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How survey-to-survey imputation can fail (English)

This paper proposes diagnostics to assess the accuracy of survey-to-survey imputation methods and applies them to examine why imputing from the Household Income and Expenditure Survey into the Labor Force Survey fails to accurately project poverty trends in Sri Lanka between 2006 and 2009. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6961 JUL 01, 2014

Newhouse, D.; Shivakumaran, S.; Takamatsu, S.; Yoshida, N.

Estimation of normal mixtures in a nested error model with an application to small area estimation of poverty and inequality (English)

This paper proposes a method for estimating distribution functions that are associated with the nested errors in linear mixed models. The estimator incorporates Empirical Bayes prediction while making minimal assumptions about the shape of the error distributions. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6962 JUL 01, 2014

Elbers, Chris; van der Weide, Roy

Inequality is bad for growth of the poor (but not for that of the rich) (English)

The paper assesses the impact of overall inequality, as well as inequality among the poor and among the rich, on the growth rates along various percentiles of the income distribution. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6963 JUL 01, 2014

van der Weide, Roy; Milanovic, Branko

Measuring the effect of internet adoption on paper consumption (English)

A large fraction of the total supply of paper is produced with technologies that have serious adverse consequences on the environment and cause significant health problems, such as cancer. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6965 JUL 01, 2014

Andres, Luis; Zentner, Alejandro; Zentner, Joaquin

Services, inequality, and the dutch disease (English)

This paper shows how Dutch disease effects may arise solely from a shift in demand following a natural resource discovery. The natural resource wealth increases the demand for non-tradable luxury services due to non-homothetic preferences. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6966 JUL 01, 2014

Battaile, Bill; Chisik, Richard; Onder, Harun

The Brasilia experiment : road access and the spatial pattern of long-term local development in Brazil (English)

This paper studies the impact of the rapid expansion of the Brazilian road network, which occurred from the 1960s to the 2000s, on the growth and spatial allocation of population and economic activity across the country's municipalities. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6964 JUL 01, 2014

Bird, Julia; Straub, Stephane

Ponzis : the science and mystique of a class of financial frauds (English)

Ponzis are among the most ubiquitous and least understood phenomena of economic life. They acquired a certain salience with the global financial crisis of 2008 and the crash of Bernie Madoff’s celebrated Ponzi scheme. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6967 JUL 01, 2014

Basu, Kaushik

Evidence of development impact from institutional change : a review of the evidence on open budgeting (English)

Despite the growing body of literature examining the effectiveness of transparency and accountability initiatives, there remains limited substantiation for whether and how open budgeting contributes to reductions in poverty and improvements in the lives of the poor. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6968 JUL 01, 2014

Ling, Cristina; Roberts, Dawn

Predicting bank insolvency in the Middle East and North Africa (English)

This paper uses a panel of annual observations for 198 banks in 19 Middle East and North Africa countries over 2001-12 to develop an early warning system for forecasting bank insolvency based on a multivariate logistic regression framework. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6969 JUL 01, 2014

Calice, Pietro

How regional integration and transnational energy networks have boosted FDI in Turkey (and may cease to do so): a case study: how geo-political alliances and regional networks matter (English)

Turkey has historically struggled to attract foreign investors. This paper argues that not only macroeconomic and political stability, but also regional integration explains the upsurge in foreign direct investment observed since 2005. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6970 JUL 01, 2014

Sanchez Martin, Miguel Eduardo; Escribano Frances, Gonzalo; de Arce Borda, Rafael

Inflation and indivisible investment in developing economies (English)

In countries with limited access to finance, firms accumulate retained earnings to finance indivisible investment projects. McKinnon (1973) illustrates that when cash is used as a primary store of value, inflation may discourage investment as it increases the cost of accumulating retained earnings. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6972 JUL 01, 2014

Eden, Maya; Nguyen, Ha

Can service be a growth escalator in low-income countries ? : Can service be a growth escalator in low-income countries ? (English)

Several high-level reports have raised the concern that low-income countries, especially in Africa, are experiencing premature de-industrialization. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6971 JUL 01, 2014

Ghani, Ejaz; O'Connell, Stephen D.

Learning dynamics and support for economic reforms : why good news can be bad (English)

Support for economic reforms has often shown puzzling dynamics: many reforms that began successfully lost public support. This paper shows that learning dynamics can rationalize this paradox because the process of revealing reform outcomes is an example of sampling without replacement. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6973 JUL 01, 2014

van Wijnbergen, Sweder; Willems, Tim

The return of "patrimonial capitalism" : review of Thomas Piketty's capital in the 21st century : The return of "patrimonial capitalism" : review of Thomas Piketty's capital in the 21st century (English)

The paper provides a detailed review of Thomas Piketty's book "Capital in the 21st century." It focuses on the new contributions of the book, and in particular on its unified treatment of economic growth, functional income distribution, and concentration of personal income. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6974 JUL 01, 2014

Milanovic, Branko

Why firms avoid cutting wages : survey evidence from European firms (English)

Firms very rarely cut nominal wages, even in the face of considerable negative economic shocks. This paper uses a unique survey of fourteen European countries to ask firms directly about the incidence of wage cuts and to assess the relevance of a range of potential reasons for why the firms avoid cutting wages. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6976 JUL 01, 2014

Du Caju, Philip; Kosma, Theodora; Lawless, Martina; Messina, Julian; Room, Tairi

Managing quantity, quality, and timing in Indian cane sugar production : ex post marketing permits or ex ante production contracts ? (English)

Private sugar processors in Andhra Pradesh, India use an unusual form of vertical coordination. They issue 'permits' to selected cane growers a few weeks before harvest. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6975 JUL 01, 2014

Patlolla, Sandhyarani; Goodhue, Rachael E.; Sexton, Richard J.

The dynamics of centralized procurement reform in a decentralized state : evidence and lessons from Indonesia (English)

A central policy of the Government of Indonesia's strategy for enhancing its country's economic and social development is to develop infrastructure and expand service delivery. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6977 JUL 01, 2014

Sacks, Audrey; Rahman, Erman; Turkewitz, Joel; Buehler, Michael; Saleh, Imad

Evolving wage cyclicality in Latin America (English)

A vector autoregression model with time-varying coefficients is used to examine the evolution of wage cyclicality in four Latin American economies: Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico, during the period 1980-2010. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6978 JUL 01, 2014

Messina, Julian; Gambetti, Luca

What do we know about preferential trade agreements and temporary trade barriers ? (English)

Two of the most important trade policy developments to take place since the 1980s are the expansion of preferential trade agreements and temporary trade barriers, such as antidumping, safeguards, and countervailing duties. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6898 JUN 01, 2014

Bown, Chad P.; Karacaovali, Baybars; Tovar, Patricia

Private non-state sector engagement in the provision of educational services at the primary and secondary levels in South Asia : an analytical review of its role in school enrollment and student achievement (English)

Private (non-state) sector engagement in the provision of educational services at the primary and secondary levels in South Asia has recently undergone remarkable growth. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS6899 JUN 01, 2014

Dahal, Mahesh; Nguyen, Quynh

Title Document Date Report No. Document Type Also available in
How survey-to-survey imputation can fail (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6961 Policy Research Working Paper
Estimation of normal mixtures in a nested error model with an application to small area estimation of poverty and inequality (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6962 Policy Research Working Paper
Inequality is bad for growth of the poor (but not for that of the rich) (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6963 Policy Research Working Paper
Measuring the effect of internet adoption on paper consumption (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6965 Policy Research Working Paper
Services, inequality, and the dutch disease (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6966 Policy Research Working Paper
The Brasilia experiment : road access and the spatial pattern of long-term local development in Brazil (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6964 Policy Research Working Paper
Ponzis : the science and mystique of a class of financial frauds (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6967 Policy Research Working Paper
Evidence of development impact from institutional change : a review of the evidence on open budgeting (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6968 Policy Research Working Paper
Predicting bank insolvency in the Middle East and North Africa (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6969 Policy Research Working Paper
How regional integration and transnational energy networks have boosted FDI in Turkey (and may cease to do so): a case study: how geo-political alliances and regional networks matter (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6970 Policy Research Working Paper
Inflation and indivisible investment in developing economies (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6972 Policy Research Working Paper
Can service be a growth escalator in low-income countries ? : Can service be a growth escalator in low-income countries ? (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6971 Policy Research Working Paper
Learning dynamics and support for economic reforms : why good news can be bad (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6973 Policy Research Working Paper
The return of "patrimonial capitalism" : review of Thomas Piketty's capital in the 21st century : The return of "patrimonial capitalism" : review of Thomas Piketty's capital in the 21st century (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6974 Policy Research Working Paper
Why firms avoid cutting wages : survey evidence from European firms (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6976 Policy Research Working Paper
Managing quantity, quality, and timing in Indian cane sugar production : ex post marketing permits or ex ante production contracts ? (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6975 Policy Research Working Paper
The dynamics of centralized procurement reform in a decentralized state : evidence and lessons from Indonesia (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6977 Policy Research Working Paper
Evolving wage cyclicality in Latin America (English)
See More +
JUL 01, 2014 WPS6978 Policy Research Working Paper
What do we know about preferential trade agreements and temporary trade barriers ? (English)
See More +
JUN 01, 2014 WPS6898 Policy Research Working Paper
Private non-state sector engagement in the provision of educational services at the primary and secondary levels in South Asia : an analytical review of its role in school enrollment and student achievement (English)
See More +
JUN 01, 2014 WPS6899 Policy Research Working Paper