The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) SOUTH ASIA | India | Urban, Resilience and Land Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 12 | ARCHIVED on 26-May-2021 | ISR46242 | Implementing Agencies: Department of Economic Affairs, Maharashtra: Department of Relief and Rehabilitation, West Bengal: Department of Disaster Management, Gujarat: Gujarat State Disaster Management Authority, Kerala: Department of Revenue and Disaster Management, Karnataka: Department of Revenue and Disaster Management, Goa: Water Resources Department, National Disaster Management Agency Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 28-May-2015 Effectiveness Date: 09-Nov-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 17-Sep-2018 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 04-Jun-2018 Original Closing Date: 15-Mar-2021 Revised Closing Date: 15-Sep-2022 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective is to reduce vulnerability to cyclone and other hydro-meteorological hazards of coastal communities in project States, and increase the capacity of the State entities to effectively plan for and respond to disasters. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Early Warning Dissemination Systems:(Cost $17.77 M) Cyclone Risk Mitigation Infrastructure:(Cost $181.18 M) Technical Assistance for Multi-Hazard Risk Management:(Cost $13.33 M) Project Management and Implementation Support:(Cost $16.12 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions Status of Investment Activities:  Component A - Early Warning Dissemination Systems: Three states (Goa, Karnataka, Kerala) have initiated the works. Works in the remaining three states (Gujarat, Maharashtra, West Bengal) were removed from the project scope as part of the February 2021 Project Restructuring, as they could not feasibly be completed within the project lifetime. 5/26/2021 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726)  Component B – Cyclone Risk Mitigation Structure: [Multi-purpose Cyclone Shelters (MPCSs)] 190 MPCSs have been completed and 72 are under construction. For completed and nearly completed MPCSs, formulating Cyclone Shelter Management and Maintenance Committees (CSMMCs), handing over MPCSs to CSMMCs, preparing standard operating procedures including maintenance plans, and setting up Corpus Fund requires continued attention. [Roads] Road works have been carried out in two states: Gujarat and Karnataka. In Gujarat, all planned 43 roads are completed. However, there are packages that require rectifications for deficiencies detected. Completion certificates need to be issued for those fully completed packages without further rectification needs. In Karnataka, total 47 Km length was reported to be completed. [Bridges] 2 bridges are under construction in Karnataka. [Saline Embankments] One saline embankment package in Karnataka and two in Maharashtra have been awarded and works have started. [Under Ground Cabling] UGC works in Goa (1 package), Maharashtra (3 packages) and West Bengal (1 package) are ongoing.  Component C - Technical Assistance for Multi-Hazard Risk Management: Planned activities have been advanced including the Hazard Risk & Vulnerability Assessment, Benefit Monitoring & Evaluation, and designing of the National Seismic Risk Mitigation Program, Hydro Meteorological Resilience Action Plan. The bid for the Comprehensive Multi-hazard Risk Financing Strategy (CMhRFS) is pending award. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Substantial Substantial Substantial Other -- Substantial Substantial Overall Moderate Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Reduce vulnerability to cyclone and hydro-meterological hazards of coastal communities IN00978514 5/26/2021 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) ►Proportion of the targeted coastal population covered by the EWDS (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 25.00 25.00 75.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 State-level EWDS works are starting in three States, and have been dropped from the remaining three. Coverage of population by state-level EWDS will be counted upon completion of works. Meanwhile, the deployment of the web dynamic composite risk atlas and decision support system (DCRA-DSS) at IMD Comments: developed under Component C of the NCRMP II has enhanced access to precise and timely early warning and forecasts to the targeted coastal population. 25% of the targeted population has gained coverage under the NCRMP II work on these national EWD systems. IN00978626 ►Proportion of vulnerable coastal population with access to emergency shelters (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 47.00 49.00 30.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 Construction of MPCS and Access Roads to Shelters is underway (except in Maharashtra where this investment has been dropped).190 MPCSs have been completed and 72 are under construction. For completed and nearly completed shelters, efforts are in progress for formation of Cyclone Shelter Management Committee (CSMMC), development of Shelter Management Guidelines, handing over of Comments: MPCSs to CSMMCs, procurement of shelter equipment and establishing Corpus Fund. At the time of appraisal, 500,000 people were identified for enabling access to multi-purpose cyclone and flood shelters; given that access to 246,900 people (49% of 500,000 people) have been secured the access through the completed 190 shelters, this number is reported as 49% as of April 2021. Increase State capacity to efectively plan and respond to disaster events IN00978515 ►Results of the vulnerability assessment presented to officials of NDMA for investment planning (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 Multi-hazard risk modelling and assessment for all coastal states and UT is under progress and has been presented to the NDMA at different stages of preparation, testing and operationalization during recent Comments: cyclones. Improvements to this system are underway through repeated testing during cyclones. IN00978627 ►Results of the comprehensive multi-hazard risk financing strategy for policy making (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 Comments: Procurement of the consultant, though in advanced stages, is ongoing. 5/26/2021 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Early Warning Dissemination Systems IN00978628 ►Number of R-PACS (Remote Public Alarm & Communication System) installed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 750.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 Works are starting in three states and will be dropped from remaining three. Comments: Cyclone Risk Mitigation Infrastructure IN00978629 ►Number of multi-purpose cyclone and flood shelters completed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 176.00 190.00 340.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 190 MPCSs have been completed and 72 are under construction. Comments: IN00978632 Number of people with access to multi-purpose cyclone and flood shelters built or rehabilitated under the Project (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 235,800.00 246,900.00 500,000.00 IN00978633 ►Roads rehabilitated, Rural (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 175.00 205.00 310.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 Road works have been carried out in two states: Gujarat and Karnataka. In Gujarat, all planned 43 roads in total 156.66km are completed, yet it requires close attention for rectification of construction defects. In Comments: Karnataka, total 45.16 Km length was reported to be completed. IN00978635 ►Number of bridges completed under the project (Number, Custom) 5/26/2021 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 2 bridges are under construction in Karnataka. Comments: IN00978637 ►Kilometers of embankments rehabilitated under the Project (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Date 18-Mar-2016 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 Out of 3 planned embankment, one in Karnataka and two in Maharashtra are awarded, for a total of 35.86 Comments: planned kilometers. The third saline embankment in Mahrashtra has been dropped. IN00978639 Square kilometers protected by embankments rehabilitated by the Project (Square kilometer(km2), Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,600.00 IN00978640 ►Kilometers of HT and LT lines moved undergroud (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 199.60 199.60 280.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 UGC works in Goa (1 package), Maharashtra (3 packages) and West Bengal (1 package) are ongoing, Comments: while the UGC works in Gujarat have been dropped as a part of the cancellation exercise. Technical Assistance for Multi-Hazard Risk Management IN00978630 ►Multi-hazard risk assessment for selected areas completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 Multi-hazard risk modelling and assessment for all coastal states and UT are advanced and presented to relevant government officials, while undergoing improvements through the experience of being tested Comments: during cyclone events. IN00978631 ►Physical structural assessment of lifeline infrastructure completed (Yes/No, Custom) 5/26/2021 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 This activity is being carried out as part of a study: the Design of the National Seismic Risk Mitigation Comments: Program under Component C (Sub Component C5). IN00978634 ►Probabilistic risk model for selected areas completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 Multi-hazard risk modelling and assessment for all coastal states and UT are advanced and presented to relevant government officials, while undergoing improvements through the experience of being tested Comments: during cyclone events. IN00978636 ►Hydro-meteorological Resilience Action Plans completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 15-Dec-2014 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 IN00978638 ►Number of training modules on disaster damage assessment implemented (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 14.00 14.00 8.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2020 18-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 Under the COVID-19 impact, Kerala started to use online training. Kerala SPIU will share the online Comments: training contents with other states for their possible consideration of similar approach. Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P144726 IDA-56930 Effective USD 308.40 228.40 80.00 133.80 94.60 59% 5/26/2021 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P144726 IDA-56930 Effective 28-May-2015 11-Aug-2015 09-Nov-2015 15-Mar-2021 15-Sep-2022 Cumulative Disbursements PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 16-Feb-2021 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 5/26/2021 Page 7 of 7