This paper is prepared for staff use. The views are those of the author and not neccssarily those of the Bank. INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT Bank Staff Working Paper No. 212 August 5, 1975 INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EMPLOYMENT AND GROWTH A Case Study of Indonesia In this paper we have tested several alternative hypotheses regarding: The Trade off between 'Growth', 'Equity', 'Employmnent' and 'Poverty'. This "testing"V was conducted in the framework of a general equilibrium model. We have chosen Indonesia as our case study. Special emphasis was placed on the role of prices, fiscal measures, trade and population policies to assess the conflicting or complementary nature of different national objectives. Our study concludes that unless an active employment and income distribution policy is undertaken the growth process in Indonesia will result in: 1. More uneven distribution of income. 2. Urban bias in growth. 3. More severe balance of payments prbblems. 4. Increasing poverty. 5. No significant decline in unemployment. The need for placing a high priority on a prudent population policy over a long period growth horizon has also been demonstrated. Prepared by: S. GUPTA Assisted by E. ANDERSSON Economic Analysis & Projections Department Comparative Analysis & Projections Divisvon INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EMPLOYMENT AND GROWTH A CASE STUDY OF INDONESIA SUMMARY OF CONTENTS SUMIIARY ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I. INTRODUCTION 1 1. Purpose of the Model 1 2. Growth versus Equity 2 3. Growth versus Employment 4 4. Employment versus Eliminatibn of Poverty 6 5. Special features of the Model 6 II. DESCRIPTION OF THE MODEL 12 6. The Mechanics of the Model 12 7. Production Block 15 8. Consumption Block 18 9. Investment Block 18 10. Income Distribution and Employment Block 19 11. The Savings Block 24 12. The Fiscal Block 24 13. The Price Block 25 14. The Monetary Block 28 15. Exports Amports Block 28 16. The Capital Transaction Block and the Population Block 29 III. THE FUNCTIONAL FORMS AND THE FLOW CHART OF THE MODEL 30 17. Nature of Relations IV. ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS 40 18. Production Functions 40 19. Demand Functions 42 20. Tax Functions 42 2l1,. Import Functions 43 22. Export Functions 44 23. Employment Functions 44 24. Income Distribution 45 25. Money Functions 47 26. Expenditure Functions 48 SUMMARY OF CONTENiTS conti-nued V. ALTERNATIVE SII.IULATION PLANS g 27. Outline Policy Type Variables 50 Policy Type Parameters 51 Non-Policy Type Sensitivity Analysis of Parameters ,5 Non-Policy Type Exogenous Changes in Variables 52 28. Computer Simulation 54 Alternative Exercises 55 VI. FINDINGS 59 29. The Basic Run 59 30. Comparison with Economic Report 60 31 . Alternative Simulations 62 32. The Intertempo,al Characters 64 33. Agricultural vs. Industrial Growth Strategy 68 34. General Sensitivi'ty Test 69 35. Conclusions 71 APPENDICES I - Initial Paraa eters and Exogenous Variables II - Explanation cf Variables and the Equation System III - Results of the Basic Simulation ( 1974-1985) IV - Zables and Charts V - Debt Model VI - Results of the Simulations with Population Changes (1974-1997) VII - Bibliography ACKNOWLEDGEMENT This paper is based on a model initially prepared for the IBRD Basic Economic Mission to Indonesia (1975). I am grateful to Mr. W. Bussink, the Chief of the Mission, for his intellectual stimulus, advice and assistance. Also, I have benefitted enormously from the help and advice of all other mission members, both from the IBRD and tthe IMF. I am extremely grateful to ProJ.essors Alan Strout and G. Pyatt, and Messre. W. Tims and N. Carter, for their very valuable comments while further extending the model. Thanks are also due to many friends and colleagues, both within and outside the Bank, for their help. Last but not least is my indebtedness to Miss Ellen Andersson, who helped me in all stages of this work. Indeed, I owe a debt of gratitude to her which I shall never be able to repay adequately. I. INTRODUCTION 1. Purpose of the Model: 1.1. A common feature of most macro models has been a virtually unqualified commitment to growth as the prime objective of development strategy. It is not necessarily because growth is regarded as a legitimate end in itself. It has beeri widely believed that growth is a necessary and sufficient condition for the zliimination of poverty and unemployment. However, emtpiri cal evidence appears to indicate that while growth is a necessary condition, it has not proved to be a sufficient strategy for realizing the twirn objectivres of removal of povextiy and uneinployment. 1.2. The purpose of this paper is to explore the -trade off between (a) growth and equity (b) growth and employment, and (c) growth and poverty. Growth is defined as a percent change in GDP; equity as a reduction in the GINI coefficient (measuring income distribution); and poverty is defined as the total money transfer needed to raise all people to a minimum standard of living from below, 2ressedas a percentage of their total income at the minimum level. Fiure l.A. Figure 1,13 \ JBI C- w G7 GGWOWA -2- 1.3. In the following paragraphs we provide a general discussion of a few common hypotheses regarding the relationships between growth, equity and employment. They are tested empirically in the main body of the paper. 2. Growth vs. Equity: 2.1. The conventional practice is to present this trade-off problem in the form of an equity-growth curve, with a negative slope, as shown in the Figure l.A. The y-axis measures equity at the end of a period (i.e. one ninus the GINI coefficient: (1-G) and the x-axis mcasures the percentage vate of GDP growth over the same period. The curve CB measures the rate of substitution of one goal agalnst the other, i.e. equity against growth. The preference curve GG is the social welfare function. Thus the optimal combination of growth and equity, which maximizes social welfare, is point A. 2.2. Our simulation exercises revealed that the above relationship is not as simple and direct. Conceptually, when income equality increases, two opposing sets of forces start working, one of them hindering growth and the other encouraging growth. i) Forces hindering growth: a) Aggregate saving will decline because the poor people have a lower propensity to save; b) Volume of exports will decline because the domestic consumption is likely to-compete with exports; c) Investments could decline because incentives of -the entrepreneurs might be adversely affected. ii) Forces encouraging growth: a) The income shift to the poorer classes will change the lJ Of course, it would depend largely on policy instrumenbs used to bring the changes in income inequality. -3- den-ii d pattern- in favor of goods produced by the labor-intensive sectors. This would improve the growt. potential in labor-abundant capital-scarce economy. A part of this favorable effect night, however, be cancelled by a decreasing demand for services which have a lower import component. b) The income shift to the poorer classes will reduce the volwne of imports, on the assumption that the propensity to import of the poor people is less than the average. This would relax the foreign exchange constraints and facilitate growth. c) Assuming that poor people have a higher propensity to consume, the demand oriented sectors would grow faster. d) The improvements in the standard of living for the very poor (i.e. below minimum standard) might increase labor productivity and capital ypodicHctivity and thereby encourage growth. 2J3. The answer to the auestion of a "ttrade-off" between growth and equity must come from the empirics of a case. It is misleading to make any broad genneralizations0 Conceptually, the shape of the "trade-off" curve will also depend on the initial conditions of a particular-country. The Figure l.B, shows that if wie start from a very low average income and high inequality, the conflict between growth and equity may not appear over a wide range .(BC ). But when a country has reached a certain initial development state, the"trade-off" (i.e. the conflict between the two goals) might appear. This is corroborated by the findings from our simulation exercis4s. 2.4. Moreover, it is wrong to presume any unique relationship between growth and equity. The relationship is indeed not invariant to the "policy-mix" -4 - used for making a change in the income distribution. There is rather a family of trade-off curves depicting the relationships between growth and equity (see Figure l.C.). Fiaure l.C. fki C>L 0 91e L3 CB1 CB2 CB refer to different trade-off curves for different policy packages,and KK is the envelope line and A* is the optimum position in this case. 2.5. In our present exercise, we have explored only a limited number of these "trade-off" curves. We have neither attempted to formulate a social welfare function (GG') nor to find a solution to the problem by an optimi- zation scheme. 3. Growth vs. Employment: 3.1. The relation between growth and emplo,yment has been generally assumed to be of a direct nature. For exaaple, it is presumed that any increase in growth will increase employment. But this relation is guaranteed only if output change in all sectors are equal and changes in labor-output relations operate on the margin. Ffi ure 1.D. i r 3.2. OE*E' is the employment-output curve; when output increases employment in-creages. Growth is constrained either by- full employment (~EEt) or by supply- of other inputs (GxrGr'). Hence it iE observed that there is no trade- off between growth and employment. A- -A) . 0 D Di rAR\qT+, k "oc o. + -6- 3.3. In fact, the relationship is not -that straightforward. If the sector composition of GDP is allowed to change and/or a change in production techmique is permitted, the trade-off between employnent and gro-wth would appear conspicuously. Referring to the Figure 1.E, 01I,012,013 .... etc.give the alternative growth-enployment curves, for diffierent GDP sector-mix and techniques of production. When rates of growth increase from OD to OD1, employment might increase from Dal to DjaI or Dla'2; or might decrease to D a'3 or Dla 4, depending on the choice of different development and tech- nology paths. So any generalization between growth and employment is not possible. It would depend on the empirics of a case. 4. Employment vs. Elimination of Poverty: 4.1. It> is further believed that any improvement in employment would reduce the income disparity among the poorer classes and would reduce poverty thereby. But a reduction in poverty might not lead to a general reduction in the income disparity of all classes (as measured by the GINI coefficient); at least not in a conspicuous sense. The empirics of our case study supports this view. -UB IUF i dF \NI 5. Special Features of the Model: 5.l. There are several excellent studies linking income distribution and growth. But, in our opinion, most of them have open ends. Some try to trace the effects on employment and outputs of alternative income distribution patterns, whereas others try to measure the impact on income distribution of given growth strategies. In our present paperswe attempt to close this loop, i.e. an income distribution affecting growth and a growth affecting income distribution. Diagrammatically, it is as follows: I is the investment vector, (1 is gestation lag), Y is the output vector, In is the income vector, E is the expenditure vector, WF is the working force, Pf are production functions, CL is the capital/labor market, SAV is savings, PUBF is public finance and t refers to a time concept. In a very simplified causal relationship, past investment determines output via the production functions. Output determines income (and distribution) via the factor market and asset distribution. Income generates consumption demand and savings. Consumption demand influences future demand for capacity genera- tion. Savings supply the investable surplus. Detailed flow chart is given on page 39. In most other studies the link is developed from In to Y, but the loop is not closed. But in a closed loop model,output will generate income, income will generate saving and expenditure,and saving and expenditure will generate ou.tput, in a dynamic sequence. 5.2 Furthermore, our main concern has been a more comprehensive one. We have attempted to make alternative projections of major economic variables in the Indonesian economZJ given different policy alternatives, aid availabilities and technological possibilities. Therefore, our sensitivity analysis is confined to a restricted feasibility set only. Our testing of an alternative hypothesis regarding relationships between income distribution, growth and employment is limited to this feasibility range. 1/ See page 6, 5.3 For this purpose we developed a model which has the following special features: 1. The national income balance is secured at current price. 2. The price vector is endogenous. 3. The Saving/Investment gap and the Export/Import gap are equated via changes in relative prces and resources allocation. 4. Income distribution is-directly related to,the,production process and the labor market. 5. Mony, fiscal and real variables are interrelated. 6. Saving and consumption are estimate directly and not as residuals as in most national income models. 7. Material balances are secured for all major commodities: 1. Rice 9. Consumption goods (manufactured) 2, Other agriculture 10. Services 3. Tree crops 11. Trade 4. Fishing 12. Banking 5. Meat 13. Transport 6. Vegetables 14. Mining 7. Capital food 15. Construction 8. Intermediate goods-/ 5.1h. The choice of specification of the present model has been constrained by three major considerations: 1. The purpose of our investigation. 2. The existing structure and strategy of development. 1/ Intermediate goods Demand = Domestic output of Intermediate goods + Imports + An input substitution factor (with a maximum ceiling) as technical progress. - 9 - 3. The availability of data. 5,5 We have already discussed the first point in the "tintroduction" to this paper. As to the second consideration the existing strLucture of Indonesian ocoiomy has been largely shaped by two major historical events: a) a prolonged period of colonial rule and b) a decade of political instability during the late fifties and early sixties. The consequences of these two events appeared as follows: i) The development of a dualistic economy with (1) a dominant foreign owned sector comprising plantation and mining and (2) a primitive domestic activity sector comprising agriculture and rural induistiy. The former sector can be described as an enclave economy, with no multiplier impact on the rest of the society. Its employ- ment component was negligible and its investments were mostly met by imported capital goods. The only links which this sector had with the rest of the economy were in the form of suhbscribing a) to the revenue of the government and b) to the export earnings of the non-oil econo ij (net of its own imports). The contribution from these two sources to the rest of tahe economy was, however, relatively insignificant before the oil boom started in 1974; the contribution from oil revenue to the total gove'rnment revenue was as low as 15% in 1971/72, compared to more than half in 1975. 5.6 A conplete depletion of the existing capital stock during a decade of political instability between 1959-1968, when no significant investment was made even to replace the existing capital consumption. The percentage decrease of investment was 30% between 1961-67, whereas it increased by 254% between 1967-1973. This was a period of political and economic un- certainty and stagnation (economy grew at 1.3% between 1961-67, as against a growth rate of 6.1% per annum between 1967-73), flight of capital, high inflation (l,8958% in 1967, with 1961 = 100), high import propensity, - 10 - heavy government expenditure and no technological progress. 5.7 The population growth was very high (2.1% per annum) and since 1974 it is apprehended that it will further increase to 2.4% to 2.5% per amnum. This would result in more unemployment and underemployment. 5.8 Recently there has been a break in this gloomy trend by the establishment of a stable government, a discipline in government's budgeting and monetary management and the initiation of a program or plan for development. In addition, there is a substantial increase in public saving (as revenue from the oil sector), and in private saving in specific organized sectors, especially because of a favorable movement in the world oil prices and prices of few primary goods. These latest developments have contributed to a high investment activity. But the new investments are mostly concentrated in prestigious, highly capital- intensive sectors and with low employment components. This in its turn has aggravated unemployment, poverty and income inequality. Further- more in the government's momentum to control past hyper-inflation, various credit squeezes have far exceeded the needs to control the present price, resulting in an absolute real output decline in few sectors. 5.9 Natural resources are abundant in Indonesia. But their spatial uses however have been very uneven, and regional allocation is very important. Indeed, to sum up, growth, employment, income distribution, sectoral and regional investment allocation and import substitution vs. export promotion are critical choices in a future development strategy of Indonesia. Any development model for Indonesia must accommodate a proper treatment of all these issues, simultaneously. - 11 - 5.10 Availability of data has been the third major consideration in deciding our model speclfication for Indonesia. Indeed, data are too scanty to explore all the above relevant issues in a more detailed perspective. For example, time series information is almost non-existent on a comparable footing before 1968. Hence, alternative sources from cross-section and cross-country data have been tapped. - 12 - II. DESCRIPTION OF THE MODEL 6. The 11echanics of the Model: 6.1. In this model the sectoral output growth is governed either by demand or supply considerations. There are, however, a few sectors where both the supply and the demand factors influence output, and at any point of time only one set of forces becomes binding. To give a specific example: "personal services" grow in response to demand pressures until full employ- ment is reached; and from then on, the growth is governed by the available labor force. Another example is the medium and large scale in2dustries in which growth is constrained, at first, by the availability of investible funds but, beyond a certain point, the binding constraint becomes the supply of skilled labor force. Over a longer period of time and at a higher state of development when a nnear-full employment" is reached, a country can accelerate its growth only by diverting its investible resources toward more capital-intensive techniques. This requires, however, an increased supply of skilled labor and, therefore, more investment in education, training and research. Besides these constraints - labor, capital and demand - there is another binding constraint in a countryts growth process. It is the trade constraint. It arises out of a shortage of foreign exchange earnings. If a country suffers from a scarcity of foreign exchange, it can adopt one or all of the following three measures: (1) by substituting imports: (a) by developing illternative domestic sources; (b) by, developing neo;i pr'oduction tochniqia.cs and econoiaiizing on cer-t.ain inputs; (c) by chi;ngfnin- the output mix and enlarging sectors with a lowxer import component. (2) by changing exchange rates and encouraging use of domestic inputs; (3) by reducing growbh and making a suboptimal use of domestic saving potentialities. Our present model has explored all the abovr, measures to cope cope with the trade constraint. Those different measures show different impact on growth, employment, income distribution and economic efficiency. We have also explored alternative strategies of export promotion and import substitution vis-a-vis growth, employment anad income distribtuion. In our simulation exercises, we have extended seyeral runs beyond 1985 to explore certain long-term issues. Wleedless to say, we have thereby sacrificed some confidence in the estimated parameters used. 6.2. Our model consists of a set of non-linear equationsS and simulates activities from year to year. Each yearts solution is dependent on current and proceding values of variables, but not on future ones. We have tired to incorporate the luture, by forming expectations from past changes and future 1J There are approxdpiately 700 equations, solved recursively for each year. values of certain exogenous variables which can be regarded as targets in many instances. 6.3 The present model has two sets of specifications: i) to satisfy a need for operational use, i.e. for economic report writing in the Bank; ii) to explore the entire relationship between growth, income distribution and employment, in a comparatively disaggregated general equilibrium frame. 6.4 In this paper we present the second specification in more detail. In the first specification, the number of exonous variables are vezy large and based primarily on the assessment by sectoral experts in the light of their feasibility. This first approach gives the model a strong projection (fore- casting) bias. But its specification is rather poor for policy purposes. Because, although many of these exogenous variables are conceptually related to each other, they have not explicitly been treated in any functional forms, Therefore, any real senisitivity analysis, involving these variables, would become difficult. 6.5 In our second version of the model a large number of these exogenous variables are made endogenous. Only variables which are genuinely independent of each other are kept exogenous. The functional relationships between these variables are estimated in two stages, Initially, they were estimated from time series or cross section analysis from country data. In the second stage, they were revised in the light of pict or ilicit parameters used by sectoral experts or in official economic documents. Ins the first specification of our model we tried to adhere to an economic classification close to the official one in order to facilitate a dialogue with the Indonesian Government. - l5- But in the second specification we have disaggregated further, sometimes in light of special surveys,in order to develop relevant economic relations. 6.6 The Model Structure: Our model has the following blocks of relationships: a) Production b) Consumption c) Investment d) Income Distribution and Enployment e) Savings f) Fiscal Policy g) Prices h) Mbnetary Policy i) Exports and Imports J) Capital Transactions k) -Population 7. The Production Block: 7.1 Output growth in a sector is constrained either by lack of demand or by lack of supply. Further, output in a few key sectors, including the public sector, is guided by public policy. The production function of each sector has been treated in decomposed form; marginal capital coefficients and labor elasticities (in response to output) are ass-nmed to be constant or changing exogenously. When the labor elasticity is less than one, it pre- sumes a substitution of capital for labor, and/or technical progress. There are altogether 23 activity sectors of which five are exogenous, (E), eight are supply constrained, (S), and ten are demand oriented, (D). The sectors are: 1. Rice (s) 2. Tree crops (S) 3. Other Agriculture (3) 4. Forestry (E) 5. Fishing (D) 6. Vegetables (D)l/ 7. Livestock 2/ 8. Mineral (E) 9. Capital Goods Industry (S) 10. Inter-nediate Goods Industry (S) 11. Consumption Goods Industry (S) (Labor-intensive) 12. Consumption of Goods Industry (S) (Capital-intensive) 130 Small-Scale Traditional Industries (D) 14. 'onstruction (D) 15. Dwellings (E) 16. Trade (D) 17. Transport (D) 18. Banking and Professional Services (D) 19. Public Administration (E) 20. Electricity (D) 21. Ser-ices (D) 22. Public Works (E) 23. Labor absorbing sectors (comprising Agriculture, Trade and Services) (S) , But for production in low land, supply constraint is more effective. / Some supply constraint operates via imported feed grains. - 17 - 7.2 The suppy constrained sectors are classified into two groups: a) Growth is constrained by supply of material inputs, like land, fertilizer and irrigational facilities. The supply of these inputs are exogenously determined. Rice, tree crops and other agriculture fall in this group. b) Growth is constrained by supply of investable funds. The investable funds are constrained by availability of domestic and foreign saving after the demand for investment in the demand-oriented sectors are met. The large-scale manufacturing sectors belong to this group. 7.3 The demand constrained sectors are classified in two groups: a) Mainly demand from final consumers b) Mainly demand from intermediate users The former is estimated by expenditure elasticities of different income classes (households). Fishing, vegetables and livestock fall in this group. The latter is estimated either by the intermediate input requirements of the producing sectors (construction and ,ctricity) and /or by broad demand elasticities derived from national income accounts for those sectors where their detailed contribution to all other sectors are not available - (trade,transport, bankirg services, small-scale industry). 7.4 The exogenous sectors are classified in two gr6ups: a) decided by the public authorities b) decided by forces outside the control of the country. 7.5 FVrther, three sectors-agriculture, services and trade-- are assumed to absorb the unemployed labor force at a ve-y low marginal productivity. 1/ This reduces the average income in these sectors. - 28 - Hence, the overall growth rates of these sectors are affected to some extent by the working population and the level of activity in the rest of the economy. There a-re two major sectors which are affected by labor constraint (after a full employment is reached): (1) the personal services sector which grows according to the available labor supply after the demand from all other sectors is met; (2) the organized industry sector where the upper limit to growth is set by the supply of skilled manpower. In the present model the rate of expansion of skilled manpower is stipulated exogenously. 7.6 Oil output has been treated separately in our model. The Gross Domestic Product has been divided inito two parts: 1) oil, and 2) non-oil. The oil sector's only contribution to the non-oil sector is in the form of oil revenues to the government and foreign exchange earnings to the export sector iiet of oil sector's imports,p' 8. The Consumption Block: 8.1 Consumption is divided into private and public consumption. Public consumption is exogenous and is assumed to remain at a constant percentage of GDP at factor costs. Private consumption per capita is calculated by subtracting from per capita current disposable household income the per- capita savings. Total consumption is estimated by multiplying per capita consumption with the number of persons in the respective income classes, 9. The Investment Block: 9.1 Investments in the "tdemand-determinedf: sectors are estimated by VA (c) = (C + I) + EC MO n.o. no. 0 Mn.o 0 0 n.o. = non-oil Rev = Revenue E= Export 0 = oil C = consumption M = Import VA = value added I = Investment - 19 - assuming different marginal iinvestment income ratios and different gestation lags. Investments in the "policy constrained" sectors (such as public works and public administration) are determined exogenously. Investments in the "supply constrained" sectors as a whole are determined on a residual basis. The total investable fund is calculated as total domestic savings plus net capital transfers from abroad. The allocation of the residual investment between the supply constrained sectors is exogenous. If intended invest- ments at the market rate of interest are higher than the total real investable fund, at any point in time, the ex post equilibrium is attained by a combination of higher prices (inflationary pressures), compulsory saving (i.e. less con- sumption), slightly higher investments (but less than intended), higher imports ,nd a slightly higher growth rate. 10. The Income Distribution and Employment Block: 10.1 Conceptually, it is possible to simulate the income distribution pattem over time, as a continuous function of policy variables and factor and asset incomes,-/and the consumption pattern as a function of a given income distribution; this would have closed the loop of tne "distribution block". But empirically it has not been possible to relate the specific policy variables to individual parameters, describing the income distribution in a continuous sense. Therefore, we have adopted a simpler approach. ;/ If the investment decisions in those sectors were made under competitive market conditions, then the allocation of investments would be according to values of marginal products. But in Indonesia, the investment decisions in the organized industry are mostly guided by national policy considerations, by the public authorities (or Investment Board). Ience, we assumed them to be exogenous in our model. 2 Depending on the cumulative net saving of each income group and the rate of return on savings invested in assets. - 20- For the base period, we had ten activity sectors and four income classes. The activity sectors are: i) Agriculture ii) Large- and Medium-Scale Industry iii) Small-Scale Industry iv) Construction v) Electricity vi) Transport vii) Banking and Professional Services viii) Public Administration ix) Services x) Trade. 10.3 The four income classes correspond to Rp. 0-1,000; Rsp. 1,000-2,000; Rp. 2,000-4,ooo; Rp. 4,000 and above, per month per capita at 1969 prices (to match with 1969 family expenditure study). The mean income of each income group will, of course, change over the simulation period. The income size (class) distribution will change over time due to the following reasons: i) different growth rates between labor income (determined by the labor market) and returns on capital or assets (determined by the asset market); ii) different output growth rates of the ten activ-ity sectors; iii) changing composition of factor inputs (labor and capital), depending on the nature of the production functions (i.e. technological changes and factor substitution); iv) changes in the structure of marginal asset ownership; / / Depending on the cumulative net saving of each income group and the rate of return on savings invested in assets. 21- v) changes in internr'l and external terms of trade; vi) changes in tax subsidy pattern; vii) changes in institutional structure. In the present maodel, the changes in technology, labor/capital substitution, fiscal and monetary policies and international price movement are made exogenous. 10.4 Besides the GINI coefficient, a poverty coefficient has also been computed as the following ratio: the total money transfer needed to bring everybody up to a minimum poverty level is divided by the total earnings of all at this minimum level. A "poverty line" has been estimated on the basis of the minimum nutrition need to survive. 10.5 The computation Staes: For each of the 10 activity sectors, the composition of the labor force between the four income classes has been kept unchanged over the simulation period. Our implicit assumption in this context can be described as follows: The skill-mix.(of labor use) and the size of the production units (employer to employee) will not be changing over the simulation period. We have assumed that a skill category of labor is related to its relative ranking in terms of earnings. 10.6 The average productivity change for each labor category is the same as the average sectoral productivity change. The sectoral productivity changes are derived from sectoral output changes and employment elasticities. 10.7 The average income of each labor category will change depending on the changes in the unit factor income of that class. The rate of change in the nominal factor income is dependent on the cost of living changes (with a time lag) and the level of unemployment (reflecting the scarcity in the labor market). 10.8 Another source of income for laborers may accrue from ownership of new assets. This incremental "non-wage income"t will originate from the gains - 22 - of new ownership of assets. In our model we have treated these gains as income from accumulated savings (cumulated from the base). The ruling market rate of interest is used as the rate of return from capital assets. 10.9 The average income of the highest income class (assuming this class will constitute predominantly of entrepreneurs) is treated as a residual, after the lower classes are paid their labor and non-wage incomes. 10.10 Savings in each class are estimated separately for each income class and related to their disposable income (i.e. net of tax/subsidy). 10.11 Since our model hypothesized that open unemployment does not exist, the problem of unemployment is treated in a different way. We have treated that problem in two stages: 1) We have estimated total unemployment for the whole economy on the basis of production functions (employment elasticities) and age distribution of the population; and ii) unemployed labor is absorbed by the Agriculture, Trade and Services sector, with a very low average productivity. 10.12 Accordingly, when the unemployed labor is absorbed, the average income of the lowest income class of that sector will be reduced. This evidently means that the lower the rate of unemployment, the lesser wilIl the extent of povierty be- and more the likelihood of income distribution to improve. 10.13 The dependency ratios of each income class and for each sector are estimated from a c&.mographic submodel (depenwency ratio is defined as the ratio between p-pulation at working age, adjusted by assumed participation 1/ Defined as the average income of the lowest income class below a minimum nutritional level. - 23 - rate, and total population). From this information the average income and the population for each class and sector are then estimated. 1014 Finally, average income and population distribution are estimated on the basis of a sectoral income distribution. For the sake of simplicity, we have used the same four income classes as in the sectoral analysis. This, of course, assumes no overlapping between sectors.i/ 10.15 Our present approach can be compared with the ICOR approach in investment planning. We do not know the initial asset distribution. But we do know the existing income distribution between different classes. The incremental changes in this income distribution are affected by the incremental changes in the supply of labor and investable funds (i.e. accumulated savings). lO.16 Even the estimation of the existing income distribution is not very straightforward. We have attempted this on the basis of regional data. The income inequality in any sector is the sum of (a) between region differences; (b) within region differences and (c) overlap of incomes of different regions. When we estimated our inequality coefficient we ignored (c). Our estimates have therefore a downward bias. For policy purposes, we used only the changes in inequality fro,i ,year to year. Assuming this bias is consistent, our GINI index could be indicative. But, alternatively by neglecting income distribution in developing countries (with large income shifts) and computing models on the basis of macro savings and expenditure functions only, as in any other familiar model, we will continue to be extremely unrealistic in our pcojections / But average income in each income class changes over time, 2/ Gram Pyatt. Interpretation and Disaggregation of GINI Coefficient -(DRC, Ma~y 1975),' 11. The Savings Block: Savings are divided into Domestic and Foreign. i) Domestic savings are divided into household, corporate and government savings. Household saving is derived as a function of disposable income (i.e. income net of taxes and subsidies). The propensity to save depends on the average per capita income. Goveinment saving is the difference between government current revenue, including oil revenue and government expenditure. Corporate saving is made equivalent to the depreciation rate in the corporate sector. ii) Foreign saving is measured by the current account balance. It is determined on the basis of private and public capital inflow, net of debt service and changes in the foreign exchange reserves. 12. The Fiscal Block: The Fiscal sector consists of government tax and non-tax revenues and government current expenditures, including subgidies. Taxes are divided into: i) Oil tax ii) Non-oil income tax and corporate tax iii) Taxes on consumption iv) Import tax and v) Export tax The tax parameters are derived econometrically at current prices. Government 25 - subsidies and current expenditures are exogenous in the models, as well as goverment investments. 13. The, Price Block: 13.1 Sectoral prices have been estinated by a two-tier approach. In the first tier, prices are calculated by adding up total direct and indirect labor costs, capital costs, impo?ts costs and indirect tax payments on intermediate inputs. This was done by Leontif inverse matrix. The inter- dependence among prices, input structures and costs of exogenous inputs (value added) is siunmarized in the familiar input-output accounting identity: p - pA = v or p - v (I-A) 1 p = vQ where p = (row) vector of output prices in each sector A matrix of input/output coefficients Q Leontief inverse v (row) vector of value added per unit of output in each sector I identity matrix 13.2 The value added vector consists of labor and capital coefficients per unit output, changes in wage rates or labor income and capital returns, import prices, import components per uimt output and indirect taxes per unit output. 13.3 Changes in sectoral prices result not only from changes in total labor requirements but also from changes in the skill-mix or the wage differentials among sectors, Similarly, changes in the returns on capital as well as the total capital coefficients in any sector affect the price system as a whole. LastLy, any changes in the import prices (c.i.f.) i.e. changes in exchange rates or world prices, and the import components of output - 26 - affect the domestic price structure as well. 13.4 In the familiar Leontief price model, capital coefficients., labor and coefficients,/labor and capital returns are exogenous. But in our simulation exercise we integrated their changes in the light of the production functions and the factor market conditions chosen in our model. Needless to say, this was done in a loose fashion. The labor coefficients have been made to change on the basis of our assumptions of employment elasticities with respect to output. The capital coefficients have been made to change on the basis of jitii-±ginal and average capital output ratios. 13.5 Labor incomes have been made to change o,u the assunption that in a high unemployment phase (or to put it in a different way-, wnen the disguised unemployment is very high) labor earnings rates will catch up with the changes in the cost of living only with a time lag, This means labor earnings will catch up with the changes in the cost of living with a longer time lag when unemployment is higher. However, when unemployment falls below a critical point, labor earning rates start to increase faster than the changes in the cost of living. At this stage, real wages (i.e. real income from labor) will start improving. 13.6 The import coefficients have been estimated econometrically and have thereafter been changed on the basis of specific information regarding import substitution. 13.7 The returns from capital have been divided into normal returns (interest rate, normal profit rate) and abnormal profits. The normal rate of retarn has been made exogenous and is initially set at the level of international inflation rate. Abnormal profits are the differences between, cost and demand price. Estimation of demand price will be discussed in - 27 - subsequent paragraphs. 13.8 The price, thus determined, will include any changes in the production costs of the different sectors. To arrive at the GDP deflator a coiiibiined price index is computed from these sectoral prices. For this pt,rpase the following reslationship has been used to convert prices origiz.a nating from gross output (PX) to the prices of industry final demand (PF). PF - (I-A)-l D"p _1/ A = a fixed input/output coefficient matrix D-1 the inverse of a diagonal matrix of the ratio of real gross output to real gross product for each industry. 13.9 The cost of living index has been conputed from tlhe GDP deflator by computing a coniosite index, where the GDP deflator and the prices of the _ipo5oted consumption goods were combined by a given set of weights. The weights we used were the consumer expenditure on domestic and foreign goods of last year. 13410 Price is also affected by a demand supply imbalance. If demand -is greater than supply (at a given price), the price will rise and vice versa. The gap between aggregate demand and supply has been measured by the difference between the demand for and supply of money (narrow money). It is further assumed that tha inflationary pressure is equally spread in all sectors of the economy. 13.11 The new equilibrium is reached when the demand for and supply of money equalizes at a higher price. Its effects oni real variables will depend on the price sensitivity of consumption and investments. In our present analysis we have assumed that the money supply will always increase as the money demand. Because of this assumption, there is no "demand pull inflation" in our calculations. j/ Fcoftometric Models of Cylical Behavior, Vol 1, WBER, p 211. - 28 - 14. The Monetary Block: 14.1 In the monetary sector, we only attempt to formulate a money demand function. We project only an optimum rate of increase in the money supply consistent with a certain growth rate, changes in production cost and changes in peoples price expectation for the future, The optimum level of Reserve money has also been estimated by using past relations. The Private Sector Balance of Payments, plus the net claim of the Central Bank on the non-government sector, net of foreign expenditure of the govern- ment, have been estimated as residual by subtracting government savings. 15. Exports and Imports Block: 15.1 Imports are divided into four classes: capital goods, consumption goods, intermediate goods and rice imports. Imports are estimated on a residual basis, i.e,. domestic demand minus domestic supply gives imports. Exchange rate changes and/or tariff changes are made endogenous, so that imports at the riling effective exchange rate, estimated from a behavioral import function, are made to equalize "limports" calculated on the residual basis. The imports in certain sectors estimated on a residual basis, over a long run, could become negative. Negative imports have been treated as export items. 15.2 Exports are treated partly exogenously and partly endogenously, i.e. by a residual approach. Exports of oil, manufacturing, and fish and animal husbandry are exogenous. In the Indonesian context, it is believed that these exports are influenced principally by world demands. On the other hand, exports of tree crops, forestry and mining are estimated from the supply side, and are calculated as the difference betwueen domestic - 29 - supply and domestic demand. The c'-riestic demand is estimated on the basis of demand elasticities derived from time series data. 16. The Capital Transaction Block and the Population Model: 16.1 The net public transfers are made exogenouis in this model. They are taken from a submodel of the external debt situation in Indonesia (Appendix V). 16.2 The Population Block: The population block has been treated separately, and has been solved by another submodel. In this submodel populaticn has been estimated for every year of age, separately for males and females, and for outer islanads and Java. Working population has been defined as men between 15-64 years and women between 15-49 years. Three major assumptions have been tried, with high fertility, low mortality; low fertility, high mortality; and high fertilityland high mortality (see p.30,App.IV).Working population and dependency ratio have been injected into the main model as exogenous variables. Parti- cipation rates among the working population has been assumed to be 72% of the total. - 30 - III. THE FUNCTIONAL FORK; AND THE FLOW CHART OF THE MODEL 17.1 A brief description of the functional relations (explaining dependend and independent variables) is given in this section. For details, one should proceed to Appendix II where an explanation of the variables and the equation systems are given. Nature of Relation 17.2 Outut Block: Se .tors 1. Output. = Exogenus (Policy oriented) Public AdministratLon Public Works 2. Output. = Exogenous Oil Hard Ninerals Forestry Dwellings 3. Output = investment Constraint (Supply oriented) Capital Goods Intermediate Goods. Consumption Goods 4. Output = Intermediate input constraints: Rice 1 fertilizer, including land Other Agriculture Tree Crops 5. Outputm = Demand oriented; final and Transport intermediate Electricity Vegetables Fishery Animal Husbandry Construction Trade Services Small-scale Manufacturing Banking 6. Outputn = Foreign Demand Oriented Fishery Animal Husbandry 7. Surplus Labor Absorbing Sectors Small-Scale Manufacture Rural Trade Services Agriculture 17.3 Investment Blbck: Sectors 1. Investmenta = Requirement Oriented Public Administration Electricity Transport 2. Investmentb = Allocation Decision Large-Scale Maanufacturing 3. Investment, = Guided by profitability Construction (for dwelling and and acceleration principles capital formation) Trade Banking Services Small-Scale Manufacturing Agriculture (all sectors) Replacement Investment Working Capital 4. Investment = Exogenous Public Works Hard Minerals N Rural Development 5. Total Investment = Dcmestic Saving plus Foreign Saving, at current price 17.4 Savingp Model (at Current Price): 1. Government Saving = Revenues (including oil) - Expenditures 2. Household Savings = Household Income - Government Revenues + Government Subsidies - Household Expenditure 3. Corporate Saving = Replacement Capital 4. Domestic Saving = Government, Household, and Corporate Saving Expenditure Model AVEC - AVEC =)k7 CEMik = expenditure per class and CMk COMi-k (-1) Z /1~ + ei~k AViEi ik commodity k = commodity, 1 to L4 (rice, vegetable.4 fishing, animal) i = class, 1 to 4L expenditture per capita (AVECi = av. expend. (1973 prices) per class eik = expenditure elasticity for different classes and 4 commodities COT - i=1 COMIkx POPi K COMk = expenditure per commodity POPi = population 17.5 Fiscal Block Deends On 1. Current direct tax Current GDP 2. Current oil revenues exogenous 3. Current indirect tax Current GDP 4. import tax Current merchandize imports, excl. rice imports 5. Current export tax Current merchandize exports, excl. oil exports 6. Current non-tax revenue = exogenous 7. Constant government subsidy = exogenous 8. Constant government current expenditure = exogenous 9. Surplus on current account Residual 17.6 Import Block: Depends On 1. Import of Capital Goods (Supply approach) Capital fomation less domestic supply of capital goods 2. Import of Intermediate Goods Demand for intermediate inputs from manu- facturing outputs. Difference between world and domestic prices including trade restrictions 3. Supply of I-ntermediate Goods Imports Total foreign exchange availability minus consumption and capital goods import, including'non-factor services and factor services, and rice imports 4. Supply of Intermediate Goods Imports'= Demand for intermediate goods imports 5. Rice Import Rice demand - rice output 6. Total Consumption Goods Imports (D) Total demand for consumption goods by different sectors minus production of consumption goods 7. Total Imports Total exports pl-s foreign capital inflow 17.7 Price Model: P=f - Afi A/WR - Py)W + (WR P-r) R +m*p7 P = vector of prices consisting of seven sectors A = matbrix of 1/0 coefficients I = indentity matrix GDPP =( A) D- p GDPP = GDP defnl,ror index CLI W. * GDPP + (1 - W.) * M4PMANPF CLI = cost of living index 3 Wi = base period domestic component MPMANF = import price index manufacture W R.=WR (-l) * (1 + Wi J = 1 to 7 Wage rate index - CLI K + E Changes in wage rate (i.e. labor WR = -- earnings) index .=employment above a ceiling E = exogenous control o NWR = NwR. (-l) * (1 + NWR) + I* - 1, j = 1 to 7 Non--wage rates index J I* - - Abnormal profit rate 0 I* = intended investmeht I realized investment c = output investment Py.- = i o is base, t = given period, J - 1 to 7 Productivity change index Ji P-(Ex) = export price index P (Ex)D local currencyr P (Ex)D = export price index in dollars (P.()) = (P. (M)D) * ECH; j 1 to 7 P.(M) = Import price index 3 Jlocal currency P.(M)D = Import price index dollars e,ch = nominal Exchange rate index Money Model Money demand for Narrow Money depends on Real GDP growth Changes in price expectations Adjustment to past money demand 17. 8 income Distribution Model, at 1973 prices..: 4 ECT= 2j EC. ECi = expendit.-e ith class; i = 1 to 4 1=1a DICi ICi - DT. - INDTi DICi = disposable income, ith class 2. 2DTi = direct taxes INDTi= indirect taxes AVICi = DICi/POP. AVICi= average disposable income, ith class POPI population in ith class, for all jth sector; j = l to 12 j=l J surppoPk = surplus population AVECi = AVIC ( - Si) AVEC. average expn. ith class Si average savings propensity ith class Si = K. AVIC1 K = constant ECi = MEG1 * pOP1 L Py -LP = la'bor productivity jth sector L Pyj(-l) * 1 + ( - e) *Va Va. -l) ej = exogenous employment elasticity jth sector 3 VA. = value added jth sector PYr =(L Py.j PM) x Pricej GDPP P - = average income j th sector PR = exogenous participation rate Pr iVP ) Py Pj = population jth sector i GDPP X.j = Xj (-1) *iRi For wage earners average income classes I and II CLI Xij = xjj (-I) * + For self-employed average income class III X XJ Average income class IV ij = Xij (-I) * /-Residual income increase'7 >.-= income from cumulative saving 12 - SURP POP = WdORKING POP * PTR - i PO - 7 WORKING POP - exogenous 37 - 17. fz Table 1 gives the flow chart of the model. Triangles represent exogenous variables. Boxes represent endogenous variables as vectors. Arrows represent causal sequences. Arrows in both directions suggest simul- taneity. The recursive niature of the relationships are taken care of by intro- ducing time lags. The symbols are explained as follows: TO Total gross. output, CAPMRK Capital market MONEY = Money demand and money supply CST - Capital stock NT = Net transfer NEWCOM = Net commitments TM = Terms matrix IC = Intermediate consumption TS = Total supply VA = Value added HI = Household income (size distribution) HE = Household disposable income - household expenditure PRCON = Household consumption TC = Total consumption TI = Total investment TE - Total exports CI - Corporate income HS I Iousehold saving CS = Corporate saving GS - Government saving -3$, FS = Foreign saving GR = Government current revenue GC - Government current consumption CHR = Changes in foreign exchange reserves WD World demand WP = World price for exports PM = Import price TTADJ Terms of trade gains EXR Nominal exchange rates Price = Commodity prices LABMAR = Labor market TM - Total imports W = Wage rates POP = Population PR = Participation rates (working population to total population) LFOR = Working population NR = Natural resources \ Sl4dSUW 4 ~W -.JN v .Lo -' -- - .y - . - - >/ S + t NO . zI 1 101 I m3\IY . | . . '- C- = IV. ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS 18. Production Functions: 18.1 Rice output has been separated between irrigated and non-irrigated area. In irrigated area, the rice production is depe.ndent mainly on irri- gated land and fertilizer. These two explanatory variables seem to be cor- related, but in our sample period their correlation was not that high as to give a significant bias to our estimates. The following two equations are estimated over a sample period 1960-1972: Log ouxtput Rice = 6.926 + 1.872 Log Area (irrigated (irrigated area) (3.493 (7y821) 1/ + .0584 Log Fertilizer (1.679) R2 .8800 DW = 1.6582 Log output Rice = -2.877 + .6602 Log Area (non-irrigated) (non-irrigated) (3.6224 (6.0809) R2 - .8451 DW = 2.175 18.2 Tree crops have been regressed on area cultivated. The estimated equation is as follows: Log value added export crop -4.66 + .998 Log Area Tree crop (-2.538)(4.5868) 2 R = .6456 DW = .9735 18.3 Output of tlother agriculturelf (excluding Rice, Treecrops and Vegetables) is dependent on area and a time trend, suggesting a productivity improvement over the sample period. Log value added = .5111 Log Area + .088 Log Time Trend (1973-14) of other agriculture (86.67) (3.121) R2 45 DW 1.1533 18.4 The production fanctions for remaining sectors have been decomposed into two parts: a) capital coefficients, and b) labor coefficients. In all 1/ Brackets give the It' values - 41 cases, a fixed marginal capital output ratio and a fixed elasticity of labor vis-a-vis output have been assumed$' 18.5 The marginal capitaVoutput ratios for r.,ce, treecrops, other agriculture, livestock, forestry and fishing have been estimated from the output and investment figures given exogenously by the sector specialists, whereas marginal capital/output ratios for the manufacturing sector have been estimated again on the basis of investment and output estimates of the industry experts. The gestation lag of investments for capital goods, consumption goods (ca,pital-intensive) and intermediate goods industries have been assumed to be three years, and for consumption goods (labor-intensive) to be two years. The capital/output ratios for capital and intermediate goods industries are placed at 4.0; for consumption goods (capital-intensive) at 2.7; and for consumption goods (labor-intensive) at 2.5. The lag structures have been roughly estimated from a study made by the foreign and domestic Investment Board in Indonesia. 18.6 The capital/output ratios for Trade, Services, Transport, Public Administration, Banking and Mining are borrowed from different sources, including cross-country comparisons. 1 1/ E = ek oC e = labor elasticity in response to output. E = labor elasticity in response to capital. oC = average capital/output ratio. k = ICOR = marginal capital/output ratio. Therefore, if ;tribution is rather novel. For simulating the income distribution we need sectoral income distribution data at the base period. But we did not have this irnformation for each out- put sector in Indonesia. We had, however, an expenditure study for 32,000 households (1969/70) for the rural and urban sectors. This expenditure study has also income information, but not very reliable. From our experience of other countries, we know that any information regarding income is quite shakey. Nevertheless, for computing the "income distribution"l in our model wse need to have a good knowledge of the initial sectoral income distribution. We used the 1971 census data to arrive at this distribution. 24.2 The 1971 Census contains information of regional productivity differences for each sector. Assuming a relation between employed and total population, we can estimate an initial regional income distribution for each sector. 24.3 The income differences of any sector have three ccmponents: i) regional differences, ii) difference within a region, as inequality between income classes, iii) overlap of income of different regions. - 46 - In our estimation of sectoral inequality, we have assumed that the income distribution within a region (of a sector) is spread by a density function, as given by a smoothening process in a continuous sense plotted on a graph. We presumed that the income pattern within a sector of a region was spread over a narrow range as given between two points of observation drawn in a graph. This assumption obviously introduces a downward bias in the estima- tion of income inequality for any sector. We attempted, however, to avoid this bias by only estimating the index of inequality inter-temporaYly (i.e. relative changes in income inequality) assuming that the bias remains the same over time. However, by comparing our present estimate with the GINI inequality derived from the family expenditure study of 1969, we are grati- fi.ed to notice that our estimate is very close. 24.4 As to the Agricultural Sector, we have information regarding land distribution. In our present exercise,, we note that the concentration coefficient of land distribution derived from the above information is almost the same as the.one we estimated for "agriculture" on the basis of our regional study. 24.5 Coming to details for the ten sectors: Agriculture, Trade, Construction, Electricity, Gas and Water, Transport and Comrmunications, Large- and Medium-Scale Industry, Small-Scale Industry, Banking, Services, and Public Administration, the average productivity and the employed labor force 2/ have been tabulated for each of the 26 regions.- Table 21 gives in Column 1, * r/ We have ignored component (iii) when we calculated our GINI coefficient, -See page 4r5. -- - ;,- -- , ^ 7 The 26 Regions are: 1) East Java; 2) Central Java; 3) West Java; 4) Special Capital Territory Jakarta; 5) Special Territory Yogyakata; 6) N. Sumatera- 7) Jambi; 8) Riau; 9) W. Sumatera; 10) S. Sumatera; 11) Lampung; 12) Special Territory Aceh; 13) Bengkulu; 14) W. Kalimantan; 15) E. Kalimantan; 16) S. Kalimantan; 17) Central Kalimantan, 18) S. Sulawesi; 19) Central Sulawesi; 20) S.E. Sulawesi; 21) N. Sulawesi; 22) Maluku; 23) Bali; 24) W. Nusa Tenggara; 2§ S.. N.uaa Tenggara; 26) Irian Jayya. the index of the region, Colom II average income and Column III the popula- tion. They have been arranged in ascending order. GINI coefficients (i.e. income concentration) are estimated for each sector. They are as follows: Agriculture = .417 Small-Scale Industry = .384 Large-Scale Industry = .242 Construction = .276 Electricity and Power = .3b2 Transport = .341 Trade = .209 Banking = .293 Public Administration and Defense = .155 Services - .240 Economy = .377 24.6 Comparable statistics, obtained from Malaysia, gives an income con- centration of .36 in 1958-59, and .48 in 1970. This suggests that our esti- mates have some downward bias. (This bias must have been introduced through an underestimation of intra-sector income distribution within a region. In a further simulation, we attempted to calculate the income inequality in the disposable income of 1973, This GINI coefficient was .407. This suggests a regressiveness in the tax system, mainly because of the distribution of the incidenc.e of indirect taxes. The expenditure coefficient derived from the household survey, shows an income concentration of .345. 25. Money Functions: 25.1 Money demand and money supply have been estimated on the basis of a - 48 - time series data spreading over 1960-61 to 1973-74 (see Bijan B. Aghevli, (1975)). 1. Log (14) - -.370 + .729 Log C1t1 + .539 Log Y - .518 fir Pt Pt-i (-3.0) (11.6) (3.2) (5.80) 2 R = .992 2. M = 1.18 RMt DW = 2.3116 3. RMt Gt - Tt + Ht when Pt = price index M = Narrow MIoney Yt= Real output IM = Reserve Money p il = Inflation Rate t Gt = Government expenditure t 1 t Tt = Government revenue, constant Ht = Residual including the private sector's balance of payments minus public foreign expenditures, plus net claims of the C.B.,a on the non-government sector. 26. Expenditure Balance: 26.1 The expenditure elasticities for Rice, Vegetables, Fish and Meat have been estimated by two methods: 1) Econometric estimation by the double log relations from grouped data (see Kakawani and Podder, 1975) and 2) by graphical method. The former one assumes a constant elasticity of demand for all income classes. The latter one gives different elasticity for different income classes. Because we wanted to emphasize the impact of changes in incomne distribution on the demand pattern and growth, over a longer time horizon, we chose the second method for our present paper. For this purpose the expenditure classes are divided into four: a) RsO - Rsl,000, b) Rsl,001 - Rs2,000, c) Rs2,001 - Rs4h000. d) Rs4,001 - and above per capita per month. The data are based on the national family budget survey of 1969. The marginal - 49 - coefficients (%) for each class have been, estimated as follows: I II III IV Rice 4o 20 9 -2.5 Fish 7 8 7.5 5 Meat 5 10 12 9 Vegetables 14 15.5 1).5 17.5 Elasticity of consuimption for each class has been estimated by multiplying the marginal coefficient in each class by the ratio of total e,renditures to the total consumption of each class. The estimated parameters are presented in Appendix II of this paper. - 5O - V. ALTERNATIVE SIEUIATION PLANS 27. Outline: 27.1 In our simulation exercise we pursued along the following line of investigation: a) Policy changes: i) The alternative economic profile due to deliberate changgs in the 20li2zz= of the economy, with a special focus on employment and income distribution. b) Non-policy changes: i) The sensitivity of the model was tested for changes in some of the parameters such as capital/output ratios, employment elasticities, and consumption propensities. ii) Effects of changes in the values of a few Seoge s variables such as world prices, export demands, population growth, etc.. which are outside the 4decision-making" of the country. 27.2 A clear-cut separation between variables (and parameters) into policy and nontpolicy types is not possible. Even a distinction between exogenous and endogenous variables is sometimes difficult depending on the policy strategy. However, for simulation purposes we broadly di-vided them in our model as follows: 27.3 Policy Type Variables: 1) Changes in foreign exchange reserves affecting net .apital inflow. 2) Intended investments by changing cost of investments (i.e. money supply), or direct intervention. 3) Rural development investments. 4) Oil revenue receipts (i.e. oil taxes). 5) Government expenditures. 6) Government subsidies. 7) Nominal profit rates. 8) Participation rates and working popula Won (i.e. dependency ratio). 9) Rate of increase of irrigation in rice. 10) Rate of increase of fertilizer in rice. 1:1) Rate of increase of area under tree crops and other agriculture. 273e4 Policy Type Parameters: 1) Investment allocation parameters. '2) Tax rates: i) direct, ii) indirect., iii) exports, iv) imports. 3) Subsidies, 4) Price relatives via tax/subsidy. 5) Exchange rate changes 6) Wage policy via wage bargaining or changes in labor income. 27.5 Non-Policy Type Sensitivity Analysis of Parameters: 1) Employment elasticities in all the sectors. 2) Marginal capital output ratic,s in all the sectors. 3) Income per capita in public work. L4) Savings function. 5) Elasticity of demand for different goods. - 52 - 27.6 Non-Policy Type Exogenous Changes in Variables: a) Non-agriculture. 1) Population growth. 2) Changes in world prices. 3) Exports of oil. 4) Technical progress b) Agriculture (presented as initial parameters) 1) Rate of increase of irrigated area under rice. 2) Rate of increase of non-irrigated area under rice. 3) Rate of increase of fertilizer. 4) Rate of increase of area under tree crops. 5) Rate of increase of other agriculture. 6) Growth rate of Forestiy-. 7) Growth rate of Dwellings. 8) Growth rate of Small-Scale (traditional) Industry. Table, 2: .'l4Lernetive Policy= Siritul-ations (1974-85) Basic .16ax- Wa-re -HelaT;.ve Chan-es in T-ndustr-y Chan.ges .Popuiation Changes 4-n Ferzility Subsit- Distr. Price Pifol c Bias in Cashl Cham,es & iZortal ity j Saving .'Reserves (a)Low Fertilit,i ,~o : s oarortal 4 -. . . . : ~(b )r ign- Feru-Lty l .| iHigh Yor tal itry Altr- .(c)High Fert-L'71i"y' natives L ow 11.ortalit-y .'|(a) j (b) (c) vII , vii | x(+) VIII l !|I| x XI(a) ---- - X (c) IIIII x *-"XI' refers to sensitivi my analysis used. ()(-)refe-r to increase or decrease. 54 vI - 28. Computer Simulation: 28.1 Besides our basic alternative (alternative I) we present fifteen additional alternative simulations of the model. Alternative VI explores the implications of the key assumptions in the Indonesian Economic Report of 1975 (IBRD). In this connection, we attempt to formalize many of the implicit assumptions in the Bank Report. The justification for such action is discussed in page 14, of this paper. In additional alternatives, we have focused on testing two li'fforent hypotheses: a) Growth and distributional equity and growth and employment conflict with each other. b) A development strategy with emphasis on industry, expedites growth at the cost of distributional equity. 28.2 Besides those two main hypotheses, we also explored the implications of alternative assumptions regarding a few exogenous variables and policy variables: population, net capital inflow, relative price changes and public saving. 28.3 The development literature consists partly of work that attempts to test these two hypotheses with the help of a theoretical or empirical model, but rostly with hypothetical values. For example, Mr. Paukert (1975) has ricely brought out the trade off between income distribution and growth by assuming alternative hypothetical patterns of income distribution and their impact o'i growth via demand generation. These exercises have, however, two common limitations: 1) they all are open end models and therefore not suitable for dynamic simulation; 2) they fail to consider feasibility because they do not work out the implications of consequential policies. This is precisely where we try to contribute with this paper. We test the above Lwo liypotheses with the help of alternative policy packages in a closed- loop model, so that we can confine our findings within a feasible "policy -.c ge". To insure this our alternative policy simulations all center around +hn "basic solution" which is regarded as the feasible starting point. 28a.4 Altemative Exercises:i/ a) Alternatives. The "basic" policy: A projection model with a maximum number of functional relations derived from the past. XI) A "tpublic transfers" policy improving income distribution with the help of taxes and subsidies. IIi) A "relative price policy" freezing relative prices at the base period. The overall price index is increasing as assumed in the last Economic Report. IV) A "wage policy" stipulating a minimum growth of real income of the wage earners, i.e. laborers. v) A "cash reserves5t policy changing "net capital inflow" from abroad. VI) A development strategy "emphasizing industry" as opposed to agriculture. For this purpose the growth of agricul- *tural investments have been reduced and the rural development program cut in half, VII) "fIncreased Public Saving" by increasing government revenue and decreasing government expenditure. / See Table 2, page 53. viii) "Decreased Public Saving" by increasing government expenditure and decreasing government reveniue. IX) "Reduced Population Growth"', i.e. same growth of working population but lower growth of population. X) "Increased Price of Primary Goods", domestic and foreign. XI) (a,b,c,): Different combinations of fertility and mortality (see Tabie 28 ) and their impacts over a longer time horizon (1974-1997). Further, we have three more alternatives with a slightly different model specification. The ICORts are made inverse fLunctions of the average income in the lowest income class: 1/ Ic See Alternative I, growth case I with new specification of ICOR Ile See Alternative II,distribution case II with new specificatien of ICOR. IVc See Alternative IV, distribution case I=with new specification of ICOR. 28.5 Following are the exogenous variables and parameters of the alternative simulations: Altermative I: The basic run with the initial values, given in Appendix I. Alternative II: The basic run with additional taxation imposed on income class IV and the tax receipts equally distributed in class I, II, and III. 1/ This is 'ased on the assumpbion that when the minimum nutrition level of the poorest class is satisfied, their productive efficiency might increase, leading to a higher outpult for the same capital stock. - 57 - y (347) = 100 in 1973 SUBSIDIES 1 y (348) = 100 in 1973 SUBSIDIES 2 y (.349) = 100 in 1973 SUBSIDIES 3 and growing by 10% per annm-n thereof. Alternative III: Basic run with e4plicit price constraints. y (332) = y (333) = y (486) = y (334) = y (335) y (336) = y (337) y (332) = 1.0 (1973), 1.4t (1974), 1.850 (1975) aind then increasing by 10% per annum. Alternative IV: Basic run with a real wage (i.e. labor income) increase of 2.0 per annum over and above the normal increase in the labor income. y (307) = 1.02 for all years. Altermative V: Basic run with net capital inflow increased exogenously. y (290) = 6.9% (1973) 3.2% (1980) 4.8% (1974) 3.2% (1981) 4.0% (1975) 3.2% (1982) 2.9% (1976) r3.2% (1983) 2.8% (1977) 2.6% (1984) 2.8% (197,9) 2.6% (1985) 2.8% (1979) Alternative VI: Basic run with industry strategy growth. y (312) = investment rural development reduced by 50% y (509) = growth of rice irrigated area 1.02 y (510) = growth of rice fertilizer - 1.08 y (519) = growth of area under tree crops = 1.03 ALTERNATIVE Ic: See Alternative I. The basic run with endogenous ICOR; i.e. lowest income group increasing capital productivity by 15%. ALTERNATIVE IIC: See Alternative II plus Alternative Ic. ALTERNATIVE IVc: See Alternative IV plus Alternative Ic. ALTERNATIVE VII: Alternative VI plus increase in taxes and decrease in public current expenditure. y (523) = Rp. 20 billion in 1973 and increase by 15% thereof. y (524) = Rp. 100 billion in 1973 and decrease by 15%. ALTERNATIVE VIII: Alternative VI plus decrease in taxes and increase in public current expenditure. y (523) = Rp. 20 billion in 1973 and decrease by 15%. y (524) = Rp. 100 billion in 1973 and increase by 15%. ALTERNATIVE IX: Basic run (Alternative I) plus decrease in the population growth rate. Participation rate (623) = .72 ALTERNATIVE X: Basic run (Alternative I) plus increase in prices for food, tree crops and oil. XPECR$ y (493) = 1.0 (1973), 1.3, 1.6, 1.58, 1.7, 1.9, 2.1, 2.3, 2.5, 2.7, 2.9, 3.1 and 3.2 therefrom. XPOIL$ y (497) = 1.0 (1973), 3.932, 5.102, 5.485, 5.842, 6.153, 6.451, 6,7912 8.286, 8.4, 9.056, 9.535. ALTERMIATIVE XI(a) = Low mortality? Low fertility ) ALTERNATIVE XI(b) = High mortality, high.fertility ) See Table 28. ALTERNATIVE XI(c) = Low mortality, high fertility) 59 - VI. FINDINGS1 29. The Basic Run: 29.1. In this run, we used most of the parameters estimated from past data as well as those assessed by sector experts from the basic economic mission tern. We also made the exogenous variables to agree with the values given by different economic mission members. Hence, we regard the projections in this basic run as a feasible starting point for comparison. 29.2. The Bankts Economic Report had an additional goal of placing Indonesia on a certain growth path as well as fulfilling certain employment and distri- biyit,ional objectives. To attend to this, we found that Indonesia needs a higher tax effort and more discipline on her public expenditures and use of foreign exchange resources than what has been observed in the past. Specification (), page 14 of our model deals with the situation. 29-3. The initial values of the parameters and the exogenous variables of the basic solution are given in Appendix I. Appendix III gives the annual changes of all major endogenous variables. Over the decade (1974-85), the goods sector will lose in relative weight of GDP - although rather marginally. Within the goods sector, the non-agricultural sector will grow faster, and its share in GDP will rise from 14.6% to 20.6%. Within the agricultural sector, the high value crops (vegetables, animal husbandry and fishing) will increase at the same rate as GDP, whereas the share of traditional agriculture will fall significantly from 24% to 16% of GDP. lit the service sector, electricity and public 1works will gain significantly in weights, whereas the remaining comnponents of the service sector will maintain their weights. From the basic run, it is also obvious that any growth rate exceeding 8.5% per annum (and for that matter a 10% growth rate is assumed in the economic report) would need 1/ All the alternative simulations refer to non-oil economy. The projections for the oil sector are given in Appendix XI(b). As it is assumed to remain unchanged in all the other runs, it has not been repeated in other results. -i () s ." 3 1t q r;9l-I e- ,,, ]. d umip1 .lt OIl | ts.'/:R t ul t ,,;2' £J'e4 f ro%, :ni )f r e8stri ci-*t rIs i^n ii,:. n.- fo. . u-1-n t >1 llCus,rings. Xn A.t tnrnnve- Vll.S tse growlbh i.s l. lijsud( to 9.7, 1 tpal ,,t'ilur, at the cost o.f -hicre..isiva Lhe averzi.,;u tax La,;.O fzo.., Jj,j to lo, of l I:.l ofk' O! e g.i'ii-I.IeJ t (e,xpendiliu. (s by i,0 ) in JMb:. Allt;evnative VILL ,lso p-ic.iis ;Ca:i. in' income [,ii-ca'i'.ubion by 0.'7,' per n. nlid deproci.,7.irni tLLc currencaq by 0. (1 per aiinurb inra eoirpsrcd to the ba.sic r1u. The coipriisorls bett;enn all a1.ternratives will be (disussU-d in more debe£i. ill ,)()*~~~~~1" ;, II i,.;>.Az It to ;. l Lo].t' II(,Ili R1 lr)COrt 30.1.. Ihile coiparing; our results with ulhose in tw eco;Conoiic repor ;, wc must !heep in rnind `lI;L a . coi,iparison is possiL)ble onrly u.luder broad roa!cXc, brncC.use tihCe eConomEic report dloes not show ainy Larmual brc-,skdoixrn o1' I.,osbv riiajor r1L,oro-economic variabLdles. Ii3csides, tlie model used in the iCcol1o01,ic coport had a d1i.ferent specification from all tle other alternative siriula`ions discussed in this papedr. Flor teexple, the Econornic Rfeport IIodel trealted both t1he,e GDP and investrent growth in several sectors as o::e,;o,nnr)Us. It al.,so -zsup,ed no chl.in-c-s in relative prices. Income distrizbution was z5 c`if)ectod onily b- cha,,ed in saci,wa,.l Tii:: ad e:oenus shifts o.i, , incomeba Y:e' : .c ck.prrlldi.i; onii the rca of ltnE! .pjlo,vent.. r xit:: ;-, rv?ru tr. d av , :,,orou:- and liiports a s residual5. n s :Lr; T r.1e r id1 l, differenco be (3tween investrLcnit and domestic saving. GDP was constro.rnicd oiilhe.l byV tV-h oul)ply of land and felir'ers or by ins;i%tutionuall rigiditi s (O iCtdrad o'1',A.Ji tle 2odelr) or by 'I'le d(,r and for tl1e procdtucts. Futhermore, th preznt- attion of the resourcc s availabtjility nnd remnlf.roiWent in thie `,coro.iCic di.,o: tiS Ir,ad; itiL;lh a dui 'fenru purpose. I*t v,::v the picture o2 an ex ante. dIiSe (;uilibUriux. / The reason for t}-is has been cliscasced in Section IIb of this papnr. F'or llS, see. 2'.oeol,:iic hIepox11r on Indonesia (kited 1975. - 61 - situation, to bring out the extent of the necessary effort to arrive at a near ten percen't growtll rate by the end of the decade. Subject to all these differences, we presenit the model results against those given in the Economic Report in Table 3, for a rough comparison. 61a - Table 2: Conparisons Between h'od"el Values and the Economi1c it,pott EIodel Values ZcoJiuo.ic ReporT (.1,DP Growth Rate (1 973-85) 9.5 10.0 (1984-85) 10.5 Aggregate Investment at 1973 Prices (Rp Billion) 1975 1600. 1600. 1980 3200. 3200. 1985 14910. - Exports at Current Prices (ip Billion) I 974 1824. 1809. (41396.Y) 1980 4760. 4710. (11350.)i' 1985 9131. 9130. (22000.) ; rol.ources used as a % of non-oil GDP" Domestic Saving 1975 21.1 21.3 1980 27.2 23.6 1985 29.7 Foreign Savings 1975 2.3 2.5 1980 1.1 1.9 1985 Investment 1975 21.9 23.1 1980 28.3 29e0 1985 26.8 - Uncovered Sector - 4.1 Sectoral Growth Rate (1975-80) (1980-85) (1975-80) (1980-t5) Rice 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 Other Agriculture 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 Tree Crops 4.5 5.8 4.5 5.8 Animal Husbandry 8.0 8.0 6.0 8.0 Vegetables ' 7.6 9.0 8.0 8.0 Fishery 7.2 9.6 6.2 8.0 Agriculture Total 5.9 6.5 5.7 6.4 Manufacturing Total 14.6 15.8 144.5(1973-78) 17.9(1979-85) , Brackets denote values in us9$ million For Economic Report it is non-oil GDY. 62 - 31. Alternative Simulations: a(i) Growth versus Equity Growth percent per annum of GDP 31.1 In our alternative simulation exercies, we clearly notice that the relationship between growth and distiibution is not invariant to the policies by which it is affected. For example, a comparison between Alternative I, Alternative II and Alternative IV, suggests that the sacrifice in growth is much less in Altelative IV to achieve the same distributional equity over the next decade than in Alternative II. Starting from a high equity (one minus GIllI coefficient) and low growth, as in Alternative II, we used dif- ferent policy packages, to see how growth was increased by sacrificing (income) equality. It is obvious from the above graphical presentation, /how different 1/ Along the x-axis percent growth per annum between 1973-85 and along y-axis the equity coefficient (one minus GINI coefficient), in year 1985, are measured. The coordimates of alternative simulations give the various combination of growth and equity. 63 - alternative simu.lations (representing different policy packages), give dif- ferent trade off ratios between growth and equity, over -the projection period. To put it in a different way, a given sacrifice in equity leads to different additional growth, depending on the policy package used 31.2 All of the alternatives show a negative relation between the two objectives; growth and income distribution. An attempt has been made to roughly estimate their association by the rank correlation method. The value of this rank correlation is as high as -.625: which supports our initial hypothesis that growth and equity in general do conflict with each other. 31.3 a(ii) Growth versus Employment and Poverty 44/ 4) X X 0 H -- C.) Growth percent per annum of GDP - 64 - 31.4 The relationship betweenrl growth and employment is again not invariant to the policy package adopted. In the introduction, we explained that over a wide range this relation can be assumed to be positive. But from our empirical finidings, when we attempted to estimate the nature of the correlation over several feasible alternative policies, we found that the association was very weak, although of positive nature. (Our rank correlation coefficient was as low as + * 102 for all the policies and only rose to + ' 367 when Alternative VI was exclluded). To put it a different way, it seems that growth and employment over a feasible policy range have no significant association. Hence a specific employment policy must be treated separately from a general growth policy. 31.5 Thus to focus the contrast, while arn policy decision to accelerate growth generally involves a compromise with loss in income equity, any policy decision to stimulate employment must be approached consciously as a sepaLrate development exercise. 31.6 Coming to the question of dealing with poverty (poverty being defined as the standard of living below a minimum requirement level), we find from our alternative simulations that employment generation and poverty elimination are highly correlated. The rank correlation coefficient is as high as + * 929. This suggests that a drive against poverty must have an employment policy as a necessary tool, whereas output-growth, employment and income distribution are only subsidiary considerations. 32. The 2ntertemporal Characters: 32.1 The time Epan of the model's "projected period" is divided into two broad periods, 1973-80 and 1980-85. 32.2 From all our simulations it is evidentb that growth in the seco&d period is hiigher than in the first, wherea.s income inequality falls faster in the second. The nar6lnal capital out;put ratio increases more in the 65 - second period, whereas the marginal employment ratio falls at the same time. However, the employment coefficient falls faster in the higher growth case than in the lower growth case, barring Alternative III. Distribution cases comprising tax/subsidy policy (Alternative III) and the wage policy (Alter- native IV) give higher labor component of output. In the "wage policy case" we also get a lower marginal capital output ratio. This explains why an improvement in income distribution, especially in Case IV, can be achieved at almost no sacrifice in "growth". 32.3 Domestic savings rise faster over time in the four "growth cases" (Alternatives I, V, VI, VII) than in the three "distribution cases" (Al-ternatives II, II, IV). This might be the principal reason in reducing growth in most of the distribution cases. The decline in the aggregate capital/output ratio is too insignificant to counteract the dampening effect of the dwindling investable surplus. In Alternative IV the net effect is, of course, favorable. In fact, when investments increase by 12.2% per annum in the "wage" alternative, they increase by 12.65% iri the basic solution. But in spite of this lower investment growth, output grows at almost the same rate 8.5-8.6% per annum, and employment grows faster--3.05% as against 3.0% per annum. 32.4 As for the external sector, the pressures on the foreign exchange resources seem to be almost identical both in the "distribution" and in the "growth" cases. In all cases, (except Alternative VIII) , this pressure on foreign exchange increases in the second phase (1980o85). This is primarily due to twzo reasons: - 66 - i) the demand for capital and intermediate goods imports rises faster with a higher growth in the second phase, although partly reduced by the growth of the import-substitution sector. ii) the benefits of import substitution are largely balanced by a decline in exports because of increasing domestic demand. 32.5 In comparing alternative simulations, we notice that "more equitable" cases have higher demand for rice imports but lesser for in- dustrial imports. In growth case II where indu-stzrial groDiALh is more emphasized, import growth declines (because of large import substitution) at the same time as export growth declines, because of larger domestic consumption. Now there is the question: Does Indonesia show a trade constraint, especially in the Second Phase(1980-85) of her development? In our opinion, with a price rise of l4% per annum domestically, against a world inflation of 7-8% per annum, a shadow depreciation in the exchange rate of 4-5% per annum does not suggest any trade constraint in the Indonesian economy. In expl.oring the implications of not allowing any depreciation in the local currency, we noticed that this will retard the growth rate by nearly .6% per annum over the decade and will increase income inequality significantly. 32.6 Thus, to swumarize, a policy choice between the basic solution and the three distribution cases (II, IV and IX) will depend very much on a) priorities for development and b) feasibility of the different program. From Table 4 it is evident that the tax subsidy approach is more attractive for attaining a minimun standard early in the development process by avoiding too much pressure on the foreign exchange situation. But if employment is the main objective and at the same time, growth is a major consideration, then the wage policy - 67 - approach is better. Whereas the "tax subsidy" approach involves a heavier tax burden, the "wage" approach has the risk of transforming the economy into a higher "capital use" technique. 32.7 Alternative IX, pleads for a family planning program. In order to emphasize the importance of a lower population growth and distribution, we have assiumed a rather ambitious population plan. This alternative tackles the problem of unemployment most directly, but with an initial gestation lag. 32.58 To conclude, all the alternative simulations show that there is a trade off between growth and distribution, but that this trade off is not so high as commonly believed. In fact, quite a few economists believe that any improvement in the living conditions below a minimum standard will increase efficiency so much that capital productivity (expressed as marginal capital output ratio) may even increase. In Alternatives Ic, IIc, and IVc, we tried to build a functional relationship between the changes in the average income of the lowest income group and the marginal capital output ratios of different sectors of the economy. Table 20 gives the result of these simulations. Our findings show that growth and distribution are complementary to each other. An improvement in income distribution, at least in the initial state, stimulates growth by increasing the efficiency of capital use. - 68 - Table 4 GROIWTH OF DIFFERENT INDICATORS PERCENT PER ANNUM 1973-85 Foreign Unemploy- Tax/GNP GINI Poverty Exchange ment rate ratio in Alternatives 1/GDP Coeff. Index Rate in 1985 1985 I 8.6 1.9 -5.7 4.1 04. lh.9 II 8.1 65 Min. Stand 3.9 1.4 19.3 in 1983 IV 8.5 .5 -23.1 4.1 0.2 14.7 Ix 8.7 .6 -14.1 4.5 0.0 15.0 33. Agricultural vs. Industrial Growth Strategy: 33.1 Alternative VI, brings out the growth and distribution implications of a development strategy, which allocates investments more in favor of industry. Compared with the basic solution, growVi is raised-by nearly ,5% per annum over the next decade. The difference becomes more visible in the later period of development (198o-85). This may be due to the fact that ind.ustrial development in general has a higher investment gestation lag. But the distribution effect is more adverse in the "industry"i case, vis-a-vis the "basic" case. The same is true for elimination of poverty and unemployment. The pressure on the foreign exchange is also higher in the industry-oriented growth, although the rise in the domestic price is sharper in the basic case. This is mainly because wage increases are higher in the "basic solution" since unemDloyment is declining faster and exercising pressure on wages (Phillips curve). 33.2 The comparatively faster growth in the "industry orientedt" case can be explained on two grounds: (1) higher savings from. a more inequitable distribution, and (2) lower capital output ratios from a faster growth of the trade and services sectors, which have low capital/output relationships. The tax revenue is higher in the industry-oriented case, because of higher growth rate, but both exports and imports are lower. Imports are low, due to (1) faster growth of import substituting industries and (2) lower demand. for rice (as income distribultion is less favorable). Hlowever, the employment potentialities are reduced because of a switch to a production maix withi J uwur labor intensity. 34. General Sensitivity Test: 3h.1 Several additional alternatives have been simulated to test the sensitivity of the model, vis-a-vis different values of major exogenous variables: (1) population (Alternative XI(a)(b) and (c)-; (2) prices of primary goods such as agriculture and mCining (both domestic and foreign), (Alternative X); public savings (budget savings or deficit), (Alternatives VII and VIII); (4) changes in foreign exchange reserves (or net capital inflow), (Alternative V). 34.2 Our findings show that an increase in public sa-ving (Alternative VII) (a 15% increase in tax revenue and a 10% reduction in government expendit- ure in current price) would promote gruwth significantly (nearly 1.0% compared to the basic solution) without raising the average tax rate significantly. 34.3 Alternative X shows that if prices of primary goods (agriculture and mining) improve in the future, Indonesia will start to grow faster. The effects on income distribution will hiowever not change significantly from the basic solution, since the benefits of favorable price movemients initially - 70 - would go to the rich entrepreneur. 3h4. The sensitivity tests regarding different population growth have bcen carried out in Alternatives XI(a), XI(b); and XI(c). However, the different changes in the population do not exercise any significant impact on growth, income distribution or employment over the next decade, i.e. by 1985. Therefore,we extended the time horizon of the model up to 1997.-/ Ovtr three alternatives (XI(a), XI(b), XI(c)) regarding changes in mortality, leetillity and participation rates are given in Table 28, Appendix IV. Population is increasing very slowly in Alternative XI(a), whereas in Alternative XI(c), population is increasing very fast, almost at the present very high rate. In Alternative XI(c), nearly 3.2 million more persons will be added to the total population by 1997, compared to Altermative XI(a). The economic and social consequences of this accelerated population 2/ growth appear to be very gloomy, although perceptible only after 1985- It w111 result in a significant decline in the rate of growth of real GDP. Unemnployment, poverty and income inequality will go up. This gloomy picture is still there in spite of the fact that in this alternative a more labor- iriteusive technique was assumed. Our finding is not surprising. Increased population does result in higher consumption, lower saving and lower average income of the wage earmers and the poor. The decline in output in Alternative XI(c) will be nearly by RS. 400 billion, or 6% of the GDP of 1974 at 1973 price. In the lower population growth case, Alternative XI(a), full employment can 1/ The assumptiond regarding "net capital inflowlt are different in these alternatives compared to the rest. They have been revised downward in the light of later information regarding commitments made by other aid donors. (World Bank CPP 1975). 2/ See Table 29, Appendix IV. - 7'1 be reached by 1997, whereas in the highier population growt. case, Alternative XI(c), it cannot be reached in this century. However, the wors-t effect of the higher population growth case is a much higher poverty index, nearly 65% higher in Alternative XI(c) compared to Alternative XI(a). 34.5 We have also attempted to explore the implications of a monetary policy in Indonesia for different development strategies. In general, we notice that a ratio of money expansion of 22-24% per year will be warranted in all the alternatives. The highest ratio of growth of money expansion will be warranted, both in Alternative VII (i.e. the economic report case)l/ and Alternative X. However, the money demand increases least in the wage alternative (Alternative III) and most in the economic report case (Alternative Vii). 35. .Conclusions: 35.1. From this paper we make two sets of conclusions: The first one is regarding the observed pattern of development; the second one is regarding the policy lessons from alternative development strategies. 35.2. The observed patterns of Development. a) Indonesia is no exception to the general growing awareness among the developing countries of the importance of under- employment and unemployment in their national policies. b) Also, like the rest of the developing world, Indonesia is heading towards a more uneven income distribution unless the Government intervenes with an active distribution policy. c) Indonesia shares an "urban bias" growth, with heavy emphasis on the organised industrial sector. This would result in a more uneven income distribution, a lower rate of employment and. a higher pressure on her foreign exchange resources. 1/ Economic Report equivalent modified model. lc) u.LiJ': >lo.'1 0 U' ''S-&i !t-.,si Lmefi ,tt h e ,cent rise in oil prices. This bene "it has accrued msinly in the Public SicTor s Go-rnmeiit reve. ':. i1his enihacces si rni. fi cautll the role of Piublic Sector Investment ProgrLar; ilr111(ljorLeCia. 3 5)33. The Polic,r L .;ss>ons f-rom kl`½ernative D]evelopment Strategies0 a) First, tlhe question of atr .lc-off betweuen esuibt nd growth can be explored only in t1he context of specific policy i.ieasures. Any gen erlization alboi.t growbiih and imicoic (liscriuution without reference tho ( specilic COUttQy or s oL;e Of development or without considering the whole range of policy stralegies is inadvisable. It seems that within the restricted range of feasible policies, a choice between the two goals iz unavoidable in Indonesia. There is, however, a large room for manoeuver in selecting the right policies for optimizing the social priorities for growth and income distribution. b) Second, for attacking the problem of unemployment, an active employment policy mriust be implemented. Any exclusively "grovwthi oriented" strategy, without a coniscious ermiployrnent efil'ort, might not be successful in reducing unemployirient, since there is only a weak correlationi between growth and employment. c) Third, for eliminating poverty, (ie. attaining a certain rr,iniriul standard of living) an ermployment policy is more directly relevant than an exclusive "Growth" policy. d) Fourth, the relationship betweeni growth and income distribution is significantly Effected by the set of policy tools available to - 73 - the public autthorities. The relevant "policy set" is not confined to income distrib-ution only. For examn-ple, any specific public action to bring the economry to an equilibrium. si tuation from an initial supply/demand disbalance, will directly affect the relationships between growth and disbribution. e) Last, althoughl a change in the population assumption does not influence growth or employment in the short - or medium period, its effCect over a long period is very significanit0 Hence, in any perspective planning formulation of this count,ry, population policy should have a very high priority. APPENDIX I.A EXOGENOUS VARIABLES Variable Number A. EXPORT VALUE (1973 Billion Rs) 1. Export of Fishing and Animal Husbandry (239) 2. Export of Oil (362) 3. Export of Manufacturing (534) B. EXPORT PRICE INDEX (1973 = 1.0$) 1. Manufacture (435) 2. Tree Crops (493) 3. Forestry (495) 4. Fish and Animal Husbandry (496) 5. Oil (497) 6. Mineral (498) C. INPORTS VALUE (Current Billion Rs) 1. Import of Non-Factor Services (Net) (500) D. IMPORT PRICE INDEX (1973 = 1.0$) -1. Manufacture (491) 2. Food (492) E. OTHER BALANCE OF PAYMENTS VARIABLES (Current Billion Rs) 1. Net Factor Service Income (Rs) (192) 2. Net Private Transfers (dollars) ( 86) 3. Net Public Transfers ) (180) F. INVESTNENTS (1973 Billion Es) 1. Intended Investment (279) 2. Mineral (282) 3. Rural Development (312) 4. Minico (420) G. PUBLIC FINANCE (Billion Rs) 1. Oil Revenue (Current) (321) 2. Government Expenditure (Constant) (322) 3. Government Subsidy (Constant) (302) 4. Non-Tax Revenue (Constant) (319) 5. Discretionary Taxes (Current) (523) 6. Expenditure Economy (Current) (524) 7. Subsidies Class 1 (347) 8. Subsidies Class 2 (348) 9. Subsidies Class 3 (349) H. RETURNS FROM CAPITAL 1. Nominal Return from Capital Food (453) 2. " " " Manufacture (456) 3. " Construction (457) 4. " " " Transport (458) 5. ' " " Other (459) 6. Changes in the Rates of Return on Capital (485) APPENDIX I.A Page 2 Variable Number I. LABOR PRODUCTIVITY CHANGES 1. Labor Productivity Cl±ainges in Mineral (462) 2. " " Other (466) J. CAPITAL PRODUCTIVITY CHANGES 1. Capital Productivity Changes for all Sectors 433, 467-473 K. DEMOGRAPHY 1. Dependency Ratio (623) 2. Working Population (695) L. OUTPUT 1. Growth Area under Irregated Rice (509) 2. t t " Non-irregated Rice (514) 3. " Fertilizer (510) 4. " Area under Other Agriculture (516) 5. " if Tree Crops (519) 6. " Value Added Mineral (247) 7. It" " Forestry (205) 8. it it Dwelling (266) 9. G.D.P. oil (311) APPENDIX I.B PARAMETERS Agriculture 1. Elasticity of rice output changes to changes in irregated area 1.8 2. "i it t " " "i non- " " 0.66 3. " t " " t " " fertilizer use 0.59 4. " " tree crop output changes to changes in area 0.998 5. i" other agriculture output changes to changes in area 0.51 6. ,, It 11 11 it 1 , land productivity 0.089 7. Elasticity of vegetable output changes to changes in vegetable demand 1.0 8. Value added/output fishing 0.90 9. I " " animal husbandry 0.90 10. " II l rice 0.96 11. * It 'l tree crops 0.40 12. " " " forestry 0.89 13. ICOR animal 2.23 14. I fishing 2.88 15. " forestry 0.57 16. I tree crops 8.20 17. " other agriculture 2.00 18. Increase in intermediate imports of animal husbandry 3% 19. Domestic demand elasticity for tree crops to changes in constant GDP at factor costs 0.60 20. Domestic consumption parameter of forestry 8% 21. Employment elasticity agriculture 0.20 22. Fish expenditure elasticity class 1 1.75 2 1.44 3 1.13 4 0.725 23. Animal husbandry " " 1 3 2 2.38 3 1.86 4 1.29 24. Vegetables " " 1 1.04 2 1.06 3 1.11 4 1.12 25. Rice " " 1 1.81 2 0.717 3 0.447 4 -0.14 Non-Agriculture 1. Value added/output consumption goods 0.50 2. " capital goods 0.25 APPENDIX I.B Page 2 Non-Agriculture (Cont'd.) 3. Value added/output public work 0.40 4. It construction \ 40 5 if i mineral U.50 6. " " " electricity 0.70 7. ICOR capital goods (3 yrs. lag) 4.0 8. " intermediate goods (3 " " ) 4.0 9. " consumption " capital intensive (3 " " ) 2.7 10. " ft i labor (2 " " ) 2.5 11. small scale manufacture (1 l " ) 1.5 1.2. transport (3 " ) 6.0 13. " banking (1 ) 1.2 14. services ( 1.2 15. trade (1 " " ) 1.0 16. public administration (1 " ) 1.2 17. construction and dwelling (1 " " ) 2.0 18. " electricity (1 " )l0.0 19. Demand elasticity for trade vis-a-vis goods sector 1.10 20. "" transport " 1.10 21. it banking " I II 1.10 22. I1 services " " 1.00 23. Employment elasticity large scale manufacture 0.35 24. " " small " 0.6 25. construction 0.6 26. electricity 0.2 27. transport 0.4 28. " banking 0.6 29. services 0.5 30. trade 0.5 31. public administration 0.5 32. Percent of working population in mineral 2% 33. it It public administration to GNP 16.8% 34. Income/capita public works 40,000 Rs 35. Mineral component of large scale manufacture 2.1% 36. Construction component of capital formation: 37. (a) mining, manufacture and transport 30% 38. (b) rest of the economy excluding rural development 65% 39. Machinery component of capital formation 45% 40. Industry electricity demand coefficient per unit output: ,(a) capital goods 0.45 (5) intermediate goods 0.196 (c) consumption " capital intensive 0.035 (d) IV " labor if 0.082 41. Consumer Electricity demand as a percentage of GDP 14% 42. Base period investment allocation between (a) capital goods 7.7% (b) intermediate goods 55.2% (c) consumption " capital intensive 12.6% (d) ' labor 24.5% APPENDIX I.B Page 3 Non-Agriculture (Cont'd) 43. Working capital as a percentage of GDP changes 20% 44. Replacement capital as a percentage of GDP 1% 45. Demand elasticity for manufactured consumption goods: (a) lower income classes 1.0 (b) higher " " 1.3 46. Intermediate import/output elasticity 1.008 47. Price elasticity for intermediate imports 2.78 Public Finance 1. Direct tax elasticity to changes in current GDP 1.3 2. Indirect 'I 11 t1 f It 1.13 3. Import i t " imports 1166 4. Export It ' " exports 1.098 Income/Expenditure 1. Real savings interest 7% 2. Minimum disposable income before savings 40,000 Rs 3. Income/capita unemployed labor 1,000 Rs 4. 1973 average disposable income class 1 16,600 Rs 5. Efficiency elasticity to standard of living 0.15 6. Minimum income requirement 24,000 Rs 7. Income elasticity lower income classes 0.8 8. " " higher " " 0.3 9. Domestic component of gross domestic expenditure 88% 10. Imported " i t " " 12% 11. Phillips-curve wage cut-off-point 5% 12. Wage adjustment 2% Monetary Demand elasticity for money to: 1. charges in real output .529 2. " " iast year's real money balances .729 3. inflation rates - .518 (as coefficient) APPENDIX II Explanation of variables and the equation system in numerical order. The equations are presented in FORTRAN. DEBT SUB-MODEL (in millions of current $) APPENDIX II A Variable Variable No. Name No. Name 11 Amortization New Loans ODA 73 New Disbursements ODA 14 it if Multilateral Agencies 77 it" Multilateral Agen^ies 15 " " " Commercial Credits 82 " Commercial Credits 16 " " " Export-Import Bank 83 " Export-Import Bank 18 i" " Private Governments 85 ' Private Governments 20 " it Other " 87 " Other 21 Interest " " ODA 97 ' i Grants 24 It " Multilateral Agencies 107 Total New Commitments 25 " " Commercial Credits 122 " " Disbursements 26 " " Export-Import Bank 127 Total Amortization New Loans 28 " " Private Governments 128 New Net Disbursements ODA 30 t , Other 132 " " Multilateral Agencies 36 New Commitments ODA 133 " " Commercial Credits 40 " Multilateral Agencies 134 " " Export-Import Bank 45 " Commercial Credits 135 " " Private Governments 46 " Export-Import Bank 136 " " Other 48 " Private Governments 137 " " Total 50 i" Other 142 Total Interest New Loans 60 " Grants 143 New Net Transfers ODA Appendix II A p.2. EATH MODEL: Variable Variable Variable Nurber Name Number Name Number Name 71 Erport Price Index 197 ) 209 Average Expenditure 1973=1.0 ) c.(3) Fishery ) Debt Sub-lModel 72 Import Price Index 198 ) 210 Average Expenditure 1973=1.0 ) c.((4) Fishery 154 Terms of Trade Index 199 ) 211 Average Expenditure 1973=1.0 c.(l) Animal Husbandry 156 Terms of Trade 200 Select variable 212 Not used Adjustment 157 Exports Adjusted for 201 Total Expenditure 213 iNot used Terms of Trade Fishery 190 Not used 202 Total Expenditure 214 Average Exoenditure Animal Husbandry c. (2) Animal Husbandry 191 Not used 203 Value added 215 4ffyGoss National Product Tree crops C,urrent Market Price 192 *Current Factor 204 Value added 216 Average koxnenditure Service Income Other agriculture c. (3) Animal Husbandry 193 Not used 205 Value added 217 Average Expenditure Forestry c.(4) Animal Husbandry 194 Not used 206 Value added 218 Average Exoenditure Fishing c.(l) Vegetables 195 Time (1973=1.00) 207 Average Expenditure 219 Average Expenditure c.(l) Fishery c.(2) Vegetables 196 Not used 208 Average Expenditure 220 Average Expenditure c.(2) P-iEhery c.(3) Vegetables Appendix II A - p.3 Variable Variable No. No.. Name 147 New Net Transfers Multilateral Agencies 176 Total Disbursements 148 ' " Commercial Credits 177 Amortization 149 " Export-Import Bank 178 " Interest 150 " I Private Governments 1i .179 Net Disbursements 151 " " Other 180 i' 1 Transfers 152 tl Total 181 " Debt Outstanding and Disbursed 158 Debt Outstanding & Disbursed ODA 182 " Commitments 162 """ Multilateral Agencies 197 Total Interest/Total Debt Outstanding 163 " " Commercial Credits 198 " Amortization/ "" 164 " Export-Import Bank 199 " Debt Service/ " 165 " Private Governments 86 Net Private Transfers 166 " Other 421 Net Transfers (current $) 167 I Total 303 Foreign Savings (current Rs) 168 " Grants 169 Total Existing Disbursements 170 " Amortization 171 " Interest 172 " Net Disbursements 173 " Net Transfers 174 ? Debt Outstanding 175 " Commitments Appendix II A - p.4. K4AIN I.ODEL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name Number Name Number Name 221 Average Expenditure 233 labor 2 45 ?opulation c.(L) Vegetables Public Work Labour Surplus Absorption 222 Total Expenditure 2314 Value Added: 2146 Saving at constant prices Vegetable Agriculture 223 Average Expenditure 235 Value Added: 247 Value Added: c.(l) Rice Large Scale Manufacture Kineral 2214 Average Expenditure 236 Iabor 2148 Value Added: c.(2) Rice Mineral Construction 225 Average Expenditure 237 Constant Price Exports: 249 Consanmer Goods c.(3) Rice Tree crops Consnr Deoas 226 Average Expenditure 238 Constant Price Exports: 250 Value added C.(4) Rice Forestry Trade 227 Total Expenditure 239 Constant Price Exports 251 Value Added: Rice Animal alnd Fishing Transport 228 Labor Productivity 2140 Value Added : 252 Value Added: Service Sector Rice Banking 229 Income per capita, Service 241 Value Added : 253 Value Added: Manufacture Public Administration 230 labor Productivity 242 Investment 254 Value Added: Trade Manufacture Electricity 231 Income per caDita, trade 243 Population: 255 Value Added - Public Work Dwelling 232 Value Added: 244 P opulation: 256 Non-Wage Index Change Goods Sector Mineral Hard Mineral and Oil Appendix II A p*.5. MAIN MODEL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name Number Name Number Name 257 Average Propensity 269 Constant Exports: 281 Investment to Save c.(2) onoil Sector oii 258 Average Propensity 270 Current Exports: 282 Investment to Save c.(3) Oil Mineral 259 Average Propensity 271 Constant Exports: 283 Investment to Save c. () Hard Mineral Construction 260 Current Price Non-Tax R-'venue 272 Value Added: 284 Investment Public Work Trade 261 Growth Transport Sector 273 Constant Exports: 285 Investment Oil Banking 262 Constant Price Demand for 274 Terms of Trade Index: 286 Investment Consumer Goods-Low Inccme Group Non-oil Sector Electricity 263 Ccnstant Price Demand for 275 Terms of Trade Index: 287 Net Investment Consumer Goods-High Income Group Oil Sector 1973 Billion (Rp) 264 Export Price: 276 Terms of Trade Index: 288 Working Capital Non-oil Non-oil Sector 1973 Billion (Rp) 265 Export Price: 277 Real Wage Index 289 *GDP Current Factor Cost Oil Billion (Rp) 266 Growth Rate: 278 Abnormal Profit Rate 290 External Capital Inflow Dwelling Ratio to GDP 267 Income: 279 Intended Investment Total 291 Terms of Trade Adjustnment: Labor Absorption Sector (Rp) billion, 1973 price Oil Sector 268 GDP : 280 Total Investment- 1973 292 Constant Direct Taxes Factor Cost (Non-oil) Billion (Rp) Appendix II A - p. 6. ,,:-AIN OII0EL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name Number Name Number Name 293 Current Direct Taxes 305 Total Savings Current 317 Current ii@Orv5 Current billion (Rp) Consumer Goods 294 Current Indirect Taxes 306 Total Investment 318 Constant Indirect Taxes Current Billion (Rp) 295 Current Import Taxes 307 Adj. Wgage Index 31:9 Constant Non-Taxes 296 Current Eport Taxes 308 Export Non-oil Sector 320 Goxverr..ment Current (Capacity to import) Revenues (1973 Billion Rp) 297 GDP Deflator (1973=1.0 Rp) 309 Investment 321 Current Oil Revenue Agriculture 298 Current Imports 310 Export Oil Sector 322 Constant GovernirL-e..t, (Capacity to import) Exnpediture (1973 Billion Rp) 299 Current Exports 323 Value Added 311 GD? oil Sector Vegetable s 300 Exchange rates 312 'Investment 324 Value Added Rural D;evelop--eiwL, Animal Husbandry 301 Domestic Savings Current"Price 313 Gross Domestic income 325 Gross Domestc Income billion (Rp) Non-oil Sector 7 - (ro.i) 302 Constant Price Subsidies 314 Gross Domestic Income 326 Investment Oil Sector Transport 303 Foreign Savings Current 315 Current Imports 327 Household Savings Billion Intermediate Goods Current Billion (Rp) 304 Cost of Living Index 316 Current Imports 328 lotall HesouTces Ux: Rp.1973=1.0 Capital Goods 1973 lior 'Hp) Appendix II A - p.7. HAIN l;OEL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name Number Name Number Name 329 Gross National Income 341 Value Added Coefficient: 353 Constant Price ImTort Won-Oil Sector Manufacture Consumer Goods 330 GrossiNational Income 342 Value Added Coefficient: 354 Total Resources availability Oil Sector Construction (GDY + Resource gap) 331 Gross National Income 343 Value Added Coefficient: 355 GNP 1973 Billion (Rp) Transport Non-Oil Sector 332 Domestic Price Index 34h Value Added Coefficient: 356 GNP Food Other Oil Sector 333 Domestic Price index 345 Tariff Change, Du.nmly 1 357 Import Substitution of Other Agriculture intermediate imports 334 Domestic Price Index 36 Exchange Rate Change 358 Not used Manufacture Duimmy 2 335 Domestic Price Index 347 Subsidies c. (1) 359 Constant Price Import Construction 1973 Billion (Rp) Rice 336 Domestic Price Index 348 Subsidies c.(2) 36o Costt Price Imports, total Transport, 1973 Billion (.Kp) 337 Domestic Price Index 349 &bsidies c .(3) 361 Current Total Gap Other Domestic 1973 Billion (Rp) 338 Value Added Coefficient 350 Constant Exports 362 Oil Sectorts Food: OlSco 339 Value Added Coefficient: 351 Constant Price Imports 363 Current Exports Other Agriculture Intermediate Goods Tree Crops 340 Value Added Coefficient: 352 ConstantPrice Imports 364 Current Exports Mineral Capital Goods Forestry Appendix II A - p. 3. MAIN M'ODEL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name Number NIame Number Name 365 Current Exports 377 Domestic Saving 389 Cumulative relative Animal and Fishing 1973 Billion (Rp) disposable income c.(l) 366 Current Exports 378 Disposable Income Total 390 Cumulative relative Hard Mineral 1973 Billion (Rp) - disposable income c.(2) 367 Current 1-ports 379 Population Total 391 Cumulative relative Manufacture in 1,000 disposable income c.(3) 368 Constant Tmport 380 Replaenlt Capital 392 Cumulative relative Non-factor Services disposable income c.(4) 369 Current Imports 381 Relative Population 393 GINI-coefficient Rice c (l) 370 Elchange Rate Change Index 382 Relative Population 394 National Sa .4 (2 ) 1973 Billion0Rp) 371 Constant Imports 383 Relative Population 395 Reserve Money Intermediate Goods Adjusted c.(3) 372 Adjusted Import Price Index 384 Relative Population 396 Money (Rp) c.(4) 373 Constant Imports Adjusted 385 Relative disposable income 397 ICO)R,Capital Goods c.(l) 374. Current Imports 386 Relative disposable income 398 ICOR,Intermediate Goods Intennediate Goods Adjusted c.(2) 375 GNP Total 387 Relative disposable income 399 ICOR,Consumer Goods: 1973, 1973, Billion (Rp) c.(3) Capital Intensive 376 Consution TqtaT 388 Relative disposable income 400 ICOR, Consumer Goods: 1973 Billion (Rp) c.(4) Labor Intensive Appendix II A - p. 9. JIj'AN MODEL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name Number Name Number Name 401 ICOR 1413 Not used 425 Residual Investment Animal Husbandry 1973 billion (Rp) 402 ICOR:. 414 Current Imports: 425 Fishing Adjusted 1426 Total imports (unadjusted)at current price, less rice & nfs 403 IC OR: 415 Current Total Gap 427 Import of capital goods (switch - Tree Crops Adjusted ing technique to Eiports) 1404 ICOR: 1416 ICOR: 1428 Import of consumption goods Other Agricultture Transport (switching technique to exports) 14O5 Current Subsidies 41:7 ICOR: 429 Import substitution ratio Services 406 ICOR: 418 ICOR : 430 Lagged constant price Construction Public Administration capital goods imports (427) 407 IC OR : 419 ICOR :- 431 Lagged constant price Trade Traditional Industries consumption goods imports (428) 1408 ICOR: 420 Minimum ICOR 432 Lagged capital goods imports Banking (427) at current price. 409 ICOR: 421 Net Transfers 433 Capital Productivity Index Electricity Current Million $ 1973=1.0 410 Unemployment Rate 422 Not used 434 Current Government T5cpend- iture 41.1 Not used 423 Not used 435 Export Price Index Manufacture ($) 412 Total Expenditure last year 424 Not used 436 Export Price Tndex 1973 billion (Rp) Yanufacture, Domestic Appendix II A - p.10. Variable Variable Variable Number Name umb er Name Number Name 437 Export Price Index 4h9 ^Jage (Labor Income )ndex in 461 Labor Productivity Tree Crops: m- ,t,)Pti c Other Sectors , 1973=1. OC Index Ot;aer Agriculture 438 Export Price -ndex 450 Total GDi5, Lactor cosu 462 Labor Producuivity T-dex Forestry: Domestic 1973 Lillion (Rp) Mineral 439 Export Price Index: Fishing 451 Gross Domestic Income 463 Labor Product,ivity Index and Animal Husbandry: Diomestic Factor cost Manufacture 440 Pbcport Price dex 452 Consumption 464 abor Productivity Tnde-. Oil: Dorestic '1973 -i'oinr (Hp) Cons'ructicm 41 Export Pricae Index 453 Non-wage Index L65 abor Prodauctivizy Index Hard Mine;'al (Rp) Food - 1973=1.00 TransDort 4 L2 Lagged consumption goods 454 Non-wage Index 4.66 Labor Productivity Index imports (428) at current ptice. Other Agriculture 1 73=1.00 Other 443 Wage Index (labor income) in 455 Non-wage Tndex 47 Capital Productivity Index Food. 1973=1.0 Mineral Food 1 44 age (labor income) Index in 456 Non-wage Index 468 CapzitL Productivity Index Other Agriculture ,1 7^=1.0 Change Yaufacture Other Agicture W45 Wage (labor income) Index in 457 Non-wage Index 469 Oapital Productivity Index IMineral, 1973=100 Change Construction Mixneral 446 T1Tage (labor income) Index in 458 Non-wage Index 470 Csmital Productivity Tndex ?''anufacture;, 973=100 Change 'fransport 'anufacture 447 TWlage (labor income) Index in 459 Non-wage Index 471 Capital Productivity Tnde-x Construction , 1 93=10C Other 1973=1 .00 Construction 448 sage (labor income) Index in 460 labor Productivity index 472 Ca:pital Productiavity Index Transport , 97 3= 0 Food 1973= ..0 Transport Appendix II A - p.ll. KAIN iIGODEL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name Number Name Number Name 473 Capital Productivity Index 485 Non-wage Index Change 497 Export Price Index Other Oil ($) 1973=1.00 474 Import Price Index 486 Price Index 498 Export Price Index Food Mineral Hard Mineral ($) 1973=1.00 475 Import Price Index 487 Consumption Domestic 499 National Saving Other Agriculture at current price 1973 Billion (Rp) 476 Import Price Index 488 Resources Gap. 5°° Current Imports Mineral 1973 Billion (Rp) Non-factor Services 477 Import Price Index 489 Resource use 501 Accumulated Surplus Manufacture 1973 Billion (Rp) Absorption 478 Import Price Index 490 Money Demand 502 Domestic Demand Construction Tree Crops 479 Import Price Index 491 Import Price Index 503 Investment Transport Manufacture ($) Animal Husbandry 480 Import Price Index 492 Import Price Index 504 Investment Other Food ($) Fishing 481 Wage Index Change 493 Export Price Index 5°5 Investment in Food Tree Crop ($) 1973=1.0 Forestry 482 Accumulated Unemploynent e494 Exchange Rate Index 506 Investment Rate 1973=1.0 Tree Crops 483 Non-wage Index Change 495 Export Price Index 507 Investment Other Agriculture Forestry ($) 1973=1.00 Rice 484 Domestic Savings 496 Export Price Index 508 Investment 1973 Billion (Rp) Fishing and Animal ($) 1973=1.GO Other Agriculture Appendix II A - p.12. MAIN MODEL: Variable Variiable Variable Number Name Number - liamne Number Nane 509 Growth of Area under 521 Poverty Index 533 Population,Trade Sector Irrigated Rice 510 Growth of Fertilizer 522 Terms of Trade 534 Constant Exports Rural Sector Manufacture 511 Value Added 523 Current Discretionary 535 Government Savings Rice Irrigated Taxes Current billion (RP) 512 Value Added 524 Current Expenditure Economy 536 Concessionary Savings Rice Non-irrigated Current billion (Rp) 513 Area uxnder 525 Non-factor service income 537 Investment (Rp): Irrigated Rice 1973 Billion (Rp) Services 514 Area under 526 GNP 538 Value Added Non-irrigated Rice 1973 Billion (Rp) Services 5i5 Area under 527 GNY Constant 539 Investment (Rp) Tree crops 1973 Billion (Rp) Public Adminstration 516 Area under 528 Cumulative Savings 540 Value Added Other Agriculture c.(l) Capital Goods 517 Fertilizer 529 Cumulative Savi:ngs 5L1 Investment c.(2) Capital Goods 518 Time trend 530 Percentage Unemployed 542 Value Added Intermediate Goods 519 Growth of Area 531 Cumulative Savings 543 Investment under Tree Crops c.(3) Intermediate Goods 520 MIoney Transfers, needed to 532 Labor 3urplus Shh Value Added Consumption reach minimum standard Absorption Toods, Capital Intensive Appendix II A - p.13. AIjlf MIODEL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name NNumber Name 5Value Added Consuption 57 Indirect Taxes c.(l) 569 Average Disoosable Income Goodss Labor Intensive 1973 billion (Rp) c8(3) 1973 (Rp) 558 Value Added Disposable Income c.(2) 570 4verage Disoosable Income Traditional manufacture 1973 billion (Rp) c. in 514.7 Irnvestent~Consuiaption 559 Income c.(2) 1973 571 Populatic c.(l) in 1000 Goods, Labor Intensive billion (Rp) Idvestment Consumption 560 Indirect Taxes c.(2) 572 Population c.(2) in 1000 Goods, Capital Intensive 1973 billion (Rp) 549 lavestment 561 Disposable Income c.(3) 573 Population c.(3) in 1000 Traditional Industries 1973 billion (Rp.) 550 Expenditures 1973 562 Income c.(3) 574 Population c.(4) in 1000 billion (Rp) c.(l) 1973 billion (Rp) 563 Indirect taxes c.(3) 575 Population 551 Expenditures 197356 193blin Rp Agriculture c -(l) billion (Rp) c. (2) 1973 billion Cap) Arcluec l bill-ion uRes G1973 564 Disposable income c.(4) 576 Population Large Scale 552 Expenditures 1973193blin(p Manufacture C. (1) billion (Rp) c.(3) 1973 billion (Rp)uat l 553 Expenditures 1973 Income c.(4) 1973 577 Population Small billion (Rp) c.19 ) billion (Rp) Scale Manufacture c .(1) 554 Total Expenditures 1973 566 Indirect taxes c.(4) 78 Poprulation billion (Rp) 1973 billion (Rp) Construction c.(l) bDisposable Income 1 1973 567 Average Disposable Incom-e c. (1) 579 Elaectricity c (n) billion (R?P) 1973 (RP)Elcrit c() 556 Incomec.(l) 1973 568 Average Disposable Income c.(2) 5&o Population billion (Bp) 1973 (p) Transport c.I(1) Appendix I A - p. 14. :(AL Y0OREL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name N umber - Name Nulmb er Name 581 Population Banking c.(1) 593 Population: 605 Population: Service c-.(2) Agriculture c.(4) 582 Population Public 594 Population 606 Population :TLrge Scale Administration c. (1) .Trade c. (2) I4anufacture c. (4) 583 Population-: 595 Population 607 Population Small Service c (l) Agriculture c.(3) Scale Manufacture c. (4) 584 Populationr: 596 Population : Large 608 Population N Trade c.(l) Scale Manufacture c(3) Canstruction c. (4) 585 Population: 597 Population : 3nall 609 Population Agriculture c.(2) Scale Yanufactire c (3) Electricity c.(L 586 Population : Large Scale 598 Population: 610 Population Manufacture c . (2) Construction c. (3) Transport c. (4) 587 Population: Small Scale 599 Population : 611 Po-pualion ITanufacture c. (2) Electricity c . (3) Banrking c.(4) 588 Population: 600 Population : 612 Population: Construction c. (2) Transport c.(3) Public Administration c .(4) 589 Pop-uolation: 60l Poulation: 613 Population Electricity c.(2) Ban6king c . (3) Service c.(4) 590 Population: 602 Population: 614 Population Transport c.(2) Public Administration c.(3) Trade c.(h) 591 Population '603 Population : 615 Average o'xn enditure Banking c. (2) Serv-ice c . (3) 1973 (Rp) c.(l) 592 Population< 604; Population: 616 Average Expenditure Public Administration c-(2) Trade c.(3) 1973 (Rp) c.(2) Appendix II A - p.15. lAIN l;ODEL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name Number Name Number Name 617 Average Pbpenditure 629 Average Income c.(1) Large 641 Average Income c.(l) 1973 (RP) c.(3) Scale Manufacture Electricity 618 Average Expenditure 630 Average Income c.(2) Large 6h2 Average Income c.(2) 1973 (Rp) c.(4) Scale Manufacture Electricity 619 Average Propensity 631 Average Income c.(3) LarEe 643 Average Income c.(3) to Save c.(l) Scale Manufacture Electricity 620 Labor Productivity 632 Average Income c.(4) Large 644 Average Income c.(4) Agriculture Scale Manufacture Electricity 621 Employment Elasticity 633 Average Income Small 645 Average 7-ncome c.(1) Agriculture Scale Manufacture Class(l) Transport 622 Income Per Capita 634 Average Income Small 646 Average Income c.(2) Agriculture Scale Maiufacture Class(2) Transport 623 Dependency Ratio 635 Average Income Small 647 Average Income c. (3) Scale M'anufacture 1lass(3) Transport 624 Population 636 Average Income c.(4) 648 Average Income c. (4) Agriculture Small Scale Manufacture Transport 625 Average Income c.(l) 637 Average Income c.(l) 649 Average Income c.(l) Agriculture Construction Bank 626 Average Income c.(2) 638 Average Income c.(2) 650 Average Income c.(2) Agriculture , Construction Bank 627 Average Income c.(3) 639 Average Income c.(3) 651 Average Income c.(3) Agriculture Construction Bank 628 Average Income c.(4) 640 Average Income c . (L) 652 Average Income Agriculture Construction Banking Appendix II A - p. 16. K4AIN MO:DEL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name Number Name Number Niame 653 Average Income c.(l) 665 Labor Pro*ductivity Large 677 Labor Productivity Public Administration Scale Manfacture Electricity 654 Average Income c .(2) 666 Employment Elasticity 678 Employment Elasticity Public Adminstration Large Scale Manufacture Electricity 655 Average Income c.(3) 667 Income Per Capita 679 Income Per Capita Public Administration Large Scale Manufacture Electricity 656 Average Income c.(4) 668 Population 680 Population Public Administration Large Scale Manufacture Electricity 657 Average Income c.(l) 669 labor Productivity 681 Labor Productivity Service Small Scale Manufacture Transport 658 Average Income c.(2) 670 Employment Elasticity 682 Employment Elasticity Service Small Scale Manufacture Transport 659 Average Income c.(3) 671 Income Per Capita 683 Income Per Capita Service Small Scale Manufacture Transport 660 Average Income c. (4) 672 Population 684 Population Service Small Scale Manufacture Transport 661 Average Income c.(l) 673 Labor Productivity 685 Labor Productivity Trade Construction Banking 662 Average Income c. (2) 674 Employment EL-.sticity 686 Employment Elasticity Trade Construction Banking 663 Average Income c.(3) 675 Income Per Capita 687 Income Per Capita Trade Construction Banking 664 Average Income c.(4) 676 Population 688 Population Trade Constraction Banking Appendix II A - p. 17. LAIN IKODEL: Variable Variable Variable Number Name Number Name Numb er Name 689 Labor Productivity Public Administration 690 Employment Elasticity Publi! Achdinistration 691 Income Per Capita Public Administration 692 Population Public Administration 693 Employment Elasticity Service 694 Surplus Labor 695 Labor Force 696 Employment Elasticity Trade 697 Not used 698 Value Added Mineral 699 Total Demand Intenaediate goods 700 Population Service APPEND:IX I1B 8670n/87700 F U P T P A N C 0 P I t A T I 0 N M A R K 2.7,013 THURSDAYe 07/03/75 07:15 PM SSET LIBRARY S AUTOBIND LINE'NFO C 00010000:5 SHOST IS (BLI6RY)UBJECT/BTGRSImL C 000:0000:5 START OF SEGMENT 002 SUBROUTINE EGUAT C O021O00O0O COMMON X(700)rY(700) ,Z(700, 10),GAMMApEXCK,ITT C 002:0000:0 C C 002t000010 C INSERT STRUCTURAL EQUATIONS C 0021000010 C EXISTING DEBT C 00210000O0 Y(169):X(169) DBX C 0021000010 Y(17O)x-"X(17O) AMT C 0021000115 Y(171)c-X(171) tNT C 002OO0315 Y(174)zX(174) DOD C 002S0005S5 Y(175)xX(175) COm C 00210007:4 Y(172)=Y(lbq)&Y(170) NET C 002:000913 Y(173)zY(172)&Y(l71) NTR C 002100OC13 C NEW PUSLIC LOAN COMMITMENTS C 0020OOOF:3 Y(36)uX(36) COMODA C 002:OOOFt3 TFCX(36).LT.O,5S.ANDX(36),GT,.00) Y(36)UZ(36, 1 )*(1&X(36)) C 00210011:2 Y(4o)*X(40) COMMAG C 00210019:0 TFCX(40),LT.O,5,AND,X(40),GT,,00) Y(40O)Z(40,1)*(l&X(40))4 C 0O2:001At5 Y(45)xX(45) COMCCR C 0021002210 1FxC45),LT,05*.ANDX(L45),GT,.0O) YU45):Z(45#l)*(l&X(45)) C 002:0023:5 Y(46)aX(46) COMEXM C 0021002810 TF(X(46),LT.0,50AND,X(46).GT.00) Y(46)xZ(46,1)*(l&X(46)) C 0021002CkS Y(48)*X(48) COMPGV C 0021003410 IF(X(48).LT.O.5.AND.X(48).GT..0o) Y(48)zZ(48p1)*(1&XC48)) C 0021003535 V(50)ZX(50) COMOGV ( 0021003D0O TF(X(SO),LT.O.,5AND,X(5O),GT,,00) Y(50)UZ(50, 1)*(&X(50)) C 002:003ES5 Y(6o)uX(60) COMGRT C 0021004610 TF(X(60).LT,0352AND,X(60),GT,.O0) Y(6O)xZ(60p1)*(l&X(60)) C 0021004715 Y(107)zY(36)&Y(40)&Y(45)&Y(4')&Y(48)&Y(50)&Y(60) COMPUS C 002:004F:0 C NEW PUBLIC LOAN DI8BURSEMENTS C 0023O057:0 Y(73)xX(73) DBNODA C 002:0057:0 Y(77)XX(77) DBNMAG C 002:0055g YC82)=X(82) DBNCCR C 0021005A14 Y(83)*X(83) DBNEXM C 002J005CS3 Y(85)XX(85) DONPGV C 0021005EI: Y(87)ZX(87) D8NOGV C 0021006031 Y(97)X(97) DBNGRT C 002:0062:o Y(122)2Y(73)&Y(77)&Y(82)&Y(83)&Y(85)&Y(87)&Y(97) DBTPUtB Z 00230063:S Y(tI)m"X(11) AMTOA C 002:006B:5 Y(14)*-X(14) AMTMAG C 0021006DIS Y(15):-X(15) AMTCCR C 0021006F:5 YC16)zx-(16) AMTEXM C 002:0071:5 Yc18)=-X(18) AMTPGV C 00210073:5 Y(20)x-X(20) AMTOGV C 00230075:5 Y(127)lY(11)&Y(14)&Y(15)&Y(tb)&Y(18)&Y(20) AMTPUB C 002:007715 Y(21)--X(21) INTODA C 002:007Et5 x Y(2at-X(24) INTMAG C 00210080o5 H Y(25)--X(25) INTCCR C 002:0082:5 t Y(26)=-X(26) INTEXH C 002:0084t5 I Y (8)z-X(28) INTPGV C 002:0086:5 YC3o)=:X(30) INTOGV C 002:0088:5 Y(lu2):Y(21)&YC24)&YC25)&Y(26)&YC28)&Y(30) INTPUB C 002:008AI5 C NET TRANSFER FORMAT C 00210091tS Y(128)Y(I11)+Y(73) NETODA C 002:009155 y(vsz)=Y(i4)+Y(77) NETMAG C 0021009415 Y(133):Y(15)+Y(82) NETCCR C 002:0097,5 Y(13Q1zY(16)&Y(a3) NETEXM C 002!009AI5 Y(135)VY(18)&Y(85) NETPGV C 0023009DI5 YC136):Y(20)Y'(87) NEToGV C 002:00A01S Y(137)St(122)+Y(127) NETPUB C 002:00A3:5 Y(143)XY(21)+Y(128) NTRODA C 0020OA615 Y(la7):Y(24)+Y(l323 NTRMAG C 00210GA9t5 Y(14B)=Y(25)+YC133) NTRCCR C 002:OOACI5 YCl9):CY(134)+YC2b) NTREXM C Oo2sOOAFt5 Y(V50)=Y(135)+Y(28) NTRPGV C 002:00B215 Y(151)xY(30)+YC136) NTROGV C 002100BS:S YV152)=Y(137)+Y(142) NTRPU6 C 002:006B15 C DEBT OUTSTANDING AND DISBURSED C 0020OBB:s5 Yt58)z7(158vI)+YVI28) DODODA C 0020088:5 YV(62)zZ(1b2v1)*Y(132) DODMAG C 002:00BES5 Y(I63)=Z(163#1)&YC133) DODCCR C 002i00C1:5 Y(164)=Z,(164,1)+YV134) DODEXVA C 002100C415 Y(165)xZ(165#1)+Y(135) DODPGV C 00210OC?15 Y(I66b)Z(1b6b1)+YCI3b) DODOGV C 002100CAZ5 Y(168)sZ(168 1)+Y(97) DODGRT C 002:OOCDs5 Y(167):Y1b1)iY(162)+*YC63)+Y(1b4)+Y( 65)+Y(16b)&Y(168) DODPUB C 002:00D005 C TOTAL DEBT C 002:0oD0S5 Yt176)ZY(169)&YC122) DBTOT C 00?10OD085 YV(77)mYC170)&Y(127) AMTTOT C 00210ODBS5 Y(178)=YC171)&Y(I42) INTTOT c 002OODE35 Y(179):y 172)&Y(137) NETTOT C 002100E1.5 YC18O)zYC173)&Y(152) NTRTOT C 002800EA:5 Y(181)Y(174)&Y(167) DODOT C 002:OOE715 Y(182)uY(175)&Y(107) COMTOT C 002OOEA:5 Y(1q8)m'YV177)/Z(81#,I)*100 AMT/O0 C 002300ED35 Y(fq7)2-Y(178)/Z(I81,1)*100 INT/DO C 00230OF113 Y(1Q9):Y(197)+VCl98) DS/DOD C 002:00F0Sa C ICOR C 002a00Fa:l YC3q7)zZ(397, 1 )'Z420, 1) ICOCAP C 0020oOF81z YC398)mZC398, 1)Z(420,1) ICOINT C 002300FDI; Y(399)%Zt399,1)-Z(420vI) ICOCOC C 002t1OFE:1 Y(400):Z(L400I1)uZ(420,1) ICOCOL C 002:0101:1 YC4o1)=Z(40II)-ZU420O,l) ICOANM C 002:010411 Y(4o2)zZ(402#1)-Zt420,1) ICOFIS C 0021010>!1 Y(4o3)xZC403#1).Z(420,1) ICOCRP C 002:OlOAt, Y(4nu)=Z(404f1)-Z(420,1) 1COOAr) C 0021010O01 Y(U0b)mZC406*1)-Z(420v,1) ICOCNS C 0023011011 Y(4n7)vZt4O7pI)Z(420.1) ICOTRD C 00210i13:1 Y(4O8)=Z(408,1)-Z(L20,1) ICOBNK C 00210116:1 y(4n9)xZ(409,I)-Z(420.1) ICOELE C 0021011911 YUA1b)=ZC4I6,1)-ZC420,1) ICOTAP C 0021011OCt. Y(ai7)mZ(417,1)-Z(420,l) ICOSER C 0021011IF1 Y(A19)=Z(419,1)-Z(420,1) ICOTRI C 002:0122:l Y(4j7)=zZ417,1)-Z(420,l) ICOSER C 002:0125:1 Y(418):ZCS18,1).ZC420,1) ICOPAD C 00210128:1 C PRICE RLOCK C 002:012Bs1 C LABOR PRfDuCTIVITY C 002:0128B1 y(i46o)-((Y(h20)/.098)-I.) PRFOOD C 002101,2BUi Y(461)z((Y(b20)/,098)-1.) PROTAG C 0021012Ft4 Y(462)z0.U59 PRMING C 00210133:14 Y(463)=(CY(665)/,631)-l.) PRmANF C 002:013611 Y(LA643=((Y(673)/.277)1 a) PRCNST C 0021013A&4 PQTRSP C 0021013ES4 y (, o0T C 0 02:10 14 2:14 c PROFDI -_'r~ C 002:014511 Y(,?T-')=xi279) EXINV C 002:0145:1 Y(7lX(7,)AEqI.PFT C 002:014711 NW~CHOA C 002:0149:1 17 u/(97, I) ~Y 4ml) NINC HM 0 C 0 0210151 it ,. -F0 OD C 00210156:1 T F LA "S ( yUJY3))SLI) I (3:h,~¶xL5) C 00210158:1 YCZN5,1*l,(u3) aLTAG C 0021015D:3 Y ~Z ( 4 5 b 1*1 D'-,,MI NG C 002:0160:5 Y(or,,1)Y (uJ$31 .j~,IA f` F C 002: 0164:31 V ui'7 z=Y('53) 'vCNST C 0021016u11 '. \ lr ,)=, wTRSP C 0 021 0168:1 y (ws)=Y ( 453) ~,0(Tm1 C 0021016A: EC~)lL3,1* xrocPR C 0021016C:l y(d0)=Y (t33) CPRFOfO C 002:0170:2 Y( 4, l=y3s) CPROAG C 002:017212 YCQ6j='('JV) CPR'MTN C 00210174:2 Y(L47l1)=YC43.6) fl P vF C 0 02: 0176:2 Y(Uj7 )=y(u33) CPNC'IJS C 0021017812 C'47c?)=Y (43 6) CPRTMP C 0021017A:2 Y(Q7)=yu3l CpnTH C 0023017EL2 C EX PC T ~'-'TCFS 0,uLLa4 Q73= C02317L y(Q)A(q)XPSECP C 0021017Ei2 y(jqs)=x(zJq5) YP$FOR C 0028018012 Y(q)X(v)XP$F&A C 00280182:2 YCU7)k(97 )PS iI L C002:0184:2 f(aj5)=x(43lj) XP$MNF C 002:018812 C EXPz'4T PICFS uS 1973=1:1,(s C 002101BA:2 Y):Z.)=(~49,1)*Y(4~35) XPAN C 0021018A12 Y(o7):z(49Qz,l)*Y(LjQ3) YPECRP C 002:OIBD:2 YCjl=(q,)YUS x(PPQR C 002:0190:2 Y(4q)Z(4j,)*YUq) PF&AN C 002:0193:2 Y 431)Z * (49)x P0 IL C 002:019612 Y(I4jl)=L(u9q,1)*YCLu9b) -xPHmT,4 C 002:0199:2 C JKPORT 041CES PS I1 Q 1.l1 rPF C o02:019Co2 Y74=(tQ94,)*Yu94 PFC011 C 0021019E:2 Y (I7S'Y~y(474) MPOAGR C 002:OIA1i2 YC41J1)=XCU91) 14P$HNF C 002t01A312 fe47'i)=Y(L477.t 1)*(Lzl)MPAG C 002:01AS12 YCb7e~)=Y(4.74) -'PC NJ ST C 002101AA:2 Y(L79)=Y (477) MPTPSP C 002o10AC12 ,v i= (77 POT,i C 002101AE12 C W~AGE k~A1t C 002:0180:2 y(g2)zc1i, 'mb1~NEAC C 002101B012 VC(;4JqI)=((3d14)-ZC( Pu, 1 )/Z(S1)z, I)-Y ("e~) VC HF 0 1 C 002:0184:2 F O F00) C 0 02: 01098:2 Y ( L u i) y ( -443 C 0T AGk C 002: O ISC s4 V ai) (u"L3) "' NN( C 00201lBEL4 Y(Udt)=Y(44&3) M.tANuF C 002:olCo:L8 YCLi.7)zY(4L43) ;~,LtvST k C o0 2 :0 1C 2:a Y(4,IAM:Y(4a43) TSP C 0 02 :OI1C J4 i: iAO 200 3 d3 TV (6tA8(t')Z:(S)A £:b£sQvZOo 3 DI31^ ?SAMISA-(U 1ziSSOEXOO 3 93 IN8V C(T'r4i7)L/Z-(A ) 3 :SI O (C 1 LI 5) / (1 l SL r5) 7- (Ls )A ) mt)| l1I:ZEOI?OO 3 9dI tIFI)/(#I)-CI)18IX)+U l'(#1)-llS7:I'A H4 tIJIAU12ou 3 1Ii.2 (OIS)A"tl'LtS)Z:(LIS)A >C IZiQtoo 3 Sdt8V OUS)Ai( I '0 1)ZCS)A l1v1ioS2OO 3 U43A8s CoITS) =(t})I)A lI9i0 2 00 3 u m NI (21T)X=L21i)A 1t91iOtOO 3 SA .NOIllH J.NVISNQO3 £LbI 030GJv 3nlOA -4301 1if diflO 3 2 12002 3 Q*, I'I( LL.2)A (01o '19' tLt2)A) j1 s 3oioa oo 3 CL Lt))A' (ItDtiO jZ/( tIP(J )Z- hti)A)) I O16o:0o:20o 3 g39vb -(I' 5 Oi Z/( ( t i'i )Z-(it7 t,) A)(LLE)A o0S4o0o0Z0Oo 3 1c m (LOi) X= ( L (. 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C'U) ) -f2ti i A "' t10ZOt OO 3 tleivw q3118d 3 2:O1 O 1OO 3 HIOoVA COgt7Q)000'0C CiLi?) A C6tr A) I t7t I: (94t)A- C7)A)*W t*:(t rDi)A 21tO2O02OO 3 J810YA (blW7)A*SCf)',w (cAL (wyis ) L) L9I 't '4( c ;9 q A- VD 2) *L a0IFtli A 2 4IO osoI 2 SN3OVA ( 9Lt )A SP i)1 I Lt AXl(LS lA *;L ItI( P9 t A -LP " A+L14? O 2 "E A e:03i0t2oo 3 ANWOvA (L BA4SRoU(ULI t) L AALS QC,t) 2 eE'L (CCi)At7 A-( 9s7A)4fLlo(-(II;i)A ?303)o:ZfOU 3 NIwOVA (9)LV)A*1Oo"O A(69-CA tSrq A *D . >((e cot)A -St7tb)A) I1 2?? o = 1?)A Zt7()O eOQ 3 sJVU3O4t (St)ALt (13ttl)A(i7A+9sb tr')A-(l7t,n)A)uy7to:-tbii)A 17 S )I : MQ? C o 0t) 40I t ttL)A O ti (t9 1t)A'X L i'h)t- 6Ltt w N( 04 P A- it, A 17tt) -W- i A, f73ltO c( (3 X I VtW L[.Id IJU fldNI 3 29Hlo I t HiCA Z ( t, ) (htlt7 A y (2n3)=Z2'lip I)*( 1 .&.098* (y (519)-27015 I 1 )/Z ('150 1)) VAECRP C 002: 03a I:3 Y('i1b)=2t5.1J@*t,'7f AOTAGR C ')02:034823 Y(St):Z(5lIY,l)38 TTREND C 002t034C:2 Y(2nu)tZ(LJ4, l)*(t I*(Y(%1b)-Z(51Yp I J )/ZtSlb, l VAOTAG C 0021034Eb4 l &,/)8Q*(Y(5lA8-Z(S1P,:))/Z(518)) C 002S0354t5 V(?o5)=C2(ds5,V)*1,1 VAF0F C 002:035A:3 Y(219)=X(239) EXF&AN C 0021035Es2 IF(ABS(Y(239)),LT.1) Y(239)=ZC23Q, l)*C&X(239)) C 00210360:1 YC?0b)^C(2( 64)'Z(?3Q1)*.Q*.q)*( i.&(Y(p01)~Z(2rul ))/Z,(201, 1 ) ) VAFISH C 002:0365t2 &Y(239)*.90*.93 C O02z036FI3 TF(Y(20b)/Z(206,1).GT.1,.08)Y(20h):Z(2n6?1i)*1.08 i C 0021037413 Y(3?3)zZ(323,l)*(t.&((Y(222)-Z(222,1))/t(222,1))) VAVEG C 00210378B2 IF(Y(323)/Z(323,1).GT1.0o8)Y(323)=Z(32311*l1.08 C 00210380:4 Y(3pu)=Z(324tl)*(1.K(Y(2(2)-L(2A2, t))/L(202,l))&Y(239)*.9O*,07 VAANIM C 002:0387:2 -Z(324,1)*.03 C 0021038F21 IFrYt324)/Z(3241).GT.1.08)Y(324U:ZC324o.)*1.o8 C 00210394:3 Y(234):Y(240)&Y (203)KY(204H)Y (205)KY(20t) Y(323)&Y( 324) VAAGR C 0021039812 Y(2Q7)=Z(247#1)*1,08 VAMINR C 002303A312 Y(2o8)5l(Z(82,1)&Z(242, 1)&Z(32b ))*.3*,4*l,1b&Z(287,1)./(282,l). VACNST C 002103A712 I Z(242,l)-Z(326,1))*.65*.45*1,16 C 002to38391 2 -Zt31. 1)*0.b5*C 002039: Y(222):Y(241)&'Y (234)&Y(247)KY(248) VAGODS C Q02503C2t3 Y(250):Z(250,1)*(I.,&110*((Y(232)-Z(232,1))/Z(232t,))) VATR^0 C 002103C7t3 Y(251t)Z(25~1)3*(1,g1,l0*((Y(232)-ZR32,1))/tZ(32.1))) VATRSP C 0024'^3CE&3 Y(252)zZ(252,1)*C1.l1.10*((Y(232)-Z(232,1))/Z(232.1))) VA8ANK C 002:03D5:3 Y(?53):-33.9&,1o8*CY(232)&Y(25t)&Y(252)) VAPADH C 002:03OCt3 Y(272)mY(312)*O.L VAPiqRK C 002tO3E4t2 Y(2s4)s(YC(45))*J45&Y(542)*.196&Y(544)*.035&Y(545)*.082)*,70& VAELEC C 002tO3E8t2 I *0014*Z(2b68,1) C 002Z03F7:1 Y(266)Z (26b,l)&X (266) GRDWEL C 002:O3FA12 Yt2S5)mZC255,1)*Y(266) VADWEL C 002:03FD:2 Y(S38)=Z(538,l)*(l.1,00*( (Y(232)-Z(232iI))/Z(232.1))) VASERV C 002:040012 TF(Y(532).LT,0,0) Y(538)zZ(538,1)*(I .&((U(700,1)-ZC700.2)) C 0021040610 1 /Z(70O,2))/Y(693))) C 0021040813 TF(Y(532),LT.O.O.ANO.Y(538).GT.Z(538i1)) Y(538)-Z(538,1) C 0021040E:O Yc4o0):Z(5U0,1)A(Zt54I ,1)K7CblJ12)KZ(Su,3))*.33/Y(397) VACAPG C 00210413:4 TF(Y(050).Gt. tZCS40,1)*1.1)) Y(590)=Z(S40,t)*1,S C 002: 04183 Y('42)Z(512,l)&(Z(543, l)&l(9L3,2)&Z(543,3))*.33/Y(398) VAINTG C 002:042212 TFCY(542).GT,(Z(542,1)*1.3)) Y(So2)L(F42,I)*1.3 C 002:042A:3 Y (5Iq)= , I) (Z (547, I)Z(507, Z) &Z (50 ,3) )* ,33/Y (3Q9) VACOCP C 002:043112 7Ffy(454).Gr,(Z(5t4,l)*1 ,3)) Y(544):Z(5u4,1)*l.3 C 002:0434t3 Y(Su5)-Z(54btl)&(Z(S4, 1)8Z(508,23)*.50/Y(400) VACOLH C 002:0440:2 TF(Y(545).GT.(Z(54r,,1)*1,3)) Y(5uS)sZt545,1)*1,3 C 002:0447:3 Y (235)ZY (540) Y (542) &Y (504) tY(545) VALMF C 002:044E:2 Y (L)Zi(54b,) *t&.8* ( (Y (555)RY (5S8) Y(5b1 )'2(555. 1Z (558,1) VATRIN C 002:0453:2 1 sZ51,1))/(Z(555,l)g2ZSs8,1)KZC5b¶ ,l)))&,3*(CY(S64)-Z(564, C 002:0458:4 2 1))/Z(5bu,1))) C 002:0462:5 Y (2al )=Y5O)&Y (542)&Y(544) Y(545)&Y(S4) 9VAMAN C 002:0465:3 Y(2hA)=Y(232) KY(255).Y(250)&Y(251)KY(252)&Y(253)KY(25t4) GDP'IFC C 002:046B:3 I &Y(538)&YC2677)Y(272) C 002:0473:1 C EYPORT 1973 bILLIOtN RS C O02:0476:3 YC9o2)-Z(502,1)* .&.b0*(((?Y8Y-Z2b8, l))/Z(26R,I))) DDMCRP C 002:0476:3 Y(2;7):Y(203)*2,5tY(502) EXECRP C 002:047D:3 Y(238)zY(205)*1,12-,OO*Y(2b6) EXFOR C 002:0482:2 Y(3b2)zX(Cb2) EXnIL C 002:04a9:2 Y(271)=Y(247)*2,0-Y(235)*.?0l EXHWI-4 C 002:0488:2 Y (534)=X (534) XMANUF C 002tO4QO13 TF(ABS(Y(534)).L..1) Y(53u)mZ(5a, l)*(iKX(534)) C 0021049q13 Y(350):Y(Z37)&Y(238)&Y(239)RY (362)kY(271)RY(53U) XCONST C 0021049715 1 -Ztq27, 1 )-Z('^. 1) C 002tOll9E:3 C EXPOBT CURRENT BILLION RS C 00210Y4AOS5 Y(3b3)=Y(237)*Y(437) EXPCRP C 002:04A015 Yt364)mY(236)*Y(438) EXPFOR C 002104A315 Y(365)zY(239)*Y(u39) EXPF&A C 002104A6b5 Y(270'mY(3b2)*Y (40) EXPOIL C 002:04A915 Y(36b)tY1271)*Y(44j1 EXPHMN C 002104ACt5 YV 47)zY(S34)*Y(u36) EXPMNF C 002104AF5S Y(299):Y(3b3) Y(3b4)&Y (365)SeY(270) tY(3bb) Y(367) EXPORT C 002:v4Bi215 1-7h27,1)*Y(436)-2t42A,l)*Y (436) C 002:0489:3 C IMPORT 1973 blLLIOq RS C 002t048Dt5 YC(31);EXP C.47&1 .nnO*ALOG(Y(?1t))&2.78*ALnG(Y(297))-2,78*ALOG( MINTER C 002J0460D'5 Y(4L92))) C 002104C913 Y(352)-Y(280)*.45b.Y(54n)*a MCAPG C 0OO2L04CB1 TF(Y(352),LT.0.O) Y(352)=(I,o C 002:04DOS Y M?7)oY(280)*.45-Y(54P)*U HCAPG2 C 002t040310 IF(Y(427) ,GT.O.n) Y(427)zo,1" C 002504D075 Y (3b8)=Y(500)/Y(4P80) MNFS C 0021040A1O C IMPOPT CuPRE,dT BILLION RS C 002tO4DDsO Y(snO)=X(500) IMPNFS C 002t04PD0O IF(ASS(V(500)),LT.l) Y(50()cZ(50on,1)*(1&X(500)) C 0o0o24DF:O Y(3j5)=Y(351)*Y(474) IMPINT C 002904E4:2 YC3t6):Y(352)*Y(477) IMPCAP C 002t04E7:2 C FISCAL BLOCK C 002104EAt2 Y(523)=ZC523,1)*1 *5 DDITAX C 002104EA32 Y(5t2)z(524,1)*i.15 DPUEXP C 002104EE12 Y(321)%X(321) OILREV C 002104F2&2 TF(ABS(Y(321)),LT.1) Y(321)=Z(321,1)*(i&X(321)) C 002O04F4s 2 Y(293)=EXP(-6,b1.30*ALOGCYC(2A9))) DTXCU C Oo2t04F9:4 I ,Y(523) C 00230501:0 Y(29R)=(Y(293)/Y(?97)) OTXCON C 00230502:1 YC294)zEXF(-5.070R1,13U*ALOG(Y(289))) INTXCU C 002to50511 Y(3t8'3)Y(294)/Y(297) INTXCO C 002tOSOCil Y(295)=EXP((2,8851.166*ALOG((Z(315,1)&Z(316, 1)Z(317,1)))) MTAXCU C 002:O05oF:1 Y(2Q6)aEXIC(3,7O9&1,O98*ALOG((Y(299)mY(270)))) XTAXCU C 002105181 Y(319)-X(319) NT AXCO C 002:0520:1 TF(ABS(Y(319)).LT.1) Y(319Q)Z(319ql)*(i&X(319)) C 002:0522:1 Y(260)=YZ319)*Y(297) KTAXCU C 002:052713 Y(320)=Y (321)&Y (293)&Y (294)gY(2q5)kY(29b)aY(260) - GREVCU C O02O052AI3 Y (3n2)=X(302) GSUBCO C 002s053113 IFCABS(Y(302)).LT.1) Y(302)mZ(302,1)*(t&x(302)) C 0021053313 Y 4o5)zYC302)*Y(297) GSUBCU C oo2to53B15 Y (322)=X(322) GEXPCO C 302l053B15 IF(ABS(Y(322)).LT.1) Y(322)=Z(3?2,l)*(j&XC3?2)) C 002t053D:5 v(434)zY(322)*Y(297) GEXPCU C 00210543:1 -1 Y(524) C 002:0545:5 C GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT CtIFRENT tTLLION RS C 002:0547t1 Yf1Q2):X(192) FACSER C 002:054711 TF(ABS(Y(192)).LT.1) Y(1Q2):Z(192,1)*(1&X(192)) C 002054910 Y(215)-Y(289)&Y(?9U)&Y(295) YC?9 2)-Y( 192) GNPCUR C 0021054E:1 C INCOmE DISTRIBUTION BLOCK C 002105541 Y(2n0)zX(fnA)&Z(2nfl,) SELECT C 002:0554:1 TF(Y(2OU),EQ.1.) GC TO 100 C 002O0557:0 Y(620):ZCb2fl,1)*(1.&C3 (b?I))*(tV(23J)-7(234,1))/Z(234,1))) LPYAGR C 002to557t5 Y(6?l)=X(b2l)&Z(621,l) ELAGR C 0021o55E:3 Y(622):(Y(620)/Y(623))*(Y(332)/Y(297)) PYAG C 002s0561:3 Y(b2L)=(Y(234)*Y(332)/Y(297))/Y(622) POPAG C 00210566:3 Y?625)=Z(625,1)*(YC622)/Z(b22,,I)) AVIAGI C 0021056B83 Y(b6b):ZCb2btl)*(Y(622)/Z(b??,l)) AVIAG? C 002:056FI3 Y(hP7)=Z(627,l)*(Y(622)/Zt6?2,1)) AVIAG3 C 0021057313 Y(628):Z(b28,l)*¢Y(622)/L(62,I)) AVIAG4 C 0021057,--' Y(575):Z(S7S,1)*(Y(624)/Z(b24,1)) POPAGI C 002:057683 Y(585)=Z(585.l)*CY(624)/Z(62rI,)) POP&G2 C 002:057F:3 Y(595)XZ(595,l)*CY(624)/Z(b2?Ll)) POPAG3 C 00210583s3 Y(605)sZ(605p1)*(Y(62f)/Zt624,1)) POPAG4 C 0028058713 Y(6655)Z(b85,l)*(l.&t1 ,eY(bbh))*((Y(?V5)-Z(235,1))/Z(235,1))) LPYLMF C 0021058BO3 Y(66b)=X(666)&Z(b6A,I) ELLMF C 00210592:1 ',(667)=tY(6b5)/Y(b23))*(Y(334)/Y(297)) PYLMF C 0023059511 Y(64h8)(Y(235)*Y(334)/Y(297))/Y(667) POPLMF C 002:059Al1 Y(629)=Z(629l )*(Y(667)/Z (~7,l) ) AVILMI C 0023059Fil Y(Cb0)-Z(b30.l)*(Y(bb7)/Z(I67,1)) AVILM2 C 002105A3t1 Y(631)=2(b3I,1)*(Y(6b7)/(b667,1)) AViLM3 C 002:05A7:1 Y(632)t(632,1)*CY(667)/Z(667,1)) AVILM4J C 002:05A5S1 Y(57b)-Z(576b1)*(Y 668)/Z(bb8,1)) POPLMI C 002s05AFtl Y(5sb):Z(586 1)*(Y(668)/Z(bh8,1)) POPLM2 C 002105B3:1 YC5Q6)=Z(596.1)*(Y(668)/Z(668,1)) POPLM3 C 0021058711 Y(6Ob)XZ(bO6.1)*(Y(668)/Z(6bB8,1)) POPLML4 C 002:058t31 Y(66Q):Z(669hl)*(1.I(.tY(670)3*C(Y(546)bZ(5ab,I))/Z(546,1))) LPYSMF C 002:05BFI1 Y(b70)=X(o70)&Z(b7n,1) ELSMF C 002:05C515 Y(671):(Y(669)/Y(623))*(Y(334)/f(297)) PYSMF C 002305C81S Y(672):(Y(546)*Y(33a)/Y(297))/Y(b71) POPSMF C 002505CDtS Y(b33)=Z(b33,1)*(Y(671)/Z(671,1)) AVISMI C 0021050235 Y(6343ZZ(b34,1)*(Y(671)/Z(671,1)) AVISM2 C 002:0SD615 Y(b35)3Z(635,1)*(Y(671)/Z(671,1)) AVISM3 C 002tOSDA:5 Y(636).Z(636b1)*(Y(671)/Z(671,1)) AVISM4 C 002105DEIS Y(577)xZ(577,U)*(Y(672)/Z(672,1)) POPSM1 C 002:OSE2:5 Y(587)BZ(587,1)*(Y(672)/Z(672,I)) POPSM2 C 002:05E635 YC5Q7)aZ(597,1)*(Y(672)/Z(672,1)) POPSM3 C 00230SEA:S Y(607)XZ(bO7l,1)*(Y(672)/Z(672,1)) POPSM4 C 002105EEt5 Y(673):Z(673,l)*(l.&(I,-Y(674))*((Y(248)mZ(248,1))/Z(2438,))) LPYCNS C 002105F215 Y(674)RX(674)&Z(b74,1) ELCNST C 002:05F913 Y(675)3(Y(673)/Y(623))*(Y(335)/Y(297)) PYCNST C 002 05FC13 Y(h76):(Y(248)*Y(335)/Y(297))/Y(675) POPCNS C 0020601t3 Y(578)2Z(578,1)*(Y(676)/Z(676,1)) POPCMI C 002:060613 YC588)=Zt588,1)*(Y(676)/Z(b76,I)) POPCN2 C 0021060A13 Y(598)ZZ(598,l)*(Y(676)/Z(b76l,1)) POPCN3 C 002:060EI3 Y(608)UZ(8o8,l)*(Y(676)/Z(67b,1)) POPCUa C 002:061213 Y(637)EZ(b37,1)*(Y(675)/Z(b75,1)) AVICNI C 0023061613 Y(638)3Z(638,1)*(Y(675)/Z(6759,)) AVICN2 C 0021061A13 Y(639)=Z(639,1)*(Y(675)/Z(b75,1)) AVICN3 C 1023061Ei3 Y(6Lo)xZ(t40,l)*(Y(675)/Z(b75,1)) AVICN4 C 002a062213 Y(677)aZ(677,1)*(lt,C1.-Y(678))* (VY(254)-Z(254,1))/Z(254,1))) LPYELC C 002:062613 YC678)=X(C78)&Z(678,1) ELELEC C 0021062D:i Yt479)z(Y(677)/Y(623))*(YC334)/Y(2Q7)) PYELEC C 00?10630:1 Y(6bO)aCY(254)*YC334)/Y(297))/Y(h7q) POPELC C 0023063511 Y(57Q)-Z(57q,1)*(Y(680)/Z(bPO,IJ) POPELI C 002b063At1 Y(589)xZ(589,1)*(Y(680)/ZCbo0,1)) POPEL2 C 0021063E:l x Y(599):Z(599,1)*(Y(680)/Z(b80,1)) POPEL3 C 0021064211: Y(bA9):-CbOt9,1)*(V(680)/Z(6R(I)) , POPEL4 C 0021064btl Y(b41)-:Z(641,1)*(Y(679)/Z(679.1)) AVIELI C 0021064A:I -4 Y(6a2)Z(642,1)*(Y(67q)/Z(b79,1)) AVIEL2 C 0021064EA1 Y(643)=Z(b4331)*(Y(679)/Z(b79,1)) AVIEL3 C 002:0652:1 Y(644)w(044,1)*tY679)/Z(679.1) ) AAVIEL4 C 00210656:1 YC.t,l)UZ(b8ll)*CI.L(1.WY(6M2))*C(Y(251)-Z(25. 1))/Z(251l1))) LPYTRP C 0021065AI1 Y(6b2)=X(b82)&Z(682,1) ELTRSP C 002:0660s5 Yb"R3: tY81)/Yb23*((~as)zif33 /Y(q7)' PYTRSP C Oc.nm3z5 R4)-(Y t251)*Y(336)/Y(t297) )/SY^A3) POPTRP C OC23066815 Y(5Ao)-Z(5$l0,1)*(Y(684)/Z(6.-4pl)) POPTP1 C O021O66DS5 Y POPTP2 C OZatO&71S5: Y(E~nO))= (b(1O) 11 *r(V68L fl(684, 1 ) ) POPTP3 C 00230675t5 Y(bi)=Z(b610,1)*tY(684)/Z(684,1)) POPTPLI C 002106.79:5 Y (6U5):Z(t45, 1)*(Y(683)/Z(683, 1)) AVITPI C 0022067D:5 Y(64b)=Z(b46,1)*(Y(683)/Z(6f83.1)) AVITPa2 C 0O2to68sg5 Y(b47):Ztb7,1)*(Yb83)/Z(bR3,14) AVITP3 C 002o06B5W AXVITP4' C 002O3b89i5 Y9):Z1S(685,,1)*(1,l..YC686]J*-CCYCmZ(2s5))/Z(252,.1J LPYBNK C 0O2tO680i5. Y (66)XA(Cbb)&Z(686,1) ELBANK C QOaO0694t3 YC6,7):(Y(685)/Y(6t_3))*(Y(337)/Y(297)) PYBAt-K C 00216o97:X Y(681)=Y(S252)*Y(337)/Y(2q7l)/Y(b87) POP8NK C 0O21069ct3 Y(581)aZC581,1)k(YC688)/lCbRA,l3) POPBKI C 00az0bAI:I Yt5Q1)s2559101)*(Yt689)Z(b88,1)i POP8K2 C 0C2:0bASt3. Y(6O13mZ(tO1,1)*CY(688)/Z(b88.4)) POPBKS C 002s06A9;3 YCb¶1):Z(bI1,1)*U(f688)/Z(b88,)) PQPBK4 C 002:obADI3 Y(64b9)Ztb49,l)*CY(687)/j(687,1)) A.VIBK1 C 00210681z3, Y(650)zZ(b5O1.)*(Y(687)/Z(6t7,1)) XVIBK2 C 0021O68513 Yt(5t)ZZ(651 l)*(Y(587)/i(687,) AVIBKI C 0020669:13 YC£5?;)sZ2(b52l)*CY(687')/Z(687,1)) AVIBKLl C 002:068D:3 Y (b)9)):Z/689 1) *CC. .-Y 690,f*tYCt253)-7(253, 1))/ZCt53,L.)) LP'YPUB C no2:106C13 Y(6qO)-X(b90)&Z(b90,1) ELFUL C 002:o6CBUt YC6,ql):(Y(b89)/Y(623))*y(Y337)/Y(297)) PYPU1B C 0O2t06CB8u Y(6qa):(Y(253)*Y(337)/y(C97))/Y(691) POPPUB C 0oo2i60DOZ Y(582)zZ(582pl)*(YC692)/ZC692,l)) POPPUI C 0020I6D51i Y(592)2Z(592,1)*(Y(692)/Z(692,1)) PIOPPU2 C 0021o060q: Y (602)I) Iz-2 1*(Y(692)/Z(692,1) POPPU3 C 002106DD:b 1 Y(612)3Z(6t3i1)*(Y(692)/Z(692,1)) POPPUa C 002o6OEI;1 Y(t53).Z(b53,1)*UY(691)/Z(bql,)I) AVIPUI C W10RI6E51, YC694)Z(ob54,1)*CYC691)/Z(691,1)) AVIPUa C 002106E981 Y(655)=Z(655#1)*(Y(69-)J(691,10) AVrPU3. C 002i06EDZI Y(856)3j(656,1)*(y(69l)/Zt6qj,A)) AV!PUa C. 002io&Firt V(22A)z2(Ž28,1)*(t.&(1~Y(q3))w(CY(538)"z(538, 1))/2538,i))) LPYSER C 002t06F5tl YCbq3)vXCb93)&Z(693,1) ELSERV C 0021o6FB95 YV229)z(Y(228)/YC6b3))*(Y(337)/Y(2q7)) PYSERV C G00206FEtS Y(7no)*(YL538)*YC337 /YC29Y))/Y(229) POPSER C 002070315 Y(583):Z(S83,1J*(Y(70o)/Z(7o0,1)) POPSEI C 00210708:5 Yt5q3)-Z(543.l)*(Y(700)/Z(700 1)) POPSEZ C 0021070Ct5 Y(6n3)zZ(bO3,i)*CY(700)/Z(7oo,i)) POPSE3 C 00210710t5 Y(613)ZZ(b13,1)*CYC7OO)/Z(7n0,1)) POPS£-4 C 002:O7lt4A Y(697):Z(657,1)*(Y(229)/ZtZ2921)) AVISEI C 002:0718;5 Y(b8)sZ(bs58,1)V(Y(22q)/Z(229Ž,)) AVISE2 C 002o71C07 5 Y (b59)=Z(b59,1)*(Y(229)/Z(229,1)) AVISE3 C 00210720tS Y(660=Z(tb60,1)*(YC229)/Z(2?9,1)U AVISE4 C 00210724:5 Y(230)sZ(230,1)*C1.L(1.-Y(696))*((Y(250)-7C2so,1l)/zCaSO,1))) LPYTRD C 00:R0728t5 Y(69b)=X(b96)&Ztb96b,) ELTRAD C 0021072Fi3 Y(2311t:Y(230)/Y(623))*(Y(337)/Y(297)) PYTRAD C 0028073aZ3 Y(533)z(Y(250)*Y(337)/YC297))/Y(231) POPTRD C 002%0737i3 Y(584)-Z(584,1)*(Y(S33)/2t533,1)) POPTOI C 0021073Ct3 YC594)=Zt594,1)*(Y(533)/Zt533,1)) POPT02 C Do20740s.3 Y(bn4):Z(b04,1)*(Y(533)/Z(533,1)) POPTO C 002O7L4t13 Y(61L4J)Z(614,1)*(YS33)/ZC533,1) POPTD4 C 0021074gt3 YCb6l)ZZ(o61,U)*(Y(231)/2C231,1)) AVITOl C 00?2:074Ci3 Y(bh2)SZ(bb2,1)*(Yt231)/Z(231,U)) AVITO2 C 002S0750:3 Y(663)=Z(b63,1)*(Y(Ž3l)/Z(23,1#)) AVITD3 C 0021075t:3 Y(664)-lY6t4#1)*(Y(231)/ZC23ll)) AVITD4 C 002:0758:3 GO'T0 200 C 002tO75C13 100 tnlTINUE C 002t075:tO YCb20):Z(620, 1)*CI.,c1.-Ycba1),*((Y(234).(234,i))Z(23'Ifl)) LPYAGR C 002o075Dvo Y(b21)mx0o21)&Z(62I1,) e.LAGR C 002io763:4 Y(622):(Y(620)/Y(623))*(Y(332)/Y(297)) PYAG C 0021076614 Y(624):(Y(234)*YC332)/y(297))/YCb22) POPAG C 002Ot768t4 Y(575):ZCb75,1)*CYC624)/Z(b24.1)) POPAGI C 002t077o:4 Y(585)zZ(585,1)*(Y(b24)/Z(624,1)) POPAG2 C 00210774:4 Yt5951-Z(595#1)*'tY(624)/Z(62i$I)) POPAG3. C 002o?078:4 Y(b05)=Z0oo5,l)*(Y(624)/Z(624L1)) POPAG4 C 0021077Ct4 YC625)zZ(b25#1)*Y(a77) AVIAGI C 002t0780:4 Y(62b)uz(6282l)*YC277) AVIAG2 C 002:0783:4 Y(627)UZ(627,1)*(YC622)/Z(622,1)) AVIAGS C 00210786:4 Y(b?8)x(Y(234)*Y(332)/Y(29?)wY(625)/( 1 .UEl6)*Y(575).Y(62b)/( 1OE&6 AVIAG4. C 002b078A14 I )*Y(585).Y(6273/(l,OE&6)*Y(595))/Yc605)*(1,OE&6) C 00210793:1 Y(665)CZ(bbS,l)*(t1.(1.-Y(666))*((Y(235)3Z(23591))/Z(235,l))) LPYLMF C 00220790t2 Y(b66)vX(b66)&Z(666,l) ELLMF C 002:07A4i0 Y(667)Z(Y(6b5)/Y(623))*(Y(334)/Y(297)) PYLMF C 00Z07A710 Y(668)z(Y(235)*Y(334)/Y(297))/Y(667) POPLMF C 002:07ACIO Y(576)EZ(576,l)*CY(668)/Z(b68,1)) POPLM1 C 002:07B1:O YC586)gZ(586,t)*(Y(6b8)/Z(668,1)) POPLM2 C 002:0785:0 Y(5Q6)ZZ(596,1)*(Y(668)/Z(668,1)) POPLM3 C 002107B9tO Y(bn6b)3(606,1)*(Y(668)/Z(668,1)) POPLm4 C 00207BO:0 Y(629)zZ(629, 1)*Y277) AVILMI C 002807C1:0 Y(630)vZ(630p1)*YC277) AVILM2 C 002107C4:0 Y(631)UZ(b3i,1)*(Y(6b7)/ZC667,1)) AVILM3 C 002t07C7:0 Y(632)z(Y(235)*Y(334)/Y(297)-Y(629)/t1.OE&b)*Y(576)uY(630)/(1.0E&6 AVILM4 C 002:07C8:0 I )*Y(586)mY(631)/(1 OE&6)*Y(596))/Y(606)*(I OEIb) C 002107D3:1 Y(669)uZ(bt661)*(.&C1(.-Y(670))*(CY(S46)wZ(S46 /))/ZCS46,1))) LPYSMF C 002:07DD12 Y(b70)X(tb70)&Z(670,1) EL8MF C 002:07E4i0 YC671)3(Y(669)/Y(623))*CY(334)/Y(297)) PYSMF C 002107E710 Y(b72)3(Y(546)*Y(334)/Y(297))/Y(671) POPSMf C 0021O7ECbO Y(577):Z(577#1)*(Y(672)/Z(672,1)) POPSM1 C 002:07FI10 Y(587)zZC587,1)*(Y(672)/Z(672,1)) POPSMZ C 002107F510 Y(5Q7)zZ(597,1)*(Y(672)/Z(b72,1)) POPSM3 C 0O2b07F91o Y(6o7)uZ(607,1)*(Y(672)/Z(672,1)) POPSM4 C 0021o7FD,o Y(b33)mZ(b33 1)*Y(277) AVISMI C 002:08018t YC634)=Z(b34,1)*Y(277) AVISM2 C 002tO:048 0 Y(635)ZZ(b35,1)*(Y(671)/Z(671,1)) AVISM3 C 002:0807:0 Y(63b)3tY(S46)*Y(334)/Y(297)wY(633)/C1.OE&6)*Y(577)mY(634)/( IOEL6 AVISM4 C 0021080B:O ! )*Y(587)-Y(635)/C1.OE&6)*Y(597))/YC6o7)*(,OE&B6) C 002:o083:1 Y(b73)zZ(b73#1)*(I.&(IC,Y(674))*(CY(248)M7(248, ))/Z(248#1))) LPYCNS C 002:081D02 Y(674)uX(674)&ZC674#1) ELCNST C 0021082410 Y(675),(Y(673)/Y(623))*CYC335)/Yt297)) PYCNST C 002:0827:0 Yr676):(Y(248)*Y(335)/Y(297))/Y(675) POPCNS C 0021082C:O Y(578)zZ(578,1)*(Y(676)/Z(676,l)) POPCNl C 002:0831:0 Y(5a8):Z(588,1)*(Y(676)/Z(676,1)) POPCN2 C 002:083510 Y(598)=Z(598,1)*(Y(67b)/Z(b76b1)) POPCN3 C 00210839tO Y (6n8)=Z bo8D 1) * ( (676)/Z(676,1)) POPCN4 C 0021083D:O Y(637)zZ(b37,1)*Y(277) AVICNtI C 002:0841O Y(b38):Z(638,1)*Y(277) AVICN2 C 002:084410 Y(639)=Z(b39, )*Y(277) AVICN3 C 0021084710 Y(b40)3(Y(248)*Y(335)/Y(297)-Y(637)/(1,(lEg6)*,(578)-Y(638)/(1.0E&b AVICN4 C 002t084A:0 I )*Y(588)-Y(639)/(1 .E&b)*Y(598))/Y(608)*CI,OE&6) C 002:0852:1 YCb77):Z(b77,!)*(C.&(1..Y(678))*((Y(254)-7(254,1))/Z(25U1 ))) LPYELC C 02:085Ct2 Y(678)zX(b78)&Z(b78,1) FLELEC C 002:0863:0 Y(679)=(Y(b77)/Y(623))*(Y(334)/Y(2q7)) PYELEC C 002108b610 Y(6):O3(Y(254)*Y(334)/Y(297))/Y(b79) POPELC C 0021086880 Y(579)MZ(579F1)*(Y(bBO)/Z(b80,1)) POPELI C 0021087010 Y(589)xZC589,1)*(YCb80)/ZCb80,1)) POPEL2 C 0021087410 Y(5q99)Z(599,1)*Cy(68Q)/Z(b80,1)) POPEL3 C Q021087810 Y(609)XZ(609,1)*(Yb680)JZ(680,1)) POPEL4 C 002t087C-iO YC64j1)XZtb4i,1)*Y(277) AVIELI C 00230880tO YV6ii2)uZ(b42 1)*YV277) AVIEL2 C 0021088310 Y(643)XZ(6L3e )*Y(277) AVIE:L3 C 00210886&0 Y t644)u(Y(254)*YC334L)/Y(297)wY(6t41)/( IOE&6)*Y(579)mY(6432)/JI,OEL6 AVIEL4 C 0021088910 )*Y(589).YC643)/(1IOEIb)*Y(599))/Y(609)*(I0OEG6) C 0023009131 Y(681)UZ(681,1)*tl,,&Cl,WY(b12))*tY(251).(251, 1))/Z(251, 18) LPYTRP C 002:0839812 Y(682)v9(b82)&Z(682#1) ELTRSP C 00210BA210 Y(683)u(Y(681)/Y(623))*CY(33b)/Y(297)) PYTRBP C 002008AS8O Y(684)XuY(251)*Y(336)/Y(297))/Y(683) POPTRP C 0021084AI0 YC580)3ZC580,1)*CYC684)/Z(b8g41)) POPTPi C 002108AF10 Y(590)UZ(590,1)*(Y(684)/Z(684,1)) POPTP2 C 002io083s0 Y(600),Z(600,l)*CY(684)/Z(6841,)) POPTP3 C 0021088710 Y(610)EZ(b60,1)*(Y(684l)/Z(684o,4)) POPTP4 C 002O0888so YC645)GZ(645* 1)*Y(277) AVITPI C 00210803F:O YC646)cZ(6b4b61)*Y(277) AVITP2 C 002108C2:0 Y(647)Z(Cb647, l)*YC277) AVITP3 C 002c0eC5:0 Y(648)a(Y(25S1*YC336)/Y(297).Y(645)/C I.OE.6)*YCS8o)mY(6S16)/(1,OE&6 AVVrP4 C 002108Cs8o )*Y(590)o)YC647)/(1,OEl&6)*Y(600))/Y(610)*C1,OE&6) C 002SO8101 1 Y(685)UZ(885#1)*(1.&(1,.Y(686))*C(Y(252)Z(252,1))/ZC252,1))) LPYBNK C OOIOI:8A12 Y(lbs6)X(68b6)Z(b8t# ) ELBANK C 0OaEl08Et1 Y(687)a(Y(685)/Y(623))*(Yt337)/Y(297)) PYBANK C 002n08E410 Y(688)3(Yt252)*Y(337),/YC297) )/Y(b87) POPBNK C 002103(9:0 Y(51)sZ(581, 1)*(YC688)/Z(688 1)) POPBKI C 002&Oa8EEsO Y(591)ZZ(591,1)*(YC688)/Z(688Yl)) POPBK2 c 0020o8F240 Y(601)SZC601#i)*CY(688/1Z(68891)) POPBK3 C 002$08F6iO Y(61l)PZ(611,1)*(y(688)/Z(688,1)) POPOK4 C 00208FA810 Y(649)uZCb49,1)*Y(277) AVISKI C 00210'FE1I Y(650)ZC6S0, 1)*Y(277) AVIBKZ c 0021o901;0 Y(651)aZ(851,1)*(Y(687)/Z(68771)) AVIBK3 C 00209014;0 YC&52)UCY(252)*Y(337)/Y(297)UY(649)/(l,OE&6)*Y(581)umY(650)/(1,CE06 AVIBK4 C 00210908:0 )*Y(591teY(651)/C1.OE&6)*Y(601))/Y(6l1)*(1O,EL6) C 00210910l1 Y(689)UZ(689#I)*(1,I(I.-Y(690))*( Y(253)-Z(253#1))/Z(253,1))) LPYPUW C 00209tAS2 YC6i.0)XX(90)LZ(690,1) ELPUB C 00210921o0 Y(691)ECY(689)/YC623))*(Y(337)/Y(297)) FYPUB C 00210924a0 Y(692)s(Y(253)*Y(337)/Y(297))/Y(691) POPPUB C 002:092910 Y(582)2Z(582,1)*(Y(692)/ZC692,1)) POPPUI C 0021092Et0 YC592)sZ(592,1)*(Y(692)/Z(692,1)) PQPPU2 C 0021093210 Y(6o2)sZ(602,1)*(YC692)/Z(b92,1)) POPPU3 C 0021093610 Y(612)uZC612,1)*CY(692)-/Z(692o1)) POPPU4 C 0021093AA0 Y(653)xZ(653,1)*Y(277) AVIPUI C 0021093EI0 YC654Jt)aZ54,S1)*YC277) AVIPU2 C 002:094u30 Y(65S)uZb(55,l)*(Y(691)/Z(691,1)) AVIPU3 C 00280941:0 YC656)xuY(253)*Y(337)/YC(97)wY(653)/(1,OEL6)*Y(582)-Y(6542/(1,OE&6 AVIPU4 C 002094fl60 )*Y(592)-YC656)/t1COEL6)*Y(602))/Y(612)*(1,OE&6) C 00210950 1 Y(220)BZ(22B.1)*C1,&C1,wY(693))*C(Y(538)wZtS38p1))/Z(538,1))) LPYSER C 002:095A12 Y(693)3XC693)&ZC693#1) ELSERV C 00210961:0 Y(229)X(Y(228)/YC623))*(Y(337)/Y(297)) PYSERV C 0021096410 Y(700)M(Y(538)*Y(337)/Y(297))/Y(229) POPSER C 00210969iO TF(Y(532).LT.O.0) Y(700)zZC700,1)&Z(532v1)*Y(623) C 0024096EI0 Y(5s3)uZ(583,l)*(Y(700)/Z(700,1)) POPSE4 C 002:0973:4 Y(S53)uZ(S93,I)*(Y(700)/Z(700,1)) POPSE2 C 002tO97714 Y(6o3)aZ(603,1)*(Y(700)/Z(700.1)) POPSE3 C 00210978I1 Y(613)3Z(613,1)*CYt700)/Z(700,I)) POPSE4 C 002$097FI4 YC657)saZ657u1)*Y(277) AVISEI C 0021098314 Z63GV08200 3 17 3N( I)A ( (Z)A/(t t 2153V0120a 3 LONIG C6t,)AItt7)A/U t Z1tIY03200 3 23NI0 tY?7)ACtI7CA/(ttSS)Z(tI)A)t6SS)AuC9iS)A 2I69V0200 3 '13N10 (t71)AIt(ZI?)A/U 'OSS)ZatgVUA).(9SS)A3SSS)A 8SqY03200 3) tons i'I I.CI et,b)Zs6t£7i)A ?IIgvORZ00 3 2tan'(t '?T,lZ)Z(gt9V)A 1QYVO3ZOO 3 Isn9 t t'p0 'Lo)nsLt)A £39vv0IE00 3 TlldX3 (1 9SS)Z1(12SS)Z1tt tSS)Z1(T O0SS)ZSU(21)A ZISVY01?00 3 (Z9%)A-(6SS)Am(9SS)A I £216t0O0ZO 3 t~3NI *( L6?)A/((IZ~)Acsot,0)A1(0 )A-cqI.)A.ctStEA ).(tS9S3 M060t200 3 LO tNIS)A1 S Sf6VO3tOO 0 (9130110 /(C99)ACt(09)A(91130')/(669)A'CE09)A b al3gV0I200 3 1(9130't)/(SS9)A*(Z09)A1t9130I1)/ttS9)A*(109)A £ ZW9tV08200 3 1C9130')/(t9)AA(009)A1(9130T)I(tt9)A*(666)A 2 Z39Y0It00 3 1t910' 1)/C £9)A*(g6S)Al(9l30 T)/(Sf9)A*CL6S)A I £IZLY030oo 3 t3NI 1(9130' )/tt£9)A*(965)AItEt30 t)JtL29)At*S)A"t29S)A I139YOIZO0 3 'v*(6Zi)AlMl2)A S 2199Y0O200 3 1(9110 ;)Ct9)A'(tiS)A1(913oI)/(gS9)A.(!6§)A tb 2l1501200 3 1(9130')/C S9)A*(t65)Al(930l)/tOS9)Ait6S)A f ZIQ9SV0300 3 1(9130 1)/(909)As(06S)AI(9SiO )/(219)A*(6iS)A a M#3VtOt200 3 *(9130't)/(ti9)A*(99S)A1(9130,T)/(t79)A*(L5i)A I lStVOY OO ?3NI l(91130 t)/(to9)A*C995)A1C9030)/(9Z9)AqC52ff9)AS(6SS)A Ot1t7Ov3OO 3 LO t(2S7A1(L9t)A S 6cyte0Io0 3 r,9130 1)/(199)A,tt,S)A1(9130'1)/(LS9)A*tf9S)A t 211tf03200 3 1(9110 1)/CSq)Ac(ZgS)A1C9110't)/(6t9)A0CX9I)A 16vtOJZoo 3 1(9130' 1)/(St9)A.(OS)A1(9130' )/(tt9)A*C6LS)A E leI0oltoo 3 1t(930 oi)/ctL9)A.C(L8)Alc913o0T)/(if9)A.(LLS)A I l19W0ol0oo 3 TON IC9110'I)/C*Z9)A¢t9)AI(913O)/(SZ9)A.(sLS)AuSS)A s3 1iW2oazoo 3 fAn3 CI Z4((9130 )/(I 2 '95Z)1CVIt£5Zu(IS)A tlVovOt0o 3 2AVenAI Ct#99S)Z.t(9110I )/(t'2LS)Z'CI 'LSZ)Z)2(2'162)Zu(6ZS)A tlfoOtz00 3 IAVSln3 (t L9S)XsC9910It)/Ct tLS)Z.tI'b19)Z)t('9SZu(9OS)A VtOttOJ00 3 N3Q019 SNIAVI tit00Ytt°° 3 00'03(10)A (T*n3'1lI)AI 113A601200 3 cgvgn9 (169)AlCIOS)ASmtOS)A 119460t100 3 l/1fns B(6q A/Z£5)Am(OES)A StSE60Z00 3 (9iZ)A*tif2)A(IS)At((ie9)A/((0OL)AtIIS)A1C(69)A t 39160200 3 'dens *COC9)ACh999)A1(OE9)A1(9L9)A1(2L9)AI(999)A1t?29)A).(S69)A)Ct769)A SIL360t1O0 3 NiW9Vl (S69)A*204Of(9f)A It13601200 3 XMdgW' (f29)A/C'0VC24?)A)*(fE2)A Z1o3601?00 3 06 69M fL'3(S69)X(SG69)A 210360IZOO 3 inNIN0 O 002 190601?00 3 C9130 I)*(hI9)A/( (09)A*(9130O1)/(f99)A(t76S)A*( 013361ZOO0 3 IOlIAV 9110' /(Z99)A(S)A'(9130l)/(993A-(L)A/l4 L£)Act05Z)A)St799)A OSVO601?00 3 S0lIAT ttl IiZZ/(IZ)A)tl t99)ZE(!99)A OIL360200 3 20lIAY tLL)A'*( I '99)zu2C99)A 010t360ZOO 3 103lIAY (LL2)A*(1t499)ZucT99)A 0Q03601200 3 t,aldOd t(T(fis)z/(tiS)A)4(I 'tt)zs3(fv)A 023960I200 3 fOldOd ((I 'IS)Z/(£tS)A)0('t0o9)zstI09)A 0I9660t200 3 0.ldd (UtdS)z/(tiS)A)'tt ,6S)ZEU7bS)A o0166o01o20 3 IIdOd ((dI£is)z/(i)A).('?,s)Zu(Is)A OtIAY601t00 3 abidOd 0 oI'vYotzoo 3 OV81Ad ((L6?)A/tdfUA)#((9)./(0E2)A)3(IZ)A OILY601200 3 0V8113 t969)ZS(969)XU(q69)A 2t0601200 3 0C.lAdl (t ')OS2)Z/Zt(OOS2)2-tOS2)A))*tt969)A-1i )6l)*t 012)Zzto£2)A l19660oZOO 3 (91300T)*(fl9)A/((i09)A*(9730 'IT)/(6S9)A-(E6S)A*C t 010g601S00 3 ?3SIAV 9130't)/(8Sq)A-ti S)A*9130t)/(LS9)A-tL62)A/(L E)A4tRi5)A)2t099)A t169601?'Z0 3 I3SIAV t(1'622)Z/(C6?)A)*(t'699)Z:(659).A bI9960lZ00 3 23SIAV (LLZ)Astl '9)2(959) C (102gUAr1 S2 YCb573-Y(318)*Z(C50,1)/Y(412) j. X INI C 0021OADI2 YC560)=Y(318)*Z(551,1)/Y(41?) IT9!N2 C 002ToAD5:2 Y(5h3)=Y(318)*Z(552,1)/3Yt4l2) Il, xIN3 C 002:OA09t2 Y(566)=Y(318)*Z(5S3,1)/Y(412) 1TXtN4 C C02S0A00X2 Y(243)4Q0.*Y(272) pOPPWK C 00210AE1t2 Y(24J)x:0.02*Y(b95)*Y(tb23) POPMIN C 00210AE3:5 Y(245)zY(532)*Y(623) POPSUR C 002OAE8t1 Y(5713=Y(575)&YC(576)&Y577)YV(5783&V (579)&Y(5803&Y(581)&Y(582)& POPI C 00210AE81I Y(583)&Y(58')&Y(245) C 00210F'4to Y(572)zY(585)tV(586)&Y(587)Y(S8.8)&Y(589)&y(590)&YCS9l)&YC5923& POP2 C 00210AF711 1 YC593&Y(594) C 00210800:0 2 &Y(243) C 00210801:5 Y(573)-Y(595)&Y(59b)&Y(597)&Y(598)&Y(599)&Y(b60O)&RY(601)YC6(6o2)& POP3 C 00210803t l 1 Y(b03)&Y(64O) C 00210B0C:o Y (574u33Y(605)3Y606)&Y(607)&Y(6O8)&Y(b09)gY(610) Y(61i)&Y(b12)& POP4 C 002t080ES1 I Y(613)&Y(614) C 0025081710 2 &Y(243S) C 002M081815 Y(5b7)x(Y(555)/Y(571)3*(1,OE&b) AVINCI C 0022081A1 Y(a2o)t((Y(5b7)/16600.)-l.)*.15 MINICO C 0021OBIF:2 TFCYCa420)NE.,O) Y(420)3xC420) C 002:0524;2 IF(x1420),EG,1,) Y(420)=G. C 002tOB2731 Y(568)z(Y(558)/Y(572))*(1.OE&6) AVINC2 C 0021082A:I Y(569)GCY(5b1)/Y(973))*(i.OE&6) AVINC3 C 00210B2F12 Y(570)z(Y(5b4)/Y(574))*(l.OF&6) AVINC4 C 00230B34t2 Y(619)z((YC567)/L0OOO ,)/100,)*(Y(278)*.5bl.) AVPSI C 0029083q,2 IF(2429,I).GT,0,2) Y(b19)zC(Y(567)/5OQO./100.)*(Y(278)*,5&1,) C 0020OB3Ft5 1 )C 0021OB4813 Y(615)*Y(567)*(1,uY(619)) AVECi C 00210648,5 Y(257)2((Y(568)/40000.)/100,)*(Y(278)*,5&1.3 AVPS2 C O020OB4C:i TFCZ(429,1),GT,o,2) Y(257)z(CY(568)/50000./100.)*(Y(278)*,5&I1) C 0021085215 3 C 002:0858:3 Y(bl6)=Y5bB8)*(l,-Y(257)) AVEC2 C 002:085BsS Y(258)mC(Y(569)/40000,)/100,)*(Y(278)*.5Sl.) AVPS3 C 002S085F;1 iF(Y(258).GT.O.10) Y(258)80.10 .C 00220565:5 TFCZ(429,p1)GT*0,2) YV258)u((Y(569)/50000,/100,)*(Y(278)*,5&1,) C 0021OB6AI1 C 0020873:3 Y6tb7)XY(569)*(l,-Y(258)) AVEC3 C 002:0873:5 Y(259):(CY(5703/40000,)/100,)*(Y(2783*.5&1.) AVPS4 C 002:0B77t1 TF(Y(259),GT,o,10) Y(259)80,10 C 002b087DI5 1F(Z(429,1).GTO,.2) Y(259),((YC570)/50000./100.)*(Y(278)*,5&1.) C 002:0882j1 3 C 002:0888:3 Y(6J8)=Y(570)*(l,-Y(259)) AVEC4 C 002:O88:t5 Y(5q0)=(Y(615)/(1,OE&63)*Y(571) EXP1 C 002:088Ft1 Y(551)3(Y(616)/(I,0E&6))*Y(572) EXP2 C 002:089412 Y(552)=VY(617)/(I,oE&6))*Y(573) EXP3 C 002OB99t2 Y(553)x(Y(618)/(1.OE&6))*Y(S74) EXP4 C 0021089E:2 Y(5543aY(550)&Y(551)&Y(552)&YC553) EXPTOT C 002t0BA3S2 Y(535)zYC323))-Y(434) GSAVCU C 002:OBA8:2 Y(327)-Y(215)-Y(536)-Yt320)&YV405)-YC554)*YC304)&Y(321) HSAVCU C 002108ABt2 YVS36)zYo380)*YCt97) CSAVCU C 00210B83t2 YC3nl 3YC327)&Y(535)&Y(S36) DOMSCU C 00210886:2 YC290)=X(290) CAPINF C 002t0BBA12 -4IE'Y (8,3)=YX(86) NETDII C 002:OB8C12 _.W7(21 )=YC180)&YV(86) NCAPCU C 002106BE:l Y(3A3)ZY(421)*.4L15*Z(t49 l) FROSCU C 002tOC1l:l YC3oO)=,415*Z(494,1) EXCSRT C 002:OBC6:2 Y(3n5)cY(301)&Y(303) TOTSCU C 002:oBCAt: C EXPENDITRtJE aLOCK C 002108CD:l Y(2n7):Z(207,1)*(1,&1,75*(UY(b15)-Z(blS,l))/Z(615l))) FISHI C 0021O08Co:l Y(2n8)=Z(208,l)*(1,&1,bI*C(Y(616)-Z(tb6l^ ))/Z(616,i))) FISH2 C 002:O08043 Y(2n9)=Z(209s1)*l(,&I.13*((Y(tb7)-Z(b17,l))/Z(617, ))) FISH3 C 002:0BD8t3 Y(2103)Z(210,1)*(l.&.725*(CY(618'-z(bl68l))/Z(6l18I))) .FISH4 C 00250SE2t3 Y(2nl)zY(207)*Y(571)/(I,OE&6)&Y(208)*Y(572)/(l,OE&6)& FISHTO C 002$08E9t3 I Y(209)*Y(573)/Cl,OE&b)&Y(210)*Y(574)/(1,OE&6) C 0021OBF212 Y(211)zZ(211,l)*(1.&3,OO*((Y(615)-Z(615u1))/Z(615,1))) ANIMI C 002SOBFA13 Y(214)=Z(214",l}*S.1&2.38*((Y(bl6l-Z(616,1))/Z(616,1)')) ANIM2 C 0021OCO012 Y(216)aZ(21b, )*(1.11.86*C(Y(6t7)-Z(617,1))/Z(617p1))) ANIM3 C 00210C07;3 Y(217)XZ(217,l)*(1.I1,29*(CY(618).ZC618pl))/Z(618,1))) ANIMI C 002;0COE13 Y(202)mY(211)*Y(571)/(l.OE&6)&Y(214)*Y(572)/(I.OE&6)& ANIMTO C 002tOC15:3 Y(216)*Y(573)/(I,OE&6)gY(217)*YV574)/(1,OE&6) C oo280C1E12 Y(218)zZ(218,1)*(l,&1.o0*(CYC15)-Z(bl15, 1))/Z(615,1))) VEGI C 0021OC2b13 YC219):Z(219,l)*Ci.&1,06*((Y(616)-Z(616,1))/ZC6I6#1))) VEG2 C 0021OC2DI3 Y(220)XZ(220,1)*(1.&1,l1*U(Y(617)'Z(b17, 1))/Z(617,1))) VEG3 C 002OC34t3 Y(221)xZ(221,l)*(1l&1,2*((Y(618)iZ(bi8,1))/Z(618#1))) VEG4 C 0021OC3Bs3 Y(222)Sy(218)*Y(5713)/(llOE&b)LY(219)*y(572)/C1.OE&6)& VEGTO C 00210C42t3 I Y(220)*Y (573)/Cl ,oE&6)&Yt221 )*YC574)/( 1. OEL6) C 0021OC4BI2 Y(223)xZ(223,l)*(1,I1,81*((Y(615).Z(615,l))/Z(61t5l))) RICEI C 0021OC5313 Y(224)XZ(224,l)*(1.&.717*((Y(616)-Z(6b,16))/Z(616,1))) RICE2 C OO2OCSA13 Y(22S)uZ(225,1)*CI.&.447*((Y(617)-Z(b17,t))/Z(617, ))) RICE3 C OO2IOC61t3 Y(226)aZZ226,1)*C1.-.140*((Y(618)-ZCb18,1))/Z(618,1))) RICE4 C 002:OC6813 Y(227)3Y(223)3Y(571)/(1.OE&b)&Y(224)*Y(572)/(l,oE&6)& RICETO C 00290C6F:3 1 Y(225)*Y(573)/(I,OE&6)&Y(226)*Y(574)/(1 .E&6) C 00210C7812 C INVESTMENT BLOCK 1973 CONSTANT RS BILLION C 002:0C80:3 Y(503)x(Y(324)-Z(32upl))*Y(4Oi) INANIM C 002t0C80t3 Y(504)8(Y(206)-Z(206#1))*Y0Uo2) INFISH C 002MOC8413 Y(505)a(Y(205)*Z(205,l))*O057 INFOR C 00210C8813 Y(506)x(Y(203)wZ(203,¶))*Y(403) rNECRP C 00210CB8D2 Y(5O7)u(CY(513)mZ(l3,l))/(1.OE&J))*12.*~415. INRICE C 00210C91i2 Y(5o8)u(Y(204).ZC204l,))*YV(04) INOAGR C 00210C96:1 Y(309)EY(503)&Y(504)&Y(505)&Y(506)&Y(507)&Y(508) INAGRT C 00210C9Atl Y(282)SX(282) INHMIN C 002g0CAI11 TFCAB8(Y(282)) ,LT,l) Y(282)xZ(282pl)*'lLX(282)) C 00210CA3:l Y(283)U(Y(248)-Z(248, ))*2.&(Y(255)uZ(255.1))*Y(406) INCNST C 00210CA813 TF(Y(283),LE,Z(283,1)) Y(283)3ZC283,l)*( Y(243)-)Z248,1))/Z(248 C 002:OCAF1O I vl))&Z(283,1) C 0020CS4il Y(284)x(Y(25Q)mZ(250vl))*Y(LO7) INTROE C 002:0C8613 TF(Y(284),LE,Z(284,1)) YC284)sZ(284.1)*((Y(250)wZ(250,l))/Z(250 C 0021OCBA:3 11))&ZC284,l) C 002SOCBF:a Y(C2i5):(Y(252)-Z(252,1))*Y408) INBANK C 0021OCC210 YC2s6):(YC254).Z(254#1))*Y(409) INELEC C 0021OCC61o Y(261)zZ(261#1)&XC261) GRITRP C 0021OCCAIo Y(326)w.33*Y(416)*Y(251)*(((1t&Y(261))**3.)-1.) INTRSP C 002o0CCD1O Y(537)xCY(538)-Z(538,1))*Y(417) INSERV C 0020CD4'3 Y(539)=(Y(253)mZC253#l))*Y(418) INPADM C 00210CD8:3 IF'Yv539),LE.Z(s39,1)) Y(539):ZC539,l)*( Y(253)-Z(253,I))/Z(253 C 00210CDC13 1 ,1))&Z(539,1) C 0021OCE134 Y(3s0)x.OlO*Y(268) REPLkA C 00210CE4tO Y(288)C(Y(268)mZ(268,1))*.20 WRKCAP C 00210CE8:1 H Y(5L9)m(Y(54b)-Z(546,1))*Y(L19) INTRIN C 00210CED:2 w Y(3n6)zYC305) TOTICU C 00210CF1:2 Y(O2s0aYZ301)/Y(334)&Y(303)/(Y(4918*ZC49I,1)) INTOCO C 002JOCF312 'Y(425)sYC280) -Y(282)-Y(283)-Y(284)-YC285)-Y(286)-Y(309)- RESTIN C 0021OCF9:2 I Y(312)-Y(326j1Y(537)-Y(539).Y(380).Y(2S8)iY(549) C 002:ODOI:l Y(195)zZ(195,1)&l,O TIME C 00210D08t2 Y(541)3,077*Yt425) INCAPG C 00210DoA?4 .IF(Y(1q5).GT,198-4,0) YC5LJ1)=.2bL8*Y ('25) C 0020DOEtl Y (5a3=,552*Y(42E,) ININTG C 0021OD14i1 IF(Y(l95),GT,1984.0) Yl543)=5S2*y(u25) C 0021OD181s Y(547)= 126*Y(t42) INCOCP C 00210DIEIl IF(Y(195),GT.l98L0O) Y(547)=.15O*Y(425) C 00210D22t1 Y(548)c.245*Yt425) INCOLB C 0021OD2811 IFtYC195).GT.1984,O) YC5L8)=.0S0*Y(L25) C 002:OD2Ctl Y(242)zY(541)&Y(543)&Y(547)PYCS48)&Y(549) INMANF C 002:003211 Y(2R7):Y(280)-YC380) NETICO C 002o0038:1 C DOMESTIC CONSUMPTTON C 002OD3811 YU4R7)xY(215)-Y(301).Y(317) CONiSO C 002i0D38i1 C REST OF TRADE BLOCK C 0O2:OD3FZ1 Y(262)zZ(262,1)*(I.&1.,0*(Y(555)&Y(558)&Y(5bl)-Z(555,1).Z(558,1)- OLCONG C 0023003F11 Z(561,1))/(Z(555,1)&Z(558,1)&Z(sbl,1))) C 0021ODL6a1 YC263):Z(263,l)*(.&1,10*(Y(564)-Z(56b,l))/Z(5b4 1)) DHCONG C 0021004AI5 IF(YCl95) ,GT,1990,0) YV2(3)w C 002tOD513 1 Z(263,I)*(£ .% QO&*(Y(5bLi)-Z(5bL4 1))/Z(Sb'1)) DHCONG C 0021OD5413 Y(249)8YC262)&YC263) DMCONG C 0021005911 YC353)xY(249)w(Y(544)&Y(545))*2. MCONGD C 00220D5C:1 IF(Y(353),LT,0,0) Y(353)t00o C 002OD6014 YC428)zY(249)-(Y(544)LY(Sq5))*2. MCONG2 C 00210D6215 iF(Y(428).GT.,0,) Y(428)x0,0 C 002t0067i2 YC359)xY(2273-Y(240)*1.03 MRICE C 002100D693 TF(YC359).LT.O,O) Y(359)x0.0 C 00280DbEI3 Yt(360):Y(35)&Y(352)&Y(353)&Y(359)&Y(368) MCONST C 002:0D7084 Y(317)3Y(353)*Y(477) IMPCGD C 0028007614 Y(369)aY(359)*Y(475) IMPRIC C 0029OD7914 Y(29e).*C315)&Y(316)&Y(317)&YC369LY (SOO) IMPORT C 0021OD7C:4 Y(371)m(YC299)LY(303)-Y(316) -YC317)wY(369)-Y(SOO))/Y(492) MINTAD C 00210D6214 IF(Y(371) LEL40,) Y(372)=O,O MPRADJ C 002308DAS4 IF(Y(371),GTo400,) C 002:0D8Dt1 IY(372)aEXP(-u:5t&.336*ALOG(Y2a4l))&ALOG(Y(297))s,33*ALOG(Y(371))) MPRADJ C 002QD08E34 Y(361)mY(3O3)-dY(298)-Y(299)) GAPTOT C 0021OD9BBI Y(374)zY(371)*Y(A92) IMINTA C 00210D9FIl Y(370)aY(372)/Y(492) EXCINX C 00.2J0DA28t Y(345)mZ(345pl) DUMMYl C 002:0DAk51 Y(3a6)xZ(346#1) DUMMY2 C 002:0DA7:1 YC4q4)uZ(494,1) EXCH9T C 00210DA981 TF(Y(371),GT,400.) Y(494)zY(370) C 002100AB1 Y(414)XY(299)&Y(303) IMPADJ C 002SODAFI1 Y(373)3Y(371)&Y(3S2)LY(353)&Y(359)&YC368) MADJST C 00210D0211 Y(415)xY(303)w(Y(411)uY(299)) GAPADJ C 002t0D08:1 Y(99Q).Z(699,1)*((CYC268)-Z(268,1))/Z(2b8,13)*105&1,) DEMINT C 0021008CIl Y(426)2Y(315)&Y(316)&YC317) IMPICC C 0021ODC2:5 YC357)3Y(699)iY(542)-Y(204 )*.S5Y(371 )*g, MSTINT C 00210C6lS YC429)xY(357)/YC699) INMSTR C 0021OD-FC3 Y(430)w-Z(427, 1) MCAPG2 C 0021ODD2:3 Y(431):-Z(428#1) MCONG2 C 0020t0D4t4 Y'432)=Y(430)*Y(43b) - IMCAP2 C 00210D0b:5 Y(lt42)tY(431)*Y(436) IMCON2 C 002100D915 C TERMS nFF TRADE C O021ODDCzS Y(71)zY(299)/Y' 350) XPRICE C 002:OODC:5 YC72)XY(414I)/Y(3'A) MPRICE C 00210DFu15 ytS55)=--y350) X C 00220DE2:5 Y (156) =V (299)/ Y(72) Y (155) TTADJ C 002tDE5t0 Y(154)sY(71)/Y(72) TTINDX C 00210DE9i0 Y( 157)zY CS55)-Y(156) XTTADJ C 00210DEC:O C MONETARY SECTOR C 002:0DEF:D Yt422)=Z(422,1)*(1.2O.73*((Z(422.1)-Z(422,23)/Z(422,2))&O.539* RMDMNO C On210DEF:o 1 ((Y(266)Z(268,1 ))/L(2b8, 1 ))-Q.52*((Y(297)-Z(297,1) )/ZC297 C 002:ODF8:0 2 .1))) C 021ODFEtS Y(4qO):Y(422)*Y(297) MDEMNU C 00210E0013 Y(3Q5)=(YC490)-ZC490,1))/,l .8 RESERV C 00210E0313 Y(396)=Y(395).Y(322)&Y(32O)/Y(29") MONEY C 00210E0812 C INEGUJALITY INDEX C 00210E0D12 Y(379)=Y(571),Y(572)&Y(573)&Y(57U) POPTOT C 002OE0OD2 YC378):Y(555)&Y(558)&Y(56l)&Y(564) DINCTO C 002:0E1212 YC381)=Y(571)/Y(379) POPRT1 C 002:0E1792 Y(382)xYC572)/Y(379) POPRT2 C 00210ElA12 Y(383)sY(573)/Y(379) POPRT3 C 002OE1D12 Y(384):Y(574)/Y(379) POPRT4 C 0025OE202 Y(385)Y (555)/Y(378) INCRT1 C 002ZOE2312 Y(386)=Y(558)/y(378) INCRT2 C 002IOE26t2 Y(3R7)uYC561)/Y(378) INCRT3 C 00210E2912 Y(388)zYU(b4).;Y(378) INCRT4 C 00210E2C12 Y(3R9)*Y(385) CUMRTI C 0021OE2F:2 Y(3qO):YC389)&Y(386) CUMRT2 C OO21OE31t2 Y(3ql):Y(390)&Y(387) CUMRT3 C 002:0E3412 Y(3Q2)UY(391)&Y(388) CUMRT4 C 002;0E37a2 Y(3q3)3s(1,.Y(381)*Y(389)&Y(382)*(Y(389)&y(390))&Y(383)*(Y(390)& GININD C 002IOE3A:2 I Y(391))6Y(384)*.Y(39t)&Y(392))))/1.00 C 0021OE4210 Y(520)u((24000./(l.OE&6))*Y(571)).Y(555) TMTR C 0021GE4710 Y(521)8YC520)/((24000./(I.OE&6))*Y(571)) POVIND C 0020lE4CI2 C NATIONAL ACCOUNTS VARIABLES C 002:OE5113 Y(488)rY(373)tY(157) RESGAP C 00210E51t3 Y(450)xY(268)&Y(321)/Y(297) GOPTOT C 00210E54i3 Y(451)zY(450)&Y(156) GDYCFC C 00280E5813 YV(t9)=Y(451)&Y(488) RE8USE C 002IOE5Ba3 Y(s84)uYU28O)-Y(488) DSAVCO C 002t0E5E13 Y(5?5)sY(192)/Y(297) NFSYCU C 002a0E61g3 Y(499)mY(484)-Y(25) NSAVCO C 002tOE6443 Y(246)3Y(484)&Y(488) TSAVCO C 00210E67;3 Y(526)xu(450)uY(525) GNPCO C 002OE6A13 Y(527)mY(S26)&Y(1S6) GNYCO C 002103E*D, Y(452)xY(527)-Y(499) CONSCO C 00210E703 Y(2643)(Y(299)-Y(270))/(Y(350)WY(362)) XPRNOL ^ 00210E7313 Y(265)zY(270)/Y(3b2) XPROIL C 00210E7813 V(274)=Y(2b4)/Y(72) TTINOL C 00210E7B13 Y(275)2Y(26S)/Y(72) TTIOIL C O021OE73 YC269):m1*(v(35O0)Y(362)) XNOIL C 00210E8113 Y(273)=aY(362) XOIL C 00210E8530 Y(276)z(Y(299)-Y(270))/Y(72)&Y(269) TTANOL C 00230E87,1 Y(291)aY(270)/Y(72)&Y(273) TTAOIL C 002JOE8Cal Y(308)zy(269)-Y(276) XTANOL C 0O2mOE90Og Y(3j0)uY(273)-Y(291) XTAOIL C 00230E9321 Y(311)tX(311) GDPOIL C 002,0E98t: Y(355)xY(268)wY(52S) GNPNOL C 00210E98l1 Y(35b)&Y(311) GNPOIL C 002JOE9Bsl X Y(375)xY(355)&Y(35b) GNPTOT C 002HOE9D:l H Y (313)=Y (268)&Y(276) SDYNOL C 00210EAO 1 Y(3j4)mY:311)&Y(291) GDYOIL C 002t0EA3:1 Y(325):y(313)&Y(314) GDYTOT C 0021OEAbtl Y(328)=Y(373)&Y(310)&Y(308) RGTOT C 002:0EA911 Y(354)xY(325)&Y(328) RUSETO C 002:0EAD11 Y(377)=Y(280).Y(328) DS C 002:0EB0:1 Y(394)xY(377)-Y(S25) NS C 002:0EB3:1 ONOI :3G3 t'i 2Uo lNiwol a tri aI lo L3 QN3 frt>6O32O0 2 Nmnl.La oooG I193aJogoo 2 lyna3 11wV VtO520t22O 3 T +VWIDRtU87WY D I D:2 G0 3 . OoPob Olo91 oJ 0t 3vhWS9) . I X SE33MOe 31 co3inN oXstso f5slIJIN3ff tI¶o0EOO 80f IfAs l O £)i ) ID9OO . 0OBN03 co6TAOCIM!AsUO)A Xbeeoo C £JOIANR CtAf)As(Oi?)A llibe3Olo 2 3 1OJ4ND (tO tf )4-2105:S) A 2 10NAN!S Appendix I:/ INDONEsIA ALT I (Basic Simulation) DATE 04/23/75 CLOCK TIME 18.21.57 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 VALUE ADDED 1973 BILLION RS- --------------------------- 240 V+RICE 888.295 92P.464 970,998 1014.794 1061.154 1109.782 1160.792 1214,299 1270,426 1329.303 1391,063 i4ss.s49 ?03 VAECRP 170.763 176.728 182,901 189.290 195.902 202,745 209.827 217,784 228,434 246.900 272.527 298.093 204 VAUTAG 586.678 61t.104 636.319 662.367 689.289 717,125 745.918 775,700 806,539 838.453 871.495 905.710 205 VAFOR 32l.100 352.110 387.321 426.053 468.658 515,524 567.077 623 784 686,163 754a779 830.257 913.283 206 VAFISH 147.933 1-60.348 172.818 188.701 203.825 222,962 243,242 265,345 293,007 320,164 355,383 39,.830 323 VAVEG 497.S12 523.722 548.024 588.690 623.329 667.235 713.079 757.396 820,781 876.414 950.565 1044.519 324 VAANIM 201.943 210.181 220.139 238.315 254,820 .277.081 300.785 322,996 357,700 385.301 427.827 484.386 234 VAAGR 2813.225 2962.657 3118,121 3308.210 3496.977 3712.454 3940.718 4177,312 4463,051 4751.315 5099.118 5500.670 247 VAHMIN 37.800 40.824 44.090 47.617 51.426 55.541 59.984 64,783 69,965 75.562 81.607 88.136 540 VACAPG 30,195 34.476 37.958 42.883 49.314 57,862 65,970 75,426 85,730 97.071 109,644 124,091 542 VAINTG 93,165 124.030 148,975 184,280 230.383 291.658 349.785 417.574 491,444 572.746 662,874 76b,449 544 VACOCP 8Q,741 100.488 109.055 120.982 136.556 157,257 176,894 199.795 224,750 252,216 282,663 317,653 545 VACOLB 300.500 319.817 330,768 365,639 407,411 446,305 494,113 542,893 598,726 661.074 727,349 807,146 235 V+LMF 513.601 578.811 626.755 713.784 823.664 953.081 1086.761 1235,688 1400,649 1583.107 1782,530 201S.339 546 VATRIN 155.719 163.625 170.853 183.082 192.789 205.654 218,953 231,381 251,156 265.975 289,461 320,235 241 V+M+NF 669.320 742.437 797.608 896.865 1016.453 1158,735 1305.714 1467,069 1651,805 1849,082 2071,991 2335.574 248 VACNST 267.177 350.11b 387,180 446,841 482,009 534,008 589.682 627.576 675,594 762,447 840.767 977.140 232 VAGODS /87.522 4096.033 4346,999 4699,533 5046,865 5460.738 5896.098 6336,739 6860,415 7438,406 8093.484 8901.519 255 VADWEL 141.015 148.066 155.469 163.242 171.405 179.975 188.974 198.422 208,343 218.761 229.699 241.184 250 VATRAD 1458.423 1589.098 1696.199 1847.514 1997,714 2177.921 2368.920 2563,664 2796.715 3055.901 3351,937 3720.052 251 VATRSP 281.425 306.641 327.308 356.507 385.490 420,264 457.120 494,699 539,670 589.684 646.80s 717.842 252 VABANK 88.337 96.252 102.739 111,904 121,002 131,917 143.486 155,282 169,397 185,096 203,027 22S.2L 253 VAPADM 664.524 721.920 768,644 834.315 899,064 976,270 1057.546 1139,869 1237,773 1345,915 1468,578 1620.007 254 VAELEC 50.369 58.205 64.369 73.721 85,836 100,589 115.432 132,218 150,581 171.017 193,438 219.388 538 VASERV 283.716 306.825 325.625 352,032 378.050 409.053 441.665 474.672 513,900 557,196 606,266 666.795 267 INLABS 7.896 7.659 8.098 6.056 6,325 6,277 6.291 6,945 4,540 3.802 2.700 .776 272 VAPWRK 28.400 37.200 45,600 100.000 106,000 112,000 118.000 123,600 186,000 204,800 225.200 248.000 268 GDPCFC 6791.627 7367.899 7841,049 8544.824 9197.751 9975,004 10793.531 11626,110 12667,333 13770.578 15021.137 16560.886 297 GDPDEF 1,460 1.673 1.824 1.995 2.185 2.412 2.672 3.047 3,291 3.874 4,339 .BS7 289 GDPFCl 9914,899 12325.427 14301,610 17043.364 20097.404 24059,757 28835,387 35419,183 41686.557 53347,216 65169.582 804411.079 215 GNPMCU 10078.210 12675.880 14779,346 17703,978 20960.388 25179,407 30276.995 37354,231 44431,172 57026,371 70669.669 88078.316 I b. Z 4.z0 l0.1 . -0- -.o~o 'r0 . 0 0 0 l. O x .' 00 .0.0041021'14 0.. . . . . . . . -. . .0 0 0- 0 0 .4.1 . I 0. . .. .. .. - 00' 0.00.-00' 0 0 0 0 .It0 00 0 .0 .J0 . 01 1 -4--. ..0 0 4 1 20 -1 - I- . 0 2 0 0 . . 01'0010 00 0 1 0 0000 1 002 010. ' 0.900 00000 ." .-4 . ."J.0... . .00 0 .0 0 0 4.. 0 -'.o 0 02 00 .0 0 . 0 . 0 0 0 - 0 00 0.04 00' 0.0 0 .0.- 4 1 0 0 0 0' o 1 0 0 2 0.00."I 7. 7.CU. 7C C..C C. 22 C 2 2 2 2272222 22 22 2272 2CC .C. 40.U .022.11 2.22 .Ci 2. 2 22 1 IC2.a C - 0 2 j 2 2 2 14 4 22 2 22 22 2 2 2 22 1 .202'C0 'C U~2C . . .I . .. CCOt 20 . 1 1 2 02-.4 02 1 00 - I4 - 14- 0 C C I 220 <2C 72C 2 2 22C 2T< ~ 02 2Z~Z 2 2 < fl2 0 2 2 ~ 2 2 I 2 2 2 2 Z 0 0 4 0 0 :-CC V . 72 . 2 2 2 .22 0 2 1 2 2 2 22 2 2 2 0 2 22 2 1 2 0 O Z Z Z Z Z Z Z Z z 2 Z I ' 9! =" -1 C C C C C OC10 2 20 22 ZO 0 2 2 2IO0 4O Z 220 ) 2 -4I'1 22 - 2----- - - I. .-C .22 I - .0I .... -0 11 2 2 2 2 C .. 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N 0.00 00 00000000000-0-00000O.000-0-000-N0.000 NO00.N 0000.0- 00-NON 00 NO.0 00-0 .0 0-..0 000 0 0.00 00 -NOON -000-N O.NO0-0 00 NON 00-ONO -0000 00-0.00 00000 00000 -0000 000 N 00 0.00 0-00 N 00-0 N 00-000 ...N000 000.- NOO.0 00...Oo O0NO 00--NON- NO.0 N 0-ON -0-0-0 00-0 0 N NN0- -0-0 0 000- N 0000-0 0000 0000000N0-0 00 00000 00 -0000 0 N0-O 0000 000 0 0000000-NO NON 000 0 000 N 000-NO 000 000 0 0--N - ..0 000 00 -00.00 0 000.000 000 N 0 0-- --ooo,oo, 000-0 0000 00 0 0 0.00 0 00 000 000 -0.3 00-00-00 00-0-N 0-NO 000 0 NON 0-0 NO.000. 00.NO O.000 00-000 ..00-00 0-0.0 NO 0000-0 NONNO NONON 0.00-N. 000 0 000000 0000 N... 00-00NO N NO 00.00-N NO 000 NONN0- 0-NONO 00.000 OONN0-000.0000000 0.00000-0000 0-0 0 000000 OO.0-0 0-NO 0-N0.0-000 00 00-NON 000-0-0- 000-00 ON0..-0- 00000000000 0-000 00.-NO 00000 00000- 000 N ONoON 0 00-0 NON N0-0-0-00N0 0-000.0 NON0-0 00.00 00000 00-00 00000- 0...N0- N 00...O OO00-..N000- 0000 00..000 0000- 0 OONN000NOO 00-00 0000 0--00-N 00-ON O...0 0000- 00 0000- 0 000 000-0 000 0 0000 0000 0-0 0000000 N 00000 00-0000 000.-- 0 000 00000000- 00 0-NO0 00-0 0 - NN N 0 0 N NO 3 000.00- -000000 0 0 0.00 0- 00 0-00 0030 N 00-000-00-00 00-00-NO 0 000 NO 0-0-0-0000N000.N0000.00-0 0 -00-000 00000 000-- 0-000 0.00 00. 00000 00-0 0 00000000000 NO 00-NO-. 0000 N 0000.0 00000 ..00.00 00.00-0 00000 000-ON 00000. 00000 NON 0 000000 0000 00.0 0-00000 00 N 0000 000.00. 00000 0-NOON 00000 00000 00000 00000 0000.0 000.00 000 - 000-.NO 0-000 000 000-0-000 0 00000 -0000 000.0000000 NO-NO -0-000-NON 00000.000-N ......N N NON 0 000000- NO0-O. 0-00000 0. 000 0 00000 ONOONONOOOON0-N ...0 0.0000 0.0 000-000000 000-N 000 0 NOON 0000 NON 0000000 00 00 000 000 0 .000000 .0N 00 -0000000 000- 00.0 N O 0.30 N 0 0 '3330 000 ....3 .3. 0400 p 0 0 0 00.0 0 00 0.00 NO0- .0 Z3 000000 '0000. 000 0000000 00 0300000 0000- 00000 00-000- 0000.0 N NON- O--.-0 00000 0-000 00000-NOON 03000000 0000- NO.0 000 0 000 00030,0000-..000.00-00000-000000000000000000-N00000 000-00 000000000 0 000000 0000 00.0 000 0 000 00 0300000 0000-0 000.00 00.000 0.000000000 .-N0.000.00000.0000 O.ONNN 000 0 .33 NO.0000 0-0-ON OIOON .0340 0. 0-00.0 >3000-N 0000.0 .00-..00 0 00.0 0ONNO 0.000N O...000 000000- ON.0 NN00I 000 N 03000000 0000 0300-N ..4N0 .0 0-0.00 03000-00 0000 00-0-0 0000 O.00-000N NNOO00000N 0 .00.00- 000 0 03000- 0000 100- 000 0 NON 300000- 000000 0 0.00 -0. NON NO -000 0. 00 0000 NON N 30 o- 03 -.3 - ,- -- 0300000 0-3 03  0 0- -000.000 0 0 000 0- 000 0-10-000.0.0 03 03 ow 03 .33 03 0 3 N 0 3 03 03 03 030 0000 002.0 03 00030000-0- 0300000 ...0001.. NO.3000 S1000 ..0000L NO.000 -0.00 0-0000 00000 NOONO Oo0. - 030 00000 o.300 N 301.30 00..3uoo N CC ItO 0003.0000.00 00000 02002  0000.0 00.000 .z.0.z .0.000.0 00000 000 2. .3000000 NOON 2.3 >0000N2.Z00-N0 300 000 ..34.J.J4 1.10003 0.0. 0.00 0o0.3..0-00.00.N 00000.000.0 NN00- 0.00 0 NI .300.000 0001. 3.3 3000 0. 00- 3-0.00 0.0 300.000.000.3.. 0. 0.1 .. 0 00.000 0.0000.00.000 000.00 . 3.000. 00000 0.0.00.00000. 03 N0-Z303030 0000 33000 N 0.00 0 - - - . . - .----------::.. 300 .o0.00300.N3.030033.30.3 0- O3-NNNZ 31(0 0300000 000.00 .00.0.00 0000.0 1....00 0. 000000.00000.0.0000.0000 00000 00.0 0 03 03 03 .3 03 NI 03 03 1.3 POPULATION GROWTH RATESAP1. -Pg5 624 POPAGR -3,067 1,309 1.188 1,235 1.127 1.211 1,208 1,182 1.189 1.192 1.347 1,LJ45 668 POPLMF 1,941 4.404 2,935 4,532 5,675 6,546 6.591 6,450 6,144 6.077 9.887 6,092 672 POPSMF -17.927 3.281 2.788 4,209: 3.152 3,937 3.819 3,367 4,846 3.422 5.080 6.081 676 POPCNS -19.788 16,903 6,283 8.786 4.615 6,243 6.043 3,796 4,343 7.298 5.8182 9,100 680 POPELC 33,627 3.062 2.135 2,676 2.942 3,059 2,676 2.642 2,390 2.412 2.337 2.386 684 POPTRP .1,113 3.698 2,775, 3,46ki 3.137 3,460 3,369 3,170 3,338 3,475 3,629 4,084 688 POPIINK '4.118 9.492 4.124 5,243.. 4.762 5,261 5,021 4,813 5.150 5.324 5.558 6,274 692 POPPUB 6,023 4,439 3,319 4,171V 3.772 4,154 4.033 3,783 4,006 4.148 4.321 4,865 700 POPSER -43,885 4.212 3,151 3,971 3.601 3,976 3.870 3,639 3,857 4.005 4.180 4,717 533 POPTOD -.390. 4,587 3,445 4,344' 3.943- 4,353 0.238 3,985 4,236 4.391 0.583 5.168 203 Pf)PPWK 0,000, 30.986 22,581 119.296' 6,000 5,660 5.357 4,746 50,485 10,108 9.q61 10.124 244 POPMIN 0,000 2,539 2,462 2.38,1 2.391 2,013 2,433 2.706 2.330 2,363 2.374 2.334 245 POPSUR 0.000 -2,998 5,735 -25.,220~ 4,446 -,761 ,216 10,402 -34,631 -16,'243 -28,992 -71,2753 379 POPTOT -4,690 2,1539 2,462 2,381 2,391 2,413 2,433 2,706 2,330 2,363 2,374 2,330 SURPLUIS LABOR 695 WORKRS 07640,000 48710.000 49820,000 50970,000 521.70.000 53410,000 54690,000 56150.000 57520,000 58900,000 60320,000 61750,000 690 SURPLA -.002 -.002 -.001 '.002 -.002 ,.001 -,001 -.002 -.001 -.001 -.002 -.001 530 SUJRL/L .059 ,096 .058 .042 .043 .042 .041 .044 .028 .023 ,016 .004 532 LABSUR 2832,110 2739,347 2891,268 2160,558' 2255.810 2237.841 2241,875 2474.183 1619,069 1356.560 963,614 276.898 233 LABPWK 407.461 532,189 651,196 1427.042 1512,126 1597,148 1682,110 1761,311 2653,352 2922,583 3214.847 3541.592 236 LABMIN 952,800 974.200 996,400 1019,400 1043,400 1068,200 1093,800 1123,000 1150,400 1178.000 1206,000 1235,000 HOUSEHOLD INCOME/EXPENDITURF 1973 BILLION RS PER INCOME GROUP 556 INCI 222,234 223.703 226,256 228.570 231.180 239,889 248.586 258,105 268,626 277,931 301,942 336.347 557 ITXINI 8,175 9.35q9 5.536 5,932 6,094 6,416 6,862 7.331 7,928 8,563 9.204 l0.'481 555 DINCI 214,059 218.345 270,721 222,638 225.086 233,473 241,724 250,775 260,697 269.367 29?.13A 325.A66 550 EPIP 213.491 217,760 220,145 222,005 224.061 232.814 241.035 250,070 259,867 268.473 291.658 324.440 559 INC2 1903,837 1888.340 1888,828 1940,556 1933,053 1970,461 2007.777 2046,413 2165,488 2216.883 2372.990 2592.884 560 ITYIN2 06,014 416,312 46,515 49,320 51.580 53,437 56.146 58.981 62,611 68.849 73.164 82.088 598 OINC2 1857.823 1842.028 1842,313 0891,236 1881.473 1917,024 1951.631 1987,432 2102.878 2148,034 2299,030 2910.796 551 EXP2 1805.092 1829.750 1830,242 1879.058 1869.601 1904,896 1939,260 1974,798 2089,344 2130.211 2280.356 2492.824 562 10C3 1357.671 1397.933 1480,977 1596.581 1705.586 1836,006 1971,811 2076,417 2271,251 2370.291 2569.272 2836.961 563 ITXTN3 30,628 32,813 34,189 38,390 42,088 46,756 51,820 57,301 62,830 71,348 77.256 87.6q6 561 I'INC3 1327,043 1365,119 1446.788 1558,191 1663.498 1789,249 1919,988 2019,076 2208,417 2298,943 24I92.416 2749.265 552 ExP3 1307,293 1344.905 1424,636 1533.271 1635.863 1758,244 1885.350 1981,840 2165.187 2253.565 2440.443 2688.847 565 IhCO 3211,084 3697.827 4010,073 4481.670 0963,015 5486.539 6041,462 6641,625 7253.009 8096.423 8843.066 9709.074 566 ITXIN4 56,317 73,013 84,640 96,874 109,753 125,990 142,808 161,425 183,884 207.365 239.1085 271,41J3 560 DINC4 3009.117 3455.676 3737.617 4168,610 0608,761 5080,679 5578,873 6113,879 6650,403 7398.441 8035.688 8770.4,58 553 EXP4 2908.858 3329.699 3594.930 3998,308 4408,000 0846,469 5307.586 5799.853 6292.840 6974,117 7555.702 8226.115 554 EXPTOlT 6270.734 6722,073 7069,953 7632.642 8137,925 8742.424 9373,231 10006,562 10807,238 11630.366 12572.198 13732.231 619 AVPSI .063 .003 .003 .003 .003 .003 .003 .003 .003 .003 *'nt .00 257 AVP32 .007 .007 .007 .006 .006 .006 .006 ,006 ,006 .006 .007 .007 258 AVPS3 .015 .015, .015 .016 .017 .017 .018 .018 ,020 ,020 .""? .), 259 AVPSAI .033 n036 .038 .041 .044 .046 .009 .051 ,054 .057 n16o .162 PIIPILATTON IN THOUJSANDSI AVFRAGE INCOmF AND EXPENDITURE 1973 RS 571 POPIP 20177.005 70366.292 21151.451 19570.312 20254,690 20692,301 21196.730 22323.392 20473.086 20283,603 19826.106 18671.767 567 AVINCi 10611.214 10770.887 10435.709 11376,321 11112.780 11283.087 11403.824 i1233,712 12733.406 13280,060 1476S.29fl 17492.i49 615 AVECI 10583.085i 10692.193 10408.025 11343,966 11081.906 11251.260 11371,312 11202,163 12692.872 13235.970 10710.786 17376.P03 577 P11l',' 67777,693 69088.482 70294.645 73431.537 74546.226 75755.676 76975.152 78160.553 81684.676 83045,958 8505,1.922 87692.5b6 568 AVINC2 27410.549 26661.864 26208.503 25755.087 25239,006 25305,309 25354,037 25427,558 25743.845 25741.618 26913.73? 28631.805 616 AVFC2 27222.715 26484.191) 2c6036.723 25589.256 25079.754 25145.259 25193.330 25265.918 25578.158 25575,960 26737,045 28426.860 573 POP3 22?291.414 23047.6PB 23623.487 24357.511 25033.466 25813.471 26606.692 27370,750 28204,798 29117.692 30103.Z158 31279.667 569 AVINC3 59531.589 59230,3393 61243.630 63971,667 66450.963 69314,563 72161,839 73767,651 78299.333 78953.461 82781.729~ 87901.273 617 AVFC3 98649,583 98353.29'i 60305.935 62948.574 65347.031 68113,436 70860,006 72007,235 76766,636 77395.049 81068.972 85972.5487 574 POF'0 ?2258,013 23690.763 24476,241 25509.554 26450,302 27553.605 28681,569 29758.359 30923.120 32249,450 33635.159 35321.15? 570 AVI'IC4 133274.082 145865,946 152703.884 163413.695 174242.266 184392,520 194510,743 205450,800 215062.451 229412,950 238907.38i 748304.131 618 AVEC4 128833.587 140546.728 146874.269 156737.686 166652.174 175892.369 l'5052.136 194898,293 203491,.486 216255.375 224630.198 232890.921 393 GTNINIl .409 .437 ,006 .455 .072 .482 .491 .502 .501 .510 .506l .!19t 520 PUJVINI) 270.089 270.006h 286.914 207.049 261.027 263,142 266,998 284.987 230,666 217,039 183.088 122.796b 571 .958 .953 .569, ,526 .537 .530 .525 .532 ,469 .447 .585, .273 522 OTTIIR .986 .925 .930 .929 .931 .929 .922 .893 .910 ,859 ..150 .831 AVE~GE. Z1NC0JAE 1973 8S PER SECY90 I l'.. 6 t.25 bVIOG 15767,4694 15~,-O.16 15079,.976 14 083.066 11~ 4 .'- 78 10159' ~'ld I10633,140 10 6VT, 13 101091.690 14952.960 15709,100I 16060,063 626 A00602 Z!8151.269 .27372.,i01 2610.0320 26a85,1i4 27>1s 3.670 26039.9U, 26109,951 26i1', .2 6:6,6o 20030.866, 30083.456 6227 AVIAG3 ', 9 2,70'2 53000,029 53V1o~P53 5 A .o2 ~zo,-3 ',,;: - 11 6,1l.11( .1 J,.. 10 *' u,-1.007 (ol.- 71743,016 7537A.602 628 AVTAGO 0121341,591 o30140 0776 553875,,243 694i37,a?oT7~ ?1 . ~660 0130151,9951~ 70161 . 5 ,1.I, ,9 312 QO, 428122 1740 .1 90 1260317.3031284747.51A 629 AVlMi 10 5767,090 15340.716 15074,976 10803.868 145345.5 0 141593, 910 V1:33. 190 14692,913 19911,699 1019e ,,60 1570g, 7 09 16060,4163 630 AVILH2 3313n.620 32230,692 31676,305, 911q0,o690 809(b3.04 30665,081 1,0797,896 30073,?!9b 31333,200 31'119.925 31f,17, 217 35427,720 631 AVI1.13 80559,021 1670'..796 91007.037 5ZOOO.£190 i C-67 I 54 116782.614 124790.206 132606,370 4196094016 10A "1 6. 7 2 11966.,i,26 170912,023 632 AVILIlO 293894.4063 3168116.573 332190,815 36'~051,282 3903 f ,6~' 0,126582.055 9550951,302 889505,999 517432,283 SS1196.,137 583499,912 624602.5515 633 AV1391 149058,253 13670,006 13441.146 13?35,086 12969.107 13012,225 130047,197 13100.492 13295,557 13332,355 1 4007 ,08f2 15032.76-5 639 090392 27075,227 26303.091 25886.722 25909,865 201977.606 25060.650 251128,002 25230,645 25635,328 25677,198 26976,676 209S2.071 635 AVIS/VS 76602.800 77706.799 78764,581 80969,244 82417,9-K' 84246,305i 86299.397 87772,011 90AG7,399 93005,955 95098,660 100460,053 636 0913190 011233.482 970907.062 516342,910 580097,700 640326,167 676110,629 720655,977 790590,204 799590.831 803063.050 846136,276 053291,038 637 AVICN1 6275.289 6105,586 5999,822 5907,014t 5789,119 '.1808,361 5023.971 5807,761 5939,839 5951.260 6252,992 6710.2094 638 AVICN2 33030,620 32234,692 31676,305 31190,690 39563.0I64 30665.981 30747,096 30873,996 31333,200 31019,920 33010.-027 35027.,220 639 A91003 55609,603 501t83,717 53205,11 52420.000 951175.Z0I 5,596,089 51689,503 50895,665 52668.307 52811,156 55486,987 59550,0n8p 600 6910100 160139.9519 10-5069,7a2 194083.086 207680,721 2 1 5 15--9.60,0 275602.044 236295,710 250609,518 254585,102 268178.932 201623.739 302065./132 601 AVIFL.1 18307,184 l7rl02,116 17503,5615 17235.226 16008.057 06945,008 1699D,509 17059,952 17313.973 17361.893 18740.590 19576.731 692 06701.2 29110,594 28323,241 27832,610 274085,921 2600,5,156 26990,992 27016,858 27127,217 27531,139 27607.334 29000.0l95 31128,379 643 09001.3 48055.619 46796,085 05946,091 45291,771 443'32.567 49479.961 04599,504 00781.685 45408.481 95574,267 47880,701 51306.815, 609 AVIELO 006699.810 4573059.6'?9 095950.099 555993,570 629?10.OP0 7100I20.861 8008009,160 090009,284 991618.969110108i,695 te12999,A781349897,177 605 AVITP1 5650,122- 5497.330 9402,102 5319.205, 5212.386 5229,715 5293,771 5265.190 5303,509 5358,378 5629.5,56 6001.786 606 0011102 37802.999 36819.630 36181,028 35627,190 349911,05 350;?7,227 35121.366 35260,830 35789,921 35888.975 37705,2509 40466.260 647 0907103 57327.538 55777.-27 1 r4811.066 53970,783 52806.156 53061,987 53204,595 53421,926 54217,375 50367,431 5;71 180,71 61301,060 608 AVITP4 126318.529 130539,070 105661,409 161553,160 176453.438 190979.280 206715,094 219216,671 238680,953 252563,930 267929,966l 2899'555hl8 609 AVIOKI 5558,418 9400.106 5310,424 5232,951 5127.787 5104,835 5158,662 5179,730 5256,860 5771,410 5530./So 51943,726 650 AVOOK2 37802.999 36819.630 36181,828 35627,140 34911,158 35027,227 35121,366 35269.030 35789,921 35888,975 37705.20 400466.260( 651 000080 59342.339 59120,913 60701.228 63076,044 65086,274 67055,002 69821,827 71088,077 70635,969 75140.662 77969,36os 82086.625 652 0911080 28166ti,8t9 280616,9t0 288128.170 299413,015 308963,1'90 32021T,404 331055.177 337468.892 354318,003 3S6714.684 370190.086 309682,090 653 AV1IPU1 388,500 378.001 371,453 365.759 358.4008 359,600 360.566 362,039 367.430 368,907 387.093 415.439 650 690002 20227,042 19600,057 19339,148 19042,669 18659.976 18722,016 18772,333 188499014 19129,674 39182.619 20153,0101 21629.173 655 0A1IPU3 70009,002 70241.987 72099.352 75847,985 78741.126 82147,669 85566.792 87627.893 92505,670 93806,221 97976,570 103900.0g50 656 0601000 150600.079 1512o7.596 156234,160 1636594759o 170087,704 177574,155 1850911.305 189613,198 2004176,050 203153,132 212164,070 224956,110 l 657 AV0301 19516.093 18908,334 18659.407 18373.340 18004.107 18063,966 18112,514 18186,501 180517,296 l8508,300 1900,.0)5/ 29060,.001 650 000382 36001,162 350994.003 35223,968 34683,965 33906,937 34099,930 30191,580 34331,207 30842.436 34938,069 36707,8604 39394.476, 659 001303 60000.373 60506, 614 62306,714 65090,700 67053,170 70200,064 730400,574 70688,039 78790,779 79700.,715 831 3 1.6 0907Wio3.767 660Q AVI3E0 23977.017 20705,5,79 26626,199 29226,1005 31623,740 33813,307 36027,230 37271.012 40758,109 00939.921 42513.750( 004650.107 661 AVITOI 19516,090 18989,330 10659,007 18373,308 10000.107 10063,966 18112,5-14 18186.501 18457,296 18508,300 19045.05"7 200h6.'I01 662 AVI107 36841.162 35800.093 35223,968 30683.965 33986.937 34099,934 34191,580 39331,247 30802,436 34938,869 36707.060 39394.0176 663 AVITOS 694009.370 69743,110 72077,719 75503.229 78569,050I 82133,170 85,739.299 07983.868 93105.278 q9653,759 99133.'191 105065.796b 660 AVITD4 162727.3504 163690.140 169347,961 177749.628 185099,513 193670,666 202329,313 207726,170 220182,813 223705,182 230270.100 249200,006b LAB//R PR///3/UCTI VITY ANn/ INCOME PFR0 CAPITA PFR SECTOR 620 LPYAGR0 ,109 .100 ,112 .010 .123 .129 .136 ,1102 .150 .1518 .167 .170 672 PYAGR0 .036 .035i 037 .039 .001 .043 .044 .095 .000 .048 ,105I) .957 665 LPYtoMF .710i .778 ,820 .894 ,976 1,061 1,135 1,213 1,294 1,378 1.065 1.560 617 PYL1.F .23., ,25o .266 .290 .316 ,344 .365 .388 4014 .401 .067 .5,00 66,9 1.03SMF .087 .009 .090 .03 .095 ,097 .100 .102 .106 ,108 .102 .117 671 ¾ISMF .029 .02o4 ,029 .030 .031 ,031 .032 ,033 .030 .035 .1"3, .177 673 ,PYCNS .339 ,381 .3q7 .021 .930 .053 .472 ,080 4099 ,525 .9406 ,5ip 675 tYCN03T ,132 .1510 .157 .167 .172 .18Q .188 '198 ,201 ,231 .~22 273s 677 L.YEL`C ,657 .739 4801 .894 1,012 1,151 1,287 1,037 1,596 1,769 1.955 2.165 679 POI'.PC .215 .241 ,260 .290 ,327 ,371 .910 4959 .511 .566 .623 .590 683 L$OITRP .7) ,274 ,285 ,300 .315 ,332 ,30¶ 367* .387 .908 .032 .060, 603 PYIOOP, ,07u o0l5 ,077 .081 .084 .068 89 .093 0'6 ,102 .106 l .117 ,20 6105 LOYONO . 7708 .806, .028., 857 .885 .917 .949 .980 1,016 1.059 1,095 1.103 687 PY98ANK .276 ,275 ,283 ,294 .303 .319q .325 .331 .308 .350 .963 .197 609 LPPTUr, .30? .315 .326 .340 .353 .368 ,383 .398 .415 .433 '.050 077 691 1001010 .107 .100 .111 .116 .121 .126 ,131 .135 ,142 .144 .150n .160 228 LPY003R .060 .064 .066 .068 ,071 .074 .077 .079 .083 .006 090 .095 229 10YSERV .022 .077 .022 .023 .024 .025 ,026 .027 .028 .029 .030 .032 23/i LPYTRO) .300 .113 .323 .338 .352 .367 .389 ,399 .418 .037 .054893 230 PY1R07/ .1016 .107 .111 .116 .120 .126 .131 435 .143 ,195 5.05 .162 EXPORTS 1973 BILLION RS APPENDIX M - Page 7 237 EXECRP 319.921 323.607 334.485 343,8495 359,993 369,689 375.394 388.384 406.622 4."o.193 498,830 551.522 238 EXFOR 304.179 335.920 371.071 908.821 951.315 997,587 598.778 605,630 667.169 735.188 809,719 890,389 239 EXF4AN 38.008 47.000 56,000 65.000 75.000 87,000 100,000 116.000 133.000 153.000 176.000 203.000 362 EXOIL 233.000 244.00o 279,000 303.000 396.000 370.000 352.000 358,000 925,000 939.000 497,000 4957000 271 EXHMIN 64.819 69,493 75.018 80,245 85.556 91,066 97.196 103.616 110.517 117.880 125.782 133.990 534 XMANUF 3.000 6.000 10,000 25.000 56.000 79.000 99.000 113,000 130,800 152.000 173.000 198,000 350 XCONST 957.415 1025.520 1120,574 1225.911 1368.314 1989.343 1572.318 1684,629 1872.303 2036.261 2230,310 2433.861 EXPORTS CURRENT BILLION RS 363 EXPCRP 908.748 522.5,81 5,28.958 567,873 614.577 676.492 764.504 888,539 976,181 1691.029 1976.133 2578.364 369 EXPFOR 395,933 990.097 '557.105i 790,529 880.364 1085,820 1928.052 1823,093 2162,297 3123.009 34999.051 9478.716 365 EXPF+A 41.800 61.668 89,075 110,813 196.300 189,899 237.596 321,253 383.153 512,066 635.911 870,941 270 EXOIL 916.1516 1256.454 1504.2-15 1886,085 2307,139 2606.702 2709,557 3571.822 3966,928 '9654.229 5223.596 6996.611 366 EXPHMN 116.666 105.1208 127,6495 196,653 268,880 317.956 389,691 961,625 530,636 652,981 796,622 990,897 367 EXPMNF 3,600 7.872 14.013 95,289 109.237 172.392 235.220 312.995 379.510 508,719 602,798 899.989 299 EXPORT 1882.902 2393.88n 2816.030 3597,1232 9326.992 50499,61 5759,620 7379,277 8393,655 11091.528 12633.060 16219.960 IMPORTS 1973 BILLION RS 351 MINTER 663,567 615.76? 660,900 751,979 895.579 1111.939 1359,269 1822,993 2159,793 2825.826 3600.536 9132.319 371 MINTADI 706,899 662,716 588,815, 637,840 798.388 839,970 857.377 1180.398 1135.999 1500,905 1279.852 1394.387 352 MC+PGI) 992,365; 5616.4q3 753,522 793.230 903,895 960,989 0006,500 1001,526 1299,333 1360.282 1593.357 1799.566 353 MCONGO 195.099 201.218 295.094 284,017 391.689 339,.576 363,666 396.915 432,585 505.120 556.920 623.503 359 PRIcE 178.083 156.977 139.802 132.323 007,909 95,391 81.328 60,879I 70,981 51.802 65.751 102.199 360 MNFS 96.000 00.511 89.617 89,939 85,105 86.339 85,215, 82,352 85.619 91.985 89.176 75.661 360 MCUONIT 1575.109 1628.961 1883.899 2096.988 2293,666 2588,723 2895,981 3993,509 3992,805 4825.015 5900,700 7720.2499 373 MADJST 1618.440 167,.4115 1811,809 1932.398 2196.975 2316.760 2399.095 2801.919 2973.511 3500.099 3580.069 3990.317 IMPflRTS CIIRRENT BILLION RS 315 IMPtINT 836.095 957.084 1111.305 1966,270 1911.965 2558,733 3990,996 5332,390 6673.209 10,939,705 14263.666 23993.5193 379 IMINTA 890.692 1020.582 989,209 1167.247 1479,325 1771,283 1996,296 2868,295 2929,587 9307.597 3929.197 4406.2!6t 3t6 IMPCAP 615.456 857.634 1299,923 1512,897 1890.537 2170.928 2S39.969 3099,099 3794,099 4795.252 5962.613 0230.i01 317 IMPCGI) i01.367 3n9.632 999,701 541.699 630.985 755,656 917.595, 1136,028 1113.719 1762.077 2089.120 2859.530 369 IMPRIC 229.389 293.213 226,669 258.019 229,296 219,697 210,876 178,119 218,273 191.375 260.976 477.782 50 MNS120.000 134.00n 198,000 162,000 178.000 195,000 215.000 236,00 26,0 28.0 3190 3700 298 IMPORT 1977.302 2996.5,63 3135.099) 3990.875 9890.783 5899,924 7371,081 9981,632 12259,289 17924.909 22865.P075 35908.207 414 IMPADJ 2289.900 24090.61 3334,002 90l9.805, 9865,193 5679.973 6517.131 8395,987 9509,267 12989.621 13982.190 18037,81A GROWTH RATES nF CERTAIN KEY VARIABLES 268 GDPCFI 10.200 8.985 6.422 8,976 7,691 8.450 8.206 7.719 8,956 8,709 9.081 10.2r1 289 GIOPFCU 0,000 29.312 16.033 19,171 17.919 19.716 19.899 22,832 17,695 27,972 22.161 23.930A 215 GNPMC(J 0.000 25.775, 16.5919 19,789 18.399 20.129 20,295 23,375 18.995 28.348 23.925 29.634 200 1N111C1 12,790 14.863 28.529 6,562 19,137 8.289 6,539 8,875 15,120 9,817 16.?D05 1?.797 2H7 NFTICti 7.171 15.219 29.621 6.464 19.907 8.283 6,972 8.921 15.362 9.858 16.467 12.832 306 INTO7C01 0.000 31.2503 39.828 16.592? 29J.674 19.056 17.871 23.517 29.399 29.221 29.5~69 26.798 297 GIIPOEF 85.987 19.589~ 9.032 9.356 9.598 10.387 10.760 14.036 8.021 1.7.720 11.991 11.961 3516 0.000 o0. 000 0 .0 00 0.008 0.000 0,000 0,000 0 .0 00 0.000 0.000 8,001n 0.000 309 CLI 93.969 15.272 9.037 10.030 9,562 10,110 10,860 13.984 7.788 17.401 11 .9475 13.976 159 7IIox 0.900f -2.783 -.824 -.995 -.295 -.703 -3,352 5.103 -3.377 3.302 -8.177 -1.819 535 GSAOCwI 0.0110 62.368 76.968 25.066 28.836 13.376 12.635 18.178 27.296 22.,512 36.380 32.607 327 HSAVC'I n.000 21.875 19,587 16.098 23.293 28,997 23.902 29.296 29,352 38.265 31.218 19.307 536 CSAVCIJ 0.000O 24.312 16.033 19.171 17.919 19.716 19,899 22,832 17,695 27.972 22.161 23.530 300 DOim3ciJ 0.000 37.544 45.2g9 21.189 26.154 19,299 17.502 23,113 25,503 29,741 13.327 26,1'13 303 1-ONSCII 0.900 q.993 16.090 -8.756 13.971 17,110 20.878 26,714 15.463 29.073 -3.159 35.11A 305 TnTSCti 0.909 31,258 39,828 16.592 29.679 19.056 17.871 23.517 29.309 29.221 29.5160 2?6.790 361 GAPIOT 0.0810 16.303 -292.283 149.907 96.357 79,931 96,171 59,517 51.929 63.802 bA.531 09.5,33 559 ExPTllT n.000 7.029 5.175 7.959 6,620 7,928 7,215 6.7S7 8,002 7.616 A6,996 9.227 699l SIIRPL13 -100.090 -10.057 -16.864 27.630 -3.835 -20,020 2.362 19,331 -18,290 11.661 1596 -16.760 605, W(IRKRS 1.093 2.2916 2. 2,79 2.308 2.359i 2,377 2.397 2.670 2,990 2.399 2.911 2.371 267 INLAP.S 0.009 -2.9904 5.739 -29.220 9,996 -.761 .216 10.902 -39,631 -16.293 -26i.99? -71.-175 393 GTNINrI 01.000 5.962 3.317 1.978 3,896 2.103 1.926s 2.237 -.355 1.844 -.091 -l.92pk APPENDIX IV TABLES AND CHARTS: Table 1: Flow Chart in the main Table 2: Alternative Policy Simulations volume Table 3: Comparison Between Model Values and the Economic Report Table 4i. Growth and Different Indicators of Equity Table : Changes in Gross Domestic Product (at 1973 Rs Billion Prices) in the Different Alternatives Table 6: Net Investments (at Constant Price).; DIH Alternatives Table 7: Domestic Savings (at Constant Price); DIH Alterniati-ves Table 8: Disposable Income Distribution (GINI); DIH Alternatives Table 9: Poverty Index (GINI, below Minimum Standard); DIH Alternatives Table 10: Employment; DIH Alternatives Table 11: Investmental Capital Output & Labor Output Ratios; DIH Alternatives Table 12: Unemployment Index; DIE Alternatives Table 13: Real Wage Movements; DIH Alternatives Table 14: Rural Terms of Trade; DIH Alternatives Ta.ble 15: Exports/Imports (Current Price); DIH Alternatives Table 16: Exchange Rate Changes; DIH Alternatives Table 17: GDP Deflators; DPIH Alternatives Table 18: Tax Revenues as Percentage of GNP (Current Price), Net of Oil; DIH Alternative Table 19: Money Demand and Money Supply; DIH .lternative Table 20: Summary Tables, Giving the Major Macro Variables for the Revised Specifications (Alt 1C, 2C and 4C) Table 21: Dadone'sia - The Average Income and Population in All Sectors . Arranged In Ascending Order, 1971 Table 22: Demand Elasticities for Trade, Transport, Services and Banking Table 23: Input-Output Table 1969 Table 24: Indonesia, Taxes, Linear and Logarithimic Relations Table 25: Estimates of Expenditure Elasticities for Rural and UJrban Areas (1969 Family Budget Survey) APPENDIX IV (Conttd) Table 26: Estimates of Employment Elasticity in the Base Year Table 27: Monetary Income and Balance of Payment Statistics, 1967 :4-1974:2 Table 28: Population, Population at working age in Indonesia. Table 29: Growth, Employment and Income Distribution under alternative population assumptions (1974-1997) Table 30: Leontief Inverse 1969 APPENDIX IV Page 2 Table 5-: Changes in Gross Domestic Product (At 1973 p Rs Billion Percentage Change Alternatives 1973 1977 1980 1985 1973-77 1977-80 1973-80 1073-85 1980-85 I 6,163 8,545 10,79)4 16,564 8.5 8.1 8.3 8.6 8.9 II 6,163 8,516 10,612 15,730 8.)4 7.6 8.1 8.1 8.2 III 6,163 8,206 10,027 14,228 7.4 6.9 7.3 7.3 7.2 IV 6,163 8,570 10,797 16,455 8.6 8.0 8.3 8.5 8.8 V 6,163 8,545 10,7904 16,677 8.5 8.1 8.3 8.6 9.1 VI 6,163 8,504 10,971 17,338 8.39 8.9 8.6 9.0 9.7 VII 6,163 8,730 11,395 18,640 9.1 9.3 9.2 9.7 10.3 viii 6,163 8,319 10,376 15,273 7.8 7.6 7.7 7.8 8.0 Ix 6,163 8,541 10,803 16,766 8.5 6.1 8.3 8.7 9.2 x 6,163 8,541 10.,713 17,518 8.5 7.9 8.2 10.3 9-1 APPENDIX IV Page 3 Table 6: Net Investment (at 1973 R*p) Rs Billion Percentage Change Alternative 1973- 1974 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 I 1,208 1,295 2,715 4,927 12.3 12.6 12.)4 II 1,208 1,298 2,573 4,359 11.4 1l.1 11.3 III 1,208 1,280 2,227 3,537 9.1 9.7 9.4 IV 1,208 1,295 2,665 4,705 12.0 12.0 12.0 V 1,208 1,295 2,715 5,015 12.3 13.0 12.6 VI 1,208 1,292 2,800 5,397 12.8 14.1 13.3 VII 1,208 1,408 3,086 6,155 14.3 14.8 14.5 VIII 1,208 1,178 2,440 4,217 10.6 11.6 11.0 IX 1,208 1,295 2,716 5,112 12.3 13.5 12.8 X 1,208 1,294 2,705 6,352 12.2 18.6 14.8 APPENDIX IV Page 4 Table 7: Domestic Savings (at 1973 price) Rs Billion Percentage Change Alternative 1973 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 I 1,044 (2,262) (4,194) 11.7 13.1 12.3 1,644 (2,144) (3,714) 10.8 11.6 11.2 III 1,044 (2,085) (3,401) 10.4 10.3 10.35 IV 044 (2,219) (4,001) 11.4 12.5 11.8 V 1,044 (2,262) (4,233) 11.7 13.3 12.4 VI 1 s,044 (29,326) (4,.591) 12*2 14.6 13.1 1II 1,044 (2,563) (5,224) 13.7 15.2 14.4 TE:I 1 o44 (2,033} (3,602) 10.0 12.1 10.9 1,044 (2,262) (4,197) 1 t .7 13.2 12.3 X Iv044 (2 ,286) 5,527 11*9 19.3 14.9 AP-F,NDLv IV Page 5 Table 8: DISPOSABLE INCOIE DISTRIBUTION (GINI) \iternatives 1973 1977 1980 1985 1973-77 1Q77-80 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 P.a. 2.a. P.. . p A. p. a. I .396 .455 .491 .1i95 3.5 2.6 3.1 .2 1.9 II .396 .393 .420 .418 -.2 2.2 .8 -.1 .5 III .396 .448 .497 .559 3.1 2.65 3.3 2.4 2.9 IV .396 .429 .450 .422 2e0 1.6 1.8 -1.5 .5 V .396 .455 .491 .495 3.5 2.6 3.1 .2 1.9 VI .396 .469 .522 .576 4.3 3.6 4.0 2.0 3.2 VII .396 .468 .514 .540 4.3 2.4 3.8 1.0 2.6 VIII .396 .455 .500 .543 3.5 2.4 3.4 1.7 2.65 IX .396 .455 .485 .425 3.5 1.6 2.9 -3.3 .6 x .396 .455 .493 .491 3.5 2.0 3.2 -0.1 1.8 Table : POVERTY INDEX w inixui stand.r) Jternatives 1973 1977 '1980 1985 1973-77 1977-80 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 I .560 .526 .525 .268 -1.55 -.06 -.92 12.58 -5.96 II. .560 .207 .144 - .319/1 -22.03 -11.39 -17.64 - - III .560 .556 .599 .631 -.18 2.51 0.97 1.05 1.0 IV .560 .480 .441 .014 -3.78 -2.75 -3.36 l-49.84 -26.46 V .560 . 526 .525 .257 -1.55 -.o6 -.92 -13.31 -6.28 VI .560 .577 .600 .580 .75 1.31 0.99 -.68 0.2.9 VII .560 .558 .560 .391 -.09 .12 0.0 -6.93 -2.95 VIII .560 .548 .571 .518 -.54 1.38 .28 -1.93 -.65 DC .560 .520 .485 2 97/ 2 -1 .884 -2o30 -2.03 - - x .560 .527 .537 .165 -1.51 0.63 -.60 -21.-2 -9.68 Lj Ninimun standard reached by 1983 L2 Minimumn standard reached by 1984 APPENNDIX IV Page 6 Table 10: EMPLOYMENT (in '000) Percentage changes: Alternatives 1973 1Q74 1977 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 43,o85 44,808 48,810 52,449 61,480 2.8 3.2 3.0 II 43,085 45,018 48,889 52,397 60,909 2.8 3.1 2.9 III 43,085 44,829 48,331 51,489 58,996 2.6 2.8 2.7 IV 43,085 44,840 48,898 52,55k 61,601 2.9 3.2 3.05 v 43,o85 44,808 48,810 52,449 61,592 2.8 3.3 3.05 VI 43,085 44,602 48,026 51,704 60,061 2.6 3.1 2.8 VII 43,085 44,581 48,344 52,221 61,366 2.8 3.3 3.0 viii 43,085 44,828 48,481 51,912 60,061 2.7 2.9 2.8 IX 43,085 44,809 48,799 52,453 61,817/1 2.9 3.3 3.1 X 43,085 44,808 48,807 52,352 62,491 2.8 3.6 3.15 /1 Over full employment. Table 11: Incr-amental Capital Output And Labor Output Ratios (Rb billion 000 pop.) Incrementa] Total I1ncrementcl harginl Capi1,ai Margional Labor OUJupu. Investument Employment uUtput O.bo Output Ratio Alternative 1Q73-80 1980-85 1974-80 1981-85 1973-80 1980-85 1973-80 1980-85 1973-80 1980-85 4,630 5,767 14,397 19,406 9,364 9,031 3.110 3.365 2.022 1.566 II 4,448 5,118 13,940 17,695 9,312 8,512 3.134 3.457 2.094 1.66( III 3,864 4,201 12,190 14,890 8,404 7,507 3.155 3.544 2.175 1.787 IV 4,634 5,658 14,257 18,746 9,467 9,049 3.077 3.313 2.043 1/00 4,631 5,883 14,397 19,719 9,364 9,143 3.108 3.352 2.022 1.551i VI 4,808 6,367 14,537 20,701 8,619 8,357 3.024 3.251 1.793 1.313 VII 5,231 7,246 15,874 23,34;1. 9,136 9,145 3.035 3.221 1.747 1,262 VIII 9,213 4,897 13,075 16,924 8,827 8,149 3.103 3.456 2.095 1.664 r- - OI !2- APPENDIX IV Table 12: Unemployment Index (Fulltime employed population as a percentage of working population) Percentage Change Alternative 1973 1977 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 I 6.8 4.2 14.1 0.4 -7.0 -37.2 -21.0 II 6.8 4.1 14.2 1.4 -6.7 -19.7 -12.3 III 6.8 5.2 5.9 4.5 -2.0 -5.3 -3.4 IV 6.8 4.1 3.9 0.2 -7.6 -44.8 -25.5 V 6.8 14.2 4.1 0.3 -7.0 -40.7 -22.9 VI 6.8 5.8 5.5 2.7 -3.0 -13.3 -7.4 VII 6.8 5.2 14.5 o.6 -5.7 -33.2 -18.3 VIII 6.8 4.9 5.1 2.7 -4.0 -11.9 -7.4 iX 6.#8 4.0 3.0 -.3 -110 - - X ,.8 4.2 4.3 -.012 -6.3 - - /1 /B Pne mploym.nt 1984. APPEMDJI IV Page 9 Table 13: Real Wage Dovements (% changes in ind.ex form) Percentage Change Alternative 1973 1977 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 I 1.0 .985 1.003 1.074 0.04 138 o.60 II 1.0 .993 1.007 1.063 0.10 1.09 0.51 III 1.0 .983 .978 .969 -0.32 -0.18 -0.26 IV 1.0 1.007 1.027 1.105 0.38 1.47 0.84 V 1.0 .985 1.003 1.076 0.04 1.42 0.61 VI 1.0 .974 .972 .984 -0.38 0.25 -0.13 VII 1.0 .977 .986 1.039 -0.20 1.06 0.32 VIII 1.0 .982 .988 1.010 -0.17 0.44 0.08 DX 1.0 .983 1.011 1.163 0.16 2.84 1.27 X 1.0 .983 .998 1.084 -0.03 1.67 0.67 Table 14: Rural Terms of Trade (% change in index fom) Alternative 1973 1977 1980 1985 I.728 -1.15 -2.06 -1.53 II 1.0 .921 .916 .830 -1.25 -1.95 -1.54 III 1.0 1.020 1.019 1.023 0.27 0.08 0.19 IV 1.0 .927 .920 .828 -1.18 -2.09 -1.56 V 1.0 .929 .922 .831 -1.15 -2.06 -153 VI 1.0 .932 .933 .851 -0,99 -1.82 -1.34 VI-I 1.0 .928 .925 .827 -1.11 -2.21 -1.57 VIII 1.0 .933 .931 .855 -1.02 -1.69 -1.30 IX 1.0 .930 .922 .815 -1.15 -2.44 -1.69 X 1.0 .948 .966 .955 -0.49 -0.23 -0.38 APPENDIDC IV Page 10 Table Imports (1973 Price) Rs Billion Percentage Change Alternative 1974 1977 1980 1985 1974-80 1980-85 1974-85 I E (957) 1,225 1,572 2,434 8.6 9.1 8.9 M 1,618 1,932 2,394 3,990 6.7 10.7 8.6 MR 178 132 81 102 II E 956 1,228 1,578 2,455 8.7 9.2 8.95 M 1,621 1,950 2,398 3,944 6.7 10.5 8.4 MR 271 255 242 372 III E (957) 1,234 1,590 2,484 8.8 9.4 9.1 M (1,618) (1,923) (2,415) 3,849 6.9 9.7 8.2 MR (181) (125) (37) -135 IV E 957 1,225 1,573 2,439 8.6 9.2 8.9 M 1,618 1,938 2,398 3,979 6.8 10.7 8.5 MR 189 160 154 301 V E 957 1,225 1,572 2,431 8.6 9.1 8.9 M 1,618 1,432 2,394 4,036 6.7 11.0 8.7 MR 178 132 81 109 VI E 955 1,216 1,548 2,251 8.4 7.8 8.1 M 1,615 1,920 2,381 3,841 6.7 10.0 8.2 MR 178 136 86 23 VII E 956 1,211 1,539 2,226 8.3 7.7 8.0 M 1,616 1,950 2,420 3,889 7.0 10.0 8.3 MR 178 147 117 157 VIII E 958 1,231 1,582 2,460 8.7 9.2 8.95 M 1,618 1,901 2,347 3,883 6.4 10.6 8.3 MR 178 121 48 -61 IX E 957 1,226 1,572 2,431 8.6 8.9 8.9 M 1,618 1,931 2,394 4,004 6.7 10.9 8.6 MR 177 129 85 276 X E 957 1,226 1,574 2,416 8.6 8.9 8.8 M 1,618 1,983 2,588 4,078 8.1 9.9 8.8 MR 178 132 75 147 F Exports M = Imports MR = Imports of rice APPE.IDIX TV Page 11 Table 16: Exchange Rate Index (1973 = i.o) Index Percentage Change Alternatives 1973 1977 1980 1985 1973-77 1977-80 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 I 1.0 1.084 1.204 1.629 2.0 3.6 2.7 6.2 4.1 II 1.0 1.108 1.222 1.588 2.6 3-3 2.9 5.4 3.9 III 1.0 1.118 1.178 1.326 2.9 1.8 2.4 2.4 2.4 IV 1.0 1.093 1.213 1.629 3.0 3.5 2.8 6.1 4.1 V 1.O 1.o84 1.204 1.633 2.0 3.6 2.7 6.3 4.2 VI 1.0 1.074 1.204 1.673 1.8 3.9 2.7 6.8 4.4 VII -,.o 1.115 1.267 1.894 2.8 4.3 3.4 8.4 5.5 VIII 1.0 1.042 1.142 1.446 1.0 3.0 1.9 4.9 3.1 IX 1.0 1.082 1.207 1.710 2.0 3.7 2.7 7.2 4.5 x 1.0 1.119 1.330 2.580 2.9 4.4 4.2 14.2 8.2 Table 17: GDP DeflatQr (1973 = 1.0) Index Percentage Change, Alternatives 1973 1977 1980 1985 1973-77 1977-80 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85~ I 1.0 1.995 2.672 4.861 18.9 10.2 15.1 12.7 14.1 II 1.0 2.009 2,695 4.876 19.0 10.3 15 .2 12.6 14.15 III 1.0 2.237 2.976 4.793 22.0 10.0 16.8 10.0 14.0 TV 1.0 1.998 2.680 4.890 18.9 10.3 15.1 12.8 14.2 V 1,0 1.995 2.672 4.860 18.8 10.2 15.1 12.7 14.1 VI 1.0 1.985 2.624 4.650 18.7 9.8 .14.8 12.1 13.7 VII 1.0 1.988 2.642 4.795 18.8 9.9 14.9 12.7 13.9 VIII 1.0 1.992 2.652 4.707 18.8 10.0 15.0 12.2 13.8 IX 1.0 1.992 2.675 5.012 18.8 10.3 15.1 13.3 14.5 X 1.0 2.134 3.184 6.408 21.0 14.3 18.0 15.0 16.8 APPENDIX lY Page 12 Table 18: Tax Revenues Net of Oil Revenue as a percentage of GNP (Current Prices) Alternative 1974 1980 1985 I 6.9 10.6 14.9 II 11.6 15.7 19.3 III 7.2 10o. 13.5 IV 6.9 10.5 14.7 v 6.9 10.6 15.0 VI 6.9 10.6 15.3 VII 7.1 11.1 16.4 VIII 6.7 10.1 13 .9 IX 6.9 10.6 15.0 x 6.9 11.2 19.7 Table 19: lone Demand and Money S.pply Rs Billion Percentage Changes FMR1F 974-85 197h. 197- Alternative 1974 1985 1974 1985 1974 1985 MP St RS I 946 9480 289 1494 659 3686 23.5 16.1 16.9 II 951 1961 292 1392 667 3316 23.0 15.2 15.7 III 920 8432 266 1114 674 2668 22.0 13.9 13.3 IV 947 9494 290 1194 660 2989 23.5 13.7 14.7 V 947 9526 289 1512 659 3729 23.52 16.2 17.1 VI 946 9438 288 1486 658 3921 23.0 16.1 17.6 VII 946 10283 288 1725 673 4629 24.0 17.7 19.2 VIII 947 8643 289 1266 644 3061 22.0 14.4 15.2 IX 947 9789 289 1621 659 3846 23.5 17.0 17.4 X 947 12611 289 2360 659 5862 27.0 21.0 22.0 IC 947 8996 289 1331 659 3277 22.v6 14.9 15.7 IIC 951 9290 292 1441 667 3424 23.0 15.6 16.0 IVC 947 9082 289 1357 660 3263 22.8 15.1 1536 ND = Money Demand RM = Res erve Money RS = Residual (D '- APPENDIX IV Page 14 Table 20: SummaryTables, Giving the M'ajor Macro Variables for the Revised Specifications a) Changes in GDP - (at 1273 Prices) Rs Billion Percentage Change 1973 1974 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 Alt. 1C 6163 6793 10634 15531 8.1 7.87 8.01 Alt. 2C 6163 6881 1o64h 16025 8.12 8.53 8.29 Alt. 3C 6163 6806 1o654 1 5601 8.13 7.93 8.05 1C - Same as Alt. I (basic growth Case 1) eLth the exception that 1C0% 20 - Same as Alt. II (tax/subsidy distribution case 1) plus the above changes 30 - Same as Alt. IV (wage distribution Case 3) plus the above changes b) Investments (1973 Prices) Rs Billion Percentage Change 1973 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 Alt. 1C 1208 2669 4485 11.99 10.9h 11.8 Alt. 2C 1208 2580 44168 11.45 11.61 11.75 Alt. LC 1208 2624 4356 11.72 10.67 11.5 APPENDIX IV Pagee1 Table 20: ,Siu;Xmary Tables, GivingAhea hor lacro Variables for the Revised Speci.fications-cont1d) c) Exchange Rate Changes Index Percentage Change 1973 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 Alt. IC 1.0 1.198 1 535 2.61 5,08 3.64 Alt. 2C 1.0 1,225 1.61)4 2.94 5.67 4,07 Alt, 4C 1.0 1.207 1.5)45 2.72 5.06 3.69 d) GDP Delao 193=-0 Index Percentage Change 1973 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 Alt. 1C 1.0 2.672 4.814 15.07 12.50 13.99 Alt. 2C 1.0 2.695 )4.891 15.21 12.33 14.14 Alt. 4C 1.0 2.682 4.850 15.i)4 12.58 114,o6 e ) GrosDmetcSvig o93 rcs Rs Billion Percentage Change 1973 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 Alt. 1C 10)4)4 2229 3832 11.Y4) 14144 Alt. 2C 10)4)4 2150 3802 10.87 12.08 11.37 Alt )4C 1044 2188 3715 11.15 11.17 11.16 APPEND IK IV Page 16 Table 20: Summar-v Tables. Giving the Major Macro Variables for the Revised Specifications-(Cont?d) f) UneIployment Index (Full-time unemployed population as a percentage of working population) Percentage Change 1973 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 Alt. 1C 6.8 4h4 2.1 -6.03 -13.75 -9.33 Alt. 2c 6.8 4.1 0.9 -6.97 -26.16 -15.51 A41t, 1C 6.8 4.2 1.6 -6.65 -17.55 -11.36 g) GINI Index (Disposable Income Distribution) Percentage Change 1973 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 Alt. 1C .396 .491 .509 3.12 0.72 2.11 Alt. 20 .396 .420 .414 o.84 -0.29 1.37 Alt. l4C .396 .4h9 .436 1.81 -0.59 0.81 h) Poverty Index (GINI, below minimum standard) Percentage Change 1973 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 Alt. 10 .560 .537 .408 -0.59 -5.35 -2.60 Alt. 2C .560 .139 - -18.05 Min. St. in 1982 Alt. 4C .560 .454 .177 -2.95 -17.17 -9.5 APPENDIX IV Page 17 Table 20: Sumar Tables, Giving the 14ajor Macro Variables for the Revised Specifications-(Conttd) a) Internal Terms of Trade (1973 =-1.0) Percentage Change 1980 1985 1973-80 1980-85 1973-85 Alt. 1C 1. .923 .839 -1.l -1.89 -1.s45 Alt. 2C 1. .916 .839 -1.25 -2.00 -1.45 Alt. 4C 1. .920 .835 -1.18 -1.92 -1.49 j) Exports at Constant Prices (1 973 Rs billion) Rs billion Percentage Change 1974 1980 1985 1974-80 1980-85 1974-85 Alt. 1C 957 1576 2457 8.67 9.29 8.95 Alt. 2C 956 1577 2h48 8.70 9.19 8.92 Alt. 4C 957 1577 2458 8.68 9.28 8.95 k) Imports at Constant Prices (1973 Rs billion) billion Percentage Change 1974 1980 1985 1974-80 1 980-85 1974-85 Alt. 1C 1618 2386 3930 6.69 10.50 8.40 Alt. 2C 1621 2399 3980 6.75 10.65 8.51 Alt. 4C 1618 2391 3932 6.73 10.45 8.41 APPEND IX IV Page 15 Table 20: Summary Tables, Giving the Major Macro Variables for the Revised Specifications- (Cont'd) 1) Rice Imports at Constant Prices (1973 Rs billion) Rs Billion Percentage Change 197)4 1980 1985 1974-80 1980-85 1974-80 Alt. 1C 178 75 30 -13.42 -1 6.74 -1L.94 Alt. 2C 278 84 407 -18.08 37.11 3-53 Alt. hC 189 154 222 -3.36 7 59 1.47 Table 21: INDONFSIA - THE AVERAOGZ INCOEi: AND POPUIATION IN ALL SECTORS ARRANGED IN ASCENDING ORDER, 1971 SMALL SCALE LARGE SCAIE DEFEPSE AND AGRICULTURE MINING INDUSTRY INDUSTRY CONSTRUCTION ELECTRICITY 'TRA3NSPORTATION TRADE BANKING PUBLIC AD}MN. SERVICING Income PopU- income Popu- Income PopU- Income Popu- Income Popu- Income Popu- Income Popu- Income Popu- Income Popu- Income Popu- Income PGpu- (AV) lation (AV) lation (WV) lation (AV) lation (AV) lation (AV) lation (AV) lation (AV) lation (AV) lation (AV) lation (AV) lation 659 626,353 - 267 587 9,545 118 143,716 1,467 2,180 172 '13 1,6114 2,219 2,176 48,937 3,156 45' 156 10,385 2,987 13,397 2,973 803,549 - 64 1,572 764 849 6,236 1,486 3,193 825 80 3,622 6,709 3,7;5 21,651 13,028 393 2,767 153,858 3,328 11,835 3,854 L85,212 - 990 2,722 5,087 1,406 58,463 2,486 1,286 1,378 656 7,396 4,659 5,6o0 131,030 lh,574 1,209 3,103L 11,009 3,652 136,908 3,984 571h,310 - 131 6,274 153,416 1,728 51,326 10,472 121,76k 3,632 1,038 7,631 8,852 6,155 72,633 15,895 155 6,577 k5,7314 3,937 L2,267 4,119 509,653 - 279 7,276 3,300 2,116 37,263 1o,491 18,165 3,985 334 8,166 11,007 7,57L -77,020 21,589 127 7,1:52 30,010 3,996 '101,07. k,391 722,86h - 3,531 8,L97 1J44h 2,504 688,614 12,617 18,2h7 6,812 7,991 8,775 12,066 8.807 1,009,978 25,958 217 8,235 494,717 3,997 203,47? 5,021 203,313 - 209 11,392 3,794 2,895 19,985 13,234 9,568 10,565 1214 9,203 159,054 9,072 317,936 27,037 1,212 9,L16 33,687 L,062 60,599 5,207 2h3,762 - 590 12,068 2,321 3,727 86,142 15,674 151,617 11,338 71 9,378 15,635 1,11486 6,557 27,530 33 10,652 35,174 IL,105 58,562 5,5k7 3,880,970 - 92 14,318 117,060 4,h9h 371,384 15,796 ik,498 12,135 623 9,535 131,317 11,974 812,231 32,729 1,081 11,306 16,120 4,240 692,702 5,586 6,503,136 - 50 15,582 1,659 5,161 387,980 16,461 113,521 21,975 471 11,509 L3,105 12,105 78,362 33,105 1,311 12,399 142,520 4,269 935,279 5,614 7L0,693 - 88 16,052 18,167 5,261 1,15 17,936 5,277 22,568 444 12,838 15,234 13,572 110,886 37,335 2,341 12,789 63,685 4,311 15,707 6,237 488,716 - 4,628 18,567 24,974 5,506 13,000 18,947 13,771 24,568 1,261 13,107 1,661 14,703 1,089,170 38,060 730 13,645 38,7'1 4,384 26,450 6,343 160,1486 - 7,255 18,654 19,709 6,432 24,296 19,668 6,o48 31,435 2,561 13,448 187,983 18,443 56,181 38,191 12,215 14,005 37,478 4,388 91,039 6,586 h9,346 - 4,402 19,673 5,940 6,710 6,270 20,035 8,682 35,468 278 14,664 64,369 22,979 40k664 39,865 74 14,534 36,647 4,459 92,073 6,882 81h9,614o - 591 21,561 6,558 7,213 14,587 22,661 13,602 35,918 4,971 15,615 19,820 24,778 26,076 41,073 1,G48 14,536 10,151 9,k63 h56,558 7,268 1,691,677 - 84 22,571 4,882 7,395 34,315 24,034 8,887 36,057 346 17,223 5,376 26,306 96,427 49,871 465 114,705 360,843 4,525 2L,749 7,297 410,652 - 3,023 23,976 679 9,066 13,265 24,216 23,239 40,116 86 19,569 7,725 27,419 9,1415 62,835 3,666 15,618 11,801 4,570 762,2W7 7,597 936,117 - 3,925 26,042 10,286 10,307 18,938 25,791 92,141 41,276 486 20,358 138,003 28,564 10,008 68,255 11s 16,343 32,635 4,676 59,121 8,652 338,112 - 1,995 28,166 578 12,028 7,099 26,129 2,741 44,334 7,595 21,649 7,815 37,312 10,031 69,987 75 16,516 34,956 h,685 56,807 9,541 276.865 228 7,863 34,326 5,122 12,261 2,539 29,459 31,737 44,255 141 26,267 11,327 38,092 4,906 72,566 33 16,595 18,747 4,767 26,789 10,547 234,757 279 215 38,598 129,682 12,668 49,327 30,807 7,579 45,217 138 28,282 10,016 40,555 143,525 78,559 22 22,672 32,511 4,800 710 10,914 366,o0i 674 1,960 53,396 2,883 17,735 17 611' 31,001 1,279 53,338 767 32,478 8,762 42,762 22,368 80,506 122 23,016 61,854 4,945 66,255 19,30k 166,087 13,782 12,274 75,504 23,622 25,728 9,863 32,594 2,433 ' 56,903 6,286 36,057 1,367 54,771 3,737 83,580 98 25,20k 131,496 4,974 19,161 74k,4o 133,057 27,329 26,101 80,201 70,708 53,067 1,839 33,801 2,573 64,553 369 40,510 2,979 78,117 7,473 89,833 35 36,285 15,619 5,278 27,421 93,090 481,054 157,708 1,754 81,286 2,652 39,432 4,016 73,333 9 57,423 30,296 119,737 39,362 91,531 49 38,508 15,051 9,914 28,800 98,156 11,445 123,158 . 1,941 210,058 3,428 121,095 137 140,474 114,098 160,695 114,997 121,914 16 100,936 jc,800 16,021 19,833 APPENDIX IV Page 20 Table 22: Demand Elasticities for Trade, Transport, Services and Banking Int 60-72 TRD73 = -360.815 + 0.2470GNP73 R2 = 0.9746 -7.0898 21)4882 D.W. = 1.4556 TRP73 = 20.957 + 0.0295GNP73 R2 = 0.8515 1.339 8.356 D.W. 1=4506 SBR73 = 1250354 + 0.0299GNP73 R2 = 0.8821 9.012 9.527 D.W. 0.3408 BNK73 = -99.48 + 0.0349GNP73 R2 - o.8566 -5.492 8.525 D.W. = 0.5486 LTRD73 = -55670 + 1.4476LGNP73 R2 0.9744 -9.8243 21.3807 D.W. 1.7039 LTRP73 . -1.8498 + 0.8185IGNP73 R2 - 0.8476 -2.2227 8.2313 D.W. - 1.3634 LSER73 = 1.0220 + 0.5400LGNP73 R2 = 0.8866 2.2014 9.7363 D.W. = 0 3857 LBNK73 = -16.8767 + 2.4777LGNP73 2 = 0.8025 -5.7413 7.0547 D.W. = 0.7055 Int 67-72 TRD73 = -504.464 + 020742GNP73 RB - 0.9756 -5.1578 14.1624 D.W. 1.9484 TRP73 = -25.332 + 0.0383GNP73 I? 0.7932 -0.5884 4.4925 D.W. - 1.9410 SER73 = 183.624 + 000188GNP73 I2 0.9921 48.4864 25.1333 D.W. = 1.7617 BNK73 = 183.469 + 0o0508GNP73 R2 o.9606 -7.9343 11.0927 D.W. = 203656 APFENIXLx iV Page 2l Table 22: Demand EECRP a0,260 o8.911 Sr.,621 52.38P 54,218 56,1': 58,07t 65,251 87,331 151,423 507 I'.RICE 85,170 A7,21u AQ,307 91.051 93,605 95,8Q3 98190l 100,551 102.964 105,435 508 IDTAGS 07,356 UB.e5l 5n,031 52.0Z h "3,8fi3 55,673 57,585 59,581 6J,662 63,829 309 I^ACRT 256,515 27A.161 2Ae,135 29o,09a 3C9,015 325,362 341,485 363,816 402,110 483,564 312 I%R,i' 71.n(0P 93.000 l4o,oon 250o,00 265,0o0 280.000 295,000 309,000l 465,00( 512,000 2e2 I--l 64,000 6h0oor 7S,ooo 105,0no 115,0o0 125,000 135,OOC 145,000 15-o000 170,000 501 I"CAP9 ?Po,b68 32,689 52,257 37,698 54,600 53,b58 53,868 56,433 58,332 70,230 503 I1.1ITG 148.165 234,3U5 37u,618 270.2Q9 3Q1,750 380,666 386,172 404,557 418,171 503,469 5s7 ICnCP 33,820 53,092 85,511 bl,b87 89,423 87,800 88,108 92,3w0 95,452 114,922 548 '!CnLA 65,762 100,r02 166.27t 119,948 173,878 170,730 171,399 179,559 185,601 223,460 509 1'T9I; 7,06a 15,o11 15,167 20o,n0 15.958 19,978 20,921 22.419 27,297 25,357 2z2 T*>tNF 275,080 439,94q 693,823 509 586 725,666 716,837 720,508 755,311 78e,854 937,439 283 ''C'ST 85.594 1o4,117 171,848 202,79s 216,986 200,219 259,059 278,398 301.917 32b,053 284 I'T90 8a,6211 131,205 107,527 172,095 187,100 194,215 210,349 23o.705 250,881 265,262 285 I0BA'A 6,151 9,537 10,723 12,509 11,952 14,116 15,289 16,769 18,235 19,280 286 TNELEC 71,116 73,795 88,976 120,986 104,623 170,no0 202,060 233,600 237,761 246,4083 326 INTRSP 181,0a9 198,087 216,740 238,508 259,303 283.8b5 310,467 339,603 37i,371 404,911 537 IwSE?v 18,080 27,883 31,113 36,010 34,122 40,007 42,990 06,783 50,S77 52,95S 539 ITPA0D 137,791 109,900 163,510 179.233 194,100 211,b30 230,040 25o,925 273,045 296,270 288 ,RXCkP 105,430 115.79u 129,250 158,681 102,828 167%361 180,533 196.928 223,440 225,941 287 NETTC-) 1357,271 1717,470 2123,65U 2281,095 2605,735 27b8,b13 2943,583 3166,878 3536,092 3940,166 380 REPLCA 66,901 72,691 79,154 87,088 94,220 102,597 111,624 121,470 132,642 143,939 280 INTnrrC tu20,172 1790,162 2202,807 2368,583 2699,96D 2671,210 3055,207 3288,308 3668,730 0084,105 334 P"AsuF 1,33U 1,415 1,536 1,691 l,Ba9 2,026 2,225 2,451 2,693 2,964 077 MPMANF 1,250 1,u22 1,560 1,808 1,921 2,082 2,271 2,55. 2,778 3,030 306 IrToC-i 1877;388 2535,136 3393,038 0000,825 5011,731 5832,334 6811,365 8088,192 9907,355 12125,584 425 RESTIN 268,016 02U,538 o7P,657 UP9,582 709,708 696,859 699,588 732,893 757,557 912,082 279 EXTNv 1067,000 1672,000 1919,noo 21AJ,000 2093,o00 2852,000 3262,000 3585,000 3952,000 4369,000 INVESTMENT 1973 BILLION RS GRO*TH RATES -------------w--------------------- 503 INA'N41' X0,00 7,576 3,271 12,961 4,666 11,186 8,000 8,00n 8,000 8,000 504 INFTS' n,nOO ¶5,322 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,00') 8,000 8,000 505 INFtR 0,0on In,000 1-n,o0o in,0oo 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,0011 10,00O 10,000 506 INECQP 0,00O 3,493 *;,493 3,493 3,493 3,u93 3,093 12,3b6 33,838 73,390 507 INRICE 0,no0 2,u00 2,400 2,000 2,400 2,400 2,U00 2,400 2,000 2,400 508 INOTAG n,o00 3,156 3,236 3,301 3,35s 3,398 3,435 3,466 3,492 3,514 309 INAGRT ,000! 5,320 0,062 9,321 0,364 5,290 a,955 6,539 10,526 20,257 312 1'4'Nf1 1u,51b 311,986 22,581 119,298 b,000 5§60n 5,357 a,7ab 50,085 10,108 282 Irt-H1IT -13,510 ,0?n 17,188 40,000 9,520 8,696 8,0oo 7,407 8,276 8,280 541 I'CAPG -17,32$ 58.1b 50,858 -27,860 04.962 -1.810 0,392 0,761 3,365 20,398 543 Iv'IlTG -17,226 5A,10o 59,858 -27,860 00,962 -1,810 0,392 4,701 3,365 20,398 547 IoCOCP -19,075 56.160 59,858 -27,860 04,9h2 -1,810 o,39? U,761 3,3b5 20,398 548 7:CnL4 -14,813 9fi, 59,858 -27,860 00a,962 -1,81n r.,392? ,7b1 3,365 20,398 549 INTRI, 0,00o 11h,148 -J,R58 31,897 -20,226 25,189 u,719 7,161. 21,760 -7,106 242 JNM4,'F -5,ot-7 S,9,7,)3 57,705 -26,5S5 0?,403 -1,217 c,S12 t,830 3,911 19,41 PAGE 11 INVESTmElT (Q73 bILLIlk PS -------.------------------- 5n3 7IlAt.IM 66,95lj 72,311 78,096 84,343 91,091 98,378 106,248 114,748 123,928 133,842 500 Ih'FJSH 66,713 tU.40t 52,591 57,525 62,22? 67,919 71,029 76,335 82,484 90,832 505 INFnR 43,022 u7,325 52.057 57,b3 62,989 69,288 76,217 83,838 92,222 101,445 SOh INEcPP 210,13b 89,21' 92.771 9b,a75 100,326 tO4,331 108,096 11?,827 117,331 122,015 507 IN'RTCE 107,966 110,557 113,210 115,927 116,710 121,559 124,476 127,063 130,523 133,655 508 IKOTAG 66,080t 68,031, 70,868 73.402 76.034 78,768 61,60n 80,551 87,608 90,780 309 I%AGPT 56o,875 452,233 459,594 a8g,935 511,372 540.242 568,071 599,7b3 634,097 672,569 312 INQI'hr, 563,000(l 63,o0o 563,010 563,011n 563,000 563,000 563,000 563,0o(1 563,000 563,000 282 If:!w-'1I 183,001 192.15n 201,758 211,045 22?,438 233.560 245,238 257,499 270,374 283,893 goI TNC4PG 84,995 259,332 352,162 353,59? u07,977 445,465 531.75(1 584,273 687,527 798,895 503 TNfTG oe,0n3o 577,224 783,840 787.027 908,078 991,518 1183,573 1300,478 1530,302 1778,187 5"7 ICOCP 139,018 156,854 213,001 213,866 246,760 269,434 321,623 353,391 415,843 483,203 50B INCnLF 27n,312 52.285 71,000 71.289 82,253 89,811 107,206 117,797 138,614 161,068 549 INTOIN 29,773 u2,088 29,675 33,383 36,973 41,370 43,501 47,738 52,865 59,756 242 11'MRNF 1133,088 11187,783 1409,682 1459,157 lt8?.n4l1 I837,598 2187,656 2403,677 2825,152 3281,108 283 TNCNST 360,070 008,723 '423,591 a0o0726 501,817 558,737 6149273 674,087 742,127 827,136 284 INTQD 304,071 348,621 376,912 409,729 446,632 471,162 504,261 563,044 629,401 721,335 285 IN'ANK 22,101 25,339 22.735 26,373 29,656 34,246 36,652 0o,924 45,748 52,430 286 INELEC 270,029 313,881 368,508 451,545 548,757 631.364 6864018 78S,456 885,300 1020,'764 326 INTPSP 443,372 087,461 527,018 572.904 620,505 h84.090 747,862 819,068 898,666 989,890 537 INSERV 60,247 68,529 60,979 70,254 78,427 89,884 95,437 105,736 117,263 133,309 539 INPADH 3Z2,713 352,816 379,626 410,535 445.067 4849676 526,767 573,439 625,244 684,191 288 IRKCAP 256,989 288,0434 259.ss7 299,983 336,327 386,102 411.280 457,099 508.297 579,309 287 NETICO 4479,959 s588,970 5092.959 5420.987 5990.040 6514,661 7186.913 7842.792 87949670 9806,935 380 REPLCA 156,789 171,21n 18a,188 199,187 216,004 235,309 255,873 278,728 304,143 333,108 280 INTnCO 4636,348 47S0.180 5277,147 5620,170 6206,044 6749,969 7449,786 8121.520 9048,812 10142,043 334 PMANUF 3,288 3,617 3.714 3,868 0,005 4,170 4,338 49543 4,747 4,968 477 MPmA'F 3,200 , 3,931 3,9n2 0,197 4,310 0,566 4,753 5,108 5,350 5,585 306 ITnCu 15226,373 17339,301 19b69,357 21855,523 24956,117 28274,698 32411.640 37052,507 43118,025 50541,906 425 RESTI' 1103,315 1045,696 1020,007 1425o774 1645,068 1796,228 2144,15S 2355,939 2772,287 3221,352 279 EYTXV u835,000 5362,000 5362,000 5362,0(1 5362,000 5362,oon 5362,000 5362,00n 5362,000 5362,000 INVESTMEtNT 1973 BILLION RS GPOI.TH PATES .-.--------------------------9-.-------- Sn3 INANIM 8,n0o 8.000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,oon 8,000 8,000 8,000 500 I'JFTSH 80oo0 -3,466 -18,337 9,381 8,166 9,156 4,578 7,071 8,056 10,120 9n0. T'4FnR 1(0,000 10,0(10 10,0o0 1n,o0o 10,000 10,000 10,000 o10o00( 10,000 10,000 506 INECPP 38,770 -57,546 3,992 3,992 3,992 3,992 3,992 3,992 3,992 3,992 507 INWTCt 2,400 2,400 2,00n 2,400 2,900 2,400 2,400 2,Q00 2,900 2,400 508 INOTAG 3,533 3.550 3,564 3.576 3,586 3,595 3,603 3,610 3,616 3,621 309 IVAaRT 1s5988 -19,370 1.628 5,514 5,452 5,646 5,15J 5.579 5,725 6,067 312 IrPIJPP 9,961 n,non 0.000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 282 JNH'I'l 7,607 9.000 S.OO0 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000) 5,000 5.000 5,000 541 INCAPG 2o0967 205.258 3S,795 0.006 15,381 9,189 19,370 9,877 17,672 16,198 543 I4JItlTG 20,967 -5.222 35,795 0,1406 15,381 9.189 19,370 9,s77 17,672 16,198 507 14CnCP 20,967 12,831 35,795 0,10h 15,381 9,189 19,370 9,877 17,672 16,198 548 INCoL8 P0,967 -8o,ts8 3s,795 0,406 15.381 Q.189 19.370 9.877 17,672 16,198 saQ I7(T1J7 17,010 01,361 -29,093 12,497 10,755 11.892 5,151 9.700 10,740 13,034 242 INMI.NF 20,871 -3.998 33,269 0,654 15,275 9.205 19,05u 9.87S 17,535 16.139 INVESTMENT 1973 BILLION RS t.-.!---------------------- 503 INANIM 1.40549 156,113 16A,602 182,091 504 INFTSH 101.167 11A,942 122,588 134,934 505 INFoR 111.589 122.748 135,023 148,525 S06 INEcRP 126.886 131,951 137,219 1a2,6Q96 507 INRICE 136,863 140,148 143,511 146,955 S08 INOTAG 94,071 97.U185 101,026 104q699 309 INAGRT 715.125 7S993A7 8n7.970 859,901 312 INRURD 563,000 563,000 563,000 563,000 282 INN4MIN 298.088 312,992 3268642 345,074 541 INCAPG 915,931 1065l808 1250,256 1531,5U7 543 ININTG 2038,686 2372,283 2782,828 3408,927 547 INCoCP 553.991 644,642 756,203 926,339 548 INCOLS 184,6604 214881 252,068 308,780 549 INTRIN 67.791 76,598 87,497 99,724 242 INM&NF 3761.062 4370,212 5128.852 6275,316 283 INCNST 931,285 1007.109 1181,221 1338,859 284 INTRD 823,437 931,633 1061,320 1216,328 285 INBANK 59,851 67,715 77,141 88,408 286 INELEC 1172,270 1358,789 1571,213 1825,029 326 INTRSP 1090,026 1211,846 1346,067 1099,891 537 INSERV 150,904 169.254 191,111 0,000 S39 INPADA 750,979 825,961 910,710 1007,055 288 RK8CAD 657,570 740,226 838,661 919,582 287 NETICO 10977,597 12362,124 14005.4n7 15938,441 380 REPLCA 365,987 402,998 44a ,31 490,910 280 INTOCO 113U3,583 12765.122 14450,838 16029,351 334 PMANUF 5,212 5,482 5.787 6,134 477 MPMANF 5,807 h,114 6.410 6,748 306 INToCU 59282,051 70130,859 83766.559 100912,276 425 RESTIN: 3693,271 0297,610 5041,355 61753592 279 EXINV 5362,000 5362,000 5362,000 5362,000 INVESTMENT 1973 BILLION RS GROWTh RATES 503 INANI^' 8,000 8,000 ,k000 8,000 504 INFTSH 11,378 9,663 10,497 10,071 505 INFOR 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 506 INECRP 3,992 3,992 3,992 3.992 507 INRICE 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400 508 INOTAG 3,625 3,629 3,633 3,636 309 INAGRT 6,327 6,189 6,398 6,427 312 INRURD 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 282 INHMIN 5,000 5.nOO 5,000 5,000 541 INCAPG 140650 1b.363 17,306 22,499 543 ININTG 14,650 i6,363 17,306 22,499 547 INCnCP 14,650 16,363 17,306 ?2,499 54B INCCLA 14,.650 16.363 17,306 22,099 549 INTOl'l 13,446 12.992 14,229 13,974 242 INHMNF 10.628 16.303 17,252 22.353 283 INCNST 1,898 68.372 19,282 t8,008 ,98 10.707 7.8'43 7,465 8,4418 7,998 288 INTROO 59,b61 55,051 12,840 16,653 8,719 3,803 8,307 q,677 8,78I5 5,732 285 INBANK -78,038 55,051 12,8840 16,653 -.449 18,109 8,307 9,677 8,785 5.732 286 INELEC 77,790 3,767 2o,572 35,976 19,5-36 17,588 19,095 15,378 1,781 369 326 INT9SP -25,617 9,142 9,8419 10,081 8,719 9,472 9,371 9,398 9,342 9,033 537 INSFRV -62,338 54.220l 11,588 15,740 5.5282 17,247 7,856 8,823 7,896 4,911 539 INPA0I 187,065 8,820 9.050 9,b13 8,317 9,009 8,888 8,890 8,815 8,506 288 WOKCAP 75,716 9,830 11.621 22,770 -9,991 17,177 7,871 9,082 13,863 1,119 287 NETTCO 12,357 26,539 23,650 7,833 18,212 6,251 6,320 7,586 11,659 11,827 380 REPLCA 0,000 8,658 8,890 10,o28U 8,200 8,881 8,798 8,821 9,197 8,517 280 INTOCO 17,895 25,698 23,051 7,.526 13,991 6,383 6,808 7,631 11,56.8 11,322 338 PMANJUP 33.361 6,076 8,611 10,079 9,298 9,580 9,883 l0.187 9,8917 10,058 877 MPMANF -25.000 13,788 9,929 15,681 6,221 8,383 9,111 12,30S 8,929 9,058 306 TN~ToCUJ 0,000 35,035 33,856 19,078 28,027 16,368 16,792 18,786 22,892 22,390 825 RESTIN 0,000 58,168 59,858 -27,860 88,962 .1,810 0,392 8,761 3,365 20,398 279 EXINV 21,880 13,978 18,773 18,018 13,980 18,800 18,376 9,902 10,237 10,552 PRICE INDECES 19731..10 883 ~!FonD 1,809 1,5081 1,618 1,760 1,898 2,081 2,281 2,506 2,739 2,998 860 P9FnOD 0,048 0,097 0,1848 0,204 0,260 0,321 0,386 0,855 0,529 0,609 853 NWFoOD 1.100 1,180 1,298 1,828 1.571 1.728 1,900 2,090 2,299 2,529 867 CPRF0D 0.088 0,088 0,053 0,059 0,068 0,071 O0,078 0,086 0,098 0,108 878 MPFoOO 1,260 1,860 1,592 1,889 1,960 2,122 2,312 2,6081 2,833 3,209 338 VAOFOD 1,078 1,152 1,268 1,389 1,524 1,678 1,880 2,023 2,223 2,888 488 woTAG 1.409 1,504 1,614 1,760 1,898 2,081 2,281 2,506 2,739 2,998 861 PROTAG 0,088 0,097 0,188 0,204 0,260 0,321 0,386 0,855 o,529 0,609 858 NWOTAG 1,820 1,317 1,807 1,598 1,857 2,086 2,351 2,639 2,968 3,383 488 CPPI)A8 0,088 0,088 0,053 0,059 0,068 0,071 0,078 0,086 0,098 0,101A 875 mP4PAGR 1,260 1,860 1.592 1,88I9 1,960 2,122 2,312 2,608 2,833 3,209 339 VAO')AG 1,152 1,097 1,167 1,309 1,892 1,668 1,860 2,076 2,318 2,595 885 WMIIgNG 1,809 1,508 1,618 1,760 1,898 2,081 2,281 2,506 2,739 2,9981 462 PR1TNG 0,059 0,059 0,059 0,059 0,059 0,059 0,059 0,059 0,059 0,059 855 KIAMING 3,620 8,258 8,.831 5,808 6,050 6,708 7,858J 8,183 9,087 10,001 869 CPR4I14 0,088 0,088 o,053 0,059 0,068 0,071 0.078 0,086 0,098 0,1081 876 NPMTNG 1,250 1,422 1,564 1,808 1,921 2,082 2,271 2,551 2,778 3,030 340 VADMIN 2,516 2,928 3,300 3,682 8,108 4,587 5,089 5,585 6,125 6,768 886 WIMANUF 1,809 1,508 1,618 1,760 1,898 2,081 2,281 2,506 2,739 2,998 463 PRMANF 0,102 0,208 0,321 0,880 0,680 0,800 0,959 1,128 1,280 1,830 856 N,4HANF 1,100 1,180 1,298 1,828 1,571 1.728 1,900 2,090 2,299 2,529 870 CPRMNF 0,048 0,088 0,053 0.059 0,068 0,071 0,078 0,086 0,098 0,108 8177 MPmaM-F 1,250 1,422 1,568 1,808 1,921 2,082 21271 2,551 2,778 3,030 341 VAOm.NF 0,351 0,376 o,803 0,439 0,865 0,501 0,543 0,S96 0,688 0,708 887 wCNSTR 1,809 1,508 1,618 1,760 1,898 2,081 2,281 2,506 2,739 2,994 8641 PRCN,ST 0,222 0,381 0,868 0,578 0,618 0,687 0o,74o 0,792 0,852 0,912 857 N.,Cm.ST 1,100 1,180 1,298 1,8258 1,571 1,728 1,900 2,090 2,299 2,529 871 CPRCNS 0,084 a 0,088 0,053 0,oSq 0,068 0,0 7 1 0,078 0,086 0,098 0,108 878 MPCNST 1,260 1,860 1,592 1,889 1,960 2,122 2,312 2,6081 2,833 3,209 382 vAOCNS 0,578I 11,591 n,6184 0,660 0,716 0,783 0,862 0,956 1,050 1,161 888 wTRSP 1,8109 1,508 1,6181 1,760 1,898 2,081 2,281 2,506 2,739 2,998 465 PMT8SP o,038 (1,095 o,156 0,226 0,290) 0,363 0,880( 0,521 0,607 0,698 858 NWTQSP 1.100 1,180 1,298 1,828 1,571 1,728 1,900 2,090 2,299 2,529 8 72 CPRTRP 0,088i 0 .0488 0,053 0,.059 0,0681 a 007 1 0,078 0,086 0,098q4 0,1084 879 MPT9SP 1,250 1,822 1,5684 1,808 1,921 2,082 2,271 2,551 2,778 3,030 383 vAOTRP 0.522 0,586 o.579 o.621 0,668 0,718 o,778 0,.847 0,919 1,000 889 wOTw 1,8)09 1.508I 1,614 1,760 1,898 2,081 ?,281 2,506 2,739 2,998 PAGE 14 283 INCNST 0L,u39 13,511 3,638 8,767 8,919 11.343 9,940 9,737 10,094 11,955 28A INTOD 1U,b30 iu,651 A 115 8,707 9,007 5,092 7,025 11,657 11.76b 14,607 285 IN8BANK 1,A630 19.651 -10,279 16,002 12,452 1S5976 7,025 11,657 11,786 14,607 286 INELEC 9,553 16,240 17,404 22,533 21,529 15,053 8,720 149,28 12,712 15,302 326 INTRSP 9,097 9,94a 8A,15 8,707 9,007 9,541 9,322 9,521 9,718 10,151 537 INSERV 13,7b7 13,747 -11,017 15,210 11,633 14,608 6,177 10,792 10,902 13,684 539 INPAD- 8,925 9,328 7.599 8,142 8,411 8,899 8,684 8,860 9,034 9,428 288 WRKCAP 13,742 12.236 -10,012 15,575 12,115 14,799 6,521 11,140 11,201 13,971 287 NETICO 13,690 2,942 10,983 6,4al 10,497 8,758 10,319 9,126 11,199 12,170 380 REPLCA 8,927 9,198 7,580 8,143 8,492 8,937 8,739 8,932 9,118 9,524 280 INTnCo 13.522 2,671 o1,860 ,500 10,024 8,764 10,264 9,119 11,918 12,061 339 PHANUF 10,929 9,Q96 2,695 4,151 3,533 Y,131 4,o09 4,718 4,500 4,646 477 MPMANF 6,920 21,326 -o,734 7,575 2,678 5,935 49107 7,475 4,732 4,398 306 INTOCU 25,572 13,877 13,438 11,115 14,187 13,298 14,631 14,319 16,370 17,218 425 RESTIN 20,967 -5,222 35,795 o0,06 15,381 9,189 19,370 9,877 17,672 16,198 279 EXINV 10,666 10,900 0,000 0,000 0o000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 PRICE INDECES 1973-1,0 ..... .......w@ ....---... ,5 ,2 1 943 kFOoD 3,340 3,543 3,671 3,877 4,057 4,270 4,483 a,753 5,027 5,339 460 PRFOOD 0,695 0,783 0,869 o,963 1,062 1,169 1,281 1,401 1,529 1,666 953 NWFnOD 2,782 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 467 CPRFOD 0114 0,126 0,138 0,152 0,167 0,184 0,202 0,222 0,245 0,269 474 MPFOOD 3,430 4,050 4,013 9,311 4,420 4,677 4,864 5108 5,350 5s5s 338 VAOF0D 2,689 2,954 2,967 2,986 3,009 3,026 3,a08 3,079 3,102 3,133 444 WOTAG 31340 3,5Y3 3,671 3,877 4,057 4,270 49483 , 4,753 5,027 5,334 461 PROTAG 0,b95 0,783 0,869 0,963 1,062 1,169 1,281 1,901 1,529 1,666 954 NWOTAG 3,768 9,251 9,699 5,185 5,712 6,203 6,902 7,572 8,297 9,080 968 CPROAG 0,110 0,126 0,138 0,152 0,167 0,18 08202 0,222 0,295 0,269 475 MPOaGR 3,930 9,050 a,Ol3 9,311 49,20 4,677 48664 5,108 5,350 5$585 339 VAOoAG 2,9l6 3,256 3,559 3,900 4,263 9,660 5,088 5,557 6,062 6,611 445 WMINNG 3,390 3,543 3,671 3,877 4,057 4,270 94983 4,753 5,027 5,334 462 PRMING 0,059 0,059 o,059 o005q 0,059 0,059 1,059 0,059 0,059 O0OS9 955 NWMING 11,653 12,11 13.243 1,4932 15,717 17,102 18,597 20,209 21,946 23,819 969 CPRMIN 0,114 0,126 0,138 0,152 0,167 0,184 0,202 o,222 0,245 0,269 976 PPMTNG 3,290 3.q31 3,902 o,197 0,310 9,566 4,753 5,108 5,350 5,585 340 VAnfIN 7,845 8, 190 8,896 9,669 10,495 11,390 12,351 13,398 149S23 15,737 446 WHANUF 3,30o 3,543 3,671 3,877 4,057 49270 94,983 9,753 5,027 5,334 463 PRMANF 1,587 1.76n 1,924 2,090 2,273 2,471 2,676 2,898 3,135 3,394 a56 mwrANPF 2.782 3,0Q1 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 470 CPRMN4F 0,11 0,126 o,138 0,152 0,167 O0,84 0,20? n,222 0,245 0,269 977 MPMANF 3,240 3,31 3,902 4,197 4,310 4,566 4,753 5,108 5,350 5,585 341 VAOM4NF 0,773 0,870 0,866 0,896 0,908 0,932 0,951 0,988 1,014 1,041 447 WCtIsTR 3,340 3,543 3,671 3,877 4,057 4,270 49483 4,753 5,027 5,334 a06 PRCNST 0,992 1,099 1,130 1,204 1,283 1,387 1,481 1,578 1,682 1,805 457 NWCNST 2,782 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 971 CPRCNS 0,114 0,126 0,138 0,152 0,167 0,184 0,202 0,222 0,245 0,269 978 MPCNST 3,930 9,050 4,013 4,311 4,420 94,77 4,864 5,108 5,350 5,585 342 VAOCNS 1,288 1.392 1,419 1,470 1,504 1,548 1,591 1,652 1,712 1,776 448 wTRSP 3,340 3,543 3,671 3,877 9,057 49270 9,483 9,753 5,027 5,334 965 PRTRSP 0,790 0,897 0,989 1,093 1,206 1,333 1,463 1,604 1,756 1,924 958 NWTRSP 2,782 3.061 3.061 3,01h 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 472 CPRTRP 0,119 0,126 0,138 0,152 0,167 0,184 0,202 o,222 0,245 o,269 079 ttPTRSP 3,240 3.931 3,902 4,197 4,310 4,566 4,753 5,108 5,350 5,585 343 VAOTRP 1,104 1,179 1,189 1,217 1,236 1,261 1,28a 1,320 1,354 1,392 449 WOTH 3,340 3,543 3.671 3,877 u,057 4,270 9,983 a.753 5,027 5,334 PAGE 15 283 INC9ST 12.592 12.437 12.808 13.345 284 INTQO) 14,155 13,140 13.920 14,605 285 IN8ANK 104,1s 13.140 13.920 14,605 286 INELEC 11,842 15.911 15,633 1l,154 326 INT9SP 10,520 10.769 11.076 11.428 537 INSERV 13.98 12.161 12.910 -1O,O000 539 INPAD, 9.762 Q.985 10.261 10.579 288 ARKCA9 13.5o9 12.570 13,298 9!b49 287 NETTCO 11.914 12.612 13,297 13,798 380 REPLCA 9,870 10,113 10,005 10,330 280 INTOCO 11,847 12,532 13,206 13,691 334 PMAJUF 4.921 5,179 S,55b 5,999 477 MPMANF 4,681 4.568 U,A51 5,265 306 TNTOCU 17,293 18,300 19,443 20,468 425 RESTIN 14,650 16,363 17,306 22,499 279 EXINV O0,00 o*00o 0.000 0,000 PRICE INDECES 1973-1.0 ......^..-..--......X. 443 wFonO 5,690 6,109 6,618 7,244 460 PRFnOO 1.812 1,967 2,132 2,308 453 NwFoOD 3,061 3,061 3,061 3.061 467 CPRFOD 0,296 0.326 0,358 0,394 474 MPFOOD 5,847 6,114 6,410 6,748 338 VAOFOD 3,168 3,207 3,253 3,306 444 WOTAG 5,690 6,109 6,618 7,244 461 PROTAG 1,812 1,967 2,132 2.308 454 NWOTAG 9.928 10,844 11.833 12,902 468 CPROAG 0,296 0.326 0,3s5 0,394 475 MPOAGR 5,847 8,114 6,410 b6748 339 VAooAG 7.208 7,859 B,571 9,352 445 WMINNG 5,690 6,109 i,618 7,240 462 PRMTNG 0,059 0,059 0,059 0,059 455 N*MING 25,836 28.00Q 30.348 32,867 469 CPRMIN 0,296 0,326 o,358 0,394 476 MPMPNG 5,847 6.114 6,410 6,748 340 VAO4I1 17,051 18,475 2n,022 21.704 446 WMAqUF 5,690 6,109 6,618 7,244 463 PRMANF 3,674 3.982 4,317 4,683 456 NWMANF 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,061 070 CPRMNF n0296 0,326 0,358 0.394 477 MP"ANF 5,847 6.110 6,410 6,748 341 VA04NF 1,072 1,108 1.151 1,204 407 hCNSTR 5,690 6,109 6,618 7,240 404 P4CmST 1,946 2,093 2,251 2,425 457 NWC-,iST. 3,061 3,061 3.061 3,061 471 CPRCNS 0.296 0,326 0,358 0,390 478 MPCK#ST 5,847 6,114 6,410 6,748 302 VAOCNS 1,850 1,940 2,053 2,195 008 wTRSP 5.69n b,109 6,618 7,244 465 PRTPSP 2,108 2,309 2,529 2.771 058 NWTRSP 3,061 3,061 3.061 3,061 472 CPRTRO 0,296 0.326 o, 358 0,394 479 MPTRSP 5,807 b.110 6,410 6,748 343 VAOTRP 1,a39 1,497 J,572 1,671 U49 WOTN 5,bq6 b,109 6.,b18 7,244 966 PROTH 0.059 n0nss o,059 0,059 n,059 0,059 0,059 0.059 0,059 0,059 459 .,(JNTH 1,' 1 ,180 1,298 1,428 1.571 1,728 1,900 2,091' 2,299 2,529 473 CPROT4 0,044 0.048 o,053 n,osq 0,064 0,071 0,078 0,086 0,094 0,104 4a0 MPOTH 1,250 1.422 1.564 1,808 1,921 2,082 2,271 2,551 2,778 3,030 344 VAoDTH 0.893 0.958 1,044 1,145 1,251 1,376 1,512 1,6b4 1,827 2,006 332 PFOnO 0,418 1,520 l,665 1,829 2,on6 2,204 2,421 2,662 2,925 3,216 333 POTAGR 1,433 1,386 1,481 1,655 1,875 2,086 2,326 2,590 2,887 3,223 4A6 PMINNG 2.806 3,242 3,650 4,070 4,53a 5,017 5,568 6.116 6,753 7,455 334 PMANUF 1,334 1,915 1,536 1,691 1,849 2,026 2,225 2,451 2,693 2,964 335 PCNSTR 1,561 1,662 1,792 1,965 2,161 2,376 2,623 2,896 3.190 3,523 336 PTR5P 1,161 1,226 1,316 1,430 1,547 1,68b 1,841 2,016 2,202 2,410 337 POTW 1,444 1,546 1,683 1,847 2,017 2,217 2,437 2,682 2,944 3,233 2q7 GOPnEF 1,453 1,543 1,681 1,852 2,036 2,239 2,467 2,718 2,992 3,296 304 CLI 1,429 1,529 1,667 1,847 2,022 2,220 2,443 2,698 2,9h6 3,264 522 TTRIJR 0,992 0,994 n,999 0,991 0,992 0,992 0,991 0,987 0,986 0,985 277 R.AGES 0,980 0,998 0,982 0,983 0,983 0,998 0,995 0,995 0,993 0,993 71 1,867 1,8t1 1,Q79 2,315 2,8el 2,672 2,849 3,128 3,442 3,814 72 1,256 1,469 1,603 1,819 1,943 2,096 2,272 2,489 2,672 2,944 1Sa 1.487 1,232 1,234 1,273 1,277 1,275 1,254 1.257 1,288 1,296 372 MPRAOJ 1,195 1,459 1,697 .,821 1,981 2,149 2,433 2,669 2,885 3,206 370 EXCINX 0,948 0,948 1,010 0,995 1,006 1,019 1,072 1,098 1,118 1,117 494 NEXCRT 0,948 0,948 1,010 0,995 1,006 1,019 1,072 1,098 1,118 1l117 300 EXCHRT 0,415 0,39u o,393 0,419 0,413 0,417 0,423 0,445 0,456 0,464 PUBLIC FINANCE CURRENT BILLION RS ..,.-.-..............----..--.-. 321 OILREv 1141,000 15ub.000 1818,000 2058,000 241t,000 2544.000 2673o000 2809,000 2947,000 3094,000 2q3 DTXCU 230,802 276,806 342,938 436,303 543,054 682,038 857,745 1079,825 1364,171 1712,798 294 INTYCU 201,471 236,887 287,254 357,008 434,307 532,549 653,483 802.245 987,587 1208,398 295 MTAXC'J 168,846 301,042 398,909 468,173 610,883 755,897 932,556 1198,493 1639,359 2223,743 296 XTAXCU 96,253 45,156 53,862 72,282 88,126 008,531 136,183 179,237 224,770 300,808 260 NTAXCU 62,041 72,379 87,239 106,112 130,283 165,716 197,356 234,848 279,179 332,171 320 GREvCU 1850,414 2438,270 2938,197 3497,879 9217,653 4788,732 5450,324 6303,648 7437,066 8871,918 434 GEXDCU 1176,674 1363,179 1232,986 1Zoa,741 1578,046 1858,060 2208,355 2529,456 2893,946 3314,232 535 GSAVCII 673,740 1075,Q0l 1705,211 2093,135 2639,608 2930,672 3241,969 3774,192 4943,120 5557,686 405 GSUBCU 489,645 458.351 437,038 464,819 502,812 553,133 597.151 644,797 695,537 750,934 SAVINGS CllRRENT BILLION RS -------N----------------- 535 GSAVCLJ 673,740 1075,091 1705,211 2093,135 2639,608 2930.672 3241,969 3779,192 4543,120 5557,686 327 HSAVCU 778,967 8S1,559 1041,917 1247,862 1626,168 2072,908 2625,916 3235,912 4106,219 5173,546 536 CSAVCU 97,205 112,182 133,051 161,275 191,820 229,757 275,371 330.174 396,851 474,438 301 DOMSCU 15d9,912 2038,832 2879,678 3502,272 4457,595 5233,336 6143,256 7340,279 9046,189 11205,671 303 FOR5CU 327,477 496,305 513,760 538,553 554,136 598,698 668,110 747,913 861,165 919,913 3nS TOT9CU 1877,388 2535.136 3393,438 4090,825 5011,731 5832,034 6811.365 8088,192 9907,355 12125,584 30b INTnCu 1A77,388 2535,136 3393,938 4040,825 5011,731 5832,014 6811,365 8088,192 9907,355 12125,584 298 TmPnRr lsa,a9l 2138.607 2657.355 3286,829 3846,446 4529,130 5518,481 7075,807 9135.202 11109,247 299 EXPORT 1792,321 lsho.5S9 2214,788 z829,334 3381,193 3961,467 4467,361 5408.807 6737,629 8204,824 192 NETFSY 258,0(10 26fn,000 321,00n 378.000 462.OOU 5hB.000 690,000 828,00 993,600 1192,320 361 GAPTOT 225.306 218.163 71.193 81,062 88,883 31,035 -383,01n -919.088 -1$36.408 -i984,510 PAtE 1- b6b PRnTH 01059 0,059 o,059 0,059 0,A59 0,059 0,059 0,059 0,059 0,059 459 '-OTH 2,782 3.061 ,i061 3,061 3,061 3,061 3,0bl 3,061 3,061 3,961 LP73 CPPnTH ollu 0,126 o,138 0,15? 0,167 0,184 0,202 (,222 0,245 0,269 4600 POTH 3,129 3,Q31 3,9t42 4,197 94310 4,56b 4,753 5,108 5,350 5,585 394 VDPOTH 2.222 24ns ?.4951 2.516 2,575 2,643 2.713 2,800 2,888 2,988 332 PFfoD 3,539 3,885 3,905 3,937 3,965 3,999 4,035 4,077 4.122 4,171 333 PFTOGD 3,615 4,025 4,362 4,797 5,159 5,600 6,079 6,607 7,175 7,791 486 PMINNG 8,625 4.000 ,o000 4,000 4,0oo 0,000 ao,000 9,000 4,000 49000 334 pNANdF 3,288 3,617 3,71j9 3,868 9,005 4,170 4,338 4,5a3 9,747 4,978 335 PCNSTR 3,960 u.269 4.453 9,699 4,932 5496 5,473 5,797 6,135 6,501 336 PTRSP 2,6b7 2,880 2.932 3,020 3,09l 3,179 3,266 3,381 3,495 3,620 337 PTSP 3,582 3,886 3,958 9,069 4,169 4,286 4,405 4,552 4,703 4,871 29 GOPbEF 3,671 3.790 3,892 9,034 4,167 4,322 4,983 4,673 9,869 5,083 20 b CLI 3,620 3,807 3,893 4,053 4,184 4,351 4,515 9,725 4,927 5,143 522 TTRLJR 0,978 1,021 1.003 0,971 0,948 0,919 0,899 0,863 0,837 0,811 -77 RWAGES 1,007 1,009 1,013 1,015 1,010 1,013 1,012 1,014 1,015 1,01 71 3,960 9,386 9,227 4.445 49486 4,672 49800 5,023 5,238 5,898 72 3,152 3,639 3,703 3,972 a 129 4,337 4,523 4,757 4,954 5,147 154 1 257 1,205 1 129 1,119 1l086 1.077 1,061 1,056 1.057 1,058 372 20PRADJ 3,55 3,790 9,089 9,19q 4,454 9,642 ,a886 5,127 5,362 5,622 370 MCPRAD 1,391 1,115 1,139 1,105 1,119 19105 1,111 1,115 1,117 1,124 370 NEXCRT 1U l91 1,115 1,134 1,105 1,114 1,105 1,111 1,115 1,117 1,124 300 EXCHRT 0,464 0,499 0,463 0.471 0,459 0,4b2 0,459 0,961 0,963 0,4 PUBLIC FINANCE CURRENT BTLLION RS .................v............... 321 OILREV 32499000 3378,960 3514,118 3654,683 3800,870 3952,905 4111,021 4275,462 4496,481 4624,340 293 DTXCU 2191,206 2558,539 2913,829 3378,119 3914,895 4584,740 5356,932 6312,350 7451,478 8858,153 294 INTXCU 1503,936 1721,253 1926,508 2191,386 2491,814 28609455 3276,798 3782,545 4373,313 5066,377 295 MTAXCU 2895.669 3825,511 4429,789 4581,434 5071,619 5371,669 5904,368 6461,475 7320,595 8910,949 296 XTAWCU 351,381 459,968 995,796 576,809 619,572 679,223 738,549 826,897 9499767 1091,778 260 NTAXCU 399,586 445,970 494,092 553,023 617,085 691,223 774,245 871,589 980,876 1105,942 320 GREVCIJ 1n520,279 12389,700 13774,132 14935,454 16510,856 18140,215 20161,915 22530,319 25522,509 29179,540 434 GEXPCU 3842,599 U08Q,605 4324,181 4411,460 4475,201 4549.723 4613,115 4692,547 4756,134 4814,458 535 GSAVCU 6677.680 8295,095 9449.991 10523.9QQ 12035,655 13590,492 15548,800 17837,772 20766,375 24365,082 405 GSUtRCIJ A19s695 829.207 851,586 882,552 911,839 945,731 980,859 1022,384 1085,351 1112,211 SAVINGS CUIRRENT BILLION kS .W---o------"-a-.-.-------- 535 GSAVC') 6677,680 9295,095 9449,991 10523,994 12035.655 13590,492 15548,800 17837.772 20766,375 24365,082 327 HSAVCU 6769,807 6851,160 8061,594 9062,292 10591,916 12228,069 142864914 16476,879 19430,121 23039,968 536 CSAVCUi 575.625 hu8,843 716,869 803,431 900,179 1017,074 1147,038 1302,389 1980,868 1693,241 301 DOMSCU 14023,112 157q5,098 18228,449 20389,718 23527,7a5 26835,629 30982,751 35617,040 41677,364 49098,291 303 FOPSCU 1203.262 1549,20a 1440909 1465,806 1928,372 1439,069 1428,889 1435,a67 1440,662 1443,614 305 TOTSCIJ 15226,373 1733q,301 19669,357 21855,523 24956,117 28274,698 32a11,64n 37052.507 43118,025 50541,906 306 INToCu 15226.373 17339,301 19b69,357 21855,523 24956,117 28274,698 32411,640 37052,507 43118.025 50541.906 298 IMPnRT 14349,427 16262,506 16763,650 18293,849 ff239,024 20871,141 22559,279 25101.374 28259,814 32140z339 299 EXPnRT 9409,492 11369,386 119714079 13999,585 14196,9453 15432,609 16532,333 18112,875 20195,025 22532,329 192 1!FTFSY 1430,784 1716.9q1 2060.329 2472z395 2966,874 3560,2a8 4272.298 5126.758 b152.109 7382,531 361 GAPTOl -3736,723 -3398,9l6 -3398,662 -3326,455 -3o14920A -3999,380 -9598,057 -5b53.032 -6b24,128 -8164.395 PAGE le 466 PROTH 0,059 0,059 0.059 n,059 459 NWOTH 3,061 3.061 3,061 3,061 473 CPROTN 0,29b 0,326 o,358 0,394 480 MPOTH 5,807 6,110 6.410 6,708 344 VAoOTH 3.102 3.236 3,397 3,S93 332 PFOOD 4,227 4,291 4,365 o,o53 333 POTAGR 8,463 9.196 I0.000 10,885 486 PMINING 4,000 00o0, 0,000 ,o000 334 PMANUF 5,212 5.482 5,787 6,134 335 PCNSTR 6,904 7,356 7.869 A,456 336 PTRsP 3,765 3,93a 4,139 4,390 337 POTH 5,060 5,287 5,550 5,877 297 GOPOEF S, 322 5.589 5,893 6,243 304 CLI 5,385 5,652 5,955 6,304 522 TTRyR 0,785 0,759 n,733 0,706 277 RWAGES 1,020 1,0n2 1,030 1,036 71 5,686 5,905 6,237 6,572 72 5,339 5.527 5,713 5,889 154 1.065 1,07b 1,092 1,116 372 MPRAOJ 5,887 6.182 6,515 6,870 370 EXCTNX 1,132 1,145 1,163 1,185 494 NEYCRT 1,132 1,145 1.163 1,185 300 EXCHRT 0,467 0,470 0,475 0,483 PUBLIC FINANCE CURRENT 81LLION RS *----.---0-.-.--------,----------- 321 OILRFV 4809,314 5001,686 5201,754 5009,824 293 DTXCU 10610,013 12793,528 15558,707 19021,766 29C INTYCtI 5960,470 7023,745 8339,846 9948,583 295 MTAXCJ 9781.094 11539,588 13857,400 17102,237 296 XTAYCU 1258,664 1454,100 1684,560 1959,918 260 NTAXCUt 1250,071 1418,230 1615,061 1807,966 320 GREvCu 33670,u27 39230,918 46257,369 55290,293 434 GEXPCU 4871,709 4928,060 4989,447 5060,690 535 GSAVCU 28798,718 34302.858 41267,922 50229,603 405 GSu8CU 11640406 1222,796 1289.354 1366,009 SAVINGS CURRENT BILLION RS 535 GSAVCU 28798,718 30302.858 01267,922 50229,603 327 HSAVCJ 27082.762 32112.048a 38397,541 46110,040 536 CSAvCU 1947,b75 2252,181 2621,872 3060,799 301 DOmsCu 57829.156 68667,523 82287,339 99008,006 303 FORSCU 1052,897 1063,336 1079,220 1503.830 305 TOTSCU 59282,051 70130.859 83766S559 100912,276 306 INTOCU 59282,051 70130.,59 83766,559 100912.276 298 IMPORT 36996,824 43227,775 51087,318 63208,514 299 EXPnRT 25200,300 28333,833 31924,809 36150,748 192 NETFSY 8859.037 10630,805 12757.014 1530A,017 361 GAPTOT -10303,623 -13430,605 -18283,288 -25553,936 PAGE J19 415 GAPaDJ *o,n0o n,000 o,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 -0,000 -0,000 -0,000 .0,000 POPULATION IN THOUSANDS BY SECTOR .........-.....-...o.--.....--...- 575 POPAG1 2217,685 2237.836 2258.059 2278,596 2297,038 2316,572 2336,406 2356,718 2378.100 2401,168 585 POPAG2 b0818,986 61371.612 61926,232 62489,438 62995,192 63530,920 64074.857 64631,900 65218,276 65850,919 595 POPAG3 9042,77n 9128,936 9207,399 9291.138 9366,336 9445,989 9526,864 9609,687 9696,871 9790,935 6n5 POPAG' 99Q.779 1003,818 1012,890 1022,102 1030,374 1039,137 1046,034 1057,145 10b6,736 1077,084 624 POPaGR 73n74,221 73738,203 7440u,581 75081,278 75688,940 76332,618 76986,161 77655,450 78359,983 79120,106 576 POPLMI 0,971 1,013 1,059 1,117 1,186 1,269 1,368 1,469 1,565 1,657 58b POPLm2 82,708 44,568 46,587 49,158 S2,203 55,818 60,174 684,654 68,855 72,930 59b POPLM3 846,938 485,142 507,161 535,151 568,302 607,657 655,073 703,042 749,586 793,940 606 POPLM8 1388,989 1449,348 1515,130 1598,749 1697,788 1815,361 1957,015 2102,709 2239,368 2371,876 668 POPLMF 1897,605 1980,067 2069,937 21848175 2319,479 2480,105 2673,629 2872,674 3o59,371 3240,403 577 POPSMI 2308,658 2395,144 2477,640 2582,815 2661,593 2758,739 2857,341 2959,943 3082,015 3192,509 587 POPSM2 2167,295 2248,486 2325,931 2424,666 2498,620 2589,818 2682,382 2778,702 2893,299 2997,027 597 POPSM3 201,500 209,048 216,249 22S,428 232,304 240,783 249,389 258,344 268,999 278,643 607 POP5M4 70,291 72,928 75,436 78,638 81,036 83,994 86,996 90,120 93,837 97,201 672 POPSmF 4747,784 4925,603 5095,255 5311,547 5473,553 56730334 5876,107 6087,109 6338,149 6565,380 578 POPCN1 27,905 31,553 35,569 39,055 40,527 42,892 44,711 46,512 48,642 50,771 588 POPCN2 0,775 0,876 0,988 1,08S 1,126 1,191 1,242 1,292 1,351 1,810 598 POPcN3 524,760 S93,374 668,904 734,454 70?A123 806,599 840,814 874,683 914,739 954V?64 608 POPCN4 1572,731 1778,369 2004,736 2201,192 226w,119 2417,415 2519,957 2621,484 2741,513 2861!,s51 676 POPCNB 2128,171 2404,172 271o,197 2975,786 3087,898 3E68,097 3406,724 3543,95l 3706,245 38669496 579 POPELI 948473 96,907 99,505 102,539 105,623 108,758 111,969 115,220 118,086 110,773 589 POPEL2 S,107 5,238 5379 5,543 5,709 5,879 6,053 6,228 6,383 6;5l8 599 POPEL3 1,277 1,310 1,385 1,386 1,a27 1,470 1,513 1,557 1,596 19632 6o9 POEL8 103,410 106,074 108,917 112,239 115,61S 119,0486 12Z,583 126,119 129,256 132,198 680 POPELC 204,267 209,530 215,145 221,707 228,375 235,132 242,139 249,125 255,320 261,131 580 POPTPI 75.026 77,470 8n,071 82,a93 65,379 88,170 91,019 93,968 96,992 100,058 590 POPTP2 40,837 42,167 43,583 45 119 46,472 47,991 49,542 51,147 52,793 548B62 600 POPTP3 2011,858 2076,989 21486702 2222,379 2289,034 2363,847 2840,231 2519,289 2600,378 2682,567 610 POPTP4 772,10a 797,258 824,017 853,066 878,652 907,369 936,689 967,036 998,162 1029 710 688 POPTRP 2899,825 2993.885 309a,372 3203,458 3299,538 3807,378 3517,482 3631,439 3788,325 38 6797 581 POPRKI 3,987 4.189 8,409 4,652 4,872 5.128 5,385 5,660 5.947 6,242 591 POPgK2 0,997 1,047 1,102 1,163 1,218 1,281 1,346 1,415 1,487 1,561 601 POPqK3 0,997 !,047 1,102 1,163 1,218 1,281 1,346 1,415 1,487 1,561 611 POPBK8 297,028 312,110 328,442 346,586 362,996 381,702 801,155 421,653 483,063 465,037 688 POPRNK 303.004 318,395 335,055 S53,564 370,305 389,387 409,232 830,143 451,988 4748400 582 POPPUI 97,667 101,587 105,770 110,340 114,396 118,962 123,643 128,508 133,520 138,609 592 POPPU2 539,204 560,843 583,939 609,171 631,561 656,770 682,614 709,474 737,143 765,235 602 POPPU3 2091,704 2175,646 2265,243 2363,125 2849,980 2547,770 26488027 2752,222 2859,559 2968,55S 612 POPPU4 3149,764 3276,167 3411,086 3558,480 3689,270 3836,526 3987,495 8418,397 4306,028 4470,129 692 POPPUB 5878,338 6i1u,242 6366,039 6641,117 6885,207 71b6,028 7441,779 7734,602 8036,251 8342,508 583 POPSEI 6988,425 72n6,915 7487,612 7798,645 8067,118 8374.422 8689,835 9017,991 9356.345 9700,271 503 POPSE2 0,538 0,559 0,581 0,604 0,625 0,649 0,674 0,699 0,725 0,752 603 POPSE3 83,858 86,608 89,981 93,671 96,986 100,639 104,a29 108,373 112,839 116,572 613 POPsE4 5384,110 S587,622 5805,250 6083,298 6258,589 6892.807 6737,350 6991,775 7254,105 7520,756 700 POPSER 12412,527 12881,704 13383,428 13932,218 14419,238 14968,517 15532,288 16118,837 16723,614 17338,352 0l5 GAPAi'J ,00 0 )A O.G ,000 . 0,00 0,0(in - 0 ,0 00 0,0 00 - 0,000 a0,0 00 0, 00 0 POlPULATIONl IN THOUSANDS BY SECTOR 575 POPAGI 2425,567 2US1,459 2U82,058 2508,000 2534.283 2562,800 2590,314 2618,520 2647,464 26T7,252 585 POPAG2 66520,039 67Y30,122 b8080,297 68780,726 69501.540 70283,594 71038,10 718l1,692 72605,460 73022,395 595 POPAG3 9890,022 9995,999 10122,400 10226.548 10333.721 to450o.oo 10562,189 10677,202 10795,223 1J1916,687 605 POPAG4 1088,028 t099,603 1113,548 1125,005 1136,795 1109, 86 1161,928 1170,551 1187,560 1200,926 624 POPA,GR 79920,059 8n777,223 81,798,662 82600.279 83506,300 80005,90 85352,578 86281.14`5 87235,714 88217,260 576 POPLMI 1,753 1,860 j,qb7 2.0-69 2,181 2,304 2.028 2,56? 2.705 2,860 586 POPLm2 77,103 t41,8%0 86,500i 91,001 95,978 101,368 106,830 112,703 119,019; 125,828 596 POPLM3 839,804 691,1152 q4,4 991,126 IoO,14A850 1103,527 1163,030 1227.356 1295,680 1369,814 bo0b POPL*MU 2508,891 2661,993 2810,635 2960,964 3121,070 3296,758 3474,521 3666,695 3870,821 0092,280 b68 POPL8F 3027,591 363b,759 3845,290 0005,202 0260,088 0503,956 0706,812 5009,356 5288,229 5590,787 577 PQO'sH' 1319,009 3u97,127 3626,985 3759,509 3902,002 0060,010 0218,79a 0388,080 0570,085 0769,639 587 POPsM? 3115,819 3282,993 34000899 3529,309 3663,053 3811,013 3960,072 4119.391 0290,252 0077,587 597 PoPst,3 289,687 305,230 316,560 328.130 300,602 350,358 368,217 382,992 398,877 016,295 607' P0p5m4 101,050 106,075 110,029 110,060 118,81S 123,613 128,008 133,602 139,103 105,219 672 POPsmF 6825,609 7191,826 7058,877 7731,012 8025,272 8309,399 8675,930 9n20,065 9398,357 9808,7400 578 POPCN1 53,683 57,722 59,025 61,q28 65,026 69,188 73,0042 77,028 81,385 86,597 588 POPCN2 1,091 1,b03 1,600n 1,720 1,806 1,922 2,029 2,100 2,261 2,005 598 FOPCN3 1009,546 1085,096 1110,002 1160,594 1222,857 1301,111. 1373,591 1008.561 1530,081 1628,099 608 P0PolN0 3025,657 3253.282 3326,727 3090,342 3660,959 3899,496 4116,715 0301,005 0586,921 0880,685 b76 POPCNS 0090,378 0398,100 0097,390 0718,580 0950,609 5271,718 5565,376 5869,130 6201,008 6598,185 579 POPFLI 123,010 126,299 129,678 133,016 136,611 100,300 103,879 107,086 I15115 150,y850 589 POPFL2 6,671 6,827 7,010 7,190 7,384 7,586 7,777 7,972 8,168 8,370 599 POPEL3 1,668 1,707 j,7S2 1,798 1,806 1,897 1,900 1,993 2,002 2,093 609 POPFL0 135,080 138,206 101,905 105,598 109,530 153,619 157,089 161,038 165,010 169,502 680 P0PELC 266,832 273,078 280,385 287,602 295,376 303,006 311,090 318,889 326,736 330,819 580 POPTPI 103,386 1n7,100 110,529 110,010 117,723 121,806 125,951 130,285 130,858 139,800 590 POPrP2 56,273 58,295 60,162 62,056 60,077 66,321 60,556 7o,920 73,000 76,093 600 POrPT3 2771,789 ?071,357 2963,308 305A,622 3156,169 3266,698 3376,768 3092,905 3615,560 3708,007 610 POPTP4 1063,959 1102.178 1137,470 1173,293 1211,500 1253,931 1296,182 1300.776 1387,800 1038,698 680 POPTRP 3995,007 0138,929 0271,072 0005,981 0509,073 0708,795 0867,057 5034,920 5211,670 5402,638 581 P0PP.KI 6.568 6,q30 7,268 7,623 8,.009 8,001 8,883 9,357 9,866 10,427 591 POPBK2 1,602 1,733 1,817 1,906 2,002 2,110 2,221 2,339 2,067 2,607 601 POPPK3 1,6042 1.733 i,817 1,906 2,002 2,110 2,221 2,339 2,067 2,607 611 P0pPJK0 089,296 516,568 501,490 567,901 596,630 628,878 661~,753 697,077 735,007 776,807 688 POPPNK 099,108 52b.068 552.393 579,376 608,606 601,500 675,077 711,112 709,807 792,488 582 POPPUI 1010,156 190,346 156,011 161,861 168,131 175,111 182,110 189,502 197,423 205,987 592 POPPU2 795,862 830,030 861,309 893,609 428,225 966,761 1005,019 1006,029 1089,942 1137,218 60I2 POPPU3 3087,345 3219,900 3301,230 3066,528 3600,813 3750,304 3900,265 0059,350 0228,153 0011,509 612 PPPpU0 03619,0%36 0808,65o 5031,307 5220,020 5422,236 56U7.345 5873,162 6312,720 6366,907 6643,075 692 POPPUR 8676,309 90o8,93o 9389,897 9702,02? 10119,406 10539,52,2 10960,959 11008,050 11882,425 12397,827 583 POP5E) 10075,552 10090,910 10879,507 11276,108 11701,360 12175,060 12650,182 13154,321 13689,305 14270,638 593 POPSE2 0,781 ,10 0,800 0,870 0,907 0,900, 0,981 1,020 1,061 1,106 603 POPSE3 122.062 126.121 130,700 135,510l 140,620 106,312 152,022 158,080 160,509 171,495 613 POPSEO 7811,717 A136.850 8035,0h5 8702,556 9072,231 9039,497 9807,863 10198,729 10613,510 11060,225 700 POPSER 18)09,.132 18758,703 19006,200 20155,088 ?0915,12? 22761.817 22611,008 23512,151 24068,386 25507,065 PACEZ1 415 GAPADJ 0.000 -0,onoo -0,000 -0.000 PORULATION IN THOUSANDS BY SECTOR 575 POPAG1 2706,273 2735s89a 2761,760 2794,052 585 POPAG2 74218,290 75030,617 7573Q,980 76625.592 595 POPAG3 11035,023 11155.803 1126i,273 11392,949 605 POPAG" 1213,944 1227.231 1238.833 1253,319 624 POPAGR 89173.531 90149,545 91001,846 92065.912 576 POPLMO 3.025 3,205 3,394 3,607 586 POPLM2 133.109 141,022 149,353 158,730 596 POPLM3 1449,076 1535.215 1625,914 1727,992 606 POPLM4 4329,075 4586,415 4857.374 5162,331 668 POPLMF 5914,285 62h5.857 6636,035 7052,660 577 POPSMI 4986,244 5222,818 5474,957 5763,890 587 POPsm2 4680,929 4903,018 5139,717 5410,959 597 POPsM3 435,200 455,848 477,855 503,073 607 POPSM4 151.814 159,017 166,694 175,491 672 POPsmF 10254.187 10740,700 11259,222 11853,413 578 POPCN1 92.631 99.007 105,853 113,718 588 POPCN2 2eS73 2,750 2,940 3.159 598 POPCN3 1741,969 1861,875 1990,618 2138,537 608 POPCN4 5220,761 5580,126 5965,973 6409,292 676 POPCNS 7057,934 7543,758 8065,384 8664,706 579 POPELI 158.604 162,483 166,217 170,436 589 POPEL2 8,573 8,783 8,985 9,213 599 POPEL3 2,143 2,196 2,246 2,303 609 POPEL4 173,607 177.853 181,941 186,558 680 POPELC 342.928 351.315 359,389 368,510 580 POPTPI 145,028 150,579 156,257 162,683 590 POPTP2 78e939 81.961 85,051 88,549 600 POPTP3 3888,228 4037,;54 4189,262 4361,542 610 POPTP4 1492,507 1549,634 1608,060 1674,190 684 POPTRP S600,703 5819,228 6038,630 6286,963 581 POPSK1 11,036 11,695 12.393 13,185 591 POPRK2 2,759 2,924 3,098 3,296 601 POPRK3 2.759 2.,24 3,098 3,296 611 POP4K4 822.173 871.270 923,297 982,277 688 POP5NK 838.727 888,812 941 887 1002,054 S82 POPPUI 215,121 224.876 234,980 246,394 592 POPPU2 1187,645 1241.501 1297,286 1360,299 602 POPPU3 4607,164 4816,087 5032,491 5276,935 612 POPpUa 6937,637 7252,239 7578,109 7946.201 692 POPPU8 12947,566 13534,703 14142.867 14829,829 583 PoPsEI 14890,594 15552.737 16238,119 17n03,253 593 POPSE2 1,154 1.206 i.259 1,318 603 POPsE3 178,946 186c903 195,139 204,334 613 POPSE4 11SU44886 12058.55 12589,641 13182.860 700 POPSEP 26615.581 27799,101 29024,159 30391,765 PAGE 22 584 P'PTLV1 0 95S tu,995 1,037 1.084 1,126 1 170 1.222 1,273 1.326 1,380 59U POPTU2 b2a0,60 650.638 678,525 709,161 736,533 767.484 799,377 832,682 867,155 902,294 6n0 PIPTD3 7?o,b70 73o:,275 7b13.173 7996,918 8260,040 8611,316 8969.156 9342.807 9729,63U 10123,903 614 6PIrT4 53b3,096 5o0X7,i25 5847,308 6111,36u 6307,251 6613,979 6888,820 7175,836 7a72,910 7775,732 533 P-7,PTR-) 13017,320 13558.933 1100,0nA4 15778,528 15348,951 15993,953 16658,576 17352,638 18071,025 18803,309 243 PtPP-', 1136.1.00 taA88ann 1824.0nn '00,o000 4240,000 0080.000 4720,nO0 0904,00) 74af,COO 8192,000 244 P0P'-1 2579,Q69 2602.432 2707,n15 2772.524 2838e87Q 2907,205 2977,158 3008,440 3120.880 3196,001 e25 PoPRUR 8721,673 AA86,442 q9n0,634 7170.324 7743,151 8164.468 8016,629 8753,597 6732,863 6531,190 379 POPTOT 12899s.2hR 132121.6n0 13S35o,738 138626.223 141943,501 145360,243 108857,903 152422.005 156n44,013 159800,075 POPULATIOC, GRO-rH RATES .------------- ---------- 620 PnPaG0 -6,506 01, 909 0,904 0,909 0,809 0,850 0,856 0,869 0,907 0,970 468 PaPi-4p -2,936 0,316 0,539 5,519 6,195 6,925 7,803 7,445 6,499 5,917 672 PUP8MF -21.899 3,74b }4040 u,205 3,050 3,650 3,574 3,591 4,120 3,585 676 POPC%S -22.087 13,075 12,729 9,800 3,767 5,836 4,242 4,028 4,579 4,378 680 PnPFLC 27,667 2,576 2,68n 3,050 3,007 2,968 2,971 2,885 2,a87 2,276 680 PiPTWP -5,030 3,2Sfi 3,356 3,525 2,999 3,268 3,2z1 3,20n 3,219 3,1 1 688 POPN4,( -o,32E 5.079 9,233 5,524 4,735 5,153 5,096 5,110 5,078 4,959 b92 POPD1IJ 1,737 ,°'3 o,118 0.321 3,675 3,991 3,935 3,935 3,900 3,811 700 POPSEq -06.159 3.780 3.895 4,101 3,496 3,809 3,766 3,776 3,752 3,676 S33 poprRa -4,088 4.11 0,286 u,515 3,860 4,202 0,155 0,166 4,140 4,052 243 POPPAK 0,000 30,98o 22,581 119,298 6,000 5,660 5,357 4,706 50,485 10.108 200 POPMIn 0,000 2,421 2,404 2,420 2,393 2,407 2,406 2,394 2,376 2,,407 24S POPSUR 0o,00 1,660 i,570 -20,380 7,989 4,150 4,367 ,04,000 23,085 "2,99i 379 POPTOT .0,643 2,421 2,440 2.420 2,393 2,407 2.406 2,390 2,376 2,407 SURPLUS LASOR .-.--.--.------ 695 wnfiRS 47880,700 49139.220 500U,270 51790,230 53195.836 54643,420 56130,030 57651,750 59204,460 60786,370 600 SUJQPLA -n,on0 -.,002 -,n001 -o,001 0,001 -0,001 -0,001 -0,001 -0,001 -0,001 S30 S09t,/L 0,068 i0,067 n,067 0,052 0,055 0.055 ,o057 o,057 0,043 0,041 532 LARSJ4 3237.251 3297.640 3356,203 2679,013 2901,882 3031,573 3173,691 3310,901 2554.507 2484,400 233 LAkcD^' 021,653 553.423 679,765 1094,500 1589,015 1684,109 1779,789 1870.007 2822,801 3116,156 236 LA.1i 957,610 9e2.780 100.885 1035.885 1063,917 1092,868 1122,609 1153.035 1180.089 1215,727 HOUSE0iL') IN¢COE/EXPE,01TURE 1973 BTLL1O0 RS PER INCOMF GROUP 556 TJCI 213,028 219,091 222,781 220,901 228,275 235.566 242,315 249,111 253,601 259,622 557 iTYT 41 8,o33 5,105 9,50o 5,893 6,033 6,370 6,787 7,213 7,687 8,023 555 DiINCI 204095s 21J.385 217,241 219,006 222,202 229,196 235,527 201,898 245,914 251,599 550 EXPI 200,083 213,839 216,693 218,010 221,657 22B,596 230,91t 241,275 245,225 250,888 559 ITC? 1825,233 1819.543 180,S646 1888,807 1882,a80 1900.064 1921,156 1935,819 2007.179 2033,377 560 ITXTN2 05,210 4u.139 w,,u57 08.601 50,099 52,318 54,627 56,944 59.081 63,318 556 GINC2 1780 O22 18-5.40 1799,188 tA10,207 1832,350 1851,746 1866.528 1878,875 1947.698 1970,058 551 EXP2 1767,906 1793.130 1787,188 1828.170 1820,562 '839.863 1854,610 18b6,952 1935,427 1957,752 562 INC3 1340,195 1452,306 1566,643 1689,468 1505,385 1908.093 2100.333 2266,0O8 2005,443 2631,418 563 ITYTN3 30,093 32,209 36,200 u00918 00,736 49,67n 55,284 b6153a b8,768 76,039 561 OINC3 1310.103 1420,097 153n,443 16a8,550 1760,609 1898,023 2045,049 2204,879 2376,675 2555,379 552 EXP3 129n.081 1397.237 1500.b67 1619.545 172P,401 1861..986 2003.905 2158,402 2324,208 2496,472 569 I:C'1 3202,671 35h0.391 40la.260 q572,489 51D1.4540 568o4,93 6321,619 7023,106 7776,464 8571,238 584 POPTDl 1,438 1,50'4 i,S65 1,627 1,695 1,770 1 846 1.927 2,013 2 107 594 PORTO? 940,757 Q81,782 1023,204 1064,231 1108,361 1157,623 1207,287 1260o174 1316b,501 1377,925 60A P'wPTDI 10555,485 17fl3v,219 11480.539 5194o0Rhb 12436.018 12988,745 13545,986 14139,381 14771.382 15480.573 bla POPTr'4 8107,195 A477.978 8817.705 9171,262 9551566 9976,093 10404,085 10859,846 11345.259 11874.596 533 POpTru 19804,858 20501.48a4 21323.013 22177,987 23097.640 24124,231 25159,20'. 26261.327 27435,154 28715,201 243 POPP'K QY008,000 qg-e .G00 9n08,000 90n8,000 9008.000 9008,000 900800on 9(08.non 9008,000 9008,000 ?44 PCiP.T4 3271,726 33u9.655 3429,545 3511,576 3594,327 3680.i66 3765,529 3852,b57 3941,882 4032,740 245 POPsuO 59e7,171 5673, 095 6176.147 6575,714 b777.5QS 6669.740 6577,388 6341.183 594b6675 5230.850 379 PCPTtT lb3586,303 1b7OP82,755 171477,277 175578,824 179716,334 184008,31l 188276,429 192632,838 197094,123 201637.001 POPuLATIrO GRO"TH' RATES ,----------,-.- ----- 624 POPAGQ 1,016 1.067 1,265 1,029 1,048 1,125 1,07u 1,089 1,105 1,125 668 POPLI'F 5,777 8,102 5,734 5,199 5.421 5,615 5,392 5,531 5,567 5,721 672 POP5MF 3,984 53b5 3S,713 3,654 3,801 4,039 3,911 4,013 4,148 4,367 f76 POPCNS 5,736 7,523 2.258 4,918 5,003 6,399 5,570 5,458 5,655 6,404 680 POPELC 2,183 2,341 2,876 2,574 2,703 2,732 2,519 2,507 2,461 2,474 884 PPPTPP 3,328 3,592 3,202 3,149 3,257 3,502 3,3b9 3.440 3,510 3,664 688 POPRNK 5,217 5,57u 4,825 4,885 5,052 5,404 5,227 5,338 5.447 5,687 692 POPPUR a,0n2 u,294 3,788 3,75C 3,874 4.152 3,999 4,079 4,158 4,338 700 POPSER 3,869 ,l162 3,665 3,64s 3,771 4,048 3,902 3,985 4,067 4,247 533 POPTRFD 4,283 U,574 40on7 ,nl0 4,147 4,445 4,290 4,381 4,470 4,666 243 POPPWK 9,961 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 o0000 0,000 0,000 244 POP.IN 2,369 2,382 2,385 2,392 2,356 2,388 2,320 2,314 2,316 2,(305 245 POPSUR -8,330 -1,905 5,160 6,470 3,070 -1,591 -1,385 -3,591 -6,221 .12,037 379 POPTOT 2,389 2,382 2,385 2,392 2,356 2,388 2,320 2,314 2,316 2,305 SURPLUS LABOR 895 hORKRS 42387,990 63973,550 65431,360 67100n870 68789,360 70505,590 72253,940 74041,710 75875,470 77746,460 694 SL'PPLB -0,001 -0,001 -0,001 -0.001 -0,001 -0.001 0p001 -0,001 -0,001 .0,001 530 SUIPL/L 0,037 0,035 0,036 0,037 0,038 0.036 0,035 0,033 0,030 0,026 532 LABSUR 2283,367 ?2a3,352 2356,660 2513,037 2594,235 2555,613 2524,165 2437,342 2289,296 2016,892 233 LABPv.X 3435,441 3040,794 3437,223 34a2,583 3447,959 3451,553 3456,957 3462.378 3467,816 3473,272 236 LA8PIN 1247,760 1279,471 1308,627 1342,017 1375,787 1410,112 1445,079 1480.834 1517,509 1554,929 HOUSFpOLD JNCOmE/EXPENtITLiRF 1973 8ILLrON RS PE;- INCOME GROUP - - - - --------------------------------- 556 INCI 269,657 282,452 29S,827 310,306 325,288 341,090 357,128 374,700 393,794 415,170 557 ITXTI' 8,531 9.104 9 q,600 10,354 11,157 12,055 12,948 13,957 15,082 16,376 555 DIMC1 261,126 273,349 286,227 299.952 314,131 329,035 344,180 360,743 378.712 398,794 550 ExPi 260,359 272.528 285,360 299.037 313,160 327,993 343,065 359,541 377,405 397,351 559 IJC2 2089,510 2131,792 2185,990 2239,754 229a,436 2348,932 2403,876 2463,392 2528,906 2601,344 560 ITXTN2 66,572 70,291 72,158 76,211 80,199 84,678 88,795 93,551 98,736 104,726 558 VI0C2 2(22,938 20861.502 2113,834 2163,544 2214,238 2264,254 2315,081 2369,841 2430,170 2496,618 551 EXP2 2010,233 2048.463 2100,299 2149,519 2199,712 2249,247 2299,575 2353.784 2413,491 2479,234 562 INC3 2833,278 3239,486 3443.273 3b68,075 3920,351 4202,411 4500,975 4827,542 5j9o,738 5600ob19 563 ITxIN3 84,891 93,790 107,855 117,709 128,710 141,672 155,431 171,210 188,933 209,664 561 DINC3 2748,387 3145,896 333S,417 3550,386 3791,641 4060,738 4345,545 4658.332 5001,805 5391,156 552 FXP3 2682,286 3061,941 3243,960 3449,730 3680,297 3937,184 4208,492 4504n,033 4831,866 5200,582 565 INC4 9457,510 IP269#186 11123,365 12132,653 13263,693 14577,613 15967,50a 17512,577 19220,113 21166,607 RAGE 4 584 POPTD1 2,208 2,315 2,428 2,555 594 POPTD2 1443,748 1514,327 1587,913 1671,085 404 POPTD3 16199,112 16991,025 17816,672 18749,885 614 POPTD4 1244I,837 13050,070 13h84,214 14400,974 533 POPTRn 30(8b,904 31557,737 33091,227 34820,099 243 POPP*K 9008,000 qn90,000 9008,000 900q,000 2p4 POP"IN 4123,432 a216.308 4304,866 4il5..163 *245 POP5UR 4203,801 2940,340 1369,778 -095,339 379 POPTOT 206171,579 210815,404 215243,291 220258,136 POPULATION GROWTH RATES ............ .......... 624 POPAGR 1,084 1,095 0,945 1,169 668 POPLMF 5,786 5,9u4 5,908 6,Z78 672 POPSMF 4,5sl 4,745 4,828 5,277 676 POPCNS 6,968 6,883 6,915 7,431 680 POPELC 2,422 2,046 2,298 2,538 684 POPTRP 3,740 3,828 3,770 40112 688 POPBNK 5,835 5,972 S,971 6,388 692 POPPUB 4,434 4,535 a,493 4,8S7 700 POPSER 4,344 44047 44007 4,712 533 POPTRD 4,777 4,889 Q,859 5,238 243 POPPWK 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,01f0 244 POPMIN 2,249 2,252 2,100 2,330 .245 POPSUR -19.634 -30,055 .53,414 -136,142 379 POPTOT .2,249 2.252 2,o00 2.330 SURPLUS LABOR .-w........... 695 WORKRS 79661,980 81627,870 83650,700 65735S580 694 8URPLB -0,001 -0,001 *0,001 -0,001 530 SURL/L 0,020 0),014 0,006 -0,002 532 LABSUR 1624,293 1138,502 53,341 -192,811 233 LABPWK 3480,572 3487,900 3500,808 3506,368 236 LARMNT' 1593,240 1632,557 1673,014 1714,712 HOUSEHOLD INCOME/EXPENDITURE 1973 BILLION RS PER INCOME GROUP 556 INCI 439.037 466,689 498,479 537,491 55? ITXTNI 17.834 19,425 21.304 23,413 555 DINCI 421,203 407,26a 477,175 514,078 550 EXPI 419,586 005,4f9 475,029 511,515 559 INC2 2682,967 2778.063 2888,713 3027,795 560 ITXTN2 111.271 118,214 126,297 135,140 558 DINC2 2571,697 2659.84q9 2762,416 2892,50 551 EXP2 2553,480 2640,611 2741,908 2870,477 562 INC3 6067,083, 6591,924 7193,398 7885,837 563 ITXIN3 233,a08 260,111 291.162 326,0l1 561 DINC3 5833,675 6331,814 6902,236 7559,419 552 EXP3 5618,500 6087,619 6622,618 7237,373 585 INC4 23368,998 25833,668 28607,129 31572,'73 566 ITXTNU 55,328 72.043 8?,643 97,371 112.080 129,451 148,196 169,457 194,152 219,235 564 DINC4 2988.493 3312,985 3727,548 4239,517 4722,605 5250,180 5825,73O 6456,4211 7126,355 7832,360 553 EXPa 2885582 3191,748 358n.610 4057,586 4SO4,637 4991,258 5519,013 6093,901 6701.247 7337,591 554 EXPTOT b148.053 6595,958 708Q,158 7723,715 8275.257 8921.702 9612,484 10360,569 11206,147 12042,703 619 AVPSI 0.003 0,oo3 n,On3 n,003 O,0O3 0.003 0,003 0,003 0,003 0,003 257 AVP92 0,007 0,007 n,007 0,007 0,006 0,006 0,006 0,006 0,006 0,006 258 AVP83 n,olS 0,016 0,017 0.018 0,018 0,019 0,020 0,021 0,022 0,023 259 AVPS4 0,434 0,037 0,039 0,043 0.046 0,049 0,053 0,056 0,060 0,063 POPULATION IN ThOUSANtUS AVFRAGE INCOME AND EXPENDITURE 1973 RS .--------------.-- ----,,- -----,-------------.-----,-.--,----,-,-,7 571 POPI 20493,424 21020.051 21556,364 20168,062 21122,009 21880,549 22679,547 23480,860 21955,400 22244,629 567 AVI,iCl lono2,986 1ni99,093 10077,792 10859,174 10521,798 10474,887 10385,017 10301,921 11200,604 11310,556 615 AVECI 9977,971 10173,08 10(52,401 10829,693 10494,121 10447,456 10358,055 10275,388 11169.?40 11278,574 572 POP2 65377,n96 66414,031 67436,846 7n335,108 71209,260 72137,802 73078,260 74022,193 77287,468 78845,119 568 AVIrC2 27227,oo3 27184,074 26679,603 26163,416 25731905 25669,567 25541,501 25382,591 25200,693 24986,432 616 AVFC2 27n4t,676 26999,330 26501,653 25992,285 25566,372 25504,836 25378,409 25221,522 25041,924 24830,351 573 FOP3 21431.527 22(154.376 ?2717,259 23424,81a 24a31,71t 24727,352 25436,843 26172.258 26935,286 27713,071 56s 8VI^'C3 0112Q,692 b4390,722 67369,172 70376,217 73263,587 76774,217 80397,116 84244,889 88236,493 92208,435 617 AVEC3 b0195.482 b3354a181 66234,521 69138,014 71921,699 75300,647 78781,192 82470,588 36290,073 90082,836 574 POP4 21696,222 22633,149 23640,268 24698,239 25580,520 26614,540 27663,253 28746,695 29865,859 30997,256 570 AVi14CU 137742,560 146377,545 157677,892 171652,604 184617,246 197267,353 210594,543 224597,094 238612,101 252679i13t 618 AVFC4 132999,307 141020,949 11i462.313 164286,450 176096,36S 187538,751 199507,028 211986.130 224378.167 236717,451 3Q3 GrNIND 0.422 0,435 0.454 0.467 0,485 0,498 0,511 0,523 0,528 0,537 520 TNTP 286.847 290,096 30O,112 265,025 284,687 295,937 308,782 321,643 281,016 282,272 521 POVIND 0,583 0.575 O,580 0,548 0,562 0,564 0,567 0,571 0,533 0,529 522 TTRuIR 0,992 0,994 0,999 0,991 0,992 0,992 0,991 0,987 0,986 0,985 AVERAGE INCOME 1973 RS PER SECTOR .---.--................... --....-.-.-.-..- 625 AVIaGI 15b70,200 15638,044 15362,647 15099,820 14850,137 1482a,534 14757,069 14676,212 14580,210 14471.879 826 AVIAG2 27960,380 27903,005 27411,612 26942,65O 26497,140 26451,455 26331,077 26186,805 26015,508 25822.213 627 AVIAG3 53533,107 56659,567 59773,765 62676,691 65654,863 68958,396 72364,446 76027,657 80028,297 84216,039 628 AVIAG4 500942,236 635653,905 796928.571 947942,4661100649.3081242058,4791392427,4731555073,1971733557.5521921261.910 629 AVILMI 15670,200 15638,044 15362,647 15099,820 14850,137 14824,534 14757,069 14676,212 14580,210 14471,879 630 AVILM2 32927,020 32859,453 32280,773 31728,509 31203,862 31150,063 31008,302 30838,402 30636,678 30409,048 631 AILm3 81015,779 88567,759 97059,517 108932,732 120414,075 132016.332 143731.780 156281,827 167990,280 179354,647 632 AVILM" 295571,498 323221,035 354326,940 397811,374 439860,323 482337,304 525231,403 571181,802 614052,157 655663,635 633 AVISMI 13971.860 13943.189 13697,639 13463,298 13240,676 13217,847 13157,694 13085,601 13000,003 12903,414 634 AVISm2 26908,A40 26853.622 2638o,710 25929,385 255(10,629 25456,663 25340,812 25201.966 25037,111 24851,086 635 AVTSM3 76735,479 d0925.224 82878,829 85593,868 87321,713 89619,268 92023,209 94747,515 97789,715 100523,371 636 AVISM4 466747,303 518209,871 58a4lo,114 666552,051 725604,615 778931.914 838073,308 905458,132 981175.5831051028,133 637 AVICN1 b236,720 h223.922 611u,314 (009,710 5910,336 5900,146 5813,295 5841,114 5802,905 5759,790 638 AVICN2 32927,020 3?859,453 32B6n,773 31728,50n 31203,862 31150,063 3tOO,302 30838,402 3063h,678 30409,048 639 AVICN3 55347,4bl 59233,88h 56261.176 53332,867 52450.982 52360.549 52122,262 51836,675 51497,594 51114,967 640 AVICN4 163908.774 182656,079 200219,591 ?15754,840 223346,331 234377.345 243749,684 253015,409 263347.909 273883,565 641 AVIFLI 18194,680 18157.344 17137,580 17532.412 17242,5nu 17212,776 17134,442 l7040,56o l6929,092 16803,309 PAGE Z(, 566 ITX1N4 2a9,511 281,003 305,378 339,017 377,685 423,386 473,791 530,795 595,446 670,261 564 CINCU 8611,159 Q313,.00 10069,319 10956,129 1190b,418 13093,507 14298,728 15630,859 17094,273 18753,699 553 ExPu 803h,366 $h6q,478 9343,019 10127,673 10998,513 12001,505 13047,411 10194..996 15446,708 16878,329 551 FXPTrPT 12989,.24 li1952.110 14972,639 16029.959 17191,b82 18515,930 19898,5U3 21412,354 23069.970 24955,495 689 AVPSI n,n03 O.o3 n,0o3 0,003 0,t03 0,003 0,003 o,003 0,003 0,00a 257 AvPS2 0,006 i,008 0,00b 0,006 o,o07 0,007 0,007 0,007 0,007 0,007 258 AVPS3 0,02a n,o27 0,027 0,028 0,029 0,030 0,032 o,033 0,034 0,035 259 AVPS4 o,n67 0 ,089 o,072 0,076 0,079 0,083 0,088 o.002 0,096 0,100 POFULLATIO I, THOUSLN1)SI AVERAGE iCO(CE Av'3 EXPENDITURE 1973 RS ---------------------------b--------*----------- 571 PoPi 22201,734 ?27n8.360 23b31,180 24601,506 25415,021 25986,62t 26S79,800 27060,291 27432,895 27551,010 567 AV]JC1 11700,352 120OS.639 12112,261 12192,uoa 1236n,056 12661,703 12951,357 13331,092 13805,037 14174,794 615 AVECI 11705,893 11969,601 12075,584 12155,241 12321,863 12621,624 12909,423 13286,662 13757,392 14422,364 572 POP? 805249u78 81086,n5b 82535,685 83u40,664 84381,735 85407,643 86407,722 87442,814 88516,538 89639,537 568 AvImC2 25122,023 25298,830 25611,150 25929,129 26240i,721 26511,143 26792,528 27101,608 27059,022 27851,751 616 AVEC2 296e4,2u4 2513A,822 25447,167 25761,049 2b068,577 26335,433 26613,068 26917,984 27265,986 27657,821 573 POP3 28568,u98 29536,819 30410,501 31313,628 32279,502 33365,064 34906,233 35590,204 36804,3al 38127,658 56Q AVINC3 96203,575 10b51'n,838 109879,790 113380,850 117U62,807 121706,300 126150,429 130B31,836 135902,438 141397,502 617 AVEC3 93889,793 103b65,231 106672,37b 110167,045 114013,429 118003,194 122175,694 126552,593 131285,070 136399,188 574 POPa 32251,603 33691,523 30899,910 36223,0Z5 37640,075 3924h,983 40647,674 42539,529 44340,308 49318,705F 570 AVINC4 266999,069 276421.U68 288519,908 302493.126 317385,618 333601,183 350049,989 367443,159 385524.457 404883,126 618 AVEC4 249176,904 257319,261 267708,974 279592,110 292202.210 305778,746 319416,240 333689,5u0 348367,180 364394,813 393 GINNiO 0,542 0,543 o,547 o,552 0,556 0,559 0,562 0,56U 0,565 0,566 520 TMTR 272,676 273.092 280,921 290,085 295,829 29^..614 293,615 288,700 279,677 262,830 521 POVTN0 0.511 0,500 o,495 n,492 0,485 0.072 0,060 0,445 o,425 0,397 522 TTRuiR 0,978 1,021 1,003 n,971 0,90A 0,919 0,894 0.863 0,837 0,811 AVEQAGE INCOME 1973 RS PER SECTOR wt*---- - -- - -- - - - -- - - - 625 AV1&G1 14571,052 107s4,072 14901,114 15123,635 15335,105 15527,536 15718,327 15934,502 16179,561 16450,848 626 AVT&G2 25999,1b8 26236,515 26588,099 26985,143 273}2.469 27705,824 28046,253 28431,975 28860,313 29353,292 627 AVIAG3 87910,337 98662,502 100907,021 lC3?5u0127 105925,615 108463,828 111141,332 113587,888 116251,158 118972,077 628 AVIAG4 2065170.9432492909.5842575222.54926o7218. 1152735727,0702820785,4612911828,8012990379,5143075361.2093158728,161 629 AVILMI 14571,052 1070U0,72 1490i1119 15123,635 15335,105 15527,536 i5718,327 1593U,502 18179,561 lb650.,846 630 AVILM2 3n617,035 30896.942 31310S978 31778,550 32222.901 32627,2z6 33028,147 33482,385 33986,810 34567,356 631 4VILm3 14ln18.255 217041,902 229729,99e 2443340604 299731,038 276892,708 294505,788 314200,365 339826,812 357178,417 632 AVILmg 69o892.686 793619.701 840057,314 893509,573 949862,832o012b76,8531o77145.o311199378,2541220728.5691306538,681 633 AVISM1 12991,838 131111,401 13286,128 13484,532 13673,082 138940658 14014,771 14207,517 10421.559 146b7,901 634 AVISM2 25021,386 25209,806 2558E,16A 25970,280 26333,915 28663,857 26991,i83 27362. 699 27774,929 28249,367 635 AVIS9 3 103286.616 1104S2.265 117105,015 120988,01S 124720.o38 328916,094 133111,96o 13777,U016 142481,630 147499,434 636 AVIS4 ss 1104476.9521342466.351 13b38634,464153682.3591519575.07115972 b,08o16750?s63,o39u761276.29ol8o6u39.18l1935581,996 837 AVICNI 5799.?61 5852.202 5930,625 '019,188 6103,iS3 8179.994( 6255,874 b3041,9t2 6437,955 6547,017 638 AVTCN2 306l7,035 3Oqb9,962 313to,978 31778,550 32222,90! 32b27,2u6 33028,147 33482,385 33986,810 30567,356 639 AVICNS 51465.2Q9 51935.c75 52631,034 53418,982 94163,897 548a3,5b7 55517,440 56280.980 571286875 5810o,723 640 AVICNJ 289452.878 32n03Q-,98i 331527.100 364548,336 369073,877 393250.900 016762,810 41452.,172 468036.,07 498459,601 641 AVIELI 16918.659 17*'72,94A 17301.,694 17960.063 t78o5,601 18029.632 18250,661 18501,961 t1780.294 19101,090 566 TTXJTN 757.517 8s9,Osb 976,507 1108,558 560 DINC4 20617,758 2?615.380 24990,306 27417,467 553 EXPu 18','5,98? 2nglb.942 22491.276 2Uh75,720 550 fXPTOT 27147,508 295S0.aqo 32330,831 35295.085 619 AVPSI 0n004 o,0onu 0,00 0,005 257 AVPS2 0,007 0,n07 n,007 0,008 258 AVPS3 0,037 0.039 o,041 ,.043 259 AVPSO n,1(0 n.100 0.100 o,lOn POPULATIO IN THOUSANDS; AVERAGE I&COME AND EXPFNDITlIPE 1973 RS -.-. ....-------------,------------.- ----------- ------ 571 POPi 27414,565 27105.949 26526,136 25778,435 567 AVINCI 15364,222 16500,587 17988,873 19942,Ibt 615 AVECI 15305.207 16432,520 17907,973 19842,738 572 POP? 90765,720 91936.108 93023,583 94300,201 568 AVINC2 28333,347 28931,496 29b95,872 3066l,907 616 AVEC2 28132,653 28722,238 29075,411 30426,869 573 POP3 39539,621 410044929 42594,569 44360.845 569 A41NC3 147539,994 154265,432 16200a.985 170407.456 617 AVEC3 102097,981 148315,976 15548n0301 163107,781 574 POP4 48451673 50728,418 53099,002 55778,655 570 AVINC4 425532,427 447192.736 470636,079 491540,403 618 AVEC4 38297q9185 402473,462 4L23572.471 442386,434 393 GININD 0,565 0,563 0,559 0,554 520 TMTR 236.706 203,279 159,452 104,605 521 POVTND 0,360 0.312 0,250 0,169 522 TTRUR 0,785 0.759 0,733 o,706 AVERAGE INCOME 1973 RS PER SECTOR .---------.-*---------------"-.--- 625 AVIAGI 16777,039 17180,663 17689,385 18327.133 626 AVIAG2 29935,316 30655,503 31563,218 32701,152 627 AVIAG3 121716,908 1244007237 127180,877 129548,015 628 AVIAG4 3237542,6513305451,5833365323,1273393446,515 629 AVILMI 16777,039 17180,663 17689,385 18327,133 630 AVILM2 35252,767 36100.881 37109,835 38509,902 631 AVILm3 381641,388 408223,416 437750.116 46889q,800 632 AVILm4 1396075,1411493364.3111601426.1191715422,767 633 AVISMI 14958,7a0 15318.619 15772.206 16300.834 634 AVLSM2 28809,502 29502.bO4 30376,182 31471,320 635 AVISM3 152987,797 1588n7,477 165313,915 171400.730 636 AVISM4 2031116.6662127670.396223089?.2732325296.167 637 AVICNI 6677.241 6817.1382 700n,353 7290,176 638 AVICN2 35252,767 36100.881 37169,835 38509,902 639 AVICN3 5929,6838 60682,405 62479,263 64731,800 640 AVICN4 533203.123 569914.595 610862,187 654461.859 641 AVIELI 19479,832 19948,079 20539,158 21279,846 6a2 AVTFL2 28931.560 28672,192 28363.731 27878.480 27417,495 27370,224 27245.665 27096,38! 26919,135 26719,126 643 AVIEL3 47760.341 47662.295 u8622,926 06021,872 a5260,878 45102,842 04977,219 44730,7a2 44438.183 44108,007 6b,0 AVIEL4 309520,142 u5'??9.913 513699,673 596287,936 688816.931 79q983,884 918296.1521058854.7371196782.2491336334,170 645 AVITPI 5615,000 5603.1877 550n.189 5011,0 5321,531 5312.356 5288,180 5259.206 5224,803 5185,983 606 AVITP2 37610n,a1 37533.263 36672,774 362a1,457 35642,187 39SaO,73s 35418,610 3522U,7a5 349940328 3a73u,320 &o7 AVTTP3 569759201 56858.32S S-;857o)08 S4901,3Q7 53993,576 53900.484 53655,188 533¢1 202 53012,148 52618,269 648 AV17PO, 13551.659 15O0467.6uP 166281,319 183968,029 199025,021 216535,215 235187,037 256037,059 277031.700 299288,005 609 AVIRhl 5524,2hO 5512.924 5U15,837 5323,182 5235,161 5226,135 5202,351 5173,807 5100,003 5101,813 650 AVIRK2 37610,0ua 37533.263 36872,270 3b621,457 35bL52,187 35580,735 35418,810 3522407a5 34994,328 34734,320 651 AVJaK3 01175.621 ban0b86,3 66b58n283 b91h6,922 71312,171 74186,808 77035,534 80081,97S 8319,9417 86062,418 652 AVIRKO 290373,851 301104,3i0 316168b,003 326338.519 3358531,290 352185,676 365717,523 380188,653 394617,234 408597,393 653 AVITOUl 386,120 385,328 37A,502 372,066 365,913 365,282 363,620 361,628 359.262 356,593 650 AVIPU2 20102,740 2on6l1,89 1970e191 19371,020 19050,711 19017,865 18931,316 18827,589 18704,431 18565,457 655 AVICU3 72036,281 75990,503 79551,281 83264,4446 6403,454 90506,307 94611,675 99003,221 103423,131 107746h159 656 AVIPOv 155083,8h2 16A793,385 171890.625 17992Q,465 186883,809 195919.083 204968,941 214651,659 224400.138 233938,116 657 AVIsEl 19396,160 19356,359 19015,479 18690,159 18381,108 18349,416 18265,910 18165,828 18064,999 17912,910 658 AvISE2 36614,76n 36539,626 358q6,135 35282,019 34698,613 34038,788 34481,l5n 34292,223 3ao67,906 33814,761 659 AVISE3 62260,610 65'18,351 6842A,325 71456,785 74011,626 77378,36o 80745,519 84353,351 87982,848 91531,252 660 AV7sE4 25605,735 28306,072 31112,01Q 33994.238 36a70,352 39248,858 42090,550 05157,325 48261,901 51320,221 661 AVIrD1 19396,1bo 1Q35b.359 19015,479 18690,159 18381,108 18349,416 18265,910 18165,828 18046,999 17912,910 662 AVI\T92 36610,760 36539,626 39896,135 35282,019 34698,613 30638,788 34481,150 34292,223 34067,906 33814,781 663 AV:T)3 71a32,697 75470.273 79105,860 83^09,014 86305,061 90603,469 94932,408 99580,410 104288,150 108922 062 660 AV1ir4 167634,344 177358,579 186277,775 195645,859 203643,834 213993,927 224428,842 235635,145 246989,302 258160,155 LABOR PRODUCTIVITY AND INCOME PER CAPITA PER SECTOR ------------------------ ------------------ 620 LPYAGR 0,103 0,107 o,112 0,118 0,123 0,130 0,136 0,143 0,150 0,158 622 PYARk 0,037 0,039 0,042 n,044 0,046 0,048 0,050 0,053 0,056 0,059 665 LPYLMF 0,696 0.7b7 0.833 0,930 1,035 1.136 1,236 1,3al 1i,439 1,533 667 PYLMF 0,237 o,259 0,284 0,319 0,352 0,386 0,420 0,457 0,091 0,525 669 LPYSNF 0,086 0.088 0,091 0,093 00096 0.098 0,101 0,103 0.107 0,109 671 PYSMF 0,029 0.030 n,031 0,032 0,033 0,033 0,034 o,035 0,036 0,037 673 LPYCNS n.339 0,372 n,407 0,436 0,048 0,467 0,482 0.496 0,513 0,530 675 PYCmST 0,135 (,109 r,162 0n173 0.178 0,186 0,193 0,200 0,208 0,215 677 LPYFLC 0,621 0,b99 n,791 0,91i 1,051 1.210 1,393 1.598 1.800 2,003 679 PYELEC 0,212 0,238 s,269 0,311 0,358 0,all 0,4740 ,505 0,615 0,685 681 LPYTRP 0,257 o,271 o,287 0,300 0,320 0,338 0,357 0,377 0,398 0,420 683 PYTRSP o,076 0,080 0,080 0,088 0.095 0,096 0,100 0,106 0,111 0,117 685 LPYF(NK 0,773 n,801 0,831 0,865 0,895 0.929 0,964 1,000 1.037 1,075 687 PYBANK 0,285 0,299 0,310 0,322 0.332 0.346 0,359 0,373 0,387 0,401 689 LPYPII8 0,3nn 0.313 0,327 n,343 (,357 0.373 0,390 0,U07 0,425 0,443 691 PYPIIB 0,111 0.117 0,122 0,128 0,133 0.139 0,145 n).152 0.159 0,165 228 LPYSER O,A61 ,0s63 0n,06 0,069 0,072 0,075 0,078 o,nAl 0,085 0,088 2?q PYSERV 0,022 A0,124 o,025 0,026 n,027 0.028 0,029 n.03n 0,032 0,033 PAGEzq 642 4VIEL2 26902.227 27187.818 27511,613 27922,449 28312,881 28668,162 29020,416 29419,535 298b2,752 30372,853 643 AVTFL3 44410,271 14815,693 45416,248 48609,456 40738,983 47325,481 47906,983 48565,851 49297,514 50139,591 644 AVIL4 1 480899,8231759140.0581960331.3542217438.6012515594491b2858321.667321309o7213621864.9594066096,9124565131,274 645 AVITP1 5221.522 5269,189 5339,799 5419.539 5495.319 556,4276 S632,646 5710.112 5796,137 5095,144 646 AVITP2 34972,348 35291,611 35764,538 36298,61b 36806,170 37268,028 37725,950 38244,798 38820,971 394840092 647 AVITP3 52978.852 53462.496 54178,924 54987,986 55756,868 56456,527 571'C,C22I 57036,215 5A809,04b 59813,595 b68 AVITP4 321502,467 371886,801 388999,621 412052,397 435664.01 4062630,942 490009,456 521018,299 553391051 589239,679 649 AVI8Ki 5136,774 5183,668 5253,132 5331,578 5806,128 5473,966 5541,226 5617,435 5702.064 5799,464 650 AVTRK2 34972,348 35291.611 357b4,538 36298,6th 36806,170 37268,028 37725,950 38240,798 38820,971 39484.092 651 AVIAK3 89078,635 97501,741 9973h 205 1025488528 105509,367 108693,471 111895.033 115352.813 119003,630 1230400871 652 AVTl'4 422922,662 462929,340 473540,161 886895,391 500956,189 516077,703 531282,162 547703,288 565040,999 584213.706 653 AVIPU1 359,037 3b2.314 367,169 372,652 377,863 382,605 387,306 392.633 398,548 405,355 650 AVI-U2 18692.683 18563,328 19116,108 194n0,571 19672,858 19919,721 2016,a480 20441,804 20749,767 21104,205 655 AVIPI)3 112235,616 123659,437 127171,399 131500,720 1360840969 4104106827 146059,900 151475,049 157216,511 163570.84S 656 AVIOU4 243196.643 26890)8,834 2765948523 286073,441 296115,837 306993,469 317984.176 329854,177 342437,064 356360.774 657 AVISEI 18n3S,664 18280,312 18444.206 187t9,636 18981,388 19219,574 19455,730 19723,306 20020,445 20362,425 658 AVISE2 340486508 34357,319 348817726 35337,664 35831,781 36281,413 36727,213 37232,324 37793,244 38438,810 659 AVISE3 95211.933 104758,628 107618,806 111161,227 118913,079 118974,418 123079,197 127517,367 1322240422 137437,605 660 AvISE4 58158.778 61705.178 63716.281 66284,4h2 68954,588 7t949,762 74982,881 78246,562 81690.748 85488,643 661 AVITOI 18035,664 18200.312 18444.206 18719,636 18981,388 19219,574 19455,730 19723,306 20020,445 20362,425 662 AVITD2 34046,508 34357,319 34817.726 35337,664 35831,781 36281,413 36727,213 37232,324 37793,244 38435,810 663 AVITo3 113770.927 125719.828 129611,740 138387.761 139469,927 140999,394 150611,839 156690,134 16316l,382 170342,325 664 AVITD4 2b9809,936 298526,154 307837.688 319269,7lh 331401,408 344694,596 358147,897 372715,274 388221.,79 405426,055 LABOR PRODUCTIVITY AND INCOME PER CAPITA PER SECTOR .--.. . . . - -.. . -o-..-- -.-.-.. 620 LPYAGR 0,166 0,175 n,183 0,192 0,202 0,213 0,224 0,235 0,246 0,261 622 PYAGR 0,061 0,068 0,070 0,072 0,0)4 0,075 0,077 0,079 0,081 0,083 665 LPYL1F 1,632 1.741 1.,85 1,950 2,065 2,191 2,319 2,860 2,609 2,772 667 PYLmF 0,558 0,635 o,672 0,715 0,760 0,810 0,861 0 919 0,979 1,045 669 LPYSMF 0,113 0,117 n,120 0.123 0,126 0,130 0,134 0,137 0,141 0,146 671 PYSiF 0,038 0,043 0.044 0,045 0,046 0,048 0,050 0,051 0,053 0,055 673 LPYCNS 0,552 0o58t o 590 0,61l 0,632 0,661 0,687 0,714 0,743 0,777 675 PYC'ST 0,227 0 250 0,258 0,272 0,286 0,305 0,322 0,341 0,360 0,383 677 LPYELC 2,221 2,867 2,750 3,088 3,887 3,934 40,406 4,932 5,510 6,160 679 PYELEC 0,758 0,899 1,001 1.132 1,283 1,454 1,636 1,843 2.068 2,321 681 LPYTRP 0o4,1 0,470 o0493 0,519 0,5s7 0,579 o,b1l 0,646 0,683 0,725 683 PYTRSP 0,123 0,137 0,142 0,149 0,155 0,163 0,171 o,180 ,O189 0,199 685 LPYBNK 1,116 1,160 1,198 1,239 1,288 1,333 1,383 1,435 1,491 1,552 687 PYBANK 0,415 0,45a 0.465 0,478 0,492 0,506 0,521 0,537 0,558 0,573 689 L^PYPUq 0,463 0,48s 0,So3 0,528 0,5S6 0.570 0,595 0,621 0,649 0,680 691 PYPIJ8 0,172 0,19n n,195 0,202 0,209 0,217 0,224 0,233 0,281 0,251 228 LPYSER 0,092 0,096 0,100 0,108 n,108 0,113 0,117 0,122 0,128 0,134 229 PYSERV 0,034 o,0n38 n,039 n,040 0,0al 0,043 0o0oa 0o046 0o088 0,049 PAGE 30 642 AVIEL2 30975,r94 317POJ296 3265s,540 33836.999 643 AVIEL3 51133,772 52363,953 53914,459 558$8,212 644 AVIFL4 5127426.8205761396,6768484999,961728759o,41o 645 AVITP1 b012.035 615b.673 6338,973 6567,509 646 AVITP2 40266,993 4125.,790 u2456,738 439R7.411 647 AVIT03 60999,S94 624"7,128 64316,791 66635.575 648 AVITP4 629b6Sa499 674483,771 726680,124 784877,029 649 AVIRK1 5Q14,a57 bO5b.74U 6236,089 6460,916 650 AVI9K2 '40266.993 41235.740 42456,738 4q97,.411 651 AVIRK3 127576,880 132588.013 13845a,158 144839,211 652 AVIRK4 609753,884 629551.739 657408,463 687728.270 653 AVIOUI 413,393 "23,338 435,874 451,588 654 AVIOU2 21522,665 22?'40,459 22b93,081 23511.224 655 AVIPJ3 170645.751 1785b5,n83 187715,377 197721.478 656 AVIOJ4 3719q69.357 389199,207 4109225.031 431105.879 657 AVIsEI 20766,176 21265,771 21895,454 22684,841 658 AVISE? 39200,984 40144,085 4133?.759 42822.910 659 AVISE3 143288.834 149755,999 157286.384 157347,469 660 A"ISE4 89725.674 9a3l9,91o 99b5p,878 92617,618 661 AVITDI 20766,176 21265,771 21895,454 22684,841 662 AVITD2 39200,984 40144,085 4133?,759 42822,910 663 AVITD3 17d404,900 187327,129 197's9,783 2090o66597 664 AVITD4 u2u738,297 446098,086 470895.413 498098,075 LABOR PRODUCTIVITY AND INCOME PER CAPITA PER SECTOR 620 LPYAGR 0,276 0.291 0,307 0.324 622 PYAGR 0,085 0.086 0,086 0,090 665 LPVLMF 2,950 3,143 3.355 3,586 667 PYL4F 1,116 1,194 1,280 1,371 669 LPYSMF 0,151 0.156 0,161 0,167 671 PYS-F n,057 0,059 0,062 0,064 673 LPYCNS 0,816 0.857 0,901 0,949 h75 PYCNST o0409 0,437 0,467 0,500 677 LPYELC 6,88b 7,706 -8.630 q,676 679 PYELEC 2,606 2.927 3,294 3,700 t6Jl LPYTRP 0.771 0,821 0,875 0,939 683 PYTRSP 0,211 0,224 0,23Q (),256 685 LPYAN( 1,617 1,687 1,761 1.842 687 PY8A6' 0,594 0,618 0.645 0,675 689 LPYPL4 0,713 0,748 n,787 0,828 .691 PYP,ib 0,262 0,27U o,288 (,304 228 LPYsER n,140 0,147 0,154 0,154 229 PysEpv 0,052 n,n54 o,057 0,057 pA,re 31 230 t n,297 0.311 0,325 0,342 0,356 0.373 0,3Q1 o,09 0 ,s28 0,448 231 PYT7A) 0,110 0,116 n.l21 o,127 0,132 0,139 0,146 0,153 0,160 0,167 EXP[Dt9S 1473 0ILLION KS a-- -- -*- -- ------- --- 237 FxFrRP 315,869 32",598 333,774 342,319 352,408 362,197 372,265 384,098 001,874 439,392 236 EXFnR 304.091 33b.210 370,477 4n7,509 449.518 495,309 545,827 bl),462 662,389 730,201 231 EXF&A 18,oofl u7.ooo 56,000 65,000 75,0no 87.000 100,000 116,000 133,000 153,000 362 EIOIL 233,000 Z4.000 274,000 303,000 386,000 370,000 352,000 358,000 425,000 434,000 271 FXHmI' h5.313 tg.898 78,680 79.234 83,962 88,849 93,798 98,982 104,865 111,430 5314 X;tAIIUF 3,000 6oo 00 10n000 25000 5S6.000 79,000 99,000 113.000 130,000 152,000 a30 MCAPG2 0,0ol 0,00o o,000 o n000 0,000 0n000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 431 MC(,GG2 0,001 0,000 O,000 o,000 0,00 0,000 5,166 57,391 100,437 130,947 350 >COnJST 959,774 10127,702 111A,931 1222,062 13o2,884 1482,356 1568,057 1728,934 1957,564 2150,971 EXPORTS CuIRRENT BILLIONJ RS ---------------------e----- 3h3 FXPcRP 429.037 363,194 376,388 402,608 494,87q 546,344 606,689 699,814 798,837 948,180 360 FXPFOR 396.488 818,88Q 526,609 699,785 805,190 996,177 1278,637 1611,538 1964,112 2694,246 365 EXPF&A 87,500 b,551a 73,763 89.296 102,997 125,983 155t832 208,862 270,217 347,271 270 EXOIL 829,480 9i8.537 1108,701 1383,436 1649,280 1867,821 1892,959 2102,591 2674,442 2906,680 366 EXP4MN 8h,213 91,066 116,061 171,278 228,937 266.256 310,487 365,989 422,653 485,903 367 EXPMNF 3,600 7.3wh 13,267 42,931 100,310 158,886 211,748 278,546 342,645 441,873 832 IMCAP2 0,o0ol 0,000 n0ooo 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 082 IMCnN2 0,001 0,000 0,000 0o000 0,000 0.000 11,050 141,471 264.724 380,671 299 EXPoRT 1792.321 1860,555 2214,7a8 2829,334 3381,193 3961,467 4467,361 5408,807 6737,629 8209,1824 IMPORTS 1973 BILLION RS 351 MINTER 627,506 478,146 538.208 646,475 793,346 990,171 1227,001 1534,887 1930,649 2112,841 371 MINTA0 806,320 595,059 552,39h 697,321 8340606 1010,435 1080,985 1266,781 1524,772 1670,901 352 MC&PGO 520,099 62,0648 822,297 862,043 970.692 1000,034 1034,652 1086,048 1203.115 1334,383 353 MCONGn 116,207 112,141 111,104 86.423 38,325 0,000 09000 0,000 0,000 0,000 359 HRICE 149,568 180,183 121,279 116,218 A9,380 71,383 50,458 27,725 21,892 0,000 368 PNF9 96,000 98,210 9a,655 89.595 92,679 93,677 90,661 92,522 93,576 94,388 360 NCONuST 1509.376 1487,144 1687,5a2 18o0,758 198U,422 2155,265 2406,771 2741,181 3249,232 3541,612 373 ,ADJST 1688,191 1604,057 1701,730 1851,600 2025,662 2175,529 2260,754 2473,075 2843.355 3099,672 IMPORTS C,iRRENT BILLION RS -------------- -------- 315 IMPTN' 790,658 698.228 856.832 1195.035 1555,291 2100.983 2836,845 3997,365 5470,319 6779,997 374 IMI'JTA 1015.984 916,391 928A025 1276,097 1648.17U 2132.018 2453,835 3078.277 3933,911 4795.487 316 IMPCAP 650.128 082,258 1285,727 1558,691 18640328 2081,685 2349,978 2770,238 3342,853 4043,250 317 ImPCGD 145,258 159,504 173,720 156,265 73,608 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 369 IMPR-IC 188,as1 204.7n7 193,077 218,834 175,222 151,462 116,659 72,205 62,030 0,000 500 IMP'FS 120,000 138.000 188,000 162,000 178,000 195,000 215,000 236,000 260,000 286,000 298 IMPORT 1894.491 2138.697 2657,355 3286.825 3806,086 0529,130 55184,81 7075.807 91353202 11109,247 014 IMPADJ 2119,797 2356.86n 2728,5458 3367.887 3935,329 4560.165 5135,871 6156,719 7598,798 9124,737 GROWTH RATES OF CERTAIN KEY VARIABLES -- -------.-----..-- -.-------------- 268 GDPCFC 8,553 8.658 8,890 10,028 8,200 8,881 8,798 8.821 9,197 8.517 289 GDPFCU 0,000 15,808 18,602 21,213 18,940 19,777 19,853 19,902 20.194 19,551 215 GNP'C!) 0,000 bn6.20 18.685 21,741 19.261 l9,903 20,016 20.302 20,858 20,334 PAGE 3Z 23Q LPYTR4 0D0469 'iA492 0o'12 0,534 0,559 0,585 0.612 0*,b42 0,673 04707 231 PYTRA) oo,7a r ,193 n,199 0,206 0,210 0,222 0,231 02UO 0,250 0,261 EXPORTS 1973 BILLION RS -.,.-.-,--------------- 0.6 2.4 5.5 7,1 237 EXECRP 493,932 510,788 530o079 549,A92 568,996 58.589 609,081 629,912 651.153 672,313 238 EXFOR - 04.457 885,908 977,81a 1078.331 1188,064 1309,3"6 1442,655 1589,106 1709,983 1926,190 239 EXF&AN 176,000n tRa,80 199Q0a0 203,742 213,929 220,626 235,857 247,650 260,032 273,034 362 EXOIL 047,000 47i!099 u8s,oo0 5nn0000 515,000 530,000 546,000 562,00n 579,000 596,000 271 EXH'4I. 118,007 t25,072 133,519 142,305 151,264 160,430 170,273 180,274 190,556 200,767 539 XMA'UF 173,000 218,non 240,00o 269,000 290,000 319,000 351,000 386,000 425,000 468,000 030 XMAPUF 1,73.1000 0,000 0,000 0,00 0000000 0.000 0,000 0,000 u M tCAPG2 n,noo ¢ffnd0noon o.o ,o ,o ,o .ooo o oo o0O 431 mCnCOG2 1b3.119 146.314 272,092 299,531 23o,82b 171.013 89,435 10,959 0,000 0,000 350 XCONST 2375,915 2592,359 2832,504 3037,301 3164,6h1 3303,003 3440,301 3605.931 3855,724 4136,255 EXPORTS CUJRRENT BILLION RS ...... !---------------- -17406 1178 9,5 24728 2308 363 EXPCRP l136.697 13389478 1359,13U 1495,775 1571,946 1704,096 1817,780 1958,752 2109.728 2253,048 364 EXPFOR 2965,700 3643.213 3924,208 0526.123 4991,421 5686,278 6378,590 ?411,787 8582.251 9897,947 365 FXPF&A 438,458 572.29Q 584o,08 607,159 b85,577 750,394 808,188 880,052 956,436 1036,986 270 EXnTL 3305,796 3646,547 3622,514 3913,738 4040,673 4308,316 4526,434 4605,602 5098,241 5392,730 366 FXPH4iJ 548,955 o87,4b68 719.459 807,167 86-9,215 964,691 1053,989 1161,131 1274,347 1390,471 367 EXP4NF 521,820 753,012 829,405 908,300 1121.,42 1314,320 1551,920 1843.217 2179,021 2561,647 432 IMCAP2 0,000 0,1000 0.000 0,000 0,000 0;.ooo 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 442 IMCON? 492.016 o78.369 940,311 1121,318 915.980 704,593 395,431 52,332 0,000 0,000 299 EXPoRT 9409.442 11369,386 11974,079 134999,585 14196.453 15432,689 16532,333 18112,875 20195,025 22532,329 IMPORTS 1973 BILLION RS 351 MINTER 2654,523 2467,231 2523,468 2659,021 2812.110 3036,238 3288,867 3643,612 4058,786 5S82,165 371 MINTAD 1748,320 1953.740 1882,955 214n.529 2209,017 2028,762 2590,3S7 2839,071 3143,851 3485,686 352 MC&PGO 1521.844 1507,108 1602,952 1527,986 1472,649 1349,884 1263,331 1111,647 1013,638 910,421 353 MCONGD 0,000 0.000 o,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 38,165 83,216 128,968 359 MRICE 0,000 0o000 oo000 0,000 0,00o 0o000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 368 MNFS 97,230 88,281 97,90u 100,063 107,199 111.268 117,609 120,392 126,591 133,386 360 MCONST 4273,598 906.2,621 4024,324 0206,570 4391,957 4497,390 4669,807 4913.816 5282,182 5759,939 373 MADJST 3367,395 35u9,129 3583,812 3768.078 3783,864 3889,914 3971,297 0109,275 4367,247 4657,959 IMPORTS CURRENT BILLION Rs ------- .. . - - ------- 315 IMPTNT 9104,067 9991.631 10127,302 114b2,465 12430,267 14200,183 15995.627 18612,759 21714,612 25592,823 374 IMI^ITA 5367,344 6642,715 6778.639 8134.010 8816,068 10200,799 11397,S70 13059,727 15090,484 17428,428 316 IMPCAP 4930,360 5923.875 6259,348 6411,380 6346,757 6162,958 6009,652 5678,658 5022,992 508s,983 317 IMPCGI 0,00o 0,000 0,000 0,00o 0.0no 00,000 0,000 199957 445,210 717,532 369 IMPRIC 0,000 0.000 n,000 0,00, 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,0no 0,000 500 ImPNiFS 315.000 347,000 382,000 020,000 462,000 508,000 559,000 615,000 677,ooo 745,000 2q8 ImPORT 14309,427 16202,506 16763,650 18293,845 19239,024 20871,141 22559,279 25101,374 28259,814 32140,339 41a IMPADJ ln612,704 12913,59') 13410,987 14965,390 156294825 16871,757 17961.222 19548,342 21635,686 23975,943 GROWTH RATES OF CERTAIN KEY VARIABLES 268 GDPCFC A,927 9,198 7.580 8,1U3 84,92 8,937 8,739 8,932 9,118 9,529 289 GOPFC'J 21,328 12.72' 10,0F4 12,076 12,001 12.986 12,778 13."a)4 13,704 14,391 2I5 GNPmCJI 21,662 13.742 in,567 11.431 11,704 12,423 12Olib 13,155 13.508 14,203 PAGE 33 230 LPYTRD 0,74/A 0,784 0,828 0.875 231 PYTRAD 0,2714 0,287 a.303 0.321 EXPORTS 1973 BILLION RS z9----"--9-------Z--s-- 237 EXECRP 693,425 714.582 735.603 757,146 238 EXFnR 2119,100 2330.680 2562,441 2817,497 239 EXFAAN 2&6,685 301.020 316,071 331,874 362 EXOIL 614,000 632,000 651,000 671,000 271 EXH'.IN 210.823 220,,405 229,314 237,53 534 XMA'UF 515.000 507.1000 824.000 686,000 430 MCAPG2 0,000 0.000 0.000 0,000 431 MCONG2 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 350 XCONS.T 4439,033 4765,686 5118,430 SS00.671 EXPORTS CURRENT BILLION RS --.--.-----------.--.-----. 363 EXPCRP 2416,989 2588,945 2778,803 2995,042 364 EXPFOR 11416.852 13193.907 15253.081 17701,148 365 EXPF&A 1128,204 1226,926 1338.709 1467,241 270 EXOIL 5730,074 6082.145 6483,366 6947,951 366 EXPHMN 1517,091 1646,970 ;785,010 1931,397 367 EXPMNF 3011.094 3594,942 4285,842 5107,970 432 IMCAP2 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 442 ImCoN2 0,000 0,000 0,000 0.000 299 EXP'ORT 25240.304 28333,833 319214809 36150,748 IMPORTS 1973 BILLION RS ............----------- 35i MINTER 5251,125 6114,807 7250,230 8769,305 371 MINTAD 3922.803 4435.998 5034,629 5796,714 352 MC&PGD 767,784 614,700 455,663 2791435 353 MCONCG 16A,563 193.430 202.343 156,643 359 MRIcE 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 368 MNFS 140.248 147,53a 15,a147 161,679 360 MCONST 6327,721 7n70,471 B062.982 9367,061 373 MAOJST 4999.399 5391.662 5847,382 6394,471 IMPORTS CqIRRENT BILLIUN RS ............-.-.--.-.-..--- 315 IMPTNT 30702,201 37384,992 46477,211 59174,879 374 UImNTA 20398,578 23954,387 28193.923 33620,943 316 IMPCAP 4489,068 3758,179 2921,001 1385,614 317 IMPCGD 985,554 1182,604 1297,106 1057,021 369 IMPRIC 0.000 0,000 0,000 0,000 500 IHPNIFS 820,000 902,000 992,000 1091,000 298 ImPnRT 36996,824 43227.719 51087,318 632n8.514 414 I'4PaVJ 26693,201 29797,170 33404,030 37654,578 GROWTH RATES OF CERTAIN KEY VARIABLES ------------------*-----------w-----* 268 GDPrFC 9,870 10,113 10,14o5 10.334 289 GOPFCU 15,026 15,634 16,415 16,B94 215 GNPMCJ 114,941 15.621 16,499 17,149 250 7'TnCn 17,895 25,698 23,051 7,526 13,99l b,343 6,408 7,631 11,568 11,32Z 287 NETTCIl 12.;57 2b,s39 23,bSO 7,433 14,2t2 6,251 6,320 7,58b 116b! 11,427 30b I'NTCI) 0.000 35,035 33,856 19.o78 2a,027 16,368 16,792 18,746 22,492 22,390 297 GfnPnEF 05.2q5 h.216 R,914 10,170 9.925 10,008 lo,161 1n,182 10,071 10.168 3Sb 6N-PIL o,no0o q.t91 12,98a 11.268 14,557 8,840 6,853 4,988 4,977 4,957 304 CLI 02,86n 7,111 9,032 10,786 9,a90 9,823 1o,0a3 (0,019 9,941 10,043 15a, 0,(10 -17,151 0,191 3,108 0,328 -0,164 "1.b27 0,196 2,487 0,613 535 GSAvC'j n,0o0 S9,S71 5,611 22,749 26,1n8 11,027 10,62? 16.017 20,373 22,332 327 HSAVC'! (,Soo 9,319 22,295 19.623 30,316 27,072 26,678 23,230 26,895 25,993 536 CSAVCJ 0,000 15,a08 18,602 21.213 18,940 19,777 19,853 19,902 20,194 19,551 301 DomScu o0onn 31,545 4i,242 21,620 27,277 17,003 17,387 19,485 23,240 23,872 303 FORSCU n,OUO sl.515 3,517 4,826 2,893 8,042 11,594 11,945 15,192 6,822 3n5 TOYSCII 0,000 35,03E 33,856 19,078 24,027 16,368 1h,792 18,746 22,492 22,390 361 GAPTOT n,0n0 -3,171 -67.367 13.862 9,608 -65,084 -1334,136 139,960 67,167 29,166 550 EXPTOI 1,noo 7,285 7,477 8,951 7,141 7,812 7,743 7,782 8,161 7,465 690 SURPL4 -100,00n 10U,4S5 -16,098 -48,608 105,15i -24,919 1,182 -3,296 -36,148 44,372 695 WORKRS -25,112 2,628 2,652 2,680 2,706 2,721 2,721 2,710 2,693 2,672 267 INLABS 0,000 1,660 1,570 -20,380 7,989 4,150 4,367 4,004 -23,085 2,995 393 GINTND 0,000 3,062 4,358 2,767 3,977 2,703 2,574 2,360 o0868 1,702 429 INMSTR -81,156 8o58.633 29,032 -20.664 '31,327 -53.361 .43,377 -217,154 186,193 24,770 COMMITMENTS .... I...... 36 CoMnOA 0,000 370,000 000,000 440,000 480,000 530,000 580,000 600,000 720,000 810,000 40 CO00AG o,00o 500,000 5807000 b500000 700,noo 760,000 820,000 880,00n 950,000 1030,000 45 Co0CCp 0,000 23n0000 190,000 180.000 240,000 380,000 550,000 840,000 1100,000 1350,000 46 COMEX" 0n000 350,000 30o,noo 250.000 270,000 330,000 400,000 500,000 650,000 870,000 S0 CnmnOV 0,000 150,000 17n,000) lo.ooo 210,000 230,000 250,000 280,000 310,000 340,000 48 COmoGV ,0oo00 so0000 300,000 250,000 270,0no 330,000 400,000 500,000 650,000 870,000 60 COqR-T 0,000 0,000 60,000 7n,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 110,000 120,000 130,000 107 CmotU4 0,000 20no.000 200n,00n 203n,000 2250,000 2650,000 3100,000 3750,000 4500,000 5400,000 175 COm 879,600 0,0on o,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 182 Cf)vTUT 879,600 20n0,00n 2000,000 2030,000 2250,000 2650,000 3100,000 3750,000 4500,000 5400,000 DETAIL nN ASSIATANCE FLOWS MILLIONS OF OOLLARS AT CURRETN PRICES D--o --------- --------~---*------9-9--- 73 D9NnDA 0,()n 11,100 601,100 139.200 225,600 309,200 382,700 4S2,700 519.400 573,200 11 AhTODO 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 128 NETfOA 0,0o0 11,100 60,100 139,200 225,600 309,200 382,700 452,700 519,400 573,200 21 INTOUA 0,000 0o,oo -n,333 -2,13b -6,312 -13,080 -22,356 -33,837 .47,018 .63,000 143 NTRnUA 0,000 11,100 59,767 137,064 219,288 296,120 360,344 418,863 471,982 510,200 77 DONmAG 0,no0 15.000 82.0(0 9Q4,900 321,500 004,800 552,000 65o0100 738,100 800,900 14 A9TmAG 0,Otl( , n,0o0 0.0no 0,000 0,000 0,000 -15,567 -34,975 -58,248 -85,098 132 NET"AG (o,00 15.on0 82.400 lo,900 321,500 0444800 536,433 615,t25 679,852 715,802 24 INTiAG 0,000 0,0on -1,275 -8,279 -24,846 -52,173 -90,932 -137,285 -190,056 -247,648 147 rTR"AG ,000 15,0101 81,125 18b.621 296,655 392,627 445,501 477.839 489,796 468,155 a2 DONrCR n,nnt0 Q2,000 168,000 1t4iono 206,000 284,000 420,000 632,noo 886,000 1148,000 15 A'TCC9 ,00 no .nno o,no0 -24,844 -47,650 -71,482 -103,980 -15U,bO) -228,237 -339,975 133 ,OETCC4 0.000 92,000 Ib8.000 ¶69.156 158,346 212,518 316,016 477,aon 657,763 808,025 ! I 5) t P;AGE 35- 280 INTOCo 13,522 2.671 10,860 6,500 10,02L 8.764 10 ,264 9,119 11.418 12,081 287 thETICO 13,690 2,42? in,983 6,401 10o,97 8,758 10,319 9,126 11,499 12,170 306 INTnC4J 25,572 13,77 13,438 11.115 14.157 13.298 14,631 14,319 16,370 17,218 297 GOPnEF 11.380 3.225 P,699 3,636 3,319 3,717 3,714 4,233 4,203 4,399 35b GnPOIL 5.031 9,189 u,n29 3,959 3,970 3,981 3,982 3,976 3,966 4,019 30a CLS 1,.887 5.1b9 2.273 4.110 3,239 3,991 3,760 4,643 4,271 44398 15b -3,n23 -,.7Q -t,308 -nQ907 -2,9?5 -0,839 -1,082 -0,506 0,127 0,102 535 GSAvC 20.152 24,221 13,923 11,365 14,360 12,919 14.409 14,721 16.418 17,329 327 HSAVC'I 30,85u 1,202 17.6B8 1?.413 16,879 15,.L17 16,837 15,32A 17,924 18,579 536 CSM,CL 2?1328 12.720 10,l80 12,o076 12,001 12.906 12,778 13,540 13,704 14,341 3nl DnMSCO' 25,103 12b636 154 ,06 l1,857 15,340 14,060 15,454 14,958 17,015 17,806 3n3 FOPSCO 30,862 28,335 -h.689 1,728 -2,594 0,709 -0,707 o,06;1 0,362 0,205 305 TUTSC1 25,572 13,877 13,438 11,115 1,187 13,298 14,631 14,319 16,370 17,218 361 GAPTOT 85,295 -10.378 "0,008 -0,603 8,585 10,654 14,969 20,76t 19,288 23,252 554 EXPTOT 7,860 8,185 t,Sa0 7,039 7,274 7,703 7,067 7.60b 7.739 8,175 690 SURPLR n.032 -35,825 75,961 20.527 -1,696 -28,961 -0,511 2,533 -1,303 -23,326 695 WOPcRS 2,635 2,541 2,279 2,552 2,516 2,095 2,460 2.474 2,477 2,466 267 INLABS -8,330 -1,905 5,160 6.070 3,070 -1,591 .1,385 -3,591 -8,221 "t2,037 393 GININD 0,991 0,149 0,769 0,841 0,719 0,592 0,510 0,34l 0,236 0,048 429 INMSTR -1,93; 20,791 -13,597 35,538 -0,237 13,620 5,168 10,010 10,103 8,A71 COMMITMENTS 3e COnMDA 920,000 1050,000 1197,000 1364,580 1555,b21 1773,408 2021,685 2304,721 2627,382 2995,216 40 COmNAG 111C,00A 12Co0000 1296,00n l399,600 1511,654 1632,587 1763,190 1904,249 2056,589 2221,116 45 COCCR 1600.000 1880,000 2162,000 2486,000 2859,0no 3288,000 3781,000 4348,000 5000,000 5750,000 46 COMEX" 1150,000 1500,000 1725,000 1983,750 2281.312 2623,509 3J17,036 3469,591 3590,030 4588,534 50 Cr)MnAG 380,000 a20.000 462,000 508,200 559,020 614,922 u76,41u 744,056 818.461 900,307 48 COPPGV 1150,000 150O,000 1725,000 1983,750 2281,312 2623,509 3017,036 3069,591 3990,030 4588,534 60 COrGRT 100,000 150,000 165,000 181,500 199,650 219,b6S 241,577 265,734 292.308 321,538 107 COMPIIR 6450,000 77no,000 873?o000 9907,060 11247,571 12775,551 14517,941 16505,903 18774,800 21365,246 175 COM, 0,000 o,oo 0,000 O.onn ° 4000 0,000 0,000 O,Oon 0,000 0,000 162 COMTOCT 6450,000 7700,000 8732,ooo 990r7460 11247,571 12775,551 14517,941 16505,943 18774,800 21365,246 DETAIL nON ASSIATANCE FLO-S mILLIONS OF DOLLARS AT CURPETN PRICES ,--------------.---.---------------.---- ----.- -----;--------.--.- 73 D8FnOA 636,700 712,000 601,610 907,0a7 1030,264 1172,749 1336,124 1523,085 1736,389 1979,484 11 A'Tn0A -12,086 -25,517 '40,660 -57,567 -76,619 -97,880 -121,740 -1B8,941 -179,901 -215,389 128 NETODA 624,610 686,483 7bo6950 8a9,080 953,645 1074,869 1214,380 1374,144 1556,488 1764,094 21 INTnOA -80,106 .98,704 11q,226 -101,929 -167,27: -195,723 -227,791 -264,020 -305,010 -351,444 143 NTRrTDA 500,508 587,739 641,724 707,551 786,373 879,146 986,589 1110,124 1251,475 1412,650 77 D8NmAG 8b5,800 934,700 1009,380 1089,970 1177.108 1271,529 1373,419 1483.256 1601,989 1730,148 14 AMTMAG -116,146 -151,757 -192,328 "238.600 -291,380 -351,231 019,080 -095,808 -582,420 -680,045 132 NET-AG 7U9,654 782,943 817,052 851,370 885,728 020,298 950,339 987,009 1l9,565 1050,100 Z INT'AG -30,1813 -371,094 -437,500 -506,400 -578,083 -b52,5: -729,869 *809,9<, -892,60', "977,842 107 NTPRA( 441,471 411,94Q 379,$0A 3L4,970 307.645 267,727 220,07e 177,539 126,962 72,262 82 DRhCCR 1u00,o0o 1662,r.r 1936,800 2235,200 2970,uoo 295b,000 3399,400 3909,2" 4s95,0oo 5169,600 15 A"TCC%; -u4.,071 -S92i752 -780,121 -1011,342 -1261,929 -1536,966 -1818,755 -2121,2.1 -2u5u,805 -2830,300 133 NFTCCP Q55,929 f6h4,2.8 1152,679 1223.858 13n8,471 1019,434 1580,64s 1787,9SQ 'o4n.595 2339,300 280 INTOCf3 11.847 12.532 13,206 13.691 2807 NETICO l1910 12,812 13,297 13.7qB 30b IWTOCU 17.293 16.300 1q,443 20.468 297 &OPDEF 4.,93 5.015 5,-443 5,945 356 GNPOIL 3,q95 a.030 3,995 4,016 30a CLI L,691 U,956 5,366 5,857 504 0.b25 1.059 1.091 2.220 535 GSAVCJ 18.97 i9.112 20,305 21,716 327 1S7VCJ S7.57 18,572 l,572 20.096 536 CSAVC!J 15.026 15,630 16,415 16,894 301 D0.4SCJ 17.762 t8.742 19.830 20,806 303 FO9SCU 0,b83 0,719 1,085 1,664 305 TOTRCU 17.2q3 18,300 19,403 20,068 301 GTPTOT 21,202 30.308 36,132 39,767 550 EXPTOT 8,780 8.99q 9,261 9,169 690 SURPLB .20,b4i 0,361 1,936 0,118 695 SUORLRS 206ba Z.468 2,478 2,492 267 INOKAS .19.63a .30,055 -53,414 .136.b62 3463 GINIAD .0.16 -0,359 .0,580 .1,010 429 INNSTR 9,159 9,067 8,477 10,792 COM41ITAENTS 36 CM;D;;A 34145S46 3892,582 4037,544 5058.800 40 CO, AG 2398.80b 2590,710 2797,967 3021,604 45 COmCCG 661.500 7604,375 8745,031 10056,786 46 COMECC 6276.81 6068,337 6978.587 802S5.375 50 CO,400V 990,338 1oR9.372 1198,309 1318.10 08 COMsGV S276,814 6068.337 6978.587 8025,375 60 COmGVT 353,692 389,061 427.968 470,764 107 COMP9-R 20323,511 27702.774 31563,993 35977005 15CN0,000 0,000 0,000 0.000 175 COM O 0 ,o ,o ,o 1A2 COMTOT 24323,511 27702.774 31563.993 35977,045 DETAIL ON ASSIATA14CE FLO,S ,ILLIONS OF DOLLARS AT CURRETN PRICES .--..-..--..-. .... ......-- --,..---.-..........-..-- 73 W3NnD0 2256.611 2572.537 2932,692 33a3,269 It AMTODA -256.196 -303.039 .356,770 -018.367 128 NETODA 2000,415 2269.498 2575922 2920,902 21 INTOD' -4o,063 4063,727 .531,412 -608,231 143 NTRfDA 1596.352 1805,771 204a,510 2316.671 77 oDSBNAG 1868.560 2018.045 2i479,U88 2353.807 10 AMT^AG .78S,905 .913.367 -992.969 -1070.788 132 NETmAG lQ78.655 l5o4.,78 1186,519 1279,059 20 INTmAG -1065.a09 -iISS.,93 -1208.298 -1308,274 147 NTR'AG 13,186 -su,1s -6t,779 -69,215 82 OBNCCR Su5,000 683h.750 7862,262 9041,bO? 15 AqTCCR -3254,767 -3742.8Q5 .0304,296 -0909.883 133 NETCC9 2690.233 3093,855 3557.967 "091,71Q PAGE 37f 25 INTCCN 0,000 ,OOo "8,280 "23,888 -38,430 -52,:12 -70,79q 98,7L1 -140,862 -198,907 S48 NTRCCR 0,000 92,000 159,720 145,268 119,916 160,406 245,222 378,648 516,901 609,118 83 08NFX' O0noo 52,500 167,500 265,000 285,500 276,500 307,500 371.000 462,000 593,000 16 AMTEI;"4 n,noo n.0f)0 00000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 -59,470 -115,297 -167,183 134 rJETFXM 0,00( 52,500 167,500 265,000 285,500 276.500 307,500 311,530 346,703 425,817 26 INTFXM 0.000 0,0(0 -4,200 -17,600 '38,800 -61.640 -83,760 -107,194 -131,022 '157,741 149 tTRFXv o,ono 52,500 163,300 247.400 246,700 214,860 223,740 204,336 215,682 268,076 87 DBN3GV o,n00 22,500 63,000 108,500 151,50o 191,000 211,000 232,500 256,500 283,000 20 A'ITOGV O,OO0 0,000 0,000 -I1,809 -23,5so -38,313 -55,189 -74,274 -95,668 -120,198 136 NETnGV O,oo0 R2,500 63,00n 97,691 127,950 152,b67 155,811 158,226 160,832 162,802 30 INTOGv o,ooo 0,000 -1,013 '.,149 -8,797 -14,745 '.21,563 -28,497 -35,515 -42,642 151 NTRnGV 0,000 22,500 61,988 93,5u2 119,152 137,942 134,248 129,729 125,317 120,160 85 DBNQGV 0,000 140,000 2o0o0o0 290,000 2b8,000 290,000 346b000 426.000 500,000 708,000 18 AMTPGV 0,000 G,000 0,000 -SS,863 .110,059 -162,400 -223,809 -301,820 -304,355 -336,t768 135 NETPGV 0,000 140,000 26n0000 234,137 157,9al 127,600 122 151 124,180 235,645 371,232 28 INToGv o,o00 0,00o '15400 -04,430 -68,460 -84,157 -96,659 -108,338 -122,315 '147,919 SO NTRPGV 0,000 14n,000 240,60n 189,708 89,482 43,043 25,492 15,842 113,330 223,313 97 BN'GRT 0,000 I,Soo A.300 19,900 33,500 47,600 80,900 73,900 86.300 96,300 122 UBTPUb 0,000 3340bO0 809,300 1211,500 1491,600 1843,100 2280,100 2838,200 3488,300 4202,400 1I7 A'TPt! 0,000 0,000 0,000 -91,515 -181,263 '272,195 -398,589 -625,139 -801,804 -1049,222 137 NETPU8 0,000 334,600 809,300 1119,985 1310,337 1570,905 1881,511 2213,061 2686,496 3153,178 142 0,000 0,000 3o,5o1 -100,482 '185,645 277,908 -386,064 -513.903 -667,107 -857,856 152 NTRPUB 0,000 334,600 77a,8oo 1019,502 1124.693 1292,997 1495,447 1699,158 2019,308 2295,322 169 DBX 618,600 703,400 371,200 287,000 217,700 158,700 113,200 57,800 37,100 20,000 170 AMT -138,700 -298,300 '271,300 241,400 '220,600 -208,700 :227 000 235,000 -253,000 -369,400 172 NET 479,900 405,100 99,900 45,600 -2,900 -50,000 -113800 -177,200 -215,900 we349 400 171 INT -79,800 -129,500 -124,300 -122,400 -120,ooo -118,400 -121,000 -118,400 -113,900 -109,400 173 NTR 400,100 275,600 -2a,400 -76.800 -122,900 -168,400 -234,800 -295,6oo -329,800 -458,800 17b DBTTOT 618,600 1038,000 118n0500 1498,500 1709,300 2001,800 2393,300 2896,000 3525,400 4222,400 177 AmTTOT -138,70n -298,300 -271,300 -332,915 401,863 -480,895 -625#589 -860,139 -1054,804 -1418,622 179 NETTOT 479,900 739,700 909,200 1165,585 1307,437 1520,905 1767,711 2035,861 2470,596 2803,778 178 INTTOT -79,800 -129,500 -150,801 -222,882 '305,645 -396,308 -507,064 -632,303 -781,087 -967,256 180 NTRTOT uoo0lOn lOn.200 754,400 942,702 1001,793 1124,597 1260,647 1403,558 1689,508 1836,522 DEST OUTSTANDING AND OIS8URSED END YEAR MILLIONS OF CURRENT DOLLARS .-----.-,----- -----.----.----.---------.--.------------.---------*-- 158 DODOOA 0,000 11,100 71,200 210,400 436,000 745,200 1127,900 1580,600 2100.000 2673,200 162 0OD)AG 0,oon 15,000 97,400 292,300 613,800 1058,600 1595,033 2210,158 2890,010 3605,.12 163 DODCCR o.00 92,000 260,000 429,156 587,502 800,020 1116,036 1593,U35 2251,198 3059,223 164 'O'FXM 0,000 52,530 220,000 085,000 770,500 1047,000 1354,500 1666,030 2012,734 2438,551 166 OOOr1GV 0,000 22,500 85,500 183,191 311,141 463,828 619,839 777,865 938,697 1101,499 165 DODPGV 0,000 10.000 400,00t 630,137 792,079 919,679 1041,830 1166,010 1401,656 '772,887 168 DODGRT ,(000 1,500 9,800 29,700 63,200 110,800 171,700 245,800 331,9r, 428,200 167 DODOPUB 0,000 323,500 1072,700 2053,485 3138,222 4399,927 5898,738 7659,099 9826.,95 120o6,173 174 DOD 5409,500 5813,400 5913,300 5958,900 595b,000 5906,000 5792,000 5615,000 5399,000 5049,700 181 OODTOT 5409,500 6116,90n 6986.000 8012,385 9094,222 10305,927 11690,738 13274,099 15225,195 17455,873 AVE9AGE LnAN TE'(S A%i) GRANT ELEMENT I MAT. 0,000 15,559 16,474 17.306 17.12u 1o,477 15,867 15,077 14,502 13,985 25 INTCCR .270,508 *354.395 .447,541 -547,543 -653,a45 -766,622 -889,840 -1027,372 -1183,167 -1361,109 106 NTRCCR 685,421 714,852 705,138 676,315 655,027 652,812 690,805 760,587 857,428 978,190 83 DBNEXM 779,500 1029,500 1316,750 1598,812 18o5,259 2145,048 2066,806 2836,82b 3262,350 3751,703 16 AMTEXm -22b.702 -301,272 -305,792 -340,247 -415,577 -529,404 -685,000 -895,165 -1135,555 .14001798 134 NETEYM 552.798 728.228 lo1n.958 1258.565 1449,683 1615,645 1781,801 1941,661 2126,795 2349,904 26 INTEX' -190,639 -233,401 -291.570 -371,771 0470.979 -584,722 -710,923 ,849,346 -999.965 *1168,889 149 NTRFXM 362,159 494,827 719,388 886,794 978,703 1030,922 1070,879 1092,315 1126,830 1185,016 87 D8NoGV 313,00n 307,000 383,800 423,730 467,403 514,Y43 565,888 622,076 684,724 753,196 20 AMTOGV -148,006 -179.240 -210,779 -254,817 -282,069 -311,539 -303,661 -378,921 -417,866 -461,105 136 NETOGV 164,994 167,760 lbQ021 168,913 185,334 202,904 222,227 243,555 266,858 292,091 30 INTIGV 049,845 -57,120 -64,509 -71,923 '79,496 -87,800 96,891 -106,849 "117,760 -129,711 151 NTROGV 115,150 110,635 104,512 96,990 105,838 115,104 125,336 136,707 149.098 162,381 85 DBNPGV 938,000 1234.000 1520,000 1783,500 2051,025 2358,679 2712,481 3119,353 3587,256 4125,344 18 AMTPGV -4to0418 -522,053 -670,638 -881,247 -1119,5e6 .1385,838 -1669,397 -1963,284 -2257,777 -2596,4Y3 13S NETPGV 527,582 711,907 845,362 902,253 931,169 972,801 1043,084 1156,068 1329,479 1528,901 28 INTPGV -187,608 -243,860 -319,635 -409,020 "503,119 -599,852 -700,912 -809,668 -931,118 .1070,785 150 rjTRPGV 339,974 468,082 525,727 493,233 428,050 372,989 342,172 346,401 398,361 458,115 97 DBNGRT 106,300 116,300 126,050 137,295 149,365 163,003 178,477 195,785 2i5,123 236,636 122 DOTPUB 5039,300 6035500 7094,790 8175,555 93 0,844 10581,491 12032,594 13689,982 15583,231 17746,111 127 AMYPUB 1357,426 '1772,592 -2212 318 -2783 821 -3447,430 -4212,458 -5057,640 *6003,360 -7028,327 -8185 081 137 NETPU8 3681,872 4262,908 0882,472 5391,734 5863,414 6369,033 6974?954 7686,622 85540905 9qs61030 142 -*o&6,589 '1359,023 -1680,026 .2046,S86 -2452,3904 -287,289 .3356,225 -3667,164 .4429,627 505S,779 192 NTtPUB 2540,943 2903,86S 3202,446 33433140 3411,020 3481,743 3618,728 3819,457 4125,278 450S,250 109 oDX 5,300 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 170 AMT -2740200 -280,2Q0 -276,700 -272,700 -267,500 -262,700 :2406200 -242,600 '262,100 -252,000 172 NET -268,900 -280,200 -276,700 -272,700 '267,500 -262,700 246,200 -242,600 -262,100 .252,000 171 INT -103,700 -110,700 -103,200 -95,900 -88,900 -82,000 -75,600 -70,100 -75,600 .70,200 173 NTR -372,600 -390,900 379,900 -368,600 '356,400 -344,700 -321,800 -312,700 -337,700 '322,200 176 D6TTOT 5004,600 6035,500 7094,790 8175,555 9310,844 10581,491 12032,594 13689,982 15583,231 17746,111 177 AMTTOT -1631,628 -2052,792 -2089,018 -3056,521 -3714,930 -4075,158 -5303,040 -6245,960 -7290,427 -8437,081 179 NETTOT 3412,972 3982,708 4605,772 5119,034 5595,914 6106,333 6728,754 7444,022 8292B80s 9309,030 178 rNTTOT 1190,589 -1469,723 e1783,226 2144,486 -2501,294 -2969,289 -3431,825 -3937,260 *4505,227 -5125,979 180 NTRTOT 2222,383 2512.985 282s.5a6 2974,548 305,4620 3137,043 3296,928 3506,757 3787,578 4183,050 DEBT OUTSTANDING AND DIrSURSED END YEAR MILLIONS OF CURRENT DOLLARS ---....................... -............................ 156 DODOD' 3297,81t 3980,298 474S.248 5594,728 6S48,373 7623,241 8837,622 10211,766 11768,254 13532,348 162 DODmAG 4355,466 5138,409 5955,461 6806,831 7692,559 8612,857 9567,195 10554,644 11574,209 12624,313 163 DODCCQ 4015.152 50840400 6237,079 7460,937 8769,008 10188,842 11769,087 13557,406 15598,041 17937,341 164 DoDEXm 2991,349 3719,577 4730o,35 5989,100 7438,783 90540428 10836,229 12777,890 14904,685 17254,590 166 DODoGV 1266,490 1434.253 1603,274 1772,187 1957,521 Z160,425 2382,652 2626,207 2893,066 3185,157 165 DODPGV 2300,469 3012,416 3857,777 4760,030 5691,199 6664,039 7707,123 8863,192 10192,671 11721,S71 168 DODGIRT 534500 650,800 777,250 9140545 1063,930 1226,972 1405,450 1601,235 1816,3s8 2052,994 167 DODPUB 15463,030 19039,854 23161,376 27703,630 32613,399 37907,563 43668,136 49980,61a 56979,031 64775,966 174 DOD 0780,700 a500.600 4224,000 3951,000 3680,000 3421,000 3175,000 0,000 0,000 2933,000 181 DODTOT 20244.130 235400,54 27385,376 31650,630 36297,399 41328,563 46843,136 49980,614 56979,031 67708,966 AVERAGE LoAN TERMS AND GRANT ELEMENT 1 M0-A-,1-3-,--9--1-,1-6-1--7--1-120 IiI13.559 13.189 13.105 13.023 12.9u? 12,863 12.787 12.712 12.640 12,569 25 INTCCR -1565,240 -179q,995 -2069,969 -2380,4u4 148 NTRCCR 1124,994 1293,860 1487,998 1711.276 83 D8NEXN 4310.058 0961.627 5705.871 6561,752 16 AM'TEN1 -Ib8u0994 -1979,019 -2275,872 -2617,253 134 NETFX4 2629,464 2982.608 3429,999 39440,99 26 INTEXm -13Q7,328 '1551,920 -178o,708 -2052,414 149 NTRFX' 1282,136 130.688 164S,291 1892.085 87 DOBnGV 828,51b Q11,368 1002,504 4102,755 20 ANTnGv -5081047 -559,700 -b16.560 *678,0a1 136 NETOGV 320,369 351,667 385,944 424,310 30 INTnGV -142,797 -157.151 -172.907 -190,205 151 NTRnGV 177,572 194,tb16 213,037 230,109 85 D8NPGV 4744,145 5455,767 6274,132 7215,252 18 AmTpGV -2985,910 -3433,796 -394A,866 -0501,1 135 NEToGV 1758,236 2021,971 2325.267 2670,057 28 INTQGv -1231,403 -0b16,110 -l62P,53l -1872,'10 150 NTRPGV 52b,833 bn5,857 696,736 801,24b 97 DBNGRT 260,299 286,329 314.962 306,458 122 DBTPUO 20217,590 23042,423 26271,913 29964,936 127 A4TPUB -9479,919 -10931,817 -12495,333 '14279,927 137 NETPUB 10737,672 12110,60b 13776.580 15685,009 142 '5756,300 -6544,200 -7435,825 -8452,379 152 NTRPUB a981.372 5s66,407 6340,756 7232,630 169 DBX 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 170 ANT -247,500 0,000 0,000 0,000 172 NET .207,500 0o000 0,000 0,000 171 INT -65,2n1 0,000 o,000 0o000 173 NTR -312,700 0,000 n,000 0,000 176 DBTTOT 20217,590 23002,423 26271,913 29964,936 177 A'4TTOT -9727,U19 -10931.817 -12495,333 =14279,927 179 NETTOT 10490,172 12110,606 13776,580 15685,009 178 14TTOT -58215soo -65u00200 -7435,825 -8452,379 180 NTRTOT 4668,672 5566,407 63S0,756 7232,630 DEBT OUTSTANDING AND DISBURSED ,O YEAR mILLIJNS OF CURRENT DOLLARS --------------------w--------- ------------------------w----- 158 DO)noDA 15532v763 17802,262 20378,183 23303,086 162 DOOMAG 13702,969 140h7,646 1599u,165 17273,224 163 DODCCR 20627,574 23721,029 27279,396 31371,115 160 DOOEY' 19884,053 22866.b62 26296.661 30241,160 166 DODnGV 3505,52b 3857,193 4243,138 4667.451 165 DODPGV 13479,807 15501,778 17827,045 20501,101 168 DODGRT 2313,293 2599,623 29a1585 3261,043 167 DODPUB 73513,223 83354,331 9u550,989 107315,095 174 DOD 2670.00n 2018.000 n,000 4,0o0 181 DODIOT 76183,223 R5772,331 9u55b,989 107315,095 AVERAGE LOAN TERMS AND GRANT ELEMFt-T --A-1,5---00 --------1----238---1, I MAT. 12.500 12.433 )?,368 12,30U PAGE 40 2 INT; 0,000 0,076 0,074 0,072 0,072 0,073 0,075 0,076 0.077 0,079 3 GRACE 0,000 4,815 4,9S9 5,077 5,014 4,855 4,707 4,505 4,395 4,323 4 CR.F.L. 0,000 15,727 17,079 15,440 18:220 17,190 16,222 15,021 14,180 13,410 ,S (t, 0,000 15,339 16,612 17,904 17,667 16,661 15,720 14,564 13,765 13,03D CO) GAANT ELEMENT, GRANTS EXCLUOED U3oAnl3X3 SlNV8 'IN3wll3 1NV8S (t) S9l 999'tt LiLlI L9L'Tt 9t8iti S98'1t E16'11 09611 9oo'ZI ten'21 (1) s 9hB'tt 506'11 f7s6'Tt EZ0'21 190'21 6EI'21 961T'ZT vw5ele iloi'z t729'el 13A9 t7 sgtb 26t'17 Io)&f7 LO'f7 STZti 222't? OW' L Oii st7Stvn LLe'V 3318T E t0o0 [80'O 1800o 190'0 T0oO t90'u o06e 09go 'O0 6L400 iNI 2 TiT 59 a3OflZ2i BINYN5 'IN3MIII LNYUt t ) LOI b tit 'l tt C) S L09 999'1I 9L tI 9OL X llab 290 0 Zo9Q 190a0 ;V0N 0 a APPENDIX VII BIBLIOGRAPHY 1. Aghevli, B., An Economic Model of the Money Sector for Indonesia, (IMF Documents, 1975). 2. Amartya, Sen. On Economic Inequal4ty; Oxford University, 1972. 3. BAPPENAS. An Econometric Model for the Indonesian Economy. By a team of Experts from International Christian University headed by Professor Fukuchi, 1973. 4. Chenery, H. B. and others. Redistribution with Growth. 5. Esmara, David. Regional Income in Indonesia, 1968-1972. 6. IBRD. Investment and Growth Perspectives in the 1970s. Indonesia, EAP-22, 1972. 7. IBRD. Indonesia: Development Prospects and Needs, Basic Economic Report No. 708-IND, April 15, 1975. 8. Kakwani, N. . On the Estimation of Engel Elasticities from Grouped Observations with Application to Indonesian Data. IBRD. July 2C,1975. 9. Lopes, F. L. Inequality Planning in the Developing Economy; Ph.D. thesis, Harvard University, 1972. 10. Paukert, F. Redistribution of Income Patterns of Consumption and Employment (A Case Study for the Philippines), ILO Working Paper, 1974. 11. Sundaram, S. Money Supply and Prices in Indonesia, 1961-1970; Australia National University.