FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: RES38030 INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION RESTRUCTURING PAPER ON A PROPOSED PROGRAM RESTRUCTURING OF TANZANIA EDUCATION PROGRAM FOR RESULTS (EPFORR) APPROVED ON JULY 10, 2014 TO THE UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA September 12, 2019 Education Global Practice Africa Region Regional Vice President: Hafez M. H. Ghanem Country Director: Bella Bird The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) Regional Director: Amit Dar Practice Manager: Safaa El Tayeb El-Kogali Task Team Leader: Samer Al-Samarrai The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AF Additional Financing CSEE Certificate of Secondary Education Examination DFID British Department for International Development, United Kingdom DLI Disbursement Linked Indicator DLR Disbursement Linked Result EMIS Education Management Information System EPforR Education Program for Results ESDP Education Sector Development Plan FBEP Fee-Free Basic Education Policy LGA Local Government Authority MoEST Ministry of Education, Science and Technology ORF Oral Reading Fluency PDO Program Development Objective PO-RALG President’s Office, Regional Administration and Local Government PforR Program for Results RVP Regional Vice President RP Restructuring Paper SDR Special Drawing Rights Sida Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency SIG School Incentive Grants SQA School Quality Assurance The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DATA SHEET (TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) - P147486) BASIC DATA Project ID Financing Instrument IPF Component P147486 Program-for-Results Financing No Approval Date Current Closing Date 10-Jul-2014 31-Jan-2020 Organizations Borrower Responsible Agency Ministry of Education Science and Technology, Basic Ministry of Education Science and Technology Education Program Development Objective(s) A. Program Development Objective(s) Improve education quality in Tanzanian primary and secondary schools. OPS_TABLE_PDO_CURRENTPDO Summary Status of Financing Net Approval Effectiveness Closing Ln/Cr/TF Signing Date Commitment Disbursed Undisbursed Date Date Date 23-May- IDA-60610 30-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2017 31-Jan-2020 80.00 28.33 53.10 2017 IDA-55270 10-Jul-2014 19-Aug-2014 05-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2018 122.00 95.39 15.22 Policy Waiver(s) Does the Program require any waivers of Bank policies applicable to Program-for-Results operations? No Page 1 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) I. PROGRAM STATUS AND RATIONALE FOR RESTRUCTURING 1. The Education Program for Results (EPforR) is a well performing project which has been successful in strengthening the basic education system, increasing enrollment and improving quality of education in Tanzania. Achieving the program development objective (PDO) is however likely to take longer due to more than expected increase in enrollment following the introduction of the Fee-Free Basic Education Policy (FBEP). In response to this, the Restructuring Paper (RP) seeks approval of project restructuring focusing on four main elements:  Extending the closing date by one year from January 31, 2020 to January 31, 2021.  Reallocating undisbursed funds to support selected Disbursement Linked Indicators (DLIs) for an additional year to FY2019/20.  Revising Disbursement Linked Results (DLRs)/DLIs to reflect changes in their implementation schedule or process.  Revising program targets in the results framework. 2. The EPforR parent project (IDA Cr. 55270) was approved on July 10, 2014 in the amount of US$416 million equivalent, of which IDA credit resources US$122 million, Government contribution US$164 million, and the remaining US$130 million co-financed by Department for International Development, United Kingdom (DFID) and Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (Sida) (DFID funding of US$100 million and Sida funding of US$30 million). An additional financing (AF) (IDA Cr. 60610) in the amount of US$80 million equivalent was approved on May 23, 2017 and was declared effective on June 30, 2017. The EPforR is currently scheduled to close on January 31, 2020. To date, over four years into project implementation, the project disbursement rate under IDA financing is at SDR 120.4 million or around 60 percent. Key Program ratings (PDO and Implementation Progress1) have always remained satisfactory or moderately satisfactory throughout Program implementation. There are no known significant fiduciary or safeguards issues associated with the Program. The Program has supported significant progress towards the PDO of improving the quality of basic education in Tanzania including: (a) Initial improvements in early grade learning outcomes with average reading speeds for Grade 2 primary school students increased from 18 to 24 words per minute between 2014 and 2016. (b) Improved National examination scores for lower secondary between 2014 and 2018, particularly in English and mathematics (English examination pass rates have risen from 56 to 68 percent, and in Mathematics from 17 to 19 percent). (c) Primary school teacher classroom presence increased from 53 to 57 percent between 2014 and 2016 and is already above the program end target. (d) Average primary school teacher knowledge scores in mathematics increased from 63 to 65 percent between 2014 and 2016 and have already met program end targets. However, teacher knowledge scores decreased over the same period, from 42 to 32 percent and are below program end targets. 3. Achievement of DLRs has been strong with 69 percent and 84 percent of the intended credit allocation disbursed in Year 1 and Year 2, respectively. The project has also ensured: a) establishment of predictable and reliable flows of public funding for primary and secondary education; b) a well-functioning system that provides capitation grants to all schools; c) enhanced system efficiency by development of a new teacher deployment strategy and 1Implementation on the Program Action Plan (PAP) is ongoing and remains satisfactory as shown in Annex 2. The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) distribution of teachers; and d) introduction of stronger incentives for local governments to improve student completion rates and for schools to recognize and reward student examination scores. 4. In December 2015, one year after the Program began, the Government introduced the Fee-Free Basic Education Policy (FBEP). The aspiring policy change has meant that many more children are enrolled and on-track to successfully complete their basic education, it has put a strain on the system and set back progress on key quality indicators. For example, primary school student classroom ratios have risen from 77 in 2016 to 82 in 2018 and teacher student ratios from 1:42 to 1:51 over the same period. Overcrowding and lack of teachers have resulted in reversing improvements in early grade learning outcomes observed in first two years of the program with average reading speeds for Grade 2 students (PDO Indicator 1a) declining from 24 words per minute in 2016 to 17 words per minute in 2018. 5. The significant enrollment increases by almost one million children in primary and secondary education has meant that many aspects of the PDO especially improving learning outcomes will take longer to achieve. While the PDO remains relevant some PDO targets will need to be revised to account for the changes that have occurred due to increased enrollment. The task team confirms that: (a) the PforR PDO remain achievable; (b) the performance of the Borrower remains satisfactory; and (c) the World Bank and the Borrower have agreed on actions that will be undertaken by the Borrower to complete the PforR Program. II. DESCRIPTION OF PROPOSED CHANGES 6. The key elements of the proposed restructuring include:  Extension of the Closing Date: It is proposed to extend the closing date from January 31, 2020 to January 31, 2021 to allow more time to achieve the goals of the Program given the FBEP policy changes and to use unutilized funds to incentivize the achievement of key DLRs for a further year.  Reallocate Undisbursed Funds: Reallocate the undisbursed funds from the AF credit (SDR 6,399,812) in Year 4 (FY2017/18) to incentivize achievement of selected DLRs (Table 1.2) for an additional year (Year 6, FY2019/20). All undisbursed funds will be allocated in approximately the same proportion as the existing Year 5 allocation. These DLRs have been chosen to focus on areas where the challenges from the increased enrollment are greatest and strengthen the incentives for the Government to increase focus on the PDO and quality of learning environments: a) increased allocation to DLRs 2.1 and 2.2 are designed to increase the incentives to make the necessary budgetary allocations and improvements to the capitation grant formula; b) increased allocation to DLR 3.2 aims to provide an incentive to strengthen the Education Management Information System (EMIS) system’s ability to accurately record textbook availability; c) support to the school incentive grants (DLR 5.2) to incentivize and reward good school performance; and d) increased allocation for DLRs 7.1 and 7.2 will ensure that children not only start but complete a full cycle of basic education. 2 See Table 3 for full details on the reallocations. The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) Table 1: Proposed Reallocation Disbursements (SDR) for FY2019/20. DLR Description Existing Year 6 (2019/20) Proposed disbursement disbursement (SDR) in Year 6 (2019/20) (1) (2) DLR 2.1 Released bi-annually total level of funds - per agreed EPforR budget framework 2,137,273 DLR 2.2 Released monthly, full amounts of - Capitation Grants agreed for each year to all schools within each local government authority (LGA) 1,068,637 DLR 3.2 Made available online annual school- - level EMIS data with unique school identifiers 348,207 DLR 5.2 Number of schools that have received - monetary school incentive grants (SIG) based on performance 708,422 DLR 7.1 Percentage of LGAs/regions achieving - year-on-year increase in aggregate primary and lower secondary survival rates 1,068,637 DLR 7.2 Percentage of regions achieving year-to- - year increase in girls’ transition rate from primary standard 7 to secondary form I 1,068,637 TOTAL - 6,399,812  Revising DLRs/DLIs: Revise and change DLRs/DLIs in the EPforR AF as summarized in Table 2.. Table 2: Changes to DLRs in the EPforR AF (amounts reported as SDR). DLR Original Description Original Proposed Change to DLR Proposed Amount Amount DLR 1.4 The Recipient has approved School 2,221,500 Approved School Construction 2,221,500 Construction Strategy Strategy FY2017/18 FY2019/20 DLR 6.2 The Recipient has met the national 1,450,000 Dropped 0 average target for reading correct words per minute (wpm) in oral reading fluency sub-module of 3R assessment among Grade 2 students: FY2017/18 DLR 6.3 The Recipient has met the Agreed 4,450,000 Dropped 0 Target of national average on level 2 addition and subtraction sub module of 3R assessment among Grade 2 students: FY2017/18 DLR 8.1 The Recipient has met the Agreed 7,400,000 The Recipient has met the Agreed 7,400,000 Target of percentage of Schools (of which Target of percentage of Schools displaying school report cards based 3,700,000 displaying school report cards based on whole school inspection: per year) on whole school inspection: The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLR Original Description Original Proposed Change to DLR Proposed Amount Amount FY2017/18 FY2018/19 FY2018/19 DLR 9.1 The Recipient has met the Agreed 1,450,000 The Recipient has demonstrated 1,450,000 Target of number of new commissions (of which that four new commissions to (of which granted to support policy, planning 725,000 support policy, planning and 362,500 for and innovation: per year) innovation have been completed each FY2017/18 FY2018/19 completed FY2018/19 commission) Disbursement Calculation Formula: Disbursement Calculation Formula: The amount allocated will be pro- Maximum of SDR 362,500 per rated proportional to total value of commission. commissions granted. Maximum of SDR 362,500 per year if one activity commissioned: maximum of SDR 725,000 per year if two or more activities commissioned. Two of the proposed changes are the result of delays in the implementation of associated activities: (a) The school construction strategy (DLR 1.4) has been delayed in part because of the need to accommodate policy changes related to other strategies recently approved (e.g. teacher deployment and inclusive education strategies). Moreover, the focus of the school construction strategy has become much broader since it was originally conceived in 2017. The original strategy focused primarily on plans for school design and local procurement arrangements. The new strategy has a much broader focus that encapsulates norms of school provision (e.g. maximum distances to school), service provision standards (e.g. student classroom ratios) and maintenance. This wider focus has meant that a wider range of policy issues and departments have been included in developing the strategy. While this will make for a much more comprehensive and effective strategy it has taken longer than originally expected. Following the Annual Review, a revised timeline was proposed to complete (and approve) the strategy by October 31, 2019. (b) Roll-out of new School Quality Assurance (SQA) system (DLR 8.1). The system itself was developed and approved at the end of 2017. However, delays in printing and distributing the new SQA materials and conducting relevant training have meant that the intended whole school inspection visits (and related school report cards) have also been delayed. The initial timeline for the roll-out of a new system for quality assurance was too ambitious but the Government is on track to carry-out inspections in 11,139 government primary and secondary schools by the end of Year 5. The restructuring proposes to shift all achievement of DLR 8.1 to the Year 5 (2018/19). (c) Two DLRs - DLR 6.2 (achieving the oral reading fluency target of Grade 2 students) and DLR 6.3 (achieving the level 2 addition and subtraction target of Grade 2 students) - have been dropped. Both were not achieved in FY2017/18 as a result of the context described above with rapidly increasing enrollment (see Program Status). The final round of the Early Grade Reading Assessment (EGRA) and Early Grade Mathematics Assessment (EGMA) in FY2019/20 will report on both DLRs and the achievements will be recorded in the Results Framework (PDO 1, Intermediate Results 1.1 and 1.2). The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) (d) Changes to the development of new commissions to support policy and planning (DLR 9.1) are proposed to address implementation changes and perverse incentives associated with the original framing. In some commissions the Government has decided to undertake the activities to support policy and planning internally rather than by commissioning the work externally in the way the original DLR was formulated. This has allowed for capacity to be built directly within Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (MoEST) and President’s Office, Regional Administration and Local Government (PO-RALG) in areas such as teacher deployment and school construction. The proposed changes also disburse against the final deliverable (commission) rather than reimbursing against the value of contracts issued. This provides a stronger focus on commission completion and reduces incentives to set up high value contracts. The difficulties experienced with undertaking these activities in the way originally envisaged has also resulted in a delay to achievement and the restructuring proposes that the achievement date for all commissions is postponed to Year 5 (FY2018/19). (e) Changes are proposed to the verification of DLR 9.1 to accommodate the changes described in point (d), above. Final reports from the activities undertaken by the commissions will be the basis of verification and the Independent Verification Agent and/or the World Bank will be responsible for verification.  Revising the results framework. Revisions have been made to Program targets in the results framework to account for the current context. Revised Program targets are only made for select indicators that will be measured over FY2019/20. Rationale for revisions is provided in Table 6. 7. Table 3, below, provides a summary of proposed adjustments to EPforR AF credit (IDA-60610) including the reallocation of funds and indicative timeline for future achievement. All amounts are in SDR. Table 4, below, provides a summary of proposed adjustment to EPforR AF credit (IDA-60610) including changes to the financing allocated and changes to the Financing Agreement. All amounts in SDR. Table 5, below, provides a summary of proposed adjustment to EPforR AF credit (IDA-60610) including changes to the verification protocol. All amounts in SDR. Table 6, below, provides a summary of proposed adjustments to the Results Framework and Monitoring Indicators. The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) Table 3: Proposed Adjustments to EPforR AF Credit (IDA-60610): DLIs, Disbursement Arrangements As % of Achievements to date under Indicative timeline for future achievements Total Financing Total the DLI under the DLI Allocated to Status DLIs Financing Results Financing Change in total DLI Amount achieved amount 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 financing (SDR) disbursed* DLI 1 - - - Maintained DLR 1.1 2,212,500 4% 100% 2,212,500 - - - 0 Maintained DLR 1.2 2,212,500 4% 100% 2,212,500 - - - 0 Maintained DLR 1.3 2,212,500 4% 100% 2,212,500 - - - 0 Revised DLR 1.4 - - - 0 Current allocated 2,212,500 4% 0% 0 2,212,500 - - 0 amount: Modified allocated 2,212,500 4% - - - - 2,212,500 0 amount: DLI 2 Revised DLR 2.1 Current allocated 4,450,000 8% 0% 0 - 4,450,000 - - amount: Modified allocated 6,587,273 11% - - - 4,450,000 2,137,273 2,137,273 amount: Revised DLR 2.2 Current allocated 4,450,000 8% 50% 2,225,000 2,225,000 2,225,000 - - amount: Modified allocated 5,518,637 9% - 2,225,000 2,225,000 2,225,000 1,068,637 1,068,637 amount: Revised DLR 2.3 Current allocated 4,450,000 8% 42% 1,869,000 1,869,000 2,225,000 - - amount: Modified allocated 4,094,000 7% 1,869,000 2,225,000 - (356,000) amount: DLI 3 Maintained DLR 3.1 1,450,000 2% 50% 725,000 725,000 725,000 - - Revised DLR 3.2 Current allocated 1,450,000 2% 50% 725,000 725,000 725,000 - - amount: The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) As % of Achievements to date under Indicative timeline for future achievements Total Financing Total the DLI under the DLI Allocated to Status DLIs Financing Results Financing Change in total DLI Amount achieved amount 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 financing (SDR) disbursed* Modified allocated 1,798,207 3% 725,000 725,000 348,207 348,207 amount: DLI 4 Maintained DLR 4.1 1,450,000 2% 0% 0 - 1,450,000 - 0 Maintained DLR 4.2 2,200,000 4% 0% 0 - 2,200,000 - 0 DLI 5 Revised DLR5.2 Current allocated 2,950,000 5% 45% 1,331,188 1,475,000 1,475,000 amount: Modified allocated 3,514,610 6% 1,331,188 1,475,000 708,422 564,610 amount: DLI 6 Revised DLR 6.2 (1,450,000) Current allocated 1,450,000 2% 0% 0 - - amount: Modified allocated 0 0% amount: Revised DLR 6.3 (4,450,000) Current allocated 4,450,000 8% 0% 0 - - amount: Modified allocated 0 0% - - - - - amount: DLI 7 Revised DLR 7.1 Current allocated 4,450,000 8% 50% 2,225,000 2,225,000 2,225,000 amount: Modified allocated 5,518,637 9% 31% 2,225,000 2,225,000 2,225,000 1,068,637 1,068,637 amount: DLR 7.2 Current allocated 4,450,000 8% 50% 2,225,000 2,225,000 2,225,000 amount: The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) As % of Achievements to date under Indicative timeline for future achievements Total Financing Total the DLI under the DLI Allocated to Status DLIs Financing Results Financing Change in total DLI Amount achieved amount 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 financing (SDR) disbursed* Modified allocated 5,518,637 9% 31% 2,225,000 2,225,000 2,225,000 1,068,637 1,068,637 amount: DLI 8 Revised DLR 8.1 Current allocated 7,400,000 13% 0% 0 3,700,000 3,700,000 - amount: Modified allocated 7,400,000 13% 0% 0 0 7,400,000 - 0 amount: Maintained DLR 8.2 Current allocated 3,650,000 6% 0% 0 0 3,650,000 amount: DLI 9 - Revised Current allocated 1,450,000 2% 0% 0 725,000 725,000 - - amount: Modified allocated 1,450,000 2% 0% 0 - 1,450,000 - 0 amount: TOTAL 59,000,000 100% - The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) Table 4: Proposed Adjustments to EPforR AF Credit (IDA-60610): DLIs and Disbursement Arrangements Category (including DLI as DLR (as applicable) Amount of the Financing Allocated Disbursement Calculation Formula applicable) (1) DLI#1: Recipient has completed Delete existing text Delete existing text No change to existing text all the Foundational Activities To add FY after each DLR: To add: DLR#1.1: The Recipient has approved a SDR 8,850,000(of which SDR school quality assurance manual. 2,212,500 is for each DLR) FY2017/18 DLR#1.2: The Recipient has approved an updated national teacher deployment strategy that includes agreed formula for deployment of new teachers across LGAs. FY2017/18 DLR#1.3: The Recipient has approved a strategy for primary and secondary students with special needs. FY2017/18 DLR#1.4: The Recipient has approved a school construction strategy FY2019/20 (2) DLI#2: The Recipient has DLR#2.1: The Recipient has released bi- Delete existing text No change to existing text achieved timely and adequate annually total level of funds per agreed resource flows for the EPforR EPforR budget Framework: To add: Program FY2018/19 SDR 6,587,273 of which SDR 4,450,000 (SDR To add: 2,225,000 every six months) in FY2019/20 FY2018/19, and SDR 2,137,273 (of which 1,068,636.5 every six months) in FY2019/20 DLR#2.2: The Recipient has released Delete existing text No change to existing text monthly, full amounts of Capitation Grants agreed for each year to all Schools within each LGA: FY2017/18 FY2018/19 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) To add: To add: FY2019/20 SDR 5,518,637 (of which SDR 2,225,000 (SDR 1,112,500 every six months) in FY2017/18, SDR 2,225,000 (SDR 1,112,500 every six months) in FY2018/19, and SDR 1,068,637 (SDR 534,318.5 every six months) in FY2019/20) (3) DLI#3: The Recipient has DLR#3.2: The Recipient has made available Delete existing text No change to existing text improved data management online annual school-level EMIS data with unique school identifiers: To add: FY2017/18 SDR 1,798,207 FY2018/19 (of which SDR 725,000 in FY2017/18, SDR 725,000 in FY2018/19, To add: and SDR 348,207 in FY2019/20) FY2019/20 (5) DLI#5: The Recipient has DLR#5.2: The Recipient has met the Agreed Delete existing text No change to existing text provided School Incentive Grants Target of number of Schools that have received monetary SIG based on To add: performance: SDR 3,514,610 FY2017/18 (of which SDR 1,331,188 in FY2018/19 FY2017/18, SDR 1,475,000 in FY2018/19 To add: and SDR 708,422 in FY2019/20) FY2019/20 (6) DLI#6: The Recipient has DLR#6.2: The Recipient has met the national Delete existing text Dropped demonstrated an increase in average target for reading correct words per student learning outcomes minute (wpm) in oral reading fluency sub- To add: module of 3R assessment among Grade 2 0 students: FY2017/18 DLR#6.3: The Recipient has met the Agreed Delete existing text Dropped Target of national average on level 2 addition and subtraction sub module of 3R To add: assessment among Grade 2 students: 0 FY2017/18 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) (7) DLI#7: The Recipient has DLR#7.1: The Recipient has met the Agreed Delete existing text No change to existing text improved student survival and Target of percentage of LGAs/regions transition outcomes achieving year-on-year increase in aggregate To add: primary and lower secondary survival rates: SDR 5,518,637 FY2017/18 (of which SDR 2,225,000 in FY2018/19 FY2017/18, SDR 2,225,000 in FY2018/19 To add: and SDR 1,068,637 in FY2019/20) FY2019/20 DLR#7.2: The Recipient has met the Agreed Delete existing text No change to existing text Target of percentage of regions achieving year-on-year increase in girls’ transition rate To add: from primary standard 7 to Secondary form SDR 5,518,637 1: (of which SDR 2,225,000 in FY2017/18, To add: SDR 2,225,000 in FY2018/19 FY2019/20 and SDR 1,068,637 in FY2019/20) (8) DLI#8: The Recipient has DLR#8.1: The Recipient has met the Agreed Delete existing text No change to existing text improved the school quality Target of percentage of Schools displaying assurance system school report cards based on whole school To add: inspection: SDR 7,400,000 FY2017/18 FY2018/19 Delete: FY2017/18 (9) DLI#9: The Recipient has met DLR#9.1: The Recipient has met the Agreed Delete existing text Delete existing text the Agreed Target of number of Target of number of new commissions new commissions granted to granted to support policy, planning and support policy, planning and innovation. innovation: FY2017/18 FY2018/19 To add: To add: SDR 1,450,000 Maximum of SDR 362,500 per commission. Delete: (of which SDR 362,500 for each FY2017/18 completed commission) Table 5: Proposed Adjustments to EPforR AF credit (IDA-60610): DLIs, Disbursement Arrangements and Verification Protocols The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI status DLI Definition/ Scalability of Status of Protocol to evaluate achievement of the DLI and data/result verification Description of achievement Disbursements verification Data source/agency Verification Entity Procedure (Yes/No) protocol Continued DLI 9 DLR#9.2: The Recipient has met the Yes Modified Final report of Independent Review of agreed target of number of new commissions from verification entity documentation and, if commissions granted to support policy, MoEST and PO-RALG and/or World Bank required, technical planning and innovation review of report by an independent verification entity. The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) Table 6: Proposed Adjustments to EPforR AF Credit (IDA-60610): Results Framework and Monitoring Indicators End End Intermediate Results DLR Unit of Year 4 Target Target Rationale for Changes from Key Results Area PDO/Outcome Indicators Indicators No. Measurement 2017/183 Year 5 Year 6 EPforR AF 2018/194 2019/20 PDO 1a: National average for reading correct words Adjusted to align with yearly per minute (wpm) in Oral target in 2015/16 prior to 25 Reading Fluency (ORF) sub 6.2 wpm 17.3 18.9 expansion under FBEP. Will (2017/18) Improved mastery module of 3R5 assessment be measured in EGRA/EGMA of 3R (reading and among Grade 2 students FY2019/20. numeracy) skills in (primary) Grade 2 students PDO 1b: National average on Level I Subtraction sub Correct 7.0 Will not be measured prior module of 3R6 assessment answers per 5.6 n.a. (2017/18) to FY2019/20. among Grade 2 students minute (primary) IR 1.1: National average Adjusted to align with yearly on Level 2 Addition and target in 2015/16 prior to Subtraction sub module 30 6.3 Percentage 19.7 26.8 expansion under FBEP. Will of 3R7 assessment (2017/18) be measured in EGRA/EGMA among Grade 2 FY2019/20. students (primary) IR 1.2: Percentage of Adjustment is aligned with students achieving 8 PDO 1a and achievement in Percentage 2.1 6.5 benchmark ORF8 (2017/18) 2015/16. Will be measured measured in wpm. in EGRA/EGMA FY2019/20. 3Actual achievement for 2017/18 unless otherwise stated. 4Actual target for 2018/19 unless otherwise stated. 53R assessment to utilize the same methodology as the EGRA. 63R assessment to utilize the same methodology as the EGMA. 73R assessment to utilize the same methodology as the EGMA. 850 correct wpm as this is the share in the EGRA. The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) End End Intermediate Results DLR Unit of Year 4 Target Target Rationale for Changes from Key Results Area PDO/Outcome Indicators Indicators No. Measurement 2017/183 Year 5 Year 6 EPforR AF 2018/194 2019/20 IR 1.3: Percentage of 12 Will not be measured prior Percentage 6.7 n.a. students achieving (2017/18) to FY2019/20. Grade 2 minimum numeracy skills9 IR 1.4: Released Percentage monthly full amount of 134 85 100 (Primary) capitation grants IR 1.4 targets increased for 2.2 agreed for each year to FY2019/20, Year 6. Percentage all schools within each 160 85 100 (Secondary) LGA IR 1.5: Percentage of LGAs achieving the IR 1.5 target extended for 4.1 Percentage 42 72 72 acceptable range for FY2019/20, Year 6. primary PTRs IR 1.6: Number of primary schools IR 1.6 target set aligned with achieving the 4.2 Number 6,011 11,600 11,600 IR 1.5 and extended for acceptable range of FY2019/20, Year 6. primary PTRs in each LGA Math Math: IR 1.7: Share of pupils 21.4 50 Percentage SDI Survey will not be with textbooks (Standard 4 n.a. conducted prior to (mathematics and English: English: students) FY2019/20. English) (Standard 4) 18.5 50 (2017/18) 9Minimum numeracy skills are defined as 80 percent achievement on EGMA Addition and Subtraction Level 2. The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) End End Intermediate Results DLR Unit of Year 4 Target Target Rationale for Changes from Key Results Area PDO/Outcome Indicators Indicators No. Measurement 2017/183 Year 5 Year 6 EPforR AF 2018/194 2019/20 IR 1.8: Percentage of primary schools providing evidence of IR 2.1 target extended for 2.3 Percentage n.a. 100 100 receipt of textbooks FY2019/20, Year 6. showing subject and grade level PDO Indicator 2a: Percentage of teachers SDI Survey will not be found in classroom during Percentage 57 56 n.a. conducted prior to unannounced visit (primary FY2019/20. schools) PDO Indicator 2b: Average Average score teacher knowledge score in (Math) 64.9 65 SDI Survey will not be mathematics and n.a. conducted prior to 2c: Average teacher Average score 31.7 45 FY2019/20. knowledge score in English (English) Improved teacher (primary schools) performance IR 2.1: Percentage of public primary and Percentage n.a. 50 50 secondary schools (Primary) IR 2.1 target extended for displaying School 8.1 FY2019/20, Year 6. Report Cards based on Percentage n.a. 5010 50 Whole School (Secondary) Inspection IR 2.2: Increase in Number Will not be measured in School Quality Score11 8.2 n.a. 800 n.a. (schools) FY2019/20. for selected schools12 10End target is cumulative across Years 4 and 5. An individual school can only count towards disbursement once during the AF Program, except for schools which are part of the sample of 800 schools selected for DLR 8.2, for which one visit can be counted in each of 2017/18 and 2018/19. 11From Foundational DLR on School Quality Assurance 12800 schools to be sampled; target is for all sampled schools to show an improvement in School Quality Score. The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) End End Intermediate Results DLR Unit of Year 4 Target Target Rationale for Changes from Key Results Area PDO/Outcome Indicators Indicators No. Measurement 2017/183 Year 5 Year 6 EPforR AF 2018/194 2019/20 inspected twice in consecutive years IR 2.3: Percentage of Percentage Will not be measured in n.a. 10 n.a. schools receiving (schools) FY2019/20. follow-up inspection visits IR 2.4: Volume of 34 outstanding teacher Amount (TZS IR 2.4 target extended for (2016/17 2 2 salary claims older than billion) FY2019/20, Year 6. ) three months PDO Indicator 3: National average on Certificate of English: 74.8 PDO target extended for Secondary Education 67.9 72.2 FY2019/20, Year 6, and Examination (CSEE) pass adjusted English, Math and rate in (a) Mathematics Math: 22.3 Science target to take into among Form IV (secondary) Percentage 19.2 20 account percentage point students; (b) English and (c) increase under current Improved Sciences (biology, Science14 71.4 context, based on average performance in chemistry, : 54.9 56.4 previous achievement. Form IV physics),(disaggregated by examinations subject)13 68.9 IR 3.1: Female average English: IR 3.1 target extended for 73.8 pass rate on CSEE in 52.5 FY2019/20, Year 6, and Sciences, English, and Percentage adjusted English, Math, and 14.4 Mathematics (female) Math: Science target to take into 17.9 (disaggregated by 12.8 account potential percentage subject) point increase under current 49.8 indicators measuring progress at the secondary level have been included under PDO areas 1 and 2 given the overlap with indicators at the primary 13Several level. 14Composite of performance in biology, physics, and chemistry. The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) End End Intermediate Results DLR Unit of Year 4 Target Target Rationale for Changes from Key Results Area PDO/Outcome Indicators Indicators No. Measurement 2017/183 Year 5 Year 6 EPforR AF 2018/194 2019/20 Science: 64.2 context, based on average 45.7 past achievement. Number (primary school performance; 272 300 300 IR 3.2: Number of noncumulative) primary and secondary IR 3.2 target extended for schools that have 5.2 Number FY2019/20, Year 6. received monetary SIG (secondary based on performance school 128 100 100 performance; noncumulative) IR 3.3: Percentage of LGAs achieving year-on- Percentage IR 3.3 target extended for year increase in 7.1 94 41 75 (LGAs) FY2019/20, Year 6. aggregate primary survival rates15 IR 3.4: Percentage of regions achieving year- Percentage IR 3.4 target extended for 7.1 65.4 38 65 on-year increase in (regions) FY2019/20, Year 6. aggregate lower 15This overlaps with PDO area 1 for primary education. The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) End End Intermediate Results DLR Unit of Year 4 Target Target Rationale for Changes from Key Results Area PDO/Outcome Indicators Indicators No. Measurement 2017/183 Year 5 Year 6 EPforR AF 2018/194 2019/20 secondary survival rates IR 3.5: Percentage of regions achieving year- on-year increase in Percentage IR 3.5 target extended for 7.2 53.8 38 65 girls’ transition rate (regions) FY2019/20, Year 6. from primary Standard 7 to secondary Form I. IR 4.1: Released biannually total level of IR 4.1 target extended for funds per agreed 2.1 Percentage 97 90 90 FY2019/20, Year 6. EPforR Budget Framework IR 4.2: Annual Summary Education Performance IR 4.2 target extended for Report (ASEPR) 3.1 Yes/No Yes Yes Yes FY2019/20, Year 6. released in acceptable format Other Program IR 4.3: Made available Indicators online annual school- IR 4.3 target extended for level EMIS data with 3.2 Percentage 100 95 100 FY2019/20, Year 6. unique school identifiers Number in 10.3 12.1 14.2 IR 4.4: Direct program million beneficiaries (primary IR 4.4 target increased and (students) and secondary; annual; extended for FY2019/20, World Bank core Year 6. Number indicator) (teachers) 248,720 290,550 300,000 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) End End Intermediate Results DLR Unit of Year 4 Target Target Rationale for Changes from Key Results Area PDO/Outcome Indicators Indicators No. Measurement 2017/183 Year 5 Year 6 EPforR AF 2018/194 2019/20 IR 4.5: Share of female Percentage beneficiaries (students, IR 4.5 target extended for (primary and lower primary and 50.6 50 50 FY2019/20, Year 6. secondary; World Bank lower core indicator) secondary) The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) III. SUMMARY OF CHANGES Changed Not Changed Change in Results Framework ✔ Change in Loan Closing Date(s) ✔ Reallocation between and/or Change in DLI ✔ Change in Implementation Schedule ✔ Change in Implementing Agency ✔ Change in Program's Development Objectives ✔ Change in Program Scope ✔ Change in Cancellations Proposed ✔ Change in Disbursements Arrangements ✔ Change in Disbursement Estimates ✔ Change in Systematic Operations Risk-Rating Tool ✔ (SORT) Change in Safeguard Policies Triggered ✔ Change in Legal Covenants ✔ Change in Institutional Arrangements ✔ Other Change(s) ✔ IV. DETAILED CHANGE(S) OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_LOANCLOSING_TABLE LOAN CLOSING DATE(S) Original Revised Proposed Proposed Deadline Ln/Cr/TF Status Closing Date Closing(s) Date Closing Date for Withdrawal Applications IDA-55270 Closed 30-Jun-2018 30-Jun-2018 IDA-60610 Effective 31-Jan-2020 31-Jan-2021 31-May-2021 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_EA_TABLE . The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) ANNEX 1: RESULTS FRAMEWORK . . Results framework Program Development Objectives(s) A. Program Development Objective(s) Improve education quality in Tanzanian primary and secondary schools. Program Development Objective Indicators by Objectives/ Outcomes RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target To improve education quality in Tanzanian primary and secondary schools PDO 1A: National average for reading correct words per minute in Oral Reading Fluency (ORF) sub module of EGRA assessment 17.90 18.90 among Grade 2 students (Number) Rationale: Adjusted to align with yearly target in 2015/16 prior to expansion under FBEP. Will be measured in EGRA/EGMA Action: This indicator has been Revised FY2019/20. End target date June 30, 2020. PDO 1B: National average on Level I Subtraction sub module of 5.50 7.00 EGMA assessment among Grade 2 students (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised End target date June 30, 2018 to reflect last achievement. Will not be measured prior to FY2019/20. Page 23 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target PDO 2A: Percentage of teachers found in classroom during 47.00 56.00 unannounced visit (primary & secondary schools) (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised End target date June 30, 2017 to reflect last achievement. SDI Survey will not be conducted prior to FY2019/20. PDO 2B: Average Teacher Knowledge Score in Mathematics 63.10 65.00 (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised End target date June 30, 2017 to reflect last achievement. SDI Survey will not be conducted prior to FY2019/20. PDO 2C: Average Teacher Knowledge Score in English 41.90 45.00 (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised End target date June 30, 2017 to reflect last achievement. SDI Survey will not be conducted prior to FY2019/20. PDO 3A: National Average on CSEE Pass Rate in Mathematics 16.80 20.00 (Percentage) Rationale: PDO target extended for FY2019/20, Year 6, and adjusted Math and Science target to take into account percentage point Action: This indicator has been Revised increase under current context, based on average previous achievement. PDO 3B: National Average on CSEE Pass Rate in English 56.20 72.20 (Percentage) Page 24 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Rationale: PDO target extended for FY2019/20, Year 6, and adjusted Math and Science target to take into account percentage point Action: This indicator has been Revised increase under current context, based on average previous achievement. PDO 3C: National Average on CSEE Pass Rates in Sciences 53.60 56.40 (Percentage) Rationale: PDO target extended for FY2019/20, Year 6, and adjusted Math and Science target to take into account percentage point Action: This indicator has been Revised increase under current context, based on average previous achievement. PDO Table SPACE Intermediate Results Indicators by Result Areas RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Improved mastery of 3R (reading and numeracy) skills in Grade 2 students Percentage of Students achieving Grade 2 minimum numeracy 7.90 12.00 skills (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised End target date June 30, 2018 to reflect last achievement. Will not be measured prior to FY2019/20. Percentage of students achieving benchmark ORF (50 correct 6.50 6.50 wpm) in EGRA (Amount(USD)) Page 25 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Rationale: Adjustment is aligned with PDO 1a and achievement in 2015/16. Will be measured in EGRA/EGMA FY2019/20. Note: Unit of Action: This indicator has been Revised Measure is percent. National Average on Level 2 Addition and Subtraction sub 22.60 26.80 module of 3R assessments among Grade 2 Students (Percentage) Rationale: Adjusted to align with yearly target in 2015/16 prior to expansion under FBEP. Will be measured in EGRA/EGMA Action: This indicator has been Revised FY2019/20. Share of pupils with English Textbooks in Standard 4 (Percentage) 26.30 50.00 Share of pupils with Mathematics Textbooks in Standard 4 24.60 50.00 (Percentage) Released monthly full amount of capitation grants agreed for 109.00 100.00 each year to all Primary Schools within each LGA (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised End target date June 30, 2020. IR 1.4 targets increased for FY2019/20, Year 6. Released monthly full amount of capitation grants agreed for 107.00 100.00 each year to all Secondary Schools within each LGA (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised End target date June 30, 2020. IR 1.4 targets increased for FY2019/20, Year 6. Page 26 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Percentage of Primary Schools providing evidence of receipt of 0.00 100.00 textbooks showing subject and grade level (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised End target date June 30, 2020. Percentage of public primary and secondary schools displaying school report cards based on Whole School Inspection 0.00 50.00 (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised IR 2.1 target extended for FY2019/20, Year 6. Percentage (Primary) (Percentage) 0.00 50.00 Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised IR 2.1 target extended for FY2019/20, Year 6. Percentage (Secondary) (Percentage) 0.00 50.00 Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised IR 2.1 target extended for FY2019/20, Year 6. Number of Primary and Secondary schools that have received monetary School Incentive Grants (SIG) based on performance 0.00 400.00 (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised IR 3.2 target extended for FY2019/20, Year 6. Page 27 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Number (Primary Schools) (Number) 0.00 300.00 Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised IR 3.2 target extended for FY2019/20, Year 6. Number (Secondary Schools) (Number) 0.00 100.00 Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised IR 3.2 target extended for FY2019/20, Year 6. Share of Female Beneficiaries (Primary and Lower Secondary) 50.00 50.00 (World Bank Core Indicator) (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised IR 4.5 target extended for FY2019/20, Year 6. Improved Teacher Peformance Percentage of Schools Receiving Follow Up Inspection Visits 0.00 10.00 (Percentage) Volume of outstanding teacher claims older than three months 25.00 2.00 (Tanzania Billion Shillings) (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised IR 2.4 target extended for FY2019/20, Year 6. Improved Performance in Form IV examinations Page 28 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Female average pass rate on CSEE in Mathematics (Percentage) 12.80 14.40 Female average pass rate on CSEE in English (Percentage) 52.50 68.90 Female average pass rate on CSEE in Sciences (Percentage) 45.70 49.80 Other Program Indicators Direct Program Beneficiaries (World Bank Core Indicator) 9,700,000.00 14,500,000.00 (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised End target date June 30, 2020. End Target adjusted with the extension of FY2019/20. Students (Number) 9,700,000.00 14,200,000.00 Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised End target date June 30, 2020. End Target adjusted with the extension of FY2019/20. Teachers (Number) 248,720.00 300,000.00 Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised End target date June 30, 2020. IO Table SPACE Page 29 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) Disbursement Linked Indicators Matrix DLI IN00728214 ACTION DLI 1 DLR 1: Recipient has completed all the Foundational Activities (DLR 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4) (Yes/No) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process No Yes/No 36.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline No Annual DLIs to be completed by Yes 36.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728453 ACTION DLI 1 DLR 1: Recipient has completed all the Foundational Activities (DLR 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4) (Yes/No) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process No Yes/No 36.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline No Annual DLIs to be completed by Yes 36.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: The Recipient to approve the pending School Construction Strategy FY2019/20, to be reported in the Annual Review (October, 2019). DLR amount for extended year, FY2019/20, shown in Section I. Page 30 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728215 ACTION DLR 2.1: Recipient has released bi-annually total level of funds per agreed EPforR Budget Framework, according to agreed DLI 2 timeline (%) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process No Percentage 38.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 90.00 38.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728711 ACTION DLR 2.1: Recipient has released bi-annually total level of funds per agreed EPforR Budget Framework, according to agreed DLI 2 timeline (%) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process No Percentage 38.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 90.00 38.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: Extended DLR to FY2019/20. DLR amount for FY2019/20 shown in Section I. Page 31 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728216 ACTION DLR 2.2: : Recipient has released monthly, full amounts of Capitation Grants (CGs) agreed for each year to all Schools DLI 3 within each LGA (%) (Yes/No) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process Yes Yes/No 12.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline No Annual DLIs to be completed by Yes 12.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728712 ACTION DLR 2.2: : Recipient has released monthly, full amounts of Capitation Grants (CGs) agreed for each year to all Schools within DLI 3 each LGA (%) (Yes/No) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process Yes Yes/No 12.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline No Annual DLIs to be completed by Yes 12.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: Extended DLR to FY2019/20. DLR amount for FY2019/20 shown in Section I. Page 32 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728217 ACTION DLR 2.3: Recipient has met the agreed target of percentage of Primary Schools providing evidence of receipt of textbooks DLI 4 showing subject and grade level (%) (Yes/No) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Output Yes Percentage 6.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 100.00 6.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728713 ACTION DLR 2.3: Recipient has met the agreed target of percentage of Primary Schools providing evidence of receipt of textbooks DLI 4 showing subject and grade level (%) (Yes/No) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Output Yes Percentage 6.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 100.00 6.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: To be achieved by FY2018/19 and reported on during the Annual Review (October, 2019) (see Section I). Page 33 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728218 ACTION DLI 5 DLR 3.1: Recipient has released an annual summary education performance report, in an acceptable (%) (Yes/No) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process No Yes/No 8.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline No Annual DLIs to be completed by Yes 8.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728714 ACTION DLI 5 DLR 3.1: Recipient has released an annual summary education performance report, in an acceptable format (Yes/No) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process No Yes/No 8.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline No Annual DLIs to be completed by Yes 8.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: To be achieved by FY2018/19 and reported on during the Annual Review (October, 2019) (see Section I). Page 34 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728219 ACTION DLI 6 DLR 3.2: Recipient has made available online annual school-level EMIS data with unique school identifiers (%) (Yes/No) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Output No Yes/No 8.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline No Annual DLIs to be completed by Yes 8.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728715 ACTION DLI 6 DLR 3.2: Recipient has made available online annual school-level EMIS data with unique school identifiers (%) (Yes/No) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Output No Yes/No 8.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline No Annual DLIs to be completed by Yes 8.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: Extended DLR to FY2019/20. DLR amount for FY2019/20 shown in Section I. Page 35 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728220 ACTION DLI 7 DLR 4.1: Recipient has met the annual target for percentage of LGAs achieving the acceptable range for primary PTRs Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Output Yes Percentage 10.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 68.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 68.00 10.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728716 ACTION DLI 7 DLR 4.1: Recipient has met the annual target for percentage of LGAs achieving the acceptable range for primary PTRs Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Output Yes Percentage 10.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 68.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 68.00 10.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: To be achieved by FY2018/19 and reported on during the Annual Review (October, 2019) (see Section I). Page 36 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728221 ACTION DLR 4.2: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of number of primary schools achieving the acceptable range of primary DLI 8 PTRs in each LGA (number) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Intermediate Outcome Yes Number 15.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 5,672.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 5,672.00 15.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728717 ACTION DLR 4.2: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of number of primary schools achieving the acceptable range of primary DLI 8 PTRs in each LGA (number) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Intermediate Outcome Yes Number 15.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 5,672.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 5,672.00 15.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: To be achieved by FY2018/19 and reported on during the Annual Review (October, 2019) (see Section I). Page 37 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728222 ACTION DLR 5.2: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of number of Schools that have received monetary SIG based on performance DLI 9 (Number) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Output No Number 10.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 400.00 10.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728718 ACTION DLR 5.2: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of number of Schools that have received monetary SIG based on performance DLI 9 (Number) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Output No Number 10.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 400.00 10.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: Extended DLR to FY2019/20. DLR amount for FY2019/20 shown in Section I. Page 38 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728223 ACTION DLR 6.2: Recipient has met the annual target of improvement in words per minute (wpm) in national 3R average in early DLI 10 grade Kiswhili reading assessment (wpm) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Outcome Yes Number 18.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 23.60 Annual DLIs to be completed by 25.00 18.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728719 ACTION DLR 6.2: The Recipient has met the national average target for reading correct words per minute (wpm) in oral reading DLI 10 fluency sub-module of 3R assessment among Grade 2 students Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Outcome Yes Number 18.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 23.60 Annual DLIs to be completed by 25.00 18.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: The last EGRA/EGMA was conducted in FY2017/18 and reported in the Annual Review (October 2018). EGRA/EGMA will not be conducted again over the program effectiveness. Page 39 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728224 ACTION DLR 6.3: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of national average on level 2 addition and subtraction sub module of 3R DLI 11 assessment among grade 2 students Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Outcome Yes Number 6.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 26.80 Annual DLIs to be completed by 30.00 6.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728720 ACTION DLR 6.3: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of national average on level 2 addition and subtraction sub module of 3R DLI 11 assessment among grade 2 students Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Outcome Yes Number 6.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 26.80 Annual DLIs to be completed by 30.00 6.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: The last EGRA/EGMA was conducted in FY2017/18 and reported in the Annual Review (October 2018). EGRA/EGMA will not be conducted again over the program effectiveness. Page 40 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728225 ACTION DLR 7.1: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of percentage of LGAs/Regions achieving year-on-year increase in aggregate DLI 12 primary and lower secondary education survival rates. Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Outcome Yes Percentage 12.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 41.00 12.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728721 ACTION DLR 7.1: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of percentage of LGAs/Regions achieving year-on-year increase in aggregate DLI 12 primary and lower secondary education survival rates. Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Outcome Yes Percentage 12.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 41.00 12.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: Extended DLR to FY2019/20. DLR amount for FY2019/20 shown in Section I. Page 41 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728226 ACTION DLR 7.2: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of percentage of regions achieving year-on-year increase in girls’ transition DLI 13 rate from primary standard 7 to Secondary form I (%) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Outcome Yes Percentage 6.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 0.00 6.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728435 ACTION DLR 7.2: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of percentage of regions achieving year-on-year increase in girls’ transition DLI 13 rate from primary standard 7 to Secondary form I (%) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Outcome Yes Percentage 6.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 38.00 6.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: Extended DLR to FY2019/20. DLR amount for FY2019/20 shown in Section I. Page 42 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728227 ACTION DLR 8.1 Recipient has met the Agreed Target of percentage of Schools displaying school report cards based on whole school DLI 14 inspection (%) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process Yes Percentage 10.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 50.00 10.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728722 ACTION DLR 8.1 Recipient has met the Agreed Target of percentage of Schools displaying school report cards based on whole school DLI 14 inspection (%) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process Yes Percentage 10.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 50.00 10.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: The Recipient to meet the Agreed cumulative Target of percentage of Schools displaying school report cards based on whole school inspection. To be achieved by FY2018/19 and reported on during the Annual Review (October, 2019) (see Section I). Page 43 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728228 ACTION DLR 8.2: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of increase in school quality score for selected Schools to be inspected twice DLI 15 in consecutive years Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Intermediate Outcome Yes Number 5.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 800.00 5.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728723 ACTION DLR 8.2: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of increase in school quality score for selected Schools to be inspected twice in DLI 15 consecutive years Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Intermediate Outcome Yes Number 5.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 800.00 5.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: To be achieved by FY2018/19 and reported on during the Annual Review (October, 2019) (see Section I). Page 44 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) DLI IN00728229 ACTION DLR 9.1: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of number of new commissions granted to support policy, planning and DLI 16 innovation (number) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process Yes Number 2.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 4.00 2.00 June 30, 2020 Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below. DLI IN00728724 ACTION DLR 9.1: Recipient has met the Agreed Target of number of new commissions granted to support policy, planning and DLI 16 innovation (number) Type of DLI Scalability Unit of Measure Total Allocated Amount (USD) As % of Total Financing Amount Process Yes Number 2.00 0.00 Period Value Allocated Amount (USD) Formula Baseline 0.00 Annual DLIs to be completed by 4.00 2.00 June 30, 2020 Rationale: The Recipient to complete and submit all four commissions in FY2018/19, maximum of SDR 362,500 per commission. To be reported on during the Annual Review (October, 2019) (see Section I). Page 45 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) Page 46 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) ANNEX 2: PROGRAM ACTION PLAN . . PAP_NOT_CHANGE_TBL Action Description Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Completion Measurement 1. Update Program Operations Manual to reflect changes under AF, including updated verification procedures. Technical Client Due Date 30-Nov-2017 POM 2. Provide capacity building to LGA accountants and internal auditors in order to provide implementation support to Ongoing, monitored through the schools. Fiduciary Systems Client Recurrent Continuous annual Fiduciary mission. 3. Prepare financial management guidelines and training manual for school management teams involved in preparation and approval/authoriz ation of FM activities and Ongoing, monitored through the documents. Fiduciary Systems Client Due Date 29-Dec-2017 annual Fiduciary mission. 4. Provide adequate hardware and software to internal auditors at both central and LGA level to enable them to carry out their work, including Availability of hardware and access to Epicor software to internal auditors, and Lawson monitored through the annual software. Fiduciary Systems Client Due Date 31-Jul-2018 Fiduciary mission. 5. School Improvement Ongoing, monitored through the Toolkits: Provide Fiduciary Systems Client Recurrent Continuous annual Fiduciary mission. Page 47 of 48 The World Bank TZ Education Program for Results (EPforR) (P147486) and disseminate toolkits to primary and secondary schools in English and Kiswahili to address the lack of a proper set up for procurement functions and procedures. 6. Share timely reports and budgets with RACEF Technical Working Group, including biennial disbursement and Ongoing, monitored through the execution reports. Fiduciary Systems Client Recurrent Continuous annual Fiduciary mission. 7. Strengthen LGA and school service boards by establishing a complaints register and ensuring Ongoing, monitored through the complaints are Environmental and Social annual Environment and Social attended to. Systems Client Recurrent Continuous Safeguards mission. 8. The EPforR coordination team will include a social development specialist and the environmental focal point of the Environmental and Social Specialist and Focal person in MoEST. Systems Client Recurrent Continuous place in MoEST. 9. A Grievance Redress Mechanism (GRM) to be established at the school and LGA levels. The Establishment of GRM in school GRM has been and LGA, monitored through the discussed with Environmental and Social annual Environment and Social stakeholders. Systems Client Recurrent Continuous Safeguards mission. . Page 48 of 48