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Photograph: World Bank Flickr Page (http://www.flickr.com/photos/worldbank) SOUTH ASIA WATER INITIATVE FINAL REPORT 2009 – 2013 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 ABBREVIATIONS ADD Abu Dhabi Dialogue ADDKF Abu Dhabi Dialogue Knowledge Forum AWARD Afghanistan Water Resources Development AusAID Australian Agency for International Development DFID Department for International Development (United Kingdom) FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations GW gigawatt GWM Ganges Water Machine ICIMOD International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development IFC International Finance Corporation IIT Indian Institute of Technology NGO non-governmental organization NGRBA National Ganga River Basin Authority NLTA Non-Lending Technical Assistance PAC Pumping Along Canals RSI Responsible Sourcing Initiative SAWI South Asia Water Initiative SBA Strategic Basin Assessment Water PaCT Water Partnership for Cleaner Textiles WECS Water and Energy Commission Secretariat ZDHC Zero Discharge of Hazardous Chemicals i South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 FOREWORD The rivers of the Greater Himalayas are a vital resource for South Asia. They are critical for maintaining livelihoods and ecosystems and offer vast potential for producing food and clean energy. In coming decades, economic growth and population increase will increase water demand placing additional pressure on these already stressed rivers. Climate change will exacerbate this challenge. There is a growing realization that past and current hydrological patterns will no longer be a reliable guide for dealing with future hydro-climatic analyses. While bringing significant potential for conflict, these challenges also represent an opportunity to build a foundation for cooperation and joint management of transboundary rivers and their water resources. The South Asia Water Initiative (SAWI) has been designed to help meet these challenges. SAWI is a partnership between the World Bank and the governments of Australia, the United Kingdom and Norway. It aims to shift the focus from potential water resources conflicts to basin-scale cooperation amongst the seven countries sharing the Greater Himalayan rivers (Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, China, India, Nepal and Pakistan). The specific objective of SAWI is “to increase regional cooperation in the management of the Himalayan river systems to deliver sustainable, fair and inclusive development and climate resilience”. SAWI is thus structured to support countries improve and deepen transboundary dialogue, enhance the basin and water resources knowledge base, strengthen water institutions, and support investments that lead to sustainable, fair and inclusive development. Over the course of the past five years, there has been a small but encouraging shift in the willingness of the countries of South Asia to engage in discussion of regional integration generally, and specifically with regard to water. The region has witnessed an increasing demand from stakeholders for regional cooperation, driven by the growing sense that the path to prosperity, security and climate adaption must be through a more integrated approach. During this period SAWI has contributed to this momentum by generating new knowledge, facilitating multi-stakeholder dialogue and enabling innovative investments and institutional development. This final report for SAWI for the initial funding period of 2009 – 2013 summarizes the impacts and lessons from SAWI activities during this period. Building on this work SAWI will continue with new funding for the years ahead to help facilitate change, address transboundary water challenges, build resilience to climate change and forge partnerships among riparian countries. Herbert Acquay Sector Manager, Environment and Water Resources, South Asia ii South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 CONTENTS Abbreviations ......................................................................................................................................................... i Foreword ............................................................................................................................................................... ii Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................................... 1 1. Water Resources Challenges in South Asia ............................................................................................... 4 2. Niche Role and Achievements of SAWI .................................................................................................... 7 2.1 Generating New Knowledge .......................................................................................................................8 2.2 Facilitating Multi-stakeholder Dialogue ...................................................................................................10 2.3 Enabling Innovative Investments and Institutional Development ...........................................................11 3. Key Lessons Learned .............................................................................................................................. 13 Appendix A. Regional Activity Descriptions ......................................................................................................... 15 Appendix B. Basin and Landscape Activity Descriptions ....................................................................................... 23 Appendix C. National Activity Descriptions .......................................................................................................... 35 Appendix D. SAWI Outreach ................................................................................................................................ 47 Appendix E. SAWI Governance and Financials ..................................................................................................... 51 Boxes Box 1. Disaster Risk Management as an Opportunity for Cooperation ........................................................................4 Box 2. Rationale for World Bank Engagement ..............................................................................................................7 Tables Table 1.ADDKF Small Grants Program Projects. ..........................................................................................................19 Table 2. SAWI financial details. ...................................................................................................................................52 Table 3. SAWI allocations to individual activities. .......................................................................................................53 Figures Figure 1. Schematic Overview of the SAWI Portal.......................................................................................................48 Figure 2. Screenshot of SAWI Mapping Portal. ...........................................................................................................49 Figure 3. Location of SAWI within South Asia Region of World Bank. ........................................................................51 Figure 4. SAWI disbursements, allocations and total contributions for 2009 – 2013. ................................................52 iii South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The great rivers of South Asia – including the Indus, Ganges and Brahmaputra Rivers that traverse Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, China, India, Nepal and Pakistan – are critical to maintaining livelihoods and ecosystems and have vast potential for producing food and clean energy. However, sustainable management of these rivers faces considerable economic, social and environmental challenges. These river basins are home to hundreds of millions of people. The Ganges, for example, the most populous river basin in the world, has a population of over 650 million. The challenge of a large and growing population is compounded by high levels of poverty: more than 500 million people in South Asia live on less than US$1.25 a day and the poor are the most vulnerable to water-related stresses and shocks, including floods, droughts, storms, water pollution and waterborne diseases. Population growth, rapid urbanization and economic development continue to drive increasing water demand, and competing national interests, pollution and other environmental degradation, climate change and variability (including the poorly understood dynamics of Himalayan glaciers and of the strongly seasonal monsoonal climate) all compound the challenge of sustainable management. The cultural and social significance of these rivers to millions of people adds further complexity. Tackling these challenges requires a solid knowledge foundation. This in turn requires firstly long-term data sets and secondly a culture of sharing data, information and knowledge. Both these requirements are not consistently evident in the region. A robust understanding of the hydrological, economic and social dynamics of major river basins is challenging for any country, but is particularly difficult in a region where reliable hydrological data are scarce; where few studies have been undertaken of the complex physical, human and environmental interactions; where institutional capacity is low; and where cooperation and information exchange are limited. To attain the full, sustainable potential of the Himalayan rivers requires both national measures and increased cooperation amongst riparian countries at the basin-level. In the current political environment there has been little inclination until recently to begin to develop the basin-wide, multilateral agreements that could potentially bring significant benefits to individual countries and the entire region. The South Asia Water Initiative (SAWI) was conceptualized in 2007 to help address the above challenges and to assist riparian countries harness the potential of their shared water resources. In 2009 SAWI was formally established as a partnership between the World Bank and the governments of Australia, the United Kingdom and Norway. SAWI is a multi-donor trust fund financed by the three governments and administered by the World Bank. The objective of SAWI for 2009 – 2013 was to promote the goals of poverty reduction, economic growth, mitigation of and adaptation to climate change and water security through significant and measurable improvements in water resources management and development at the regional, international basin and national levels in South Asia. This final report documents the achievements of SAWI and the lessons learned. These have informed the strategic planning for continued investment in SAWI for the period 2013 – 2017. 1 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 During 2009 – 2013 SAWI was structured around three pillars or goals: • Generate new knowledge – build the knowledge base through basin-wide modeling, research on complex hydrological issues and development of decision-making tools. • Facilitate multi-stakeholder dialogues – create platforms for formal and informal dialogue across a diverse set of stakeholders (including government, private sector, opinion leaders, civil society and academics) to share information and start building partnerships. • Enable innovative investments and institutional development – enhance the capacity of national institutions, inform decision-making on investments in the water resources sector and lever investment using SAWI funds. Highlights of SAWI activities contributing to these goals include: Generate new knowledge • Ganges Strategic Basin Assessment – an evidence-based study of the Ganges basin that provided an integrated perspective on the major water resources planning. The study demonstrated the importance of focusing on “soft” approaches such as information and warning systems in addition to “hard” infrastructure solutions. • Bangladesh Hydromet Technical Study that provided insights on the needed improvements to Bangladesh’s hydro-meteorological and flood forecasting systems. • Building Knowledge and Capacity for Regional Management of the Sundarbans – cross-border studies in Bangladesh and India that provided important information on the economic and social value of ecosystem management in the fragile Sundarbans mangrove landscape. Facilitate multi-stakeholder dialogues • Abu Dhabi Dialogue (ADD). Flagship initiative launched in Abu Dhabi in 2006 prior to the formal commencement of SAWI. ADD facilitates high-level, multi-stakeholder dialogues on the shared risks and opportunities of the rivers of the Greater Himalayas. • Abu Dhabi Dialogue Knowledge Forum (ADDKF). Convened in 2008 to supplement the policy dimension of ADD, ADDKF is a broad, inclusive forum focusing on collaborative research, knowledge creation and information sharing in the Greater Himalayan region. ADDKF was supported by a Small Grants Program to facilitate collaboration between relevant knowledge institutions. • Bangladesh Responsible Sourcing Initiative (RSI) – facilitated multi-stakeholder dialogue to help identify low-cost, cleaner production practices with the potential to enhance factory productivity and reduce water use and pollution in the textile industry in Bangladesh. Enable innovative investments and institutional development • India: National Ganga River Basin Project. This World Bank flagship investment in India assists the government with a comprehensive cleanup and conservation program on the Ganges, particularly with regard to reduction of point-source pollution loads in urban areas. • Nepal: Water Resources and Climate Change Assistance – facilitated capacity-building activities for staff at Nepalese government agencies supported by establishment of a GIS-based water resources knowledge base. • Afghanistan: Institutional Capacity-Building for Water Resources Investment – enhancing capacity in the Afghan water ministry to identify and implement best-option investments. 2 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 An independent review of SAWI in 2012 confirmed that the complex long-term water resources challenges in South Asia can only be addressed through regional, transboundary action driven by a shared understanding of potential benefits, and acknowledged the significant contributions of SAWI towards these challenges. The review identified four ways to deliver greater impact: • Align the regional process more strongly with the overall SAWI goals in order to achieve greater results at the transboundary level. • More directly address the complex realities of the political economy of the region to allow SAWI to better contribute to regional policy and decision making on transboundary water resources management. • Consult a wider range of stakeholders (including civil society groups) and pursue gender equity in consultations, and involve all stakeholders in an open deliberative process. • Enhance the communication of research findings and knowledge to the broader public, particularly at the programmatic level, and including through a dedicated, interactive website. This guidance has been incorporated into the strategic planning and programmatic design for forthcoming phase of SAWI from 2013 – 2017, structured around five priority focus areas: Ganges basin, Indus basin, Brahmaputra basin, Sundarbans and regional cooperation. Future SAWI activities will put additional emphasis on ensuring local, national, regional and international dissemination of knowledge products, including through a website with data portals for individual basins. 3 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 1. WATER RESOURCES CHALLENGES IN SOUTH ASIA The rivers of the Greater Himalayas played a critical role in the well-being of early civilizations and they remain a vital resource for millions of people in South Asia. Driven by the South Asian monsoon, flows in the major Himalayan rivers are highly variable both within years (80– 90 percent of precipitation falls in just three months) and between years. The dynamics of the Himalayan glaciers are poorly understood and not adequately monitored, in spite of their enormous importance to river flows in the region. This is most prominent in the Indus basin, which receives about 40 percent of its annual flow from ice and snow melt. River sediment loads are additional key challenge. The annual sediment discharge of the Ganges- 1 Brahmaputra-Meghna river system is estimated at over 750 million metric tons. Natural disasters are frequent in South Asia and over 50 percent of South Asians (more than 750 million people) have been affected by at least one natural disaster in the past two decades (Box 1). Box 1. Disaster Risk Management as an Opportunity for Cooperation In recent years widespread flooding in South Asia has changed how countries view and approach disaster risk management. Fresh in the memory are television and newspaper reports of devastating 2010 Pakistan floods and the much-covered 2011 Thailand floods. In 2012 India received its first shock in early July when large areas of Assam were inundated by waters from the Brahmaputra. This tragedy resulted in nearly 100 deaths and over 2 million affected people.2 This calamity was unfortunately later followed by two additional large-scale flooding events in northeast India. At the same time, in Bangladesh, several hundred thousand people were stranded by heavy rains,3 while Bhutan, China and Nepal also faced inundation. In the monsoon season of 2013 flash flooding in Uttarakhand killed over 5000 and left tens of thousands homeless. While the focus in South Asia has been on flood prevention through large-scale development of dams and embankments, these tragedies have slowly shifted the countries’ thinking towards acceptance of flood management as more realistic and appropriate. Solutions such as real-time flood forecasting are being considered as a necessary intervention for which support is growing. This concept was further reflected in the sixth meeting of the Abu Dhabi Dialogue (December 2012), during which the participants highlighted the importance of transboundary collaboration on issues related to floods and disaster management across all the three main river basins – Brahmaputra, Ganges and Indus. 1 Rogers, Kimberly G., and Steven L. Goodbred, Jr. 2010. Sedimentation Patterns and Transport Pathways Linking River Mouth to Remote Depocenters in the Ganges-Brahmaputra Delta, Bangladesh. Dissertation. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Vanderbilt University. http://www.searchanddiscovery.com/documents/2010/50304rogers/ndx_rogers.pdf. 2 “Waters start to recede in Assam,” UPI, July 5, 2012; and “Northeast India floods kill 79, displace two million,” in Times of India, July 2, 2012. 3 “100 dead, 250,000 stranded in Bangladesh floods.” Reuters, June 28, 2012. 4 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 These hydrologic and geomorphic characteristics will change with climate change, further exacerbating the water resources and river management challenges. In 2011 the global risk firm Maplecroft listed Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India and Nepal amongst the world’s ten most climate-vulnerable countries. The Maplecroft 2013 Climate Vulnerability Index listed four of the world’s ten most vulnerable cities in South Asia. A wide range of climate change impacts are already being felt in the region, from accelerated glacier melt to sea level rise, and these are expected increase. South Asia has the world’s largest concentration of poor people, with over 500 million people living on less than US$1.25 a day. South Asia has the highest population density of any region in the world. This combination of high poverty and high population density, in a largely agrarian society undergoing rapid urbanization, makes it extremely difficult for communities to cope with hydrological and climate variability. As urban populations grow rapidly in the coming years, additional stress will be placed on many water systems that already fail to meet demand. Lacking the necessary economic and social means to effectively mitigate risk, it is the poor who are most vulnerable to water-related stresses and shocks including floods, droughts, water contamination and water-borne diseases. Women and children in particular suffer from floods and water shortages, as they tend to be the first affected and often the last to receive assistance, highlighting the important role of gender issues in water resources management. In South Asia, with about 70 percent rural population, agricultural water use efficiency is among the lowest in the world, and the sector represents over 80 percent of water consumption. In many regions groundwater resources are over-exploited and groundwater levels are falling rapidly as a result. In some areas falling groundwater levels are accompanied by geogenic pollution from arsenic and fluoride. Progress in increasing water use efficiency remains vey slow, and in the case of groundwater is impeded by subsidized electricity that encourages profligate pumping. In addition to vulnerable communities, the region is host to an extraordinary range of unique and fragile ecosystems that are being severely degraded by resource development and that will suffer further impacts from climate change. In many cases these ecosystem support livelihoods for the poorest, from the heights of the Himalayas to the Sundarbans in the Bay of Bengal (the world’s largest mangrove system). There is limited data and understanding of water-depending ecosystems in the region and almost no capacity to incorporate consideration of environmental water requirements into integrated water resources planning and management. A robust understanding of the hydrological, economic and social dynamics of major river basins is challenging for any country, but is particularly difficult in a region where reliable hydrological data are scarce, institutional capacity is low, and cooperation and information exchange are limited. To attain the full, sustainable potential of the Himalayan rivers a stronger knowledge base is required, as is increased cooperation among the countries and stakeholders that share them. At the national level water resources are well recognized to be key for economic development. The two largest countries that share the rivers of the Greater Himalayas, China and India, have released their new Five-Year Plans, which give a prominent place to water resources. Water use efficiency figures high on the agenda, with China th aiming to reduce its water intensity by 30 percent during the period of the 12 Five-Year Plan (2011–2015). As part of its National Water Mission, India hopes to achieve 20 percent higher efficiency in five years, albeit only for the industrial sector. The Indian plan also focuses on the mapping of water resources, especially groundwater and its management by communities. A new framework is envisaged, including a proposed national water framework law, a new groundwater law, the National Water Commission and water regulatory entities in each state. Sustainable 5 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 water resources development that is knowledge based, stakeholder led, financially sound and backed by adequate institutions seems to be a key driving force for continued economic growth. However, South Asia is characterized by a low level of economic cooperation between countries. It is one of the least integrated regions in the world, as measured by, for example, cross-border commerce, power trade, roads, railways, flight connections and financial systems. Less than 5 percent of the region’s trade is intraregional. World Bank research conservatively estimates that untapped trade potential between India and Pakistan alone is in the order of US$6–7 billion annually. Several lagging regions within the larger countries of Bangladesh, India and Pakistan are located in border areas where (amongst a host of challenges) they suffer from lack of cross-border market integration. The presence of very large, poor and climate-vulnerable communities in the region underscores the need for regional cooperation. Cooperation in water resources management could do much to mitigate vulnerabilities through enhanced protection and management of water resources, equitable distribution and timely disaster warnings and agricultural forecasts. It could also become a powerful entry point for wider regional integration. There is, however, limited cooperation at present in response to these regional challenges. The region has a long history of tension over transboundary rivers and lacks multi-lateral basin management mechanisms. Over the past 60 years several bilateral water treaties have been adopted, yet basin-wide or multilateral agreements are missing despite widespread understanding of the significant benefits they can bring. Development in the major transboundary river basins is largely incremental via national or sometimes bilateral projects, foregoing the significant benefits of basin-wide planning and management. Some bilateral treaties agreed by previous governments are now perceived as inequitable in their allocation of benefits, and at times, treaty 4 implementation has been difficult due to political instability, historical tensions and contested borders. Nonetheless the Indus Waters Treaty (1960) provides an example of stability in this challenging environment; it has remained in force through periods of significant political tension. Despite these challenges many South Asian countries have taken promising steps towards transboundary cooperation. The new Indian National Water Policy (2012) signals an intent to make most hydrological data publicly available. Similarly, China and India appear to play down differences over the development of hydropower 5 6 potential in the Brahmaputra basin , and Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal and Pakistan are developing grids to trade power to support economic growth. India and Pakistan have worked to smooth out differences over trade through enhanced partnerships. In September 2011, Bangladesh and India signed a memorandum of understanding to strengthen the joint management of the Sundarbans and develop a common and shared understanding on the impacts of climate change. 4 Salman, Salman M.A., and K. Uprety. 2002. Conflict and Cooperation on South Asia’s International Rivers. Washington, DC: World Bank (pages 119–122). 5 “China communicating with India on cross-border river issue.” Spokeswoman in People’s Daily, February 5, 2013. http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90883/8121615.html. 6 “Democracy + hydropower equals to New Nepal: PM.” Kathmandu Post, March 15, 2012. http://www.ekantipur.com/the-kathmandu-post/2012/03/14/top-story/democracyhydropower-equals-to-new- nepal-pm/232626.html. 6 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 2. NICHE ROLE AND ACHIEVEMENTS OF SAWI In the face of the complex challenges described above SAWI was conceptualized in 2007 to assist the riparian countries in harnessing the potential of these shared water resources. In 2009 SAWI was formally established as a partnership between the World Bank and the governments of Australia, the United Kingdom and Norway, with funding from the three governments to address specific knowledge gaps, enhance institutional capacity and prepare the ground for investments at the regional, basin and national levels. Details on SAWI governance and financing is in appendix E; the rationale for World Bank engagement is set out in Box 2. Box 2. Rationale for World Bank Engagement The history of the Indus Waters Treaty highlights the important role that the World Bank can play as a neutral institution. The World Bank’s capacity to deliver credible, policy-relevant analytical work, convene key stakeholders, and provide financing to implement cooperative actions make it an effective facilitator. Together with partners, the World Bank has worked to promote cooperative transboundary water management in many regions over the years: in the Indus, Mekong, Nile, Senegal, Niger and Danube river basins, the Baltic and Aral Seas, and the Guarani aquifer. The organization’s commitment to transboundary water resources management is reflected in its basin-focused Water Resources Management Policy (1993), Water Resources Sector Strategy (2003) and explicitly in its Operational Policy Projects on International Waterways, which requires riparian notification and advocates active engagement in the establishment of river basin institutions: “The Bank recognizes that the cooperation and goodwill of riparians is essential for the efficient use and protection of the waterway. Therefore, it attaches great importance to riparians making appropriate agreements or arrangements for these purposes for the entire waterway or any part thereof. The World Bank stands ready to assist riparians in achieving this end.” In its 2010 evaluation the Independent Evaluation Group of the World Bank noted the institution’s “long tradition of fostering transboundary cooperation around projects affecting international waterways.”7 The objective of SAWI during 2009 – 20013 was to promote the goals of poverty reduction, economic growth, mitigation of and adaptation to climate change, and water security through significant and measurable improvements in water resources management and development at the regional, international basin and national levels in South Asia. To deliver on its overall objective SAWI was structured around three pillars or goals that were recognized as the key foundation for transboundary water cooperation: • Generate new knowledge • Facilitate important multi-stakeholder dialogues • Enable significant innovative investments and institutional development 7 Independent Evaluation Group. 2010. Water and Development: An Evaluation of World Bank Support, 1997– 2007. Washington, DC: World Bank. http://publications.worldbank.org/index.php?main_page=product_info&cPath=0&products_id=23856. 7 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 The indicators used to measure SAWI achievements against its objective and goals were: • Cooperative regional processes and knowledge-based partnerships on the Himalayan river systems are established for major river basins and are consistent with water resources management best practices. • Regional strategic water resources plans are prepared and completed and consistent with water resources management best practices. • Policy notes, reports and memorandums of understanding on regional issues are prepared and adopted by the relevant authorities. • Regional trainings on international basin and institutional capacity building are provided to enhance trust and confidence and contribute to promotion of cooperation, coordination and knowledge sharing. • Comprehensive river basin management and development programs are supported by South Asian countries and prepared for specific priority basins. At least three projects are prepared on water resources at the national or international basin level with relevance to the regional cooperative agenda. Overall during 2009 – 2013 SAWI made good progress towards its results indicators, in that it: • supported the establishment of knowledge-based partnerships through the Abu Dhabi Dialogue Knowledge Forum (ADDKF) and other SAWI-funded knowledge activities on regional issues (indicators 1 and 3); • made important steps toward indicators 2 and 5 in the work of the Ganges Strategic Basin Assessment. However, the complex national and regional dynamics did not show enough readiness to make further progress on these indicators; • enabled the execution of important groundwork that contributed to the preparation of three projects related to water resources with relevance to the regional cooperative agenda, and good progress was made in institutional development activities (indicator 4); • contributed to the establishment and deepening of regional processes including the Abu Dhabi Dialogue (ADD) and the multi-stakeholder dialogue between major multinational brands, the Government of Bangladesh, nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) and development partners. At the regional level SAWI supported countries in building the knowledge, relationships and institutions necessary to achieve water security and manage climate change risks. At the basin level SAWI supported countries that share river basins, including through strategic basin assessments of water systems and economic dynamics, to improve the understanding of the impacts of current management and of future scenarios under a cooperative, benefit- sharing approach and under climate change. And at the national level SAWI supported technical assistance, capacity building and the preparation and implementation of sovereign in-country projects with regional dimensions that build local information and institutions in order to leverage investments across borders. An overview of individual SAWI activities and outcomes for each of the three goals is provided below and a more comprehensive description of each activity is provided in Appendices A–D. 2.1 GENERATING NEW KNOWLEDGE The SAWI knowledge agenda was developed based on (often informal) requests from both governmental and nongovernmental stakeholders (including the private sector) in SAWI countries, as well as requests from World Bank task teams who were seeking support in finding solutions to pertinent issues from which related investment would benefit. 8 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 A flagship effort of the SAWI knowledge agenda was the Ganges Strategic Basin Assessment (SBA) that was designed to fill a critical knowledge gap identified via stakeholder dialogue. The complexity of the Ganges river system and the extremes of the landscape called for an evidence-based study of the entire basin system, yet no common knowledge base or basin-wide model existed. The SBA took an integrated systems perspective on the major water resources planning issues facing the basin today, and on some of the most important infrastructure options that have been proposed for future development. The SBA results challenged some long-held beliefs about the Ganges River and stimulated dialogue on the shared opportunities and risks of cooperative management. The report points to significant opportunities for regional cooperation on flood-related information and forecasting systems. Infrastructure alone cannot protect the people of the Ganges basin from floods. Instead, information and warning systems should take priority. Given the regional scale of the South Asian monsoons, a systematic regional approach is called for to collect and exchange water, weather and climate data, and to advance efforts in modernizing modeling, forecasting and communications and warning systems. This finding was supported by the SAWI Bangladesh Hydromet Technical Study, which provided key insights on the necessary improvements to Bangladesh’s hydro-meteorological and flood forecasting systems. As a result of the SBA additional research was undertaken. A Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna River Basin Groundwater Study was undertaken to gain a better understanding of the groundwater dynamics given the importance of groundwater for agriculture and water supply. SAWI research indicates that despite widespread groundwater overexploitation in the region, significant underutilized potential remains in some specific sub-basins. Sustainable, conjunctive use of groundwater and surface water could significantly increase the availability of dry- season water without the need for surface reservoir construction. The use of groundwater for irrigation in the dry season would leave additional flows in the river system for downstream water users and ecosystems where access tends to be less sufficient and less reliable. This potential justifies careful consideration. The SAWI-funded Deep Wells and Prudence: Towards Pragmatic Action for Addressing Groundwater Overexploitation in India study recommended specific strategies for sustainable groundwater use in several regions experiencing groundwater overexploitation. The SBA also highlighted a lack of understanding of the economic and social value of ecosystems management in the Sundarbans mangrove landscape. Specific activities were undertaken to address this, including Building Knowledge and Capacity for Co-Management of the Sundarbans by India and Bangladesh, and an assimilation of the two technical assistance activities for improved management of the Sundarbans: Social Dimensions of Climate Change and Building Water Management Systems in the Ganges Sub-basin for Bangladesh. SAWI funded analytical work on the social dimensions of water variability in the Ganges and Indus basins. These studies examined the various local and household coping and adaptation strategies and provided insights into the ways in which communities may adapt to future risks and longer-term exposure to variability. The disaggregation of the findings by gender and social groups highlights the need for tailored adaptation strategies, as it is increasingly well understood that when water availability and quality are undermined, women are particularly vulnerable, as they are traditionally tasked with obtaining and preparing water (by fetching and boiling it), and caring for the sick who succumb to waterborne diseases. Different groups are affected differently by the social and environmental impacts of hydropower development. 8 SAWI funded a study to document and disseminate good social and environmental practices in hydropower. The 8 WWF India. 2012. Review of Good Practices of Environment and Social Management in Hydropower Projects: India, Nepal and Bhutan. 9 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 findings of the study have proven to be beneficial in raising awareness on good practices in different countries. SAWI funded a study on Removing Barriers to Hydropower in South Asia, which identified technical barriers in the fields of geotechnical engineering, tunneling and sediment management and proposed practical solutions to identified technical challenges. This work provides guidance for hydropower projects in South Asia. Associated with these studies SAWI funded two renowned experts on cumulative impact assessment to contribute to an international workshop at IIT-Roorkee focused on India’s first comprehensive impact assessment of hydropower development on major river basins. SAWI provided technical assistance to the quest in South Asia for more sustainable production methods via the Bangladesh Responsible Sourcing Initiative (RSI). The RSI identified seven low-cost cleaner production practices that have the potential to enhance factory productivity and reduce water use and pollution in the textile industry in Bangladesh. Findings from the RSI are consistent with earlier research findings in China, and confirmed the replicable nature of these cleaner production benefits among Asian textile mills. The RSI generated knowledge that helped to raise the awareness of the potential benefits of adopting cleaner production among national trade associations and factory owners. This has also informed a new International Finance Corporation (IFC) activity – the Water Partnership for Cleaner Textiles (Water PaCT). This US$11 million initiative will focus on (i) reduction of water usage, (ii) reduction of wastewater use and quality improvement, (iii) reduction in energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions and (iv) improvement in occupational health and safety, and water, sanitation and hygiene conditions. A program to promote cross-border knowledge generation and joint work among research institutions located in different countries facing similar water challenges was launched in 2011. The ADDKF Small Grants Program enabled partnerships among research institutions and civil society organizations across the SAWI countries. This partnership paved the way for research organizations from different countries to jointly address knowledge gaps on issues prevalent in the region and to facilitate a common understanding on these issues. It supported the establishment of new partnerships between research organizations from different countries – relationships that can be drawn on for future joint research among the SAWI countries. The generation and dissemination of new knowledge, often in partnership with local institutions and organizations, was a cornerstone of the SAWI efforts to support a better future for the region on the understanding that if water resources are to be managed well, they first need to be measured and understood. A website was established as part of the wider objective to inform the public about SAWI, ensure a comprehensive overview of and access to knowledge generated under SAWI, and provide access to basin-level information (through a mapping portal based on publicly available data). The SAWI website is available at www.SouthAsiaWaterInitiative.org. 2.2 FACILITATING MULTI-STAKEHOLDER DIALOGUE SAWI activities benefited from and were enriched by ongoing consultations with diverse stakeholders (including government, private sector, opinion leaders, civil society and academics). Some consultations were activity-specific (see appendices A–D); other activities benefited directly from the Abu Dhabi Dialogue (ADD), described in more detail below. The ADD is a flagship SAWI effort to facilitate candid, high-level, multi-stakeholder dialogue on the shared risks and opportunities of the rivers of the Greater Himalayas. ADD enables SAWI to gain a better understanding of the ongoing discourse in order to ensure its activities are relevant to the emerging needs and priorities of countries and stakeholders. ADD brings together senior members of government, academia and civil society from the seven countries in South Asia that share the rivers of the Greater Himalayas (Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, China, 10 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 India, Nepal and Pakistan). ADD emphasizes the need for cooperation in seeking “common solutions to common problems” of the region, such as the South Asia monsoon, the Himalayan glacier dynamics, drought, floods and sedimentation. There have been six regional ADD meetings with SAWI support since ADD inception in 2006. ADD is a unique platform for informal dialogue in the region. While other informal dialogue initiatives exist in the region, ADD is the only one that brings together government officials and opinion leaders from the seven riparian countries of the rivers of the Greater Himalayas in a regular and sustained manner. These multilateral discussions are possible because of the neutral space the ADD provides as an informal and non-attributable process. At the sixth ADD meeting (Bangkok, 2012) the decision was made to begin discussing specific river basins, demonstrating that ADD has provided a forum where participants feel comfortable to discuss individual basins, a discussion that was too sensitive at the time of ADD inception. In order to be more inclusive, broaden the dialogue and deepen the knowledge base, ADD convened a Knowledge Forum (ADDKF) after the third ADD meeting (Singapore, 2008). The event brought together more than fifty leading knowledge institutions across the region. ADDKF is envisioned as a broad, inclusive forum focused primarily on knowledge creation and knowledge sharing – as a complement to the relatively exclusive ADD, which aims at generating opportunities for improving the wider policy-making environment. ADDKF promotes collaborative research and acts as a platform for knowledge dissemination in the Greater Himalayan region, by researchers in the region and for the region. After the successful ADDKF in 2008 the ADD group requested that the World Bank support collaborative research between institutions from different SAWI countries through the ADDKF Small Grants Program. The objective being to promote engagement of a broader range of stakeholders in ADD, to support their efforts to work collaboratively and to facilitate the quest to increase knowledge about water resources systems and their uses across the Greater Himalayas. The Small Grants Program was administered by the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD). During the official launch in March 2011, representatives of 40 research institutions from across the seven SAWI countries convened. This facilitated new partnerships between knowledge institutions from different countries, many of which had no prior history of formal interaction. Feedback highlights the benefits that collaborative research can bring: research organizations have indicated that these projects helped them address knowledge gaps in ways that would have been impossible without collaborative dimension, and helped to enhance skills and capacity within collaborating organizations. Beyond ADD SAWI played a key role in facilitating ongoing multi-stakeholder dialogue between major multinational brands, the government of Bangladesh, NGOs and development partners. The objective of this dialogue, created through the RSI project described above, was to identify new entry points for reducing the regional water, energy and pollution footprint of the private sector in Asia through a more collaborative approach, leveraging the competitive advantages of each stakeholder. This led to the development of a two-tiered multi- stakeholder platform for cleaner textile production, constituting a forum for regional dialogue and deliberation, informed by national-level incubator activities. 2.3 ENABLING INNOVATIVE INVESTMENTS AND INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT Knowledge, institutional development and the design of innovative investments with a sustainable development impact are closely interlinked. In recognition of this several SAWI activities were designed to enhance the capacity of national-level institutions and to inform decision making related to investments in the water resources sector. 11 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 One of the World Bank’s flagship investments in India that benefited from SAWI support is the National Ganga 9 River Basin Project. With the development of this project, prepared in 2009 and declared effective in 2011, the government of India committed to a comprehensive cleanup and conservation program of the Ganges River, and in particular to the reduction of point-source pollution loads in urban areas along the main stem of the river. The main stem is extremely polluted and has been the subject of nearly three decades of programmatic investments and media attention, but with mixed success in pollution prevention and mitigation efforts at a time of great urbanization and industrialization. SAWI supported much of the early analytical work on the institutional design of the operational arms of the National Ganga River Basin Authority (NGRBA), a new national interstate basin authority established in 2009 to lead the envisaged multi-billion dollar cleanup effort, but without clear operational directives. SAWI support was catalytic in enabling the government and the task team preparing the project to analyze potential institutional models and make recommendations for what ultimately became the National Mission Clean Ganga, drawing on the global experience with river cleanup and basin management and bringing in expertise and perspectives from USA and Australia. Further support to Ganges basin investments was provided through SAWI funding to examine the impacts of flow augmentation and to develop a framework for hydrological information systems for downstream Ganges sub- basins in Bangladesh. The superior knowledge base on downstream flow dynamics assisted in decision making on system-appropriate, sustainable and cost-effective investment plans. The studies helped inform the Government of Bangladesh on potential win-win, no regrets investment options, starting with short-term Gorai River restoration activities prior to proceeding with complex and resource-intensive investments. A second investment that benefited from the findings is the Coastal Embankment Project, jointly financed by the Government of Bangladesh, the Pilot Program for Climate Resilience from the Climate Investment Fund and the World Bank (US$350 million). Additional studies on the social and hydrological impacts of climate change in the Sundarbans have created initial demand for funding from the government of West Bengal, which will be followed by future SAWI support to the Sundarbans focus area. SAWI also provided support to strengthen institutional capacity and knowledge generation on climate change, and leveraged investments in the upper reaches of the Ganges river basin. SAWI supported the implementation of the Nepal Water Resources and Climate Change Non-Lending Technical Assistance (NLTA). This NLTA was developed to support dialogue with the government of Nepal and to provide demand-responsive “just-in-time” technical inputs to help the government define its priorities on water resources management and climate change, and to identify areas for future Bank support. The NLTA facilitated several capacity-building activities for the staff of Nepalese government agencies, including the Water and Energy Commission Secretariat (WECS – the body mandated to implement river basin management and to guard against conflicting uses of water within basins) and resulted in two Bank-financed investments: • The WECS request for the development of a GIS-based knowledge base of water resources leveraged the World Bank-supported Irrigation and Water Resources Management Project, which finances the establishment of a Water Resources Information Center at WECS. The water resources knowledge base is being continuously refined as new data become available, and is increasingly used by WECS as a tool to support water resources development. • A new institutional platform – a Multi-stakeholder Climate Change Initiatives Coordination Committee – was founded by the Ministry of Environment. The committee involves key stakeholders from government, development partners, private sector representatives and civil society, and remains the government’s 9 Ganga is the Hindi name for the Ganges. 12 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 dedicated climate change platform. This investment in institution building led to the conceptualization of a national pilot program for climate resilience and the design of a US$31 million investment project (Building Resilience to Climate-Related Hazards) that aims to enhance government capacity to mitigate climate- related hazards by improving the accuracy and timeliness of weather and flood forecasts and warnings for climate-vulnerable communities, and developing agricultural management information system services to help farmers mitigate climate-related production risks. Investments in institutional capacity on the upper reaches of the Indus basin laid the groundwork for water resources investments in Afghanistan. SAWI funding contributed to enhancing modeling and data manipulation capacities in the Water Resources Planning Unit and the Project Preparation Unit of the Afghanistan Ministry of Energy and Water. The funding enhanced national capacity for priority setting and identification and implementation of best-option investments. The SAWI contribution to developing the Kabul River Basin Investment Plan resulted in the prioritization of the Shatoot Bulk Water Supply Project for Kabul City (about US$350 million). The feasibility study for this investment was recently commissioned by the government of Afghanistan. Institutional development and capacity building has also helped to create an enabling environment for exploring collaborative opportunities among riparian countries. SAWI supported three distinct learning events on transboundary waters and international water law: (i) during the second ADD (Bangkok, 2007), (ii) a workshop in Kathmandu in 2010 and (iii) training delivered in collaboration with the international waters advisor to the Afghan Ministry of Energy and Water, in Kabul, 2013. These trainings familiarized participants with the large potential benefits of transboundary water cooperation and key concepts of international water law in order to enhance their capacity for engaging in negotiations with co-riparian countries. The effectiveness of these capacity-building initiatives can be seen by, for example, the shift in the Afghan government attitude and willingness to initiate talks with neighboring countries on transboundary water issues. 3. KEY LESSONS LEARNED An independent review of SAWI was commissioned by AusAID and DFID in 2012. The review supported the view that the complex, long-term water resources problems of the region can only be addressed through regional, 10 transboundary action driven by a shared understanding of the benefits. It recognized the challenges posed by regional economic and political situation. The evaluation recognized SAWI’s significant achievements in contributing to an enabling environment for regional cooperation through a combination of enhancing the knowledge base, cultivating a platform for high-level multi- stakeholder dialogues and enabling significant innovative investment and institutional development in different countries, including the establishment of a new interstate basin institution on the Ganges in India. More specifically, the review highlighted the relevance of the Ganges SBA for addressing key knowledge gaps, the technical assistance that led to the establishment of the NGRBA, networks built among ADD members and the exploration of joint projects between Bangladesh and India on the Sundarbans as particularly noteworthy contributions of SAWI in the region. 10 Independent evaluation of SAWI Phase 1. 13 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 Four opportunities for improvement were identified in order to deliver greater impact: • Align the regional process more strongly with the overall SAWI objective and goals. As a consequence of limited regional cooperation and integration, and the absence of formal institutions in the region mandated to facilitate transboundary cooperation, the review assessed the regional process as somewhat disembodied. To the extent possible, SAWI engaged national and local institutions and organizations in the design and implementation of its regional program components. However, these partnerships remained weak, partly because national and local institutions have limited capacity and no particular mandate for transboundary work. The review suggested that strengthened partnerships and capacity enhancement could bring about greater local acceptance, more needs-based and more relevant activities, and greater impact of SAWI work at the policy and decision-making levels. The future consultative and deliberative process will be restructured accordingly. • Address the complex realities of the regional political economy more strongly. The review found that the complex political economy of the region should be central to the SAWI strategic direction, thus enabling SAWI activities to achieve higher acceptance and impact. A focus on the political economy context will help SAWI design a program that more adequately contributes to policy and decision making on transboundary water resources management in the region. The political environment around water and transboundary cooperation is complex in South Asia, and the two largest riparian countries that share the rivers of the Greater Himalayas favor bilateral over multilateral discussions. With a focus on regional and transboundary water cooperation, SAWI has to address the concerns of individual governments in promoting better water resources management to deliver sustainable, fair and inclusive development and climate resilience. The regional processes need to be connected to national policy development and implementation. The evaluation further suggested focusing on specific basins and landscapes. This approach has been integrated into the design for the future of the SAWI program. • Consult and involve a wider range of stakeholders in an open, deliberative process. The review found that national and existing transboundary forums and mechanisms have not yet been fully explored. The facilitation of the ADD and involvement of ICIMOD as a partner are good and effective initiatives; however, the range of engaged stakeholder groups should be widened to include civil society groups and to improve gender equity. The SAWI deliberative process will be strengthened and widened in the future SAWI program. • Enhance knowledge dissemination and communication of research findings to the broader public. New knowledge generated by SAWI has been disseminated to stakeholders. However, this was primarily at the activity level not the program level. The review recommended that SAWI develop a comprehensive knowledge and communication strategy. In response, SAWI has launched a website as a “one-stop shop” for analytical work and data generated under the program, and will develop a comprehensive communication strategy for the future SAWI program. The SAWI website includes data portals for the individual basins and provides access to SAWI reports. In the future SAWI will put greater emphasis on local, national, regional and international knowledge dissemination. 14 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 APPENDIX A. REGIONAL ACTIVITY DESCRIPTIONS APPENDIX A.1 ABU DHABI DIALOGUE ADD is a non-representative and informal dialogue process. Originally, there was no focus on particular rivers or disputes, statements were non-attributable, and there was no requirement for a consensus outcome. The 10-year ADD vision is: “a cooperative and knowledge-based partnership of states fairly managing and developing the Himalayan river systems to bring economic prosperity, peace and social harmony and environmental sustainability from the source to the sea.” A brief history of ADD is provided below. 2006 – The beginning of ADD. The first International Conference on Southern Asia Water Cooperation was held in Abu Dhabi in September 2006, hosted by the International Institute of Strategic Studies with the support of the United Kingdom Foreign and Commonwealth Office. The recommendations of the meeting were for the dialogue to be sustained, focused on the rivers that rise in the Greater Himalaya, and facilitated by the World Bank. Participants at the meeting formed the ADD group and planned the second ADD meeting. 2007 – Second ADD meeting. The second ADD meeting (Bangkok, 2007) facilitated by the World Bank was attended by senior ADD participants from the seven countries. The theme was “The rivers of the Greater Himalayas” with a focus on the changing conditions in the headwaters and the pressures in the floodplains and deltas. Dialogue sessions were designed to share global experience on international waters and benefit sharing, and to achieve constructive convergence on common challenges. The dialogue concluded with a consensus on the 10-year vision. Since the second ADD, country-level consultations have also been held to engage a wider range of stakeholders and knowledge institutions on the potential for regional cooperation on the Himalayan river systems, with high-level, well-attended workshops organized in several countries and the proceedings widely disseminated. 2007 – Conceptualization of SAWI. The World Bank conceived SAWI, in part to support future ADD activities. 2008 – Country-level dialogue, India. A high-level group comprising Members of Parliament, policy makers, scientists, policy researchers, national and international civil society representatives, institution heads, businesses leaders and independent water specialists met in New Delhi to discuss “Rivers of the Greater Himalayas” led by Mr Suresh Prabhu, former Member of Parliament. 2008 – Country-level dialogue, Nepal. A country-level dialogue on “Himalayan water resources” was held in Kathmandu, organized by the Ministry of Water Resources together with Jalsrot Vikas Sanstha (JVS) and the Nepal Water Conservation Fund. The dialogue was organized to support the ADD vision and to contribute in identifying key issues for discussion at third ADD. The dialogue focused on (i) sketching the region’s physical and social vulnerabilities with the aim of enabling livelihood diversification and supporting poverty alleviation initiatives through management of water, (ii) identifying challenges of climate change impacts on the regional hydrological systems, including data and scientific gaps, (iii) discussing emerging constraints in the development, use, allocation and management of Himalayan water systems to achieve the above objectives and (iv) identifying pathways of cooperation between different actors within and among countries to promote knowledge-based partnership. 2008 – National dialogue, Bangladesh. A national dialogue was organized in Dhaka by the Ministry of Water Resources on “Prospect of the rivers of the Greater Himalayas – Bangladesh’s perspective.” Group discussions resulted in the adoption of 11 recommendations that were subsequently presented at the third ADD. 15 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 2008 – Third ADD meeting and launch of ADDKF. Held in Singapore with the theme “Moving towards a cooperative knowledge partnership” and focused on joint learning on working through differences and on two case studies of European cooperation on international waters – the Danube river basin and the Baltic Sea. The meeting discussed ideas for knowledge generation and potential cooperative programs and identified specific actions to strengthen “a cooperative and knowledge-based partnership of states.” Participants launched the ADDKF. 2009 – Knowledge event, Washington, DC. ADDG members joined an international waters joint learning course that took place in February 2009 in Washington, DC. The program focused on managing the challenges of transboundary waters, negotiation techniques, international water law, economics and hydro-diplomacy. 2009 – Fourth ADD meeting. Held in Abu Dhabi with the theme “Practical steps to achieving a knowledge-based partnership of states”. Discussions ranged from preliminary identification and design of studies, to examples of state-of-the-art regional hydro-meteorological technologies, to the structure and direction of the ADDKF and its Small Grants Program, to promote collaborative research in the region. At the close of the meeting it was agreed that greater data sharing could help to catalyze further regional cooperation. Participants suggested the possibility of developing a regional hydro-meteorological system. 2010 – Fifth ADD meeting. Held in Bangkok with discussions ranging from collaborative research under the Small Grants Program to cooperative regional action to enhance information sharing, and engaging with a broader set of water resources stakeholders. 2010 – Transboundary water management and international water law workshop. Held in Nepal, the workshop was attended by over thirty representatives from different ministries and focused on Nepal’s treaties on international rivers. The workshop objectives were to familiarize participants with the history of international river treaties and international water law, norms and common practices of international river negotiations, and relevant lessons for Nepal. 2010 – Capacity development of transboundary water management workshop. High-level workshop in China with over 40 participants from relevant Chinese agencies to explore state-of-the-art technical and institutional approaches in transboundary water management. Participants agreed that significant knowledge gaps remained and proposed that similar workshops should be held with a focus on international legal frameworks and benefit sharing on transboundary waters, and on water resources development and cooperation on the Lancang-Mekong River with participation from upstream and downstream riparians. It was also agreed that additional physical data should be collected, particularly for the cryosphere. 2011 – ADD Small Grants Program. Program launch in Nepal. Following a call for proposals in April 2011 eight grants have been awarded with funding going to 17 institutions in the Hindu Kush-Himalaya region. 2011 – First National Conference on Pakistan’s Water Management in the Context of Climate Change. Held in Pakistan, the primary objective was to initiate an informed discussion amongst Pakistan water sector experts and policy makers on the country’s current water management scenario and explore opportunities for adaptation to climate change impacts through knowledge sharing with other ADD countries. 2012 – Sixth ADD meeting. Held in Bangkok on “Exploring entry points for cooperative action on transboundary water resources in the Greater Himalayas” this meeting marked a new chapter in the dialogue process. Two days of discussions focused on (i) examining the experiences and lessons learned from the ADD to date and how they 16 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 might be used to shape future deliberative and consultative processes that will support the achievement of the SAWI objective and (ii) identifying strategic opportunities for collaborative action to achieve on-the-ground results. ADD is a neutral platform that facilitates regular, continuous and informal dialogue among senior government officials and opinion leaders. Its truly regional character distinguishes it from other informal dialogue processes. Continued facilitation of this process, which follows Chatham House rules, has created an environment in which key decision makers exchange their views on key challenges affecting the region, away from the official political processes and the complexities of the public debate on transboundary water issues in the region. A significant shift in the dialogue took place with the unanimous ADD decision to start discussions on the four specific basins and landscapes identified as focus areas for the future program: (i) the Indus river basin, (ii) the Ganges river basin, (iii) the Brahmaputra river basin and (iv) the Sundarbans landscape. This is a major departure from one of the cardinal rules of the ADD: “no focus on particular rivers.” It is a direct outcome of continued support and facilitation of the dialogue process. ADD has established an Indus basin task force to work further on prioritization of activities for the basin. The ADDG members confirmed their commitment to continue their advisory role for SAWI during 2013–2017 program activities, to provide guidance on priority activities and promising entry points for cooperation, to participate in the implementation of activities and to use their networks of influence to catalyze on-the-ground results. APPENDIX A.2 ADDKF SMALL GRANTS PROGRAM Following the deliberations at the first ADDKF and subsequent discussions during the ADD meetings in 2009 and 2010, a Small Grants Program was established to support knowledge generation and dissemination activities on the rivers of the Greater Himalayas. The objectives of the Small Grants Program (funded by SAWI) are to: Facilitate the quest to increase knowledge about water resources systems and their uses within the realm of the Greater Himalayas, which are under stress from climate change and other drivers, including population and economic growth Facilitate collaboration among knowledge institutions from different countries sharing the rivers of the Greater Himalayas Support the efforts of knowledge institutions to work together in a collaborative manner. Following the program launch in 2011, 40 proposals were received, ranked and reviewed by international technical experts and a Technical Assessment Panel (Deputy Director General of ICIMOD, additional ICIMOD representative, one World Bank representative and one SAWI donor representative). The Technical Assessment Panel recommended eight proposals for funding; these were shared with ADD members for comments and suggestions and subsequently approved. The eight projects cover a wide variety of topics and facilitate unique partnerships between knowledge institutions from across the SAWI countries, many of which had no prior history of formal interaction. There are 16 research institutions involved from five different countries in (Table 1). The first agreement between ICIMOD and the research organizations was signed in January 2012 and the last one was signed in June 2012. The timing of the signing of the agreements varied because of the different formalities that each organization had to comply with. The eight research activities are expected to be completed one year after the first advances have been received (typically a few weeks to months after signing of the agreement). 17 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 Once completed the outputs of these projects will be disseminated through appropriate mechanisms. Papers submitted by research organizations will be reviewed by internationally peer reviewed prior to publication (expected to occur by the end of 2013). Preliminary feedback indicates the benefits of collaborative research. Research organizations have indicated that this effort helped them to address knowledge gaps in ways that would have been impossible without collaboration. The collaborative research has helped to develop skills and capacity in the collaborating organizations. 18 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 th 5 ADD priority Budget Title research area Institutions (US$) 1 Case studies of impacts of climate Vulnerability, Kathmandu University, Nepal; 98,200 change on hydrological regime in adaptation & impacts Sharda University, India Nepal, India and Afghanistan of climate change 2 Climate change adaptation Integrated ecosystem Peking University, China; 102,200 through water resources and river basin Tribhuvan University, Nepal management: comparative study management, between Yellow and Koshi river including benefit basins sharing 3 Vulnerability assessment of Vulnerability, Tribhuvan University, Nepal; 79,266 meteorological flash floods in adaptation & impacts Asian International Rivers Poiqu-Bhotekhosi-Sunkoshi of climate change Center, Yunnan University, watershed China 4 The impact of climate change on Management of Chinese National Committee 144,000 water stress situations in the water for enhancing on Irrigation and Drainage, Yellow river basin, China food security China; National University of Science and Technology, Pakistan 5 Impact of climate change on Management of International Network on 101,000 water availability for community- water for enhancing Participatory Irrigation managed irrigation systems for food security Management, Nepal; Centre of food security Excellence in Water Resources Engineering, Pakistan 6 Benefit-sharing mechanism in Upstream- Jalsrot Vikas Sanstha, Nepal; 76,523 storage projects: lessons for the downstream impacts South Asia Consortium for region of water storage Interdisciplinary Water projects Resources Studies, India 7 Addressing the seasonal water Upstream- G.B. Pant Institute of 55,873 scarcity in Indian Western downstream impacts Himalayan Environment and Himalayas through integrated of water storage Development; Institution for approach of isotope technique, projects Development and Innovation), remote sensing and geographic Nepal information system (GIS) application 8 Assessing the economic impact of Management of Center for Environmental and 112,690 climate change on agriculture, water for enhancing Geographic Information water resources ßand food food security Services, Bangladesh; Small security and adaptation Earth, Nepal measures using seasonal and medium-range forecasts Total 769,752 TABLE 1.ADDKF SMALL GRANTS PROGRAM PROJECTS. 19 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 APPENDIX A.3 SOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE This analytical work in the Ganges basin developed a better understanding of (i) the potential social impacts of hydrology regimes and local economic conditions, whether resulting from policy and investment decisions or climate variability and change and (ii) the effectiveness of current coping and adaptation strategies, at household and community levels, with a particular focus on early warning systems and other community-based measures. Climate change is expected to have a disproportionate effect on women, female-headed households and other vulnerable groups. The analytical work focused on disaggregating findings by gender and social groups so as to highlight these differences. SAWI support has assisted in the design and execution of a micro-level analysis in the Ganges basin to investigate the social dimensions of flood, drought, low flows, water quality issues and salinity intrusion. This work is to establish commonalities in understanding how physical vulnerabilities are embedded within key social institutions, as well as how “soft” responses (coping and adaptation initiatives), especially community-based early warning systems, could be strengthened. The data collection was completed in 2010 in flood- and drought-prone areas of Bihar (Madhubani, Muzzafarpur, Kosi area for floods, and Gaya for drought) and in the Sundarbans area of West Bengal, and on water quality in Allahabad and Kanpur. Additional fieldwork was conducted in the drought-prone area of Rajshahi-Godagari in Bangladesh, the flood-prone area of Rajbani in Bangladesh, and the Bangladesh Sundarbans. The analytical work distinguishes between men and women in an attempt to capture the gendered dimensions of adaptation. The papers and reports from this work on the social dimensions of climate change have contributed to the socioeconomic sections of the Ganges SBA. SAWI support has also assisted in the design and implementation of two household surveys in the coastal areas of the Sundarbans, on both the India and the Bangladesh sides. These household surveys were to collect data to help better understand (i) the nature of climate-induced flooding, waterlogging, and salinity intrusion impacts on rural households in the Sundarbans, (ii) the social and economic factors contributing to adaptation decisions in response to rapid-onset weather events such as floods, or slow-onset events such as waterlogging and salinity intrusion, (iii) social norms and preferences and how they differ across social groups, especially by gender, and how these differences shape adaptation decisions, (iv) policies and institutional responses and other forms of social mechanisms that assist households in adapting to flooding, waterlogging, and salinity intrusion and (v) gender differences in the impacts of and responses to climate change. The outputs of the survey will inform work on the Sundarbans through an ongoing NLTA in West Bengal as well as the new NLTA in Bangladesh. This activity contributed to the objectives of poverty reduction, economic growth, and adaptation to climate change by examining the nexus between poverty and climate change through a lens of social resilience. This differentiates between short-term impacts of weather events, and how longer-term exposure has shaped social norms and patterns of behavior (such as migration, choices of housing materials and livelihoods). Through surveys designed, commissioned and analyzed for both the West Bengal Sundarbans (India) and the Bangladesh Sundarbans, the activity has contributed to a unique knowledge base on social resilience and will serve to inform policy makers working on this topic and in the region more broadly. The results of this work are being compiled in an edited volume that will be published in late 2013. The funding made available under this activity to undertake the design and analysis of the household surveys served to lever funding from other sources, which was essential to commission the work. This activity also contributed to ongoing work in the region and assisted in leveraging investments, as is evidenced by the request for an investment lending operation in West Bengal. This project will draw on the evidence base generated to inform project design. 20 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 Following a formal review process the findings will be disseminated to relevant policy makers, academics, civil society organizations, international development agencies and the general public through various web-based platforms (including the SAWI website) via a published volume. The data will be made available for use by research scholars and other interested parties. APPENDIX A.4 REMOVING BARRIERS TO HYDROPOWER IN SOUTH ASIA The vast hydropower potential of the Himalayas could solve the region’s chronic energy shortages, which are a major impediment to economic growth. There are however, several significant barriers – social, environmental, financial and technical – to hydropower development in the Himalayas. Of the technical challenges, three are the most significant – geotechnical, tunneling and sediment management. The SAWI-funded technical assistance considered these issues and made recommendations on ways to overcome these barriers. The work has guided Bank-funded projects in South Asia and provided valuable information to client countries. The project involved (i) site visits to existing and proposed hydropower facilities in India and Nepal, (ii) discussions with local hydropower engineers and engineering geologists and (iii) workshops in Delhi and Kathmandu. The hydropower projects visited included operational facilities and projects in the design and construction phases. The visits identified technical challenges and revealed non-technical issues hampering proper execution of hydropower development projects. A gap analysis compared regional practice to international practice. The two principal barriers to sustainable tunneling and geotechnical engineering were found to be (i) inadequate understanding of the effects of regional geological features on site-specific designs and (ii) continued use of outdated tunneling technology, particularly when dealing with adverse geological conditions. Added construction cost resulting from delays due to inadequate geological information is estimated to significantly exceed the cost of detailed geological investigations prior to design and construction. In addition, long-term monitoring of geological behavior, even after completion of construction, is important to ensuring project sustainability. The high sediment loads of Himalayan rivers leads to rapid reservoir sedimentation, and the high quartz content leads to abrasion and severe deterioration of concrete and steel. The study highlighted the need to develop designs and operating procedures that will sustainably preserve reservoir storage and minimize the effects of abrasion. APPENDIX A.5 GOOD ENVIRONMENTAL PRACTICES OF HYDROPOWER The hydropower potential of Bhutan, India and Nepal is estimated at around 200 GW of which less than 20 percent (mainly in India) has been developed. To meet current and future energy demands the three countries have designed ambitious hydropower development programs: Bhutan plans to add 10 GW of hydropower capacity by 2020 (1.4 GW at present); India plans to exploit the remaining 110 GW of untapped potential in the next 20 years (38 GW added over the last 60 years); and Nepal plans to add 10 (GW) by 2020 (less than 0.7 GW at present). While hydropower development is an integral part of energy and development strategies in the region, the sustainable development of such projects is inherently challenging. A key challenge is assessment of the environmental and social impacts of hydropower projects and exploration of ways to adequately mitigate these impacts. Recently there has been greater recognition of these impacts, some comprehensive environmental and social impact assessments, consultation with civil society and support for local area development programs. This study (i) identified and documented good environmental and social management practices in the three countries; (ii) provided a better understanding of key factors that influence performance and (iii) will disseminate and promote adoption of good practice across the sector. 21 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 The project report proved to be effective in highlighting the implementation challenges of hydropower in the region. It indicates where good environmental assessment practices are being followed in the hydropower sector. These practices are not new in the sector but do inform scientific planning and implementation of such practices and have potential for scaling up across the hydropower-generating States in the region. A small stakeholder consultation workshop was organized by the World Bank to share the findings from the study. APPENDIX A.6 REGIONAL COOPERATION IN SEDIMENT MANAGEMENT IN HYDROPOWER In 2009 SAWI sponsored a regional workshop on sediment management for hydropower and multipurpose water resources projects, in order to support sustainable hydropower development through regional cooperation in sediment management. The workshop was a unique opportunity for practitioners to explore common problems and learn from each other’s experiences. It assembled experts from China, France, Germany, Japan, Norway and Switzerland, together with practitioners from South Asia. The two-day workshop discussed sediment data management, sustainable reservoir operations, run-of-river projects and hydropower and sediment policy issues. The first day focused on regional challenges. On the second day specialists gave presentations sharing guidance and information on the state-of-the-art existing solutions to the complex issues of sediment management. The workshop identified four next steps: • Establish a working group of 16 people comprising representatives from power companies, utilities and the hydropower industry, as well as government authorities, to follow up on workshop outcomes. • Establish a regional platform for hydropower professionals across the region to share experience and address common challenges on hydropower and sediment management. • Anchor the regional platform in an institution to ensure it is operationalized. The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation Secretariat in Nepal and ICIMOD were suggested as potential hosting institutions. ICIMOD has expressed strong interest in hosting. Nepalese officials have suggested the establishment of a regional hydropower center that might eventually host the regional platform. • Consolidate these outcomes and define a roadmap with agreed actions by the working group. Additional funding has been requested for this from the World Bank’s Energy Sector Management Assistance Program. APPENDIX A.7 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF HYDROPOWER The objective of this activity was to help build the national and institutional capacity for the development of technically, environmentally and socially sustainable hydropower in India. To-date the World Bank has been supporting sustainable development of hydropower resources in the country with a particular focus in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand, known for their large endowment and development of hydropower sources. In Himachal Pradesh, the World Bank has been providing investment support to hydropower projects (the Rampur project is under implementation and the Luhri hydroelectric project is under preparation) as well as budget support to strengthen the policy and regulatory framework for sustainable hydropower development in the state. In Uttarakhand, the World Bank has provided investment support to the Vishnugad Pipalkoti hydroelectric project. The project report reviews the practices and mechanisms of the state of Himachal Pradesh in implementing the environmental flow regime, compares them with approaches across the hydro-endowed states in the Himalayan region in India and across other countries (including those of South Asia) and suggests implementable mechanisms for the monitoring of the environmental flow regimes on a long-term basis in the state. 22 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 APPENDIX B. BASIN AND LANDSCAPE ACTIVITY DESCRIPTIONS APPENDIX B.1 GANGES STRATEGIC BASIN ASSESSMENT The complexity of the Ganges basin means an evidence-based study of the entire basin system is required. In spite of this complexity many common perceptions of basin dynamics exist within and the countries of the basin. To- date there has been no common knowledge base or basin-wide model that riparian countries can use to explore options and facilitate cooperative planning at the basin level. SAWI addressed this gap with the Ganges Strategic Basin Assessment (SBA), a multiyear study carried out by a World Bank team in cooperation with several leading research organizations in the region, including the Institute for Water Modeling in Dhaka, the Indian Institute of Technology in Delhi and the Indian Statistical Institute in Delhi. The centerpiece of this work was the development of a set of nested hydrological and economic river basin models that examine alternative scenarios across a range of possible climate and development Ganges futures. An important social component also studies the social implications of water variability in the basin. The SBA findings challenge conventional beliefs but present a sustainable way forward. One of the SBA’s major findings is that contrary to popular perceptions, upstream dams alone will not control lowland flooding – information-backed flood management will be more effective. Upstream dams could nearly double the low flows downstream in the dry season but the resultant economic value is unclear. The underground aquifers of the basin could provide the same scale of water storage as the proposed upstream dams more immediately and most likely at considerably lower financial, social and environmental cost. The SBA emphasizes that hydropower realization and climate change present unique opportunities for regional cooperation. The net economic value of potential hydropower is estimated at US$5 billion annually, and would provide clean energy in a region with high economic growth and rapidly growing power demands. Notwithstanding the climate change uncertainties in South Asia, the scale and focus of today’s climate challenges – unpredictable and intense rainfall, alternating extremes of flood and drought – will continue to be the key climate challenges in the coming decades. Immediate action, such as a focus on basin-wide information and institutions, in particular in regards to flood management and conjunctive use of groundwater and surface water, is therefore justified. Four areas stand out as opportunities for action based on the SBA findings: (i) development of cooperative basin- wide information systems and institutions, (ii) flood management using both hard and soft techniques, (iii) hydropower development and trade and (iv) groundwater development for irrigation. To ensure quality, an international Expert Advisory Group undertook a peer review of the study. The research was also submitted through the World Bank’s quality assurance processes, involving review by a team of senior World Bank professionals and a final clearance meeting chaired by the South Asia Region’s Chief Economist. The study benefited immensely from over a dozen high-level consultations with policy makers and opinion makers in Bangladesh, India and Nepal, as well as ADD members, and drew upon a vast collection of regional and international literature that has been debating these crucial questions for many years. Consultations over the early SBA findings were an important opportunity for the deliberation of new information. These findings could greatly influence the region’s flood management strategy, and are already influencing the direction of some of the World Bank projects currently under preparation in Bangladesh, India and Nepal. Initial findings were shared during a second set of regional consultations in August 2010 with governments and stakeholders in Bangladesh and Nepal. Stakeholders consulted in Bangladesh included senior policy makers and 23 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 decision makers from the Ministry of Water Resources, the Joint Rivers Commission, the Water Resources Planning Organization and the Meteorological Department, as well as a Member of Parliament and several eminent researchers. A briefing was also held for the Vice Chancellor of BRAC University. In Nepal, senior policy makers from the Water and Energy Commission Secretariat, the Ministry of Energy, the Department of Irrigation, the Department of Hydrology and Meteorology and several other associated government departments were consulted and contributed their views. An additional consultation session was held in Kathmandu with representatives from key civil society organizations, researchers and donor partners. In India, where earlier consultations had not been possible, discussions on the report’s early findings were held with senior policy makers at the Ministry of Environment and Forests, the Ministry of Water Resources, the National Planning Commission, the Department of Economic Affairs, the Central Water Commission and the Central Groundwater Board, as well as with the Chief Secretaries of the state governments of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar. Although some of the results were surprising to stakeholders, there was, overall, keen interest in the basin and a demonstrated interest in similar research in other South Asian basins. The stakeholders, however, reconfirmed the purpose of the SBA exercise: to stimulate debate on evidence-based actions in the basin, and improve access to and transparency of data and technical knowledge. The SBA will be disseminated via the SAWI website and via distribution in response to requests. In addition to the full English language report, a summary report has been translated into Bangla, Hindi and Nepali. The SBA has provided an initial integrated systems perspective on the major water resources planning issues facing the Ganges basin, and on some of the most important infrastructure options that have been proposed for future development. The results challenge some long-held beliefs about the Ganges river basin, suggesting that some of what has long been considered “common knowledge” is, in fact, inaccurate. Moreover, it informed a dialogue on the shared opportunities and risks of cooperative management in the basin. It stimulated in-country debates in the Ganges riparian countries that will form the basis of the work proposed under the Ganges focus area under the future SAWI program. Furthermore, and more immediately, the SBA report points to significant opportunities for regional cooperation in flood-related information and forecasting systems. Infrastructure alone cannot protect the people of the Ganges basin from floods. Information and warning systems will be an enduring priority. Given the region-wide scale of the South Asian monsoons, a systematic, regional approach is called for to collect and exchange water, weather and climate data, and to advance efforts in modernizing modeling, forecasting and communications and warning systems. The SBA was important for the formulation of a regional hydromet activity that is currently being developed in consultation with the government counterparts of an initial group of SAWI countries, including Bangladesh, Bhutan and India. As a result of the SBA several additional research efforts were initiated. The Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna River Basin Groundwater Study was undertaken to improve the understanding of groundwater dynamics in the basin. SAWI research suggests that, despite widespread groundwater overexploitation in the region, significant underutilized potential remains in some specific sub-basins. Sustainable, conjunctive use of groundwater and surface water could significantly increase the availability of dry-season water without the need for surface reservoir construction. The use of groundwater for irrigation would leave additional flows in the river system for downstream water users and ecosystems where access tends to be less sufficient and less reliable. 24 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 The SBA assessment highlighted how little is known about the economic and social values of ecosystems management in the Sundarbans, the massive mangrove forest that fringes the Bay of Bengal at the mouth of the Ganges. Several additional activities were therefore undertaken, including Building Knowledge and Capacity for Co- Management of the Sundarbans by India and Bangladesh, Social Dimensions of Climate Change and Building Water Management Systems in the Ganges Sub-basin for Bangladesh. These efforts have helped build a knowledge base and identify appropriate interventions to sustain this fragile ecosystem and its vulnerable population. Finally, the social component of the SBA highlighted the social dimensions of South Asia’s water challenges leading to additional analytical work on the social dimensions of water variability in the Ganges and Indus basins. This work highlighted that when water availability and quality are undermined, women are particularly vulnerable as they are traditionally tasked with obtaining and preparing water (by fetching and boiling it), as well as for caring for the sick who succumb to waterborne diseases. Women also bear a disproportionate impact of water-related natural disasters (for example floods and drought). Appendix B.2 Regional Monitoring Center for the Greater Himalayas The objective of this SAWI-funded activity was to present a first-order synthesis of the quantity and quality of the existing monitoring already occurring in the Hindu Kush-Himalaya region and to recommend future monitoring investments. Key questions answered by this study are: (i) what types of investments are required? (ii) where should they be located? and (iii) who will operate and maintain the system? The study report concludes that the recent concerns related to climate change, retreating Himalayan glaciers, and the role played by these glaciers in the rivers of South Asia have served to illustrate the very limited understanding that exists in many scientific and water management communities of the role of the mountain headwaters of the major river systems of Asia in the annual flow of these rivers, and the supply–use problems faced by the countries of the region. One proposed solution involves an expanded and improved program of hydro-meteorological monitoring in the Hindu Kush-Himalaya. Hydro-meteorological monitoring describes the processes and activities that need to take place to characterize and monitor the properties and processes of the hydrosphere as it exists in the three-dimensional meso-scale environment of the high mountain catchment basins of the Hindu Kush-Himalaya. Credible monitoring involves (i) functional institutions, (ii) operational instruments, (iii) trained professionals and (iv) scientific procedures. Establishing a regional hydro-meteorological research facility in the Hindu Kush-Himalaya will involve developing solutions for integrated data collection and analysis procedures; instrument selection placement and compatibility of monitoring instruments and procedures; training of personnel; ensuring accessibility of monitoring sites; and data management and archiving. The hydro-meteorology of the Hindu Kush-Himalaya catchments is primarily a function of the interaction between topography and meteorology. Both vary considerably with location suggesting that a monitoring approach appropriate in eastern Nepal may not be suitable for the Karakoram or Hindu Kush. This interaction is reflected primarily in the importance of area–altitude distributions in the topography and altitudinal or aspect gradients of water and energy exchange in meteorology. Mountain hydro-meteorology processes vary with altitude or aspect. For anything but the simplest statistical monitoring, this variability should be reflected in the spatial distribution of instruments. Altitudes in the Hindu Kush-Himalaya exceed 8000 m, while very few monitoring instruments are located above 1000 m. Use of hydrological concepts defining the hydrological cycle in mountainous terrain will permit the use of water and energy budget equations to link the processes of input (as snow or rain), storage, melt and output (as evaporation and runoff). It is assumed that the most important hydro-meteorological zone 25 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 throughout the Hindu Kush-Himalaya for the production of runoff is between 1000 and 5000 m, and efforts should be made to develop as many baseline data as possible from these altitudes. At present, much data collected from monitoring networks in the mountain headwaters of the Indus and Ganges Rivers that is not subjected to any analysis. In Nepal, where the Department of Hydrology and Meteorology claims a network of approximately 100 hydrometric stations and 280 climate and meteorological stations, there is no indication that any of the resulting data are subject to continuing analysis. While Indian scientists publish papers on hydro-meteorological aspects of the Indian Himalayan catchments, few data are released by monitoring agencies to support the conclusions presented, despite what is presumed to be an extensive monitoring network. There are many publications describing the geophysical, geological and glaciological characteristics of the Karakoram Mountains at the headwaters of the Indus River in northern Pakistan, but virtually all have been the work of expatriate scientists. A regional hydro-meteorological monitoring program in the Hindu Kush-Himalaya could benefit from the development of funded, long-term collaborations between expatriate centers with advanced knowledge of specific monitoring procedures and the government agencies or other organizations directly involved in the monitoring. Such associations could be encouraged by funding sources, and determined by a correspondence between a need for assistance in establishing a monitoring procedure, and a demonstrated skill and interest in that procedure on the part of an expatriate institution. All monitoring should involve integrated databases and analyses designed to view the climate–glacier–runoff relationship as a system, and should provide data that would, ultimately, permit the nature of the processes relating the three to be analyzed with some confidence. A degree of uniformity should be sought in network design, instrument selection, analytical procedures and data publication and exchange procedures among the countries of the Hindu Kush-Himalaya. Priority should be given to analysis and publication of existing databases. The training and participation of mountain peoples as field technicians and support personnel at remote sites should be encouraged. Additions to, or modifications of, the existing monitoring network could be based on a consideration of the compatibility of scale among the monitoring technologies involved, and the specific goals of a monitoring agency. To facilitate site and instrument selection and data interpretation, an effort could be made to develop models of the three-dimensional, intermediate-scale processes of water and energy exchange that characterize the mountain basins. In establishing, expanding or modifying a monitoring program, it is recommended that the following be considered: • Monitoring purpose and goals should be clearly defined. Monitoring will usually be either for resource management (for example reservoir management, irrigation, urban water supplies, flood control) or for scientific studies (such as the relationship between glaciers and climate change). • The existing instrument network should be assessed for relevance to these goals and instruments added or removed only for reasons associated with this relevance based on analysis. A realistic balance between ground-truth data collection and remote sensing based on satellite imagery should be sought. • The topographic and meteorological factors determining water and energy exchange characteristics of the catchment to be monitored should be defined from existing data to the extent possible. • Procedures and responsibility for data analysis should be defined. All existing data collected by network should be included in this analysis. • Responsibility for maintenance of the monitoring network should be established. 26 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 • Procedures for data collection, organization, digitization of data and data storage should be defined, along with responsibility for these activities. • Procedures for data sharing with non-agency institutions and individuals should be established. • There is no hydro-meteorological monitoring guidebook, as such, for a region as complex as the Hindu Kush- Himalaya. An essential first step in the planning of any monitoring effort must be a clear statement of purpose and a general understanding of the general characteristics of the area, or relationship, to be monitored. If the data are not organized, analyzed, archived and shared, the monitoring has not met its major purpose. The study report provides an overview of hydrology and glacier mass balances and information on hydro- meteorology monitoring in the Hindu Kush-Himalaya. The report concludes with the formulation of a hydro- meteorology strategy, which engages indigenous communities in the monitoring and incorporates the use of satellite imagery and digital elevation models. This study was a technical response to climate change adaptation. The proposed strategy is a starting point for a dialogue with clients as a basis for collaboration on expanding and integrating hydro-meteorology monitoring, and opening up dialogue with indigenous communities. The report is in effect a hydro-meteorological monitoring guidebook therefore it is difficult estimate a specific cost for monitoring, as was initially planned. However, the report does detail the costs of different monitoring software and equipment. APPENDIX B.3 BUILDING KNOWLEDGE AND CAPACITY FOR REGIONAL MANAGEMENT OF THE SUNDARBANS The Sundarbans is the world’s largest mangrove system. Around 40 percent is in the Indian state of West Bengal and the remaining 60 percent is in Bangladesh. The area is a World Heritage Site and a Biosphere Reserve, in recognition of its extensive and unique biodiversity. However, poverty in the Sundarbans remains a key challenge; with limited livelihood opportunities and high social exclusion around half the residents live below the poverty line. The challenges of socioeconomic development and biodiversity conservation are further undermined by the growing risks of climate-induced natural disasters. Flooding and salinity intrusion alongside natural changes contribute to lower land fertility, a higher prevalence of disease, and growing risks and hardship. In 2009, the World Bank initiated a series of studies on the West Bengal side of the Sundarbans to identify priority issues and possible interventions for sustainable development. A similar program was subsequently initiated in Bangladesh. The parallel undertaking of these activities provides a unique opportunity to understand the Sundarbans as a region, facilitating the promotion of coordinated management and interventions on both sides of the border. A key impediment to regional cooperation and integration has been the lack of critical and complementary information in both countries. SAWI funding has contributed to (i) a study on the cost of environmental degradation, (ii) benefit–cost analyses on the reduction of vulnerability to natural disasters, natural resources management and environmental health, (iii) analyses of livelihoods and socioeconomics and (iv) a study on GIS development. This work (summarized below) provides a basis for regional cooperation and coordination between the authorities and governments of both countries Extensive consultations and dissemination of the findings have been held in specialized technical workshops. Climate change adaptation and disaster risk management. Flood modeling has demonstrated that climate change impacts result in incremental expected flood inundation of about 1–5 centimeters in a 24-hour period in the 27 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 Sundarbans. Greater attention should also be paid to cyclones and, to a lesser degree, severe convective storms, since both phenomena have historically resulted in a significant number of deaths and economic damage. Impacts of tropical cyclones are potentially the most significant; their energy is expected to increase 11 percent with economic damage from any given storm, increasing by 65 percent as a result of the higher projected energy levels. Although historically only 4 percent of the world’s cyclones have formed in the Bay of Bengal, they are responsible for a disproportionately large number of deaths. Storm and cyclone response and early warning systems in Bangladesh have improved considerably over recent decades. Recommendations for improving the cyclone forecasting system include enhancing the ability to provide probabilistic information as to when and where a cyclone will make landfall, as well as its scale and intensity. Best practices of complex probability-based forecasting systems provide up to 15 days notice of landfall. Effective early warning systems have important implications: increased warning periods provide greater lead times enabling local residents to more effectively prepare and take measures to protect their lives and assets. Findings recommend the establishment of such a system and associated programs could cost about US$6.2 million over five years. Given that these forecasting systems also benefit other countries in the region costs could potentially be shared. Household survey. The objective of the household survey was to provide a baseline assessment to develop a better understanding of (i) the demographic and economic profile of households in the Sundarbans, including education attainment rates, health and sanitation, employment levels and livelihood activities in the region, (ii) how households respond to salinity intrusion and frequent natural disasters such as cyclones and storm surges, including migration patterns and (iii) how household strategies could be strengthened to reduce the impact of cyclones and storm surges and future environmental changes. The scope of the work included collecting information on: household characteristics (such as demographics, health, education), assets, consumption, agriculture, livestock, aquaculture, forestry, migration and emigration patterns, nature of climate-induced cyclones, storm surges, waterlogging and salinity intrusion impacts on households, household adaptation decisions, social networks, solidarity mechanisms, public sector responses, and social conflicts due to limited common property resources. Socioeconomic development. Socioeconomic analyses were conducted for (i) agriculture and fisheries, (ii) small- scale rural and community infrastructure, (iii) livelihood options and (iv) human health and education. Findings revealed that the extent of saline-intolerant mangrove species of sundri (a valuable source of timber) has been declining over time and that increases in sea level rise have negative impacts on crop cultivation in the region. Biodiversity conservation. The biodiversity conservation work included (i) assessment and mapping of threats to biodiversity to identify vulnerable areas within the Sundarbans in order to determine locations that may require special attention and conservation management measures, (ii) identification of all stakeholders at different levels and their actions using the “three Rs” (role, responsibilities and relationships) framework to identify the positive and negative impacts of stakeholders in the Sundarbans and (iii) collaboration with WWF-India on regional dialogue. Major threats to biodiversity in the Sundarbans include land use changes (shrimp cultivation), overexploitation of natural resources, pirating, climate change (including sea level rise and increases in storm activity) and industrial development. These activities have contributed towards the main SAWI objective. In recent years the World Bank has been working with the governments of both countries to establish a regional dialogue and a platform for knowledge exchange on the Sundarbans, with the aim of improving sustainable management of this World Heritage Site. The resources leveraged under the trust fund related directly to the production of final reports and papers on the analytical work, and the continued facilitation of a regional dialogue that has now been formalized under a 28 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 memorandum of understanding between both governments. As such, this activity has contributed to the indicator on cooperative regional processes and knowledge-based partnerships. As a result of this regional work both governments have recognized that improved dialogue and knowledge sharing will be needed for effective regional management of the Sundarbans. This relationship was solidified in a memorandum of understanding between the governments and a continued commitment to the ongoing dialogue. The results disseminated in the activity have led to a request from the government of West Bengal for a lending operation, based on many of the recommendations put forward in the Bank-sponsored analytical work. The activity has levered a possible future lending operation in West Bengal, with a formal request having been submitted to the Department of Economic Affairs for World Bank financing. The Government of Bangladesh has expressed interest in a loan for the Bangladesh Sundarbans. APPENDIX B.4 BUILDING WATER MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS IN THE GANGES SUB-BASIN FOR BANGLADESH The Ganges flow from India to Bangladesh is regulated by the 1996 Treaty between the Government of the Republic of India and the Government of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh on Sharing of the Ganga/Ganges Waters at Farakka (the Ganges Treaty). Despite the existing treaty, dry-season flows remain problematic and the development of the Ganges Dependent Area of southwest Bangladesh is hamstrung by limited water availability. The Ganges Dependent Area, which is principally fed by the Gorai River and its distributaries, is one of the poorest regions in Bangladesh, home to 40 million people and the world’s largest mangrove forest (the Sundarbans). This freshwater shortage during the dry winter season has led to river sedimentation and increased salinity of the surface water, soils and groundwater, which are in turn affecting rural and urban water supplies, crop and fish production, and the fragile mangrove ecosystems. Increasing the dry-season discharge of the Gorai River would increase the volume of freshwater entering the Ganges Dependent Area and mitigate some of these adverse impacts. It was traditionally thought that this objective could ultimately be achieved by building up storage capacity through the construction of large dams in Nepal. However, the SBA findings suggest more localized strategies also deserve consideration. Earlier studies have suggested that the dry-season discharge of the rivers in the Ganges Dependent Area could be augmented through a combination of continuous dredging and river structures such as a flow divider to divert flows from the Ganges into the Gorai river system. This study has explored how the productive uses of the dry- season flows allocated through the Ganges Treaty could be enhanced through the restoration of the Gorai river systems within the Ganges Dependent Area. In order to further strengthen water resources management in the sub-basin, the study also assessed ways in which hydrological information and flood forecasting systems could be strengthened and harmonized at the basin level in order to support a broader regional hydrological data-sharing platform. Indeed, cooperation on data collection, monitoring, and use between the Ganges basin countries (Bangladesh, China, India and Nepal) rather than joint infrastructure development is likely to be the key in addressing sub-basin management issues such as flood management and early warning systems. SAWI supported two main analytic activities. The first task assessed, through the development of mathematical models, the effectiveness of various management structures in augmenting the flow in the Gorai sub-basin and reducing salinity in downstream areas. This included (i) review of data collection for developing and updating mathematical models, (ii) an assessment of effectiveness of different offtake management structures in augmenting dry-season flow in the Gorai river system and (iii) and an evaluation of the downstream impacts of 29 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 augmented flow through the Gorai River on flow availability and salinity reduction in the southwest region of Bangladesh using a suite of dynamic mathematical models. Grant-funded activities also included workshops and consultations with local communities to assess their priorities in terms of improving dry-season flows in the Gorai sub-basin. The second task focused on development of a framework and designing hydrological information systems for the Ganges sub-basin. The work included (i) a review of existing data collection, transmission and management systems, (ii) an assessment of present and future water management information needs in the context of climate change and (iii) development of a detailed plan to rationalize and upgrade the network. The Government of Bangladesh is currently planning several major water-related infrastructure investments (totaling over US$3 billion) in the Gorai sub-basin to reduce water shortages, enhance agricultural productivity and reduce vulnerability to sea level rise. The SAWI studies played a crucial role in ensuring major infrastructure investments were not carried out in isolation. The SAWI studies provided the Government of Bangladesh with a more holistic framework by identifying the close interrelationship between freshwater flows, sea level rise, salinity and sedimentation and their impact on ecosystems, drainage, agricultural productivity and navigation, and identifying potential synergies between the proposed interrelated infrastructure investments. As well as providing a more holistic framework for the Government of Bangladesh to help ensure the proposed major infrastructure investments are more appropriate, sustainable and cost-effective, these studies have informed the World Bank in its own decision making with regard to proposed water-related infrastructure financing in this basin. Under this activity the World Bank team has conducted many workshops and training seminars to exchange ideas and share knowledge, which was critical to government officials in terms of building capacity to improve understanding of the intertwined complexities in the southwest region of Bangladesh. These studies have been used to encourage the Government of Bangladesh to focus on win-win, no regrets investments. More specifically, the findings provided evidence for the Government of Bangladesh to first start with short-term Gorai restoration activities, giving high returns over a short timescale, prior to proceeding with more complex and resource-intensive investment. The activity funded a workshop and expert meeting to study the implications of sea level rise for all development in coastal areas of Bangladesh. Investments in coastal areas of Bangladesh tremendously benefited from the findings of the workshop. The Coastal Embankment Project, which is jointly financed by the Government of Bangladesh, the Pilot Program for Climate Resilience of the Climate Investment Fund, and the World Bank with an amount of US$350 million, was designed to take into account estimates of climate change-induced sea level rise and subsidence that were investigated through and highlighted by SAWI activities. Dissemination of this work has been via two mechanisms. The first reached out to the Government of Bangladesh (specifically the Bangladesh Water Development Board and science and research institutions) and the Country Management Unit. A panel of experts was assembled to review controversial evidence from various studies (SAWI and others) and to provide practical recommendations for next steps. These recommendations were put to the Country Management Unit as part of the broader decision-making on regional investments and used to drive a series of roundtable discussions with the Government of Bangladesh about the costs and benefits of the Ganges Barrage. The second dissemination mechanism was for a wider audience of NGOs, policy makers and development agencies). A forthcoming SAWI discussion paper will distill the main implications for major water-related investments in delta areas in the context of limited data and rapid environmental and climate change. 30 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 APPENDIX B.5 GANGES-BRAHMAPUTRA-MEGHNA RIVER BASIN GROUNDWATER STUDY This activity aimed to better understand the complex processes between surface water and groundwater in the region and to illustrate key issues and concepts critical to the basin. It built on the Ganges SBA, an earlier SAWI activity that examined coastal salinity issues given changing sea levels and earlier groundwater modeling work in the Ganges river basin. The specific study objective was to assess how much system storage can be created by heavy dry-season pumping along rivers and by distribution of excess monsoon seasonal flow to wide areas by canals (to increase storage in groundwater beyond mere riverbank filtration), and how sensitive these results are to hydrogeological parameters. Season-dependent water availability is the primary water resources management challenge in the Ganges basin. Extreme monsoonal flow causes flooding in the basin on an almost yearly basis, while water scarcity during the dry season has been worsening. Increased dry-season water use in the upper basin affects the dry-season river flow downstream, where it is crucial for navigation, water supply and ecosystem sustainability. Although the annual water availability in the basin is greater than the annual demand, much of the monsoonal river flow is unregulated. A management scheme that stores a portion of the monsoonal flow as groundwater for use during the dry season would be effective, would enable low-flow season water use without affecting the dry-season river flow and would minimize the intensity of flooding due to reduced river discharge during the high-flow season. Numerical modeling was used to compare and contrast two management alternatives for conjunctive use of groundwater and surface water in the upper Ganges basin. The ability of each scheme to facilitate progress towards the following objectives was evaluated: (i) provide adequate water supply for irrigation and drinking water, (ii) reduce wet-season floods and (iii) maintain dry-season river flow. An associated benefit of such management schemes may be reduction of waterlogging, while drawbacks may include land subsidence and the need for new infrastructure. These factors were also considered. Two alternative management strategies were tested: the Ganges Water Machine (GWM) and the Pumping along Canals (PAC) strategy. The GWM involves intensive development of well-fields along major ephemeral rivers that. Groundwater pumping is restricted to the dry season only, creating subsurface storage space for infiltration of wet-season river flow. The PAC strategy involves intensive development of well-fields along unlined diversion canals for dry season groundwater pumping. Such a canal serves two purposes: it creates subsurface storage for wet season river flow diverted into these canals and provides surface water for wet-season irrigation. A general understanding of the hydrogeological functioning of the system was first developed, and then the general feasibility, advantages and disadvantages of each approach was assessed. Finally, as a practical example, the understanding from the general analyses was used to evaluate each scheme in Uttar Pradesh in the upper Ganges basin. GWM storage of wet season river flow was found to be significantly lower than originally estimated by Revelle and 11 Lakshminarayana (1975) , where the estimated storage volume was in too high as a result of ignoring vertical groundwater flow and aquifer sediment layering. To increase this more limited water storage volume (and flood reduction capacity), it is possible to increase groundwater pumping rates along the rivers. However, higher pumping rates result in higher cost and increased risk of land subsidence (which may occur in Ganges basin 11 Revelle, R., and V. Lakshminarayana. 1975. “The Ganges Water Machine.” Science 188(4188):611-16. 31 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 sediments at high pumping rates) and saline water production in some areas in the central Ganges plain where 12 saline groundwater exists within a depth interval of 160 to 250 m in the aquifer. The GWM is most effectively applied to ephemeral rivers. Should pumping occur along perennial rivers, the storage space created would be immediately refilled by river water, and it would be very difficult, without extremely high pumping rates (and power costs), to create sufficient subsurface storage volumes. So for perennial rivers, Revelle and Lakshminarayana (1975) proposed installing river diversion infrastructure around the GWM well-fields to achieve efficient scheme operation. However, drying hundreds of kilometers of perennial rivers would destroy the riverine ecosystem and navigability over much of the basin. The PAC strategy provides an alternative the GWM for perennial rivers, in which pumping occurs along canals that have their inlets at the perennial rivers. This strategy requires management of river diversion such that canals do not flow during the dry season and canals provide surface water for irrigation during the monsoon season. Pumping rates and costs are lower than for the GWM and therefore the risk of land subsidence is also lower. Both the PAC and the GWM schemes require transport of pumped groundwater from well-fields to agricultural fields for irrigation during the dry season. Depending on the pumping rate, GWM could provide storage of 17 – 46 billion cubic meters each year in Uttar Pradesh. Here, GWM would require construction of well-fields along 3000 km of ephemeral rivers. For the same equivalent river lengths of GWM, PAC could provide storage of about 25 billion cubic meters. Combined with rainfall, GWM storage could irrigate 7.3 – 15.4 million hectares without affecting dry-season river flow; PAC could irrigate 9 million hectares. Currently at least 12 million hectares of land is irrigated in Uttar Pradesh. APPENDIX B.6 IMPACTS OF CLIMATE RISKS ON WATER AND FOOD SECURITY IN THE INDUS The study of the impacts of climate risks on water and food security in the Indus basin of Pakistan occurred at a pivotal time in the region. The weak 2009 summer monsoon caused drought curing an already tenuous situation for many rural households faced with high fuel and fertilizer costs and the impacts of rising global food prices. This was followed by catastrophic flooding in the 2010 monsoon, affecting more than 20 million people, their housing, 13 infrastructure and crops; flood damages were estimated at around US$10 billion, with about half attributed to losses in the agricultural sector. The overall study objective was to assess the impacts of climate risks and various development alternatives on water and food security in the Indus basin of Pakistan. The study analyzed inter-relationships between climate, water and the agricultural sector in Pakistan. A better understanding of these linkages will help to guide prioritization and planning of future. The important role of water management in agricultural productivity and overall food security is recognized in many different forums and policy reports. However, these linkages are not always comprehensively addressed (with systems-based models) in federal and provincial planning documents. 12 Central Ground Water Board (CGWB). 1995. Groundwater Resources of India. Ministry of Water Resources, Government of India. 13 World Bank and Asian Development Bank. 2010. Pakistan Floods, 2010: Preliminary Damage and Needs Assessment. Islamabad, Pakistan. 32 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 The Indus basin in Pakistan, like other complex river basins, faces a common set of institutional and policy challenges: (i) international treaty tensions over upstream development, (ii) sectoral integration across water, agriculture, environment, climate and energy agencies at the national level, (iii) national–provincial coordination in a federal system of government and (d) inter-provincial water conflict resolution. The government of Pakistan has responded to these tensions in several creative ways, beginning with the establishment of the Water and Power Development Authority as a semiautonomous federal water agency, followed by establishment of the Indus River System Authority as a federal–inter-provincial coordinating organization. The Planning Commission’s Vision 2030 and reports of the intergovernmental Task Force on Climate Change and Task Force on Food Security articulate integrative analyses and recommendations. While a comparably broad national water policy is needed, reform of provincial irrigation institutions has been initiated over the past decade in Punjab and Sindh. Notwithstanding earlier efforts at integrative planning, much more institutional coordination, integration and conflict transformation will be required to address the substantive water, climate and food security issues. This common set of water and agricultural policy challenges is complicated by several dynamic stresses and institutional shifts in the Indus basin of Pakistan. First, catastrophic floods, droughts and earthquakes have occurred in the past decade, leading to the establishment of new, but not yet adequate, national and provincial disaster management agencies. Second, growing concerns about climate change led in 2012 to the adoption of a Climate Change Policy and creation of a Ministry of Climate Change. These new developments are promising but require major capacity building and rigorous coordination with established water, power and agricultural agencies. Additionally, these structural pressures and responses are occurring within the context of major constitutional th devolution from the national to provincial level. The 18 amendment to the Constitution, passed in April 2010, eliminated the concurrent list of federal and provincial responsibilities and devolved most of the functions on that list to provincial level. This constitutional change requires stronger policy linkages between the federal water sector and provincial irrigation and agricultural sectors. This will require vision and budget support at the federal and provincial levels. Moreover, assessments of climate impacts and adaptation – as they relate to the agricultural and water sectors – must devote increased emphasis to provincial planning, management, and governance. Most national and provincial development plans continue to focus on the role of infrastructure in addressing challenges of water and food security. Recent documents, however, have highlighted the increasing importance of improving irrigation efficiency and reducing fiscal shortfalls in the irrigation revenue system. Moreover, crop yield is identified as a key area for improvement, in particular as it relates to adaptation to climate change; for example, accelerated crop breeding and adoption of Bt cotton. The key conclusions of the study were: • Given the complexity of the upper Indus basin, there is considerable uncertainty about future climate impacts. More research is required including careful sensitivity analysis and understanding of modeling limitations. • The 1991 Accord is a critical hydrological constraint. Some gains could be made under an economically based water allocation framework. • Future climate risks are expected to impact the macro-economy and households. Climate risks could impact Sindh more than Punjab. Sugar cane, wheat, cotton and IRRI rice demonstrate the greatest climate sensitivity. • Non-farm household incomes will suffer more under these climate risk scenarios. • The increase in basin-wide storage will increase hydropower generation and minimize the impacts of extreme events. Additional storage may not increase crop production in the existing system. 33 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 • Different adaptation investments show potential to minimize the impacts of future climate risks. • Climate change is expected to impact future food availability at a national scale (all else being equal). • Environmental degradation will worsen in the absence of policy intervention. • An integrated systems framework provides a more nuanced and complete picture of how water and food security interrelate, important for investment and policy development. APPENDIX B.7 SOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF CLIMATE VULNERABILITY IN THE INDUS The 2010 Pakistan floods destroyed homes and livelihoods and devastated communities. At the height of the floods one fifth of the country was under water. Almost 2000 people lost their lives, and an estimated 10 million people were left homeless. About 3 million women, over 770,000 pregnant women and an estimated 9.5 million children under the age of 18 were directly impacted. The floods also disrupted assistance to 2.5 million conflict- affected internally displaced persons. In Sindh province, the floods affected 19 of 23 districts, and were further exacerbated by heavy monsoon rains further. In the future, environmental degradation and climate change may further exacerbate flooding. The government of Sindh initiated work supported by the World Bank to better understand, prioritize and address recurring environmental issues, one of which is the cost of natural disasters. SAWI provided supplementary funds to strengthen the social and gender aspects of the work to better understand how affected households and communities coped with and recovered and determine which types of recovery strategies best helped households in flood-affected districts to restore assets and livelihoods. A survey of 1000 households was conducted in two flood-affected districts of Sindh province. This work has identified the most effective coping and response measures, differentiated by social group and gender. The study contributed to the SAWI objective by generating new knowledge on the links between poverty and flood management. The outputs of the work include policy notes, working papers, full-length articles and just-in-time analyses. The government of Sindh has requested follow-on activities from the World Bank, but as yet there is no clarity if there would be investment lending. 34 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 APPENDIX C. NATIONAL ACTIVITY DESCRIPTIONS APPENDIX C.1 AFGHANISTAN: TECHNICAL SUPPORT FOR INTEGRATED RIVER BASIN PLANNING AND INVESTMENTS The World Bank’s Afghanistan Water Resources Development (AWARD) built capacity in the Water Resources Planning Unit (in the Ministry of Energy and Water) to undertake strategic basin planning, water resources management and investment prioritization. SAWI supported the project, in particular with regard to institutional development and capacity building. Key outcomes indicators included: (i) Water Resources Planning Unit and Project Preparation Unit staffed with adequately trained staff and consultants, (ii) knowledge base and analytical tools developed for the Kabul river basin and other targeted basins, (iii) investment priorities in the Kabul river basin and other targeted basins are identified and (iv) preparation studies completed for priority investment options (at least to prefeasibility levels). To support AWARD SAWI provided technical support for institutional development and capacity building in the Water Resources Planning Unit. SAWI technical support (i) enhanced knowledge and capacity on issues of regional, and in particular transboundary, water resources management and climate adaptation, (ii) facilitated multi- stakeholder dialogue and policy deliberation and (iii) promoted cooperative action including policy reforms, institutional development and investment. SAWI funded technical experts assisted with capacity development, institutional development, filling data gaps and converting data to information for decision making, knowledge base development, river basin management, investment planning and mainstreaming climate change into management of water resources development. They worked with the World Bank task team to provide specialized in advising the Ministry of Energy and Water on strategy, policy and planning to assist further refining of the prioritized list of medium- to large-scale water infrastructure investments. SAWI funded another consultant to develop optimization models for the country river basins to help Water Resources Planning Unit staff, using early results from the large ensemble experiment using the WEAP simulation model, contribute to the decision-making process and identify preferred and prioritized water infrastructure investment options. These analyses identified the Shatoot bulk water supply system as the best option for Kabul City (approximately US$350 million); the government of Afghanistan is proceeding with detailed project design. Water Resources Planning Unit staff attended training courses in China (land surface observation and modeling and data assimilation) and in Pakistan (snow and ice glacier melt models for the Indus basin). Basin atlases for the Kabul and Panj Amu were prepared. The Kabul River Basin Investment Plan and the investment plan for the Panj Amu were also prepared. This has been carried out mainly by the local staff of the AWARD project in cooperation with the AWARD project technical support consultant. A portfolio review of eight feasibility studies was undertaken. The Ministry now has enhanced capacity for collection and analysis of relevant hydrological and meteorological data, running models and interpreting model results, contributing to river basin plans, preparing terms of reference for consultants, reading and evaluating consultancy reports, evaluating feasibility studies and giving feedback to consultants and departmental officials. The Ministry is now equipped with an improved knowledge base and there is more understanding of the integrated water resources management approach among staff and officials. Afghanistan has accepted an integrated water resources management and river basin management approach as its policy choice for water 35 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 resources management. The SAWI contribution helped to further strengthen the different aspects of the integration across sectors and stakeholders. AWARD, with assistance from SAWI, paved the way for innovation in prioritizing investment projects in the water sector, including analysis of their impacts across sectors and stakeholders, both upstream and downstream. The Project Preparation Unit in the Ministry used the priority investments identified in the report entitled Scoping Strategic Options for Development of the Kabul River Basin to plan various water development projects. Project reviews have been strengthened with guidance provided by an international civil engineer. These reviews include feasibility studies for the Gulbahar Storage Dam, Shatoot Storage Dam I, and the Kama Irrigation and Hydropower Project. The objective is to maximize water development benefits from energy and irrigation projects in the Kabul river basin. The Project Preparation Unit has also reviewed technical proposals for water development projects in other basins, is maintaining the water resources database for Afghanistan and beginning to prepare planning and design standards and guidelines for prefeasibility and feasibility studies. AWARD successfully formed a government of Afghanistan multidisciplinary transboundary negotiating team that participated in dialogue on international waters with neighboring riparian countries. AWARD contributed to compiling and disseminating information on a more integrated and holistic water resources management approach to different stakeholders, including some senior government officials in the country. The SAWI-funded ADD contributed in providing opportunities for senior staff of the Ministry to see how different countries have been coping with and cooperating on transboundary water issues and learn about the challenges in managing those issues, including the impact of climate change on water resources. APPENDIX C.2 BANGLADESH: RESPONSIBLE SOURCING INITIATIVE The Bangladesh Responsible Sourcing Initiative (RSI) is a joint initiative of the United States Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) and the International Finance Corporation (IFC). The overall objective was to promote environmental compliance in the textile industry to reduce industrial water pollution in the Dhaka watershed. The specific objective was to identify water and energy best practices for the Bangladesh textile industry and to encourage adoption through market mechanisms and new partnerships between the suppliers of major multinational apparel retailers and brands, Bangladeshi textile industry trade associations and the Government of Bangladesh. RSI used Bangladesh as a case study, along with earlier experience in China, to identify best-practice cleaner production processes in typical textile mills that are low cost, energy and water efficient, and less polluting. By reducing energy use and carbon release from one of the biggest industrial emitters in Bangladesh, the study demonstrated effective climate change mitigation measures. The Bangladesh and China RSI findings are being shared with major retail brands interested in greening their supply chain, including Nike, Gap, Levi’s, H&M, Target, Marks & Spencer, Wal-Mart and Li & Fung. An assessment of thirty factories in Dhaka screened suitable top- and medium-performing factories for the RSI best-practice study. Seven were selected for in-depth audits: three top-performing factories to determine their strengths and four medium-performing factories to determine the most applicable low-cost practices. Seven low- cost best practices were identified, with investments under US$60,000 and a payback time of eight months or less, which if implemented together could reduce water and energy use by 25 percent and chemical use by 10 percent: water leakage elimination, cooling water reuse, process water reuse, steam management, pipe insulation, heat recovery and improved dye recipes. 36 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 In 2011 a high-level workshop jointly hosted in Dhaka by the Government of Bangladesh, the World Bank, IFC and NRDC discussed the preliminary findings of the cleaner production audits based on existing best practices in leading textile factories in Bangladesh and opportunities and challenges for scaling up the adoption of such measures in lower-performing factories. This multi-stakeholder workshop brought together the Director General of the Department of Environment and other senior officials from the Ministry of Environment and Forests, the heads of national business associations, regional buyers, participating factories and interested development partners, including the German Agency for International Cooperation (GIZ) and the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (SIDA). A monitoring and compliance training course for staff from the Ministry of Environment and Forests and the Department of Environment was held by NRDC and the USEPA Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assurance. In 2012 follow-up meetings were held in Washington, DC, at the World Bank with NRDC, IFC and senior executives of the multinational companies. Although there are tremendous potential benefits for mills to implement cleaner production methods, uptake remains low. The World Bank team produced a policy note identifying options for scaling up cleaner production. Scaling up requires addressing market failure either by reducing the cost of implementing cleaner production measures (via access to information and enhanced market linkages for cleaner production products and financing) or by increasing the cost of not adopting cleaner production methods (by internalizing externalities relating to water scarcity and pollution). Measures to reduce the cost of implementing cleaner production processes (which tend to involve moderate implementation risk and cost) include: • Pollution information (transparency index and policy). A strong push for improved environmental performance of textile mills can come from the public. However, without information they have no grounds for such action. The Government of Bangladesh could play a significant role in starting pollution information-sharing initiatives; examples to learn from could include the China Pollution Information Transparency Index. Such an index could create incentives for companies to meet certain standards of production and could widen their business opportunities from achieving good environmental performance ratings. • Environmental pollution assistance centers. There is a great deal of information on pollution prevention and environmental performance concerning best practices but it is not always easily accessible. Assistance centers could present an opportunity for the Government of Bangladesh to be involved in a stand-alone or hybrid center that could function as a one-stop shop for policy and regulatory information with respect to cleaner production best practices in the textile industry. • Cleaner productions products. One of the main initial findings of the RSI was that few factories had water or energy meters in place. One reason for this was the high price of meters, partly because of high taxes on the meters. Reduced taxation (including import duties) on these and similar items could provide a positive enabling environment for successful implementation of cleaner production best practices. Measures to increase the cost of not adopting cleaner production methods could potentially have a more transformative impact, but involve greater costs and implementation risks. They include: • Groundwater licensing. Strengthening the groundwater licensing regime by metering private tubewells and raising tariffs to cover the full cost of water would incentivize the adoption of water-related cleaner production measures and encourage more metering; this is in itself a basic tool for successful implementation of cleaner production methods. 37 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 • Environmental standards. The concentration-based standards currently in place are an incentive for factories to dilute pollution to meet concentration standards. Introduction of load-based standards is planned, whereby factories will have to actually reduce their pollution levels or treat polluted discharges before disposing of them in the rivers. • Zero Discharge of Hazardous Chemicals (ZDHC). Following a Greenpeace report entitled Dirty Laundry, which exposed the discharge of hazardous chemicals by many factories supplying multinational companies, a group of multinationals created a working group that developed a plan to achieve ZDHC by 2020. This is an area where the government could exert pressure to help factories and multinational companies reach the goal of ZDHC. The World Bank’s comparative advantage would be to focus on removing regulatory bottlenecks and facilitating a dialogue between the government and global brands. Meanwhile, IFC could support the local suppliers through better access to information, technology and finance. Finally, the brands, with support from NGOs such as NRDC, should continue to green their global supply chains. The goal is to ensure that all export-led textile mills in Bangladesh have the information, means, and incentives to comply with basic environmental regulations, monitor their water use and adopt practices that make both business and environmental sense. The RSI led to the development of a two-tiered multi-stakeholder platform: a forum for regional dialogue and deliberation, informed by national-level incubator activities. While national-level incubator activities have so far focused on Bangladesh (SAWI financed), India and China (not SAWI financed), the platform could now also be used to consider a broader range of water-related issues faced by the global apparel supply chain (for example, cotton production in Afghanistan and Pakistan). The objective of the RSI multi-stakeholder engagement process is to reduce the water footprint of the global apparel supply chain. The RSI generated new knowledge (potential for cleaner production by textile mills in Bangladesh) and used the multi-stakeholder platform to disseminate this knowledge and encourage participating brands to review their supply chain guidelines. In the process, a new best-practice model was developed for engaging nontraditional partners to address water footprints in complex global supply chains in the region and beyond. The RSI identified seven low-cost cleaner production practices for the textile industry in Bangladesh that can simultaneously enhance factory productivity and reduce water use and pollution generation. The high degree of consistency with earlier findings in China also confirmed the highly replicable nature of these cleaner production benefits among Asian textile mills. At the local level, this new knowledge raised awareness among national trade associations and factories of the potential benefits of adopting cleaner production, thereby helping overcome one of the main barriers for cleaner production uptake (namely lack of information). At the regional level, this new knowledge raised brands’ awareness of the magnitude of their water footprint, and encouraged participating brands to look more closely at their global supply chain guidelines and explore ways to reduce their global footprint. The IFC and RSI collaborated while simultaneously implementing the respective cleaner production initiatives, each with slightly different objectives. The World Bank’s objectives were to pilot cleaner production best practices in order to verify whether they had universal application, and whether a cleaner production best-practice approach could be included in the supply chain guidelines of multinational companies. IFC’s objectives were to pilot best practices in Bangladesh prior to up-scaling. The initial cleaner production best-practice pilot of eighteen factories led to savings of US$2 million and 1.26 million cubic meters of water through resource efficiency measures. 38 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 Based on this experience IFC launched its Water Partnership for Cleaner Textiles (Water PaCT), a US$11 million initiative that is focusing on (i) reduction of water usage, (ii) reduction of wastewater use and quality improvement, (iii) reduction of energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions and (iv) improvement in occupational health and safety and water, sanitation and hygiene conditions. Among Water PaCT’s goals are awareness raising and installation of meters in up to 500 factories. APPENDIX C.3 BANGLADESH HYDROMET TECHNICAL STUDY Bangladesh is the poorest and most densely populated country in South Asia. With its low-lying topography, dense river network and climate, it is exposed to a range of water- and climate-related hazards. The Ganges- Brahmaputra-Meghna basin regularly experiences riverine, rain-fed and flash floods. Regular river floods affect 20 percent of the country, increasing up to 68 percent in extreme years. Bangladesh’s coastal districts are very vulnerable to sea level rise, coastal and tidal flooding, and some of the most devastating tropical storms accompanied by storm surges. The severity of flooding is highest when these effects coincide with peak floods in major rivers. In the last 40 years, floods and cyclones resulted in over 500,000 deaths in Bangladesh. The associated cumulative economic loss for this period is estimated to be US$12 billion. With climate change the frequency and intensity of natural hazards is expected to increase Despite Bangladesh’s high exposure and vulnerability to severe weather and flood events, its hydro-meteorological observation network is primarily manual, with manual data collection, transmission and storage, and only limited real-time hydrological and flood forecasting. Strengthening this capacity and reducing lead times for flood forecasting is essential for improving disaster preparedness and water resources management, adapting to climate change and achieving sustained poverty reduction. Natural hazards in South Asia are often transboundary in nature and require solutions that go beyond national borders. A strong capacity to monitor and forecast hydro- meteorological hazards, at both national and regional levels, is critical to responding to water-related natural disasters and adapting to climate risks. The Bangladesh Hydromet Technical Study was designed to inform broader efforts to enhance regional cooperation with respect to mitigation of hydro-meteorological hazards and climate adaptation in South Asia. Its main objective was to provide technical assistance to the Government of Bangladesh on the modernization of hydro-meteorological system and services. The study was requested by the Bangladesh Water Development Board under the Ministry of Water Resources, and delivered in collaboration with other relevant agencies, including the Bangladesh Meteorology Department and the Disaster Management Bureau, and through extensive consultations with donors. Developing and empowering national hydro-meteorological institutions are critical to engaging at the regional level. Though the activity focused on Bangladesh, the findings also inform regional efforts to enhance cooperation on water-related hazards and climate adaptation. Recommendations on network modernization and strengthening of flood forecasting services were based on a detailed assessment of the existing hydro-meteorological observation network and capacity of flood forecasting and early warning systems, and an assessment of institutional and governance issues linked with hydro- meteorological modernization. Key focus areas included (i) a needs assessment to determine various users and uses of hydro-meteorological data, (ii) a review of the existing hydro-meteorological network, systems for data transmission, storage and areas of modernization, (iii) a review of flood forecasting and early warning systems and identification of gaps and (iv) an institutional and organizational assessment relating to hydro-meteorological modernization. 39 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 SAWI funding supported extensive consultations with the government, donors and NGOs; the hiring of international and local consultants; preparation of a draft technical study on network design of a modernized hydrological information system in Bangladesh; and field visits to the northeastern and western regions of Bangladesh to better understand subnational hydrological and flood management issues. The government took strong ownership and leadership of the activity. Based on the consultations and preliminary recommendations of the study, the government has requested follow-up work and is currently seeking financing for this activity. APPENDIX C.4 INDIA: CUMULATIVE IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF HYDROPOWER PROJECTS Inadequate electricity supply has long been a constraint to economic and human development in India; currently, more than 400 million people in India are without reliable access to electricity. The Government of India has a strategic focus on improving the power supply to the economy and ensuring universal access to electricity. Hydroelectric power has an important role to play in meeting the government’s ambitious development targets, as only about 30 percent of the country’s estimated hydroelectric power potential has been developed. As concerns grow in India, as elsewhere in the world, over the high cost of fossil fuels and the global and local environmental impacts of their widespread use, hydropower is increasingly seen as an economic and potentially sustainable alternative to fossil fuels for the generation of electricity. Hydropower offers numerous advantages over other types of electricity generation, including system stabilization benefits, which are central to efficient management of the daily surges in the demand for power that result from the large number of households in India whose demand is concentrated in the morning and evening hours. Hydropower is also attractive because of low operating costs relative to fossil fuel plants and the important contribution it could make to India’s low-carbon growth strategy. At the same time however, there is a legacy of large cost and time overruns because of the numerous obstacles faced by hydropower development, including geological, technical, project management, financial, social and environmental aspects. Moreover, as construction is begun on more and more hydropower projects, there has been an increasing awareness, in government and in the public at large, of the great need for a more informed understanding of the likely cumulative and induced impacts of large-scale hydro development. In the public discourse over hydropower development in Uttarakhand and at the national level in India, the question of ensuring adequate river flows downstream of dams has emerged as a particular concern. The Ministry of Environment and Forests has taken the lead in assessing these aspects of hydropower development at the river basin level. In 2010 the ministry commissioned the Indian Institute of Technology- Roorkee (IIT-Roorkee) to carry out a cumulative impact assessment of proposed hydropower development in the basins of the two major tributaries of the Ganges in India: the Bhagirathi and Alaknanda Rivers. At the request of IIT-Roorkee the World Bank participated in a 2010 international workshop sponsored by IIT-Roorkee. SAWI funded two international experts on cumulative impact assessment to attend the workshop and provided ongoing technical assistance, including expert commentary, throughout the preparation period of the cumulative impact assessment. SAWI support was instrumental in delivering a cumulative impact assessment of proposed hydropower development in two of the major tributaries of the Ganges (the Bhagirathi and Alaknanda Rivers). The cumulative impact assessment was submitted to the Ministry of Environment and Forests in 2011 and has since been acknowledged as India’s first comprehensive cumulative impact assessment of hydropower development on major river basins. 40 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 APPENDIX C.5 INDIA: GANGES INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS SUPPORT The Ganges River – of great cultural, religious and hydrological significance – runs for more than 2500 km in India through the states of Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal. The basin as a whole extends to 11 states, accounting for 26 percent of India’s land mass and more than 40 percent of its water resources. Much of the river is heavily polluted with multiple hotspots and critical stretches. Cleanup of the Ganges has been the subject of decades of media attention, including a particular focus on the poor water quality and the government’s inadequate clean up attempts to-date. Launched in 2009, the National Ganga River Basin Authority (NGRBA) is a flagship initiative of the Government of India to clean and conserve the Ganges River (“Ganga” in Hindi). The new authority, hailed as a potential game changer in how water quality is addressed in India, is composed of state Chief Ministers and key Union Ministers and is headed by the Prime Minister. In its National Mission Clean Ganga, it has resolved that by year 2020 no untreated sewage or industrial effluent will be discharged into the Ganges. On request, the World Bank began preparation in 2009 of a major project to support the NGRBA program. The US$1.5 billion project – including a US$1 billion loan from the World Bank – was approved by the World Bank Board of Directors and declared effective in 2011. Associated investments under the project aim to plug some of the major infrastructure gaps in four key sectors: wastewater management, solid waste management, industrial pollution control and riverfront management. SAWI funds supported early analytical work on the institutional arrangements and organizational structure needed to operationalize the NGRBA program. In particular, SAWI supported: • A workshop on global experience in river cleaning and basin management (New Delhi, 2010) co-hosted by the Ministry of Environment and Forests. The workshop shared experiences from international rivers that have been successfully cleaned or improved, and engaged a wide array of stakeholders in discussion. Participants and panelists included members of central government and of the five basin states and key engaged members of civil society, including the nine expert members from academia and civil society who sit on the high-level NGRBA. • A targeted technical assistance on institutional development, using the services of several consultants (including the former CEO of the Murray-Darling Basin Commission) hired to advise government on a range of issues, such as river basin management and institutional design of the operational arms of the NGRBA, including what became the National Mission Clean Ganga at the center and the state program management groups in the states. SAWI funding has been instrumental in enabling the World Bank to engage on difficult issues including the creation of new institutions, which, when established and properly operational, will be transformative. In the years ahead more work will be needed to support the operational units of the NGRBA at both the center and in the basin states, as it recognized that these institutional reform efforts take considerable time. APPENDIX C.6 INDIA: SUPPORT FOR THE NATIONAL GANGA RIVER BASIN PROJECT The National Ganga River Basin Project was established to support the NGRBA’s national and state operational- level institutions, to ensure that they are capable of planning and implementing a multi-sectoral river water quality improvement program in a basin context, and to reduce pollution loads into the Ganges in selected investment 41 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 locations through sustainable interventions. The project has an institutional development component and an infrastructure investment component. The first component will build the basin and state institutions needed to operationalize the program, including a new state-of-the-art Ganga Knowledge Center, and increase the capacity of the environmental regulators (e.g., pollution control boards) and urban service providers (e.g., water and sanitation boards of cities). The second component will fund priority infrastructure investments in four sectors (wastewater collection and treatment, industrial pollution control, solid waste management and riverfront management). In the first year of project preparation and general World Bank support to the government of India in the design of the NGRBA program, SAWI supported analytical work on the institutional development needed to improve the resilience and engagement of the program. In particular, SAWI supported the delivery of a workshop on international experiences with river cleaning in a basin context, and the implementation of a targeted technical assistance program on institutional development relying on the advice and expertise of national and international consultants (including the former CEO of the Murray-Darling Basin Commission). SAWI funding was instrumental in enabling the Bank to go beyond normal preparatory activities and engage on difficult issues, such as the creation of new institutions. These new institutions, including the National Mission Clean Ganga and the state program management groups in the states, form the operational core of the new program. They represent the organizations dedicated to implementation of the NGRBA program on a day-to-day basis and are the key to its success. In 2011 additional SAWI support helped design the Water Quality Monitoring Program and the Ganga Knowledge Center and supported capacity building for environmental regulators. SAWI supported exploration of a design for the first Clean Development Mechanism carbon credit program for river cleanup and piloting of net energy- generating sewage treatment plants. The project reports for the SAWI-funded subcomponents – the Water Quality Monitoring Program, the Ganga Knowledge Center, and capacity building of environmental regulators – were prepared by World Bank staff, dedicated expert consultants and the Ministry of Environment and Forests, and were approved by the Steering Committee of the National Mission Clean Ganga in 2012. APPENDIX C.7 INDIA: GROUNDWATER MANAGEMENT The World Bank study and technical assistance on groundwater management in India was conceived with two main objectives: (i) to identify management strategies for promoting sustainable groundwater use in India, within a systematic, economically sound and politically feasible framework and (ii) to provide focused technical support for enhancing the outcomes of groundwater management interventions under World Bank financed projects in participating states. It was recognized that conventional command-and-control approaches, as well as classical economic approaches, were impracticable for managing groundwater overexploitation in India, due to the sheer scale of the problem and the political sensitivities. Attention therefore focused on pragmatic approaches that could make incremental improvements largely within the existing institutional framework and building political support for gradual and realistic institutional improvements at higher levels by first demonstrating successful interventions at local level. SAWI supported technical and policy working sessions at various stages of the initiative to discuss the emerging results and their implications. Two technical working sessions were organized with the groundwater and water resources departments of the participating Indian states, where the physical basis of findings were discussed and assessed for their relevance in various different groundwater settings of India. Following those sessions, a senior 42 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 policy working session was organized, convened by the Secretary (Water Resources) of the Government of India and chaired by the Member (Water) of the Planning Commission of India. The working sessions assessed the policy implications of the emerging findings and the political feasibility of recommendations. Given the significant departure of the study findings from traditional approaches recommended for groundwater management, these sessions provided the team with the opportunity to ensure that the study recommendations would be pragmatic, implementable and effective. The working sessions were part of the capacity-building and dissemination strategy, with the participation of technical staff of the state groundwater management agencies, as well as senior state and central government officials charged with policy development and implementation of groundwater management programs in India. The report Deep Wells and Prudence: Towards Pragmatic Action for Addressing Groundwater Overexploitation in India was launched in 2010 and was well received by central and state governments as well as a broader set of stakeholders. The report was personally launched by India’s Union Minister of Water Resources, a sign of the government’s support of its findings. The report and its preceding engagement had a significant impact on policy and action in state and national governments, as exemplified by Andhra Pradesh funding replication and scaling-up of community management models recommended by the report; Punjab and Uttar Pradesh commencing separation of agricultural power feeders; and the government of India’s Department of Rural Water Supply preparing a multi-district program to replicate the groundwater management approaches for ensuring drinking water security. The report influenced global discourse on groundwater management, with coverage in the World Development Report, The Economist, The Wall Street Journal (India edition) and numerous Indian publications. The key challenge lies in the fact that the pragmatic solutions to groundwater management comprise varying sets of interventions in multiple sectors and are therefore not amenable to either typical centrally funded or externally assisted programs. Addressing the management needs therefore requires continued dialogue and engagement with state-level leadership, as proved by the gains of the above initiative. The future challenge is to devise a mechanism for providing technical assistance and advisory support to the states. APPENDIX C.8 NEPAL: SUPPORT TO WATER RESOURCES AND CLIMATE CHANGE AGENDA Nepal, in the headwaters of the Ganges basin, has a wealth of water resources, with more than 6000 rivers including the Mahakali, Karnali, Gandaki and Kosi basins. Given its geographic position and immense water wealth, Nepal is central to water management and adaptation strategies for the region as a whole. Hydro-meteorological information systems, water storage and mountain and forest ecosystem services can provide benefits across the Gangetic plains. To date Nepal’s water resources remain largely untapped. Only 2 percent of the country’s economically feasible hydropower has been developed and only 17 percent of cultivated areas are irrigated year round. However, Nepal is extremely vulnerable to water-related hazards. Nepal’s terai (lowlands) and the downstream states in India routinely suffer from devastating floods affecting large, poor populations. In 2011 Nepal was ranked the fourth most climate-vulnerable country in the world. Several of Nepal’s most important development opportunities (hydropower and agriculture) are highly susceptible to climate change, and its most extreme development risks (drought, flood, glacial lake outburst floods, waterborne disease) may be heightened by climate change. The vulnerability of communities and the economy, given their heavy dependence on natural resources, means that small changes in climate can have severe consequences. 43 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 This SAWI-supported activity was developed to assist dialogue with the government of Nepal and to provide demand-responsive just-in-time technical inputs to help the government define its priorities pertaining to water resources management and climate change. SAWI support of the activity was complemented by other funding sources. The Water and Energy Commission Secretariat (WECS) – the government body mandated to implement river basin management and to guard against conflicting uses of water within basins – requested World Bank and SAWI support for the development of a GIS water resources knowledge base. The knowledge base is intended to facilitate rapid access to key data and information on water supplies and demands, and risks and opportunities in the basins of Nepal. It is a fundamental decision support tool and an advocacy tool for WECS in communicating with stakeholders inside and outside government who need to understand the opportunities and weigh the trade- offs inherent in water resources development. The knowledge base is intended to be the main knowledge platform of the Water Resources Information Center that is currently being established at WECS under the ongoing World Bank-financed Irrigation and Water Resources Management Project. A consulting firm was contracted (in 2010) to work closely with WECS staff to develop the database, geo-information and management system, water resources atlases and a web portal, and to train WECS staff. The consultancy results were presented during a final dissemination workshop in late 2010. The web portal is at http://www.wecs-wrkb.gov.np/en/map/. Additional work is being planned to further populate the database. Several stakeholders are already using the knowledge base. In addition to WECS, the National Electricity Authority is using the knowledge because it is the only geo-referenced database of hydropower licenses in Nepal. The government of Nepal has demonstrated its interest in the database and is contributing to its further development, in particular with regard to environmental information. The World Bank (through separately funded technical assistance) has supported the expansion of the existing GIS-based water resources information system into a water–environment and natural resources database by including environmental and natural resource-related data for Nepal’s river basins in the GIS system. This small SAWI investment in information management has been extremely effective in raising awareness, creating demand among stakeholders and leveraging multiple uses of information. WECS also requested World Bank support for capacity building in river basin modeling. Without the capacity to model basin-wide flows and withdrawals, their capacity to manage water resources was severely constrained, particularly regarding allocation of water when there are competing demands, or understanding the upstream and downstream impacts of infrastructure development. The World Bank delivered a two-part course to train key staff from WECS and other relevant government agencies in 2009 and to build two functioning basin models (for the Babai and the West Rapti basins.) These basins were chosen because of ongoing negotiations between the governments of Nepal and India over developments in these rivers. The models were immediately used by the government of Nepal negotiating team to better understand the hydrological implications of those developments. As mandated by the government of Nepal, a Transboundary Water Cell was established in WECS to serve as the government’s focal point for transboundary waters. Shortly after its establishment WECS requested World Bank support for capacity strengthening to fulfill the mandate of the Cell. Support was provided through training and a workshop: Support was provided for two WECS officials to attend the Water Diplomacy: Sharing Waters, Sharing Benefits training at the Arab Water Academy, Abu Dhabi, in 2009. AWA is a regional center of excellence on water issues and offers state-of-the-art executive education and capacity development programs. The training focused on fostering cooperation on international waters and improving the governance of international water 44 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 resources management and development. Specific objectives were to (i) prepare leaders to operate in a complex political economy as facilitators of reform, change or transformation, (ii) understand the principles of international water law and apply strategies that lead to successful agreements between countries on sharing water resources, (iii) learn and apply diplomatic methods as a means of reducing risks of conflicts over water and expanding thinking on benefits beyond water and economics, (iv) enhance skills through the mastering of techniques of influencing, negotiations, mediation, facilitation and communications and (v) appreciate the importance of “authentic diplomacy” as a means of reducing risks of conflicts over water and expanding the pool of economic, social, political and environmental benefits across parties. A workshop on transboundary water management and international law was sponsored in Nepal in 2010. Over 30 representatives from different ministries participated in the workshop, which focused on Nepal’s international rivers treaties. The main workshop objectives were to familiarize participants with the history of international river treaties and international water law, norms and common practices of international river negotiations, and relevant lessons for Nepal. In 2009 the first ministerial-level conference on climate change in South Asia, also the first ministerial-level conference in Nepal in over 10 years, was held in Kathmandu. The conference – Kathmandu to Copenhagen: A Vision for Addressing Climate Change Risks and Opportunities in the Himalaya Region – was opened by the Prime Minister and brought together eight high-level delegations from the region to discuss the risks and opportunities they face in the context of climate change. The conference provided a forum for countries to share knowledge and experience, explore cooperative adaptation opportunities and develop a common message to the global community. The conference resulted in a common vision, which the Prime Minister of Nepal delivered to the fifteenth session of the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. A second conference in 2009 – Kathmandu to Copenhagen: The Way Forward for Nepal – focused strongly on Nepal. It explored potential climate change scenarios, laid out the government’s strategic directions and offered a broad range of stakeholder views. The conference resulted in the signing of a donor compact between the Ministry of Environment and fourteen key development partners that committed all parties to concerted, harmonized support for climate change adaptation in Nepal. The compact remains regularly referenced by the government of Nepal and donors as the guiding principle for harmonization in the sector. Support was provided to the government of Nepal to host the Summiteers’ Summit to Save the Himalaya, a side event marking International Mountain Day at the fifteenth session of the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Climate Change Convention. Himalayan summiteers gathered to raise awareness of climate change challenges in high mountains where temperatures are rising fastest, and to help strengthen Nepal’s voice in international climate negotiations. This event followed in the spirit of the Kathmandu to Copenhagen conferences. Following the successful Kathmandu to Copenhagen conferences and the Summiteers’ Summit to Save the Himalaya, the government of Nepal has continued to advocate action to address the needs of high mountain states in global climate change discussions. During the Copenhagen Climate Change Conference, the Prime Minister announced the launch of the Mountain Initiative, saying: “I therefore take this opportunity to call on all the mountain countries and stakeholders to come together, form a common platform and make sure that mountain concerns get their due attention in international deliberations. Let us make sure that our interests are prominently represented in future negotiations of the Conference of the Parties, and let us make sure that our efforts of adaptation get the required international support.” Since the Copenhagen Climate Change Conference the government of Nepal has delivered two well-received Mountain Alliance Initiative side events. The first was 45 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 hosted at the thirty-second sessions of the Climate Change Convention subsidiary bodies (2010) and the second was held at the sixteenth session of the Conference of the Parties, Cancun, Mexico (2010) where delegates and experts from Nepal, Peru, Tajikistan and Uganda, as well as senior representatives from the World Bank, Asian Development Bank, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the Mountain Partnership and ICIMOD made presentations during a program held under the chairship of the Minister for Environment of the government of Nepal. Delegates and experts highlighted the serious adverse impacts of climate change in the mountains and committed their support to the Nepal-led Mountain Alliance Initiative. In 2012 t he government of Nepal organized the International Conference of Mountain Countries on Climate Change. Participants included ministers responsible for environment and mountain affairs from a number of countries and over 300 senior delegates and experts from 25 countries. During the conference the Kathmandu Call for Action was adopted, which served as an important step towards strengthening the mountain agenda in general and in preparation for the United Nations Conference on Sustainable Development, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (2012), and the eighteenth session of the Conference of the Parties to the Climate Change Convention, Doha (2012). The conference was supported by SAWI and a number of other agencies, including ICIMOD, DFID, the United Nations Development Programme, WWF and the Asian Development Bank. The World Bank, with SAWI support, hosted several Climate Change Coordination Group meetings chaired by the Nepal Country Director during 2008–2010. These meetings brought together representatives of development partners and national climate change networks to exchange knowledge and harmonize efforts. A climate change distribution list and periodically updated matrix of climate change activities were created, both of which have been extensively used by the donor community, government and researchers. The Climate Change Coordination Group suspended meetings in 2010 after the Ministry of Environment created the Multi-stakeholder Climate Change Initiatives Coordination Committee. This committee is convened by the Secretary of the Ministry of Environment and includes key government stakeholders, development partners, private sector representatives and civil society representatives. The World Bank team remains involved in climate change coordination activities through this new government-owned coordination mechanism. The Building Resilience to Climate-Related Hazards technical assistance provided the opportunity to establish the World Bank as a key partner in climate change adaptation and laid the foundation for stakeholder consultations on the Pilot Program for Climate Resilience, funded by the Climate Investment Funds. This provided the World Bank with the opportunity to design a US$31 million investment project: Building Resilience to Climate- Related Hazards, which aims to enhance government capacity to mitigate climate-related hazards by improving the accuracy and timeliness of weather and flood forecasts and warnings for climate-vulnerable communities, as well as developing agricultural management information system services to help farmers mitigate climate-related production risks. Delivery of the above activities was enabled by sustained dialogue with government and civil society stakeholders. The technical assistance was instrumental in positioning Nepal as a leader in climate change issues for mountain countries and for the World Bank’s engagements in water resources and climate change. It has also been valuable in strengthening dialogue in other related areas of business such as hydropower, agriculture and social protection. Additionally, it helped to build skills for WECS staff on modeling and international water resources management and development. Additionally, it helped the Ministry of Science, Technology and Environment establish an active multi-stakeholder platform on climate change issues. 46 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 APPENDIX D. SAWI OUTREACH APPENDIX D.1 COMMUNICATIONS Communications in the form of dialogue, deliberations, partnerships and information sharing have played a key role in planning and execution of SAWI. Activities range from mitigating risks through high-level political dialogue to informing investments towards needs-based design and delivery, to working jointly with partners on issues of mutual interest. The communications activities can be broadly categorized into: (i) policy advocacy for SAWI and related issues, (ii) dialogue and developing linkages with other initiatives and organizations, (iii) informing relevant World Bank investments to better align them to the needs of diverse stakeholders and (iv) knowledge management efforts such as website, publication guidelines and newsletters. Dialogue and information sharing were both initiated and deepened with key policy makers, government officials and stakeholders from ministries responsible for water resources management with an initial focus on three countries – China, India and Pakistan. ADD members and their networks were instrumental in this effort. The primary purpose was to create better understanding of SAWI and its activities while building support for its objectives and work program. This has resulted in better participation in the 2012 ADD meeting, more openness for SAWI’s work program and its relevance to the countries’ programs and priorities, and more ability to partner with governments on key activities. Dialogues were held and linkages developed with other initiatives and organizations working on issues related to water resources management, including transboundary cooperation, flood management, hydropower development, and social and economic aspects of water resources management. Dialogue was also initiated for joint activities with initiatives such as the Third Pole Project and the International Growth Center. Some other notable entities with which regular interaction took place include the governments of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh states in India; the Mekong Program on Water, Environment and Resilience; the Observer Research Foundation; WWF; and the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN). This included participation in key workshops and conferences either as speakers or as observers, including participation in the Mekong-Ganga Dialogue, New Delhi, 2012; the Delhi Sustainable Development Summit, 2012; the workshop on partnering with civil society organizations to strengthen development effectiveness of the Asian Development Bank, 2012; and the Conference on River Waters: Perspectives and Challenges for Asia, New Delhi, 2011. Communications support was provided to current and future World Bank investments to help them adopt better design and delivery of activities. The purpose was to help make investments more effective and efficient while incorporating the political economy and local needs and priorities. Some notable initiatives that received communications support include the Kosi flood management efforts by the government of Bihar, planning for sustainable development in the Sundarbans and coastal zone management of the Sundarbans. Knowledge Management has been crucial to ensuring that SAWI outputs activities are well targeted and accessible to key stakeholders, including governments, policy makers, academics, civil society organizations, specialists and development partners, as well as the general public. Publication of a quarterly newsletter was initiated to share news and information on SAWI activities. The SAWI website was launched in 2013 as a repository of information accessible to all interested parties. While highlighting SAWI work, it is also a source for information on key areas such as transboundary waters, climate change, mountains and glaciers, regional information and forecasting, and water security. 47 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 The SAWI logo and publication style guidelines provide a distinct visual identity for the partnership to use on its website, reports and presentations. The logo captures the key geographic elements of the Himalayan region, including the snow-capped mountains, the flowing rivers and the floodplains. It was designed to depict how these systems are interconnected – an indication of how SAWI’s work is cross-sectoral and cross-basin, limited not by political boundaries but by geography and climate. The artistic design reflects a distinctly South Asian influence. APPENDIX D.2 SAWI MAPPING PORTAL The SAWI mapping portal is part of the SAWI website and is an information tool that provides easy access to data for scientists, resource managers, policy makers, teachers, students and lay persons. The guiding principle of the portal is to create a flexible framework that supports connectivity and shared knowledge among different stakeholders on management of shared water resources, and promotes cooperative data sharing and joint assessment of river basins to improve the understanding of their characteristics. SAWI Hydro Models Corporate add-ons Website Mapping Portal Decision Support Tools On the fly analysis and live data feed FIGURE 1. SCHEMATIC OVERVIEW OF THE SAWI PORTAL. THE BLUE CIRCLES ENCOMPASS THE FOUNDATION OF THE WEB PORTAL, WHILE THE RED BOXES REPRESENT POTENTIAL FUTURE EXPANSION. The SAWI-funded components include (i) a custom web-based mapping application, (ii) collection and curation of numerous public domain, water-related GIS datasets, (iii) incorporation of near real-time environmental data, courtesy of NASA, (iv) incorporation of global climate models from the World Bank’s climate change knowledge portal, (v) development of custom geographic tools for investigating the SAWI datasets, including enabling time- based filtering of certain data layers and (vi) development of a custom charting application depicting climate histories and climate trends. 48 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 FIGURE 2. SCREENSHOT OF SAWI MAPPING PORTAL WITH BRAHMAPUTRA RIVER BASIN MASK SELECTED. To date, the portal has focused on gathering the latest open-source technologies and data. The following functionalities are included: • Geographic data visualization. The mapping application brings together important geographic data from different sources into an easy-to-navigate map. The application allows users to investigate local and basin- level environmental data, and perform simple queries about the nature of those data. The map incorporates fully functional overview maps and legends, as well as basic pan and zoom tools. • Climate charting. The charting tool incorporates data from the climate change knowledge portal, allowing users to create simple charts of back cast and future climate predictions using all sixteen IPCC climate models for both temperature and precipitation. • Zonal statistics. A simple zonal statistics tool allows users to draw a polygon around an area of interest and summarize the datasets within the area. The tool provides mean, minimum, maximum and sum for the area of interest. • Timeline. The timeline option allows users to see the progression through time of the changing nature of World Bank projects derived from the Mapping for Results initiative. The SAWI mapping portal developed lays the basic foundation for future expansions that may include dynamic or on-the-fly spatial analysis, risk calculation, simple optimization, systems modeling, live data feeds and the basic elements of a decision support framework. The possibility to add on simple modeling tools and integrate them as part of the platform, for example a seasonal forecast tool, will be explored. Ultimately, products will be delivered to clients in the region to advance, customize and operationalize according to their needs. APPENDIX D.3 PARTNERSHIPS AND OUTREACH During 2009 – 2013 SAWI established a partnership with ICIMOD for implementing the ADDKF Small Grants Program, a transboundary, collaborative research program, with the participation of 18 research institutions from the region. SAWI provides weekly media updates to partners on issues related to SAWI in the region and beyond. 49 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 SAWI participates regularly in international water conferences and global forums. SAWI participation in major events during 2009 – 2013 is summarized below. At the 2009 Stockholm Water Week, SAWI organized a seminar on “National Goals and Regional Cooperation in Transboundary Waters: Incentives and Barriers for Basin-wide Partnerships,” at which a South Asia panel, moderated by the SAWI team and with several ADD members, was contrasted and compared to an Africa panel showcasing cooperative experiences on the Nile, Zambezi and Senegal Rivers. At the 2011 Stockholm Water Week, SAWI organized a seminar on the Ganges. The objective was to demonstrate how development partners are working together to improve regional cooperation on international waters by focusing resources, attention and analysis on the Ganges. Presentations highlighted how well orchestrated support at the regional, basin and national levels through SAWI could help develop the building blocks needed to gain traction on international rivers. Initiatives bearing fruit and highlighted were the ADD at the regional level, the Ganges SBA at the basin level and the National Ganga River Basin Project at the national level. At the 2012 India Water Week the results of the RSI were presented. At the 2013 India Water Week, SAWI sponsored an event in partnership with the Ministry of Water Resources on water use efficiency in India, and co- organized with the Global Water Partnership a session on “Water Cooperation: Across Sectors and Borders for the Efficient and Sustainable Use of Water”. The selected group of the apparel and footwear industry is moving towards zero discharge of hazardous chemicals (ZDHC) for all products across all pathways in their supply chains by 2020. They invited the RSI team to their 2012 meeting at Nike headquarters in Portland, Oregon, to present project findings and to identify possible avenues of engagement and collaboration with the ZDHC group to help them reach their goal and leverage their initiative with the RSI work. 50 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 APPENDIX E. SAWI GOVERNANCE AND FINANCIALS For 2009 – 20013 SAWI was financed through a multi-donor trust fund supported by Australia (through AusAID), the United Kingdom (through DFID) and Norway, and managed by the World Bank. The World Bank was responsible strategic design of the program and allocation of funds across activities, fiduciary obligations for management and financial reporting, and communication and reporting to donors. The Trust Fund Committee consisting of the three donor partners and the World Bank reviewed the program each year at an annual meeting. The annual work plan and budget were endorsed at these meetings. Informal meetings and a midyear virtual review were used to maintain regular communications amongst the partners. The Committee provided strategic oversight and inputs to program design. It operated by consensus with an equitable and informal approach to governance. SAWI is managed out of the Environment and Water Resources Unit of the South Asia Sustainable Development Department. It coordinates closely with the Water Anchor of the Sustainable Development Network (Figure 3). FIGURE 3. LOCATION OF SAWI WITHIN SOUTH ASIA REGION OF WORLD BANK. The SAWI donors contributed US$13.754 million to SAWI during 2009 – 2013 (AusAID 7 million AUD or US$6.95 14 million, DFID 2.442 million GBP or US$3.76 million and Norway 18 million NOK or US$3.044 million (Table E.1). In March 2013, US$10.3 million had been allocated to SAWI activities – over 75 percent of the net available contributions (sum of the investment income paid in by the World Bank and to the donor contributions less the World Bank administrative fee – 2 percent of total contributions). Thus in March 2013 US$3.27 million were 15 uncommitted and unallocated (Table 2). 14 Note that AusAID’s original pledge to SAWI was 3 million AUD. This was increased by an additional 4 million AUD with the agreement that these funds were intended for future SAWI program. 15 Note that remaining funds of SAWI from 2009 – 2013 will be transferred to the future SAWI program fund. 51 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 Details Holding currency (US$ ’000) Total pledges 13,754.5 (+) Investment income 108.8 (–) Admin fee (2%) 275.1 Net available contributions 13,588.2 Total activity allocations 10,310.0 Total disbursements 9,058.5 Outstanding commitments 360.7 Amount allocated but not yet committed 889.8 Amount available for allocation 3,278.7 TABLE 2. SAWI FINANCIAL DETAILS. (NUMBERS DO NOT ADD UP EXACTLY DUE TO ROUNDING). Building the SAWI portfolio required some lead-time. Figure 4 shows the details of the contributions, allocations and disbursements at March 2013: • The right-hand column shows the total donor contributions (US$13.588 million) of which US$10.31 million has been allocated to activities; the remaining US$3.279 million is unallocated (and uncommitted). • The middle column shows the allocations (US$10.31 million) of which US$9.059 million has been disbursed, US$361,000 is under commitment and US$890,000 is allocated but not yet committed. • The left column shows the disbursements of allocated funds. While disbursements were relatively slow in the initial stages, they have since increased sharply. Annual disbursements were US$99,000 in FY2009, US$1.375 million in FY2010, US$3.155 million in FY2011, US$2.74 million in FY2012 and US$1.775 million in FY2013 (at March). Net Available Contributions Allocated Unallocated, uncommitted Disbursed Committed Allocations Allocated, uncommitted Disbursements 2010 2011 2012 2013 (March) 2009 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 US Dollars (thousands) FIGURE 4. SAWI DISBURSEMENTS, ALLOCATIONS AND TOTAL CONTRIBUTIONS FOR 2009 – 2013. The details of allocations to individual activities (Table 3) show that in March 2013 regional allocations totaled US$3.36 million, basin allocations totaled US$3.35 million and national activities totaled US$2.2 million. 52 South Asia Water Initiave, Final Report, 2009 – 2013 SAWI program administration and outreach US$ allocated 1 Program administration 348,185 2 Communications and outreach 2a Communications and dissemination 813,493 2b SAWI meetings 150,000 2c Knowledge portal 200,000 2d Outreach 400,000 2e SAWI Phase 2 transition 400,000 Regional activities 3 ADD and Capacity Building 1,113,302 4 ADDKF Small Grants Program (Executed by ICIMOD) 1,000,000 5 Social Dimensions of Climate Change 148,965 6 Removing Barriers to Hydropower in South Asia – 7 Good Environmental Practices of Hydropower 48,245 8 Regional Cooperation in Sediment Management in Hydropower 90,938 Basin/landscape activities 9 Ganges SBA 1,317,700 10 Study for a Regional Monitoring Center for the Greater Himalayas 250,000 11 Building Knowledge and Capacity for Regional Management of the Sundarbans 473,000 12 Building Water Management Systems in the Ganges Sub-basin for Bangladesh 920,000 13 Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna River Basin Groundwater Study 165,000 14 Impacts of Climate Risks on Water and Food Security in the Indus 97,207 15 Social Dimensions of Climate Vulnerability in the Indus 130,777 National activities 16 Afghanistan: Technical Support for Integrated River Basin Planning and Investments 69,278 17 Bangladesh: Responsible Sourcing Initiative 748,187 18 Bangladesh: Improving Water Resources Management in the Gorai River Basin 315,000 19 India: Cumulative Impact Assessment of Hydropower Projects 36,212 20 India: Ganges Institutional Development and Strategic Communications Support 148,921 21 India: Support for the National Ganga River Basin Project 388,846 22 India: Groundwater Management 2,872 23 India: Sustainable Development of Hydropower 100,000 24 Nepal: Support to Water Resources and Climate Change Agenda 433,378 Total 10,309,506 TABLE 3. SAWI ALLOCATIONS TO INDIVIDUAL ACTIVITIES. 53 The South Asia Water Initiative (SAWI) is a multi-donor partnership between the World Bank and the Governments of Australia, Norway and the United Kingdom. SAWI’s goal is to increase regional cooperation in the management of the Himalayan River systems and support sustainable, fair and inclusive development, and climate resilience. Fore more information: www.southasiawaterinitiative.org