 2012 38 Doing Business  Business Time required for business Environment start-up X days 46 2010 34 2012 20 Doing Business  and Access to Finance % of income per Cost to start a business capita per country 97 2010 67.3 2012 35 Doing Business  8 Finance for Growth: Domestic % of GDP 2011 ADI Sub- Credit to Private Sector (excl. South Africa) 24 2009 20.3 30 Saharan Africa  Countries with readily- accessible mobile banking Number 24 2010 28 2011 44 AFTPD  capacity Energy Africa Energy Strategy Household Electrification rate X % 30 2010 .. .. 35 Update, Jan .. 2011 Transport and Trade Logistics Rural Access Index ( % of rural population w/in 2km of an all % 35 2010 .. .. 38 AFTTR .. Improved season road) Critical Cost of exporting a 20 foot ten ADI Sub- Infrastructure ton container US$ 1,953 2010 1,990 2012 1,500 Saharan Africa  Services, Water, Sanitation, and Water Resources including Access to an improved water Strategic Cross- source (% of population) X % 60.2 2008 61.1 2010 n.a. ADI Sub-  Border Services Access to improved sanitation Saharan Africa (% of population) X % 30.0 2008 30.7 2010 n.a.  ICT Mobile cellular subscribers (per 2011 100 people) - countries X Number 17 2009 28 (latest 42  reaching 50 and above avail. data) Internet users (per 100 people) 2011 - countries reaching 5 and Number 19 2009 24 (latest 27 ADI Sub-  above avail. data) Saharan Africa Increased Agricultural value added (% % Agricultural annual growth) (5 yr moving avg) 3.83 2009 3.71 2011 4  Productivity & Diversification Cereal crop yield Tons/ha 1.3 2009 1.4 2011 2  Increased UNESCO Learning for All Primary completion rate % 65 2008 67 2009 74.2 Institute for  Statistics PILLAR 2: VULNERABILITY AND RESILIENCE Improved Births (deliveries) attended by ADI Sub- skilled health personnel % no data -- no data .. 57 Saharan Africa .. Maternal and Child Health Malnutrition Prevalence ADI Sub- Care Services (weight for age), ( % of children X % no data -- no data -- <20 Saharan Africa .. and Malaria and under 5) 9 HIV Prevention Children under-5 years sleeping 2003- ADI Sub- under an insecticide treated bed- % 16 2008 no data .. 37 Saharan Africa .. net the preceding night Use of modern contraceptives: 2003- ADI Sub- Contraceptive Prevalence Rate % 23 2008 no data .. 33 Saharan Africa .. (% of women ages 15-49) Countries adopting Policy Improved Documents or Sector Development resilience of Strategies incl. provisions to enhance resilience to climate economies to variability and change (in areas Number 2 2010 8 2011 5 AFTEN  climate change such as food/ agriculture, green risks infrastructure, water supply, disaster risk mgmt) FOUNDATION: GOVERNANCE AND PUBLIC SECTOR CAPACITY Strengthened Governance Systems and Capacity for Social Accountability Mo Ibrahim index of index score 2008/ Mo Ibrahim Governance Quality in Africa (continental avg.) 49 2009 51 2012 .. Foundation  Mo Ibrahim index of index score 2008/ Mo Ibrahim Participation and Human Rights (continental avg.) 47 2009 48 2012 .. Foundation  Strengthened Governance Governance and Natural Resource Management Systems and 6 2011 Capacity for EITI compliant countries Number 2 2010 10 2012 .. eiti.org  Social Countries with "partial" or Accountability “satisfactory� rating from Number 4* 2010 4* 2013 .. revenuewatch.org  Revenue Watch Countries rated as providing at least "some information" internationalbu (Open Budget Index Letter Index Number 8 2010 10 2012 .. dget.org  Grade A,B or C) MONITORING CROSS-CUTTING AREAS Reduction in number of Uppsala Increased conflicts (all types) as defined Number 14 2009 13 2011 .. Conflict Data  Engagement in by Uppsala Program Fragile States Mo Ibrahim: Safety and rule of index score Mo Ibrahim law (Continental avg.) 55 2009 53 2012 .. Foundation  * Ghana, Liberia, South Africa, Zambia. 10 TIER 2: OUTPUTS AND OUTCOMES INDICATORS SUPPORTED BY BANK OPERATIONS (TIER 2) Strategic Unit of Baseline Progress Progress Target Outcome Indicator measure (2010) (2011) (2012) (2015) Source Trend PILLAR 1: COMPETITIVENESS AND EMPLOYMENT Number Improved Number of deposit accounts (million) 10.2 25.9 28.5 23.4 ISR  Business Volume of loans to the private sector (average in Environment and countries supported by WB projects) USD (millions) 32.3 33.3 n/a 62 ISR .. Access to Finance Number of days to register property (average in countries supported by WB projects) Number 101 25 n/a 8 ISR .. Energy Additional people provided with access to Number electricity under projects by household (million) 12.25 15.73 17.35 29.63 ISR  connections Additional generation capacity of Conventional / Renewable constructed/ rehabilitated MW 53.9 167 2,274.5 7,115.8 ISR  Additional Transmission lines constructed/ rehabilitated km 0 396 396 1,628 ISR  New interconnections of national grids Number 0 1 1 3 ISR  Transport and Trade Logistics Improved Critical Additional Roads constructed or rehabilitated: Infrastructure rural/non-rural km 12,863 24,686 31,233 43,626 ISR  Services, including Douala: 14 Douala: 14 Douala: 14 Douala: 11 Strategic Cross- Port dwell time is reduced in at least 3 Border Services major ports days Mombasa: 13 Mombasa: 13 Mombasa: 13 Mombasa: 10 ISR  Tema: 12 Tema: 12 Tema: 12 Tema: 10 Water, Sanitation, and Water Resources Additional People provided with access to Number “Improved Water Sources� (million) 10.6 31.1 50.0 68.4 ISR  Additional People in urban areas provided with Number access to “Improved Sanitation� (million) 0.3 1.2 4.9 10.1 ISR  People in urban areas provided with access to Number regular solid waste collection (million) 5.3 4.8 6.3 6.4 ISR  Number New piped household water connections (million) 0.5 0.8 n/a 1.7 ISR  11 Common river basin, lake basin or aquifer management plans agreed by and signed by the Number 4 4 4 6 AFTWR  riparian nations Strategic investment plan for water resources development agreed based on detailed country Number 5 6 6 9 AFTWR  assessments ICT Countries where projects support the implementation of principles of open access to international gateways and regional Number 10 17 17 21 ISR  infrastructures Additional area provided with irrigation and/or Increased drainage services Hectares 378,962 383,142 n/a 569,581 ISR  Agricultural Additional farmers benefitting from access to Productivity and advice, new varieties, and/or better inputs in Number Diversification projected countries (million) 10.7 13.6 n/a 21.5 ISR .. Additional classrooms built or rehabilitated at the primary level Number 45,857 57,442 67,296 77,442 ISR  Increased Learning for All Additional qualified primary teachers Number 87,535 104,695 161,712 284,611 ISR  Number Additional textbooks purchased and distributed (million) 43.2 66.9 110.8 189.9 ISR  PILLAR 2: VULNERABILITY AND RESILIENCE Increased Safety New Beneficiaries from social safety net Number Nets Coverage programs (million) n/a 15.6 28.8 25.8 ISR  Number Additional children immunized (million) 49.6 60.5 61.9 67.3 ISR  Additional Pregnant women receiving antenatal Number Improved Maternal and care during a visit to a health provider (million) 2.8 4.1 4.7 7.1 ISR  Child Health Care People with access to a basic package of health, Number Services and nutrition, or population services (million) 37.5 40.1 69.7 83.7 ISR  Malaria and HIV Additional Insecticide-treated bed-nets Number Prevention purchased and/or distributed (million) 14.6 34.7 61.2 73.6 ISR  Additional Health facilities constructed, renovated, and/or equipped Number 2,119 3,375 3,835 4,285 ISR  Improved Additional land area with sustainable land resilience of management practices Hectares 417,153 573,252 n/a 595,804 ISR  12 economies to climate change Countries with improved early warning systems Number 6 7 .. 15 AFTWR  risks FOUNDATION: GOVERNANCE AND PUBLIC SECTOR CAPACITY Social Accountability Countries disclosing fishing licenses and associated fees Number 1 1 n/a 6 ISR  Governance and Natural Resource Management Strengthened Countries with sustainable forest management Governance Systems programs Number 6 6 n/a 8 AFTEN  and Capacity for Public Sector Management and Capacity Social Improved CPIA indicators: CPIA A Economic Accountability Management (countries > 3) Number 25 27 n/a 28 CPIA .. Improved CPIA indicators: CPIA B Public Sector Management and Institutions (countries > 3) Number 18 17 n/a 20 CPIA .. MONITORING CROSS-CUTTING AREAS Fragile States Hub established in Nairobi by end FY11 yes/no no yes yes yes AFTCS  Increased Number of internationally recruited staff based Engagement in Fragile States in FCS and the Hub Number 66 77 78 .. HRS  Decentralization of task management to staff in 49.8 the field working on Fragile Situations % 42 45 (03/2013) .. RM  Increased Engagement in Reporting on outputs and outcome indicators for regional integration is mainstreamed in the earlier sections Regional Integration Increased 4,366 WB Engagement in Lending Volume to Middle Income Countries $million 4,235 4,282 (FY12) .. Systems  Middle Income 7,81 WB Countries Support for AAA in Middle Income Countries $million 9.93 13.40 (FY12) .. Systems  Improved Aid World Effectiveness, CAS that address statistical capacity building Number 5 11 16 25 Bank Doc.  Country Systems, and Work in OECD/ Partnerships Parallel implementation units Number 60 72 n/a .. DAC  13 TIER 3: ORGANIZATIONAL AND DEVELOPMENT EFFECTIVENESS Strategic Unit of Baseline Progress Progress Target outcome Indicator measure (FY10) (FY11) (FY12) (FY15) Source Disbursement ratio for investment lending projects In the portfolio (ITA16T3), overall % 24 19.3 21.4 >20 WB Systems  Improved Projects with indicators capturing all aspects of AFTDE Operational PDO (IDA16 Tier 3) % 74 75 n/a 80 review .. Quality Projects with satisfactory outcome ratings by IEG reviews, IEG ii % 64.1 58.1 61.9 70 WB Systems  Projects with satisfactory outcome ratings based upon the ICR % 80.6 73.8 81 82 WB Systems  Improved HQ & CO Appointed decentralized in Country Client Office (GF+) [AFR staff only] % 58% .. 59% .. HRS  Orientation …Stagnation ...Progress …Regress i Data are for all countries (all income levels), except where otherwise noted. ii IEG has not yet completed the evaluation of FY11 and FY12 exits. So, the figures reported for these years are based on exits that have been evaluated to date. Also, the final outcome ratings for these years are expected to be different from the numbers reported in this table. 14