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Learning dynamics and support for economic reforms : why good news can be bad (English)

Support for economic reforms has often shown puzzling dynamics: many reforms that began successfully lost public support. This paper shows that learning dynamics can rationalize this paradox because the process of revealing reform outcomes is an example of sampling without replacement. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6973 JUL 01, 2014

van Wijnbergen, Sweder; Willems, Tim Disclosed

Long-term fiscal risks and sustainability in an oil-rich country : the case of Russia (English)

Russia entered the global crisis with strong fiscal position, low public debt, and large fiscal and monetary reserves, which helped it cushion the crisis shocks. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS5240 MAR 01, 2010

Bogetic, Zeljko; Smits, Karlis; Budina, Nina; van Wijnbergen, Sweder Disclosed

Quantitative approaches to fiscal sustainability analysis : a case study of Turkey since the crisis of 2001 (English)

This case study of fiscal sustainability in Turkey after the crisis in 2001 reviews and extends quantitative approaches to fiscal sustainability analysis and brings them together in a user-friendly tool applicable in a data-sparse environment. ... See More +

Journal Article 77613 FEB 01, 2009

Budina, Nina; Wijnbergen, Sweder van Disclosed

The World Bank economic review 23 (1) (English)

This issue includes the following: Decentralizing Eligibility for a Federal Antipoverty Program: a case study for China, by Martin Ravallion; mental health pattern and consequences: results from survey data in five developing countries, by Jishnu Das, Quy-Toan Do, Jed Friedman, and David McKenzie; psychological health before, during, and after an economic crisis: results from Indonesia, 1993-2000, by Jed Friedman and Duncan Thomas; infrastructure and public utilities privatization in developing countries, by Emnanuelle Auriol and Pierre M. ... See More +

Publication 64745 JAN 01, 2009

Ravallion, Martin; Das, Jishnu; Do, Quy-Toan; Friedman, Jed; McKenzie, David; Thomas, Duncan; Auriol, Emmanuelle; Picard, Pierre M.; Bacha, Edmar L.; Holland, Márcio; Gonçalves, Fernando M.; Budina, Nina; van Wijnbergen, Sweder; Oostendorp, Remco H. Disclosed

Africa at a turning point? Growth, aid, and external shocks (English)

This book is a collection of essays that seeks to answer three interrelated sets of questions about Africa's recent growth recovery. The first set of essays addresses questions about the drivers and durability of Africa's growth. ... See More +

Publication 43976 APR 14, 2008

Go, Delfin S.; Page, John; Arbache, Jorge; Korman, Vijdan; Ye, Xiao; Chuhan-Pole, Punam; Fitzpatrick, Brendan; Devarajan, Shantayanan; Robinson, Sherman; Thierfelder, Karen; Lofgren, Hans; Diaz-Bonilla, Carolina; Ratha, Dilip; Mohapatra, Sanket; Plaza, Sonia; Raddatz, Claudio; Devlin, Julia; Lewin, Michael; Ranaweera, Thilakaratna; Budina, Nina; van Wijnbergen, Sweder; Andriamihaja, Noro; Vecchi, Giovanni; Essama-Nssah, B.; Kearney, Marna Disclosed

Nigeria's growth record : Dutch disease or debt overhang ? (English)

Nigeria's oil boom has not brought an end to perennial stagnation in the non-oil economy. Is this the unavoidable consequence of the resource boom or have misguided policies contributed? ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS4256 JUN 01, 2007

Budina, Nina; Pang, Gaobo; van Wijnbergen, Sweder Disclosed

The "how to" of fiscal sustainability : a technical manual for using the fiscal sustainability tool (English)

Fiscal sustainability analysis (FSA) is an important component of macroeconomic analysis for many developing countries. To further enhance understanding of fiscal policy and the constraints faced by policymakers, the authors develop a toolkit for FSA in middle-income countries which builds on previous work in this area and on new developments in dealing with uncertainty. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS4170 MAR 01, 2007

Bandiera, Luca; Budina, Nina; Klijn, Michel; van Wijnbergen, Sweder Disclosed

Quantitative approaches to fiscal sustainability analysis : a new World Bank tool applied to Turkey (English)

Fiscal sustainability analysis (FSA) is an important component of macroeconomic analysis. The authors review various quantitative approaches to FSA with a major objective to bring these approaches together and to present a user-friendly tool for FSA that reflects modern developments. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS4169 MAR 01, 2007

Budina, Nina; van Wijnbergen, Sweder Disclosed

Fiscal deficits, monetary reform, and inflation stabilization in Romania (English)

Unsustainable fiscal deficits were the chief reason for the inflation that has persisted in Eastern Europe since 1989. Deficits need to be cut back, but by how much for a given inflation target? ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS2298 MAR 31, 2000

Budina, Nina; Van Wijnbergen, Sweder

Ownership and corporate control in Poland : why state firms defied the odds (English)

Survey results in Poland indicate that hard budgets and import comeption can spur state firms to adjust even when privatization lags behind. As they examine the underpinning of Polish reform, the authors address the key question of why managers instigated such adjustment. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS1308 JUN 30, 1994

Pinto, Brian; van Wijnbergen, Sweder

Interest rates, growth, and external debt : the macroeconomic impact of Mexico's Brady deal (English)

Interest rates fell sharply after Mexico's Brady deal, and private investment and growth recovered. The authors show that the main benefit of debt relief was not to lower expected payments but to reduce uncertainty. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS1147 JUN 30, 1993

Claessens,Constantijn A.; Oks, Daniel; van Wijnbergen, Sweder

Measuring capital flight : a case study of Mexico (English)

The authors show how the various methods commonly used to measure capital flight produce vastly different estimates (with a 100 percent difference between the lowest and the highest, in Mexico's case). ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS1121 MAR 31, 1993

Eggerstedt, Harald; Brideau Hall, Rebecca; van Wijnbergen, Sweder

Enterprise reform in Eastern Europe (English)

Enterprise reform is emerging as the core economic problem in Eastern Europe. As privatization has been delayed, a new problem has emerged, largely unanticipated by outside advisers: It is probably possible to run a clear-cut state enterprise efficiently, and it is certainly possible to get efficient performance from a private enterprise. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS1068 JAN 31, 1993

van Wijnbergen, Sweder

The World Bank economic review 6(3) (English)

Measuring the independence of central banks and its effect on policy outcomes. On the transmission of world agricultural prices. How small enterprises in Ghana have responded to adjustment. ... See More +

Publication 17602 SEP 30, 1992

Cukierman, Alex; Webb, Steven B.; Neyapti, Bilin; Mundlak, Yair; Larson, Donald F.; Steel, William F.; Webster, Leila M.; Liviatan, Nissan; O'Connell, Stephen A.; Levy, Santiago; Wijnbergen, Sweder van; Claessens, Stijn; Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus; Corsetti, Giancarlo

Maize and the free trade agreement between Mexico and the United States (English)

Setting the price of maize in rural Mexico above the world price is inefficient and likely to have negative distributional effects because many subsistence producers, and all landless workers, are net buyers; in fact it screens out the relatively poor rather than the relatively rich. ... See More +

Journal Article 14106 SEP 30, 1992

Levy, Santiago; van Wijnbergen, Sweder

Transition problems in economic reform : agriculture in the Mexico - U.S. free trade agreement (English)

The authors use Mexican agriculture as a case study to analyze the transition problems that arise in most major economic reforms. They focus on the implications for policy design of the absence of efficient capital markets; on the welfare costs of reforming only gradually; on incentive problems created by trade adjustment policies; and on the redistribution aspects of policy reform in the presence of realistic limits on available intervention instruments. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS967 AUG 31, 1992

Levy, Santiago; van Wijnbergen, Sweder

External debt, fiscal policy, and sustainable growth in Turkey (English)

Policy-makers in developing countries who try to reduce external debt are engaged in a complicated balancing act. Domestic spending programs could be curtailed to free up funds for the repayment of debt. ... See More +

Publication 10556 MAR 31, 1992

van Wijnbergen, Sweder; Anand, Ritu; Chhibber, Ajay; Rocha, Roberto

The World Bank economic review 5(3) (English)

The impact of changes in job security regulations in India and Zimbabwe. Diversification of macroeconomic risk and international integration of capital markets: the case of Mexico. ... See More +

Publication 17598 SEP 30, 1991

Fallon, Peter R.; Lucas, Robert E. B.; Calle, Luis F. de la; Wijnbergen, Sweder van; Khalilzadeh-Shirazi, Javad; Shah, Anwar; Slemrod, Joel; Skinner, Jonathan; Chamley, Christophe; Whalley, John; Dahl, Henrik; Mitra, Pradeep

Should price reform proceed gradually or in a "big bang?" (English)

Should countries such as Poland or the USSR move toward more flexible prices gradually or in a "big bang?" Why is it that governments committed to eventual price flexibility so often seem to be unable to let go of "temporary" controls? ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS702 JUN 30, 1991

van Wijnbergen, Sweder

Intertemporal substitution, risk aversion, and private savings in Mexico (English)

The decline in private savings since 1982 is arguably the most important problem in high debt countries. A reversal of the trend is essential if growth is to be restored. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS682 MAY 31, 1991

Arrau, Patricio; van Wijnbergen, Sweder

Title Document Date Report No. Document Type Also available in
Learning dynamics and support for economic reforms : why good news can be bad (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6973 Policy Research Working Paper
Long-term fiscal risks and sustainability in an oil-rich country : the case of Russia (English)
See More +
MAR 01, 2010 WPS5240 Policy Research Working Paper
Quantitative approaches to fiscal sustainability analysis : a case study of Turkey since the crisis of 2001 (English)
See More +
FEB 01, 2009 77613 Journal Article
The World Bank economic review 23 (1) (English)
See More +
JAN 01, 2009 64745 Publication
Africa at a turning point? Growth, aid, and external shocks (English)
See More +
APR 14, 2008 43976 Publication
Nigeria's growth record : Dutch disease or debt overhang ? (English)
See More +
JUN 01, 2007 WPS4256 Policy Research Working Paper
The "how to" of fiscal sustainability : a technical manual for using the fiscal sustainability tool (English)
See More +
MAR 01, 2007 WPS4170 Policy Research Working Paper
Quantitative approaches to fiscal sustainability analysis : a new World Bank tool applied to Turkey (English)
See More +
MAR 01, 2007 WPS4169 Policy Research Working Paper
Fiscal deficits, monetary reform, and inflation stabilization in Romania (English)
See More +
MAR 31, 2000 WPS2298 Policy Research Working Paper
Ownership and corporate control in Poland : why state firms defied the odds (English)
See More +
JUN 30, 1994 WPS1308 Policy Research Working Paper
Interest rates, growth, and external debt : the macroeconomic impact of Mexico's Brady deal (English)
See More +
JUN 30, 1993 WPS1147 Policy Research Working Paper
Measuring capital flight : a case study of Mexico (English)
See More +
MAR 31, 1993 WPS1121 Policy Research Working Paper
Enterprise reform in Eastern Europe (English)
See More +
JAN 31, 1993 WPS1068 Policy Research Working Paper
The World Bank economic review 6(3) (English)
See More +
SEP 30, 1992 17602 Publication
Maize and the free trade agreement between Mexico and the United States (English)
See More +
SEP 30, 1992 14106 Journal Article
Transition problems in economic reform : agriculture in the Mexico - U.S. free trade agreement (English)
See More +
AUG 31, 1992 WPS967 Policy Research Working Paper
External debt, fiscal policy, and sustainable growth in Turkey (English)
See More +
MAR 31, 1992 10556 Publication
The World Bank economic review 5(3) (English)
See More +
SEP 30, 1991 17598 Publication
Should price reform proceed gradually or in a "big bang?" (English)
See More +
JUN 30, 1991 WPS702 Policy Research Working Paper
Intertemporal substitution, risk aversion, and private savings in Mexico (English)
See More +
MAY 31, 1991 WPS682 Policy Research Working Paper