The World Bank Report No: ISR16229 Implementation Status & Results Pakistan Pakistan: Social Safety Net Project (P103160) Public Disclosure Copy Operation Name: Pakistan: Social Safety Net Project (P103160) Project Stage: Implementation Seq.No: 14 Status: ARCHIVED Archive Date: 05-Oct-2014 Country: Pakistan Approval FY: 2009 Product Line: IBRD/IDA Region: SOUTH ASIA Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan Implementing Agency(ies): Benazir Income Support Program Key Dates Board Approval Date 18-Jun-2009 Original Closing Date 31-Jul-2013 Planned Mid Term Review Date 20-Oct-2014 Last Archived ISR Date 02-Apr-2014 Effectiveness Date 04-Aug-2009 Revised Closing Date 30-Jun-2016 Actual Mid Term Review Date Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) To support the expansion and strengthen the administration and performance of the country's safety net with particular focus on the BISP program as the national safety net platform. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project? Yes No Component(s) Component Name Component Cost Strengthening Safety Net Operation 110.40 Enhancing Safety Net Program Management, Accountability and Evaluation 31.80 Developing the Social Protection and Strategy Monitoring 1.70 Establishment of a National Targeting System and Expanding Coverage of the Basic Safety Net 66.10 System Public Disclosure Copy Overall Ratings Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status Overview 1. Given the current political situation, the Mid Term Review mission scheduled during the month of August 25 could not be held and is now re-scheduled for October 20, 2014. Both, data and ratings reported in this interim ISR are based on observations from on-going implementation support by the World Bank task team and will be updated based on the detailed review during the MTR. Overall progress of the SSN project has been relatively slow, though based on achievements of the FY 2013/14 targets for the basic cash transfers Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR16229 and allocation of substantial resources for the program in FY14/15 federal budget (Pak Rs. 97.15 billion) and 25% increase in the benefit amount, the progress towards meeting the PDO is rated as “Satisfactory”. The expansion of the coverage of the basic cash transfers is underway currently making payments to 4.6 million families, out of which 81% payments are being made through technology based payments mechanisms. 2. The Waseela-e-Taleem (WeT) program piloted in 5 districts has completed its admissions verification process of children and started processing quarterly payments to Public Disclosure Copy families based on attendance verification of 32,983 students. Initial field work for the WeT expansion into extended phase has been initiated in 11 out of the 27 new districts. The frequent transition in the management in the last one year has severely affected the continuity of operations and hence the launch of the Conditional Cash Transfers (CCT) in all 27 extended phase districts. Specific delays have been observed in the procurement of necessary staff and services, timely data processing and payments to eligible beneficiaries, and finalization of the design and pre-launch activities of the extended phase. According to revised plan, the enrollment is now expected to start in January 2015, which is 3 month delay from the original plan. The Project has so far achieved 9 out of the 16 DLIs and these reflect performance on operational systems development. The slowdown of the CCT expansion into the extended phase has so far posed a challenge to timely achievement of the remaining DLIs but it is expected that 4 more of these, mostly linked to expansion of the cash transfer program will be achieved during FY 14/15. 3. On Component 4 of the project, which supports the advancement of SP Policy, the Planning Commission being the implementation agency has further enhanced its interaction with the Provinces/regions to take forward a variety of interventions that were initiated in the last quarter. The Member Social Sectors is providing the necessary leadership, which is quite encouraging. The draft Social Protection Framework has been prepared and is ready for discussion with the provinces/regions. The next Technical Advisory Committee meeting will discuss the draft papers on ‘Definition of Social Protection’, ‘draft Framework for Social Protection’ and ‘Imperatives of M&E for social protection”. 4. To effectively address the implementation challenges and make the DLI targets realistic, BISP is contemplating restructuring of the project. In this context, in June 2014, BISP management organized a visioning retreat which was joined in by the core stakeholders including the Development Partners supporting the program. The retreat helped in identifying important challenges and possible solutions to address the issues of governance, effective implementation, modalities of partnership with provinces for graduation agenda, sustained financing, and further strengthening of fiduciary controls. The management intends to share the retreat report with the Board for approval of key recommendations going forward. In light of aforementioned developments, a realistic assessment of the nature of the project restructuring will be made during the Mid Term Review of the project scheduled for October 20, 2014. Locations No Location data has been entered Results Project Development Objective Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Revised. Percentage of disbursed cash Percentage Value 46.00 65.00 70.00 transfers received by beneficiaries in bottom Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 quintiles 1 and 2 Comments Benefits under new PMT A Rapid Assessment done by Public Disclosure Copy based targeting scheme not IFPRI through an independent yet disbursed survey shows that currently 65% of BISP beneficiaries belong to the pooresttwo quintiles. Number of households to which the poverty Number Value 0.00 27120000.00 27000000.00 scorecard has been applied. Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Comments To date, 27.12 million household forms have been entered into the system and Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR16229 poverty scores have been run on them Revised. Percentage of participating tehsils in Percentage Value 0.00 100.00 90.00 which beneficiary lists are publicly available at Public Disclosure Copy Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 the respective BISP tehsil offices Comments The lists are now publicly available in all functional tehsil offices of BISP and post offices. Percentage of beneficiaries satisfied with Percentage Value 0.00 87.00 70.00 program implementation Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Comments A comprehensive beneficiary assessment has recently been commissioned by DFID under its TA to BISP which will provide a detailed assessment on this result. However, under the beneficiary assessment of Cash Transfers conducted by Bank under the RSR TF, 87% of beneficiaries showed satisfaction with benefit transfers through debit cards, the default payment mechanism of BISP. Integrated Monitoring System for Federal and Text Value Not Established Not Established Monitoring system for policy Provincial Social Protection Programs dialogue used estalibhsed and used for policy dialogue Date 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Comments The SP Policy Monitoring options have been drafted by the Government and are currently being reviewed by Public Disclosure Copy stakeholders. These will be finalized in consultation with provinces. Number of Paid BISP beneficiaries (Basic Number Value 2.00 4.60 5.50 Cash Transfer) eligible under the Poverty Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Scorecard (million) Comments In accordance with the present government’s policy decision on complete shift to technology based payment mechanism, payment has Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR16229 been made to 4.6 million enrolled families. Number of children attending school under the Number Value 0.00 32983.00 3000000.00 Waseela-e-Taleem program. Public Disclosure Copy Date 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Comments As of now, 75,085 children have been enrolled into the program and quarterly payments being made to 32,983 students on the basis ofattendance verification exercise. Core indicator. Program Beneficiaries Number Value 10000000.00 27450000.00 30000000.00 (estimated number of family members: 5) Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Comments Based on 5.49 million families enrolled in the program as beneficiaries and using the average of 5 persons in each family. Intermediate Results Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Percentage of Districts covered by targeting Percentage Value 5.00 99.00 90.00 process; Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jul-2016 Comments Survey in remaining two FATA agencies has been put on hold due to current military operation. Number of female beneficiaries that receive Number Value 0.00 4.60 5.50 payments (millions) Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Comments BISP has met the June 2014 Public Disclosure Copy quarterly targets of disbursements and BDC uptake as agreed with Development Partners. Number of Signed MOUs with Provinces/ Number Value 6.00 6.00 Regions regarding collaboration for Waseela-e- Date 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Taleem Comments MoUs signed with all provinces and regions. Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR16229 Percentage of grievance redressal claims Percentage Value 0.00 99.00 70.00 acted upon within 3 months of application Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Comments The grievance module is now Public Disclosure Copy online and operational. 99% grievance redressal claims are being acted upon within 3 months of receiving an application. BISP stratified communication campaign for Text Value n/a Campaign rolling out in all Waseela-e-Taleem is fialized and rolled out targeted districts Date 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Comments BISP has developed a draft Communication Strategy for WeT which will be finalised before the formal launch into the CCT extended phase. Revised. Percentage of planned BISP positions Percentage Value 0.00 45.00 80.00 that are filled in headquarters and tehsil offices Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 that are open. Comments headquarters, 356 out of 456 sanctioned posts have been filled (~80%). In the regional offices, 1675 out of 3722 sanctioned posts have been filled (45%). Ban on hiring has been lifted but recruitment is pending. Revised. Number of reports publicized on BISP Number Value 0.00 4.00 12.00 website which disseminate the results of Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 impact, process and spot check evaluations Comments The Process Evaluation and Baseline Reports have been uploaded on the BISP Public Disclosure Copy website. The first round of impact evaluation has been completed and the report will be uploaded on the website as soon as it is approved by the management. Number of pilots implemented for exit Number Value 0.00 3.00 2.00 strategies Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR16229 Comments Pilot on using savings account for graduation is under consideration. Public Disclosure Copy Revised. Regular spot checks and follow up Number Value 0.00 3.00 2.00 actions on the findings Date 04-Aug-2009 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Comments Continuous spot check and process evaluations are being conducted. The Operational Review firm for WeT has started its field operationsand submitted its two quarterly reports. Mott Mcdonald’s report on Grievance Redressal mechanism has also been shared with BISP. Percentage of payments to BISP beneficiaries Percentage Value 0.00 81.00 70.00 made through technology based mechanisms Date 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Comments Through a rigorous mobilization campaign in the field offices, 81% of beneficiaries have been shifted to Technology Based Payments. Mapping of federal and provincial social Text Value Mapping report available protection programs completed Date 31-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2016 Comments Mapping has been initiated. Punjab Public Expenditure Review of Social Protection has been completed which gives a profile of the SP programs in the province. Public Disclosure Copy Initial Work on mapping of SP initiatives in Sindh and AJK has been completed. . Data on Financial Performance (as of 18-Jun-2014) Financial Agreement(s) Key Dates Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Original Closing Date Revised Closing Date P103160 IDA-45890 Effective 18-Jun-2009 03-Jul-2009 04-Aug-2009 31-Jul-2013 30-Jun-2016 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR16229 Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Original Closing Date Revised Closing Date P103160 IDA-50420 Effective 06-Mar-2012 26-Mar-2012 28-May-2012 30-Jun-2016 30-Jun-2016 Disbursements (in Millions) Public Disclosure Copy Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P103160 IDA-45890 Effective XDR 40.20 40.20 0.00 32.84 7.36 82.00 P103160 IDA-50420 Effective XDR 96.70 96.70 0.00 39.96 56.74 41.00 Disbursement Graph Key Decisions Regarding Implementation 1. Coverage of basic cash transfers needs to be expanded through expedited enrollment of pending beneficiaries and timely issuance of debit cards to meet the agreed targets Public Disclosure Copy of making payments to at least 4.9 million families by the end of December 2014. 2. BISPneeds to beef up its capacity for making timely payments to WeT beneficiaries on quarterly basis. Completion of all relevant procurements needs to be expedited. Finally, micro supply capacity analysis in 27 additional rollout districts through an effective partnership with provinces ought to be finalized by end of October 2014.. 3. There is a need to maintain quarterly meetings of the BISP Management Board as provided under the BISP Act 2010. The Board as a priority should develop and approve the necessary subordinate regulations, especially those related to clear delineation of roles and responsibilities of the management and the Board including its Chairperson. The advancement of SP Policy through effective dialogue and support to provinces is crucial. There is a need to expedite hiring of provincial coordinators, vacant positions at the PMU, and services of the firm to support formulation of SP Policy Framework through a consultative process. Restructuring History Level two Approved on 28-Jan-2013 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR16229 Related Projects P125792-Additional Financing for Social Safety Net Project, P125793-Pakistan: Social Safety Net Project - Additional Financing Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy Page 8 of 8