IDA18: Implementation Status and Proposed Reallocations Development Finance, Corporate IDA & IBRD (DFCII) September 25, 2019 ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS Fiscal Year (FY) = July 1 to June 30 ASA Advisory Services and MAPS Methodology for Assessing Analytics Procurement Systems CEN Country Engagement Note M&E Monitoring and Evaluation CPF Country Partnership MDB Multilateral Development Framework Banks CPSD Country Private Sector MIGA Multilateral Investment Diagnostics Guarantee Agency CRW Crisis Response Window MNA Middle East and North Africa CSIP Climate Smart Agriculture MSME Micro, Small and Medium- Investment Plan sized Enterprise DPF Development Policy Financing MTR Mid-Term Review DSC Deployable Strategic Capital NDC Nationally Determined EAP East Asia and Pacific Contributions ECA Europe and Central Asia PBA Performance-Based Allocation FCS Fragile and Conflict-affected PEFA Public Expenditure and Situations Financial Accountability FCV Fragility, Conflict and PforR Program for Results Violence PSW Private Sector Window FPN Forest Policy Note RMR Risk Mitigation Regime GBV Gender-Based Violence RMS Results and Measurement GDP Gross Domestic Product System GICA Global Infrastructure RPBA Recovery and Peacebuilding Connectivity Alliance Assessments GHG Greenhouse Gas RRA Risk and Resilience GRM Grievance Redress Mechanism Assessment GVC Global Value Chain RSW Refugee Sub-Window HIPC Heavily Indebted Poor SAR South Asia Region Countries SCD Systematic Country Diagnostic IBRD International Bank for SDGs Sustainable Development Reconstruction and Goals Development SDR Special Drawing Right ICT Information and SME Small and Medium-sized Communications Technology Enterprise IDA International Development SOE State Owned Enterprises Association SUF Scale-Up Facility IEG Independent Evaluation Group TAR Turn-Around Regime IFC International Finance TADAT Tax Administration Diagnostic Cooperation Assessment Tool IFF Illicit Financial Flows UNFCCC United Nations Framework IMF International Monetary Fund Convention on Climate IPF Investment Project Financing Change JET Jobs and Economic WBG World Bank Group Transformation WDR World Development Report LCR Latin America and Caribbean TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 1 II. Status of IDA18 Implementation ......................................................................................... 1 III. Proposed Reallocations ........................................................................................................ 5 IV. Issues for Consideration ....................................................................................................... 8 LIST OF ANNEXES Annex 1: IDA18 Implementation and Portfolio ............................................................................. 9 Annex 2: IDA18 Windows and Regimes...................................................................................... 12 Annex 3: IDA18 Policy Commitments ......................................................................................... 19 Annex 4: IDA18 Results Measurement System ........................................................................... 36 LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Proposed Reallocations of IDA18 Resources (US$ billion)............................................. 7 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: IDA Commitments – Two Years into IDA Cycle (US$ billion) .................................... 2 Figure 2: IDA18 Windows: Cumulative Commitments and Pipeline (US$ billion) ...................... 4 I. INTRODUCTION 1. The 18th replenishment of the International Development Association (IDA) sets out an ambitious agenda aimed at enabling progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The US$75 billion envelope was underpinned by strong policy commitments and backed by innovative financing instruments, which positioned IDA and the World Bank Group (WBG) better than ever to meet the needs and demands of the world’s poorest countries. The ambition and financial strength of IDA18 was also a clear reflection of donors’ strong commitment to invest in ending extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity and advancing the “2030 Agenda”. 2. This paper provides an update on implementation of IDA18 and proposes adjustments aimed at optimizing resource allocation in response to unmet demand. At the second IDA19 replenishment meeting that took place in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia from June 17 to 20, 2019, IDA Deputies and Borrower Representatives (Participants) requested an update on the status of implementation of IDA18. This paper summarizes overall implementation progress during the first two years of IDA18, and includes detailed annexes on IDA18 implementation and portfolio, the status of IDA financing windows, and progress on IDA18 Policy Commitments as well as development results of IDA countries as monitored by the Results Measurement System (RMS). Furthermore, in line with discussions at the IDA18 Mid-Term Review (MTR), Management is proposing adjustments to current IDA allocations to enable quality planning and preparation and optimizing deployment of IDA resources at a time with significant unmet demand. II. STATUS OF IDA18 IMPLEMENTATION 3. The IDA18 package included several innovations, a larger resource envelope and an expanded strategic scope. The IDA18 funding envelope is about 44 percent larger than the IDA17 envelope, new approaches and modalities have been introduced, the focus on FCS and crisis response has increased, and IDA18 has also introduced new windows. Two years into implementation, IDA18 continues to address strong client demand and deliver results in IDA countries. Delivery has been record-high and as of June 30, 2019, cumulative IDA18 commitments reached US$46.5 billion,1 representing a 32 percent increase compared to the first two years of IDA17 (Figure 1). Demand for IDA resources in Africa is stronger than ever, and commitments to most IDA countries in other regions have also increased substantially. Two-thirds of IDA18 resources have supported Investment Project Financing (IPF), and while the level of Development Policy Financing (DPF) remains stable, commitments for Program for Results (PforR) operations have doubled in share compared to IDA17. By the end of FY19, 72 percent of IDA18 national allocations had been utilized, representing the strongest demand for Performance-Based Allocations (PBA) over the last five replenishments. At 63 percent, overall deployment in IDA18 remains in line with past IDA cycles where utilization two years into each replenishment have ranged from 58 percent in IDA16 to 66 percent in IDA14. 1 Overall IDA18 commitments include operations approved under the PSW. However, IDA18 operational delivery reporting excludes these allocations, as PSW operations are implemented by IFC and MIGA. -2- 4. The increased IDA18 envelope has enabled a substantial scale-up in commitments to IDA countries classified as fragile and conflict-affected situations (FCS),2 Risk Mitigation Regime (RMR) countries, and Small States. Compared to the same period of IDA17, the first two years of IDA18 have seen an increase in commitments to IDA FCS and RMR countries by 153 percent to US$12.9 billion, of which US$10.7 billion has come from IDA country allocations.3 This has been achieved despite the difficult security situation in some countries, such as Yemen. Similarly, for Small States, IDA commitments have increased by 168 percent to approximately US$1.1 billion, of which US$927 million has come from country allocations. Figure 1: IDA Commitments – Two Years into IDA Cycle (US$ billion) 60.0 66% 64% 64% 70% 63% 58% 50.0 46.5 60% 50% 40.0 35.1 31.1 40% 28.5 30.0 21.4 30% 20.0 20% 10.0 10% 0.0 0% IDA14 IDA15 IDA16 IDA17 IDA18 Commitments (US$) Utilization (%) For IDA18, utilization is calculated against total IDA18 allocation envelope. For past IDA cycles, utilization is calculated against total commitments secured over the respective cycle. 5. Gross disbursements have increased markedly during FY18 and FY19. IDA18 disbursements have increased by 23 percent compared to the first two years of IDA17. As expected, there has been a slight decrease in the IPF disbursement ratio due to the natural lag between commitments of new resources and disbursements, which draw on commitments from previous (and smaller) replenishments.4 Management will continue to carefully monitor IDA disbursements. 6. There has been solid progress across the IDA18 policy commitments, which provides a strong platform for more ambition and operational impact in IDA19. As of June 30, 2019, 2 IDA FCS refers to those IDA countries included on the Harmonized List of Fragile and Conflict-affected Situations. Currently, there are 32 IDA FCS countries, of which three are blend countries. 3 For IDA18, the figure includes support to IDA FCS and four RMR-eligible countries (Guinea, Nepal, Niger and Tajikistan). This regime did not exist in IDA17. 4 See World Bank (2016): IDA18: The Demand for IDA18 Resources and the Strategy for their Effective Use. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group. -3- 16 policy commitments had been delivered, and all the remaining are on track (Annex 3). The good progress on the Jobs and Economic Transformation (JET) Special Theme, including high- impact analytics, has helped to operationalize the IDA19 agenda and set the scene for delivering good country outcomes in IDA19. The Gender and Development Special Theme with its more focused approach under IDA18 has helped to further accelerate prevention and response to gender- based violence (GBV), voice and agency, and setting the scene for continued progress on closing the gaps between women and men. On Climate Change, mainstreaming climate change is achieving broader impact, all policy commitments are on-track or delivered in support of systematic and targeted support, and IDA19 will drive an even more outcome-oriented approach with measurable and actionable commitments. Under the Fragility, Conflict and Violence (FCV) Special Theme, knowledge has been strengthened, and there has been a significant scale-up of financing to IDA FCS. Meanwhile, more needs to be done to fully tailor programming in FCV contexts based on analytics, and the staffing scale-up in FCS continues to require management attention. Lastly, the extra focus provided by the IDA18 Special Theme on Governance and Institutions, and despite challenging political economy considerations, particularly relating to state owned enterprises reform and illicit financial flows, has helped deepen IDA’s work to strengthen core government systems thus allowing a more ambitious and results-driven approach to governance reform in IDA countries. 7. Significant results have been achieved by IDA countries during the first two years of IDA18, with some variations in progress across sectors. Through the support of IDA, there have been more than 35 million beneficiaries of social safety net programs (15 million of which have been women), about 24 million people have gained access to improved water services, 19 million people to improved sanitation services, 4.4 million farmers have adopted improved agricultural technologies, and more than 8.5 million people have received improved urban living conditions (see Annex 4). Furthermore, since FY18, more than US$13.5 billion of private capital has been mobilized by WBG-supported operations in IDA countries, and more than 40 countries received support from IDA towards institutionalizing disaster risk reduction. Meanwhile, progress has been slower on a few indicators such as construction and rehabilitation of roads, and provision of health, nutrition and population services, as well as beneficiaries of financial services. This is partly explained by the gradual shift in the IDA portfolio in response to changing country contexts and priorities. The IDA19 RMS will reflect this gradual shift in the IDA portfolio. 8. IDA portfolio performance and financial sustainability remains stable, and Management is closely monitoring organizational and operational effectiveness. By the end of FY19, the percentage of satisfactory development outcomes of IDA operations stood at 81.1 percent, and Bank performance in IDA-financed operations (as a share of IDA commitments) reached 80.8 percent; both exceeding the RMS performance standard. Financial sustainability indicators, including the IDA Budget Anchor, measuring IDA administrative expense as a share of operational revenues, reached 98 percent in FY19, meeting the RMS performance standard. IDA’s Proactivity Index, a key measure of the actions taken to resolve critical portfolio problems, continues to increase, reaching 82.3 percent in FY19, up from 79.9 percent in FY18 and 73.9 percent in FY17. Furthermore, all country strategies are now informed by Systematic Country Diagnostics (SCDs), and the time from project concept note to first disbursement has been reduced by 6.8 percent (9.4 percent for FCS). While the quality of monitoring and evaluation (M&E) in IDA-financed operations has improved slightly (and more significantly in FCS), there is still scope -4- for further improvement. Recent changes to Project Appraisal Documents and Implementation Completion and Results Reports aim to strengthen results management. Combined with greater emphasis and accountability during implementation this is expected to further strengthen the quality of M&E. Management also continues to follow up on feedback from Client Engagement Surveys. 9. While delivery continues to be solid and commitments are record-high, it will require a strong effort to deliver the IDA18 package in full. There are areas where demand is stronger than anticipated, but also areas where resources are under-utilized (Figure 2). There continues to be strong demand for the Regional Program and the Scale-Up Facility (SUF), both of which received additional resources following the IDA18 MTR, and both are expected to use up the allocated resources by the end of IDA18. Demand for Crisis Response Window (CRW), the new Sub-Window for Refugees and Host Communities (RSW) and the new Private Sector Window (PSW) resources has been lower than anticipated during the first two years of IDA18, and these windows are not expected to fully exhaust allocated resources. This is also the case for Transitional Support, where Vietnam is not expected to fully utilize its allocation. Figure 2: IDA18 Windows: Cumulative Commitments and Pipeline (US$ billion) 6.7 5.2 3.6 4.1 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.0 3.2 1.0 2.7 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 Scale-Up Facility Regional Private Sector Crisis Response Refugee Sub- Transitional Window Window* Window Window* Support Commitments as of end-August 2019 Pipeline IDA18 Allocation * New windows introduced in IDA18 10. Similarly, utilization of country allocations has varied across regions and countries, but with significant unmet demand. In aggregate, demand for PBA financing has exceeded allocated amounts by more than US$3 billion in early FY20. While IDA Management has reallocated US$545 million in response to these requests, the significant demand in the Africa and South Asia regions calls for additional resources to finance the pipeline for FY20. -5- III. PROPOSED REALLOCATIONS 11. The MTR meeting in November 2018 discussed the guiding arrangements for reallocating IDA resources to ensure that IDA18 resources are effectively deployed.5 In line with feedback from the MTR, Management is consulting Participants on reallocations for endorsement at the Spring and Annual Meetings, followed by Board approvals as necessary. The objective is to ensure that resources available in a given replenishment are effectively addressing country demand, while maintaining the replenishment’s strategic directions and policy commitments. As with past replenishments, Management also has some limited scope to reallocate IDA resources from countries that are unable to use them. 12. Consistent with the guidance from the IDA18 MTR and to ensure that IDA resources respond effectively to unmet client demand, Management proposes reallocations away from the following IDA windows and Transitional Support, as detailed below and in Table 1: a. Crisis Response Window is reduced by US$500 million: As of August 31, 2019, US$1.03 billion has been allocated. In the first half of IDA18, the demand for CRW resources was relatively modest, and as part of the package of post-IDA18 MTR adjustments, US$750 million was reallocated from the CRW to address demand in other windows/country allocations. It is proposed to further reallocate US$500 million from the CRW, which would leave US$723 million for the rest of IDA18, including for the anticipated demand to address the ongoing Ebola crisis in the Democratic Republic of Congo. b. Private Sector Window is reduced by US$250 million: Utilization of PSW has ramped up since the beginning of IDA18 with total PSW allocations reaching US$603 million by August 31, 2019, supporting more than US$1.5 billion in IFC investments and MIGA gross guarantees, and mobilizing US$1.9 billion of investments from other financing sources, including the private sector. PSW is the first IDA Window implemented through IFC and MIGA. It required time and significant effort to establish the operational framework, develop project pipelines, and sensitize clients on the innovations and opportunities introduced by the window. After an initial ramp-up period with relatively slow uptake, the PSW is increasingly able to support more programmatic approaches, and implementation is expected to accelerate in FY20. PSW is expected to further improve resource utilization in IDA19, building on the lessons learned and results achieved in IDA18. A healthy pipeline of nearly US$900 million as well as midstream opportunities of over US$1 billion reflect strong demand to support a steady utilization of US$700-800 million per annum consistent with a US$2.5 billion envelope for IDA19. c. Refugee Sub-Window is reduced by US$400 million: Overall demand for the RSW has been substantial and delivery during the first two years has been solid with nearly US$927 million committed across 19 projects in 10 countries by August 31, 2019. The allocation to RSW was increased by US$200 million to a total US$2.2 billion as part of the post- IDA18 MTR adjustments. RSW financing and the accompanying dialogue have been 5 See World Bank (2018): IDA18 Post-Mid-Term Review Amendments. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group. For detailed information on emerging challenges and lessons, please refer to World Bank (2018): IDA18 Mid-Term Review: Implementation and Results Progress Report. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group. -6- instrumental in supporting countries’ development responses to refugee management. Nonetheless, policy and programming have proven sensitive in some countries in recent months, with recipients requiring more time for programming and internal processing of RSW operations. Also, a couple of countries have not completed their eligibility process as planned. Due to these factors, commitments for the last year of the cycle have slowed, and combined with some pipeline uncertainty, the RSW is now expected to utilize US$1.8 billion in IDA18. As the number of eligible countries may increase slightly in the coming years, the demand for RSW financing is expected to be significant in IDA19. d. Transitional Support is reduced by US$380 million: US$822 million of the allocation for Transitional Support has been utilized as of August 31, 2019. Bolivia and Sri Lanka are expected to utilize their allocations, while Vietnam in its efforts to manage its public debt strictly below 65 percent of GDP has borrowed less than initially expected during the IDA18 period. As a result, total utilization of Transitional Support is expected to reach US$1.57 billion by end of FY20. 13. Other windows and regimes are expected to fully utilize allocated resources. The IDA18 Regional Program has doubled in size compared to IDA17, and delivery has been strong with commitments of US$2.7 billion during the first two years and a solid pipeline for FY20. Similarly, with US$3.1 billion in total commitments, SUF is poised for a strong delivery in FY20 and expected to fully utilize the US$6.7 billion allocation. Somalia has remained on track towards clearance of its IDA arrears during FY19 and could access Turn-Around Regime (TAR) resources within FY20. Remaining unallocated IDA resources for potential TAR cases would be released for reallocations through the PBA along with resources released from IDA windows. 14. Management seeks flexibility to manage CRW resources and the Syria set-aside by reallocating further resources in response to actual demand over the remaining months of IDA18. The uncertainty of the situation in Syria, as well as difficulties of predicting crises and their financing call for some flexibility. Management is therefore seeking prior authorization to redirect resources from the CRW and the Syria set-aside that remain underutilized by February 29, 2020 through the PBA. If, beyond this flexibility, there is a need for additional reallocations, these will be presented for consultation with Participants for their endorsement at the Spring Meetings in FY20, followed by approval by IDA’s Executive Directors. Should additional CRW financing be required for an unexpected large crisis for which funding cannot be sufficiently reallocated from other resources within the IDA18 financing envelope, Management could, with the approval of the Board, temporarily increase financing above the agreed IDA18 financing envelope, subject to IDA’s capital adequacy constraints reflected in IDA’s Deployable Strategic Capital ratio. Adjustments to a sustainable level of financing would then need to be made in future replenishments. 15. Management proposes that the freed-up resources from the above reallocations are channeled to IDA countries through the PBA system. The proposed reallocations maintain both the target ambitions for support to IDA FCS and the performance focus for IDA country allocations. Any additional reallocations of PBA resources to address unmet demand will be subject to internal review and will follow the existing inter-regional and intra-regional reallocation rules Management will continue to provide updates on implementation progress/issues and pipeline development at the Spring and Annual Meetings of the WBG and the IMF. -7- Table 1: Proposed Reallocations of IDA18 Resources (US$ billion)6 Original Allocation Proposed Revised Allocation Post-MTR Change Allocation 1. Concessional Country Allocations 52.4 53.1 1.6 54.7 of which are exceptional - allocations for: - Notional allocation for Syria 1.0 0.4 - 0.4* - Syrian refugees (Jordan and - 0.2 - 0.2 Lebanon)** - Yemen - 0.4 - 0.4 IDA Windows 11.1 10.8 (0.9) 9.9 Crisis Response Window 3.0 2.3 (0.5) 1.8* Regional Program 5.0 5.2 - 5.2 Sub-Window for Refugees and 2.0 2.2 (0.4) 1.8 Host Communities Arrears Clearance 1.1 1.1 - 1.1 2. Non-concessional Transitional Support 2.8 2.0 (0.4) 1.6 Scale-Up Facility 6.2 6.7 - 6.7 3. Private Sector Window 2.5 2.5 (0.3) 2.2 TOTAL 75 75 - 75 * Resources from CRW and the Syria set-aside that remain underutilized by February 29, 2020 may be reallocated to IDA countries through the PBA system as explained in paragraph 14. ** In March 2019, the Board approved a US$200 million exceptional allocation to Jordan and Lebanon on terms equivalent to IDA Credits on IDA Regular Terms for projects that principally and directly benefit Syrian refugees. 16. The proposed reallocations will modestly increase the concessionality level of IDA18 financing. The reallocation of US$880 million from Transition Support and the PSW is expected to increase the overall concessionality of IDA18 financing, since Transition Support and the PSW provide financing on terms that are less concessional than financing provided through PBA country allocations. Other reallocations from IDA concessional windows are not expected to impact the level of concessionality of IDA financing as the terms of financing provided through the windows generally align with the PBA country allocation terms. These changes in the level of concessionality of total IDA18 financing are not expected to have a significant impact on IDA’s financial sustainability over the long term. 6 Based on IDA18 Replenishment rate of 1.40207. -8- IV. ISSUES FOR CONSIDERATION a. Participants are asked to endorse the proposed reallocations of IDA18 resources from the CRW, PSW, RSW and Transitional Support to PBA country allocations. b. Participants are asked to endorse the proposed flexibility for managing additional reallocations of CRW resources and the Syria set-aside for the remainder of IDA18. -9- ANNEX 1: IDA18 IMPLEMENTATION AND PORTFOLIO 1. Implementation of IDA18 remains strong and continues to deliver on IDA18 innovations and development ambitions. During the first two years of IDA18, cumulative commitments reached US$46.5 billion,7 meaning that 63 percent of total IDA18 allocated resources were utilized. This represents a 32 percent increase compared to the first two years of IDA17, and a 50 percent increase compared to the first two years of IDA16. With US$27.1 billion, IDA-only countries account for 59 percent of IDA18 commitments, while Blend countries received US$10.4 billion (22.7 percent), Gap countries received US$6.3 billion (13.7 percent), and IDA- only inactive countries received 0.2 percent. IDA commitments to IBRD countries8 and financing for regional institutions accounted for less than five percent. 2. Together, the ten largest IDA18 Figure A1.1: Top 5 IDA18 clients account for US$26.1 billion, Borrowers representing 57 percent of total IDA18 5.7 5.2 commitments. The top five recipient countries US$ billion (Ethiopia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Nigeria and 3.2 2.6 2.3 Kenya) have together received 41 percent of total IDA18 commitments. 3. IDA18 financing is varied across regions with highest demand from the Africa region. After two years of IDA18 delivery, the Africa region (AFR) accounts for the largest share of IDA commitments (65 percent), followed by the South Asia region (SAR), with 24 percent of total IDA18 commitments, East Asia and the Pacific (EAP) with 4 percent, East and Central Asia (ECA) at 3 percent, and Middle East and North Africa (MNA) and Latin America and the Caribbean (LCR) both at 2 percent. Figure A1.2: Regional Share of IDA18 Commitments 4. IDA18 has supported projects across a Total of US$45.9 billion* wide range of sectors. The largest amount of funding has supported projects in the infrastructure sector (US$15.5 billion or 34 percent of total), SAR, 24% particularly energy and extractives (US$7.5 billion). Twenty-eight percent of IDA18 commitments has financed social sectors (US$12.7 MNA, 2% billion), with the highest share financing education LCR, 2% projects (US$4.6 billion), followed by social ECA, 3% protection (US$ 4.3 billion) and health projects EAP, 4% AFR, 65% (US$3.8 billion). IDA18 support to public administration has almost doubled compared to the same period in IDA17. *Excludes PSW Commitments 7 Overall IDA18 commitments include operations approved under the PSW. However, IDA18 operational delivery reporting excludes these allocations as PSW operations are implemented by IFC and MIGA. 8 This comprises Transitional Support to Bolivia, Sri Lanka, and Vietnam and recommitments to India. -10- Figure A1.3: IDA17 and IDA18 Commitments by Sectors IDA17 Commitment by Sectors IDA18 Commitment by Sectors Total of US$35.1 billion Total of US$45.9 billion Public Admin Public Agriculture Agriculture 12% Admin 10% 13% Financial 19% Sector 3% Financial Sector 4% Social Sectors 30% Social Infrastructure Sectors Infrastructure 38% 34% 37% 5. The significant scale-up of support for IDA FCS represents one of the major transformations in IDA18. IDA commitments to FCS reached US$12.9 billion in the first two years of IDA18 of which US$10.7 billion were country allocations.9 This is 2.5 times the FCS allocations during the same period in IDA17 and triple the allocations compared to the same period in IDA16. The share of PBA allocations going to FCS increased from 13 percent in IDA16 to 18 percent in IDA17 and 28 percent in IDA18 (as of end FY19). Work is ongoing to ensure that strategies and projects across the WBG are addressing the drivers of fragility and help build resilient institutions and societies in FCS. Similarly, there has been a substantial increase in lending to Small States – from US$424 million in IDA17 to US$1.1 billion in IDA18. The top five Small States clients are Dominica, Djibouti, Cabo Verde, Marshall Islands and Solomon Islands. In the Pacific, more than a third of the operations in the portfolio, accounting for more than US$500 million out of a total of US$1.6 billion, pertain to regional programs supporting Small States on digital connectivity, aviation, maritime, fisheries and climate resilience programs. Figure A1.4: IDA17 and IDA18 Commitments to FCS/RMRs10 and Small States IDA17 and IDA18 Commitments to FCS IDA17 and IDA18 Commitments to (US$ billion) Small States (US$ billion) 1,136 of which PBA 12.9 of which PBA Total Commitments Total Commmitents 424 5.1 927 10.7 4.2 173 IDA17 IDA18 IDA17 IDA18 9 About 40 percent of PSW allocations approved by the IDA Board of Executive Directors in the first two years of IDA18 have been in support of projects in FCS. 10 For IDA18, support to RMR-eligible countries is included. This regime did not exist in IDA17. -11- 6. In terms of lending instruments, about two-thirds of IDA18 resources have supported Investment Project Financing (IPF). Program for Results (PforR) operations have accounted for one-fifth of IDA18 commitments, which is a doubling of the share in IDA17. The relative share of Development Policy Financing (DPF) has remained relatively stable compared to the same period in IDA17. Figure A1.5: Breakdown of IDA Instruments Breakdown of IDA17 Instruments Breakdown of IDA18 Instruments (Commitments first two years) (Commitments first two years) DPF DPF 15% 13% PforR PforR IPF 9% IPF 66% 19% 78% 7. Gross disbursements in the first two years of IDA18 totaled US$32 billion, almost US$6 billion more than the same period in IDA17 with the IPF disbursement ratio decreasing. Figure A1.6: IDA Gross Disbursements and IPF Disbursement ratio IDA Gross Disbursements IDA IPF Disbursement Ratio (US$ billion) 23% 17.6 20% 14.4 19% 19% 12.9 13.2 10.5 9.8 11.1 11.0 FY15 FY16 FY18 FY19 IDA17 IDA18 o w/IPF IDA Total FY15 FY16 FY18 FY19 IDA17 IDA18 -12- ANNEX 2: IDA18 WINDOWS AND REGIMES Crisis Response Window 1. The Crisis Response Window (CRW) provides support to respond to major natural disasters, public health emergencies and severe economic crises, and assists IDA countries to return to their long-term development paths. During the first two years of IDA18, CRW has allocated US$1.03 billion as follows: (a) Economic recovery in Mongolia (US$80 million); (b) Response to cholera outbreak in Yemen (US$200 million); (c) Support to recovery from Hurricane Maria in Dominica (US$50 million); (d) Response to Tropical Cyclone Gita in Tonga (US$20 million); (e) Response to floods in Lao PDR (US$50 million); (f) Support to recovery from Cyclone Idai in Malawi, Mozambique and Zimbabwe (US$542 million); and (g) Support to recovery from Cyclone Kenneth in Comoros and Mozambique (US$85 million). Through the CRW, the World Bank is also expecting to mobilize financing to combat the ongoing Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo. 2. The CRW represents a paradigm shift in IDA’s crisis response from ad -hoc interventions that entails restructurings and reallocations to a more systematic and responsive approach. A key lesson from CRW implementation to date is the inherent challenge in sizing the overall CRW envelope, given the wide range of risks covered and the unpredictability of crisis timing and impact. Accordingly, demand for CRW resources has fluctuated across replenishments. For instance, IDA17 saw strong utilization and the CRW was replenished with an additional US$900 million at the IDA17 MTR. By contrast, in IDA16, approximately US$1 billion of unused funds in IDA16 CRW was partially reallocated to the Regional Program and partially carried over to the next replenishment. Similarly, there was a reallocation of US$750 million out of the CRW at the IDA18 MTR due to modest usage at that time compared to the initial IDA18 CRW envelope of US$3 billion. Box A2.1: Response to Cyclone Idai Cyclone Idai and the subsequent flooding and landslides had a devastating impact on Mozambique, Malawi and Zimbabwe. The cyclone impacted around two million people across the three countries and has left a trail of destruction with many people dead, missing or displaced, as well as crops and livestock lost, and critical infrastructure destroyed. The CRW allocated US$542 million to the three affected countries, comprising US$350 million to Mozambique, US$120 million to Malawi and an exceptional allocation US$72 million to Zimbabwe. The response package focuses on inter alia reconstruction of housing and public infrastructure in accordance with resilient design and construction standards, support to the recovery of the private sector, and restoration of livelihoods. Note: Zimbabwe is in arrears to IDA and the CRW allocation was made on an exceptional basis, reflecting international recognition of the unprecedented humanitarian crisis caused by Cyclone Idai. -13- Private Sector Window 3. The IDA18 IFC-MIGA Private Sector Window (PSW) is designed to mobilize private sector investment with a particular focus on IDA FCS. Through different facilities, the PSW backstops or blends with IFC investments or MIGA guarantees to support private sector investments, through leveraging IFC’s and MIGA’s business models and client relationships, and complementing IDA’s continued support to policy reforms and business environment in IDA countries. PSW resources are limited to eligible countries, defined as IDA-only and fragile or conflict-affected IDA-gap and blend countries. The use of PSW is also part of the evolving WBG collective approach to create markets and mobilize private investment. Box A2.2: Creating New Markets in Haiti Haiti is one of the world’s poorest countries. A devastating 2010 earthquake completely shattered its economy, and subsequent storms, political instability, and economic stagnation have severely hampered recovery efforts. Haiti’s smaller businesses need comprehensive support to grow and contribute to the economy, but traditional banking services are often only available at the top of Haiti’s market, while nearly half the country’s micro, small, and medium- sized enterprises (MSMEs) have credit needs that financial institutions are currently not meeting. One of the ways, the World Bank Group has helped address this situation is by supporting the creation of a leasing sector in Haiti. The initial upstream work in collaboration with Haiti’s Central Bank and Ministry of Economy and Finance, was followed by an IFC investment in 2019 in Ayiti Leasing, Haiti’s first leasing company, and the IDA18 PSW was essential in enabling IFC’s financing in Ayiti by improving the risk-return profile of the investment. US$5.5 million from the PSW was used to finance more riskier components of the investment, which made the investment viable for IFC and enabled a US$5.5 million IFC investment in Ayiti, and mobilized another US$1.5 million from Oikocredit, a global social impact investor. With this investment, Ayiti Leasing is expected to increase its portfolio eightfold, providing more than 650 leasing loans to entrepreneurs by 2022, and helping local MSMEs access the machinery, vehicles, and other items necessary to grow their businesses and the Haitian economy. It is also expected to attract other leasing companies and investors in this market by demonstrating that leasing to MSMEs in Haiti can be commercially viable. 4. The total allocations approved under the PSW reached US$603 million by August 31, 2019, supporting more than US$1.5 billion in IFC investments and MIGA gross guarantees, and mobilizing an additional US$1.9 billion of investments from other financing sources, including the private sector. These investments include 25 board-approved projects, plus eight sub-projects under approved programmatic approaches (six under the Small Loan Guarantee Program; two under the IDA-PSW SME Ventures Envelope). Ten of the approved projects support investments into five IDA FCS (Myanmar, Haiti, Mozambique, Cote d’Ivoire, and Afghanistan). Aggregated subsidies, as part of the total amount of PSW resources approved, stand at about US$128 million. Approved projects span from access to finance for SMEs, to mortgage financing for the low-middle income segment, telecom and cable services, and manufacturing. In addition, joint IFC/MIGA/IDA teams continue to work together to develop a strong pipeline of projects in IDA-only and fragile countries in a variety of sectors, with a particular focus on infrastructure. -14- Scale-Up Facility 5. The Scale-Up Facility (SUF) is designed to supplement IDA financing for high quality, transformational country-specific and/or regional operations with strong development impact. These non-concessional resources are in addition to the regular concessional resources that countries receive, making them useful where these country allocations are insufficient to support transformational initiatives. Only countries assessed as being at either low or moderate risk of debt distress are eligible to access SUF. A total resource envelope of US$6.2 billion was initially allocated to SUF for IDA18, which was increased to US$6.7 billion at Mid-Term Review (MTR). 6. Over the first two years of IDA18, a total of 17 projects worth US$3.0 billion were committed for SUF financing. Commitments have been particularly strong in Sub-Saharan Africa, with 14 projects committed for a total value of US$2.5 billion, thereby reaching 62 percent of the regional target for the entire IDA18 period. Largest SUF recipients were Cote d’Ivoire (US$615 million), Nigeria (US$464 million), and Bangladesh (US$451 million). Energy and Extractives was the largest sector to receive SUF financing (six projects worth US$1.217 billion), followed by Transport (three projects worth US$650 million) and Water (four projects worth US$ 598 million). 7. SUF is poised for a strong delivery in FY20. Twenty-one high-quality and transformational projects have been notionally endorsed for use of the facility and are currently in the pipeline, and 16 are expected to be delivered this fiscal year, with a total value over US$3.6 billion. In addition, a new request for nominations was recently completed, with a number of new projects expected to be endorsed, and as a result SUF is expected to fully utilize the US$6.7 billion allocation. -15- Box A2.3: Abidjan Urban Mobility Project The US$540 million Abidjan Urban Mobility Project, co-financed with the Agence Française de Développement and private sector actors, seeks to improve accessibility to economic and social opportunities for the population of the Greater Abidjan Area (GAA) through increased efficiency of the public transportation system. The project centers around the establishment of a new Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) corridor along the city’s East-West corridor, together with strengthening of the Abidjan Public Transport Company (Société des Transports Abidjanais), restructuring of the feeder system to mass transit lines, support towards the professionalization of the artisanal transport sector, and human capital development by improving skills and social protection schemes. Financing from the SUF was secured in view of the project’s strong and potentially transformative development impact on social and economic conditions in the GAA, in terms of improving the efficiency of mass transit services, the overall urban transport system, and the future urban development of the city. Specifically, the project objectives include a near doubling of the number of jobs accessible within an hour of travel on average and the reorganization of a sector employing more than 100,000 people. With the creation of the new BRT using a Public-Private Partnership model, the project will also help crowd in additional private sector resources and bring in the needed know-how and innovation with a cleaner transport service. Regional Program 8. The Regional IDA Program aims to promote development through a regional approach by providing topping-up funds to finance regional investments and activities in eligible regional IDA projects. Given the high demand compared to the available funds, individual projects should be prioritized based on how closely they adhere to the regional project criteria, including whether they are expected to have an additional impact on growth and poverty reduction in the region that could only be achieved within a regional framework. IDA financing for qualified regional projects is typically funded one-third from the national allocation and two- thirds from the regional IDA envelope. This co-financing ratio, however, depends on project design and resource availability. 9. The IDA18 Regional Program has doubled in size, from US$2.2 billion in IDA17 to US$5 billion in IDA18, with a further US$200 million reallocated after the IDA18 MTR. Total commitments over the last two years of IDA18 amounted to US$2.7 billion, compared to US$2.3 billion over the same period of IDA17. Of the total funds committed, 73 percent (US$1.9 billion) has supported projects in the Africa Region, followed by 19 percent (US$517 million) in the South Asia Region. The Regional Program’s support to IDA FCS totaled US$1.04 billion, accounting for 40 percent of total Regional Program commitments, representing an 82 percent increase in commitments to FCS compared to the same period in IDA17. -16- Box A2.4: West Africa Unique Identification for Regional Integration and Inclusion Roughly 40 percent of Sub-Saharan Africa SSA—approximately 502 million people—lack official proof of identification and, consequently, face significant barriers to accessing critical services. Beginning in Côte d’Ivoire and Guinea, the US$317.1 million multiphase West Africa Unique Identification for Regional Integration and Inclusion WURI project implemented by the ECOWAS Commission, aims to facilitate access to services for millions of people through building an identification system that is inclusive of all persons in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) territory, irrespective of nationality, citizenship or legal status. The first phase of the project seeks to provide official proof of identification for 22.5 and 12.5 million people in Cote d’Ivoire and Guinea respectively and will help the ECOWAS Commission achieve a regional framework for mobility and broader integration. Following implementation in these two countries, the next phase of the project will cover Benin, Burkina Faso and Niger. Regional Sub-Window for Refugees and Host Communities 10. The purpose of the IDA Regional Sub-Window for Refugees and Host Communities (RSW) is to help refugee hosting countries (i) mitigate the shocks caused by an influx of refugees and create social and economic development opportunities for refugees and host communities; (ii) facilitate sustainable solutions to protracted refugee situations including through the sustainable socio-economic inclusion of refugees in the host country and/or their return to the country of origin; and (iii) strengthen preparedness for increased or potential new refugee flows. Countries are eligible to access the RSW if the number of UNHCR-registered refugees hosted, including persons in refugee-like situations, is at least 25,000 or it is at least 0.1 percent of the country’s population. In addition, countries must adhere to an adequate framework for the protection of refugees and have in place an action plan, strategy or similar document outlining long-term solutions that benefit refugees and host communities. 11. The RSW is seeing substantial demand, particularly from the Africa region where the majority of refugees reside. Fourteen countries11 are eligible for the RSW, and so far, 19 RSW projects in 10 countries totaling US$927 million have been approved across multiple sectors. Sectors and themes covered include education, health, social protection, access to jobs, water and sanitation. As part of a package of post-IDA18 MTR adjustments, an additional US$200 million was allocated to the RSW. 11 Bangladesh, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Chad, Djibouti, DRC, Ethiopia, Mauritania, Niger, Republic of Congo, Rwanda, Pakistan and Uganda. -17- Box A2.5: Uganda Forced Displacement Program Uganda’s refugee population almost tripled between July 2016 and June 2018 making the country the largest refugee host in Africa and third largest in the world. The Ugandan Government has continued to implement one of the most progressive refugee policy regimes in the world but sustaining this open-door asylum policy and development-oriented model presents a challenge given the pressures on service delivery and natural resources as well as administrative capacities. In early FY17, the Uganda Country Team developed and began implementation of a comprehensive and cutting-edge program to support the Government’s response to the rapid influx of refugees to Uganda. Uganda is eligible to access financing from the IDA18 sub- window for refugees and host communities, and the Government expressed early and strong interest. A comprehensive area-based program of interventions—involving a combination of policy dialogue, investment financing, and knowledge products—was subsequently prepared together with the Government and in consultation with stakeholders, including UNHCR and other partners. Combined with additional national IDA resources, the sub-window has provided financing for three projects totaling US$233 million, and additional operations are scheduled for delivery in FY20. The support is closely coordinated with other development and humanitarian partners and is expected to have transformative impact in some of the poorest parts of Uganda. Transitional Support 12. Transitional Support assists countries in making a successful and lasting exit from IDA and to maintain development momentum, avoiding a significant drop in available financing, and reducing the risk of reverse graduation. 13. Bolivia, Sri Lanka and Vietnam all graduated from IDA at the end of IDA17, well before the approval of IBRD capital package, which includes a commitment to aim at fully replacing IDA financing to recent IDA graduates. Transitional Support has been critical for ensuring their smooth transition from IDA to IBRD. After approval of the IBRD capital package, a downward adjustment of the total amount of Transitional Support was endorsed by IDA Deputies at the IDA18 MTR. It is expected that Bolivia and Sri Lanka will fully utilize the post-MTR allocations by end of IDA18, whereas Vietnam will utilize US$380 million less than expected earlier. In Sri Lanka, the lending program may be affected by the presidential elections in November, but Transitional Support will be prioritized, and the country is expected to be able to commit the remainder of the allocation. -18- Box A2.6: Climate Smart Irrigated Agriculture Project (CSIAP) Sri Lanka is vulnerable to climate-related natural disasters that have major economic impacts. Long-term, annual losses from natural disasters are estimated at LKR50 billion (US$327 million). The agriculture sector contributes 6.9 percent to GDP and employs approximately 27 percent of the population, while being one of the most affected sectors from low productivity and climate related losses. To address low productivity and diversify the agriculture sector, the US$140 million (US$125 Transitional Support) CSIAP is aimed at improving the productivity and climate resilience of more than 470,000 smallholder farmers. Farmers will gain knowledge on technology transfer and access to infrastructure assets to enhance their climate resilience. This is expected to increase revenue from crop diversification and enhance participation in emerging value chains. The project will also promote the participation of youth and women in all key project interventions to ensure that they would benefit from the project activities. CSIAP uses a multi-sectoral approach with close collaboration across the World Bank’s Global Practices (Agriculture, Water, Climate Change, and Social Urban Rural & Resilience). -19- ANNEX 3: IDA18 POLICY COMMITMENTS (as of June 30, 2019) Objectives Policy Commitment Target Progress Jobs and Economic Transformation (JET) Supporting job 1. WBG will deploy tools and resources from 10 inclusive global Delivered creation IDA and IFC to undertake 10 inclusive value chain (GVC) Global value chain (GVC) analyses have been completed in the through global value chain analyses in IDA countries analyses following 12 IDA countries: Nepal, Mongolia, Ethiopia, Uganda, economic to understand how they can contribute to Bangladesh, Haiti, Mali, Chad, Tajikistan, Pakistan, Benin and transformation economic transformation and job creation, Mongolia including through growth in agri-businesses, manufacturing, and services and will use • As part of the Country Private Sector Diagnostics, additional in- this analysis to inform activities within the depth sectoral and GVC analyses have been completed in Ghana, IDA portfolio. Burkina-Faso, Senegal, Rwanda, Nepal, Uzbekistan, Cote d’Ivoire, and Ethiopia, and are ongoing in Guinea, Mozambique and Nigeria. • Other engagements related to this commitment include a second phase of work on supporting agro-processing regional value chain integration in the Southern African Development Community region (including eight IDA countries), as well as the training of Haiti Ministry of Commerce Officials in key aspects of value chain analysis, which is resulting in the analysis of over 20 value chains. • As an FY19 deliverable, and using funding from the Umbrella Facility for Trade, a report was prepared extracting the key findings from the studies produced under this commitment (“Pulling Up or Binding Down? Upgrading Trajectories in Apparel and Agro-Processing Global Value Chains for IDA countries”). The findings were presented at workshops in Switzerland and the Netherlands in July 2019. 2. WBG will use the Global Infrastructure Progress Report On track Connectivity Alliance to make available to GICA knowledge products available online and disseminated, IDA countries knowledge on lessons and enabling a leveraging of information to inform IDA operations. approaches related to cross-border investments and economic corridor -20- Objectives Policy Commitment Target Progress development and will use this analysis to • The Global Infrastructure Connectivity Alliance (GICA) has inform activities within the IDA portfolio. launched a website containing more than 400 publications from various GICA members on connectivity, along with over 100 maps consolidating and structuring knowledge resources – this information is available to all IDA countries. The first annual meeting of GICA on January 25-26, 2018 and identified key priorities for GICA Members. The first GICA online conversation through its GICA LinkedIn Group was concluded. • The GICA knowledge base can increasingly inform innovative regional infrastructure investments in IDA. During FY18 and FY19, the GICA connectivity framework was shared with Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries, and a prioritization approach was applied to a list of connectivity projects in Cambodia, Laos, and Myanmar. Moving forward the GICA knowledge base will be leveraged for our growing regional trade and transport integration engagement in South Asia (Bhutan, Bangladesh, Nepal and India). A 2030 outlook analyzing megatrends and disruptive technology impacting Global Connectivity was developed in F19 to provide a framework to understand such changes. Raising job 3. WBG will systematically carry out impact Progress Report On track quality and analyses of SME and entrepreneurship WBG has moved to conduct impact analysis as a standard part of ensuring programs across IDA countries to assess undertaking SME and entrepreneurship programs and is preparing inclusion of their overall impacts and differentiated a report bringing together the learnings from these assessments youth and outcomes for women and youth and will across the portfolio. women develop operational guidelines to inform future operations. • The report builds on the collaboration between the Finance, Competitiveness, and Innovation global practice and the IFC on SME programs, including the SME Working Group. The report draws on the results of extensive evaluations of SME programs in recent years, including rigorous impact evaluations (including randomized control trials) through the ComPEL program. It also draws on a review underway to assess the effectiveness of programs seeking to support technology adoption and absorption by SMEs. -21- 4. WBG will prepare operational guidelines for Progress Report Delivered integrated youth employment programs with WBG published detailed guidelines for task teams designing and a focus on connecting to demand-side implementing integrated supply-demand side youth employment interventions and supporting labor market programs. These guidelines have begun to inform a new generation of integration to inform the design of a new integrated youth employment programs such as in Nepal and Ghana. generation of youth employment programs in IDA countries. • The guidelines are complemented by A Stock-take of Evidence on what works in Youth Employment programs. Targeting 5. WBG will enhance existing and introduce Progress Report On track support for new operational instruments to improve risk and Operational PSW is fully operational and supported by financial, administrative, jobs and sharing in projects and crowd-in private Delivery and legal infrastructure; first suite of programs has been delivered private sector capital in high risk investment and there is strong focus on accelerating project origination, development environments, including through the pipeline, and delivery. in high-risk introduction of the IFC-MIGA PSW. contexts, • A stream of Board approved projects under PSW has brought the including total amount of PSW allocations up to US$578 million, fragility and supporting more than US$1.4 billion in IFC investments/MIGA migration gross guarantees, and mobilizing US$1.5 billion of investments from other financing sources, including the private sector. 6. WBG will adopt a ‘migration lens’ in IDA Progress Report On track countries where migration has a significant Knowledge gaps are being addressed and focus remains on economic and social impact (including increasing the number of countries and operations supported home, host, and transit countries): this will through analytical work. include analytics that close critical knowledge gaps and, where there is explicit • WBG has made significant progress in systematically country demand, support for operations that operationalizing a ‘migration lens’. This included, first, adoption focus on job creation, managing legal of a set of criteria to identify of focus countries. Reviews of economic migration, and integrating young ongoing Systematic Country Diagnostics (SCDs) in focus people and economic migrants. countries e.g., Cabo Verde, Comoros, Tajikistan, Ghana, The Gambia, Somalia, and Sudan show that migration issues have been addressed, even in the absence of formal migration diagnostics. In Timor Leste, the Country Partnership Program (CPF) addresses the issue of promoting financial access through a payments system project, which aims to lower cost of remittances. The ongoing eSwatini SCD incorporates analysis on migration and remittances. Improving the 7. WBG will develop and make available for Progress Report Delivered knowledge use in IDA countries a set of ex ante Five macro model pilots led by IFC in coordination with the WB base to inform measurement tools and systems to assess the Jobs Group have been carried out to assess ex ante the direct, -22- operations impacts of large-scale public and PPP indirect and induced jobs impacts of prospective infrastructure supporting investments targeting infrastructure and investments. jobs and economic transformation on jobs, including • The Let’s Work program also implemented value chain analysis economic pilot assessments on gender outcomes. to assess jobs impacts of investments ex ante. Pilots are underway transformation or completed in Bangladesh, Burkina Faso, Mozambique, and Tajikistan. Gender-disaggregated data are collected and specific gender outcomes are reported. 8. WBG will catalogue learnings from the Jobs Paper for IDA18 Delivered Diagnostics, assess how Jobs Diagnostics MTR ‘Pathways to Better Jobs in IDA Countries: Findings from Jobs are informing the design and Diagnostics’ has been finalized and is publicly available. implementation of operations in IDA countries targeting job creation and • Jobs Diagnostics have informed several IDA operations, such as economic transformation, and recommend the Agribusiness and Trade project in Zambia, the Bagre Growth any changes necessary to improve the Pole project Additional Finance in Burkina Faso; the First impact of the tool. Programmatic Jobs Development Policy Credit in Bangladesh (FY18); Social Protection Integration Project in Honduras; Developing Productive Inclusion Approaches for the Poorest Households in Zambia (FY19); as well as the Mozambique Harnessing the Demographic Dividend project in the pipeline. • Data, guidelines, tools and training on jobs diagnostics have also been made publicly available to strengthen update. Additional capacity building on jobs diagnostics and strategies will be launched shortly. This will support links to SCDs, CPFs, and Country Private Sector Diagnostics (CPSDs), and operations. 9. WBG will develop and integrate spatial Progress Report On track perspectives into analysis of migration and with specific WBG is well on its way to meeting an ambitious commitment to pilot urbanization trends, and the impacts of deliverables: new approaches with spatial data to inform the JET agenda. infrastructure on jobs and economic - piloting of: spatial transformation, this will include piloting of: • The WBG piloted rapid machine learning approaches to inventory of extracting the network infrastructure and buildings from satellite spatial inventory of infrastructure in five infrastructure in IDA countries; urban jobs accessibility imagery in Tanzania, Djibouti, Comoros, and South Sudan to five IDA countries; help develop inventories of critical infrastructure mapped against assessments of 10 cities in IDA countries; - urban jobs the communities they serve. A final inventory for Ghana is and spatial assessment of trends in job accessibility expected to be completed in September 2019. creation and destruction in five countries. assessments of 10 • Urban jobs accessibility assessments have been carried out in cities in IDA nine cities. Six were part of a report supported by the United countries; Kingdom Department for International Development and - spatial assessment launched in May 2018 (Nairobi, Conakry, Lusaka, Bamako, of trends in job Kigali and Kampala). The others are Freetown, Karachi and -23- creation and Abidjan and were completed in FY19. The last one (Dhaka) will destruction in five be completed by October 2019. countries. • Spatial tools have also been used to assess firm location and job creation patterns in Bangladesh, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. Gender and Development Sharpen focus Human endowments/ first generation gaps: Progress report On track (100 percent compliance as of June 30, 2019) on closing 10. (a) All applicable IDA18 financing All applicable All 15 applicable operations approved in IDA18 in primary or gaps between operations in primary and secondary IDA18 funded secondary education (totaling US$2.3 billion) address gender-based women, men, education will address gender-based primary and disparities, by incentivizing enrollment, attendance, and retention of girls and boys disparities, for instance, by incentivizing secondary girls in Afghanistan, Bangladesh (three separate operations), in country enrollment, attendance and retention for education Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Ethiopia, the Gambia, strategies and girls. operations Guinea-Bissau, Kenya, Malawi, Moldova, Senegal, and Zambia. operations, and Human endowments/ first generation gaps: All operations with On track (100 percent compliance as of June 30, 2019) strengthen the (b) All IDA18 financing operations for IDA18 funding for All 31 operations approved in IDA18 for maternal and reproductive data and maternal and reproductive health will target maternal and health provide at least one or more of the following: reproductive evidence base the improvement of the availability and reproductive health health consultations through mobile brigades, train mid-wives, to enhance affordability of reproductive health services, develop adolescent-friendly health services support free maternal impact including for survivors of gender-based health services, C-sections, and uptake of long-term contraception towards violence. in Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, gender Cambodia, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Cote d’Ivoire, equality Democratic Republic of Congo, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kyrgyz Republic, Lao PDR, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Pakistan, South Sudan, Western Africa, Republic of Yemen, and Zimbabwe. The 31 operations amount to US$2.5 billion in health spending, of which US$880 million is directly dedicated to reproductive and maternal health. Removing constraints for more and better jobs: At least 75% of On track 11. At least 75 percent of IDA18 financing IDA18 funded 22 of 23 (96 percent) skills development operations approved in operations for skills development will operations for skills IDA18 support women’s participation in and improvement in the consider how to support women’s development productivity of their economic activity, and/or consider how to participation in and improvement in the reduce occupational segregation in Bangladesh, Burkina-Faso, Cabo productivity of their economic activity, Verde (two operations), Chad, Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia (two and/or consider how to reduce occupational operations), Ghana, Guinea-Bissau, Maldives, Nepal, Niger (two segregation. operations), Pakistan (two operations), Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, and two regional operations in Africa. These operations -24- address gaps between men and women in productivity with a focus on improving life skills, providing entrepreneurship training, and supporting formal vocational training. Removing constraints for more and better jobs: At least two-thirds On track (100 percent compliance as of June 30, 2019) 12. At least two-thirds of all IDA18 financing of IDA18 funded All three financing operations in urban transport approved during operations in urban passenger transport will operations in urban IDA18 met the expectation of addressing the different mobility and address the different mobility and personal passenger transport personal security needs of women (two operations in Côte d’Ivoire security needs of women and men. and one in Sierra Leone). Control over assets with a focus on financial At least 10 IDA18 On track inclusion: funded operations Thirteen operations approved under IDA18 address gaps between 13. At least ten IDA18 financing operations and and ASA for women and men in access to and use of financial services ASA for Financial Inclusion will address Financial Inclusion (including digital financial services) through risk-sharing facilities gaps in men’s and women’s access to and and for mortgages to women borrowers, building institutional capacity use of financial services, and at least ten At least 10 to identify and target gaps, and by setting inclusion targets for Financial Inclusion strategies in IDA Financial Inclusion female entrepreneurs accessing credit in Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, countries will provide sex-disaggregate Strategies in IDA Burundi, Cabo Verde, Djibouti, Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar, reporting and put in place actions to target countries Mozambique, Pakistan, Sao Tome and Principe, Sierra Leone, and specifically women's financial inclusion. Somalia. Nine Financial Inclusion Strategies have been formulated under IDA18 identifying actions for women’s financial inclusion, including financial literacy training and other activities to increase women’s access to and use of financial services, and provide sex - disaggregated reporting in Bangladesh, Ethiopia, Gambia, Haiti, Liberia, Madagascar, Mozambique, Pakistan, and Zambia. Another two Financial Inclusion strategies to be launched in FY20 are building in actions for women’s financial inclusion in Uzbekistan and countries in the West Africa Economic Monetary Union. Control over assets with a focus on financial At least half of all On track inclusion: IDA18 funded Six out of eight information and communications technology (ICT) 14. At least half of all IDA18 financing operations in the operations approved under IDA18 support better access to the operations in the ICT portfolio will support ICT portfolio Internet and better access to ICT services for women, by providing better access to the Internet and better access digital skills training that targets women, by providing a better civil to ICT services for women. registration and National ID system, and by stimulating the creation of digital services in Afghanistan, Côte d'Ivoire, Kosovo, Kyrgyz Republic, Tonga, Tuvalu. -25- Enabling country-level action: Pilot data On track 15. Pilot data collections will be launched in at collections Two pilots have been completed (Ethiopia and Malawi), one pilot is least six IDA countries to gather direct launched in at least underway (Tanzania), and three pilots are in design/preparation respondent, intra-household level six IDA countries stages with the national statistics office partners in Cambodia, information on employment and assets. Moldova, and Nepal. Voice and agency: Report – Increased [Cross-reference to FCV commitment #31: 16. Increase the number of operations in fragile number of On track: contexts which prevent or respond to gender- operations which prevent or respond • Nine projects were approved, starting from a baseline of zero at based violence, including through access to the beginning of IDA18.] essential services and livelihood support to GBV activities for women (baseline: IDA16; see FCV). Voice and agency: Progress report On track 17. Implement the recommendations of the Action plan reflecting task force recommendations adopted, WBG Global Task Force on Gender-Based implementation of actions on track, e.g.: Violence, as applicable, within operations in • Risk assessment tool developed to assess country and project- IDA-eligible countries. related-risks. • GBV Good Practice Note developed and launched for major civil works/infrastructure projects; adaptation underway for human development sectors. • GBV guidelines to be applied to all pipeline projects; process in place to apply new guidelines and standards to active projects with major civil works. • Roster of GBV specialists compiled to support teams; GBV specialists hired as Bank staff. • Awareness and deep dive trainings developed and rolled out for Bank staff. • Internal and external learning events and training launched to share new GBV guidelines and tools and to raise awareness of the need to address GBV risks. -26- Climate Change Deepen the 18. All IDA SCDs and CPFs to incorporate All SCDs/CPFs On track (100 percent compliance as of June 30, 2019) mainstreaming climate and disaster risk considerations and • SCDs: All applicable IDA SCDs12 completed between July 1, of climate opportunities and reflect (I)NDCs, based on 2017 and June 30, 2019 have incorporated climate and disaster change and a review of experience before the start of risk considerations and reflected NDCs. disaster risk IDA18, and to be reported at MTR. management • CPFs: All applicable IDA CPFs13 completed between July 1, 2017 into SCDs, and June 30, 2019 have incorporated climate and disaster risk CPFs, and considerations and reflected NDCs. lending, and support development of planning and invest- ment capacity 19. All IDA operations continue to be screened All IDA operations On track (100 percent compliance as of June 30, 2019) for climate change and disaster risks and • All 459 IDA operations approved by the Board between July 1, integrate resilience measures, based on 2017 and June 30, 2019 have been screened for climate and review of experience before the start of disaster risks. IDA18, and to be reported at MTR. 20. Support at least 10 countries (on demand) to Support at least 10 On track translate their (I)NDCs into specific policies countries • Twelve countries have received support through the NDC Support and investment plans and start to integrate Facility, of which support to six countries has been concluded. these into national budget and planning processes. o The 12 countries are: Bangladesh, Honduras, Côte d’Ivoire, Kyrgyzstan, Mali, Mongolia, Mozambique, Pakistan, Sao Tome & Principe, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Rwanda, Uganda. 21. Develop at least 10 climate-smart agriculture At least 10 CSIPs On track investment plans (CSIPs) and 10 and 10 Climate-Smart Agriculture Investment Plans (CSAIPs): programmatic forest policy notes (FPNs). 12 Reflection of NDC considerations is applicable to 17 out of the 24 SCDs in IDA18. PCN review for the other 7 took place before IDA18, therefore, are excluded from the analysis (IDA17 did not require SCDs to reflect NDCs). Three SCDs (Cabo Verde, Ghana, Mongolia) did not directly reference NDCs but they do reflect NDC priorities. 13 Reflection of NDC considerations is applicable to 15 out of 17 CPFs in IDA18. Of the 15 CPFs, one (Somalia) did not directly reference NDCs but it does reflect NDC priorities. Nicaragua has not yet submitted its NDC to the UNFCCC and is therefore not included. The PCN review for the Moldova CPF was conducted in FY17 and thus excluded from the analysis (IDA17 did not require CPFs to reflect NDCs). -27- programmatic • Five delivered: Bangladesh, Cote d’Ivoire, Lesotho, Mali, FPNs Zambia. • One being finalized: Zimbabwe (expected delivery by end- October 2019). • Four to be delivered by end-December 2019: Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Republic of Congo, Ghana. Forest Policy Notes (FPNs)14: • Six programmatic FPNs delivered: Bhutan, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Liberia, Mozambique, Nepal. • Seven are in the pipeline: Benin, Burkina Faso, Cote D’Ivoire, Dominica, Laos, Myanmar, Zambia. 22. Increase the use of DPOs that support % of financing On track climate co-benefits. with climate co- • As of June 30, 2019, the share of climate co-benefits over the total benefits over total commitment for IDA DPOs increased to 22 percent in IDA18 as commitment for compared to seven percent in IDA17. IDA DPOs will increase; and % of IDA DPOs with climate • 75 percent of IDA DPOs had climate co-benefits in IDA18 co-benefits will through June 30, 2019, an increase from 24 percent in IDA17. increase. 23. Apply GHG accounting and shadow carbon GHG accounting On track (100 percent compliance as of June 30, 2019) price for all operations in significant sectors, and shadow carbon • All applicable IDA projects approved between July 1, 2017 and and prepare a revised guidance note on price applied to all June 30, 2019 have applied GHG accounting and Shadow Carbon discount rates. investment lending Price. projects for which WB-approved • The revised guidance note on discount rates has been published. GHG accounting methodologies exist; and Guidance note on discount rates published. 14 Forest Policy Notes (FPNs) are also referred as Country Forest Notes in the WB Forest Action Plan and Climate Change Action Plan. -28- Supporting 24. Support the addition of five GW in Addition of 5 GW Delivered efforts to renewable energy generation. in renewable • Operations approved between July 1, 2017 and March 31, 2019 achieve the energy generation. supported the addition of 6.9 GW of renewable energy generation Sustainable through direct and indirect financing (1.5 GW from direct Energy for All financing15 and 5.4 GW from indirect financing16). objectives 25. Develop Investment Prospectuses in seven Investment On track additional countries with low electricity prospectuses Investment Prospectuses have been completed in six countries: access. developed in 7 Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Kenya, Madagascar (high level analysis) additional countries Malawi, and Mozambique. • Six in progress – Benin, Republic of Congo (high level analysis), Liberia, Niger, Togo, Zambia. • Starting: Central Africa Republic, Chad (selection underway), and Mauritania (selection underway). Monitoring 26. Report annually on private finance mobilized Annual reporting On track and reporting for climate17 and continue to report on • The WBG continues reporting annually on private finance of IDA overall climate finance together with other mobilized for climate and overall climate finance. resources used MDBs. for climate • The 2018 MDB’s Joint Report on Climate Finance was change launched on June 13, 2019. In 2018, MDB’s total climate finance reached US$43.1 billion (up 42 percent from 2017 report). WBG remains the largest financier of climate-related projects with US$20.5 billion in total finance and US$14.5 billion in private mobilization (up from US$8.7 billion in 2017). In FY19, the WBG contributed US$17.8 billion in climate related finance from its own account. FY19 climate co-financing is not yet available. 15 This category includes financing for the construction of new renewable generation facilities, the addition of generation capacity through rehabilitation or expansion of existing facilities, the conversion from non-renewable to renewable sources of generation, and the provision of risk mitigation financing to provide incentives for private sector participation. This includes on-grid, mini-grid, and off-grid solutions. 16 This category can be further disaggregated into three sub-categories, and includes: (i) Renewable Energy Generation Facilities: financing for the construction of enabling facilities for investments in renewable energy generation; (ii) Renewable Energy Integration: financing for the construction of infrastructure to integrate renewable generation facilities into the grid and evacuate power from renewable generation facilities (thus avoiding stranded assets); (iii) Technical Assistance: financing for the preparation of least cost and master plans, the development of laws and regulations, resource mapping and data collection; and the analyses required for construction such as feasibility studies, and environmental and social analyses and plans. 17 Climate finance reporting will continue to follow the methodology and procedures agreed upon with other MDBs and will report on the WBG numbers. -29- Fragility, Conflict and Violence Deepening 27. Adopt a risk-based approach for identifying Target reached at On track IDA’s fragility beyond those countries on the the end of IDA18, • Work is underway to refine the FCS typology and develop a new knowledge on Harmonized List of Fragile Situations. with report at MTR. list of FCS countries to drive WBG engagement. All data will be FCV and based on internationally recognized and publicly available learning from indicators and updated annually. This new list will provide a operational practical framework to drive strategic and operational decision- experience making within the WBG on operational policies, human resource policies, and financing. The WB recognizes that any typology has limitations but expects that the new list will improve on the previous version, as it will help tailor WBG engagement along the FCS continuum. Under the new list, the overall number of IDA FCS is not expected to increase significantly. The finalized list will be the basis of measurement for IDA19. The FCS list is then expected to be updated on an annual basis. 28. Deepen the WBG’s knowledge on the Delivered mitigation and prevention of FCV risks • Flagship report was launched in March 2018. Dissemination through a flagship report drawing on events have been conducted. The WB is prioritizing efforts to lessons from operational experience and apply the report’s findings across sectors and country contexts impact evaluations. (see IDA19 FCV Paper for more details). Designing 29. RRAs inform all CPFs in FCS and Target reached at On track integrated countries with significant risks of FCV. the end of IDA18, • During IDA18, 100 percent of CPF/CENs in IDA FCS and WBG strategies with report at MTR. RMR countries have been accompanied by an RRA or addressing equivalent (South Sudan and Yemen). The South Sudan CEN FCV drivers was informed by a dynamic risk monitoring system to provide and building real-time analysis on humanitarian/security/development institutional dynamics and by a range of conflict studies and analyses. For resilience the Yemen CEN, the June 2016 RRA was complemented by dynamic analyses of fragility and nexus issues undertaken by the World Bank and other development partners, including on evolving conflict dynamics, resilience factors, and lessons learned and relevant responses for the WBG. • FY18 (4 CPFs/CENs delivered; 4 RRAs or equivalents completed): South Sudan (Q3): RRA alternative completed, Niger (Q4): RRA completed, The Gambia (Q4): RRA completed, Guinea (Q4): RRA completed. -30- • FY19 (seven CPFs/CENs delivered; seven RRAs or equivalents completed): Nepal (Q1): RRA completed, Solomon Islands (Q1): RRA completed, Somalia (Q1): RRA completed, Liberia (Q2): RRA completed, Yemen (Q4): RRA alternative completed, Tajikistan (Q4): RRA completed, Papua New Guinea (Q4): RRA completed. • FY20 (10 CPFs/CENs expected, 10 RRAs completed/ongoing): Burundi (Q1): RRA completed, Sierra Leone (Q1): RRA completed, Cote D’Ivoire (Q1): RRA completed, Eritrea (Q1): RRA ongoing, Comoros (Q2): RRA completed, Djibouti (Q2): RRA completed, DRC: (Q2): RRA ongoing, Congo Rep. (Q2): RRA ongoing, Central African Republic (Q2): RRA ongoing, Myanmar (Q2): RRA ongoing, Zimbabwe (TBD – in arrears): RRA completed as part of RPBA. 30. Increase the number of operations targeting On track refugees and their host communities • 19 projects have been approved in 10 countries since the (baseline: IDA17). introduction of the RSW in IDA18. 31. Increase the number of operations in fragile On track contexts which prevent or respond to GBV, • Nine projects were approved, starting from a baseline of zero at including through access to essential the beginning of IDA18.18 services and livelihood supported activities for women (baseline: IDA16). Improving 32. Increase the WB staffing footprint in IDA Target reached at On track staffing, FCS countries by net 150 over the IDA18 the end of IDA18, • In IDA18, the World Bank committed to scale up staffing by net operational period. with report at MTR. 150 staff in IDA FCS and RMR countries from a baseline of effectiveness September 30, 2016. As of June 30, 2019, there were 772 staff and flexibility working in IDA FCS and RMR countries. This is a net increase of 111 staff across all grades, 95 of which were at GE+ staff. The scale-up reflects an appropriate distribution of technical roles, locations, grade levels and genders. The net increase of 111 staff is lower than the net increase of 123 staff (as of April 31, 2019), which was reported ahead of the IDA meeting in Addis Ababa in June 2019. The difference is due to fluctuations 18 Projects were approved in the following countries: Democratic Republic of Congo (one project), Tuvalu (two projects), Solomon Islands (two projects), Central African Republic (two projects), South Sudan (one project), Mali (one project). -31- in the staff inflows (+19) and outflows (-31) to/from IDA FCS. Staff outflows were higher than usual ahead of the formal closure of the Yemen office in July 2019. Work on Yemen will be led from the Bank offices in Amman, Jordan, and Cairo, Egypt which are not IDA FCS locations, so staff working on Yemen in these locations will not count towards the IDA18 staffing target. Nonetheless, with one year remaining in IDA18, Management assesses that the target remains on track to be met. There are currently 58 vacancies across IDA FCS and RMR countries. Filling these will require continued and concerted recruitment efforts, as well as strong leadership support. • The Facetime Index, which measures professional staff presence in IDA FCS and RMR countries through mission travel, has increased by five percent from the FY17 baseline to FY18, and has increased by a further nine percent in FY19 compared to FY18. Promoting 33. Undertake joint RPBAs as openings arise Target reached at On track partnerships for engagement in the aftermath of conflict the end of IDA18, • Joint RPBAs have been completed in Cameroon and Zimbabwe. for a more in IDA countries. with report at MTR. One is ongoing in Burkina Faso. The WB is exploring additional effective opportunities for joint RPBAs. response Enhancing 34. Implement the revised IDA resource Review Delivered financing to allocation framework for FCS/FCV to implementation • RMR Implementation Notes have been approved by the Board support enhance targeting of IDA’s exceptional experience of for the four eligible countries (Nepal, Niger, Guinea, FCS/FCV support and financial engagement in these financing Tajikistan). One RMR financed project is closed, 18 are active. countries. framework for FCV The TAR continues to provide significant financing support to at IDA18 MTR and Central African Republic, Madagascar and The Gambia. propose adjustments if necessary. -32- Governance and Institutions Objectives Policy Commitments Target Progress Strengthen 35. Provide support to at least a third of IDA Support at least a Delivered DRM countries targeted at increasing their third of IDA 100 activities ( 38 DPFs, 16 IPFs, 3 PforR, 30 ASAs, 13 TADAT) Tax/Gross Domestic Product ratio through countries have been delivered in 47 countries: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, lending operations, ASA and technical Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cabo Verde, Cambodia, assistance including tax diagnostic Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic assessments. Republic of Congo, Cote d’Ivoire, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Grenada, Guinea, Haiti, Kenya, Kosovo, Kyrgyz Republic, Lao PDR, Liberia, Madagascar, Mauritania, Federated States of Micronesia, Moldova, Mongolia, Nepal, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Samoa, Sao Tome and Principe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Tajikistan, Tanzania, The Gambia, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tonga, Uganda, Zimbabwe. • Activities are ongoing in Ghana and Uzbekistan and planned in another three countries (Republic of Congo, Mozambique, Solomon Islands). Improve public 36. Support at least 10 IDA countries in Support at least 10 Delivered expenditure, performing second or subsequent PEFA IDA countries 17 countries have been supported, and work is ongoing in financial assessments to inform preparation of their additional six countries management SCDs. Delivered: and procurement • World Bank-led: Afghanistan (published), Tajikistan (published), Zambia (published), Ghana, Zimbabwe (published), Malawi (published), Lao PDR, Uzbekistan, Ethiopia. • World Bank-supported: Chad (published), Guinea (published), Kenya, St. Lucia, Sierra Leone (published), Mali (published), Cote d’Ivoire, Senegal. Ongoing: • WB Leading: Pakistan, Myanmar, Kyrgyz Republic. • WB Supporting: Papua New Guinea, Nigeria, Mauritania. 37. Deliver MAPS2 in five IDA countries to Deliver MAPS2 in On track accelerate the development of modern, five IDA countries -33- efficient, sustainable and more inclusive MAPS2 has been delivered in three countries with work ongoing in public procurement systems that take into seven additional countries account national development objectives. Delivered • Malawi, Zambia, Mozambique. Ongoing (to be delivered in FY20): • Bangladesh, Burkina Faso, Chad, Democratic Republic of Congo, Djibouti, Moldova, Rwanda. Strengthen 38. Support at least 10 IDA countries on Support at least 10 On track active enhancing SOE performance through: (i) IDA countries on Nine countries have been supported and work is ongoing in ownership of Performance Agreements and/or (ii) enhancing SOE another nine countries SOEs increased transparency through published performance Delivered reports on their SOE portfolio. • Afghanistan, Cabo Verde, Cameroon, Madagascar, Moldova, Mozambique, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal. Ongoing • Bangladesh, The Gambia, Kyrgyz Republic, Niger, Sao Tome and Principe, Republic of the Congo, Senegal, Tanzania, Zimbabwe. Support public 39. Perform joint operations, TA, and/or ASA 10 IDA countries to Delivered administration on sector-focused governance in 10 IDA identify and address 15 countries have been supported and work is ongoing in another performance countries to identify and address institutional four for service institutional bottlenecks to service delivery bottlenecks to Delivered delivery with the health, water, and/or education service delivery sectors. • Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Benin, Burundi, Cameroon, Cote d’Ivoire, Democratic Republic of Congo, Lesotho, Madagascar, Mali, Mozambique, Niger, Nigeria, Solomon Islands, Tanzania. Ongoing • Liberia, Pakistan, Sudan, Uganda. Support 40. Support at least 25 IDA countries in At least 25 IDA Delivered institutional developing pandemic preparedness plans. countries develop Pandemic preparedness plans have been developed in 43 countries capacity to pandemic respond to preparedness plans • Afghanistan, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, pandemics Cambodia, Cameroon, Chad, Comoros, Cote d’Ivoire, Democratic Republic of Congo, Djibouti, Dominica, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Ghana, Grenada, Guinea, Guyana, Haiti, Kenya, Lao PDR, Liberia, Maldives, Mauritania, Mongolia, Mozambique, -34- Myanmar, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Sudan, Tanzania, Timor-Leste, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe. 41. Support 25 countries in developing 25 countries develop Delivered frameworks for governance and G&I frameworks for Governance and institutional frameworks have been developed in institutional arrangements for multi-sectoral health emergency 43 countries health emergency preparedness, response preparedness, and recovery. response, and • Afghanistan, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, delivery Cameroon, Chad, Comoros, Cote d’Ivoire, Democratic Republic of Congo, Djibouti, Dominica, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Ghana, Grenada, Guinea, Guyana, Haiti, Kenya, Lao PDR, Liberia, Maldives, Mauritania, Mongolia, Mozambique, Myanmar, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Sudan, Tanzania, Timor-Leste, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe. Integrate 42. Support projects in at least 10 IDA Projects in at least Delivered citizen countries in the development and 10 IDA countries 50 countries have been supported with enhanced GRM and/or engagement implementation of user feedback and/or multiple additional beneficiary feedback interventions and beneficiary enhanced GRMs19 for service delivery that ensure participation by women in these • Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Benin, Burkina Faso, Burundi, feedback into Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Democratic service delivery processes Republic of Congo, Republic of Congo, Cote d’Ivoire, Djibouti, operations Ethiopia, The Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Honduras, Kenya, Kyrgyz Republic, Lao PDR, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Marshall Islands, Moldova, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Rwanda, Sao Tome and Principe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, St. Lucia, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Tonga, Togo, Uganda, Uzbekistan, Republic of Yemen, Zambia. Strengthen 43. Support at least one-third of IDA countries At least one-third of Delivered open, (at least 25 countries) to operationalize IDA countries to 26 countries have been supported transparent and reform commitments towards the OGP operationalize agenda to strengthen transparent, • Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, inclusive reform Cambodia, Central African Republic, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Ghana, governance accountable, participatory, and inclusive commitments governments Guinea, Haiti, Kiribati, Kyrgyz Republic, Liberia, Madagascar, through Open towards OGP Malawi, Moldova, Mozambique, Nepal, Niger, Nigeria, Government agenda Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Togo. commitments 19 Enhanced GRMs include minimum standards on uptake, responsiveness, disclosure, and/or gender inclusion. -35- Mitigate IFFs 44. Perform IFFs assessments in at least 10 Perform IFF Delivered IDA countries to support the identification assessments in at 26 countries have been supported and monitoring of IFFs; least 10 IDA countries • Benin, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Cabo Verde, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, The Gambia, Ghana, Guyana, Kosovo, Kyrgyzstan, Lao PDR, Malawi, Moldova, Nepal, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe. Enhance 45. Strengthen and systematize Governance & G&I analysis in: On track (100 percent compliance as of June 30, 2019) understanding Institutional analysis in half of Risk and Half of RRAs and at • 13 out of 16 RRAs (81 percent) – Burundi, Republic of Congo, of governance Resilience Assessments and at least three- least three-fourths of Comoros, Djibouti, The Gambia, Kosovo, Nepal, Papua New and institutions quarters of Recovery & Peace Building RPBAs in IDA Guinea, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, Tajikistan, in FCV Assessments in IDA countries countries Timor-Leste. • All four RPBAs (100 percent) – Cameroon, Central African Republic, Mali, Nigeria. Operationalize 46. Plan for operationalization of 2017 WDR Report Delivered 2017 WDR focused on reducing implementation gaps • Operationalization plan delivered at IDA18 MTR (November and enabling adaptive approaches. 2018) -36- ANNEX 4: IDA18 RESULTS MEASUREMENT SYSTEM 1. The IDA Results Measurement System (RMS) is a framework designed to show aggregated development results across IDA countries based on global development goals and key drivers of efforts aimed at poverty reduction and shared prosperity. The IDA RMS provides a snapshot of country-level long-term development outcomes from collective efforts by countries and their development partners including IDA; development results in countries supported by IDA operations across different sectors; and IDA’s organizational and operational effectiveness. During the IDA18 Replenishment, the IDA RMS was revised to: (i) align with the Sustainable Development Goals; (ii) reflect the IDA18 Special Themes (Jobs and Economic Transformation; Gender and Development; Climate Change; Fragility, Conflict and Violence; and, Governance and Institutions); and (iii) ensure data quality, efficiency and selectivity and harmonization with the World Bank Group Corporate Scorecard. The IDA18 RMS uses a three- tiered development results framework with 84 indicators to track results of IDA countries at an aggregate level: Tier 1: IDA Countries Progress 2. Tier 1 of the IDA18 RMS reports long-term development outcomes and the broader context of countries in which IDA operates. Progress in Tier I indicators is not directly attributed to IDA’s interventions; it is the outcome of collective efforts by countries and their development partners. There are 33 indicators in Tier I tracking progress that IDA-eligible countries are making on development indicators organized into four categories: (i) WBG Goals of poverty eradication and boosting shared prosperity; (ii) growth; (iii) sustainability and resilience; and (iv) inclusiveness. 3. Data for RMS is updated and reported annually during the IDA cycle at the time of the World Bank Annual Meetings in October. Tier 1 aggregates data from the list of eligible IDA borrowers at the end of previous fiscal year. This second update of Tier 1 indicators reports aggregated results from IDA’s eligible borrowers as of June 30, 2019. Data from previous years, including baselines, may be retroactively adjusted due to improvements in data availability, coverage, and other changes. Tier 2: IDA-Supported Development Results 4. Tier 2 of the IDA18 RMS tracks development results in countries supported by IDA operations. Tier 2 indicators report on outputs supported directly by IDA projects which are collected and aggregated from data extracted directly from project documents the majority of which are Corporate Results Indicators, a set of standard indicators monitored corporately and used to report World Bank, IBRD, and IDA project results to internal and external constituents. Tier 2 includes 21 indicators in the IDA18 RMS, tracking aggregate project output indicators under the three categories: growth, inclusiveness, and sustainability to reflect the linkage to the WBG Strategy. -37- 5. Methodology used for aggregating Tier 2 indicators (IDA-supported results) was adjusted20 by calculating cumulative totals of outputs achieved during a period or adding up the values as we go or report on (i.e., “how much we have achieved so far”). Running totals would be generated and reported during the IDA18 cycle (i.e., FY18 data during the first year, FY18 and FY19 data in the second year, and data from FY18 through FY20 in the third and final year of the IDA18 cycle). Therefore, results currently reported on Tier 2 correspond to cumulative results achieved by IDA-supported projects during FY2018 and FY2019. 6. The FY17 Harmonized List of FCS (released in June 2017) has been used for aggregating and reporting results achieved in these countries. The same list will be used throughout the IDA18 cycle to ensure data comparability and consistency across the years. Tier 3: IDA Organizational and Operational Effectiveness 7. Tier III of the IDA18 RMS includes measures of both the operational and organizational effectiveness of IDA. This includes indicators tracking the performance of IDA’s portfolio, the quality and timeliness of projects delivered to clients, the results orientation of the operations, client and beneficiary feedback, financial sustainability, and the implementation of the five IDA Special Themes. Tier 3 of the IDA18 RMS includes 30 indicators organized under six categories: (i) development outcome ratings: (ii) client feedback; (iii) beneficiary feedback; (iv) portfolio performance; (v) financial sustainability; and (vi) implementation of special themes. Similar to Tier 2, data reported for FCS will be based on the FY17 Harmonized List of FCS and continue to be used throughout the IDA18 cycle. 20 In the IDA17 RMS, reported outputs in Tier II were based on a three-year rolling basis. -38- Table A4.1 Tier 1: IDA Countries Progress Baseline Actual (as of June 30, 2017) (as of June 30, 2019) Unit of No. Indicator Data Data Measure All IDA/FCS coverage All IDA/FCS coverage Year Year WBG goals % of 1 Population living on less than US$1.90 a day 31.9/38.2 2013 30.8/38.3 2015 population 2 Growth rate of real per capita income of the bottom 40 % % 3.1/3.1 2013 1.7/2.4 2015 Growth 3 Annual growth rate of real GDP per capita % 0.8/0.1 2016 2.0/0.6 2018 constant 4 GDP per person employed 8,864/6,811 2016 9,180/6,960 2018 2011 PPP $ 5 Non-agriculture sectors, value added (as % of GDP) % 78.1/77.3 2016 78.8/77.4 2018 scale from 0 6 Level of statistical capacity 62.18/52.69 2016 64.26/54.81 2018 to 100 Average 7 Trade Logistics Performance Index rating 1=low 2.4/2.3 2016 2.4/2.3 2016 to 5=high Number of 8 Number of IDA countries that have raised taxes/GDP above 15% 0/0 2015 3 2 countries 9 No. of IDA countries that have an improved composite PEFA score in dimensions across the pillars of budget reliability, transparency of public finances, and control in budget execution: Number of 10/1 2016 17/5 2019 countries (1.1) Aggregate expenditure outturn (9.1) Public access to fiscal information (24.2) Competitive procurement methods 10 Youth employment to population ratio (age 15-24) % 42.6/40.0 2016 42.6/39.4 2018 -39- Table A4.1 Tier 1: IDA Countries Progress Baseline Actual (as of June 30, 2017) (as of June 30, 2019) Unit of No. Indicator Data Data Measure All IDA/FCS coverage All IDA/FCS coverage Year Year - Youth employment to population ratio (age 15-24), women % 35.4/34.6 2016 35.5/34.1 2018 - Youth employment to population ratio (age 15-24), men % 49.6/45.4 2016 49.4/44.7 2018 Sustainability and Resilience % of 11 Countries without wealth depletion 23.1/7.7 2014 23.1/7.7 2014 countries % of 12 Population exposed to harmful air pollution (PM2.5) 99.96/100 2015 99.95/100 2017 population 13 Average annual deforestation change % 0.49/0.5 2015 0.49/0.5 2015 Metric tons 14 CO2 emissions 0.54/0.39 2013 0.53/0.40 2014 per capita % of 15 Annual freshwater withdrawals, total internal 7.1/3.1 2014 7.1/3.1 2014 resources Inclusiveness % of 16 Countries with growth concentrated in the bottom 40% 58.8/33.3 2013 50.0/66.7 2015 countries % of 17 Proportion of population with access to electricity 49.9/42.0 2014 57.9/49.8 2017 population Proportion of adults (15 years and older) with an account at a bank or 37/24 18 % 29/18 2014 2017 other financial institution or with a mobile money service provided (30 female) 19 Ratio of female to male labor force participation rate % 70.5/72.4 2016 71.1/72.6 2018 Number of April 2013- May 2015- 20 Legal changes that support gender equality over the past two years legal gender 38/10 42/15 April 2015 June 2017 changes -40- Table A4.1 Tier 1: IDA Countries Progress Baseline Actual (as of June 30, 2017) (as of June 30, 2019) Unit of No. Indicator Data Data Measure All IDA/FCS coverage All IDA/FCS coverage Year Year 21 48.5/43.5 50.6/46.5 Lower secondary gross completion rate % 2014 2017 (46.2 female) (48.8 female) - Ratio of girls’ to boys’ completion rate 90.9/77.4 2014 93.2/79.7 2017 22 56.9/53.1 57.6/56.2 Lower secondary enrollment rate % 2014 2017 (54.6 female) (55.8 female) - Ratio of girls’ to boys’ enrollment rate 92.2/79.7 2014 94.3/82.5 2017 Number of under-five 23 Under-5 mortality rate deaths per 74.6/82.5 2015 69.6/77.7 2017 1,000 live births 24 Prevalence of stunting among children under 5 years of age % 34.5/36.8 2015 33.7/36.4 2016 25 Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel % 54.8/62.3 2013 59.2/63.1 2014 Incidence per 1,000 0.97/1.32 0.86/1.16 26 Incidence of HIV uninfected 2015 2018 (1.11 female) (0.98 female) population ages 15-49 Number of maternal 27 Maternal mortality ratio deaths per 452/522 2015 452/522 2015 100,000 live births Number of 28 Adolescent fertility rate births per 87.1/93.5 2015 84.6/90.1 2017 1,000 -41- Table A4.1 Tier 1: IDA Countries Progress Baseline Actual (as of June 30, 2017) (as of June 30, 2019) Unit of No. Indicator Data Data Measure All IDA/FCS coverage All IDA/FCS coverage Year Year women ages 15-19 % of married 29 Contraceptive prevalence by modern methods 32.3/22.6 2012 32.0/24.1 2014 women ages 15-49 % of 30 People using basic sanitation services 39.1/37.2 2015 40.5/38.0 2017 population % of 31 People using basic drinking water services 69.3/60.5 2015 70.7/62.1 2017 population Number 32 Number of refugees by country or territory of asylum 7.3/2.7 2015 9.5/3.5 2018 (millions) Number (millions - 33 Internally displaced persons, total displaced by conflict and violence 23.9/20.0 2016 28.6/22.5 2018 high estimate) -42- Table A4.2 Tier 2: IDA-Supported Development Results All IDA FCS Actual IDA18 Actual Actual Female IDA17 Results Performance Unit of Beneficiaries No. Indicator (FY15 to FY17)21 Standard22 Measure (Cumulative (Cumulative (Cumulative (All IDA/FCS) (by end of FY18 and FY18 and FY18 and FY20) FY19) FY19) FY19) Growth Farmers adopting improved agricultural No. of farmers 1 4.44/0.05 4.41 0.054 0.97 4-5 m technology (millions) Beneficiaries reached with financial No. of people 2 0.04/0.01 0.66 0.08 0.32 4-6 m services (millions) 80,000 – 3 Roads constructed or rehabilitated Km 61,054/ 17,503 12,356 3,301 - 100,000 Area provided with new/improved 4 Ha 2,079,352/148,405 753,383 124,008 - 1.3-2.3 m irrigation or drainage services Generation capacity of renewable energy 5 GW n.a. 6.923 - - 5 GW Private investments catalyzed by WB in 4.7/1.0 6 US$ billions 13.34 1.45 - Monitored IDA countries (FY2017 only) Inclusiveness No. of teachers 7 Teachers recruited or trained 6.8/n.a. 5.84 0.86 3.05 9-10 m (millions) 21 Reflects the cumulative IDA-supported results achieved during IDA17 cycle (FY2015 through FY2017), unless noted otherwise. Most (new) indicators developed for IDA18 RMS have data available only for FY2017. 22 The performance standard corresponds to the net cumulative value (or range) expected to be achieved by end of the IDA18 period (i.e. June 30, 2020). Values shown are for all IDA countries; no standards have been established for FCS. 23 Reflecting the alignment of this indicator—in terms of definition and target—with the IDA18 policy commitment to “support the addition of five GW in renewable energy generation”, value reported corresponds to operations supporting the addition of 6.9 GW of renewable energy generation in IDA countries that were approved by the Board of Executive Directors during FY2018 AND FY2019. Of this, about 1.5 GW were provided through direct financing; the additional 5.4 GW were supported through indirect financing. -43- Table A4.2 Tier 2: IDA-Supported Development Results All IDA FCS Actual IDA18 Actual Actual Female IDA17 Results Performance Unit of Beneficiaries No. Indicator (FY15 to FY17)21 Standard22 Measure (Cumulative (Cumulative (Cumulative (All IDA/FCS) (by end of FY18 and FY18 and FY18 and FY20) FY19) FY19) FY19) 8 People who have received essential health, No. of people 240.2/n.a. 172.32 38.49 88.90 316-400 m nutrition and population services: (millions) No. of people (i) Children immunized 69.2/n.a. 73.64 13.10 36.82 120-180 m (millions) (ii) Women and children who have received No. of people 146.3/n.a. 61.80 19.88 35.48 180-200 m basic nutrition services (millions) (iii) Number of deliveries attended by No. of skilled health personnel deliveries 24.6/n.a. 27.51 5.15 27.51 16-20 m (millions) No. of people 9 Beneficiaries of social safety net programs 23.7/4.1 35.03 17.50 15.45 25-30 m (millions) People provided with access to improved No. of people 10 34.16/9.23 24.13 1.85 n.a.24 35-45 m water sources (millions) People provided with access to improved No. of people 11 14.49/0.50 19.23 1.87 n.a.24 12-18 m sanitation services (millions) People provided with improved urban No. of people 12 12.6/3.9 8.51 1.13 n.a.24 13-18 m living conditions (millions) People provided with new or improved No. of people 13.94/0.42 13 22.75 2.85 n.a.24 25-35 m electricity service (millions) (FY2017 only) Beneficiaries in IDA countries of job- No. of people 0.972/0.129 14 15.53 2.18 4.46 Monitored focused interventions (millions) (FY2017 only) Sustainability 15 Projected energy or fuel savings Megajoules 1.525x109 / 0 3.05X109 9.53X108 - 5.43x109 Mj 24 Number of female beneficiaries are not included since these infrastructure services are normally provided to groups (e.g., at the community, household, or general population level) and data collected and reported are not disaggregated by sex at the client/beneficiary level. -44- Table A4.2 Tier 2: IDA-Supported Development Results All IDA FCS Actual IDA18 Actual Actual Female IDA17 Results Performance Unit of Beneficiaries No. Indicator (FY15 to FY17)21 Standard22 Measure (Cumulative (Cumulative (Cumulative (All IDA/FCS) (by end of FY18 and FY18 and FY18 and FY20) FY19) FY19) FY19) Countries supported towards Number of 16 institutionalizing disaster risk reduction as a n.a. 41 9 - 25-30 countries national priority with IDA support -7,421,032/ 17 Net GHG emissions tCO2eq / year -1,372,757 -14,146,428 -1,346,483 - Monitored (FY2017 only) Number of IDA countries that were provided statistical capacity building Number of 66/27 >60 / > 25 18 65 23 - support by the WBG for the countries (FY2017 only) countries implementation of household surveys Number of lending operations with civil Number of 3/0 19 4 0 - 20 registration and vital statistics operations (FY2017 only) Number of countries with an increase in the number of registered taxpayers among IDA Number of 0/0 20 TBC TBC - 8-12 countries with substantial WB tax countries (FY2017 only) engagement Number of IDA countries that Number of 7/3 21 operationalize the Open Government 27 8 - 20-30 countries (FY2017 only) Partnership (OGP) agenda commitments -45- Table A4.3 Tier 3: IDA Organizational and Operational Effectiveness Benchmark value25 All IDA FCS Unit of (Reported value as Actual Actual IDA18 Performance No. Indicator Measure of end FY2017) (at end of FY19) (at end of FY19) Standard All IDA/FCS Development Outcome Ratings %, IEG Rating 57 48 38 70 1 Satisfactory outcomes of IDA country strategies (4-year (FY14-17 exits) (FY16-19 exits) (FY16-19 exits) (4-year rolling) rolling) 2 Satisfactory outcomes of IDA operations: %, IEG 83.2/77.7 81.1 68.5 80 i) as a share of commitments ratings (FY14-16 exits) (FY16-18 exits) (FY16-18 exits) (3-year rolling) (3-year 74.2/67.5 76.3 71.9 75 ii) as share of operations rolling) (FY14-16 exits) (FY16-18 exits) (FY16-18 exits) (3-year rolling) Client Feedback Client feedback in IDA countries on WBG 3 7.3/7.1 7.09 6.29 7 (Annual) effectiveness and impact on results Client feedback in IDA countries on WBG 4 Average 7.6/7.4 7.29 6.40 7 (Annual) knowledge rating scale: Client feedback on WBG on responsiveness and 5 1-10 6.8/6.3 6.48 5.51 7 (Annual) staff accessibility Client feedback on WBG on collaboration with 6 7.4/7.4 6.96 6.27 8 (Annual) other donors Beneficiary Feedback Projects with beneficiary feedback indicator at 7 % 92/92 95 93 100 (Annual) design Portfolio Performance 8 Satisfactory Bank performance in IDA-financed operations %, IEG 80.8 / 80.1 80.8 68.8 i) overall 80 (3-year rolling) Rating (FY14-16 exits) (FY16-18 exits) (FY16-18 exits) 25 The baseline value reflects annual performance standards as of end of FY2017, unless noted otherwise. Data was not available for some new indicators developed for IDA18 RMS. -46- Table A4.3 Tier 3: IDA Organizational and Operational Effectiveness Benchmark value25 All IDA FCS Unit of (Reported value as Actual Actual IDA18 Performance No. Indicator Measure of end FY2017) (at end of FY19) (at end of FY19) Standard All IDA/FCS (3-year 68.3 / 50.8 64.6 60.2 Monitored ii) at entry rolling) (FY14-16 exits) (FY16-18 exits) (FY16-18 exits) 80.9 / 79.3 81.0 76.2 Monitored iii) during supervision (FY14-16 exits) (FY16-18 exits) (FY16-18 exits) Share of CPFs in IDA countries that have at least 9 % 100 / 100 100 100 100 (Annual) one joint objectives in the results matrix 10 Alignment with the strategy i) Stock of country strategies underpinned by % 91 / 100 100 100 100 (Annual) SCD (%) ii) Qualitative assessment of alignment of the n.a. n.a. n.a.26 Monitored country engagement with the corporate goals 11 Disbursement ratio % 20.6 / 23.9 19.3 28.6 20 (Annual) Operations design drawing lessons from 12 % 75/73 74 79 100 (Annual) evaluative approaches % IDA commitment, 39.3 / 22.7 45.8 32.0 13 Quality of M&E in IDA-financed operations IEG ratings 80 (3-year rolling) (FY14-16 exits) (FY16-18 exits) (FY16-18 exits) (3-year rolling) 14 Time from Project Concept Note to the first 23.4/ 22.4 21.8 20.3 Monitored27 disbursement project financing i) Time from Concept Note approval to Board Number of 13.7/13.7 12.8 13.2 Monitored Approval months ii) Time from Board Approval to Project 6.4/6.7 5.9 4.4 Monitored Effectiveness 26 No data is available for part (ii) of this composite indicator since IEG does not provide ratings in the CLR, measuring “how well the program was aligned with the corporate strategy”. 27 To avoid skewed incentives for speed at the expense of project quality and necessary due diligence, performance of this indicator will be tracked and monitored on a regular basis without establishing specific target or performance standard. -47- Table A4.3 Tier 3: IDA Organizational and Operational Effectiveness Benchmark value25 All IDA FCS Unit of (Reported value as Actual Actual IDA18 Performance No. Indicator Measure of end FY2017) (at end of FY19) (at end of FY19) Standard All IDA/FCS iii) Time from Project Effectiveness to First 3.3/2.0 3.0 2.6 Monitored Disbursement Average cost of IDA supervision projects 15 US$ ’000 176 / 164 190 169 Monitored (implementation support) Number of impact evaluations supported by the 41 10 16 Number n.a. Monitored World Bank in IDA countries (FY18 + FY19) (FY18 + FY19) Proactivity Index 17 % 73.9 82.3 87.9 75 (Annual) Financial Sustainability 18 IDA Budget Anchor % 97 98 - <=100 (Annual) Bank Budget to Portfolio Volume Ratio (per US$ 12.0 19 US$ Millions 12 - Monitored billion portfolio under supervision) (FY19) Implementation of Special Themes Percentage of IDA-supported projects that demonstrate a results chain by linking gender 67 69 20 % 55/53 55 (Annual) gaps identified in analysis to specific actions that (FY19) are tracked in the results framework Percentage of IDA-supported operations 21 % n.a. n.a. n.a.28 Monitored reporting gender results at completion Number of IDA-supported operations that 32 19 22 address and respond to Gender-based Violence Number n.a. Monitored (FY19) (FY19) (GBV) Number of 109 days per FY 100 23 Facetime Index in FCS - (eq. 209,274 Monitored (converted to (eq. 184,407 days) days) an index 28 This indicator is a vestige of the previous system which was based on the number of completed operations, focusing only on a tally of numbers and not on results. The new Gender Tag methodology was introduced in FY17, and there is therefore a lag for gender tagged operations closing and ICR completion (of the eight projects that closed in FY19 only one ICR was completed), creating challenges as this would only allow for a very small sample size. -48- Table A4.3 Tier 3: IDA Organizational and Operational Effectiveness Benchmark value25 All IDA FCS Unit of (Reported value as Actual Actual IDA18 Performance No. Indicator Measure of end FY2017) (at end of FY19) (at end of FY19) Standard All IDA/FCS where FY17 baseline figure is 100) 24 IDA-supported operations with climate change co-benefits - number of projects Number 134/24 254 90 Monitored - in US$ billions US$ billions 3.4/0.31 6.9 1.2 3-4 (Annual) Number of Completed ASA products that address climate 167 54 25 ASA 101/n.a. 100-200 change issues (FY18 + FY19) (FY18 + FY19) products 2.5 0.6 IDA $ commitments with disaster risk 2.9 (FY15-FY17 3-5 (3-year rolling 26 US$ billions (FY17-19 (FY17-19 management co-benefits average) average) average) average) Private direct mobilization by WBG 5.76 1.66 27 US$ billions 2.8/1.6 Monitored operations/transactions in IDA countries (FY18 +FY19) (FY18 +FY19) Total private mobilization of WBG-supported 13.53 3.98 28 US$ billions n.a. Monitored operations/transactions in IDA countries (FY18+FY19) (FY18 +FY19) Number of Number of Illicit Financial Flows (IFFs) 15 3 29 IFFs 9/2 10-15 Assessments performed in IDA countries (FY18+FY19) (FY18+FY19) Assessments Share of IDA18 Country Partnership Frameworks (CPFs) which at reflect at least one of the following four key principles underpinning Economic Transformation: • Sectoral productivity 92 30 • Value chain expansion % n.a. - Monitored (FY19) • Increased productive capital stock or investment in energy, transport, manufacturing or services. • Export sector output/value added; Trade Facilitation