Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Vietnam - Managing Natural Hazards Project (P118783) Vietnam - Managing Natural Hazards Project (P118783) EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC | Vietnam | Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience Global Practice Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2013 | Seq No: 11 | ARCHIVED on 17-May-2018 | ISR31867 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, Socialist Republic of Vietnam, Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment, Vietnam Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:26-Jul-2012 Effectiveness Date:12-Dec-2012 Planned Mid Term Review Date:04-Jan-2016 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:05-Jan-2016 Original Closing Date:31-Mar-2019 Revised Closing Date:31-Mar-2019 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) To increase the resilience of people and economic assets to natural hazards in selected river basins of the project provinces within the overall framework of Vietnam's National Disaster Prevention, Response and Mitigation Strategy Towards 2020. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name Strengthening Disaster Risk Mangement Institutions, Information Systems and Planning: to strengthen capacity related to Disaster Ris k Management:(Cost $7.00 M) Strengthening Weather Forecasting and Early Warning Systems: to improve national integration of hydrometeorology services and the de livery of early warning and information services:(Cost $30.00 M) Community-Based Disaster Risk Management: to increase disaster resilience of vulnerable communes:(Cost $22.00 M) Priority Disaster Risk Mitigation Investments: to mitigate risks posed by storms, floods, landslides and drought:(Cost $104.70 M) Project Management: to strengthen the capacity of the implementing agencies to carry out the project:(Cost $3.80 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory 5/17/2018 Page 1 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Vietnam - Managing Natural Hazards Project (P118783) Overall Risk Rating  Moderate  Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions Progress toward meeting the PDO is moderately satisfactory. To increase the resilience of people to natural hazards, the project has built enhanced priority infrastructure that to-date is benefiting 424,862 people against the mid 2017 expected outcome of 425,000. The projected number is now about 502,802 or 91% of the final goal of 550,000. To protect economic assets, the project has built enhanced flood protection measures that will protect 43,219 ha of land exceeding the mid 2017 target of 41,000 ha. Ultimately, based on current contracts, the final outcome may reach 51,157 ha. These results are very promising, but on the other hand, the number of communes covered by storm and flood early warning services (package C2-DV2) was supposed to reach about 70 villages, whereas right now none have such services. Similarly, the number of provincial river basin plans prepared/updated with DRM factors and approved by the PPC (Package C1-C1) should be about eight, whereas, again, the project is still at the baseline of zero. However, those activities are underway, and are expected to be met albeit an extension of the Credit closing date of about nine months may be necessary. A major risk to implementation is insufficient IDA funds allocated for the project implementation, which may delay project completion rather significantly. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Moderate  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  Substantial  Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Low  Low Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Low  Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Moderate  Moderate Fiduciary  --  Moderate  Moderate Environment and Social  --  Moderate  Moderate Stakeholders  --  Low  Low Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Moderate  Moderate Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Hectares of land protected by enhanced flood protection measures (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 5/17/2018 Page 2 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Vietnam - Managing Natural Hazards Project (P118783) Value 0.00 43,219.00 43,219.00 50,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 03-Oct-2017 29-Mar-2019 Comments The indicator will be 51157 ha and meet the final target when the subproject “Upgrade dike at the north of Dinh river” is completed in Q2 2018. PHINDPDOTBL  Number of people protected by enhanced priority infrastructure built by the project (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 424,862.00 424,862.00 550,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 03-Oct-2017 29-Mar-2019 Comments The indicator will reach 502,802 people (91% of target) when the subproject “Upgrade dike at the north of Dinh river” is completed in Q2 2018. PHINDPDOTBL  Number of communes covered by storm and flood early warning services and with increased awareness about emergency response (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 59.00 100.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 03-Oct-2017 29-Mar-2019 Comments The mission noted that the project has not developed a clear methodology to measure PDO indicator 3, thus progress was not being captured in the results framework. It was agreed that the CPMO will submit clear guidance on measurement of each indicator and submit correct values for Bank review. The current value was that presented by the GoV on March 2018, following the required review. It is planned that all 100 communes will be covered by the end of 2018. 5/17/2018 Page 3 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Vietnam - Managing Natural Hazards Project (P118783) PHINDPDOTBL  Number of provincial river basin plans prepared or updated with DRM factors and approved by the PPC (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 03-Oct-2017 28-Sep-2018 Comments The main Consultancy C1- C1 package related to the indicator has been contracted and the activities are under way. The indicator will be achieved by the end of 2018. Overall Comments Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  No. of Gov. staff trained at the national and provincial levels (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 578.00 599.00 410.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 19-Mar-2018 29-Mar-2019 PHINDIRITBL  DRM-related databases (dam, building codes) established and maintained (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1.00 1.00 3.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 03-Oct-2017 29-Mar-2019 5/17/2018 Page 4 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Vietnam - Managing Natural Hazards Project (P118783) PHINDIRITBL  Number of commune-level Socio-Economic Development Plans (SEDP) revised to integrate DRM and approved (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 59.00 95.00 100.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 19-Mar-2018 29-Mar-2019 PHINDIRITBL  Integrated national EW System and Operations Plan for Hydromet Sector adopted by 2014 (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 03-Oct-2017 29-Mar-2019 PHINDIRITBL  Number of additional hydromet stations installed and connected to the national system (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 150.00 150.00 73.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 03-Oct-2017 29-Mar-2019 PHINDIRITBL  Number of communes with emergency preparedness plans in place (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 92.00 100.00 100.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 19-Mar-2018 29-Mar-2019 5/17/2018 Page 5 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Vietnam - Managing Natural Hazards Project (P118783) PHINDIRITBL  Number of disaster prone communes that participate in evacuation drills (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 71.00 71.00 100.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 03-Oct-2017 29-Mar-2019 PHINDIRITBL  Km. of evacuation/rescue roads established/rehabilitated following prescribed standards (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 33.10 34.70 12.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 19-Mar-2018 29-Mar-2019 PHINDIRITBL  Km. of dyke and river embankments improved (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 79.00 79.00 25.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 19-Mar-2018 29-Mar-2019 PHINDIRITBL  Number of dams strengthened/rehabilitated (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 11.00 11.00 14.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 19-Mar-2018 29-Mar-2019 5/17/2018 Page 6 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Vietnam - Managing Natural Hazards Project (P118783) PHINDIRITBL  Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 555,273.00 555,273.00 550,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 03-Oct-2017 29-Mar-2019 PHINDIRITBL  Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 PHINDIRITBL  Roads rehabilitated, Rural (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 29.00 29.00 12.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 03-Oct-2017 03-Oct-2017 29-Mar-2019 Overall Comments Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P118783 IDA-51390 Effective USD 150.00 150.00 0.00 95.15 47.52 67% Key Dates (by loan) 5/17/2018 Page 7 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Vietnam - Managing Natural Hazards Project (P118783) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P118783 IDA-51390 Effective 26-Jul-2012 13-Sep-2012 12-Dec-2012 31-Mar-2019 31-Mar-2019 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 28-May-2016 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 5/17/2018 Page 8 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy